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updated to aug31 model and data
Browse files- Afghan_w_blacksea_allcomtrade_aug31.pt +3 -0
- Afghan_w_blacksea_allcomtrade_aug31.pt.ckpt +3 -0
- app.py +1 -1
- data/afghan_wheatfcasts.csv +6 -6
- data/aghanwheat_allhistorical.csv +60 -58
- data/all_afghan.csv +234 -232
- data/comtrade_flour.csv +6 -4
- data/comtrade_grain.csv +2 -0
- data/final_afgh_wheat.csv +66 -64
Afghan_w_blacksea_allcomtrade_aug31.pt
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:42b8fd67ec94b5ba9f24b3c4e493c1b794d1220c2b5d6965b57532efdfb0cc02
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size 168107
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Afghan_w_blacksea_allcomtrade_aug31.pt.ckpt
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:caa916e76d05fe569ced29a66e8989486f323d812a535eb01649a4f345f1d012
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size 18416023
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app.py
CHANGED
@@ -182,7 +182,7 @@ class FlaggingHandler(gr.FlaggingCallback):
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def get_forecast(period_: str, pred_model: str):
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# Let the prediction service do its magic.
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period = int(period_[0])
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afgh_model = TFTModel.load("
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### afgh model###
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pred_series = afgh_model.predict(n=period,num_samples=1)
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def get_forecast(period_: str, pred_model: str):
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# Let the prediction service do its magic.
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period = int(period_[0])
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afgh_model = TFTModel.load("Afghan_w_blacksea_allcomtrade_aug31.pt",map_location=torch.device('cpu'))
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### afgh model###
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pred_series = afgh_model.predict(n=period,num_samples=1)
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data/afghan_wheatfcasts.csv
CHANGED
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Date,Lower_Limit,Wheat_Forecast,Upper_Limit
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2023-
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2023-
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2023-
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2023-
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2023-
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Date,Lower_Limit,Wheat_Forecast,Upper_Limit
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2023-06-30,29.958418194006416,33.287131326673794,36.615844459341176
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2023-07-31,37.43100881919905,41.59000979911006,45.74901077902106
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2023-08-31,38.678194620406224,42.97577180045136,47.2733489804965
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2023-09-30,38.905956225754366,43.22884025083818,47.551724275922005
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2023-10-31,40.43523620051607,44.92804022279564,49.4208442450752
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2023-11-30,40.06155653594644,44.51284059549604,48.964124655045644
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data/aghanwheat_allhistorical.csv
CHANGED
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Date,actual_prices,historical_forecasts
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2018-06-30,22.0,
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2018-07-31,23.0,
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2018-08-31,23.25,
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2018-09-30,24.25,
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2018-10-31,25.000000000000004,24.
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2018-11-30,25.75,
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2018-12-31,26.0,26.
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2019-01-31,26.0,
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2019-02-28,26.0,26.
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2019-03-31,26.0,
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2019-04-30,26.0,26.
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2019-05-31,26.250000000000004,
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2019-06-30,27.0,27.
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2019-07-31,27.0,
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2019-08-31,27.0,
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2019-09-30,27.0,
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2019-10-31,27.0,
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2019-11-30,27.0,
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2019-12-31,27.499999999999996,
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2020-01-31,27.75,27.
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2020-02-29,27.75,
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2020-03-31,31.08333333,31.
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2020-04-30,34.66666667,34.
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2020-05-31,35.5625,36.
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2020-06-30,34.99999999999999,
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2020-07-31,33.29999999999999,
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2020-08-31,31.999999999999996,
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2020-09-30,31.249999999999996,
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2020-10-31,31.999999999999996,
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2020-11-30,31.999999999999996,30.
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2020-12-31,31.999999999999996,
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2021-01-31,31.999999999999996,
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2021-02-28,33.5,
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2021-03-31,33.0,
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2021-04-30,31.499999999999996,32.
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2021-05-31,29.999999999999996,
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2021-06-30,30.75,
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2021-07-31,34.0,33.
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2021-08-31,36.99999999999999,
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2021-09-30,37.66666666666666,
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2021-10-31,41.5,40.
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2021-11-30,41.99999999999999,
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2021-12-31,47.50000000000001,
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2022-01-31,46.8,
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2022-02-28,44.0,44.
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2022-03-31,43.75,
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2022-04-30,47.15,
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2022-05-31,48.25,48.
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2022-06-30,51.95000000000001,
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2022-07-31,49.349999999999994,
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2022-08-31,51.5,
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2022-09-30,48.625,
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2022-10-31,45.5,
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2022-11-30,45.72249999999999,45.
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2022-12-31,43.125,44.
