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[
"A",
"federal",
"judge",
"ruled",
"that",
"Imelda",
"Marcos",
"was",
"n't",
"brought",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
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"and",
"that",
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",",
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"do",
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".",
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",",
"Judge",
"John",
"F.",
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"ordered",
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"the",
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"foreign",
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".",
"Mrs.",
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"had",
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"that",
"she",
"did",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
"turn",
"over",
"the",
"documents",
"because",
"she",
"was",
"brought",
"here",
"involuntarily",
"and",
"because",
"providing",
"the",
"materials",
"would",
"violate",
"her",
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".",
"In",
"1988",
",",
"a",
"year",
"and",
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"after",
"Mrs.",
"Marcos",
"and",
"her",
"late",
"husband",
",",
"Ferdinand",
"Marcos",
",",
"the",
"ousted",
"president",
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"the",
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",",
"fled",
"the",
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"for",
"Hawaii",
",",
"they",
"were",
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"with",
"racketeering",
",",
"conspiracy",
",",
"obstruction",
"of",
"justice",
"and",
"mail",
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"in",
"a",
"scheme",
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"which",
"they",
"allegedly",
"embezzled",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"from",
"their",
"homeland",
".",
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"money",
"was",
"fraudulently",
"concealed",
"through",
"purchases",
"of",
"prime",
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"estate",
",",
"federal",
"prosecutors",
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".",
"Mrs.",
"Marcos",
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"expected",
"to",
"begin",
"in",
"March",
".",
"U.S.",
"law",
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"defendants",
"to",
"turn",
"over",
"foreign",
"documents",
"such",
"as",
"those",
"sought",
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"case",
".",
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"is",
"meant",
"to",
"overcome",
"delays",
"caused",
"by",
"defendants",
"'",
"use",
"of",
"foreign",
"procedures",
"to",
"block",
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"requests",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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"'",
"alleged",
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",",
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",",
"the",
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"and",
"other",
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".",
"On",
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"kidnapping",
",",
"Judge",
"Keenan",
"wrote",
",",
"``",
"The",
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"Marcos",
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"country",
"against",
"her",
"will",
"is",
"unsupported",
"by",
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"or",
"affirmation",
".",
"''",
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"judge",
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"two",
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"testimonial",
"privileges",
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"Mrs.",
"Marcos",
"do",
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".",
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"first",
"one",
"permits",
"a",
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"refuse",
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"her",
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".",
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"``",
"fostering",
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".",
"''",
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"Marcos",
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"Sept.",
"28",
",",
"the",
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"can",
"no",
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",",
"the",
"judge",
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".",
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"privilege",
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"Marcos",
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"confidential",
"communications",
"between",
"spouses",
".",
"But",
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"Keenan",
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"that",
"privilege",
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"meant",
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"--",
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"litigation",
"papers",
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",",
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".",
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"Keenan",
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"Marcos",
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",",
"he",
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"with",
"one",
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"her",
"concerns",
":",
"that",
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"the",
"foreign",
"documents",
"could",
"violate",
"the",
"defendant",
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"against",
"self-incrimination",
".",
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"a",
"result",
",",
"he",
"said",
"he",
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"the",
"Marcos",
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"the",
"prosecutors",
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"turning",
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"is",
"self-incrimination",
".",
"Judge",
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"Marcos",
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"right",
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"be",
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".",
"Mrs.",
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",",
"Sandor",
"Frankel",
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"she",
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"as",
"those",
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".",
"Charles",
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",",
"the",
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",",
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"seeking",
"comment",
".",
"U.S.",
".",
"AND",
"BRITISH",
"LAW",
"FIRMS",
"announce",
"rare",
"joint",
"venture",
"in",
"Tokyo",
".",
"Sidley",
"&",
"Austin",
",",
"a",
"leading",
"Chicago-based",
"law",
"firm",
",",
"and",
"Ashurst",
"Morris",
"Crisp",
",",
"a",
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"London",
"firm",
"of",
"solicitors",
",",
"are",
"scheduled",
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"to",
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"plans",
"to",
"open",
"a",
"joint",
"office",
"in",
"Tokyo",
".",
"The",
"firms",
"will",
"be",
"registered",
"under",
"Japanese",
"law",
"as",
"foreign",
"legal",
"consultants",
"and",
"their",
"practice",
"with",
"Japanese",
"clients",
"will",
"be",
"limited",
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"advising",
"them",
"on",
"matters",
"of",
"foreign",
"law",
".",
"The",
"office",
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"be",
"able",
"to",
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"foreign",
"and",
"multinational",
"clients",
"on",
"international",
"law",
"and",
"general",
"matters",
".",
"The",
"office",
"will",
"provide",
"``",
"one-stop",
"shopping",
"''",
"for",
"Japanese",
"financial",
"institutions",
"and",
"other",
"clients",
"seeking",
"advice",
"on",
"access",
"to",
"the",
"world",
"capital",
"markets",
",",
"according",
"to",
"A.",
"Bruce",
"Schimberg",
",",
"Sidley",
"'s",
"senior",
"banking",
"specialist",
",",
"who",
"will",
"move",
"to",
"Tokyo",
"from",
"Chicago",
"to",
"open",
"the",
"office",
"next",
"year",
".",
"The",
"Sidley-Ashurst",
"venture",
"will",
"also",
"be",
"staffed",
"by",
"another",
"Sidley",
"partner",
"specializing",
"in",
"corporate",
"law",
",",
"a",
"partner",
"from",
"Ashurst",
"concentrating",
"on",
"acquisitions",
"and",
"a",
"Japanese",
"attorney",
".",
"The",
"office",
"will",
"tap",
"the",
"resources",
"of",
"Sidley",
"'s",
"700",
"lawyers",
"in",
"the",
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",",
"London",
"and",
"Singapore",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"400",
"Ashurst",
"staff",
"members",
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"and",
"Brussels",
".",
"Ashurst",
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"new",
"to",
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".",
"Sidley",
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"the",
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"in",
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".",
"THE",
"UNITED",
"AUTO",
"WORKERS",
"said",
"it",
"will",
"seek",
"a",
"rehearing",
"of",
"a",
"U.S.",
"appellate",
"court",
"ruling",
"against",
"the",
"union",
"'s",
"claim",
"that",
"the",
"state",
"of",
"Michigan",
"engages",
"in",
"wage-discrimination",
"against",
"female",
"employees",
".",
"A",
"three-judge",
"panel",
"of",
"the",
"court",
"in",
"Cincinnati",
"made",
"the",
"ruling",
"Saturday",
".",
"The",
"UAW",
"is",
"seeking",
"a",
"hearing",
"by",
"the",
"full",
"14-judge",
"panel",
".",
"The",
"union",
"sued",
"the",
"state",
"in",
"November",
"1985",
",",
"alleging",
"that",
"it",
"intentionally",
"segregated",
"job",
"classifications",
"by",
"sex",
"and",
"paid",
"employees",
"in",
"predominantly",
"female",
"jobs",
"less",
"than",
"males",
"in",
"comparable",
"jobs",
".",
"The",
"UAW",
"also",
"charged",
"that",
"the",
"state",
"applied",
"its",
"own",
"standards",
"for",
"determining",
"pay",
"in",
"a",
"discriminatory",
"manner",
".",
"In",
"November",
"1987",
",",
"a",
"district",
"court",
"judge",
"in",
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"ruled",
"against",
"the",
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".",
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"union",
"is",
"the",
"bargaining",
"representative",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"20,000",
"Michigan",
"state",
"employees",
".",
"NEW",
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"MERGER",
":",
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"of",
"the",
"largest",
"law",
"firms",
"in",
"central",
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"Jersey",
"has",
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"the",
"merger",
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"Norris",
",",
"McLaughlin",
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",",
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"firm",
",",
"and",
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",",
"Kalison",
",",
"McBride",
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",",
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"14",
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".",
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".",
"DRUG",
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":",
"A",
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"drivers",
"'",
"licenses",
"of",
"some",
"drug",
"offenders",
".",
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"bill",
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"authorize",
"courts",
"to",
"order",
"the",
"licenses",
"as",
"a",
"condition",
"of",
"probation",
".",
"State",
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"J.E.",
"``",
"Buster",
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",",
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"running",
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"a",
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"to",
"drug",
"use",
".",
"Richard",
"Avena",
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"said",
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"drug",
"problem",
"as",
"a",
"health",
"issue",
"."
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[
"Elco",
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".",
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"``",
"slightly",
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"''",
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"155",
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".",
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[
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"Ahold",
".",
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"''",
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[
"Bullish",
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"rise",
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".",
"As",
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",",
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"the",
"news",
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"negative",
".",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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",",
"''",
"said",
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",",
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",",
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"Securities",
".",
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"is",
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"market",
",",
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"Oct.",
"13",
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"market",
"plunge",
",",
"bond",
"prices",
"will",
"start",
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"climb",
"on",
"the",
"prospects",
"that",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"will",
"allow",
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"rates",
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"the",
"coming",
"weeks",
".",
"That",
"would",
"be",
"comforting",
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"investors",
",",
"many",
"of",
"whom",
"were",
"badly",
"burned",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"by",
"incorrectly",
"assuming",
"that",
"the",
"Fed",
"would",
"ease",
".",
"Investors",
"rushed",
"to",
"buy",
"bonds",
"during",
"the",
"summer",
"as",
"prices",
"soared",
"on",
"speculation",
"that",
"interest",
"rates",
"would",
"continue",
"to",
"fall",
".",
"But",
"when",
"it",
"became",
"clear",
"that",
"rates",
"had",
"stabilized",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"Fed",
"'s",
"credit-easing",
"policy",
"was",
"on",
"hold",
",",
"bond",
"yields",
"jumped",
"and",
"prices",
"tumbled",
".",
"Long-term",
"bonds",
"have",
"performed",
"erratically",
"this",
"year",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"long-term",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
"tracked",
"by",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"&",
"Co.",
"produced",
"a",
"total",
"return",
"of",
"1",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
",",
"12.45",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
"and",
"-0.06",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
".",
"Total",
"return",
"is",
"price",
"changes",
"plus",
"interest",
"income",
".",
"Now",
"some",
"investment",
"analysts",
"insist",
"that",
"the",
"economic",
"climate",
"has",
"turned",
"cold",
"and",
"gloomy",
",",
"and",
"they",
"are",
"urging",
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"bonds",
"before",
"the",
"rally",
"begins",
".",
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"other",
"things",
",",
"economists",
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"spending",
"is",
"slowing",
",",
"corporate",
"profit",
"margins",
"are",
"being",
"squeezed",
",",
"business",
"confidence",
"is",
"slipping",
"and",
"construction",
"and",
"manufacturing",
"industries",
"are",
"depressed",
".",
"At",
"the",
"same",
"time",
",",
"last",
"week",
"'s",
"consumer",
"price",
"index",
"showed",
"that",
"inflation",
"is",
"moderating",
".",
"Add",
"it",
"all",
"up",
"and",
"it",
"means",
"``",
"that",
"the",
"Fed",
"has",
"a",
"little",
"leeway",
"to",
"ease",
"its",
"credit",
"policy",
"stance",
"without",
"the",
"risk",
"of",
"rekindling",
"inflation",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Norman",
"Robertson",
",",
"chief",
"economist",
"at",
"Mellon",
"Bank",
"Corp.",
",",
"Pittsburgh",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"we",
"will",
"see",
"a",
"federal",
"funds",
"rate",
"of",
"close",
"to",
"8",
"1/2",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"two",
"weeks",
"and",
"8",
"%",
"by",
"year",
"end",
".",
"''",
"The",
"federal",
"funds",
"rate",
",",
"which",
"banks",
"charge",
"each",
"other",
"on",
"overnight",
"loans",
",",
"is",
"considered",
"an",
"early",
"signal",
"of",
"changes",
"in",
"the",
"Fed",
"'s",
"credit",
"policy",
".",
"Economists",
"generally",
"agree",
"that",
"the",
"rate",
"was",
"lowered",
"by",
"the",
"Fed",
"from",
"around",
"9",
"%",
",",
"where",
"it",
"had",
"been",
"since",
"July",
",",
"to",
"about",
"8",
"3/4",
"%",
"in",
"early",
"October",
"on",
"the",
"heels",
"of",
"a",
"weak",
"employment",
"report",
".",
"Although",
"the",
"rate",
"briefly",
"drifted",
"even",
"lower",
"following",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"sell-off",
"that",
"occurred",
"Oct.",
"13",
",",
"it",
"ended",
"Friday",
"at",
"about",
"8",
"11/16",
"%",
".",
"James",
"Kochan",
",",
"chief",
"fixed-income",
"strategist",
"at",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
",",
"is",
"touting",
"shorter-term",
"securities",
",",
"which",
"he",
"says",
"should",
"benefit",
"more",
"quickly",
"than",
"longer-term",
"bonds",
"as",
"interest",
"rates",
"fall",
".",
"``",
"Given",
"our",
"forecast",
"for",
"lower",
"rates",
",",
"purchases",
"made",
"now",
"should",
"prove",
"quite",
"rewarding",
"before",
"year",
"end",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Mr.",
"Kochan",
"also",
"likes",
"long-term",
",",
"investment-grade",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"and",
"long-term",
"Treasurys",
".",
"He",
"says",
"these",
"bonds",
"should",
"appreciate",
"in",
"value",
"as",
"some",
"investors",
",",
"reacting",
"to",
"the",
"recent",
"turmoil",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
"and",
"high-yield",
"junk",
"bond",
"markets",
",",
"seek",
"safer",
"securities",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"-LCB-",
"Tennessee",
"Valley",
"Authority",
"-RCB-",
"sale",
"is",
"any",
"guide",
",",
"there",
"appears",
"to",
"be",
"good",
"demand",
"for",
"top-quality",
",",
"long-term",
"paper",
"from",
"both",
"domestic",
"and",
"overseas",
"accounts",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"TVA",
",",
"in",
"its",
"first",
"public",
"debt",
"offering",
"in",
"15",
"years",
",",
"sold",
"$",
"4",
"billion",
"of",
"long-term",
"and",
"intermediate-term",
"securities",
"last",
"week",
".",
"Strong",
"investor",
"demand",
"prompted",
"the",
"utility",
"to",
"boost",
"the",
"size",
"of",
"the",
"issue",
"from",
"$",
"3",
"billion",
".",
"TVA",
",",
"which",
"operates",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"largest",
"electric",
"power",
"systems",
",",
"is",
"a",
"corporation",
"owned",
"by",
"the",
"federal",
"government",
".",
"But",
"persuading",
"investors",
"to",
"buy",
"bonds",
"may",
"be",
"especially",
"tough",
"this",
"week",
",",
"when",
"the",
"U.S.",
"government",
"will",
"auction",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"30",
"billion",
"of",
"new",
"securities",
".",
"Today",
",",
"the",
"Treasury",
"Department",
"will",
"sell",
"$",
"15.6",
"billion",
"of",
"three-month",
"and",
"six-month",
"bills",
"at",
"the",
"regular",
"weekly",
"auction",
".",
"Tomorrow",
",",
"the",
"Treasury",
"will",
"sell",
"$",
"10",
"billion",
"of",
"two-year",
"notes",
".",
"Resolution",
"Funding",
"Corp.",
",",
"known",
"as",
"Refcorp",
",",
"a",
"division",
"of",
"a",
"new",
"government",
"agency",
"created",
"to",
"bail",
"out",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"troubled",
"savings",
"and",
"loan",
"associations",
",",
"will",
"hold",
"its",
"first",
"bond",
"auction",
"Wednesday",
",",
"when",
"it",
"will",
"sell",
"$",
"4.5",
"billion",
"of",
"30-year",
"bonds",
".",
"All",
"of",
"this",
"comes",
"ahead",
"of",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"big",
"quarterly",
"refunding",
"of",
"the",
"federal",
"debt",
",",
"which",
"takes",
"place",
"sometime",
"in",
"November",
".",
"So",
"far",
",",
"investors",
"have",
"n't",
"shown",
"much",
"appetite",
"for",
"Refcorp",
"'s",
"initial",
"bond",
"offering",
".",
"Roger",
"Early",
",",
"a",
"portfolio",
"manager",
"at",
"Federated",
"Investors",
"Corp.",
",",
"said",
"that",
"yields",
"on",
"the",
"so-called",
"bailout",
"bonds",
"are",
"n't",
"high",
"enough",
"to",
"attract",
"his",
"attention",
".",
"``",
"Why",
"should",
"I",
"bother",
"with",
"something",
"that",
"'s",
"an",
"unknown",
"for",
"a",
"very",
"small",
"pickup",
"in",
"yield",
"?",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"jump",
"on",
"them",
"the",
"first",
"day",
"they",
"come",
"out",
".",
"''",
"He",
"seems",
"to",
"be",
"typical",
"of",
"many",
"professional",
"money",
"managers",
".",
"When",
"the",
"size",
"of",
"the",
"Refcorp",
"offering",
"was",
"announced",
"last",
"week",
"and",
"when-issued",
"trading",
"activity",
"began",
",",
"the",
"bailout",
"bonds",
"were",
"yielding",
"about",
"1/20",
"percentage",
"point",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"Treasury",
"'s",
"benchmark",
"30-year",
"bond",
".",
"On",
"Friday",
",",
"the",
"yield",
"was",
"quoted",
"at",
"about",
"1/4",
"percentage",
"point",
"higher",
"than",
"the",
"benchmark",
"bond",
",",
"an",
"indication",
"of",
"weak",
"demand",
".",
"Some",
"economists",
"believe",
"that",
"yields",
"on",
"all",
"Treasury",
"securities",
"may",
"rise",
"this",
"week",
"as",
"the",
"market",
"struggles",
"to",
"absorb",
"the",
"new",
"supply",
".",
"But",
"once",
"the",
"new",
"securities",
"are",
"digested",
",",
"they",
"expect",
"investors",
"to",
"focus",
"on",
"the",
"weak",
"economic",
"data",
".",
"``",
"The",
"supply",
"is",
"not",
"a",
"constraint",
"to",
"the",
"market",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Samuel",
"Kahan",
",",
"chief",
"financial",
"economist",
"at",
"Kleinwort",
"Benson",
"Government",
"Securities",
"Inc",
".",
"``",
"If",
"one",
"thinks",
"that",
"rates",
"are",
"going",
"down",
",",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"care",
"how",
"much",
"supply",
"is",
"coming",
".",
"''",
"Friday",
"'s",
"Market",
"Activity",
"Most",
"bond",
"prices",
"fell",
"on",
"concerns",
"about",
"this",
"week",
"'s",
"new",
"supply",
"and",
"disappointment",
"that",
"stock",
"prices",
"did",
"n't",
"stage",
"a",
"sharp",
"decline",
".",
"Junk",
"bond",
"prices",
"moved",
"higher",
",",
"however",
".",
"In",
"early",
"trading",
",",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
"were",
"higher",
"on",
"expectations",
"that",
"a",
"surge",
"in",
"buying",
"among",
"Japanese",
"investors",
"would",
"continue",
".",
"Also",
"providing",
"support",
"to",
"Treasurys",
"was",
"hope",
"that",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"might",
"see",
"declines",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"expiration",
"of",
"some",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"and",
"options",
"on",
"indexes",
"and",
"individual",
"stocks",
".",
"Those",
"hopes",
"were",
"dashed",
"when",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"put",
"in",
"a",
"relatively",
"quiet",
"performance",
".",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
"ended",
"with",
"losses",
"of",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"1/4",
"point",
",",
"or",
"about",
"$",
"2.50",
"for",
"each",
"$",
"1,000",
"face",
"amount",
".",
"The",
"benchmark",
"30-year",
"bond",
",",
"which",
"traded",
"as",
"high",
"as",
"102",
"1/4",
"during",
"the",
"day",
",",
"ended",
"at",
"101",
"17/32",
".",
"The",
"yield",
"on",
"the",
"benchmark",
"bond",
"rose",
"slightly",
"to",
"7.98",
"%",
"from",
"7.96",
"%",
".",
"In",
"the",
"corporate",
"bond",
"market",
",",
"traders",
"said",
"the",
"new-issue",
"market",
"for",
"junk",
"bonds",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"following",
"Chicago",
"&",
"North",
"Western",
"Acquisition",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"$",
"475",
"million",
"junk",
"bond",
"offering",
"Friday",
".",
"Today",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"underwriters",
"at",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"&",
"Co.",
"said",
"they",
"expect",
"to",
"price",
"a",
"$",
"150",
"million",
",",
"12-year",
"senior",
"subordinated",
"debenture",
"offering",
"by",
"Imo",
"Industries",
"Inc",
".",
"Traders",
"expect",
"the",
"issue",
"to",
"be",
"priced",
"to",
"yield",
"12",
"%",
".",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Inc.",
"said",
"that",
"a",
"$",
"150",
"million",
"senior",
"subordinated",
"discount",
"debenture",
"issue",
"by",
"R.P.",
"Scherer",
"Drugs",
"is",
"expected",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"month",
".",
"However",
",",
"despite",
"the",
"big",
"new-issue",
"calendar",
",",
"many",
"junk",
"bond",
"investors",
"and",
"analysts",
"are",
"skeptical",
"the",
"deals",
"will",
"get",
"done",
".",
"``",
"There",
"are",
"about",
"a",
"dozen",
"more",
"deals",
"coming",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Michael",
"McNamara",
",",
"director",
"of",
"fixed-income",
"research",
"at",
"Kemper",
"Financial",
"Services",
"Inc",
".",
"``",
"If",
"they",
"had",
"this",
"much",
"trouble",
"with",
"Chicago",
"&",
"North",
"Western",
",",
"they",
"are",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"an",
"awful",
"time",
"with",
"the",
"rest",
".",
"''",
"Last",
"week",
",",
"underwriters",
"were",
"forced",
"to",
"postpone",
"three",
"junk",
"bond",
"deals",
"because",
"of",
"recent",
"weakness",
"in",
"the",
"market",
".",
"And",
"pressure",
"by",
"big",
"investors",
"forced",
"Donaldson",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
"Securities",
"Corp.",
"to",
"sweeten",
"Chicago",
"&",
"North",
"Western",
"'s",
"$",
"475",
"million",
"junk",
"bond",
"offering",
".",
"After",
"hours",
"of",
"negotiating",
"that",
"stretched",
"late",
"into",
"Thursday",
"night",
",",
"underwriters",
"priced",
"the",
"12-year",
"issue",
"of",
"resettable",
"senior",
"subordinated",
"debentures",
"at",
"par",
"to",
"yield",
"14.75",
"%",
",",
"higher",
"than",
"the",
"14.5",
"%",
"that",
"had",
"been",
"expected",
".",
"The",
"coupon",
"on",
"the",
"issue",
"will",
"be",
"reset",
"in",
"one",
"year",
"at",
"a",
"rate",
"that",
"will",
"give",
"the",
"issue",
"a",
"market",
"value",
"of",
"101",
".",
"However",
",",
"the",
"maximum",
"coupon",
"rate",
"on",
"the",
"issue",
"when",
"it",
"is",
"reset",
"is",
"15.50",
"%",
".",
"Debenture",
"holders",
"also",
"will",
"receive",
"the",
"equivalent",
"of",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"common",
"stock",
"in",
"Chicago",
"&",
"North",
"Western",
"'s",
"parent",
"company",
".",
"``",
"The",
"coupon",
"was",
"raised",
"to",
"induce",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"big",
"players",
"on",
"the",
"fence",
"to",
"come",
"in",
",",
"''",
"said",
"a",
"spokesman",
"for",
"Donaldson",
".",
"``",
"We",
"put",
"a",
"price",
"on",
"the",
"deal",
"that",
"the",
"market",
"required",
"to",
"get",
"it",
"done",
".",
"''",
"The",
"spokesman",
"said",
"the",
"issue",
"was",
"sold",
"out",
"and",
"met",
"with",
"strong",
"interest",
"abroad",
",",
"particularly",
"from",
"Japanese",
"investors",
".",
"In",
"the",
"secondary",
",",
"or",
"resale",
",",
"market",
",",
"junk",
"bonds",
"closed",
"1/2",
"point",
"higher",
",",
"while",
"investment-grade",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"fell",
"1/8",
"to",
"1/4",
"point",
"."
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[
"Prime",
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"(",
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")",
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"Vishwanath",
"Pratap",
"Singh",
".",
"The",
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"--",
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"disappointments",
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"wide",
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",",
"Mr.",
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"on",
"Nov.",
"22",
"and",
"24",
".",
"The",
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"be",
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"two",
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".",
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"expires",
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";",
"the",
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")",
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"rigorous",
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"(",
"I",
")",
",",
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"has",
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"40",
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"42",
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".",
"After",
"a",
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"win",
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"held",
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"Indira",
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"make",
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"remain",
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"in",
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"bureaucracy",
".",
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",",
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",",
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"His",
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"Mr.",
"Clean",
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"an",
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",",
"which",
"will",
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"reduce",
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"and",
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"local",
"government",
"will",
"crest",
"at",
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"polls",
".",
"``",
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"a",
"wide",
"feeling",
"of",
"indignation",
"across",
"the",
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",",
"''",
"says",
"Bhabani",
"Sen",
"Gupta",
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"the",
"Center",
"for",
"Policy",
"Research",
",",
"in",
"New",
"Delhi",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"the",
"people",
"will",
"be",
"judging",
"the",
"regime",
"by",
"a",
"petty",
"policeman",
",",
"by",
"a",
"corrupt",
"revenue",
"collector",
".",
"This",
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"against",
"an",
"administrative",
"failure",
".",
"''",
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"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"retains",
"control",
"of",
"the",
"government",
",",
"Mr.",
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"push",
"through",
"major",
"initiatives",
"might",
"be",
"hobbled",
"by",
"a",
"thinner",
"majority",
".",
"Economic",
"analysts",
"call",
"his",
"trail-blazing",
"liberalization",
"of",
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"incomplete",
",",
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"many",
"are",
"hoping",
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"The",
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",",
"has",
"542",
"elected",
"and",
"two",
"appointed",
"seats",
".",
"In",
"1984",
",",
"the",
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"(",
"I",
")",
"captured",
"405",
"seats",
",",
"the",
"largest",
"victory",
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"history",
"of",
"Indian",
"democracy",
".",
"The",
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"was",
"fueled",
"by",
"panic",
"that",
"prevailed",
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"at",
"the",
"time",
".",
"Mrs.",
"Gandhi",
"had",
"been",
"assassinated",
"by",
"separatist",
"Sikhs",
",",
"and",
"many",
"Indians",
"feared",
"their",
"country",
"might",
"split",
"apart",
".",
"In",
"the",
"previous",
"three",
"general",
"elections",
",",
"similar",
"national",
"issues",
"clinched",
"the",
"vote",
".",
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"1971",
",",
"the",
"Congress",
"Party",
"won",
"after",
"India",
"'s",
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"in",
"the",
"Bangladesh",
"war",
".",
"In",
"1977",
",",
"Mrs.",
"Gandhi",
"was",
"thrown",
"out",
"of",
"office",
"after",
"her",
"19-month",
"emergency",
"rule",
",",
"and",
"in",
"1980",
",",
"after",
"her",
"successors",
"made",
"a",
"mess",
"of",
"their",
"three",
"years",
"in",
"power",
",",
"she",
"was",
"restored",
"to",
"office",
".",
"Most",
"political",
"analysts",
"say",
"that",
"if",
"Mr.",
"Gandhi",
"'s",
"opposition",
"unites",
"to",
"field",
"single",
"candidates",
"in",
"most",
"precincts",
",",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"will",
"lose",
"big",
".",
"But",
"if",
"the",
"opposition",
"remains",
"fractured",
",",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"could",
"win",
"a",
"small",
"majority",
",",
"or",
"lead",
"a",
"coalition",
"government",
".",
"Chimanbhai",
"Mehta",
",",
"a",
"parliamentarian",
"and",
"former",
"Gandhi",
"ally",
",",
"predicts",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"will",
"win",
"only",
"150",
"seats",
",",
"a",
"quarter",
"of",
"the",
"house",
",",
"if",
"the",
"opposition",
"fields",
"single",
"candidates",
"in",
"80",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"races",
".",
"Analysts",
"say",
"the",
"opposition",
"will",
"struggle",
"this",
"week",
"to",
"unite",
",",
"and",
"its",
"success",
"will",
"be",
"clear",
"only",
"when",
"it",
"announces",
"its",
"final",
"list",
"of",
"parliamentary",
"candidates",
".",
"The",
"arms-kickback",
"scandal",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"big",
"talking",
"points",
"in",
"the",
"campaign",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"unclear",
"how",
"it",
"is",
"viewed",
"by",
"average",
"Indian",
"voters",
".",
"In",
"1986",
",",
"India",
"signed",
"a",
"$",
"1.4",
"billion",
"contract",
"with",
"AB",
"Bofors",
",",
"a",
"unit",
"of",
"Nobel",
"Industries",
"Sweden",
"AB",
",",
"to",
"purchase",
"400",
"artillery",
"pieces",
".",
"The",
"contract",
"was",
"negotiated",
"by",
"the",
"countries",
"'",
"two",
"prime",
"ministers",
",",
"and",
"was",
"supposed",
"to",
"be",
"free",
"of",
"commissions",
"or",
"agents",
"'",
"costs",
".",
"In",
"April",
"1987",
",",
"evidence",
"surfaced",
"that",
"commissions",
"were",
"paid",
".",
"The",
"opposition",
"charged",
"that",
"the",
"money",
"was",
"used",
"to",
"bribe",
"Indian",
"government",
"officials",
",",
"an",
"allegation",
"denied",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Gandhi",
"'s",
"administration",
".",
"But",
"many",
"of",
"his",
"statements",
"on",
"the",
"issue",
"in",
"Parliament",
"subsequently",
"were",
"proven",
"wrong",
"by",
"documentary",
"evidence",
".",
"The",
"scandal",
"has",
"faded",
"and",
"flared",
",",
"but",
"recent",
"disclosures",
"propelled",
"it",
"back",
"onto",
"the",
"front",
"pages",
",",
"and",
"that",
"has",
"helped",
"galvanize",
"the",
"opposition",
",",
"which",
"last",
"week",
"blocked",
"passage",
"of",
"two",
"constitutional",
"amendment",
"bills",
".",
"It",
"was",
"the",
"first",
"time",
"in",
"20",
"years",
"that",
"such",
"government",
"bills",
"were",
"defeated",
".",
"In",
"a",
"country",
"where",
"a",
"bribe",
"is",
"needed",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"phone",
",",
"a",
"job",
",",
"and",
"even",
"into",
"a",
"school",
",",
"the",
"name",
"Bofors",
"has",
"become",
"a",
"potent",
"rallying",
"cry",
"against",
"the",
"government",
".",
"That",
"illustrates",
"the",
"kind",
"of",
"disappointment",
"many",
"Indians",
"feel",
"toward",
"Mr.",
"Gandhi",
",",
"whom",
"they",
"zestfully",
"elected",
"and",
"enthusiastically",
"supported",
"in",
"his",
"first",
"two",
"years",
"in",
"power",
".",
"His",
"term",
"has",
"produced",
"no",
"spectacular",
"failures",
"in",
"politics",
",",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
"or",
"on",
"the",
"military",
"front",
",",
"and",
"has",
"chalked",
"up",
"some",
"successes",
".",
"But",
"the",
"average",
"Indian",
"had",
"tremendous",
"hope",
"in",
"the",
"youthful",
"leader",
"and",
"his",
"promise",
"to",
"make",
"both",
"government",
"and",
"the",
"ruling",
"party",
"more",
"effective",
"and",
"less",
"corrupt",
".",
"His",
"failures",
"in",
"those",
"two",
"areas",
"deeply",
",",
"and",
"sometimes",
"bitterly",
",",
"disappointed",
"many",
"Indians",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"like",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Sooraji",
"Jath",
",",
"a",
"farmer",
"in",
"the",
"western",
"state",
"of",
"Gujarat",
".",
"``",
"The",
"Congress",
"government",
"is",
"taking",
"the",
"farmers",
"'",
"bread",
"and",
"not",
"giving",
"us",
"any",
"support",
".",
"When",
"there",
"are",
"well",
"problems",
",",
"light",
"problems",
",",
"road",
"problems",
",",
"the",
"government",
"tells",
"us",
"to",
"forget",
"it",
".",
"''",
"The",
"greatest",
"thing",
"going",
"for",
"Mr.",
"Gandhi",
"and",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"Party",
"is",
"the",
"poor",
"reputation",
"of",
"the",
"opposition",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"it",
"unites",
"for",
"the",
"elections",
",",
"its",
"coherence",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"temporary",
".",
"When",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"lost",
"the",
"1977",
"election",
",",
"following",
"Mrs.",
"Gandhi",
"'s",
"hated",
"emergency",
"rule",
",",
"a",
"similar",
"coalition",
"took",
"power",
"and",
"then",
"disintegrated",
".",
"Many",
"Indians",
"fear",
"a",
"repeat",
"of",
"that",
"experience",
".",
"March",
"24",
",",
"1986",
":",
"AB",
"Bofors",
",",
"a",
"unit",
"of",
"Nobel",
"Industries",
"Sweden",
"AB",
",",
"enters",
"into",
"a",
"$",
"1.4",
"billion",
"contract",
"with",
"India",
"'s",
"Defense",
"Ministry",
"to",
"supply",
"400",
"Bofors",
"FH-77B",
"155-mm",
"field",
"howitzer",
"guns",
".",
"In",
"1985",
",",
"Prime",
"Minister",
"Rajiv",
"Gandhi",
",",
"in",
"his",
"talks",
"with",
"then",
"Swedish",
"Prime",
"Minister",
"Olof",
"Palme",
",",
"imposed",
"the",
"condition",
"that",
"the",
"contract",
"have",
"no",
"middlemen",
".",
"April",
"16",
",",
"1987",
":",
"Swedish",
"National",
"Radio",
"reports",
"that",
"about",
"$",
"40",
"million",
"--",
"nearly",
"3",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"total",
"contract",
"--",
"was",
"paid",
"by",
"Bofors",
"as",
"commissions",
"to",
"middlemen",
".",
"June",
"1",
",",
"1987",
":",
"Sweden",
"'s",
"National",
"Audit",
"Bureau",
"releases",
"its",
"report",
"confirming",
"payment",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"40",
"million",
"to",
"unidentified",
"Indians",
".",
"The",
"report",
"says",
"that",
"investigations",
"were",
"severely",
"hampered",
"by",
"lack",
"of",
"cooperation",
"from",
"Bofors",
".",
"Bofors",
"says",
"it",
"ca",
"n't",
"disclose",
"the",
"names",
"of",
"the",
"middlemen",
"because",
"it",
"would",
"jeopardize",
"industrial",
"confidentiality",
".",
"A",
"portion",
"of",
"the",
"report",
"containing",
"names",
"of",
"the",
"middlemen",
"is",
"withheld",
"by",
"officials",
"citing",
"bank",
"secrecy",
"requirements",
".",
"Aug.",
"6",
",",
"1987",
":",
"Prime",
"Minister",
"Gandhi",
"tells",
"the",
"Indian",
"Parliament",
",",
"``",
"...",
"neither",
"I",
"nor",
"any",
"member",
"of",
"my",
"family",
"has",
"received",
"any",
"consideration",
"in",
"these",
"transactions",
".",
"That",
"is",
"the",
"truth",
".",
"''",
"Aug.",
"26",
",",
"1987",
":",
"Bofors",
"admits",
"payments",
"of",
"$",
"41",
"million",
"to",
"middlemen",
".",
"April",
"22",
",",
"1988",
":",
"The",
"Hindu",
"newspaper",
"publishes",
"facsimiles",
"of",
"bank",
"documents",
"for",
"foreign-exchange",
"remittances",
"and",
"letters",
"between",
"Bofors",
"and",
"certain",
"private",
"companies",
"related",
"to",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"the",
"guns",
"to",
"India",
".",
"April",
"26",
",",
"1988",
":",
"A",
"parliamentary",
"investigative",
"committee",
"dominated",
"by",
"the",
"Congress",
"(",
"I",
")",
"Party",
"concludes",
"that",
"there",
"were",
"no",
"middlemen",
"in",
"the",
"deal",
"and",
"no",
"payment",
"to",
"any",
"Indian",
"individual",
"or",
"company",
".",
"July",
"18",
",",
"1989",
":",
"The",
"comptroller",
"and",
"auditor-general",
"of",
"India",
"reports",
"serious",
"lapses",
"in",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"technical",
"and",
"financial",
"evaluation",
"of",
"the",
"Bofors",
"deal",
".",
"Sept.",
"15",
",",
"1989",
":",
"Retired",
"army",
"Chief",
"of",
"Staff",
"Krishnaswami",
"Sundarji",
"discloses",
"in",
"an",
"interview",
"that",
"he",
"suggested",
"in",
"May",
"1987",
"that",
"the",
"government",
"cancel",
"the",
"Bofors",
"contract",
".",
"According",
"to",
"Gen.",
"Sundarji",
",",
"that",
"would",
"have",
"forced",
"Bofors",
"to",
"disclose",
"the",
"names",
"of",
"the",
"middlemen",
"who",
"received",
"kickbacks",
"from",
"the",
"company",
".",
"His",
"recommendation",
"was",
"rejected",
"by",
"the",
"government",
".",
"Oct.",
"9.",
"1989",
":",
"The",
"Hindu",
"newspaper",
"publishes",
"the",
"withheld",
"portion",
"of",
"the",
"Swedish",
"National",
"Audit",
"Bureau",
"'s",
"report",
".",
"The",
"disclosures",
"state",
"that",
"commissions",
"were",
"paid",
"by",
"Bofors",
"to",
"an",
"Indian",
"agent",
"of",
"the",
"arms",
"company",
"."
