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1 |
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00:00:26,900 --> 00:00:31,040 |
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بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم المرة الفاترة حكينا بال |
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2 |
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00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,920 |
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price weighted average ال price weighted average |
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3 |
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00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:39,740 |
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هي طريقة باستخدام التقييم المؤشر ال financial |
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4 |
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00:00:39,740 --> 00:00:44,470 |
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index حكينا فيه طريقتين في ال price weightedوفي |
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5 |
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00:00:44,470 --> 00:00:48,050 |
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اللي هو ال value market weighted المرة أخرى حكينا |
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6 |
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00:00:48,050 --> 00:00:53,370 |
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عن ال price weighted طريقة التسعير بس فقط تعتمد |
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7 |
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00:00:53,370 --> 00:00:57,030 |
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على ال pricing however the value weighted is |
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8 |
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00:00:57,030 --> 00:01:04,030 |
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depend on the value of the shares يعني بتفرق عن ال |
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9 |
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00:01:04,030 --> 00:01:07,710 |
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price weighted انه احنا بنضيف ال number of shares |
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10 |
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00:01:07,710 --> 00:01:11,960 |
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على ال index ال index calculationsيعني المرة |
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11 |
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00:01:11,960 --> 00:01:14,600 |
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الفاتة لما كنا نحكي ع ال price weighted كنا بس |
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12 |
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00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:19,180 |
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نجمع ال price يعني مثلا إذا كان عندي a,b,c you |
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13 |
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00:01:19,180 --> 00:01:32,820 |
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just sum the prices of a,b and c okay and Dow |
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14 |
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00:01:32,820 --> 00:01:36,950 |
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Jones developed this and take the average of aب وC |
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15 |
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00:01:36,950 --> 00:01:43,170 |
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هذا هو السعر الموضوع اليوم سأتحدث عن مؤسسة قيمة |
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16 |
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00:01:49,500 --> 00:01:53,700 |
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So what is the difference between value market and |
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17 |
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00:01:53,700 --> 00:01:58,900 |
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the price weighted؟يعني شو الفرق بين بنائس المؤشر |
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18 |
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00:01:58,900 --> 00:02:04,700 |
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بطريق ال value يعني بقيمة المنشئة أو قيمة السوقية |
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19 |
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00:02:04,700 --> 00:02:08,760 |
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المنشئة و الفرق بين التسعير؟ بال value market we |
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20 |
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00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,420 |
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consider the number of shares |
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21 |
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00:02:14,940 --> 00:02:18,420 |
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that outstanding by the company يعني بناخد بعين |
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22 |
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00:02:18,420 --> 00:02:21,940 |
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الاعتبار عدد الأسهم اللى تم إصدارها من قبل الشركة |
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23 |
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00:02:21,940 --> 00:02:28,980 |
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في عندكم بال .. على الصفحه انا نزلت how to |
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24 |
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00:02:28,980 --> 00:02:33,420 |
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calculate the market value انا نزلتلكم كيف نحسب ال |
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25 |
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00:02:33,420 --> 00:02:38,840 |
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market value okay الفرق |
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26 |
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00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,060 |
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زى ما حكينا ان احنا ال price just we consider the |
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27 |
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00:02:41,060 --> 00:02:48,200 |
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price لكن بال .. اه؟لأ موجود في الكتاب انت معاك |
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28 |
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00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:52,040 |
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الكتاب ولا ال slides؟ okay في الكتاب موجود okay |
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29 |
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00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:56,680 |
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بال .. بال price weighted we just consider the |
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30 |
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00:02:56,680 --> 00:03:01,000 |
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price بال value markets we consider the number of |
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31 |
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00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,220 |
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shares it means the price times by the number of |
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32 |
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00:03:04,220 --> 00:03:08,740 |
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shares يعني احنا بنضرب ال price بعدد القسم number |
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33 |
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00:03:08,740 --> 00:03:13,110 |
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of shares يعني عدد القسم okay نرجع لنفس المثالفي |
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34 |
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00:03:13,110 --> 00:03:18,030 |
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عندنا شركتين زي ما انتوا شايفيهم شركة ABC و شركة |
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35 |
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00:03:18,030 --> 00:03:26,710 |
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XYZ الكل شايف اه ال initial price يعني السعر بداية |
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36 |
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00:03:26,710 --> 00:03:37,230 |
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بارح او بالامس كان 25$ ل ABC و 50$ ل XYZ باليوم |
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37 |
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00:03:37,230 --> 00:03:42,590 |
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التاني ABC صارت 30$ و XYZ 45$ |
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38 |
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00:03:46,670 --> 00:03:52,390 |
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number of shares number of shares يعني عدد القسم |
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39 |
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00:03:52,390 --> 00:03:57,530 |
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عدد القسم ل ABC عشرين و عدد القسم ل XYZ اتنين |
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40 |
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00:03:59,630 --> 00:04:02,170 |
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الخمسمية اللى جبناها ال initial value يعني قيمة |
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41 |
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00:04:02,170 --> 00:04:06,990 |
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اول يوم او امبارح بتساوي اللى هو ال 25 ضرب number |
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42 |
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00:04:06,990 --> 00:04:10,030 |
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of shares زى ما حكى ان ال number of shares ال |
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43 |
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00:04:10,030 --> 00:04:14,510 |
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price ضرب number of shares يعني نضرب هذا النتيجة |
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44 |
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00:04:14,510 --> 00:04:25,100 |
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بتساوي 25 ضرب 20 و هذه النتيجة 50 ضرب 2بتساوي اللي |
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45 |
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00:04:25,100 --> 00:04:30,000 |
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هو ال one hundred ال 100 هذا ال price وهذا ال |
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46 |
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00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:33,960 |
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number of shares ضربناهم طلع عندنا الجواب أخدنا |
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47 |
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00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:40,080 |
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المجموع طلع عندنا خمسمية زي ستمية كم؟ ستمية هذا |
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48 |
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00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,680 |
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لليوم اللي ايش؟ لامبارح لنافطر لان امبارح كان zero |