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2023-01-31,42.15,
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2023-02-28,41.75,
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2023-03-31,36.699999999999996,
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Date,actual_prices,historical_forecasts
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2018-06-30,22.0,23.49608291458131
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2018-07-31,23.0,23.333482046911897
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2018-08-31,23.25,23.75730338418554
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2018-09-30,24.25,24.426488556295702
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2018-10-31,25.000000000000004,24.867570309112125
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2018-11-30,25.75,26.22100272308021
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2018-12-31,26.0,26.572899094304514
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2019-01-31,26.0,26.680086750877035
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2019-02-28,26.0,26.82406550382902
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2019-03-31,26.0,27.080133234355923
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2019-04-30,26.0,26.840106556357792
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2019-05-31,26.250000000000004,26.74438990243002
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2019-06-30,27.0,27.238030295205014
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2019-07-31,27.0,26.89565018752278
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2019-08-31,27.0,26.761514292461445
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2019-09-30,27.0,27.15657937640997
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2019-10-31,27.0,27.319724848727052
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2019-11-30,27.0,27.10488151312622
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2019-12-31,27.499999999999996,27.76715580842965
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2020-01-31,27.75,27.77743586117693
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2020-02-29,27.75,28.806526915997832
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2020-03-31,31.08333333,31.19575358938322
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2020-04-30,34.66666667,34.37706384140779
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2020-05-31,35.5625,36.21362623331529
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2020-06-30,34.99999999999999,35.27664390131007
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2020-07-31,33.29999999999999,34.328698262160486
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2020-08-31,31.999999999999996,32.20282376146903
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2020-09-30,31.249999999999996,31.983063389950008
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2020-10-31,31.999999999999996,32.63046154432177
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2020-11-30,31.999999999999996,30.722806419983655
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2020-12-31,31.999999999999996,32.89379888416604
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2021-01-31,31.999999999999996,33.30984937348245
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2021-02-28,33.5,33.44430571777955
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2021-03-31,33.0,31.916872218406702
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2021-04-30,31.499999999999996,32.48216078594342
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2021-05-31,29.999999999999996,30.486436448417873
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2021-06-30,30.75,30.889705539057584
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2021-07-31,34.0,33.55487240418986
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2021-08-31,36.99999999999999,38.118158651480904
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2021-09-30,37.66666666666666,38.17207383873165
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2021-10-31,41.5,40.43647538516416
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2021-11-30,41.99999999999999,41.922032684813296
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2021-12-31,47.50000000000001,47.27129282794028
