date_resolve_at
stringlengths 10
10
| date_begin
stringlengths 10
10
| extracted_urls
stringlengths 2
7.19k
| question_type
stringclasses 3
values | community_predictions
stringlengths 45
72.7k
| url
stringlengths 34
126
| background
stringlengths 1
4.95k
| gpt_3p5_category
stringclasses 11
values | resolution_criteria
stringlengths 43
5.42k
| is_resolved
bool 1
class | date_close
stringlengths 10
10
| question
stringlengths 31
259
| data_source
stringclasses 5
values | resolution
float64 0
1
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-03-26 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.34783666333985513], ["2023-03-26", 0.34783666333985513], ["2023-03-26", 0.34783666333985513], ["2023-03-26", 0.41], ["2023-03-26", 0.41], ["2023-03-26", 0.41], ["2023-03-26", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-26", 0.6209853542972184], ["2023-03-26", 0.7514743754118631], ["2023-03-26", 0.7984343254187358], ["2023-03-26", 0.8024867287537782], ["2023-03-26", 0.8199999999999998], ["2023-03-26", 0.8646747668957356], ["2023-03-26", 0.8688266223943983], ["2023-03-26", 0.8688266223943983], ["2023-03-26", 0.8688266223943983], ["2023-03-26", 0.88], ["2023-03-26", 0.8955487314857197], ["2023-03-26", 0.911032028469751], ["2023-03-26", 0.916192995832006], ["2023-03-26", 0.916192995832006], ["2023-03-26", 0.9199650948263522], ["2023-03-26", 0.93], ["2023-03-26", 0.9447301726828067], ["2023-03-26", 0.9490059018800011], ["2023-03-26", 0.96], ["2023-03-26", 0.9701554309377908], ["2023-03-26", 0.9766601619001706]] | https://manifold.markets/PeterBennett/will-esbot-finals-be-more-than-60-m | Resolves YES if the first question of the ESBOT finals is read at 7:25 PM EDT or later, 60 minutes after the initially scheduled start time. Scores will be updated live here: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-26 | Will ESBOT finals be more than 60 minutes delayed? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-13 | 2023-03-26 | ["https://g.co/finance/BTC-USD"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-26", 0.48011917877436416], ["2023-03-26", 0.5515861251111771], ["2023-03-27", 0.3086851402551903], ["2023-03-27", 0.40852957305685483], ["2023-03-30", 0.3729908807329505], ["2023-03-30", 0.41], ["2023-03-30", 0.41839688925954227], ["2023-04-03", 0.5416486942901643], ["2023-04-03", 0.5426324318291752], ["2023-04-03", 0.56], ["2023-04-03", 0.56], ["2023-04-03", 0.56], ["2023-04-03", 0.5602433977619397], ["2023-04-03", 0.5699999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.5799259288782243], ["2023-04-03", 0.5893463398669879], ["2023-04-04", 0.4577958794862729], ["2023-04-04", 0.4699999999999999], ["2023-04-04", 0.5108730297283115], ["2023-04-04", 0.5108730297283115], ["2023-04-04", 0.5108730297283115], ["2023-04-04", 0.5152269229334309], ["2023-04-04", 0.5152269229334309], ["2023-04-04", 0.5152269229334309], ["2023-04-04", 0.5200000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5200000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5200000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.553653250609653], ["2023-04-04", 0.553653250609653], ["2023-04-04", 0.553653250609653], ["2023-04-05", 0.4734341997911958], ["2023-04-07", 0.42253754071088845], ["2023-04-07", 0.44], ["2023-04-08", 0.38], ["2023-04-08", 0.38], ["2023-04-08", 0.38], ["2023-04-08", 0.3863114868523874], ["2023-04-08", 0.44], ["2023-04-08", 0.44], ["2023-04-08", 0.44], ["2023-04-08", 0.44], ["2023-04-09", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.35027236914624854], ["2023-04-10", 0.1685479773778282], ["2023-04-10", 0.22710906034461703], ["2023-04-10", 0.2910596477534131], ["2023-04-10", 0.3002130538850985], ["2023-04-10", 0.32402518182816703], ["2023-04-10", 0.4043356919417084], ["2023-04-10", 0.41520349505484794], ["2023-04-10", 0.44], ["2023-04-10", 0.44], ["2023-04-10", 0.442293948555352], ["2023-04-10", 0.7989605972445794], ["2023-04-10", 0.891942148129408], ["2023-04-10", 0.8991582174303159], ["2023-04-11", 0.97], ["2023-04-11", 0.9750336000079136], ["2023-04-11", 0.9795500883110116], ["2023-04-11", 0.9980200745593852], ["2023-04-11", 0.9980407056357333], ["2023-04-11", 0.9996821880851033], ["2023-04-13", 0.9972638171746165], ["2023-04-13", 0.9995164976120579]] | https://manifold.markets/cc6/will-btc-hit-30k-at-any-point-by-th | https://g.co/finance/BTC-USD Resolves YES if BTC is at or above 30k at any point before end of April, otherwise NO | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-13 | Will BTC hit 30k at any point by the end of April? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-27 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.11534997520675071], ["2023-03-26", 0.33673012286512], ["2023-03-26", 0.4], ["2023-03-26", 0.4], ["2023-03-26", 0.4], ["2023-03-26", 0.4734700266082328], ["2023-03-26", 0.4734700266082328], ["2023-03-26", 0.4734700266082328], ["2023-03-26", 0.5337125916338985], ["2023-03-26", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-26", 0.6494405324608211], ["2023-03-26", 0.7904183234614923], ["2023-03-26", 0.8287671232876711], ["2023-03-26", 0.8599999999999999], ["2023-03-26", 0.8777982267613764], ["2023-03-26", 0.8842856025166556], ["2023-03-26", 0.8968256402392271], ["2023-03-26", 0.8968256402392271], ["2023-03-26", 0.8968256402392271], ["2023-03-26", 0.8999999999999999], ["2023-03-26", 0.9105385362244512], ["2023-03-26", 0.94], ["2023-03-26", 0.9419482841314439], ["2023-03-26", 0.9431019250187574], ["2023-03-26", 0.9431019250187574], ["2023-03-26", 0.9431019250187574], ["2023-03-26", 0.9468035721017868], ["2023-03-26", 0.9502524474298278], ["2023-03-26", 0.9625516955240213], ["2023-03-26", 0.9626485238241457], ["2023-03-26", 0.9700000000000001], ["2023-03-26", 0.9729250167321486], ["2023-03-26", 0.9734237020047322], ["2023-03-26", 0.9777352433296833], ["2023-03-26", 0.9798521506097098], ["2023-03-26", 0.98158793105406], ["2023-03-26", 0.98158793105406], ["2023-03-26", 0.98158793105406], ["2023-03-26", 0.9839568208218168], ["2023-03-26", 0.984047993861542], ["2023-03-26", 0.9843683297800591], ["2023-03-26", 0.9855499052413865], ["2023-03-27", 0.9898800692143944], ["2023-03-27", 0.9907676268065813], ["2023-03-27", 0.9907676268065813], ["2023-03-27", 0.9907676268065813]] | https://manifold.markets/PeterBennett/will-esbot-finals-start-more-than-3 | Resolves YES if the first question of the ESBOT finals is read at 6:55 PM EDT or later, 30 minutes after the initially scheduled start time. Scores will be updated live here: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-27 | Will ESBOT finals start more than 30 minutes delayed from their expected start time? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-30 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-27", 0.2791097987347251], ["2023-03-27", 0.28356821801024296], ["2023-03-27", 0.29740557675245216], ["2023-03-27", 0.32], ["2023-03-27", 0.3427952807323522], ["2023-03-27", 0.34987341569449515], ["2023-03-28", 0.3200000000000001], ["2023-03-28", 0.3200000000000001], ["2023-03-28", 0.3200000000000001], ["2023-03-28", 0.3237540307652467], ["2023-03-28", 0.3272748494177534], ["2023-03-28", 0.33973073398364256], ["2023-03-29", 0.328066604816661], ["2023-03-29", 0.33107043670192193], ["2023-03-29", 0.3373743388897823], ["2023-03-31", 0.32657936234564855], ["2023-04-01", 0.26278315291587534], ["2023-04-01", 0.2700000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.2799999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.26717246018116847], ["2023-04-04", 0.2469068303984854], ["2023-04-04", 0.25057069026476625], ["2023-04-06", 0.1375862645820617], ["2023-04-06", 0.16000000000000003], ["2023-04-06", 0.26999999999999996], ["2023-04-07", 0.1395978375965168], ["2023-04-08", 0.1829524394277502], ["2023-04-08", 0.18703630358593404], ["2023-04-08", 0.19127552395731448], ["2023-04-09", 0.17935625133287747], ["2023-04-10", 0.177600607408614], ["2023-04-11", 0.23450947139147504], ["2023-04-12", 0.2700000000000001], ["2023-04-15", 0.2699999999999999], ["2023-04-15", 0.2699999999999999], ["2023-04-18", 0.23999999999999996], ["2023-04-19", 0.10576545225798938], ["2023-04-19", 0.12000000000000005], ["2023-04-19", 0.12000000000000005], ["2023-04-19", 0.12000000000000005], ["2023-04-19", 0.12000000000000005], ["2023-04-19", 0.12000000000000005], ["2023-04-22", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-22", 0.11545832537778924], ["2023-04-30", 0.015473661539481988], ["2023-04-30", 0.015473661539481988], ["2023-04-30", 0.023524921800119326], ["2023-05-01", 0.024417503194146442], ["2023-05-02", 0.02906109430219619], ["2023-05-05", 0.029468799835528713], ["2023-05-16", 0.019286103809763422], ["2023-05-17", 0.013838478484262963], ["2023-05-17", 0.014699682628109716], ["2023-05-18", 0.015574449070145945], ["2023-05-18", 0.016178703261821314], ["2023-05-20", 0.016226142966986865], ["2023-05-21", 0.01617563414895252], ["2023-05-28", 0.017405911937434942], ["2023-05-30", 0.010324550020590174]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-russia-control-avdiivka-a-town | Resolves YES if Russia takes control of Avdiivka at any point in time by May 31st, according to maps provided by the If this location is shaded red on the ISW maps, the market will resolve YES. If this area remains shaded orange or not shaded for the entire time period, resolves NO. Resolution will be based on the ISW maps dated up to and including the deadline date. The specific location used for this market can be found on the ISW interactive map by simply typing The ISW map is updated everyday at 3:00 PM ET. This location is pictured below with the map as of April 22nd. | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-31 | Will Russia control Avdiivka, a city close to being captured just like Bakhmut by May 31st? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.031173359301626347], ["2023-03-26", 0.051126964779778634], ["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-04-04", 0.032363059246827565], ["2023-04-09", 0.016867560684399516], ["2023-04-11", 0.016831090753192054], ["2023-04-14", 0.028671463966685316], ["2023-04-17", 0.015182276495393058], ["2023-04-22", 0.015152116367683406], ["2023-04-27", 0.009313388659418784], ["2023-04-29", 0.00930090923849906], ["2023-04-30", 0.0019912859362868174], ["2023-04-30", 0.012275852798407124], ["2023-05-01", 1.1216961555575295e-05]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87500-confirmed-cases | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-01 | Will there be >=87,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.04057428315762933], ["2023-03-26", 0.06453791248122817], ["2023-03-26", 0.07209799746780692], ["2023-03-26", 0.07843803886007102], ["2023-03-26", 0.14792899408284022], ["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-29", 0.03393163897609115], ["2023-03-29", 0.036910235120895], ["2023-03-29", 0.0645379124812281], ["2023-04-09", 0.040664257466836634], ["2023-04-14", 0.04594795712636092], ["2023-04-14", 0.06453791248122814], ["2023-04-17", 0.01716811099800032], ["2023-04-17", 0.0205898126929194], ["2023-04-27", 0.009043355534944855], ["2023-04-30", 0.01120133855224411], ["2023-05-01", 1.8333072749239364e-05], ["2023-05-01", 0.0023268095348534064]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87400-confirmed-cases | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,400 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-01 | Will there be >=87,400 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.11675138979433895], ["2023-03-26", 0.14792899408284022], ["2023-03-26", 0.16527534254661108], ["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-29", 0.044132360182231524], ["2023-03-29", 0.08153065745113572], ["2023-04-08", 0.051455881390138875], ["2023-04-12", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-17", 0.021336166671504175], ["2023-04-26", 0.021290560292218316], ["2023-04-27", 0.009584646137957776], ["2023-04-30", 0.0122243090592001], ["2023-05-01", 2.2631296489547974e-05], ["2023-05-01", 0.002151136608834315]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87300-confirmed-cases | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,300 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-01 | Will there be >=87,300 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-27 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-26", 0.5386401790644453], ["2023-03-31", 0.45652251066541083], ["2023-03-31", 0.4826282336622082], ["2023-04-03", 0.48262823366220836], ["2023-04-03", 0.4958389431568899], ["2023-04-03", 0.4958389431568899], ["2023-04-03", 0.5370727065540744], ["2023-04-03", 0.5853628717009135], ["2023-04-04", 0.47955268008897556], ["2023-04-04", 0.5179252823910898], ["2023-04-04", 0.62], ["2023-04-04", 0.65], ["2023-04-05", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.6500000000000001], ["2023-04-07", 0.6104962069039536], ["2023-04-08", 0.65], ["2023-04-08", 0.6600000000000001], ["2023-04-08", 0.6600000000000001], ["2023-04-08", 0.6600000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.78], ["2023-04-09", 0.78], ["2023-04-09", 0.78], ["2023-04-09", 0.8000166067355262], ["2023-04-12", 0.8287843192404571], ["2023-04-12", 0.85], ["2023-04-12", 0.85], ["2023-04-12", 0.85], ["2023-04-12", 0.85], ["2023-04-12", 0.85], ["2023-04-12", 0.89], ["2023-04-12", 0.89], ["2023-04-12", 0.89], ["2023-04-12", 0.9193229303219993], ["2023-04-13", 0.75], ["2023-04-13", 0.75], ["2023-04-13", 0.75], ["2023-04-13", 0.75], ["2023-04-13", 0.7584359996007173], ["2023-04-13", 0.78], ["2023-04-14", 0.7499999999999997], ["2023-04-14", 0.7499999999999997], ["2023-04-15", 0.7], ["2023-04-15", 0.7154614584426557], ["2023-04-15", 0.74], ["2023-04-15", 0.74], ["2023-04-15", 0.74], ["2023-04-15", 0.7556351976728368], ["2023-04-17", 0.1308153248048065], ["2023-04-17", 0.1678720920202323], ["2023-04-17", 0.17819473060530902], ["2023-04-17", 0.17819473060530902], ["2023-04-17", 0.17819473060530902], ["2023-04-17", 0.19983203786505252], ["2023-04-17", 0.21000000000000002], ["2023-04-17", 0.21714183869478296], ["2023-04-17", 0.21714183869478296], ["2023-04-17", 0.21714183869478296], ["2023-04-17", 0.22000000000000003], ["2023-04-17", 0.31536506548254956], ["2023-04-17", 0.31536506548254956], ["2023-04-17", 0.31536506548254956], ["2023-04-17", 0.3829861284318516], ["2023-04-17", 0.3829861284318516], ["2023-04-17", 0.3829861284318516], ["2023-04-17", 0.43000000000000005], ["2023-04-17", 0.5231139482418207], ["2023-04-17", 0.5231139482418207], ["2023-04-17", 0.5231139482418207], ["2023-04-17", 0.6794625548861271], ["2023-04-17", 0.7], ["2023-04-18", 0.1702219269484096], ["2023-04-19", 0.37999999999999995], ["2023-04-19", 0.37999999999999995], ["2023-04-19", 0.37999999999999995], ["2023-04-19", 0.4354415540714557], ["2023-04-19", 0.5455966601692684], ["2023-04-19", 0.5970219463766095], ["2023-04-19", 0.5970219463766095], ["2023-04-19", 0.5970219463766095], ["2023-04-19", 0.6199634824737689], ["2023-04-19", 0.6199634824737689], ["2023-04-19", 0.6609328060267136], ["2023-04-19", 0.7000000000000001], ["2023-04-19", 0.72], ["2023-04-19", 0.72], ["2023-04-19", 0.72], ["2023-04-19", 0.72], ["2023-04-19", 0.7392810817362762], ["2023-04-20", 0.3220995190743138], ["2023-04-20", 0.3856974262692542], ["2023-04-20", 0.3856974262692542], ["2023-04-20", 0.3856974262692542], ["2023-04-20", 0.43214234449903016], ["2023-04-20", 0.44], ["2023-04-20", 0.44808228129649075], ["2023-04-20", 0.4593315078003537], ["2023-04-20", 0.46667594688528174], ["2023-04-20", 0.47], ["2023-04-20", 0.49999999999999994], ["2023-04-20", 0.5096693782358077], ["2023-04-20", 0.5145243187148741], ["2023-04-20", 0.55], ["2023-04-20", 0.55], ["2023-04-20", 0.55], ["2023-04-20", 0.5795998129752638], ["2023-04-20", 0.6], ["2023-04-20", 0.6], ["2023-04-20", 0.6], ["2023-04-20", 0.6], ["2023-04-20", 0.6], ["2023-04-20", 0.602812800044041], ["2023-04-20", 0.6261421099417435], ["2023-04-20", 0.65], ["2023-04-20", 0.69], ["2023-04-20", 0.7673978630407892], ["2023-04-20", 0.7673978630407892], ["2023-04-21", 0.602812800044041], ["2023-04-21", 0.602812800044041], ["2023-04-21", 0.6135422151310722], ["2023-04-22", 0.5918218228792399], ["2023-04-23", 0.5675331307737675], ["2023-04-23", 0.6021568717927399], ["2023-04-25", 0.7800000000000001], ["2023-04-25", 0.7800000000000001], ["2023-04-25", 0.7800000000000001], ["2023-04-25", 0.7800000000000001], ["2023-04-25", 0.8], ["2023-04-25", 0.8], ["2023-04-25", 0.8], ["2023-04-25", 0.8112580261017078], ["2023-04-25", 0.8565319474729319], ["2023-04-25", 0.887029612012932], ["2023-04-26", 0.9085213090672402], ["2023-04-26", 0.9242396843096484], ["2023-04-27", 0.906853905379148], ["2023-04-27", 0.9500000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.9500000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.9500000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.9578746602107188], ["2023-04-27", 0.9675973911579646], ["2023-04-27", 0.9869491029371233], ["2023-04-27", 0.9977816246053207]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87100-confirmed-cases | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,100 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-27 | Will there be >=87,100 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.285485869052032], ["2023-03-26", 0.31786860591706245], ["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-29", 0.26354055775655727], ["2023-04-04", 0.1438573423910353], ["2023-04-04", 0.19999999999999993], ["2023-04-04", 0.2534822690893476], ["2023-04-05", 0.20565131557463665], ["2023-04-08", 0.23999999999999994], ["2023-04-08", 0.23999999999999994], ["2023-04-08", 0.23999999999999994], ["2023-04-08", 0.25040878504896136], ["2023-04-09", 0.34], ["2023-04-09", 0.34], ["2023-04-09", 0.34], ["2023-04-09", 0.41574696317078597], ["2023-04-09", 0.47999999999999987], ["2023-04-09", 0.47999999999999987], ["2023-04-09", 0.47999999999999987], ["2023-04-09", 0.51], ["2023-04-09", 0.5197271409091299], ["2023-04-09", 0.5668332563717856], ["2023-04-11", 0.51], ["2023-04-11", 0.51], ["2023-04-12", 0.39999999999999997], ["2023-04-12", 0.40286728831637636], ["2023-04-12", 0.42], ["2023-04-12", 0.42], ["2023-04-12", 0.42], ["2023-04-12", 0.42], ["2023-04-12", 0.42], ["2023-04-12", 0.47627772354353226], ["2023-04-12", 0.49], ["2023-04-12", 0.49], ["2023-04-12", 0.49], ["2023-04-13", 0.35381848443617464], ["2023-04-13", 0.37], ["2023-04-13", 0.37], ["2023-04-13", 0.37], ["2023-04-14", 0.2637465425674131], ["2023-04-14", 0.2935234677837284], ["2023-04-14", 0.32], ["2023-04-14", 0.32], ["2023-04-14", 0.32], ["2023-04-14", 0.3797790406610664], ["2023-04-15", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-04-15", 0.15452095914977365], ["2023-04-15", 0.15452095914977365], ["2023-04-15", 0.15452095914977365], ["2023-04-15", 0.193406535336418], ["2023-04-15", 0.20999999999999996], ["2023-04-16", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-16", 0.22892920353887242], ["2023-04-17", 0.028704694128094434], ["2023-04-17", 0.043788912244621975], ["2023-04-17", 0.051923497983666016], ["2023-04-17", 0.10032854816954097], ["2023-04-17", 0.11557869766214547], ["2023-04-17", 0.13492248740119261], ["2023-04-17", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-04-17", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-04-17", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-04-17", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-04-17", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-04-17", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-04-17", 0.1776968933758787], ["2023-04-23", 0.028669311611372227], ["2023-04-25", 0.032465409890727576], ["2023-04-28", 0.025063508239430227], ["2023-05-01", 6.032938613010301e-06], ["2023-05-01", 0.004153965409372652]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87200-confirmed-cases | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,200 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-01 | Will there be >=87,200 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-19 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-26", 0.5515861251111771], ["2023-03-26", 0.6407315891053654], ["2023-03-26", 0.7932482857733816], ["2023-03-27", 0.6717407795338097], ["2023-03-27", 0.75], ["2023-03-27", 0.7856926584670506], ["2023-03-28", 0.7684395141377345], ["2023-03-29", 0.799670545020319], ["2023-03-29", 0.81], ["2023-03-29", 0.81], ["2023-03-29", 0.81], ["2023-03-30", 0.85], ["2023-03-30", 0.8608915386871143], ["2023-04-01", 0.8735682237418341], ["2023-04-03", 0.9212424757034534], ["2023-04-03", 0.9300000000000002], ["2023-04-03", 0.9300000000000002], ["2023-04-03", 0.9300000000000002], ["2023-04-04", 0.8863794278900199], ["2023-04-04", 0.9038815948837352], ["2023-04-04", 0.91], ["2023-04-04", 0.91], ["2023-04-04", 0.91], ["2023-04-04", 0.9226246879721266], ["2023-04-04", 0.94], ["2023-04-04", 0.94], ["2023-04-04", 0.94], ["2023-04-04", 0.9465681863538811], ["2023-04-06", 0.9527875988524037], ["2023-04-07", 0.9553610063562702], ["2023-04-08", 0.9633595858730218], ["2023-04-09", 0.969341574800357], ["2023-04-09", 0.9774038790216661], ["2023-04-12", 0.9774038790216661], ["2023-04-19", 0.991011296454723], ["2023-04-19", 0.9994003658830917]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87000-confirmed-cases-ba1ff8130074 | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,000 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-19 | Will there be >=87,000 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-26 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-26", 0.3070586334617744], ["2023-03-26", 0.38480050377505176], ["2023-03-26", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-27", 0.29956253558111323], ["2023-03-29", 0.24515887077991497], ["2023-03-29", 0.26], ["2023-03-30", 0.2029975865913585], ["2023-03-30", 0.21], ["2023-03-31", 0.15928184997511322], ["2023-03-31", 0.1700000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.1156913604577349], ["2023-04-04", 0.1499999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.1562501670983445], ["2023-04-12", 0.10360290752105517], ["2023-04-12", 0.11999999999999998], ["2023-04-12", 0.11999999999999998], ["2023-04-12", 0.11999999999999998], ["2023-04-12", 0.12870979037295935], ["2023-04-13", 0.08069152553928083], ["2023-04-14", 0.04437050572127168], ["2023-04-22", 0.03503643932707634], ["2023-04-23", 0.023953624137586137], ["2023-04-23", 0.03503643932707634], ["2023-04-23", 0.03503643932707634], ["2023-04-26", 0.02391136099249022], ["2023-04-27", 0.009442652263611283], ["2023-04-27", 0.009452287876832676], ["2023-04-30", 0.011589953662887753], ["2023-05-01", 1.36938462111758e-05], ["2023-05-01", 0.0025015120688508686]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-there-be-87250-confirmed-cases-3516a846d6ab | This question resolves to YES if there are >=87,250 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide, using the cumulative confirmed cases of April 30th 2023, from Our World in Data: Note on resolution: | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-01 | Will there be >=87,250 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of April 30th 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-03-28 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-28", 0.04231153493474692], ["2023-03-28", 0.04777020465508368], ["2023-03-28", 0.05449773142869187], ["2023-03-28", 0.0883871090771637], ["2023-03-28", 0.08993103448387585], ["2023-03-28", 0.09674430116785672], ["2023-03-28", 0.1143771276636453], ["2023-03-28", 0.133241818932768], ["2023-03-28", 0.2896525180917186], ["2023-03-28", 0.3291694214364591], ["2023-03-28", 0.34309436855096653], ["2023-03-28", 0.35487255615674496], ["2023-03-28", 0.3718406521392251], ["2023-03-28", 0.39], ["2023-03-28", 0.39], ["2023-03-28", 0.39], ["2023-03-28", 0.44209405657799367], ["2023-03-28", 0.44610570309841435], ["2023-03-28", 0.4621964599256625], ["2023-03-28", 0.46568005072766905], ["2023-03-28", 0.4836545151079708], ["2023-03-28", 0.4958617736486065], ["2023-03-28", 0.4999236396159414], ["2023-03-28", 0.5], ["2023-03-28", 0.5056418875985932], ["2023-03-28", 0.5196835880440535], ["2023-03-28", 0.5202851961135175], ["2023-03-28", 0.5440194565299696], ["2023-03-28", 0.5708467990931151], ["2023-03-28", 0.5729838500528512], ["2023-03-28", 0.6030305894620653], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.6799999999999999], ["2023-03-28", 0.727008074832664]] | https://manifold.markets/MatthewSlotkin/will-the-sp-close-higher-on-march-2-8d3ade7f4e48 | closes at 3pm. resolves at 4pm. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-28 | Will the S&P close higher on March 28th than it closed on March 27th? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-05 | 2023-03-27 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Chicago_mayoral_election"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.6282527881040891], ["2023-03-28", 0.4224577542245776], ["2023-03-28", 0.4224577542245776], ["2023-03-28", 0.4224577542245776], ["2023-03-28", 0.4224577542245776], ["2023-03-28", 0.48662321359474386], ["2023-03-28", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-03-31", 0.48662321359474475], ["2023-03-31", 0.48662321359474475], ["2023-04-01", 0.20000000000000004], ["2023-04-01", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-01", 0.34], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.41047654892244195], ["2023-04-01", 0.4355484988571341], ["2023-04-01", 0.4379698202220684], ["2023-04-01", 0.43999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.4999547240539211], ["2023-04-01", 0.49995472405392116], ["2023-04-02", 0.4499999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.4499999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.4499999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.476231422311058], ["2023-04-02", 0.476231422311058], ["2023-04-02", 0.476231422311058], ["2023-04-03", 0.29], ["2023-04-03", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-03", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-03", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-03", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-03", 0.32999999999999996], ["2023-04-03", 0.33999999999999997], ["2023-04-03", 0.3525569981382203], ["2023-04-03", 0.3525569981382203], ["2023-04-03", 0.3525569981382203], ["2023-04-03", 0.36050494781288395], ["2023-04-03", 0.36050494781288395], ["2023-04-03", 0.36050494781288395], ["2023-04-03", 0.4074858628722906], ["2023-04-03", 0.42], ["2023-04-03", 0.42], ["2023-04-04", 0.25], ["2023-04-04", 0.2800000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.2800000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.2800000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.28925543221180505], ["2023-04-04", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-04", 0.31338637026110566], ["2023-04-04", 0.3283273320672229], ["2023-04-04", 0.3283273320672229], ["2023-04-04", 0.3283273320672229], ["2023-04-04", 0.33], ["2023-04-04", 0.33], ["2023-04-04", 0.33], ["2023-04-04", 0.33351485121846414], ["2023-04-04", 0.36648579898614086], ["2023-04-04", 0.39000000000000007], ["2023-04-04", 0.40045199366427614], ["2023-04-05", 0.3699999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.3699999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.3699999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.3869749624690072], ["2023-04-05", 0.5032590536778591], ["2023-04-05", 0.5032590536778591], ["2023-04-05", 0.5032590536778591], ["2023-04-05", 0.6148046015899734], ["2023-04-05", 0.6699999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.7063550811720928], ["2023-04-05", 0.7500000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.7500000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.7500000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.7500000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.8369016360749507], ["2023-04-05", 0.88], ["2023-04-05", 0.8879463205361052], ["2023-04-05", 0.8879463205361052], ["2023-04-05", 0.8879463205361052], ["2023-04-05", 0.9000000000000001], ["2023-04-05", 0.904162269627446], ["2023-04-05", 0.9242852596428771], ["2023-04-05", 0.9306121700435915], ["2023-04-05", 0.9512875725294003], ["2023-04-05", 0.9512875725294003], ["2023-04-05", 0.9512875725294003], ["2023-04-05", 0.962417580776263], ["2023-04-05", 0.9664904962827184], ["2023-04-05", 0.9682629837344571]] | https://manifold.markets/Lorxus/will-brandon-johnson-win-the-chicag | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Chicago_mayoral_election Will Brandon Johnson win, or will Paul Vallas? The market resolves YES if Johnson wins and NO if Vallas wins. The market resolves N/A if somehow the mayoral election is cancelled or a third party somehow wins. The market will resolve early, on publication of results in a major press outlet of record, such as the Chicago Sun-Times or Tribune, the New York Times, Vox, 538, and CNN. | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-05 | Will Brandon Johnson win the Chicago mayoral election? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-28 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.509900019603999], ["2023-03-27", 0.6353558926487746], ["2023-03-27", 0.6900000000000001], ["2023-03-27", 0.697921701304978], ["2023-03-27", 0.8400733961262447], ["2023-03-27", 0.8603974351027769], ["2023-03-27", 0.875328253624877], ["2023-03-27", 0.91], ["2023-03-27", 0.9174381061286069], ["2023-03-27", 0.92], ["2023-03-27", 0.9454695366862658], ["2023-03-27", 0.9457915509600691], ["2023-03-27", 0.96], ["2023-03-27", 0.96], ["2023-03-27", 0.96], ["2023-03-27", 0.9767865959293055], ["2023-03-27", 0.9787529628720107], ["2023-03-27", 0.9789305957702099], ["2023-03-27", 0.9820115305463929], ["2023-03-27", 0.9872392172473297], ["2023-03-28", 0.9882486304256589], ["2023-03-28", 0.9891165585900397], ["2023-03-28", 0.9898703927420315]] | https://manifold.markets/MarkIngraham/biden-will-not-be-indicted-today | Not applicable/available for this question. | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-28 | Biden will not be indicted today | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-14 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-28", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-29", 0.8], ["2023-04-05", 0.7638817502988752], ["2023-04-07", 0.5788775938797178], ["2023-04-08", 0.6637544893493955], ["2023-04-10", 0.5933831618707808], ["2023-04-10", 0.646540072844643], ["2023-04-14", 0.6793050442153892], ["2023-04-14", 0.6924968896314012], ["2023-04-14", 0.8300000000000001], ["2023-04-14", 0.8511285810049657], ["2023-04-14", 0.94], ["2023-04-14", 0.9414761664762751], ["2023-04-14", 0.9543463063470985], ["2023-04-14", 0.97405187719258], ["2023-04-14", 0.9787836002453317], ["2023-04-14", 0.9787836002453317], ["2023-04-14", 0.9787836002453317], ["2023-04-14", 0.9810317063795463]] | https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-william-bosi-be-the-second-per | Burden of Dreams is a 9A (V17) boulder problem in Finland, first climbed in 2016 by Nalle Hukkataival and not yet repeated. Several people are working on getting the second ascent, including William Bosi. | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-14 | Will William Bosi be the second person to climb Burden of Dreams? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-27 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5023506387335823], ["2023-03-27", 0.5178875211269237], ["2023-03-27", 0.5463474969299849], ["2023-03-27", 0.5544487821378354], ["2023-03-27", 0.5748668762654902], ["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-27", 0.5910594266101791], ["2023-03-27", 0.6352976295398309], ["2023-03-27", 0.6621621621621621], ["2023-03-27", 0.6633856075881676], ["2023-03-27", 0.74], ["2023-03-27", 0.7604003564818732], ["2023-03-27", 0.7978441576419328], ["2023-03-27", 0.8293041488586714], ["2023-03-27", 0.8399999999999999], ["2023-03-27", 0.8801613532182946], ["2023-03-27", 0.9320179758361518], ["2023-03-27", 0.9556134332778329], ["2023-03-27", 0.9684198782116888], ["2023-03-27", 0.9762018674181654]] | https://manifold.markets/NicoDelon/will-this-market-open-for-a-few-hou | A quickie. Mar 27, 6:09pm: | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-27 | Will this market (open for a few hours) have more than (>) 10 unique traders? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-28 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.23342830279205673], ["2023-03-27", 0.2406321397072568], ["2023-03-27", 0.25933480052075625], ["2023-03-27", 0.2740916573687915], ["2023-03-27", 0.30386427648444103], ["2023-03-27", 0.3172460994389966], ["2023-03-27", 0.35376513270682103], ["2023-03-27", 0.36963579422247383], ["2023-03-27", 0.38459035875058645], ["2023-03-27", 0.40186465198521143], ["2023-03-27", 0.4389628009466108], ["2023-03-27", 0.4900999803960008], ["2023-03-27", 0.54], ["2023-03-27", 0.5605741977988853], ["2023-03-27", 0.5817631157053637], ["2023-03-27", 0.6100646340840776], ["2023-03-27", 0.6339943315108618], ["2023-03-27", 0.6769776198837408], ["2023-03-27", 0.7], ["2023-03-27", 0.7225298872314525], ["2023-03-27", 0.79], ["2023-03-27", 0.8064052834703489], ["2023-03-27", 0.8091762778300438], ["2023-03-27", 0.8109107799756845], ["2023-03-27", 0.8178723187068513], ["2023-03-27", 0.8292417244974365], ["2023-03-27", 0.9], ["2023-03-27", 0.904720437966046], ["2023-03-27", 0.93], ["2023-03-27", 0.9317248097140128], ["2023-03-27", 0.9394596087298379], ["2023-03-27", 0.939718370560022], ["2023-03-28", 0.9404307070078879], ["2023-03-28", 0.9542231545074817], ["2023-03-28", 0.9597334776860859], ["2023-03-28", 0.9797856016049667], ["2023-03-28", 0.9818981177684281], ["2023-03-28", 0.9890047052410957], ["2023-03-28", 0.9984033251127544]] | https://manifold.markets/NicoDelon/will-this-market-open-for-a-few-hou-637e6c682f7a | A quickie. Mar 27, 6:09pm: | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-28 | Will this market (open for a few hours) have more than (>) 20 unique traders? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-14 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.3252403330467574], ["2023-03-27", 0.3765977118859714], ["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-28", 0.10795384366694002], ["2023-03-28", 0.12944026373290105], ["2023-03-28", 0.12944026373290105], ["2023-03-28", 0.12944026373290105], ["2023-03-28", 0.13121582766677506], ["2023-03-28", 0.13979776201679775], ["2023-03-28", 0.2191562220240044], ["2023-04-01", 0.12899628658715157], ["2023-04-05", 0.13247521873609924], ["2023-04-14", 0.0015630750690924864], ["2023-04-14", 0.034488043352920966], ["2023-04-14", 0.04294388213980613], ["2023-04-14", 0.049999999999999975], ["2023-04-14", 0.049999999999999975], ["2023-04-14", 0.049999999999999996]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-it-be-reported-by-the-news-tha | Not applicable/available for this question. | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-14 | Will it be reported by the news that there are at least 10 fatalities in the Nashville elementary school shooting? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-09 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-04-04", 0.3930978037754542], ["2023-04-06", 0.42530769760201204], ["2023-04-07", 0.2781022755679856], ["2023-04-08", 0.4201772445649093], ["2023-04-08", 0.4394216265449017], ["2023-04-09", 0.004975085126295657], ["2023-04-09", 0.005018804412410862], ["2023-04-09", 0.08185305713315591], ["2023-04-09", 0.254780792072807], ["2023-04-09", 0.28128430199069304], ["2023-04-09", 0.29159976603333077], ["2023-04-09", 0.29999999999999993], ["2023-04-09", 0.29999999999999993], ["2023-04-09", 0.29999999999999993], ["2023-04-09", 0.32836488628813776], ["2023-04-09", 0.39953341278520327], ["2023-04-09", 0.4484551541441144], ["2023-04-09", 0.47000000000000003], ["2023-04-09", 0.47219553322266344], ["2023-04-09", 0.5185652613567435], ["2023-04-09", 0.5900000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.63], ["2023-04-09", 0.7125084905972723]] | https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-the-rematch-between-alex-perei | Alex Pereira is scheduled to fight Israel Adesanya at UFC 287 on the 8th of April, 2023, in Miami, Florida, USA. They will be fighting for the UFC Middleweight title. This would be their second fight under mma rules. If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards for a decision or technical decision, this market will resolve to YES. If the fight ends by TKO, KO, Submission, Technical Submission, or DQ on the night, then this market will resolve to NO. If the fight is called a No Contest on the night or the fight is pulled from the event, this market will resolve to N/A. | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-09 | Will the rematch between Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya at UFC 287 go to a decision? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-27", 0.5515861251111771], ["2023-03-27", 0.6253417560746516], ["2023-03-28", 0.6628829073424931], ["2023-03-28", 0.6900583960939292], ["2023-03-28", 0.7111699445268633], ["2023-03-28", 0.7699999999999999], ["2023-03-28", 0.7800000000000001], ["2023-03-28", 0.8370020145659812], ["2023-04-02", 0.7323601102397123], ["2023-04-02", 0.75], ["2023-04-02", 0.75], ["2023-04-02", 0.75], ["2023-04-03", 0.004081446399172151], ["2023-04-03", 0.004085066631890125], ["2023-04-03", 0.004465147294326662], ["2023-04-03", 0.004541431527256168], ["2023-04-03", 0.005093670782088459], ["2023-04-03", 0.610091248948265], ["2023-04-03", 0.6318198174856394], ["2023-04-03", 0.6599999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.6599999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.6599999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.7363604146256141]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-john-wick-4s-2nd-domestic-week | Not applicable/available for this question. | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will John Wick 4's 2nd domestic weekend box office reach 50 million dollars or more? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-13 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.05000000000000006], ["2023-03-27", 0.06096219263097119], ["2023-03-27", 0.061455825153476536], ["2023-03-27", 0.06446217989431113], ["2023-03-27", 0.07326093124022261], ["2023-03-27", 0.10258693013941837], ["2023-03-27", 0.11365715179441609], ["2023-03-27", 0.36464410735122527], ["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-28", 0.06111318407380736], ["2023-03-28", 0.06127844889312485], ["2023-04-01", 0.06094873521113764], ["2023-04-02", 0.0579956684818417], ["2023-04-02", 0.05943836342775706], ["2023-04-03", 0.06968747894005094], ["2023-04-04", 0.07129891260099668], ["2023-04-05", 0.09401123509856443], ["2023-04-05", 0.09882314878882036], ["2023-04-07", 0.04984342516759965], ["2023-04-07", 0.05921397146768991], ["2023-04-07", 0.07252438070909667], ["2023-04-12", 0.046135200917743105], ["2023-04-12", 0.046135200917743105], ["2023-04-12", 0.046135200917743105], ["2023-05-02", 0.04446904269087624], ["2023-05-06", 0.059647258726409955], ["2023-05-07", 0.03876324577650001], ["2023-05-08", 0.04487661197065559], ["2023-05-09", 0.03960876599112186], ["2023-05-13", 0.007448115919770651], ["2023-05-13", 0.009935552911466245], ["2023-05-13", 0.011873097548337106], ["2023-05-13", 0.01911248084576598], ["2023-05-13", 0.022262675935297356], ["2023-05-13", 0.023884925516035486], ["2023-05-13", 0.026153560978819067], ["2023-05-13", 0.026689204619512543], ["2023-05-13", 0.0319586922755926]] | https://manifold.markets/xyz/will-spain-win-the-eurovision-in-20 | Eurovision Song Contest 2023 is set to take place in Liverpool, UK during May 9 - May 13, 2023. Resolves NO if Spain does not participate, N/A if the contest does not occur. Mar 27, 10:55am: | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-13 | Will Spain win Eurovision 2023? 🇪🇸 | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-30 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-27", 0.6526320803503031], ["2023-03-27", 0.6568912344680228], ["2023-03-28", 0.4527651993791216], ["2023-03-29", 0.44198343357550607], ["2023-03-29", 0.44198343357550607], ["2023-03-29", 0.44198343357550607], ["2023-04-04", 0.29482856299218424], ["2023-04-04", 0.31999999999999995], ["2023-04-04", 0.36932247717482464], ["2023-04-04", 0.3765532058511445], ["2023-04-04", 0.39999999999999997], ["2023-04-10", 0.17370215511310994], ["2023-04-10", 0.1756527936669181], ["2023-04-10", 0.19999999999999998], ["2023-04-18", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-04-19", 0.1199001394505861], ["2023-04-21", 0.08999999999999994], ["2023-04-21", 0.08999999999999994], ["2023-04-21", 0.08999999999999994], ["2023-04-21", 0.09999999999999996], ["2023-04-24", 0.06977103718281319], ["2023-04-30", 0.014733641379852589]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-the-israeli-judicial-reform-pr | Not applicable/available for this question. | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-30 | Will the Israeli judicial reform protests be over by the end of April? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-13 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.09754304929836971], ["2023-03-27", 0.10793380798494165], ["2023-03-27", 0.11957306835492361], ["2023-03-27", 0.36464410735122527], ["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-28", 0.14396959480057706], ["2023-03-28", 0.14453892763971457], ["2023-03-28", 0.15100281818222108], ["2023-03-28", 0.2283158230106296], ["2023-03-28", 0.23000000000000004], ["2023-03-28", 0.32016144596880103], ["2023-03-29", 0.07716689461963236], ["2023-03-29", 0.11000000000000003], ["2023-03-29", 0.11000000000000003], ["2023-03-29", 0.11000000000000003], ["2023-03-29", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-03-29", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-03-29", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-03-29", 0.16199133478781227], ["2023-03-31", 0.1241692256089132], ["2023-04-05", 0.0930884773221446], ["2023-04-05", 0.09999999999999999], ["2023-04-05", 0.12791167672484574], ["2023-05-02", 0.051026656302305316], ["2023-05-02", 0.055278363471064525], ["2023-05-02", 0.06601109379906088], ["2023-05-02", 0.07768022257239221], ["2023-05-10", 0.04433962976989846], ["2023-05-12", 0.039258316716683436], ["2023-05-13", 0.006098981554405141], ["2023-05-13", 0.0062094281933126804], ["2023-05-13", 0.009255111682802795], ["2023-05-13", 0.009580126731166294], ["2023-05-13", 0.010696803754038307], ["2023-05-13", 0.01230639588742013], ["2023-05-13", 0.012560379842123392], ["2023-05-13", 0.016366734285725486], ["2023-05-13", 0.017980030140699085], ["2023-05-13", 0.018574837054942818], ["2023-05-13", 0.03365771509689344], ["2023-05-13", 0.03526676432483749], ["2023-05-13", 0.03647199303126455], ["2023-05-13", 0.038717595884846766], ["2023-05-13", 0.04053191138305125], ["2023-05-13", 0.045519167764480555], ["2023-05-13", 0.045934969574079894], ["2023-05-13", 0.04609340044698466], ["2023-05-13", 0.04967722521933535], ["2023-05-13", 0.05117181290071119], ["2023-05-13", 0.055824770787280216], ["2023-05-13", 0.06354459034652193], ["2023-05-13", 0.06578801107587873], ["2023-05-13", 0.06769997595433463], ["2023-05-13", 0.07362596447125025], ["2023-05-13", 0.07362596447125026], ["2023-05-13", 0.0763684417507953], ["2023-05-13", 0.07913533555606005], ["2023-05-13", 0.08009286762309478], ["2023-05-13", 0.0823784349431849], ["2023-05-13", 0.09743498142781624], ["2023-05-13", 0.10471986268628465], ["2023-05-13", 0.11061265673754271], ["2023-05-13", 0.12266402375681286], ["2023-05-13", 0.1337473845571617], ["2023-05-13", 0.16519249389027144], ["2023-05-13", 0.18181117180558606], ["2023-05-13", 0.19003700601683346], ["2023-05-13", 0.20056560733164291], ["2023-05-13", 0.22861436970027738], ["2023-05-13", 0.24483545934543155], ["2023-05-13", 0.43452487109222265], ["2023-05-13", 0.6600000000000001], ["2023-05-13", 0.7264655938270536]] | https://manifold.markets/xyz/will-norway-win-the-eurovision | Eurovision Song Contest 2023 is set to take place in Liverpool, UK during May 9 - May 13, 2023. Resolves NO if Norway does not participate, N/A if the contest does not occur. Mar 27, 10:54am: | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-13 | Will Norway win Eurovision 2023? 🇳🇴 | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-02 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5727728017066865], ["2023-03-27", 0.6161865273185749], ["2023-03-27", 0.6161865273185749], ["2023-03-27", 0.6161865273185749], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.6282527881040891], ["2023-03-27", 0.6514274897879867], ["2023-03-28", 0.5836948567018321], ["2023-03-28", 0.6197125134213611], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.62], ["2023-03-28", 0.6896906848086652], ["2023-03-28", 0.6896906848086657], ["2023-03-29", 0.47], ["2023-03-29", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-03-29", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-03-29", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-03-29", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-03-29", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-03-29", 0.5836948567018321], ["2023-03-29", 0.5836948567018321], ["2023-03-29", 0.62], ["2023-03-30", 0.5198920461865463], ["2023-03-30", 0.5999999999999999], ["2023-03-30", 0.5999999999999999], ["2023-03-30", 0.5999999999999999], ["2023-03-30", 0.61], ["2023-03-30", 0.61], ["2023-03-30", 0.62], ["2023-03-31", 0.6200000000000001], ["2023-03-31", 0.6200000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-01", 0.21966499416216353], ["2023-04-01", 0.21966499416216353], ["2023-04-01", 0.21966499416216353], ["2023-04-01", 0.2255690266322684], ["2023-04-01", 0.27453945649165673], ["2023-04-01", 0.3296454399127296], ["2023-04-01", 0.35921174758386015], ["2023-04-01", 0.3836738447720438], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.40999999999999986], ["2023-04-01", 0.4528789221659149], ["2023-04-01", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-04-01", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-04-01", 0.559848816578435], ["2023-04-01", 0.5639157162787122], ["2023-04-01", 0.5639157162787126], ["2023-04-01", 0.61], ["2023-04-01", 0.6100000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.6199999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.6199999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.62], ["2023-04-01", 0.62], ["2023-04-01", 0.6356684724783226], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.19000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.19000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.19000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-02", 0.2113339346583102], ["2023-04-02", 0.24000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.24000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.24000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.24999999999999994], ["2023-04-02", 0.24999999999999994], ["2023-04-02", 0.24999999999999994], ["2023-04-02", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.26], ["2023-04-02", 0.27], ["2023-04-02", 0.2700000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.2700000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.2700000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.28], ["2023-04-02", 0.3], ["2023-04-02", 0.3], ["2023-04-02", 0.3], ["2023-04-02", 0.3], ["2023-04-02", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.31000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.32], ["2023-04-02", 0.33], ["2023-04-02", 0.34634632032139234], ["2023-04-02", 0.35], ["2023-04-02", 0.35], ["2023-04-02", 0.35], ["2023-04-02", 0.35256968088179613], ["2023-04-02", 0.3599999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.36], ["2023-04-02", 0.36], ["2023-04-02", 0.36], ["2023-04-02", 0.37], ["2023-04-02", 0.37000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.37000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.37000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.3700000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.41000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.41000000000000014], ["2023-04-02", 0.42], ["2023-04-02", 0.44], ["2023-04-02", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-04-02", 0.4858099361885299], ["2023-04-02", 0.4899999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.77], ["2023-04-02", 0.77], ["2023-04-02", 0.77], ["2023-04-02", 0.8038890598328924], ["2023-04-02", 0.8676452111685953], ["2023-04-02", 0.8989636582056966], ["2023-04-02", 0.9182431323872515], ["2023-04-02", 0.9460169220163044], ["2023-04-02", 0.9537574716787243], ["2023-04-02", 0.9599161053102504], ["2023-04-02", 0.9949961723111961], ["2023-04-02", 0.9965254594955015], ["2023-04-02", 