It is impossible that Lily is a frog. It is probably the case that John went to the bedroom. It is probably the case that Bernhard is a lion. It is probable that if John went to the bedroom, or Lily is a frog, then Daniel dropped the apple. It is highly likely that if Lily is a frog, and Bernhard is a lion, then Julius is a swan. We doubt that if either Bernhard is a lion, or John went to the bedroom, then Yann is tired.
It is certain that john went to the bedroom, and Daniel dropped the apple.
Chances are about even that john went to the bedroom, and Daniel dropped the apple.
It is certain that john went to the bedroom, and Daniel dropped the apple.
John went to the bedroom, and Daniel dropped the apple.