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2022-01-31,46.8,46.99400286674786
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2022-02-28,44.0,44.18758411595919
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2022-03-31,43.75,44.36595389255393
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2022-04-30,47.15,48.33911417589532
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2022-05-31,48.25,48.826660367375524
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2022-06-30,51.95000000000001,52.04339675954337
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2022-07-31,49.349999999999994,50.148409412616864
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2022-08-31,51.5,51.783040641877086
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2022-09-30,48.625,48.84414960226527
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2022-10-31,45.5,45.083813755723504
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2022-11-30,45.72249999999999,45.58556340669296
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2022-12-31,43.125,44.041903628419185
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2023-01-31,42.15,43.75919881541327
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2023-02-28,41.75,42.43798485697513
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2023-03-31,36.699999999999996,36.52091450477763
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2023-04-30,35.1,36.596422019620235
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2023-05-31,34.74999999999999,35.771536014335375
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data/all_afghan.csv
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Date,
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2004-01-31,
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2004-02-29,
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2004-03-31,
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2004-04-30,
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2004-05-31,
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2004-06-30,
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2004-07-31,
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2019-12-31,
|
194 |
-
2020-01-31,
|
195 |
-
2020-02-29,
|
196 |
-
2020-03-31,
|
197 |
-
2020-04-30,
|
198 |
-
2020-05-31,
|
199 |
-
2020-06-30,
|
200 |
-
2020-07-31
|
201 |
-
2020-08-31,
|
202 |
-
2020-09-30,
|
203 |
-
2020-10-31,
|
204 |
-
2020-11-30,
|
205 |
-
2020-12-31,
|
206 |
-
2021-01-31,
|
207 |
-
2021-02-28,
|
208 |
-
2021-03-31,
|
209 |
-
2021-04-30,
|
210 |
-
2021-05-31,
|
211 |
-
2021-06-30,
|
212 |
-
2021-07-31,
|
213 |
-
2021-08-31,
|
214 |
-
2021-09-30,
|
215 |
-
2021-10-31,
|
216 |
-
2021-11-30,
|
217 |
-
2021-12-31,
|
218 |
-
2022-01-31,
|
219 |
-
2022-02-28,
|
220 |
-
2022-03-31,
|
221 |
-
2022-04-30,
|
222 |
-
2022-05-31,
|
223 |
-
2022-06-30,
|
224 |
-
2022-07-31,
|
225 |
-
2022-08-31,
|
226 |
-
2022-09-30,
|
227 |
-
2022-10-31,
|
228 |
-
2022-11-30,
|
229 |
-
2022-12-31,
|
230 |
-
2023-01-31,
|
231 |
-
2023-02-28,
|
232 |
-
2023-03-31,
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
+
Date,price,usdprice,wheat_grain,exchange_rate,common_unit_price,black_sea
|
2 |
+
2004-01-31,12.0,0.2092,8.0,0.0204042,11.0,170.25
|
3 |
+
2004-02-29,12.21,0.2128,8.0,0.02021674,12.0,164.75
|
4 |
+
2004-03-31,12.5,0.2178,8.0,0.02002118,11.0,170.6
|
5 |
+
2004-04-30,12.0,0.2091,8.3,0.01992323,11.3,171.75
|
6 |
+
2004-05-31,12.07,0.2095,8.1,0.01996458,11.1,166.75
|
7 |
+
2004-06-30,12.0,0.2078,8.3,0.02055611,11.3,158.0
|
8 |
+
2004-07-31,12.6,0.2166,8.0,0.02132768,11.0,123.0
|
9 |
+
2004-08-31,13.0,0.222,8.0,0.02207977,11.0,125.0
|
10 |
+
2004-09-30,13.0,0.2209,8.1,0.0221252,11.1,125.0
|
11 |
+
2004-10-31,13.87,0.2332,11.0,0.02191696,13.0,125.0
|
12 |
+
2004-11-30,10.974,0.18552000000000002,11.0,0.02177179,13.0,128.8
|
13 |
+
2004-12-31,13.368799999999998,0.22578399999999998,11.0,0.02089357,13.0,131.6
|
14 |
+
2005-01-31,14.0,0.2368,12.0,0.02028119,12.0,132.0
|
15 |
+
2005-02-28,14.0,0.2367,13.0,0.02011147,14.0,125.8
|
16 |
+
2005-03-31,14.0,0.2367,12.0,0.02043177,15.0,125.0
|
17 |
+
2005-04-30,14.16,0.2385,12.0,0.02027561,15.0,122.4
|
18 |
+
2005-05-31,13.5,0.2275,12.0,0.02002144,15.0,118.0
|
19 |
+