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"allotment",
"to",
"bonds",
"--",
"preferably",
"government",
"bonds",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"tempting",
"to",
"think",
"these",
"defensive",
"steps",
"can",
"be",
"delayed",
"until",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"clearly",
"at",
"hand",
".",
"But",
"that",
"may",
"not",
"be",
"possible",
",",
"because",
"recessions",
"often",
"take",
"investors",
"by",
"surprise",
".",
"``",
"They",
"always",
"seem",
"to",
"come",
"a",
"bit",
"later",
"than",
"you",
"expect",
".",
"When",
"they",
"do",
"hit",
",",
"they",
"hit",
"fast",
",",
"''",
"says",
"David",
"A.",
"Wyss",
",",
"chief",
"financial",
"economist",
"at",
"the",
"Data",
"Resources",
"division",
"of",
"McGraw-Hill",
"Inc",
".",
"Though",
"he",
"himself",
"does",
"n't",
"expect",
"a",
"recession",
"soon",
",",
"Mr.",
"Wyss",
"advises",
"people",
"who",
"do",
"that",
"``",
"the",
"best",
"thing",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"is",
"long",
"that",
"is",
",",
"20-year",
"to",
"30-year",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
".",
"''",
"The",
"reason",
"is",
"simple",
",",
"Mr.",
"Wyss",
"says",
":",
"``",
"Interest",
"rates",
"almost",
"always",
"decline",
"during",
"recession",
".",
"''",
"As",
"surely",
"as",
"a",
"seesaw",
"tilts",
",",
"falling",
"interest",
"rates",
"force",
"up",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"previously",
"issued",
"bonds",
".",
"They",
"are",
"worth",
"more",
"because",
"they",
"pay",
"higher",
"interest",
"than",
"newly",
"issued",
"bonds",
"do",
".",
"That",
"effect",
"holds",
"true",
"for",
"both",
"short-term",
"and",
"long-term",
"bonds",
".",
"But",
"short-term",
"bonds",
"ca",
"n't",
"rise",
"too",
"much",
",",
"because",
"everyone",
"knows",
"they",
"will",
"be",
"redeemed",
"at",
"a",
"preset",
"price",
"fairly",
"soon",
".",
"Long-term",
"bonds",
",",
"with",
"many",
"years",
"left",
"before",
"maturity",
",",
"swing",
"more",
"widely",
"in",
"price",
".",
"But",
"not",
"just",
"any",
"bonds",
"will",
"do",
".",
"Corporate",
"bonds",
"``",
"are",
"usually",
"not",
"a",
"good",
"bet",
"in",
"a",
"recession",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Wyss",
"says",
".",
"As",
"times",
"get",
"tougher",
",",
"investors",
"fret",
"about",
"whether",
"companies",
"will",
"have",
"enough",
"money",
"to",
"pay",
"their",
"debts",
".",
"This",
"hurts",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"corporate",
"bonds",
".",
"Also",
",",
"he",
"notes",
",",
"``",
"most",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"are",
"callable",
".",
"''",
"That",
"means",
"that",
"a",
"corporation",
",",
"after",
"a",
"specified",
"amount",
"of",
"time",
"has",
"passed",
",",
"can",
"buy",
"back",
"its",
"bonds",
"by",
"paying",
"investors",
"the",
"face",
"value",
"(",
"plus",
",",
"in",
"some",
"cases",
",",
"a",
"sweetener",
")",
".",
"When",
"interest",
"rates",
"have",
"dropped",
",",
"it",
"makes",
"sense",
"for",
"corporations",
"to",
"do",
"just",
"that",
";",
"they",
"then",
"save",
"on",
"interest",
"costs",
".",
"But",
"the",
"investors",
"are",
"left",
"stranded",
"with",
"money",
"to",
"reinvest",
"at",
"a",
"time",
"when",
"interest",
"rates",
"are",
"puny",
".",
"If",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"are",
"bad",
"in",
"recessions",
",",
"junk",
"bonds",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"the",
"worst",
"of",
"all",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"an",
"``",
"absolute",
"necessity",
"''",
"to",
"get",
"out",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
"when",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"in",
"the",
"offing",
",",
"says",
"Avner",
"Arbel",
",",
"professor",
"of",
"finance",
"at",
"Cornell",
"University",
".",
"``",
"Such",
"bonds",
"are",
"very",
"sensitive",
"to",
"the",
"downside",
",",
"and",
"this",
"could",
"be",
"a",
"disaster",
".",
"''",
"Municipal",
"bonds",
"are",
"generally",
"a",
"bit",
"safer",
"than",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"in",
"a",
"recession",
",",
"but",
"not",
"as",
"safe",
"as",
"bonds",
"issued",
"by",
"the",
"federal",
"government",
".",
"During",
"an",
"economic",
"slump",
",",
"local",
"tax",
"revenues",
"often",
"go",
"down",
",",
"raising",
"the",
"risks",
"associated",
"with",
"at",
"least",
"some",
"municipals",
".",
"And",
",",
"like",
"corporates",
",",
"many",
"municipal",
"bonds",
"are",
"callable",
".",
"But",
"a",
"few",
"experts",
",",
"going",
"against",
"the",
"consensus",
",",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"bonds",
"would",
"help",
"investors",
"even",
"if",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"in",
"the",
"offing",
".",
"One",
"of",
"these",
"is",
"Jeffrey",
"L.",
"Beach",
",",
"director",
"of",
"research",
"for",
"Underwood",
"Neuhaus",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"a",
"brokerage",
"house",
"in",
"Houston",
",",
"who",
"thinks",
"that",
"``",
"we",
"'re",
"either",
"in",
"a",
"recession",
"or",
"about",
"to",
"go",
"into",
"one",
".",
"''",
"What",
"'s",
"more",
",",
"he",
"thinks",
"this",
"could",
"be",
"a",
"nastier",
"recession",
"than",
"usual",
":",
"``",
"Once",
"the",
"downturn",
"comes",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"very",
"hard",
"to",
"reverse",
".",
"''",
"Investors",
",",
"he",
"advises",
",",
"``",
"should",
"be",
"cautious",
",",
"''",
"holding",
"fewer",
"stocks",
"than",
"usual",
"and",
"also",
"shunning",
"bonds",
".",
"Because",
"he",
"sees",
"a",
"``",
"5",
"%",
"to",
"6",
"%",
"base",
"rate",
"of",
"inflation",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
",",
"''",
"he",
"doubts",
"that",
"interest",
"rates",
"will",
"fall",
"much",
"any",
"time",
"soon",
".",
"Instead",
",",
"Mr.",
"Beach",
"says",
",",
"investors",
"``",
"probably",
"should",
"be",
"carrying",
"a",
"very",
"high",
"level",
"of",
"cash",
",",
"''",
"by",
"which",
"he",
"means",
"such",
"so-called",
"cash",
"equivalents",
"as",
"money-market",
"funds",
"and",
"Treasury",
"bills",
".",
"Greg",
"Confair",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Sigma",
"Financial",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Allentown",
",",
"Pa.",
",",
"also",
"recommends",
"that",
"investors",
"go",
"heavily",
"for",
"cash",
".",
"He",
"is",
"n't",
"sure",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"coming",
",",
"but",
"says",
"the",
"other",
"likely",
"alternative",
"--",
"reignited",
"inflation",
"--",
"is",
"just",
"as",
"bad",
".",
"``",
"This",
"late",
"in",
"an",
"expansion",
",",
"''",
"the",
"economy",
"tends",
"to",
"veer",
"off",
"either",
"into",
"damaging",
"inflation",
"or",
"into",
"a",
"recession",
",",
"Mr.",
"Confair",
"says",
".",
"The",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
"'s",
"plan",
"for",
"a",
"``",
"soft",
"landing",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
",",
"requires",
"the",
"Fed",
"to",
"navigate",
"``",
"an",
"ever-narrowing",
"corridor",
".",
"''",
"A",
"soft",
"landing",
"is",
"n't",
"something",
"that",
"can",
"be",
"achieved",
"once",
"and",
"for",
"all",
",",
"Mr.",
"Confair",
"adds",
".",
"It",
"has",
"to",
"be",
"engineered",
"over",
"and",
"over",
"again",
",",
"month",
"after",
"month",
".",
"He",
"believes",
"that",
"the",
"task",
"facing",
"Fed",
"Chairman",
"Alan",
"Greenspan",
"is",
"so",
"difficult",
"that",
"it",
"resembles",
"``",
"juggling",
"a",
"double-bladed",
"ax",
"and",
"a",
"buzz",
"saw",
".",
"''",
"And",
",",
"in",
"a",
"sense",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"the",
"kind",
"of",
"task",
"individuals",
"face",
"in",
"deciding",
"what",
"to",
"do",
"about",
"stocks",
"--",
"the",
"mainstay",
"of",
"most",
"serious",
"investors",
"'",
"portfolios",
".",
"It",
"comes",
"down",
"to",
"a",
"question",
"of",
"whether",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"``",
"time",
"''",
"the",
"market",
".",
"For",
"people",
"who",
"can",
"ride",
"out",
"market",
"waves",
"through",
"good",
"times",
"and",
"bad",
",",
"stocks",
"have",
"been",
"rewarding",
"long-term",
"investments",
".",
"Most",
"studies",
"show",
"that",
"buy-and-hold",
"investors",
"historically",
"have",
"earned",
"an",
"annual",
"return",
"from",
"stocks",
"of",
"9",
"%",
"to",
"10",
"%",
",",
"including",
"both",
"dividends",
"and",
"price",
"appreciation",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"well",
"above",
"what",
"bonds",
"or",
"bank",
"certificates",
"have",
"paid",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"because",
"no",
"one",
"knows",
"for",
"sure",
"just",
"when",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"coming",
",",
"some",
"analysts",
"think",
"investors",
"should",
"n't",
"even",
"worry",
"too",
"much",
"about",
"timing",
".",
"``",
"Trying",
"to",
"time",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"a",
"mistake",
",",
"''",
"says",
"David",
"Katz",
",",
"chief",
"investment",
"officer",
"of",
"Value",
"Matrix",
"Management",
"Inc.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"Mr.",
"Katz",
"notes",
"that",
"some",
"economists",
"have",
"been",
"predicting",
"a",
"recession",
"for",
"at",
"least",
"two",
"years",
".",
"Investors",
"who",
"listened",
",",
"and",
"lightened",
"up",
"on",
"stocks",
",",
"``",
"have",
"just",
"hurt",
"themselves",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Mr.",
"Katz",
"adds",
"that",
"people",
"who",
"jump",
"in",
"and",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"need",
"to",
"be",
"right",
"about",
"70",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"time",
"to",
"beat",
"a",
"buy-and-hold",
"strategy",
".",
"Frequent",
"trading",
"runs",
"up",
"high",
"commission",
"costs",
".",
"And",
"the",
"in-and-outer",
"might",
"miss",
"the",
"sudden",
"spurts",
"that",
"account",
"for",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"gains",
"over",
"time",
".",
"Still",
",",
"few",
"investors",
"are",
"able",
"to",
"sit",
"tight",
"when",
"they",
"are",
"convinced",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"coming",
".",
"After",
"all",
",",
"in",
"all",
"five",
"recessions",
"since",
"1960",
",",
"stocks",
"declined",
".",
"According",
"to",
"Ned",
"Davis",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Ned",
"Davis",
"Research",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Nokomis",
",",
"Fla.",
",",
"the",
"average",
"drop",
"in",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"was",
"about",
"21",
"%",
",",
"and",
"the",
"decrease",
"began",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"six",
"months",
"before",
"a",
"recession",
"officially",
"started",
".",
"By",
"the",
"time",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"``",
"official",
"''",
"(",
"two",
"consecutive",
"quarters",
"of",
"declining",
"gross",
"national",
"product",
")",
",",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"damage",
"to",
"stocks",
"has",
"already",
"been",
"done",
"-",
"and",
",",
"in",
"the",
"typical",
"case",
",",
"the",
"recession",
"is",
"already",
"half",
"over",
".",
"About",
"six",
"months",
"before",
"a",
"recession",
"ends",
",",
"stocks",
"typically",
"begin",
"to",
"rise",
"again",
",",
"as",
"investors",
"anticipate",
"a",
"recovery",
".",
"The",
"average",
"recession",
"lasts",
"about",
"a",
"year",
".",
"Unfortunately",
",",
"though",
",",
"recessions",
"vary",
"enough",
"in",
"length",
"so",
"that",
"the",
"average",
"ca",
"n't",
"reliably",
"be",
"used",
"to",
"guide",
"investors",
"in",
"timing",
"stock",
"sales",
"or",
"purchases",
".",
"But",
"whatever",
"their",
"advice",
"about",
"timing",
",",
"none",
"of",
"these",
"experts",
"recommend",
"jettisoning",
"stocks",
"entirely",
"during",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"For",
"the",
"portion",
"of",
"an",
"investor",
"'s",
"portfolio",
"that",
"stays",
"in",
"stocks",
",",
"professionals",
"have",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"suggestions",
".",
"Mr.",
"Katz",
"advocates",
"issues",
"with",
"low",
"price-earnings",
"ratios",
"--",
"that",
"is",
",",
"low",
"prices",
"in",
"relation",
"to",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"earnings",
"per",
"share",
".",
"``",
"Low",
"P-E",
"''",
"stocks",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"vastly",
"outperform",
"others",
"``",
"during",
"a",
"recession",
"or",
"bear",
"market",
".",
"''",
"In",
"good",
"times",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"they",
"lag",
"a",
"bit",
",",
"but",
"overall",
"they",
"provide",
"superior",
"performance",
".",
"Prof.",
"Arbel",
"urges",
"investors",
"to",
"discard",
"stocks",
"in",
"small",
"companies",
".",
"Small-company",
"shares",
"typically",
"fall",
"more",
"than",
"big-company",
"stocks",
"in",
"a",
"recession",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"And",
"in",
"any",
"case",
",",
"he",
"argues",
",",
"stocks",
"of",
"small",
"companies",
"are",
"``",
"almost",
"as",
"overpriced",
"as",
"they",
"were",
"Sept.",
"30",
",",
"1987",
",",
"just",
"before",
"the",
"crash",
".",
"''",
"For",
"example",
",",
"Mr.",
"Arbel",
"says",
",",
"stocks",
"of",
"small",
"companies",
"are",
"selling",
"for",
"about",
"19",
"times",
"cash",
"flow",
".",
"(",
"Cash",
"flow",
",",
"basically",
"earnings",
"plus",
"depreciation",
",",
"is",
"one",
"common",
"gauge",
"of",
"a",
"company",
"'s",
"financial",
"health",
".",
")",
"That",
"ratio",
"is",
"dangerously",
"close",
"to",
"the",
"ratio",
"of",
"19.7",
"that",
"prevailed",
"before",
"the",
"1987",
"stock-market",
"crash",
",",
"Mr.",
"Arbel",
"says",
".",
"And",
"it",
"'s",
"way",
"above",
"the",
"ratio",
"(",
"7.5",
"times",
"cash",
"flow",
")",
"that",
"bigger",
"companies",
"are",
"selling",
"for",
".",
"Another",
"major",
"trick",
"in",
"making",
"a",
"portfolio",
"recession-resistant",
"is",
"choosing",
"stocks",
"in",
"``",
"defensive",
"''",
"industries",
".",
"Food",
",",
"tobacco",
",",
"drugs",
"and",
"utilities",
"are",
"the",
"classic",
"examples",
".",
"Recession",
"or",
"not",
",",
"people",
"still",
"eat",
",",
"smoke",
",",
"and",
"take",
"medicine",
"when",
"they",
"'re",
"sick",
".",
"George",
"Putnam",
"III",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"Turnaround",
"Letter",
"in",
"Boston",
",",
"offers",
"one",
"final",
"tip",
"for",
"recession-wary",
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] |
[
"Two",
"recent",
"decisions",
"by",
"federal",
"courts",
"cast",
"judges",
"in",
"the",
"odd",
"role",
"of",
"telling",
"authors",
"how",
"they",
"should",
"write",
"history",
"and",
"biography",
".",
"These",
"decisions",
"deserve",
"more",
"attention",
"than",
"they",
"have",
"received",
"from",
"scholars",
",",
"and",
"from",
"journalists",
"as",
"well",
".",
"Russell",
"Miller",
"'s",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
":",
"The",
"True",
"Story",
"of",
"L.",
"Ron",
"Hubbard",
"''",
"is",
"a",
"biography",
"of",
"the",
"founder",
"of",
"the",
"Church",
"of",
"Scientology",
".",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
",",
"who",
"died",
"in",
"1986",
",",
"bequeathed",
"the",
"copyrights",
"on",
"his",
"writings",
"to",
"his",
"church",
",",
"which",
"licensed",
"them",
"to",
"New",
"Era",
"Publications",
",",
"a",
"Danish",
"corporation",
".",
"In",
"1988",
"New",
"Era",
"sought",
"a",
"permanent",
"injunction",
"to",
"restrain",
"Henry",
"Holt",
"&",
"Co.",
"from",
"publishing",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
"''",
"on",
"the",
"ground",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Miller",
"'s",
"quotations",
"from",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
"infringed",
"the",
"copyrights",
".",
"The",
"publisher",
"argued",
"in",
"response",
"that",
"the",
"``",
"fair",
"use",
"''",
"statute",
"permits",
"quotation",
"``",
"for",
"purposes",
"such",
"as",
"criticism",
",",
"comment",
",",
"news",
"reporting",
",",
"teaching",
",",
"...",
"scholarship",
",",
"or",
"research",
".",
"''",
"District",
"Court",
"Judge",
"Pierre",
"Leval",
"denied",
"the",
"injunction",
"on",
"the",
"ground",
"that",
"New",
"Era",
"had",
"failed",
"to",
"make",
"its",
"claim",
"within",
"a",
"reasonable",
"time",
"--",
"the",
"doctrine",
"lawyers",
"call",
"``",
"laches",
".",
"''",
"As",
"for",
"the",
"merits",
",",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"said",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Miller",
"had",
"written",
"``",
"a",
"serious",
"book",
"of",
"responsible",
"historical",
"criticism",
".",
"''",
"Verbatim",
"quotation",
",",
"the",
"judge",
"believed",
",",
"was",
"justified",
"in",
"order",
"to",
"prove",
"points",
"the",
"author",
"had",
"asserted",
"about",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
"--",
"mendacity",
",",
"bigotry",
",",
"paranoia",
"and",
"other",
"unlovely",
"traits",
"that",
"could",
"not",
"be",
"persuasively",
"demonstrated",
"without",
"use",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
"'s",
"own",
"words",
".",
"``",
"The",
"biographer/critic",
",",
"''",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"wrote",
",",
"``",
"should",
"not",
"be",
"required",
"simply",
"to",
"express",
"...",
"conclusions",
"without",
"defending",
"them",
"by",
"example",
".",
"''",
"In",
"such",
"circumstances",
",",
"free-speech",
"interests",
"outweighed",
"the",
"interests",
"of",
"the",
"copyright",
"owner",
".",
"But",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"felt",
"constrained",
"by",
"an",
"earlier",
"decision",
"of",
"the",
"Second",
"Circuit",
"Court",
"forbidding",
"a",
"biographer",
"of",
"J.D.",
"Salinger",
"to",
"quote",
"from",
"Mr.",
"Salinger",
"'s",
"personal",
"letters",
".",
"He",
"distinguished",
"the",
"two",
"cases",
":",
"In",
"Salinger",
",",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"noted",
",",
"the",
"quotations",
"were",
"for",
"the",
"purpose",
"of",
"enlivening",
"the",
"biography",
"rather",
"than",
"of",
"proving",
"points",
"about",
"the",
"subject",
".",
"Still",
"the",
"Salinger",
"decision",
"created",
"a",
"strong",
"presumption",
"against",
"fair",
"use",
"of",
"unpublished",
"materials",
".",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"reluctantly",
"concluded",
"that",
"a",
"few",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Miller",
"'s",
"quotations",
"from",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
"'s",
"unpublished",
"writings",
",",
"because",
"they",
"were",
"not",
"necessary",
"to",
"prove",
"historical",
"points",
",",
"failed",
"the",
"fair-use",
"test",
"and",
"therefore",
"infringed",
"copyright",
".",
"But",
"the",
"proper",
"remedy",
",",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"said",
",",
"lay",
"in",
"a",
"suit",
"for",
"damages",
",",
"not",
"in",
"an",
"injunction",
".",
"The",
"case",
"went",
"on",
"appeal",
"to",
"the",
"Second",
"Circuit",
".",
"In",
"a",
"decision",
"in",
"April",
"of",
"this",
"year",
",",
"Judge",
"Roger",
"Miner",
",",
"joined",
"by",
"Judge",
"Frank",
"Altimari",
",",
"agreed",
"on",
"denying",
"the",
"injunction",
"and",
"did",
"not",
"doubt",
"that",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
"''",
"was",
"a",
"serious",
"work",
"but",
"rejected",
"Judge",
"Leval",
"'s",
"argument",
"that",
"the",
"public",
"interest",
"in",
"scholarship",
"could",
"outweigh",
"the",
"sanctity",
"of",
"copyright",
".",
"``",
"We",
"conclude",
",",
"''",
"the",
"two",
"judges",
"wrote",
",",
"``",
"that",
"laches",
"is",
"the",
"sole",
"bar",
"to",
"the",
"issuance",
"of",
"an",
"injunction",
".",
"''",
"Had",
"the",
"suit",
"been",
"filed",
"in",
"time",
",",
"they",
"said",
",",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
"''",
"would",
"have",
"been",
"suppressed",
".",
"This",
"was",
"too",
"much",
"for",
"James",
"Oakes",
",",
"the",
"court",
"'s",
"chief",
"judge",
".",
"In",
"a",
"powerful",
"separate",
"opinion",
",",
"Judge",
"Oakes",
"further",
"distinguished",
"the",
"Salinger",
"case",
"by",
"pointing",
"out",
"that",
"a",
"living",
"person",
",",
"like",
"Mr.",
"Salinger",
",",
"had",
"privacy",
"rights",
"that",
"did",
"not",
"apply",
"to",
"a",
"dead",
"man",
",",
"like",
"Mr.",
"Hubbard",
".",
"``",
"I",
"thought",
"that",
"Salinger",
"might",
"by",
"being",
"taken",
"in",
"another",
"factual",
"context",
"come",
"back",
"to",
"haunt",
"us",
".",
"This",
"case",
"realizes",
"that",
"concern",
".",
"''",
"Decisions",
"by",
"the",
"Second",
"Circuit",
"itself",
",",
"Judge",
"Oakes",
"continued",
",",
"had",
"recognized",
"that",
"public",
"interest",
"in",
"the",
"subject",
"matter",
"and",
"the",
"indispensability",
"in",
"particular",
"cases",
"of",
"verbatim",
"quotations",
"are",
"vital",
"components",
"of",
"fair",
"use",
".",
"And",
"the",
"injunction",
"Judges",
"Miner",
"and",
"Altimari",
"would",
"so",
"readily",
"have",
"granted",
"had",
"New",
"Era",
"sued",
"in",
"time",
"?",
"Suppression",
"of",
"the",
"book",
",",
"Judge",
"Oakes",
"observed",
",",
"would",
"operate",
"as",
"a",
"prior",
"restraint",
"and",
"thus",
"involve",
"the",
"First",
"Amendment",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"and",
"here",
"Judge",
"Oakes",
"went",
"to",
"the",
"heart",
"of",
"the",
"question",
",",
"``",
"Responsible",
"biographers",
"and",
"historians",
"constantly",
"use",
"primary",
"sources",
",",
"letters",
",",
"diaries",
",",
"and",
"memoranda",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"irresponsible",
"to",
"ignore",
"such",
"sources",
"of",
"information",
".",
"''",
"Now",
",",
"scholars",
"in",
"fulfilling",
"their",
"responsibility",
"do",
"not",
"claim",
"the",
"right",
"to",
"invade",
"every",
"collection",
"of",
"papers",
"that",
"bears",
"upon",
"their",
"topics",
"of",
"investigation",
".",
"And",
"of",
"course",
"they",
"agree",
"that",
"people",
"can",
"impose",
"restrictions",
"on",
"the",
"use",
"of",
"their",
"papers",
",",
"whether",
"in",
"their",
"own",
"possession",
"or",
"as",
"donated",
"or",
"sold",
"to",
"libraries",
".",
"But",
"in",
"the",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
"''",
"case",
"the",
"author",
"found",
"most",
"of",
"his",
"material",
"in",
"court",
"records",
"or",
"via",
"the",
"Freedom",
"of",
"Information",
"Act",
".",
"And",
"when",
"responsible",
"scholars",
"gain",
"legitimate",
"access",
"to",
"unpublished",
"materials",
",",
"copyright",
"should",
"not",
"be",
"permitted",
"to",
"deny",
"them",
"use",
"of",
"quotations",
"that",
"help",
"to",
"establish",
"historical",
"points",
".",
"Judges",
"Oakes",
"and",
"Leval",
"understand",
"the",
"requirements",
"of",
"historical",
"scholarship",
".",
"Judges",
"Miner",
"and",
"Altimari",
"do",
"not",
"appear",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"clue",
".",
"Yet",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
"they",
"are",
"the",
"judges",
"who",
"are",
"making",
"the",
"law",
".",
"As",
"matters",
"stand",
",",
"the",
"Salinger",
"ruling",
",",
"torn",
"from",
"context",
"and",
"broadly",
"construed",
",",
"is",
"controlling",
".",
"If",
"an",
"author",
"quotes",
"``",
"more",
"than",
"minimal",
"amounts",
"''",
"of",
"unpublished",
"copyrighted",
"materials",
",",
"as",
"the",
"Salinger",
"decision",
"had",
"it",
",",
"``",
"he",
"deserves",
"to",
"be",
"enjoined",
".",
"''",
"The",
"courts",
"have",
"not",
"defined",
"``",
"minimal",
"amounts",
",",
"''",
"but",
"publishers",
",",
"I",
"understand",
",",
"take",
"it",
"to",
"mean",
"about",
"50",
"words",
".",
"The",
"``",
"Bare-Faced",
"Messiah",
"''",
"decision",
"strikes",
"a",
"blow",
"against",
"the",
"whole",
"historical",
"enterprise",
".",
"A",
"second",
"decision",
",",
"handed",
"down",
"in",
"August",
"by",
"the",
"Court",
"of",
"Appeals",
"for",
"the",
"Ninth",
"Circuit",
",",
"is",
"another",
"blow",
"against",
"scholarship",
".",
"Janet",
"Malcolm",
",",
"a",
"professional",
"writer",
"on",
"psychiatric",
"matters",
",",
"wrote",
"a",
"series",
"of",
"articles",
"for",
"the",
"New",
"Yorker",
",",
"later",
"published",
"in",
"book",
"form",
"by",
"Knopf",
"under",
"the",
"title",
"``",
"In",
"the",
"Freud",
"Archives",
".",
"''",
"The",
"articles",
"were",
"largely",
"based",
"on",
"interviews",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
"had",
"taped",
"with",
"Jeffrey",
"Masson",
",",
"a",
"psychoanalyst",
"who",
"had",
"served",
"as",
"projects",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"Freud",
"Archives",
".",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"then",
"brought",
"a",
"libel",
"suit",
"against",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
",",
"the",
"New",
"Yorker",
"and",
"Knopf",
".",
"As",
"a",
"public",
"figure",
",",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"had",
"to",
"prove",
"malice",
"and",
",",
"as",
"proof",
"of",
"malice",
",",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"contended",
"that",
"defamatory",
"quotations",
"ascribed",
"to",
"him",
"by",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
"were",
"in",
"fact",
"fabricated",
".",
"The",
"quotes",
"could",
"not",
"be",
"found",
"on",
"the",
"tapes",
",",
"and",
"the",
"two",
"judges",
"who",
"decided",
"the",
"case",
"for",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
"and",
"her",
"publishers",
"conceded",
"that",
",",
"for",
"the",
"purpose",
"of",
"their",
"decision",
",",
"``",
"we",
"assume",
"the",
"quotations",
"were",
"deliberately",
"altered",
".",
"''",
"For",
"all",
"historians",
"and",
"most",
"journalists",
",",
"this",
"admission",
"would",
"have",
"been",
"sufficient",
"to",
"condemn",
"the",
"Malcolm",
"articles",
".",
"But",
"Judge",
"Arthur",
"Alarcon",
",",
"joined",
"by",
"Judge",
"Cynthia",
"Holcomb",
"Hall",
",",
"took",
"the",
"astonishing",
"position",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"perfectly",
"OK",
"to",
"fabricate",
"quotations",
"so",
"long",
"as",
"a",
"judge",
"finds",
"that",
"the",
"fabrications",
"do",
"not",
"alter",
"substantive",
"content",
"or",
"are",
"rational",
"interpretations",
"of",
"ambiguous",
"remarks",
".",
"In",
"his",
"eloquent",
"dissent",
",",
"Judge",
"Alex",
"Kozinski",
"observed",
"that",
"when",
"a",
"writer",
"uses",
"quotation",
"marks",
"in",
"reporting",
"what",
"someone",
"has",
"said",
",",
"the",
"reader",
"assumes",
"that",
"these",
"are",
"the",
"speaker",
"'s",
"precise",
"words",
"or",
"at",
"least",
"his",
"words",
"purged",
"of",
"``",
"uh",
"''",
"and",
"``",
"you",
"know",
"''",
"and",
"grammatical",
"error",
".",
"While",
"judges",
"have",
"an",
"obligation",
"under",
"the",
"First",
"Amendment",
"to",
"safeguard",
"freedom",
"of",
"the",
"press",
",",
"``",
"the",
"right",
"to",
"deliberately",
"alter",
"quotations",
"is",
"not",
",",
"in",
"my",
"view",
",",
"a",
"concomitant",
"of",
"a",
"free",
"press",
".",
"''",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"wrote",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"described",
"himself",
"as",
"``",
"the",
"greatest",
"analyst",
"who",
"ever",
"lived",
".",
"''",
"No",
"such",
"statement",
"appears",
"on",
"the",
"tapes",
".",
"The",
"majority",
"cited",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"'s",
"remark",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"me",
"alone",
"...",
"against",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"analytic",
"world",
"''",
"as",
"warrant",
"for",
"the",
"Malcolm",
"fabrication",
".",
"But",
",",
"as",
"Judge",
"Kozinski",
"noted",
",",
"the",
"context",
"shows",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"'s",
"``",
"me",
"alone",
"''",
"remark",
"referred",
"not",
"to",
"his",
"alleged",
"pre-eminence",
"in",
"his",
"profession",
"but",
"to",
"the",
"fact",
"that",
"his",
"position",
"on",
"a",
"particular",
"issue",
"was",
"not",
"shared",
"by",
"anyone",
"else",
".",
"Ms.",
"Malcolm",
"had",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"describing",
"himself",
"as",
"``",
"an",
"intellectual",
"gigolo",
".",
"''",
"Again",
",",
"no",
"such",
"statement",
"appears",
"on",
"the",
"tapes",
".",
"The",
"majority",
"decision",
"contended",
"that",
"the",
"phrase",
"was",
"a",
"rational",
"interpretation",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Masson",
"'s",
"description",
"of",
"himself",
"as",
"a",
"``",
"private",
"asset",
"but",
"a",
"public",
"liability",
"''",
"to",
"Anna",
"Freud",
"and",
"that",
"in",
"any",
"case",
"it",
"was",
"not",
"defamatory",
".",
"Judge",
"Kozinski",
"found",
"the",
"derivation",
"entirely",
"strained",
"and",
"writes",
"that",
"``",
"for",
"an",
"academic",
"to",
"refer",
"to",
"himself",
"as",
"an",
"intellectual",
"gigolo",
"is",
"...",
"a",
"devastating",
"admission",
"of",
"professional",
"dishonesty",
".",
"''",
"These",
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",",
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".",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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":",
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".",
"''",
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"now",
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"words",
"were",
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"always",
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".",
"``",
"There",
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",",
"''",
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"Hersey",
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".",
"``",
"The",
"writer",
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"invent",
".",
"''",
"Should",
"the",
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"light",
"Judges",
"Alarcon",
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"Hall",
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",",
"it",
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"--",
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"for",
"citizens",
".",
"As",
"Judge",
"Kozinski",
"put",
"it",
":",
"``",
"To",
"invoke",
"the",
"right",
"to",
"deliberately",
"distort",
"what",
"someone",
"else",
"has",
"said",
"is",
"to",
"assert",
"the",
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"lie",
"in",
"print",
"...",
".",
"Masson",
"has",
"lost",
"his",
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",",
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"the",
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",",
"and",
"the",
"profession",
"to",
"which",
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"belong",
",",
"have",
"lost",
"far",
"more",
".",
"''",
"The",
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"profession",
"will",
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"decisions",
".",
"Perhaps",
"in",
"time",
"the",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"will",
"correct",
"them",
".",
"But",
"writing",
"history",
"is",
"tough",
"enough",
"without",
"judges",
"gratuitously",
"throwing",
"obstacles",
"in",
"the",
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"'s",
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".",
"Mr.",
"Schlesinger",
"is",
"Albert",
"Schweitzer",
"professor",
"of",
"the",
"humanities",
"at",
"the",
"City",
"University",
"of",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"a",
"winner",
"of",
"Pulitzer",
"Prizes",
"in",
"history",
"and",
"biography",
"."
