We doubt that Greg is a frog. There is a better than even chance that John went to the bedroom. Chances are slight that Lily is a lion. It is unlikely that if John went to the bedroom, and Lily is a lion, then Daniel left the football. It is probably the case that if John went to the bedroom, and Greg is a frog, then Mary got the apple. There is a better than even chance that if Lily is a lion, or John went to the bedroom, then Bernhard is white.
Chances are about even that bernhard is white, or Mary got the apple.
Chances are about even that bernhard is white, or Mary got the apple.
There is almost no chance that bernhard is white, or Mary got the apple.
Bernhard is white, or Mary got the apple.