2005-06-30,13.38,0.2242,12.0,0.01995742,15.0,111.0
|
20 |
+
2005-07-31,15.01,0.2517,13.0,0.02006888,14.0,108.0
|
21 |
+
2005-08-31,12.38,0.2075,13.0,0.02017861,14.0,108.5
|
22 |
+
2005-09-30,12.47,0.2082,13.0,0.02034146,14.0,109.6
|
23 |
+
2005-10-31,12.28,0.2056,13.0,0.02049533,14.0,110.0
|
24 |
+
2005-11-30,10.398,0.17376,13.0,0.02033402,13.0,110.0
|
25 |
+
2005-12-31,12.7176,0.212352,12.0,0.01997127,15.0,110.0
|
26 |
+
2006-01-31,13.62,0.2276,13.0,0.01981109,14.0,110.0
|
27 |
+
2006-02-28,13.62,0.2274,13.0,0.02008968,14.0,110.0
|
28 |
+
2006-03-31,13.67,0.2274,13.0,0.0200336,14.0,110.0
|
29 |
+
2006-04-30,13.71,0.2284,13.0,0.02009,14.0,110.0
|
30 |
+
2006-05-31,13.22,0.2199,13.0,0.02019,14.0,110.0
|
31 |
+
2006-06-30,13.09,0.2192,13.0,0.02017,14.0,110.0
|
32 |
+
2006-07-31,13.28,0.2202,13.0,0.01999,14.0,110.0
|
33 |
+
2006-08-31,13.6,0.2253,13.0,0.01999,14.0,110.0
|
34 |
+
2006-09-30,13.54,0.224,13.0,0.02002,14.0,110.0
|
35 |
+
2006-10-31,13.25,0.2187,13.0,0.02013,14.0,110.0
|
36 |
+
2006-11-30,11.426,0.18882,13.0,0.02012,14.0,219.25
|
37 |
+
2006-12-31,14.037200000000002,0.231844,13.0,0.02009,14.0,215.75
|
38 |
+
2007-01-31,15.17,0.2516,13.0,0.02011,14.0,207.8
|
39 |
+
2007-02-28,15.17,0.2498,13.0,0.02006,14.0,208.5
|
40 |
+
2007-03-31,15.17,0.2503,13.0,0.02002,14.0,208.5
|
41 |
+
2007-04-30,15.17,0.2498,13.0,0.01997,14.0,206.25
|
42 |
+
2007-05-31,14.33,0.2382,13.0,0.01998,15.0,190.0
|
43 |
+
2007-06-30,15.17,0.2503,13.0,0.01998,15.0,190.0
|
44 |
+
2007-07-31,16.0,0.2646,13.0,0.02009,14.0,249.8
|
45 |
+
2007-08-31,16.0,0.2649,13.0,0.02011,15.0,276.5
|
46 |
+
2007-09-30,17.82,0.2936,15.0,0.02007,17.0,342.5
|
47 |
+
2007-10-31,19.67,0.3247,15.0,0.02007,17.0,351.6
|
48 |
+
2007-11-30,15.62,0.25334,16.0,0.02007,18.0,332.25
|
49 |
+
2007-12-31,19.04,0.307608,14.8,0.02016,20.3,380.67
|
50 |
+
2008-01-31,23.28,0.373,23.0,0.02021,23.1,380.6
|
51 |
+
2008-02-29,17.33,0.2754,21.0,0.02031,21.5,449.25
|
52 |
+
2008-03-31,19.3,0.3116,19.0,0.02019,21.0,481.5
|
53 |
+
2008-04-30,25.37,0.3998,37.0,0.02001,23.0,381.8
|
54 |
+
2008-05-31,28.32,0.4139,39.0,0.02011,39.0,300.0
|
55 |
+
2008-06-30,24.07,0.3557,31.0,0.02009,30.0,300.0
|
56 |
+
2008-07-31,26.67,0.3835,39.0,0.02002,30.0,283.8
|
57 |
+
2008-08-31,26.44,0.3458,32.0,0.02002,32.0,277.0
|
58 |
+
2008-09-30,30.66,0.4011,34.0,0.01988,38.0,256.3
|
59 |
+
2008-10-31,35.8,0.4456,33.0,0.01969,36.5,199.0
|
60 |
+
2008-11-30,24.726,0.31357999999999997,31.0,0.01926,30.0,170.0
|
61 |
+
2008-12-31,29.0332,0.36463599999999996,29.0,0.01926,30.5,170.0
|
62 |
+
2009-01-31,29.1,0.3679,28.8,0.01926,31.99,172.6
|
63 |
+
2009-02-28,28.07,0.3533,22.5,0.01915,26.23,180.0
|
64 |
+
2009-03-31,27.47,0.3428,21.8,0.01914,26.23,176.0
|
65 |
+
2009-04-30,27.8,0.3456,21.0,0.01914,26.23,173.0
|
66 |
+
2009-05-31,26.33,0.3279,20.4,0.01914,23.0,177.4
|
67 |
+
2009-06-30,25.41,0.3147,20.4,0.01914,23.0,186.8
|
68 |
+
2009-07-31,26.54,0.3249,20.5,0.02001,22.0,171.4
|
69 |
+
2009-08-31,28.06,0.3374,19.0,0.02028,21.0,169.3
|
70 |
+
2009-09-30,25.25,0.3069,19.0,0.02005,21.3,162.8
|
71 |
+
2009-10-31,28.81,0.3469,19.0,0.02028,21.1,164.8
|
72 |
+
2009-11-30,22.642000000000003,0.27256,18.0,0.02039,21.6,173.8
|
73 |
+
2009-12-31,27.9424,0.335792,18.5,0.02039,21.6,184.8
|
74 |
+
2010-01-31,29.67,0.357,15.0,0.02044,16.1,184.4
|
75 |
+
2010-02-28,29.48,0.352,14.1,0.02113,15.4,178.8
|
76 |
+
2010-03-31,29.11,0.3505,13.7,0.02078,15.2,173.3
|
77 |
+
2010-04-30,28.37,0.3394,14.2,0.02101,15.5,172.2
|
78 |
+
2010-05-31,26.84,0.3176,14.9,0.02157,14.9,173.3
|
79 |
+
2010-06-30,26.97,0.3162,16.8,0.02162,17.2,169.8
|
80 |
+
2010-07-31,26.86,0.3142,18.0,0.02213,18.6,191.4
|
81 |
+
2010-08-31,28.39,0.3315,19.1,0.02185,20.6,270.0
|
82 |
+
2010-09-30,29.75,0.3469,19.0,0.02211,21.2,280.0
|
83 |
+
2010-10-31,30.46,0.3546,19.9,0.02221,21.4,283.0
|
84 |
+
2010-11-30,24.238000000000003,0.28318,20.5,0.02217,21.5,288.5
|
85 |
+
2010-12-31,29.211600000000004,0.341576,20.0,0.02214,21.5,292.0
|
86 |
+
2011-01-31,30.78,0.3591,19.125,0.02208,21.3,325.5
|
87 |
+
2011-02-28,30.2,0.3553,18.1,0.02213,21.6,359.8
|
88 |
+
2011-03-31,30.38,0.3557,18.0,0.02212,22.25,355.0
|
89 |
+
2011-04-30,29.92,0.3521,18.0,0.02191,21.625,345.5
|
90 |
+
2011-05-31,28.43,0.3334,18.0,0.02177,21.65,350.0
|
91 |
+
2011-06-30,28.02,0.331,18.0,0.0215,21.65,337.5
|
92 |
+
