Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-08-13. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088
2019-08-07,284.4,288.82,282.04,287.97,268.9349,140572300.0,0.0006,-1.3806,307.4304,286.7966,45.6086,-197.875,51.0758,296.6403,291.3273
2019-08-08,289.62,293.62,289.01,293.62,274.2113,87713900.0,0.0196,-1.2653,307.2045,286.4535,50.8689,-87.804,27.3937,296.7453,291.4977
2019-08-09,292.58,293.24,289.65,291.62,272.3435,93730000.0,-0.0068,-1.3202,306.8384,285.9166,49.129,-99.179,27.3937,296.7493,291.607
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132

Fannie, Freddie to Consider Alternatives to FICO Scores
PG&E Makes Final Push to Stay in Charge of Chapter 11
Shareholders Have No Love for Shale Companies
U.S. Stocks Rally on Tariff Delay
Retail Stocks Rally as Tariffs Are Delayed
Investors in Auto-Parts Retailers Are Tapping the Brakes
Candy Retailer Lolli & Pops Files for Bankruptcy
Gold Pares Early Advance as Trade Hopes Boost Risk Assets
CBS-Viacom Merger Opens Door to More Deals
CBS, Viacom Strike Deal for Long-Thwarted Merger
Mortgage Debt Hits Record, Eclipsing 2008 Peak
Boeing Plane Deliveries Tumble So Far in 2019
Western Companies in Hong Kong Activate Contingency Plans
Inflation Picked Up in July
JD.com Shares Surge on Higher Revenue
Foxconn Profit Fell 2.5% in Second Quarter
One of the Most Lucrative Washington Jobs Is Now Open
Surf’s Up in the California Desert as Wave-Pool Attractions Grow
Scooter Operators Race to Remain on Streets of Paris
Greek Stocks Poised for Best Performance in 20 Years
Bond Yields Make Stocks Hard to Ignore
Brinker Bets Delivery Will Drive Sales Growth
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0296

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-14 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088
2019-08-07,284.4,288.82,282.04,287.97,268.9349,140572300.0,0.0006,-1.3806,307.4304,286.7966,45.6086,-197.875,51.0758,296.6403,291.3273
2019-08-08,289.62,293.62,289.01,293.62,274.2113,87713900.0,0.0196,-1.2653,307.2045,286.4535,50.8689,-87.804,27.3937,296.7453,291.4977
2019-08-09,292.58,293.24,289.65,291.62,272.3435,93730000.0,-0.0068,-1.3202,306.8384,285.9166,49.129,-99.179,27.3937,296.7493,291.607
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725

Warning Signs Point to a Global Slowdown
WeWork IPO Filing Shows Revenue Growth, Wide Losses
Federal Monitor Finds Problems With PG&E Tree-Trimming Program
Viacom-CBS Merger Could Boost Advertising Ambitions
Macy’s Turnaround Hits Harsh Retail Reality
Ross Stores Promotes Executives, Including CFO
Embattled Bank Stocks Lose Billions
Trump Says Fed Should Cut Rates as Growth Concerns Jar Markets
Repo Rates Fuel Concern Over Mounting U.S. Debt
Dow Sheds 800 in Biggest Drop of Year
Federal Prosecutors Accuse Capital One Hacker of Hitting Dozens More Targets
Warren Buffett Is a Huge Backer of U.S. Banks
The S&P 500 Tends to Rise After an Inverted Yield Curve
Safety in the Stock Market Is Getting Expensive
How Five Money Managers Are Playing Swings in the Market
Oil Tumbles on Renewed Demand Worries
Keller Williams Expands iBuying Reach in Deal With Offerpad
Ethanol Hits Five-Year Low as Stocks Rise
Poor Chinese and German Economic Data Fan Fears of Global Slowdown
Tencent’s Profit Rises 35% as New Games Hit Market
Museum of Ice Cream Valued at $200 Million
More U.S. Companies Consider Outside CFO Candidates
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0026

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-08-15. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088
2019-08-07,284.4,288.82,282.04,287.97,268.9349,140572300.0,0.0006,-1.3806,307.4304,286.7966,45.6086,-197.875,51.0758,296.6403,291.3273
2019-08-08,289.62,293.62,289.01,293.62,274.2113,87713900.0,0.0196,-1.2653,307.2045,286.4535,50.8689,-87.804,27.3937,296.7453,291.4977
2019-08-09,292.58,293.24,289.65,291.62,272.3435,93730000.0,-0.0068,-1.3202,306.8384,285.9166,49.129,-99.179,27.3937,296.7493,291.607
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725
2019-08-14,288.07,288.74,283.76,283.9,265.1338,135622100.0,-0.0296,-2.0684,306.5634,282.8166,43.8099,-163.4317,31.3581,296.0637,291.7242

Stopping Red Ink Tops WeWork’s To-Do List
Former CFO of Cash-Advance Company Charged With Securities Fraud
Walmart Set to Outpace Amazon for 2019
Kate Spade Brand Drags Down Handbag Maker Tapestry
Earnings Outlook for S&P 500 Companies Looks Bleak
J.C. Penney Branches Into Used Apparel as Sales Tumble
Crude Prices Continue to Fall
Bank of Mexico Cuts Interest Rates as Economy Struggles
U.S. Stocks Stabilize on Strong Retail-Sales Data
Stocks Bounce but Fear Remains
Alibaba’s Sales Jump 42%, Beating Expectations
Walmart Continues Run of Sales Growth, Raises Forecasts
Fed’s Bullard Says U.S. Economy Is Sound
U.S. Shoppers Splurge in Face of Global Headwinds
Mondelez, Kraft Heinz Cry Foul Over Regulator’s Comments
Burford Reassigns CFO After Investors’ Concerns About Marriage to CEO
ECB Primes Big Bazooka for September
ECB Takes Hacked Website Offline
Briggs & Stratton Shares Drop After Guidance, Dividend Cuts
‘Shooting,’ ‘Bomb,’ ‘Trump’: Advertisers Blacklist News Stories Online
Industrial Sector Struggled in July
Data Errors Plague Stock Traders in Volatile Week
Dealers Dangle Deals to Move Outgoing Models
UPS Ventures Invests in Self-Driving Trucking Startup
Activist Urges Care.com to Explore Sale
Manhattan, Brooklyn Rents Soar to New Highs
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0148

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-19 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-09,292.58,293.24,289.65,291.62,272.3435,93730000.0,-0.0068,-1.3202,306.8384,285.9166,49.129,-99.179,27.3937,296.7493,291.607
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725
2019-08-14,288.07,288.74,283.76,283.9,265.1338,135622100.0,-0.0296,-2.0684,306.5634,282.8166,43.8099,-163.4317,31.3581,296.0637,291.7242
2019-08-15,284.88,285.64,282.39,284.65,265.8343,99556600.0,0.0026,-2.431,306.49,281.472,44.4337,-158.0825,34.3866,295.592,291.6932
2019-08-16,286.48,289.33,284.71,288.85,269.7566,83018300.0,0.0148,-2.3524,306.1804,280.9496,47.7911,-99.7659,19.2397,295.2717,291.7468

Investors Seek Havens as Growth Fears Persist
McKinsey Dodges Lawsuit Targeting Its Bankruptcy Disclosures
Top CEOs Say Firms Have Duties Beyond Shareholder Value
Beauty Stocks Look Pretty After Upbeat Estée Lauder Earnings
Lumber Liquidators Names New Chief Financial Officer
Oil Rises on Trade Hopes
GE Issues New Rebuttal to Whistleblower’s Claims on Finances
PG&E Plunges After Judge Allows Trial
Investors Start to Cool on Utilities
Citrix Names New CFO as It Steers Toward Cloud-Based Business Model
Stocks, Bond Yields Rise to Start the Week
Estée Lauder Reports Strong Sales Fueled by Asian Shoppers
U.S. Bank Regulator Pitches Low-Income Lending Rule Changes
Auto-Insurance Startup Root Insurance Rides Growth to $3.65 Billion Valuation
The Multiple Problems, and Potential Fixes, With the Boeing 737 MAX
Airbnb’s First-Quarter Financials Show Strong Growth Rate, Cash Reserves
Jennifer Lopez, Alex Rodriguez Are Investing in Fintech Firm Acorns
Yield-Curve Inversion May Be Good News for This Lagging Stock Sector
Stocks to Watch: Nordstrom, Target, DXC Technology
If Economy Sours, Democrats Will Face a Tough Choice
Domino’s Goes It Alone on Delivery
Deadline Looms for U.S. Employers to Report Pay for Women, Minorities
Airbus Harnessing AI in Bid to Save Millions on Finance Tasks
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0077

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-20. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725
2019-08-14,288.07,288.74,283.76,283.9,265.1338,135622100.0,-0.0296,-2.0684,306.5634,282.8166,43.8099,-163.4317,31.3581,296.0637,291.7242
2019-08-15,284.88,285.64,282.39,284.65,265.8343,99556600.0,0.0026,-2.431,306.49,281.472,44.4337,-158.0825,34.3866,295.592,291.6932
2019-08-16,286.48,289.33,284.71,288.85,269.7566,83018300.0,0.0148,-2.3524,306.1804,280.9496,47.7911,-99.7659,19.2397,295.2717,291.7468
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167

Walmart Sues Tesla Over Solar Cells That Allegedly Sparked Fires
Fed’s Daly: July Rate Cut Was Right Move, Recession Not Imminent
Californians in Fire-Prone Areas Find It Harder to Buy Insurance
Department-Store Woes Catch Up to Kohl’s
Traders Bet on Falling Volatility
Stocks Waver Amid Uncertainty on Rates, Trade Talks
Banks Get Some Relief in Volcker-Rule Changes
General Mills Names New CFO as It Continues to Reshape Its Portfolio
Volatility for Retailers Isn’t Over, Options Indicate
Madison Square Garden Shares Have Trouble Scoring
Home Depot Cuts Sales Forecast
Shrinking U.S. Crude Discount Threatens Exports
Bayer to Sell Animal-Health Unit to Elanco for $7.6 Billion
Hess Has Been 2019’s Top Oil and Gas Stock, but Shale Isn’t the Reason
Alibaba Mines for Oscar Gold at China’s Box Office
Historic Rise of College-Educated Women in Labor Force Changes Workplace
Investors’ New Weapon in Japan: Votes to Embarrass the Boss
BHP Pledges Record Payout as Profit Surges
Cereal Makers Try Again to Jump-Start Stale Sales
Baidu, China’s Private-Sector Bellwether, Reports 62% Profit Drop
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0081

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-08-21. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725
2019-08-14,288.07,288.74,283.76,283.9,265.1338,135622100.0,-0.0296,-2.0684,306.5634,282.8166,43.8099,-163.4317,31.3581,296.0637,291.7242
2019-08-15,284.88,285.64,282.39,284.65,265.8343,99556600.0,0.0026,-2.431,306.49,281.472,44.4337,-158.0825,34.3866,295.592,291.6932
2019-08-16,286.48,289.33,284.71,288.85,269.7566,83018300.0,0.0148,-2.3524,306.1804,280.9496,47.7911,-99.7659,19.2397,295.2717,291.7468
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385

