context: It is probably not the case that Antoine is bored. It is probably the case that Brian is a swan. Chances are slight that Daniel dropped the milk. It is impossible that if Daniel dropped the milk, or Antoine is bored, then Greg is a frog. There is almost no chance that if Brian is a swan, or Daniel dropped the milk, then John left the milk. It is highly likely that if Brian is a swan, and Antoine is bored, then Bill went to the bedroom.
hypothesis: It is improbable that bill went to the bedroom, or Brian is a swan.
valid_hypothesis: It is probable that bill went to the bedroom, or Brian is a swan.
invalid_hypothesis: It is improbable that bill went to the bedroom, or Brian is a swan.
hypothesis_assertion: Bill went to the bedroom, or Brian is a swan.