2011-07-31,29.04,0.3377,18.375,0.02103,21.65,242.5
|
93 |
+
2011-08-31,28.42,0.3333,18.0,0.02124,21.25,265.0
|
94 |
+
2011-09-30,29.41,0.3361,18.05,0.02094,21.15,268.75
|
95 |
+
2011-10-31,29.45,0.3383,18.4375,0.02095,21.7875,235.0
|
96 |
+
2011-11-30,23.922,0.26938,19.075,0.0208,22.625,243.0
|
97 |
+
2011-12-31,28.8664,0.322716,18.625,0.02051,21.4375,242.5
|
98 |
+
2012-01-31,30.25,0.3355,18.5,0.02027,21.5875,259.0
|
99 |
+
2012-02-29,30.5,0.337,18.375,0.02031,21.625,278.75
|
100 |
+
2012-03-31,30.21,0.3334,18.0,0.02024,20.5,277.5
|
101 |
+
2012-04-30,30.81,0.3392,18.0,0.02008,21.0,271.25
|
102 |
+
2012-05-31,30.54,0.3366,18.0,0.02001,20.75,268.0
|
103 |
+
2012-06-30,30.25,0.3261,18.375,0.01967,20.9,263.75
|
104 |
+
2012-07-31,30.25,0.3195,19.0,0.01944,21.225,299.0
|
105 |
+
2012-08-31,30.7,0.3285,19.75,0.01952,21.875,312.5
|
106 |
+
2012-09-30,32.44,0.3424,20.5,0.01932,22.5,330.0
|
107 |
+
2012-10-31,32.5,0.3443,21.0,0.01905,23.0,346.0
|
108 |
+
2012-11-30,27.798000000000002,0.29014,21.375,0.01882,23.35,351.25
|
109 |
+
2012-12-31,34.1156,0.35516800000000004,21.5,0.01926,23.05,357.5
|
110 |
+
2013-01-31,37.63,0.387,21.5,0.01934,23.125,347.6
|
111 |
+
2013-02-28,36.42,0.377,21.5,0.01914,23.5,328.5
|
112 |
+
2013-03-31,36.23,0.3774,22.0,0.01874,24.0,323.25
|
113 |
+
2013-04-30,35.1,0.3632,22.0,0.01836,24.0,273.75
|
114 |
+
2013-05-31,35.06,0.3596,23.0,0.01813,24.0,268.75
|
115 |
+
2013-06-30,37.15,0.3759,23.0,0.01794,24.0,268.75
|
116 |
+
2013-07-31,38.27,0.3877,23.5,0.01764,25.0,254.4
|
117 |
+
2013-08-31,39.9,0.3891,23.0,0.01779,24.0,253.0
|
118 |
+
2013-09-30,41.33,0.3926,23.0,0.01757,24.0,250.5
|
119 |
+
2013-10-31,41.28,0.393,22.0,0.0175,24.0,272.6
|
120 |
+
2013-11-30,34.106,0.3238,22.0,0.01735,25.0,286.75
|
121 |
+
2013-12-31,41.5532,0.39748,24.0,0.01748,26.0,294.6
|
122 |
+
2014-01-31,44.0,0.4159,23.0,0.01767,25.0,287.75
|
123 |
+
2014-02-28,43.92,0.4175,25.0,0.01752,25.0,279.0
|
124 |
+
2014-03-31,44.46,0.4372,27.3,0.01745,26.7,290.5
|
125 |
+
2014-04-30,42.73,0.4454,28.0,0.01751,25.9,292.4
|
126 |
+
2014-05-31,38.57,0.391,28.0,0.01745,26.4,289.0
|
127 |
+
2014-06-30,37.96,0.3843,27.0,0.01733,27.5,258.25
|
128 |
+
2014-07-31,38.48,0.3903,25.0,0.01752,26.3,247.2
|
129 |
+
2014-08-31,41.05,0.4134,26.0,0.01765,25.7,244.75
|
130 |
+
2014-09-30,40.87,0.4046,25.3,0.0175,26.1,242.2
|
131 |
+
2014-10-31,40.28,0.3966,24.8,0.0174,25.0,239.0
|
132 |
+
2014-11-30,31.971999999999998,0.31602,24.5,0.0173,24.8,250.5
|
133 |
+
2014-12-31,38.038399999999996,0.37530399999999997,24.5,0.01725,24.875,259.4
|
134 |
+
2015-01-31,39.23,0.3902,24.5,0.01736,22.75,247.0
|
135 |
+
2015-02-28,39.48,0.3887,22.125,0.01748,22.0,239.25
|
136 |
+
2015-03-31,39.23,0.385,20.0,0.01738,22.0,217.2
|
137 |
+
2015-04-30,37.5,0.3689,20.0,0.01731,22.0,210.25
|
138 |
+
2015-05-31,36.96,0.3677,20.0,0.01731,22.5,193.0
|
139 |
+
2015-06-30,36.98,0.3636,20.0,0.01711,22.5,194.2
|
140 |
+
2015-07-31,37.09,0.3645,20.0,0.01651,22.5,197.0
|
141 |
+
2015-08-31,37.58,0.365,20.0,0.01587,22.5,187.0
|
142 |
+
2015-09-30,37.58,0.36,20.0,0.0157,22.5,182.8
|
143 |
+
2015-10-31,38.15,0.3656,24.0,0.01554,22.5,196.5
|
144 |
+
2015-11-30,30.788,0.29642,25.0,0.01509,24.5,198.0
|
145 |
+
2015-12-31,37.1896,0.35888400000000004,25.5,0.01484,25.25,192.4
|
146 |
+
2016-01-31,39.12,0.3779,27.0,0.0146,26.0,183.0
|
147 |
+
2016-02-29,39.09,0.3786,27.0,0.01454,25.25,181.0
|
148 |
+
2016-03-31,38.8,0.3759,27.0,0.01462,25.0,180.2
|
149 |
+
2016-04-30,38.38,0.3668,26.0,0.01463,24.0,186.0
|
150 |
+
2016-05-31,37.31,0.3559,26.0,0.01459,24.0,193.4
|
151 |
+
2016-06-30,36.88,0.3526,26.0,0.01449,26.0,187.25
|
152 |
+
2016-07-31,37.01,0.3584,26.0,0.01457,26.0,165.5
|
153 |
+
2016-08-31,37.01,0.359,24.0,0.01488,24.5,171.2
|
154 |
+
2016-09-30,37.17,0.362,24.0,0.01502,24.0,169.75
|
155 |
+
2016-10-31,37.48,0.3577,24.0,0.01519,24.0,174.75
|
156 |
+
2016-11-30,30.298000000000002,0.29056000000000004,24.0,0.01507,24.0,182.2
|
157 |
+
2016-12-31,36.607600000000005,0.34961200000000003,24.0,0.01501,24.0,183.25
|
158 |
+
2017-01-31,38.42,0.3664,24.0,0.01499,24.0,184.6
|
159 |
+
2017-02-28,38.42,0.3667,24.0,0.01499,24.5,191.25
|
160 |
+
2017-03-31,38.42,0.3667,24.0,0.01501,25.0,192.0
|
161 |
+
2017-04-30,37.96,0.3621,24.0,0.01486,23.75,186.8
|
162 |
+
2017-05-31,37.21,0.3554,24.0,0.01473,24.75,186.8
