Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-06-11 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-03,275.31,276.55,273.09,274.57,255.1795,96428000.0,-0.0025,-2.9585,292.9748,274.4452,41.2476,-176.8969,41.8901,286.665,285.429
2019-06-04,277.12,280.68,276.62,280.53,260.7185,77231900.0,0.0217,-2.7454,291.3963,274.7947,47.5097,-100.9166,21.9273,286.3403,285.5302
2019-06-05,282.33,282.99,280.32,282.96,262.9769,71169700.0,0.0087,-2.3533,290.8299,274.8641,49.7679,-55.902,12.4667,286.0097,285.6055
2019-06-06,283.29,285.55,282.57,284.8,264.6869,69430400.0,0.0065,-1.8725,290.4458,274.9752,51.4054,-19.9791,2.999,285.762,285.694
2019-06-07,285.93,288.85,285.74,287.65,267.3357,74272200.0,0.01,-1.2471,290.6134,274.9066,53.8178,30.6839,7.707,285.6153,285.7992
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293

Deutsche Bank Warns Clients They Could Be Cut Off in Compliance Effort
Drones to Carry People Have Yet to Take Off, but They Will Have a Place to Land
Defense Contractors Join Forces as Pentagon Spending Slows
Insys Bankruptcy Could Complicate Test Case Against Opioid Makers
Renault’s Boss Is Stymied by French Government
Investors Shouldn’t Take This Beanbag Maker’s Warning Sitting Down
U.S. Oil, Gas Hit Record Production Levels in 2018
Tech’s Best Stretch Since 2011 Rejuvenates Market Rally
SNC-Lavalin Names Ian Edwards as Interim CEO in Shake-Up
Beyond Meat Shares Lose Some Sizzle
Stocks Slip as Investors Weigh Trade Against Monetary Policy
Copper Rallies on Chinese Infrastructure Hopes
Tax Prep Giant H&R Block Rides the Wave
T-Mobile, Sprint Merger Challenged by States
USDA Cuts Projections for Corn Production to Four-Year Low After Wet Planting Season
CFOs Are Underestimating the Financial Risks of Climate Change, Executives Say
Neiman Marcus Offers More Discounts to Stay Competitive
U.S. Producer Prices Up Slightly in May, Showing Little Inflation Pressure
Stocks to Watch: Shutterfly, Barnes & Noble, Chico’s, Ascena Retail
EU Blocks Merger of Steelmaking Units of Tata, Thyssenkrupp
Fight for Supremacy in Indoor Farming Escalates With New Funding
Glynn’s Take: Extended Downturn a Growing Risk for Australia
Five Myths About Commodities Investing
Technology Could Slow Pace of New Accounting Rules, Regulators Say
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0018

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-06-12. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-03,275.31,276.55,273.09,274.57,255.1795,96428000.0,-0.0025,-2.9585,292.9748,274.4452,41.2476,-176.8969,41.8901,286.665,285.429
2019-06-04,277.12,280.68,276.62,280.53,260.7185,77231900.0,0.0217,-2.7454,291.3963,274.7947,47.5097,-100.9166,21.9273,286.3403,285.5302
2019-06-05,282.33,282.99,280.32,282.96,262.9769,71169700.0,0.0087,-2.3533,290.8299,274.8641,49.7679,-55.902,12.4667,286.0097,285.6055
2019-06-06,283.29,285.55,282.57,284.8,264.6869,69430400.0,0.0065,-1.8725,290.4458,274.9752,51.4054,-19.9791,2.999,285.762,285.694
2019-06-07,285.93,288.85,285.74,287.65,267.3357,74272200.0,0.01,-1.2471,290.6134,274.9066,53.8178,30.6839,7.707,285.6153,285.7992
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558

Busy IPO Market Offers Lifeline to Troubled Retailers
CFOs Grapple With How Much Cybersecurity Spending is Enough
Walmart to Fold Jet.com Staff Into Operations
Lululemon Reports Higher Sales, Raises Full-Year Outlook
Tech Giants Google, Facebook and Amazon Intensify Antitrust Debate
RH Raises Outlook, Plays Down Impact From Higher China Tariffs
Dave & Buster’s Share Slide Has Bad Timing
Walmart Shares Zip Past Amazon
Truist Financial Is New Name for Combined BB&T, SunTrust
Stocks Edge Lower, Extending Losses
Jerry Jones Is Betting on Natural Gas. Should You?
KKR Swoops for Axel Springer Stake
Oil Prices Stumble on Fears of Falling Demand
Falling Mortgage Rates Spur Application Frenzy
KKR Doubles Down on House Flippers
Facebook Emails Suggest Zuckerberg Knew of Problematic Privacy Practices
Norway Fund Boosts Renewable Energy, Divests Fossil Fuels
U.S. Consumer Prices Edged Higher in May
Bill Daley, Ex-Obama Chief of Staff, Is Going Back to Wall Street
The Woman Leading PBS Through TV’s Time of Turmoil
Puerto Rico Pension Deal Scales Back on Planned Cuts to Retiree Benefits
Durex Owner Names Pepsi Executive as CEO
China Brokerage’s $2 Billion Offering Kick-Starts London Stock Link
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0041

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-06-13. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-03,275.31,276.55,273.09,274.57,255.1795,96428000.0,-0.0025,-2.9585,292.9748,274.4452,41.2476,-176.8969,41.8901,286.665,285.429
2019-06-04,277.12,280.68,276.62,280.53,260.7185,77231900.0,0.0217,-2.7454,291.3963,274.7947,47.5097,-100.9166,21.9273,286.3403,285.5302
2019-06-05,282.33,282.99,280.32,282.96,262.9769,71169700.0,0.0087,-2.3533,290.8299,274.8641,49.7679,-55.902,12.4667,286.0097,285.6055
2019-06-06,283.29,285.55,282.57,284.8,264.6869,69430400.0,0.0065,-1.8725,290.4458,274.9752,51.4054,-19.9791,2.999,285.762,285.694
2019-06-07,285.93,288.85,285.74,287.65,267.3357,74272200.0,0.01,-1.2471,290.6134,274.9066,53.8178,30.6839,7.707,285.6153,285.7992
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558
2019-06-12,288.64,289.26,287.82,288.39,268.0235,47096300.0,-0.0018,0.1781,292.1453,274.7647,54.2999,59.7362,9.4763,285.114,286.1568

Third Point Calls for Breakup of Sony —Again
Chewy IPO Prices Above High End of Range
Facebook’s New Cryptocurrency, Libra, Gets Big Backers
New Fund for Southeast Asia Tech Hits First Close
Ascena Brings On Gordon Brothers to Shut Down Dressbarn Stores
Utilities, Other ‘Safety’ Stocks Rise Alongside Market Uncertainty
Elliott Deal Undervalues Barnes & Noble, Investor Group Says
Tanker Attacks Lift Oil Prices, Improve Shale Producers’ Outlook
Energy Stocks Push U.S. Benchmarks Higher
CrowdStrike Joins Cybersecurity Winning Streak
Abraaj Founder Accused of Misappropriating More Than $250 Million as Probe Widens
Former Fidelity Manager, Accused of Harassment in 2017, Plots a Comeback
Vintage Capital Presses for Auction of Red Robin Burger Chain
Buyout Won’t Solve Saks Owner’s Big Issue: Department Stores Are Dying
Vale Mine Dams Often Lacked Stability Certificates
Boeing 737 MAX Grounding Ripples Through Supply Chain
BlackRock Splits Leadership Roles at European Stock-Picking Unit
Trump Tariffs Are Short-Term Pain Without Long-Term Gain, Economists Say
HSBC Carves Special Role as Banker to the Saudis
British Contract Flippers Stymied by Faltering London Market
How Washington Learned to Love Debt and Deficits
CFOs Emphasize Career Development to Boost Employee Retention
Regulator Fines PwC for Audit Shortfalls Related to British Service Provider
Alibaba Files Plans to List in Hong Kong
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Employers Help Workers Set Up Emergency Savings Accounts
Hong Kong Interbank Rates Hit Highest Since 2008
Tariffs Loom Over Car Makers
KPMG to Pay as Much as $50 Million to Settle SEC Probe
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0011

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-06-17. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-07,285.93,288.85,285.74,287.65,267.3357,74272200.0,0.01,-1.2471,290.6134,274.9066,53.8178,30.6839,7.707,285.6153,285.7992
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558
2019-06-12,288.64,289.26,287.82,288.39,268.0235,47096300.0,-0.0018,0.1781,292.1453,274.7647,54.2999,59.7362,9.4763,285.114,286.1568
2019-06-13,289.4,289.98,288.62,289.58,269.1293,48945200.0,0.0041,0.5347,292.7729,274.5891,55.3247,79.6594,11.8389,285.0397,286.2765
2019-06-14,289.26,289.93,288.41,289.26,268.832,52324700.0,-0.0011,0.7825,293.0212,274.4968,54.9817,78.6241,10.9362,284.9757,286.405

Bitcoin Tops $9,000 as Crypto Rally Trounces Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Oil
D.C. Budget Standoff Comes to a Head Tuesday
McKinsey Says Disclosure Payout Could Benefit Its Employees
Deutsche Bank Senior European Equities Banker Edward Sankey to Leave
FAA Seeks to Enable Return of Supersonic Passenger Aircraft
New Fundraising Channel for China Inc. Opens in London
Stocks Climb Ahead of Central-Bank Meetings
Ripple to Invest Up to $50 Million in MoneyGram
Oil’s Slide Highlights Global-Growth Fears
Meat Producers Hit on Flooding Concerns
Pfizer to Buy Array BioPharma
Growth Fears Override Supply Squeeze for Beaten-Down Copper
Boeing’s New Long-Haul Jet Faces Delay
Real-Estate Stocks Rise To New Highs
Airbus Jumps Ahead of Boeing in Midsize-Plane Battle
What Lies Behind Rising U.S.-Iran Tensions
Strong Returns Lift Pay for Software CEOs
Stocks to Watch: Dish Network, Chewy, Home Depot, Pfizer and More
Forget the Mall, Shoppers Are Buying Gucci at Airports
Collective Health Raises $205 Million in SoftBank-Led Funding Round
Chinese Regulators Try to Calm Fears of a Funding Squeeze
Questions Over Drivers and Wine Storage Push Out Senior ANZ Executive
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0105

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-06-18 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558
2019-06-12,288.64,289.26,287.82,288.39,268.0235,47096300.0,-0.0018,0.1781,292.1453,274.7647,54.2999,59.7362,9.4763,285.114,286.1568
2019-06-13,289.4,289.98,288.62,289.58,269.1293,48945200.0,0.0041,0.5347,292.7729,274.5891,55.3247,79.6594,11.8389,285.0397,286.2765
2019-06-14,289.26,289.93,288.41,289.26,268.832,52324700.0,-0.0011,0.7825,293.0212,274.4968,54.9817,78.6241,10.9362,284.9757,286.405
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823

Trump Suggests He Could Consider Demoting Fed Chairman
PG&E Reaches $1 Billion Settlement With Paradise, California Governments
U.S. Steel to Idle Two Furnaces
Boeing Ends Order Drought Triggered by 737 MAX Crisis
China Cracks Down on Canadian Pork
Investors Bet That Visa, Mastercard Can Stand Up to Libra
Saudis to Push for OPEC Cuts, Despite Tanker Attacks
Energy Stocks and Bonds Follow Oil Lower
News Corp to Consider Selling News America Marketing Unit
Forever 21 Seeks Advice to Avoid Bankruptcy
U.S. Stocks Surge, Bond Yields Slip
Lumber Prices Climb on Cutbacks at Canadian Sawmills
Amazon Rents More Jets to Expand Next-Day Delivery
Scotch Breaks With Tradition to Woo New Drinkers
Senators Pressure TD Bank to Pay Victims of Stanford Ponzi Scheme
D.C. Council, CFO Resolve FY2020 Budget Impasse
Black Cube: The Bumbling Spies of the ‘Private Mossad’
Deutsche Bank Senior U.S. Bankers Poised to Leave
Markets Weigh Up Draghi Versus Trump
Kellogg Plans Job Cuts Amid North America Reorganization
Bonuses Drop, Signaling Tax-Cut Payouts Were a One-Time Windfall
ECB Signals Possible Rate Cut, Prompting Trump Rebuke
Volkswagen’s Truck Unit IPO Signals Broader Restructuring
Art Collector Patrick Drahi to Take Sotheby’s Private in $2.7 Billion Deal
U.S. Housing Starts Fell in May
Private-Equity Firms Are Raising Bigger and Bigger Funds. They Often Don’t Deliver.
Bitcoin Fans Spy Opportunity in Facebook Libra Launch
Markets Bet on Fed Rate Cut—but Goldman, UBS Don’t Agree
Cerberus Hunts for Yield in Mongolia
Plan for a Xi-Kim Summit Boosts North Korea-Linked Stocks
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0023

