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/2023.02.03
/Asian stocks pull back, dollar regains footing ahead of U.S. payrolls data.txt
*Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4*China shares fall, Japan's Nikkei up 0.3%*Sentiment hurt by weak earnings from U.S. tech giants*Sterling, euro falter after BOE, ECB signal pause*European yields sharply lower, Treasury flat ahead of | |
payrollsSYDNEY, Feb 3 (Reuters) - A global stock rally ran into | |
resistance in Asia on Friday as disappointing earnings from U.S. | |
tech giants undermined sentiment, while the dollar regained some | |
of its footing ahead of a key U.S. non-farm payrolls report.European markets are set to extend the caution, with | |
pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1%, German DAX | |
futures falling 0.2%, and FTSE futures mostly | |
flat.Overnight, markets took a dovish view on rate guidance from | |
the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, hoping that | |
an end of the massive global tightening cycle is in sight, | |
pushing local bonds higher and the currencies lower.MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan | |
eased 0.6% on Friday, dragged down by a 1.3% | |
slump in Chinese blue-chips and a 1.4% tumble in Hong | |
Kong's Hang Seng index.Investors are waiting to see more tangible signs of an | |
economic recovery in China, after Beijing dropped nearly all of | |
its COVID curbs in December, sparking a surge in foreign | |
inflows.Other regional markets eked out modest gains. Japan's Nikkei | |
rose 0.3%, Australia's resources heavy shares | |
rallied 0.6% and South Korea's KOSPI climbed 0.5%.Disappointment over earnings results from Google, | |
Apple and Amazon tempered sentiment, with the | |
S&P 500 futures sliding 0.5% and Nasdaq futures | |
falling 1.5% on Friday.Tech shares took a beating in Thursday's after-hours | |
trading, with shares of Apple down 3.2%, Amazon down 5% and | |
Google parent Alphabet down 4.6%.Apple projected another revenue decline in the start of the | |
year, Amazon warned that its operating profit could fall to zero | |
in the current quarter, and Google parent Alphabet missed | |
expectations in its fourth-quarter profit and revenue.That took the shine off a strong regular trading session on | |
Thursday, when the S&P climbed 1.5% and the Nasdaq | |
surged 3.3%. The uptick built on strong gains from the | |
previous day after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said | |
disinflationary pressures are underway in the economy, raising | |
hopes that a pause to its monetary tightening streak is near.Investors are also watching the fallout from this week's | |
plunge in shares of India's Adani group, which continued to | |
nosedive on Friday with market losses amounting to $115 billion | |
in the wake of a U.S. short-seller's report.On Thursday, the European Central bank (ECB) and Bank of | |
England (BoE) hiked rates by 50 basis points each, with the BoE | |
saying the tide was turning against inflation and the ECB | |
indicating at least one more hike was on the horizon before | |
re-evaluating its rate hike path.Markets reacted by pushing European yields sharply lower, | |
with the 10-year German bunds falling 22.6 basis | |
points to 2.065%, the biggest drop since 2011, and Italian bonds | |
tumbling 40 bps to 3.887%, the most since 2020."The wash-up is that the BoE meeting was dovish, and the ECB | |
is now firmly open-minded and data-dependent, and the Fed chose | |
not to fight the market and the market feels validated by that," | |
said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.Alan Ruskin, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, said that | |
given the current market price action ahead of the U.S. payrolls | |
data, a softer report would be regarded as endorsing all the | |
favourite trades of the year."Not least it would provide the most important evidence to | |
date to suggest that the market's rates pricing is more | |
appropriate than the Fed's own more hawkish signalling," said | |
Ruskin.Analysts expect 185,000 jobs were added last month, the | |
lowest since January 2021, unemployment edged up to 3.6%, and | |
hourly wage inflation to stay flat at 0.3% on a monthly basis, | |
suggesting the strong labour market might have started to ease | |
up.Futures markets still favour another 25-basis-point hike | |
from the Fed at its March policy meeting, while implying that | |
might be the end of its current tightening cycle. They have also | |
priced in one rate cut by the end of this year, a scenario | |
Powell dismissed.In the currency markets, the euro extended | |
losses to $1.0889, pulling further away from the ten-month top | |
of $1.1033 touched on Thursday.Sterling fell to $1.2213 on Friday, the lowest | |
in more than two weeks, after tumbling 1.2% the previous | |
session.That helped the U.S. dollar to recoup most of its | |
post-Fed losses, with the dollar index now standing at | |
101.85, away from its nine-month low of 100.80.Treasury yields held largely steady. The yield on | |
benchmark 10-year Treasury notes eased 2 basis | |
points to 3.3726%, while the two-year yield, which | |
rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, was | |
mostly flat at 4.0918%.In the oil market, Brent crude futures reversed | |
earlier gains and slid 0.2% to $82.01 per barrel, while U.S. | |
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was also down 0.2% at | |
$75.70.Gold was 0.2% higher. Spot gold was traded at | |
$1915.66 per ounce.(Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Kim Coghill) |