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/2023.02.03
/Tech giants call time on stocks rally, U.S. payrolls loom.txt
*China shares fall, Japan's Nikkei up 0.3%*Sentiment hurt by weak earnings from U.S. tech giants*Sterling, euro falter after BOE, ECB decisions*U.S. payrolls data coming upLONDON/SYDNEY, Feb 3 (Reuters) - A global stock rally, | |
powered by hopes of central banks ending aggressive rate rises, | |
ran into roadblocks on Friday following weak earnings from U.S. | |
tech giants and as key U.S. jobs data loomed.The MSCI World Stock Index slipped 0.2%, but | |
was still near its highest since last August following a sharp | |
rebound in recent weeks on hopes that central bank rate hikes | |
are nearing an end.Wall Street stock futures fell sharply, with contracts | |
on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 2% lower, on disappointing | |
earnings from Google, Apple and Amazon | |
. S&P 500 futures slid 0.9%.Investors are also watching the fallout from this week's | |
plunge in shares of India's Adani group, which continued to | |
nosedive on Friday with market losses amounting to $115 billion | |
in the wake of a U.S. short-seller's report.In Europe, the Stoxx 600 share benchmark fell 0.6%. | |
Germany's benchmark 10-year bond yield inched 2 | |
basis points (bps) higher to 2.097%, having on Thursday dropped | |
by the most since 2011 as the price of the debt rallied.This week, the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European | |
Central bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) all increased | |
benchmark borrowing costs and warned of more hikes to come.Markets initially shrugged off the hawkishness, however, | |
and clungto a statementby Fed chair Jay Powell on Wednesday that the United States | |
was in the early stages of "disinflation."The mood turned much more cautious on Thursday, however, | |
as U.S. tech sharestook a beating in U.S. after-hours trading.Apple projected another revenue decline in the start of the | |
year, Amazon warned that its operating profit could fall to zero | |
in the current quarter, and Google parent Alphabet missed | |
expectations in its fourth-quarter profit and revenue.The keenly watched U.S. non-farm payrolls report, due | |
out later on Friday, could now be crucial to supporting the | |
recent rally."If we are seeing an easing of net job creation that | |
would allow the Fed to just do one more rate hike of 25 basis | |
points and that would be the end of the cycle," said Willem | |
Sels, global chief investment officer at HSBC's private bank."We will see headwinds from further earnings downgrades, | |
but we have incorporated quite a lot [of this] already so I | |
think markets can hold here if we are indeed right on the Fed."U.S. job growth likely remained strong in January, with | |
economists polled by Reuters expecting185,000 new jobs were created last month.Hourly wages are predicted to have risen by 0.3% from | |
the month before, although the unemployment rate is also | |
forecast to have ticked up to 3.6% from 3.5%, which may give the | |
Fed comfort that wage inflation could decline.Alan Ruskin, macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, said that | |
given the current market price action ahead of the U.S. payrolls | |
data, a softer report would be regarded as endorsing all the | |
favourite trades of the year."Not least it would provide the most important evidence to | |
date to suggest that the market's rates pricing is more | |
appropriate than the Fed's own more hawkish signalling," Ruskin | |
said.Futures markets favour another 25 bp hike from the Fed in | |
March and imply that might be the end of its current tightening | |
cycle. They have also priced in two rate cuts by the end of this | |
year, a scenario Powell dismissed.In currency markets, the euro extended losses | |
to $1.0888, pulling further away from Thursday's 10-month top of | |
$1.1033.Sterling fell to $1.2185 on Friday, the lowest | |
in more than two weeks, after tumbling 1.2% the previous | |
session.That helped the U.S. dollar to recoup most of its | |
post-Fed losses, with the dollar index now standing at | |
101.94, away from its nine-month low of 100.80.Treasury yields held largely steady. Ten-year Treasury | |
yield were flat at 3.96%, while the two-year yield | |
, which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed | |
fund rates, rose 2 bps to 4.106%.In the oil market, Brent crude futures reversed | |
earlier gains and slid 0.6% to $81.58 per barrel, while U.S. | |
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was also down 0.6% at | |
$75.28.(Editing by Dhara Ranasinghe and Toby Chopra) |