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49 |
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00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:51,510 |
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امبارح يعني خلص zero اليوم oneيعني اليوم one, |
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50 |
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00:04:51,810 --> 00:04:56,910 |
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tomorrow اتنين, تلاتة اربعة and so on نفس الشيء |
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51 |
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00:04:56,910 --> 00:05:03,070 |
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ميكرر ال 600 ايش بتساوي السعر تلاتين ضربضارب |
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52 |
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00:05:03,070 --> 00:05:05,930 |
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العشرين والخمسة واربعين ضارب التانية وخمسة واربعين |
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53 |
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00:05:05,930 --> 00:05:10,290 |
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times two ninety ثلاثة times twenty six hundred we |
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54 |
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00:05:10,290 --> 00:05:13,190 |
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end up with six hundred ninety أخدنا ست مائة و |
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55 |
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00:05:13,190 --> 00:05:15,790 |
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تسعين و أخدنا ست مائة و تسعين يعني أنا باليوم من |
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56 |
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00:05:15,790 --> 00:05:20,390 |
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بارح zero و هذا باليوم الأول today شوفنا كم يكون |
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57 |
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00:05:20,390 --> 00:05:27,170 |
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فيه زيادة تسعين اليوم six ninety yesterday six |
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58 |
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00:05:27,170 --> 00:05:30,310 |
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hundred so it means the index increased by ninety |
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59 |
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00:05:30,310 --> 00:05:36,550 |
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okayطبعا هذا هو بناء ال index اول خطوة انه احنا |
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60 |
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00:05:36,550 --> 00:05:40,550 |
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خلصنا ال .. طب ايش المعادلة لبناء ال index بعد ما |
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61 |
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00:05:40,550 --> 00:05:43,410 |
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احنا ضربنا ال price ضرب ال times number of shares |
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62 |
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00:05:43,410 --> 00:05:48,450 |
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نشوف المعادلة المعادلة في اي مؤشر لو انا بدأ احسب |
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63 |
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00:05:48,450 --> 00:05:54,170 |
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ال index to any index لو انا بدأ احسب معادلة اي |
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64 |
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00:05:54,170 --> 00:05:59,330 |
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مؤشر we have to decide at what point the index |
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65 |
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00:05:59,330 --> 00:06:03,460 |
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should startand أي نقطة لازم المؤشر يبدأ في ناس |
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66 |
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00:06:03,460 --> 00:06:07,080 |
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بيبدو المؤشر تبعهم مية دولار أو مية نقطة في ناس |
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67 |
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00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,640 |
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بيبدوها بالألف في ناس بيبدوها بالعشرة ألاف في ناس |
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68 |
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00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:14,140 |
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بيبدوها بالمليون okay so it depends on the |
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69 |
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00:06:14,140 --> 00:06:17,220 |
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financial market committee يعني بتعتمد على قرار |
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70 |
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00:06:17,220 --> 00:06:21,960 |
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قرار لجنة سوق الأوراق المالية انهم بيبدو المؤشر |
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71 |
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00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,600 |
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بمية نقطة يعني مثلا احنا عندنا درجات الطلاب من مية |
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72 |
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00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,620 |
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في ناس تانية مافيش عندهم مية في منهم a,b,c,dفي ناس |
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73 |
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00:06:29,620 --> 00:06:32,140 |
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لأ مش من مية، في منهم من عشرة، في ناس من .. من |
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74 |
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00:06:32,140 --> 00:06:35,400 |
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ألف، في ناس من عشرين، so it depends on the |
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75 |
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00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:37,960 |
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regulations of the financial markets يعني مثلا |
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76 |
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00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,680 |
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عندنا بال .. بال New York Stock Exchange عندهم بال |
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77 |
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00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:45,300 |
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.. من مثلا من مائة ألف، بال .. عندنا بال .. بالألف |
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78 |
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00:06:45,300 --> 00:06:48,480 |
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مثلا كانوا عشر تلاف عندنا سوق فلسطين أوراق المالية |
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79 |
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00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:54,240 |
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اللي هو المؤشر القدس، مؤشر ال .. London Stock |
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80 |
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00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,900 |
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Exchange اللي هو FTSE 100 بدأت بمائة ألف، so it |
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81 |
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00:06:56,900 --> 00:07:01,190 |
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depends which you decidefor instance we decide by |
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82 |
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00:07:01,190 --> 00:07:05,970 |
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one hundred احنا قررنا ان احنا نبدأ المؤشر بكم؟ |
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83 |
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00:07:05,970 --> 00:07:13,630 |
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one hundred ضرب times B1 divided by B0 what is the |
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84 |
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00:07:13,630 --> 00:07:19,370 |
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B1? B1 is the value today divided by the value |
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85 |
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00:07:19,370 --> 00:07:23,710 |
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yesterday okay so the value today is six hundred |
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86 |
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00:07:23,710 --> 00:07:29,320 |
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ninety the value of yesterday six hundred okaySo |
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87 |
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00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:33,640 |
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the result is 115 |
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88 |
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00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:41,640 |
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فالنتيجة بتطلع 115 بتطلع 115 خلنا |
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89 |
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00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:47,260 |
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نكمل هلا طب اليوم zero اللي هو مبارح كام المفروض |
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90 |
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00:07:47,260 --> 00:07:52,600 |
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يكون المؤشر بدأ بكم؟ يلا أشوفكممبارح المؤشر |
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91 |
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00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:56,180 |
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المفروض يبدأ بكم؟ مؤشر كم لازم يبدأ؟ احنا قلنا انه |
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92 |
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00:07:56,180 --> 00:07:59,700 |
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قررت اللجنة تبدأ ب 100 صح؟ اذا هاي 100، 100 من وين |
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93 |
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00:07:59,700 --> 00:08:05,080 |
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اجت؟ لو احنا مبارح قلنا index is equal one hundred |
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94 |
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00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:08,660 |
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times B not divided by B not لأنه بدأنا مبارح بس |
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95 |
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00:08:08,660 --> 00:08:13,680 |
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حتى ساب المؤشر B not على B not one hundred times B |
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96 |
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00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:17,320 |
