davidshapiro_youtube_transcripts
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Life under UBI Work hobbies and wellbeing without work_transcript.csv
text,start,duration | |
hello everybody David Shapiro here with,0.12,5.76 | |
another video so today's video is uh by,2.7,5.939 | |
popular demand uh as we talk more and,5.88,4.86 | |
more about artificial intelligence and,8.639,6.841 | |
the potential of Ubi and AI displacing a,10.74,7.56 | |
lot of jobs uh for some people it seems,15.48,4.74 | |
like it's a foregone conclusion that a,18.3,3.0 | |
lot of people are going to be out of,20.22,3.479 | |
work real soon probably for good,21.3,5.16 | |
uh there's more and more Universal basic,23.699,4.981 | |
basic income experiments going on around,26.46,5.819 | |
the world uh and if you didn't see it I,28.68,5.94 | |
have another video called uh post labor,32.279,4.021 | |
economics which kind of talks about more,34.62,4.56 | |
of the macro economic aspects of that,36.3,5.579 | |
but in this case people really wanted to,39.18,3.86 | |
learn about,41.879,4.5 | |
Ubi on an individual level so let's get,43.04,5.62 | |
right in uh just a real quick plug for,46.379,4.5 | |
my patreon before we get in,48.66,6.0 | |
um I do have a patreon and all tiers get,50.879,6.961 | |
you into the private Discord where I am,54.66,5.579 | |
often available to chat with people I,57.84,4.379 | |
also there's two patreon discords so,60.239,3.74 | |
there's the premium patreon Discord,62.219,4.08 | |
which I prioritize make sure that I,63.979,3.82 | |
answer all questions that people send me,66.299,3.14 | |
on patreon if you're in the premium tier,67.799,4.921 | |
and I also do have occasional office,69.439,5.68 | |
hours uh where we just all kind of get,72.72,4.8 | |
in a voice chat together and then I do,75.119,4.801 | |
all uh have a higher tier for one-on-one,77.52,5.099 | |
sessions all right back to the show,79.92,5.4 | |
so first let's set the stage,82.619,5.701 | |
imagine this future scenario every,85.32,4.979 | |
American gets two thousand dollars a,88.32,4.2 | |
month no questions asked starting at age,90.299,4.68 | |
18 let's also for the sake of this,92.52,4.02 | |
thought experiment assume that Health,94.979,5.1 | |
Care is either heavily subsidized or uh,96.54,5.399 | |
practic for all intents and purposes,100.079,4.5 | |
free if you check out my post labor,101.939,5.82 | |
economics video I talk about how uh AI,104.579,5.161 | |
could lower the cost of of lots of,107.759,4.381 | |
things including Health Care by a factor,109.74,5.72 | |
of 100x or a thousand X in the long run,112.14,6.0 | |
let's also assume that the unemployment,115.46,4.78 | |
rate will be about 70 percent there are,118.14,4.38 | |
some people calling for more some people,120.24,5.699 | |
calling for less but just looking at the,122.52,5.9 | |
number of jobs that are like uh,125.939,4.8 | |
vulnerable to being automated away with,128.42,5.26 | |
AI today my personal estimate is that,130.739,6.36 | |
it's around 70 percent uh let's also,133.68,5.58 | |
assume for the sake of argument that,137.099,5.22 | |
parents get a little bit of Ubi per,139.26,5.52 | |
child but it also tapers per child,142.319,5.581 | |
uh so basically uh you wanna you don't,144.78,5.88 | |
want to necessarily hand out uh as much,147.9,4.5 | |
Ubi for every child because that,150.66,3.24 | |
incentivizes some people to just keep,152.4,3.3 | |
having more children,153.9,3.419 | |
um but on the other hand you also want,155.7,3.539 | |
to ensure that uh you know you,157.319,3.481 | |
incentivize the behaviors that you want,159.239,3.421 | |
to see and so one thing that people are,160.8,3.84 | |
concerned about some people uh are,162.66,3.78 | |
concerned about is population collapse,164.64,3.66 | |
actually this is what we're seeing in,166.44,5.22 | |
places like Italy Japan North Korea uh,168.3,6.24 | |
and other places where the population is,171.66,5.46 | |
actually already slowly Contracting and,174.54,4.979 | |
so you you basically need to incentivize,177.12,3.78 | |
people to have children you need to,179.519,3.481 | |
reward them right now,180.9,4.86 | |
um you get tax breaks uh in the form of,183.0,6.0 | |
uh dependent uh tax credit uh so,185.76,5.339 | |
basically this is kind of like a reverse,189.0,4.319 | |
or not a reverse tax credit but a tax,191.099,4.321 | |
credit in the form of increased income,193.319,4.081 | |
on a monthly basis to help pay for,195.42,4.02 | |
children,197.4,3.96 | |
um let's also assume that GDP growth is,199.44,4.56 | |
going to be something like 15 uh due to,201.36,5.519 | |
AI automation so the idea is that most,204.0,4.56 | |
people aren't working but the GDP is,206.879,3.181 | |
still growing like crazy the stock,208.56,3.48 | |
market is growing like crazy so,210.06,4.08 | |
corporations and politicians there's,212.04,4.68 | |
plenty of wealth to go around so we're,214.14,4.739 | |
basically assuming that a state exists,216.72,5.28 | |
of economic abundance and then also some,218.879,4.741 | |
redistribution oh and there was a,222.0,3.48 | |
question someone was asking what's the,223.62,4.32 | |
difference between this and socialism so,225.48,3.539 | |
the difference between this and,227.94,3.0 | |
socialism is that socialism is about,229.019,4.261 | |
Collective ownership or state ownership,230.94,5.76 | |
so in this case Ubi actually fits within,233.28,5.4 | |
capitalism and neoliberalism because the,236.7,4.02 | |
state isn't owning anything the state is,238.68,4.08 | |
just taxing and redistributing within,240.72,4.379 | |
the existing framework another,242.76,3.6 | |
assumption that we're going to make and,245.099,3.181 | |
I talked about this again in the post,246.36,4.739 | |
labor economics video is uh we're,248.28,4.56 | |
basically going to assume that inflation,251.099,3.661 | |
and deflation are going to be modulated,252.84,4.56 | |
by some of these Market forces,254.76,4.74 | |
uh with things like quantitative easing,257.4,4.559 | |
tax rates and that sort of stuff so,259.5,3.66 | |
we're not going to address that further,261.959,2.821 | |
in this video just assume that prices,263.16,4.319 | |
are stable ish,264.78,6.359 | |
okay so absolute just right off the bat,267.479,5.761 | |
let's talk about budgeting you get two,271.139,4.56 | |
thousand dollars a month uh no further,273.24,3.899 | |
questions asked,275.699,2.461 | |
um the first thing that everyone's,277.139,3.301 | |
thinking is the rent is still way too,278.16,5.22 | |
damn high for this uh you know my my,280.44,4.92 | |
mortgage payment which is you know I,283.38,3.66 | |
bought this house almost 10 years ago so,285.36,5.22 | |
before things went absolutely insane uh,287.04,5.34 | |
my mortgage payment is about twelve,290.58,3.24 | |
hundred dollars a month which is pretty,292.38,2.7 | |
good,293.82,3.0 | |
um but that being said the lowest,295.08,4.02 | |
mortgage payment I ever had was 325,296.82,3.72 | |
dollars a month for a sixty five,299.1,4.08 | |
thousand dollar uh apartment,300.54,5.28 | |
um so it can be done obviously as demand,303.18,4.799 | |
goes up in certain areas the prices also,305.82,5.7 | |
go up uh but point being is that for,307.979,5.28 | |
most people that's just these numbers,311.52,4.44 | |
probably sound completely ridiculous,313.259,4.201 | |
like it's not going to happen again,315.96,3.84 | |
because again ten years ago the economy,317.46,4.98 | |
has changed a lot inflation supply and,319.8,5.399 | |
demand has changed we're facing housing,322.44,4.8 | |
crunches and recessions and all that,325.199,3.541 | |
kind of stuff stuff so again it's like,327.24,4.019 | |
oh you know you everyone's heard like,328.74,4.62 | |
you know someone uh from our parents or,331.259,4.321 | |
grandparents age like oh you know I pay,333.36,3.96 | |
I put a you know family through college,335.58,4.74 | |
on you know a cashier's salary believe,337.32,5.46 | |
me I am aware that economics change over,340.32,4.92 | |
time we will address uh the housing,342.78,3.72 | |
thing in just a minute I'm just kind of,345.24,4.14 | |
setting the stage as to saying okay we,346.5,4.74 | |
