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/AMZN
/2023.01.30
/Stocks fall, U.S. yields climb with central banks on tap.txt
*Fed seen hiking 25 bps, ECB and BOE by 50 bps*Megacap stocks lead earnings results this week*MSCI index on track for biggest January pct gain since | |
2019NEW YORK, Jan 30 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks | |
retreated on Monday after six sessions of gains while U.S. | |
Treasury yields rose ahead of central bank policy announcements | |
and data that may shed light on whether progress has been made | |
in bringing down inflation.Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve will raise rates | |
by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, with announcements on | |
Thursday from the Bank of England and European Central Bank | |
(ECB), both of which are largely expected to hike by 50 bps."It would be pretty shocking for them to come out and do | |
anything other than 25 on Wednesday just because it has been | |
priced in there and they haven’t taken the opportunity to push | |
back on it," said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at | |
Horizon Investments in Charlotte, North Carolina."It’s not necessarily in the Fed’s best interest to forecast | |
a pause or pivot at this stage – they still have an inflation | |
number that is too high, they still have an employment situation | |
they believe is too tight."The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 189.88 points, | |
or 0.56%, to 33,788.2, the S&P 500 lost 43.59 points, or | |
1.07%, to 4,026.97 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped | |
193.19 points, or 1.66%, to 11,428.52.The rate increase expected at the Federal Open Market | |
Committee's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting would bring the policy rate | |
to the 4.5%-4.75% range. That's two quarter-point rate hikes | |
short of the level most Fed policymakers in December thought | |
would be "sufficiently restrictive" to bring inflation under | |
control. But futures currently expect rates to peak at | |
about 4.9% in June before retreating to 4.5% by year-end.Markets will also grapple with a host of U.S. economic data, | |
culminating in Friday's payrolls report for January. Investors | |
see signs of weakening in the labor market as a key factor in | |
bringing down high inflation. Other data included gauges of the | |
manufacturing and services sectors.The U.S. corporate earnings season also continues to roll | |
on, with earnings this week expected from the likes of Apple | |
, Alphabet and Amazon. Earnings for | |
S&P 500 companies are expected to show a decline of 3% for the | |
quarter, per Refinitiv data, weaker than the 1.6% fall seen at | |
the start of the year.Stocks in Europe closed lower, with rate-sensitive names | |
such as technology shares among the primary decliners after | |
inflation data from Spain came in above expectations while other | |
data showed the German economy unexpectedly contracted in the | |
fourth quarter.The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.17% and | |
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe shed | |
0.85%. MSCI's index was on track for its biggest January | |
percentage gain since 2019 while the STOXX 600 was poised for | |
its largest January percentage gain since 2015.U.S. Treasury yields rose ahead of the central bank meetings | |
and economic data, with the 10-year yield up for a third | |
consecutive session. Benchmark 10-year notes were up | |
2.6 basis points to 3.544%, from 3.518% late on Friday.The greenback, which was poised for its fourth month of | |
declines as expectation have increased the Fed was nearing the | |
end of its rate-hiking cycle, was up for a third straight | |
session against a basket of major currencies.The dollar index rose 0.402%, with the euro | |
down 0.25% to $1.084.The Japanese yen weakened 0.51% versus the greenback to | |
130.51 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at | |
$1.2338, down 0.48% on the day.Crude prices fell ahead of the expected hikes by central | |
banks and signals of strong Russian exports.U.S. crude fell 2.16% to $77.96 per barrel and Brent | |
was at $84.86, down 2.08% on the day.(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak | |
Editing by Bernadette Baum) |