U.S. Job Growth Weaker Through March Than Earlier Reported, New Data Show
Victoria’s Secret Sales Fall 7%
Simply Good Foods to Buy Protein-Food Producer for $1 Billion
Fed Officials Viewed July Rate Cut as ‘Recalibration’ of Policy
Retail Divide Widens as Shoppers Seek Value and Convenience
Companies That Buy Divested Assets Outperform Those That Divest, Study Says
Aflac Shares Fall on Affiliation With Japan Post
Jumia Fires Employees After Investigation of Sales Practices
Sales, Profit Fall Again At Nordstrom
Stocks Climb on Strong Retail Earnings
Germany for First Time Sells 30-Year Bonds With Negative Yields
U.S. Existing-Home Sales Picked Up in July
Silver Rally Cools as Market Rebound Limits Haven Buying
Capital-Gains Tax Change Would Drive Only Modest Boost, Economists Say
Target Extends Growth Streak With Strong Sales and Profit
Amazon Seeks New Local Vendors in Israel as It Eyes Expansion
Fed’s Kashkari Calls for Return of Forward Guidance for Monetary Policy
BlackRock Unit Gets Approval to Take Russia-Linked Firm’s Stake in Cybersecurity Company
Federal Deficits to Grow More Than Expected in Next Decade, CBO Says
Some Firms Say to Hold Out for an Emerging-Market Rebound
Manufacturers Want to Quit China for Vietnam. They’re Finding It Impossible.
A Forgotten Architectural Gem Rises in the California Desert
Fed Minutes to Show Committee Divide on Last Month’s Rate Cut
Stocks to Watch: Target, Lowe’s, Kinder Morgan, and Toll Brothers
Lowe’s Reports Higher Profit, Beating Estimates
Mortgage Market Reopens to Risky Borrowers
Slowing Buybacks Remove Pillar of Stock Market
Royal Bank of Canada’s Profit Increases
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0003

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-22 to project the $SPY index's direction. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%. Deliver a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-12,289.96,291.61,287.02,288.07,269.0282,65527600.0,-0.0122,-1.6313,306.6175,284.8695,46.2258,-139.9788,33.8828,296.585,291.6132
2019-08-13,287.74,294.15,287.36,292.55,273.2121,94299800.0,0.0156,-1.499,306.1713,284.5927,50.0771,-86.9741,22.5731,296.4813,291.725
2019-08-14,288.07,288.74,283.76,283.9,265.1338,135622100.0,-0.0296,-2.0684,306.5634,282.8166,43.8099,-163.4317,31.3581,296.0637,291.7242
2019-08-15,284.88,285.64,282.39,284.65,265.8343,99556600.0,0.0026,-2.431,306.49,281.472,44.4337,-158.0825,34.3866,295.592,291.6932
2019-08-16,286.48,289.33,284.71,288.85,269.7566,83018300.0,0.0148,-2.3524,306.1804,280.9496,47.7911,-99.7659,19.2397,295.2717,291.7468
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385
2019-08-21,292.48,292.86,291.72,292.45,273.1187,49524700.0,0.0081,-1.5439,303.748,280.932,50.4766,-28.9195,8.6583,294.68,292.2435

Byrne Resigns as Overstock.com Chief Executive
Kaplan: Risks From Global Growth, Trade Uncertainty Could Mean Rate Cut
Central Bankers’ Jackson Hole Retreat: A Cheat Sheet
August Data Heighten Pressure on Industrial Stocks
VMware to Buy Pivotal Software and Carbon Black
Powell Faces Challenge Defining Doctrine Around When to Cut Rates
Salesforce Increases Full-Year Revenue Forecast
Japan Post Investigation Complicates Revenue Forecasting for Aflac CFO
Hasbro Picks Up Peppa Pig in $4 Billion Deal
Stumbling Global Economies Fan Recession Fears
Copper Nears Multiyear Low as Economic Worries Grow
Qantas to Test Human Endurance for a 19-Hour Flight
Dick’s Sporting Goods Posts Higher Same-Store Sales for First Time in Two Years
Price of Good Economy: More Time Stuck in Traffic
Three Fed Officials Offer Diverging Views on Rate Cuts in TV Interviews
Boeing Shares Rise on Hopes for 737 MAX
U.S. Stocks Waver on Disappointing Manufacturing Data
Large Telecoms, State Enforcers Make Pact to Combat Robocalls
Big Banks Struggled With Fed Communications Ahead of July FOMC
Investors Jostle for Pre-IPO Stake in Impossible Foods
Groupon Finance Chief Leaves Amid Turnaround Efforts
Health Insurers Set to Expand Offerings Under the ACA
ECB Minutes Back Up Signals of Broad Stimulus Package
Stocks to Watch: Nordstrom, L Brands, Dick’s Sporting Goods and More
‘Sustainably Fracked’: Shale Producers Seek a Green Label
Facebook’s Libra Bets It Can Bank the Unbanked
Yields Plumb New Lows, but ‘Century Bonds’ Remain Scarce
Home-Builder Stocks Soar Past S&P 500
PG&E Inspected Power Line Weeks Before It Sparked Deadly Camp Fire
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0257

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-26 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-16,286.48,289.33,284.71,288.85,269.7566,83018300.0,0.0148,-2.3524,306.1804,280.9496,47.7911,-99.7659,19.2397,295.2717,291.7468
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385
2019-08-21,292.48,292.86,291.72,292.45,273.1187,49524700.0,0.0081,-1.5439,303.748,280.932,50.4766,-28.9195,8.6583,294.68,292.2435
2019-08-22,293.23,293.93,290.4,292.36,273.0345,51666400.0,-0.0003,-1.2892,302.7828,281.1332,50.4101,-27.8325,12.5185,294.4483,292.4783
2019-08-23,290.92,292.76,283.47,284.85,266.021,149161500.0,-0.0257,-1.6741,301.2705,280.9294,45.262,-89.834,29.2892,293.9217,292.5753

Trade War Puts Ralph Lauren’s Recovery at Risk
Big Tech Shares Lose Their Luster
Lyft Shares Rally on Hopes Price Increases Will Drive Profit
U.S. Companies Looking for More Experience in Their Finance Chiefs
U.S. Stocks Gain as Trump Says China Wants a Deal
Indian Sugar Glut Pushes Prices Close to Decade Lows
Kraft Heinz Replaces Finance Chief
Carlos Ghosn Ran a Tech Fund—Using Millions From an Executive at a Nissan Partner
Egypt’s Sisi: Warm U.S. Embrace, Harsh Human-Rights Record
Shares of Pitney Bowes Gain on Sale of Software Business
Drone Ambitions Soar to the Stratosphere
Hong Kong’s Dollar Peg: How It Works and Why It’s In Question
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0039

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-27. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385
2019-08-21,292.48,292.86,291.72,292.45,273.1187,49524700.0,0.0081,-1.5439,303.748,280.932,50.4766,-28.9195,8.6583,294.68,292.2435
2019-08-22,293.23,293.93,290.4,292.36,273.0345,51666400.0,-0.0003,-1.2892,302.7828,281.1332,50.4101,-27.8325,12.5185,294.4483,292.4783
2019-08-23,290.92,292.76,283.47,284.85,266.021,149161500.0,-0.0257,-1.6741,301.2705,280.9294,45.262,-89.834,29.2892,293.9217,292.5753
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875

China’s Potential New Trade Weapon: Corporate Social Credits
What Trade War? China’s First Costco Draws Crowds of Shoppers
Papa John’s Taps Arby’s Head as CEO
Fall in Tobacco Sales Spurs Philip Morris, Altria to Talk Merger
Kraft Heinz Reshuffling Shows Balancing Act CFOs Often Take at PE-Backed Firms
Cboe Was a Winner From Recent Market Turmoil
Smucker Shares Fall, but Consumer Staples Are Poised to Bounce
U.S. Stocks Slip Amid Trade Worries
BP to Exit Alaska With $5.6 Billion Sale
Smucker Is Hit by Weaker Prices for Its Coffee and Peanut Butter
Fed Rejects Call to Consider Politics in Policy Decisions
J&J Shares Buoyed by Opioid Judgment Seen as Light
Glut in Natural Gas Goes Global
Oil Investors Turn Focus to Inventories as Demand Fears Linger
Mexico Reaches Deal With Pipeline Operators on Gas Delivery Contracts
Rihanna’s Lingerie Brand Savage X Fenty Receives $50 Million in Fresh Funding
Home-Price Growth Continued to Slow in June
This Little Black Box Does Heavy Lifting for Wall Street
Investors Betting Against the British Pound Fear a Reversal
As Automatic Braking Becomes More Common in Cars, So Do Driver Complaints
A Primer on the Future of Fannie, Freddie
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0070

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-08-28. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385
2019-08-21,292.48,292.86,291.72,292.45,273.1187,49524700.0,0.0081,-1.5439,303.748,280.932,50.4766,-28.9195,8.6583,294.68,292.2435
2019-08-22,293.23,293.93,290.4,292.36,273.0345,51666400.0,-0.0003,-1.2892,302.7828,281.1332,50.4101,-27.8325,12.5185,294.4483,292.4783
2019-08-23,290.92,292.76,283.47,284.85,266.021,149161500.0,-0.0257,-1.6741,301.2705,280.9294,45.262,-89.834,29.2892,293.9217,292.5753
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875
2019-08-27,289.54,289.95,286.03,286.87,267.9075,66668900.0,-0.0039,-1.8003,297.4352,282.0338,46.8469,-73.2908,21.7825,293.0663,292.9925

Few Places to Hide When Markets All Move Together
McDonald’s to Begin Antiharassment Training at U.S. Restaurants
Consumer Concerns Sink Ditech’s Chapter 11 Exit Plan
Guess Sees Little Effect From Potential China Tariffs Increase
Hudson’s Bay Selling Lord & Taylor to Fashion Subscription Service
Target’s Stock Is Rallying Like It’s 2000
Shrinking Crude Stockpiles Send Oil, Energy Shares Higher
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Reserve Bank of New Zealand Gov. Adrian Orr
U.S. Stocks Climb in Quiet Session
Fed’s Barkin Not Convinced Low Inflation Calls for Rate Cut
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan
How Bayer-Monsanto Became One of the Worst Corporate Deals—in 12 Charts
Coty Ends Partnership With Younique
Jeffrey Epstein’s Road Through Wall Street Was a Bumpy One
A Crypto Miner Cuts Costs and Rides Bitcoin’s Price Rise
Tiffany’s Summer Sales Fall as Tourist Spending Continues Slowing
Fed’s Daly Biased Toward Rate Policy That Promotes Job Growth
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0128