need to figure out a way to get housing,349.38,3.78 | |
into six hundred dollars a month or so,351.24,3.36 | |
for everyone,353.16,4.14 | |
cars are another huge huge expense for,354.6,4.08 | |
Americans,357.3,3.54 | |
um so these are the two biggest expenses,358.68,4.859 | |
for most people so you know for instance,360.84,4.799 | |
I have friends that their car payment is,363.539,3.6 | |
six or seven hundred dollars a month,365.639,3.721 | |
that's insane,367.139,4.56 | |
um you know so you combine that with uh,369.36,5.04 | |
you know let's let's say I had a 600 car,371.699,4.381 | |
payment on top of a twelve hundred,374.4,3.42 | |
dollar mortgage that's eighteen hundred,376.08,3.839 | |
dollars a month leaving 200 a month for,377.82,3.719 | |
everything else that's not gonna fly,379.919,3.541 | |
that's not gonna work,381.539,4.861 | |
um now that being said if we can get uh,383.46,5.28 | |
rent or mortgages back down to 600 a,386.4,4.079 | |
month for most people that leaves,388.74,3.899 | |
Fourteen and if we can get rid of cars,390.479,3.72 | |
that leaves about fourteen hundred,392.639,2.941 | |
dollars a month for everything else and,394.199,3.241 | |
also remember in this hypothetical,395.58,4.44 | |
scenario Healthcare is uh highly,397.44,5.4 | |
subsidized or functionally free for most,400.02,4.019 | |
people,402.84,4.32 | |
okay so housing biggest expense let's,404.039,4.801 | |
talk about housing first because if we,407.16,4.08 | |
can get that under control the whole Ubi,408.84,4.56 | |
thing looks a lot more sustainable and,411.24,4.019 | |
feasible for most people,413.4,4.859 | |
so the first thing is downsizing uh a,415.259,4.741 | |
lot of people are already downsizing,418.259,3.78 | |
tiny houses are all the rage right now,420.0,4.139 | |
Katrina Cottages,422.039,3.481 | |
um that kind of kick-started it because,424.139,4.201 | |
after Hurricane Katrina uh of actually,425.52,4.44 | |
what happened was a few celebrities got,428.34,5.16 | |
together and paid for Architects to,429.96,6.42 | |
design Cottages small houses that were,433.5,5.52 | |
very cheap and easy to build so that,436.38,4.439 | |
people that were affected by Katrina,439.02,2.72 | |
could,440.819,3.061 | |
recover more quickly,441.74,5.739 | |
uh ever that didn't start the tiny house,443.88,5.28 | |
Trend but that certainly put it on the,447.479,3.06 | |
map and people are like oh Katrina,449.16,2.939 | |
houses they're pretty cute because again,450.539,3.361 | |
they paid for,452.099,3.241 | |
um professional Architects to make,453.9,2.94 | |
something that was,455.34,3.6 | |
um sustainable and appealing not just,456.84,3.72 | |
cheap and efficient,458.94,4.5 | |
so demand for smaller houses is creating,460.56,4.74 | |
new markets there's,463.44,3.42 | |
um you know last time I looked up at,465.3,3.66 | |
tiny houses a few years ago there were,466.86,4.2 | |
not a whole lot of options now there are,468.96,4.2 | |
tiny house kits there are prefabs there,471.06,3.9 | |
are all kinds of stuff,473.16,4.2 | |
some of the some of the cheapest DIY,474.96,4.859 | |
like livable tiny houses that I could,477.36,4.559 | |
find were around four thousand dollars,479.819,4.201 | |
which is much much more efficient than,481.919,3.601 | |
you know a two hundred thousand dollar,484.02,3.0 | |
house or a four hundred thousand dollar,485.52,3.84 | |
house you can also get pre-built for,487.02,4.44 | |
around 12K and that's you know starting,489.36,4.679 | |
price you can spend up to 200k on a,491.46,4.5 | |
prefab tiny house,494.039,3.481 | |
um which is still cheaper than you know,495.96,4.44 | |
a half a million dollar uh Suburban,497.52,5.04 | |
house uh one thing one of the biggest,500.4,4.32 | |
problems with tiny houses is that um,502.56,3.96 | |
regulations and zoning laws need to be,504.72,5.4 | |
uh updated uh in many municipalities and,506.52,6.0 | |
jurisdictions a tiny house is not,510.12,4.56 | |
allowed to be the primary residence you,512.52,3.48 | |
can have what's called an auxiliary,514.68,3.599 | |
dwelling unit in many places which is,516.0,3.779 | |
basically you can put a tiny house in,518.279,3.361 | |
your backyard but then you need a,519.779,4.801 | |
regular full-sized house so um my wife,521.64,5.16 | |
and I we're about to downsize but even,524.58,4.74 | |
in the countryside the minimum house,526.8,4.56 | |
size that we're allowed to build is 1200,529.32,3.66 | |
square feet so it's smaller than my,531.36,3.0 | |
current house but it still doesn't,532.98,3.359 | |
qualify as a tiny house we would love to,534.36,4.26 | |
have built something smaller but uh,536.339,4.321 | |
because of the because the County zoning,538.62,3.659 | |
laws we're not allowed to build anything,540.66,2.7 | |
smaller,542.279,4.021 | |
so in order to accommodate a shift to a,543.36,5.039 | |
Ubi we're going to need different zoning,546.3,4.44 | |
laws or areas that are zoned for tiny,548.399,5.341 | |
houses another option is portable tiny,550.74,5.18 | |
houses such as trailers or van dwelling,553.74,4.74 | |
now lots of people you know there's the,555.92,4.38 | |
van dwelling subreddit there's plenty of,558.48,4.32 | |
influencers on Tick Tock and YouTube and,560.3,4.979 | |
uh Instagram and everywhere else,562.8,5.34 | |
that either travel or live in a van full,565.279,6.521 | |
time or whatever uh this is this is good,568.14,5.639 | |
for some people it can be very cheap you,571.8,4.26 | |
can also spend a lot of money uh pimping,573.779,4.161 | |
out a van or a bus or whatever,576.06,4.32 | |
there are challenges associated with,577.94,4.78 | |
this such as safety where do you stay,580.38,4.98 | |
permanent address it also requires a,582.72,4.5 | |
vehicle which again Vehicles can be,585.36,3.2 | |
really expensive,587.22,4.5 | |
the last thing is micro Apartments so,588.56,6.279 | |
not everyone wants to own their own home,591.72,5.04 | |
or their own land so micro apartments,594.839,4.141 | |
are something that is an option they're,596.76,4.8 | |
increasingly popular but again there's a,598.98,4.859 | |
lot of regulations particular early in,601.56,4.38 | |
America that prevent us from even,603.839,6.0 | |
building tiny uh Apartments usually the,605.94,5.82 | |
smallest studio apartment you can get is,609.839,4.041 | |
around four to five hundred square feet,611.76,4.44 | |
which you know there's nothing wrong,613.88,3.28 | |
with that,616.2,3.24 | |
but those are often in Trendy areas and,617.16,3.54 | |
so even though it's a small apartment,619.44,4.62 | |
they're often very very expensive,620.7,5.16 | |
um so they're not really optimized for,624.06,4.32 | |
being economical that being said as I,625.86,5.76 | |
mentioned as the market demand for these,628.38,6.3 | |
things goes up the pressure for cities,631.62,5.46 | |
to accommodate that and for the the,634.68,3.96 | |
capitalist class for the for the,637.08,4.379 | |
corporations to accommodate that will go,638.64,3.54 | |
up,641.459,2.581 | |
um and again there's lots of experiments,642.18,4.86 | |
going on but there hasn't been a new,644.04,4.859 | |
establishment and so one thing that I,647.04,4.56 | |
want to talk about is in the context of,648.899,5.701 | |
History the American suburbs those were,651.6,4.679 | |
intentionally designed about 80 years,654.6,4.859 | |
ago after World War II,656.279,6.18 | |
um as as the the nation was beginning to,659.459,6.0 | |
urbanize very quickly uh you know all,662.459,4.861 | |
the regulations and patterns and,665.459,5.161 | |
architectural designs and and Municipal,667.32,5.759 | |
layouts that didn't exist the modern,670.62,4.8 | |
suburb the subdivision was a new,673.079,5.221 | |
invention and so the fact we had we,675.42,5.22 | |
invented a new way of living within the,678.3,4.38 | |
last century tells me that we can invent,680.64,4.319 | |
a new way of living again and it,682.68,4.32 | |
probably won't take that long,684.959,3.781 | |
because where there's a will there's a,687.0,4.2 | |
way and certainly necessity is the,688.74,4.2 | |
mother of all invention and we will need,691.2,4.319 | |
