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/2023.01.30
/Stocks dip, U.S. yields rise ahead of central bank flurry.txt
*Fed seen hiking 25 bps, ECB and BOE by 50 bps*Megacap stocks lead earnings results this week*MSCI index on track for biggest January pct gain since | |
2019NEW YORK, Jan 30 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks | |
dipped on Monday after six sessions of gains while the yield on | |
the U.S. ten-year Treasury rose for a third day, ahead of | |
central bank policy announcements and data that may shed light | |
on whether progress has been made in bringing down inflation.Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve will raise rates | |
by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, with announcements on | |
Thursday from the Bank of England and European Central Bank | |
(ECB), both of which are largely expected to hike by 50 bps."This is probably a week where we are going to have a year’s | |
worth of surprises possibly, so it makes sense to me there is a | |
little bit of profit taking, some positioning ahead of some very | |
important meetings but also data releases," said Brian Jacobsen, | |
senior investment strategist at Allspring Global Investments in | |
Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin."(The Fed) would rather err on the side of sounding too | |
hawkish but talk is cheap - they are at the point now with the | |
hiking cycle where what really matters is what the data says and | |
what the Fed delivers."The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 89.41 points, | |
or 0.26%, to 33,888.67, the S&P 500 lost 36.23 points, or | |
0.89%, to 4,034.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped | |
200.13 points, or 1.72%, to 11,421.58.The rate increase expected at the Federal Open Market | |
Committee's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting would bring the policy rate | |
to the 4.5%-4.75% range. That's two quarter-point rate hikes | |
short of the level most Fed policymakers in December thought | |
would be "sufficiently restrictive" to bring inflation under | |
control. But futures currently expect rates to peak at | |
about 4.9% in June before retreating to 4.5% by year-end.Markets will also grapple with a host of U.S. economic data, | |
culminating in Friday's payrolls report for January. Investors | |
see signs of weakening in the labor market as a key factor in | |
bringing down high inflation. Other data included gauges of the | |
manufacturing and services sectors.The U.S. corporate earnings season also remains in high | |
gear, with earnings this week expected from the likes of Apple | |
, Alphabet and Amazon. Earnings for | |
S&P 500 companies are expected to show a decline of 3% for the | |
quarter, per Refinitiv data, weaker than the 1.6% fall seen at | |
the start of the year.Stocks in Europe were also lower, with rate-sensitive names | |
such as technology shares among the primary decliners.The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.30% and | |
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe shed | |
0.68%. MSCI's index was on track for its biggest January | |
percentage gain since 2019 while the STOXX 600 was poised for | |
its largest January percentage gain since 2015.U.S. Treasury yields rose ahead of the central bank meetings | |
and economic data, with the 10-year yield up for a third | |
consecutive session. Benchmark 10-year notes were up | |
2.4 basis points to 3.542%, from 3.518% late on Friday.The greenback, which was poised for its fourth month of | |
declines as expectation have increased the Fed was nearing the | |
end of its rate-hiking cycle, was up slightly.The dollar index rose 0.098%, with the euro up | |
0.08% to $1.0876.The Japanese yen weakened 0.34% versus the greenback to | |
130.31 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at | |
$1.2379, down 0.15% on the day.Crude prices fell ahead of the expected hikes by central | |
banks and signals of strong Russian exports.U.S. crude was down 1.13% at $78.78 per barrel and | |
Brent was at $85.75, down 1.05% on the day.(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak | |
Editing by Bernadette Baum) |