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not six hundred divided by six hundred so it means |
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97 |
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00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:22,660 |
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one hundred هاي ال one hundred okay this is to the |
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98 |
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00:08:22,660 --> 00:08:29,640 |
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A one hundred fifteen إذا كام زاد المؤشر خمس عشر |
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99 |
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00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,840 |
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نقطة خمس عشر نقطة تطلعوا على المؤشر هان هذا |
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100 |
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00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:38,820 |
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بتشوفوه بالجزيرة بيكون أحمر نازل أخضر طالع فكم |
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101 |
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00:08:38,820 --> 00:08:43,180 |
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ارتفع الأخضر خمس عشر هلأ لو إحنا بدينا نغير في |
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102 |
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00:08:43,180 --> 00:08:46,660 |
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الأسعار يعني نفترض إنه إحنا زي ما إنتوا شايفين |
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103 |
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00:08:46,660 --> 00:08:50,670 |
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نروح نغير في الأسعارنغير في أسعار مثلا ال final |
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104 |
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00:08:50,670 --> 00:08:56,810 |
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value بدل ما هي السعر تلاتين صار أربعين شوفوا |
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105 |
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00:08:56,810 --> 00:09:02,810 |
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مباشرة إيش راح يصير صار عندي كام المؤشر صار أكم |
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106 |
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00:09:02,810 --> 00:09:09,690 |
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نقطة زاد طلعوا ع زيادة زيادة و انخفاض كام 48 طب لو |
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107 |
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00:09:09,690 --> 00:09:15,710 |
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فكرنا أنه نخفض ال .. نخفض السعر نفترض أنه خمستاشر |
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108 |
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00:09:15,710 --> 00:09:17,170 |
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فشو صار في المؤشر |
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109 |
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00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:24,080 |
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انخفض في كام؟ خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و |
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110 |
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00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:24,300 |
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تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، |
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111 |
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00:09:24,300 --> 00:09:25,680 |
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خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و |
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112 |
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00:09:25,680 --> 00:09:25,940 |
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تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، |
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113 |
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00:09:25,940 --> 00:09:30,540 |
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خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و |
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114 |
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00:09:30,540 --> 00:09:33,920 |
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تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، |
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115 |
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00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:38,020 |
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خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و تلاتين، خمس و |
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116 |
|
00:09:38,020 --> 00:09:42,450 |
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تلاتين،Okay هاي فكرة ال index هاي الفكرة مطبقة في |
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117 |
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00:09:42,450 --> 00:09:46,750 |
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ال New York Stock Exchange مطبقة بسوق السوق New |
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118 |
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00:09:46,750 --> 00:09:50,190 |
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York سوق الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية okay و |
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119 |
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00:09:50,190 --> 00:09:54,290 |
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particularly S&P 500 هو المطبق هذه الفكرة يعني |
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120 |
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00:09:54,290 --> 00:09:59,850 |
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باختصار أول خطوة بنعملها بنضرب ال price times the |
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121 |
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00:09:59,850 --> 00:10:03,810 |
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number of shares price times number of shares for |
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122 |
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00:10:05,090 --> 00:10:08,950 |
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the day which the index starts then the next day |
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123 |
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00:10:08,950 --> 00:10:15,310 |
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and we apply this equation what this equation for |
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124 |
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00:10:15,310 --> 00:10:18,630 |
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it calculates the index by points خدوا باقوا بال |
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125 |
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00:10:18,630 --> 00:10:23,120 |
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point نحسبهابالنقاط يعني هذه الجواب مش 35 دولار |
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126 |
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00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:27,620 |
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it's 35 points اذا انتوا بتسمعوا مثلا بال CNBC ولا |
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127 |
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00:10:27,620 --> 00:10:32,260 |
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بالجزيرة they say it's decline 500 points or 300 |
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128 |
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00:10:32,260 --> 00:10:35,780 |
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points يعني مابيحكوش انخفض الدولار او ترفع بال |
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129 |
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00:10:35,780 --> 00:10:42,300 |
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points okay بنحسب ال index لليوم الأول for |
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130 |
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instance و بنحسب ال index لليوم التالي one hundred |
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131 |
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divided by oneone divided by by zero يعني نقسم |
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132 |
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00:10:53,350 --> 00:10:57,770 |
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اللي احنا شوفناها ال final value divided by the |
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133 |
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00:10:57,770 --> 00:11:00,810 |
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initial value ال final value يعني بتاعة اليوم ال |
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134 |
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initial value أول ما بدأ المؤشر نقسم هذه على هذه |
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135 |
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00:11:03,850 --> 00:11:09,650 |
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بطلع لنا الجواب هذا طبعا نطرحه من المية بطلع لنا |
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136 |
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00:11:09,650 --> 00:11:15,020 |
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الفرحةOkay هذا المثال موجود عندكم بال .. بال web |
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137 |
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00:11:15,020 --> 00:11:20,880 |
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page على الصفحة الشخصية so you go back and you can |
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138 |
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00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,080 |
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just revise the calculations and see how it will |
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139 |
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00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:36,460 |
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be calculated okay ب zero بارح okay |
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140 |
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00:11:38,780 --> 00:11:44,700 |
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فاحنا حاكينا على ال .. كمان مرة نرجع أنه احنا we |
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141 |
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have two methods to calculate the index فهنا |
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142 |
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00:11:48,820 --> 00:11:53,340 |
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طريقتين لحساب ال index ال price methods and the |
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143 |
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00:11:53,340 --> 00:11:56,940 |
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market value methods the main difference between |
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144 |
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the price and the market value is the market value |
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145 |
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00:12:00,300 --> 00:12:03,580 |
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calculated by times the price by the number of |