to figure out alternative ways of living,692.94,4.2 | |
that are not centered on the American,695.519,3.481 | |
suburb,697.14,3.78 | |
um another option other than downsizing,699.0,4.079 | |
is combining households so this is,700.92,5.64 | |
called co-living or co-housing one there,703.079,5.76 | |
are successful uh co-housing and,706.56,4.92 | |
co-living things around the world in,708.839,4.201 | |
America they're usually actually more,711.48,4.26 | |
expensive because of construction costs,713.04,5.52 | |
regulations red tape and so on and so,715.74,5.36 | |
forth in many cases,718.56,4.8 | |
particularly if you look on on Reddit,721.1,3.9 | |
under the co-housing and co-living,723.36,4.32 | |
subreddits there are plenty of horror,725.0,4.959 | |
stories of very very dangerous,727.68,4.08 | |
manipulative people building these,729.959,5.521 | |
communities so I want to urge caution uh,731.76,5.34 | |
before you get involved in any of those,735.48,2.84 | |
kinds of things,737.1,4.56 | |
now that being said there are uh,738.32,5.5 | |
successful examples in America but there,741.66,3.9 | |
are more successful examples around the,743.82,4.92 | |
world particularly in Europe in various,745.56,4.62 | |
places,748.74,4.44 | |
uh there's Eco Villages which are,750.18,6.18 | |
focused on sustainability uh they're,753.18,6.06 | |
basically like uh Co-op Farms,756.36,6.24 | |
essentially uh now that being said there,759.24,6.42 | |
is uh there's a lot of rising Trends,762.6,4.979 | |
around co-living in conventional houses,765.66,4.08 | |
you don't necessarily need a special,767.579,4.801 | |
Village or a special structure right,769.74,3.96 | |
because that's where the red tape and,772.38,4.44 | |
Regulation and excess cost comes in what,773.7,4.74 | |
a lot of people do is actually just,776.82,4.139 | |
combine finances and live in a larger,778.44,5.519 | |
house and so there is a trend that,780.959,5.401 | |
started a few years ago called mommunes,783.959,3.961 | |
and there's actually services that can,786.36,4.919 | |
help single moms find each other to join,787.92,6.12 | |
forces band together and and combine,791.279,6.18 | |
households uh obviously not everyone is,794.04,5.76 | |
a single mother so that model doesn't,797.459,5.461 | |
work for everyone but you know put it,799.8,5.7 | |
this way uh some of my friends in my 20s,802.92,5.28 | |
uh they got together and rented a large,805.5,5.639 | |
house and so having two or three couples,808.2,5.1 | |
living together or even just a few,811.139,4.561 | |
friends you know three four five friends,813.3,4.8 | |
living together if you combine those,815.7,4.56 | |
incomes and you end up with eight or,818.1,4.039 | |
twelve thousand dollars per month,820.26,4.199 | |
guaranteed income from Universal based,822.139,4.181 | |
income from from combining households,824.459,4.32 | |
you can afford a pretty nice house for,826.32,5.16 | |
that uh and so this is a pretty simple,828.779,4.141 | |
model,831.48,3.479 | |
um but what I will say is that finding,832.92,4.26 | |
the right people can be challenging,834.959,3.721 | |
um certainly there have been there are,837.18,4.02 | |
plenty of cases of people having gotten,838.68,4.26 | |
stuck with toxic roommates or,841.2,4.079 | |
destructive uh Partners or whatever and,842.94,4.44 | |
getting trapped in those situations so,845.279,3.781 | |
we will need to keep in mind that some,847.38,3.84 | |
people are going to be better and safer,849.06,4.2 | |
living on their own certainly plenty of,851.22,4.739 | |
people want want to live that way but,853.26,5.16 | |
that being said the social advantages,855.959,4.801 | |
that come from joining forces and,858.42,3.96 | |
banding together,860.76,4.319 | |
um of course we just got we're on the,862.38,4.5 | |
tail end of the pandemic in which case a,865.079,3.0 | |
lot of people actually were kind of,866.88,3.12 | |
forced into that situation you know we,868.079,3.601 | |
created our little survival groups right,870.0,3.6 | |
it was like The Walking Dead,871.68,4.44 | |
um you know you band together uh so,873.6,5.7 | |
anyways uh whether you downsize or join,876.12,5.459 | |
forces or a little bit of both those are,879.3,4.979 | |
ways that you can drastically reduce uh,881.579,5.101 | |
housing costs uh here in America,884.279,5.041 | |
again the biggest thing is that uh,886.68,4.5 | |
particularly on the downsizing we need,889.32,3.78 | |
to update our zoning laws and,891.18,4.14 | |
regulations to accommodate this but I,893.1,4.08 | |
have no doubt that the the pressure from,895.32,5.22 | |
people to do this will uh will kind of,897.18,6.42 | |
force um the government's hand,900.54,4.56 | |
um all right so Transportation I,903.6,3.179 | |
mentioned you know cars are really,905.1,3.9 | |
expensive and America is a car culture,906.779,4.141 | |
so how do we how do we reduce,909.0,3.899 | |
Transportation costs,910.92,4.8 | |
the first thing is walkable cities so,912.899,5.101 | |
most cities I don't know I don't know,915.72,3.84 | |
about most but many cities in Europe,918.0,4.38 | |
were designed and built and founded long,919.56,5.639 | |
before cars uh and so because of that,922.38,5.04 | |
walkability is kind of intrinsic to a,925.199,4.621 | |
lot of European cities however whoops,927.42,3.659 | |
come back,929.82,3.72 | |
um a lot of American cities uh were,931.079,5.88 | |
designed and built with cars in mind and,933.54,5.039 | |
so because of that a lot of American,936.959,3.901 | |
cities are designed around the car they,938.579,4.801 | |
actually prioritize uh and privilege,940.86,5.099 | |
cards over pedestrians which is super,943.38,5.1 | |
super problematic now that being said,945.959,5.161 | |
there are literally dozens of major,948.48,4.919 | |
projects going on around the world to,951.12,5.279 | |
experiment with new walkable cities uh,953.399,5.101 | |
and then of course there are um you know,956.399,4.321 | |
hundreds if not thousands of smaller,958.5,4.86 | |
experiments uh you know of like Urban,960.72,4.2 | |
revitalization,963.36,4.919 | |
uh the cities near where I live all up,964.92,5.7 | |
and down the east coast in the South,968.279,4.081 | |
um they're they're building walkable,970.62,4.14 | |
areas maybe not the entire city is,972.36,5.279 | |
walkable but some of it is walkable and,974.76,5.28 | |
so this focus on green spaces and,977.639,3.961 | |
walkability,980.04,3.479 | |
um is rising there's a couple of YouTube,981.6,3.66 | |
channels I want to recommend,983.519,3.18 | |
um one is City beautiful and the other,985.26,3.6 | |
is not just bikes these are really great,986.699,3.661 | |
channels they're really informative and,988.86,3.419 | |
they will point out all of the things,990.36,3.599 | |
wrong with American cities,992.279,2.941 | |
um the things that some American cities,993.959,3.601 | |
get right that'll compare American,995.22,4.619 | |
cities with European and Asian cities as,997.56,4.86 | |
well but for instance I've been to Paris,999.839,5.221 | |
and I was surprised at at such a,1002.42,5.64 | |
sprawling City I was at the on the at,1005.06,4.8 | |
the Cathedral on the hill soccer tour,1008.06,4.019 | |
which means Sacred Heart and I know they,1009.86,4.8 | |
didn't say it with the right accent,1012.079,4.861 | |
um but it's literally parasite to the,1014.66,4.26 | |
Horizon you cannot see outside of the,1016.94,4.019 | |
city from the middle of the city,1018.92,3.659 | |
um but you don't need a car in Paris,1020.959,3.72 | |
it's wild and like as an American that,1022.579,3.781 | |
was the first time I had been one in a,1024.679,4.681 | |
city that big but two in a in a fully,1026.36,4.439 | |
walkable city,1029.36,2.76 | |
um some of the Metros were fully,1030.799,2.821 | |
automated which was really cool because,1032.12,2.76 | |
you could go all the way up to the front,1033.62,3.6 | |
and look out the front windows,1034.88,4.799 | |
um there's buses there's Light Rail and,1037.22,4.5 | |
then of course uh you know they have the,1039.679,3.9 | |
tgv which is the high speed rail to get,1041.72,3.599 | |
outside of the city,1043.579,4.38 | |
