context: It is improbable that Daniel got the football. Chances are about even that Fred moved to the office. There is a very good chance that Brian is yellow. It is likely that if Brian is yellow, or Fred moved to the office, then Bernhard is green. It is probable that if Brian is yellow, or Fred moved to the office, then Mary went to the kitchen. It is likely that if Daniel got the football, and Fred moved to the office, then Julius is a frog.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that bernhard is green, and Mary went to the kitchen.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that bernhard is green, and Mary went to the kitchen.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that bernhard is green, and Mary went to the kitchen.
hypothesis_assertion: Bernhard is green, and Mary went to the kitchen.