0.9992358987510614]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-sdsu-defeat-fau-at-march-madne | Resolves YES if the San Diego State University Aztecs defeat the Florida Atlantic University Owls and classify to the final of the March Madness (men) tournament | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-02 | Will SDSU defeat FAU at March Madness 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-28 | 2023-03-27 | ["https://www.giroditalia.it/en/"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.3835181738570221], ["2023-03-27", 0.450678892651259], ["2023-03-27", 0.46341913091578124], ["2023-03-27", 0.5199999999999999], ["2023-03-27", 0.5344418052256532], ["2023-03-27", 0.5500000000000002], ["2023-03-27", 0.5500000000000002], ["2023-03-27", 0.5503176161043082], ["2023-03-27", 0.5503176161043082], ["2023-03-27", 0.5503176161043082], ["2023-03-27", 0.5503176161043082], ["2023-03-27", 0.5503176161043082], ["2023-03-27", 0.5509110293328405], ["2023-03-27", 0.5582810172739867], ["2023-03-27", 0.59], ["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-29", 0.52], ["2023-03-29", 0.52], ["2023-03-29", 0.52], ["2023-03-29", 0.52], ["2023-04-19", 0.5029662872574929], ["2023-04-19", 0.5193168501008756], ["2023-04-24", 0.4900439654786945], ["2023-04-29", 0.5], ["2023-04-29", 0.5230527275898382], ["2023-05-02", 0.3368777039805042], ["2023-05-02", 0.37600032219499924], ["2023-05-02", 0.41], ["2023-05-02", 0.41], ["2023-05-02", 0.41], ["2023-05-02", 0.4253586701699623], ["2023-05-02", 0.4729533744702104], ["2023-05-02", 0.4951976899946001], ["2023-05-02", 0.5004575744491322], ["2023-05-03", 0.37763638682462275], ["2023-05-03", 0.38657427260695476], ["2023-05-03", 0.3875483412773402], ["2023-05-03", 0.4060297468628638], ["2023-05-03", 0.41467044407468406], ["2023-05-03", 0.4520284629244844], ["2023-05-03", 0.46337167804850926], ["2023-05-03", 0.48996965347847105], ["2023-05-04", 0.39830232407551563], ["2023-05-05", 0.4174947637004892], ["2023-05-05", 0.4359317428006446], ["2023-05-05", 0.45254783475371124], ["2023-05-06", 0.29666690278918906], ["2023-05-06", 0.35078294624030515], ["2023-05-06", 0.38628972603010914], ["2023-05-08", 0.299220371999741], ["2023-05-08", 0.30177134688163554], ["2023-05-08", 0.3041702089245189], ["2023-05-09", 0.25402414855658595], ["2023-05-09", 0.27769772863245024], ["2023-05-10", 0.24670611211380095], ["2023-05-10", 0.2703722690593538], ["2023-05-10", 0.31751214209090006], ["2023-05-10", 0.3354135696736976], ["2023-05-10", 0.36758610785407175], ["2023-05-10", 0.3729600903130675], ["2023-05-10", 0.37612584515767433], ["2023-05-10", 0.40178986390991644], ["2023-05-10", 0.41954453595334795], ["2023-05-11", 0.3805032122549677], ["2023-05-11", 0.40920926851155026], ["2023-05-13", 0.2744633128757861], ["2023-05-13", 0.38581051942406647], ["2023-05-13", 0.38581051942406647], ["2023-05-13", 0.40092157799175926], ["2023-05-13", 0.40092157799175926], ["2023-05-13", 0.40092157799175926], ["2023-05-13", 0.42053195557250095], ["2023-05-13", 0.45000440651706153], ["2023-05-13", 0.46391559456278475], ["2023-05-13", 0.46391559456278475], ["2023-05-13", 0.47019956008025054], ["2023-05-14", 0.3768871085758355], ["2023-05-14", 0.42069359238767623], ["2023-05-14", 0.49000000000000016], ["2023-05-14", 0.5196535502414488], ["2023-05-14", 0.52], ["2023-05-14", 0.52], ["2023-05-14", 0.6086159290369101], ["2023-05-15", 0.48106014151493875], ["2023-05-15", 0.5002898105466447], ["2023-05-15", 0.5304678441661012], ["2023-05-15", 0.5318551572520185], ["2023-05-15", 0.5480746725404646], ["2023-05-15", 0.5700000000000002], ["2023-05-15", 0.5700000000000002], ["2023-05-15", 0.5700000000000002], ["2023-05-15", 0.5756211009091557], ["2023-05-15", 0.5892139578162827], ["2023-05-16", 0.4499999999999999], ["2023-05-16", 0.5319751324143693], ["2023-05-17", 0.5470651214677831], ["2023-05-17", 0.5616476533732035], ["2023-05-17", 0.5725863644457473], ["2023-05-17", 0.5801021090983286], ["2023-05-17", 0.6189267842216037], ["2023-05-17", 0.6390711060521747], ["2023-05-20", 0.5222257454011214], ["2023-05-20", 0.5294651687151346], ["2023-05-20", 0.543705929328553], ["2023-05-21", 0.5374519763603857], ["2023-05-22", 0.5045949276689938], ["2023-05-22", 0.5506328989493485], ["2023-05-22", 0.5634134788275678], ["2023-05-23", 0.2031362490039269], ["2023-05-23", 0.2031362490039269], ["2023-05-23", 0.2031362490039269], ["2023-05-23", 0.2161132802718731], ["2023-05-23", 0.23487189452413793], ["2023-05-23", 0.23734102767672718], ["2023-05-23", 0.24368460217163393], ["2023-05-23", 0.2468406602956874], ["2023-05-23", 0.2480634732693546], ["2023-05-23", 0.25096955683511135], ["2023-05-23", 0.25096955683511135], ["2023-05-23", 0.25096955683511135], ["2023-05-23", 0.2553950261669408], ["2023-05-23", 0.26358116927806224], ["2023-05-23", 0.26406253685431985], ["2023-05-23", 0.267373454932301], ["2023-05-23", 0.3017437005134989], ["2023-05-23", 0.301743700513499], ["2023-05-23", 0.32421769470514583], ["2023-05-23", 0.32421769470514583], ["2023-05-23", 0.32421769470514583], ["2023-05-23", 0.3403921651093393], ["2023-05-23", 0.5134000116368148], ["2023-05-23", 0.5258635627987696], ["2023-05-23", 0.5498202994310868], ["2023-05-23", 0.5544741079066767], ["2023-05-24", 0.2621819089180326], ["2023-05-24", 0.27492553526497976], ["2023-05-24", 0.2840711142778166], ["2023-05-25", 0.2499999999999999], ["2023-05-25", 0.2792777881311761], ["2023-05-25", 0.3], ["2023-05-25", 0.304890792423537], ["2023-05-25", 0.32920163012034587], ["2023-05-25", 0.3369045168439084], ["2023-05-25", 0.3499999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.3499999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.3499999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.3499999999999998], ["2023-05-26", 0.22987998567043422], ["2023-05-26", 0.22987998567043422], ["2023-05-26", 0.22987998567043422], ["2023-05-26", 0.2663038345105316], ["2023-05-26", 0.2663038345105316], ["2023-05-26", 0.2663038345105316], ["2023-05-26", 0.2781313985514122], ["2023-05-26", 0.2781313985514122], ["2023-05-26", 0.2781313985514122], ["2023-05-26", 0.2798899371550195], ["2023-05-26", 0.2963601512462783], ["2023-05-26", 0.2963601512462783], ["2023-05-26", 0.2963601512462783], ["2023-05-26", 0.29721909365038135], ["2023-05-26", 0.30281436764783504], ["2023-05-26", 0.3099999999999998], ["2023-05-26", 0.32], ["2023-05-26", 0.3501456079812761], ["2023-05-26", 0.3599999999999999], ["2023-05-26", 0.3793569498151171], ["2023-05-26", 0.3849878913362545], ["2023-05-26", 0.41999999999999976], ["2023-05-26", 0.43095043992202375], ["2023-05-27", 0.024403665052637632], ["2023-05-27", 0.03484131790772821], ["2023-05-27", 0.040781775143114894], ["2023-05-27", 0.0445796332265524], ["2023-05-27", 0.0585848046825798], ["2023-05-27", 0.060960984915443404], ["2023-05-27", 0.0763253034045801], ["2023-05-27", 0.082288110311242], ["2023-05-27", 0.09977975274020111], ["2023-05-27", 0.11871046817907459], ["2023-05-27", 0.14535712694356398], ["2023-05-27", 0.15623363022604578], ["2023-05-27", 0.29224986098913625], ["2023-05-27", 0.3001615985630326], ["2023-05-27", 0.3001615985630326], ["2023-05-27", 0.3001615985630326], ["2023-05-27", 0.3172308306653845], ["2023-05-27", 0.3172308306653845], ["2023-05-27", 0.3172308306653845], ["2023-05-27", 0.3281062285545359], ["2023-05-27", 0.3460690616349121], ["2023-05-27", 0.3670185476045878], ["2023-05-27", 0.36852562218762364], ["2023-05-27", 0.3741456355283827], ["2023-05-27", 0.3964104201580671], ["2023-05-27", 0.42340865492932855], ["2023-05-27", 0.8600000000000001], ["2023-05-27", 0.9036524316563003], ["2023-05-27", 0.9102850127879653], ["2023-05-27", 0.9328667850921758], ["2023-05-27", 0.947192158048573], ["2023-05-27", 0.970413388263357], ["2023-05-27", 0.9739534852751162], ["2023-05-27", 0.9792881044375495], ["2023-05-27", 0.9807450964553256], ["2023-05-27", 0.9832412309049071], ["2023-05-28", 0.9797914089456011], ["2023-05-28", 0.9834321204942577], ["2023-05-28", 0.9843225873460336]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-primoz-roglic-win-the-giro-dit | https://www.giroditalia.it/en/ | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-28 | Will Primož Roglič win the Giro d'Italia 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-16 | 2023-03-27 | ["https://www.giroditalia.it/en/"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.45], ["2023-03-27", 0.45], ["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-05-02", 0.45], ["2023-05-02", 0.4714991490371741], ["2023-05-02", 0.4714991490371741], ["2023-05-02", 0.4714991490371741], ["2023-05-03", 0.44928461067952913], ["2023-05-03", 0.5217716670923604], ["2023-05-06", 0.5857078583625345], ["2023-05-06", 0.5857078583625345], ["2023-05-06", 0.5857078583625345], ["2023-05-07", 0.4405663301887815], ["2023-05-07", 0.4467082701949545], ["2023-05-08", 0.5388689254369045], ["2023-05-08", 0.5543447715072186], ["2023-05-08", 0.5543447715072186], ["2023-05-08", 0.5543447715072186], ["2023-05-08", 0.5594164656358479], ["2023-05-09", 0.5930091066835886], ["2023-05-10", 0.4147923271652434], ["2023-05-10", 0.4308601057223478], ["2023-05-10", 0.4834021774441095], ["2023-05-10", 0.5221733278151895], ["2023-05-10", 0.5414967541789533], ["2023-05-11", 0.4427644116382571], ["2023-05-12", 0.48089751428979227], ["2023-05-12", 0.4809257765002158], ["2023-05-12", 0.5], ["2023-05-12", 0.5194644675214198], ["2023-05-13", 0.42384699099994505], ["2023-05-13", 0.4319068847250523], ["2023-05-13", 0.4487325785653667], ["2023-05-13", 0.4662888387427286], ["2023-05-14", 0.01841129501292074], ["2023-05-14", 0.01995164677605352], ["2023-05-14", 0.06854154578469214], ["2023-05-14", 0.09836634920611285], ["2023-05-14", 0.10567587826183346], ["2023-05-14", 0.12000000000000004], ["2023-05-14", 0.12000000000000004], ["2023-05-14", 0.12000000000000004], ["2023-05-14", 0.12636241748220567], ["2023-05-14", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-05-14", 0.15000000000000005], ["2023-05-14", 0.20000000000000004], ["2023-05-14", 0.35073581886705346], ["2023-05-14", 0.380326628789311], ["2023-05-14", 0.4099999999999999], ["2023-05-14", 0.4099999999999999], ["2023-05-14", 0.4099999999999999], ["2023-05-14", 0.4622877312813189], ["2023-05-14", 0.4622877312813189], ["2023-05-14", 0.4622877312813189], ["2023-05-14", 0.47420630921434376], ["2023-05-14", 0.47420630921434376], ["2023-05-14", 0.47420630921434376], ["2023-05-14", 0.5122226425823592], ["2023-05-14", 0.5122226425823592], ["2023-05-14", 0.5122226425823592], ["2023-05-14", 0.5490237359172058], ["2023-05-15", 0.012554235483110354], ["2023-05-15", 0.013813375610883843], ["2023-05-15", 0.015095302333703226], ["2023-05-15", 0.01828534340866151], ["2023-05-15", 0.01841485151577095], ["2023-05-15", 0.01841485151577095], ["2023-05-15", 0.01841485151577095], ["2023-05-15", 0.01968074399025794], ["2023-05-15", 0.02051085257285171], ["2023-05-16", 0.0012897436435025799], ["2023-05-16", 0.006680978453120068]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-remco-evenepoel-win-the-giro-d | https://www.giroditalia.it/en/ | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-16 | Will Remco Evenepoel win the Giro d'Italia 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-02 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.6621621621621621], ["2023-03-27", 0.6923076923076921], ["2023-03-27", 0.6923076923076922], ["2023-03-27", 0.6923076923076922], ["2023-03-28", 0.6923076923076918], ["2023-03-28", 0.6923076923076918], ["2023-03-29", 0.64], ["2023-03-29", 0.64], ["2023-03-29", 0.64], ["2023-03-29", 0.7], ["2023-03-31", 0.6399999999999999], ["2023-03-31", 0.6399999999999999], ["2023-03-31", 0.64], ["2023-03-31", 0.64], ["2023-03-31", 0.65], ["2023-04-01", 0.6], ["2023-04-01", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.6200000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.64], ["2023-04-01", 0.64], ["2023-04-01", 0.65], ["2023-04-01", 0.65], ["2023-04-01", 0.65], ["2023-04-01", 0.6600834851110845], ["2023-04-01", 0.6622403056806606], ["2023-04-01", 0.6711431778589744], ["2023-04-01", 0.6711431778589744], ["2023-04-01", 0.6711431778589745], ["2023-04-01", 0.6800000000000003], ["2023-04-01", 0.695955668620383], ["2023-04-01", 0.6999999999999998], ["2023-04-02", 0.64], ["2023-04-02", 0.64], ["2023-04-02", 0.642140773964538], ["2023-04-02", 0.6499999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.674610445964126], ["2023-04-02", 0.6831066827925296], ["2023-04-02", 0.7026771189777132], ["2023-04-02", 0.7026771189777132], ["2023-04-02", 0.7026771189777132], ["2023-04-02", 0.7071780213719757], ["2023-04-02", 0.7154615215960706], ["2023-04-02", 0.7154615215960706], ["2023-04-02", 0.7154615215960706], ["2023-04-02", 0.7386949904670933], ["2023-04-02", 0.7601373702689661], ["2023-04-02", 0.7685472879051949], ["2023-04-02", 0.7773579335144052], ["2023-04-02", 0.8011105375982921], ["2023-04-02", 0.8145262700314618], ["2023-04-02", 0.844747877846842], ["2023-04-02", 0.8494221439561566], ["2023-04-02", 0.853879228069196], ["2023-04-02", 0.8581323772219971], ["2023-04-02", 0.9001409677640517], ["2023-04-02", 0.9564413238601379], ["2023-04-02", 0.9564413238601379], ["2023-04-02", 0.9564413238601379], ["2023-04-02", 0.9756353211897534], ["2023-04-02", 0.9881481384808125], ["2023-04-02", 0.9918192902461962], ["2023-04-02", 0.9934773838387742], ["2023-04-02", 0.997417041508507], ["2023-04-02", 0.998719403269646]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-uconn-defeat-miami-at-march-ma | Resolves YES if the University of Connecticut Huskies defeat the University of Miami Hurricanes and classify to the final of the March Madness (men) tournament | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-02 | Will UConn defeat Miami at March Madness 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-16 | 2023-03-27 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Israeli_judicial_reform_protests"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.52539517164024], ["2023-03-27", 0.5259765229995359], ["2023-03-27", 0.5450526031710234], ["2023-03-27", 0.5475113122171945], ["2023-03-27", 0.5650817625573389], ["2023-03-27", 0.5794374333377009], ["2023-03-27", 0.5894990210021699], ["2023-03-27", 0.6004792204096793], ["2023-03-27", 0.61], ["2023-03-27", 0.6117782462001482], ["2023-03-27", 0.6189217673087575], ["2023-03-27", 0.6338666430076171], ["2023-03-27", 0.6518952544639254], ["2023-03-27", 0.6654177106085384], ["2023-03-28", 0.5425749926671931], ["2023-03-28", 0.5618541429945237], ["2023-03-28", 0.5782531200011369], ["2023-03-29", 0.5097843327986312], ["2023-03-29", 0.5384216075319158], ["2023-03-29", 0.559045120181777], ["2023-03-29", 0.59076521883315], ["2023-03-29", 0.59076521883315], ["2023-03-29", 0.59076521883315], ["2023-03-29", 0.59076521883315], ["2023-03-29", 0.5907652188331505], ["2023-03-30", 0.5232090555179972], ["2023-03-31", 0.2928321914012268], ["2023-03-31", 0.3113531687782879], ["2023-03-31", 0.33], ["2023-03-31", 0.3800205536093259], ["2023-03-31", 0.4], ["2023-03-31", 0.4707032832343219], ["2023-03-31", 0.4900000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.2835518063058084], ["2023-04-01", 0.28418950661570125], ["2023-04-02", 0.1856241631908787], ["2023-04-02", 0.19999999999999996], ["2023-04-02", 0.22793390186122378], ["2023-04-12", 0.19959329217401603], ["2023-04-16", 0.02695844656543009], ["2023-04-16", 0.03355921591181789], ["2023-04-16", 0.036383531082075565], ["2023-04-16", 0.0500407781450987], ["2023-04-16", 0.15310186031517267], ["2023-04-16", 0.18303322802367497], ["2023-04-16", 0.18788359448564157]] | https://manifold.markets/xyz/will-at-least-2-people-die-in-israe | Currently 0 have died. Their death must be directly caused by the protesting itself. Here are examples: Would count: Would not count: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Israeli_judicial_reform_protests | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-16 | Will at least 2 people die in Israel’s judicial reform protests? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-08 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5489515083313815], ["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-27", 0.6059268600252206], ["2023-03-31", 0.5100000000000001], ["2023-04-03", 0.5364636046332399], ["2023-04-04", 0.4800087468202884], ["2023-04-04", 0.5011096581406056], ["2023-04-04", 0.5056611440498955], ["2023-04-04", 0.5283621012648653], ["2023-04-05", 0.7993210395925638], ["2023-04-06", 0.8130567182198939], ["2023-04-06", 0.847141336671928], ["2023-04-06", 0.849230284369684], ["2023-04-06", 0.849230284369684], ["2023-04-06", 0.849230284369684], ["2023-04-06", 0.86], ["2023-04-08", 0.7929670592719583], ["2023-04-08", 0.8099999999999999], ["2023-04-08", 0.811518740526162], ["2023-04-08", 0.84], ["2023-04-08", 0.84], ["2023-04-08", 0.84], ["2023-04-08", 0.8473836794461447], ["2023-04-08", 0.8473836794461451], ["2023-04-08", 0.8493320641045243], ["2023-04-08", 0.890252688987914], ["2023-04-08", 0.9], ["2023-04-08", 0.9786398185280466], ["2023-04-08", 0.9896838945894488], ["2023-04-08", 0.9936287205982478], ["2023-04-08", 0.9990512905602468]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-jonas-vingegaard-win-itzulia-b | Itzulia Basque Country (Tour of the Basque Country) is a one week race held in the Basque Country, Spain: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-08 | Will Jonas Vingegaard win Itzulia Basque Country 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-25 | 2023-03-27 | ["https://www.githubstatus.com/history"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.3378378378378379], ["2023-03-27", 0.43135040254441237], ["2023-03-27", 0.5087816801868408], ["2023-03-27", 0.5171564176312545], ["2023-03-27", 0.54], ["2023-03-27", 0.56], ["2023-03-27", 0.5781287186595708], ["2023-03-27", 0.5942513267434456], ["2023-03-27", 0.6335457374246681], ["2023-03-27", 0.6500668701916297], ["2023-03-27", 0.6810198836335181], ["2023-03-27", 0.6884374417887663], ["2023-03-27", 0.6902370957394918], ["2023-03-27", 0.7461139896373057], ["2023-03-28", 0.44204470194945344], ["2023-03-28", 0.47], ["2023-03-28", 0.47], ["2023-03-28", 0.47], ["2023-03-28", 0.5144159355692786], ["2023-03-28", 0.5359229768085314], ["2023-03-29", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-03-29", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-03-29", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-03-29", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.11313867501363593], ["2023-04-03", 0.1403440757329235], ["2023-04-03", 0.1775160899855869], ["2023-04-03", 0.2271115016423282], ["2023-04-03", 0.2998615539088455], ["2023-04-03", 0.3140703547834126], ["2023-04-03", 0.40146296907707557], ["2023-04-03", 0.4401045653445903], ["2023-04-04", 0.09826797006223341], ["2023-04-04", 0.10476803521266126], ["2023-04-04", 0.10637208785312086], ["2023-04-04", 0.1111158548958854], ["2023-04-04", 0.1312329354661996], ["2023-04-04", 0.14347022151188085], ["2023-04-04", 0.31185166519323776], ["2023-04-05", 0.29739424367898737], ["2023-04-06", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-04-06", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-04-06", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-04-06", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-04-06", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-04-07", 0.272198999586464], ["2023-04-08", 0.11606185460340789], ["2023-04-08", 0.14429798053742943], ["2023-04-08", 0.18298194377435087], ["2023-04-08", 0.23711684666692637], ["2023-04-08", 0.26467284038817435], ["2023-04-10", 0.05672830569079777], ["2023-04-10", 0.06653569368751826], ["2023-04-10", 0.07237219890430967], ["2023-04-12", 0.05910914952171569], ["2023-04-12", 0.0911513448540158], ["2023-04-13", 0.06186187889038272], ["2023-04-19", 0.06186187889038272], ["2023-04-19", 0.07], ["2023-04-19", 0.07], ["2023-04-19", 0.07], ["2023-04-19", 0.09], ["2023-04-19", 0.09], ["2023-04-19", 0.09], ["2023-04-19", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-19", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-19", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-19", 0.12], ["2023-04-19", 0.12], ["2023-04-19", 0.12], ["2023-04-19", 0.12], ["2023-04-21", 0.11385642717241734], ["2023-04-21", 0.12], ["2023-04-21", 0.12], ["2023-04-21", 0.12], ["2023-04-22", 0.09823386589356042], ["2023-04-22", 0.0997193720431579], ["2023-04-23", 0.06009817606129728], ["2023-04-23", 0.08360748534062311], ["2023-04-23", 0.09553138981610146], ["2023-04-23", 0.09686797232099771], ["2023-04-24", 0.05454004092986888], ["2023-04-24", 0.06723010578488857], ["2023-04-24", 0.07854598686738856], ["2023-04-25", 0.40110116405307616], ["2023-04-25", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-04-25", 0.4699999999999998], ["2023-04-25", 0.9540282445451242], ["2023-04-25", 0.9548383049978385], ["2023-04-25", 0.9556762425259044], ["2023-04-25", 0.9564474981869223]] | https://manifold.markets/sacredSatan/will-any-of-the-githubs-services-ha | GitHub's services keep getting into incidents pretty regularly, but an outage that lasts for 6 hours is rare but not unheard of. Past incidents: https://www.githubstatus.com/history The market resolves YES if any of the incidents after the creation of the market last for more than 6 hours. The incident timeline is the timestamp displayed below the incident item, otherwise resolves NO. | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-25 | Will any of the GitHub's services have an incident that lasts at least 6 hours before 1st May, 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-08 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-03-31", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-03-31", 0.09189420773705126], ["2023-04-03", 0.08981487750759665], ["2023-04-04", 0.03715943235459032], ["2023-04-05", 0.019999999999999987], ["2023-04-05", 0.04859113363399286], ["2023-04-05", 0.04859113363399286], ["2023-04-05", 0.04859113363399286], ["2023-04-05", 0.16565008747853624], ["2023-04-05", 0.16565008747853624], ["2023-04-05", 0.16565008747853624], ["2023-04-06", 0.15114031683859655], ["2023-04-08", 0.0006525335579484349], ["2023-04-08", 0.00865877239788871], ["2023-04-08", 0.012789524692354587], ["2023-04-08", 0.014074820107129474], ["2023-04-08", 0.08999999999999997], ["2023-04-08", 0.10422042262462439], ["2023-04-08", 0.1846217308493604], ["2023-04-08", 0.20100852960051152], ["2023-04-08", 0.21999999999999992], ["2023-04-08", 0.23522449657160546]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-a-rider-from-spain-win-itzulia | Itzulia Basque Country (Tour of the Basque Country) is a one week race held in the Basque Country, Spain: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-08 | Will a rider from Spain win Itzulia Basque Country 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-08 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.14792899408284022], ["2023-03-27", 0.3630721864929887], ["2023-03-27", 0.4000999833361106], ["2023-03-27", 0.4000999833361106], ["2023-03-27", 0.4000999833361106], ["2023-03-27", 0.4027505380043522], ["2023-03-27", 0.4845588196340098], ["2023-03-31", 0.44], ["2023-04-03", 0.42061595306334865], ["2023-04-04", 0.384837537714191], ["2023-04-04", 0.4000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.4439778910509074], ["2023-04-04", 0.4439778910509074], ["2023-04-04", 0.4439778910509074], ["2023-04-04", 0.47], ["2023-04-04", 0.47], ["2023-04-04", 0.47], ["2023-04-04", 0.48541831232537547], ["2023-04-04", 0.4902229379701111], ["2023-04-05", 0.0410066020822442], ["2023-04-05", 0.14950072833609712], ["2023-04-05", 0.14950072833609712], ["2023-04-05", 0.14950072833609712], ["2023-04-05", 0.4804929663706055], ["2023-04-06", 0.019741579317184586], ["2023-04-06", 0.029702791353788033], ["2023-04-06", 0.037875571806836046], ["2023-04-06", 0.03887750750629609], ["2023-04-06", 0.039920427465568065], ["2023-04-08", 0.0003742169656926629], ["2023-04-08", 0.005503896938055733]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-david-gaudu-win-itzulia-basque | Itzulia Basque Country (Tour of the Basque Country) is a one week race held in the Basque Country, Spain: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-08 | Will David Gaudu win Itzulia Basque Country 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-23 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-03-27", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-03-27", 0.5583472248243555], ["2023-03-28", 