um anyways point being is that there are,1045.319,4.381 | |
lots of these experiments going on and,1047.959,3.541 | |
so for people that want to stay living,1049.7,5.099 | |
inside of a city if you combine those,1051.5,4.919 | |
micro apartments or those co-living,1054.799,4.201 | |
situations with walkability that will,1056.419,4.981 | |
drastically drastically reduce cost of,1059.0,5.039 | |
living from for many people it will take,1061.4,4.08 | |
some time to build this up especially,1064.039,3.721 | |
since we've got so much invested in,1065.48,5.76 | |
being a car culture but ride sharing,1067.76,5.7 | |
um and and fully automated cars are,1071.24,3.78 | |
coming and actually forgot to create a,1073.46,3.599 | |
slide for this but one of the things,1075.02,3.96 | |
that a lot of the big auto manufacturers,1077.059,3.601 | |
want to do is actually have fleets of,1078.98,3.059 | |
Robo taxis,1080.66,4.62 | |
and so rather than owning a car you'll,1082.039,5.64 | |
just use an app to summon you know you,1085.28,4.86 | |
know a Ford or a Chevy or a Toyota or,1087.679,6.481 | |
whatever and as uh competition drives,1090.14,5.58 | |
down price,1094.16,3.78 | |
um I think I did a calculation once that,1095.72,6.0 | |
the the total the total annual cost for,1097.94,6.18 | |
me if I were to if I were able to switch,1101.72,4.44 | |
to a robo taxi based on the hypothetical,1104.12,5.16 | |
Rider mile cost would probably be about,1106.16,6.36 | |
600 a year and I'm someone who drives 20,1109.28,6.96 | |
000 miles per year so the possibility of,1112.52,6.3 | |
doing rideshares and Robo taxis could,1116.24,4.38 | |
drastically drastically reduce the cost,1118.82,4.62 | |
of ownership for um automobiles or,1120.62,4.86 | |
rather you get rid of the ownership cost,1123.44,4.08 | |
and you just rent,1125.48,5.579 | |
uh in real time another thing is if you,1127.52,4.92 | |
don't want to live in the city because I,1131.059,2.581 | |
sure as heck don't want to live in the,1132.44,2.88 | |
city I am not a city boy I'm a country,1133.64,4.86 | |
boy is what I call coaster Villages and,1135.32,4.68 | |
these are starting to pop up they're,1138.5,3.179 | |
often just called like tiny house,1140.0,3.96 | |
communities or RV communities or,1141.679,5.101 | |
whatever but again this is one of the,1143.96,5.52 | |
things where uh where zoning laws need,1146.78,4.68 | |
to be updated but fortunately these,1149.48,3.9 | |
experiments are going but basically,1151.46,4.8 | |
think of the Shire think of hobbiton but,1153.38,4.26 | |
instead of you know underground houses,1156.26,5.159 | |
it's tiny houses and Katrina Cottages uh,1157.64,7.38 | |
and and tag along kind of um kind of,1161.419,6.721 | |
trailers basically what I anticipate is,1165.02,5.22 | |
going to happen is that in cheap rural,1168.14,4.919 | |
land a lot of that land is going to end,1170.24,5.96 | |
up being used for very very small,1173.059,6.541 | |
planned nearly self-sufficient not,1176.2,5.08 | |
necessarily fully self-sufficient I'm,1179.6,4.199 | |
not saying an Eco Village but rather,1181.28,4.5 | |
than having uh these things planned,1183.799,4.5 | |
around cars and subdivisions it'll be,1185.78,5.46 | |
planned around sustainability and so,1188.299,4.62 | |
that what I mean by coaster is someone,1191.24,3.12 | |
who decides you know what I'm just going,1192.919,3.241 | |
to Coast on Ubi I'm going to be happy,1194.36,3.6 | |
with that but I also want to live in the,1196.16,3.24 | |
countryside,1197.96,4.44 | |
uh you will need things like HOAs uh,1199.4,4.26 | |
because you know,1202.4,4.68 | |
uh good regulations and good agreements,1203.66,5.04 | |
make good neighbors,1207.08,3.78 | |
um and so you will need stuff like HOAs,1208.7,4.62 | |
still in some of these places but the,1210.86,4.02 | |
total cost of living there is going to,1213.32,3.84 | |
be much much lower because imagine if,1214.88,4.86 | |
your plot of land and your tiny house is,1217.16,5.28 | |
about forty thousand dollars total right,1219.74,4.679 | |
the mortgage payment on that is going to,1222.44,3.54 | |
be like 80 bucks a month or something,1224.419,4.681 | |
like that uh maybe well let's say 200,1225.98,5.64 | |
bucks a month you can afford that,1229.1,5.4 | |
um that's going to be a tenth of your uh,1231.62,5.6 | |
monthly two thousand dollars uh income,1234.5,5.22 | |
uh so between these two possibilities,1237.22,4.42 | |
walkable cities for those who want the,1239.72,5.1 | |
urban living and and Tiny House Villages,1241.64,5.34 | |
out in the countryside we can probably,1244.82,4.979 | |
accommodate a lot of people very,1246.98,4.92 | |
efficiently and very cheaply,1249.799,5.641 | |
Okay cool so I think uh oh and also,1251.9,4.86 | |
another advantage of these coaster,1255.44,3.0 | |
Villages is you don't necessarily need a,1256.76,2.4 | |
car,1258.44,2.7 | |
uh you know if you live like Bilbo,1259.16,4.68 | |
Baggins and and Frodo you just walk to,1261.14,4.2 | |
your neighbors it's a tiny little,1263.84,2.579 | |
village,1265.34,2.82 | |
all right now one thing that a lot of,1266.419,5.101 | |
people ask is okay yeah but what you,1268.16,4.62 | |
know what if I still want more money,1271.52,3.0 | |
what if I'm willing to work what if I'm,1272.78,3.24 | |
able to work,1274.52,3.48 | |
um what is what are the options going to,1276.02,4.2 | |
be so that I can still you know make,1278.0,3.9 | |
some money and get by,1280.22,4.199 | |
so after doing a lot of research one,1281.9,5.22 | |
thing that I found is that local goods,1284.419,4.981 | |
and services there's going to be a lot,1287.12,3.419 | |
of these that are going to stick around,1289.4,4.44 | |
and this is because even if a robot can,1290.539,5.101 | |
do it these are these are things that,1293.84,4.86 | |
you still prefer a human to do and that,1295.64,4.44 | |
most humans will be willing to pay,1298.7,3.54 | |
another human to do so the first,1300.08,4.02 | |
category is the health and wellness,1302.24,3.84 | |
stuff so this includes Fitness coaches,1304.1,4.439 | |
personal trainers massage therapists,1306.08,4.979 | |
that sort of stuff these are the these,1308.539,4.38 | |
are the kind of things that require a,1311.059,4.74 | |
human touch or human empathy or at least,1312.919,4.861 | |
those are highly preferable,1315.799,4.921 | |
so this will be things like Barbers and,1317.78,4.62 | |
dentists and massage therapists that,1320.72,2.959 | |
sort of thing,1322.4,3.42 | |
education tutoring mentoring and,1323.679,4.901 | |
coaching these are also things that uh,1325.82,6.3 | |
that could be pretty durable against uh,1328.58,6.479 | |
being automated away certainly uh some,1332.12,4.38 | |
online learning is going to be fully,1335.059,5.341 | |
replaced by things like chat gbt,1336.5,5.82 | |
excuse me many students are already,1340.4,3.899 | |
using chat GPT for Learning and,1342.32,4.02 | |
mentoring and tutoring and certainly I,1344.299,3.181 | |
mean even I use that if there's,1346.34,2.94 | |
something that I want to learn about it,1347.48,4.26 | |
is one of the best teaching resources,1349.28,5.16 | |
out there because it's interactive now,1351.74,4.74 | |
that being said there are still going to,1354.44,4.92 | |
be plenty of classes and skills that are,1356.48,4.8 | |
going to be better taught by a human,1359.36,4.559 | |
because a human has the same abilities,1361.28,5.16 | |
and capacities that you do so say for,1363.919,4.26 | |
instance you go to a painting class or a,1366.44,5.099 | |
cooking class or a carpentry class those,1368.179,5.161 | |
are the kinds of things that that you,1371.539,4.38 | |
will you will prefer to pay for a human,1373.34,4.68 | |
just for the experience of being with,1375.919,3.921 | |
other people right,1378.02,5.399 | |
another thing is going to be experiences,1379.84,5.5 | |
such as performances and entertainment,1383.419,6.061 | |
local music stage performances busking,1385.34,6.06 | |
um you know those sorts of things are,1389.48,4.079 | |
going to be pretty resilient because,1391.4,4.92 | |
again we are a social species and so we,1393.559,4.341 | |
want that connection with other people,1396.32,4.08 | |