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-06-19 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558
2019-06-12,288.64,289.26,287.82,288.39,268.0235,47096300.0,-0.0018,0.1781,292.1453,274.7647,54.2999,59.7362,9.4763,285.114,286.1568
2019-06-13,289.4,289.98,288.62,289.58,269.1293,48945200.0,0.0041,0.5347,292.7729,274.5891,55.3247,79.6594,11.8389,285.0397,286.2765
2019-06-14,289.26,289.93,288.41,289.26,268.832,52324700.0,-0.0011,0.7825,293.0212,274.4968,54.9817,78.6241,10.9362,284.9757,286.405
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015

Cities, States Denied Committee Seats in Opioid Maker’s Bankruptcy
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Hints at Cuts if Outlook Doesn’t Improve
Fed, Congress Promise Scrutiny of Facebook Cryptocurrency
Merck Seeks More Deals as It Expands Its Cancer Treatments Portfolio
Women Working Longer Hours, Sleeping Less, as They Juggle Commitments
Boeing’s Latest 737 MAX Concern: Pilots’ Physical Strength
Tapestry’s New CFO Pick Signals Shift Toward Operations Focus
FTC Approves UnitedHealth’s $4.3 Billion Purchase of DaVita Physicians Group
Executive Turnover Clouds Deutsche Bank’s Wall Street Future
Cryptocurrency Startups Are in Regulatory Limbo
Thank Boeing for the Dow’s Latest Rise
Stocks Rise as Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged
June Fed Meeting Causes Stocks to Buck Trend
American Airlines Orders 50 Airbus Jets, in Blow to Boeing
Oil Declines as Demand Concerns Persist
Fed’s Bullard Voted Against Rate Decision
FASB Advances Toward Easing Accounting Burden for Libor Phaseout
Suspected Iranian Oil Caught in Sanctions Trap
NASA Chief Sees Private Spacecraft Potentially Reaching Moon First
Arch Coal, Peabody Energy to Form Coal Joint Venture
The Future of Housing Rises in Phoenix
Old Intersects With New in This Former Dutch Church
Ditech Finds Two Buyers For Its Mortgage Servicing and Originations Business
Stocks to Watch: Viacom, CBS, Adobe, and Jabil
Barnes & Noble Narrows Loss, but Sales Decline
Fed, Facing Pressure on Rate Cut, to Decide on Next Move
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0096

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-06-20 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-10,289.37,290.82,288.87,288.97,268.5625,60799100.0,0.0046,-0.6376,290.79,274.817,54.8907,67.6588,13.448,285.4673,285.9293
2019-06-11,290.99,291.4,288.18,288.9,268.4974,58641300.0,-0.0002,-0.1584,291.5801,274.8309,54.8209,71.4436,10.8659,285.3017,286.0558
2019-06-12,288.64,289.26,287.82,288.39,268.0235,47096300.0,-0.0018,0.1781,292.1453,274.7647,54.2999,59.7362,9.4763,285.114,286.1568
2019-06-13,289.4,289.98,288.62,289.58,269.1293,48945200.0,0.0041,0.5347,292.7729,274.5891,55.3247,79.6594,11.8389,285.0397,286.2765
2019-06-14,289.26,289.93,288.41,289.26,268.832,52324700.0,-0.0011,0.7825,293.0212,274.4968,54.9817,78.6241,10.9362,284.9757,286.405
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015
2019-06-19,292.55,293.65,291.47,293.06,272.3637,78674400.0,0.0023,1.6959,295.6501,273.7209,58.2845,139.8844,23.4057,284.9773,286.9352

Former WeWork Executives Allege Gender, Age Discrimination
Enterprise-Technology Companies Trigger Investor Zeal
Sealed Air Fires CFO, Citing SEC Investigation
Marathon Petroleum’s Former CFO Back in Role
AICPA Proposes Overhaul of Evidence Standards in Private-Company Audits
Quadriga Founder Spent Client Money, Monitor Says
Gun Stocks Tick Up Amid Political Uncertainty
Investors Dodge Global Worries in Currencies of Egypt, Ukraine
Justice Department Moves to Block Printer Deal
Walmart to Pay $282 Million to Settle Claims of Corrupt Payments Abroad
Blame Brexit for Carnival’s Sinking Shares
PayPal’s Operating Chief to Leave Company
S&P 500 Hits Record Close After Fed Hints of Interest-Rate Cut
U.S. Companies Brought Home More Profits From Overseas
Sears Retirees Win Committee Status Over Insurance Termination
Carnival Lowers Profit Forecast on Cuba Travel Ban, Slower Europe Demand
Middle East Clashes Send Oil Sharply Higher
Kroger Seeks Patience As It Works to Reshape Business
Supreme Court Will Review Puerto Rico Board Appointments
McDonald’s Tests Robot Fryers and Voice-Activated Drive-Throughs
Boeing Focuses on Safety, Not Sales, at Paris Air Show
Shares of French Bank Natixis Fall on Fund-Liquidity Concerns
Facebook’s Libra Needs Scrutiny, BOE’s Carney Says
IPO Season Establishes New Crop of Venture-Capital Leaders
The Next Big Privacy Concern Is Up in the Air
U.S. Jobless Claims Decreased Last Week
UBS ‘Chinese Pig’ Apology Doesn’t Fly
Bank of Japan Runs Short of Options to Combat Threats to Growth
Fannie and Freddie’s Latest Push: Factory-Built Homes
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0063

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-06-24. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-14,289.26,289.93,288.41,289.26,268.832,52324700.0,-0.0011,0.7825,293.0212,274.4968,54.9817,78.6241,10.9362,284.9757,286.405
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015
2019-06-19,292.55,293.65,291.47,293.06,272.3637,78674400.0,0.0023,1.6959,295.6501,273.7209,58.2845,139.8844,23.4057,284.9773,286.9352
2019-06-20,296.04,296.31,293.13,295.86,274.9659,116570000.0,0.0096,2.1639,297.2477,273.1462,60.5549,168.0852,31.2935,285.255,287.1808
2019-06-21,294.13,295.52,293.76,294.0,274.5662,83309500.0,-0.0063,2.3575,298.3633,273.2167,58.3717,142.0996,31.2935,285.4997,287.42

Blackstone-Inspired Defaults Under U.S., U.K. Spotlight
Eldorado Resorts to Buy Caesars in $8.58 Billion Casino Deal
Tweets, Trade and the Fed Now Have Markets Moving in Packs
Investors Play Offense With Defense-Focused Stocks
Bigger Is Better in U.S. Stock Market
Antitrust Concerns Delay Bristol-Myers’ $74 Billion Merger With Celgene
Drill Maker Schramm Files for Bankruptcy, Plotting Sale
Stocks Meander Around Flat Line
Investors Are Glum, Even With Stocks at All-Time Highs
Fed Chairman Powell to Testify Before House Committee on July 10
U.S. Oil Exports Rising Amid Middle Eastern Turmoil
Federal Job-Training Programs ‘Largely Ineffective,’ Trump’s Advisers Find
Dallas Fed President: Too Early to Tell Whether Rate Cut Will Be Warranted
After Struggling to Deliver in China, Carrefour Packs Its Bags
A Leader of America’s Fracking Boom Has Second Thoughts
Mexican Inflation Eased in Early June
Cradles, Pews and the Societal Shifts Coming to Politics
Stocks to Watch: Caesars, Bristol-Myers, Carnival, and More
FBI Probes Whether Lab Startup uBiome Used Improper Billing Codes
Argentine Banks Stumble in Adoption of New Accounting Standard
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0098

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Predict the $SPY index's movement by examining market data and news headlines from 2019-06-25. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the anticipated adjustment is under 0.50%. Present a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015
2019-06-19,292.55,293.65,291.47,293.06,272.3637,78674400.0,0.0023,1.6959,295.6501,273.7209,58.2845,139.8844,23.4057,284.9773,286.9352
2019-06-20,296.04,296.31,293.13,295.86,274.9659,116570000.0,0.0096,2.1639,297.2477,273.1462,60.5549,168.0852,31.2935,285.255,287.1808
2019-06-21,294.13,295.52,293.76,294.0,274.5662,83309500.0,-0.0063,2.3575,298.3633,273.2167,58.3717,142.0996,31.2935,285.4997,287.42
2019-06-24,294.23,294.58,293.47,293.64,274.23,47582700.0,-0.0012,2.4536,299.2911,273.3749,57.9534,123.01,29.6304,285.6843,287.6355

AbbVie Strikes Deal to Acquire Allergan for About $63 Billion
St. Louis Fed’s Bullard Said He Was Contacted by White House for Fed Board Job
Justice Department Investigates Chicken Industry
Democrats and Affluent Suburbs Join to Fight Tax-Break Cap
Fed’s Barkin Takes Wait-and-See Approach to Rate Setting
Stocks Fall Amid Fed Comments;  Tech Slides
Powell Says Fed Won’t Bend to Political Pressure
Is There a Big Short in Bitcoin?
Deutsche Bank’s Equities Chief Expected to Leave
Energy Stocks Diverge From Oil Prices
Push to Overhaul Fannie, Freddie Nudges Up Mortgage Costs
Nestlé, Novartis Among Companies at Risk of London Trading Ban
Gold Rally Picks Up Steam as Investors Pile In
Ligado’s Wireless Plans Caught in 5G Agency Crossfire
Medical Equipment Maker Joerns Seeks Bankruptcy Protection
RealReal’s Biggest Hurdle Will Be Keeping It Real After IPO
PG&E Bondholders Propose $30 Billion Turnaround Plan
U.S. Deficits Expected to Continue Growing
Consumer Confidence Slid in June on Trade Tensions
Mitsubishi to Acquire Bombardier’s Regional Jet Unit
Stock Exchanges Accuse Government of Ethics Lapse in Market-Data Fight
Home Prices Decelerated in April
YouTube Content for Children Should Be Barred, Advocacy Groups Tell FTC
U.S. New-Home Sales Fell in May
UnitedHealth Buys PatientsLikeMe After Startup Was Forced to Divest Chinese Investment
Foreign Investing in Chinese Commercial Property Hits New High
GE Reaches Labor Deal With Union Leaders
The Loan That Fueled a Star Investor’s Risky ‘Illiquid’ Bets
Battle at Bathroom Company Ends With Ex-CEO’s Return
U.S. Steel Seeks to Make More With Fewer Furnaces
Companies Win—Somewhat—as Treasury Trims Reach of Minimum Tax
Biggest U.S. Companies’ Working-Capital Performance Hits Six-Year High
U.S. Airlines, After Rebuilding Home Networks, Look to Expand Overseas
FedEx Profit Pressured by Express Unit’s Woes
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0010