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[
"EAST",
"GERMANS",
"RALLIED",
"in",
"three",
"cities",
"to",
"demand",
"democratic",
"freedoms",
".",
"As",
"the",
"country",
"'s",
"new",
"leader",
",",
"Egon",
"Krenz",
",",
"prepared",
"to",
"travel",
"to",
"Moscow",
"today",
"for",
"talks",
"with",
"Soviet",
"leader",
"Gorbachev",
",",
"hundreds",
"of",
"thousands",
"of",
"East",
"Germans",
"massed",
"in",
"the",
"streets",
"of",
"Leipzig",
",",
"Halle",
"and",
"Schwerin",
"to",
"call",
"for",
"internal",
"freedoms",
"and",
"the",
"legalization",
"of",
"the",
"New",
"Forum",
"opposition",
"group",
".",
"Krenz",
",",
"however",
",",
"vowed",
"to",
"preserve",
"the",
"Communist",
"Party",
"'s",
"hold",
"on",
"political",
"power",
"and",
"said",
"East",
"Germans",
"should",
"n't",
"destabilize",
"the",
"nation",
"with",
"unrealistic",
"demands",
".",
"Communist",
"officials",
"this",
"month",
"have",
"faced",
"nearly",
"daily",
"pro-democracy",
"protests",
",",
"accompanied",
"by",
"the",
"flight",
"to",
"the",
"West",
"by",
"thousands",
"of",
"East",
"Germans",
".",
"Soviet",
"police",
"clashed",
"with",
"demonstrators",
"in",
"Moscow",
"following",
"a",
"candlelight",
"vigil",
"around",
"the",
"KGB",
"'s",
"Lubyanka",
"headquarters",
"in",
"memory",
"of",
"those",
"persecuted",
"under",
"Stalin",
".",
"More",
"than",
"1,000",
"Muscovites",
"attended",
"the",
"service",
".",
"A",
"splinter",
"group",
"demonstrated",
"in",
"Pushkin",
"Square",
",",
"where",
"the",
"police",
"clubbed",
"and",
"detained",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"protesters",
".",
"Police",
"in",
"Yugoslavia",
"dispersed",
"about",
"1,000",
"ethnic",
"Albanians",
"who",
"were",
"protesting",
"the",
"trial",
"of",
"the",
"former",
"Communist",
"Party",
"chief",
"of",
"the",
"southern",
"province",
"of",
"Kosovo",
".",
"Azem",
"Vlasi",
"and",
"14",
"others",
"are",
"accused",
"of",
"inciting",
"riots",
"and",
"strikes",
"and",
"opposing",
"constitutional",
"limits",
"to",
"Kosovo",
"'s",
"autonomy",
".",
"If",
"convicted",
",",
"they",
"could",
"be",
"sentenced",
"to",
"death",
".",
"A",
"court",
"in",
"Jerusalem",
"sentenced",
"a",
"Palestinian",
"to",
"16",
"life",
"terms",
"for",
"forcing",
"a",
"bus",
"off",
"a",
"cliff",
"July",
"6",
",",
"killing",
"16",
"people",
",",
"Israeli",
"radio",
"reported",
".",
"He",
"also",
"received",
"20-year",
"sentences",
"for",
"each",
"of",
"the",
"24",
"passengers",
"injured",
".",
"It",
"was",
"considered",
"the",
"stiffest",
"sentence",
"passed",
"since",
"the",
"start",
"of",
"the",
"22-month-old",
"Arab",
"uprising",
"in",
"the",
"Israeli-occupied",
"territories",
".",
"U.S.",
"and",
"Soviet",
"negotiators",
"opened",
"talks",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"aimed",
"at",
"resolving",
"differences",
"in",
"proposals",
"to",
"reduce",
"chemical-weapons",
"arsenals",
".",
"While",
"the",
"Kremlin",
"has",
"urged",
"a",
"ban",
"on",
"output",
"of",
"the",
"poison",
"gases",
",",
"the",
"White",
"House",
"wants",
"to",
"continue",
"producing",
"the",
"weapons",
"even",
"after",
"an",
"international",
"treaty",
"calling",
"for",
"their",
"destruction",
"is",
"signed",
".",
"South",
"Africa",
"'s",
"government",
"said",
"peaceful",
"demonstrations",
"such",
"as",
"the",
"anti-apartheid",
"rally",
"Sunday",
"near",
"Soweto",
"have",
"helped",
"ease",
"tensions",
"and",
"assisted",
"political",
"changes",
".",
"About",
"70,000",
"people",
"attended",
"the",
"anti-government",
"rally",
",",
"at",
"which",
"leaders",
"of",
"the",
"banned",
"African",
"National",
"Congress",
"refused",
"to",
"renounce",
"violence",
"to",
"end",
"apartheid",
".",
"Secretary",
"of",
"State",
"Baker",
"expressed",
"concern",
"that",
"Nicaraguan",
"President",
"Ortega",
"may",
"attempt",
"to",
"use",
"alleged",
"attacks",
"by",
"the",
"U.S.backed",
"Contra",
"rebels",
"as",
"an",
"excuse",
"to",
"scuttle",
"elections",
"scheduled",
"for",
"February",
".",
"Ortega",
"had",
"threatened",
"to",
"end",
"a",
"19-month-old",
"ceasefire",
".",
"Baker",
"'s",
"remarks",
"came",
"as",
"the",
"White",
"House",
"urged",
"both",
"sides",
"to",
"honor",
"the",
"truce",
".",
"The",
"USS",
"Lexington",
"returned",
"to",
"dock",
"in",
"Pensacola",
",",
"Fla.",
",",
"following",
"an",
"accident",
"Sunday",
"in",
"which",
"the",
"pilot",
"of",
"a",
"training",
"jet",
"crashed",
"into",
"the",
"ship",
",",
"killing",
"five",
"sailors",
".",
"The",
"captain",
"of",
"the",
"aircraft",
"carrier",
",",
"the",
"oldest",
"in",
"the",
"Navy",
",",
"said",
"the",
"flier",
"was",
"making",
"his",
"first",
"attempt",
"to",
"land",
"on",
"a",
"carrier",
".",
"Four",
"people",
"torched",
"three",
"U.S.",
"flags",
"on",
"the",
"central",
"steps",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Capitol",
"in",
"a",
"bid",
"to",
"test",
"a",
"new",
"federal",
"law",
"protecting",
"the",
"American",
"flag",
"from",
"desecration",
".",
"All",
"four",
"demonstrators",
"were",
"arrested",
".",
"The",
"law",
",",
"which",
"Bush",
"allowed",
"to",
"take",
"effect",
"without",
"his",
"signature",
",",
"went",
"into",
"force",
"Friday",
".",
"Chinese",
"officials",
"said",
"armed",
"police",
"would",
"replace",
"soldiers",
"in",
"Tiananmen",
"Square",
"as",
"part",
"of",
"a",
"scaling",
"down",
"of",
"Beijing",
"'s",
"five-month-old",
"state",
"of",
"emergency",
".",
"Separately",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Embassy",
"has",
"filed",
"three",
"protests",
"in",
"as",
"many",
"days",
"with",
"China",
"'s",
"government",
",",
"alleging",
"harassment",
"of",
"diplomats",
"and",
"their",
"families",
",",
"an",
"embassy",
"source",
"said",
".",
"Authorities",
"in",
"Algeria",
"said",
"the",
"toll",
"from",
"two",
"earthquakes",
"Sunday",
"had",
"reached",
"at",
"least",
"30",
"dead",
"and",
"about",
"250",
"injured",
".",
"The",
"heaviest",
"damage",
"was",
"reported",
"in",
"Tipasa",
",",
"about",
"40",
"miles",
"west",
"of",
"Algiers",
".",
"As",
"rescue",
"teams",
"continued",
"searching",
"for",
"victims",
",",
"hundreds",
"of",
"suvivors",
"accused",
"the",
"government",
"of",
"a",
"feeble",
"response",
"following",
"the",
"temblors",
".",
"Britain",
"'s",
"Thatcher",
"summoned",
"senior",
"advisers",
"for",
"strategy",
"talks",
"as",
"opinion",
"polls",
"showed",
"the",
"prime",
"minister",
"'s",
"popularity",
"had",
"hit",
"a",
"record",
"low",
"following",
"the",
"resignation",
"last",
"Thursday",
"of",
"Chancellor",
"of",
"the",
"Exchequer",
"Lawson",
".",
"One",
"poll",
",",
"conducted",
"for",
"the",
"British",
"Broadcasting",
"Corp.",
",",
"found",
"that",
"52",
"%",
"of",
"voters",
"believed",
"that",
"she",
"should",
"quit",
".",
"Lawmakers",
"in",
"Hungary",
"approved",
"legislation",
"granting",
"amnesty",
"to",
"many",
"people",
"convicted",
"of",
"crimes",
"punishable",
"by",
"less",
"than",
"three",
"years",
"in",
"prison",
".",
"They",
"also",
"established",
"an",
"office",
"to",
"control",
"government",
"and",
"party",
"finances",
".",
"The",
"laws",
"take",
"effect",
"next",
"month",
".",
"Died",
":",
"Robert",
"V.",
"Van",
"Fossan",
",",
"63",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"Mutual",
"Benefit",
"Life",
"Insurance",
"Co.",
",",
"Sunday",
",",
"in",
"Morristown",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
"of",
"cancer",
"."
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"indicates",
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"could",
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"several",
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"before",
"the",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"1990",
".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"-",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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[
"Influential",
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"Ways",
"and",
"Means",
"Committee",
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"(",
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",",
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",",
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"issue",
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".",
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"the",
"RTC",
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"borrowings",
"only",
",",
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"`",
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"'",
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"expensive",
",",
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"more",
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"borrowing",
",",
"''",
"said",
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"Fortney",
"Stark",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Calif.",
")",
",",
"the",
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".",
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"financing",
"plan",
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"includes",
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"30",
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"the",
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"created",
"RTC",
".",
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"system",
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"keep",
"the",
"bailout",
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"from",
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"the",
"budget",
"deficit",
".",
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"$",
"20",
"billion",
"would",
"be",
"raised",
"through",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
",",
"which",
"pay",
"lower",
"interest",
"rates",
".",
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"the",
"RTC",
"also",
"requires",
"``",
"working",
"''",
"capital",
"to",
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"the",
"bad",
"assets",
"of",
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"that",
"are",
"sold",
",",
"until",
"the",
"assets",
"can",
"be",
"sold",
"separately",
".",
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"debt",
"would",
"be",
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"off",
"as",
"the",
"assets",
"are",
"sold",
",",
"leaving",
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"the",
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"at",
"$",
"50",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"$",
"166",
"billion",
"including",
"interest",
"over",
"10",
"years",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"problem",
"that",
"clearly",
"has",
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"be",
"resolved",
",",
"''",
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"David",
"Cooke",
",",
"executive",
"director",
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"the",
"RTC",
".",
"The",
"agency",
"has",
"already",
"spent",
"roughly",
"$",
"19",
"billion",
"selling",
"34",
"insolvent",
"S&Ls",
",",
"and",
"it",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"sell",
"or",
"merge",
"600",
"by",
"the",
"time",
"the",
"bailout",
"concludes",
".",
"Absent",
"other",
"working",
"capital",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"the",
"RTC",
"would",
"be",
"forced",
"to",
"delay",
"other",
"thrift",
"resolutions",
"until",
"cash",
"could",
"be",
"raised",
"by",
"selling",
"the",
"bad",
"assets",
".",
"``",
"We",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"wait",
"until",
"we",
"have",
"collected",
"on",
"those",
"assets",
"before",
"we",
"can",
"move",
"forward",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"The",
"complicated",
"language",
"in",
"the",
"huge",
"new",
"law",
"has",
"muddied",
"the",
"fight",
".",
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"law",
"does",
"allow",
"the",
"RTC",
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"borrow",
"from",
"the",
"Treasury",
"up",
"to",
"$",
"5",
"billion",
"at",
"any",
"time",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"it",
"says",
"the",
"RTC",
"'s",
"total",
"obligations",
"may",
"not",
"exceed",
"$",
"50",
"billion",
",",
"but",
"that",
"figure",
"is",
"derived",
"after",
"including",
"notes",
"and",
"other",
"debt",
",",
"and",
"subtracting",
"from",
"it",
"the",
"market",
"value",
"of",
"the",
"assets",
"the",
"RTC",
"holds",
".",
"But",
"Congress",
"did",
"n't",
"anticipate",
"or",
"intend",
"more",
"public",
"debt",
",",
"say",
"opponents",
"of",
"the",
"RTC",
"'s",
"working-capital",
"plan",
",",
"and",
"Rep.",
"Charles",
"Schumer",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"N.Y",
".",
")",
"said",
"the",
"RTC",
"Oversight",
"Board",
"has",
"been",
"remiss",
"in",
"not",
"keeping",
"Congress",
"informed",
".",
"``",
"That",
"secrecy",
"leads",
"to",
"a",
"proposal",
"like",
"the",
"one",
"from",
"Ways",
"and",
"Means",
",",
"which",
"seems",
"to",
"me",
"sort",
"of",
"draconian",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"RTC",
"is",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"to",
"pay",
"a",
"price",
"of",
"prior",
"consultation",
"on",
"the",
"Hill",
"if",
"they",
"want",
"that",
"kind",
"of",
"flexibility",
".",
"''",
"The",
"Ways",
"and",
"Means",
"Committee",
"will",
"hold",
"a",
"hearing",
"on",
"the",
"bill",
"next",
"Tuesday",
"."
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"Friday",
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"27",
",",
"1989",
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[
"The",
"House",
"voted",
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"the",
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"minimum",
"wage",
"for",
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",",
"casting",
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"382-37",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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"1991",
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",",
"while",
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"the",
"increase",
"will",
"still",
"hurt",
"small",
"business",
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"cost",
"many",
"thousands",
"of",
"jobs",
".",
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"the",
"legislation",
"reflected",
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"compromise",
"agreed",
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"on",
"Tuesday",
"by",
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",",
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"from",
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"previous",
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".",
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"accepted",
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",",
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"would",
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"a",
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",",
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".",
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",",
"the",
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"wage",
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"3.80",
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".",
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"is",
"expected",
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".",
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"are",
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"bill",
",",
"''",
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"Williams",
"(",
"D.",
",",
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".",
")",
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".",
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",",
"I",
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"wage",
",",
"the",
"level",
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"4.25",
"an",
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"in",
"1991",
"will",
"still",
"be",
"less",
"than",
"35",
"%",
"of",
"average",
"factory",
"pay",
",",
"Mr.",
"Williams",
"said",
".",
"But",
"Rep.",
"Marge",
"Roukema",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"N.J",
".",
")",
"instead",
"praised",
"the",
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"youth",
"``",
"training",
"''",
"wage",
",",
"a",
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"administrations",
"have",
"sought",
"for",
"many",
"years",
".",
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"getting",
"beyond",
"the",
"nickel",
"and",
"diming",
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"minimum",
"wage",
",",
"''",
"Mrs.",
"Roukema",
"said",
".",
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"makers",
"regard",
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"youth",
"wage",
"as",
"helping",
"to",
"limit",
"the",
"loss",
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"from",
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"increase",
"in",
"the",
"minimum",
"wage",
",",
"but",
"they",
"have",
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"to",
"help",
"impart",
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"skills",
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"entrants",
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"force",
".",
"Labor",
"unions",
"and",
"Democrats",
"long",
"fought",
"the",
"idea",
",",
"but",
"recently",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"1991",
".",
"Employers",
"can",
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"90",
"days",
",",
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",",
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",",
"and",
"for",
"another",
"90",
"days",
"if",
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"uses",
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"government-certified",
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"program",
"for",
"the",
"young",
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".",
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"training",
"wage",
"covers",
"only",
"workers",
"who",
"are",
"16",
"to",
"19",
"years",
"old",
".",
"The",
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"House",
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"any",
"time",
"a",
"worker",
"of",
"any",
"age",
"took",
"a",
"new",
"job",
".",
"The",
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"Chamber",
"of",
"Commerce",
",",
"still",
"opposed",
"to",
"any",
"mininum-wage",
"increase",
",",
"said",
"the",
"compromise",
"plan",
"to",
"lift",
"the",
"wage",
"floor",
"27",
"%",
"in",
"two",
"stages",
"between",
"April",
"1990",
"and",
"April",
"1991",
"``",
"will",
"be",
"impossible",
"for",
"many",
"employers",
"to",
"accommodate",
"and",
"will",
"result",
"in",
"the",
"elimination",
"of",
"jobs",
"for",
"American",
"workers",
"and",
"higher",
"prices",
"for",
"American",
"consumers",
"."
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[
"HUGO'S",
"BLAST",
"generates",
"pleas",
"for",
"aid",
"from",
"South",
"Carolina",
"small",
"businesses",
".",
"The",
"Small",
"Business",
"Administration",
"has",
"received",
"more",
"than",
"5,000",
"formal",
"requests",
"for",
"disaster",
"loans",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"hurricane",
".",
"About",
"45",
"%",
"of",
"requests",
"for",
"SBA",
"relief",
"loans",
",",
"which",
"also",
"are",
"available",
"to",
"homeowners",
",",
"come",
"from",
"small",
"businesses",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"a",
"25",
"%",
"business",
"share",
"after",
"most",
"disasters",
".",
"The",
"SBA",
"expects",
"to",
"make",
"about",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"in",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"loans",
".",
"The",
"disaster",
"fund",
"is",
"replenished",
"by",
"loan",
"repayments",
".",
"Hardest",
"hit",
"by",
"Hugo",
"in",
"South",
"Carolina",
"were",
"small",
"retailers",
"tied",
"to",
"the",
"tourist",
"industry",
"and",
"businesses",
"in",
"agriculture",
"and",
"cultivated",
"seafood",
".",
"The",
"State",
"Development",
"Board",
"set",
"up",
"a",
"Hugo",
"Hotline",
"to",
"accept",
"business-to-business",
"help",
".",
"After",
"NBC",
"weather",
"man",
"Willard",
"Scott",
"broadcast",
"the",
"hot-line",
"number",
",",
"it",
"was",
"flooded",
"with",
"10,000",
"calls",
".",
"Last",
"week",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Chamber",
"of",
"Commerce",
"began",
"using",
"its",
"national",
"TV",
"show",
"to",
"seek",
"help",
",",
"such",
"as",
"equipment",
",",
"for",
"business",
"owners",
".",
"Local",
"bankers",
"and",
"accountants",
"help",
"applicants",
"fill",
"out",
"forms",
".",
"``",
"It",
"helps",
"us",
",",
"and",
"people",
"feel",
"better",
"talking",
"to",
"someone",
"who",
"'s",
"gone",
"through",
"the",
"same",
"thing",
",",
"''",
"an",
"SBA",
"official",
"says",
".",
"HEALTH",
"BENEFITS",
"remain",
"a",
"central",
"lobbying",
"effort",
",",
"even",
"as",
"Section",
"89",
"fades",
".",
"The",
"Senate",
",",
"after",
"deleting",
"Section",
"89",
"repeal",
"from",
"its",
"deficit-reduction",
"bill",
",",
"still",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"join",
"the",
"House",
"in",
"voting",
"to",
"kill",
"the",
"law",
",",
"which",
"forces",
"companies",
"to",
"provide",
"comparable",
"benefits",
"to",
"laborers",
"and",
"executives",
"alike",
".",
"In",
"lobbying",
"on",
"other",
"health-coverage",
"topics",
",",
"the",
"National",
"Federation",
"of",
"Independent",
"Business",
"will",
"press",
"for",
"legislation",
"that",
"would",
"give",
"self-employed",
"people",
"a",
"100",
"%",
"tax",
"deduction",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"health",
"plans",
",",
"up",
"from",
"25",
"%",
"currently",
".",
"And",
"the",
"group",
"will",
"urge",
"that",
"the",
"federal",
"government",
"pre-empt",
"state",
"rules",
"on",
"what",
"must",
"be",
"covered",
"by",
"employers",
"'",
"health",
"insurance",
".",
"Small-business",
"groups",
"also",
"will",
"fight",
"the",
"medical-leave",
"provision",
"of",
"legislation",
"that",
"would",
"expand",
"parental",
"leaves",
".",
"And",
"they",
"still",
"oppose",
"as",
"too",
"costly",
"an",
"employer-paid",
"health",
"insurance",
"bill",
"sponsored",
"by",
"Sen.",
"Edward",
"Kennedy",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Mass",
".",
")",
"despite",
"his",
"proposal",
"to",
"phase",
"in",
"small",
"business",
"only",
"gradually",
".",
"There",
"is",
"also",
"worry",
"that",
"the",
"Pepper",
"Commission",
"studying",
"long-term",
"health",
"care",
"will",
"again",
"push",
"lawmakers",
"toward",
"employerpaid",
"solutions",
".",
"The",
"Section",
"89",
"victory",
"could",
"have",
"a",
"downside",
"by",
"making",
"it",
"harder",
"to",
"oppose",
"lawmakers",
"on",
"other",
"health",
"proposals",
".",
"``",
"With",
"the",
"repeal",
"of",
"Section",
"89",
",",
"we",
"can",
"no",
"longer",
"say",
"they",
"'re",
"discouraging",
"businesses",
"from",
"offering",
"health",
"plans",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Christine",
"Russell",
",",
"the",
"Chamber",
"of",
"Commerce",
"'s",
"small-business",
"advocate",
".",
"JUMPING",
"THE",
"GUN",
":",
"Sen.",
"Lloyd",
"Bentsen",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Texas",
")",
"was",
"outraged",
"after",
"a",
"private",
"word",
"to",
"John",
"Motley",
",",
"lobbyist",
"for",
"the",
"National",
"Federation",
"of",
"Independent",
"Business",
",",
"resulted",
"in",
"a",
"news",
"release",
"saying",
"that",
"the",
"Senate",
"Finance",
"Committee",
"chairman",
"would",
"recommend",
"repeal",
"of",
"Section",
"89",
".",
"Even",
"though",
"the",
"announcement",
"was",
"true",
"in",
"the",
"end",
",",
"it",
"was",
"issued",
"without",
"the",
"senator",
"'s",
"permission",
".",
"``",
"I",
"blew",
"it",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Motley",
"says",
"apologetically",
".",
"``",
"It",
"was",
"a",
"timing",
"mistake",
".",
"''",
"PRISON-SHOP",
"BLUES",
":",
"Sen.",
"Strom",
"Thurmond",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"S.C",
".",
")",
"protests",
"pending",
"legislation",
"to",
"end",
"the",
"preference",
"that",
"the",
"federal",
"prison",
"system",
"gets",
"in",
"selling",
"prisoner-made",
"furniture",
"and",
"other",
"goods",
"to",
"government",
"agencies",
".",
"Small-business",
"suppliers",
"want",
"prisons",
"to",
"stop",
"getting",
"high",
"priority",
",",
"especially",
"as",
"prison",
"production",
"grows",
"with",
"swelling",
"inmate",
"populations",
".",
"Last",
"year",
",",
"the",
"prisons",
"'",
"sales",
"to",
"the",
"Pentagon",
"totaled",
"$",
"336",
"million",
".",
"REPAIR",
"SHOPS",
"SCRAP",
"for",
"more",
"access",
"to",
"work",
"on",
"auto-emissions",
"systems",
".",
"Groups",
"representing",
"some",
"independent",
"auto-repair",
"shops",
"join",
"a",
"compromise",
"on",
"the",
"Clean",
"Air",
"legislation",
"worked",
"out",
"between",
"environmentalists",
"and",
"Rep.",
"Henry",
"Waxman",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Calif",
".",
")",
".",
"The",
"plan",
"would",
"increase",
"the",
"warranty",
"on",
"auto-emission",
"systems",
"to",
"eight",
"years",
"or",
"80,000",
"miles",
"from",
"five",
"years",
"or",
"50,000",
"for",
"major",
"parts",
".",
"But",
"the",
"warranty",
"on",
"simpler",
"parts",
"would",
"be",
"lowered",
"to",
"two",
"years",
"or",
"24,000",
"miles",
".",
"The",
"garage",
"owners",
"say",
"they",
"would",
"benefit",
"because",
"car",
"owners",
"would",
"be",
"less",
"likely",
"to",
"go",
"back",
"to",
"dealers",
"for",
"the",
"simpler",
"repairs",
"after",
"two",
"years",
".",
"The",
"repair",
"shops",
"are",
"n't",
"united",
",",
"however",
".",
"Shops",
"represented",
"by",
"the",
"Automotive",
"Service",
"Industry",
"Association",
"and",
"the",
"Motor",
"Equipment",
"Manufacturers",
"Association",
"oppose",
"any",
"increase",
"in",
"warranty",
"length",
".",
"They",
"say",
"the",
"longer",
"the",
"warranty",
",",
"the",
"longer",
"customers",
"will",
"automatically",
"return",
"to",
"new-car",
"dealers",
",",
"which",
"then",
"find",
"non-warranty",
"work",
"that",
"might",
"otherwise",
"go",
"to",
"repair",
"shops",
".",
"The",
"House",
"Energy",
"Committee",
"will",
"debate",
"the",
"issue",
"later",
"this",
"month",
".",
"Stan",
"Hathcock",
",",
"an",
"Atlanta",
"garage",
"owner",
"who",
"opposes",
"a",
"longer",
"warranty",
",",
"estimates",
"that",
"the",
"current",
"plan",
"costs",
"him",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"15,000",
"a",
"year",
"in",
"lost",
"business",
".",
"SMALL",
"TALK",
":",
"Some",
"70",
"%",
"of",
"graduates",
"who",
"recently",
"earned",
"an",
"M.B.A.",
"degree",
"say",
"they",
"'d",
"prefer",
"to",
"work",
"in",
"or",
"own",
"a",
"small",
"company",
",",
"yet",
"most",
"take",
"jobs",
"with",
"large",
"concerns",
",",
"says",
"a",
"survey",
"by",
"the",
"Foster",
"McKay",
"Group",
",",
"a",
"New",
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"recruiting",
"firm",
"...",
".",
"Cardinal",
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"Inc.",
"of",
"Waldorf",
",",
"Md.",
",",
"seeks",
"a",
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"Business",
"Innovation",
"Research",
"grant",
"to",
"produce",
"a",
"``",
"nozzle",
"assembly",
"for",
"an",
"Army",
"mass",
"delousing",
"outfit",
"."
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[
"An",
"imaginative",
"novelist",
"writing",
"a",
"thriller",
"about",
"amateur",
"spy-chasing",
"might",
"invent",
"a",
"Clifford",
"Stoll",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"unlikely",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"also",
"unnecessary",
".",
"Amateur",
"spy-chaser",
"Clifford",
"Stoll",
"is",
"a",
"real",
"person",
",",
"or",
"as",
"he",
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"waggishly",
"put",
"it",
",",
"a",
"surreal",
"person",
".",
"He",
"is",
"37",
",",
"an",
"astronomer",
"with",
"impressive",
"credentials",
",",
"and",
"something",
"of",
"a",
"genius",
"at",
"making",
"computers",
"do",
"his",
"bidding",
".",
"He",
"once",
"described",
"himself",
"as",
"a",
"``",
"Berkeley",
"Hippie",
",",
"''",
"and",
"played",
"the",
"role",
"well",
";",
"obligatory",
"ragged",
"jeans",
",",
"a",
"thicket",
"of",
"long",
"hair",
"and",
"rejection",
"of",
"all",
"things",
"conventional",
",",
"including",
",",
"for",
"a",
"time",
"at",
"least",
",",
"formal",
"marriage",
"to",
"his",
"``",
"sweetheart",
",",
"''",
"Martha",
"Matthews",
".",
"He",
"also",
"is",
"an",
"entertaining",
"writer",
",",
"combining",
"wisecracks",
"and",
"wordplay",
"with",
"programmatic",
"detail",
"and",
"lucid",
"explanations",
"of",
"how",
"computers",
"work",
".",
"In",
"``",
"The",
"Cuckoo",
"'s",
"Egg",
"''",
"(",
"Doubleday",
",",
"326",
"pages",
",",
"$",
"19.95",
")",
",",
"he",
"spins",
"a",
"remarkable",
"tale",
"of",
"his",
"efforts",
"over",
"18",
"months",
"to",
"catch",
"a",
"computer",
"spy",
".",
"The",
"result",
"last",
"spring",
"was",
"the",
"arrest",
"by",
"West",
"German",
"authorities",
"of",
"five",
"young",
"West",
"Germans",
",",
"accused",
"of",
"stealing",
"information",
"from",
"computers",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"and",
"Europe",
"and",
"selling",
"it",
"to",
"the",
"Soviet",
"KGB",
".",
"One",
"of",
"them",
",",
"25-year-old",
"Markus",
"Hess",
"of",
"Hannover",
",",
"allegedly",
"used",
"the",
"international",
"telecommunications",
"network",
"to",
"break",
"into",
"more",
"than",
"30",
"high-security",
"computers",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"searching",
"for",
"secrets",
".",
"He",
"probably",
"did",
"n't",
"penetrate",
"any",
"top-secret",
"files",
",",
"but",
"the",
"KGB",
"in",
"East",
"Berlin",
"was",
"willing",
"to",
"pay",
"two",
"of",
"his",
"associates",
",",
"Peter",
"Carl",
"and",
"Dirk",
"Brezinski",
",",
"$",
"15,000",
"for",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"material",
"Hess",
"collected",
".",
"They",
"promised",
"yet",
"more",
"for",
"really",
"good",
"stuff",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"draws",
"his",
"title",
"from",
"the",
"cuckoo",
"'s",
"habit",
"of",
"laying",
"eggs",
"in",
"the",
"nests",
"of",
"other",
"birds",
",",
"making",
"them",
"surrogate",
"parents",
".",
"The",
"computer",
"spy",
"had",
"discovered",
"that",
"a",
"popular",
"editing/electronic",
"mail",
"program",
"called",
"Gnu-Emacs",
"could",
"do",
"tricks",
"with",
"the",
"widely",
"used",
"Unix",
"operating",
"system",
"created",
"by",
"AT&T",
".",
"Using",
"Gnu-Emacs",
",",
"the",
"spy",
"could",
"substitute",
"a",
"bogus",
"``",
"atrun",
"''",
"program",
"for",
"the",
"one",
"that",
"routinely",
"cleans",
"up",
"the",
"Unix",
"system",
"every",
"five",
"minutes",
".",
"Once",
"his",
"cuckoo",
"'s",
"egg",
"was",
"laid",
",",
"he",
"could",
"enter",
"Unix",
"and",
"become",
"a",
"``",
"super-user",
",",
"''",
"with",
"access",
"to",
"everything",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"was",
"scanning",
"the",
"heavens",
"at",
"the",
"Keck",
"observatory",
"of",
"the",
"Lawrence",
"Berkeley",
"Laboratory",
"in",
"1986",
"when",
"his",
"grant",
"ran",
"low",
"and",
"he",
"was",
"asked",
"to",
"switch",
"to",
"helping",
"run",
"the",
"lab",
"'s",
"computers",
".",
"He",
"discovered",
"a",
"75-cent",
"discrepancy",
"in",
"the",
"charges",
"made",
"to",
"various",
"departments",
"for",
"computer",
"time",
"and",
"traced",
"it",
"to",
"a",
"user",
"named",
"``",
"Hunter",
",",
"''",
"who",
"had",
"no",
"valid",
"billing",
"address",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"suspected",
"the",
"intruder",
"was",
"one",
"of",
"those",
"precocious",
"students",
"who",
"has",
"fun",
"breaking",
"into",
"computers",
".",
"But",
"after",
"much",
"tracking",
",",
"it",
"became",
"evident",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
",",
"through",
"various",
"clues",
",",
"that",
"the",
"hacker",
"was",
"not",
"on",
"the",
"Berkeley",
"campus",
"or",
"even",
"in",
"California",
".",
"Finding",
"him",
"became",
"an",
"obsession",
"for",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
".",
"He",
"made",
"a",
"midnight",
"requisition",
"of",
"all",
"the",
"printers",
"he",
"could",
"lay",
"hands",
"on",
"so",
"that",
"he",
"could",
"monitor",
"all",
"the",
"telephone",
"lines",
"coming",
"into",
"the",
"lab",
"'s",
"computers",
".",
"After",
"discovering",
"that",
"the",
"hacker",
"had",
"taken",
"over",
"the",
"dormant",
"account",
"of",
"a",
"legitimate",
"user",
"named",
"Joe",
"Sventek",
",",
"he",
"rigged",
"up",
"an",
"alarm",
"system",
",",
"including",
"a",
"portable",
"beeper",
",",
"to",
"alert",
"him",
"when",
"Sventek",
"came",
"on",
"the",
"line",
".",
"Some",
"nights",
"he",
"slept",
"under",
"his",
"desk",
".",
"His",
"boss",
"complained",
"about",
"neglect",
"of",
"other",
"chores",
".",
"The",
"hacker",
"was",
"pawing",
"over",
"the",
"Berkeley",
"files",
"but",
"also",
"using",
"Berkeley",
"and",
"other",
"easily",
"accessible",
"computers",
"as",
"stepping",
"stones",
"to",
"the",
"network",
"of",
"computers",
"used",
"by",
"the",
"military",
"and",
"national",
"security",
"agencies",
".",
"The",
"White",
"Sands",
"missile",
"range",
"and",
"CIA",
"contractor",
"Mitre",
"Inc.",
"were",
"among",
"the",
"targets",
".",
"When",
"the",
"hacker",
"moved",
",",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"moved",
"too",
",",
"calling",
"up",
"other",
"systems",
"managers",
"to",
"alert",
"them",
"but",
"keeping",
"his",
"own",
"system",
"open",
"to",
"avoid",
"arousing",
"suspicion",
".",
"Sometimes",
",",
"if",
"the",
"hacker",
"seemed",
"to",
"be",
"into",
"a",
"sensitive",
"file",
",",
"he",
"would",
"drag",
"his",
"keychain",
"across",
"the",
"terminal",
"to",
"create",
"static",
"or",
"slow",
"the",
"system",
"down",
"to",
"frustrate",
"his",
"quarry",
".",
"The",
"FBI",
"initially",
"showed",
"little",
"interest",
",",
"and",
"he",
"had",
"the",
"impression",
"other",
"federal",
"security",
"agencies",
"were",
"tangled",
"up",
"in",
"legal",
"red",
"tape",
".",
"The",
"CIA",
"told",
"him",
"it",
"does",
"not",
"do",
"domestic",
"counterespionage",
".",
"One",
"learns",
"a",
"lot",
"from",
"this",
"book",
",",
"or",
"seems",
"to",
",",
"about",
"crippling",
"federal",
"bureaucracy",
".",
"``",
"Seems",
"to",
"''",
"because",
"it",
"'s",
"possible",
"that",
"the",
"CIA",
"and",
"the",
"National",
"Security",
"Agency",
"were",
"more",
"interested",
"than",
"they",
"let",
"on",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
".",
"Finally",
",",
"he",
"got",
"help",
".",
"Tymnet",
"is",
"a",
"major",
"network",
"linking",
"computers",
".",
"One",
"of",
"its",
"international",
"specialists",
",",
"Steve",
"White",
",",
"took",
"a",
"quick",
"interest",
"in",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"'s",
"hunt",
",",
"ultimately",
"tracing",
"the",
"hacker",
"to",
"West",
"Germany",
".",
"The",
"West",
"Germans",
"then",
"took",
"over",
"and",
"finally",
"found",
"Markus",
"Hess",
".",
"Eventually",
",",
"Mr.",
"Stoll",
"was",
"invited",
"to",
"both",
"the",
"CIA",
"and",
"NSA",
"to",
"brief",
"high-ranking",
"officers",
"on",
"computer",
"theft",
".",
"He",
"savored",
"the",
"humor",
"of",
"his",
"uncombed",
"appearance",
"among",
"these",
"buttoned-up",
"chaps",
".",
"Back",
"in",
"Berkeley",
",",
"he",
"was",
"violently",
"scolded",
"by",
"a",
"left-wing",
"lady",
"friend",
"for",
"consorting",
"with",
"such",
"people",
".",
"He",
"became",
"angry",
"in",
"return",
".",
"He",
"had",
"developed",
"a",
"hatred",
"for",
"the",
"hacker",
"and",
"a",
"grudging",
"appreciation",
"of",
"the",
"federal",
"``",
"spooks",
"''",
"who",
"make",
"national",
"security",
"their",
"business",
".",
"At",
"several",
"different",
"levels",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"fascinating",
"tale",
".",
"Mr.",
"Melloan",
"is",
"deputy",
"editor",
"of",
"the",
"Journal",
"."