0.44677054383934117], ["2023-04-02", 0.5573329690775866], ["2023-04-19", 0.6035967236075572], ["2023-04-20", 0.5110426999151966], ["2023-04-20", 0.53], ["2023-04-20", 0.5957769532266762], ["2023-04-23", 0.0007379622088898789], ["2023-04-23", 0.004942524446862181], ["2023-04-23", 0.045829752211593376]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-tadej-pogacar-win-liegebastogn | Liège-Bastogne-Liège is a one-day professional cycling race (a classic) held in Belgium and considered one of the five prestigious Monuments of the cycling calendar: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-23 | Will Tadej Pogačar win Liège-Bastogne-Liège 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-23 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.33783783783783805], ["2023-03-27", 0.37174721189591103], ["2023-03-27", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-04-23", 0.6541794902131232], ["2023-04-23", 0.9941758994684381], ["2023-04-23", 0.9941758994684381], ["2023-04-23", 0.9941758994684381], ["2023-04-23", 0.9998074976029406]] | https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-remco-evenepoel-win-liegebasto | Liège-Bastogne-Liège is a one-day professional cycling race (a classic) held in Belgium and considered one of the five prestigious Monuments of the cycling calendar: | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-23 | Will Remco Evenepoel win Liège-Bastogne-Liège 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-31 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-03-27", 0.4881153226810428], ["2023-03-31", 0.66], ["2023-03-31", 0.703680919544452], ["2023-03-31", 0.95], ["2023-03-31", 0.978648706315853]] | https://manifold.markets/VtuberNumbers/will-houshou-marine-get-the-highest-e80673ffc9c8 | Another new outfit reveal. Vstats ( | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-31 | Will Houshou Marine get the highest peak concurrent viewers of any vtuber livestream on YouTube on 31st March, 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-27 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.509900019603999], ["2023-03-27", 0.5541196886029836], ["2023-03-27", 0.5938526700183487], ["2023-03-27", 0.5938526700183488], ["2023-03-27", 0.593852670018349], ["2023-03-27", 0.62], ["2023-03-27", 0.6321956655002298], ["2023-03-27", 0.6899999999999998], ["2023-03-27", 0.6977016184515257], ["2023-03-27", 0.786490337175838], ["2023-03-27", 0.8334163441967737], ["2023-03-27", 0.8490157030810095], ["2023-03-27", 0.8896916589127696], ["2023-03-27", 0.9], ["2023-03-27", 0.9], ["2023-03-27", 0.9], ["2023-03-27", 0.9043713278062886], ["2023-03-27", 0.9084485992573555], ["2023-03-27", 0.9242411350871961], ["2023-03-27", 0.98], ["2023-03-27", 0.98], ["2023-03-27", 0.98], ["2023-03-27", 0.9830320679530501], ["2023-03-27", 0.9832941671894969], ["2023-03-27", 0.9855926866207421], ["2023-03-27", 0.9855926866207421], ["2023-03-27", 0.9855926866207421], ["2023-03-27", 0.9858916283250125], ["2023-03-27", 0.9916615389266047], ["2023-03-27", 0.9919947929413322], ["2023-03-27", 0.9993180757653987], ["2023-03-27", 0.9993239265054191]] | https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-this-market-have-a-bot-account-b26c0db7339b | A proof-of-concept that allows a silly picking-pennies-up-off-the-ground attack on some automated traders as they apparently currently exist. Getting 8 participants implies that I'm picking up pennies off the ground for every run of this market (+$M10 from the system bonus) and you're picking up pennies off the ground that an easily-taunted trading bot drops on the floor. You're effectively betting against the bots' programming getting more sophisticated before close (assuming someone bothers to try to attack the bots somehow). Acc is back. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-27 | Will this market have a bot account bet on it before close && will this market have at least 8 users submit a trade? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-27 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.06680442440590678], ["2023-03-27", 0.24], ["2023-03-27", 0.2599999999999999], ["2023-03-27", 0.2599999999999999], ["2023-03-27", 0.2599999999999999], ["2023-03-27", 0.2778438249682489], ["2023-03-27", 0.42160509071796576], ["2023-03-27", 0.4872759949464083], ["2023-03-27", 0.4956106337030579], ["2023-03-27", 0.5526709087835486], ["2023-03-27", 0.5534584454405194], ["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-27", 0.6232284426277636], ["2023-03-27", 0.6262499946665144], ["2023-03-27", 0.6325538824558], ["2023-03-27", 0.6466818713256343], ["2023-03-27", 0.6531697680609038], ["2023-03-27", 0.68], ["2023-03-27", 0.68], ["2023-03-27", 0.68], ["2023-03-27", 0.7035634272307515], ["2023-03-27", 0.7081683677192578], ["2023-03-27", 0.7198919770715687], ["2023-03-27", 0.7311719592738567], ["2023-03-27", 0.7447681900130219], ["2023-03-27", 0.77], ["2023-03-27", 0.77], ["2023-03-27", 0.77], ["2023-03-27", 0.7764099664069835], ["2023-03-27", 0.7764099664069835], ["2023-03-27", 0.7764099664069835], ["2023-03-27", 0.7833092780618915], ["2023-03-27", 0.7884348703599015], ["2023-03-27", 0.8534104141189364], ["2023-03-27", 0.92], ["2023-03-27", 0.92], ["2023-03-27", 0.92], ["2023-03-27", 0.9274571593462521], ["2023-03-27", 0.9423599529300739], ["2023-03-27", 0.9577538125160472]] | https://manifold.markets/MatthewSlotkin/will-the-sp-close-higher-on-march-2-6676c7762e29 | closes at 3pm. resolves at 4pm | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-27 | Will the S&P close higher on March 27th than it closed on March 24th? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-29 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-03-29", 0.3569706065969922], ["2023-03-29", 0.9750988163386356], ["2023-03-29", 0.9886538882232273], ["2023-03-29", 0.9888865268761711], ["2023-03-29", 0.9893294256188879]] | https://manifold.markets/VtuberNumbers/will-nakiri-ayame-get-the-highest-p | Another new outfit reveal. Vstats ( | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-29 | Will Nakiri Ayame get the highest peak concurrent viewers of any vtuber livestream on YouTube on 29th March, 2023? | manifold | 1 |
2023-03-31 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-27", 0.6048734954470941], ["2023-03-27", 0.654823965617325], ["2023-03-27", 0.658524932262565], ["2023-03-27", 0.6871186570454395], ["2023-03-27", 0.709567915565243], ["2023-03-27", 0.73], ["2023-03-27", 0.7369606888449073], ["2023-03-27", 0.7389062077461608], ["2023-03-27", 0.74], ["2023-03-27", 0.74], ["2023-03-27", 0.74], ["2023-03-27", 0.7543245687222248], ["2023-03-27", 0.7554773848631625], ["2023-03-28", 0.4920430507728207], ["2023-03-28", 0.5262703345314349], ["2023-03-28", 0.54], ["2023-03-29", 0.4674766698766895], ["2023-03-29", 0.49999999999999994], ["2023-03-29", 0.5738075966959973], ["2023-03-29", 0.6082113986380815], ["2023-03-29", 0.618675183347718], ["2023-03-29", 0.618675183347718], ["2023-03-29", 0.618675183347718], ["2023-03-29", 0.618675183347718], ["2023-03-29", 0.618675183347718], ["2023-03-29", 0.6400000000000001], ["2023-03-29", 0.6400000000000001], ["2023-03-29", 0.6400000000000001], ["2023-03-29", 0.6786875238035687], ["2023-03-30", 0.6790165746416204], ["2023-03-30", 0.6891749734545037], ["2023-03-30", 0.717005518269657], ["2023-03-30", 0.729903169158506], ["2023-03-30", 0.7757633999880282], ["2023-03-30", 0.7813104740606759], ["2023-03-30", 0.7910141336920132], ["2023-03-30", 0.8263900880345999], ["2023-03-30", 0.8299405862604838], ["2023-03-30", 0.84], ["2023-03-30", 0.84], ["2023-03-30", 0.84], ["2023-03-30", 0.8435077439344076], ["2023-03-30", 0.8593772224196999], ["2023-03-30", 0.8613965594585656], ["2023-03-31", 0.7863356510589345], ["2023-03-31", 0.7872927229719308], ["2023-03-31", 0.8116056230778391], ["2023-03-31", 0.8135607191953872], ["2023-03-31", 0.8280664313988026], ["2023-03-31", 0.8423292850047182], ["2023-03-31", 0.8449510827865077], ["2023-03-31", 0.8730839240446654], ["2023-03-31", 0.89], ["2023-03-31", 0.8987608195765588], ["2023-03-31", 0.9011187533126143], ["2023-03-31", 0.9021172321838076]] | https://manifold.markets/MatthewSlotkin/will-the-sp-close-higher-on-march-3 | Closes at 3pm on March 31st. Resolves at 4pm. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-31 | Will the S&P close higher on March 31st (Friday) than it closed on March 24th? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.3443227028338817], ["2023-03-27", 0.3945716361332801], ["2023-03-27", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-04-02", 0.3542919942079224], ["2023-04-03", 0.0007603735965029335], ["2023-04-03", 0.012595025412636095], ["2023-04-03", 0.013907650019120959]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-creed-3s-5th-weekend-domestic | Not applicable/available for this question. | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will Creed 3's 5th weekend domestic box office reach $7 million or more? | manifold | 0 |
2023-03-27 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.5475113122171945], ["2023-03-27", 0.5911394221449503], ["2023-03-27", 0.6282527881040891], ["2023-03-27", 0.6552836531250628], ["2023-03-27", 0.6552836531250629], ["2023-03-27", 0.6894944903186754], ["2023-03-27", 0.7329125026320891], ["2023-03-27", 0.75], ["2023-03-27", 0.8491159520865068], ["2023-03-27", 0.8741150879323372], ["2023-03-27", 0.9047268266255465], ["2023-03-27", 0.9109867110893918], ["2023-03-27", 0.9429370568679548], ["2023-03-27", 0.9461187016038124], ["2023-03-27", 0.9461187016038124], ["2023-03-27", 0.9716479022949985], ["2023-03-27", 0.9767622815750553], ["2023-03-27", 0.9855327356164065], ["2023-03-27", 0.9873369235038825]] | https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-this-market-have-a-bot-account-764bd53b0fda | A proof-of-concept that allows a silly picking-pennies-up-off-the-ground attack on some automated traders as they apparently currently exist. Getting 7 participants implies that I'm picking up pennies off the ground for every run of this market (+$M10 from the system bonus) and you're picking up pennies off the ground that an easily-taunted trading bot drops on the floor. You're effectively betting against the bots' programming getting more sophisticated before close (assuming someone bothers to try to attack the bots somehow). Acc is back. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-27 | Will this market have a bot account bet on it before close && will this market have at least 7 users submit a trade? | manifold | 1 |
2023-05-01 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-27", 0.050000000000000024], ["2023-03-27", 0.05051473825916169], ["2023-03-27", 0.0517044095678075], ["2023-03-27", 0.05207013620010573], ["2023-03-28", 0.049203042180431054], ["2023-03-29", 0.050219092937143946], ["2023-03-29", 0.05473189706012551], ["2023-03-29", 0.07468584506052392], ["2023-03-29", 0.07582841896149108], ["2023-03-29", 0.08945588393042754], ["2023-04-04", 0.04123430876590876], ["2023-04-04", 0.04269454853100262], ["2023-04-04", 0.04425935048813297], ["2023-04-04", 0.04594025561993633], ["2023-04-04", 0.04775055931175757], ["2023-04-04", 0.04970565673420429], ["2023-04-05", 0.050000000000000024], ["2023-04-05", 0.050433965872770686], ["2023-04-05", 0.05185999365364771], ["2023-04-05", 0.053370199632166965], ["2023-04-05", 0.054031784064194496], ["2023-04-05", 0.05519001949490264], ["2023-04-05", 0.05712849244937556], ["2023-04-05", 0.0573711857786206], ["2023-04-05", 0.05839659207229794], ["2023-04-05", 0.059456539287976555], ["2023-04-05", 0.05972712264777029], ["2023-04-05", 0.05999999999999998], ["2023-04-05", 0.06287154306774571], ["2023-04-05", 0.06599785999479106], ["2023-04-05", 0.06909543863086742], ["2023-04-05", 0.06942528808066102], ["2023-04-05", 0.06999999999999992], ["2023-04-05", 0.09], ["2023-04-05", 0.11322046854761478], ["2023-04-05", 0.136157970183043], ["2023-04-05", 0.14000000000000004], ["2023-04-05", 0.18309254296536537], ["2023-04-05", 0.23651747395056355], ["2023-04-05", 0.24000000000000013], ["2023-04-05", 0.24000000000000013], ["2023-04-05", 0.24000000000000013], ["2023-04-05", 0.4420924581230266], ["2023-04-05", 0.74], ["2023-04-05", 0.8210954026142245], ["2023-04-06", 0.05919253188773002], ["2023-04-06", 0.05943117816928174], ["2023-04-06", 0.05967162514854132], ["2023-04-06", 0.05991389275034213], ["2023-04-06", 0.06378086759233709], ["2023-04-06", 0.07916205079422445], ["2023-04-06", 0.07999999999999995], ["2023-04-06", 0.07999999999999995], ["2023-04-06", 0.07999999999999995], ["2023-04-06", 0.1003324545940231], ["2023-04-07", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-07", 0.051653339077738496], ["2023-04-07", 0.05646235351475599], ["2023-04-07", 0.058720563141507025], ["2023-04-09", 0.05834390621849121], ["2023-04-11", 0.053048855178604505], ["2023-04-11", 0.055055133470504114], ["2023-04-11", 0.055263561086332624], ["2023-04-11", 0.05589776707711595], ["2023-04-11", 0.057884437138400635], ["2023-04-11", 0.058113324712192556], ["2023-04-12", 0.04948442158928387], ["2023-04-12", 0.05000000000000008], ["2023-04-12", 0.052855717551324864], ["2023-04-13", 0.06393584899147388], ["2023-04-13", 0.07999999999999996], ["2023-04-13", 0.3025225130935115], ["2023-04-13", 0.3025225130935115], ["2023-04-14", 0.040000000000000015], ["2023-04-14", 0.04999999999999999], ["2023-04-14", 0.04999999999999999], ["2023-04-14", 0.04999999999999999], ["2023-04-14", 0.04999999999999999], ["2023-04-14", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-14", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-14", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-14", 0.058364504279373126], ["2023-04-14", 0.06143084823631601], ["2023-04-14", 0.06558364727895837], ["2023-04-14", 0.07], ["2023-04-14", 0.07], ["2023-04-14", 0.07], ["2023-04-14", 0.0763933344019208], ["2023-04-15", 0.04000000000000005], ["2023-04-18", 0.05000000000000007], ["2023-04-18", 0.06092853909480542], ["2023-04-19", 0.050600313318247075], ["2023-04-21", 0.0448860193854129], ["2023-04-21", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-21", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-21", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-21", 0.07965292457970533], ["2023-04-22", 0.05000000000000003], ["2023-04-22", 0.05159840998667259], ["2023-04-23", 0.05], ["2023-04-23", 0.05740786217640464], ["2023-04-24", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-24", 0.05084087924459748], ["2023-04-24", 0.05740786217640467], ["2023-04-24", 0.05899716881015216], ["2023-04-24", 0.07], ["2023-04-24", 0.07], ["2023-04-24", 0.07], ["2023-04-24", 0.08448782192635775], ["2023-04-27", 0.04000000000000004], ["2023-04-27", 0.04000000000000004], ["2023-04-27", 0.044568794288126344], ["2023-04-28", 0.03850964200217107], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.054030697324518685], ["2023-04-29", 0.03091793341372363], ["2023-04-29", 0.05000000000000003], ["2023-04-29", 0.05335843783203598], ["2023-04-30", 0.012259350274526496], ["2023-04-30", 0.0299771657491964], ["2023-04-30", 0.036312193373049396], ["2023-05-01", 0.009331845663066465], ["2023-05-01", 0.009625054503204741], ["2023-05-01", 0.01025772104559866], ["2023-05-01", 0.010925323665142208], ["2023-05-01", 0.011631557107520788], ["2023-05-01", 0.012374937794829071], ["2023-05-01", 0.01316056852339667]] | https://manifold.markets/prognostic8r/will-the-sacramento-kings-make-the-55648f7817aa | This market will resolve 'YES' if the Sacramento Kings win their conference and play in the NBA Finals in the 2022-2023 season. Starting odds are taken from Market created with | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-02 | Will the Sacramento Kings make the finals in the 2022-2023 NBA season? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-13 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-03", 0.02000000000000018], ["2023-04-04", 0.012863513183498314], ["2023-04-04", 0.020000000000000025], ["2023-04-04", 0.020000000000000025], ["2023-04-04", 0.020000000000000025], ["2023-04-04", 0.037800560172419395], ["2023-04-12", 0.011256936397601225], ["2023-04-12", 0.011256936397601225], ["2023-04-12", 0.011256936397601225], ["2023-04-12", 0.01286351318349844], ["2023-04-12", 0.012868287355937372], ["2023-04-12", 0.012868287355937372], ["2023-04-12", 0.012868287355937372], ["2023-04-12", 0.015013323584958457], ["2023-04-12", 0.015013323584958457], ["2023-04-12", 0.015013323584958457], ["2023-04-12", 0.020000000000000025], ["2023-04-13", 0.03000000000000024], ["2023-04-13", 0.04000000000000107], ["2023-04-13", 0.04000000000000107], ["2023-04-16", 0.030601100253022453], ["2023-04-18", 0.03000000000000004], ["2023-04-18", 0.03000000000000004], ["2023-04-18", 0.03000000000000004], ["2023-04-18", 0.03999999999999988], ["2023-04-19", 0.031714405460789984], ["2023-04-27", 0.040000000000000244], ["2023-05-13", 0.0005312606829588812], ["2023-05-13", 0.005929585806612906], ["2023-05-13", 0.005929585806612906], ["2023-05-13", 0.005929585806612906], ["2023-05-13", 0.006393520604835843], ["2023-05-13", 0.006568928273165524], ["2023-05-13", 0.007973143505312842], ["2023-05-13", 0.00826910511963706], ["2023-05-13", 0.009137964418345851], ["2023-05-13", 0.009137964418345851], ["2023-05-13", 0.009137964418345851], ["2023-05-13", 0.012204500752140558], ["2023-05-13", 0.012242394910065478], ["2023-05-13", 0.012242394910065478], ["2023-05-13", 0.012242394910065478], ["2023-05-13", 0.029190316387955193], ["2023-05-13", 0.030000000000000016], ["2023-05-13", 0.03378035939558264]] | https://manifold.markets/prognostic8r/will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-fi | This market will resolve 'YES' if the New York Knicks win the NBA Finals in the 2022-2023 season. Starting odds are taken from Market created with | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-14 | Will the New York Knicks win the finals in the 2022-2023 NBA season? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-03-27 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-01", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-01", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-01", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-01", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-01", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-01", 0.02000000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-01", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-01", 0.02000000000000007], ["2023-04-01", 0.02057906359330668], ["2023-04-01", 0.02057906359330668], ["2023-04-01", 0.02057906359330668], ["2023-04-01", 0.021425216784207595], ["2023-04-01", 0.021425216784207595], ["2023-04-01", 0.021425216784207595], ["2023-04-01", 0.02225029381672068], ["2023-04-01", 0.022411186673400082], ["2023-04-01", 0.022411186673400082], ["2023-04-01", 0.022411186673400082], ["2023-04-01", 0.022427868437534637], ["2023-04-01", 0.02309914828276443], ["2023-04-01", 0.02315618700633116], ["2023-04-01", 0.02315618700633116], ["2023-04-01", 0.02315618700633116], ["2023-04-01", 0.023368764986859178], ["2023-04-01", 0.023368764986859178], ["2023-04-01", 0.023368764986859178], ["2023-04-01", 0.023785097444279174], ["2023-04-01", 0.023785097444279174], ["2023-04-01", 0.02388254242501484], ["2023-04-01", 0.02388254242501484], ["2023-04-01", 0.02388254242501484], ["2023-04-01", 0.023967809231934388], ["2023-04-01", 0.023967809231934388], ["2023-04-01", 0.023967809231934388], ["2023-04-01", 0.024202002392038534], ["2023-04-01", 0.024463149618592382], ["2023-04-01", 0.024463149618592382], ["2023-04-01", 0.024463149618592382], ["2023-04-01", 0.024551091276087914], ["2023-04-01", 0.024551091276087914], ["2023-04-01", 0.024551091276087914], ["2023-04-01", 0.024782166969939328], ["2023-04-01", 0.02488485216814927], ["2023-04-01", 0.02488485216814927], ["2023-04-01", 0.02488485216814927], ["2023-04-01", 0.02535093205555881], ["2023-04-01", 0.02559771564745589], ["2023-04-01", 0.02559771564745589], ["2023-04-01", 0.02559771564745589], ["2023-04-01", 0.02559771564745589], ["2023-04-01", 0.025864166244477935], ["2023-04-01", 0.025864166244477935], ["2023-04-01", 0.025864166244477935], ["2023-04-01", 0.026317141936637874], ["2023-04-01", 0.026317141936637874], ["2023-04-01", 0.026317141936637874], ["2023-04-01", 0.026317141936637874], ["2023-04-01", 0.026435063139230004], ["2023-04-01", 0.026435063139230004], ["2023-04-01", 0.026435063139230004], ["2023-04-01", 0.026885629986279067], ["2023-04-01", 0.026885629986279067], ["2023-04-01", 0.026885629986279067], ["2023-04-01", 0.027639382640950297], ["2023-04-01", 0.02765630593862827], ["2023-04-01", 0.02765630593862827], ["2023-04-01", 0.02765630593862827], ["2023-04-01", 0.02766300907623924], ["2023-04-01", 0.02766300907623924], ["2023-04-01", 0.02766300907623924], ["2023-04-01", 0.02770402976777667], ["2023-04-01", 0.02770402976777667], ["2023-04-01", 0.02770402976777667], ["2023-04-01", 0.02770402976777667], ["2023-04-01", 0.02920358006173273], ["2023-04-01", 0.02920358006173273], ["2023-04-01", 0.02920358006173273], ["2023-04-01", 0.029999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.029999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.029999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.029999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.029999999999999995], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000023], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000023], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000023], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000003], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000003], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000003], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000037], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000037], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000004], ["2023-04-01", 0.030000000000000047], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.03000000000000008], ["2023-04-01", 0.030061339901614192], ["2023-04-01", 0.030142028190302466], ["2023-04-01", 0.030436013775981437], ["2023-04-01", 0.0304928740221098], ["2023-04-01", 0.03062835143972906], ["2023-04-01", 0.03062835143972906], ["2023-04-01", 0.030730077862876452], ["2023-04-01", 0.030730077862876452], ["2023-04-01", 0.030730077862876452], ["2023-04-01", 0.030730077862876452], ["2023-04-01", 0.030730077862876452], ["2023-04-01", 0.031121888340115676], ["2023-04-01", 0.031392368681513474], ["2023-04-01", 0.031416884058425916], ["2023-04-01", 0.031627736607140466], ["2023-04-01", 0.031627736607140466], ["2023-04-01", 0.031627736607140466], ["2023-04-01", 0.031679443690211445], ["2023-04-01", 0.031679443690211445], ["2023-04-01", 0.031679443690211445], ["2023-04-01", 0.03181371989787245], ["2023-04-01", 0.03181371989787245], ["2023-04-01", 0.03181371989787245], ["2023-04-01", 0.031873950453505474], ["2023-04-01", 0.03187645125478966], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191186740517755], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191186740517755], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191186740517755], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191186740517755], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191186740517755], ["2023-04-01", 0.03191685078820455], ["2023-04-01", 0.03285298613493979], ["2023-04-01", 0.032999987592157415], ["2023-04-01", 0.032999987592157415], ["2023-04-01", 0.032999987592157415], ["2023-04-01", 0.03302012922243768], ["2023-04-01", 0.03324971822967746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03324971822967746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03324971822967746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03352299121318651], ["2023-04-01", 0.03364381962736746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03364381962736746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03364381962736746], ["2023-04-01", 0.03381709208038669], ["2023-04-01", 0.03382830103458349], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03393448168104821], ["2023-04-01", 0.03397103500029487], ["2023-04-01", 0.03397103500029487], ["2023-04-01", 0.03397103500029487], ["2023-04-01", 0.03397103500029487], ["2023-04-01", 0.034125888974737104], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.03420181392404544], ["2023-04-01", 0.034265564141961184], ["2023-04-01", 0.034265564141961184], ["2023-04-01", 