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/2023.02.03
/Stocks stumble, U.S. bond yields jump on strong jobs report.txt
*Jan U.S. payrolls 517k vs 185k estimate*Dollar bounces off 9-month lows*Amazon, Alphabet lower after earningsNEW YORK, Feb 3 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks | |
dropped more than 1%, while U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar | |
shot higher on Friday after a shockingly strong U.S. jobs report | |
renewed concerns the Federal Reserve may stay aggressive in its | |
interest rate hike path as it tries to tame inflation.The report from the Labor Department showed nonfarm payrolls | |
surged by 517,000 jobs in January, well above the 185,000 | |
estimate of economists polled by Reuters, with data for December | |
also being revised higher. Average hourly earnings increased | |
0.3%, as expected, down from the 0.4% in the prior month, while | |
the unemployment rate of 3.4% was the lowest since 1969.Equities have rallied to start the year on expectations the | |
Fed may be forced to pause or even pivot from its rate hikes in | |
the back half of the year, growing more confident after comments | |
from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday that acknowledged the | |
"disinflationary" process may have begun. Additional fuel was | |
added after policy announcements by the European Central Bank | |
(ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday."This make the Fed's job more difficult. Their dependence on | |
the data yet to come has increased, no doubt," said Russell | |
Price, chief economist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, | |
Michigan."They’re concentrating on the labor market right now, they | |
want to see labor cost inflation under control, and this report | |
does not suggest that labor cost inflation in particular is | |
going to improve significantly anytime soon."Interest rate futures now indicate the Fed is likely to | |
deliver at least two more rate hikes, taking the benchmark rate | |
to above 5%.U.S. stocks opened lower after the report, with additional | |
downward pressure being supplied by a 2.83% decline in Google | |
parent Alphabet and a 7.70% drop in Amazon after their | |
quarterly results.Apple, however, helped prevent further declines, as the | |
stock erased losses in premarket trading to trade 2.74% higher | |
following its quarterly earnings.Earnings are now expected to decline 2.7% for the quarter | |
from the year-ago period, according to Refinitiv data, down from | |
the 1.6% fall expected at the start of the year.Other data showed the U.S. services industry rebounded | |
strongly in January, according to the Institute for Supply | |
Management (ISM).The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 167.55 points, | |
or 0.49%, to 33,886.39; the S&P 500 lost 44.72 points, or | |
1.07%, to 4,135.04; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped | |
176.41 points, or 1.45%, to 12,024.41.Even with Friday's declines, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq | |
were on track for weekly gains. The Nasdaq was poised for a | |
fifth straight week of gains, it's longest since | |
October-November 2021.European stocks closed modestly higher, erasing earlier | |
declines on optimism over the region's economy. The pan-European | |
STOXX 600 index rose 0.34% but MSCI's gauge of stocks | |
across the globe shed 1.08%. The STOXX index | |
closed with a 1.23% gain on the week for its highest closing | |
level since April 21. MSCI's index was on track for a second | |
straight weekly advance even with Friday's tumble.U.S. Treasury yields climbed after the payrolls report, with | |
those on the benchmark 10-year note up 13.2 basis | |
points to 3.530%, from 3.398% late on Thursday, poised for their | |
biggest one-day jump since Oct. 19.The greenback strengthened in the wake of the data, climbing | |
off a nine-month low hit on Thursday to 109.92, its highest | |
since January 12, with the dollar index rose 1.071% and | |
the euro down 0.93% to $1.0808.The Japanese yen weakened 1.88% to 131.11 per dollar, | |
while Sterling was last trading at $1.2058, down 1.35% on | |
the day.Crude prices turned lower in part due to strength in the | |
dollar and concerns about higher interest rates, with Brent and | |
WTI poised for weekly declines of about 7%.U.S. crude fell 3.15% to $73.49 per barrel and Brent | |
was at $79.92, down 2.74% on the day.(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; additional reporting by | |
Herbert Lash; Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Jonathan Oatis) |