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"offices",
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"it",
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".",
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"can",
"even",
"take",
"notes",
"--",
"extensive",
"notes",
",",
"for",
"the",
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"folks",
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"your",
"shoulder",
"--",
"about",
"what",
"you",
"read",
".",
"You",
"can",
"do",
"all",
"this",
"even",
"if",
"you",
"'re",
"not",
"a",
"reporter",
"or",
"a",
"researcher",
"or",
"a",
"scholar",
"or",
"a",
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"of",
"Congress",
".",
"And",
"my",
"newspaper",
"can",
"print",
"the",
"text",
"of",
"those",
"broadcasts",
".",
"Until",
"the",
"other",
"day",
",",
"you",
"as",
"an",
"ordinary",
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"democracy",
"had",
"no",
"right",
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"see",
"what",
"your",
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"was",
"telling",
"your",
"cousins",
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"the",
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".",
"That",
"was",
"the",
"law",
".",
"And",
"I",
"apparently",
"had",
"no",
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"print",
"hither",
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"--",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"all",
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",",
"and",
"the",
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".",
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"dissemination",
"of",
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"material",
"were",
"especially",
"absurd",
":",
"An",
"agency",
"in",
"the",
"information",
"business",
"was",
"not",
"being",
"allowed",
"to",
"inform",
".",
"In",
"June",
"1988",
",",
"I",
"wrote",
"in",
"this",
"space",
"about",
"this",
"issue",
".",
"Assuming",
"it",
"was",
"n't",
"one",
"of",
"those",
"columns",
"that",
"you",
"clipped",
"and",
"put",
"on",
"the",
"refrigerator",
"door",
",",
"I",
"'ll",
"review",
"the",
"facts",
".",
"The",
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"--",
"some",
"might",
"say",
"propaganda",
"--",
"in",
"43",
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"to",
"130",
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".",
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".",
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"--",
"is",
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"for",
"by",
"you",
".",
"But",
"a",
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"``",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"only",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"?",
"``",
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",",
"''",
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".",
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",",
"transcribe",
"an",
"editorial",
"or",
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",",
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"newspaper",
"?",
"``",
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",",
"''",
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",",
"so",
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",",
"I",
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".",
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".",
"At",
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",",
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".",
"And",
",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
"all",
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"--",
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".",
"For",
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":",
"The",
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"Information",
"Agency",
",",
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"Voice",
",",
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"position",
"on",
"three",
"key",
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".",
"--",
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"USIA",
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",",
"on",
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",",
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"I",
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"get",
"my",
"hands",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"and",
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"stated",
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"the",
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"that",
"all",
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",",
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",",
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"appearing",
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"requesting",
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",",
"''",
"Mr.",
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".",
"--",
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"of",
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"take",
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"notes",
".",
"``",
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"and",
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",",
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",",
"no",
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",",
"''",
"Mr.",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"the",
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"Voice",
"material",
",",
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",",
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"had",
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"a",
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",",
"arguing",
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"effect",
"that",
"a",
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"print",
"government",
"information",
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"n't",
"very",
"helpful",
"if",
"I",
"have",
"no",
"right",
"to",
"get",
"the",
"information",
".",
"But",
"the",
"court",
"disagreed",
".",
"``",
"The",
"First",
"Amendment",
"proscribes",
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"passing",
"laws",
"abridging",
"the",
"right",
"to",
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"speech",
",",
"''",
"Judge",
"Donald",
"O'Brien",
"ruled",
".",
"``",
"The",
"First",
"Amendment",
"does",
"not",
"prescribe",
"a",
"duty",
"upon",
"the",
"government",
"to",
"assure",
"easy",
"access",
"to",
"information",
"for",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"press",
".",
"''",
"So",
"now",
"the",
"situation",
"is",
"this",
":",
"You",
"have",
"a",
"right",
"to",
"read",
"Voice",
"of",
"America",
"scripts",
"if",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"mind",
"traveling",
"to",
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"every",
"week",
"or",
"so",
"and",
"visiting",
"the",
"Voice",
"office",
"during",
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"hours",
".",
"I",
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"a",
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"print",
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"I",
"go",
"there",
"and",
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"--",
"but",
"no",
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"--",
"copy",
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".",
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"copy",
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"on",
"a",
"Xerox",
"machine",
"or",
"have",
"it",
"sent",
"to",
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".",
"In",
"an",
"era",
"when",
"every",
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"agency",
"has",
"a",
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"machine",
"that",
"sends",
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"it",
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",",
"this",
"does",
"seem",
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".",
"Indeed",
",",
"Judge",
"O'Brien",
"ruled",
"that",
"``",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"easy",
"to",
"conclude",
"that",
"the",
"USIA",
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"`",
"inappropriate",
"or",
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",",
"'",
"''",
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".",
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",",
"I",
"suspect",
",",
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".",
"We",
"(",
"I",
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"you",
"'re",
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"me",
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"this",
"point",
")",
"need",
"to",
"get",
"three",
"words",
"--",
"``",
"for",
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"only",
"''",
"--",
"eliminated",
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".",
"Section",
"501",
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"States",
"Information",
"and",
"Educational",
"Exchange",
"Act",
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"1948",
"says",
"Voice",
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"(",
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",",
"thanks",
"to",
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"new",
"position",
",",
"all",
"of",
"us",
")",
"``",
"for",
"examination",
"only",
".",
"''",
"If",
"those",
"words",
"were",
"n't",
"there",
",",
"the",
"nice",
"people",
"at",
"the",
"Voice",
"would",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"send",
"you",
"the",
"information",
"or",
",",
"at",
"the",
"very",
"least",
",",
"let",
"you",
"photocopy",
"it",
".",
"This",
"is",
"not",
"a",
"trivial",
"issue",
".",
"``",
"You",
"have",
"...",
"raised",
"important",
"questions",
"which",
"ought",
"to",
"be",
"answered",
":",
"What",
"does",
"USIA",
"say",
"about",
"America",
"abroad",
";",
"how",
"do",
"we",
"say",
"it",
";",
"and",
"how",
"can",
"American",
"taxpayers",
"get",
"the",
"answers",
"to",
"these",
"questions",
"?",
"''",
"a",
"man",
"wrote",
"me",
"a",
"couple",
"of",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"The",
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"was",
"Charles",
"Z.",
"Wick",
".",
"At",
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"time",
",",
"he",
"was",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"He",
"had",
"no",
"answers",
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".",
"Now",
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"are",
"some",
".",
"This",
"democracy",
"is",
"suddenly",
"a",
"little",
"more",
"democratic",
".",
"I",
"feel",
"pretty",
"good",
"about",
"it",
".",
"Mr.",
"Gartner",
"is",
"editor",
"and",
"co-owner",
"of",
"the",
"Daily",
"Tribune",
"in",
"Ames",
",",
"Iowa",
",",
"and",
"president",
"of",
"NBC",
"News",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"."
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[
"SOUTH",
"AFRICA",
"FREED",
"the",
"ANC",
"'s",
"Sisulu",
"and",
"seven",
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"prisoners",
".",
"Thousands",
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"supporters",
",",
"many",
"brandishing",
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"of",
"the",
"outlawed",
"African",
"National",
"Congress",
",",
"gave",
"the",
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"activists",
"a",
"tumultuous",
"reception",
"upon",
"their",
"return",
"to",
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"townships",
"across",
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"country",
".",
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"freed",
"had",
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"in",
"prison",
".",
"The",
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"Sisulu",
",",
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"black",
"nationalist",
"Nelson",
"Mandela",
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"the",
"government",
",",
"said",
"equality",
"for",
"blacks",
"in",
"South",
"Africa",
"was",
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".",
"The",
"releases",
",",
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"de",
"Klerk",
",",
"were",
"viewed",
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"ANC",
".",
"Mandela",
",",
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"leader",
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"the",
"ANC",
",",
"remains",
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"prison",
".",
"But",
"his",
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"within",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"months",
"is",
"widely",
"expected",
".",
"The",
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"Union",
"reported",
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"thousands",
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"tons",
"of",
"goods",
"needed",
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"were",
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"depots",
",",
"and",
"food",
"shipments",
"were",
"rotting",
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"of",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"people",
"and",
"equipment",
"to",
"move",
"the",
"cargo",
".",
"Strikes",
"and",
"mismanagement",
"were",
"cited",
",",
"and",
"Premier",
"Ryzhkov",
"warned",
"of",
"``",
"tough",
"measures",
".",
"''",
"Bush",
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"there",
"might",
"be",
"``",
"room",
"for",
"flexibility",
"''",
"in",
"a",
"bill",
"to",
"allow",
"federal",
"funding",
"of",
"abortions",
"for",
"poor",
"women",
"who",
"are",
"vicitims",
"of",
"rape",
"and",
"incest",
".",
"He",
"reiterated",
"his",
"opposition",
"to",
"such",
"funding",
",",
"but",
"expressed",
"hope",
"of",
"a",
"compromise",
".",
"The",
"president",
",",
"at",
"a",
"news",
"conference",
"Friday",
",",
"also",
"renewed",
"a",
"call",
"for",
"the",
"ouster",
"of",
"Panama",
"'s",
"Noriega",
".",
"The",
"White",
"House",
"said",
"minors",
"have",
"n't",
"any",
"right",
"to",
"abortion",
"without",
"the",
"consent",
"of",
"their",
"parents",
".",
"The",
"administration",
"'s",
"policy",
"was",
"stated",
"in",
"a",
"friend-of-the-court",
"brief",
"urging",
"the",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"to",
"give",
"states",
"more",
"leeway",
"to",
"restrict",
"abortions",
".",
"Ten",
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"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"governors",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"called",
"on",
"the",
"justices",
"to",
"reject",
"efforts",
"to",
"limit",
"abortions",
".",
"The",
"Justice",
"Department",
"announced",
"that",
"the",
"FBI",
"has",
"been",
"given",
"the",
"authority",
"to",
"seize",
"U.S.",
"fugitives",
"overseas",
"without",
"the",
"permission",
"of",
"foreign",
"governments",
".",
"Secretary",
"of",
"State",
"Baker",
"emphasized",
"Friday",
"that",
"the",
"new",
"policy",
"would",
"n't",
"be",
"invoked",
"by",
"the",
"Bush",
"administration",
"without",
"full",
"consideration",
"of",
"foreign-policy",
"implications",
".",
"NASA",
"pronounced",
"the",
"space",
"shuttle",
"Atlantis",
"ready",
"for",
"launch",
"tomorrow",
"following",
"a",
"five-day",
"postponement",
"of",
"the",
"flight",
"because",
"of",
"a",
"faulty",
"engine",
"computer",
".",
"The",
"device",
"was",
"replaced",
".",
"The",
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"'s",
"five",
"astronauts",
"are",
"to",
"dispatch",
"the",
"Galileo",
"space",
"probe",
"on",
"an",
"exploration",
"mission",
"to",
"Jupiter",
".",
"South",
"Korea",
"'s",
"President",
"Roh",
"traveled",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
"for",
"a",
"five-day",
"visit",
"that",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"focus",
"on",
"ties",
"between",
"Washington",
"and",
"Seoul",
".",
"Roh",
",",
"who",
"is",
"facing",
"calls",
"for",
"the",
"reduction",
"of",
"U.S.",
"military",
"forces",
"in",
"South",
"Korea",
",",
"is",
"to",
"meet",
"with",
"Bush",
"tomorrow",
"and",
"is",
"to",
"address",
"a",
"joint",
"session",
"of",
"Congress",
"on",
"Wednesday",
".",
"China",
"'s",
"Communist",
"leadership",
"voted",
"to",
"purge",
"the",
"party",
"of",
"``",
"hostile",
"and",
"anti-party",
"elements",
"''",
"and",
"wealthy",
"private",
"businessmen",
",",
"whom",
"they",
"called",
"exploiters",
".",
"The",
"decision",
",",
"reported",
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"the",
"official",
"Xinhua",
"News",
"Agency",
",",
"indicated",
"that",
"the",
"crackdown",
"prompted",
"by",
"student-led",
"pro-democracy",
"protests",
"in",
"June",
"is",
"intensifying",
".",
"Hundreds",
"of",
"East",
"Germans",
"flocked",
"to",
"Bonn",
"'s",
"Embassy",
"in",
"Warsaw",
",",
"bringing",
"to",
"more",
"than",
"1,200",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"emigres",
"expected",
"to",
"flee",
"to",
"the",
"West",
"beginning",
"today",
".",
"More",
"than",
"2,100",
"others",
"escaped",
"to",
"West",
"Germany",
"through",
"Hungary",
"over",
"the",
"Weekend",
".",
"In",
"Leipzig",
",",
"activists",
"vowed",
"to",
"continue",
"street",
"protests",
"to",
"demand",
"internal",
"change",
".",
"Zaire",
"'s",
"President",
"Mobutu",
"met",
"in",
"southern",
"France",
"with",
"Angolan",
"rebel",
"leader",
"Savimbi",
"and",
"a",
"senior",
"U.S.",
"envoy",
"in",
"a",
"bid",
"to",
"revive",
"an",
"accord",
"to",
"end",
"Angola",
"'s",
"civil",
"war",
".",
"Details",
"of",
"the",
"talks",
",",
"described",
"by",
"a",
"Zairean",
"official",
"as",
"``",
"very",
"delicate",
",",
"''",
"were",
"n't",
"disclosed",
".",
"PLO",
"leader",
"Arafat",
"insisted",
"on",
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"that",
"any",
"elections",
"in",
"the",
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"territories",
"would",
"be",
"impartial",
".",
"He",
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"to",
"a",
"PLO",
"gathering",
"in",
"Baghdad",
".",
"In",
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"lands",
",",
"underground",
"leaders",
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"the",
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"rejected",
"a",
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"talks",
"as",
"Shamir",
"opposed",
"holding",
"such",
"discussions",
"in",
"Cairo",
".",
"Lebanese",
"Christian",
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"presented",
"to",
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"mediators",
"at",
"talks",
"in",
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"Arabia",
"proposals",
"for",
"a",
"new",
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"for",
"the",
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"forces",
"from",
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".",
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".",
"Hurricane",
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".",
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"were",
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"to",
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"as",
"the",
"storm",
"headed",
"north",
"in",
"the",
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"80",
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[
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",",
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"38",
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".",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
",",
"now",
"a",
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"executive",
"in",
"Washington",
",",
"D.C.",
",",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Thomson",
",",
"a",
"paper-products",
"salesman",
"in",
"Montvale",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
"had",
"n't",
"even",
"talked",
"to",
"each",
"other",
".",
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"one",
"recent",
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",",
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",",
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"Giants",
"(",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"100",
",",
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".",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Mr.",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
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".",
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"Branca",
",",
"again",
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",",
"stared",
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".",
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",",
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"bat",
",",
"was",
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".",
"``",
"Giants",
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"went",
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"euphoria",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
".",
"And",
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".",
"The",
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",",
"it",
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",",
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".",
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"Bobby",
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",",
"who",
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"was",
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"Russ",
"Hodges",
"radio",
"broadcast",
"--",
"the",
"one",
"that",
"concluded",
"with",
"Mr.",
"Hodges",
"shouting",
",",
"over",
"and",
"over",
",",
"``",
"The",
"Giants",
"win",
"the",
"pennant",
",",
"the",
"Giants",
"win",
"the",
"pennant",
"!",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
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"Mr.",
"Thomson",
"drifted",
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"directions",
"in",
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",",
"and",
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"Grounds",
",",
"located",
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"Coogan",
"'s",
"Bluff",
"in",
"upper",
"Manhattan",
",",
"was",
"replaced",
"by",
"a",
"public-housing",
"project",
".",
"Mr.",
"Thomson",
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"outfield",
"and",
"third",
"base",
"until",
"1960",
",",
"posting",
"a",
"lifetime",
".270",
"batting",
"average",
"and",
"chalking",
"up",
"264",
"home",
"runs",
"before",
"retiring",
"and",
"going",
"into",
"paper-goods",
"sales",
".",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
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"south",
"to",
"Washington",
",",
"but",
"he",
"took",
"with",
"him",
"enduring",
"memories",
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"of",
"1951",
".",
"When",
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"wife",
",",
"Betsy",
",",
"came",
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"the",
"aisle",
"on",
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"day",
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"1966",
",",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
"--",
"no",
"slouch",
"on",
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"romantic",
"front",
"--",
"gave",
"her",
"the",
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"compliment",
":",
"``",
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"look",
"prettier",
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"Bobby",
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"run",
".",
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",",
"Homer",
",",
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"Event",
",",
"though",
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".",
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",",
"Martha",
",",
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"run",
",",
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"her",
"25th",
"birthday",
",",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
"wrote",
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"sports",
"hero",
"to",
"tell",
"him",
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"the",
"coincidence",
"of",
"events",
".",
"Mr.",
"Thomson",
"sent",
"off",
"a",
"card",
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"Martha",
":",
"``",
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"does",
"n't",
"seem",
"like",
"25",
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"since",
"I",
"hit",
"that",
"home",
"run",
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",",
"''",
"it",
"read",
".",
"Martha",
"was",
"pleased",
",",
"but",
"nowhere",
"near",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
".",
"The",
"family",
"license",
"plate",
"reads",
"``",
"ENG",
"23",
",",
"''",
"the",
"first",
"three",
"letters",
"of",
"the",
"family",
"name",
"and",
"--",
"no",
"surprise",
"here",
"--",
"Bobby",
"Thomson",
"'s",
"uniform",
"number",
".",
"And",
"on",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
"'s",
"40th",
"birthday",
",",
"his",
"wife",
"bought",
"a",
"book",
"detailing",
"the",
"big",
"homer",
"and",
"sent",
"it",
"off",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Thomson",
"to",
"be",
"autographed",
".",
"``",
"What",
"could",
"have",
"been",
"better",
"?",
"''",
"asks",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
".",
"Betsy",
"Engelken",
"asked",
"the",
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"question",
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",",
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"was",
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"turn",
"50",
".",
"She",
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".",
"On",
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"'s",
"50th",
"birthday",
"(",
"after",
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"23",
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",",
"it",
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",",
"Betsy",
",",
"Al",
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"University",
".",
"Mrs.",
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"Turnpike",
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",",
"she",
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"husband",
",",
"pick",
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"papers",
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"over",
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"bank",
"of",
"telephone",
"booths",
"just",
"off",
"Exit",
"10",
".",
"``",
"It",
"sounded",
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"something",
"out",
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"Ian",
"Fleming",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
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".",
"At",
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",",
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",",
"and",
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".",
"Mr.",
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"In",
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",",
"she",
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",",
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",",
"silver-haired",
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".",
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"addressed",
"her",
"husband",
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"nickname",
":",
"``",
"Bertie",
",",
"''",
"she",
"said",
",",
"``",
"Happy",
"50th",
"Birthday",
".",
"This",
"is",
"Bobby",
"Thomson",
".",
"''",
"``",
"And",
"there",
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"was",
",",
"''",
"recalls",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
".",
"``",
"The",
"hero",
"of",
"my",
"youth",
",",
"the",
"one",
"person",
"in",
"history",
"I",
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".",
"Keep",
"your",
"Thomas",
"Jeffersons",
",",
"or",
"St.",
"Augustines",
"or",
"Michelangelos",
";",
"I",
"'d",
"take",
"baseball",
"'s",
"Flying",
"Scot",
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"hesitation",
".",
"''",
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"the",
"home",
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".",
"``",
"I",
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"the",
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"deck",
",",
"''",
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",",
"now",
"66",
"years",
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".",
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".",
"``",
"I",
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"it",
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",",
"''",
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",",
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",",
"``",
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".",
"It",
"was",
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",",
"just",
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"look",
"on",
"Albert",
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"face",
".",
"''",
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"spent",
"an",
"hour",
"at",
"Exit",
"10",
",",
"rehashing",
"the",
"event",
",",
"``",
"fulfilling",
"the",
"lifelong",
"dream",
"of",
"a",
"young",
"boy",
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"turned",
"50",
",",
"''",
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"His",
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"signed",
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"called",
"Ralph",
"Branca",
"``",
"a",
"very",
"fine",
"pitcher",
".",
"''",
"And",
"when",
"Mr.",
"Engelken",
"asked",
"him",
"why",
"he",
"took",
"time",
"off",
"from",
"work",
"for",
"somebody",
"he",
"did",
"n't",
"even",
"know",
",",
"Bobby",
"Thomson",
"replied",
":",
"``",
"You",
"know",
",",
"Albert",
",",
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"have",
"the",
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"make",
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"this",
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",",
"you",
"have",
"an",
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"do",
"it",
".",
"''",
"In",
"an",
"interview",
",",
"Mr.",
"Thomson",
",",
"who",
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"married",
"and",
"has",
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"grown",
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",",
"says",
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"has",
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"ties",
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"days",
",",
"other",
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"old-timers",
"games",
"now",
"and",
"again",
".",
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"his",
"fans",
",",
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"his",
"constant",
"amazement",
",",
"never",
"let",
"him",
"forget",
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"famous",
"four-bagger",
".",
"His",
"mail",
"regularly",
"recalls",
"``",
"my",
"one",
"event",
",",
"''",
"and",
"has",
"been",
"growing",
"in",
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".",
"In",
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"letters",
",",
"Mr.",
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"an",
"autographed",
"photo",
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"note",
",",
"and",
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".",
"But",
"when",
"Betsy",
"Engelken",
"wrote",
"him",
",",
"saying",
"she",
"could",
"stop",
"near",
"his",
"New",
"Jersey",
"home",
",",
"it",
"seemed",
"different",
".",
"``",
"What",
"a",
"good",
"feeling",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"for",
"me",
"to",
"do",
"that",
",",
"''",
"he",
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".",
"When",
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"north",
",",
"Mr.",
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"it",
"all",
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",",
"just",
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"make",
"sure",
"no",
"detail",
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"missed",
".",
"``",
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",",
"''",
"his",
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",",
"``",
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"car",
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"south",
".",
"My",
"mind",
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"north",
"at",
"a",
"place",
"called",
"Coogan",
"'s",
"Bluff",
",",
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"a",
"real",
"sports",
"hero",
"had",
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"the",
"imagination",
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"a",
"kid",
"who",
"never",
"fully",
"grew",
"up",
"and",
"is",
"all",
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"for",
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".",
"``",
"Take",
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",",
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"fans",
",",
"''",
"he",
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".",
"``",
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".",
"You",
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"not",
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"one",
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"`",
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"'",
"column",
".",
"But",
"who",
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"?",
"You",
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"meet",
"up",
"with",
"him",
"at",
"that",
"bank",
"of",
"telephone",
"booths",
"just",
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"10",
"of",
"the",
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"Turnpike",
"."
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"nmod",
"nummod",
"case",
"det",
"compound",
"compound",
"nmod",
"punct"
] |
[
"President",
"Bush",
"insists",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"great",
"tool",
"for",
"curbing",
"the",
"budget",
"deficit",
"and",
"slicing",
"the",
"lard",
"out",
"of",
"government",
"programs",
".",
"He",
"wants",
"it",
"now",
".",
"Not",
"so",
"fast",
",",
"says",
"Rep.",
"Mickey",
"Edwards",
"of",
"Oklahoma",
",",
"a",
"fellow",
"Republican",
".",
"``",
"I",
"consider",
"it",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"stupidest",
"ideas",
"of",
"the",
"20th",
"century",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"the",
"line-item",
"veto",
",",
"a",
"procedure",
"that",
"would",
"allow",
"the",
"president",
"to",
"kill",
"individual",
"items",
"in",
"a",
"big",
"spending",
"bill",
"passed",
"by",
"Congress",
"without",
"vetoing",
"the",
"entire",
"bill",
".",
"Whatever",
"one",
"thinks",
"of",
"the",
"idea",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"far",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"budgetary",
"gimmick",
"it",
"may",
"seem",
"at",
"first",
"glance",
".",
"Rather",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"device",
"that",
"could",
"send",
"shock",
"waves",
"through",
"the",
"president",
"'s",
"entire",
"relationship",
"with",
"Democrats",
"and",
"Republicans",
"alike",
"in",
"Congress",
",",
"fundamentally",
"enhance",
"the",
"power",
"of",
"the",
"presidency",
"and",
"transform",
"the",
"way",
"the",
"government",
"does",
"its",
"business",
".",
"President",
"Bush",
"badly",
"wants",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"and",
"has",
"long",
"called",
"for",
"a",
"law",
"giving",
"it",
"to",
"the",
"president",
".",
"Now",
"the",
"White",
"House",
"is",
"declaring",
"that",
"he",
"might",
"not",
"rely",
"on",
"Congress",
"--",
"which",
"has",
"n't",
"shown",
"any",
"willingness",
"to",
"surrender",
"such",
"authority",
"--",
"to",
"pass",
"the",
"line-item",
"veto",
"law",
"he",
"seeks",
".",
"White",
"House",
"spokesmen",
"last",
"week",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"is",
"considering",
"simply",
"declaring",
"that",
"the",
"Constitution",
"gives",
"him",
"the",
"power",
",",
"exercising",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"and",
"inviting",
"a",
"court",
"challenge",
"to",
"decide",
"whether",
"he",
"has",
"the",
"right",
".",
"Although",
"that",
"may",
"sound",
"like",
"an",
"arcane",
"maneuver",
"of",
"little",
"interest",
"outside",
"Washington",
",",
"it",
"would",
"set",
"off",
"a",
"political",
"earthquake",
".",
"``",
"The",
"ramifications",
"are",
"enormous",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Rep.",
"Don",
"Edwards",
",",
"a",
"California",
"Democrat",
"who",
"is",
"a",
"senior",
"member",
"of",
"the",
"House",
"Judiciary",
"Committee",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"real",
"face-to-face",
"arm",
"wrestling",
"challenge",
"to",
"Congress",
".",
"''",
"White",
"House",
"aides",
"know",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"step",
"that",
"ca",
"n't",
"be",
"taken",
"lightly",
"--",
"and",
"for",
"that",
"reason",
",",
"the",
"president",
"may",
"back",
"down",
"from",
"launching",
"a",
"test",
"case",
"this",
"year",
".",
"Some",
"senior",
"advisers",
"argue",
"that",
"with",
"further",
"fights",
"over",
"a",
"capital-gains",
"tax",
"cut",
"and",
"a",
"budget-reduction",
"bill",
"looming",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"already",
"has",
"enough",
"pending",
"confrontations",
"with",
"Congress",
".",
"They",
"prefer",
"to",
"put",
"off",
"the",
"line-item",
"veto",
"until",
"at",
"least",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Still",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"and",
"some",
"other",
"aides",
"are",
"strongly",
"drawn",
"to",
"the",
"idea",
"of",
"trying",
"out",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
".",
"The",
"issue",
"arose",
"last",
"week",
"when",
"Vice",
"President",
"Dan",
"Quayle",
"told",
"an",
"audience",
"in",
"Chicago",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"was",
"looking",
"for",
"a",
"test",
"case",
".",
"White",
"House",
"Press",
"Secretary",
"Marlin",
"Fitzwater",
"confirmed",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"was",
"interested",
"in",
"the",
"idea",
",",
"but",
"cautioned",
"that",
"there",
"was",
"n't",
"a",
"firm",
"decision",
"to",
"try",
"it",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
",",
"former",
"President",
"Reagan",
"and",
"a",
"host",
"of",
"conservative",
"activists",
"have",
"been",
"arguing",
"that",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"would",
"go",
"a",
"long",
"way",
"in",
"restoring",
"discipline",
"to",
"the",
"budget",
"process",
".",
"They",
"maintain",
"that",
"a",
"president",
"needs",
"the",
"ability",
"to",
"surgically",
"remove",
"pork-barrel",
"spending",
"projects",
"that",
"are",
"attached",
"to",
"big",
"omnibus",
"spending",
"bills",
".",
"Those",
"bills",
"ca",
"n't",
"easily",
"be",
"vetoed",
"in",
"their",
"entirety",
"because",
"they",
"often",
"are",
"needed",
"to",
"keep",
"the",
"government",
"operating",
".",
"Conservatives",
"note",
"that",
"43",
"governors",
"have",
"the",
"line-item",
"veto",
"to",
"use",
"on",
"state",
"budgets",
".",
"More",
"provocatively",
",",
"some",
"conservative",
"legal",
"theorists",
"have",
"begun",
"arguing",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"does",
"n't",
"need",
"to",
"wait",
"for",
"a",
"law",
"giving",
"him",
"the",
"veto",
"because",
"the",
"power",
"already",
"is",
"implicit",
"in",
"the",
"Constitution",
".",
"They",
"base",
"their",
"argument",
"on",
"a",
"clause",
"buried",
"in",
"Article",
"I",
",",
"Section",
"7",
",",
"of",
"the",
"Constitution",
"that",
"states",
":",
"``",
"Every",
"order",
",",
"resolution",
",",
"or",
"vote",
"to",
"which",
"the",
"concurrence",
"of",
"the",
"Senate",
"and",
"House",
"of",
"Representatives",
"may",
"be",
"necessary",
"(",
"except",
"on",
"a",
"question",
"of",
"adjournment",
")",
"shall",
"be",
"presented",
"to",
"the",
"President",
"of",
"the",
"United",
"States",
";",
"and",
"before",
"the",
"same",
"shall",
"take",
"effect",
",",
"shall",
"be",
"approved",
"by",
"him",
"or",
"...",
"disapproved",
"by",
"him",
"...",
".",
"''",
"This",
"clause",
",",
"they",
"argue",
",",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"go",
"beyond",
"an",
"earlier",
"clause",
"specifying",
"that",
"the",
"president",
"can",
"veto",
"a",
"``",
"bill",
",",
"''",
"and",
"is",
"broad",
"enough",
"to",
"allow",
"him",
"to",
"strike",
"out",
"items",
"and",
"riders",
"within",
"bills",
".",
"Senate",
"Minority",
"Leader",
"Robert",