0.034265564141961184], ["2023-04-01", 0.0343261678424255], ["2023-04-01", 0.034402091524918896], ["2023-04-01", 0.03443162695250789], ["2023-04-01", 0.03456896953309912], ["2023-04-01", 0.03456896953309912], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.034742468728039204], ["2023-04-01", 0.03523597315963871], ["2023-04-01", 0.03523597315963871], ["2023-04-01", 0.03541021141469258], ["2023-04-01", 0.0355228834876954], ["2023-04-01", 0.0355228834876954], ["2023-04-01", 0.0355228834876954], ["2023-04-01", 0.03569410169307268], ["2023-04-01", 0.03576520478748181], ["2023-04-01", 0.03576520478748181], ["2023-04-01", 0.03576520478748181], ["2023-04-01", 0.03576520478748181], ["2023-04-01", 0.035919225960851266], ["2023-04-01", 0.03622301953883533], ["2023-04-01", 0.036494750755251174], ["2023-04-01", 0.036497077209506935], ["2023-04-01", 0.036864705158637635], ["2023-04-01", 0.036864705158637635], ["2023-04-01", 0.036864705158637635], ["2023-04-01", 0.037411558662418194], ["2023-04-01", 0.03751746075895627], ["2023-04-01", 0.037741092213958195], ["2023-04-01", 0.037741092213958195], ["2023-04-01", 0.03777500907057194], ["2023-04-01", 0.03797135025281398], ["2023-04-01", 0.03869548529071143], ["2023-04-01", 0.039060485562298033], ["2023-04-01", 0.039060485562298033], ["2023-04-01", 0.039060485562298033], ["2023-04-01", 0.039060485562298033], ["2023-04-01", 0.039060485562298033], ["2023-04-01", 0.04], ["2023-04-01", 0.04], ["2023-04-01", 0.04], ["2023-04-01", 0.04000000000000002], ["2023-04-01", 0.04000000000000006], ["2023-04-01", 0.04000000000000006], ["2023-04-01", 0.04000000000000006], ["2023-04-01", 0.040000000000000084], ["2023-04-01", 0.040000000000000084], ["2023-04-01", 0.040000000000000084], ["2023-04-01", 0.040000000000000084], ["2023-04-01", 0.040000000000000084], ["2023-04-01", 0.0406551700061855], ["2023-04-01", 0.0406551700061855], ["2023-04-01", 0.0406551700061855], ["2023-04-01", 0.040847730886120655], ["2023-04-01", 0.042016688311897275], ["2023-04-01", 0.042016688311897275], ["2023-04-01", 0.042016688311897275], ["2023-04-01", 0.042223538159299204], ["2023-04-01", 0.04359491070642673], ["2023-04-01", 0.043845420478019564], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04435838630663907], ["2023-04-01", 0.04539527379696689], ["2023-04-01", 0.04578367293141887], ["2023-04-01", 0.04667823532098362], ["2023-04-01", 0.04695005479121981], ["2023-04-01", 0.048413553477600825], ["2023-04-01", 0.048413553477600825], ["2023-04-01", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-01", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-01", 0.051150982094236117], ["2023-04-01", 0.051150982094236117], ["2023-04-01", 0.054837360916093585], ["2023-04-01", 0.056857426125724614], ["2023-04-01", 0.05866611057477945], ["2023-04-01", 0.059963035992459585], ["2023-04-01", 0.05999999999999999], ["2023-04-01", 0.06], ["2023-04-01", 0.06000000000000001], ["2023-04-01", 0.06000000000000002], ["2023-04-01", 0.06561683739331975], ["2023-04-01", 0.0755296479006489], ["2023-04-01", 0.08000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.00011508059812034937], ["2023-04-02", 0.0001214598930598645], ["2023-04-02", 0.00013291237434516931], ["2023-04-02", 0.00021782661999559304], ["2023-04-02", 0.0002574562508436979], ["2023-04-02", 0.0006000472291741952], ["2023-04-02", 0.0008697262318390925], ["2023-04-02", 0.0009856358037225487], ["2023-04-02", 0.00150317314482622], ["2023-04-02", 0.001562890011218282], ["2023-04-02", 0.0016262359944353032], ["2023-04-02", 0.0016385062330994634], ["2023-04-02", 0.0016603463288859233], ["2023-04-02", 0.0016603463288859233], ["2023-04-02", 0.0016603463288859233], ["2023-04-02", 0.0017379955514290047], ["2023-04-02", 0.0017379955514290047], ["2023-04-02", 0.0017379955514290047], ["2023-04-02", 0.0018034974050266418], ["2023-04-02", 0.0018135565563580911], ["2023-04-02", 0.0021750525740331485], ["2023-04-02", 0.0023536601732280045], ["2023-04-02", 0.0023689583387153964], ["2023-04-02", 0.0026175892603069197], ["2023-04-02", 0.0027806419648996016], ["2023-04-02", 0.0027806419648996016], ["2023-04-02", 0.0027806419648996016], ["2023-04-02", 0.002881969582400433], ["2023-04-02", 0.00289086099546079], ["2023-04-02", 0.0029294724424824376], ["2023-04-02", 0.0032282990223958287], ["2023-04-02", 0.0032339232103973997], ["2023-04-02", 0.003447257437658699], ["2023-04-02", 0.0035901109550601235], ["2023-04-02", 0.003915890453215238], ["2023-04-02", 0.004334420393994682], ["2023-04-02", 0.004336492856391579], ["2023-04-02", 0.0051854267740164455], ["2023-04-02", 0.0052772440784929], ["2023-04-02", 0.005493361647695075], ["2023-04-02", 0.005550632727026624], ["2023-04-02", 0.005553541184469584], ["2023-04-02", 0.006048542484214348], ["2023-04-02", 0.0060797836765372265], ["2023-04-02", 0.006115289138191718], ["2023-04-02", 0.006116920342569269], ["2023-04-02", 0.006116920342569269], ["2023-04-02", 0.0064201280575383185], ["2023-04-02", 0.0069218979158198425], ["2023-04-02", 0.007162690621365561], ["2023-04-02", 0.007180798292118046], ["2023-04-02", 0.00721801959855543], ["2023-04-02", 0.0074209462374148286], ["2023-04-02", 0.007428632666433992], ["2023-04-02", 0.0080503703388037], ["2023-04-02", 0.008129134158882986], ["2023-04-02", 0.008289201373491237], ["2023-04-02", 0.008289201373491237], ["2023-04-02", 0.00830138634673404], ["2023-04-02", 0.008324674794336092], ["2023-04-02", 0.008457973249026236], ["2023-04-02", 0.008519213378895689], ["2023-04-02", 0.008686978459180445], ["2023-04-02", 0.008937244182800713], ["2023-04-02", 0.009146597605012909], ["2023-04-02", 0.009327097573342156], ["2023-04-02", 0.009585365273391435], ["2023-04-02", 0.009627897113267909], ["2023-04-02", 0.00982013264836215], ["2023-04-02", 0.00982013264836215], ["2023-04-02", 0.00982013264836215], ["2023-04-02", 0.009876058186325214], ["2023-04-02", 0.0098914026630821], ["2023-04-02", 0.009922485789904924], ["2023-04-02", 0.009932164845998334], ["2023-04-02", 0.009932164845998334], ["2023-04-02", 0.009932164845998334], ["2023-04-02", 0.009937925242281988], ["2023-04-02", 0.009968899071065697], ["2023-04-02", 0.009997360676292163], ["2023-04-02", 0.009999999999999967], ["2023-04-02", 0.009999999999999967], ["2023-04-02", 0.00999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.009999999999999998], ["2023-04-02", 0.009999999999999998], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01], ["2023-04-02", 0.01000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000012], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000012], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000028], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000031], ["2023-04-02", 0.010000000000000038], ["2023-04-02", 0.01013073468607144], ["2023-04-02", 0.010226429785112455], ["2023-04-02", 0.010247459157169472], ["2023-04-02", 0.010279802258316673], ["2023-04-02", 0.010279802258316673], ["2023-04-02", 0.010314846068790968], ["2023-04-02", 0.01032191648783654], ["2023-04-02", 0.010477124852770444], ["2023-04-02", 0.010550654402746803], ["2023-04-02", 0.0106367476025228], ["2023-04-02", 0.010670618447533317], ["2023-04-02", 0.010736707133720847], ["2023-04-02", 0.010953792337771046], ["2023-04-02", 0.010953792337771046], ["2023-04-02", 0.010953792337771046], ["2023-04-02", 0.010988986024283241], ["2023-04-02", 0.011027855342378032], ["2023-04-02", 0.011160561285716625], ["2023-04-02", 0.011188878882391081], ["2023-04-02", 0.011286737618062856], ["2023-04-02", 0.011286737618062856], ["2023-04-02", 0.011286737618062856], ["2023-04-02", 0.011539101616086437], ["2023-04-02", 0.011539101616086437], ["2023-04-02", 0.011539101616086437], ["2023-04-02", 0.011622744809217359], ["2023-04-02", 0.011622744809217359], ["2023-04-02", 0.011622744809217359], ["2023-04-02", 0.011759962689119519], ["2023-04-02", 0.011923492029902593], ["2023-04-02", 0.011937777569908922], ["2023-04-02", 0.012010819893852356], ["2023-04-02", 0.012098930496390612], ["2023-04-02", 0.012154100684948634], ["2023-04-02", 0.012334821176357801], ["2023-04-02", 0.012548085262472563], ["2023-04-02", 0.012608503454365842], ["2023-04-02", 0.013045107500022645], ["2023-04-02", 0.013045107500022645], ["2023-04-02", 0.013045107500022645], ["2023-04-02", 0.013080495374144565], ["2023-04-02", 0.013080495374144565], ["2023-04-02", 0.013080495374144565], ["2023-04-02", 0.013089402952627772], ["2023-04-02", 0.013089402952627772], ["2023-04-02", 0.013089402952627772], ["2023-04-02", 0.01319184395902927], ["2023-04-02", 0.013418624505571481], ["2023-04-02", 0.013643123664494338], ["2023-04-02", 0.013808193595562937], ["2023-04-02", 0.013808193595562937], ["2023-04-02", 0.013825488421387084], ["2023-04-02", 0.013877761243787486], ["2023-04-02", 0.013877761243787486], ["2023-04-02", 0.01400963969414584], ["2023-04-02", 0.014306477336118166], ["2023-04-02", 0.015496741997057514], ["2023-04-02", 0.015677440377059326], ["2023-04-02", 0.015677440377059326], ["2023-04-02", 0.015677440377059326], ["2023-04-02", 0.015707834203444692], ["2023-04-02", 0.015707834203444692], ["2023-04-02", 0.015798150408948178], ["2023-04-02", 0.015943549592223445], ["2023-04-02", 0.016495449160466764], ["2023-04-02", 0.016537612264601004], ["2023-04-02", 0.016740381812309763], ["2023-04-02", 0.016822937415862858], ["2023-04-02", 0.01688005581654656], ["2023-04-02", 0.01688005581654656], ["2023-04-02", 0.01688005581654656], ["2023-04-02", 0.016904870279213814], ["2023-04-02", 0.01723822102509493], ["2023-04-02", 0.017244483206847346], ["2023-04-02", 0.01736844084964572], ["2023-04-02", 0.017456614030654845], ["2023-04-02", 0.01751503004258173], ["2023-04-02", 0.017541074918846645], ["2023-04-02", 0.017541074918846645], ["2023-04-02", 0.017541074918846645], ["2023-04-02", 0.017547479663214703], ["2023-04-02", 0.01774690566425945], ["2023-04-02", 0.017888256742150742], ["2023-04-02", 0.017888256742150742], ["2023-04-02", 0.017888256742150742], ["2023-04-02", 0.018050876761692737], ["2023-04-02", 0.018209015083733376], ["2023-04-02", 0.01820901508373339], ["2023-04-02", 0.019195009458855748], ["2023-04-02", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-02", 0.019245309422167203], ["2023-04-02", 0.019278049961488748], ["2023-04-02", 0.01955014682446385], ["2023-04-02", 0.019617906635856316], ["2023-04-02", 0.019887735439851364], ["2023-04-02", 0.019922807448688466], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999966], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999983], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.01999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.019999999999999997], ["2023-04-02", 0.02], ["2023-04-02", 0.02], ["2023-04-02", 0.02], ["2023-04-02", 0.02], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000014], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000003], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000035], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000042], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000005], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000056], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000056], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000056], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000056], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.02000000000000006], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000063], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000073], ["2023-04-02", 0.020000000000000073], ["2023-04-02", 0.020126776770381608], ["2023-04-02", 0.020126776770381615], ["2023-04-02", 0.02036691334269041], ["2023-04-02", 0.021030665558226504], ["2023-04-02", 0.021030665558226504], ["2023-04-02", 0.021030665558226504], ["2023-04-02", 0.02118989239076953], ["2023-04-02", 0.021357683931639473], ["2023-04-02", 0.021357683931639473], ["2023-04-02", 0.021357683931639473], ["2023-04-02", 0.021530295450047338], ["2023-04-02", 0.021530295450047338], ["2023-04-02", 0.021530295450047338], ["2023-04-02", 0.02158488826571915], ["2023-04-02", 0.02158488826571915], ["2023-04-02", 0.02158488826571915], ["2023-04-02", 0.02164672300781902], ["2023-04-02", 0.02175792539874611], ["2023-04-02", 0.02175792539874611], ["2023-04-02", 0.02175792539874611], ["2023-04-02", 0.021764767628231603], ["2023-04-02", 0.021764767628231603], ["2023-04-02", 0.02187880352534409], ["2023-04-02", 0.02200728082808496], ["2023-04-02", 0.022051582772546867], ["2023-04-02", 0.022191976115482643], ["2023-04-02", 0.022191976115482643], ["2023-04-02", 0.022191976115482643], ["2023-04-02", 0.022266151436284944], ["2023-04-02", 0.022291818044351947], ["2023-04-02", 0.022291818044351947], ["2023-04-02", 0.022291818044351947], ["2023-04-02", 0.022310043084690187], ["2023-04-02", 0.022310043084690187], ["2023-04-02", 0.022310043084690187], ["2023-04-02", 0.022452182423201458], ["2023-04-02", 0.022569893480059406], ["2023-04-02", 0.022569893480059406], ["2023-04-02", 0.022569893480059406], ["2023-04-02", 0.022630772286520516], ["2023-04-02", 0.022630772286520516], ["2023-04-02", 0.022630772286520516], ["2023-04-02", 0.022665859959134275], ["2023-04-02", 0.022665859959134275], ["2023-04-02", 0.022665859959134275], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02273606385194904], ["2023-04-02", 0.022799918910620054], ["2023-04-02", 0.022984583678682204], ["2023-04-02", 0.022984583678682204], ["2023-04-02", 0.022984583678682204], ["2023-04-02", 0.022984583678682204], ["2023-04-02", 0.022984583678682204], ["2023-04-02", 0.023051198135748494], ["2023-04-02", 0.023051198135748494], ["2023-04-02", 0.023051198135748494], ["2023-04-02", 0.02311819562510025], ["2023-04-02", 0.02311819562510025], ["2023-04-02", 0.02311819562510025], ["2023-04-02", 0.023272643334204438], ["2023-04-02", 0.023272643334204438], ["2023-04-02", 0.023272643334204438], ["2023-04-02", 0.023347651255757343], ["2023-04-02", 0.023347651255757343], ["2023-04-02", 0.023347651255757343], ["2023-04-02", 0.023347651255757343], ["2023-04-02", 0.02350952837432784], ["2023-04-02", 0.02372451423929425], ["2023-04-02", 0.02380453481138198], ["2023-04-02", 0.02380453481138198], ["2023-04-02", 0.02389207323531052], ["2023-04-02", 0.02389207323531052], ["2023-04-02", 0.02389207323531052], ["2023-04-02", 0.02424158783408664], ["2023-04-02", 0.024320700831064586], ["2023-04-02", 0.024451327747623798], ["2023-04-02", 0.024631011276197847], ["2023-04-02", 0.024631011276197847], ["2023-04-02", 0.024631011276197847], ["2023-04-02", 0.025165814036467744], ["2023-04-02", 0.025165814036467744], ["2023-04-02", 0.025165814036467744], ["2023-04-02", 0.025267254804288364], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025365035810848657], ["2023-04-02", 0.025420173587592288], ["2023-04-02", 0.025420173587592288], ["2023-04-02", 0.025420173587592288], ["2023-04-02", 0.025421328778619592], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.02548643659435828], ["2023-04-02", 0.025527484867791904], ["2023-04-02", 0.025527484867791904], ["2023-04-02", 0.02558366925067348], ["2023-04-02", 0.02674964911343367], ["2023-04-02", 0.026905314529308534], ["2023-04-02", 0.026905314529308534], ["2023-04-02", 0.026905314529308534], ["2023-04-02", 0.026905314529308534], ["2023-04-02", 0.027061068706261644], ["2023-04-02", 0.027061068706261644], ["2023-04-02", 0.027381217766980815], ["2023-04-02", 0.02834637480710058], ["2023-04-02", 0.028722953974503706], ["2023-04-02", 0.028722953974503706], ["2023-04-02", 0.028722953974503706], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.02941381728472176], ["2023-04-02", 0.029476274435777317], ["2023-04-02", 0.029538306381454008], ["2023-04-02", 0.029635234949589567], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.029733200244016416], ["2023-04-02", 0.02999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.03], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.03000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000016], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000016], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000023], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000072], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000072], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000072], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000072], ["2023-04-02", 0.030000000000000075], ["2023-04-02", 0.03002564382787386], ["2023-04-02", 0.03154644498961704], ["2023-04-02", 0.031635181546980244], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03189875491355337], ["2023-04-02", 0.03207875779907545], ["2023-04-02", 0.03215371016964925], ["2023-04-02", 0.03238115474040668], ["2023-04-02", 0.03238115474040668], ["2023-04-02", 0.03238115474040668], ["2023-04-02", 0.03288305186205901], ["2023-04-02", 0.03288305186205901], ["2023-04-02", 0.03288305186205901], ["2023-04-02", 0.03343902188162965], ["2023-04-02", 0.03343902188162965], ["2023-04-02", 0.033813842180963845], ["2023-04-02", 0.034030630403978884], ["2023-04-02", 0.03444753079317564], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03525433106173209], ["2023-04-02", 0.03702964676567816], ["2023-04-02", 0.03729653913272779], ["2023-04-02", 0.03734277901313601], ["2023-04-02", 0.037778977424383735], ["2023-04-02", 0.03783377704406832], ["2023-04-02", 0.03837224662547473], ["2023-04-02", 0.0390941732474566], ["2023-04-02", 0.03909960944260138], ["2023-04-02", 0.03999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.03999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.03999999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.039999999999999994], ["2023-04-02", 0.04], ["2023-04-02", 0.04], ["2023-04-02", 0.04], ["2023-04-02", 0.04], ["2023-04-02", 0.04], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.04000000000000009], ["2023-04-02", 0.043110607036209225], ["2023-04-02", 0.04319485774588907], ["2023-04-02", 0.044475126040074434], ["2023-04-02", 0.046201359174848654], ["2023-04-02", 0.048406472464566], ["2023-04-02", 0.048406472464566], ["2023-04-02", 0.05105109479323164], ["2023-04-02", 0.05125732283690864], ["2023-04-02", 0.05499839367932924], ["2023-04-02", 0.05999999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.0006573766141546933], ["2023-04-03", 0.0007521829312617488], ["2023-04-03", 0.0007521829312617488], ["2023-04-03", 0.0008741039272025273], ["2023-04-03", 0.00117433869854782], ["2023-04-03", 0.00117433869854782], ["2023-04-03", 0.00117433869854782], ["2023-04-03", 0.0013369341450772405], ["2023-04-03", 0.0015015409738473957], ["2023-04-03", 0.0015015409738473957], ["2023-04-03", 0.0015015409738473957], ["2023-04-03", 0.0018533676872128058], ["2023-04-03", 0.0018533676872128058], ["2023-04-03", 0.0018533676872128058], ["2023-04-03", 0.00282929853215226], ["2023-04-03", 0.00282929853215226], ["2023-04-03", 0.00282929853215226], ["2023-04-03", 0.00282929853215226], ["2023-04-03", 0.002888944611470315], ["2023-04-03", 0.004707489080821161], ["2023-04-03", 0.006945051542843339], ["2023-04-03", 0.006945051542843339], ["2023-04-03", 0.006945051542843339], ["2023-04-03", 0.006945051542843339], ["2023-04-03", 0.009699906940051108], ["2023-04-03", 0.01], ["2023-04-03", 0.010917514538892212], ["2023-04-03", 0.011274789950000079], ["2023-04-03", 0.011647592495372954], ["2023-04-03", 0.01291719536225869], ["2023-04-03", 0.01845761708931649], ["2023-04-03", 0.019999999999999987]] | https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-the-average-probability-of-thi | This market will be open for exactly one week, from 7:30 PT on Sunday, March 26 to 7:30 PT on Sunday, April 2. When it closes, I will calculate the average percentage that this market was at over the time period. I will use displayed percentages, which are typically rounded to the nearest integer. [Clarification: When the percentage is below 2 or above 98, it is rounded to the nearest tenth instead.] Resolves YES if this average is greater than 50%, resolves NO if it's less than or equal to 50%. I may eyeball it if it's obvious who won, but I'll sift through timestamps or whatever's necessary in order to be sure I'm resolving correctly. For most self-resolving markets, all that matters is the very end, so there's an incentive to act at the last moment, especially if it's close. For this one, every minute you're winning counts! General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion. Mar 29, 7:40pm: | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will the average percentage of this market be above 50%? ("The Market") | manifold | 0 |
2023-03-31 | 2023-03-28 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-28", 0.39847324970449793], ["2023-03-28", 0.4588881682721301], ["2023-03-28", 0.5034626929206911], ["2023-03-28", 0.5475113122171945], ["2023-03-31", 0.030452309045798712], ["2023-03-31", 0.03208994291813497], ["2023-03-31", 0.03712451891117965], ["2023-03-31", 0.043868274702102146], ["2023-03-31", 0.06598001765717106], ["2023-03-31", 0.06851064614138243], ["2023-03-31", 0.07106038355346163], ["2023-03-31", 0.08234495442184281], ["2023-03-31", 0.09221563715696854], ["2023-03-31", 0.10041008352386462], ["2023-03-31", 0.16598808926515393], ["2023-03-31", 0.32050504360079995], ["2023-03-31", 0.3579913428961349]] | https://manifold.markets/ShitakiIntaki/will-the-magic-the-gathering-channe | The Deck Forge Market Closes Friday March 31, 2023 at 8:59 AM PDT (GMT -7) [12 hours before market criteria will be evaluated]. Resolves Resolves #MTGA | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-03-31 | Will the Magic the Gathering channel The Deck Forge have more than 200 Youtube subscribers by Friday March 31, 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-30 | 2023-03-28 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-28", 0.5585330660494048], ["2023-03-28", 0.5675013406216926], ["2023-03-28", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-03-28", 0.6121228952760368], ["2023-03-29", 0.5909242373857028], ["2023-04-02", 0.586469742933147], ["2023-04-09", 0.4181165371377522], ["2023-04-09", 0.44999999999999996], ["2023-04-20", 0.42388367295883655], ["2023-04-27", 0.32663660795322685], ["2023-04-30", 0.03336920174643668], ["2023-04-30", 0.03336920174643668], ["2023-04-30", 0.06386827048451997], ["2023-04-30", 0.1342015479631194], ["2023-04-30", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-04-30", 0.1624423488833132], ["2023-04-30", 0.17162453268653236]] | https://manifold.markets/CrystalBallin/will-the-crystal-ballin-discord-ser-cef60154f627 | Resolves YES if at market close the Crystal Ballin' | Social Sciences | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-30 | Will the Crystal Ballin' Discord server have more than 100 users by the end of April? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-16 | 2023-03-28 | ["https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1640502698549075972"] | BINARY | [["2023-03-28", 0.27562545432504754], ["2023-03-28", 0.316893003403374], ["2023-03-28", 0.3272116914659576], ["2023-03-28", 0.34788093670690384], ["2023-03-28", 0.36000000000000004], ["2023-03-28", 0.3666566896138881], ["2023-03-28", 0.3848306610903236], ["2023-03-28", 0.38955777531167196], ["2023-03-28", 0.3999999999999999], ["2023-03-28", 0.3999999999999999], ["2023-03-28", 0.3999999999999999], ["2023-03-28", 0.4119221635416419], ["2023-03-28", 0.43999999999999995], ["2023-03-28", 0.4461034231609614], ["2023-03-28", 0.4516814874537762], ["2023-03-28", 0.45710214753405964], ["2023-03-28", 0.544686527345487], ["2023-03-28", 0.6621621621621621], ["2023-03-29", 0.2510426841771063], ["2023-03-29", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-03-29", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-03-29", 0.27999999999999997], ["2023-03-29", 0.47], ["2023-03-29", 0.47], ["2023-03-29", 0.47], ["2023-03-29", 0.5005032023418167], ["2023-03-30", 0.18369865830914625], ["2023-03-30", 0.2], ["2023-03-30", 0.21273724109790226], ["2023-03-30", 0.23], ["2023-04-02", 0.16337931825138494], ["2023-04-02", 0.18], ["2023-04-02", 0.19736381663469785], ["2023-04-05", 0.10296306609604619], ["2023-04-05", 0.10653202003855114], ["2023-04-05", 0.12166169195251975], ["2023-04-05", 0.24750506137080383], ["2023-04-05", 0.30746017829963596], ["2023-04-05", 0.35], ["2023-04-05", 0.35], ["2023-04-05", 0.35], ["2023-04-05", 0.35], ["2023-04-05", 0.354231120738038], ["2023-04-05", 0.3728211925361308], ["2023-04-05", 0.39860427432115264], ["2023-04-07", 0.04237243017481715], ["2023-04-07", 0.050000000000000024], ["2023-04-07", 0.08521397768524655], ["2023-04-08", 0.04739783634872669], ["2023-04-08", 0.05331287779369306], ["2023-04-15", 0.029964905966801524], ["2023-04-15", 0.039287487898822], ["2023-04-15", 0.04167884192584161], ["2023-04-16", 0.019875502863858682], ["2023-04-16", 0.020952068740448197]] | https://manifold.markets/empathy2000/will-twitter-only-display-tweets-fr | based off this tweet: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1640502698549075972 This market resolves yes iff, after April 15th, it is confirmed that the For You tab only shows content from verified accounts. | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-16 | Will Twitter only display tweets from verified accounts on the For You feed by the end of April 15th? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-14 | 2023-03-28 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-03-28", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-03-28", 0.4476474800618662], ["2023-03-28", 0.4946238113131196], ["2023-03-28", 0.4946248614116327], ["2023-03-28", 0.5163890381515316], ["2023-03-28", 0.5163890381515316], ["2023-03-28", 0.5163890381515316], ["2023-03-28", 0.6033494931687969], ["2023-03-29", 0.3499999999999999], ["2023-03-29", 0.3499999999999999], ["2023-03-29", 0.39490136249131824], ["2023-03-29", 0.44], ["2023-03-30", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-03-30", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-03-30", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-03-30", 0.41857140618170874], ["2023-03-31", 0.428768235087295], ["2023-03-31", 0.43254890246584843], ["2023-03-31", 0.4363110950150908], ["2023-03-31", 0.44], ["2023-03-31", 0.44], ["2023-03-31", 0.44], ["2023-03-31", 0.44005460014724274], ["2023-03-31", 0.44372489305696655], ["2023-03-31", 0.4437792155997587], ["2023-03-31", 0.4474307070314147], ["2023-03-31", 0.44748474923232306], ["2023-03-31", 0.4511172595584441], ["2023-03-31", 0.4511710188236009], ["2023-03-31", 0.45478437799183385], ["2023-03-31", 0.4584318992009476], ["2023-03-31", 0.4620596693680154], ["2023-04-03", 0.3417174447233996], ["2023-04-03", 0.35000000000000003], ["2023-04-03", 0.36397643633123167], ["2023-04-03", 0.3896126311868661], ["2023-04-03", 0.42346007166816124], ["2023-04-03", 0.4299999999999998], ["2023-04-04", 0.3726531709290947], ["2023-04-08", 0.3726531709290947], ["2023-04-08", 0.3726531709290947], ["2023-04-09", 0.38532187093454295], ["2023-04-11", 0.44999999999999984], ["2023-04-11", 0.44999999999999984], ["2023-04-11", 0.44999999999999984], ["2023-04-11", 0.51090201770973], ["2023-04-12", 0.2771701997670612], ["2023-04-12", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-12", 0.35999999999999993], ["2023-04-12", 0.3726531709290947], ["2023-04-12", 0.3726531709290947], ["2023-05-01", 0.34411465071134295], ["2023-05-01", 0.34681105148335534], ["2023-05-03", 0.024489636174503573], ["2023-05-03", 0.028277575545849983], ["2023-05-03", 0.08124066088296593], ["2023-05-07", 0.005277072485784329], ["2023-05-08", 0.005315904939150294], ["2023-05-11", 0.0008700871500280915], ["2023-05-11", 0.0008705613108164401], ["2023-05-12", 0.0008700871500280915], ["2023-05-13", 0.0008700871500280915], ["2023-05-14", 0.0009831747925669958]] | https://manifold.markets/JamesBills/lex-eliezer-podcast-will-have-bette | Lex Fridman and Eliezer Yudkowsky have allegedly recorded a podcast episode already. Lex released a podcast with Sam Altman, CEO of openAI on the 26th March. This market resolves at the end of the 15th May 2023 UTC as True if: Else false. Mar 28, 1:47pm: | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-14 | Lex & Eliezer podcast will have better youtube reach AND ratio than Lex & Altman by May 15th 2023 | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-28 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.337837837837838], ["2023-04-02", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-04-03", 0.29626645153047954], ["2023-04-05", 0.366257064978289], ["2023-04-10", 0.5085786855556907], ["2023-04-11", 0.4616633758928399], ["2023-04-15", 0.36538695980984426], ["2023-04-15", 0.3662718584777547], ["2023-04-15", 0.40000000000000013], ["2023-04-15", 0.4009991726841842], ["2023-04-16", 0.31000000000000005], ["2023-04-16", 0.3148783980027799], ["2023-04-16", 0.3148783980027799], ["2023-04-16", 0.3148783980027799], ["2023-04-16", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-16", 0.3238778608149101], ["2023-04-16", 0.34], ["2023-04-16", 0.34842763540459754], ["2023-04-16", 0.34842763540459754], ["2023-04-16", 0.34842763540459754], ["2023-04-16", 0.37], ["2023-04-16", 0.3756281401691139], ["2023-04-18", 0.319753347440598], ["2023-04-18", 0.319753347440598], ["2023-04-18", 0.319753347440598], ["2023-04-21", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-21", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-21", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-21", 0.33485777268101247], ["2023-04-21", 0.33485777268101247], ["2023-04-21", 0.33485777268101247], ["2023-04-23", 0.3995303610819309], ["2023-04-23", 0.42], ["2023-04-23", 0.42], ["2023-04-23", 0.42], ["2023-04-23", 0.44999999999999996], ["2023-04-23", 0.44999999999999996], ["2023-04-23", 0.44999999999999996], ["2023-04-23", 0.45], ["2023-04-23", 0.45], ["2023-04-24", 0.3995303610819309], ["2023-04-24", 0.45], ["2023-04-26", 0.4133066132532263], ["2023-04-26", 0.42999999999999994], ["2023-04-26", 0.42999999999999994], ["2023-04-26", 0.42999999999999994], ["2023-04-26", 0.44], ["2023-04-26", 0.44], ["2023-04-26", 0.44], ["2023-04-27", 0.4299999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.46990802188539726], ["2023-04-28", 0.5800000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.5699999999999998], ["2023-04-29", 0.5699999999999998], ["2023-04-29", 0.5699999999999998], ["2023-04-30", 0.5369892650272753], ["2023-04-30", 0.5599999999999999], ["2023-04-30", 0.5599999999999999], ["2023-04-30", 0.5599999999999999], ["2023-05-01", 0.55], ["2023-05-02", 0.5600000000000003], ["2023-05-04", 0.6010184854935947], ["2023-05-04", 0.6309137445089879], ["2023-05-04", 0.6597212125889969], ["2023-05-04", 0.6960100192497402], ["2023-05-05", 0.6548147029508219], ["2023-05-05", 0.6548147029508219], ["2023-05-05", 0.6548147029508219], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.66], ["2023-05-05", 0.6871729630881187], ["2023-05-07", 0.608286672937972], ["2023-05-07", 0.6299999999999999], ["2023-05-07", 0.6299999999999999], ["2023-05-07", 0.6299999999999999], ["2023-05-07", 0.6299999999999999], ["2023-05-07", 0.6569299076560229], ["2023-05-07", 0.694469372121152], ["2023-05-08", 0.6399999999999999], ["2023-05-08", 0.6399999999999999], ["2023-05-13", 0.5629979154924828], ["2023-05-13", 0.5699999999999998], ["2023-05-13", 0.5800000000000001], ["2023-05-13", 0.5849223562107928], ["2023-05-13", 0.6479787046739639], ["2023-05-14", 0.4703352556449546], ["2023-05-14", 0.49], ["2023-05-14", 0.49], ["2023-05-14", 0.49], ["2023-05-14", 0.5000000000000001], ["2023-05-14", 0.5100000000000001], ["2023-05-14", 0.5100000000000001], ["2023-05-15", 0.42803926700401995], ["2023-05-16", 0.430541454800423], ["2023-05-16", 0.441090945712091], ["2023-05-16", 0.4649269075344692], ["2023-05-16", 0.47], ["2023-05-16", 0.47], ["2023-05-16", 0.47], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.47000000000000014], ["2023-05-16", 0.4745880043373489], ["2023-05-17", 0.47000000000000003], ["2023-05-17", 0.47000000000000003], ["2023-05-17", 0.47000000000000003], ["2023-05-17", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-05-17", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-05-17", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-05-18", 0.48], ["2023-05-18", 0.4901262974712333], ["2023-05-18", 0.5415628486623126], ["2023-05-18", 0.5481464562588432], ["2023-05-18", 0.6049035796054566], ["2023-05-18", 0.6198667650119234], ["2023-05-18", 0.6198667650119234], ["2023-05-18", 0.6380763313630868], ["2023-05-18", 0.669477488567707], ["2023-05-19", 0.6588619943585892], ["2023-05-19", 0.6699999999999998], ["2023-05-19", 0.6699999999999998], ["2023-05-19", 0.6699999999999998], ["2023-05-19", 0.6699999999999998], ["2023-05-19", 0.6715668708092263], ["2023-05-19", 0.6715668708092263], ["2023-05-19", 0.6715668708092263], ["2023-05-20", 0.58], ["2023-05-20", 0.6700000000000003], ["2023-05-20", 0.6700000000000003], ["2023-05-20", 0.6700000000000003], ["2023-05-21", 0.5686736932015145], ["2023-05-21", 0.5686736932015145], ["2023-05-21", 0.5686736932015145], ["2023-05-21", 0.5686736932015145], ["2023-05-21", 0.5686736932015145], ["2023-05-22", 0.3505111747202376], ["2023-05-22", 0.36567891611853726], ["2023-05-22", 0.36759248746473344], ["2023-05-22", 0.36957433475770934], ["2023-05-22", 0.37193861928925415], ["2023-05-22", 0.3751189100725923], ["2023-05-22", 0.3799999999999998], ["2023-05-22", 0.386889157376598], ["2023-05-22", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.38999999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.3942180893906808], ["2023-05-22", 0.41295985185657474], ["2023-05-22", 0.43150970774230685], ["2023-05-22", 0.43150970774230685], ["2023-05-22", 0.43150970774230685], ["2023-05-22", 0.46999999999999986], ["2023-05-22", 0.500470092725367], ["2023-05-22", 0.5474673593478568], ["2023-05-22", 0.5699999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.5699999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.5699999999999996], ["2023-05-22", 0.5725401728342051], ["2023-05-22", 0.574220669028304], ["2023-05-22", 0.574220669028304], ["2023-05-22", 0.574220669028304], ["2023-05-22", 0.5986278652123593], ["2023-05-23", 0.36737569922712493], ["2023-05-23", 0.36737569922712493], ["2023-05-23", 0.3899999999999999], ["2023-05-23", 0.4367398260039797], ["2023-05-24", 0.31592451160017176], ["2023-05-24", 0.31664428897829616], ["2023-05-24", 0.31664428897829616], ["2023-05-24", 0.31989617732092807], ["2023-05-24", 0.3272825464463968], ["2023-05-24", 0.3314173507066452], ["2023-05-24", 0.3783175078654232], ["2023-05-25", 0.13999999999999996], ["2023-05-25", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-05-25", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-05-25", 0.15000000000000002], ["2023-05-25", 0.15168104914592168], ["2023-05-25", 0.15188474175304434], ["2023-05-25", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-05-25", 0.17315657370492982], ["2023-05-25", 0.1829911146295435], ["2023-05-25", 0.19364883376417372], ["2023-05-25", 0.19931320067364153], ["2023-05-25", 0.20223432650731232], ["2023-05-25", 0.20223432650731232], ["2023-05-25", 0.20223432650731232], ["2023-05-25", 0.23813677602022854], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.24573530529077556], ["2023-05-25", 0.2503550864281763], ["2023-05-25", 0.2536752141276181], ["2023-05-25", 0.2536752141276181], ["2023-05-25", 0.2536752141276181], ["2023-05-25", 0.26197463553409345], ["2023-05-25", 0.26197463553409345], ["2023-05-25", 0.26197463553409345], ["2023-05-25", 0.27065263593286515], ["2023-05-25", 0.27065263593286515], ["2023-05-25", 0.27065263593286515], ["2023-05-25", 0.27972923281079615], ["2023-05-25", 0.27972923281079615], ["2023-05-25", 0.27972923281079615], ["2023-05-25", 0.29916308763802135], ["2023-05-25", 0.3204554329386761], ["2023-05-25", 0.32609131102531147], ["2023-05-25", 0.32609131102531147], ["2023-05-25", 0.32609131102531147], ["2023-05-26", 0.14525908545422894], ["2023-05-26", 0.14869092368439035], ["2023-05-26", 0.1500458477852509], ["2023-05-26", 0.15254956661417995], ["2023-05-26", 0.15368190871354567], ["2023-05-26", 0.15368190871354567], ["2023-05-26", 0.15655591165085594], ["2023-05-26", 0.15773188315977307], ["2023-05-26", 0.15773188315977307], ["2023-05-27", 0.15328526437607137], ["2023-05-28", 0.004400532369993623], ["2023-05-28", 0.0046412096076121805], ["2023-05-28", 0.005485112122139275], ["2023-05-28", 0.005630934533163453], ["2023-05-28", 0.0099586493039204], ["2023-05-28", 0.015304739572551952], ["2023-05-28", 0.021407269641218148], ["2023-05-28", 0.023090369482962288], ["2023-05-28", 0.02499185513925207], ["2023-05-28", 0.030431982864301033], ["2023-05-28", 0.03127763245851148], ["2023-05-28", 0.04003353777382539], ["2023-05-28", 0.040161167843641626], ["2023-05-28", 0.047458562402538366], ["2023-05-28", 0.05036051207654956], ["2023-05-28", 0.05422552463570348], ["2023-05-28", 0.05633463046460558], ["2023-05-28", 0.060146165929545324], ["2023-05-28", 0.06437552626992266], ["2023-05-28", 0.06761500125423142], ["2023-05-28", 0.06944585252456566], ["2023-05-28", 0.07233271779041041], ["2023-05-28", 0.0732538803974462], ["2023-05-28", 0.07435676214894549], ["2023-05-28", 0.13887562040406015], ["2023-05-28", 0.14000000000000012], ["2023-05-28", 0.149153618263519], ["2023-05-28", 0.15241077461112068], ["2023-05-28", 0.15241077461112068], ["2023-05-28", 0.15241077461112068], ["2023-05-28", 0.16250615372936797], ["2023-05-28", 0.16406434101518627], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885231168470785], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885231168470785], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885231168470785], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885231168470785], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885231168470785], ["2023-05-28", 0.16885753352348046], ["2023-05-28", 0.17048857881705404], ["2023-05-28", 0.17215444185007503], ["2023-05-28", 0.1727079393221164], ["2023-05-28", 0.17553495933823857], ["2023-05-28", 0.18110589090008242], ["2023-05-28", 0.18124622967983375], ["2023-05-28", 0.18762265169885417], ["2023-05-28", 0.18762265169885417], ["2023-05-28", 0.18762265169885417], ["2023-05-28", 0.1901288657860019], ["2023-05-28", 0.19027975913284131], ["2023-05-28", 0.20000000000000015], ["2023-05-28", 0.20206778564257946], ["2023-05-28", 0.20773221607942616], ["2023-05-28", 0.21838022524825068], ["2023-05-28", 0.21838022524825068], ["2023-05-28", 0.21838022524825068], ["2023-05-28", 0.22412939415136202], ["2023-05-28", 0.2254945026380329], ["2023-05-28", 0.23021246710929805], ["2023-05-28", 0.24000000000000005], ["2023-05-28", 0.24658382431586823], ["2023-05-28", 0.2608669695400446], ["2023-05-28", 0.26553568313294273], ["2023-05-28", 0.28211038577697695], ["2023-05-28", 0.28991194326049496], ["2023-05-28", 0.28991194326049496], ["2023-05-28", 0.3293865476633948], ["2023-05-28", 0.3490706777331727], ["2023-05-28", 0.38497131715187566], ["2023-05-28", 0.38497131715187566], ["2023-05-28", 0.38497131715187566], ["2023-05-28", 0.4116751395881179], ["2023-05-28", 0.4116751395881179], ["2023-05-28", 0.4116751395881179], ["2023-05-28", 0.4116751395881179]] | https://manifold.markets/AlexLiesman/will-newcastle-united-finish-3rd-in | Not applicable/available for this question. | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-28 | Will Newcastle United Finish 3rd in the 2022–23 Premier League Season? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-02 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.05150616546413388], ["2023-04-02", 0.06], ["2023-04-02", 0.08151354247499636], ["2023-04-02", 0.09000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.09516736545117432], ["2023-04-02", 0.13545966228893055], ["2023-04-02", 0.14000000000000004], ["2023-04-02", 0.15257016157366282], ["2023-04-02", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-04-02", 0.44941924441121595], ["2023-04-02", 0.44941924441121595], ["2023-04-02", 0.45999999999999996], ["2023-04-02", 0.45999999999999996], ["2023-04-02", 0.45999999999999996], ["2023-04-02", 0.4679204908478709], ["2023-04-02", 0.5256308099533479], ["2023-04-02", 0.5611591709785482], ["2023-04-02", 0.5611591709785482], ["2023-04-02", 0.63], ["2023-04-02", 0.63], ["2023-04-02", 0.63], ["2023-04-02", 0.6739688355547495], ["2023-04-02", 0.6932921716771002], ["2023-04-02", 0.6932921716771002], ["2023-04-02", 0.6932921716771002], ["2023-04-02", 0.7821147013064483], ["2023-04-02", 0.7830802603036877], ["2023-04-02", 0.8100000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.8100000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.8100000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.81055136532314], ["2023-04-02", 0.869902979156745], ["2023-04-02", 0.8772454287883992], ["2023-04-02", 0.9325598895536873], ["2023-04-02", 0.9801657327480959]] | https://manifold.markets/faebie/will-the-mrgirl-x-kidology-intervie | Not applicable/available for this question. | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-02 | Will the mrgirl x kidology interview get started before 4:00pm PST? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.058337890319240235], ["2023-04-02", 0.058337890319240235], ["2023-04-02", 0.058337890319240235], ["2023-04-02", 0.069325627500136], ["2023-04-02", 0.11769279991446013], ["2023-04-02", 0.17223950498068663], ["2023-04-02", 0.19999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.19999999999999993], ["2023-04-02", 0.2000000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.22999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.257958228768122], ["2023-04-02", 0.28948983077497353], ["2023-04-02", 0.29177816916907734], ["2023-04-02", 0.29177816916907734], ["2023-04-02", 0.29177816916907734], ["2023-04-02", 0.3], ["2023-04-02", 0.31475343421718327], ["2023-04-02", 0.31475343421718327], ["2023-04-02", 0.31475343421718327], ["2023-04-02", 0.31999999999999984], ["2023-04-02", 0.31999999999999984], ["2023-04-02", 0.31999999999999984], ["2023-04-02", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.33000000000000007], ["2023-04-02", 0.3359264364699055], ["2023-04-02", 0.3401878899445008], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3446555291121904], ["2023-04-02", 0.3532147562927776], ["2023-04-02", 0.3556441355789276], ["2023-04-02", 0.39496113637532343], ["2023-04-02", 0.39496113637532343], ["2023-04-02", 0.39496113637532343], ["2023-04-02", 0.4], ["2023-04-02", 0.40000000000000013], ["2023-04-02", 0.40649535736910497], ["2023-04-02", 0.4098504797780498], ["2023-04-02", 0.41674155485413267], ["2023-04-02", 0.4193923435276108], ["2023-04-02", 0.4193923435276108], ["2023-04-02", 0.4193923435276108], ["2023-04-02", 0.4193923435276108], ["2023-04-02", 0.4394412095939672], ["2023-04-02", 0.4394412095939672], ["2023-04-02", 0.4394412095939672], ["2023-04-02", 0.43999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.43999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.43999999999999995], ["2023-04-02", 0.45223970903181454], ["2023-04-02", 0.45686475588114694], ["2023-04-02", 0.4591020015762769], ["2023-04-02", 0.47], ["2023-04-02", 0.47], ["2023-04-02", 0.47], ["2023-04-02", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.4799999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.48], ["2023-04-02", 0.48859774769906683], ["2023-04-02", 0.48859774769906683], ["2023-04-02", 0.48859774769906683], ["2023-04-02", 0.49493240854227205], ["2023-04-02", 0.49898023765236893], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5], ["2023-04-02", 0.5014365713025141], ["2023-04-02", 0.5286541770809201], ["2023-04-02", 0.53], ["2023-04-02", 0.53], ["2023-04-02", 0.53], ["2023-04-02", 0.5300028731877212], ["2023-04-02", 0.5367474144260832], ["2023-04-02", 0.5415441899996138], ["2023-04-02", 0.55], ["2023-04-02", 0.55], ["2023-04-02", 0.5500000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.5500000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.5500000000000002], ["2023-04-02", 0.5629517885484978], ["2023-04-02", 0.5629517885484978], ["2023-04-02", 0.5629517885484978], ["2023-04-02", 0.57], ["2023-04-02", 0.57], ["2023-04-02", 0.57], ["2023-04-02", 0.57], ["2023-04-02", 0.5700000000000001], ["2023-04-02", 0.5750655588464386], ["2023-04-02", 0.58], ["2023-04-02", 0.5834315385733767], ["2023-04-02", 0.5834315385733767], ["2023-04-02", 0.5834315385733767], ["2023-04-02", 0.5892992432990536], ["2023-04-02", 0.5892992432990536], ["2023-04-02", 0.5892992432990536], ["2023-04-02", 0.5947495734548853], ["2023-04-02", 0.598868941190326], ["2023-04-02", 0.6], ["2023-04-02", 0.6130349770977536], ["2023-04-02", 0.6202358074991087], ["2023-04-02", 0.6389910174052635], ["2023-04-02", 0.6389910174052635], ["2023-04-02", 0.6389910174052635], ["2023-04-02", 0.6400219586616647], ["2023-04-02", 0.6434706700690237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6434706700690237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6434706700690237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6434706700690237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6469183650349237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6469183650349237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6469183650349237], ["2023-04-02", 0.6604699634572968], ["2023-04-02", 0.7], ["2023-04-02", 0.76], ["2023-04-02", 0.76], ["2023-04-02", 0.7878534370443968], ["2023-04-02", 0.7920428646993626], ["2023-04-02", 0.7958832496486914], ["2023-04-02", 0.8078860571001405], ["2023-04-02", 0.843048960483491], ["2023-04-02", 0.86], ["2023-04-02", 0.86], ["2023-04-02", 0.86], ["2023-04-02", 0.86], ["2023-04-02", 0.8852524114891711], ["2023-04-02", 0.9051291851196269], ["2023-04-02", 0.9403057942599783], ["2023-04-02", 0.94350316748359], ["2023-04-02", 0.944807744412152], ["2023-04-02", 0.947277484044751], ["2023-04-02", 0.9479842575299011], ["2023-04-03", 0.0003225257161047437], ["2023-04-03", 0.0003225257161047437], ["2023-04-03", 0.0003225257161047437], ["2023-04-03", 0.0003226828045115842], ["2023-04-03", 0.021015936594623887], ["2023-04-03", 0.037881092866149324], ["2023-04-03", 0.03898471132387965], ["2023-04-03", 0.04135242347582218], ["2023-04-03", 0.04158268662815869], ["2023-04-03", 0.043958645749720734], ["2023-04-03", 0.043958645749720734], ["2023-04-03", 0.043958645749720734], ["2023-04-03", 0.04683748400483989], ["2023-04-03", 0.0500294445105973], ["2023-04-03", 0.050709512189828714], ["2023-04-03", 0.051229290869202665], ["2023-04-03", 0.05302470143663432], ["2023-04-03", 0.05492250754820085], ["2023-04-03", 0.055315057564608645], ["2023-04-03", 0.05790220406802181], ["2023-04-03", 0.06], ["2023-04-03", 0.06], ["2023-04-03", 0.06], ["2023-04-03", 0.07487525313716312], ["2023-04-03", 0.07487525313716312], ["2023-04-03", 0.07487525313716312], ["2023-04-03", 0.07493855720088251], ["2023-04-03", 0.07727458724604244], ["2023-04-03", 0.08483257904809505], ["2023-04-03", 0.09360740475563475], ["2023-04-03", 0.10026852039659906], ["2023-04-03", 0.10447267014911256], ["2023-04-03", 0.10447267014911256], ["2023-04-03", 0.10447267014911256], ["2023-04-03", 0.10666481970658123], ["2023-04-03", 0.10940499528986365], ["2023-04-03", 0.10999999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.10999999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.10999999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.11], ["2023-04-03", 0.11], ["2023-04-03", 0.11], ["2023-04-03", 0.11999999999999997], ["2023-04-03", 0.12328031004623713], ["2023-04-03", 0.14], ["2023-04-03", 0.14902215748400033], ["2023-04-03", 0.15111772922464828], ["2023-04-03", 0.1600864420840302], ["2023-04-03", 0.1600864420840302], ["2023-04-03", 0.16275269577014262], ["2023-04-03", 0.1740479039955291], ["2023-04-03", 0.44999999999999996], ["2023-04-03", 0.4635341605816672], ["2023-04-03", 0.4635341605816672], ["2023-04-03", 0.4635341605816672]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-mr-girl-quit-the-interview-wit | Not applicable/available for this question. | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will Mr. Girl quit the interview with Kidology prematurely like he did with the other interviews? | manifold | 0 |