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146 |
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00:12:03,580 --> 00:12:06,900 |
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shares and then you carry on calculations the |
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147 |
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00:12:06,900 --> 00:12:11,660 |
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indexthere are other developments on how they |
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148 |
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calculate the index but based on this level we |
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149 |
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just know about the very simple methods in |
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150 |
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00:12:20,900 --> 00:12:25,300 |
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calculating the index يعني في كتير طرق متطورة في |
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151 |
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00:12:25,300 --> 00:12:29,000 |
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ال index في حساب ال index لكن احنا لهذا المستوى |
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152 |
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00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:34,240 |
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فقط بناعطي هذه الطريقتين طريقة ال price وطريقة ال |
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153 |
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00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:38,320 |
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market okay any question |
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154 |
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المية بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية |
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155 |
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00:12:48,970 --> 00:12:50,110 |
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المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر |
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156 |
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00:12:50,110 --> 00:12:50,310 |
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بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية |
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157 |
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00:12:50,310 --> 00:12:52,330 |
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المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر |
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158 |
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00:12:52,330 --> 00:12:55,750 |
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بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية |
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159 |
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00:12:55,750 --> 00:13:01,890 |
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المؤشر بداية |
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160 |
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00:13:01,890 --> 00:13:05,670 |
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المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر |
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161 |
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00:13:05,670 --> 00:13:06,950 |
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بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية |
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162 |
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00:13:06,950 --> 00:13:07,430 |
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المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر |
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163 |
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00:13:07,430 --> 00:13:07,510 |
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بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية المؤشر بداية |
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164 |
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00:13:07,510 --> 00:13:13,460 |
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بداية المؤشرلو إجا بكرا هذا بيصير initial zero و |
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165 |
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00:13:13,460 --> 00:13:17,160 |
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بكرا بيصير one فبصير أحسب one minus zero يعني |
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166 |
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00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:21,380 |
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اليوم الجاى ناقص اليوم السابق فمتى كيف؟ هذه طريقة |
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167 |
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00:13:21,380 --> 00:13:27,820 |
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حسبة مؤشر يعني مثلا لو إجينا مثلا نحكي tomorrow |
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168 |
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00:13:27,820 --> 00:13:33,380 |
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tomorrow صار المؤشر tomorrow صار مؤشر eighty-five |
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169 |
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00:13:33,380 --> 00:13:40,060 |
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بتصير هذه sixty-five yesterdayOkay C0 كم المؤشر |
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170 |
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00:13:40,060 --> 00:13:45,140 |
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صار ارتفع ارتفع بقيمة عشرين نقطة بس بظل انه قيمة |
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171 |
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00:13:45,140 --> 00:13:47,920 |
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المؤشر eighty five the value of the index is |
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172 |
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eighty five لو احنا رجعنا لل origin what it means |
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173 |
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eighty five from the origin from the first day of |
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174 |
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the index it was one hundred ال |
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175 |
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00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:04,830 |
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origin اول يوم انعمل فيه المؤشرأول يوم بدأنا فيه |
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176 |
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00:14:04,830 --> 00:14:08,490 |
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المؤشر هذا اسمه ال initial price أول يوم عملنا فيه |
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177 |
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00:14:08,490 --> 00:14:12,410 |
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المؤشر بعد هيك ال كل يوم بيصير يتغير بيصير يتغير |
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178 |
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00:14:12,410 --> 00:14:20,210 |
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فبصير أنه أعمل كل يوم مع اليوم اللي قبله okay وين |
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179 |
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00:14:20,210 --> 00:14:34,420 |
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المشكلة ال price و ال value عشان نحصل ال indexعشان |
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180 |
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00:14:34,420 --> 00:14:39,100 |
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هو يساعدك to understandhow the financial market is |
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181 |
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00:14:39,100 --> 00:14:42,620 |
|
fluctuated كيف ال financial market تتحرك يعني |
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182 |
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00:14:42,620 --> 00:14:47,060 |
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ماينفعش أروح أشوف كل الشركات يعني مثلا في ال S&D |
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183 |
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00:14:47,060 --> 00:14:50,280 |
|
500 في thousands of companies كيف أتعرف إنه ال |
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184 |
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00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:53,160 |
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total تبع السوق ارتفع أو انخفض بدأ أروح أكل الشركة |
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185 |
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00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,660 |
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و أحسبها فلازم يكون في عندي index هذا ال index |
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186 |
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00:14:56,660 --> 00:15:00,760 |
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يعني زي pointer مؤشر بيحكي له إن الشركات انخفضت |
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187 |
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00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:04,160 |
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أدائها أو ارتفع هذا ال benefits تبع ال index |
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188 |
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00:15:07,490 --> 00:15:10,290 |
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يعني كيف انا بدأ أعرف أداء الطلاب، مانفعش أشيف كل |
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189 |
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00:15:10,290 --> 00:15:14,030 |
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طالب إيش الأداء تبعه، لازم كلهم مع بعض، أخد عينة |
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190 |
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00:15:14,030 --> 00:15:17,610 |
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منهم، sample و ال sample أعملها إلها indicator، ب |
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191 |
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00:15:17,610 --> 00:15:20,590 |
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line عليها، بقرر إنه في انخفاض في أداء الطلاب أو |
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192 |
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00:15:20,590 --> 00:15:27,790 |
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في ارتفاع في أداء الطلاب okay for |
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193 |
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00:15:27,790 --> 00:15:32,650 |
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further detailsلمعلومات أكتر I will try to upload |
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194 |
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00:15:32,650 --> 00:15:39,130 |
|
some useful articles to understand in details |
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195 |
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00:15:39,130 --> 00:15:44,750 |
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about the index أنتوا أكيد تسمعوا أخبار صح؟ أخبار |
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196 |
|
00:15:44,750 --> 00:15:48,530 |
|
اقتصادية، ماسمعتوش .. ماسمعتوش بال .. بال Dow |
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197 |