"Dole",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"Kan.",
")",
",",
"for",
"one",
",",
"accepts",
"this",
"argument",
"and",
"earlier",
"this",
"year",
"publicly",
"urged",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"``",
"to",
"use",
"the",
"line-item",
"veto",
"and",
"allow",
"the",
"courts",
"to",
"decide",
"whether",
"or",
"not",
"it",
"is",
"constitutional",
".",
"''",
"There",
"'s",
"little",
"doubt",
"that",
"such",
"a",
"move",
"would",
"be",
"immediately",
"challenged",
"in",
"court",
"--",
"and",
"that",
"it",
"would",
"quickly",
"make",
"its",
"way",
"to",
"the",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"to",
"be",
"ultimately",
"resolved",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"major",
"issue",
",",
"and",
"they",
"would",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"leave",
"it",
"at",
"a",
"lower",
"level",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Stephen",
"Glazier",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"attorney",
"whose",
"writings",
"have",
"been",
"instrumental",
"in",
"pushing",
"the",
"idea",
"that",
"a",
"president",
"already",
"has",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
".",
"Rep.",
"Edwards",
",",
"the",
"California",
"Democrat",
",",
"is",
"one",
"who",
"pledges",
"that",
"he",
"would",
"immediately",
"challenge",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"in",
"the",
"courts",
",",
"arguing",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"would",
"expand",
"a",
"president",
"'s",
"powers",
"far",
"beyond",
"anything",
"the",
"framers",
"of",
"the",
"Constitution",
"had",
"in",
"mind",
".",
"``",
"It",
"puts",
"this",
"president",
"in",
"the",
"legislative",
"business",
",",
"''",
"he",
"declares",
".",
"``",
"That",
"'s",
"not",
"what",
"our",
"fathers",
"had",
"in",
"mind",
".",
"''",
"In",
"addition",
"to",
"giving",
"a",
"president",
"powers",
"to",
"rewrite",
"spending",
"bills",
"meant",
"to",
"be",
"written",
"in",
"Congress",
",",
"Rep.",
"Edwards",
"argues",
",",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"would",
"allow",
"the",
"chief",
"executive",
"to",
"blackmail",
"lawmakers",
".",
"He",
"notes",
"that",
",",
"as",
"a",
"lawmaker",
"from",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
",",
"he",
"fights",
"each",
"year",
"to",
"preserve",
"federal",
"funds",
"for",
"the",
"Bay",
"Area",
"Rapid",
"Transit",
"system",
".",
"If",
"a",
"president",
"had",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"and",
"wanted",
"to",
"force",
"him",
"to",
"support",
"a",
"controversial",
"foreign-policy",
"initiative",
",",
"Rep.",
"Edwards",
"says",
",",
"the",
"president",
"could",
"call",
"and",
"declare",
"that",
"he",
"would",
"single-handedly",
"kill",
"the",
"BART",
"funds",
"unless",
"the",
"congressman",
"``",
"shapes",
"up",
"''",
"on",
"the",
"foreign-policy",
"issue",
".",
"Proponents",
"maintain",
"that",
"a",
"president",
"would",
"choose",
"to",
"use",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"more",
"judiciously",
"than",
"that",
".",
"But",
"there",
"may",
"be",
"another",
"problem",
"with",
"the",
"device",
":",
"Despite",
"all",
"the",
"political",
"angst",
"it",
"would",
"cause",
",",
"it",
"might",
"n't",
"be",
"effective",
"in",
"cutting",
"the",
"deficit",
".",
"Big",
"chunks",
"of",
"the",
"government",
"budget",
",",
"like",
"the",
"entitlement",
"programs",
"of",
"Social",
"Security",
"and",
"Medicare",
",",
"would",
"n't",
"be",
"affected",
".",
"Governors",
"have",
"found",
"that",
"they",
"have",
"to",
"use",
"the",
"device",
"sparingly",
"to",
"maintain",
"political",
"comity",
".",
"And",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"even",
"clear",
"that",
"some",
"pork-barrel",
"projects",
"can",
"be",
"hit",
"with",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"because",
"they",
"tend",
"to",
"be",
"listed",
"in",
"informal",
"conference",
"reports",
"accompanying",
"spending",
"bills",
"rather",
"than",
"in",
"the",
"official",
"bills",
"themselves",
".",
"Still",
",",
"proponents",
"contend",
"that",
"the",
"veto",
"would",
"have",
"what",
"Mr.",
"Glazier",
"calls",
"an",
"important",
"``",
"chilling",
"effect",
"''",
"on",
"all",
"manner",
"of",
"appropriations",
"bills",
".",
"Lawmakers",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"would",
"avoid",
"putting",
"many",
"spending",
"projects",
"into",
"legislation",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"place",
"for",
"fear",
"of",
"the",
"embarrassment",
"of",
"having",
"them",
"singled",
"out",
"for",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"later",
".",
"Whatever",
"the",
"outcome",
"of",
"a",
"test",
"case",
",",
"President",
"Bush",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"move",
"cautiously",
"becase",
"the",
"very",
"attempt",
"would",
"``",
"antagonize",
"not",
"just",
"Democrats",
"but",
"Republicans",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Louis",
"Fisher",
",",
"a",
"scholar",
"at",
"the",
"Congressional",
"Research",
"Service",
"who",
"specializes",
"in",
"executive-legislative",
"relations",
".",
"Republicans",
"have",
"as",
"much",
"interest",
"as",
"Democrats",
"in",
"``",
"the",
"way",
"the",
"system",
"works",
",",
"''",
"he",
"notes",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"although",
"a",
"majority",
"of",
"Republican",
"lawmakers",
"favor",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
",",
"some",
",",
"ranging",
"from",
"liberal",
"Oregon",
"Sen.",
"Mark",
"Hatfield",
"to",
"conservative",
"Rep.",
"Edwards",
"are",
"opposed",
".",
"Rep.",
"Edwards",
"voices",
"the",
"traditional",
"conservative",
"view",
"that",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"mistake",
"to",
"put",
"too",
"much",
"power",
"in",
"the",
"hands",
"of",
"a",
"single",
"person",
".",
"Conservatives",
"pushing",
"for",
"a",
"line-item",
"veto",
"now",
",",
"he",
"notes",
",",
"may",
"regret",
"it",
"later",
":",
"``",
"Sometime",
",",
"you",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"Democratic",
"president",
"again",
"''",
"who",
"'ll",
"use",
"his",
"expanded",
"powers",
"against",
"those",
"very",
"same",
"conservatives",
".",
"``",
"Every",
"order",
",",
"resolution",
",",
"or",
"vote",
"to",
"which",
"the",
"concurrence",
"of",
"the",
"Senate",
"and",
"House",
"of",
"Representatives",
"may",
"be",
"necessary",
"(",
"except",
"on",
"a",
"question",
"of",
"adjournment",
")",
"shall",
"be",
"presented",
"to",
"the",
"President",
"of",
"the",
"United",
"States",
";",
"and",
"before",
"the",
"same",
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",",
"shall",
"be",
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"him",
",",
"or",
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"him",
",",
"shall",
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"repassed",
"by",
"two-thirds",
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"and",
"House",
"of",
"Representatives",
",",
"according",
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"the",
"rules",
"and",
"limitations",
"prescribed",
"in",
"the",
"case",
"of",
"a",
"bill",
".",
"''"
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[
"World",
"sugar",
"futures",
"prices",
"soared",
"on",
"rumors",
"that",
"Brazil",
",",
"a",
"major",
"grower",
"and",
"exporter",
",",
"might",
"not",
"ship",
"sugar",
"this",
"crop",
"year",
"and",
"next",
".",
"Prices",
"also",
"were",
"boosted",
"by",
"another",
"rumor",
"that",
"Mexico",
",",
"usually",
"a",
"large",
"producer",
"and",
"exporter",
",",
"might",
"have",
"to",
"buy",
"a",
"large",
"quantity",
"of",
"sugar",
".",
"Although",
"traders",
"rushed",
"to",
"buy",
"futures",
"contracts",
",",
"many",
"remained",
"skeptical",
"about",
"the",
"Brazilian",
"development",
",",
"which",
"could",
"n't",
"be",
"confirmed",
",",
"analysts",
"said",
".",
"The",
"March",
"and",
"May",
"contracts",
"rose",
"to",
"fresh",
"life-of-contract",
"highs",
"of",
"14.54",
"cents",
"and",
"14.28",
"cents",
"at",
"their",
"best",
"levels",
"of",
"the",
"day",
".",
"The",
"March",
"delivery",
",",
"which",
"has",
"no",
"limits",
",",
"settled",
"at",
"14.53",
"cents",
",",
"up",
"0.56",
"cent",
"a",
"pound",
".",
"The",
"May",
"contract",
",",
"which",
"also",
"is",
"without",
"restraints",
",",
"ended",
"with",
"a",
"gain",
"of",
"0.54",
"cent",
"to",
"14.26",
"cents",
".",
"The",
"July",
"delivery",
"rose",
"its",
"daily",
"permissible",
"limit",
"of",
"0.50",
"cent",
"a",
"pound",
"to",
"14.00",
"cents",
",",
"while",
"other",
"contract",
"months",
"showed",
"near-limit",
"advances",
".",
"According",
"to",
"reports",
"carried",
"by",
"various",
"news",
"services",
",",
"the",
"Brazilian",
"government",
"told",
"its",
"sugar",
"producers",
"that",
"they",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"allowed",
"to",
"export",
"sugar",
"during",
"the",
"current",
"1989-90",
"season",
",",
"which",
"began",
"May",
"1",
",",
"and",
"the",
"1990-91",
"season",
"so",
"that",
"it",
"can",
"be",
"used",
"to",
"produce",
"alcohol",
"for",
"automobile",
"fuel",
".",
"One",
"analyst",
",",
"Arthur",
"Stevenson",
",",
"of",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"estimated",
"that",
"65",
"%",
"or",
"more",
"of",
"Brazil",
"'s",
"newly",
"made",
"automobiles",
"run",
"on",
"alcohol",
"and",
"ca",
"n't",
"use",
"gasoline",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"a",
"demand",
"that",
"must",
"be",
"met",
",",
"regardless",
"of",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"oil",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Stevenson",
".",
"Brazil",
"is",
"the",
"third-largest",
"producer",
"and",
"the",
"fifth-largest",
"exporter",
"of",
"sugar",
"in",
"the",
"world",
".",
"A",
"shift",
"to",
"producing",
"more",
"alcohol",
"and",
"less",
"sugar",
"had",
"been",
"expected",
",",
"but",
"the",
"latest",
"news",
",",
"if",
"true",
",",
"indicates",
"a",
"more",
"drastic",
"shift",
"than",
"had",
"been",
"anticipated",
".",
"During",
"the",
"current",
"crop",
"year",
",",
"Brazil",
"was",
"expected",
"to",
"produce",
"6.9",
"million",
"tons",
"of",
"sugar",
",",
"a",
"drop",
"from",
"8.1",
"million",
"tons",
"in",
"1988-89",
".",
"Its",
"1989-90",
"exports",
"were",
"expected",
"to",
"total",
"645,000",
"tons",
"in",
"contrast",
"to",
"shipments",
"of",
"1.5",
"million",
"tons",
"in",
"``",
"It",
"is",
"these",
"645,000",
"tons",
"that",
"are",
"in",
"question",
"for",
"this",
"crop",
"year",
",",
"''",
"explained",
"Judith",
"Ganes",
",",
"analyst",
"for",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
",",
"New",
"York",
".",
"``",
"Producers",
"were",
"granted",
"the",
"right",
"earlier",
"this",
"year",
"to",
"ship",
"sugar",
"and",
"the",
"export",
"licenses",
"were",
"expected",
"to",
"have",
"begun",
"to",
"be",
"issued",
"''",
"yesterday",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"Ms.",
"Ganes",
"said",
",",
"it",
"is",
"believed",
"that",
"little",
"or",
"no",
"sugar",
"from",
"the",
"1989-90",
"crop",
"has",
"been",
"shipped",
"yet",
",",
"even",
"though",
"the",
"crop",
"year",
"is",
"six",
"months",
"old",
".",
"More",
"than",
"a",
"half",
"of",
"all",
"sugar",
"produced",
"in",
"Brazil",
"goes",
"for",
"alcohol",
"production",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Ms.",
"Ganes",
".",
"Also",
",",
"there",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"switch",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"decade",
"to",
"planting",
"of",
"orange",
"trees",
"in",
"areas",
"that",
"were",
"previously",
"used",
"for",
"cane",
",",
"and",
"this",
"change",
"is",
"being",
"felt",
"now",
",",
"she",
"said",
".",
"Most",
"important",
",",
"Ms.",
"Ganes",
"noted",
",",
"``",
"Brazilian",
"officials",
"said",
"that",
"no",
"decision",
"has",
"as",
"yet",
"been",
"made",
"on",
"the",
"suspension",
"of",
"exports",
".",
"''",
"Thomas",
"Oxnard",
",",
"sugar",
"analyst",
"for",
"PaineWebber",
"in",
"Hackensack",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
"said",
":",
"``",
"I",
"am",
"highly",
"skeptical",
"that",
"Brazil",
"will",
"curtail",
"sugar",
"exports",
",",
"particularly",
"with",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"sugar",
"at",
"over",
"14",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
".",
"''",
"Above",
"all",
",",
"Mr.",
"Oxnard",
"noted",
",",
"the",
"situation",
"is",
"extremely",
"confused",
".",
"``",
"Professional",
"sugar",
"people",
"here",
"who",
"have",
"strong",
"contacts",
"with",
"the",
"Brazilian",
"sugar",
"industry",
"have",
"been",
"unable",
"to",
"confirm",
"the",
"reports",
"or",
"get",
"enough",
"information",
"to",
"clarify",
"the",
"situation",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"the",
"type",
"of",
"nervous",
"atmosphere",
"in",
"which",
"a",
"report",
"can",
"be",
"put",
"out",
",",
"such",
"as",
"the",
"one",
"saying",
"exports",
"will",
"be",
"suspended",
",",
"and",
"no",
"one",
"can",
"confirm",
"it",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Oxnard",
"observed",
"that",
"the",
"situation",
"in",
"Brazil",
"is",
"also",
"very",
"complicated",
".",
"On",
"the",
"one",
"hand",
",",
"Brazil",
"started",
"an",
"ethanol",
"program",
"about",
"15",
"years",
"ago",
"to",
"fuel",
"a",
"huge",
"portion",
"of",
"its",
"national",
"fleet",
"of",
"cars",
"and",
"is",
"now",
"committed",
"to",
"this",
"program",
".",
"``",
"It",
"has",
"to",
"weigh",
",",
"on",
"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"the",
"relatively",
"high",
"price",
"of",
"sugar",
"it",
"can",
"earn",
"on",
"the",
"export",
"market",
"in",
"making",
"decisions",
"as",
"to",
"whether",
"to",
"produce",
"sugar",
"or",
"alcohol",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Oxnard",
"said",
".",
"Mexico",
",",
"which",
"is",
"normally",
"a",
"sugar",
"exporter",
",",
"has",
"had",
"production",
"problems",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"years",
",",
"analysts",
"said",
".",
"Last",
"year",
",",
"it",
"had",
"to",
"buy",
"sugar",
"on",
"the",
"world",
"market",
"to",
"meet",
"export",
"commitments",
",",
"they",
"noted",
".",
"This",
"year",
"it",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"net",
"importer",
"and",
"is",
"said",
"to",
"be",
"seeking",
"to",
"buy",
"about",
"200,000",
"tons",
"of",
"sugar",
"to",
"meet",
"internal",
"needs",
",",
"analysts",
"said",
".",
"In",
"other",
"commodity",
"markets",
"yesterday",
":",
"ENERGY",
":",
"Petroleum",
"futures",
"were",
"generally",
"higher",
"with",
"heating",
"oil",
"leading",
"the",
"way",
".",
"On",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Mercantile",
"Exchange",
",",
"heating",
"oil",
"for",
"December",
"delivery",
"increased",
"1.25",
"cents",
"to",
"settle",
"at",
"60.36",
"cents",
"a",
"gallon",
".",
"Gasoline",
"futures",
"were",
"mixed",
"to",
"unchanged",
".",
"But",
"the",
"strength",
"in",
"heating",
"oil",
"helped",
"push",
"up",
"crude",
"oil",
".",
"West",
"Texas",
"Intermediate",
"crude",
"for",
"December",
"delivery",
"rose",
"13",
"cents",
"a",
"barrel",
"to",
"settle",
"at",
"$",
"20.07",
".",
"The",
"firmness",
"in",
"heating",
"oil",
"was",
"attributed",
"to",
"colder",
"weather",
"in",
"parts",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"and",
"to",
"the",
"latest",
"weekly",
"report",
"by",
"the",
"American",
"Petroleum",
"Institute",
",",
"which",
"showed",
"a",
"decline",
"in",
"inventories",
"of",
"the",
"fuel",
".",
"GRAINS",
"AND",
"SOYBEANS",
":",
"Prices",
"closed",
"mostly",
"higher",
"in",
"relatively",
"light",
"trading",
"as",
"farmers",
"continued",
"to",
"withhold",
"their",
"crops",
"from",
"the",
"marketplace",
"in",
"the",
"hope",
"of",
"higher",
"prices",
"to",
"come",
".",
"Trading",
"was",
"muted",
"in",
"part",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"observance",
"of",
"All",
"Saints",
"'",
"Day",
"across",
"much",
"of",
"Europe",
".",
"Continued",
"export",
"demand",
"also",
"supported",
"prices",
".",
"As",
"an",
"indicator",
"of",
"the",
"tight",
"grain",
"supply",
"situation",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"market",
"analysts",
"said",
"that",
"late",
"Tuesday",
"the",
"Chinese",
"government",
",",
"which",
"often",
"buys",
"U.S.",
"grains",
"in",
"quantity",
",",
"turned",
"instead",
"to",
"Britain",
"to",
"buy",
"500,000",
"metric",
"tons",
"of",
"wheat",
".",
"Traders",
"said",
"prices",
"also",
"were",
"supported",
"by",
"widespread",
"rumors",
"that",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"verge",
"of",
"receiving",
"most",
"favored",
"nation",
"status",
"from",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"That",
"designation",
"would",
",",
"among",
"other",
"things",
",",
"provide",
"more",
"generous",
"credit",
"terms",
"under",
"which",
"the",
"Soviets",
"could",
"purchase",
"grain",
".",
"The",
"Soviets",
"are",
"widely",
"believed",
"to",
"need",
"additional",
"supplies",
",",
"despite",
"running",
"up",
"record",
"one-month",
"purchases",
"of",
"310",
"million",
"bushels",
"of",
"corn",
"in",
"October",
".",
"COPPER",
":",
"Futures",
"prices",
"rose",
",",
"extending",
"Tuesday",
"'s",
"gains",
".",
"The",
"December",
"contract",
"advanced",
"2.50",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
"to",
"$",
"1.1650",
".",
"Buying",
"for",
"the",
"most",
"part",
"carried",
"over",
"from",
"the",
"previous",
"session",
",",
"and",
"traders",
"apparently",
"ignored",
"reports",
"that",
"a",
"Chilean",
"mine",
"strike",
"may",
"have",
"ended",
"almost",
"before",
"it",
"began",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"said",
".",
"According",
"to",
"news",
"service",
"reports",
",",
"most",
"workers",
"at",
"the",
"Disputado",
"mines",
"owned",
"by",
"Exxon",
"Corp.",
"agreed",
"to",
"a",
"new",
"two-year",
"wage",
"contract",
"that",
"includes",
"a",
"5",
"%",
"increase",
"and",
"other",
"benefits",
".",
"However",
",",
"some",
"workers",
"have",
"n't",
"yet",
"accepted",
"the",
"new",
"contract",
"and",
"are",
"continuing",
"negotiations",
",",
"the",
"analyst",
"said",
".",
"Separately",
",",
"Reuter",
"reported",
"that",
"the",
"Papua-New",
"Guinea",
"government",
"urged",
"its",
"Parliament",
"to",
"extend",
"a",
"state",
"of",
"emergency",
"in",
"copper-rich",
"Bougainville",
"Island",
"for",
"two",
"months",
".",
"The",
"Bougainville",
"copper",
"mine",
"has",
"been",
"inoperative",
"since",
"May",
"15",
"because",
"of",
"attacks",
"by",
"native",
"landowners",
"who",
"want",
"Bougainville",
"to",
"secede",
"from",
"Papua-New",
"Guinea",
"."
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"its",
"presence",
"in",
"the",
"rapidly",
"growing",
"warehouse-club",
"business",
".",
"The",
"proposed",
"merger",
"comes",
"as",
"K",
"mart",
"'s",
"profit",
"is",
"declining",
"and",
"sales",
"at",
"its",
"core",
"discount",
"stores",
"are",
"rising",
"more",
"slowly",
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"at",
"such",
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"as",
"Wal-Mart",
"Stores",
"Inc",
".",
"K",
"mart",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Troy",
",",
"Mich.",
",",
"recently",
"said",
"net",
"income",
"would",
"fall",
"for",
"the",
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"quarter",
",",
"after",
"a",
"16",
"%",
"drop",
"in",
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"half",
"of",
"its",
"current",
"fiscal",
"year",
".",
"``",
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"membership",
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"concept",
"has",
"great",
"potential",
",",
"''",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"chairman",
",",
"Joseph",
"E.",
"Antonini",
",",
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"statement",
".",
"Warehouse",
"clubs",
"typically",
"carry",
"general",
"merchandise",
"and",
"food",
"products",
",",
"which",
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"close",
"to",
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"in",
"no-frills",
"stores",
".",
"Shoppers",
",",
"many",
"of",
"whom",
"operate",
"small",
"businesses",
",",
"pay",
"annual",
"membership",
"fees",
",",
"which",
"provide",
"an",
"income",
"base",
"for",
"the",
"stores",
".",
"K",
"mart",
"tested",
"the",
"warehouse-club",
"sector",
"last",
"year",
"with",
"its",
"acquisition",
"of",
"a",
"51",
"%",
"interest",
"in",
"Makro",
"Inc",
".",
"But",
"the",
"Makro",
"chain",
",",
"which",
"operates",
"as",
"a",
"joint",
"venture",
"between",
"K",
"mart",
"and",
"SHV",
"Holdings",
"N.V.",
"of",
"the",
"Netherlands",
",",
"has",
"only",
"six",
"stores",
"and",
"annual",
"sales",
"that",
"one",
"analyst",
"estimated",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"300",
"million",
".",
"Six-year-old",
"Pace",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Aurora",
",",
"Colo.",
",",
"operates",
"41",
"warehouse-club",
"stores",
".",
"The",
"company",
"had",
"losses",
"for",
"several",
"years",
"before",
"turning",
"profitable",
"in",
"fiscal",
"1988",
".",
"In",
"the",
"year",
"ended",
"Jan.",
"31",
",",
"Pace",
"rang",
"up",
"profit",
"of",
"$",
"9.4",
"million",
",",
"or",
"72",
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"a",
"share",
",",
"after",
"a",
"tax-loss",
"carry-forward",
",",
"on",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.3",
"billion",
",",
"and",
"analysts",
"expect",
"its",
"results",
"to",
"continue",
"to",
"improve",
".",
"``",
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"company",
"turned",
"the",
"corner",
"fairly",
"recently",
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"profitability",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Margo",
"McGlade",
"of",
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"Inc.",
",",
"who",
"had",
"been",
"forecasting",
"a",
"46",
"%",
"jump",
"in",
"Pace",
"'s",
"net",
"income",
"from",
"operations",
"this",
"year",
"and",
"another",
"42",
"%",
"increase",
"next",
"year",
".",
"``",
"Warehouse",
"productivity",
"is",
"really",
"beginning",
"to",
"take",
"off",
".",
"''",
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"some",
"analysts",
"contend",
"K",
"mart",
"has",
"agreed",
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"pay",
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"much",
"for",
"Pace",
".",
"``",
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"look",
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"turnaround",
"situation",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"expensive",
",",
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"said",
"Wayne",
"Hood",
"of",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
"Inc",
".",
"``",
"In",
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"opinion",
",",
"you",
"would",
"only",
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"that",
"kind",
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"player",
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"industry",
".",
"''",
"Ms.",
"McGlade",
"of",
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"raised",
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"more",
"fundamental",
"question",
"about",
"the",
"deal",
".",
"``",
"If",
"K",
"mart",
"ca",
"n't",
"get",
"its",
"act",
"together",
"in",
"discounting",
",",
"why",
"is",
"it",
"spending",
"time",
"worrying",
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"growing",
"markets",
"?",
"''",
"She",
"said",
",",
"``",
"I",
"would",
"say",
"K",
"mart",
"'s",
"number",
"one",
"job",
"is",
"to",
"address",
"its",
"market-share",
"loss",
"-LCB-",
"in",
"discount",
"stores",
"-RCB-",
",",
"which",
"longer-term",
"will",
"lead",
"to",
"improved",
"profit",
"margins",
".",
"At",
"that",
"point",
",",
"perhaps",
"diversification",
"would",
"be",
"appropriate",
".",
"''",
"But",
"K",
"mart",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Antonini",
"is",
"intent",
"on",
"pushing",
"the",
"company",
"into",
"new",
"retail",
"businesses",
".",
"For",
"instance",
",",
"K",
"mart",
"is",
"opening",
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"food",
"and",
"general",
"merchandise",
"stores",
",",
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",",
"and",
"warehouse-type",
"stores",
"specializing",
"in",
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"products",
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"goods",
".",
"It",
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",",
"Pay",
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"Drug",
"Stores",
"and",
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"home",
"improvement",
"stores",
".",
"In",
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"trading",
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"Exchange",
",",
"K",
"mart",
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"36",
"a",
"share",
",",
"up",
"12.5",
"cents",
".",
"Pace",
"rose",
"$",
"2.625",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"22.125",
"a",
"share",
"in",
"national",
"over-the-counter",
"trading",
".",
"A",
"K",
"mart",
"spokesman",
"said",
"the",
"acquisition",
"would",
"be",
"financed",
"with",
"short-term",
"borrowings",
".",
"Under",
"terms",
"of",
"the",
"agreement",
",",
"a",
"K",
"mart",
"subsidiary",
"will",
"soon",
"make",
"a",
"tender",
"offer",
"for",
"Pace",
"shares",
".",
"Among",
"the",
"conditions",
"of",
"the",
"offer",
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"Pace",
"shareholders",
"tender",
"a",
"majority",
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".",
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"U.S.",
"dollar",
"since",
"late",
"August",
",",
"prompting",
"the",
"Bank",
"of",
"Canada",
"to",
"sell",
"the",
"Canadian",
"currency",
"on",
"the",
"market",
".",
"Traders",
"say",
"that",
"after",
"a",
"week",
"of",
"nervously",
"tracking",
"every",
"development",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
",",
"the",
"foreign-exchange",
"market",
"has",
"settled",
"back",
"to",
"catch",
"its",
"breath",
"ahead",
"of",
"new",
"U.S.",
"economic",
"data",
".",
"They",
"noted",
",",
"however",
",",
"that",
"a",
"26-point",
"drop",
"in",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"gave",
"the",
"dollar",
"a",
"sharp",
"nudge",
"downward",
"late",
"in",
"the",
"day",
".",
"In",
"late",
"New",
"York",
"trading",
"yesterday",
",",
"the",
"dollar",
"was",
"quoted",
"at",
"1.8470",
"marks",
",",
"down",
"from",
"1.8578",
"marks",
"late",
"Friday",
",",
"and",
"at",
"141.90",
"yen",
",",
"down",
"from",
"142.43",
"yen",
"late",
"Friday",
".",
"Sterling",
"was",
"quoted",
"at",
"$",
"1.6030",
",",
"up",
"from",
"$",
"1.5885",
"late",
"Friday",
".",
"In",
"Tokyo",
"Tuesday",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"currency",
"opened",
"for",
"trading",
"at",
"141.80",
"yen",
",",
"down",
"from",
"Monday",
"'s",
"Tokyo",
"close",
"of",
"142.40",
"yen",
".",
"The",
"market",
"'s",
"attention",
"is",
"especially",
"focused",
"on",
"a",
"preliminary",
"report",
"on",
"the",
"U.S.",
"third-quarter",
"gross",
"national",
"product",
",",
"due",
"out",
"Thursday",
",",
"which",
"could",
"show",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"continuing",
"to",
"expand",
"at",
"a",
"relatively",
"brisk",
"pace",
".",
"The",
"consensus",
"view",
"on",
"real",
"GNP",
",",
"the",
"total",
"value",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"output",
"of",
"goods",
"and",
"services",
"adjusted",
"for",
"inflation",
",",
"calls",
"for",
"a",
"2.3",
"%",
"gain",
"on",
"an",
"annual",
"basis",
",",
"slowing",
"somewhat",
"from",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
"'s",
"2.5",
"%",
",",
"but",
"still",
"fairly",
"strong",
".",
"Few",
"market",
"participants",
"expect",
"the",
"U.S.",
"unit",
"to",
"rally",
"sharply",
"on",
"the",
"news",
",",
"if",
"it",
"turns",
"out",
"as",
"expected",
".",
"Many",
"contend",
"that",
"the",
"report",
"may",
"overstate",
"the",
"economy",
"'s",
"health",
"and",
"predict",
"the",
"third-quarter",
"figures",
"may",
"be",
"the",
"last",
"vigorous",
"statistics",
"for",
"some",
"time",
"to",
"come",
".",
"``",
"Everyone",
"is",
"waiting",
"for",
"GNP",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Walter",
"Simon",
",",
"an",
"assistant",
"treasurer",
"with",
"Bank",
"Julius",
"Baer",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"``",
"Yet",
"even",
"a",
"relatively",
"strong",
"number",
"--",
"2.8",
"%",
"to",
"2.9",
"%",
"--",
"wo",
"n't",
"alter",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"view",
"that",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"softening",
".",
"''",
"Hubert",
"Pedroli",
",",
"managing",
"director",
"of",
"foreign",
"exchange",
"at",
"Credit",
"Suisse",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"adds",
",",
"``",
"The",
"market",
"sees",
"this",
"as",
"the",
"last",
"piece",
"of",
"good",
"news",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Pedroli",
"notes",
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"the",
"GNP",
"deflator",
",",
"a",
"measure",
"of",
"inflation",
",",
"is",
"expected",
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"slow",
",",
"which",
"would",
"give",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"more",
"room",
"to",
"ease",
"key",
"U.S.",
"rates",
".",
"Analysts",
"predict",
"a",
"3.5",
"%",
"rise",
"in",
"the",
"deflator",
",",
"after",
"climbing",
"4.6",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
".",
"They",
"note",
"that",
"when",
"an",
"unexpectedly",
"sharp",
"widening",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"trade",
"gap",
"in",
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"was",
"reported",
"earlier",
"this",
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",",
"hopes",
"for",
"a",
"sustained",
"narrowing",
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"deficit",
"were",
"dashed",
"and",
"sentiment",
"gripped",
"the",
"market",
"that",
"the",
"U.S.",
"economy",
"was",
"losing",
"its",
"momentum",
".",
"A",
"190-point",
"plunge",
"in",
"U.S.",
"stock",
"shares",
"compounded",
"the",
"view",
",",
"they",
"say",
".",
"``",
"Everyone",
"is",
"extremely",
"convinced",
"the",
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"is",
"slowing",
",",
"''",
"says",
"one",
"senior",
"New",
"York",
"dealer",
".",
"``",
"If",
"we",
"'re",
"not",
"headed",
"for",
"a",
"recession",
",",
"we",
"'re",
"certainly",
"headed",
"for",
"a",
"major",
"slowdown",
".",
"''",
"While",
"the",
"market",
"expects",
"little",
"reaction",
"from",
"news",
"of",
"U.S.",
"durable",
"goods",
"orders",
",",
"scheduled",
"for",
"release",
"today",
",",
"participants",
"note",
"that",
"the",
"figures",
"will",
"probably",
"serve",
"to",
"reinforce",
"this",
"bearish",
"sentiment",
".",
"U.S.",
"durable",
"goods",
"orders",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"show",
"a",
"decline",
"of",
"1.2",
"%",
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",",
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".",
"The",
"anticipated",
"drop",
"follows",
"a",
"3.9",
"%",
"rise",
"in",
"August",
".",
"Traders",
",",
"however",
",",
"are",
"quick",
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"out",
"that",
"while",
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"is",
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"buying",
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",",
"the",
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"``",
"natural",
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"''",
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"and",
"140",
"yen",
".",
"Its",
"resilience",
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"is",
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"persistent",
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"demand",
"for",
"the",
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"one",
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".",
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"early",
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"in",
"Hong",
"Kong",
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",",
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[
"Hospital",
"Regulation",
"Sparks",
"Kentucky",
"Feud",
"WHICH",
"IS",
"the",
"best",
"medicine",
"for",
"runaway",
"health",
"costs",
":",
"competition",
"or",
"regulation",
"?",
"The",
"question",
"is",
"at",
"the",
"root",
"of",
"a",
"brawl",
"between",
"Humana",
"Inc.",
",",
"the",
"big",
"for-profit",
"hospital",
"and",
"insurance",
"company",
",",
"and",
"its",
"not-for-profit",
"brethren",
"in",
"its",
"home",
"state",
"of",
"Kentucky",
".",
"The",
"battle",
"focuses",
"on",
"the",
"state",
"'s",
"certificate-of-need",
"law",
",",
"which",
"regulates",
"investment",
"in",
"new",
"medical",
"technology",
".",
"The",
"law",
"has",
"prevented",
"$",
"216",
"million",
"of",
"unnecessary",
"expenditures",
"since",
"1986",
",",
"according",
"to",
"William",
"S.",
"Conn",
",",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Kentucky",
"Hospital",
"Association",
".",
"But",
"according",
"to",
"David",
"Jones",
",",
"Humana",
"'s",
"chief",
"executive",
",",
"it",
"promotes",
"technology",
"monopolies",
",",
"stifles",
"innovation",
"and",
"raises",
"prices",
".",
"If",
"the",
"Legislature",
"does",
"n't",
"repeal",
"the",
"law",
",",
"due",
"for",
"revision",
"in",
"1990",
",",
"Mr.",
"Jones",
"says",
"Humana",
"may",
"move",
"its",
"insurance",
"operations",
",",
"including",
"3,000",
"jobs",
"in",
"Louisville",
",",
"to",
"another",
"state",
".",
"The",
"company",
"complains",
"that",
"it",
"paid",
"$",
"10",
"million",
"to",
"non-Humana",
"hospitals",
"in",
"its",
"latest",
"fiscal",
"year",
"for",
"services",
"provided",
"to",
"its",
"insurance",
"plan",
"members",
".",
"But",
"Humana",
"says",
"its",
"own",
"facilities",
"could",
"serve",
"its",
"insured",
"for",
"less",
"if",
"they",
"were",
"properly",
"equipped",
".",
"Mr.",
"Conn",
"charges",
"that",
"Humana",
"'s",
"own",
"actions",
"undermine",
"its",
"argument",
".",
"When",
"a",
"hospital",
"in",
"Lexington",
"installed",
"a",
"lithotripter",
"last",
"year",
",",
"demand",
"for",
"a",
"similar",
"kidney-stone",
"smashing",
"machine",
"at",
"a",
"Humana",
"hospital",
"in",
"Louisville",
"fell",
"34",
"%",
".",
"The",
"Humana",
"hospital",
"responded",
"by",
"jacking",
"up",
"prices",
"to",
"make",
"up",
"for",
"lost",
"revenue",
",",
"Mr.",
"Conn",
"says",
",",
"and",
"now",
"charges",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"8,000",
"for",
"the",
"procedure",
",",
"which",
"costs",
"only",
"about",
"$",
"3,500",
"in",
"Lexington",
".",
"Humana",
"contends",
"that",
"$",
"8,000",
"represents",
"an",
"extreme",
"case",
"and",
"that",
"its",
"regular",
"charge",
"for",
"lithotripsy",
"is",
"$",
"4,900",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"another",
"hospital",
"'s",
"proposal",
"for",
"a",
"new-generation",
"lithotripter",
"is",
"pending",
"before",
"the",
"board",
"that",
"administers",
"the",
"certificate-of-need",
"law",
".",
"Humana",
",",
"which",
"wants",
"to",
"acquire",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"new",
"machines",
"itself",
",",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"record",
"as",
"opposed",
"to",
"the",
"proposal",
".",
"Debt-Burdened",
"Doctors",
"Seek",
"Financial",
"Security",
"HEALTH-CARE",
"experts",
"have",
"long",
"worried",
"that",
"young",
"doctors",
"emerging",
"from",
"medical",
"school",
"with",
"a",
"mountain",
"of",
"debt",
"will",
"choose",
"careers",
"in",
"high-paying",
"specialties",
"instead",
"of",
"primary",
"care",
",",
"where",
"more",
"physicians",
"are",
"needed",
"most",
".",
"Now",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"new",
"wrinkle",
"in",
"what",
"young",
"doctors",
"want",
":",
"More",
"than",
"half",
"of",
"300",
"residents",
"responding",
"to",
"recent",
"survey",
"said",
"they",
"'d",
"prefer",
"a",
"guaranteed",
"salary",
"over",
"traditional",
"fee-for-service",
"compensation",
"in",
"their",
"first",
"professional",
"position",
".",
"And",
"81",
"%",
"preferred",
"a",
"group",
"practice",
"or",
"health",
"maintenance",
"organization",
",",
"while",
"just",
"11",
"%",
"favored",
"solo",
"practice",
".",
"``",
"Ten",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"a",
"physician",
"would",
"go",
"to",
"a",
"town",
"and",
"take",
"out",
"a",
"loan",
"(",
"to",
"start",
"a",
"practice",
")",
",",
"''",
"says",
"James",
"Merritt",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Merritt",
",",
"Hawkins",
"&",
"Associates",
",",
"an",
"Irvine",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"physician",
"recruiter",
"that",
"conducted",
"the",
"survey",
".",
"``",
"They",
"wo",
"n't",
"do",
"that",
"very",
"often",
"today",
"at",
"all",
".",
"They",
"'re",
"looking",
"for",
"something",
"that",
"'s",
"very",
"safe",
".",
"''",
"The",
"numbers",
"behind",
"such",
"fears",
":",
"The",
"average",
"debt",
"of",
"medical",
"school",
"graduates",
"who",
"borrowed",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"their",
"education",
"jumped",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"42,374",
"this",
"year",
"from",
"$",
"38,489",
"in",
"1988",
",",
"says",
"the",
"Association",
"of",
"American",
"Medical",
"Colleges",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"115",
"%",
"more",
"than",
"in",
"1981",
".",
"Money",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"only",
"reason",
"for",
"the",
"shift",
"in",
"practice",
"preferences",
".",
"It",
"reflects",
"values",
"of",
"a",
"generation",
"that",
"wants",
"more",
"time",
"for",
"families",
"and",
"personal",
"interests",
",",
"says",
"John",
"H.",
"Moxley",
"III",
",",
"who",
"directs",
"physician-executive",
"searches",
"for",
"Korn/Ferry",
"International",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"a",
"change",
"in",
"the",
"social",
"fabric",
"of",
"medicine",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Related",
"Roommates",
"Trim",
"Hospital",
"Bills",
"WHEN",
"Catherine",
"Bobar",
"spent",
"several",
"weeks",
"at",
"the",
"Medical",
"Center",
"of",
"Vermont",
"recently",
"with",
"a",
"bone",
"infection",
"in",
"her",
"toe",
",",
"she",
"shared",
"a",
"room",
"just",
"like",
"most",
"patients",
".",
"But",
"unlike",
"most",
"patients",
",",
"her",
"roommate",
"was",
"her",
"husband",
".",
"``",
"It",
"was",
"certainly",
"good",
"to",
"have",
"him",
"handy",
",",
"''",
"Mrs.",
"Bobar",
"says",
".",
"The",
"12-bed",
"``",
"cooperative",
"care",
"''",
"unit",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"about",
"18",
"nationwide",
"where",
"a",
"family",
"member",
"or",
"friend",
"helps",
"care",
"for",
"a",
"patient",
"in",
"the",
"hospital",
".",
"``",
"The",
"philosophy",
"is",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"patient",
"and",
"the",
"family",
"very",
"responsible",
"for",
"a",
"portion",
"of",
"their",
"own",
"care",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Anthony",
"J.",
"Grieco",
",",
"medical",
"director",
"of",
"cooperative",
"care",
"at",
"New",
"York",
"University",
"Medical",
"Center",
",",
"where",
"the",
"concept",
"began",
"10",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"``",
"It",
"helps",
"us",
",",
"and",
"them",
",",
"while",
"they",
"'re",
"here",
",",
"and",
"it",
"certainly",
"makes",
"them",
"a",
"better",
"health-care",
"team",
"when",
"they",
"get",
"home",
".",
"''",
"It",
"also",
"saves",
"money",
".",
"Because",
"patients",
"require",
"less",
"attention",
"from",
"nurses",
"and",
"other",
"staff",
",",
"room",
"charges",
"are",
"lower",
"--",
"about",
"$",
"100",
"less",
"per",
"day",
"than",
"a",
"regular",
"room",
"at",
"the",
"Vermont",
"hospital",
".",
"Cancer",
"patients",
"needing",
"prolonged",
"radiation",
"therapy",
",",
"diabetics",
"learning",
"to",
"manage",
"their",
"blood",
"sugar",
"levels",
",",
"and",
"cardiac",
"bypass",
"patients",
"are",
"among",
"those",
"who",
"spend",
"time",
"on",
"cooperative-care",
"units",
".",
"The",
"approach",
"has",
"generated",
"so",
"much",
"interest",
"that",
"NYU",
"is",
"host",
"to",
"the",
"first",
"conference",
"on",
"cooperative",
"care",
"Nov.",
"30",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"really",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"hospital",
"of",
"the",
"21st",
"century",
",",
"''",
"Dr.",
"Grieco",
"says",
".",
"Odds",
"and",
"Ends",
"THE",
"CHIEF",
"NURSING",
"officer",
"can",
"be",
"responsible",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"1,000",
"employees",
"and",
"at",
"least",
"one-third",
"of",
"a",
"hospital",
"'s",
"budget",
";",
"a",
"head",
"nurse",
"typically",
"oversees",
"up",
"to",
"80",
"employees",
"and",
"$",
"8",
"million",
".",
"So",
"says",
"the",
"Commonwealth",
"Fund",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"philanthropist",
"that",
"'s",
"sponsoring",
"a",
"$",
"1",
"million",
"project",
"to",
"develop",
"joint",
"masters",
"in",
"business",
"and",
"nursing",
"programs",
"at",
"10",
"universities",
"...",
".",
"Meharry",
"Medical",
"College",
"in",
"Nashville",
",",
"Tenn.",
",",
"launches",
"a",
"new",
"research",
"publication",
"in",
"the",
"spring",
":",
"the",
"Journal",
"on",
"Health",
"Care",
"for",
"the",
"Poor",
"and",
"Underserved",
"."