uh Ren fairs or think are going to be,1397.9,4.42 | |
really popular,1400.4,3.3 | |
um and so you know you can go set up,1402.32,3.06 | |
your booth and do face painting at a ren,1403.7,4.02 | |
fair or or whatever kind of festival or,1405.38,4.56 | |
convention you want to go to,1407.72,4.439 | |
um caregiving grooming and hygiene these,1409.94,5.04 | |
are other things so whether it is child,1412.159,6.9 | |
care or elder care or Pet Care those,1414.98,5.4 | |
kinds of jobs are going to be very,1419.059,3.181 | |
resilient against being fully automated,1420.38,4.919 | |
away because again even if you do have a,1422.24,4.38 | |
robot that can take care of grandma,1425.299,3.841 | |
grandma probably would want to see you,1426.62,5.52 | |
rather than a robot unless you don't get,1429.14,5.06 | |
along maybe maybe it's better that way,1432.14,5.519 | |
but also like your dog right like my dog,1434.2,5.8 | |
hates machines right so he would freak,1437.659,4.38 | |
out if if a robot showed up to take him,1440.0,5.4 | |
for a walk so um you know granted I'll I,1442.039,6.061 | |
I work at home all day every day so I,1445.4,4.32 | |
don't need pet walkers but some people,1448.1,2.76 | |
would,1449.72,3.72 | |
other domestic services like gardening,1450.86,5.48 | |
Lawn Care cooking cleaning,1453.44,5.52 | |
growing and sharing food these are,1456.34,4.959 | |
things that will probably persist as,1458.96,5.699 | |
well because again local economies,1461.299,5.641 | |
circular economies these are rising in,1464.659,5.101 | |
popularity and then finally Artisan uh,1466.94,5.46 | |
and and Craftsman handmade Goods arts,1469.76,4.56 | |
and crafts these are the kinds of things,1472.4,3.72 | |
that people will really value and,1474.32,3.66 | |
cherish and it's also something that a,1476.12,2.72 | |
machine,1477.98,4.76 | |
intrinsically cannot do in the age where,1478.84,6.4 | |
machines can make all kinds of furniture,1482.74,4.78 | |
and mass produce it we still already,1485.24,4.38 | |
have Etsy where you can buy handmade,1487.52,4.32 | |
clothing and handmade furniture and,1489.62,5.039 | |
handmade tools and so the demand is,1491.84,4.8 | |
already there and one thing that that,1494.659,4.861 | |
can happen of of SP and yes they're more,1496.64,4.98 | |
expensive but these are much higher,1499.52,4.26 | |
quality goods and they're also much more,1501.62,3.299 | |
durable,1503.78,4.74 | |
uh so again even if those even if,1504.919,5.461 | |
mass-produced Goods become cheaper due,1508.52,3.84 | |
to AI there's still going to be a demand,1510.38,4.679 | |
for those high quality handmade uh,1512.36,6.299 | |
unique goods and arts and crafts,1515.059,6.24 | |
now okay so that's local uh goods and,1518.659,4.861 | |
services there's also still going to be,1521.299,4.62 | |
um online and remote so content creators,1523.52,5.7 | |
like me probably gonna stick around,1525.919,5.521 | |
um influencers streamers whether it's a,1529.22,4.5 | |
lifestyle blog or travel blog or,1531.44,4.56 | |
whatever I follow I started following,1533.72,4.5 | |
lots of Lifestyle bloggers,1536.0,4.2 | |
um usually they're attractive uh women,1538.22,4.04 | |
because you know that's just the pattern,1540.2,5.04 | |
but I also follow plenty of uh plenty of,1542.26,5.26 | |
guys who like build stuff or go on,1545.24,4.98 | |
adventures that kind of thing and the,1547.52,3.899 | |
reason that I think that these are going,1550.22,3.24 | |
to stick around is because even if you,1551.419,5.341 | |
have a fully digital Avatar your brain,1553.46,6.0 | |
knows that it's fake right some people,1556.76,5.64 | |
of course will be plenty entertained by,1559.46,5.699 | |
uh you know a digital Avatar but really,1562.4,5.82 | |
as a human I want to see another human's,1565.159,5.4 | |
experience I want to learn from that,1568.22,4.92 | |
human I want to empathize with that,1570.559,3.541 | |
person,1573.14,4.019 | |
and so content influence streamers you,1574.1,4.62 | |
know it's the personality it's the,1577.159,3.721 | |
realness the authenticity,1578.72,3.48 | |
um even if even if there is some,1580.88,3.48 | |
performance associated with it that's,1582.2,5.099 | |
what people really want to connect with,1584.36,4.74 | |
um crowdfunding platforms like patreon,1587.299,3.961 | |
only fans plenty of other alternatives,1589.1,4.079 | |
are out there those are going to stick,1591.26,4.98 | |
around uh and and so basically the two,1593.179,4.561 | |
ways that you can make money online in,1596.24,3.9 | |
the future I think are going to be ads,1597.74,4.74 | |
and crowdfunding there's also white,1600.14,4.68 | |
label services like subscription-based,1602.48,4.199 | |
services but that's essentially,1604.82,3.54 | |
crowdfunding right let's like you you,1606.679,3.801 | |
pay to get in and then you get access to,1608.36,5.52 | |
exclusive content game hosts coach,1610.48,5.5 | |
coaches and and trainers of various,1613.88,4.44 | |
kinds so one of my patreon supporters is,1615.98,5.04 | |
actually a a professional online coach,1618.32,5.4 | |
and she teaches other coaches and this,1621.02,5.399 | |
is actually a really really huge uh,1623.72,4.5 | |
Market segment I had no idea how big it,1626.419,2.701 | |
was,1628.22,3.66 | |
um but again having that one-on-one time,1629.12,4.439 | |
with someone where you can say hey this,1631.88,2.76 | |
is what I'm struggling dealing with,1633.559,2.581 | |
because we're humans we're always going,1634.64,4.139 | |
to be struggling with something right,1636.14,4.26 | |
um but then like Game host there's paid,1638.779,3.541 | |
dungeon Masters that can host uh they,1640.4,4.5 | |
can run d d campaigns for you all kinds,1642.32,4.8 | |
of stuff is possible online that are,1644.9,4.56 | |
intrinsically better done if it's a,1647.12,4.14 | |
human that being said there are plenty,1649.46,3.719 | |
of people working on using GPT,1651.26,4.74 | |
Technologies to automate uh uh you know,1653.179,4.681 | |
game hosts and that sort of stuff so,1656.0,3.659 | |
some of this is going to be is going to,1657.86,2.64 | |
change,1659.659,3.12 | |
but a lot of these things again people,1660.5,6.299 | |
are willing are are the demand for the,1662.779,5.701 | |
human is high enough that people are,1666.799,3.541 | |
going to be willing to pay for it,1668.48,4.98 | |
uh now on top of making more money on,1670.34,6.18 | |
with the Ubi uh there is also a lot that,1673.46,4.86 | |
you can do to reduce to further reduce,1676.52,4.2 | |
costs obviously the biggest things are,1678.32,3.9 | |
housing and transportation we already,1680.72,2.819 | |
talked about how to reduce the cost,1682.22,3.42 | |
there there's a lot of other stuff that,1683.539,4.441 | |
we can do to keep reducing costs in,1685.64,4.32 | |
order to make better use of the free,1687.98,4.079 | |
time that we have so for instance tool,1689.96,4.02 | |
sharing tool libraries,1692.059,3.36 | |
um there's actually I didn't realize,1693.98,4.38 | |
this but many County Libraries or or um,1695.419,5.521 | |
you know City libraries already have,1698.36,4.98 | |
tools that you can check out uh and then,1700.94,4.14 | |
of course if the demand for that goes up,1703.34,4.38 | |
then libraries you know will continue to,1705.08,5.52 | |
do that there's also maker spaces that,1707.72,4.62 | |
you can join usually with a small fee,1710.6,3.36 | |
that give you a space to build stuff and,1712.34,4.74 | |
borrow tools circular economics which is,1713.96,5.12 | |
you know reusing as much as you can,1717.08,3.719 | |
refurbishing stuff we're going to talk,1719.08,3.219 | |
about refurbishing more in a future,1720.799,2.941 | |
slide,1722.299,4.081 | |
uh clothing exchanges clothing swaps,1723.74,5.22 | |
other good swaps like one thing that I,1726.38,5.399 | |
do is that uh every now and then,1728.96,4.8 | |
um I just I have a folding card table,1731.779,3.721 | |
and I'll put it out by the road and I,1733.76,4.86 | |
just will give stuff away right and so,1735.5,5.279 | |
um by just giving stuff away and sharing,1738.62,4.919 | |
right you don't even have to worry about,1740.779,4.741 | |