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-29 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-19,292.19,293.08,291.44,292.33,273.0066,53571800.0,0.012,-1.9864,305.7438,280.8291,50.3619,-35.4849,6.2321,295.122,291.9167
2019-08-20,291.77,292.36,289.95,290.09,270.9146,51596400.0,-0.0077,-1.8557,304.9024,280.6766,48.7631,-51.2344,10.3843,294.8853,292.0385
2019-08-21,292.48,292.86,291.72,292.45,273.1187,49524700.0,0.0081,-1.5439,303.748,280.932,50.4766,-28.9195,8.6583,294.68,292.2435
2019-08-22,293.23,293.93,290.4,292.36,273.0345,51666400.0,-0.0003,-1.2892,302.7828,281.1332,50.4101,-27.8325,12.5185,294.4483,292.4783
2019-08-23,290.92,292.76,283.47,284.85,266.021,149161500.0,-0.0257,-1.6741,301.2705,280.9294,45.262,-89.834,29.2892,293.9217,292.5753
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875
2019-08-27,289.54,289.95,286.03,286.87,267.9075,66668900.0,-0.0039,-1.8003,297.4352,282.0338,46.8469,-73.2908,21.7825,293.0663,292.9925
2019-08-28,286.14,289.07,285.25,288.89,269.794,59696700.0,0.007,-1.6932,296.1057,282.5093,48.3283,-68.2118,23.6773,292.7713,293.1318

New Mexico Attorney General Says State Should Reclaim Parts of Jeffrey Epstein Ranch
Foreign Investors Pile Into U.S. Stocks and Bonds
CFO Change at Campbell Soup Follows an Expected Pattern
Trump Rollback of Methane Regulations Splits Energy Industry
Ulta Beauty Cuts Sales Outlook
Models, Musicians Face Lawsuits Over Fyre Festival Payments
Thor Equities Pivots From Bricks to Clicks
Deere Replaces CEO as Machinery Sales Sag
Few Sectors Escape August’s Stock-Market Selloff
Lower-Income Shoppers Fuel Gains at Dollar Chains
U.S. Stocks Climb on Hopes for Trade Talks
U.S. Growth Slows, Corporate Profits Rise
Best Buy Lowers Sales Forecast, Citing Tariffs’ Toll
Pernod Ricard Doubles Down on Whiskey
Natural Gas Rises as Hurricane Dorian Heads Toward U.S.
Treasury Proposes Guidance Clarifying Tax Consequences of Libor Transition
Campbell Soup Names New Finance Chief
Honeywell Won’t Face SEC Charges Related to Asbestos Accounting
TD Bank Group’s Profit Lifted by U.S. Retail Operations
Golf’s PGA Tour Looks for Media Deal as Suitors Circle
How Amazon’s Shipping Empire Is Challenging UPS and FedEx
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0004

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-03. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875
2019-08-27,289.54,289.95,286.03,286.87,267.9075,66668900.0,-0.0039,-1.8003,297.4352,282.0338,46.8469,-73.2908,21.7825,293.0663,292.9925
2019-08-28,286.14,289.07,285.25,288.89,269.794,59696700.0,0.007,-1.6932,296.1057,282.5093,48.3283,-68.2118,23.6773,292.7713,293.1318
2019-08-29,291.72,293.16,290.61,292.58,273.2401,57899400.0,0.0128,-1.2956,295.6731,282.7159,50.9134,-5.3709,8.8915,292.563,293.2922
2019-08-30,294.22,294.24,291.42,292.45,273.1187,62901200.0,-0.0004,-0.9797,295.6461,282.7259,50.8208,5.9848,5.3368,292.4057,293.4197

Walmart to Stop Selling Ammunition for Assault-Style Weapons
U.S. Factory Activity Shrinks for First Time in 3 Years
Dollar Index Climbs to Two-Year High
Tyson Cuts Full-Year Profit Forecast
AT&T Names Media Boss as CEO Heir Apparent
Bankrupt Loot Crate Gets Creditor Bid of More Than $30 Million
New Software Tool Helps Arrow Electronics CFO Cut Costs
New York Fed Lays Out Projections for Future of Fed Holdings
Fed’s Rosengren: Economy Doing Fine Despite Risks to Outlook
U.S. Stocks Fall Amid Trade Tensions, Weak Data
Bank Stocks Fall on Global Growth Worries
Trade Impasse Sends Oil Prices Lower
Goldman’s Coder-in-Chief Ditches Wall Street for California Sunshine
Psychedelic Drugs Draw Some Investor Attention—and Much Skepticism
Transcript: Reporters Hear From Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin
Stocks to Watch: Alphabet, H&R Block, Conn’s, and More
In Economics Profession, Hotel-Room Job Interviews Get Nixed
Thinning Liquidity Adds to Headaches for Traders
A Flawed Cap-and-Trade Plan for Water Could Come to U.S.
Chinese Steel Slowdown Slams Iron-Ore Prices
Lego’s Bid to Beat the Pack Results in Sharp Drop in Profit
P&G Takes Tide to the Cleaners
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0114

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-09-04. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875
2019-08-27,289.54,289.95,286.03,286.87,267.9075,66668900.0,-0.0039,-1.8003,297.4352,282.0338,46.8469,-73.2908,21.7825,293.0663,292.9925
2019-08-28,286.14,289.07,285.25,288.89,269.794,59696700.0,0.007,-1.6932,296.1057,282.5093,48.3283,-68.2118,23.6773,292.7713,293.1318
2019-08-29,291.72,293.16,290.61,292.58,273.2401,57899400.0,0.0128,-1.2956,295.6731,282.7159,50.9134,-5.3709,8.8915,292.563,293.2922
2019-08-30,294.22,294.24,291.42,292.45,273.1187,62901200.0,-0.0004,-0.9797,295.6461,282.7259,50.8208,5.9848,5.3368,292.4057,293.4197
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712

Former UAW Official Pleads Guilty in Federal Probe of Union Corruption
Neiman Marcus CFO to Depart After Less Than Two Years
Judge Approves Settlement Allowing CVS-Aetna Merger
Ernst & Young Plans New Technology Strategy Amid Revenue Boost
Options Clearing Corp. to Pay $20 Million to SEC, CFTC
Target Tells Its Suppliers to Handle Tariffs Costs
U.S. Stocks Rise After Global Rally
Starbucks Is Cooling Off in Bad Sign for Corporate Profits
Tariffs Could Push Down Amazon, Wayfair Shares
WeWork to Add First Woman Board Member, Undo Trademark Deal
Lab-Testing Startup uBiome Files for Bankruptcy
Credit Suisse Scores Legal Win in Currency-Rigging Case
Volatility Continues to Jolt Oil Market
Fed’s Beige Book Reports Modest Growth Despite Trade Uncertainty
Bayer’s Roundup Woes Deepen as Germany Bans Key Chemical
U.S. Trade Gap Narrowed in July as Imports Fell
Fed's Williams: Will ‘Act as Appropriate’ to Keep Expansion Moving Forward
Owner of Coach, Kate Spade Ousts CEO
Stocks to Watch: Tyson, Coupa Software, JetBlue, Michaels, American Eagle, and More
Carbon-Emissions Credits Slide Over Brexit Fears
Senators Scrutinize U.S.-China Ethane Supply Deals
Home-Improvement Stocks Are Sitting Pretty
Ethanol Industry Reels as Demand Falls
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0129

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-05. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-26,287.27,288.0,285.58,288.0,268.9628,72423800.0,0.0111,-1.7052,299.4248,281.4292,47.5846,-82.7937,29.2892,293.4967,292.7875
2019-08-27,289.54,289.95,286.03,286.87,267.9075,66668900.0,-0.0039,-1.8003,297.4352,282.0338,46.8469,-73.2908,21.7825,293.0663,292.9925
2019-08-28,286.14,289.07,285.25,288.89,269.794,59696700.0,0.007,-1.6932,296.1057,282.5093,48.3283,-68.2118,23.6773,292.7713,293.1318
2019-08-29,291.72,293.16,290.61,292.58,273.2401,57899400.0,0.0128,-1.2956,295.6731,282.7159,50.9134,-5.3709,8.8915,292.563,293.2922
2019-08-30,294.22,294.24,291.42,292.45,273.1187,62901200.0,-0.0004,-0.9797,295.6461,282.7259,50.8208,5.9848,5.3368,292.4057,293.4197
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712
2019-09-04,293.14,294.06,292.31,294.04,274.6035,46887300.0,0.0114,-0.4886,296.082,283.606,51.9126,26.4925,3.2187,291.9673,293.5557

Walgreens, CVS Ask Customers to Stop Carrying Guns
Executives’ Optimism in U.S. Economy Hits Three-Year Low
Danske Bank Lures Commerzbank CFO to Deal With Higher Costs, Regulatory Probes
Trump Administration Aims to Privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Lululemon Athletica Boosts Fiscal-Year Outlook
Precious Metals Enjoy Resurgence in Negative-Yield World
Stocks Rally on Plan for New Trade Talks
Jewelry Retailers Bring Back Shine, but Hurdles Remain
The Most Promising Careers of the Next Decade
Music Revenue Surges on Streaming Subscription Growth
Facebook Rolls Out Dating Feature in U.S.
Insurers Pitch New Ways to Pay for Million-Dollar Therapies
Copper Extends Rebound on Optimism About Trade
Trade Uncertainty Likely to Cut U.S.  Growth by More Than 1%, Fed Says
New York City Sues T-Mobile Over Sales Practices
U.S. Service-Sector Activity Picked Up in August
Bayer Says Monsanto’s PR Tactics Were Legal
U.S. Unit Labor Costs Revised Higher in Second Quarter
Private Sector Adds 195,000 Jobs, Beating Economists’ Estimates
Fed’s Quarles Floats New Tool to Combat Credit Crunches
Jobs Report Eyed for Signs of Deepening Economic Slowdown
Fed’s Evans: U.S. Economy’s Trend Growth Rate Likely Around 1.75%
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0008

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-09-09 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-30,294.22,294.24,291.42,292.45,273.1187,62901200.0,-0.0004,-0.9797,295.6461,282.7259,50.8208,5.9848,5.3368,292.4057,293.4197
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712
2019-09-04,293.14,294.06,292.31,294.04,274.6035,46887300.0,0.0114,-0.4886,296.082,283.606,51.9126,26.4925,3.2187,291.9673,293.5557
2019-09-05,296.79,298.83,294.0,297.82,278.1337,83258100.0,0.0129,0.1074,297.446,283.227,54.3997,87.7572,10.4364,291.8467,293.7043
2019-09-06,298.17,298.76,297.42,298.05,278.3485,49584300.0,0.0008,0.5915,298.3422,282.7738,54.5476,111.1009,10.4364,291.7817,293.8653

FDA Warns Juul About Marketing Products as Safer Than Cigarettes
PG&E Plan Offers Nearly $18 Billion to Wildfire Victims, Public Entities
SEC Pressures Exchanges on Market-Surveillance Project
Elliott Appears to Revert to Old Form in Taking On AT&T
U.K. Regulator Warns About Audit Quality
Activist Investor Challenges AT&T Over Strategy, Board
Media Stocks Struggle to Erase Earnings-Related Losses
Wendy’s Puts Breakfast on the Menu
SEC Chairman Scolds Weak Anticorruption Enforcement Abroad
Hedge Fund Paulson Opposes Oil Company Merger
Discount Retailer Fred’s Will Liquidate in Bankruptcy
Investors Bet on Big Gains by Gold, Silver
Poor Vegetable Crop Dents Demand for Tin Cans
Russel Metals CFO to Retire in 2020
One Wall Street Bank Thinks Boeing Can Rally to $500
Dow Industrials Edge Up in Quiet Session
Samsara Raising Money at $6 Billion Valuation
Food Lion Owner Searches for New CFO to Boost Sales, Cut Costs
Novartis Pledges More Transparency on Data Concerns
Irish Banks Battered as Disorderly Brexit Looms
Inflation Expectations Ease in August, New York Fed Survey Says
Trump’s Pressure Is Weighing Heavily on Iran
Stocks to Watch: AT&T, PG&E, Callon Petroleum, Carrizo, and Nissan
British Airways Cancels Hundreds of Flights Over Pilot Strike
AppZen Adds $50 Million to Develop AI for Finance Teams
Stocks Are Back Near Records, but Memories of 2018 Leave Investors Uneasy
Fracking Buzzwords Evolve, From ‘Ramp Up’ to ‘Capital Discipline’
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0002