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-06-26 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015
2019-06-19,292.55,293.65,291.47,293.06,272.3637,78674400.0,0.0023,1.6959,295.6501,273.7209,58.2845,139.8844,23.4057,284.9773,286.9352
2019-06-20,296.04,296.31,293.13,295.86,274.9659,116570000.0,0.0096,2.1639,297.2477,273.1462,60.5549,168.0852,31.2935,285.255,287.1808
2019-06-21,294.13,295.52,293.76,294.0,274.5662,83309500.0,-0.0063,2.3575,298.3633,273.2167,58.3717,142.0996,31.2935,285.4997,287.42
2019-06-24,294.23,294.58,293.47,293.64,274.23,47582700.0,-0.0012,2.4536,299.2911,273.3749,57.9534,123.01,29.6304,285.6843,287.6355
2019-06-25,293.7,293.73,290.64,290.76,271.5404,82028700.0,-0.0098,2.2712,299.623,274.104,54.7084,84.529,14.5009,286.0143,287.7735

FAA Finds New Software Problem in Boeing’s 737 MAX
Carl Icahn Seeks to Replace Four Occidental Directors
LaCroix Fights Sales Drop as Rivals Bubble Up
Facebook’s Zuckerberg Backs Privacy Legislation
Chief of New York’s Top Real-Estate Group to Step Down
Can This Rally Last? Options Traders Say Yes
Media CEOs Reigned in 2018 Pay
Wayfair Workers Stage Walkout Over Sales to Border Camps
Yum Brands Turns to Former PepsiCo Executive for CFO
Venezuelan Oil Officials Sue to Reclaim Citgo
Stocks Mixed as Investors Wait for Trade Progress
Oil Jumps on Supply Concerns, as Stockpiles Fall by Most Since 2016
Facebook in Talks for Offices at Hudson Yards
Giant Investors Are Coming After One of Wall Street’s Cash Cows
Industrials Continue Strong Run Despite Pullback in Goods Orders
Centerbridge Is in Exclusive Talks to Buy Magellan Health
Here’s What Might Cause a Recession
Philadelphia Refinery, Largest on East Coast, Closing Its Doors
StockX Is Latest $1 Billion Unicorn
Care.com CFO Resigns
Trump Slams Fed’s Powell, Saying ‘We Should Have Draghi Instead’
Consumer Advocates: Bankruptcy Law Governing Payment of Debt Is Squeezing the Most Vulnerable
Boeing Just One Factor Behind Drop in Durable-Goods Orders
General Mills Dragged Down by Snack-Bar Sales Decline
First IPO on China’s Nasdaq-Style Tech Board Sparks a Small Frenzy
Key Chinese Lending Rate Hits Lowest Since 2009
Kraft Heinz CEO Looks to Ketchup for Sales Spurt
Facebook Says Libra Can Change the World. It Needs to Convince Users.
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0035

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's movement by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-06-27. If the expected adjustment is below 0.50%, conclude with 'Neutral'. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Rise', or 'Neutral', alongside the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-17,289.52,290.22,289.18,289.37,268.9342,39205700.0,0.0004,0.9764,293.4945,274.3765,55.0807,90.698,11.9849,284.8203,286.4823
2019-06-18,291.39,293.57,290.99,292.4,271.7502,85434800.0,0.0105,1.359,294.6394,274.0766,57.73,140.655,23.1575,284.8063,286.7015
2019-06-19,292.55,293.65,291.47,293.06,272.3637,78674400.0,0.0023,1.6959,295.6501,273.7209,58.2845,139.8844,23.4057,284.9773,286.9352
2019-06-20,296.04,296.31,293.13,295.86,274.9659,116570000.0,0.0096,2.1639,297.2477,273.1462,60.5549,168.0852,31.2935,285.255,287.1808
2019-06-21,294.13,295.52,293.76,294.0,274.5662,83309500.0,-0.0063,2.3575,298.3633,273.2167,58.3717,142.0996,31.2935,285.4997,287.42
2019-06-24,294.23,294.58,293.47,293.64,274.23,47582700.0,-0.0012,2.4536,299.2911,273.3749,57.9534,123.01,29.6304,285.6843,287.6355
2019-06-25,293.7,293.73,290.64,290.76,271.5404,82028700.0,-0.0098,2.2712,299.623,274.104,54.7084,84.529,14.5009,286.0143,287.7735
2019-06-26,291.75,292.31,290.35,290.47,271.2695,51584900.0,-0.001,2.0792,299.6566,275.2904,54.3911,70.0841,13.0554,286.25,287.8508

Boeing 737 MAX Likely Grounded Until Late This Year
Nike Posts Strong Sales, Plays Down Trade Risks
Burner Phones, Leaks to Journalists: Regulators Probe Suspected Insider-Trading Scheme
Apple Design Chief Jony Ive to Depart
Bond Fight Pits Main Street Against Wall Street
North Carolina Regulators Seize Control of Life Insurers Owned by Greg Lindberg
Congo Mine Collapse Kills at Least 19, Glencore Says
Federal Reserve Clears Big Banks to Boost Payouts to Investors
Bank of Mexico Maintains Interest Rates in Split Vote
SpaceX Is Seeking More Capital From Investors
Real-Estate Developer Howard Hughes Hires Adviser to Explore Possible Sale
Sapphire Reserve Strains JPMorgan’s Ties With United Airlines
Transat Accepts Takeover Offer From Air Canada
Democrats’ Comments Give Health-Care Stocks a Stronger Pulse
Stocks Rise as Investors Hope for Trade Progress
Boeing Looks to Settle 737 MAX Crash Claims
Wondery Raises $10 Million to Take Podcasts Global
Conagra Sales Fall Short of Targets
Walgreens Profit Squeezed by Generic Drugs
Former Hong Kong Exchange Official Arrested in Graft Probe
Nissan CEO Faces Deadline to Fix U.S. Problems
Airlines Seek Coordinated Regulatory Action on Boeing MAX
U.S. Economy Grew at Unrevised 3.1% Rate in First Quarter
U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week
Russell Rebalancing Promises Trading Frenzy
Amazon Adds Rite Aid Locations to Package Delivery Network
Oxford University Signs $5 Billion Deal With Investor
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0051

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-01. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-21,294.13,295.52,293.76,294.0,274.5662,83309500.0,-0.0063,2.3575,298.3633,273.2167,58.3717,142.0996,31.2935,285.4997,287.42
2019-06-24,294.23,294.58,293.47,293.64,274.23,47582700.0,-0.0012,2.4536,299.2911,273.3749,57.9534,123.01,29.6304,285.6843,287.6355
2019-06-25,293.7,293.73,290.64,290.76,271.5404,82028700.0,-0.0098,2.2712,299.623,274.104,54.7084,84.529,14.5009,286.0143,287.7735
2019-06-26,291.75,292.31,290.35,290.47,271.2695,51584900.0,-0.001,2.0792,299.6566,275.2904,54.3911,70.0841,13.0554,286.25,287.8508
2019-06-27,291.31,292.06,290.89,291.5,272.2314,40355200.0,0.0035,1.9873,299.7244,276.4696,55.3426,71.8983,13.0554,286.4647,287.943
2019-06-28,292.58,293.55,292.01,293.0,273.6323,59350900.0,0.0051,2.0123,299.0983,278.8687,56.7033,86.1616,19.0545,286.6413,288.0527

Nike Nixes ‘Betsy Ross Flag’ Shoe After Kaepernick Intervenes
Drugmakers Push Up Prices, Amid Generic-Supply Shortages
Taylor Swift’s Dispute With Former Label Is Latest Tussle Over Master Recordings
Coal Company Blackjewel on Brink of Liquidation After Chapter 11 Loan Disappears
Hedge Fund Challenges $14 Billion in Illinois Debt as Unconstitutional
Oil Edges Higher, as OPEC and Allies Agree to Extend Cuts
Food Makers Crowd Snack Aisle Despite Uneven Growth
Casino Operators Win Big on Macau
Embrace of Blackstone’s Change Is Good News for Private-Equity Stocks
Struggling Beauty Giant Coty to Restructure Operations
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin
S&P 500 Rises to Record on Trade Truce
OPEC Agrees to Keep Output-Cut Pact Into 2020
U.S. Drilling Slowdown Triggers Oil Bankruptcy
Buffett to Donate $3.6 Billion of Berkshire Stock to Five Foundations
Monitronics Files Prepackaged Bankruptcy Plan
U.S. Manufacturing Slipped in June
Coca-Cola and Monster Resolve Energy Drink Dispute
Genesee & Wyoming to Go Private in Roughly $6.5 Billion Deal
Philadelphia’s Hahnemann University Hospital Files for Bankruptcy
Saudi Arabia Wades Into Euro Bond Market as Part of Borrowing Spree
Windstream Creditors Want Uniti Rent Stopped
Square Faces Lawsuit Over Misfired Medical Receipt
Democrats Push Left but Need Moderate Swing States
Ban Forces Trading Shift for Europe’s Biggest Stocks
Stocks to Watch: Qorvo, RealReal, Genesee & Wyoming, Ameris Bancorp
Equinix and GIC Forming Billion Dollar Data Center Venture in Europe
Brexit Creates New Cohort of Bank CFOs in Continental Europe
Goldman Sachs Could Be a New Safety Stock
Fed’s Barkin Warns of Business Investment Chill From Trade Uncertainty
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0026

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-07-02. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%. Provide a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-24,294.23,294.58,293.47,293.64,274.23,47582700.0,-0.0012,2.4536,299.2911,273.3749,57.9534,123.01,29.6304,285.6843,287.6355
2019-06-25,293.7,293.73,290.64,290.76,271.5404,82028700.0,-0.0098,2.2712,299.623,274.104,54.7084,84.529,14.5009,286.0143,287.7735
2019-06-26,291.75,292.31,290.35,290.47,271.2695,51584900.0,-0.001,2.0792,299.6566,275.2904,54.3911,70.0841,13.0554,286.25,287.8508
2019-06-27,291.31,292.06,290.89,291.5,272.2314,40355200.0,0.0035,1.9873,299.7244,276.4696,55.3426,71.8983,13.0554,286.4647,287.943
2019-06-28,292.58,293.55,292.01,293.0,273.6323,59350900.0,0.0051,2.0123,299.0983,278.8687,56.7033,86.1616,19.0545,286.6413,288.0527
2019-07-01,296.68,296.92,294.33,295.66,276.1165,78705600.0,0.0091,2.2212,297.9926,282.0834,58.9954,114.9226,30.6274,286.9687,288.194

Trump Taps Judy Shelton, Christopher Waller for Fed Board
Christopher Waller: In His Own Words
Nike Defends Pulling ‘Betsy Ross’ Sneaker as Arizona Governor Withdraws Aid
Judy Shelton in Her Own Words
Weatherford Looking at Stock Listing After Bankruptcy
Oil Falls as Reaction to OPEC Muted
Investors Hit Pause Button on Roku Rally
U.S. Stocks Climb as Trade Stays in Focus
Retail Stocks’ Punishing Year Gets Worse
Dish Network Names Company Insider CFO As It Reshapes Its Business
Deutsche Bank Looks to Shed Big Chunk of Wall Street Presence
Austrian Herbicide Ban Adds to Problems for Roundup Owner Bayer
OPEC, Russia Formalize Cooperation Pact
Italy Wins Back Debt Investors as Yields Fall Across Europe
Fed’s Mester: Too Soon To Say What Happens Next With Rates
Delta Lifts Quarterly Sales, Profit Guidance
Pittsburgh Paint Maker Aims to Shake the Sales Blues
Decline in Share Buybacks Poses Hurdle for Stock Market
Bank of America Cut Off Private Prisons Weeks After Lending to One
To Stop a Tottering Economy Falling in a Hole, Australia Cuts Rates Again
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0080