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[
"UAL",
",",
"the",
"hair-trigger",
"stock",
"that",
"exploded",
"Friday",
"'s",
"market",
"bombshell",
",",
"briefly",
"traumatized",
"traders",
"again",
"yesterday",
".",
"Within",
"10",
"minutes",
"after",
"an",
"11:13",
"a.m.",
"trading",
"halt",
"in",
"UAL",
",",
"parent",
"of",
"United",
"Airlines",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"plunged",
"nearly",
"27",
"points",
"to",
"a",
"60.25-point",
"deficit",
".",
"Computer-guided",
"buying",
"then",
"kicked",
"in",
",",
"and",
"the",
"industrials",
"regained",
"27",
"points",
"in",
"five",
"minutes",
".",
"The",
"lightning",
"moves",
"show",
"that",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"remains",
"fragile",
"and",
"volatile",
"--",
"ready",
"to",
"jump",
"at",
"the",
"slightest",
"rumor",
"--",
"a",
"few",
"days",
"after",
"its",
"shocking",
"190.58-point",
"plunge",
".",
"Nervous",
"investors",
"continued",
"to",
"limit",
"their",
"buying",
"to",
"blue-chip",
"stocks",
"while",
"dumping",
"takeover-related",
"issues",
".",
"The",
"industrial",
"average",
"closed",
"down",
"18.65",
",",
"to",
"2638.73",
".",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"volume",
"was",
"a",
"heavy",
"224,070,000",
"shares",
".",
"Decliners",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"outnumbered",
"advancers",
",",
"931",
"to",
"658",
".",
"UAL",
"was",
"watched",
"closely",
"and",
"traded",
"heavily",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"tumbled",
"24",
"7/8",
"to",
"198",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"2.8",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"The",
"market",
"is",
"still",
"very",
"touchy",
"about",
"rumors",
"and",
"news",
"on",
"pending",
"takeovers",
".",
"UAL",
",",
"which",
"is",
"trying",
"to",
"reconstruct",
"a",
"buy-out",
"bid",
"that",
"banks",
"would",
"n't",
"finance",
",",
"represents",
"the",
"future",
"of",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"powerful",
"ingredients",
"in",
"the",
"bull",
"market",
"-",
"corporate",
"restructuring",
".",
"An",
"important",
"element",
"of",
"this",
"phenomenon",
"--",
"the",
"now-shaky",
"market",
"for",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"used",
"often",
"to",
"finance",
"restructurings",
"and",
"takeovers",
"--",
"continued",
"to",
"cast",
"a",
"pall",
"over",
"stocks",
".",
"``",
"It",
"was",
"a",
"very",
"nervous",
"day",
",",
"''",
"said",
"John",
"Geary",
",",
"partner",
"of",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"specialist",
"firm",
"Ziebarth",
",",
"Geary",
".",
"The",
"volatility",
"wo",
"n't",
"end",
"soon",
".",
"This",
"Friday",
"brings",
"the",
"``",
"double",
"witching",
"hour",
",",
"''",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"nickname",
"for",
"the",
"monthly",
"simultaneous",
"expiration",
"of",
"a",
"variety",
"of",
"stock",
"index",
"futures",
",",
"index",
"options",
"and",
"options",
"on",
"individual",
"stocks",
".",
"Traders",
"are",
"already",
"buckling",
"their",
"seat",
"belts",
".",
"Previous",
"monthly",
"expirations",
"of",
"the",
"Major",
"Market",
"Index",
"futures",
"and",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"100-stock",
"index",
"options",
"have",
"produced",
"spectacular",
"volatility",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"in",
"one",
"of",
"those",
"phases",
"where",
"you",
"are",
"going",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"volatile",
"expiration",
"action",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Donald",
"Selkin",
",",
"head",
"of",
"stock-index",
"research",
"at",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
".",
"Investors",
"were",
"buying",
"yesterday",
",",
"but",
"they",
"were",
"running",
"scared",
"to",
"premier",
"blue",
"chips",
"such",
"as",
"Procter",
"&",
"Gamble",
",",
"which",
"jumped",
"3",
"3/8",
"to",
"127",
".",
"Investors",
"``",
"are",
"buying",
"stocks",
"that",
"have",
"predictable",
"earnings",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Edward",
"J.",
"Laux",
",",
"head",
"of",
"block",
"trading",
"at",
"Kidder",
"Peabody",
".",
"Along",
"the",
"way",
",",
"investors",
"dumped",
"takeover",
"stocks",
"and",
"shares",
"of",
"banks",
"that",
"have",
"leveraged-buy-out",
"debt",
"and",
"risky",
"real",
"estate",
"loans",
"on",
"their",
"books",
".",
"``",
"These",
"loans",
"are",
"more",
"of",
"a",
"focus",
"than",
"lesser-developed-country",
"debt",
"now",
",",
"''",
"said",
"William",
"Bee",
",",
"senior",
"block",
"trader",
"at",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
".",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
",",
"which",
"sold",
"14",
"million",
"additional",
"shares",
"at",
"40",
"1/8",
"Monday",
"through",
"an",
"underwriting",
"group",
"led",
"by",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
",",
"closed",
"down",
"1/8",
"to",
"40",
".",
"Citicorp",
"fell",
"1/2",
"to",
"32",
",",
"and",
"Manufacturers",
"Hanover",
"slipped",
"3/8",
"to",
"40",
"1/4",
".",
"Chase",
"and",
"Citicorp",
"'s",
"Citibank",
"are",
"involved",
"in",
"the",
"UAL",
"buy-out",
"financing",
".",
"Both",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Manufacturers",
"Hanover",
"reported",
"earnings",
"yesterday",
".",
"In",
"the",
"first",
"hour",
"of",
"trading",
",",
"about",
"one",
"million",
"shares",
"a",
"minute",
"changed",
"hands",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"as",
"big",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"sell",
"programs",
"pushed",
"prices",
"lower",
".",
"(",
"In",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"traders",
"buy",
"or",
"sell",
"big",
"baskets",
"of",
"stocks",
"against",
"offsetting",
"positions",
"in",
"futures",
".",
")",
"Traders",
"said",
"many",
"of",
"the",
"sell",
"programs",
"are",
"positions",
"being",
"established",
"ahead",
"of",
"this",
"Friday",
"'s",
"expiration",
".",
"Aside",
"from",
"computer-guided",
"selling",
",",
"airline",
"stocks",
"took",
"a",
"beating",
"as",
"well",
".",
"The",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Transportation",
"Average",
"fell",
"49.96",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"1254.27",
".",
"AMR",
",",
"the",
"parent",
"of",
"American",
"Airlines",
",",
"continued",
"to",
"retreat",
"in",
"the",
"wake",
"of",
"New",
"York",
"developer",
"Donald",
"Trump",
"'s",
"decision",
"to",
"withdraw",
"his",
"$",
"120-a-share",
"takeover",
"bid",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"fell",
"3",
"1/4",
"to",
"73",
"1/4",
"on",
"3.4",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"Delta",
"Air",
"Lines",
"fell",
"1",
"7/8",
"to",
"67",
"7/8",
",",
"USAir",
"Group",
"dropped",
"3/4",
"to",
"40",
"1/4",
",",
"Southwest",
"Airlines",
"dipped",
"1/2",
"to",
"25",
"and",
"Alaska",
"Air",
"Group",
"slid",
"3/8",
"to",
"24",
"1/4",
".",
"But",
"Texas",
"Air",
",",
"the",
"owner",
"of",
"Continental",
"and",
"Eastern",
"airlines",
",",
"bucked",
"the",
"group",
"'s",
"decline",
"by",
"rising",
"7/8",
"to",
"14",
"5/8",
"in",
"American",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"trading",
".",
"Eastern",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"ahead",
"of",
"schedule",
"in",
"resuming",
"its",
"operations",
"after",
"filing",
"earlier",
"this",
"year",
"for",
"Chapter",
"11",
"bankruptcy",
"protection",
",",
"from",
"which",
"it",
"expects",
"to",
"emerge",
"early",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Philip",
"Morris",
",",
"the",
"most",
"active",
"Big",
"Board",
"issue",
"for",
"the",
"second",
"consecutive",
"session",
",",
"was",
"unchanged",
"at",
"43",
"1/4",
"on",
"3.9",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"Other",
"blue-chip",
"consumer",
"issues",
"also",
"fared",
"relatively",
"well",
":",
"PepsiCo",
"rose",
"1",
"3/8",
"to",
"58",
"1/2",
";",
"Coca-Cola",
"Co.",
"was",
"unchanged",
"at",
"66",
"3/4",
";",
"McDonald",
"'s",
"also",
"closed",
"unchanged",
"at",
"30",
"1/2",
",",
"and",
"Merck",
"rose",
"1/2",
"to",
"75",
"1/4",
".",
"Broader",
"averages",
"also",
"fell",
".",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-stock",
"index",
"fell",
"1.69",
"to",
"341.16",
",",
"and",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"Composite",
"Index",
"fell",
"0.88",
"to",
"188.89",
".",
"Among",
"the",
"takeover-related",
"stocks",
"that",
"sold",
"off",
"yesterday",
"were",
"Disney",
",",
"which",
"closed",
"down",
"2",
"1/8",
"to",
"121",
"1/4",
".",
"Philips",
"Industries",
"tumbled",
"3/8",
"to",
"22",
"7/8",
";",
"Hilton",
"Hotels",
"fell",
"2",
"1/2",
"to",
"92",
"and",
"Holiday",
"Corp.",
"fell",
"2",
"1/8",
"to",
"69",
"7/8",
".",
"Among",
"other",
"blue",
"chips",
",",
"Exxon",
"gained",
"1/8",
"to",
"45",
"1/2",
".",
"International",
"Paper",
"fell",
"1",
"3/8",
"to",
"51",
"1/2",
",",
"Union",
"Carbide",
"eased",
"7/8",
"to",
"25",
",",
"Chevron",
"gained",
"1/8",
"to",
"64",
",",
"and",
"Eastman",
"Kodak",
"closed",
"down",
"3/4",
"to",
"44",
"1/4",
".",
"The",
"only",
"industry",
"group",
"to",
"show",
"a",
"gain",
"from",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"'s",
"record",
"high",
"on",
"Oct.",
"9",
"is",
"restaurants",
".",
"Among",
"the",
"three",
"worst-performing",
"groups",
",",
"with",
"declines",
"of",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"20",
"%",
",",
"are",
"airlines",
",",
"casinos",
"and",
"securities",
"brokers",
".",
"Trading",
"also",
"was",
"heavy",
"in",
"the",
"over-the-counter",
"market",
".",
"The",
"Nasdaq",
"composite",
"index",
"closed",
"down",
"1.05",
"to",
"459.93",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"161.5",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"``",
"The",
"environment",
"is",
"a",
"lot",
"more",
"trading-oriented",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Gary",
"Rosenbach",
",",
"manager",
"of",
"equity",
"trading",
"at",
"the",
"OTC",
"stock",
"firm",
"Needham",
"&",
"Co.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"``",
"Because",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"lot",
"more",
"volatility",
"now",
",",
"if",
"guys",
"see",
"that",
"they",
"can",
"make",
"a",
"quick",
"10",
"%",
"or",
"15",
"%",
"profit",
",",
"they",
"'ll",
"take",
"it",
".",
"''",
"Compaq",
"Computer",
"gained",
"2",
"1/8",
"to",
"103",
"3/4",
"on",
"two",
"million",
"shares",
",",
"reflecting",
"market",
"optimism",
"about",
"the",
"prospects",
"for",
"its",
"newly",
"introduced",
"notebook-sized",
"computer",
".",
"B.F.",
"Goodrich",
"dropped",
"1",
"3/8",
"to",
"49",
"1/8",
".",
"The",
"company",
"'s",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"were",
"below",
"both",
"analysts",
"'",
"forecasts",
"and",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"level",
".",
"Blue",
"Arrow",
"added",
"1/2",
"to",
"17",
"1/4",
".",
"The",
"British",
"company",
"plans",
"to",
"change",
"its",
"name",
"to",
"Manpower",
",",
"the",
"name",
"of",
"its",
"U.S.",
"unit",
",",
"and",
"write",
"off",
"part",
"of",
"nearly",
"$",
"1.2",
"billion",
"in",
"good",
"will",
"as",
"a",
"possible",
"prelude",
"to",
"reincorporating",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Dravo",
"rose",
"5/8",
"to",
"16",
"1/8",
".",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"began",
"its",
"coverage",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"with",
"favorable",
"ratings",
".",
"Intertan",
"jumped",
"2",
"1/4",
"to",
"56",
"7/8",
".",
"The",
"company",
"reported",
"that",
"earnings",
"from",
"operations",
"for",
"the",
"September",
"quarter",
"were",
"up",
"about",
"25",
"%",
"from",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Bay",
"Financial",
",",
"which",
"said",
"it",
"may",
"be",
"forced",
"to",
"file",
"under",
"Chapter",
"11",
"if",
"it",
"ca",
"n't",
"reach",
"an",
"agreement",
"with",
"its",
"lenders",
"to",
"relieve",
"its",
"debt",
"burden",
",",
"plunged",
"1",
"3/8",
"to",
"2",
"1/8",
".",
"The",
"Amex",
"Market",
"Value",
"Index",
"fell",
"1.25",
"to",
"375.16",
".",
"Volume",
"totaled",
"16,800,000",
"shares",
".",
"Among",
"active",
"Amex",
"issues",
",",
"the",
"American",
"depositary",
"receipts",
"of",
"B.A.T",
"Industries",
"fell",
"1/4",
"to",
"11",
"3/4",
"on",
"turnover",
"of",
"885,800",
".",
"Investment",
"bankers",
"and",
"retailers",
"said",
"the",
"turmoil",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
"may",
"benefit",
"managers",
"who",
"plan",
"to",
"bid",
"for",
"U.S.",
"retailing",
"units",
"of",
"the",
"British",
"firm",
"because",
"takeover",
"prices",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"E",
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"7",
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",",
"or",
"5/8",
",",
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"10",
"1/4",
".",
"The",
"biggest",
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"on",
"the",
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"was",
"Enviropact",
",",
"which",
"jumped",
"23",
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",",
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"5/8",
",",
"to",
"3",
"3/8",
"on",
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"29,000",
"shares",
".",
"On",
"Monday",
",",
"the",
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",",
"a",
"provider",
"of",
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"consulting",
"services",
",",
"reported",
"a",
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",",
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"said",
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"1990",
".",
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"its",
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",",
"Ernst",
"&",
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",",
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"``",
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".",
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"advanced",
"8",
"%",
",",
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"1",
"3/8",
",",
"to",
"18",
"7/8",
".",
"Sonja",
"Steptoe",
"and",
"David",
"Wilson",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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[
"The",
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"Jan.",
"1",
".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Mr.",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"to",
"do",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
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"Fannie",
"Mae",
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"James",
"A.",
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"keeping",
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"."
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",",
"the",
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",",
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"5.52",
",",
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",",
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"closed",
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"0.1",
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".",
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"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"Composite",
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"0.4",
"%",
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"the",
"day",
".",
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",",
"the",
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"were",
"hardest",
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".",
"Microsoft",
",",
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"taking",
"in",
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",",
"sank",
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",",
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".",
"MCI",
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",",
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",",
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"traded",
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"41",
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"session",
".",
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",",
"whose",
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"depositary",
"receipts",
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"11",
"1/4",
".",
"Apple",
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";",
"Intel",
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",",
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"Valley",
"National",
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"15",
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".",
"``",
"The",
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",",
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"Peter",
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",",
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"equity",
"trading",
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"Lehman",
"Hutton",
",",
"referring",
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"news",
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"the",
"labor-management",
"buy-out",
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"UAL",
"Corp.",
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",",
"and",
"reports",
"that",
"the",
"junk-bond",
"market",
"is",
"disintegrating",
".",
"But",
"the",
"computer-guided",
"selling",
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"dealt",
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"serious",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"swings",
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"prices",
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",",
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"other",
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",",
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".",
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"they",
"are",
"forced",
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"so",
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".",
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"on",
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"when",
"prices",
"are",
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"and",
"sellers",
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"they",
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"shares",
"from",
"sellers",
"when",
"no",
"one",
"else",
"will",
".",
"In",
"such",
"an",
"environment",
",",
"a",
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"maker",
"can",
"absorb",
"huge",
"losses",
".",
"But",
"the",
"recent",
"volatility",
"in",
"stock",
"prices",
"caused",
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"the",
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"has",
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"some",
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"willing",
"to",
"soak",
"up",
"the",
"stocks",
"that",
"are",
"for",
"sale",
".",
"The",
"market",
"makers",
"say",
"they",
"are",
"n't",
"comfortable",
"carrying",
"big",
"positions",
"in",
"stocks",
"because",
"they",
"realize",
"prices",
"can",
"tumble",
"quickly",
".",
"The",
"situation",
"makes",
"it",
"harder",
"to",
"buy",
"and",
"sell",
"shares",
"quickly",
",",
"exacerbating",
"the",
"rise",
"and",
"fall",
"in",
"stock",
"prices",
"during",
"program-dominated",
"trading",
".",
"Groused",
"Robert",
"Antolini",
",",
"head",
"of",
"over-the-counter",
"trading",
"at",
"Donaldson",
",",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
":",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"making",
"it",
"tough",
"for",
"traders",
"to",
"make",
"money",
".",
"''",
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"said",
"that",
"when",
"sell",
"programs",
"kick",
"in",
",",
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"traders",
"believe",
"that",
"``",
"there",
"'s",
"no",
"sense",
"in",
"sticking",
"your",
"nose",
"out",
"because",
"you",
"'re",
"an",
"instant",
"loser",
".",
"''",
"Kinder-Care",
"Learning",
"Centers",
"added",
"1/4",
"to",
"4",
"7/8",
"on",
"461,200",
"shares",
".",
"Lodestar",
"Group",
"said",
"it",
"will",
"make",
"a",
"$",
"6-a-share",
"offer",
"for",
"the",
"remaining",
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"Learning",
"Center",
"common",
"stock",
"if",
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"acquires",
"a",
"majority",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"shares",
"in",
"a",
"pending",
"rights",
"offering",
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"Learning",
"Center",
"'s",
"parent",
",",
"Kinder-Care",
"Inc",
".",
"Shares",
"of",
"KinderCare",
"Inc.",
"closed",
"at",
"3",
"1/2",
",",
"also",
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".",
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",",
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"1.31",
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",",
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"Commission",
".",
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[
"British",
"Airways",
"PLC",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"seeking",
"improved",
"terms",
"and",
"a",
"sharply",
"lower",
"price",
"in",
"any",
"revised",
"bid",
"for",
"United",
"Airlines",
"parent",
"UAL",
"Corp.",
"following",
"the",
"collapse",
"of",
"a",
"$",
"6.79",
"billion",
",",
"$",
"300-a-share",
"buy-out",
"bid",
".",
"Derek",
"Stevens",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
",",
"told",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Professional",
"Investor",
"Report",
"a",
"price",
"of",
"$",
"230",
"a",
"share",
"is",
"``",
"certainly",
"not",
"too",
"low",
",",
"''",
"and",
"indicated",
"his",
"company",
"would",
"like",
"to",
"reduce",
"the",
"size",
"of",
"its",
"$",
"750",
"million",
"cash",
"investment",
".",
"He",
"added",
"the",
"airline",
"is",
"n't",
"committed",
"to",
"going",
"forward",
"with",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
",",
"and",
"has",
"n't",
"participated",
"in",
"bankers",
"'",
"efforts",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"transaction",
"that",
"collapsed",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"in",
"no",
"way",
"committed",
"to",
"a",
"deal",
"going",
"through",
"at",
"all",
".",
"We",
"'re",
"not",
"rushing",
"into",
"anything",
".",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"party",
"to",
"a",
"second",
"rejection",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
",",
"adding",
"that",
"coming",
"up",
"with",
"a",
"revised",
"offer",
"could",
"easily",
"take",
"several",
"weeks",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"'s",
"remarks",
",",
"confirming",
"a",
"report",
"in",
"The",
"Wall",
"Street",
"Journal",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"wants",
"to",
"start",
"from",
"scratch",
"in",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
"for",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"second-largest",
"airline",
",",
"helped",
"push",
"UAL",
"stock",
"lower",
"for",
"the",
"fourth",
"straight",
"day",
".",
"UAL",
"fell",
"$",
"6.25",
"a",
"share",
"to",
"$",
"191.75",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"2.3",
"million",
"shares",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"as",
"concern",
"deepened",
"among",
"takeover",
"stock",
"traders",
"about",
"the",
"length",
"of",
"time",
"it",
"will",
"take",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"purchase",
".",
"Under",
"the",
"original",
"buy-out",
"approved",
"by",
"the",
"UAL",
"board",
"Sept.",
"14",
",",
"UAL",
"'s",
"pilots",
"planned",
"to",
"put",
"up",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
"and",
"make",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"annual",
"cost",
"concessions",
"for",
"a",
"75",
"%",
"stake",
".",
"UAL",
"management",
"was",
"to",
"pay",
"$",
"15",
"million",
"for",
"10",
"%",
",",
"and",
"British",
"Air",
"was",
"to",
"receive",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"stake",
".",
"The",
"buy-out",
"fell",
"through",
"when",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Corp.",
"unexpectedly",
"failed",
"to",
"obtain",
"bank",
"financing",
".",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"UAL",
"stock",
"has",
"fallen",
"33",
"%",
"in",
"what",
"may",
"rank",
"as",
"the",
"largest",
"collapse",
"of",
"a",
"takeover",
"stock",
"ever",
".",
"The",
"tenor",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"'s",
"remarks",
"seemed",
"to",
"indicate",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"will",
"take",
"a",
"more",
"active",
",",
"high-profile",
"role",
"in",
"pursuing",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
".",
"He",
"said",
"he",
"believes",
"UAL",
"management",
"was",
"badly",
"advised",
"on",
"the",
"funding",
"of",
"its",
"original",
"transaction",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"British",
"Air",
"has",
"n't",
"received",
"any",
"new",
"buy-out",
"proposals",
"from",
"the",
"labor-management",
"group",
",",
"led",
"by",
"UAL",
"Chairman",
"Stephen",
"Wolf",
",",
"and",
"has",
"n't",
"received",
"any",
"indication",
"of",
"when",
"one",
"might",
"be",
"forthcoming",
".",
"``",
"As",
"far",
"as",
"we",
"'re",
"concerned",
",",
"we",
"'re",
"waiting",
"for",
"the",
"dust",
"to",
"settle",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Although",
"British",
"Air",
"is",
"waiting",
"to",
"see",
"what",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"comes",
"up",
"with",
",",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"a",
"revised",
"transaction",
"with",
"less",
"debt",
"leverage",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"more",
"attractive",
"to",
"banks",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"original",
"proposal",
"is",
"dead",
",",
"and",
"all",
"aspects",
"of",
"a",
"revised",
"version",
"are",
"up",
"for",
"change",
",",
"in",
"light",
"of",
"the",
"changes",
"in",
"UAL",
"'s",
"market",
"price",
",",
"the",
"amount",
"of",
"debt",
"banks",
"are",
"willing",
"to",
"fund",
",",
"and",
"the",
"price",
"British",
"Air",
"would",
"be",
"willing",
"to",
"pay",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"he",
"expects",
"the",
"new",
"price",
"will",
"be",
"considerably",
"lower",
",",
"but",
"declined",
"to",
"specify",
"a",
"figure",
".",
"Asked",
"whether",
"a",
"$",
"230-a-share",
"figure",
"circulating",
"in",
"the",
"market",
"yesterday",
"is",
"too",
"low",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"certainly",
"not",
"too",
"low",
".",
"''",
"He",
"added",
"the",
"original",
"offer",
"was",
"``",
"a",
"pretty",
"full",
"price",
",",
"''",
"and",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"contribution",
"``",
"was",
"quite",
"a",
"large",
"chunk",
"for",
"us",
".",
"''",
"British",
"Air",
"was",
"originally",
"attracted",
"to",
"the",
"chance",
"of",
"obtaining",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"the",
"company",
",",
"but",
"was",
"n't",
"particularly",
"happy",
"with",
"paying",
"$",
"750",
"million",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"-LCB-",
"new",
"-RCB-",
"deal",
"had",
"us",
"putting",
"up",
"less",
"money",
"but",
"still",
"having",
"15",
"%",
",",
"that",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"point",
"in",
"our",
"favor",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"In",
"any",
"new",
"proposal",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"would",
"expect",
"a",
"greater",
"rate",
"of",
"return",
"than",
"the",
"20%-plus",
"in",
"the",
"original",
"proposal",
".",
"In",
"the",
"event",
"that",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"stalls",
"in",
"reviving",
"its",
"bid",
",",
"the",
"UAL",
"board",
"could",
"remain",
"under",
"some",
"pressure",
"to",
"seek",
"another",
"transaction",
",",
"even",
"without",
"any",
"legal",
"obligation",
"to",
"do",
"so",
".",
"Roughly",
"one-third",
"of",
"its",
"stock",
"is",
"believed",
"held",
"by",
"takeover",
"stock",
"traders",
",",
"who",
"could",
"vote",
"to",
"oust",
"the",
"board",
"if",
"they",
"become",
"impatient",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"'s",
"task",
"of",
"holding",
"its",
"fragile",
"coalition",
"together",
",",
"in",
"the",
"face",
"of",
"the",
"bid",
"'s",
"collapse",
"and",
"internal",
"opposition",
"from",
"two",
"other",
"employee",
"groups",
",",
"has",
"been",
"further",
"complicated",
"by",
"an",
"apparent",
"rift",
"in",
"the",
"ranks",
"of",
"the",
"pilot",
"union",
"itself",
".",
"A",
"pilot",
"representing",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"220",
"pilots",
"hired",
"during",
"United",
"'s",
"1985",
"strike",
"filed",
"suit",
"Friday",
"in",
"Chicago",
"federal",
"court",
"to",
"block",
"the",
"takeover",
".",
"The",
"dissident",
"pilots",
"oppose",
"the",
"plan",
"because",
"it",
"would",
"cause",
"them",
"to",
"lose",
"their",
"seniority",
".",
"UAL",
"'s",
"management",
"agreed",
"to",
"reduce",
"the",
"seniority",
"of",
"those",
"pilots",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"support",
"of",
"the",
"United",
"pilot",
"union",
"for",
"the",
"buy-out",
"proposal",
".",
"The",
"220",
"pilots",
"involved",
"in",
"the",
"suit",
"are",
"n't",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"union",
".",
"The",
"airline",
"had",
"allowed",
"them",
"to",
"move",
"ahead",
"of",
"some",
"union",
"members",
"in",
"seniority",
"following",
"the",
"1985",
"strike",
",",
"a",
"move",
"the",
"union",
"had",
"contested",
"in",
"a",
"previous",
"lawsuit",
".",
"Judith",
"Valente",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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"TVs",
"and",
"radios",
"to",
"stay",
"in",
"touch",
"with",
"electroreality",
"at",
"a",
"live",
"event",
".",
"Maybe",
"it",
"was",
"their",
"peculiar",
"sense",
"of",
"history",
".",
"The",
"broadcasters",
"were",
",",
"after",
"all",
",",
"documenting",
"the",
"game",
",",
"ratifying",
"its",
"occurrence",
"for",
"millions",
"outside",
"the",
"Stick",
".",
"Why",
"not",
"watch",
"or",
"hear",
"your",
"experience",
"historicized",
"while",
"you",
"were",
"living",
"it",
"?",
"The",
"day",
"was",
"saturated",
"with",
"the",
"weight",
"of",
"its",
"own",
"impending",
"history",
".",
"Long",
"lines",
"of",
"people",
"waited",
"to",
"buy",
"special",
"souvenir",
"World",
"Series",
"postcards",
"with",
"official",
"postmarks",
".",
"Thousands",
"of",
"us",
"had",
"paid",
"$",
"5",
"for",
"the",
"official",
"souvenir",
"book",
"with",
"its",
"historical",
"essays",
"on",
"Series",
"trivia",
",",
"its",
"historical",
"photographs",
"of",
"great",
"moments",
"in",
"Series",
"past",
",",
"and",
"its",
"instructions",
",",
"in",
"English",
"and",
"Spanish",
",",
"for",
"filling",
"in",
"the",
"scorecard",
".",
"Pitcher",
"=",
"lanzador",
".",
"Homerun",
"=",
"jonron",
".",
"Players",
"ran",
"out",
"on",
"the",
"field",
"way",
"below",
",",
"and",
"the",
"stands",
"began",
"to",
"reverberate",
".",
"It",
"must",
"be",
"a",
"local",
"custom",
",",
"I",
"thought",
",",
"stamping",
"feet",
"to",
"welcome",
"the",
"team",
".",
"But",
"then",
"the",
"noise",
"turned",
"into",
"a",
"roar",
".",
"And",
"no",
"one",
"was",
"shouting",
".",
"No",
"one",
"around",
"me",
"was",
"saying",
"anything",
".",
"Because",
"we",
"all",
"were",
"busy",
"riding",
"a",
"wave",
".",
"Sixty",
"thousand",
"surfers",
"atop",
"a",
"concrete",
"wall",
",",
"waiting",
"for",
"the",
"wipeout",
".",
"Only",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
"of",
"maximum",
"roll",
"did",
"I",
"grasp",
"what",
"was",
"going",
"on",
".",
"Then",
"I",
"remembered",
"the",
"quake",
"of",
"'71",
",",
"which",
"I",
"experienced",
"in",
"Santa",
"Barbara",
"in",
"a",
"second-story",
"motel",
"room",
".",
"When",
"the",
"swaying",
"of",
"the",
"building",
"woke",
"me",
"up",
",",
"I",
"reasoned",
"that",
"a",
")",
"I",
"was",
"in",
"Southern",
"California",
";",
"b",
")",
"the",
"bed",
"was",
"moving",
";",
"c",
")",
"it",
"must",
"be",
"a",
"Magic",
"Fingers",
"bed",
"that",
"had",
"short-circuited",
".",
"Then",
"I",
"noticed",
"the",
"overhead",
"light",
"was",
"swaying",
"on",
"its",
"cord",
"and",
"realized",
"what",
"had",
"happened",
".",
"What",
"should",
"I",
"do",
"?",
"Get",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"possibly",
"collapsing",
"building",
"to",
"the",
"parking",
"lot",
".",
"But",
"the",
"lot",
"might",
"split",
"into",
"crevasses",
",",
"so",
"I",
"had",
"better",
"stand",
"on",
"my",
"car",
",",
"which",
"probably",
"was",
"wider",
"than",
"the",
"average",
"crevasse",
".",
"Fortunately",
",",
"the",
"quake",
"was",
"over",
"before",
"I",
"managed",
"to",
"run",
"out",
"and",
"stand",
"naked",
"on",
"the",
"hood",
".",
"At",
"the",
"Stick",
",",
"while",
"the",
"world",
"shook",
",",
"I",
"thought",
"of",
"that",
"morning",
"and",
"then",
"it",
"struck",
"me",
"that",
"this",
"time",
"was",
"different",
".",
"If",
"I",
"survived",
",",
"I",
"would",
"have",
"achieved",
"every",
"journalist",
"'s",
"highest",
"wish",
".",
"I",
"was",
"an",
"eyewitness",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"newsworthy",
"event",
"on",
"the",
"planet",
"at",
"that",
"moment",
".",
"What",
"was",
"my",
"angle",
"?",
"How",
"would",
"I",
"file",
"?",
"All",
"these",
"thoughts",
"raced",
"through",
"my",
"head",
"in",
"the",
"15",
"seconds",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
"'s",
"actual",
"duration",
".",
"The",
"rest",
"is",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"history",
".",
"The",
"Stick",
"did",
"n't",
"fall",
".",
"The",
"real",
"tragedies",
"occurred",
"elsewhere",
",",
"as",
"we",
"soon",
"found",
"out",
".",
"But",
"for",
"a",
"few",
"minutes",
"there",
",",
"relief",
"abounded",
".",
"A",
"young",
"mother",
"found",
"her",
"boy",
",",
"who",
"had",
"been",
"out",
"buying",
"a",
"hotdog",
".",
"The",
"wall",
"behind",
"me",
"was",
"slightly",
"deformed",
",",
"but",
"the",
"center",
"had",
"held",
".",
"And",
"most",
"of",
"us",
"waited",
"for",
"a",
"while",
"for",
"the",
"game",
"to",
"start",
".",
"Then",
"we",
"began",
"to",
"file",
"out",
",",
"to",
"wait",
"safely",
"on",
"terra",
"firma",
"for",
"the",
"opening",
"pitch",
".",
"It",
"was",
"during",
"the",
"quiet",
"exodus",
"down",
"the",
"pristine",
"concrete",
"ramps",
"of",
"the",
"Stick",
"that",
"I",
"really",
"understood",
"the",
"point",
"of",
"all",
"those",
"Walkmen",
"and",
"Watchmen",
".",
"The",
"crowd",
"moved",
"in",
"clumps",
",",
"clumps",
"magnetized",
"around",
"an",
"electronic",
"nucleus",
".",
"In",
"this",
"way",
",",
"while",
"the",
"Stick",
"itself",
"was",
"blacked",
"out",
",",
"we",
"kept",
"up",
"to",
"date",
"on",
"events",
".",
"Within",
"15",
"minutes",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
"itself",
",",
"I",
"was",
"able",
"to",
"see",
"pictures",
"of",
"the",
"collapsed",
"section",
"of",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
".",
"Increasingly",
"accurate",
"estimates",
"of",
"the",
"severity",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
"became",
"available",
"before",
"I",
"got",
"to",
"my",
"car",
".",
"And",
"by",
"then",
",",
"expensive",
"automobile",
"sound",
"systems",
"were",
"keeping",
"the",
"gridlocked",
"parking",
"lot",
"by",
"the",
"bay",
"informed",
"about",
"the",
"fire",
"causing",
"the",
"big",
"black",
"plume",
"of",
"smoke",
"we",
"saw",
"on",
"the",
"northern",
"horizon",
".",
"Darkness",
"fell",
".",
"But",
"the",
"broadcasts",
"continued",
"through",
"the",
"blacked-out",
"night",
",",
"with",
"pictures",
"of",
"the",
"sandwiched",
"highway",
"ganglion",
"in",
"Oakland",
"and",
"firefighting",
"in",
"the",
"Marina",
"district",
".",
"By",
"then",
",",
"our",
"little",
"sand",
"village",
"of",
"cars",
"had",
"been",
"linked",
"with",
"a",
"global",
"village",
"of",
"listeners",
"and",
"viewers",
".",
"Everyone",
"at",
"the",
"Stick",
"that",
"day",
"had",
"started",
"out",
"as",
"a",
"spectator",
"and",
"ended",
"up",
"as",
"a",
"participant",
".",
"In",
"fact",
",",
"the",
"entire",
"population",
"of",
"the",
"Bay",
"Area",
"had",
"ended",
"up",
"with",
"this",
"dual",
"role",
"of",
"actor",
"and",
"audience",
".",
"The",
"reporters",
"were",
"victims",
"and",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"victims",
"turned",
"into",
"unofficial",
"reporters",
".",
"The",
"outstanding",
"example",
"of",
"this",
"was",
"the",
"motorist",
"on",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
"who",
"had",
"the",
"presence",
"of",
"mind",
"to",
"take",
"out",
"a",
"video",
"camera",
"at",
"the",
"absolutely",
"crucial",
"moment",
"and",
"record",
"the",
"car",
"in",
"front",
"as",
"it",
"fell",
"into",
"the",
"gap",
"in",
"the",
"roadway",
".",
"The",
"tape",
"was",
"on",
"tv",
"before",
"the",
"night",
"was",
"out",
".",
"Marshall",
"McLuhan",
",",
"you",
"should",
"have",
"been",
"there",
"at",
"that",
"hour",
"."
