context: We doubt that Sandra left the football. It is likely that Lily is a swan. It is certain that Jason is tired.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that either 'Sandra left the football' or 'Lily is a swan' but not both.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that either 'Sandra left the football' or 'Lily is a swan' but not both.
invalid_hypothesis: Chances are slight that either 'Sandra left the football' or 'Lily is a swan' but not both.
problog: 
    and(A,B) :- A,B.
    or(A,B) :- A;B.
    nand(A,B) :- not(and(A,B)).
    nor(A,B) :- not(or(A,B)).
    xor(A,B) :- or(A,B), nand(A,B).
  
    %hop0
    0.2::factA.
    0.7::factB.
    1.0::factC.
    
  
    %hop2
    conclusion:-xor(factA,factB).
  
    query(conclusion).
    
hypothesis_assertion: Either 'Sandra left the football' or 'Lily is a swan' but not both.