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00:15:48,530 --> 00:15:53,630 |
|
Jones و بال .. بال .. خلاص ابدوا يسمعوا، ابدوا |
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198 |
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00:15:53,630 --> 00:15:54,650 |
|
يسمعوا أخبار اقتصادية |
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199 |
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00:16:02,730 --> 00:16:08,670 |
|
Okay نحكي على ال .. هاي .. بعض الأمثلة there are |
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200 |
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00:16:08,670 --> 00:16:13,010 |
|
some example on market index بعض الأمثلة على |
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201 |
|
00:16:13,010 --> 00:16:18,590 |
|
الأسواق المؤشرات في عندنا ال S&P 500 هو مؤشر سوق |
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202 |
|
00:16:18,590 --> 00:16:23,490 |
|
نيويورك broadly based index of 500 firms لما |
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203 |
|
00:16:23,490 --> 00:16:31,330 |
|
بيحسبوا ال .. ال S&P 500بيجيبوا one ABCD till 500 |
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204 |
|
00:16:31,330 --> 00:16:37,030 |
|
companies لعند 500 شركة و بيحسبوا بناء عليهم |
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205 |
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00:16:37,030 --> 00:16:41,470 |
|
المؤشر طبعا مين هم ال ABC هدول the best companies |
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206 |
|
00:16:41,470 --> 00:16:45,150 |
|
based on market capitalization يعني هم أفضل شركات |
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207 |
|
00:16:45,150 --> 00:16:48,490 |
|
حسب market capitalization و كمان بيضيفوا لشغل |
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208 |
|
00:16:48,490 --> 00:16:50,870 |
|
market capitalization اللي هو ال liquidity و |
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209 |
|
00:16:50,870 --> 00:16:55,130 |
|
profitability and other conditionsبضيفه يعني سيولة |
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210 |
|
00:16:55,130 --> 00:17:01,630 |
|
الشركة والربح تبع الشركة إلى آخرين ال S&P500 |
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211 |
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00:17:01,630 --> 00:17:04,510 |
|
بتعتمد على الطريقة اللي احنا عملناها بشوية لو |
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212 |
|
00:17:04,510 --> 00:17:08,070 |
|
market evaluated index بتعتمد على الطريقة اللي |
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213 |
|
00:17:08,070 --> 00:17:13,570 |
|
احنا حلناها investors can base their portfolios on |
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214 |
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00:17:13,570 --> 00:17:19,470 |
|
the index ليش سألتني why the index is important |
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215 |
|
00:17:19,470 --> 00:17:24,890 |
|
ليش ال index is importantthe answer is you don't |
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216 |
|
00:17:24,890 --> 00:17:27,570 |
|
need to look for who is the best because the best |
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217 |
|
00:17:27,570 --> 00:17:31,150 |
|
is there يعني مافي حاجة اللي احنا ندور مين الأحسن |
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218 |
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00:17:31,150 --> 00:17:36,530 |
|
لأن ال index is help us to categorize who is the |
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219 |
|
00:17:36,530 --> 00:17:40,860 |
|
bestيعني ما .. مافيش داعي أروح أدور على أقرأ |
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220 |
|
00:17:40,860 --> 00:17:43,120 |
|
تقارير الشركات وأعرف مين هو أحس .. مين أه .. هي |
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221 |
|
00:17:43,120 --> 00:17:47,000 |
|
أحسن الشركة طالما أن المؤشر نفسه بيساعدني who is |
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222 |
|
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,660 |
|
the first ten, who is the first one hundred, who |
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223 |
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00:17:49,660 --> 00:17:53,460 |
|
is the first five hundred so I try to invest my |
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224 |
|
00:17:53,460 --> 00:17:58,580 |
|
money on the .. the high quality corporationsأه |
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225 |
|
00:17:58,580 --> 00:18:01,800 |
|
أنا بحاول أستثمر الأموال سبعتين في أفضل الشركات |
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226 |
|
00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:06,300 |
|
يعني أنا مش بحاجة أروح أفتش على شركات جيدة طالما |
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227 |
|
00:18:06,300 --> 00:18:10,200 |
|
is already أن الشركات موجودة جيدة يعني أنا مثلا في |
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228 |
|
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:13,100 |
|
سوق New York Stock Exchange فيه لدي ألاف الشركات |
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229 |
|
00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,740 |
|
المؤشر هذا بيساعدني بيحكي له أنه مين أفضل الشركات |
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230 |
|
00:18:16,740 --> 00:18:20,840 |
|
هذا أهمية بناء المؤشر طبعا المؤشر هذا فيه له |
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231 |
|
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:24,340 |
|
details مين هم الشركات just go to the S&P 500 |
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232 |
|
00:18:24,340 --> 00:18:28,240 |
|
روحوا على ال S&P 500 ا click on the on the index |
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|
233 |
|
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,360 |
|
and you will see the number of shares and who are |
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234 |
|
00:18:31,360 --> 00:18:36,020 |
|
the shares listed in the S&P 500 يعني روحوا على ال |
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235 |
|
00:18:36,020 --> 00:18:40,930 |
|
S&P 500 اللي انا أعطيتكم إياه ال websiteروح على S |
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236 |
|
00:18:40,930 --> 00:18:45,490 |
|
&P500 و اكتبوا constituent list of the S&P500 يعني |
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237 |
|
00:18:45,490 --> 00:18:50,270 |
|
قائمة الشركات الموجودة في ال S&P 500 شركة and it |
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238 |
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00:18:50,270 --> 00:18:53,030 |
|
rank them according to the market capitalization |
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239 |
|
00:18:53,030 --> 00:18:55,550 |
|
according to the liquidity and profitability |
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240 |
|
00:18:55,550 --> 00:18:59,570 |
|
برتبوهم حسب القوة تبعتهم من ناحية القيمة السوقية و |
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241 |
|
00:18:59,570 --> 00:19:02,530 |
|
الربحية و السيولة so why you are wasting your time |
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242 |
|
00:19:02,530 --> 00:19:06,270 |
|
on looking for the companies ليش احنا نروح نضيع |
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243 |
|
00:19:06,270 --> 00:19:10,820 |
|
وقتنا ان ندور على شركات and the index isRank them |
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244 |
|
00:19:10,820 --> 00:19:13,920 |
|
لأن المؤشر هو نفسه يعني بيعطينا مين هو أفضل |
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245 |
|
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,640 |
|
الشركات So investors can base their portfolio on |
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246 |
|
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:22,000 |
|
an index يعني ممكن هم يعمل Portfolios محافظ بناء |
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247 |
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00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:23,080 |
|
على ال index |
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248 |
|
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,760 |
|
كيف بيعملوا كلان هذا buy and index mutual funds |
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249 |
|
00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:32,040 |
|
فاكرين لما حكيت عن ال mutual funds بدل ما هم |
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250 |
|
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:36,100 |
|
الشركات ال insurance companies و ال mutual funds و |
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251 |
|
00:19:36,100 --> 00:19:40,880 |
|
ال investment companies they don't have to spend a |
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252 |
|
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,940 |
|
lot of time on looking for companies فال mutual |
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253 |
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00:19:43,940 --> 00:19:47,400 |
|
funds بروحوا بريحوا راسهم they just only invest on |
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254 |
|
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:51,920 |
|
the companies listed on the on the indexبس بروحوا |
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|
255 |
|
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,040 |
|
باستثمروا في اللي موجودة بال index ال index had |
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256 |
|
00:19:55,040 --> 00:19:58,920 |
|
every quarter is revised by the financial market |
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257 |
|
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:03,140 |
|
committee يعني هذا المؤشر يتم مراجعته كل ربع سنة |
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258 |
|
00:20:03,140 --> 00:20:06,680 |
|
يعني كل ثلاث شهور ال financial committee يعني لجنة |
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259 |
|
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:11,680 |
|
الأوراق المالية بتقوم بمراجعة الشركات اللي في |
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260 |
|
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:16,100 |
|
المؤشر some companies leave the market and others |
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261 |
|
00:20:16,100 --> 00:20:20,270 |
|
leave the index and others get in the indexيعني في |
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262 |
|
00:20:20,270 --> 00:20:23,670 |
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بعض الشركات بتروح من ال index و الشركات بتروح من |
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263 |
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ضعف من ال index so the portfolio managers or the |
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264 |
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marshall fund managers they rebalance their |
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265 |
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portfolios according to the changes in the index |
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266 |
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يعني بتلاقيهم بيعملوا تغيير في المحافظتهم حسب |
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267 |
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00:20:37,270 --> 00:20:40,350 |
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التغير في ال index خلينا ناخد مثال بسيط لو كان أنا |
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268 |
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00:20:40,350 --> 00:20:46,670 |
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عندي ال index just include A,B,Cالـ D ليس موجودا و |
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269 |
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00:20:46,670 --> 00:20:51,450 |
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هذا الانديكس موجود فقط في 3 شركات و نحن لدينا D |
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270 |
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00:20:51,450 --> 00:20:56,110 |