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-10. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712
2019-09-04,293.14,294.06,292.31,294.04,274.6035,46887300.0,0.0114,-0.4886,296.082,283.606,51.9126,26.4925,3.2187,291.9673,293.5557
2019-09-05,296.79,298.83,294.0,297.82,278.1337,83258100.0,0.0129,0.1074,297.446,283.227,54.3997,87.7572,10.4364,291.8467,293.7043
2019-09-06,298.17,298.76,297.42,298.05,278.3485,49584300.0,0.0008,0.5915,298.3422,282.7738,54.5476,111.1009,10.4364,291.7817,293.8653
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009

GE to Give Up Majority Control of Baker Hughes
Apple Wants Gamers to Hit ‘Subscribe’ With Apple Arcade
With Bolton Out, GOP Interventionism Bows to Trump
Hunting for Cheap Stocks Is Back in Favor
GameStop Grapples With Falling Sales as Competition Looms
A Giant Bet Against Natural Gas Is Blowing Up
Dow Industrials Extend Winning Streak
Uber Cuts More Than 400 Jobs
Oil Prices Sink After Trump Ousts John Bolton
Rush to Corporate Bonds Reflects Cautious Optimism
Mallinckrodt Shares Rise After It Agrees to Sell BioVectra
JPMorgan CEO Dimon Raises Specter of Zero Rates
Are Apple’s Shares Approaching a Speed Bump?
FEMA Official, Contractor Executive Charged Over Puerto Rico Grid Repairs
WeWork’s Latest Threat: Old-School Landlords Copying WeWork
Amazon’s New Multistory Warehouse Aims to Cut Delivery Times
U.S. Warns Switzerland on Oversight of Facebook’s Libra
Victoria’s Secret Rethinks the Supermodel
Median U.S. Household Income Showed No Growth in 2018
MAX Grounding Puts Boeing on Track for Fewest Deliveries in Eight Years
Alibaba Sends Jack Ma Off With Birthday Extravaganza
Activist to AT&T: What’s the Plan With WarnerMedia?
FTC Warns CBD Companies About Treatment Claims
SEC Questions Starbucks About Revenue-Recognition Policy
U.S. Job Openings Cool in Slowing Labor Market
BOE’s Carney: Central Banks Have Weapons to Fight Next Downturn
Airbnb Leads $20 Million Funding Round Into Atlas Obscura
Biotech Startup Lyra Therapeutics Brings On First Full-Time CFO Amid Funding Push
Nextdoor Gets a Financing Boost From Mary Meeker’s Venture Firm
Tokyo Is Experiencing a Luxury Hotel Boom Ahead of 2020 Olympics
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0071

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-09-11. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712
2019-09-04,293.14,294.06,292.31,294.04,274.6035,46887300.0,0.0114,-0.4886,296.082,283.606,51.9126,26.4925,3.2187,291.9673,293.5557
2019-09-05,296.79,298.83,294.0,297.82,278.1337,83258100.0,0.0129,0.1074,297.446,283.227,54.3997,87.7572,10.4364,291.8467,293.7043
2019-09-06,298.17,298.76,297.42,298.05,278.3485,49584300.0,0.0008,0.5915,298.3422,282.7738,54.5476,111.1009,10.4364,291.7817,293.8653
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568

Hong Kong Stock Exchange Makes $36.6 Billion Offer for London Rival
Biotech Firm Moves to Revive Hong Kong IPO Market
Ex-KPMG Partner Gets a Year and a Day in ‘Steal the Exam’ Scandal
Maryland Worries Fentanyl Drug Sale Could Fuel More Addiction
StarKist Hit With $100 Million Fine in Tuna Price-Fixing Case
Weatherford Wins Court Approval for Debt-Cutting Plan
Trump Says Fed Should Reduce Rates to ‘Zero, or Less’
Regulators Split On MAX Return
Gold Rises After Trump Tweet
Small-Caps Extend Gains as Growth Worries Recede
U.S. Stocks Tick Higher As Tech Stocks Rally
Blackstone Raises Largest Ever Real-Estate Fund at $20.5 Billion
GameStop Shares Fall as Company Turns to Store Closures
Mexican Central Banker Sees Room for More Rate Cuts
American Businesses Say China’s Slowdown Is a Greater Threat Than the Trade War
As Juul Moves Abroad, It’s Leaving Some of Its U.S. Restrictions Behind
Global Currency Decline Bruises Investors
Aramco IPO, Economic Slowdown to Weigh on OPEC Meeting
Retail Bankruptcies Rise, Store Closures Jump in First Half of 2019
Why WeWork Is Struggling to Sell Its Story to Investors
Introducing Prosus: A Rare European Mega-Tech Stock
Investor Hopes for Cheaper Money in Europe Dim
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0035

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-09-12. Supply a response as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-03,290.57,291.58,289.27,290.74,271.5217,69101400.0,-0.0058,-0.8574,295.5049,283.5591,49.5925,-24.2176,11.4858,292.167,293.4712
2019-09-04,293.14,294.06,292.31,294.04,274.6035,46887300.0,0.0114,-0.4886,296.082,283.606,51.9126,26.4925,3.2187,291.9673,293.5557
2019-09-05,296.79,298.83,294.0,297.82,278.1337,83258100.0,0.0129,0.1074,297.446,283.227,54.3997,87.7572,10.4364,291.8467,293.7043
2019-09-06,298.17,298.76,297.42,298.05,278.3485,49584300.0,0.0008,0.5915,298.3422,282.7738,54.5476,111.1009,10.4364,291.7817,293.8653
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568
2019-09-11,298.47,300.34,297.75,300.25,280.4031,68821100.0,0.0071,1.6383,301.5792,281.9708,56.0402,150.5131,13.8353,291.528,294.3382

Mexico’s Pemex Sells Bonds for $7.5 Billion in Refinancing
Juul Debates Pushing Back on E-Cigarette Ban
Charles Li Linked Hong Kong and China but LSE Deal Could Be a Bridge Too Far
CEOs Urge Senate to Pass Gun Laws
California Bill Aimed at Ride Hailing Heralds Change Beyond Tech Firms
Stocks Climb After ECB Stimulus Package
Groupon Shares Slide as Investors Fret Over Possible Yelp Deal
Treasury 10-Year Yields Rise on Trade Hopes
Verizon Ventures Prepares for 5G Startup Wave
Broadcom Says Core Chip Business Has Bottomed Out
Weak Energy Prices Held Down Overall Inflation In August
U.S. Deficit Tops $1 Trillion for First Time in Seven Years
GE Chief Says Assets Sales Will Reap $38 Billion
Kroger’s Sales Rise after Digital Investments
Old Navy Plans to Open 800 More Stores
When Wall Street Flips Municipal Bonds, Towns and Schools Pay the Price
How The Wall Street Journal Analyzed Trading and Profit in the Municipal-Bond Market
Fox Names Lauren Petterson to Lead Business Network
OPEC Defers Decision on Oil Output Reduction
Why Rate Cuts in Europe May Do More Harm Than Good
Economists Don’t See Path to 3% Growth
Sen. Ron Wyden’s Capital-Gains Tax Plan Devotes Trillions to Social Security
Filmmaker Sets Up New Documentary Studio With a Startup-Style Structure
Stocks to Watch: Oracle, Tailored Brands, Moderna, LKQ and More
U.K. Could Block Hong Kong Bid for London Exchange
Canada’s Oil Market Finds Outlet in U.S. Demand
Square Wants to Be a Bank But Doesn’t Want to Be Taxed Like One
British American Tobacco to Cut Thousands of Jobs
Epstein Used Opaque Charity Account at Deutsche Bank for Own Benefit
Applied Intuition, Whose Software Tests Self-Driving Cars, Grabs $40 Million
Need Cash? Lenders Consider Phone Bills and Magazine Subscriptions When Making Loans
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0007

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-16. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-06,298.17,298.76,297.42,298.05,278.3485,49584300.0,0.0008,0.5915,298.3422,282.7738,54.5476,111.1009,10.4364,291.7817,293.8653
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568
2019-09-11,298.47,300.34,297.75,300.25,280.4031,68821100.0,0.0071,1.6383,301.5792,281.9708,56.0402,150.5131,13.8353,291.528,294.3382
2019-09-12,301.25,302.46,300.41,301.29,281.3743,72908700.0,0.0035,1.9985,302.5916,282.6974,56.7416,179.2276,19.6549,291.6567,294.4863
2019-09-13,301.78,302.17,300.68,301.09,281.1876,62104800.0,-0.0007,2.242,303.3488,283.5842,56.562,167.7781,19.6549,291.865,294.6202

Oil Prices Log Historic Rally After Saudi Attack
Corning Cuts Sales Forecast as Demand Slows
SeaWorld Entertainment CEO Resigns After Seven Months
Purdue Looks to Extend Bankruptcy Shield to Sackler Family
Frackers to Stand Pat, Reap Profits After Attacks on Saudi Oil
Prudential Pays $32.6 Million to Settle Probe of Mutual-Fund Business
Otis Names New CFO as It Preps for Separation From United Technologies
U.S. Stocks Retreat as Oil Prices Surge
U.S. Energy Shares Soar After Attacks on Saudi Oil Facilities
New Relic Lowers Outlook, Shakes Up Executive Ranks
Transport Stocks Lose Ground After Energy Prices Spike
Former Oil CEO Aims to Change How the U.S. Exports Natural Gas
Strikes in Saudi Arabia Chill Diplomacy—Perhaps by Design
China Is Pitting the Yuan Against the Dollar. So Far, It’s Not Going to Plan.
Stocks to Watch: Exxon Mobil, Chevron
High-Interest Online Bank Accounts Could Lose Some Shine
Brand-Protection Startup Red Points Hires Dual CFO-COO
Global Services Trade Also Set To Slow, Says WTO
Oil Prices Soar After Saudi Attack
Banks Warm to Mortgage Bonds That Burned Them in 2008
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0025

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-17. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568
2019-09-11,298.47,300.34,297.75,300.25,280.4031,68821100.0,0.0071,1.6383,301.5792,281.9708,56.0402,150.5131,13.8353,291.528,294.3382
2019-09-12,301.25,302.46,300.41,301.29,281.3743,72908700.0,0.0035,1.9985,302.5916,282.6974,56.7416,179.2276,19.6549,291.6567,294.4863
2019-09-13,301.78,302.17,300.68,301.09,281.1876,62104800.0,-0.0007,2.242,303.3488,283.5842,56.562,167.7781,19.6549,291.865,294.6202
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918