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-07-08 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-06-28,292.58,293.55,292.01,293.0,273.6323,59350900.0,0.0051,2.0123,299.0983,278.8687,56.7033,86.1616,19.0545,286.6413,288.0527
2019-07-01,296.68,296.92,294.33,295.66,276.1165,78705600.0,0.0091,2.2212,297.9926,282.0834,58.9954,114.9226,30.6274,286.9687,288.194
2019-07-02,295.61,296.49,294.68,296.43,276.8356,61504500.0,0.0026,2.4209,297.917,283.749,59.6353,110.0321,30.6274,287.3847,288.325
2019-07-03,297.18,298.82,297.02,298.8,279.049,40898900.0,0.008,2.7389,298.5428,284.7072,61.546,129.2304,37.668,287.7943,288.4918
2019-07-05,297.44,298.64,296.01,298.46,278.7314,51677300.0,-0.0011,2.9297,299.0845,285.5315,61.1167,114.6109,31.4848,288.222,288.6777

How a Chicago Suburb Became a Center of ETFs
And the No. 1 Stock-Fund Manager Is…
U.S.-Stock Funds Are Up 17% So Far in 2019
The Pitfalls of ‘Designated Beneficiaries’ for Mutual-Fund Accounts
The Often-Ignored Benefits of ‘Solo’ 401(k)s
What Investors Need to Know About Bond ETFs
The Impact of TV Ads on Stock Trading
Fund Investors Can Get Pre-IPO Access. But Is It Worth It?
A Fund Manager Defends One of the Worst Records in Recent History
Can Low Rates Explain High Stock Prices? Not So Fast.
Index-Fund Firms Gain Power, but Fall Short in Stewardship, Research Shows
Cannabis ETFs Aren’t the Same
A ‘Space ETF’ Hopes Its Trading Symbol (UFO) Isn’t a Warning
An S&P 500 ESG Fund Starts Strong
What Is a Stock Rerating?
Short Seller Targets Anta in Another Attack on China’s Biggest Sportswear Company
REI to Resume Business With Outdoor Company After Firearm Divestiture
After a Strong First Half, Stocks Tend to Stay Higher
Wall Street Chiefs’ Pay Doesn’t Sync With Returns
Cryptocurrency Startups Get Partial Green Light from Washington
$15 Minimum Wage Would Bring Mixed Fortunes for U.S. Workers
U.S. Banks Rush In as European Banks Stumble
BASF Issues Profit Warning on Trade Concerns, Slowing Auto Market
Fed Expectations Trigger Record Run of Outflows in Leveraged Loans
Are Auto Makers the New Value Stocks?
Stocks Fall as Prospects of Aggressive Fed Rate Cuts Recede
P&G, in Search of New Markets, Is Going After Bugs
Drug Distributor Cardinal Health Faces Recruitment Challenge as CFO Departs
British Airways Faces $230 Million Fine Over Data Breach
HSBC Hires Citigroup Veteran to Take Over U.S. Business
Deutsche Bank Shares Fall Sharply on Restructuring
During Stock Rally, Nervous Investors Buy Bonds, Too
Companies Benefit From Combining CFO and COO Jobs, Study Finds
Turkish Lira Falls After Erdogan Ousts Central Bank Chief
Sun Capital-Backed Restaurants Unlimited Files For Bankruptcy Protection
McDonald’s Happy Meal Toys Caught in Backlash Over Plastic
New York Fed Says Inflation Expectations Ticked Higher in June
Is President Trump Finally Getting a Weaker Dollar?
Cardinal Health Finance Chief to Step Down
Why the U.S. Should Remain Protector of World Oil Flows
Car-Sharing Startup Getaround Bets on Ride Sharing With SoftBank
Getaround, Turo Take Different Car-Rental Routes
Missing Spending Stimulus Weighs On U.S. Growth
The U.S. Is Overflowing With Natural Gas. Not Everyone Can Get It.
U.S. Oil Prices Rise as Busy Week of Reports Kicks Off
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0012

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-07-09 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-01,296.68,296.92,294.33,295.66,276.1165,78705600.0,0.0091,2.2212,297.9926,282.0834,58.9954,114.9226,30.6274,286.9687,288.194
2019-07-02,295.61,296.49,294.68,296.43,276.8356,61504500.0,0.0026,2.4209,297.917,283.749,59.6353,110.0321,30.6274,287.3847,288.325
2019-07-03,297.18,298.82,297.02,298.8,279.049,40898900.0,0.008,2.7389,298.5428,284.7072,61.546,129.2304,37.668,287.7943,288.4918
2019-07-05,297.44,298.64,296.01,298.46,278.7314,51677300.0,-0.0011,2.9297,299.0845,285.5315,61.1167,114.6109,31.4848,288.222,288.6777
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198

Airbus Poised to Overtake Boeing as Biggest Plane Maker
U.K. Audits Continue to Miss Quality Targets Set by Regulator
Powell May Face More Questions on Fed’s Approach to Climate Change
D.C. Attorney General Sues Marriott Over Fees
Drugmakers Rise After Trump Pricing Rule Is Blocked
Stocks Mixed as Tech Gains Balance With Trade Anxiety
World’s Coffee Growers Seek to Set Minimum Price to Help Poor Farmers
Deutsche Bank Shares Continue to Fall
Oil Prices End Higher
New York Condo Conversions Near the End
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker
PepsiCo Rides New Flavors and More Ads
VW Stalled Bond Probe, SEC Says
Home-Builder Rally May Lose Steam in Second Half
Philadelphia Fed’s Harker Sees No Need for Interest-Rate Changes
Cannabis Startup Surterra Wellness Appoints Former Kellogg CFO as Finance Chief
Fed’s Powell Says Stress Tests Must Evolve to Avoid Bank Complacency
Piper Jaffray to Buy Sandler O’Neill for $485 Million
Old Boys’ Club Gives Ground as More Women Join Real-Estate Boards
Markets Are Calm, Then Suddenly Go Crazy. Some Investors Think They Know Why.
Mortgage Lender Stearns Holdings Files for Bankruptcy
Marriott Faces $124 Million Fine Over Starwood Data Breach
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0048

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-10. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-01,296.68,296.92,294.33,295.66,276.1165,78705600.0,0.0091,2.2212,297.9926,282.0834,58.9954,114.9226,30.6274,286.9687,288.194
2019-07-02,295.61,296.49,294.68,296.43,276.8356,61504500.0,0.0026,2.4209,297.917,283.749,59.6353,110.0321,30.6274,287.3847,288.325
2019-07-03,297.18,298.82,297.02,298.8,279.049,40898900.0,0.008,2.7389,298.5428,284.7072,61.546,129.2304,37.668,287.7943,288.4918
2019-07-05,297.44,298.64,296.01,298.46,278.7314,51677300.0,-0.0011,2.9297,299.0845,285.5315,61.1167,114.6109,31.4848,288.222,288.6777
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695

Powell Says Outlook Hasn’t Improved, Setting Stage for Rate Cut
Venture Funds See 9% Surge in First-Half Fundraising
New Lease Accounting Standard May Mislead Investors, Credit Suisse Says
Videogames and Two-Day Delivery Powered the S&P’s Rise to 3000
Rice Brothers Win Control of EQT
Levi Strauss Shares Fall on Smaller Profit, Second-Half Sales Outlook
Stocks Leap to Records Following Powell’s Comments
Iron-Ore Prices Have Surged Almost 70%, Hitting Steelmakers
Fed’s Bullard Leans Toward Rate Cut at July Fed Meeting
Compass Engaged in Illegal Activity, Realogy Lawsuit Alleges
Oil Hits Seven-Week High on Falling Supplies
Fed Saw Strengthening Case for Rate Cuts Last Month, Minutes Show
GE Union Workers Reject Labor Deal
Once a Miser, Japan Inc. Is Opening Its Wallet to Buy Back Shares
GE Bondholders Benefit at Shareholders’ Expense
American Airlines Raises Revenue Expectations
Powell Testimony to Be Watched Closely for Clues on Rates
Newbies Pay $15 Million for TV Episode to Stand Out in Packed Streaming Market
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0023

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-07-11. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-01,296.68,296.92,294.33,295.66,276.1165,78705600.0,0.0091,2.2212,297.9926,282.0834,58.9954,114.9226,30.6274,286.9687,288.194
2019-07-02,295.61,296.49,294.68,296.43,276.8356,61504500.0,0.0026,2.4209,297.917,283.749,59.6353,110.0321,30.6274,287.3847,288.325
2019-07-03,297.18,298.82,297.02,298.8,279.049,40898900.0,0.008,2.7389,298.5428,284.7072,61.546,129.2304,37.668,287.7943,288.4918
2019-07-05,297.44,298.64,296.01,298.46,278.7314,51677300.0,-0.0011,2.9297,299.0845,285.5315,61.1167,114.6109,31.4848,288.222,288.6777
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695
2019-07-10,298.37,299.66,297.78,298.61,278.8714,58448500.0,0.0048,2.968,300.4818,286.8442,60.5982,112.2071,34.1025,289.807,289.1103

News Corp’s Retailer-Marketing Business Faces Monopoly Allegations
Amazon to Retrain a Third of Its U.S. Workforce
Illumina Stock Falls as Revenue Outlook Reduced
Head of Boeing’s 737 MAX Program Retires
Calpers Fell Short of Its Own Goals in Fiscal 2019
The Price of Recycled Paper Is Weighing Down This REIT
Fed's Brainard Sees Case for Easing Monetary Policy
Delta Gains From MAX Grounding and High Demand
Colgate to Acquire Skin-Care Business of Laboratoires Filorga Cosmetiques
Investors Finding Dividends in an Unlikely Place: Energy
U.S. Reaches $1.4 Billion Opioid-Drug Settlement With U.K.’s Reckitt
Health-Care Rally Helps Lift Dow Over 27000
Oil’s Rebound Above $60 Increases Focus on Technicals
Paul Singer’s Elliott Scores Big Win in PG&E Clash
Cargill Profit Drops on Trade, Flooding Challenges
New Alnylam Pharmaceuticals CFO Faces Competition Challenge With Pfizer
California Legislature Approves Multibillion-Dollar Wildfire Fund
U.S. Budget Gap Widened 23% in First Nine Months of Fiscal Year
Fed Group Proposes Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Using Libor Replacement
U.S. Jobless Claims Fell to 3-Month Low During Holiday Week
U.S. Consumer Prices Increased in June
Farmers Stockpiling Corn in Response to Tough Growing Conditions
Fed’s Bostic Untroubled by Inflation, Demurs on Rate-Cut Prospects
Charming Charlie Files Second Bankruptcy in Less Than Two Years
Bright Spot for Money Managers: ESG
T-Mobile-Sprint Talks Slow Over Dish Ownership
ECB Follows Fed in Signaling Fresh Stimulus
Income Options Are Coming to 401(k) Plans
OPEC Maintains World Oil Demand Forecast as Supply Concerns Continue
Strains Emerge in China’s $3 Trillion Financing Market
S&P Rating Is Landmark for Chinese Bond Market
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0045

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-15. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%. Supply a response as 'Rise', 'Neutral', or 'Fall', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-05,297.44,298.64,296.01,298.46,278.7314,51677300.0,-0.0011,2.9297,299.0845,285.5315,61.1167,114.6109,31.4848,288.222,288.6777
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695
2019-07-10,298.37,299.66,297.78,298.61,278.8714,58448500.0,0.0048,2.968,300.4818,286.8442,60.5982,112.2071,34.1025,289.807,289.1103
2019-07-11,299.32,299.58,298.2,299.31,279.5252,50826100.0,0.0023,3.0435,300.9987,287.4193,61.1919,111.381,34.1025,290.5083,289.266
2019-07-12,299.85,300.73,299.51,300.65,280.7766,40326000.0,0.0045,3.1749,301.7649,287.7601,62.3164,123.0986,37.9417,291.229,289.4408