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نحن لدينا E نحن لدينا F J وكذلك يعني المؤشر بس |
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271 |
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00:20:56,110 --> 00:21:00,770 |
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بحتوى على تلت شركات و احنا رتبنا وجدنا أفضل تلت |
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272 |
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00:21:00,770 --> 00:21:05,750 |
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شركات اللي هو ABC بعد 3 أشهر بعد 3 أشهر بعد تلت |
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273 |
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00:21:05,750 --> 00:21:11,880 |
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شهور نحن نحفظ هذا و بنعمل ranking و نجد ABA,B,E |
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274 |
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بفاصة 3 So it means C will leave the market, the |
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275 |
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index and we add up E بنضيف ال E بدلها So the |
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276 |
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investors they replace C by E بيبدلوا ال C بال E |
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277 |
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في المحفظة تبعكم أو في ال martial funds ليش؟ لأن |
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278 |
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already the financial market or the index is |
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designedto help investors to categorize companies |
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based on the market capitalization based on the |
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281 |
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liquidity based on the profitability يعني السوق |
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282 |
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المالي بنى مؤشر عشان يساعد الناس يعرفوا مين |
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283 |
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00:21:57,810 --> 00:22:01,270 |
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الشركات أول عشر شركات تانية عشر شركات and and so |
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on so you don't need to waste your time on looking |
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285 |
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for or searching of the best companies |
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286 |
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Okay كيف؟ لأ كانوا a و b و c okay بعدين صارت a و d |
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287 |
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00:22:19,360 --> 00:22:25,820 |
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و e صارت a و b و e صارت .. هلا عملنا لهم ranking |
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288 |
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وجدنا أنه حسب ال ranking a و b و e أفضل ف why .. |
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289 |
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00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:37,060 |
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why you are keeping c إذا .. إذا .. ه .. وبالتالي |
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290 |
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00:22:37,060 --> 00:22:41,620 |
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هتطلع من ال index هنروح نبدلها ب eفال investors |
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291 |
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00:22:41,620 --> 00:22:50,540 |
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..الان السوق قرر ان a و b ايه the best؟ ال index، |
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292 |
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هذي ال index، هاي ال index okay؟ هلأ انت عندك |
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293 |
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00:22:55,660 --> 00:22:58,760 |
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portfolio، you are mimicking the index، you are |
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294 |
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00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:02,830 |
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mimicking the index، what it means mimicking؟يعني |
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295 |
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00:23:02,830 --> 00:23:06,870 |
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احنا بنقلد ال index لأنه بنعرف ان ال index هم أفضل |
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296 |
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00:23:06,870 --> 00:23:11,290 |
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الناس فبروحش بنسوي بنستثمر في ال index mimicking |
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297 |
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or copying انا معايا فلوس بروح بقلد ال index لما |
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298 |
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00:23:15,910 --> 00:23:19,230 |
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قلدت ال index في المرحلة الأولى كان a,b,c هلأ لما |
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299 |
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00:23:19,230 --> 00:23:26,610 |
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اتغير صار a,b,e و بتسهل لازم ارفع ال c و أحط a,b,e |
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300 |
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00:23:26,610 --> 00:23:31,390 |
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و بضيف ال e in this case ال investors are selling |
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301 |
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00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:38,960 |
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بيبيعوا C and buying E بيبيعوا ال C و بيشتريوا ال |
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302 |
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00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,660 |
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E عشان يعرفوا انه نفسهم and they are mimicking |
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303 |
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mimicking or copying mimicking mimic يقلد |
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304 |
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mimicking the index or copying the index يحاولوا |
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305 |
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00:23:57,120 --> 00:24:00,440 |
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ان يقلدوا ال index عشان يشتريوا راسهم بدون مش |
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306 |
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00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:01,100 |
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مشاكل okay |
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307 |
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00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:11,160 |
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شمالهم ال investors مثلا okay انا |
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308 |
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00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,780 |
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مش عارفة انا لأ بتكون شارية مثلا انا مش حابب ال .. |
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309 |
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00:24:13,780 --> 00:24:23,340 |
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okay read it okay go home and read it سهلة |
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310 |
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00:24:23,340 --> 00:24:30,680 |
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انتبهوا معاها هلا احنا في عندنا طلاب اختارنا افضل |
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311 |
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00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:35,760 |
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تلات طالباتتمام؟ هدول أخدناهم ال benchmark تبعنا |
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312 |
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00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:40,660 |
|
ايش ال benchmark؟ benchmark يعني بقياس هلأ كل تلات |
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313 |
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00:24:40,660 --> 00:24:45,300 |
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شهور بنعمل مراجعة للصف لأن أفضل تلات شهور .. تلات |
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314 |
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00:24:45,300 --> 00:24:48,120 |
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.. واحدة كسرت من البنات زي ما حكت بنستبدلها بواحدة |
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315 |
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00:24:48,120 --> 00:24:52,540 |
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أخرى وبالتالي ال benchmark تبعنا بيصير الطالبتين |
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316 |
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00:24:52,540 --> 00:24:55,260 |
|
اللي ضالهم زائد الطالبة اللي كسرت أخدنا واحدة |
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317 |
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00:24:55,260 --> 00:24:59,200 |
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بدلها هلأ أنا as investors هذا ال market هيك as |
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318 |
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00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:03,500 |
|
investorsbecause there is a change in the index فى |
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319 |
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00:25:03,500 --> 00:25:07,840 |
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تغير فى ال index صار so I'm try to copy this بحاول |
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320 |
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00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:13,840 |
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أنا أقلد أقلدهم عندهم كان أول a و b و c بعد تلت |
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321 |
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00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:18,380 |
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شهور راحوا راجعوا ال index صار عندهم a و b و e أنا |
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322 |
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00:25:18,380 --> 00:25:22,280 |
|
ك investors still عندي a و b و c لكن because I'm |
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323 |
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00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,240 |
|
mimicking the index لأنه أنا بتقلد هذا so I have |
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324 |
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00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:32,300 |
|
to sell c and buy eلازم أبيع ال C because C is |
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325 |
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00:25:32,300 --> 00:25:36,920 |
|
less equality or the least equality أقل جودة so |