um you know bartering or exchanging or,1743.539,4.861 | |
buying stuff just giving stuff away and,1745.52,5.88 | |
and making use of those um essentially,1748.4,5.519 | |
community-based donations sharing,1751.4,5.7 | |
Services as well so say for instance,1753.919,5.281 | |
um you know you might provide child care,1757.1,3.78 | |
for people in your community not,1759.2,3.719 | |
necessarily for pay but in exchange they,1760.88,4.919 | |
give you food or something right so that,1762.919,5.101 | |
goes back to bartering and trading uh,1765.799,5.88 | |
DIY skills uh repairing things fixing,1768.02,5.879 | |
things uh cleaning up whatever there's,1771.679,4.141 | |
lots and lots of value that you can get,1773.899,5.101 | |
by learning more skills and thus further,1775.82,4.8 | |
reducing costs,1779.0,3.6 | |
uh caregiving domestic stuff I already,1780.62,3.0 | |
mentioned that,1782.6,3.299 | |
okay so let's talk about the psychology,1783.62,3.6 | |
of this one thing that people are,1785.899,3.121 | |
concerned about is yeah but what do you,1787.22,4.38 | |
do for fun what do you do for a sense of,1789.02,4.62 | |
Mastery what do you do for challenge if,1791.6,4.74 | |
I lose my job you know how do I have any,1793.64,4.8 | |
sense of self-esteem so let's talk about,1796.34,5.16 | |
the psychology of living under Ubi,1798.44,5.94 | |
first we're going to talk about what,1801.5,4.86 | |
we're going to use Frameworks for this,1804.38,4.2 | |
so first one of the most famous ones is,1806.36,4.38 | |
Maslow's hierarchy of needs so if you're,1808.58,3.9 | |
not familiar with Maslow's hierarchy of,1810.74,3.84 | |
needs it is basically just this pyramid,1812.48,4.62 | |
which is color coded like the food,1814.58,5.94 | |
pyramid if you're in America but it says,1817.1,5.699 | |
you need to satisfy these needs starting,1820.52,4.62 | |
from bottom to top so physiological,1822.799,4.321 | |
needs include air water food shelter,1825.14,4.44 | |
sleep that sort of stuff safety needs,1827.12,4.38 | |
which is about you know are you in,1829.58,5.219 | |
physical danger do you feel safe at home,1831.5,6.659 | |
is is your environment quiet enough are,1834.799,5.281 | |
there any you know dangerous smells or,1838.159,4.081 | |
chemicals or whatever,1840.08,4.44 | |
above that once you have those needs met,1842.24,5.28 | |
the next most fundamental need is love,1844.52,4.92 | |
and belonging so you need friends you,1847.52,4.5 | |
need family you need to feel that human,1849.44,4.859 | |
connection and of course we're in a,1852.02,3.72 | |
loneliness crisis I think something like,1854.299,3.6 | |
30 percent of young people today don't,1855.74,4.679 | |
have a single like best friend which is,1857.899,4.441 | |
really horrible and I'm hoping that Ubi,1860.419,4.441 | |
gives us more free time to connect with,1862.34,5.64 | |
people uh above love and belonging you,1864.86,5.299 | |
need esteem self-esteem which is,1867.98,5.22 | |
self-respect status recognition that,1870.159,4.481 | |
sort of stuff,1873.2,3.719 | |
and then finally self-actualization so,1874.64,3.48 | |
this is what a lot of people are,1876.919,3.36 | |
referring to when they when they worry,1878.12,4.559 | |
about okay well if I lose my job what am,1880.279,3.841 | |
I going to do I need some kind of,1882.679,2.821 | |
self-actualization and so,1884.12,4.38 | |
self-actualization is the impulse to,1885.5,5.52 | |
become the best version of yourself that,1888.5,4.5 | |
is the that is the version to reach your,1891.02,5.1 | |
highest level right uh and so these are,1893.0,4.559 | |
things that are still going to need to,1896.12,3.659 | |
be there and we'll talk about this,1897.559,4.681 | |
um in future slides,1899.779,4.321 | |
um in terms of how can how can you,1902.24,3.84 | |
achieve your best the best version of,1904.1,3.199 | |
yourself,1906.08,4.199 | |
another framework that I'm a big fan of,1907.299,5.5 | |
is what's called TLC or therapeutic,1910.279,4.861 | |
Lifestyle Changes this was a model that,1912.799,4.62 | |
was developed by Roger Walsh and it is,1915.14,4.38 | |
an eight-point framework that talks,1917.419,4.021 | |
about how do you make a better life for,1919.52,3.24 | |
yourself,1921.44,3.66 | |
so the framework is pretty simple pretty,1922.76,4.08 | |
straightforward one and this is in no,1925.1,3.78 | |
particular order by the way one,1926.84,4.5 | |
spirituality so being involved in some,1928.88,3.899 | |
kind of spirituality doesn't have to be,1931.34,3.719 | |
a mega church or anything like that,1932.779,5.101 | |
um you know paganism witchcraft uh Neo,1935.059,6.6 | |
Hellenism uh uh all kinds of stuff Norse,1937.88,5.7 | |
reconstructionists lots and lots of,1941.659,3.541 | |
spiritual Frameworks are kind of,1943.58,4.92 | |
becoming popular as uh certainly a lot,1945.2,6.18 | |
of us younger people are more Pagan,1948.5,5.159 | |
um giving back so volunteering and,1951.38,4.2 | |
community service is one of the things,1953.659,3.9 | |
that um you know again we kind of,1955.58,4.14 | |
alluded to this already in terms of cost,1957.559,5.0 | |
reduction but giving back volunteering,1959.72,5.699 | |
giving your time is actually a really,1962.559,5.561 | |
good way to build up self-esteem it's,1965.419,4.561 | |
deeply satisfying,1968.12,3.659 | |
um like I said one thing that I love is,1969.98,4.679 | |
just giving stuff away and if I had more,1971.779,5.581 | |
free time and and uh and energy I would,1974.659,5.161 | |
probably volunteer more because I have,1977.36,5.46 | |
certain skills and you know honestly uh,1979.82,5.28 | |
a lot of the code that I give away,1982.82,3.9 | |
because I publish all of my code under,1985.1,4.38 | |
under or open source standards to me,1986.72,4.26 | |
that is kind of like giving back and,1989.48,3.12 | |
it's very satisfying I love seeing the,1990.98,3.539 | |
little stars and forks on my GitHub,1992.6,4.86 | |
repos time in nature,1994.519,4.861 | |
um hiking walking going to the lake,1997.46,4.439 | |
whatever this is really important for,1999.38,4.5 | |
your physical and mental health I go for,2001.899,4.38 | |
a walk pretty much every day at lunch,2003.88,4.44 | |
unless the weather is bad or unless I'm,2006.279,4.38 | |
sick or too tired recreational,2008.32,3.9 | |
activities we're going to talk a lot,2010.659,3.481 | |
about recreational activities and,2012.22,4.74 | |
upcoming slides rest in relaxation if,2014.14,4.139 | |
you don't have to go to work you can,2016.96,2.699 | |
spend a lot more time resting and,2018.279,3.961 | |
relaxing diet and nutrition we've talked,2019.659,5.281 | |
a lot about uh how or we will talk more,2022.24,5.4 | |
about how all the free time that you get,2024.94,4.68 | |
from Ubi will allow you to do things,2027.64,3.72 | |
like gardening but also allow you to,2029.62,3.12 | |
learn to cook and spend more time,2031.36,3.24 | |
cooking because a lot of people don't,2032.74,4.14 | |
have time to cook good meals because,2034.6,5.579 | |
they're too busy working and resting and,2036.88,5.519 | |
so Ubi with additional free time will,2040.179,4.201 | |
help people really improve their diet,2042.399,4.921 | |
and nutrition seven exercise and,2044.38,5.4 | |
activity so this is like exercising for,2047.32,4.2 | |
the sake of exercise,2049.78,3.839 | |
um which for me I get that with time and,2051.52,4.139 | |
nature because I go for walks um and I,2053.619,4.321 | |
also uh like to do other things although,2055.659,4.081 | |
I haven't done it as much lately hiking,2057.94,4.5 | |
climbing that sort of stuff kayaking uh,2059.74,4.139 | |
relationships in connection we already,2062.44,2.76 | |
talked about relationships and,2063.879,2.401 | |
connection,2065.2,3.179 | |
um in Maslow's hierarchy of needs and,2066.28,3.78 | |
also you'll see that relationships and,2068.379,3.0 | |
connections spending time with friends,2070.06,4.26 | |
and family is is common for all,2071.379,5.48 | |
psychological well-being Frameworks,2074.32,5.099 | |
self-determination Theory this is one of,2076.859,4.24 | |
my favorite Frameworks because it is so,2079.419,4.081 | |