2023-05-04 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.5196003074558031], ["2023-04-03", 0.42568197274627834], ["2023-04-04", 0.4211820704209584], ["2023-04-15", 0.220976126293196], ["2023-04-17", 0.12813364734119698], ["2023-04-17", 0.15895244439155543], ["2023-04-18", 0.15896834242969118], ["2023-04-18", 0.15896834242969118], ["2023-04-18", 0.15896834242969118], ["2023-04-19", 0.11986731885569625], ["2023-04-19", 0.150023866098004], ["2023-04-19", 0.150023866098004], ["2023-04-19", 0.150023866098004], ["2023-04-21", 0.1070695795115143], ["2023-04-25", 0.11143928112132213], ["2023-04-25", 0.13605011133747122], ["2023-04-25", 0.13605011133747122], ["2023-04-25", 0.13605011133747122], ["2023-04-26", 0.17919288858598204], ["2023-04-26", 0.17919288858598204], ["2023-04-26", 0.17919288858598204], ["2023-04-26", 0.21999242719789275], ["2023-04-26", 0.21999242719789275], ["2023-04-26", 0.21999242719789275], ["2023-04-26", 0.2694074265767525], ["2023-04-26", 0.2694074265767525], ["2023-04-26", 0.2694074265767525], ["2023-04-27", 0.1337270397633461], ["2023-04-27", 0.1544808201483615], ["2023-04-27", 0.18051369185825414], ["2023-04-28", 0.1981900443681391], ["2023-04-28", 0.1981900443681391], ["2023-04-28", 0.1981900443681391], ["2023-04-29", 0.1559660910782568], ["2023-04-30", 0.08273522097618352], ["2023-04-30", 0.1282505911056316], ["2023-04-30", 0.1282505911056316], ["2023-04-30", 0.1282505911056316], ["2023-04-30", 0.15465003735144414], ["2023-04-30", 0.15465003735144414], ["2023-04-30", 0.15465003735144414], ["2023-05-01", 0.14824899426144708], ["2023-05-01", 0.15364936281680167], ["2023-05-02", 0.04000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.04000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.04000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.04221170215231135], ["2023-05-02", 0.04221170215231135], ["2023-05-02", 0.04221170215231135], ["2023-05-02", 0.047742884467533185], ["2023-05-02", 0.06324871611280622], ["2023-05-02", 0.06463162002634226], ["2023-05-02", 0.08000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.08000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.08000000000000002], ["2023-05-02", 0.1], ["2023-05-02", 0.10999999999999993], ["2023-05-02", 0.1117562131225678], ["2023-05-02", 0.12276930613332351], ["2023-05-02", 0.1280803684615994], ["2023-05-02", 0.1280803684615994], ["2023-05-02", 0.1280803684615994], ["2023-05-02", 0.1310358970849283], ["2023-05-02", 0.1430545424763153], ["2023-05-03", 0.0024140334388539565], ["2023-05-03", 0.0026273306996355684], ["2023-05-03", 0.008710735797209327], ["2023-05-03", 0.08470441345284638], ["2023-05-03", 0.10000000000000009], ["2023-05-03", 0.10000000000000009], ["2023-05-03", 0.10000000000000009], ["2023-05-04", 0.00036105860598049336], ["2023-05-04", 0.0020157059656273598], ["2023-05-04", 0.002253852283757606], ["2023-05-04", 0.009201317159003774]] | https://manifold.markets/TimP/will-the-fed-interest-rate-stay-the | Not applicable/available for this question. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-05-04 | Will the FED interest rate stay the same after the May 2023 meeting? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-10 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.6135415056422939], ["2023-04-03", 0.7559547051932837], ["2023-04-04", 0.7725983790213686], ["2023-04-04", 0.7829531906809218], ["2023-04-06", 0.5212477750104806], ["2023-04-07", 0.4832692298117], ["2023-04-07", 0.5212477750104805], ["2023-04-07", 0.53], ["2023-04-07", 0.53], ["2023-04-07", 0.53], ["2023-04-07", 0.53], ["2023-04-07", 0.53], ["2023-04-07", 0.63], ["2023-04-07", 0.65], ["2023-04-07", 0.6992315605863475], ["2023-04-07", 0.73], ["2023-04-07", 0.7505988843032496], ["2023-04-09", 0.4296103679552519], ["2023-04-09", 0.4296103679552519], ["2023-04-09", 0.4296103679552519], ["2023-04-09", 0.4897890409725454], ["2023-04-09", 0.49983257711644935], ["2023-04-09", 0.553634799265823], ["2023-04-09", 0.6195082620794428], ["2023-04-09", 0.6699999999999997], ["2023-04-09", 0.6700000000000002], ["2023-04-09", 0.6776326772363761], ["2023-04-09", 0.6973750489098933], ["2023-04-09", 0.7], ["2023-04-09", 0.7100000000000001], ["2023-04-09", 0.7163723544710242], ["2023-04-09", 0.75], ["2023-04-09", 0.75], ["2023-04-10", 0.25], ["2023-04-10", 0.25], ["2023-04-10", 0.25], ["2023-04-10", 0.25520261636239144], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.25999999999999995], ["2023-04-10", 0.26000000000000006], ["2023-04-10", 0.27168372769437477], ["2023-04-10", 0.27168372769437477], ["2023-04-10", 0.27168372769437477], ["2023-04-10", 0.3373847893604334], ["2023-04-10", 0.3373847893604334], ["2023-04-10", 0.3373847893604334], ["2023-04-10", 0.3373847893604334], ["2023-04-10", 0.394358507238021], ["2023-04-10", 0.39435850723802107], ["2023-04-10", 0.39435850723802107], ["2023-04-10", 0.39435850723802107], ["2023-04-10", 0.40659856380846965], ["2023-04-10", 0.43390649213540977], ["2023-04-10", 0.5012310265338541], ["2023-04-10", 0.5012310265338541], ["2023-04-10", 0.5012310265338541], ["2023-04-10", 0.5060664139184989], ["2023-04-10", 0.6], ["2023-04-10", 0.6], ["2023-04-10", 0.65], ["2023-04-10", 0.76]] | https://manifold.markets/SophiaLaird/if-the-percentage-chance-of-this-ma-9d920db7954e | If between 25% and 75%, this market resolves NO. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-10 | If the percentage chance of this market is <25% or > 75%, this market resolves yes | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-04 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.4138678198374128], ["2023-04-02", 0.4999569899602629], ["2023-04-02", 0.5475113122171945], ["2023-04-03", 0.3161625116280306], ["2023-04-03", 0.32000000000000006], ["2023-04-03", 0.32456609227664407], ["2023-04-03", 0.33993190222108727], ["2023-04-03", 0.34], ["2023-04-03", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-03", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-03", 0.3400000000000001], ["2023-04-03", 0.35], ["2023-04-03", 0.3576547712991708], ["2023-04-03", 0.36059698363812054], ["2023-04-03", 0.3624892184923832], ["2023-04-03", 0.36474010712204286], ["2023-04-03", 0.3648143209168768], ["2023-04-04", 0.002203090686050231], ["2023-04-04", 0.0028404476413547404], ["2023-04-04", 0.005628133844619004], ["2023-04-04", 0.009316740048621328], ["2023-04-04", 0.012970273844124313], ["2023-04-04", 0.01454780922646711], ["2023-04-04", 0.023010494881578098], ["2023-04-04", 0.030821814249232263], ["2023-04-04", 0.04568476572277169], ["2023-04-04", 0.050028916802964056], ["2023-04-04", 0.054345329830526874], ["2023-04-04", 0.06004149312303695], ["2023-04-04", 0.06988987682574632], ["2023-04-04", 0.0700193174007063], ["2023-04-04", 0.0793788729689656], ["2023-04-04", 0.09002871848681443], ["2023-04-04", 0.10011144761535454], ["2023-04-04", 0.1157931271521114], ["2023-04-04", 0.11625520052561311], ["2023-04-04", 0.13599805626766395], ["2023-04-04", 0.14537228214384007], ["2023-04-04", 0.14877281046657842], ["2023-04-04", 0.14980791175912486], ["2023-04-04", 0.15603489079903826], ["2023-04-04", 0.1598576048982909], ["2023-04-04", 0.16286419536015714], ["2023-04-04", 0.16929176009713626], ["2023-04-04", 0.1861290818880606], ["2023-04-04", 0.20161280797447242], ["2023-04-04", 0.2051667941130222], ["2023-04-04", 0.21581173453148733], ["2023-04-04", 0.22707823023199528], ["2023-04-04", 0.22901057342102113], ["2023-04-04", 0.22901057342102113], ["2023-04-04", 0.22901057342102113], ["2023-04-04", 0.236235782724208], ["2023-04-04", 0.2403547830802478], ["2023-04-04", 0.24745486502389447], ["2023-04-04", 0.25072828957497084], ["2023-04-04", 0.25098869410070135], ["2023-04-04", 0.2516605026594017], ["2023-04-04", 0.2521519454535772], ["2023-04-04", 0.2692257565934959], ["2023-04-04", 0.2720738949359628], ["2023-04-04", 0.27690037132859047], ["2023-04-04", 0.29554232689107157], ["2023-04-04", 0.3002993501583528], ["2023-04-04", 0.3050462194055913], ["2023-04-04", 0.3065852590269035], ["2023-04-04", 0.31265293577530606], ["2023-04-04", 0.33], ["2023-04-04", 0.3329465081379594], ["2023-04-04", 0.3417745534740816], ["2023-04-04", 0.348389469330351], ["2023-04-04", 0.3536201986432889], ["2023-04-04", 0.37000000000000005], ["2023-04-04", 0.3708726324700483], ["2023-04-04", 0.37375093781258545], ["2023-04-04", 0.37675255404360425], ["2023-04-04", 0.3902279992641282], ["2023-04-04", 0.3918163644823919], ["2023-04-04", 0.3948097330056343], ["2023-04-04", 0.3985907334961618], ["2023-04-04", 0.398611184580414], ["2023-04-04", 0.4000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.4000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.4150765242090576], ["2023-04-04", 0.41988824938072006], ["2023-04-04", 0.42482915053142295], ["2023-04-04", 0.43089560397144466], ["2023-04-04", 0.4325401571506829], ["2023-04-04", 0.4385515010165516], ["2023-04-04", 0.4385918696233531], ["2023-04-04", 0.44000000000000006], ["2023-04-04", 0.44000000000000006], ["2023-04-04", 0.44000000000000006], ["2023-04-04", 0.44123245554629104], ["2023-04-04", 0.44123245554629104], ["2023-04-04", 0.44123245554629104], ["2023-04-04", 0.44196516596597674], ["2023-04-04", 0.4484691247412222], ["2023-04-04", 0.44879391617573794], ["2023-04-04", 0.45153991184352393], ["2023-04-04", 0.45153991184352393], ["2023-04-04", 0.45153991184352393], ["2023-04-04", 0.46387548738898343], ["2023-04-04", 0.4667941053186584], ["2023-04-04", 0.4669935124430474], ["2023-04-04", 0.5999999999999999], ["2023-04-04", 0.6573112588360136]] | https://manifold.markets/NamesAreHard/will-chelsea-beat-liverpool-in-the | Resolves YES if Chelsea wins against Liverpool in their Premier League match on 04.04.2023. Resolves NO if Liverpool wins or the match ends in a draw. | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-04 | Will Chelsea beat Liverpool in the Premier League? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.014627151846714825], ["2023-04-02", 0.3241309403986024], ["2023-04-02", 0.45418095971577305], ["2023-04-02", 0.46159527326440175], ["2023-04-02", 0.5590263495366449], ["2023-04-02", 0.6995598489968842], ["2023-04-03", 0.11787673296639979], ["2023-04-03", 0.16822326669884166], ["2023-04-03", 0.17951740369951344], ["2023-04-03", 0.2048569442816474], ["2023-04-03", 0.21098786077661963], ["2023-04-03", 0.2241690594670458], ["2023-04-03", 0.24000000000000002], ["2023-04-03", 0.24000000000000002], ["2023-04-03", 0.24000000000000002], ["2023-04-03", 0.24687379522786604], ["2023-04-03", 0.2527704174818129], ["2023-04-03", 0.2609120888793423], ["2023-04-03", 0.3068329984842477], ["2023-04-03", 0.31624808821989236], ["2023-04-03", 0.32], ["2023-04-03", 0.32], ["2023-04-03", 0.32], ["2023-04-03", 0.35000000000000003], ["2023-04-03", 0.35000000000000003], ["2023-04-03", 0.35000000000000003], ["2023-04-03", 0.37794986055304014], ["2023-04-03", 0.38093715962959385], ["2023-04-03", 0.39964229649623817], ["2023-04-03", 0.40000000000000024], ["2023-04-03", 0.40000000000000024], ["2023-04-03", 0.40000000000000024], ["2023-04-03", 0.4030652240160933], ["2023-04-03", 0.42], ["2023-04-03", 0.44], ["2023-04-03", 0.47], ["2023-04-03", 0.47], ["2023-04-03", 0.47], ["2023-04-03", 0.47074746822271385], ["2023-04-03", 0.521804581378661], ["2023-04-03", 0.521804581378661], ["2023-04-03", 0.521804581378661], ["2023-04-03", 0.5538448378515306], ["2023-04-03", 0.5799999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.5799999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.5799999999999998], ["2023-04-03", 0.6025018785264524], ["2023-04-03", 0.61], ["2023-04-03", 0.61], ["2023-04-03", 0.61], ["2023-04-03", 0.61], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.6329838120889509], ["2023-04-03", 0.67], ["2023-04-03", 0.6996227489095682], ["2023-04-03", 0.71], ["2023-04-03", 0.7611907684318299]] | https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/will-the-market-close-below-05 | Team NO is now guaranteed a victory, but there are still a lot of YES shares left, and the probability hasn't gone all the way down to 0. This market will resolve based on the displayed probability on Manifold, so it will need to be at at most 0.4% for this market to resolve YES. "The Market": | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will "The Market" close below 0.5%? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-30 | 2023-04-02 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-02", 0.3940731399747794], ["2023-04-02", 0.47418858084417465], ["2023-04-02", 0.4803996925441968], ["2023-04-02", 0.5237234833155961], ["2023-04-02", 0.5237234833155961], ["2023-04-02", 0.5237234833155961], ["2023-04-02", 0.5856211498774296], ["2023-04-02", 0.5930204864499669], ["2023-04-02", 0.6018589947775896], ["2023-04-02", 0.61], ["2023-04-02", 0.61], ["2023-04-02", 0.61], ["2023-04-02", 0.65], ["2023-04-02", 0.65], ["2023-04-02", 0.65], ["2023-04-02", 0.6584709930638074], ["2023-04-02", 0.6599999999999999], ["2023-04-02", 0.673478025496523], ["2023-04-02", 0.6902860915177561], ["2023-04-02", 0.7364541387020302], ["2023-04-02", 0.7454106320946846], ["2023-04-02", 0.76], ["2023-04-02", 0.76], ["2023-04-02", 0.76], ["2023-04-02", 0.81], ["2023-04-02", 0.87], ["2023-04-02", 0.9178869586572207], ["2023-04-03", 0.6060059121252227], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.63], ["2023-04-03", 0.64], ["2023-04-03", 0.64], ["2023-04-03", 0.64], ["2023-04-03", 0.6900000000000001], ["2023-04-03", 0.7], ["2023-04-03", 0.7467210834821436], ["2023-04-04", 0.6913720712515239], ["2023-04-05", 0.7555417938959751], ["2023-04-06", 0.744119814792244], ["2023-04-06", 0.7937441881764785], ["2023-04-20", 0.6899479380400382], ["2023-04-21", 0.73], ["2023-04-21", 0.7493451708492966], ["2023-04-26", 0.740104081762914], ["2023-04-27", 0.7449634697095614], ["2023-04-27", 0.7573657199256048], ["2023-04-28", 0.6963090576395684], ["2023-04-28", 0.7207534197727675], ["2023-04-30", 0.0031615880177345945], ["2023-04-30", 0.009569932614712624], ["2023-04-30", 0.01027721982751787], ["2023-04-30", 0.012349238969702685], ["2023-04-30", 0.012349238969702686], ["2023-04-30", 0.022963838380324758], ["2023-04-30", 0.06207579190730179], ["2023-04-30", 0.14023768081002647], ["2023-04-30", 0.17397768595358565], ["2023-04-30", 0.3009007118302715], ["2023-04-30", 0.3506469011640507], ["2023-04-30", 0.4184077011370544], ["2023-04-30", 0.4699861513464187], ["2023-04-30", 0.546252491581283], ["2023-04-30", 0.5773260862808334], ["2023-04-30", 0.6050987289071734], ["2023-04-30", 0.6199999999999998], ["2023-04-30", 0.6199999999999998], ["2023-04-30", 0.6199999999999998], ["2023-04-30", 0.6734084204605689], ["2023-04-30", 0.6946632304564577], ["2023-04-30", 0.7085498478183667], ["2023-04-30", 0.7393763919391793]] | https://manifold.markets/KevinBurke/will-max-verstappen-win-the-2023-fo-304b5361af63 | Not applicable/available for this question. | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-30 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-04 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-04", 0.13599254779069642], ["2023-04-04", 0.16], ["2023-04-04", 0.16798376419867658], ["2023-04-04", 0.1806333593880008], ["2023-04-04", 0.2042445619592795], ["2023-04-04", 0.22130360368152563], ["2023-04-04", 0.22541128172159033], ["2023-04-04", 0.22541128172159033], ["2023-04-04", 0.22541128172159033], ["2023-04-04", 0.2294910364208926], ["2023-04-04", 0.24613214057885202], ["2023-04-04", 0.25660933774865785], ["2023-04-04", 0.2642677095107962], ["2023-04-04", 0.26667866219019154], ["2023-04-04", 0.2763640946672921], ["2023-04-04", 0.35781103604250086], ["2023-04-04", 0.38], ["2023-04-04", 0.4050605939104491], ["2023-04-04", 0.4204740284309412], ["2023-04-04", 0.42113100279196014], ["2023-04-04", 0.43607460408883525], ["2023-04-04", 0.46155455636424253], ["2023-04-04", 0.46155455636424253], ["2023-04-04", 0.5000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5082976005066758], ["2023-04-04", 0.5434139615180261], ["2023-04-04", 0.5552627023197799], ["2023-04-04", 0.559359301373957], ["2023-04-04", 0.5694719603020976], ["2023-04-04", 0.5700000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.5770929524138593], ["2023-04-04", 0.5836935697064252], ["2023-04-04", 0.5901639344262294], ["2023-04-04", 0.5910208662965262], ["2023-04-04", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.6000000000000001], ["2023-04-04", 0.6086333248865279], ["2023-04-04", 0.6213578250930579], ["2023-04-04", 0.6515705217397803], ["2023-04-04", 0.689208945172841], ["2023-04-04", 0.6898981020600345], ["2023-04-04", 0.7187824666432763]] | https://manifold.markets/AlexbGoode/will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-apr | Closes 2pm EDT. Resolves 4pm EDT. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-04 | Will the S&P 500 close higher on April 4th than it closed on April 3rd? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-08 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-03", 0.25059936151895085], ["2023-04-03", 0.2821437817289156], ["2023-04-03", 0.337837837837838], ["2023-04-03", 0.4098360655737706], ["2023-04-04", 0.15744291383409936], ["2023-04-04", 0.1605704448381689], ["2023-04-04", 0.16384381649644778], ["2023-04-04", 0.17280015377691432], ["2023-04-04", 0.18511321854551047], ["2023-04-04", 0.2], ["2023-04-04", 0.2006681327304216], ["2023-04-04", 0.22999999999999995], ["2023-04-05", 0.11999999999999997], ["2023-04-05", 0.11999999999999997], ["2023-04-05", 0.11999999999999997], ["2023-04-05", 0.1339664221564586], ["2023-04-06", 0.02591957403202591], ["2023-04-06", 0.07101789010562463], ["2023-04-06", 0.07999999999999996], ["2023-04-06", 0.08999999999999998], ["2023-04-06", 0.09012611480363594], ["2023-04-06", 0.11451001788932982], ["2023-04-07", 0.019236389493186942], ["2023-04-07", 0.019416977359357754], ["2023-04-07", 0.019765064093990196], ["2023-04-07", 0.019848943728407748], ["2023-04-07", 0.02105216875625905], ["2023-04-07", 0.022526234905168127], ["2023-04-07", 0.022690790860528262], ["2023-04-07", 0.02357699108233415], ["2023-04-07", 0.023767083563632874], ["2023-04-08", 0.0024096942564711043], ["2023-04-08", 0.004559460611953935], ["2023-04-08", 0.006551990417683088], ["2023-04-08", 0.006759260634664175]] | https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-interpol-issue-an-arrest-warra-d62551a7e8cb | Going to add description later, getting market out now | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-08 | Will Interpol issue an arrest warrant for CZ (Binance CEO) by April 7th 2023 | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-30 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-03", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-04-03", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-04-03", 0.4524886877828055], ["2023-04-04", 0.3930978037754535], ["2023-04-11", 0.46892539292166235], ["2023-04-11", 0.5138527226137695], ["2023-04-12", 0.34271288267492234], ["2023-04-12", 0.4283001062485128], ["2023-04-13", 0.30000000000000004], ["2023-04-13", 0.3031254431224852], ["2023-04-13", 0.3221081362491519], ["2023-04-13", 0.32614287400672776], ["2023-04-13", 0.34000000000000014], ["2023-04-13", 0.3590068109791806], ["2023-04-13", 0.46892539292166235], ["2023-04-13", 0.46892539292166235], ["2023-04-15", 0.3086701620081359], ["2023-04-23", 0.30719157952587034], ["2023-04-26", 0.3000000000000003], ["2023-04-26", 0.3000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.06725208234425598], ["2023-04-27", 0.09413965237577314], ["2023-04-27", 0.09622675449485088], ["2023-04-27", 0.17714005946526934], ["2023-04-27", 0.2988164296843114], ["2023-04-28", 0.04642066270872923], ["2023-04-28", 0.05322262441735933], ["2023-04-28", 0.054191118363971814], ["2023-04-28", 0.05825618113681865], ["2023-04-28", 0.07286998816698093], ["2023-04-30", 0.005327110827109701], ["2023-04-30", 0.005902582988655843], ["2023-04-30", 0.006147659103751434], ["2023-04-30", 0.0064512001895557095], ["2023-04-30", 0.006651518074157381], ["2023-04-30", 0.0068957926122429234]] | https://manifold.markets/whenhaveiever/will-the-canadian-dollar-be-worth-m-e87732893887 | Market will be resolved based on this page: If the listed rate for May 1, 2023 at 00:00 UTC is 1 CAD > 0.75 USD, this market will resolve to YES. If the listed rate for May 1, 2023 at 00:00 UTC is 1 CAD ≤ 0.75 USD, this market will resolve to NO. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-30 | Will the Canadian dollar be worth more than US$0.75 at the end of April 2023? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-29 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-27", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.07056354082318066], ["2023-04-27", 0.07262593700752733], ["2023-04-27", 0.07280258192463385], ["2023-04-27", 0.07408539743754043], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999986], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999986], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999986], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999986], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999993], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999993], ["2023-04-27", 0.07999999999999993], ["2023-04-27", 0.08000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.08000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.08190644518371458], ["2023-04-27", 0.08190644518371458], ["2023-04-27", 0.08190644518371458], ["2023-04-27", 0.08190644518371458], ["2023-04-27", 0.08195840891247066], ["2023-04-27", 0.08222938656860046], ["2023-04-27", 0.08222938656860046], ["2023-04-27", 0.08322063195168027], ["2023-04-27", 0.08631378480477134], ["2023-04-27", 0.0879898569619006], ["2023-04-27", 0.0879898569619006], ["2023-04-27", 0.08843555624751462], ["2023-04-27", 0.08864274949822441], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999987], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999989], ["2023-04-27", 0.0899999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999997], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999997], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999997], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.08999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-27", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-27", 0.09003395385487725], ["2023-04-27", 0.09003395385487725], ["2023-04-27", 0.09004424216977946], ["2023-04-27", 0.09004424216977946], ["2023-04-27", 0.09022843935063289], ["2023-04-27", 0.09022843935063289], ["2023-04-27", 0.09022843935063289], ["2023-04-27", 0.09027546260700064], ["2023-04-27", 0.09027546260700064], ["2023-04-27", 0.09049193639047778], ["2023-04-27", 0.09049193639047778], ["2023-04-27", 0.09049193639047778], ["2023-04-27", 0.0905222029162653], ["2023-04-27", 0.09105290537968494], ["2023-04-27", 0.09106668545966734], ["2023-04-27", 0.09107888771567585], ["2023-04-27", 0.09116448098576362], ["2023-04-27", 0.09176022622037602], ["2023-04-27", 0.09176022622037602], ["2023-04-27", 0.09176022622037602], ["2023-04-27", 0.09198429554118452], ["2023-04-27", 0.09226250704341439], ["2023-04-27", 0.09247011823951937], ["2023-04-27", 0.09247011823951937], ["2023-04-27", 0.09247011823951937], ["2023-04-27", 0.09251482927612212], ["2023-04-27", 0.09251482927612212], ["2023-04-27", 0.09251482927612212], ["2023-04-27", 0.09271416656005793], ["2023-04-27", 0.09271416656005793], ["2023-04-27", 0.09271416656005793], ["2023-04-27", 0.09302363989335924], ["2023-04-27", 0.09326285185373288], ["2023-04-27", 0.09327942926047988], ["2023-04-27", 0.09333939705796183], ["2023-04-27", 0.09333939705796183], ["2023-04-27", 0.09359071635725535], ["2023-04-27", 0.09369257671658765], ["2023-04-27", 0.09395227844284007], ["2023-04-27", 0.0942164092470388], ["2023-04-27", 0.09436419199644566], ["2023-04-27", 0.09455729498789602], ["2023-04-27", 0.09478386169061512], ["2023-04-27", 0.0948230829487643], ["2023-04-27", 0.09495454372911079], ["2023-04-27", 0.09496548281038199], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619356], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499267654619356], ["2023-04-27", 0.09499593620491027], ["2023-04-27", 0.09562698484498601], ["2023-04-27", 0.09562698484498601], ["2023-04-27", 0.09566358630550915], ["2023-04-27", 0.09566358630550915], ["2023-04-27", 0.09566913908972305], ["2023-04-27", 0.09694526901907359], ["2023-04-27", 0.09698873508006595], ["2023-04-27", 0.09698873508006595], ["2023-04-27", 0.09698873508006595], ["2023-04-27", 0.09698873508006595], ["2023-04-27", 0.09702639596428841], ["2023-04-27", 0.09735288492015531], ["2023-04-27", 0.09746381383308188], ["2023-04-27", 0.09803881424694949], ["2023-04-27", 0.09915263494882667], ["2023-04-27", 0.09965155051574295], ["2023-04-27", 0.09967969321248552], ["2023-04-27", 0.09971635401970672], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999994], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.09999999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000003], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000005], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000005], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000005], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000006], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10000000000000012], ["2023-04-27", 