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326 |
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00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:43,040 |
|
leave it and bring the new company سيبوها و جيبوا |
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327 |
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00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:49,490 |
|
الشركة الجديدة okay for more understandinggo to |
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328 |
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00:25:49,490 --> 00:25:53,530 |
|
science direct and quote my name اكتبوا اسمي |
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329 |
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00:25:53,530 --> 00:26:00,670 |
|
هتجدوا في two three articles explain how this work |
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330 |
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00:26:00,670 --> 00:26:02,910 |
|
روح على science direct www |
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331 |
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00:26:15,060 --> 00:26:17,780 |
|
بتيجيكوا www.sciencedirect.com ادخلوا عليها |
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332 |
|
00:26:17,780 --> 00:26:22,920 |
|
بيجيكوا ال author اكتبوا اسمه حيجيكم some articles |
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333 |
|
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:27,940 |
|
بعض ال articles بعض الأبحاث show you how how the |
|
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334 |
|
00:26:27,940 --> 00:26:32,660 |
|
index is built كيف ال index بنعمل هذا للناس اللي |
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335 |
|
00:26:32,660 --> 00:26:37,440 |
|
بدها information يعني بدها معلومات by |
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336 |
|
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:42,730 |
|
index we have timebuy exchange traded funds buy |
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337 |
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00:26:42,730 --> 00:26:45,930 |
|
exchange traded funds I will explain this in next |
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338 |
|
00:26:45,930 --> 00:26:48,990 |
|
chapter which is related to the mutual funds |
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339 |
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00:26:48,990 --> 00:26:56,570 |
|
exchange traded funds it means it looks like the |
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340 |
|
00:26:56,570 --> 00:27:01,730 |
|
mutual funds تشبه صناديخ الاستثمارOkay they adjust |
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341 |
|
00:27:01,730 --> 00:27:07,190 |
|
some investors they create small portfolios and |
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342 |
|
00:27:07,190 --> 00:27:10,550 |
|
they rebalance these portfolios according to the |
|
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343 |
|
00:27:10,550 --> 00:27:13,670 |
|
changes in the index يعني بعض المستثمرين بيوجدوا |
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344 |
|
00:27:13,670 --> 00:27:16,730 |
|
هذه المحافظة الصغيرة و هذه المحافظة الصغيرة بتكون |
|
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345 |
|
00:27:16,730 --> 00:27:20,910 |
|
تقلد ال index و أيش بيستغير بال index هم بيحاولوا |
|
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346 |
|
00:27:20,910 --> 00:27:26,070 |
|
يغيروا في ال portfolios تبعتهم other indexes |
|
|
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347 |
|
00:27:26,070 --> 00:27:30,330 |
|
مؤشرات أخرىفي عندنا other indexes، في عندنا New |
|
|
|
348 |
|
00:27:30,330 --> 00:27:34,090 |
|
York Stock Exchange Composite، في عندنا Nasdaq |
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349 |
|
00:27:34,090 --> 00:27:39,590 |
|
Composite، ال .. ال Nasdaq هذا مؤشر صناعي، مؤشر |
|
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350 |
|
00:27:39,590 --> 00:27:43,090 |
|
مهم و هذا يعتبر من تاني أكبر سوق في الولايات |
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351 |
|
00:27:43,090 --> 00:27:49,320 |
|
المتحدة الأمريكية، عندنا الاخدوا معلومات عنهم يعني |
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352 |
|
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:53,400 |
|
اعرفوهم بس Wilshire 5000 يعني مش هاسألكم عنهم كتير |
|
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353 |
|
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:57,920 |
|
ال foreign indexes غير الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية |
|
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354 |
|
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,760 |
|
في مؤشر ال Nikkei هذا مؤشر مهم بتاع Japan بتاع |
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355 |
|
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,420 |
|
اليابان مؤشر Tokyo في عندنا ال Fotsi one hundred |
|
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356 |
|
00:28:05,420 --> 00:28:10,280 |
|
ال Fotsi تبع لندن طبعا هذا بيشمل تقريبا 25% من |
|
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357 |
|
00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:14,600 |
|
الشركات في العالمعنا ال bags تبع ألمانيا وفي عندنا |
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358 |
|
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,400 |
|
ال hang sing تبع هونج كونج وفي عندنا ال TSX تبع |
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359 |
|
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,840 |
|
كندا في عندنا ال TSE تبع أستنبول stock exchange, |
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360 |
|
00:28:21,100 --> 00:28:25,220 |
|
we have TAV تبع تل أفيف وعندنا القدس تبع ال في |
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361 |
|
00:28:25,220 --> 00:28:30,220 |
|
Alexandria and Cairo in Egypt, we have in Amman, |
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362 |
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00:28:30,380 --> 00:28:38,280 |
|
Jordan, we have the Karachi in PakistanYou have |
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363 |
|
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:43,780 |
|
many indices in the world any financial markets |
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364 |
|
00:28:43,780 --> 00:28:48,220 |
|
have to have index مافيششي financial market مايله |
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365 |
|
00:28:48,220 --> 00:28:53,880 |
|
index okay سواء كان CAC, CAC40, DAGs ولا كان |
|
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366 |
|
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:57,940 |
|
Nikkei ولا كان Dow Jones ولا كان S&P500 and |
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367 |
|
00:28:57,940 --> 00:29:05,150 |
|
derivative markets I think II talk about the |
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368 |
|
00:29:05,150 --> 00:29:10,710 |
|
derivative markets اللي هو أسواق المشتقات أسواق |
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369 |
|
00:29:10,710 --> 00:29:15,330 |
|
المشتقات derivatives |
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370 |
|
00:29:15,330 --> 00:29:19,840 |
|
as I explained before in the in chapter oneزي ما |
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371 |
|
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,780 |
|
احنا حكينا ب chapter one, we have options, we have |
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372 |
|
00:29:23,780 --> 00:29:27,080 |
|
future, we have swap and we have forwards فى عندنا |
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373 |
|
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:29,700 |
|
هدول الأربع أنواع، so I'm not going in details |
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374 |
|
00:29:29,700 --> 00:29:34,860 |
|
about this because we will have more details in |
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375 |
|
00:29:34,860 --> 00:29:37,520 |
|
the chapters, no, today I'm going to finish this |
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376 |
|
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,480 |
|
chapter options and futures provide payoff that |
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377 |
|
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,000 |
|
depend on the values of other assets, we explain |
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378 |
|
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:48,070 |
|
thisit means the value of options or the value of |
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379 |
|
00:29:48,070 --> 00:29:52,070 |
|
derivatives is derived from the financial assets |
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380 |
|
00:29:52,070 --> 00:29:58,610 |
|
particularly the derivatives invested in the |
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381 |
|
00:29:58,610 --> 00:30:01,550 |
|
changes of the price يعني ال derivatives المشتقات |
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382 |
|
00:30:01,550 --> 00:30:06,570 |
|
فقط بتستثمر في الأسعار ما بتستثمر في ال real |
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383 |
|
00:30:06,570 --> 00:30:10,270 |
|
assets a derivative is a security that gets its |
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384 |
|
00:30:10,270 --> 00:30:12,390 |
|
value from the value of another asset and we |
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385 |
|
00:30:12,390 --> 00:30:16,360 |
|
explained thisthe first one in the option option |
|
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386 |
|
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:20,420 |
|
have two types في عندنا ال call و في عندنا ال bot |
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387 |
|
00:30:20,420 --> 00:30:23,140 |
|
في عندنا نوعين من ال .. من ال options الخيارات في |
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388 |
|
00:30:23,140 --> 00:30:26,020 |
|
عندنا ال call option و في عندنا ال bot option ال |
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389 |
|
00:30:26,020 --> 00:30:28,260 |
|
call option you are buyer و ال bot option you are |
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390 |
|
00:30:28,260 --> 00:30:31,220 |
|
seller يعني ال call option أنت بتشتري في ال buy |
|
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391 |
|
00:30:31,220 --> 00:30:35,620 |
|
option you are بتبيع يعني في الأولى أنت بتشتري و |
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392 |
|
00:30:35,620 --> 00:30:39,460 |
|
في الثانية احنا بنبيعand the definition is right |
|
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393 |
|
00:30:39,460 --> 00:30:42,080 |
|
to buy underlying asset at the strike or exercise |
|
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|
394 |
|
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:45,760 |
|
price strike or exercise price هو لسعر التثبيت |
|
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395 |
|
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,620 |
|
يعني زي ما احنا حكينا انه بنثبت سعر يعني مثلا |
|
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396 |
|
00:30:49,620 --> 00:30:55,360 |
|
بنشتري stock ايه على تلاتين دولار but this is in |
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397 |
|
00:30:55,360 --> 00:31:01,500 |
|
the futureso the strike price is 30 we have to pay |
|
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|
398 |
|
00:31:01,500 --> 00:31:05,500 |
|
a premium دفترض انه two dollar so the price the |
|
|
|
399 |
|
00:31:05,500 --> 00:31:09,620 |
|
strike price 30 plus two which is equal 32 it |
|
|
|
400 |
|
00:31:09,620 --> 00:31:11,920 |
|
doesn't matter it doesn't matter what is the price |
|
|
|
401 |
|
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,680 |
|
in the future مابيعنناش ايش السعر في المستقبل we |
|
|
|
402 |
|
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:19,520 |
|
fix the price على 32 30 plus two two is the |
|
|
|
403 |
|