Blackstone Buying Ad-Tech Startup for About $750 Million
Lighter Loads Weigh on Railroads
IKEA to Close Its Only U.S. Factory
Callon Petroleum to Buy Carrizo Oil in All-Stock Deal
Trump Fed Pick Missed Bank Board Meetings
Putting the Equity Back Into Private Equity
LVMH Buys Minority Stake in Stella McCartney House
Investors Aren’t Buying This Oil Rebound
Citigroup Reports Higher Earnings as Bank Results Kick Off
Investors Pardon Recent Earnings Slips
U.S. Stocks Edge Higher
Clover Technologies Lenders Hire Lawyers After Loss of AT&T Business
The Amazon Prime Day Deal That Walmart and Target Can’t Match
Food-Delivery Companies Serve Restaurants Better Tech
Fed's Williams Calls for More Urgency in Replacing Libor
Blackstone Close to Deal to Buy CRH Division
‘Go Back’ Message Deepens Immigration-Debate Wounds
Electric Airplanes Start to Take Off
Hilton Plays Catch-Up in Luxury-Travel Market
Cellphone Tower Companies Race Higher
AB InBev Might Take Longer to Cut Debt After Pulled IPO of Asia Unit
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0032

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-07-16. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695
2019-07-10,298.37,299.66,297.78,298.61,278.8714,58448500.0,0.0048,2.968,300.4818,286.8442,60.5982,112.2071,34.1025,289.807,289.1103
2019-07-11,299.32,299.58,298.2,299.31,279.5252,50826100.0,0.0023,3.0435,300.9987,287.4193,61.1919,111.381,34.1025,290.5083,289.266
2019-07-12,299.85,300.73,299.51,300.65,280.7766,40326000.0,0.0045,3.1749,301.7649,287.7601,62.3164,123.0986,37.9417,291.229,289.4408
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292

América Móvil Profit Jumps in Second Quarter
CSX Cuts Outlook, Warns Revenue Will Fall
United’s Profit Rises Even as 737 MAX Grounding Crimps Extra Flights
Mallinckrodt Halts Lou Gehrig’s Disease Trial
Johnson & Johnson Bumps Up Sales Target
On Path to ECB, Lagarde Resigns as IMF’s Chief
Domino’s Sales Slow as Delivery Makes Ordering Other Food Cheaper
Powell Says Fed Must Pay Greater Attention to Global Developments
Pemex Seeks to Reverse 15-Year Decline in Oil Output
Stocks Are Dragged Lower by Energy Shares
Why This Pizza Stock Is Going Cold
Former REIT Manager, Executives Settle SEC Charges
Trucking Stocks Race Higher on J.B. Hunt’s Good News
Fed’s Evans: Rate Cuts Needed to Defend Fed’s Inflation Target
Consumer Lending Powers Big-Bank Earnings, Upstaging Wall Street
Natural-Gas Traders Bet Heat Wave Will Fizzle
Transcript: WSJ Interview With Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan
FDIC Plan Would Ease Requirement for Banks Selling Mortgage Securities
Blackhawk Mining To File Prepackaged Bankruptcy Within Days
Outlook for Second-Quarter Growth Firms
Wells Fargo Posts Higher Profit
U.K. Regulator Proposes Stricter Standards for Auditors
Fed's Kaplan Says Rate Cut Could Be Warranted Based on Bond Market
Lithia Motors Promotes Internal Candidate to Finance Chief
Bank of Canada to Introduce Enhanced Risk-Free Rate Benchmark in 2020
JPMorgan Chase’s Profit Boosted by Consumer Unit
Facebook Confronts Broad Resistance to Crypto Plans
U.S. Industrial Production Unchanged in June
Tether’s $5 Billion Error Exposes Crypto Market’s Fragility
KeyCorp Finds Fraudulent Activity Estimated at Up to $90 Million
737 MAX Woes Hobble Budget Carrier Ryanair
Rio Tinto Faces Delays, Added Costs for Big Copper-Mine Project
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0068

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-07-17. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695
2019-07-10,298.37,299.66,297.78,298.61,278.8714,58448500.0,0.0048,2.968,300.4818,286.8442,60.5982,112.2071,34.1025,289.807,289.1103
2019-07-11,299.32,299.58,298.2,299.31,279.5252,50826100.0,0.0023,3.0435,300.9987,287.4193,61.1919,111.381,34.1025,290.5083,289.266
2019-07-12,299.85,300.73,299.51,300.65,280.7766,40326000.0,0.0045,3.1749,301.7649,287.7601,62.3164,123.0986,37.9417,291.229,289.4408
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918

IBM Revenue Lags as Cloud Pivot Remains a Challenge
EBay Lifts Profit Outlook Amid Tepid Revenues
FASB Votes to Delay Credit Loss Standard for Some Lenders
Stocks Lower as Earnings Season Starts With Growth Concerns
Foreign Buying of U.S. Homes Suffers Record Drop
Medical Distributors Stocks Fall After Opioid Data Reports
Shale Output Shows Signs of Slowing
Uranium Regains Some Glow as Trump Sidesteps Trade Fight
Home Builders Get a Reality Check
Boeing Hires Kenneth Feinberg to Handle 737 Max Claims
Madoff Investor Kingate to Pay Back $860 Million
Fed’s George Suggests She’s Not Ready to Cut Rates
Fed’s Beige Book Reports Modest Growth, Trade Worries
Borrowing Lifts Earnings at U.S. Bancorp, PNC
CSX Considers Promoting Interim Finance Chief
U.K. Companies Penalized for Failing to Pay Suppliers on Time
Bitcoin Loses Almost a Third of Its Value as Libra Hype Fades
Consumers Lift Profit at Bank of America
U.S. Housing Starts Fell in June
CVS Begins Trial for Home-Dialysis Device
Behind the Scenes of Netflix’s Call to Alter ‘13 Reasons Why’
Hong Kong Protests Drag Nike, Other Global Companies Into Upheaval
PNC Financial’s Profit Lifted By Loans, Revenue
Texas Showdown Flares Up Over Natural-Gas Waste
Google’s Tool to Tame Election Influence Has Flaws
CFO Retirements Climb as Good Times Roll On
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0037

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's trajectory by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-18. If the envisaged modification is under 0.50%, end with 'Neutral'. Furnish a response as 'Neutral', 'Fall', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-08,297.01,298.26,296.22,296.82,277.1998,45841800.0,-0.0055,2.915,299.4563,286.0767,59.0608,102.4548,31.4848,288.7113,288.8198
2019-07-09,295.54,297.52,295.48,297.19,277.5454,41101300.0,0.0012,2.8997,299.8952,286.4598,59.3797,93.6346,26.7197,289.1917,288.9695
2019-07-10,298.37,299.66,297.78,298.61,278.8714,58448500.0,0.0048,2.968,300.4818,286.8442,60.5982,112.2071,34.1025,289.807,289.1103
2019-07-11,299.32,299.58,298.2,299.31,279.5252,50826100.0,0.0023,3.0435,300.9987,287.4193,61.1919,111.381,34.1025,290.5083,289.266
2019-07-12,299.85,300.73,299.51,300.65,280.7766,40326000.0,0.0045,3.1749,301.7649,287.7601,62.3164,123.0986,37.9417,291.229,289.4408
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918
2019-07-17,299.75,299.93,297.74,297.74,278.059,36036300.0,-0.0068,2.9508,302.6257,289.6233,58.2574,83.4963,21.5728,293.4923,289.9163

New York Fed Says Williams Wasn’t Sending Specific Policy Signal in Speech
NEA-Founded Radiology Startup Hits $4 Billion Valuation
Microsoft’s Cloud Business Drives Record Sales
Gannett Closes In on Deal to Combine With GateHouse Media
U.S. Stocks Turn Positive After Fed Comments
Boeing Plans $5 Billion Charge to Compensate 737 MAX Customers
Fed's Williams: Central Bank Must Act Quickly on Signs of Distress
Chewy Posts Strong Sales Growth in First Quarter Post-IPO
WeWork Co-Founder Has Cashed Out at Least $700 Million Via Sales, Loans
July Data Throw Size of Expected Fed Rate Cut Into Doubt
U.K. Audit Regulator Gets a New Leader as Bigger Changes Loom
Netflix Rivals Unscathed Despite Video Giant’s Slump
Union Pacific Earnings Help Put Rail Stocks Back on Track
Morgan Stanley Profits Hit by Wall Street Weakness
Ailing BMW Appoints Production Chief Zipse as Next CEO
Bankruptcy Watchdog Takes Aim at PG&E CEO’s Pay Package
Oil Drops to One-Month Low
Paint Maker Posts Lower Sales on Weak Industrial Demand
M&T Shares Tumble After Earnings Miss, Lower Expectations
Nickel Prices Reach One-Year Highs
Union Pacific Cuts Costs, Bolsters Profit
Crunch Time for Nissan CEO
Ohio’s Proposed FirstEnergy Solutions Bailout Lifts Bonds
Honeywell Posts Higher Profit
UnitedHealth Lifts Profit Targets on Stronger Sales
House Approves Bill That Would More Than Double Minimum Wage to $15
iHeartMedia Returns to Public Markets
Antibiotics Developers Seek a Cure for Industry Ills
Blackstone’s Profit Drops as Private-Equity Portfolio Lags
What Christine Lagarde Brings to the ECB: Flexibility
Investors Hunger for Munis, but Issuance Is Rare
Global Easing Cycle Gains Momentum as Central Banks Cut Rates
Digital Banking Startup Overcomes Setbacks to Raise $170 Million
Labor Troubles Cloud Airline Outlook
U.S. Jobless Claims Rise
Novartis Sets $700 Million Provision to Settle Bribery Allegations
Former JPMorgan Banker Pleads Not Guilty in Bribery Case
Share Buybacks Surge in China
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0056

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-07-22 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-12,299.85,300.73,299.51,300.65,280.7766,40326000.0,0.0045,3.1749,301.7649,287.7601,62.3164,123.0986,37.9417,291.229,289.4408
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918
2019-07-17,299.75,299.93,297.74,297.74,278.059,36036300.0,-0.0068,2.9508,302.6257,289.6233,58.2574,83.4963,21.5728,293.4923,289.9163
2019-07-18,297.19,299.25,296.7,298.83,279.0769,51392600.0,0.0037,2.8139,302.8534,289.9726,59.2811,75.7237,14.823,294.0213,290.0155
2019-07-19,300.04,300.07,296.98,297.17,277.5267,58678600.0,-0.0056,2.542,302.9219,290.0351,57.0758,68.1889,18.6308,294.4337,290.0978

AutoNation Abruptly Names New CEO
How Drug Companies Are Using Your DNA to Make New Medicine
TD Ameritrade Begins Search for New CEO
Starbucks Takes Stake in Tech Company
Whirlpool Raises Profit Forecast While Controlling Costs
McKinsey Disclosure On Investment Entanglements Satisfies Judge
Oil Refinery Philadelphia Energy Files for Bankruptcy Protection
‘Avengers: Endgame’ Becomes Global Box-Office Champion
Stocks Inch Higher at Start of Busy Week
Semiconductor Stocks Power Higher
Oil Posts Modest Gain on Iran Tensions
Occidental Pushes Back on Icahn’s Board Plan
SNC-Lavalin to Restructure, Focus on Core Engineering Services
Boeing’s 737 MAX Grounding Spills Over Into Economy, Weighs on GDP
Halliburton Beats Profit Target, but North American Business Slows
As Drillers Struggle, Shale Investors Seek Safety in Mineral Rights
When the Safety Net Pays for Itself
Equifax to Pay Up to $700 Million in Data Breach Settlement
Bayer, Battling Roundup Legal Claims, to Sell Dr. Scholl’s
Job One for Democrats: Win Back Blue-Collar Votes
BP Boosts Its Biofuels Business with Brazilian Joint Venture
Stocks to Watch: Charles Schwab, Halliburton, Equifax and More
Thumbtack Secures Financing After Challenging Transition
Small Company Shares Fall Behind in Sign of Economic Worry
U.S. Shale Producers Benefit as Oil Disruptions Plague Middle East
Stocks Surge on China’s New Nasdaq-Like Market
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0072

