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clem 
posted an update 18 days ago
Post
4029
Six predictions for AI in 2025 (and a review of how my 2024 predictions turned out):

- There will be the first major public protest related to AI
- A big company will see its market cap divided by two or more because of AI
- At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be pre-ordered
- China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race).
- There will be big breakthroughs in AI for biology and chemistry.
- We will begin to see the economic and employment growth potential of AI, with 15M AI builders on Hugging Face.

How my predictions for 2024 turned out:

- A hyped AI company will go bankrupt or get acquired for a ridiculously low price
✅ (Inflexion, AdeptAI,...)

- Open-source LLMs will reach the level of the best closed-source LLMs
✅ with QwQ and dozens of others

- Big breakthroughs in AI for video, time-series, biology and chemistry
✅ for video 🔴for time-series, biology and chemistry

- We will talk much more about the cost (monetary and environmental) of AI
✅Monetary 🔴Environmental (😢)

- A popular media will be mostly AI-generated
✅ with NotebookLM by Google

- 10 millions AI builders on Hugging Face leading to no increase of unemployment
🔜currently 7M of AI builders on Hugging Face

I think your predictions for 2025 are spot on @clem ; especially as it relates to who will be leading from a global standpoint for Open Source AI and Research. (I especially see it in Computer Vision, Multimodal and NLP)

Imho 2025 will be a year of SLMs

Here is my predictions for AI in 2025.🤗🤗🤗

  • A major cyberattack, fueled by AI-generated tactics and automated systems, will lead to a breach of a major corporation or government entity, sparking a global reevaluation of AI security protocols. In addition, there will be major protests.

  • Many people will start using AI-driven mental health tools, such as personalized therapy chatbots and mood-tracking apps, as part of their daily routine.

  • A large coalition of company will propose an international AI regulatory framework that focuses on ethics, accountability, and safety in AI development and deployment across industries.

  • Major social media platforms will adopt AI for full-scale content moderation, reducing human involvement in decision-making for hate speech, fake news, and harmful content . However, the majority of content on these platforms will be generated by AI or AI-assisted tools, raising new challenges around authenticity and accountability.

  • A revolutionary AI tutoring system will emerge.

  • Hugging Face will experience a large-scale social media backlash due to controversial actions or statements by some of its employees.

  • Lots of AI-generated movie will be released.

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Here is my predictions for AI in 2025.🤗🤗🤗

  • A major cyberattack, fueled by AI-generated tactics and automated systems, will lead to a breach of a major corporation or government entity, sparking a global reevaluation of AI security protocols. In addition, there will be major protests.

Shorter version: Russia and China will do Russia and China things.

  • Many people will start using AI-driven mental health tools, such as personalized therapy chatbots and mood-tracking apps, as part of their daily routine.

I don't see this happening unless there's significant advancement in nanobot-technology. It would only make sense when used in conjunction with nanobots. That way, you'd be able to have both the diagnosis, as well as the treatment handled by AI.

  • A large coalition of company will propose an international AI regulatory framework that focuses on ethics, accountability, and safety in AI development and deployment across industries.

I don't see China and potentially also Brazil, finding common ground with the "western" world. There will be a relatively weak international framework, and several much more restrictive, regional agreements.

  • Major social media platforms will adopt AI for full-scale content moderation, reducing human involvement in decision-making for hate speech, fake news, and harmful content . However, the majority of content on these platforms will be generated by AI or AI-assisted tools, raising new challenges around authenticity and accountability.

Can see this happen. But would we really care? I mean, if you're telling me, that instead of some guy, a cousin of mine went to school with, an AI will waste my time, by telling me what it had for breakfast - it doesn't really make a difference for me. I don't really care in either case.

  • A revolutionary AI tutoring system will emerge.

Depends on your definition of revolutionary. But can see this happen.

  • Hugging Face will experience a large-scale social media backlash due to controversial actions or statements by some of its employees.

I'd say any platform within the realm of AI will have to deal with controversy next year. The more content / users the higher the chance for people to be pissed about something.

  • Lots of AI-generated movie will be released.

Depends. How do we define "movie"? An individual putting out content, a major production company releasing a motion picture, small indie productions?
And most important: full-length movies or short-films as well? If we include short films, we won't have to wait until next year, because then it already happened.