It is probable that Bernhard is a frog. We believe that Greg is green. It is unlikely that Jessica is a cat. It is improbable that if either Bernhard is a frog, or Jessica is a cat, then Winona is a mouse. It is probably not the case that if either Jessica is a cat, or Greg is green, then John discarded the milk. Chances are about even that if Jessica is a cat, and Greg is green, then Lily is gray.
We believe that lily is gray, or Greg is green.
We believe that lily is gray, or Greg is green.
There is almost no chance that lily is gray, or Greg is green.
Lily is gray, or Greg is green.