It is highly likely that Lily is a swan. It is likely that Greg is a lion. It is likely that Julius is yellow. There is little chance that if Greg is a lion, and Lily is a swan, then Fred dropped the apple. It is highly likely that if Greg is a lion, or Julius is yellow, then Mary went to the garden. There is almost no chance that if Greg is a lion, or Julius is yellow, then Bernhard is a frog.
There is a very good chance that fred dropped the apple, or Mary went to the garden.
There is a very good chance that fred dropped the apple, or Mary went to the garden.
It is probably not the case that fred dropped the apple, or Mary went to the garden.
Fred dropped the apple, or Mary went to the garden.