0.10085004600446004], ["2023-04-27", 0.10085004600446004], ["2023-04-27", 0.10085004600446004], ["2023-04-27", 0.10085004600446004], ["2023-04-27", 0.10104371096291075], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.1012001686034984], ["2023-04-27", 0.10150828436043323], ["2023-04-27", 0.10150828436043323], ["2023-04-27", 0.10150828436043323], ["2023-04-27", 0.10150828436043323], ["2023-04-27", 0.10164404473823233], ["2023-04-27", 0.10193587391972474], ["2023-04-27", 0.10195244929452928], ["2023-04-27", 0.10200414875774294], ["2023-04-27", 0.10229751434117734], ["2023-04-27", 0.10260378057603911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10260378057603911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10264162222589555], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10267193911678908], ["2023-04-27", 0.10278950974948024], ["2023-04-27", 0.10297702347263543], ["2023-04-27", 0.10324356664625782], ["2023-04-27", 0.10341383247727064], ["2023-04-27", 0.10416775822034123], ["2023-04-27", 0.10457078912232719], ["2023-04-27", 0.10465741718415335], ["2023-04-27", 0.10465741718415335], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.10467484329570911], ["2023-04-27", 0.1046758295273147], ["2023-04-27", 0.1046758295273147], ["2023-04-27", 0.1046758295273147], ["2023-04-27", 0.1046758295273147], ["2023-04-27", 0.10468001081809251], ["2023-04-27", 0.1047498287402356], ["2023-04-27", 0.1047498287402356], ["2023-04-27", 0.1047498287402356], ["2023-04-27", 0.10495374539398762], ["2023-04-27", 0.10496982647462774], ["2023-04-27", 0.10497303336874021], ["2023-04-27", 0.10498066901012394], ["2023-04-27", 0.10498066901012394], ["2023-04-27", 0.10498332262516481], ["2023-04-27", 0.10499717005278562], ["2023-04-27", 0.10499717005278562], ["2023-04-27", 0.10499717005278562], ["2023-04-27", 0.10499717005278562], ["2023-04-27", 0.10499717005278562], ["2023-04-27", 0.10500037808697486], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.10522830064363169], ["2023-04-27", 0.1053012747358779], ["2023-04-27", 0.10530127473587801], ["2023-04-27", 0.10544040087212475], ["2023-04-27", 0.10679701645713266], ["2023-04-27", 0.10738955062993852], ["2023-04-27", 0.10743248695065839], ["2023-04-27", 0.10743248695065839], ["2023-04-27", 0.10743248695065839], ["2023-04-27", 0.10743248695065839], ["2023-04-27", 0.10743248695065839], ["2023-04-27", 0.1074482985520607], ["2023-04-27", 0.10754438476085317], ["2023-04-27", 0.10754438476085317], ["2023-04-27", 0.10767471764339014], ["2023-04-27", 0.10790822819505966], ["2023-04-27", 0.10818038035694234], ["2023-04-27", 0.10818038035694234], ["2023-04-27", 0.10821232616144841], ["2023-04-27", 0.10821232616144841], ["2023-04-27", 0.10868571538372393], ["2023-04-27", 0.10868571538372393], ["2023-04-27", 0.10970595056453866], ["2023-04-27", 0.10970595056453866], ["2023-04-27", 0.10999999999999992], ["2023-04-27", 0.10999999999999996], ["2023-04-27", 0.10999999999999996], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000007], ["2023-04-27", 0.1100000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.1100000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.1100000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.1100000000000001], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11000000000000013], ["2023-04-27", 0.11217161460599176], ["2023-04-27", 0.11217161460599176], ["2023-04-27", 0.11217161460599176], ["2023-04-27", 0.11242100593315921], ["2023-04-27", 0.11339960015586723], ["2023-04-27", 0.1141303491350678], ["2023-04-27", 0.11541035978933079], ["2023-04-27", 0.11641045842775885], ["2023-04-27", 0.11846406827447674], ["2023-04-27", 0.11846406827447674], ["2023-04-27", 0.12000000000000004], ["2023-04-27", 0.12031120971113579], ["2023-04-27", 0.1204233847290192], ["2023-04-27", 0.12056589753655535], ["2023-04-27", 0.1212168864998399], ["2023-04-27", 0.12231586922637878], ["2023-04-27", 0.12276762685792536], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-27", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-27", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-27", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-27", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.1256748420248952], ["2023-04-27", 0.12769041212450835], ["2023-04-27", 0.1293372359417689], ["2023-04-27", 0.12999999999999998], ["2023-04-27", 0.13186650627648966], ["2023-04-27", 0.13281422974298795], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13544424455314547], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13647044233978967], ["2023-04-27", 0.13841334788440043], ["2023-04-27", 0.14000000000000004], ["2023-04-27", 0.14000000000000015], ["2023-04-27", 0.14496555054957677], ["2023-04-27", 0.14916350702335332], ["2023-04-27", 0.1499999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.1499999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.1499999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.1499999999999999], ["2023-04-27", 0.14999999999999997], ["2023-04-27", 0.14999999999999997], ["2023-04-27", 0.15153232052376517], ["2023-04-27", 0.15153232052376517], ["2023-04-27", 0.15153232052376517], ["2023-04-27", 0.15999999999999998], ["2023-04-28", 0.04000000000000007], ["2023-04-28", 0.04367064556100081], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.05000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.050392374549394686], ["2023-04-28", 0.05056660565931964], ["2023-04-28", 0.050652202972810555], ["2023-04-28", 0.050804799429380224], ["2023-04-28", 0.050804799429380224], ["2023-04-28", 0.05082171365194719], ["2023-04-28", 0.05106459900201092], ["2023-04-28", 0.05106459900201092], ["2023-04-28", 0.05106459900201092], ["2023-04-28", 0.052436584721502214], ["2023-04-28", 0.05263186385873642], ["2023-04-28", 0.05264178929872178], ["2023-04-28", 0.0526607604771057], ["2023-04-28", 0.053518470313770716], ["2023-04-28", 0.05389619406275428], ["2023-04-28", 0.05464976421287216], ["2023-04-28", 0.055000876236095064], ["2023-04-28", 0.05511442716945982], ["2023-04-28", 0.05512606968776472], ["2023-04-28", 0.055314158395984796], ["2023-04-28", 0.05577935874413121], ["2023-04-28", 0.05577935874413121], ["2023-04-28", 0.055891710051523075], ["2023-04-28", 0.05598017038804973], ["2023-04-28", 0.05598017038804973], ["2023-04-28", 0.05598017038804973], ["2023-04-28", 0.05605411922128669], ["2023-04-28", 0.05797605684900772], ["2023-04-28", 0.058268988308512425], ["2023-04-28", 0.05895191371517386], ["2023-04-28", 0.0589648004283221], ["2023-04-28", 0.0596267054844857], ["2023-04-28", 0.05983358310147575], ["2023-04-28", 0.05983358310147575], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.05992567506962344], ["2023-04-28", 0.06], ["2023-04-28", 0.06], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000008], ["2023-04-28", 0.060000000000000095], ["2023-04-28", 0.06000000000000011], ["2023-04-28", 0.060349917664099514], ["2023-04-28", 0.060349917664099514], ["2023-04-28", 0.060349917664099514], ["2023-04-28", 0.06128822643298273], ["2023-04-28", 0.06152999793908963], ["2023-04-28", 0.0621797607417086], ["2023-04-28", 0.062349555089883726], ["2023-04-28", 0.0638626245735046], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.0640540806751269], ["2023-04-28", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-28", 0.0647904006258537], ["2023-04-28", 0.06576070518436257], ["2023-04-28", 0.06587327576389539], ["2023-04-28", 0.0663725242162388], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06671462960841319], ["2023-04-28", 0.06733453792985772], ["2023-04-28", 0.06742299740588689], ["2023-04-28", 0.06742299740588689], ["2023-04-28", 0.06807426328289337], ["2023-04-28", 0.06966725988103226], ["2023-04-28", 0.06968382814672959], ["2023-04-28", 0.06970040233003347], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000008], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000015], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000015], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000015], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000015], ["2023-04-28", 0.07000000000000015], ["2023-04-28", 0.07119738566738118], ["2023-04-28", 0.07157648611767066], ["2023-04-28", 0.07180254462042958], ["2023-04-28", 0.07180254462042958], ["2023-04-28", 0.07180254462042958], ["2023-04-28", 0.07180254462042958], ["2023-04-28", 0.07180254462042958], ["2023-04-28", 0.07252626999720996], ["2023-04-28", 0.07252626999720996], ["2023-04-28", 0.07380966788789123], ["2023-04-28", 0.07517246589579872], ["2023-04-28", 0.07545175204840963], ["2023-04-28", 0.07564986735381221], ["2023-04-28", 0.07564986735381221], ["2023-04-28", 0.07564986735381221], ["2023-04-28", 0.07588544774911336], ["2023-04-28", 0.07703044394888767], ["2023-04-28", 0.07703044394888767], ["2023-04-28", 0.07708190178096641], ["2023-04-28", 0.0771268299752633], ["2023-04-28", 0.07716685591255837], ["2023-04-28", 0.07716685591255837], ["2023-04-28", 0.07772578499265227], ["2023-04-28", 0.07772578499265227], ["2023-04-28", 0.07772578499265227], ["2023-04-28", 0.07797883092745932], ["2023-04-28", 0.07800009344799208], ["2023-04-28", 0.07800009344799208], ["2023-04-28", 0.07800009344799208], ["2023-04-28", 0.07808104705722457], ["2023-04-28", 0.07897302376060066], ["2023-04-28", 0.07897302376060066], ["2023-04-28", 0.07897302376060066], ["2023-04-28", 0.07900233235807927], ["2023-04-28", 0.07904645174320787], ["2023-04-28", 0.07950881773082988], ["2023-04-28", 0.07979657682157189], ["2023-04-28", 0.07999999999999996], ["2023-04-28", 0.07999999999999996], ["2023-04-28", 0.07999999999999999], ["2023-04-28", 0.08], ["2023-04-28", 0.08000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.08000000000000003], ["2023-04-28", 0.08025917226725403], ["2023-04-28", 0.08025917226725403], ["2023-04-28", 0.08149037770848636], ["2023-04-28", 0.08172667032991689], ["2023-04-28", 0.08172667032991689], ["2023-04-28", 0.08172667032991689], ["2023-04-28", 0.08196324072795336], ["2023-04-28", 0.08196324072795336], ["2023-04-28", 0.08196324072795336], ["2023-04-28", 0.08225057318210044], ["2023-04-28", 0.0825481110568391], ["2023-04-28", 0.08263361499902892], ["2023-04-28", 0.08297800034173088], ["2023-04-28", 0.08328018287597282], ["2023-04-28", 0.08330183023978015], ["2023-04-28", 0.08371367641564978], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08499317851441304], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08532883795807328], ["2023-04-28", 0.08551629942859251], ["2023-04-28", 0.08564390904494394], ["2023-04-28", 0.08565327088136526], ["2023-04-28", 0.08565327088136526], ["2023-04-28", 0.08608199977174606], ["2023-04-28", 0.08633506865151308], ["2023-04-28", 0.08706950610450832], ["2023-04-28", 0.08782850454026615], ["2023-04-28", 0.08808681625242831], ["2023-04-28", 0.08809288305720663], ["2023-04-28", 0.08832872072698915], ["2023-04-28", 0.08832872072698915], ["2023-04-28", 0.08833666074494259], ["2023-04-28", 0.08833666074494259], ["2023-04-28", 0.08833666074494259], ["2023-04-28", 0.08851681309370919], ["2023-04-28", 0.08858070415705971], ["2023-04-28", 0.08858070415705971], ["2023-04-28", 0.08858070415705971], ["2023-04-28", 0.08873716534722875], ["2023-04-28", 0.08882501284934974], ["2023-04-28", 0.08882501284934974], ["2023-04-28", 0.08882501284934974], ["2023-04-28", 0.08906958637719252], ["2023-04-28", 0.08906958637719252], ["2023-04-28", 0.08906958637719252], ["2023-04-28", 0.08927536068525889], ["2023-04-28", 0.08931442429555866], ["2023-04-28", 0.08931442429555866], ["2023-04-28", 0.08931442429555866], ["2023-04-28", 0.08955952615901176], ["2023-04-28", 0.08955952615901176], ["2023-04-28", 0.08955952615901176], ["2023-04-28", 0.08975748240281273], ["2023-04-28", 0.08975748240281274], ["2023-04-28", 0.08980489152171166], ["2023-04-28", 0.08980489152171166], ["2023-04-28", 0.08980489152171166], ["2023-04-28", 0.08998255242954895], ["2023-04-28", 0.08999999999999987], ["2023-04-28", 0.08999999999999987], ["2023-04-28", 0.08999999999999987], ["2023-04-28", 0.08999999999999987], ["2023-04-28", 0.0899999999999999], ["2023-04-28", 0.0899999999999999], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000004], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000005], ["2023-04-28", 0.09000000000000008], ["2023-04-28", 0.09116448098576362], ["2023-04-28", 0.09116448098576362], ["2023-04-28", 0.09143114585189817], ["2023-04-28", 0.09143114585189817], ["2023-04-28", 0.09143114585189817], ["2023-04-28", 0.09176022622037602], ["2023-04-28", 0.09176022622037602], ["2023-04-28", 0.0918423985888451], ["2023-04-28", 0.09325600520548118], ["2023-04-28", 0.09325600520548118], ["2023-04-28", 0.09325600520548118], ["2023-04-28", 0.09325600520548118], ["2023-04-28", 0.09325600520548118], ["2023-04-28", 0.093899836845392], ["2023-04-28", 0.09495454372911079], ["2023-04-28", 0.09495454372911079], ["2023-04-28", 0.09495454372911079], ["2023-04-28", 0.09495454372911079], ["2023-04-28", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-28", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-28", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-28", 0.09499267654619355], ["2023-04-28", 0.09999999999999991], ["2023-04-28", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.10000000000000002], ["2023-04-28", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-28", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-04-28", 0.1000000000000001], ["2023-04-28", 0.10190666645140171], ["2023-04-28", 0.10314549601253536], ["2023-04-28", 0.10446742311184355], ["2023-04-28", 0.10495435619398137], ["2023-04-28", 0.10624867346538037], ["2023-04-28", 0.10624867346538037], ["2023-04-28", 0.10624867346538037], ["2023-04-28", 0.10624867346538037], ["2023-04-28", 0.10999999999999993], ["2023-04-28", 0.10999999999999995], ["2023-04-28", 0.10999999999999995], ["2023-04-28", 0.10999999999999995], ["2023-04-28", 0.11000000000000008], ["2023-04-28", 0.11661374190538294], ["2023-04-28", 0.11661374190538294], ["2023-04-28", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-28", 0.12315346261902137], ["2023-04-28", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-28", 0.12351602808690793], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-28", 0.15935270021626605], ["2023-04-29", 0.05000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.05834403201380506], ["2023-04-29", 0.0586437589323144], ["2023-04-29", 0.05898350876392878], ["2023-04-29", 0.05962050163833584], ["2023-04-29", 0.05968678012086819], ["2023-04-29", 0.059686866852064285], ["2023-04-29", 0.05969921260804767], ["2023-04-29", 0.059699996477435055], ["2023-04-29", 0.0598937500315408], ["2023-04-29", 0.0598937500315408], ["2023-04-29", 0.0598937500315408], ["2023-04-29", 0.059999999999999984], ["2023-04-29", 0.059999999999999984], ["2023-04-29", 0.060157535798266264], ["2023-04-29", 0.06051656278377459], ["2023-04-29", 0.06078155706842935], ["2023-04-29", 0.060949861913273645], ["2023-04-29", 0.06096258626253371], ["2023-04-29", 0.06097099148229193], ["2023-04-29", 0.06105133657768248], ["2023-04-29", 0.061283967472958355], ["2023-04-29", 0.062489987177105626], ["2023-04-29", 0.0625243419565998], ["2023-04-29", 0.06271567099350651], ["2023-04-29", 0.06316274613676935], ["2023-04-29", 0.06334409650697925], ["2023-04-29", 0.0639208850126332], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06406547490620769], ["2023-04-29", 0.06475037555827377], ["2023-04-29", 0.06513600293918574], ["2023-04-29", 0.0658574790745135], ["2023-04-29", 0.06587270465761505], ["2023-04-29", 0.06616147222055818], ["2023-04-29", 0.06665406377585718], ["2023-04-29", 0.0670432790682575], ["2023-04-29", 0.06762526470169193], ["2023-04-29", 0.06782382263401909], ["2023-04-29", 0.068211001831646], ["2023-04-29", 0.06839247857922212], ["2023-04-29", 0.06839317993865766], ["2023-04-29", 0.06839317993865766], ["2023-04-29", 0.06839317993865766], ["2023-04-29", 0.06887002427713033], ["2023-04-29", 0.06913223395479764], ["2023-04-29", 0.06917319275339855], ["2023-04-29", 0.06920598281029608], ["2023-04-29", 0.0698168338464951], ["2023-04-29", 0.06983345555910174], ["2023-04-29", 0.0698334555591018], ["2023-04-29", 0.06983345555910181], ["2023-04-29", 0.069943969149027], ["2023-04-29", 0.06997497623393834], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999994], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999994], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999994], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999994], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999997], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.06999999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000003], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000005], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000006], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000008], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000008], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000009], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.0700000000000001], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000012], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000012], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000012], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000012], ["2023-04-29", 0.07000000000000012], ["2023-04-29", 0.07001668708759361], ["2023-04-29", 0.07290170040430871], ["2023-04-29", 0.07320399993295525], ["2023-04-29", 0.07741470358425036], ["2023-04-29", 0.07800009344799216], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.07989711814332769], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.0799999999999999], ["2023-04-29", 0.08000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.08189179608331772], ["2023-04-29", 0.08386223404379772], ["2023-04-29", 0.08386223404379772], ["2023-04-29", 0.08522337937191352], ["2023-04-29", 0.08750829048785527], ["2023-04-29", 0.08750829048785527], ["2023-04-29", 0.08750829048785527], ["2023-04-29", 0.08750829048785527], ["2023-04-29", 0.08818947144933745], ["2023-04-29", 0.09198429554118463], ["2023-04-29", 0.09236092635755593], ["2023-04-29", 0.09325232156303034], ["2023-04-29", 0.09447521307597406], ["2023-04-29", 0.09447521307597406], ["2023-04-29", 0.09493891616678497], ["2023-04-29", 0.09493891616678497], ["2023-04-29", 0.09493891616678497], ["2023-04-29", 0.09570820875959578], ["2023-04-29", 0.09586768057776361], ["2023-04-29", 0.09685142582025465], ["2023-04-29", 0.0972164578452615], ["2023-04-29", 0.09859363647606778], ["2023-04-29", 0.09859363647606778], ["2023-04-29", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-29", 0.10000000000000007], ["2023-04-29", 0.10044162502817605], ["2023-04-29", 0.10641499967432169], ["2023-04-29", 0.10960091873254546], ["2023-04-29", 0.11292998755137941], ["2023-04-29", 0.1164106380327917], ["2023-04-29", 0.12000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.12000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.12000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.12000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.12000000000000002], ["2023-04-29", 0.13642770992107728], ["2023-04-29", 0.13995334043132895], ["2023-04-29", 0.13999999999999996], ["2023-04-29", 0.13999999999999996]] | https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-whales-win-this-market | Team Whale gets 1 point for each 10,000 YES shares they collectively hold. Team Minnow gets 1 point for each trader holding NO shares. The team with the most points at close wins. The market stops normal trading activity at 18:30 Pacific time on April 24th. At this time, it enters "pseudorandom close mode", where it closes as soon as a bitcoin block is mined with a hash that ends in "00". (With 144 blocks per day and hexidecimal hashes, this means it'll likely resolve within 2 days.) I probably won't be online at the exact time the block is mined, so I'll just resolve the market whenever I get back and see that this has occurred. (It'll resolve based on the state it was in at the time the block was mined; any new investements from team Whale or new traders on Team Minnow afterwards won't count.) The information source on bitcoin hashes and mining times we'll use is All NO shareholders count towards team minnow's points, except: A "bot account" refers to any account with the "bot" tag that is clearly not human-controlled and has a good reason to exist as a separate account. (e.g. If anyone is suspicious that an account may be an undeclared alt being used to unfairly inflate team minnow's points, (which is a violation of Manifold's The resolution council may choose to disqualify some suspected alt accounts, even if Manifold has not banned them. Note that I phrased the market description in terms of "points" to make it more intuitive, but the title is the technically correct resolution. i.e. Team Whale can get fractional points, and they'll win a tie. (But a tie is extremely unlikely, since buying just 1 more share can break the tie.) Given the disagreements and ambiguity about this market's close date and resolution criteria, and the fact that I'm both the market creator and one of its largest shareholders, I have delegated its management to | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-29 | Whales vs. Minnows: Will traders hold at least 10000x as many YES shares as there are traders holding NO shares? | manifold | 0 |
2023-04-03 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-03", 0.5216616528387208], ["2023-04-03", 0.6075802838173553], ["2023-04-03", 0.6353558926487747], ["2023-04-03", 0.6437671523747335], ["2023-04-03", 0.7045680473372781], ["2023-04-03", 0.7644335026609236], ["2023-04-03", 0.8099999999999999], ["2023-04-03", 0.8291292009002306], ["2023-04-03", 0.8313088018940352], ["2023-04-03", 0.8355502086870652], ["2023-04-03", 0.8455065877956135], ["2023-04-03", 0.85], ["2023-04-03", 0.85], ["2023-04-03", 0.85], ["2023-04-03", 0.8689152990616997], ["2023-04-03", 0.8731377917591124], ["2023-04-03", 0.87394371650217], ["2023-04-03", 0.8762170178888499], ["2023-04-03", 0.8832347677265429], ["2023-04-03", 0.8832347677265429], ["2023-04-03", 0.8894364434601588], ["2023-04-03", 0.9085259719289985], ["2023-04-03", 0.9989332481747666], ["2023-04-03", 0.998935936993627], ["2023-04-03", 0.9989364087358622], ["2023-04-03", 0.9989431340699042], ["2023-04-03", 0.9989432665961592], ["2023-04-03", 0.9989443974759337]] | https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-this-market-have-a-bot-account-480c14a999df | I OR THE BOTS DONT COUNT TOWARDS USER COUNT. This exploit almost always never has worked in the past when we get 10 users as the requirement. Probably because there's v less incentive from people to buy when everyone buys yes. Let's try again. A proof-of-concept that allows a silly picking-pennies-up-off-the-ground attack on some automated traders as they apparently currently exist. Getting 10 participants implies that I'm picking up pennies off the ground for every run of this market (+$M10 from the system bonus) and you're picking up pennies off the ground that an easily-taunted trading bot drops on the floor. You're effectively betting against the bots' programming getting more sophisticated before close (assuming someone bothers to try to attack the bots somehow). Gpt-p try not to be the first user here. Apr 3, 10:03pm: | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-03 | Will this market have a bot account bet on it before close && will this market have >=10 human users submit a trade? | manifold | 1 |
2023-04-11 | 2023-04-03 | [] | BINARY | [["2023-04-03", 0.48720502041716507], ["2023-04-03", 0.5384047267355981], ["2023-04-04", 0.4743949632365169], ["2023-04-06", 0.4128352612430955], ["2023-04-09", 0.12996454467391647], ["2023-04-09", 0.17], ["2023-04-10", 0.00870077259943857], ["2023-04-10", 0.04265108721554878], ["2023-04-10", 0.06434624643084176], ["2023-04-10", 0.08786641220119637], ["2023-04-10", 0.11], ["2023-04-11", 0.00018869228908788226]] | https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/will-vaushs-video-the-craziest-pror | Not applicable/available for this question. | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2023-04-11 | Will Vaush's video "The Craziest Pro-Russia Propaganda You'll Ever See" reach 150k views by 4/10 9 A.M. PST? | manifold | 0 |