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",",
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",",
"a",
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"is",
"heading",
".",
"But",
"he",
"blames",
"program",
"trading",
"for",
"only",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"volatility",
".",
"He",
"also",
"considers",
"the",
"market",
"overvalued",
"and",
"cites",
"the",
"troubles",
"in",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"He",
"adds",
":",
"``",
"The",
"market",
"may",
"be",
"giving",
"us",
"another",
"message",
",",
"that",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"looming",
".",
"''",
"Or",
",",
"as",
"Dorothy",
"Arighi",
",",
"an",
"interior",
"decorator",
"in",
"Arnold",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"puts",
"it",
":",
"``",
"All",
"kinds",
"of",
"funny",
"things",
"spook",
"the",
"market",
"these",
"days",
".",
"''",
"But",
"she",
"believes",
"that",
"``",
"program",
"trading",
"creates",
"deviant",
"swings",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"a",
"sound",
"thing",
";",
"there",
"'s",
"no",
"inherent",
"virtue",
"in",
"it",
".",
"''",
"She",
"adds",
"that",
"legislation",
"curbing",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"``",
"a",
"darned",
"good",
"idea",
".",
"''",
"At",
"the",
"Charles",
"Schwab",
"&",
"Co.",
"office",
"in",
"Atlanta",
"'s",
"Buckhead",
"district",
",",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"investors",
"voices",
"skepticism",
"that",
"federal",
"officials",
"would",
"curb",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Citing",
"the",
"October",
"1987",
"crash",
",",
"Glenn",
"Miller",
"says",
",",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"like",
"the",
"last",
"crash",
"--",
"they",
"threatened",
",",
"but",
"no",
"one",
"did",
"anything",
".",
"''",
"A.",
"Donald",
"Anderson",
",",
"a",
"59-year-old",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"investor",
"who",
"says",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"``",
"fluctuations",
"and",
"gyrations",
"give",
"me",
"the",
"heebie-jeebies",
",",
"''",
"does",
"n't",
"see",
"much",
"point",
"in",
"outlawing",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Those",
"who",
"still",
"want",
"to",
"do",
"it",
"``",
"will",
"just",
"find",
"some",
"way",
"to",
"get",
"around",
"''",
"any",
"attempt",
"to",
"curb",
"it",
".",
"Similarly",
",",
"Rick",
"Wamre",
",",
"a",
"31-year-old",
"asset",
"manager",
"for",
"a",
"Dallas",
"real-estate",
"firm",
",",
"would",
"like",
"to",
"see",
"program",
"trading",
"disappear",
"because",
"``",
"I",
"ca",
"n't",
"see",
"that",
"it",
"does",
"anything",
"for",
"the",
"market",
"or",
"the",
"country",
".",
"''",
"Yet",
"he",
"is",
"n't",
"in",
"favor",
"of",
"new",
"legislation",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"we",
"'ve",
"got",
"enough",
"securities",
"laws",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'d",
"much",
"rather",
"see",
"them",
"dealing",
"with",
"interest",
"rates",
"and",
"the",
"deficit",
".",
"''",
"Peter",
"Anthony",
",",
"who",
"runs",
"an",
"employment",
"agency",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"decries",
"program",
"trading",
"as",
"``",
"limiting",
"the",
"game",
"to",
"a",
"few",
",",
"''",
"but",
"he",
"also",
"is",
"n't",
"sure",
"it",
"should",
"be",
"more",
"strictly",
"regulated",
".",
"``",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"denounce",
"it",
"because",
"denouncing",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"like",
"denouncing",
"capitalism",
",",
"''",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"And",
"surprising",
"numbers",
"of",
"small",
"investors",
"seem",
"to",
"be",
"adapting",
"to",
"greater",
"stock",
"market",
"volatility",
"and",
"say",
"they",
"can",
"live",
"with",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Glenn",
"Britta",
",",
"a",
"25-year-old",
"New",
"York",
"financial",
"analyst",
"who",
"plays",
"options",
"for",
"his",
"personal",
"account",
",",
"says",
"he",
"is",
"``",
"factoring",
"''",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"volatility",
"``",
"into",
"investment",
"decisions",
".",
"''",
"He",
"adds",
"that",
"program",
"trading",
"``",
"increases",
"liquidity",
"in",
"the",
"market",
".",
"You",
"ca",
"n't",
"hold",
"back",
"technology",
".",
"''",
"And",
"the",
"practice",
"should",
"n't",
"be",
"stopped",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"because",
"``",
"even",
"big",
"players",
"are",
"n't",
"immune",
"to",
"the",
"rigors",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"''",
"Also",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"Israel",
"Silverman",
",",
"an",
"insurance-company",
"lawyer",
",",
"comments",
"that",
"program",
"trading",
"``",
"increases",
"volatility",
",",
"but",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"it",
"should",
"be",
"banned",
".",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"culprit",
"here",
".",
"The",
"market",
"is",
"just",
"becoming",
"more",
"efficient",
".",
"''",
"Arbitraging",
"on",
"differences",
"between",
"spot",
"and",
"futures",
"prices",
"is",
"an",
"important",
"part",
"of",
"many",
"financial",
"markets",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"He",
"adds",
"that",
"his",
"shares",
"in",
"a",
"company",
"savings",
"plan",
"are",
"invested",
"in",
"a",
"mutual",
"fund",
",",
"and",
"volatility",
",",
"on",
"a",
"given",
"day",
",",
"may",
"hurt",
"the",
"fund",
".",
"But",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"a",
"long-term",
"investor",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"were",
"a",
"short-term",
"investor",
",",
"you",
"might",
"be",
"more",
"leery",
"about",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"''",
"Jim",
"Enzor",
"of",
"Atlanta",
"defends",
"program",
"trading",
"because",
"he",
"believes",
"that",
"it",
"can",
"bring",
"the",
"market",
"back",
"up",
"after",
"a",
"plunge",
".",
"``",
"If",
"we",
"have",
"a",
"real",
"bad",
"day",
",",
"the",
"program",
"would",
"say",
",",
"`",
"Buy",
",",
"'",
"''",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"could",
"get",
"the",
"rhythm",
"of",
"the",
"program",
"trading",
",",
"you",
"could",
"take",
"advantage",
"of",
"it",
".",
"''",
"What",
"else",
"can",
"a",
"small",
"investor",
"do",
"?",
"Scott",
"Taccetta",
",",
"a",
"Chicago",
"accountant",
",",
"is",
"going",
"into",
"money-market",
"funds",
".",
"Mr.",
"Taccetta",
"says",
"he",
"had",
"just",
"recouped",
"the",
"$",
"5,000",
"he",
"lost",
"in",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
"when",
"he",
"lost",
"more",
"money",
"last",
"Oct.",
"13",
".",
"Now",
",",
"he",
"plans",
"to",
"sell",
"all",
"his",
"stocks",
"by",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
"of",
"1990",
".",
"In",
"October",
",",
"before",
"the",
"market",
"dropped",
",",
"Mrs.",
"Arighi",
"of",
"Arnold",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"moved",
"to",
"sell",
"the",
"``",
"speculative",
"stocks",
"''",
"in",
"her",
"family",
"trust",
"``",
"so",
"we",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"withstand",
"all",
"this",
"flim-flammery",
"''",
"caused",
"by",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"She",
"believes",
"that",
"the",
"only",
"answer",
"for",
"individuals",
"is",
"to",
"``",
"buy",
"stocks",
"that",
"'ll",
"weather",
"any",
"storm",
".",
"''",
"Lucille",
"Gorman",
",",
"an",
"84-year-old",
"Chicago",
"housewife",
",",
"has",
"become",
"amazingly",
"immune",
"to",
"stock-market",
"jolts",
".",
"Mrs.",
"Gorman",
"took",
"advantage",
"of",
"low",
"prices",
"after",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
"to",
"buy",
"stocks",
"and",
"has",
"hunted",
"for",
"other",
"bargains",
"since",
"the",
"Oct.",
"13",
"plunge",
".",
"``",
"My",
"stocks",
"are",
"all",
"blue",
"chips",
",",
"''",
"she",
"says",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"market",
"goes",
"down",
",",
"I",
"figure",
"it",
"'s",
"paper",
"profits",
"I",
"'m",
"losing",
".",
"On",
"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"if",
"it",
"goes",
"way",
"sky",
"high",
",",
"I",
"always",
"sell",
".",
"You",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"get",
"yourself",
"too",
"upset",
"about",
"these",
"things",
"."
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[
"On",
"an",
"office",
"wall",
"of",
"the",
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"committee",
"hangs",
"a",
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"David",
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",",
"``",
"Do",
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"over",
".",
"''",
"He",
"once",
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"in",
"a",
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"meeting",
"on",
"Panama",
",",
"meaning",
"do",
"n't",
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"taking",
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"against",
"Manuel",
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".",
"So",
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"end",
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"approving",
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"Mr.",
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"?",
"``",
"I",
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",",
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",",
"''",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"and",
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"--",
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",",
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"--",
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".",
"George",
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"by",
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",",
"perhaps",
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"a",
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"Congress",
".",
"But",
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"--",
"and",
"dismaying",
".",
"The",
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"intelligence",
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"and",
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"Security",
"Council",
".",
"Staff",
"lawyers",
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"one",
"another",
"about",
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"the",
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"thug",
".",
"They",
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"away",
"with",
"interpreting",
"what",
"the",
"executive",
"order",
"banning",
"assassinations",
"really",
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".",
"Mr.",
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"told",
"him",
"privately",
"at",
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"House",
"last",
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".",
"It",
"'s",
"ironic",
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"David",
"Boren",
"should",
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"of",
"this",
"mire",
".",
"A",
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"governor",
",",
"he",
"'s",
"a",
"thoughtful",
"defender",
"of",
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"powers",
"in",
"foreign",
"policy",
".",
"He",
"'s",
"a",
"rare",
"Democratic",
"hawk",
".",
"He",
"'s",
"the",
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"most",
"like",
"Arthur",
"Vandenberg",
",",
"the",
"GOP",
"senator",
"from",
"Michigan",
"who",
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"bipartisan",
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"policy",
"in",
"the",
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".",
"``",
"Vandenberg",
"and",
"Rayburn",
"are",
"heroes",
"of",
"mine",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"says",
",",
"referring",
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"Sam",
"Rayburn",
",",
"the",
"Democratic",
"House",
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"who",
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"with",
"President",
"Eisenhower",
".",
"``",
"They",
"allowed",
"this",
"country",
"to",
"be",
"credible",
".",
"I",
"really",
"want",
"to",
"see",
"that",
"happen",
"again",
".",
"''",
"If",
"this",
"were",
"1949",
",",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"might",
"even",
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".",
"But",
"in",
"1989",
"most",
"senators",
"have",
"other",
"ideas",
".",
"Last",
"July",
",",
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"committee",
"rejected",
"a",
"Reagan",
"administration",
"plan",
"to",
"support",
"a",
"coup",
"in",
"Panama",
".",
"Ohio",
"Democrat",
"Howard",
"Metzenbaum",
"refused",
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"support",
"any",
"plan",
"that",
"might",
"get",
"people",
"hurt",
",",
"a",
"charming",
"notion",
"for",
"a",
"great",
"power",
".",
"Maine",
"Republican",
"William",
"Cohen",
"said",
"the",
"plan",
"might",
"violate",
"the",
"assassination",
"ban",
".",
"So",
"the",
"administration",
"dropped",
"it",
".",
"By",
"October",
",",
"when",
"the",
"committee",
"rejected",
"a",
"much",
"more",
"modest",
"covert",
"proposal",
",",
"even",
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"was",
"agreeing",
"little",
"should",
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"done",
".",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"does",
"n't",
"think",
"all",
"this",
"influenced",
"the",
"failed",
"coup",
"this",
"month",
",",
"but",
"he",
"does",
"concede",
"that",
"Congress",
"has",
"made",
"mistakes",
".",
"``",
"In",
"the",
"aftermath",
"of",
"Vietnam",
",",
"in",
"the",
"aftermath",
"of",
"Iran-Contra",
",",
"I",
"can",
"understand",
"some",
"people",
"might",
"think",
"that",
"if",
"they",
"plan",
"a",
"coup",
",",
"they",
"have",
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"bring",
"their",
"lawyers",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"But",
"even",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"defends",
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".",
"Writing",
"in",
"the",
"Harvard",
"International",
"Review",
",",
"he",
"says",
"that",
"his",
"committee",
"approves",
"covert",
"operations",
"only",
"when",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"``",
"consensus",
".",
"''",
"So",
"what",
"does",
"consensus",
"mean",
"?",
"``",
"It",
"does",
"n't",
"mean",
"unanimous",
",",
"''",
"he",
"insists",
",",
"though",
"he",
"implies",
"it",
"means",
"a",
"bipartisan",
"majority",
".",
"``",
"The",
"sustainability",
"of",
"U.S.",
"foreign",
"policy",
"is",
"essential",
",",
"''",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"``",
"Why",
"was",
"containment",
"so",
"successful",
"?",
"Because",
"it",
"had",
"bipartisan",
"support",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"is",
"confusing",
"consensus",
"on",
"general",
"principles",
"with",
"agreement",
"on",
"specific",
"actions",
".",
"Elliott",
"Abrams",
",",
"a",
"veteran",
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"committee",
"debates",
",",
"doubts",
"that",
"even",
"Grenada",
"or",
"the",
"Libyan",
"raid",
"would",
"have",
"taken",
"place",
"if",
"``",
"consensus",
"''",
"had",
"been",
"required",
".",
"Vandenberg",
"and",
"Rayburn",
"were",
"wise",
"enough",
"to",
"leave",
"specific",
"operations",
"to",
"presidents",
";",
"modern",
"senators",
",",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"notwithstanding",
",",
"are",
"less",
"modest",
".",
"The",
"result",
"is",
"that",
"the",
"Senate",
"committee",
"has",
"what",
"amounts",
"to",
"veto",
"power",
"over",
"every",
"covert",
"action",
".",
"``",
"I",
"would",
"n't",
"say",
"it",
"'s",
"quite",
"a",
"veto",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"demurs",
".",
"But",
"would",
"n't",
"a",
"president",
"who",
"acted",
"despite",
"Senate",
"objections",
"be",
"taking",
"grave",
"political",
"risks",
"?",
"``",
"He",
"would",
",",
"''",
"agrees",
"the",
"chairman",
".",
"``",
"But",
"that",
"is",
"something",
"the",
"president",
"ought",
"to",
"know",
"before",
"he",
"goes",
"ahead",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"even",
"spies",
"a",
"silver",
"lining",
".",
"He",
"figures",
"the",
"episode",
"will",
"help",
"``",
"clarify",
"any",
"ambiguities",
"''",
"between",
"the",
"committee",
"and",
"administration",
".",
"He",
"points",
"to",
"a",
"letter",
"on",
"his",
"desk",
",",
"his",
"second",
"in",
"a",
"week",
"from",
"President",
"Bush",
",",
"saying",
"that",
"they",
"``",
"do",
"n't",
"disagree",
".",
"''",
"More",
"broadly",
",",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
"hopes",
"that",
"Panama",
"will",
"shock",
"Washington",
"out",
"of",
"its",
"fear",
"of",
"using",
"military",
"power",
".",
"``",
"Maybe",
"this",
"will",
"jolt",
"us",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"post-Vietnam",
"syndrome",
"that",
"we",
"never",
"are",
"prepared",
"to",
"use",
"force",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Maybe",
"--",
"if",
"every",
"senator",
"shared",
"the",
"principles",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Boren",
".",
"But",
"it",
"'s",
"just",
"as",
"plausible",
"to",
"argue",
"that",
"if",
"even",
"David",
"Boren",
"can",
"get",
"mired",
"in",
"this",
"sort",
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",",
"the",
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"goes",
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"legal",
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".",
"Maybe",
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"an",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"The",
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"because",
"we",
"'ve",
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"too",
"many",
"abuses",
"of",
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".",
"But",
"Panama",
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"their",
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"is",
"a",
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"an",
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".",
"The",
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".",
"In",
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",",
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";",
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"American",
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".",
"Americans",
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[
"B.A.T",
"Industries",
"PLC",
"may",
"delay",
"aspects",
"of",
"its",
"defensive",
"restructuring",
"plan",
"--",
"including",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"its",
"Saks",
"Fifth",
"Avenue",
"and",
"Marshall",
"Field",
"units",
"--",
"in",
"the",
"wake",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"upheaval",
"in",
"financial",
"markets",
",",
"company",
"officials",
"said",
".",
"The",
"British",
"conglomerate",
",",
"planning",
"its",
"own",
"defensive",
"restructuring",
"to",
"fight",
"off",
"a",
"#",
"13.35",
"billion",
"(",
"$",
"21.03",
"billion",
")",
"takeover",
"bid",
"by",
"Anglo-French",
"financier",
"Sir",
"James",
"Goldsmith",
",",
"intends",
"to",
"press",
"ahead",
"with",
"an",
"extraordinary",
"shareholder",
"vote",
"today",
"to",
"clear",
"the",
"way",
"for",
"its",
"value-boosting",
"measures",
".",
"If",
"anything",
",",
"the",
"gyrations",
"in",
"world",
"stock",
"markets",
"--",
"and",
"in",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"share",
"price",
"--",
"since",
"last",
"Friday",
"'s",
"sharp",
"Wall",
"Street",
"sell-off",
"have",
"increased",
"the",
"likelihood",
"of",
"shareholder",
"approval",
"for",
"the",
"restructuring",
",",
"analysts",
"and",
"several",
"big",
"institutional",
"holders",
"said",
".",
"``",
"Thank",
"God",
"we",
"have",
"some",
"deal",
"on",
"the",
"table",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Stewart",
"Gilchrist",
",",
"a",
"director",
"at",
"Scottish",
"Amicable",
"Investment",
"Managers",
",",
"which",
"intends",
"to",
"vote",
"its",
"roughly",
"1",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"favor",
"of",
"the",
"restructuring",
".",
"Investors",
"in",
"B.A.T",
"have",
"been",
"on",
"a",
"roller",
"coaster",
".",
"B.A.T",
"has",
"been",
"London",
"'s",
"best-performing",
"blue",
"chip",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"six",
"months",
",",
"up",
"40",
"%",
"against",
"a",
"4",
"%",
"rise",
"in",
"the",
"Financial",
"Times",
"100-Share",
"Index",
".",
"But",
"this",
"week",
",",
"B.A.T",
"has",
"been",
"hit",
"harder",
"than",
"other",
"big",
"U.K.",
"stocks",
"--",
"first",
"by",
"the",
"market",
"gyrations",
",",
"then",
"by",
"Tuesday",
"'s",
"San",
"Francisco",
"earthquake",
",",
"which",
"could",
"leave",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"Farmers",
"Group",
"Inc.",
"insurance",
"unit",
"facing",
"big",
"claims",
".",
"B.A.T",
"rose",
"five",
"pence",
"(",
"eight",
"cents",
")",
"to",
"756",
"pence",
"(",
"$",
"11.91",
")",
"in",
"London",
"yesterday",
"as",
"a",
"late",
"market",
"rally",
"erased",
"a",
"28-pence",
"fall",
"earlier",
"in",
"the",
"day",
".",
"To",
"fight",
"off",
"predators",
",",
"B.A.T",
"plans",
"to",
"spin",
"off",
"about",
"$",
"6",
"billion",
"in",
"assets",
",",
"largely",
"by",
"selling",
"such",
"U.S.",
"retailing",
"units",
"as",
"Marshall",
"Field",
"and",
"Saks",
"and",
"by",
"floating",
"its",
"big",
"paper",
"and",
"U.K.",
"retailing",
"business",
"via",
"share",
"issues",
"to",
"existing",
"holders",
".",
"Proceeds",
"will",
"help",
"pay",
"for",
"a",
"planned",
"buy-back",
"of",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"shares",
"and",
"a",
"50",
"%",
"dividend",
"increase",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"the",
"restructuring",
"will",
"get",
"the",
"required",
"support",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Michael",
"Pacitti",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"London",
"stockbroker",
"UBS",
"Phillips",
"&",
"Drew",
".",
"``",
"The",
"shareholders",
"effectively",
"will",
"support",
"the",
"share",
"price",
"by",
"clearing",
"the",
"share",
"buy-back",
".",
"''",
"But",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"restructuring",
",",
"which",
"was",
"never",
"going",
"to",
"happen",
"quickly",
",",
"now",
"will",
"take",
"longer",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"upheaval",
".",
"Company",
"officials",
",",
"holders",
"and",
"analysts",
"who",
"previously",
"expected",
"the",
"disposals",
"to",
"be",
"substantially",
"complete",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"next",
"year",
"'s",
"first",
"half",
"now",
"say",
"the",
"market",
"gyrations",
"could",
"delay",
"the",
"actions",
"well",
"into",
"the",
"second",
"half",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"n't",
"forced",
"sellers",
".",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"an",
"absolute",
"deadline",
"and",
"if",
"market",
"conditions",
"are",
"truly",
"awful",
"we",
"might",
"decide",
"it",
"is",
"not",
"the",
"right",
"time",
",",
"''",
"to",
"take",
"particular",
"steps",
",",
"said",
"Michael",
"Prideaux",
",",
"a",
"B.A.T",
"spokesman",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"B.A.T",
"receives",
"approval",
"for",
"the",
"restructuring",
",",
"the",
"company",
"will",
"remain",
"in",
"play",
",",
"say",
"shareholders",
"and",
"analysts",
",",
"though",
"the",
"situation",
"may",
"unfold",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"12",
"months",
",",
"rather",
"than",
"six",
".",
"The",
"new",
"B.A.T",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"smaller",
"tobacco",
"and",
"financial-services",
"hybrid",
"whose",
"price-earnings",
"ratio",
"may",
"more",
"closely",
"reflect",
"the",
"lower-growth",
"tobacco",
"business",
"than",
"the",
"higher-multiple",
"financial-services",
"business",
",",
"these",
"holders",
"believe",
".",
"Thus",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"restructuring",
"may",
"only",
"make",
"the",
"company",
"a",
"more",
"manageable",
"target",
"for",
"other",
"corporate",
"predators",
"--",
"possibly",
"such",
"acquisitive",
"bidders",
"as",
"Hanson",
"PLC",
".",
"``",
"The",
"last",
"few",
"days",
"will",
"surely",
"slow",
"down",
"the",
"pace",
"of",
"events",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Scottish",
"Amicable",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Gilchrist",
".",
"``",
"But",
"I",
"would",
"n't",
"write",
"off",
"''",
"Sir",
"James",
"or",
"other",
"potential",
"bidders",
".",
"Among",
"possible",
"delays",
",",
"the",
"sales",
"of",
"Saks",
"and",
"Marshall",
"Field",
"--",
"which",
"were",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"on",
"the",
"block",
"soon",
"after",
"the",
"crucial",
"Christmas",
"season",
"--",
"may",
"slide",
"into",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
"or",
"second",
"half",
".",
"Analysts",
"estimate",
"that",
"sales",
"of",
"the",
"two",
"businesses",
"could",
"raise",
"roughly",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
".",
"B.A.T",
"is",
"n't",
"predicting",
"a",
"postponement",
"because",
"the",
"units",
"``",
"are",
"quality",
"businesses",
"and",
"we",
"are",
"encouraged",
"by",
"the",
"breadth",
"of",
"inquiries",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Prideaux",
".",
"But",
"the",
"delay",
"could",
"happen",
"if",
"B.A.T",
"does",
"n't",
"get",
"adequate",
"bids",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"People",
"familiar",
"with",
"B.A.T",
"say",
"possible",
"acquirers",
"for",
"the",
"units",
"include",
"managers",
"from",
"both",
"retailing",
"chains",
",",
"and",
"General",
"Cinema",
"Corp.",
",",
"which",
"is",
"interested",
"in",
"bidding",
"for",
"Saks",
".",
"Other",
"potential",
"bidders",
"for",
"parts",
"of",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"U.S.",
"retail",
"unit",
"include",
"Dillard",
"Department",
"Stores",
"Inc.",
",",
"May",
"Department",
"Stores",
"Co.",
"and",
"Limited",
"Inc",
".",
"B.A.T",
"has",
"declined",
"to",
"identify",
"the",
"potential",
"bidders",
".",
"Though",
"Sir",
"James",
"has",
"said",
"he",
"intends",
"to",
"mount",
"a",
"new",
"bid",
"for",
"B.A.T",
"once",
"approval",
"from",
"U.S.",
"insurance",
"regulators",
"is",
"received",
",",
"jitters",
"over",
"prospects",
"for",
"junk-bond",
"financing",
"and",
"U.S.",
"leverage",
"buy-outs",
"are",
"making",
"investors",
"more",
"skeptical",
"about",
"Sir",
"James",
"'s",
"prospects",
".",
"His",
"initial",
"offer",
"indicated",
"he",
"needed",
"to",
"raise",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"80",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"takeover",
"financing",
"through",
"the",
"debt",
"markets",
".",
"Market",
"uncertainty",
"also",
"clouds",
"the",
"outlook",
"for",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"attracting",
"a",
"premium",
"price",
"for",
"its",
"U.S.",
"retailing",
"properties",
".",
"Finally",
",",
"Tuesday",
"'s",
"California",
"earthquake",
"initially",
"knocked",
"3.7",
"%",
"off",
"B.A.T",
"'s",
"share",
"price",
"in",
"London",
"yesterday",
"because",
"of",
"fears",
"of",
"the",
"potential",
"claims",
"to",
"Los",
"Angeles-based",
"Farmers",
",",
"which",
"has",
"a",
"substantial",
"portion",
"of",
"its",
"property",
"and",
"casualty",
"exposure",
"in",
"California",
".",
"On",
"Farmers",
",",
"Mr.",
"Prideaux",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"too",
"early",
"to",
"quantify",
"the",
"level",
"of",
"potential",
"claims",
".",
"He",
"added",
"B.A.T",
"``",
"has",
"no",
"expectation",
"of",
"a",
"material",
"impact",
"on",
"Farmers",
"."
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",",
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".",
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"Burnham",
"Lambert",
",",
"Michael",
"Milken",
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".",
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".",
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"mayoral",
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",",
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"``",
"disproportionate",
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".",
"''",
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",",
"the",
"first",
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"firm",
".",
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"was",
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"of",
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"and",
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".",
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"instead",
"to",
"an",
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"plea",
"to",
"charges",
"``",
"which",
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"company",
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"''",
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".",
"Part",
"of",
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"'s",
"plea",
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"cut",
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"Milken",
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".",
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"hoopla",
"no",
"one",
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"what",
",",
"if",
"anything",
",",
"Drexel",
"did",
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".",
"So",
"two",
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"for",
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"new",
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".",
"Justice",
"has",
"finally",
"recognized",
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"employees",
"'",
"abuses",
",",
"thanks",
"largely",
"to",
"the",
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"Joseph",
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",",
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"for",
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".",
"But",
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"guidelines",
"are",
"effective",
"only",
"if",
"someone",
"at",
"Justice",
"is",
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"able",
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"prosecutors",
".",
"Judge",
"Sentelle",
",",
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"court",
"in",
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",",
"made",
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"a",
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"last",
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",",
"``",
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":",
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"Ate",
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".",
"''",
"He",
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"be",
"``",
"a",
"government",
"of",
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"not",
"of",
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",",
"''",
"and",
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"``",
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",",
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"for",
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".",
"What",
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",",
"Drexel",
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"?",
"Justice",
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"the",
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"repeal",
"of",
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"can",
"guarantee",
"an",
"end",
"to",
"injustices",
"in",
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"name",
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"stake",
"in",
"Ideal",
".",
"But",
"HOFI",
"'s",
"first",
"offer",
"would",
"have",
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"Ideal",
"'s",
"other",
"shareholders",
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".",
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"although",
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"proposal",
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",",
"HOFI",
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"own",
"87.2",
"%",
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"company",
".",
"Ideal",
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"current",
"operations",
"will",
"represent",
"about",
"39.2",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"combined",
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".",
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"is",
"subject",
"to",
"a",
"definitive",
"agreement",
"and",
"approval",
"by",
"Ideal",
"shareholders",
".",
"Ideal",
"said",
"it",
"expects",
"to",
"complete",
"the",
"transaction",
"early",
"next",
"year",
"."
] | [
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[
"This",
"maker",
"and",
"marketer",
"of",
"cartridge",
"tape",
"systems",
"said",
"it",
"completed",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"2.85",
"million",
"shares",
"of",
"common",
"priced",
"at",
"$",
"10",
"a",
"share",
"in",
"an",
"initial",
"public",
"offering",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"selling",
"two",
"million",
"shares",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"rest",
"are",
"being",
"sold",
"by",
"certain",
"stockholders",
".",
"Proceeds",
"will",
"be",
"used",
"for",
"capital",
"expenditures",
"and",
"working",
"capital",
".",
"Goldman",
",",
"Sachs",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Montgomery",
"Securities",
"Inc.",
"are",
"co-managing",
"the",
"offering",
"."
] | [
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[
"Buying",
"51",
"%",
"of",
"Rockefeller",
"Group",
"Inc.",
"is",
"right",
"up",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"Co.",
"'s",
"alley",
"in",
"one",
"sense",
":",
"The",
"huge",
"Japanese",
"real",
"estate",
"company",
"is",
"entering",
"a",
"long-term",
"relationship",
"with",
"a",
"similarly",
"conservative",
"U.S.",
"owner",
"of",
"tony",
"urban",
"property",
".",
"But",
"in",
"another",
"sense",
",",
"the",
"$",
"846",
"million",
"purchase",
"is",
"uncharacteristically",
"nervy",
",",
"industry",
"analysts",
"say",
".",
"The",
"usually",
"cautious",
"giant",
"will",
"become",
"the",
"majority",
"owner",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"that",
"owns",
"New",
"York",
"'s",
"beloved",
"Rockefeller",
"Center",
"at",
"a",
"time",
"when",
"tensions",
"over",
"Japanese",
"purchases",
"of",
"U.S.",
"property",
"are",
"at",
"an",
"all-time",
"high",
".",
"Officials",
"of",
"Rockefeller",
"Group",
"and",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"prefer",
"to",
"focus",
"on",
"the",
"affinities",
",",
"nearly",
"dismissing",
"the",
"threat",
"of",
"a",
"backlash",
"from",
"the",
"U.S.",
"public",
".",
"``",
"We",
"think",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"positive",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"negative",
"reactions",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Raymond",
"Pettit",
",",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
"of",
"Rockefeller",
"Group",
".",
"``",
"On",
"balance",
",",
"we",
"think",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"positive",
".",
"''",
"But",
"some",
"Japanese",
"government",
"officials",
"and",
"businessmen",
"worry",
"that",
"the",
"prominent",
"purchase",
"is",
"just",
"the",
"sort",
"of",
"deal",
"that",
"should",
"be",
"avoided",
"for",
"the",
"time",
"being",
".",
"In",
"particular",
",",
"they",
"criticize",
"the",
"timing",
",",
"coming",
"as",
"it",
"does",
"on",
"the",
"heels",
"of",
"Sony",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"controversial",
"purchase",
"of",
"Columbia",
"Pictures",
"Entertainment",
"Inc",
".",
"``",
"Officially",
",",
"yes",
",",
"we",
"encourage",
"the",
"free",
"flow",
"of",
"direct",
"investment",
",",
"''",
"says",
"a",
"Foreign",
"Ministry",
"official",
".",
"``",
"But",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
"choose",
"this",
"particular",
"moment",
".",
"''",
"During",
"the",
"past",
"year",
",",
"government",
"officials",
"and",
"leading",
"business",
"organizations",
"have",
"repeatedly",
"urged",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"to",
"refrain",
"from",
"flashy",
"real",
"estate",
"purchases",
"in",
"the",
"Since",
"the",
"mid-1980s",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"other",
"major",
"real",
"estate",
"purchases",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"include",
"Dai-Ichi",
"Seimei",
"America",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"$",
"670",
"million",
"purchase",
"of",
"an",
"office",
"building",
"at",
"153",
"East",
"53rd",
"St.",
"in",
"Manhattan",
"in",
"1987",
"and",
"Mitsui",
"Fudosan",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"$",
"610",
"million",
"purchase",
"of",
"the",
"Exxon",
"Building",
",",
"part",
"of",
"Rockefeller",
"Center",
",",
"in",
"1986",
".",
"In",
"Los",
"Angeles",
",",
"Arco",
"Plaza",
"was",
"sold",
"to",
"Shuwa",
"Corp.",
"for",
"$",
"620",
"million",
"in",
"1986",
",",
"and",
"Sumitomo",
"Life",
"Insurance",
"Co.",
"paid",
"$",
"300",
"million",
"for",
"Atlanta",
"'s",
"IBM",
"Tower",
"last",
"year",
".",
"Altogether",
",",
"annual",
"Japanese",
"investment",
"in",
"U.S.",
"commercial",
"real",
"estate",
"grew",
"from",
"about",
"$",
"1.3",
"billion",
"in",
"1985",
"to",
"about",
"$",
"7.1",
"billion",
"in",
"1988",
".",
"Many",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"have",
"taken",
"the",
"warnings",
"by",
"the",
"country",
"'s",
"leaders",
"to",
"heart",
"and",
"sought",
"development",
"partnerships",
"rather",
"than",
"landmark",
"properties",
".",
"Critics",
"say",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"'s",
"decision",
"to",
"buy",
"into",
"Rockefeller",
"reflects",
"the",
"degree",
"to",
"which",
"companies",
"are",
"irritated",
"by",
"the",
"pressure",
"to",
"act",
"for",
"the",
"good",
"of",
"Japan",
".",
"``",
"Those",
"who",
"have",
"no",
"money",
"and",
"are",
"n't",
"buying",
"think",
"it",
"'s",
"right",
"to",
"refrain",
",",
"but",
"those",
"with",
"money",
"who",
"want",
"to",
"buy",
"for",
"themselves",
"pay",
"no",
"attention",
",",
"''",
"says",
"an",
"official",
"of",
"the",
"Japan-U.S",
".",
"Business",
"Council",
".",
"But",
"to",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
",",
"the",
"acquisition",
"has",
"just",
"the",
"elements",
"that",
"should",
"win",
"support",
"from",
"both",
"sides",
".",
"First",
"of",
"all",
",",
"it",
"is",
"a",
"friendly",
"acquisition",
"in",
"which",
"Rockefeller",
"sought",
"out",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"and",
"asked",
"it",
"to",
"buy",
"a",
"majority",
"share",
".",
"Secondly",
",",
"the",
"two",
"companies",
"found",
"a",
"similarity",
"in",
"their",
"business",
"and",
"development",
"philosophies",
"and",
"intend",
"to",
"cooperate",
"in",
"a",
"range",
"of",
"activities",
"from",
"real",
"estate",
"to",
"telecommunications",
".",
"Finally",
",",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"has",
"no",
"plans",
"to",
"interfere",
"with",
"Rockefeller",
"'s",
"management",
"beyond",
"taking",
"a",
"place",
"on",
"the",
"board",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'ll",
"continue",
"to",
"work",
"with",
"them",
",",
"in",
"keeping",
"with",
"the",
"reputation",
"of",
"the",
"company",
",",
"and",
"we",
"'ll",
"rely",
"very",
"much",
"on",
"their",
"leadership",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"President",
"Jotaro",
"Takagi",
".",
"Rockefeller",
"may",
"well",
"have",
"found",
"its",
"match",
"in",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
",",
"a",
"company",
"of",
"long",
"history",
",",
"strong",
"government",
"ties",
"and",
"sound",
"resources",
".",
"In",
"asset",
"terms",
",",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"is",
"the",
"largest",
"real",
"estate",
"firm",
"in",
"Japan",
".",
"The",
"core",
"of",
"its",
"holdings",
"is",
"190,000",
"square",
"meters",
"of",
"incredibly",
"expensive",
"property",
"in",
"the",
"Marunouchi",
"district",
",",
"the",
"business",
"and",
"financial",
"center",
"of",
"Tokyo",
",",
"often",
"jokingly",
"called",
"``",
"Mitsubishi",
"Village",
".",
"''",
"The",
"Mitsubishi",
"family",
"company",
"acquired",
"that",
"property",
"from",
"the",
"government",
"some",
"100",
"years",
"ago",
"when",
"it",
"was",
"a",
"portion",
"of",
"samurai",
"residential",
"land",
"running",
"from",
"the",
"moat",
"of",
"the",
"Imperial",
"Palace",
"east",
"toward",
"the",
"hodgepodge",
"of",
"tiny",
"shops",
"and",
"twisted",
"alleys",
"that",
"made",
"up",
"the",
"merchants",
"'",
"district",
".",
"At",
"the",
"time",
",",
"Japan",
"had",
"just",
"opened",
"its",
"doors",
"to",
"the",
"world",
"after",
"about",
"250",
"years",
"of",
"isolation",
"and",
"needed",
"a",
"Western-style",
"business",
"center",
".",
"Mitsubishi",
"built",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"dream",
"development",
",",
"the",
"story",
"goes",
",",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"official",
"decision",
"to",
"locate",
"Tokyo",
"'s",
"central",
"railway",
"station",
"there",
".",
"That",
"was",
"just",
"an",
"early",
"step",
"in",
"a",
"relationship",
"with",
"government",
"that",
"has",
"earned",
"the",
"Mitsubishi",
"group",
"the",
"dubious",
"moniker",
"of",
"``",
"seisho",
",",
"''",
"literally",
"government-business",
",",
"a",
"title",
"that",
"has",
"the",
"pejorative",
"connotation",
"of",
"doing",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"bidding",
",",
"but",
"also",
"suggests",
"the",
"clout",
"inherent",
"in",
"maintaining",
"such",
"close",
"ties",
".",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"dozens",
"of",
"companies",
"in",
"today",
"'s",
"Mitsubishi",
"group",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"known",
"for",
"its",
"cautiousness",
"in",
"part",
"because",
"it",
"has",
"had",
"little",
"need",
"for",
"bold",
"overseas",
"ventures",
":",
"In",
"the",
"year",
"ended",
"March",
"31",
",",
"57.4",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"total",
"revenue",
"came",
"from",
"office",
"building",
"management",
".",
"Its",
"earnings",
"can",
"rise",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"12",
"%",
"annually",
"simply",
"from",
"the",
"natural",
"turnover",
"of",
"tenants",
"and",
"automatic",
"rent",
"increases",
",",
"says",
"Graeme",
"McDonald",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"analyst",
"at",
"James",
"Capel",
"Pacific",
"Ltd",
".",
"For",
"the",
"latest",
"fiscal",
"year",
",",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"net",
"income",
"jumped",
"a",
"robust",
"19",
"%",
"to",
"35.5",
"billion",
"yen",
"(",
"$",
"250.2",
"million",
")",
".",
"For",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
",",
"the",
"Rockefeller",
"purchase",
"will",
"catapult",
"it",
"firmly",
"into",
"the",
"overseas",
"real",
"estate",
"business",
",",
"the",
"one",
"area",
"where",
"it",
"has",
"lagged",
"notably",
"behind",
"Japanese",
"competitors",
"such",
"as",
"Mitsui",
",",
"which",
"had",
"purchased",
"the",
"Exxon",
"Building",
".",
"``",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"need",
"to",
"invest",
"in",
"overseas",
"real",
"estate",
"for",
"diversification",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Yoshio",
"Shima",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"analyst",
"at",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"(",
"Japan",
")",
"Corp",
".",
"Rockefeller",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"first",
"overseas",
"purchase",
"for",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"--",
"it",
"has",
"already",
"played",
"a",
"leading",
"role",
"in",
"designing",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"'s",
"Citicorp",
"Plaza",
".",
"But",
"the",
"Rockefeller",
"investment",
"is",
"its",
"largest",
".",
"Nonetheless",
",",
"it",
"will",
"barely",
"make",
"a",
"dent",
"in",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"'s",
"finances",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
".",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"has",
"n't",
"decided",
"how",
"it",
"will",
"raise",
"the",
"funds",
"for",
"the",
"purchase",
",",
"which",
"are",
"due",
"in",
"cash",
"next",
"April",
",",
"but",
"the",
"Marunouchi",
"holdings",
"alone",
"are",
"estimated",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"market",
"value",
"of",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"10",
"trillion",
"yen",
"to",
"11",
"trillion",
"yen",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"as",
"a",
"member",
"of",
"the",
"Mitsubishi",
"group",
",",
"which",
"is",
"headed",
"by",
"one",
"of",
"Japan",
"'s",
"largest",
"banks",
",",
"it",
"is",
"sure",
"to",
"win",
"a",
"favorable",
"loan",
".",
"Analysts",
"say",
"the",
"company",
"also",
"could",
"easily",
"issue",
"new",
"convertible",
"bonds",
"or",
"warrants",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"at",
"home",
",",
"Mitsubishi",
"has",
"control",
"of",
"some",
"major",
"projects",
".",
"It",
"is",
"the",
"largest",
"private-sector",
"landowner",
"of",
"the",
"Minato-Mirai",
"21",
"project",
",",
"a",
"multibillion-yen",
"development",
"in",
"the",
"port",
"city",
"of",
"Yokohama",
",",
"about",
"an",
"hour",
"outside",
"Tokyo",
".",
"The",
"project",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"a",
"select",
"group",
"of",
"public",
"projects",
"opened",
"to",
"U.S.",
"firms",
"under",
"a",
"U.S.-Japan",
"construction",
"trade",
"agreement",
"reached",
"last",
"year",
".",
"The",
"centerpiece",
"of",
"that",
"complex",
",",
"the",
"Landmark",
"Tower",
",",
"will",
"be",
"Japan",
"'s",
"tallest",
"building",
"when",
"it",
"is",
"completed",
"in",
"1993",
".",
"Mitsubishi",
"is",
"also",
"pushing",
"ahead",
"with",
"a",
"controversial",
"plan",
"to",
"redevelop",
"Marunouchi",
"into",
"a",
"business",
"center",
"of",
"high-tech",
"buildings",
",",
"a",
"project",
"budgeted",
"for",
"30",
"years",
"and",
"six",
"trillion",
"yen",
"."