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-23. Offer a reply as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%.
Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918
2019-07-17,299.75,299.93,297.74,297.74,278.059,36036300.0,-0.0068,2.9508,302.6257,289.6233,58.2574,83.4963,21.5728,293.4923,289.9163
2019-07-18,297.19,299.25,296.7,298.83,279.0769,51392600.0,0.0037,2.8139,302.8534,289.9726,59.2811,75.7237,14.823,294.0213,290.0155
2019-07-19,300.04,300.07,296.98,297.17,277.5267,58678600.0,-0.0056,2.542,302.9219,290.0351,57.0758,68.1889,18.6308,294.4337,290.0978
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953

Visa Beats Projections on Higher Card Spending
UPS to Start 7-Day Delivery
Coca-Cola Sales Boosted by Soda Gains, Coffee Push
Promise of Rate Cuts Lifts Range of Assets
Chipotle’s Sales Rise Following Price Increases
Emerging-Markets Currencies Get Boost From Fed
Investors Guzzle Coca-Cola but Cool on Kraft
USDA Report Sees Dire Climate-Change Impact on U.S. Crops
Home Sales Stumble, as Pricey West Coast Markets Suffer Declines
Jeffrey Epstein’s Financial Trail Goes Through Deutsche Bank
Options Traders Wager On Smooth Sailing For Tech
Crypto Promoter Justin Sun to Warren Buffett: Let’s Do Lunch…Later
Stocks Climb on Upbeat Earnings
Brunswick Cuts Costs to Streamline Marine Businesses
FT Hires Law Firm To Review Wirecard Reporting
Lockheed Martin Targets Hypersonics
United Technologies Defends Raytheon Deal
Equifax’s $700 Million Settlement: How to Get Your Share
U.S. Scores Guilty Plea in Mozambique Corruption Case
Harley-Davidson Cuts Forecast for Motorcycle Shipments
Rent the Runway Is Growing Fast, and Struggling to Keep Up
Nasdaq Makes Bet on Sports Gambling
IMF Cuts Global GDP Forecast for 2019, Citing Fallout From Trade Tensions
Kimberly-Clark Raises Full-Year Outlook as Organic Sales Grow
Travelers Posts Higher Profit
UBS Posts Forecast-Beating Profit but Warns on Geopolitical Tensions
When Smaller Advisers Deceive, Investors Have Little Chance of Recovering Losses
Chinese Smartphone Maker Rewards Staff With Stock After Fortune 500 Ranking
Coca-Cola Cocktails Are Coming to Convenience Stores Across Japan
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0047

Rejected response: I cannot determine the answer based on the given data.


Prompt:
Examine market data and news headlines dated 2019-07-24 to project the $SPY index's direction. Present a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged shift is under 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918
2019-07-17,299.75,299.93,297.74,297.74,278.059,36036300.0,-0.0068,2.9508,302.6257,289.6233,58.2574,83.4963,21.5728,293.4923,289.9163
2019-07-18,297.19,299.25,296.7,298.83,279.0769,51392600.0,0.0037,2.8139,302.8534,289.9726,59.2811,75.7237,14.823,294.0213,290.0155
2019-07-19,300.04,300.07,296.98,297.17,277.5267,58678600.0,-0.0056,2.542,302.9219,290.0351,57.0758,68.1889,18.6308,294.4337,290.0978
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057

Facebook Posts Strong Earnings, Revenue Growth
Digital Health Startups to Test IPO Waters
PG&E, California Governor Win Two-Week Reprieve From Creditor Attacks
Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics Bolster Full-Year Profit Forecasts
Best Buy Promotes Insider to CFO
PayPal Scales Back Outlook, Spooking Investors
Two Uber Board Members Step Down
SoftBank Looks to Goldman, Apple for Sequel to $100 Billion Vision Fund
Liquidity Rush Fuels Venture Investors’ Favorite Deals
China Sales, Higher Costs Weigh on Caterpillar
L Brands Board Opens Probe of Jeffrey Epstein’s Role at Company
Ford Results Disappoint, but It Stands by Profit Outlook
Allergan Recalls Breast Implants After FDA Cites Lymphoma Link
Silver Finally Gets Investor Love
Anthem Shares Fall Following Earnings Results
Amazon Executive to Take CFO Role At Digital Mapping Startup Mapbox
Cord-Cutting Hits AT&T Again While Wireless, Media Grow
Investors Put Facebook’s Privacy Issues in Rearview Mirror
Silver Finally Gets Investor Love
Tupperware Shares Fall Sharply as Chinese Economy Cools
Tenet Healthcare to Spin Off Conifer Unit
Chip Makers Help Lift U.S. Stocks
Transport Sector Signals Problems Ahead for Industrial Stocks
UPS Rides a Surge in Overnight Air Shipments
Deutsche Bank Revamp Pushes Lender Into Big Loss
Boeing Might Halt MAX Production if Grounding Drags On
Dunkin’ Joins Meatless Rush With Beyond Patty
U.S. New Home Sales Picked Up in June
T. Rowe’s Profit Rises, Bucking Industry Trend
Warsaw Home Prices Rise Alongside Growing Crop of Luxury Skyscrapers
U.S. Poised to Approve Merger of T-Mobile, Sprint
DoorDash to Change Pay Model for Delivery Workers After Criticism
GlaxoSmithKline’s Vaccines Boost Its Revenue
Daimler’s Travails Reflect Broader Pain in Luxury Autos
As Fed Preps a Rate Cut, ECB Weighs Stimulus of Its Own
Falling Real Yields Signal Economic Worry
Investors Wonder if the ECB Can Do Enough to Make a Difference
Crypto Promoter Makes Speedy Recovery After Being Too Ill to Meet Buffett
The Municipal-Bond Market Is Now Controlled by Just a Few Firms
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0048

Rejected response: it is difficult to predict with certainty


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-25. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-15,301.13,301.13,300.19,300.75,280.87,33900000.0,0.0003,3.2496,302.3239,288.3501,62.4005,124.9897,39.2575,292.0783,289.6292
2019-07-16,300.65,300.88,299.44,299.78,279.9642,36650100.0,-0.0032,3.1937,302.516,289.199,61.0336,112.6889,33.5808,292.9187,289.7918
2019-07-17,299.75,299.93,297.74,297.74,278.059,36036300.0,-0.0068,2.9508,302.6257,289.6233,58.2574,83.4963,21.5728,293.4923,289.9163
2019-07-18,297.19,299.25,296.7,298.83,279.0769,51392600.0,0.0037,2.8139,302.8534,289.9726,59.2811,75.7237,14.823,294.0213,290.0155
2019-07-19,300.04,300.07,296.98,297.17,277.5267,58678600.0,-0.0056,2.542,302.9219,290.0351,57.0758,68.1889,18.6308,294.4337,290.0978
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057
2019-07-24,299.19,301.44,299.09,301.44,281.5144,47213200.0,0.0047,2.4424,303.4665,291.5875,61.0838,104.8017,31.5769,295.562,290.4318

Roundup Verdict Cut to $87 Million From $2 Billion
Brazil’s Nubank to Be Valued at More Than $10 Billion in New Financing Round
Jeweler Alex & Ani Fights $50 Million Bank of America Default
CFPB Announces $60 Million Fine Against Debt Collectors
Google Posts Strong Profits as Hazards Mount
Schwab to Buy USAA Investment Company Assets
Starbucks Boosts Sales With Help From New Drinks, Store Upgrades
Intel Agrees to Sell Smartphone-Chip Assets to Apple
Mortgage Insurer MGIC Investment Promotes CFO to Top Job
CFPB Could Curb High-Debt Mortgages
Justice Department in Talks With States to Win Support for T-Mobile, Sprint Merger
Airline Shares Affected by Exposure to Boeing’s 737 MAX
Southwest Hastens Exit From Newark as MAX Grounding Effects Spread
Tesla Shares, Bonds Lose Steam
U.S. Stocks Fall After ECB Signals a Cut
Tarantino Movie Aims to Tap a Bygone Era—and Formula for Success
Reversal in Oil Stockpiles Helps Support Crude Prices
ECB Signals Rate Cut, Possible Asset Purchases
Boeing Drops Out of Giant Pentagon Program to Replace Nuclear Missiles
Budweiser Maker Loses More Ground in U.S.
Hershey to Raise Chocolate Bar Prices
Markets Hope ECB Easing Package Could Be a Big One
KKR’s Earnings Fall; Assets Rise
3M Cuts Costs as Industrial Demand Cools
Comcast’s Profit Falls on Sky Costs, Erosion of Pay-TV Business
Turkey Slashes Rates in Dash for Growth
Prospective Fed Nominee Judy Shelton Resigned From EBRD Job
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rose in June
U.S. Jobless Claims Decreased Last Week
Investors Pour Money Into Bond Funds at a Record Pace
Raytheon Boosts 2019 Outlook
Plan to Save Truckers’ and Miners’ Pensions Is Running Out of Time
Dow Reports Drop in Profit, Lowers Capital-Expenditure Guidance
Higher Fed Inflation Target Before Recession Would Have Led to Faster Recovery, Economists Find
Ice-Cream Wars Hit Unilever Sales
Crypto Promoter Apologizes After Postponing Warren Buffett Lunch
Roche Sales Boosted by New Drug Pipeline
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0067

Rejected response: Neutral


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-29. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-19,300.04,300.07,296.98,297.17,277.5267,58678600.0,-0.0056,2.542,302.9219,290.0351,57.0758,68.1889,18.6308,294.4337,290.0978
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057
2019-07-24,299.19,301.44,299.09,301.44,281.5144,47213200.0,0.0047,2.4424,303.4665,291.5875,61.0838,104.8017,31.5769,295.562,290.4318
2019-07-25,300.94,301.0,299.11,300.0,280.1695,55394100.0,-0.0048,2.3662,303.0159,292.9911,59.1034,88.2016,31.5769,295.949,290.5315
2019-07-26,300.76,302.23,300.62,302.01,282.0467,45084100.0,0.0067,2.4399,302.8228,294.2352,60.9323,116.0982,36.5693,296.3633,290.7015

American Tech Shudders as China Cyber Rules Are Expected to Get Tougher
Led by Trump and Johnson, Disrupters Rise Globally
Federal Borrowing Soars as Deficit Fear Fades
Rig Owners Forecast Further Drilling Decline
Beyond Meat On Track to Deliver Profit This Year
Refinancing Boom Boosts Mortgage Lending
Mylan Deal Furthers Pfizer CEO’s Bet on Patent-Protected Drugs
Bank of America, First Data End Payments Partnership
Strong Earnings Allay Fears Over Trade and Growth—for Now
Mylan CFO Set to Leave as Part of Pfizer Deal
Higher Costs Hold Down Profit at Heineken
Ryanair Warns of Possible Job and Flight Cuts
Netflix Splurges on Big-Budget Movies
S&P 500 Ticks Lower as Expected Fed Rate Cut Looms
Venezuela’s Citgo Stake Can Be Seized, Appeals Court Says
Delivery Startups Join Forces, Beefing Up for Battle With Uber, Amazon
U.S. Stocks Could Be Headed for a Fall
Swiss Central Bank Fires Warning Shot on Currency
Labor Department Makes Public 401(k) Rule Change
Stocks to Watch: Mylan, Merck, Booz Allen, Cooper Tire and More
Struggling Chinese Bank Gets Lifeline From State-Backed Investors
More Exchanges Add ‘Speed Bumps,’ Defying High-Frequency Traders
Fed Prepares Rate Cut Amid Worries About Low Inflation
United Airlines Adds Biometric Clearance for Passengers
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
-0.0025

Rejected response: I cannot predict whether the closing price will grow or shrink


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-07-30. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%. Furnish a response as 'Rise', 'Fall', or 'Neutral', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057
2019-07-24,299.19,301.44,299.09,301.44,281.5144,47213200.0,0.0047,2.4424,303.4665,291.5875,61.0838,104.8017,31.5769,295.562,290.4318
2019-07-25,300.94,301.0,299.11,300.0,280.1695,55394100.0,-0.0048,2.3662,303.0159,292.9911,59.1034,88.2016,31.5769,295.949,290.5315
2019-07-26,300.76,302.23,300.62,302.01,282.0467,45084100.0,0.0067,2.4399,302.8228,294.2352,60.9323,116.0982,36.5693,296.3633,290.7015
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728

