context: We doubt that Emily is a wolf. Chances are about even that Bernhard is yellow. It is almost certain that Greg is a frog. It is probable that if Greg is a frog, or Emily is a wolf, then Lily is a frog. It is likely that if Bernhard is yellow, or Greg is a frog, then John left the apple. It is highly likely that if Greg is a frog, and Emily is a wolf, then Mary moved to the garden.
hypothesis: There is a very good chance that lily is a frog, or Bernhard is yellow.
valid_hypothesis: There is a very good chance that lily is a frog, or Bernhard is yellow.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that lily is a frog, or Bernhard is yellow.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is a frog, or Bernhard is yellow.