|
163 |
+
2017-06-30,36.92,0.3525,25.5,0.01477,25.0,188.25
|
164 |
+
2017-07-31,36.42,0.3464,26.0,0.0148,24.0,194.0
|
165 |
+
2017-08-31,35.92,0.3453,25.0,0.01477,22.0,190.8
|
166 |
+
2017-09-30,36.17,0.344,24.0,0.01473,22.0,187.0
|
167 |
+
2017-10-31,36.42,0.3454,24.0,0.01478,22.0,194.6
|
168 |
+
2017-11-30,30.041999999999994,0.27948,24.0,0.01471,22.0,192.0
|
169 |
+
2017-12-31,36.4764,0.335936,24.0,0.01454,22.0,191.0
|
170 |
+
2018-01-31,38.79,0.3568,24.0,0.01442,22.0,193.2
|
171 |
+
2018-02-28,38.83,0.3512,24.0,0.01452,22.0,201.5
|
172 |
+
2018-03-31,38.3,0.3468,24.0,0.01452,22.0,208.25
|
173 |
+
2018-04-30,37.29,0.3227,24.0,0.01436,22.0,212.5
|
174 |
+
2018-05-31,36.31,0.3142,24.0,0.01415,22.0,212.8
|
175 |
+
2018-06-30,36.9,0.3198,24.0,0.01402,22.0,203.25
|
176 |
+
2018-07-31,38.92,0.3168,23.875,0.0138,23.0,207.6
|
177 |
+
2018-08-31,39.17,0.3169,23.625,0.01383,23.25,230.0
|
178 |
+
2018-09-30,39.17,0.3153,24.5,0.01343,24.25,222.5
|
179 |
+
2018-10-31,23.490000000000002,0.18238000000000004,25.5,0.01326865,25.0,231.8
|
180 |
+
2018-11-30,28.170000000000005,0.211916,24.0,0.013164,25.75,226.0
|
181 |
+
2018-12-31,33.786,0.24713920000000003,24.0,0.013283,26.0,233.75
|
182 |
+
2019-01-31,39.11,0.2797,24.0,0.01331416,26.0,242.75
|
183 |
+
2019-02-28,39.08,0.2822,24.0,0.01342014,26.0,241.5
|
184 |
+
2019-03-31,39.08,0.2795,24.0,0.01332465,26.0,227.75
|
185 |
+
2019-04-30,39.08,0.2788,24.0,0.01300203,26.0,224.0
|
186 |
+
2019-05-31,40.65,0.287,24.0,0.012712,26.25,207.0
|
187 |
+
2019-06-30,42.31,0.272,24.0,0.012499,27.0,199.25
|
188 |
+
2019-07-31,43.83,0.2775,24.0,0.012439,27.0,194.8
|
189 |
+
2019-08-31,42.78,0.267,24.0,0.012784,27.0,193.5
|
190 |
+
2019-09-30,43.46,0.2776,24.0,0.012822,27.0,186.5
|
191 |
+
2019-10-31,27.498,0.17526,24.0,0.012822,27.0,203.4
|
192 |
+
2019-11-30,33.4596,0.21535200000000004,24.0,0.012801,27.0,207.75
|
193 |
+
2019-12-31,40.579519999999995,0.2598624,25.0,0.012776,27.5,215.0
|
194 |
+
2020-01-31,51.25,0.3317,25.0,0.012951,27.75,225.5
|
195 |
+
2020-02-29,45.09,0.2922,25.0,0.012997,27.75,221.75
|
196 |
+
2020-03-31,45.6,0.2848,29.66666667,0.013177,31.08333333,213.2
|
197 |
+
2020-04-30,46.13,0.2779,33.0,0.01317,34.66666667,228.75
|
198 |
+
2020-05-31,45.16,0.2818,33.0,0.01312,35.5625,225.0
|
199 |
+
2020-06-30,51.64,0.3148,30.75,0.012975,35.0,206.2
|
200 |
+
2020-07-31,56.22,0.3383,29.3,0.013017,33.3,204.5
|
201 |
+
2020-08-31,54.89,0.3287,30.0,0.01303,32.0,202.75
|
202 |
+
2020-09-30,55.54,0.3356,31.75,0.013056,31.25,224.8
|
203 |
+
2020-10-31,32.292,0.19674,29.0,0.013025,32.0,248.75
|
204 |
+
2020-11-30,37.9544,0.23458800000000002,29.0,0.012998,32.0,254.0
|
205 |
+
2020-12-31,44.21128,0.2773056,29.0,0.013009,32.0,256.6
|
206 |
+
2021-01-31,51.03,0.3194,29.0,0.012948,32.0,285.75
|
207 |
+
2021-02-28,50.91,0.3212,30.0,0.013007,33.5,284.0
|
208 |
+
2021-03-31,48.87,0.3146,30.0,0.012944,33.0,274.2
|
209 |
+
2021-04-30,47.98,0.3144,31.0,0.012925,31.5,252.750012
|
210 |
+
2021-05-31,51.59,0.3349,31.0,0.012925,30.0,273.25001298
|
211 |
+
2021-06-30,55.06,0.3545,31.75,0.012796,30.75,257.8
|
212 |
+
2021-07-31,55.67,0.3499,30.5,0.012605,34.0,240.5
|
213 |
+
2021-08-31,56.2,0.342,32.0,0.012467,37.0,286.2
|
214 |
+
2021-09-30,60.78,0.3609,35.0,0.012104,37.66666666666666,306.75
|
215 |
+
2021-10-31,34.396,0.20285999999999998,38.5,0.011433,41.5,314.67001495
|
216 |
+
2021-11-30,41.035199999999996,0.23809200000000003,39.0,0.010864,42.0,338.40001607
|
217 |
+
2021-12-31,48.08624,0.2751304,43.25,0.009784,47.5,336.25001597
|
218 |
+
2022-01-31,55.0,0.3114,41.0,0.009634,46.8,334.25001588
|
219 |
+
2022-02-28,55.0,0.3153,40.0,0.010799,44.0,319.7500151873101
|
220 |
+
2022-03-31,55.0,0.308,40.0,0.0111371,43.75,411.67
|
221 |
+
2022-04-30,41.08,0.2273,40.0,0.011536,47.15,393.3300186821725
|
222 |
+
2022-05-31,61.34,0.3192,41.3,0.011469,48.25,390.0
|
223 |
+
2022-06-30,65.73,0.3211,48.57142857142857,0.011348,51.95,441.57400476237945
|
224 |
+
2022-07-31,57.09,0.2745,47.49964285714286,0.011398,49.35,371.0
|
225 |
+
2022-08-31,49.0,0.2278,49.28571428571428,0.011321,51.5,338.0
|
226 |
+
2022-09-30,62.35,0.2665,48.0,0.011429,48.625,318.55
|
227 |
+
2022-10-31,48.552,0.20546000000000003,45.3525,0.011629,45.5,321.0
|
228 |
+
2022-11-30,68.4984,0.276032,46.7825,0.011497,45.7225,404.092
|
229 |
+