Oil-Thirsty Asia Feels the Strain After Saudi Attack
Streaming War Spurs Classic-TV Arms Race
Sony Rejects Third Point’s Proposal to Break Up Company
Calpers Switches Developers for Sacramento Project
Fed Intervenes to Curb Soaring Short-Term Borrowing Costs
SEC Charges Former CEO for Alleged Misstatements About Existence of CFO
FedEx Hit by Trade Tensions and Split With Amazon
General Motors CFO Has Tools to Cushion Car Maker’s Finances
Stock History Makes Case for Limited Rate Cuts
Fed’s Repo Rescue Leaves Many Searching for Answers
Facebook Forms Independent Board for Content
Chewy Raises Annual Revenue Guidance
U.S. Stocks Rise as Oil Prices Slump
Home-Builder Stocks Jump as Mortgage Rates Slide
Exchange Stocks Rally on Volatility in Markets
Copper’s Reversal Highlights Chinese Growth Fears
Banks Set to Win $40 Billion in Relief From Postcrisis Rule
Oil’s Swings Reinforce Saudi Arabia’s Key Role in Energy Markets
Raymond James Entities Settle With SEC for $15 Million
U.S. Factories Bounced Back in August
Juul’s Sales Halted in China, Days After Launch
Kraft Heinz Shares Slide After 3G Trims Stake
AT&T CEO Defends Expected Successor After Activist Attack
Public Companies Consider New Controls to Prepare For Audit Rule
‘Big Bang Theory’ to Show on HBO’s New Streaming Service
Banks Fund Identity Verification Startup Trulioo’s Expansion
Why Fed Officials Aren’t Saying More About the Interest Rate Outlook
Why Some Banks Are Ditching Their State Regulators
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0006

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-09-18. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568
2019-09-11,298.47,300.34,297.75,300.25,280.4031,68821100.0,0.0071,1.6383,301.5792,281.9708,56.0402,150.5131,13.8353,291.528,294.3382
2019-09-12,301.25,302.46,300.41,301.29,281.3743,72908700.0,0.0035,1.9985,302.5916,282.6974,56.7416,179.2276,19.6549,291.6567,294.4863
2019-09-13,301.78,302.17,300.68,301.09,281.1876,62104800.0,-0.0007,2.242,303.3488,283.5842,56.562,167.7781,19.6549,291.865,294.6202
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072

Zuckerberg Heads to Capitol Hill to Push His Version of Web Regulation
Creditor Group Dismayed by Cash Burn Wants ‘Old Sears’ to Liquidate
Juul Faces Subpoena Threat Over Documents
Buffett Protege to Leave Berkshire, Start Own Firm
Microsoft to Buy Back Up to $40 Billion in Stock
Fed Cuts Rates by Quarter Point but Faces Growing Split
Brazil Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Rate to Record Low
GM Workers—Some With No Strike Experience—Gird for Longer Walkout
Falling Demand for Architects a Warning Shot for Industry
Fed Injects More Into Money Markets After Banks Bid Heavily for Funds
FedEx Shares Plummet Following Dismal Results
Stale Snack-Bar Sales Hurt General Mills
Gold Reverses Gains as Investors Turn to Fed
Rule to Identify Audit Partners Doesn’t Improve Audit Quality
Stocks Climb Back as Fed Cuts Rates
Nordea CFO Departs Amid Wider Management Reshuffle
Fed Sees Three Dissents at Meeting for First Time Since 2016
Insys Bankruptcy Plan Comes Up Short in Paying Justice Department
What the Interest-Rate Cut Means for You
‘This Is Not the Way Everybody Behaves.’ How Adam Neumann’s Over-the-Top Style Built WeWork.
Startup Aims to Unlock Drug Discovery With Machine Learning
U.S. Housing Starts Rose Significantly in August
Missing Paychecks Leave Small Firms Scrambling
Stocks to Watch: General Mills, FedEx, Chewy and More
Need a Loan? Equifax Plans to Sell More Utility, Phone Records
National-Security Worries Threaten Takeover of U.K. Defense Firm
Mortgage Rates Decline Ahead of Fed Meeting
Fed Prepares Second Rate Cut to Cushion Against Global Risks
Index Funds Are the New Kings of Wall Street
Tweak to IOER Seen as More Likely Following Surge in Rates
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0001

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-09-19 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%. Provide a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-09,299.14,299.24,297.16,298.2,278.4886,51260300.0,0.0005,0.9761,299.3838,282.3902,54.6469,118.7461,11.7783,291.6547,294.009
2019-09-10,297.36,298.2,295.97,298.13,278.4232,57947100.0,-0.0002,1.2606,300.3624,282.4176,54.5894,111.2595,7.5091,291.5437,294.1568
2019-09-11,298.47,300.34,297.75,300.25,280.4031,68821100.0,0.0071,1.6383,301.5792,281.9708,56.0402,150.5131,13.8353,291.528,294.3382
2019-09-12,301.25,302.46,300.41,301.29,281.3743,72908700.0,0.0035,1.9985,302.5916,282.6974,56.7416,179.2276,19.6549,291.6567,294.4863
2019-09-13,301.78,302.17,300.68,301.09,281.1876,62104800.0,-0.0007,2.242,303.3488,283.5842,56.562,167.7781,19.6549,291.865,294.6202
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072
2019-09-18,300.49,301.22,298.24,301.1,281.1969,73375800.0,0.0006,2.5075,305.6816,284.3424,56.402,111.5971,8.0316,293.1297,294.9315

Los Angeles Dodgers Add Two Entrepreneurs to Ownership Team
PG&E Bondholders Ally With Fire Victims to Offer New Bankruptcy Plan
Purdue Led Its Opioid Rivals in Pills More Prone to Abuse
KeyCorp CEO Beth Mooney to Retire in May
Fed Will Weigh Resuming Balance Sheet Growth at October Meeting
Amazon to Add 100,000 Electric Vehicles as Part of Climate Pledge
Colt Defense to Stop Producing AR-15 Rifles for Civilians
Crude Rebounds on Renewed Concerns About Saudi Production
Dow Gives Up Gains, Poised for Modest Weekly Loss
Olive Garden Boosts Darden Restaurants Results
Altria’s Bet on E-Cigarettes Is Burning Its Stock
Home Sales Inch Up, Raising Hopes That Slump Is Easing
Fentanyl Drug Finds New Home in First Opioid Crisis Bankruptcy Deal
Tennessee Pharmacy Bought Nearly a Million High-Dose OxyContins in 2008
SEC’s Clayton Says SEC Doesn’t Judge Direct Listings
For New Hampshire’s Ski-Home Buyers, The Icier The Better
Fed Adds $75 Billion to Financial System in Third Repo Transaction This Week
Bank Reserves: What Are They and Why a Shortage Is Roiling a Key Rate
World Economy to Grow at Lowest Rate Since Financial Crisis: OECD
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0093

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-09-23. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-13,301.78,302.17,300.68,301.09,281.1876,62104800.0,-0.0007,2.242,303.3488,283.5842,56.562,167.7781,19.6549,291.865,294.6202
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072
2019-09-18,300.49,301.22,298.24,301.1,281.1969,73375800.0,0.0006,2.5075,305.6816,284.3424,56.402,111.5971,8.0316,293.1297,294.9315
2019-09-19,301.53,302.63,300.71,301.08,281.1782,76560500.0,-0.0001,2.5315,306.3717,284.5153,56.3822,119.0191,12.9589,293.5667,295.1035
2019-09-20,300.36,300.67,297.41,298.28,279.8496,89565000.0,-0.0093,2.298,306.6367,284.8423,53.6528,73.1933,0.3923,293.722,295.2337

Insurance CEO Took Leave After June Arrest Following Traffic Incident
SoFi Pays Clients for Unexpected Tax Hit
Owner of Payroll Processor Charged With Committing $70 Million Fraud
Lower-Income Americans Increasingly Job Hopping
Alliance of Bondholders and Fire Victims Unsettles PG&E Bankruptcy
PwC to Pay $8 Million to Settle SEC Charges Over Auditor Independence and Improper Conduct
More Companies Are Making Noise About ESG
Trade Subdues U.S. Business Activity, Weighs on Europe
U.S. Stocks Pause After Weak Global Data
Overstock Shares Fall 25%
Gold Prices Rise on Fears of Economic Slowdown
Overstock.com CFO Resigns Amid Company Turbulence
Credit Suisse Launches Probe Into Its Surveillance of Top Executive
Citadel’s Griffin Reaps Windfall From Company’s Bond Sale
IEX Exchange to Exit Listings Business
Repo-Market Volatility Raises Concerns About New Benchmark Rate
Stakes Grow Higher in Trump’s Iran Gamble
Thomas Cook Collapses, Forcing U.K. to Fly Tens of Thousands Home
Fed Adds $49.7 Billion to Financial System
What Drove SoftBank’s Vision Fund Up Is Dragging It Down
Parents, Beware: Nerf’s Newest Blasters Won’t Fire Knockoff Darts
Meat Is Getting Pricier Because China Is Peckish for Protein
Farmers See Bright Spot in Solar
GM Strike Heads Into a Second Week
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0078

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-09-24. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072
2019-09-18,300.49,301.22,298.24,301.1,281.1969,73375800.0,0.0006,2.5075,305.6816,284.3424,56.402,111.5971,8.0316,293.1297,294.9315
2019-09-19,301.53,302.63,300.71,301.08,281.1782,76560500.0,-0.0001,2.5315,306.3717,284.5153,56.3822,119.0191,12.9589,293.5667,295.1035
2019-09-20,300.36,300.67,297.41,298.28,279.8496,89565000.0,-0.0093,2.298,306.6367,284.8423,53.6528,73.1933,0.3923,293.722,295.2337
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455

WeWork’s Neumann Steps Down as CEO
Meet the New Co-CEOs of WeWork
Impeachment Poses Risks for Democrats as Well as Trump
Strong Sales in China Lift Nike Results
STK Steakhouse Owner to Buy Bankrupt Kona Grill Restaurants
Germany to Bail Out Condor Airline, the Local Subsidiary of Thomas Cook
Juul Prepares Staff Shake-Up Amid U.S. Crackdown
Stocks Drop as Focus Builds on Trump
Dean Foods Finance Chief Steps Down
BlackBerry Makes Current CFO Its Chief Revenue Officer
Renewed Economic Uncertainty Swings Stocks, Ending Recent Lull
Gold Climbs to Highest Point in More Than Two Weeks
AT&T Operating Chief Defends Strategy Built on Streaming, DirecTV
Banks Flood the Fed With Demand for Two-Week Loans
Comscore, Former CEO Settle With SEC
Chip Stocks Are Back on the Menu
More Workers to Qualify for Overtime
Fiat Chrysler Manager Charged in Diesel Emissions Scandal
Novartis Details Data Manipulation in Testing of Gene Therapy
BlackBerry Shares Plunge as Overhaul Bid Stalls
Metro Bank Shares Tank After Pulled Bond Issue
Marks & Spencer CFO to Depart Amid Cost-Saving Effort at U.K. Retailer
Freddie Mac Tests Software That Could Boost Mortgage Approvals
Fighting SEC Over Cryptocurrency, Kik Shuts Chat App
Drugmakers Lobby Hard to Preserve Pricing Power
EU Court Sides With Starbucks in Taxation Case
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0059