simple and it kind of encapsulates a lot,2081.099,4.381 | |
but it's also not a hierarchy it's you,2083.5,4.679 | |
need all three of these at all times,2085.48,4.58 | |
um and so the idea is that,2088.179,3.96 | |
self-determination theory is this is,2090.06,3.64 | |
what is this is what people are,2092.139,3.96 | |
intrinsically motivated by these are the,2093.7,4.2 | |
intrinsic psychological needs of all,2096.099,4.981 | |
humans so first is autonomy,2097.9,5.52 | |
um or individual liberty we need to feel,2101.08,4.56 | |
like we are in control of our lives and,2103.42,5.04 | |
our fate this is absolutely critical for,2105.64,5.28 | |
All Humans even humans in collectivist,2108.46,4.56 | |
societies there's always a tension,2110.92,5.52 | |
between individual needs and group needs,2113.02,4.92 | |
um but that's intrinsic to all social,2116.44,3.899 | |
species it's about balancing the self,2117.94,5.399 | |
versus the group desire for competence,2120.339,5.641 | |
and Mastery so this is this has to do,2123.339,4.561 | |
with Maslow's top hierarchy of needs,2125.98,2.82 | |
which is self-esteem and,2127.9,3.179 | |
self-actualization so competence and,2128.8,4.74 | |
Mastery the the basically feeling like,2131.079,4.441 | |
you're good at something one way to,2133.54,3.96 | |
measure this is that we Thrive with,2135.52,4.44 | |
what's called optimal stress so optimal,2137.5,3.96 | |
stress means that you need some kind of,2139.96,2.46 | |
challenge,2141.46,3.18 | |
for instance people play Elden ring,2142.42,4.439 | |
people play Dark Souls these really,2144.64,5.16 | |
frustrating impossible games that I,2146.859,5.22 | |
personally don't like but the idea is,2149.8,4.02 | |
that you try and fail and then when you,2152.079,4.02 | |
finally succeed you feel a sense of,2153.82,3.84 | |
Mastery right and of course video games,2156.099,3.061 | |
are not the only way to get Mastery but,2157.66,3.0 | |
video games are a good way to get a,2159.16,3.48 | |
sense of Mastery and as we'll talk about,2160.66,3.66 | |
once we talk about Hobbies there are,2162.64,4.14 | |
lots and lots of of other ways to get,2164.32,4.92 | |
that sense of Mastery finally desire for,2166.78,4.559 | |
relatedness and connection as a social,2169.24,4.26 | |
species we are intrinsically motivated,2171.339,4.441 | |
to seek out connection with others and,2173.5,4.26 | |
so by keeping in mind what our intrinsic,2175.78,4.38 | |
base needs are and building a life,2177.76,4.68 | |
around that we can still maintain our,2180.16,4.439 | |
psychological well-being even if we,2182.44,4.62 | |
don't have a career at least a,2184.599,3.841 | |
conventional career that we're familiar,2187.06,2.34 | |
with,2188.44,4.139 | |
okay as I promised Hobbies this is the,2189.4,4.56 | |
last section of the video and this is,2192.579,3.361 | |
honestly where I had the most fun and it,2193.96,4.02 | |
made me really realize I am looking,2195.94,3.6 | |
forward to this,2197.98,3.06 | |
um so I'm gonna do everything that I can,2199.54,4.2 | |
to help make this future State come to,2201.04,5.16 | |
fruition with my YouTube channel and my,2203.74,4.8 | |
open source research so the first thing,2206.2,4.74 | |
obviously gaming a lot of you tell me,2208.54,3.96 | |
how excited you are for the possibility,2210.94,4.2 | |
of fdvr which means full dive virtual,2212.5,3.839 | |
reality,2215.14,3.959 | |
everyone knows what fdvr is you saw it,2216.339,4.561 | |
in the Matrix the idea is that you plug,2219.099,4.74 | |
your head in and as far as you can tell,2220.9,5.1 | |
it is a hundred percent real we also,2223.839,4.02 | |
explored this with um Ready Player one,2226.0,4.68 | |
which had like a haptic suits,2227.859,4.5 | |
um I don't know if it's possible a,2230.68,3.06 | |
haptic suit seems like it's probably,2232.359,4.441 | |
more possible in the near term full dive,2233.74,4.74 | |
VR such as the what you see in the,2236.8,3.96 | |
Matrix might not be possible but you,2238.48,4.56 | |
never know people are working on brain,2240.76,4.2 | |
computer interfaces so if you can just,2243.04,3.72 | |
plug in all the sensory information,2244.96,4.02 | |
directly into your head maybe it's,2246.76,4.38 | |
possible anyways whatever you want to do,2248.98,3.78 | |
whatever experience you want to have,2251.14,3.959 | |
should hypothetically be possible with,2252.76,5.04 | |
fdvr,2255.099,4.74 | |
um a part of gaming is that it can be,2257.8,4.38 | |
social right game with friends whether,2259.839,4.981 | |
you're competing online with friends uh,2262.18,4.38 | |
or you got a guild or a clan that you've,2264.82,2.58 | |
built,2266.56,2.82 | |
um you can also uh do parallel play in,2267.4,4.199 | |
person so this is what um I do with my,2269.38,3.959 | |
wife we Heckle each other,2271.599,3.24 | |
um while she's playing Assassin's Creed,2273.339,2.76 | |
I'll be like hey did you know that,2274.839,2.821 | |
you're on fire and she's like yes Dave I,2276.099,3.561 | |
know that I'm on fire uh you know,2277.66,4.56 | |
parallel play is a great thing to do,2279.66,4.3 | |
with friends you can sit around you know,2282.22,3.18 | |
I used to do this back in my college,2283.96,3.42 | |
days with my buddies drinking a couple,2285.4,3.959 | |
beers playing Call of Duty Trolling each,2287.38,4.68 | |
other it can be a really great thing and,2289.359,4.26 | |
I'm glad to see that the younger,2292.06,4.2 | |
Generations do this still my nephew and,2293.619,3.96 | |
all of his friends they play Minecraft,2296.26,3.66 | |
together and other things,2297.579,4.081 | |
um there are what I will say is there,2299.92,4.26 | |
are some potential downsides screen time,2301.66,4.98 | |
can be detrimental to your health but if,2304.18,3.72 | |
you balance it with some of the other,2306.64,3.66 | |
things like in the therapeutic Lifestyle,2307.9,4.02 | |
Changes make sure that you go outside,2310.3,3.36 | |
touch grass as kids are saying these,2311.92,3.659 | |
days,2313.66,3.48 | |
um it can also be addictive and,2315.579,4.381 | |
isolation as possible I do suspect that,2317.14,6.0 | |
we will see legislation coming that kind,2319.96,5.1 | |
of at least provides warnings for how,2323.14,4.14 | |
addictive things are there's a book that,2325.06,4.38 | |
I refer to often called liquid rain,2327.28,4.86 | |
where they talk about how uh full dive,2329.44,4.74 | |
VR could actually be programmatically,2332.14,3.6 | |
addictive like where it could just,2334.18,3.899 | |
stimulate your dopamine and so you feel,2335.74,3.72 | |
like you're having more fun than you,2338.079,3.181 | |
actually are and then when you're not in,2339.46,3.36 | |
the full dive VR you could you could,2341.26,3.66 | |
like physically crave it and get sick if,2342.82,3.9 | |
you don't have it so we do need to be,2344.92,4.08 | |
careful with um creating gaming as a,2346.72,3.98 | |
central lifestyle,2349.0,5.82 | |
and another thing is that a gaming world,2350.7,5.98 | |
is not necessarily the real world and,2354.82,3.48 | |
most people's brains will keep track of,2356.68,4.2 | |
that difference and so it might not be,2358.3,4.38 | |
good for self-actualization for instance,2360.88,4.26 | |
if you're if you're a gamer you might,2362.68,4.14 | |
not uh get the sense that you're,2365.14,3.6 | |
reaching your full potential that being,2366.82,4.14 | |
said if you're a competitive gamer uh,2368.74,3.66 | |
maybe that is the way that you reach,2370.96,3.119 | |
your full potential,2372.4,4.5 | |
making and fixing things we humans,2374.079,5.161 | |
evolved to use our hands that is why we,2376.9,4.02 | |
have so much dexterity in our hands we,2379.24,5.099 | |
are the tool users and so one of my best,2380.92,4.919 | |
friends from back in the day is working,2384.339,3.421 | |
on rebuilding a thistle so this is a,2385.839,4.321 | |
thistle it's a small racing boat,2387.76,4.8 | |
we would be doing this all day every day,2390.16,5.88 | |
if we had Ubi and no need to uh work for,2392.56,4.799 | |
money,2396.04,3.18 | |
um because the the shop where he's,2397.359,4.321 | |
rebuilding his there's two other ones,2399.22,3.96 | |
that are just waiting for someone to,2401.68,3.3 | |