2022-12-31,92.31808,0.35825840000000003,45.783571428575,0.01158,43.125,313.09
|
230 |
+
2023-01-31,131.41,0.533,44.9275,0.011372,42.15,309.18
|
231 |
+
2023-02-28,100.18,0.3752,52.5,0.011304,41.75,303.15
|
232 |
+
2023-03-31,112.95,0.4016,43.392857142825,0.011542,36.7,284.57
|
233 |
+
2023-04-30,145.8,0.5138,42.964285714275,0.01173,35.1,275.11
|
234 |
+
2023-05-31,151.34,0.535,41.25,0.011581,34.75,251.74
|
data/comtrade_flour.csv
CHANGED
@@ -225,8 +225,10 @@ Date,0,Azerbaijan,Brazil,Canada,China,Czechia,Finland,France,Germany,India,Italy
|
|
225 |
2022-08-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
226 |
2022-09-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
227 |
2022-10-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
228 |
-
2022-11-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
|
229 |
2022-12-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
230 |
-
2023-01-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
|
231 |
-
2023-02-28,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
|
232 |
-
2023-03-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
|
|
|
|
|
|
225 |
2022-08-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
226 |
2022-09-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
227 |
2022-10-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
228 |
+
2022-11-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
229 |
2022-12-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
230 |
+
2023-01-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
231 |
+
2023-02-28,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
232 |
+
2023-03-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
233 |
+
2023-04-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
234 |
+
2023-05-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,0,1
|
data/comtrade_grain.csv
CHANGED
@@ -230,3 +230,5 @@ Date,1,China,France,India,Italy,Kazakhstan,Pakistan,Russian Federation,Türkiye,
|
|
230 |
2023-01-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
231 |
2023-02-28,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
232 |
2023-03-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
|
|
|
|
|
230 |
2023-01-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
231 |
2023-02-28,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
232 |
2023-03-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
233 |
+
2023-04-30,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
234 |
+
2023-05-31,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1
|
data/final_afgh_wheat.csv
CHANGED
@@ -1,65 +1,67 @@
|
|
1 |
Date,actual_prices,historical_forecasts,Lower_Limit,Wheat_Forecast,Upper_Limit
|
2 |
-
2018-06-30,22.0,
|
3 |
-
2018-07-31,23.0,
|
4 |
-
2018-08-31,23.25,
|
5 |
-
2018-09-30,24.25,
|
6 |
-
2018-10-31,25.000000000000004,24.
|
7 |
-
2018-11-30,25.75,
|
8 |
-
2018-12-31,26.0,26.
|
9 |
-
2019-01-31,26.0,
|
10 |
-
2019-02-28,26.0,26.
|
11 |
-
2019-03-31,26.0,
|
12 |
-
2019-04-30,26.0,26.
|
13 |
-
2019-05-31,26.250000000000004,
|
14 |
-
2019-06-30,27.0,27.
|
15 |
-
2019-07-31,27.0,
|
16 |
-
2019-08-31,27.0,
|
17 |
-
2019-09-30,27.0,
|
18 |
-
2019-10-31,27.0,
|
19 |
-
2019-11-30,27.0,
|
20 |
-
2019-12-31,27.5,
|
21 |
-
2020-01-31,27.75,27.
|
22 |
-
2020-02-29,27.75,
|
23 |
-
2020-03-31,31.08333333,31.
|
24 |
-
2020-04-30,34.66666667,34.
|
25 |
-
2020-05-31,35.5625,36.
|
26 |
-
2020-06-30,34.99999999999999,
|
27 |
-
2020-07-31,33.29999999999999,
|
28 |
-
2020-08-31,32.0,
|
29 |
-
2020-09-30,31.25,
|
30 |
-
2020-10-31,32.0,
|
31 |
-
2020-11-30,32.0,30.
|
32 |
-
2020-12-31,32.0,
|
33 |
-
2021-01-31,32.0,
|
34 |
-
2021-02-28,33.5,
|
35 |
-
2021-03-31,33.0,
|
36 |
-
2021-04-30,31.5,32.
|
37 |
-
2021-05-31,30.0,
|
38 |
-
2021-06-30,30.75,
|
39 |
-
2021-07-31,34.0,33.
|
40 |
-
2021-08-31,36.99999999999999,
|
41 |
-
2021-09-30,37.66666666666666,
|
42 |
-
2021-10-31,41.5,40.
|
43 |
-
2021-11-30,41.99999999999999,
|
44 |
-
2021-12-31,47.50000000000001,
|
45 |
-
2022-01-31,46.8,
|
46 |
-
2022-02-28,44.0,44.
|
47 |
-
2022-03-31,43.75,
|
48 |
-
2022-04-30,47.15,
|
49 |
-
2022-05-31,48.25,48.
|
50 |
-
2022-06-30,51.95000000000001,
|
51 |
-
2022-07-31,49.35,
|
52 |
-
2022-08-31,51.5,
|
53 |
-
2022-09-30,48.625,
|
54 |
-
2022-10-31,45.5,
|
55 |
-
2022-11-30,45.72249999999999,45.
|
56 |
-
2022-12-31,43.125,44.