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:23,620 |
|
premiumjust go back to the chapter one and you |
|
|
|
404 |
|
00:31:23,620 --> 00:31:26,280 |
|
will understand how it works value of calls |
|
|
|
405 |
|
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:31,380 |
|
decrease as strike prices increase ال value of |
|
|
|
406 |
|
00:31:31,380 --> 00:31:36,200 |
|
calls decrease قيمة ال call اللي هو الشراء بتنخفض |
|
|
|
407 |
|
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:41,680 |
|
كل ما زاد سعر ال option |
|
|
|
408 |
|
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:49,640 |
|
okay and the opposite البط عكسه تماما البط هي |
|
|
|
409 |
|
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:55,040 |
|
البيعيعني مثلا انا حكيت انه بدى اشتري السعر على 32 |
|
|
|
410 |
|
00:31:55,040 --> 00:32:00,120 |
|
في واحد بالطرف الآخر ببيع بده يعمل اللي هو bought |
|
|
|
411 |
|
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,860 |
|
option اللي هو بيع ال bought option is right to |
|
|
|
412 |
|
00:32:03,860 --> 00:32:07,060 |
|
sell careful here right to buy and right to sell |
|
|
|
413 |
|
00:32:07,060 --> 00:32:13,460 |
|
يعني احنا بدنا نبيع السهم طب هلأ اللي بده يبيع |
|
|
|
414 |
|
00:32:13,460 --> 00:32:21,190 |
|
السهم بخاف السهم ينخفض ولا يرتفعينخفض so he go to |
|
|
|
415 |
|
00:32:21,190 --> 00:32:24,870 |
|
the option market to hedge against the decrease of |
|
|
|
416 |
|
00:32:24,870 --> 00:32:29,910 |
|
the financial markets عشان يتحوط ضد الانخفاض يعني |
|
|
|
417 |
|
00:32:29,910 --> 00:32:32,750 |
|
الناس اللي بيروحوا على ال bot option بيروحوا عشان |
|
|
|
418 |
|
00:32:32,750 --> 00:32:37,750 |
|
يتحوطوا ضد انخفاض السعر الناس اللي بدخلوا بال call |
|
|
|
419 |
|
00:32:37,750 --> 00:32:45,050 |
|
option هم بتحوطوا ضد ارتفاع السعر يعني عكس بعضand |
|
|
|
420 |
|
00:32:45,050 --> 00:32:48,790 |
|
again try to sell underlying asset at the strike |
|
|
|
421 |
|
00:32:48,790 --> 00:32:53,230 |
|
or exercise price طبعا بتفق مع بعض انا برضه انه |
|
|
|
422 |
|
00:32:53,230 --> 00:32:59,310 |
|
السعر مثلا تلاتين اذا كان ال strike بس هنا ال |
|
|
|
423 |
|
00:32:59,310 --> 00:33:04,950 |
|
premium بتسميها discount خصم يعني اذا كانت هنا |
|
|
|
424 |
|
00:33:04,950 --> 00:33:07,970 |
|
premium ده تكون هنا ايش discount بدل ما هي تلاتين |
|
|
|
425 |
|
00:33:07,970 --> 00:33:16,620 |
|
بتصير كام تمانية و عشرينبس هذا هو الفرق value |
|
|
|
426 |
|
00:33:16,620 --> 00:33:21,180 |
|
of bots increase with the strike price يعني هنا |
|
|
|
427 |
|
00:33:21,180 --> 00:33:26,080 |
|
قيمة ال bots بتنخفض بتزيد بس هنا قيمة ال call |
|
|
|
428 |
|
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:31,760 |
|
بتزيد عكسهم تماما المهم |
|
|
|
429 |
|
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:39,300 |
|
المهم نفهم بال .. بال options بال options ال call |
|
|
|
430 |
|
00:33:39,300 --> 00:33:43,120 |
|
options و ال bot option ال call يعني شراء ال bot |
|
|
|
431 |
|
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:47,800 |
|
هو بيع بال call option أنه أنا بدخل ضد ارتفاع |
|
|
|
432 |
|
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:51,320 |
|
الأسعار بال bot option أنا بدخل ضد انخفاض الأسعار |
|
|
|
433 |
|
00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:59,460 |
|
ال futures ال futures هي تشبه ال option يعني هاي |
|
|
|
434 |
|
00:33:59,460 --> 00:34:04,440 |
|
المستقبلية تشبه ال optionوكمان حكيناها ب chapter |
|
|
|
435 |
|
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:08,380 |
|
one لكن الفرق هي مافيش فيه premium و مافيش فيها |
|
|
|
436 |
|
00:34:08,380 --> 00:34:13,800 |
|
discount مافيش فيه علاوة خلاص نتسبت سعر نفترض ان |
|
|
|
437 |
|
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:18,060 |
|
احنا سبتناها تلاتين there |
|
|
|
438 |
|
00:34:18,060 --> 00:34:21,740 |
|
is no premium there is no discount خلاص and we |
|
|
|
439 |
|
00:34:21,740 --> 00:34:27,200 |
|
have to exerciseو لازم احنا ننفذ بال option why it |
|
|
|
440 |
|
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,300 |
|
is called option because we have to exercise or |
|
|
|
441 |
|
00:34:30,300 --> 00:34:36,900 |
|
not يعني اننا حق ننفذ او لأ اذا ما نفذناش بتروح |
|
|
|
442 |
|
00:34:36,900 --> 00:34:40,140 |
|
علينا ال premium or ال discount but in the future |
|
|
|
443 |
|
00:34:40,140 --> 00:34:44,540 |
|
you have to exercise exercise يعني ننفذ يعني ال |
|
|
|
444 |
|
00:34:44,540 --> 00:34:48,500 |
|
future لازم احنا ننفذ a future contract calls for |
|
|
|
445 |
|
00:34:48,500 --> 00:34:55,220 |
|
delivery of an assetsat a specific time a specific |
|
|
|
446 |
|
00:34:55,220 --> 00:34:58,380 |
|
delivery or maturity date for an agreed upon price |
|
|
|
447 |
|
00:34:58,380 --> 00:35:01,360 |
|
called the future price to be paid at the contract |
|
|
|
448 |
|
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:09,480 |
|
maturity يعني مثلا في ال future ثبتنا السعر تلاتين |
|
|
|
449 |
|
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:14,420 |
|
ثبتناه هلا نبدأ نشوف إيش الأسعار هتصير في اليوم |
|
|
|
450 |
|
00:35:14,420 --> 00:35:19,290 |
|
الأول التاني التالت الرابع till the maturityال |
|
|
|
451 |
|
00:35:19,290 --> 00:35:23,330 |
|
maturity ايش ال maturity يعني الاستحقار هلأ بنشوف |
|
|
|
452 |
|
00:35:23,330 --> 00:35:27,790 |
|
السعر السعر صار thirty one طب عم نحسب ال profit و |
|
|
|
453 |
|
00:35:27,790 --> 00:35:33,510 |
|
المال PL الربح و الخسارة تلاتين خسرنا ولا ربحنا |
|
|
|
454 |
|
00:35:33,510 --> 00:35:39,230 |
|
ربحنا واحد طيب تاني يوم صارت نفترض تسعة و عشرين |
|
|
|
455 |
|
00:35:39,230 --> 00:35:45,170 |
|
اتنين و تلاتين خمس و تلاتين تمانية و عشرين و هتزا |
|
|
|
456 |
|
00:35:45,170 --> 00:35:50,830 |
|
اليوم التانيتسعة و عشرين خسرنا واحد minus one لو |
|
|
|
457 |
|
00:35:50,830 --> 00:35:55,790 |
|
أجينا احنا عاملنا balance هيك balance هنا ربح one |
|
|
|
458 |
|
00:35:55,790 --> 00:36:01,810 |
|
هنا zero يعني ربحنا واحد و خسرنا واحد zero طيب |
|
|
|
459 |
|
00:36:01,810 --> 00:36:05,570 |
|
باليوم التاسعة اتنين و تلاتين ربحنا اتنين دايما |
|
|
|
460 |
|
00:36:05,570 --> 00:36:09,390 |
|
على exercise ربحنا اتنين ال balance تبعتنا اتنين |
|
|
|
461 |
|
00:36:09,390 --> 00:36:14,530 |
|
خمسة و تلاتين ربحنا five فال balance تبعنا بيصير |
|
|
|
462 |
|
00:36:14,530 --> 00:36:20,320 |
|
كان sevenخمسة و اتنين سبعة هلأ ال تمانية و عشرين |
|
|
|
463 |
|
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:25,900 |
|
خسرنا تمانية و عشرين minus twoبيظل معنا خمسة and |
|
|
|
464 |
|
00:36:25,900 --> 00:36:29,360 |
|
so on اخر ال maturity date بيحسبوا كم احنا ربحنا |
|
|
|
465 |
|
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,480 |
|
او خسرنا and they give it to the investors |
|
|
|
466 |
|
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:35,660 |
|
وبيعطوها لل investors باخر اليوم بيحسبوا كم ربحنا |
|
|
|
467 |
|
00:36:35,660 --> 00:36:39,260 |
|
او خسرنا وبالتالي بيقدروا طبعا انتوا مالكمش بال |
|
|
|
468 |
|
00:36:39,260 --> 00:36:42,420 |
|
balance لان I think you may get confused from |
|
|
|
469 |
|
00:36:42,420 --> 00:36:45,460 |
|
understanding the balance just understand the |
|
|
|
470 |
|
00:36:45,460 --> 00:36:48,620 |
|
profit and loss يعني بدكم تعرفوا كيف الربح و |
|
|
|
471 |
|
00:36:48,620 --> 00:36:53,600 |
|
الخسارة طيب |
|
|
|
472 |
|
00:36:55,910 --> 00:37:00,290 |
|
احنا في ال future contract بناخد شغلة اسمة long |
|
|
|
473 |
|
00:37:00,290 --> 00:37:06,770 |
|
position و short position البناس مش مطلوب منك بس |
|
|
|
474 |
|
00:37:06,770 --> 00:37:12,230 |
|
كيف حسبتي بتروح بتجمع هدول واحد واحد واحد ناقص |
|
|
|
475 |
|
00:37:12,230 --> 00:37:16,490 |
|
واحد سفر سهل واحد ناقص واحد سفر و اتنين اتنين واحد |
|
|
|
476 |
|
00:37:16,490 --> 00:37:20,530 |
|
ناقص واحد سفر و اتنين و خمسة سبعة بس جمعيهم جمع |
|
|
|
477 |
|
00:37:20,530 --> 00:37:24,160 |
|
عاديأنا صار سبعة و انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
478 |
|
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:25,320 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
479 |
|
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:25,720 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
480 |
|
00:37:25,720 --> 00:37:30,140 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
481 |
|
00:37:30,140 --> 00:37:30,260 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
482 |
|
00:37:30,260 --> 00:37:33,980 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
483 |
|
00:37:33,980 --> 00:37:34,000 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
484 |
|
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:34,560 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
485 |
|
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:51,420 |
|
انا انا انا انا انا انا |
|
|
|
486 |
|
00:37:51,420 --> 00:37:55,580 |
|
اناyou go short لما بيحكوا في ال financial market |
|
|
|
487 |
|
00:37:55,580 --> 00:37:58,800 |
|
you go short it means you sell you go long it |
|
|
|
488 |
|
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:02,700 |
|
means buy افهموا ما دول مصطلحات ال financial |
|
|
|
489 |
|
00:38:02,700 --> 00:38:07,640 |
|
markets it's new for you يعني لو تترجموها ميه |
|
|
|
490 |
|
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:11,660 |
|
الترجمة long مش هتعرفوها buy و sell مظبوط ولا لأ |
|
|
|
491 |
|
00:38:11,660 --> 00:38:18,700 |
|
long و short okay هلا الفرق بين ال option و ال |
|
|
|
492 |
|
00:38:18,700 --> 00:38:19,060 |
|
future |
|
|
|
493 |
|
00:38:23,570 --> 00:38:29,390 |
|
long buy و short sell it means in long you are |
|
|
|
494 |
|
00:38:29,390 --> 00:38:32,750 |
|
take the delivery take delivery at maturity take |
|
|
|
495 |
|
00:38:32,750 --> 00:38:38,210 |
|
يعني بناخد يعني احنا buy صح ولا لأ لما بناخد we |
|
|
|
496 |
|
00:38:38,210 --> 00:38:43,390 |
|
buy when make delivery يعني بنعطي معناه الكلام we |
|
|
|
497 |
|
00:38:43,390 --> 00:38:49,300 |
|
sell okay بنبيعالفرق بين ال option و ال future |
|
|
|
498 |
|
00:38:49,300 --> 00:38:55,120 |
|
الفرق الأول option is right يعني ممكن و لأ يعني |
|
|
|
499 |
|
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,000 |
|
ممكن نفذ و ممكن ما ننفذ it is right but not |
|
|
|
500 |
|
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:02,980 |
|
obligation لكن مش شرط لازم ننفذ to buy or sell |
|
|
|
501 |
|
00:39:02,980 --> 00:39:07,790 |
|
option is exerciseonly when it is profitable يعني |
|
|
|
502 |
|
00:39:07,790 --> 00:39:10,990 |
|
بس بننفذ لما يصير في عنا ربح بننفذش مع الكلام we |
|
|
|
503 |
|
00:39:10,990 --> 00:39:13,790 |
|
lose only the premium يعني هنخسر بس ال premium |
|
|
|
504 |
|
00:39:13,790 --> 00:39:17,110 |
|
option must be purchased لازم نشتري ال option |
|
|
|
505 |
|
00:39:17,110 --> 00:39:21,510 |
|
نشتري ال call و بنبيع ال bot the premium is the |
|
|
|
506 |
|
00:39:21,510 --> 00:39:24,870 |
|
price of the option itself ال premium نفسها سعر ال |
|
|
|
507 |
|
00:39:24,870 --> 00:39:29,370 |
|
option لأن احنا فقط بندفع ال premium لكن ال future |
|
|
|
508 |
|
00:39:29,370 --> 00:39:34,010 |
|
contract we have toobliged to make or to take |
|
|
|
509 |
|
00:39:34,010 --> 00:39:38,290 |
|
delivery لازم لازم لازم نروح يا اما ان انا اما |
|
|
|
510 |
|
00:39:38,290 --> 00:39:41,190 |
|
ننفذ او ننفذ يعني so you don't have any option |
|
|
|
511 |
|
00:39:41,190 --> 00:39:45,890 |
|
ماعناش any option so you have to exercise long |
|
|
|
512 |
|
00:39:45,890 --> 00:39:51,450 |
|
position must buy زي ما احنا شرحناها لازم نشتري at |
|
|
|
513 |
|
00:39:51,450 --> 00:39:55,470 |
|
the future prices short position must sell okay |
|
|
|
514 |
|
00:39:56,420 --> 00:39:59,300 |
|
just accept donation احنا ال call option حكينا |
|
|
|
515 |
|
00:39:59,300 --> 00:40:03,040 |
|
فيها buy ال bot option حكينا فيها sell future |
|
|
|
516 |
|
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:07,000 |
|
contracts are entered into without cost مابتكلفناش |
|
|
|
517 |
|
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:12,060 |
|
اشي just set the price لكن بال options دفعنا |
|
|
|
518 |
|
00:40:12,060 --> 00:40:16,080 |
|
premium او discount بس ال future you just fix the |
|
|
|
519 |
|
00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:16,400 |
|
price |
|
|
|
|