Rejected response: it is difficult to forecast


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-25. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072
2019-09-18,300.49,301.22,298.24,301.1,281.1969,73375800.0,0.0006,2.5075,305.6816,284.3424,56.402,111.5971,8.0316,293.1297,294.9315
2019-09-19,301.53,302.63,300.71,301.08,281.1782,76560500.0,-0.0001,2.5315,306.3717,284.5153,56.3822,119.0191,12.9589,293.5667,295.1035
2019-09-20,300.36,300.67,297.41,298.28,279.8496,89565000.0,-0.0093,2.298,306.6367,284.8423,53.6528,73.1933,0.3923,293.722,295.2337
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933

Nike Shares Hit an All-Time High
Interim CEO Role Gives eBay Finance Chief Chance to Try Out for Top Role
Houston Billionaire to Buy Del Frisco’s Restaurant Chains From Private-Equity Firm
Arby’s Parent to Acquire Jimmy John’s
Dollar’s Rally Shows Faith in U.S. Growth
SoftBank-Backed Real Estate Broker Compass Hit by High-Level Exits
During Last Impeachment Proceedings, Investors Stuck With Hot Stocks
Best Buy Aims to Cut $1 Billion in Costs by 2025
Big Volatility Wagers Hit Markets
Elliott Management Renews Push to Split Up Marathon Petroleum
U.S. Stocks Climb on Hopes for Trade Deal
Boeing Centralizes Control of Engineering, Safety
Fresh Worries About Excess Supply Drive Down Oil
Cost of Employer-Provided Health Coverage Passes $20,000 a Year
Former Head of Danske Bank’s Estonian Branch Found Dead
Juul CEO Exits; Altria, Philip Morris End Merger Talks in Vaping Fallout
The Solution to an Unsightly View? Good Design
Value Stocks Beckon in Aging Bull Market
Fired Mitsubishi Trader Denies Making Unauthorized Trades
Santander Takes $1.7 Billion Charge on U.K. Business Amid Brexit Uncertainty
Fed's Evans Doesn't See More Rate Cuts for 2019
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0021

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-26. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-16,299.84,301.14,299.45,300.16,280.319,58191200.0,-0.0031,2.333,304.0948,283.9692,55.7141,135.7193,14.5268,292.1163,294.6918
2019-09-17,299.94,301.02,299.75,300.92,281.0288,41475500.0,0.0025,2.4384,304.943,283.9801,56.2683,129.2972,14.5268,292.6863,294.8072
2019-09-18,300.49,301.22,298.24,301.1,281.1969,73375800.0,0.0006,2.5075,305.6816,284.3424,56.402,111.5971,8.0316,293.1297,294.9315
2019-09-19,301.53,302.63,300.71,301.08,281.1782,76560500.0,-0.0001,2.5315,306.3717,284.5153,56.3822,119.0191,12.9589,293.5667,295.1035
2019-09-20,300.36,300.67,297.41,298.28,279.8496,89565000.0,-0.0093,2.298,306.6367,284.8423,53.6528,73.1933,0.3923,293.722,295.2337
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933
2019-09-25,295.96,298.11,294.33,297.62,279.2305,71854000.0,0.0059,1.5284,304.8138,289.8632,52.8758,33.5128,11.6203,294.3707,295.426

Delta Air Lines to Take 20% Stake in Latam Airlines
Discount Retailer Fred’s Strikes Deals to Sell More Pharmacy Assets
Boeing, Embraer Deal Faces EU Scrutiny
PPG Settles Probe Into Accounting Errors Without a Fine
KPMG Moves U.K. Employees From Advisory to Audit Business
Dell CFO Leads Charge to Pay Down Debt Load
McDonald’s to Test Plant-Based Burger in Canada
U.S. Stocks Drop on Political Uncertainty
Pay-TV Channel Starz Gets New President, CEO
U.S. Tax Compliance Holds Flat at 86%
Trump’s Fed Attacks Are Helping to Drive Rate Cuts, Paper Says
Cruise Stocks Go on Sale After Yet Another Profit Warning
Dish, Fox Dispute Costs Viewers Access to Channels
Fed’s Kashkari: Monetary Policy Shouldn’t Be Driven By Financial-Stability Concerns
Natural-Gas Prices Slide After Storage Data
Germany’s Commerzbank Names New CFO Amid Strategy Revamp
Imperial Brands Warns on Hit From U.S. Vaping Crackdown
Blue Cross and Blue Shield of North Carolina CEO Resigns
New York State Sues Dunkin’ Over Hacked Accounts
PG&E Bondholders Boost Proposed Investment in Bankrupt Utility to $29.2 Billion
Conagra’s Profit Rises After Product Cuts, but Sales Slip
Darfur Victims Allege BNP Paribas Helped Prop Up Sudan’s Regime
Cargill Profit Hit by Trade Challenges, Weather
Halcón Wins Bankruptcy Court Approval of Latest Balance Sheet Restructuring
Big Banks Loom Over Fed Repo Efforts
Safety Tests Must Use Average Pilots, NTSB Says After 737 MAX Crashes
Central-Bank Hawks Raise Their Voices Against Low Rates
Opioid Defendants Air Concerns Ahead of Federal Trial in Ohio
Airlines Look to Land Newark Slots With Southwest’s Departure
LNG Buyers Fret Over Feast-or-Famine Forecasts
Barclays Adds Prominent Investment Executives to Board
Dutch Bank ABN Amro Probed Over Anti-Money Laundering, Terrorism Financing Controls
Options Markets Are Already Gearing Up for 2020 Election
Apollo Taps New Co-Heads of Private-Equity Business
IASB Provides Additional Relief for Companies Transitioning Away From Libor
Many Manufacturers’ Ups and Downs Have Little to Do With Trump
Lumber Mills Slash Jobs as Trade War Cuts Deep
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0054

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-09-30. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-20,300.36,300.67,297.41,298.28,279.8496,89565000.0,-0.0093,2.298,306.6367,284.8423,53.6528,73.1933,0.3923,293.722,295.2337
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933
2019-09-25,295.96,298.11,294.33,297.62,279.2305,71854000.0,0.0059,1.5284,304.8138,289.8632,52.8758,33.5128,11.6203,294.3707,295.426
2019-09-26,297.63,297.86,295.45,297.0,278.6488,56179700.0,-0.0021,1.3232,304.0831,291.4049,52.2805,30.937,11.6203,294.8073,295.4355
2019-09-27,297.83,297.95,293.69,295.4,277.1477,84746600.0,-0.0054,1.0198,303.8552,291.9148,50.7549,9.9738,18.0204,295.1657,295.3788

Consultant Linked to Surveillance of Former Credit Suisse Executive Reported Dead
Aramco Plans to Pay $75 Billion Yearly Dividend
Egg Glut Deepens Problems in Farm Economy
Cryptocurrency Exchanges Including Coinbase Disclose Ratings of Digital Assets
Opioid Maker Mallinckrodt Changes Management Severance
U.S. Stocks Rise to Cap Volatile Quarter
Real-Estate Mogul Is Behind Hottest Stock in the Oil Patch
Investors Are Moving Into Storage Units
Low Yields Prove a Boon to This Stock-Bond Hybrid Market
Fannie, Freddie to Retain Earnings
Why Precious Metals Have Become More Appealing
Boeing Unifies Safety Responsibilities
Venezuela Creditor Cleared to Resume Citgo Seizure Efforts
Thor Industries Shares Rise on Earnings Beat
U.K. Regulator Tells Auditors to Be Tougher on ‘Going Concern’ Assessment
Forever 21, Teen-Focused Retailer, Files for Bankruptcy
WeWork, After Pulling IPO, Moves to Preserve Cash
Investors Flock to Options Bets
Investors Scramble for Yield as Growth Outlook Darkens
Fed Adds $63.5 Billion to Financial System in Repo Transaction
Investors Seek Middle Ground in Convertible Bonds
GlaxoSmithKline Says Ovarian Cancer Study Validates Tesaro Acquisition
Stocks to Watch: Alphabet, Facebook, UnitedHealth And More
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0119

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-10-01 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933
2019-09-25,295.96,298.11,294.33,297.62,279.2305,71854000.0,0.0059,1.5284,304.8138,289.8632,52.8758,33.5128,11.6203,294.3707,295.426
2019-09-26,297.63,297.86,295.45,297.0,278.6488,56179700.0,-0.0021,1.3232,304.0831,291.4049,52.2805,30.937,11.6203,294.8073,295.4355
2019-09-27,297.83,297.95,293.69,295.4,277.1477,84746600.0,-0.0054,1.0198,303.8552,291.9148,50.7549,9.9738,18.0204,295.1657,295.3788
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507

Johnson & Johnson to Settle Ohio Opioid Lawsuits for $20.4 Million
Slowing Trade Hits Global Manufacturing
Juul Hires Another Top Altria Executive
Schwab Cuts Fees on Online Stock Trades to Zero, Rattling Rivals
Auto-Parts Supplier’s Incoming CFO to Focus on Revenue Boost for Electrical Business
Banks Struggle to Sell About $2 Billion Debt for Apollo Shutterfly Buyout
Stocks Slump as Manufacturing Data Disappoints
Advertising Giant WPP Hires New Finance Chief
Gloomy Economic Outlook Takes Toll on Oil Prices
McCormick Shares Rise on Higher Earnings
U.S. Steel to Buy Stake in Lower-Cost Competitor
Coke to Start Energy-Drink Sales in U.S.
Copper Prices Fall on Weak Manufacturing Data
Ford Retrenches With a Joint Venture in India
Japanese Auto Makers Post Lower Sales
Bayer Bows to Investors With New Board Appointment
Bundesbank President Urges ECB Not to Question Bond-Buying Limits
U.K. Regulator Opens Investigation Into Thomas Cook Audits
How PetSmart Swallowed Chewy—and Proved the Doubters Wrong
Over 2,500 Companies Seek Tariff Exclusions on Chinese Imports
New York Fed Adds About $54.9 Billion to Financial System
Stocks to Watch: Facebook, Apple, McCormick and U.S. Steel
Amazon’s Grocery-Store Plan Advances With Los Angeles Leases
Fed’s Evans: U.S. Still on Path for ‘Solid’ 2.25% GDP This Year
Crypto Startup to Pay $24 Million in SEC Settlement
UPS Gets FAA Nod for Widespread Drone Deliveries
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0177

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-10-02. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933
2019-09-25,295.96,298.11,294.33,297.62,279.2305,71854000.0,0.0059,1.5284,304.8138,289.8632,52.8758,33.5128,11.6203,294.3707,295.426
2019-09-26,297.63,297.86,295.45,297.0,278.6488,56179700.0,-0.0021,1.3232,304.0831,291.4049,52.2805,30.937,11.6203,294.8073,295.4355
2019-09-27,297.83,297.95,293.69,295.4,277.1477,84746600.0,-0.0054,1.0198,303.8552,291.9148,50.7549,9.9738,18.0204,295.1657,295.3788
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291