|
57 |
-
2023-01-31,42.15,
|
58 |
-
2023-02-28,41.75,
|
59 |
-
2023-03-31,36.7,
|
60 |
-
2023-04-30
|
61 |
-
2023-05-31
|
62 |
-
2023-06-30,,,
|
63 |
-
2023-07-31,,,
|
64 |
-
2023-08-31,,,
|
65 |
-
2023-09-30,,,
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Date,actual_prices,historical_forecasts,Lower_Limit,Wheat_Forecast,Upper_Limit
|
2 |
+
2018-06-30,22.0,23.49608291458131,,,
|
3 |
+
2018-07-31,23.0,23.333482046911897,,,
|
4 |
+
2018-08-31,23.25,23.75730338418554,,,
|
5 |
+
2018-09-30,24.25,24.426488556295705,,,
|
6 |
+
2018-10-31,25.000000000000004,24.867570309112125,,,
|
7 |
+
2018-11-30,25.75,26.22100272308021,,,
|
8 |
+
2018-12-31,26.0,26.572899094304518,,,
|
9 |
+
2019-01-31,26.0,26.680086750877035,,,
|
10 |
+
2019-02-28,26.0,26.82406550382902,,,
|
11 |
+
2019-03-31,26.0,27.080133234355923,,,
|
12 |
+
2019-04-30,26.0,26.840106556357792,,,
|
13 |
+
2019-05-31,26.250000000000004,26.74438990243002,,,
|
14 |
+
2019-06-30,27.0,27.23803029520501,,,
|
15 |
+
2019-07-31,27.0,26.89565018752278,,,
|
16 |
+
2019-08-31,27.0,26.761514292461445,,,
|
17 |
+
2019-09-30,27.0,27.15657937640997,,,
|
18 |
+
2019-10-31,27.0,27.31972484872705,,,
|
19 |
+
2019-11-30,27.0,27.10488151312622,,,
|
20 |
+
2019-12-31,27.5,27.76715580842965,,,
|
21 |
+
2020-01-31,27.75,27.77743586117693,,,
|
22 |
+
2020-02-29,27.75,28.806526915997832,,,
|
23 |
+
2020-03-31,31.08333333,31.19575358938322,,,
|
24 |
+
2020-04-30,34.66666667,34.37706384140779,,,
|
25 |
+
2020-05-31,35.5625,36.21362623331529,,,
|
26 |
+
2020-06-30,34.99999999999999,35.27664390131007,,,
|
27 |
+
2020-07-31,33.29999999999999,34.328698262160486,,,
|
28 |
+
2020-08-31,32.0,32.20282376146903,,,
|
29 |
+
2020-09-30,31.25,31.983063389950008,,,
|
30 |
+
2020-10-31,32.0,32.63046154432177,,,
|
31 |
+
2020-11-30,32.0,30.72280641998365,,,
|
32 |
+
2020-12-31,32.0,32.89379888416604,,,
|
33 |
+
2021-01-31,32.0,33.30984937348245,,,
|
34 |
+
2021-02-28,33.5,33.44430571777955,,,
|
35 |
+
2021-03-31,33.0,31.916872218406706,,,
|
36 |
+
2021-04-30,31.5,32.48216078594342,,,
|
37 |
+
2021-05-31,30.0,30.486436448417876,,,
|
38 |
+
2021-06-30,30.75,30.889705539057584,,,
|
39 |
+
2021-07-31,34.0,33.55487240418986,,,
|
40 |
+
2021-08-31,36.99999999999999,38.1181586514809,,,
|
41 |
+
2021-09-30,37.66666666666666,38.17207383873165,,,
|
42 |
+
2021-10-31,41.5,40.43647538516416,,,
|
43 |
+
2021-11-30,41.99999999999999,41.922032684813296,,,
|
44 |
+
2021-12-31,47.50000000000001,47.27129282794028,,,
|
45 |
+
2022-01-31,46.8,46.99400286674786,,,
|
46 |
+
2022-02-28,44.0,44.18758411595919,,,
|
47 |
+
2022-03-31,43.75,44.36595389255393,,,
|
48 |
+
2022-04-30,47.15,48.33911417589532,,,
|
49 |
+
2022-05-31,48.25,48.82666036737552,,,
|
50 |
+
2022-06-30,51.95000000000001,52.04339675954337,,,
|
51 |
+
2022-07-31,49.35,50.148409412616864,,,
|
52 |
+
2022-08-31,51.5,51.783040641877086,,,
|
53 |
+
2022-09-30,48.625,48.84414960226527,,,
|
54 |
+
2022-10-31,45.5,45.083813755723504,,,
|
55 |
+
2022-11-30,45.72249999999999,45.58556340669296,,,
|
56 |
+
2022-12-31,43.125,44.04190362841919,,,
|
57 |
+
2023-01-31,42.15,43.75919881541327,,,
|
58 |
+
2023-02-28,41.75,42.43798485697513,,,
|
59 |
+
2023-03-31,36.7,36.52091450477763,,,
|
60 |
+
2023-04-30,35.1,36.59642201962024,,,
|
61 |
+
2023-05-31,34.74999999999999,35.771536014335375,,,
|
62 |
+
2023-06-30,,,29.958418194006416,33.287131326673794,36.615844459341176
|
63 |
+
2023-07-31,,,37.43100881919905,41.59000979911006,45.74901077902106
|
64 |
+
2023-08-31,,,38.678194620406224,42.97577180045136,47.2733489804965
|
65 |
+
2023-09-30,,,38.905956225754366,43.22884025083818,47.551724275922005
|
66 |
+
2023-10-31,,,40.43523620051607,44.92804022279564,49.4208442450752
|
67 |
+
2023-11-30,,,40.06155653594644,44.51284059549604,48.96412465504565
|