In a Switch, Buyer of $1.2 Billion in Market-Rate Apartments Opts for Rent Limits
Board Steps Up Its Scrutiny of Financial Planners
U.K. Audit Regulator Steps Up Enforcement Efforts
Pound Pushed Toward Historic Low as Investors Worry Over Brexit
Auction Houses Face Slower Art Market
Mondelez Raises Yearly Forecast as Cookies and Chocolate Help Results
How the World Looked Last Time Pound Was This Weak
Capital One Shares Plummet After Breach
Stocks Fall on Trade Concerns
Earnings Could Put GM, Ford Shares on Same Track
Copper Slides as Trade Hopes Recede
P&G Posts Strong Sales Even as It Raises Prices
Confident Consumers Keep Spending Amid Soft Inflation
Marlboro Maker Hit by Slowdown in Cigarette Sales
Grubhub’s Profit Falls as Competition Grows
Capital One Breach Affects 106 Million Card Applicants
Home-Price Gains Continued to Slow in May
Mastercard’s Profit Climbs on Higher Revenue, Lower Expenses
Under Armour Reports Sales Decline in North America
The Capital One Breach: What It Means for You
A Natural Disaster Wipes Out Your Home. Then the Buyers Come Calling.
Private-Equity Firm Abraaj Is Fined a Record $315 Million
The Millionaire Behind India’s Own Starbucks Goes Missing
Consumer Confidence Rebounded in July
Bayer Warns on Crop Weakness as Roundup Plaintiffs Rise
States’ Lawsuit Muddles T-Mobile and Sprint Deal Plans
Merck Increases Revenue Guidance as Sales Grow
Ohio Farmers Face Lean Year, Hard Decisions After Spring Floods
U.S. Consumer Spending Slowed Slightly in June
Looking for a Financial Planner? The Go-To Website Often Omits Red Flags
Huawei Shows Resilience in Face of U.S. Blacklisting
Japan’s Central Bank Promises Easing if Needed but Leaves Rates Unchanged
Russia-Linked Buyout Firm Violates Deal to Sell Stake
Mortgage Rates Were Falling Before Fed Signaled Rate Cut
Finance Chiefs Still Struggling to Hire Skilled Personnel
Facebook’s Libra Could Aid Law Enforcement, Company Says
Newell Brands Hires Ravi Saligram as CEO
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0109

Rejected response: It is difficult to provide an answer to this question.


Prompt:
Assess market data and news headlines from 2019-07-31 to predict the $SPY index's direction. Finalize with 'Neutral' if the expected shift is less than 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057
2019-07-24,299.19,301.44,299.09,301.44,281.5144,47213200.0,0.0047,2.4424,303.4665,291.5875,61.0838,104.8017,31.5769,295.562,290.4318
2019-07-25,300.94,301.0,299.11,300.0,280.1695,55394100.0,-0.0048,2.3662,303.0159,292.9911,59.1034,88.2016,31.5769,295.949,290.5315
2019-07-26,300.76,302.23,300.62,302.01,282.0467,45084100.0,0.0067,2.4399,302.8228,294.2352,60.9323,116.0982,36.5693,296.3633,290.7015
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843

FBI Examining Possible Data Breaches Related to Capital One
Gateway Mercury to Buy Flower-Delivery Firm FTD Out of Bankruptcy
Fitbit Shares Tumble After Company Lowers Revenue Outlook
Fashion Resale Marketplace ThredUp Lining Up More Funding
Fed Cuts Rates by a Quarter Point in Precautionary Move
Vale Posts Net Loss, Sets Aside More Funds for Dam Collapse
PG&E Denies Neglect of High-Voltage Lines in Response to Journal Article
Molson Coors CEO Steps Down Amid Sales Slump
Barclays Cut 3,000 Jobs in Quarter Amid Weak Business Conditions
Natural-Gas Prices Rise as Investors Lock in Profits
Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Its Benchmark Interest Rate
GE Posts Quarterly Loss but Raises Forecasts
MetLife, Prudential Report Big Profit Gains
Investors Find Ways to Play a Fed Rate Cut
GE’s CFO Recruitment Plan: Call ‘New Friends and Old’
A $1 Trillion Valuation Stays Out of Reach for Apple
Workers’ Pay Gains Level Off
Networks Sue to Stop Streaming Service Offering Free TV Feeds
High-Tech Diapers Test How Much More Mom and Dad Will Pay
Stocks Fall as Powell Signals Patience on Rate Cuts
Leaders of Boston, Kansas City Fed Banks Dissent Against Rate Cut
As Federal Reserve Cuts Rates, Some See Path to Higher Yields
FTC Says ‘Overwhelming’ Number of Equifax Claims Means Consumers Likely Won’t Get $125
Airbus Profit Leaps Amid Woes at Rival Boeing
Europe’s Stalling Economy Sounds Alarm for Global Growth
Credit Suisse’s Revamp Powers Profit
Apollo Global’s Leon Black Addresses Epstein Relationship
Regulators Found Risk of Emergency After First Boeing MAX Crash
Social Security Scams Add to Capital One Hack Concern
The World’s Most Littered Item Comes Under Fire
Treasury Expects to Ramp Up Borrowing Following Suspension of Debt Ceiling
Body of V.G. Siddhartha, India’s Coffee King, Is Found
Bank Stocks and a Fed Rate Cut
U.S. Private Sector Added 156,000 Jobs in July
German Opponents of ECB’s Crisis Strategy Make a Last Stand
Japan Post Insurance Apologizes After It ‘Betrayed’ Customers
From Jewelers to Traders to Technology Makers, Hong Kong Protests Sting
Carlyle to Abandon Partnership Structure and Dual-Class Shares
Investors Shrug Off China’s Slump, Count On Consumers to Spend, Spend, Spend
Fed Readies First Interest-Rate Cut Since 2008
Rio Tinto Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place With Too Much Cash
Samsung Suffers Hit From Softening Smartphone Demand
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0087

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-01. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-22,297.61,298.5,297.04,297.9,278.2084,43638100.0,0.0025,2.3583,303.0366,290.3104,57.7901,59.2052,18.6308,294.7753,290.1953
2019-07-23,299.14,300.03,298.22,300.03,280.1976,44564500.0,0.0072,2.3575,303.3565,290.6295,59.8091,85.9883,25.7114,295.144,290.3057
2019-07-24,299.19,301.44,299.09,301.44,281.5144,47213200.0,0.0047,2.4424,303.4665,291.5875,61.0838,104.8017,31.5769,295.562,290.4318
2019-07-25,300.94,301.0,299.11,300.0,280.1695,55394100.0,-0.0048,2.3662,303.0159,292.9911,59.1034,88.2016,31.5769,295.949,290.5315
2019-07-26,300.76,302.23,300.62,302.01,282.0467,45084100.0,0.0067,2.4399,302.8228,294.2352,60.9323,116.0982,36.5693,296.3633,290.7015
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843
2019-07-31,300.99,301.2,295.2,297.43,277.7694,104245200.0,-0.0109,1.9629,302.448,296.062,54.8289,18.1241,2.6608,297.316,291.0612

Petrobras Profit Jumps on Sale of Gas Pipeline Operator
Expected Surge in Oil Supply and Tariffs Add to Glut Concern
Stocks, Bond Yields, Oil Fall on New China Tariffs
Fed Examined Amazon’s Cloud in New Scrutiny for Tech
Former Brixmor Property Executives Charged With Accounting Fraud
Generic Drugmaker Lannett Hires CFO Amid Industry Headwinds
Shell and European Rivals Hit by Lower Oil Prices
Lowe’s Lays Off Thousands of Store Workers
Texas Joins Fight to Block T-Mobile-Sprint Merger
Trucks Shield Detroit Auto Makers From Global Headwinds
Smart-Lock Startup Latch Opens Door to New Funding
Fitbit Shares Hit as Smartwatch Market Gets Crowded
Fed Pick Shelton Says Other Countries Are ‘Cheating’ by Devaluing Currencies
Shares in Top Shale Driller Fall After it Discloses Well Problems
Snacks Drive Gains at Kellogg, Offsetting Weaker Cereal Sales
Overstock Is in the Red, but Its Shares Are Soaring
Going Out of Style: Tax-Driven Deals to Move Corporate HQs Outside U.S.
Trump Tweets Crush Oil Market as Prices Fall Nearly 8%
U.K. Regulator Fines KPMG for BNY Mellon Reports
Fed’s Conundrum: Can Lower Rates Combat Investment Chill
When Couples Have Different Attitudes About Aging
U.S. Manufacturing Slipped in July
Wet Weather Swamps Farm Suppliers
Families Go Deep in Debt to Stay in the Middle Class
Steel Giant ArcelorMittal Hit By Falling U.S., Europe Demand
Meatless Burgers Stoke Sales and Questions About Nutrition
DuPont Sees Sales Falling
Tapping Homes for Cash to Get Tougher Under New FHA Limits
Verizon Adds Wireless Customers, Defends Early 5G Service
Coffee Prices Have Worst Month in More Than Two Years
U.S. Jobless Claims Increased Last Week
GE’s New Billion-Dollar Problem? Boeing’s MAX
U.S.-China Investments Continue to Decline
LSE Boss Marks First Year on the Job With $14.5 Billion Refinitiv Deal
Meet the Economist Who Predicted the Fed’s Rate Cut
Jobs Report to Shine Light on U.S. Resilience to Global Woes
Rio Tinto Rains Cash on Investors Even as It Digs Out of Hole in Mongolia
BMW’s Profits Hit by Electric Vehicle and Emissions Costs
Siemens Shares Drop on Gloomy Outlook
Debates Leave Trio of Presidential Battles
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0075

Rejected response: Rise


Prompt:
Anticipate the direction of the $SPY index by analyzing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-05. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the forecasted percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-26,300.76,302.23,300.62,302.01,282.0467,45084100.0,0.0067,2.4399,302.8228,294.2352,60.9323,116.0982,36.5693,296.3633,290.7015
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843
2019-07-31,300.99,301.2,295.2,297.43,277.7694,104245200.0,-0.0109,1.9629,302.448,296.062,54.8289,18.1241,2.6608,297.316,291.0612
2019-08-01,297.6,300.87,293.96,294.84,275.3506,142646600.0,-0.0087,1.4476,302.8107,295.3033,51.7555,-22.673,8.8973,297.3753,291.1763
2019-08-02,293.85,294.12,290.9,292.62,273.2774,116749700.0,-0.0075,0.8503,303.4956,294.0343,49.3048,-126.0521,22.0684,297.2673,291.2612

Victoria’s Secret Parent’s Longtime Marketing Chief to Resign
China’s Yuan Breaches 7-to-the-Dollar Level, Prompting Trump Critique
Fed to Create Payments System to Speed Money Transfers
NYSE Aims to Speed Up Trading With Core Tech Upgrade
Dow Falls Sharply as Yuan Reels and Trump Jabs at China
Tyson Foods, Gold Miners and Gun Makers Defy Market Downturn
Strava’s New CFO Seeks Growth and Profitability for Fitness-Tracking Firm
Marriott Takes $126 Million Charge Related to Data Breach
Former UAW Official Sentenced to Prison for Accepting Illegal Payments
Cars.com Completes Strategic Review but Finds No Buyer
Trade Tensions Whipsaw Hog Prices
Tyson Discloses Justice Department Subpoena in Chicken-Pricing Probe
Trump Confronts Violence—and a Bitter National Divide
HSBC to Slash Thousands of Jobs After Ousting CEO
Walmart Workers’ New Security Threat Is Active Shooters, Not Shoplifters
HSBC’s Quiet Man Undone by a Lack of Action
Flint’s Stint: Ousted HSBC Chief’s Tenure in Charts
Perkins, Marie Callender’s Headed to Bankruptcy Auction Block
Stocks to Watch: Tyson, Cars.com, Diamond Offshore and Prudential
Video Saved the Radio Star
3 Ways Grandparents Can Help Pay for College
U.S. Banks Are Cashing In on Persian Gulf Debt
Restaurants Find Consumers Willing to Pay Higher Prices
Powell’s Off-the-Cuff Approach Leaves Investors on Edge
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0140