Foreign-Exchange Brokers Settle Probes Over Phony Trades
U.S. to Impose Tariffs on EU Goods After Airbus Ruling
GoPro Cuts Outlook for Second Half of Year
Boeing Prioritized Costs Over Safety, Engineer Alleges
Blackjewel Cleared to Sell Wyoming Coal Mines Ensnared in Bankruptcy
CSX Makes Its Interim CFO Permanent
Stocks Drop on Worries About Growth
Bankrupt Lab-Testing Startup UBiome Plans to Shut Down, Liquidate
Past Octobers Haunt Investors in U.S. Stocks
E*Trade Joins Rivals in Cutting Commissions to Zero
Home-Builder Stocks Are Sitting Pretty
Safety Stocks Fail to Provide Investors Refuge
Blackstone to Acquire 65% Controlling Interest in Great Wolf Resorts
Metro Bank Founder Vernon W. Hill II Steps Down
Oil Extends Losing Streak on Fears of Excess Supply
Fed’s Williams Defends Rate Cuts, Says Economy in a Good Place
United Natural Foods Stock Slumps As Company Dumps Long-term Outlook
FanDuel Owner Buys PokerStars in $6 Billion Deal
Acuity Brands Sales Fall as Trade War Hampers Demand
Credit Suisse Chief Faces Spy Scandal Aftermath Without Trusted Adviser
Stocks to Watch: Stitch Fix, United Natural Foods, Lennar, Walgreens
Why Your Used Shirts Are Destined for the Dump and Not the Recycling Center
Postmates, DoorDash Want to Deliver Your Groceries, Too
UBS Economist Set to Return After Leave for ‘Chinese Pig’ Comment
Facebook Scrambles to Keep Libra on Track as Partners Waver
CEO of U.K. Grocery Giant Tesco to Step Down
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0082

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-10-03. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-23,297.55,299.0,297.27,298.21,279.784,43476800.0,-0.0002,2.0834,306.061,286.754,53.5857,59.7401,0.9234,293.9417,295.3455
2019-09-24,299.41,299.84,294.81,295.87,277.5886,94869400.0,-0.0078,1.7048,305.6168,287.9852,51.3647,38.1103,9.9422,294.2017,295.3933
2019-09-25,295.96,298.11,294.33,297.62,279.2305,71854000.0,0.0059,1.5284,304.8138,289.8632,52.8758,33.5128,11.6203,294.3707,295.426
2019-09-26,297.63,297.86,295.45,297.0,278.6488,56179700.0,-0.0021,1.3232,304.0831,291.4049,52.2805,30.937,11.6203,294.8073,295.4355
2019-09-27,297.83,297.95,293.69,295.4,277.1477,84746600.0,-0.0054,1.0198,303.8552,291.9148,50.7549,9.9738,18.0204,295.1657,295.3788
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291
2019-10-02,291.5,291.51,286.64,288.06,270.2612,122539500.0,-0.0177,-0.2547,304.3054,291.5486,44.4746,-114.607,43.7313,295.3923,295.1388

Clarida Says Fed Will Do What It Takes to Sustain Growth
Sports Illustrated Operator Cuts 25% of Staff
Ron Perelman’s Deluxe Entertainment Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Costco Reports Strong Sales
Digital Ad Companies to Merge
Prosecutors Charge Six Allegedly Linked to Death of HQ Trivia Co-Founder
Euro Drifts Toward Its Lowest Level Against Dollar In Years
Hawaiian Airlines’ Antitrust Request Turned Down
CFOs Could Look to Change Disclosure Practices Following Volkswagen Scandal
PepsiCo Revenue Climbs, but Profit Drops on Higher Expenses
D.C. Arena Wants to Be the First Sports Venue to Add Gambling
What to Know About Missing a Student-Loan Payment
Stocks Bounce Back on Hopes for Rate Cut
Big Brewer to Launch Corona-Spiked Seltzer as Pot Bet Sours
Services Stumble Threatens Sharper Slowdown
Fed’s Mester Warns Low Rates Can Fuel Financial Imbalances
Big Tobacco’s Longest-Serving CEO Unexpectedly Resigns
Soybean Futures Bounce Back After China Restarts Purchases
FTC Probes E-Cigarette Sales and Promotional Methods
Retailers Give Sunny Holiday Forecast but Sound a Warning
‘Active Interest’: Insurance Tycoon Spied on Women Who Caught His Eye
Old Swiss Franc Mortgages Could Come Back to Haunt Polish Banks
You’re in Your 60s and Haven’t Saved Enough. Here’s What to Do.
U.K. Farmers Rush to Sell Produce Ahead of October Brexit Deadline
Stocks Are Off to Ominous Start in Fourth Quarter
IMF’s New Chief Vows to ‘Fix the Roof’ Before Storm Hits
Here Is How Interconnected Manufacturing Is Across the Globe
Barneys Finds a Potential Buyer in Bankruptcy Court
Industrial Stocks Poised for Their Worst Week Since December
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0135

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-10-07 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-27,297.83,297.95,293.69,295.4,277.1477,84746600.0,-0.0054,1.0198,303.8552,291.9148,50.7549,9.9738,18.0204,295.1657,295.3788
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291
2019-10-02,291.5,291.51,286.64,288.06,270.2612,122539500.0,-0.0177,-0.2547,304.3054,291.5486,44.4746,-114.607,43.7313,295.3923,295.1388
2019-10-03,287.81,290.45,284.82,290.42,272.4754,85278800.0,0.0082,-0.6379,304.7659,290.3481,46.6666,-111.079,47.2702,295.3247,295.0023
2019-10-04,291.14,294.63,291.08,294.35,276.1625,65091200.0,0.0135,-0.6174,304.7163,290.0277,50.0626,-32.5752,27.5723,295.391,294.9197

Musicians Seek Residual Payments From Streamed Programs
Sears Wins Liquidation Plan Approval as Lengthy Bankruptcy Nears End
U.S. Stocks Tick Lower as Investors Await Trade Developments
NBA’s China Flap Highlights High-Wire Act for American Firms
Southwest Airlines Pilots Union Sues Boeing, Alleging Lost Compensation
GE to Freeze Pensions for 20,000 Workers
Vaping Crisis Hits Cannabis Stocks
Oil Prices Inch Lower as Dollar Rises Ahead of Trade Talks
Bonobos Trims Jobs as Owner Walmart Seeks to Cut E-commerce Losses
Fed’s Kashkari Supports Rate Cuts, But Unsure How Many More Are Needed
Fed Chair Powell Underscores Importance of Independent Central Bank
Bitcoin Slumps as Launch of Bakkt Futures Market Disappoints
Republican Canaries in the Impeachment Coal Mine
HSBC Plans Job Cuts as Interim CEO Seeks to Make His Mark
Next Insurance Raises $250 Million From Munich Re
Corporate CFOs in High Demand at Charities as Budgets Come Under Scrutiny
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0155

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-10-08. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291
2019-10-02,291.5,291.51,286.64,288.06,270.2612,122539500.0,-0.0177,-0.2547,304.3054,291.5486,44.4746,-114.607,43.7313,295.3923,295.1388
2019-10-03,287.81,290.45,284.82,290.42,272.4754,85278800.0,0.0082,-0.6379,304.7659,290.3481,46.6666,-111.079,47.2702,295.3247,295.0023
2019-10-04,291.14,294.63,291.08,294.35,276.1625,65091200.0,0.0135,-0.6174,304.7163,290.0277,50.0626,-32.5752,27.5723,295.391,294.9197
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935

James River Group to Cancel Auto Insurance for Uber Affiliate Rasier
GM-UAW Contract Talks Zero In on Wages
J&J Hit With $8 Billion Jury Award Over Antipsychotic Drug
U.S. Steel to Cut Costs, Swap CFO
Fed to Buy More Treasurys in Effort to Avoid Funding-Market Strains
Recent Pullback in Gold Could Provide Buying Opportunity
For Sale at YouTube: Political Ad Space in 2020
U.S. Stocks Fall on Trade Worries
Fed Adds $76.4 Billion to Financial System in Latest Repo Transaction
Natural-Gas Producers Hard Hit by Tanking Prices
Domino’s Shares Rebound Despite Sales-Growth Warning
Boeing Logs First MAX Order Since April
Arizona Wavers on Purdue Pharma Opioid Settlement Terms
Domino’s Tempers Outlook as Delivery Battle Heats Up
Oracle to Make 2,000 Hires in Cloud Push
Secret Manhattan Condo Purchases Are Dead, Thanks to a Suburban Squabble
Minnesota, Long a Bright Economic Star, Wonders What’s Next
Tesla Needs Its Battery Maker. A Culture Clash Threatens Their Relationship.
IMF and World Bank’s New Leaders Warn of Deteriorating Global Outlook
Sony: Next PlayStation Coming Next Year
China, NBA Standoff Deepens Over Executive’s Tweet
Blackstone Sells Last of Record Office Purchase, Books a $7 Billion Profit
U.S. Producer Prices Unexpectedly Declined in September
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren
Corporate Board Elections Get Less Cozy
Hong Kong Stock Exchange Pulls $37 Billion Bid for London Rival
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0095

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-10-09. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291
2019-10-02,291.5,291.51,286.64,288.06,270.2612,122539500.0,-0.0177,-0.2547,304.3054,291.5486,44.4746,-114.607,43.7313,295.3923,295.1388
2019-10-03,287.81,290.45,284.82,290.42,272.4754,85278800.0,0.0082,-0.6379,304.7659,290.3481,46.6666,-111.079,47.2702,295.3247,295.0023
2019-10-04,291.14,294.63,291.08,294.35,276.1625,65091200.0,0.0135,-0.6174,304.7163,290.0277,50.0626,-32.5752,27.5723,295.391,294.9197
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935
2019-10-08,291.04,291.85,288.49,288.53,270.7021,95708100.0,-0.0155,-1.1119,305.1054,288.1666,45.504,-110.3919,34.8602,295.683,294.5898

Matt Lauer Denies Rape Allegation in Coming Book by Ronan Farrow
Andreessen Horowitz Leads $300 Million Investment in RigUp
NBA Events in China Disrupted Over Hong Kong Tweet
PG&E’s Bankruptcy Judge Opens the Door to Rival Chapter 11 Exit Plan
Fed Officials Last Month Worried Trade War Could Curb Hiring, U.S. Economy
Alibaba to Stop Sales of E-Cigarettes to U.S. Buyers
Target’s Chief Merchant Quits to Run Bed Bath & Beyond
Boaz Weinstein’s Hedge Fund Battle with Neuberger Berman Gets More Heated
AT&T to Sell Puerto Rico Business as It Looks to Pay Down Debt
Rebound in Bank Stocks Was Short-Lived
Stocks Climb on Trade Optimism
SEC Launches Probe of Retirement Plans for Government Employees
Oil Ends Little Changed as Oversupply Worries Linger
U.S. Worker Demand Softened Over the Summer
Money Managers Gain Sway Over Muni Market
Miners’ New Worry: Other People’s Pollution
American Delays 737 MAX’s Return,  Grounding Costs Mount
PG&E Starts to Cut Power for Nearly 800,000 Customers
Europe’s Old Universities Spin Out New Tech Companies
Fed Minutes to Shed Light on Internal Debate Over Rates
New Cocoa-Pricing Method Makes for a Hot Commodity
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0068

