context: It is unlikely that Mary moved to the office. Chances are about even that Gertrude is a wolf. It is certain that Fred went to the garden.
hypothesis: It is almost certain that either 'Gertrude is a wolf' or 'Fred went to the garden' but not both.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that either 'Gertrude is a wolf' or 'Fred went to the garden' but not both.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that either 'Gertrude is a wolf' or 'Fred went to the garden' but not both.
problog: 
    and(A,B) :- A,B.
    or(A,B) :- A;B.
    nand(A,B) :- not(and(A,B)).
    nor(A,B) :- not(or(A,B)).
    xor(A,B) :- or(A,B), nand(A,B).
  
    %hop0
    0.2::factA.
    0.5::factB.
    1.0::factC.
    
  
    %hop2
    conclusion:-xor(factB,factC).
  
    query(conclusion).
    
hypothesis_assertion: Either 'Gertrude is a wolf' or 'Fred went to the garden' but not both.