come and fix and if I had the time,2403.18,4.14 | |
that's what I'd be doing why because,2404.98,4.02 | |
it's something that my friend does and,2407.32,3.84 | |
you can then race it and do competitive,2409.0,4.14 | |
stuff but there's also skill building,2411.16,4.439 | |
right the sense of Mastery that you get,2413.14,4.199 | |
from building something from fixing it,2415.599,3.661 | |
and then having that thing that you can,2417.339,4.561 | |
show off and use this is a really great,2419.26,4.74 | |
way to get a sense of Mastery there's,2421.9,3.36 | |
plenty of other things that people do,2424.0,3.78 | |
lots of guys like rebuild Mustangs or,2425.26,6.48 | |
Corvettes fixing up old houses and other,2427.78,7.44 | |
things so reusing refurbishing fixing,2431.74,6.24 | |
building things these are really great,2435.22,5.34 | |
ways that also tap into really Primal,2437.98,4.44 | |
needs for humans,2440.56,3.18 | |
some of the things that are really,2442.42,3.54 | |
popular today particularly with young,2443.74,5.04 | |
people forging leather working sewing,2445.96,5.22 | |
other carpentry all of these things,2448.78,5.579 | |
revolve around tool use and so whatever,2451.18,5.7 | |
hobby you pick up if it uses tools,2454.359,5.041 | |
chances are there's a lot of skills,2456.88,4.199 | |
involved which can also lead to that,2459.4,4.32 | |
sense of Mastery cooking I mentioned,2461.079,4.561 | |
this earlier cooking is one of the,2463.72,3.54 | |
oldest trades one of the oldest,2465.64,3.6 | |
professions out there and everyone needs,2467.26,3.48 | |
to eat plus cooking is a good social,2469.24,4.32 | |
activity my wife and I cook together,2470.74,4.74 | |
pretty much every day or at least we,2473.56,4.74 | |
take turns some people compulsively cook,2475.48,4.379 | |
and feed other people my sister-in-law,2478.3,2.94 | |
is like that she loves cooking for,2479.859,4.021 | |
people point being is that there is,2481.24,4.339 | |
there are a lot of hobbies out there,2483.88,4.68 | |
that center around making or fixing,2485.579,4.301 | |
things,2488.56,4.5 | |
outdoor stuff hiking climbing canoeing,2489.88,5.82 | |
boating whatever there's all kinds of,2493.06,6.96 | |
stuff that we could stand to do more of,2495.7,6.419 | |
um if you uh if you had more free time,2500.02,3.54 | |
because you didn't have to work because,2502.119,3.661 | |
you didn't have to be at a desk or at an,2503.56,5.4 | |
office or at the store or whatever,2505.78,4.92 | |
um you know and it's not just fishing,2508.96,3.18 | |
obviously that's the prototypical,2510.7,3.419 | |
example where you know you know a guy,2512.14,3.959 | |
gets to retirement age and he decides,2514.119,3.541 | |
he's going to go fishing every day not,2516.099,3.48 | |
everyone wants to do that I get it,2517.66,4.14 | |
um you could do competitive fishing,2519.579,4.561 | |
um but there's also other uh kinds of,2521.8,4.02 | |
competitive outdoor stuff like,2524.14,3.42 | |
cross-country challenges I ran Tough,2525.82,4.019 | |
Mudder almost 10 years ago and I was,2527.56,5.279 | |
hungover as heck when I ran it I was not,2529.839,4.681 | |
hungover by the end of it I burned all,2532.839,4.921 | |
that all that uh all that toxins off,2534.52,5.52 | |
um skiing kayaking all kinds of really,2537.76,3.54 | |
challenging stuff that you can do,2540.04,3.24 | |
outside a lot of my friends picked up,2541.3,3.72 | |
mountain biking which you could do,2543.28,4.02 | |
practically anywhere,2545.02,5.339 | |
um uh during the pandemic uh so one,2547.3,4.38 | |
thing that I realized when I was making,2550.359,3.541 | |
this video is that if if we got Ubi,2551.68,3.6 | |
tomorrow,2553.9,2.58 | |
um I would probably go hike the,2555.28,3.9 | |
Appalachian Trail I love being outside I,2556.48,4.379 | |
love being in the mountains and that is,2559.18,2.939 | |
something that I want to do but right,2560.859,3.541 | |
now my brain is like well I'm still,2562.119,4.141 | |
gonna make YouTube I still got to do AI,2564.4,3.36 | |
stuff I still have meetings with my,2566.26,3.42 | |
patreon supporters so doing the,2567.76,3.66 | |
Appalachian Trail is not really an,2569.68,3.419 | |
option for me right now unless I were to,2571.42,3.659 | |
take like three months off which maybe I,2573.099,5.76 | |
should anyways Fitness Fitness is the,2575.079,5.821 | |
most familiar model that a lot of people,2578.859,4.74 | |
use to get Mastery whether it's yoga or,2580.9,6.419 | |
Pilates or running or cycling martial,2583.599,6.541 | |
arts uh strength training these are all,2587.319,4.141 | |
things that people,2590.14,4.02 | |
um many many people do and and it can be,2591.46,5.22 | |
a little cultish for some people there's,2594.16,4.439 | |
also Fitness based competitions like,2596.68,4.32 | |
Iron Man American Ninja that sort of,2598.599,3.181 | |
stuff,2601.0,3.14 | |
that being said there are many many many,2601.78,4.74 | |
additional benefits,2604.14,4.479 | |
um other than just you know it's,2606.52,5.339 | |
something to do uh better Fitness it,2608.619,5.521 | |
leads to reduced pain increased Health,2611.859,4.921 | |
uh cognitive benefits emotional benefits,2614.14,4.5 | |
plus you get to show off your body right,2616.78,3.839 | |
there's lots of people that love being,2618.64,4.5 | |
fit just for the sake of feeling sexy,2620.619,5.041 | |
right there are so many people that,2623.14,4.679 | |
um that I'm that I knew and have met and,2625.66,5.52 | |
and where they decided to get fit,2627.819,5.04 | |
um you know started climbing started,2631.18,4.26 | |
going to the gym and the the the,2632.859,4.98 | |
transformation that they felt as they,2635.44,4.44 | |
felt better about themselves about their,2637.839,4.081 | |
body the sense of accomplishment that,2639.88,4.08 | |
they get from that is incredible,2641.92,3.659 | |
and still not for everyone so I want to,2643.96,4.08 | |
say like okay even if you have all the,2645.579,3.721 | |
options in the world and you decide that,2648.04,4.44 | |
exercise isn't for you that's fine or or,2649.3,5.519 | |
fitness exercises for everyone Fitness,2652.48,5.52 | |
might not be for you meetups so I am a,2654.819,5.401 | |
huge fan of meetup.com I actually met my,2658.0,4.38 | |
now wife at a Meetup,2660.22,3.899 | |
um we're both writers,2662.38,3.9 | |
um so the the kinds of tools that are,2664.119,3.901 | |
out there so meetup.com is there,2666.28,4.44 | |
specifically for finding people with the,2668.02,5.46 | |
same interests challenges or whatever,2670.72,7.5 | |
right uh so meetup.com it's free to join,2673.48,6.54 | |
um I tell people about it all the time I,2678.22,3.18 | |
think more people should be on Meetup,2680.02,2.88 | |
whether,2681.4,3.199 | |
um you know you have a special interest,2682.9,3.959 | |
or if you've got something that you're,2684.599,3.941 | |
coping with there's there's uh support,2686.859,3.061 | |
groups,2688.54,4.26 | |
um on Meetup I host a local AI Meetup,2689.92,6.179 | |
I'm actually going to that later today,2692.8,5.46 | |
um let's see there's intellectual kinds,2696.099,4.321 | |
of things there's chess clubs there's,2698.26,5.22 | |
spirituality uh clubs Arts crafts,2700.42,5.52 | |
photography all kinds of stuff,2703.48,4.859 | |
whatever your interest is especially if,2705.94,4.919 | |
you live in a city you can find other,2708.339,4.76 | |
people that have that same interest,2710.859,5.46 | |
which is a really great way,2713.099,5.441 | |
um to get those that's that social,2716.319,4.201 | |
connection but then also some of these,2718.54,4.62 | |
things can lead to senses of Mastery for,2720.52,3.9 | |
instance,2723.16,5.52 | |
all right so this is life under Ubi uh I,2724.42,6.0 | |
hope that you got a lot out of this,2728.68,3.179 | |
um and like I said making this video,2730.42,3.899 | |
actually I kind of clarified a lot for,2731.859,4.681 | |
myself and it makes me personally a lot,2734.319,5.52 | |
more excited for the future and I'm,2736.54,5.579 | |
personally this was probably the most,2739.839,5.101 | |
fun that I've had making a video uh yet,2742.119,6.321 | |
so anyways cheers,2744.94,3.5 | |