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-10-10. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-09-30,295.97,297.55,295.92,296.77,278.433,51662400.0,0.0046,0.8798,303.5315,292.6705,51.9957,23.6993,18.0204,295.4297,295.3507
2019-10-01,297.74,298.46,293.0,293.24,275.1211,88242400.0,-0.0119,0.4784,303.0209,293.4311,48.7234,-9.7205,27.9166,295.46,295.291
2019-10-02,291.5,291.51,286.64,288.06,270.2612,122539500.0,-0.0177,-0.2547,304.3054,291.5486,44.4746,-114.607,43.7313,295.3923,295.1388
2019-10-03,287.81,290.45,284.82,290.42,272.4754,85278800.0,0.0082,-0.6379,304.7659,290.3481,46.6666,-111.079,47.2702,295.3247,295.0023
2019-10-04,291.14,294.63,291.08,294.35,276.1625,65091200.0,0.0135,-0.6174,304.7163,290.0277,50.0626,-32.5752,27.5723,295.391,294.9197
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935
2019-10-08,291.04,291.85,288.49,288.53,270.7021,95708100.0,-0.0155,-1.1119,305.1054,288.1666,45.504,-110.3919,34.8602,295.683,294.5898
2019-10-09,290.75,292.3,290.06,291.27,273.2729,62359400.0,0.0095,-1.2068,304.8006,287.5734,47.8344,-86.6811,32.8764,295.8297,294.448

Delta Hires to Avoid Repeat of Summer Squeeze
Walmart’s U.S. Stores Chief to Leave
Fed’s Kashkari: If Data Continues As It Has, Another Rate Cut Is Warranted
NBCU Cable Networks Refuse to Air Trump Campaign Ad Aimed at Joe Biden
Fed Gives Large Banks a Break on Postcrisis Rules
Luxury Shares Jump After LVMH Powers Through Hong Kong Protests
Bed Bath & Beyond Shares Stage Rally on CEO Change
Barneys, Racing to Avoid Liquidation, Now at Odds With Lenders
PG&E Shares Slide as Judge Permits Rival Bankruptcy Plan
American Shuffles Executives Amid Operational Turmoil
Stocks Climb on Trump’s Plan to Meet With China Trade Negotiator
U.K. Regulator Tells Companies to Improve Financial Disclosures
Dyson Abandons Electric-Car Race
U.S. Inflation Cooled at the End of the Summer
Fidelity Cuts Online Trading Commissions to Zero
That Superlow Mortgage Rate? It Could Be Even Lower
WSJ Survey: Most Economists Say Manufacturing in Recession
U.S. Steel Boosts Revenue Outlook
ECB Minutes Show Lagarde Will Inherit a Fractured Institution
Fed's Kaplan: Reserving Judgment on Need for Another Rate Cut
Exploding Kittens Draws Funding to Create More Games, Explore Entertainment
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0104

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-10-14. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-10-04,291.14,294.63,291.08,294.35,276.1625,65091200.0,0.0135,-0.6174,304.7163,290.0277,50.0626,-32.5752,27.5723,295.391,294.9197
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935
2019-10-08,291.04,291.85,288.49,288.53,270.7021,95708100.0,-0.0155,-1.1119,305.1054,288.1666,45.504,-110.3919,34.8602,295.683,294.5898
2019-10-09,290.75,292.3,290.06,291.27,273.2729,62359400.0,0.0095,-1.2068,304.8006,287.5734,47.8344,-86.6811,32.8764,295.8297,294.448
2019-10-10,291.18,294.21,291.0,293.24,275.1211,55296300.0,0.0068,-1.1102,304.1426,287.4264,49.4424,-62.5014,24.5624,295.9747,294.373
2019-10-11,296.27,298.74,296.14,296.28,277.9732,98720400.0,0.0104,-0.7794,303.5277,287.5603,51.8135,21.1664,7.5083,296.098,294.3305

Foreign Markets Are Caught in Dollar’s Web
Boeing’s New Chairman Is a Boardroom Force Familiar With Crises
Early Blizzard Wallops Vulnerable Crops
Interest Rates Are Falling—but Your Credit-Card Rate Could Be Going Up
Four Stocks to Watch After Fastenal Topped Forecasts
Harley-Davidson Halts Electric Motorcycle Production
New LyondellBasell CFO Faces Slowdown in Demand for Plastics, Chemicals
U.S. Stocks Inch Lower in Quiet Session
Oil Takes Hit Amid Wariness Over Trade Deal
WeWork Debacle Highlights Risks of High Valuations Set by Existing Investors
Chinese Tech Mogul Jia Yueting Files for Bankruptcy in U.S.
Biden vs. Warren: A Difference of Philosophy, Not Just Policy
‘Sense of Dread’: How a Mining Disaster in Brazil Raised Alarms in Minnesota
Johnson & Johnson’s Legal Challenges Mount
Who Pays What in Taxes? The Answer Isn’t So Simple.
Give Us Your Rich, Europe Tells the U.K.
Deere Ramps Up Leases as Sales Slow
Companies Say Costs of Complying With Goodwill Accounting Rules Outweigh Benefits
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0099

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-10-15. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935
2019-10-08,291.04,291.85,288.49,288.53,270.7021,95708100.0,-0.0155,-1.1119,305.1054,288.1666,45.504,-110.3919,34.8602,295.683,294.5898
2019-10-09,290.75,292.3,290.06,291.27,273.2729,62359400.0,0.0095,-1.2068,304.8006,287.5734,47.8344,-86.6811,32.8764,295.8297,294.448
2019-10-10,291.18,294.21,291.0,293.24,275.1211,55296300.0,0.0068,-1.1102,304.1426,287.4264,49.4424,-62.5014,24.5624,295.9747,294.373
2019-10-11,296.27,298.74,296.14,296.28,277.9732,98720400.0,0.0104,-0.7794,303.5277,287.5603,51.8135,21.1664,7.5083,296.098,294.3305
2019-10-14,295.93,296.67,295.57,295.95,277.6636,40394800.0,-0.0011,-0.5377,303.0213,287.6457,51.5421,-2.2115,9.1808,296.2147,294.3102

América Móvil Reports 31% Drop in  Net Profit on Forex Losses
MGM Resorts to Sell Bellagio, Circus Circus Properties in Las Vegas
FirstEnergy Solutions’ Restructuring Plan Gets Bankruptcy Court Approval
Brexit Hopes Carry Pound and Banking Stocks Higher
Dollar’s Stability Continues to Hurt Commodities
Johnson & Johnson Raises Outlook, Beats Profit Estimates
United Raises Outlook on Robust Demand
New Gilead CFO Expected to Pursue More Deals to Expand Portfolio
Treasury Rally, Low Rates Key to Stock Gains: Bill Gross
JPMorgan Flexes Muscle as Goldman Stumbles
U.S. Stocks Rise as Earnings Season Kicks Off
Pinterest Shares Slide as Lockup Expires
UnitedHealth Raises Profit Targets on Higher Sales
Nevada Regulator Seeks to Ban Steve Wynn From State’s Casino Industry
SmileDirectClub Shares Hit Low After California Bill
Taco Bell Recalls Some Seasoned Beef
Goldman Profit Drops 26% as Deals Slow, Tech Struggles
Fed Paper Says Negative Rate Policy Can Provide Real Stimulus
TikTok to Review Content-Moderation Policy After Censorship Accusation
Citigroup Hits Return Target, Profit Rises
JPMorgan Posts Seventh Straight Profit Gain
Trade Skepticism Further Fuels Investors’ Push Into Cash, Treasurys
Audit Watchdog Plagued by Internal Strife, Whistleblower Claims
Long-Term Inflation Expectations Hit Record Low: N.Y. Fed
So You Make $100,000? It Still Might Not Be Enough to Buy a Home.
Fed Adds $87.7 Billion To Financial System in Latest Repo Transactions
Global Economy on Course for Weakest Growth Since Crisis
Aldi, Lidl Cut Into U.S. Grocers’ Turf
Star Manager’s Flagship Fund to Close After Suspension
Fed’s James Bullard Cites Risk of Slowing Economy
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0016

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the $SPY index's direction, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-10-16. If the expected alteration is less than 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', coupled with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-10-07,293.47,295.26,292.77,293.08,274.971,59610500.0,-0.0043,-0.6956,304.6921,289.5399,49.0192,-32.6301,24.8812,295.6653,294.7935
2019-10-08,291.04,291.85,288.49,288.53,270.7021,95708100.0,-0.0155,-1.1119,305.1054,288.1666,45.504,-110.3919,34.8602,295.683,294.5898
2019-10-09,290.75,292.3,290.06,291.27,273.2729,62359400.0,0.0095,-1.2068,304.8006,287.5734,47.8344,-86.6811,32.8764,295.8297,294.448
2019-10-10,291.18,294.21,291.0,293.24,275.1211,55296300.0,0.0068,-1.1102,304.1426,287.4264,49.4424,-62.5014,24.5624,295.9747,294.373
2019-10-11,296.27,298.74,296.14,296.28,277.9732,98720400.0,0.0104,-0.7794,303.5277,287.5603,51.8135,21.1664,7.5083,296.098,294.3305
2019-10-14,295.93,296.67,295.57,295.95,277.6636,40394800.0,-0.0011,-0.5377,303.0213,287.6457,51.5421,-2.2115,9.1808,296.2147,294.3102
2019-10-15,297.1,299.7,296.97,298.88,280.4126,46754500.0,0.0099,-0.1084,302.6568,287.8062,53.7668,48.9795,0.9924,296.486,294.3265

Authentic Brands Teams With Saks to Bid for Barneys
Endeavor Formally Drops Its IPO Plans
Netflix Subscribers Fall Slightly Short of Expectations
Highland Capital Management Files for Bankruptcy
UAW, GM Reach Tentative Labor Deal
Alcoa Plans Up to $1 Billion in Asset Sales Amid Growth Fears
Bank of America Profit Falls on Charge
Fed Is Buying Treasurys Again. Don’t Call It Quantitative Easing.
Regional Lenders Lean on Fees to Fuel Revenue Growth
U.S. Stocks Slip as Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall
Retail Stocks Shrug Off Weak Data
Natural-Gas Prices Fall on Supply Worries
SharkNinja and iRobot’s Vacuum Dispute Lands in Federal Court
Amazon’s Deliveroo Investment Attracts Formal U.K. Probe
FASB Delays Implementation of Accounting Standards for Some Companies
J&J Offers $4 Billion Opioid Litigation Settlement
U.S. Retail Sales Fell in September
Inside Facebook’s Botched Attempt to Start a New Cryptocurrency
Huawei Extends Hot Streak in the Face of U.S. Blacklisting
KKR Lines Up New Leaders for Private-Equity Businesses
IBM Poised for Another Sales Slide Despite Red Hat Deal
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0029

Rejected response: Rise