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
To predict the direction of the $SPY index, analyze market data and news headlines from 2019-08-06. Provide a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. End with 'Neutral' if the expected alteration is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843
2019-07-31,300.99,301.2,295.2,297.43,277.7694,104245200.0,-0.0109,1.9629,302.448,296.062,54.8289,18.1241,2.6608,297.316,291.0612
2019-08-01,297.6,300.87,293.96,294.84,275.3506,142646600.0,-0.0087,1.4476,302.8107,295.3033,51.7555,-22.673,8.8973,297.3753,291.1763
2019-08-02,293.85,294.12,290.9,292.62,273.2774,116749700.0,-0.0075,0.8503,303.4956,294.0343,49.3048,-126.0521,22.0684,297.2673,291.2612
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138

Global Oil Prices Slide Into Bear Market
Barneys Files for Bankruptcy, Plans to Close Most Stores
Disney’s Quarterly Revenue Surges but Profit Drops
Hertz Beats Revenue Expectations in Latest Quarter
Venezuela Embargo Puts Citgo Bond Payment at Risk
Match Group Shares Rise as Company Outperforms Expectations
Papa John’s Returns to Profit After Tough Year
Care.com Founder to Step Down as CEO Months After WSJ Report
More Stock-Market Volatility Expected as U.S., China Dig In Heels Over Trade
The Fall of Barneys Burns a Hedge-Fund Star
Viacom, Hungry for Hits, Gobbles Up Garfield
Fertilizer Stocks Wilt Amid Trade Tensions
Revenue Rises at All Wynn Resorts Properties
Mastercard’s $3 Billion Purchase Is Its Latest Bid to Do More Than Just Cards
Discovery CEO Says ‘Television Industry Is Far From Dead’
After Rate Cut, Trade Headwinds Complicate Outlook for Fed Officials
Amazon Mail-Order Pharmacy Faces Pushback
Dish’s Ergen Defends Company’s Wireless Plans
Eldorado Likely to Sell a Las Vegas Strip Property Following Caesars Deal
Transcript: WSJ Interview With San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly
Blue Apron Narrows Loss but Continues to Lose Customers
China Puts Soothing Spin on Currency Move
Tencent in Talks for Stake in Universal Music
San Francisco Fed Official Is Focused on Trade Tensions
Switzerland Strives to Be Global Leader in Opening Skies for Drones
How China, Branded a Currency Manipulator, Steers the Yuan
Answer:

Chosen response:
Neutral
0.0006

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Project the $SPY index's movement by assessing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-07. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the envisaged modification is under 0.50%. Offer a reply as 'Neutral', 'Rise', or 'Fall', along with the predicted percentage change in a newline.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843
2019-07-31,300.99,301.2,295.2,297.43,277.7694,104245200.0,-0.0109,1.9629,302.448,296.062,54.8289,18.1241,2.6608,297.316,291.0612
2019-08-01,297.6,300.87,293.96,294.84,275.3506,142646600.0,-0.0087,1.4476,302.8107,295.3033,51.7555,-22.673,8.8973,297.3753,291.1763
2019-08-02,293.85,294.12,290.9,292.62,273.2774,116749700.0,-0.0075,0.8503,303.4956,294.0343,49.3048,-126.0521,22.0684,297.2673,291.2612
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088

Leslie Wexner Says Jeffrey Epstein Misappropriated ‘Vast Sums’ From Him
Universal Pictures Halts Marketing of ‘The Hunt’ After Mass Shootings
What Falling Interest Rates Mean for You
Fox Corp. Will Pursue More Content, Chief Says
FedEx to End Ground Deliveries for Amazon
Bond Yields Fall, Sparking Volatility in Stocks
IAC Targets Online Marketplaces as Potential Acquisitions, CFO Says
Barneys New Loan Buys Retailer More Time
Samsung Rolls Out Latest Galaxy Note 10 Smartphone
White House to Start Ban on Government Business With Huawei
Gold Price Tops $1,500
Auto Hauler Jack Cooper Cuts Deals to Slash Debt, Files for Bankruptcy
Investors Are Dining Out on Fast-Casual Stocks
AIG’s Profit Rises, Boosted by Flagship Business
Fed’s Evans Says Trade Headwinds Could Justify Additional Rate Cuts
Oil’s Slide Deepens on Mounting Demand Worries
Teva Seeks New CFO as It Faces High Debt Levels, Opioid Litigation
Transcript: WSJ Interview With St. Louis Fed President James Bullard
Trio of Central Banks Surprise Markets With Aggressive Rate Cuts
Europe’s Banks Warn About Prospects
How The Journal Analyzed Credit Ratings
Inflated Bond Ratings Helped Spur the Financial Crisis. They’re Back.
CVS Boosts Profit Outlook as Aetna Deal Starts to Pay Off
Short-Seller Accuses Litigation-Finance Firm of ‘Meaningless Metrics’
Wood Pellets Draw Fire as Alternative to Coal
Glencore to Close Massive Mine as Economic Woes Hit Metals
Auto-Parts Giant Slams Brakes on Engines Amid Shift to Electric
Entercom Communications to Acquire Two Podcast Companies
New Tax Laws Drive More Americans Into Muni Bonds
China Keeps Official Yuan Rate Just Stronger Than 7 Per Dollar
U.S. Stocks Regain Ground, Yuan Stabilizes
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0196

Rejected response: Fall


Prompt:
Analyze market data and news headlines dated 2019-08-08 to forecast the direction of the $SPY index. Deliver a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', along with the anticipated percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the projected change is below 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-07-29,301.88,302.01,300.85,301.46,281.533,38126500.0,-0.0018,2.426,302.5654,295.3386,60.1706,108.4739,36.5693,296.77,290.8728
2019-07-30,299.91,301.17,299.49,300.72,280.842,45849000.0,-0.0025,2.3284,302.5462,295.8638,59.1416,83.0754,25.0422,297.1483,290.9843
2019-07-31,300.99,301.2,295.2,297.43,277.7694,104245200.0,-0.0109,1.9629,302.448,296.062,54.8289,18.1241,2.6608,297.316,291.0612
2019-08-01,297.6,300.87,293.96,294.84,275.3506,142646600.0,-0.0087,1.4476,302.8107,295.3033,51.7555,-22.673,8.8973,297.3753,291.1763
2019-08-02,293.85,294.12,290.9,292.62,273.2774,116749700.0,-0.0075,0.8503,303.4956,294.0343,49.3048,-126.0521,22.0684,297.2673,291.2612
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088
2019-08-07,284.4,288.82,282.04,287.97,268.9349,140572300.0,0.0006,-1.3806,307.4304,286.7966,45.6086,-197.875,51.0758,296.6403,291.3273

Yelp CFO to Exit for Eventbrite
Activision Results Hurt by Lack of New Games
News Corp Revenue Falls 8% in Quarter
Stock Price-Related Impairment Charges Expected to Rise as Markets Fluctuate
Streaming Services Boost CBS Revenue
Kraft Heinz Writes Down $1.2 Billion as Brands Wither
Stocks Climb as China Signals a More Stable Yuan
Homeowners Rush to Refinance, Thanks to Falling Yields
Kraft Heinz’s Woes Have Shaved Almost 35% Off Market Cap This Year
Nickel Jumps on Indonesian Export Ban Report
Oil Rebounds From Near 2019 Lows
Viacom Improves Performance as CBS Merger Talks Continue
The Leaks That Threaten the Clean Image of Natural Gas
After El Paso Shooting, Workers Plot Their Own ‘What-If’ Escape Plans
Economists See Greater Chance of September Rate Cut: WSJ Survey
Economists Upgrade U.S.-China Trade Conflict to ‘War’
NYSE Antennas Spark High-Speed Trader Backlash
Mozambique Sues Mogul in London Court Over Loan Deal
Don’t Bet on the Market’s Big Drop Monday Being Last in 2019
Emerging-Market Stocks Correct Sharply as Trade Battle Flares
Where You Went to College May Matter on Your Loan Application
Barnes & Noble CEO Wants It to Be Your Local Bookstore
Banks Hand Over Documents on Russians Possibly Linked to Trump
China’s Official Yuan Rate Crosses 7-Per-Dollar Milestone
Transcript: Chicago Fed President Charles Evans Meets With Reporters
Answer:

Chosen response:
Fall
-0.0068

Rejected response: Unfortunately, I don't have enough information to answer that.


Prompt:
Forecast the $SPY index's trajectory by scrutinizing market data and news headlines from 2019-08-12. Furnish a response as 'Fall', 'Neutral', or 'Rise', including the forecasted percentage change in a newline. Conclude with 'Neutral' if the expected adjustment is less than 0.50%.

Context:date,open,high,low,close,adj_close,volume,pct_change,macd,boll_ub,boll_lb,rsi_30,cci_30,dx_30,close_30_sma,close_60_sma
2019-08-02,293.85,294.12,290.9,292.62,273.2774,116749700.0,-0.0075,0.8503,303.4956,294.0343,49.3048,-126.0521,22.0684,297.2673,291.2612
2019-08-05,288.09,288.21,281.72,283.82,265.0591,178745400.0,-0.0301,-0.3294,306.2897,289.9403,41.2879,-283.43,46.7547,296.928,291.2138
2019-08-06,285.91,288.04,284.28,287.8,268.776,120711700.0,0.014,-0.9323,307.0326,288.2584,45.4386,-207.6384,46.7547,296.7333,291.2088
2019-08-07,284.4,288.82,282.04,287.97,268.9349,140572300.0,0.0006,-1.3806,307.4304,286.7966,45.6086,-197.875,51.0758,296.6403,291.3273
2019-08-08,289.62,293.62,289.01,293.62,274.2113,87713900.0,0.0196,-1.2653,307.2045,286.4535,50.8689,-87.804,27.3937,296.7453,291.4977
2019-08-09,292.58,293.24,289.65,291.62,272.3435,93730000.0,-0.0068,-1.3202,306.8384,285.9166,49.129,-99.179,27.3937,296.7493,291.607

Some Stock Prices Delayed as Glitch Hits NYSE-Run Data Feed
PepsiCo Executive to Become UPS Finance Chief
Freight Broker C.H. Robinson Names New CFO Amid Industry Headwinds
Corn, Wheat Prices Fall on USDA Report
Companies Appear to Avoid Hiring Auditors With a History of Critical Audits, Research Shows
U.S. Stocks Decline Amid Trade Woes
Barrick Weighs New Investors in South American Gold Ventures
Bank Stocks Are Having a Rough August
These Are the Winners From Last Week’s Market Mayhem
Stocks and Bonds Are Talking Past Each Other
Airlines Forced to Cancel, Reroute Flights After Hong Kong Shutdown
‘Geek and Gamer’ Subscription Service Loot Crate Files for Bankruptcy
U.S. Budget Gap Widens 27% in First 10 Months of Fiscal Year
Aramco Bulks Up on Refining With $15 Billion Deal
Stocks to Watch: GE, Sysco, AMD, BlackRock, CBS, Rite Aid and More
Trump’s Primary Advantage: No Real Competition
Aramco Profit Hurt by Oil Prices
Fed Considers New Tool for a Downturn
BlackRock Fund’s First Big Private-Equity Deal Is a Sign of What’s to Come
Hong Kong’s Main Airline Warns Staff Over Protest Links
Answer:

Chosen response:
Rise
0.0156

Rejected response: Fall