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"``",
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"financings",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"a",
"departure",
"from",
"their",
"traditional",
"practice",
"of",
"transferring",
"almost",
"all",
"financing",
"risks",
"to",
"investors",
".",
"Whereas",
"conventional",
"securities",
"financings",
"are",
"structured",
"to",
"be",
"sold",
"quickly",
",",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"new",
"penchant",
"for",
"leveraged",
"buy-outs",
"and",
"junk",
"bonds",
"is",
"resulting",
"in",
"long-term",
"lending",
"commitments",
"that",
"stretch",
"out",
"for",
"months",
"or",
"years",
".",
"``",
"The",
"recent",
"disarray",
"in",
"the",
"junk",
"bond",
"market",
"suggests",
"that",
"brokers",
"may",
"become",
"longer-term",
"creditors",
"than",
"they",
"anticipated",
"and",
"may",
"face",
"long",
"delays",
"''",
"in",
"getting",
"their",
"money",
"back",
",",
"says",
"Jeffrey",
"Bowman",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
"at",
"S&P",
",",
"which",
"raised",
"a",
"warning",
"flag",
"for",
"the",
"industry",
"in",
"April",
"when",
"it",
"downgraded",
"CS",
"First",
"Boston",
".",
"``",
"Wall",
"Street",
"is",
"facing",
"a",
"Catch-22",
"situation",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Mahoney",
"of",
"Moody",
"'s",
".",
"Merchant",
"banking",
",",
"where",
"firms",
"commit",
"their",
"own",
"money",
",",
"``",
"is",
"getting",
"riskier",
",",
"and",
"there",
"'s",
"less",
"of",
"it",
"to",
"go",
"around",
".",
"''",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"the",
"buy-out",
"business",
"is",
"under",
"pressure",
"``",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"junk",
"bond",
"collapse",
",",
"''",
"meaning",
"that",
"returns",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"decline",
"as",
"the",
"volume",
"of",
"junk-bond",
"financings",
"shrinks",
".",
"In",
"a",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
",",
"a",
"small",
"group",
"of",
"investors",
"acquires",
"a",
"company",
"in",
"a",
"transaction",
"financed",
"largely",
"by",
"borrowing",
",",
"with",
"the",
"expectation",
"that",
"the",
"debt",
"will",
"be",
"paid",
"with",
"funds",
"generated",
"by",
"the",
"acquired",
"company",
"'s",
"operations",
"or",
"sales",
"of",
"its",
"assets",
".",
"In",
"a",
"recent",
"report",
",",
"Moody",
"'s",
"said",
"it",
"``",
"expects",
"intense",
"competition",
"to",
"occur",
"through",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"century",
"in",
"the",
"securities",
"industry",
",",
"which",
",",
"combined",
"with",
"overcapacity",
",",
"will",
"create",
"poor",
"prospects",
"for",
"profitability",
".",
"''",
"It",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"``",
"temptation",
"for",
"managements",
"to",
"ease",
"this",
"profit",
"pressure",
"by",
"taking",
"greater",
"risks",
"is",
"an",
"additional",
"rating",
"factor",
".",
"''",
"Both",
"Moody",
"'s",
"and",
"S&P",
"cited",
"First",
"Boston",
"'s",
"reliance",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
"on",
"merchant",
"banking",
",",
"which",
"has",
"been",
"responsible",
"for",
"a",
"significant",
"portion",
"of",
"the",
"closely",
"held",
"firm",
"'s",
"profit",
".",
"The",
"recent",
"cash",
"squeeze",
"at",
"Campeau",
"Corp.",
",",
"First",
"Boston",
"'s",
"most",
"lucrative",
"client",
"of",
"the",
"decade",
",",
"is",
"proving",
"costly",
"to",
"First",
"Boston",
"because",
"it",
"arranged",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"3",
"billion",
"of",
"high-yield",
",",
"high-risk",
"junk",
"financings",
"for",
"Campeau",
"units",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"a",
"big",
"loan",
"that",
"First",
"Boston",
"made",
"to",
"Ohio",
"Mattress",
"Co",
".",
"was",
"n't",
"repaid",
"on",
"time",
"when",
"its",
"$",
"450",
"million",
"junk",
"financing",
"for",
"a",
"buy-out",
"of",
"the",
"bedding",
"company",
"was",
"withdrawn",
".",
"``",
"These",
"two",
"exposures",
"alone",
"represent",
"a",
"very",
"substantial",
"portion",
"of",
"CS",
"First",
"Boston",
"'s",
"equity",
",",
"''",
"Moody",
"'s",
"said",
".",
"``",
"Total",
"merchant",
"banking",
"exposures",
"are",
"in",
"excess",
"of",
"the",
"firm",
"'s",
"equity",
".",
"''",
"CS",
"First",
"Boston",
",",
"however",
",",
"benefits",
"from",
"the",
"backing",
"of",
"its",
"largest",
"shareholder",
",",
"Credit",
"Suisse",
",",
"Switzerland",
"'s",
"third",
"largest",
"bank",
".",
"Shearson",
"also",
"has",
"been",
"an",
"aggressive",
"participant",
"in",
"the",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
"business",
".",
"But",
"its",
"earnings",
"became",
"a",
"major",
"disappointment",
"as",
"its",
"traditional",
"retail",
",",
"or",
"individual",
"investor",
",",
"business",
"showed",
"no",
"signs",
"of",
"rebounding",
"from",
"the",
"slump",
"that",
"followed",
"the",
"October",
"1987",
"stock",
"market",
"crash",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Shearson",
"'s",
"listed",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"of",
"capital",
"is",
"overstated",
",",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"rating",
"concerns",
",",
"because",
"it",
"includes",
"$",
"1.7",
"billion",
"of",
"goodwill",
".",
"Shearson",
"``",
"really",
"only",
"has",
"$",
"300",
"million",
"of",
"capital",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Bowman",
"of",
"S&P",
".",
"A",
"Shearson",
"spokesman",
"said",
"the",
"firm",
"is",
"n't",
"worried",
".",
"``",
"A",
"year",
"ago",
",",
"Moody",
"'s",
"also",
"had",
"Shearson",
"under",
"review",
"for",
"possible",
"downgrade",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"After",
"two",
"months",
"of",
"talks",
",",
"our",
"rating",
"was",
"maintained",
".",
"''",
"Drexel",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"already",
"competes",
"at",
"a",
"disadvantage",
"to",
"its",
"big",
"Wall",
"Street",
"rivals",
"because",
"it",
"has",
"a",
"slightly",
"lower",
"commercial",
"paper",
"rating",
".",
"The",
"collapse",
"of",
"junk",
"bond",
"prices",
"and",
"the",
"cancellation",
"of",
"many",
"junk",
"bond",
"financings",
"apparently",
"have",
"taken",
"their",
"toll",
"on",
"closely",
"held",
"Drexel",
",",
"the",
"leading",
"underwriter",
"in",
"that",
"market",
".",
"The",
"firm",
"also",
"has",
"been",
"hit",
"with",
"big",
"financial",
"settlements",
"with",
"the",
"government",
"stemming",
"from",
"its",
"guilty",
"plea",
"to",
"six",
"felonies",
"related",
"to",
"a",
"big",
"insider-trading",
"scandal",
".",
"Drexel",
"this",
"year",
"eliminated",
"its",
"retail",
"or",
"individual",
"customer",
"business",
",",
"cutting",
"the",
"firm",
"'s",
"workforce",
"almost",
"in",
"half",
"to",
"just",
"over",
"5,000",
".",
"Recently",
",",
"Drexel",
"circulated",
"a",
"private",
"financial",
"statement",
"among",
"several",
"securities",
"firms",
"showing",
"that",
"its",
"earnings",
"performance",
"has",
"diminished",
"this",
"year",
"from",
"previous",
"years",
".",
"The",
"firm",
"'s",
"capital",
",",
"moreover",
",",
"has",
"n't",
"grown",
"at",
"the",
"same",
"rate",
"as",
"in",
"the",
"past",
",",
"officials",
"at",
"these",
"firms",
"say",
".",
"Drexel",
"remains",
"confident",
"of",
"its",
"future",
"creditworthiness",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"well",
"positioned",
"with",
"$",
"1.7",
"billion",
"of",
"capital",
",",
"''",
"a",
"Drexel",
"spokesman",
"said",
".",
"``",
"And",
"as",
"a",
"leading",
"investment",
"and",
"merchant",
"banking",
"firm",
",",
"the",
"fact",
"that",
"we",
"are",
"no",
"longer",
"subject",
"to",
"the",
"uncertainties",
"and",
"vicissitudes",
"of",
"the",
"retail",
"business",
"is",
"a",
"major",
"plus",
"in",
"our",
"view",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"we",
"'ve",
"probably",
"been",
"the",
"most",
"aggressive",
"firm",
"on",
"the",
"Street",
"in",
"reducing",
"costs",
",",
"which",
"are",
"down",
"around",
"40",
"%",
"over",
"the",
"last",
"six",
"months",
"."
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"I",
"'m",
"the",
"only",
"one",
"who",
"said",
"there",
"would",
"be",
"an",
"October",
"massacre",
",",
"all",
"through",
"late",
"August",
"and",
"September",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Granville",
",",
"once",
"a",
"widely",
"followed",
"market",
"guru",
"and",
"still",
"a",
"well-known",
"newsletter",
"writer",
".",
"``",
"Everyone",
"will",
"tell",
"you",
"that",
"this",
"time",
"is",
"different",
"from",
"1987",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"Well",
",",
"in",
"some",
"ways",
"it",
"is",
"different",
",",
"but",
"technically",
"it",
"is",
"just",
"the",
"same",
".",
"If",
"you",
"'re",
"a",
"technician",
",",
"you",
"obey",
"the",
"signals",
".",
"Right",
"now",
"they",
"'re",
"telling",
"me",
"to",
"get",
"the",
"hell",
"out",
"and",
"stay",
"out",
".",
"I",
"see",
"no",
"major",
"support",
"until",
"2200",
".",
"I",
"see",
"a",
"possibility",
"of",
"going",
"to",
"2200",
"this",
"month",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Granville",
"says",
"he",
"would",
"n't",
"even",
"think",
"of",
"buying",
"until",
"at",
"least",
"600",
"to",
"700",
"stocks",
"have",
"hit",
"52-week",
"lows",
";",
"about",
"100",
"stocks",
"hit",
"new",
"lows",
"Friday",
".",
"``",
"Most",
"people",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
",",
"``",
"have",
"no",
"idea",
"what",
"a",
"massacre",
"pattern",
"looks",
"like",
".",
"''",
"Elaine",
"Garzarelli",
".",
"A",
"quantitative",
"analyst",
"with",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Inc.",
",",
"Ms.",
"Garzarelli",
"had",
"warned",
"clients",
"to",
"take",
"their",
"money",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"before",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"big",
"drop",
",",
"she",
"says",
",",
"``",
"was",
"not",
"a",
"crash",
".",
"This",
"was",
"an",
"October",
"massacre",
"''",
"like",
"those",
"that",
"occurred",
"in",
"1978",
"and",
"1979",
".",
"Now",
",",
"as",
"in",
"those",
"two",
"years",
",",
"her",
"stock",
"market",
"indicators",
"are",
"positive",
".",
"So",
"she",
"thinks",
"the",
"damage",
"will",
"be",
"short-lived",
"and",
"contained",
".",
"``",
"Those",
"corrections",
"lasted",
"one",
"to",
"four",
"weeks",
"and",
"took",
"the",
"market",
"10%-12",
"%",
"down",
",",
"''",
"she",
"says",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"exactly",
"the",
"same",
"thing",
",",
"as",
"far",
"as",
"I",
"'m",
"concerned",
".",
"''",
"Thus",
",",
"she",
"says",
",",
"if",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"dropped",
"below",
"2450",
",",
"``",
"It",
"would",
"just",
"be",
"a",
"fluke",
".",
"My",
"advice",
"is",
"to",
"buy",
".",
"''",
"As",
"she",
"calculates",
"it",
",",
"the",
"average",
"stock",
"now",
"sells",
"for",
"about",
"12.5",
"times",
"companies",
"'",
"earnings",
".",
"She",
"says",
"that",
"ratio",
"could",
"climb",
"to",
"14.5",
",",
"given",
"current",
"interest",
"rates",
",",
"and",
"still",
"be",
"within",
"the",
"range",
"of",
"``",
"fair",
"value",
".",
"''",
"Ned",
"Davis",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"fall",
"marks",
"the",
"start",
"of",
"a",
"bear",
"market",
",",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Davis",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Ned",
"Davis",
"Research",
"Inc",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Davis",
",",
"whose",
"views",
"are",
"widely",
"respected",
"by",
"money",
"managers",
",",
"says",
"he",
"expects",
"no",
"1987-style",
"crash",
".",
"``",
"There",
"was",
"a",
"unique",
"combination",
"in",
"1987",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"Margin",
"debt",
"was",
"at",
"a",
"record",
"high",
".",
"There",
"was",
"tremendous",
"public",
"enthusiasm",
"for",
"stock",
"mutual",
"funds",
".",
"The",
"main",
"thing",
"was",
"portfolio",
"insurance",
",",
"''",
"a",
"mechanical",
"trading",
"system",
"intended",
"to",
"protect",
"an",
"investor",
"against",
"losses",
".",
"``",
"A",
"hundred",
"billion",
"dollars",
"in",
"stock",
"was",
"subject",
"''",
"to",
"it",
".",
"In",
"1987",
",",
"such",
"selling",
"contributed",
"to",
"a",
"snowball",
"effect",
".",
"Today",
"could",
"even",
"be",
"an",
"up",
"day",
",",
"Mr.",
"Davis",
"says",
",",
"if",
"major",
"brokerage",
"firms",
"agree",
"to",
"refrain",
"from",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Over",
"the",
"next",
"several",
"months",
",",
"though",
",",
"he",
"says",
"things",
"look",
"bad",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"the",
"market",
"will",
"be",
"heading",
"down",
"into",
"November",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"We",
"will",
"probably",
"have",
"a",
"year-end",
"rally",
",",
"and",
"then",
"go",
"down",
"again",
".",
"Sort",
"of",
"a",
"two-step",
"bear",
"market",
".",
"''",
"He",
"expects",
"the",
"downturn",
"to",
"carry",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"down",
"to",
"around",
"2000",
"sometime",
"next",
"year",
".",
"``",
"That",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"normal",
"bear",
"market",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"I",
"guess",
"that",
"'s",
"my",
"forecast",
".",
"''",
"Leon",
"G.",
"Cooperman",
".",
"``",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"the",
"market",
"is",
"going",
"through",
"another",
"October",
"'87",
".",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"that",
"'s",
"the",
"case",
"at",
"all",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Cooperman",
",",
"a",
"partner",
"at",
"Goldman",
",",
"Sachs",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"chairman",
"of",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"Asset",
"Management",
".",
"Mr.",
"Cooperman",
"sees",
"this",
"as",
"a",
"good",
"time",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"bargains",
",",
"but",
"he",
"does",
"n't",
"think",
"there",
"'s",
"any",
"need",
"to",
"rush",
".",
"``",
"I",
"expect",
"the",
"market",
"to",
"open",
"weaker",
"Monday",
",",
"but",
"then",
"it",
"should",
"find",
"some",
"stability",
".",
"''",
"He",
"ticks",
"off",
"several",
"major",
"differences",
"between",
"now",
"and",
"two",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"Unlike",
"1987",
",",
"interest",
"rates",
"have",
"been",
"falling",
"this",
"year",
".",
"Unlike",
"1987",
",",
"the",
"dollar",
"has",
"been",
"strong",
".",
"And",
"unlike",
"1987",
",",
"the",
"economy",
"does",
"n't",
"appear",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"any",
"danger",
"of",
"overheating",
".",
"But",
"the",
"economy",
"'s",
"slower",
"growth",
"this",
"year",
"also",
"means",
"the",
"outlook",
"for",
"corporate",
"profits",
"``",
"is",
"n't",
"good",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"So",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"very",
"mixed",
"bag",
".",
"''",
"Thus",
",",
"he",
"concludes",
",",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"not",
"a",
"good",
"environment",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"invested",
"''",
"in",
"stocks",
".",
"``",
"If",
"I",
"had",
"come",
"into",
"Friday",
"on",
"margin",
"or",
"with",
"very",
"little",
"cash",
"in",
"the",
"portfolios",
",",
"I",
"would",
"not",
"do",
"any",
"buying",
".",
"But",
"we",
"came",
"into",
"Friday",
"with",
"a",
"conservative",
"portfolio",
",",
"so",
"I",
"would",
"look",
"to",
"do",
"some",
"modest",
"buying",
"''",
"on",
"behalf",
"of",
"clients",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"look",
"for",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"better-known",
"companies",
"that",
"got",
"clocked",
"''",
"Friday",
".",
"John",
"Kenneth",
"Galbraith",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"the",
"latest",
"manifestation",
"of",
"the",
"capacity",
"of",
"the",
"financial",
"community",
"for",
"recurrent",
"insanity",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Galbraith",
",",
"an",
"economist",
".",
"``",
"I",
"see",
"this",
"as",
"a",
"reaction",
"to",
"the",
"whole",
"junk",
"bond",
"explosion",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"The",
"explosion",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
"and",
"takeovers",
"has",
"lodged",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"insecure",
"securities",
"in",
"the",
"hands",
"of",
"investors",
"and",
"loaded",
"the",
"corporations",
"that",
"are",
"the",
"objects",
"of",
"takeovers",
"or",
"feared",
"takeovers",
"with",
"huge",
"amounts",
"of",
"debt",
"rather",
"than",
"equity",
".",
"This",
"has",
"both",
"made",
"investors",
"uneasy",
"and",
"the",
"corporations",
"more",
"vulnerable",
".",
"''",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"he",
"says",
"a",
"depression",
"does",
"n't",
"appear",
"likely",
".",
"``",
"There",
"is",
"more",
"resiliency",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
"at",
"large",
"than",
"we",
"commonly",
"suppose",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"It",
"takes",
"more",
"error",
"now",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"major",
"depression",
"than",
"back",
"in",
"the",
"Thirties",
"--",
"much",
"as",
"the",
"financial",
"community",
"and",
"the",
"government",
"may",
"try",
".",
"''",
"Mario",
"Gabelli",
".",
"New",
"York",
"money",
"manager",
"Mario",
"Gabelli",
",",
"an",
"expert",
"at",
"spotting",
"takeover",
"candidates",
",",
"says",
"that",
"takeovers",
"are",
"n't",
"totally",
"gone",
".",
"``",
"Companies",
"are",
"still",
"going",
"to",
"buy",
"companies",
"around",
"the",
"world",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Examples",
"are",
"``",
"Ford",
"looking",
"at",
"Jaguar",
",",
"BellSouth",
"looking",
"at",
"LIN",
"Broadcasting",
".",
"''",
"These",
"sorts",
"of",
"takeovers",
"do",
"n't",
"require",
"junk",
"bonds",
"or",
"big",
"bank",
"loans",
"to",
"finance",
"them",
",",
"so",
"Mr.",
"Gabelli",
"figures",
"they",
"will",
"continue",
".",
"``",
"The",
"market",
"was",
"up",
"35",
"%",
"since",
"-LCB-",
"President",
"-RCB-",
"Bush",
"took",
"office",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Gabelli",
"says",
",",
"so",
"a",
"correction",
"was",
"to",
"be",
"expected",
".",
"He",
"thinks",
"another",
"crash",
"is",
"``",
"unlikely",
",",
"''",
"and",
"says",
"he",
"was",
"``",
"nibbling",
"at",
"''",
"selected",
"stocks",
"during",
"Friday",
"'s",
"plunge",
".",
"``",
"Stocks",
"that",
"were",
"thrown",
"out",
"just",
"on",
"an",
"emotional",
"basis",
"are",
"a",
"great",
"opportunity",
"-LCB-",
"this",
"-RCB-",
"week",
"for",
"guys",
"like",
"me",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Jim",
"Rogers",
".",
"``",
"It",
"seems",
"to",
"me",
"that",
"this",
"is",
"the",
"pin",
"that",
"has",
"finally",
"pricked",
"the",
"balloon",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Rogers",
",",
"a",
"professor",
"of",
"finance",
"at",
"Columbia",
"University",
"and",
"former",
"co-manager",
"of",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"successful",
"hedge",
"funds",
"in",
"history",
",",
"Quantum",
"Fund",
".",
"He",
"sees",
"``",
"economic",
"problems",
",",
"financial",
"problems",
"''",
"ahead",
"for",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"with",
"a",
"fairly",
"strong",
"possibility",
"of",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"``",
"Friday",
"you",
"could",
"n't",
"sell",
"dollars",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Dealers",
"``",
"would",
"give",
"you",
"a",
"quote",
",",
"but",
"then",
"refuse",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"trade",
".",
"''",
"If",
"the",
"dollar",
"stays",
"weak",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"that",
"will",
"add",
"to",
"inflationary",
"pressures",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"and",
"make",
"it",
"hard",
"for",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
"to",
"ease",
"interest",
"rates",
"very",
"much",
".",
"Mr.",
"Rogers",
"wo",
"n't",
"decide",
"what",
"to",
"do",
"today",
"until",
"he",
"sees",
"how",
"the",
"London",
"and",
"Tokyo",
"markets",
"go",
".",
"He",
"recommends",
"that",
"investors",
"sell",
"takeover-related",
"stocks",
",",
"but",
"hang",
"on",
"to",
"some",
"other",
"stocks",
"--",
"especially",
"utilities",
",",
"which",
"often",
"do",
"well",
"during",
"periods",
"of",
"economic",
"weakness",
".",
"Frank",
"Curzio",
".",
"Many",
"people",
"now",
"claim",
"to",
"have",
"predicted",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
".",
"Queens",
"newsletter",
"writer",
"Francis",
"X.",
"Curzio",
"actually",
"did",
"it",
":",
"He",
"stated",
"in",
"writing",
"in",
"September",
"1987",
"that",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"was",
"likely",
"to",
"decline",
"about",
"500",
"points",
"the",
"following",
"month",
".",
"Mr.",
"Curzio",
"says",
"what",
"happens",
"now",
"will",
"depend",
"a",
"good",
"deal",
"on",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
".",
"If",
"it",
"promptly",
"cuts",
"the",
"discount",
"rate",
"it",
"charges",
"on",
"loans",
"to",
"banks",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"``",
"That",
"could",
"quiet",
"things",
"down",
".",
"''",
"If",
"not",
",",
"``",
"We",
"could",
"go",
"to",
"2200",
"very",
"soon",
".",
"''",
"Frank",
"W.",
"Terrizzi",
".",
"Stock",
"prices",
"``",
"would",
"still",
"have",
"to",
"go",
"down",
"some",
"additional",
"amount",
"before",
"we",
"become",
"positive",
"on",
"stocks",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Terrizzi",
",",
"president",
"and",
"managing",
"director",
"of",
"Renaissance",
"Investment",
"Management",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Cincinnati",
".",
"Renaissance",
",",
"which",
"manages",
"about",
"$",
"1.8",
"billion",
",",
"drew",
"stiff",
"criticism",
"from",
"many",
"clients",
"earlier",
"this",
"year",
"because",
"it",
"pulled",
"entirely",
"out",
"of",
"stocks",
"at",
"the",
"beginning",
"of",
"the",
"year",
"and",
"thus",
"missed",
"a",
"strong",
"rally",
".",
"Renaissance",
"is",
"keeping",
"its",
"money",
"entirely",
"in",
"cash",
"equivalents",
",",
"primarily",
"U.S.",
"Treasury",
"bills",
".",
"``",
"T-bills",
"probably",
"are",
"the",
"right",
"place",
"to",
"be",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
"."
] | [
4,
4,
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[
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"n't",
"anybody",
"here",
"want",
"to",
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"this",
"mayor",
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"?",
"As",
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"bumble",
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"day",
"two",
"weeks",
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",",
"both",
"Democrat",
"David",
"Dinkins",
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"Republican",
"Rudolph",
"Giuliani",
"are",
"in",
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".",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
",",
"the",
"Manhattan",
"borough",
"president",
",",
"can",
"afford",
"more",
"bumbling",
"and",
"stumbling",
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"he",
"holds",
"a",
"comfortable",
"20-point",
"lead",
"in",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"public-opinion",
"polls",
".",
"But",
",",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"10",
"days",
",",
"he",
"has",
"taken",
"a",
"series",
"of",
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"blows",
"to",
"his",
"pride",
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"his",
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"that",
"could",
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"should",
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".",
"Ordinarily",
",",
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"the",
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".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
",",
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",",
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",",
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"a",
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"know",
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"running",
"this",
"big",
",",
"troubled",
"city",
".",
"And",
"now",
",",
"at",
"the",
"crucial",
"moment",
",",
"he",
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"running",
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"money",
".",
"This",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Democrats",
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"that",
"Mr.",
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"a",
"highly",
"visible",
"national",
"leader",
".",
"Republicans",
"figured",
"that",
"in",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
",",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"best-known",
"prosecutor",
",",
"they",
"had",
"a",
"chance",
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"huge",
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"Democratic",
"territory",
"and",
"that",
"they",
"would",
"pick",
"up",
"a",
"new",
"political",
"star",
".",
"But",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"worked",
"out",
"that",
"way",
".",
"``",
"Dinkins",
"is",
"a",
"decent",
"but",
"sloppy",
"guy",
",",
"''",
"says",
"David",
"Garth",
",",
"veteran",
"campaign",
"consultant",
"here",
"who",
"has",
"always",
"worked",
"for",
"Mayor",
"Edward",
"Koch",
",",
"defeated",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"in",
"the",
"Sept.",
"12",
"Democratic",
"primary",
".",
"``",
"The",
"alternative",
"--",
"Giuliani",
"--",
"is",
"ghastly",
".",
"''",
"``",
"I",
"guess",
"we",
"'ll",
"reluctantly",
"go",
"ahead",
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"do",
"it",
",",
"vote",
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"Dinkins",
",",
"''",
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"Richard",
"Wade",
",",
"a",
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"professor",
"who",
"supported",
"Richard",
"Ravitch",
",",
"an",
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"Democratic",
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".",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"nothing",
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"side",
".",
"''",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"picking",
"up",
"steam",
",",
"''",
"insists",
"Roger",
"Ailes",
",",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
"'s",
"media",
"consultant",
",",
"whose",
"last",
"big",
"campaign",
"helped",
"put",
"George",
"Bush",
"in",
"the",
"White",
"House",
".",
"He",
"adds",
":",
"``",
"It",
"just",
"has",
"n't",
"gotten",
"down",
"to",
"the",
"engine",
"room",
"yet",
".",
"''",
"But",
"the",
"steam",
"may",
"never",
"reach",
"the",
"engine",
"room",
".",
"For",
",",
"just",
"as",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
"latches",
"on",
"to",
"an",
"issue",
"that",
"has",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"reeling",
",",
"his",
"campaign",
"desperately",
"needs",
"cash",
"to",
"keep",
"Mr.",
"Ailes",
"'s",
"commercials",
"on",
"the",
"air",
"beyond",
"Wednesday",
"or",
"Thursday",
".",
"To",
"help",
"out",
"this",
"week",
",",
"the",
"White",
"House",
"is",
"dispatching",
"chief",
"of",
"staff",
"John",
"Sununu",
"and",
"three",
"Cabinet",
"members",
"--",
"HUD",
"'s",
"Jack",
"Kemp",
",",
"Transportation",
"'s",
"Samuel",
"Skinner",
"and",
"Treasury",
"'s",
"Nicholas",
"Brady",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Peter",
"Powers",
",",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"campaign",
"manager",
".",
"For",
"Republicans",
"who",
"began",
"this",
"campaign",
"with",
"such",
"high",
"hopes",
",",
"all",
"of",
"this",
"is",
"deeply",
"frustrating",
".",
"Historically",
",",
"New",
"York",
"is",
"almost",
"always",
"in",
"trouble",
".",
"But",
"the",
"trouble",
"it",
"faces",
"now",
"under",
"Democratic",
"rule",
"seems",
"bigger",
"and",
"more",
"daunting",
"than",
"anything",
"it",
"has",
"faced",
"in",
"the",
"past",
".",
"This",
"year",
",",
"the",
"city",
"faces",
"a",
"budget",
"deficit",
"that",
"could",
"become",
"even",
"bigger",
"next",
"year",
".",
"And",
"hardly",
"surprising",
",",
"many",
"residents",
"trying",
"to",
"cope",
"with",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"other",
"problems",
"are",
"constantly",
"on",
"edge",
",",
"one",
"ethnic",
"group",
"scrapping",
"with",
"another",
".",
"``",
"People",
"were",
"n't",
"so",
"happy",
"in",
"the",
"1930s",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Thomas",
"Lessner",
",",
"another",
"local",
"professor",
"and",
"the",
"biographer",
"of",
"the",
"legendary",
"Fiorello",
"LaGuardia",
",",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"fusion",
"mayor",
"who",
"built",
"a",
"coalition",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
"hopes",
"to",
"emulate",
".",
"``",
"But",
",",
"at",
"least",
",",
"back",
"then",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"generally",
"direct",
"their",
"anger",
"at",
"each",
"other",
".",
"''",
"The",
"62-year-old",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
",",
"an",
"ex-Marine",
",",
"has",
"served",
"as",
"the",
"city",
"clerk",
"and",
"as",
"Manhattan",
"borough",
"president",
",",
"a",
"job",
"with",
"limited",
"executive",
"responsibilities",
"(",
"``",
"I",
"defy",
"you",
"to",
"come",
"up",
"with",
"one",
"major",
"accomplishment",
"of",
"David",
"Dinkins",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
".",
")",
"He",
"defeated",
"the",
"contentious",
"Mr.",
"Koch",
"in",
"the",
"Democratic",
"primary",
"partly",
"because",
"he",
"seemed",
"to",
"offer",
"hope",
"he",
"could",
"heal",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"racial",
"and",
"ethnic",
"wounds",
".",
"His",
"general-election",
"campaign",
"is",
"almost",
"Reagan-like",
",",
"all",
"muted",
"pictures",
"and",
"comforting",
"words",
".",
"His",
"theme",
"is",
"unity",
",",
"decency",
",",
"humanity",
",",
"bringing",
"New",
"York",
"together",
"again",
".",
"Both",
"candidates",
"are",
"negotiating",
"about",
"holding",
"debates",
",",
"but",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"is",
"widely",
"seen",
"as",
"the",
"major",
"obstacle",
"for",
"scheduling",
"them",
".",
"The",
"45-year-old",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
"has",
"run",
"a",
"negative",
"campaign",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"votes",
"leaning",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
".",
"``",
"He",
"'s",
"got",
"to",
"get",
"Dinkins",
"'s",
"negatives",
"up",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Lee",
"Miringoff",
",",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"Marist",
"College",
"Institute",
"of",
"Public",
"Opinion",
".",
"``",
"But",
"our",
"polls",
"show",
"voters",
"do",
"n't",
"like",
"the",
"attack",
"stuff",
".",
"Why",
",",
"even",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"Republican",
"vote",
"is",
"going",
"to",
"Dinkins",
".",
"''",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"assault-weapons",
"politics",
",",
"''",
"says",
"John",
"Siegal",
",",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"'s",
"issues",
"director",
",",
"insisting",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"strong",
"racist",
"undertone",
"to",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"effort",
".",
"For",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"forces",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"conundrum",
".",
"On",
"the",
"one",
"hand",
",",
"Mr.",
"Giuliani",
"wants",
"to",
"cut",
"into",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"'s",
"credibility",
".",
"On",
"the",
"other",
",",
"he",
"seeks",
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"voters",
"he",
"'s",
"the",
"new",
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"LaGuardia",
"--",
"affable",
",",
"good-natured",
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"ready",
"to",
"lead",
"New",
"York",
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"the",
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"it",
"'s",
"in",
".",
"It",
"has",
"n't",
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"that",
"he",
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"on",
"abortion",
"and",
"gay",
"rights",
",",
"sought",
"the",
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"the",
"Liberal",
"and",
"Conservative",
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"(",
"he",
"won",
"the",
"Liberal",
"endorsement",
")",
"and",
"that",
"he",
"turned",
"to",
"comedian",
"Jackie",
"Mason",
"for",
"help",
"with",
"Jewish",
"voters",
".",
"Mr.",
"Mason",
"left",
"the",
"campaign",
"after",
"telling",
"reporters",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"fancy'shvartzer",
"'",
"with",
"a",
"moustache",
".",
"''",
"Shvartzer",
"is",
"a",
"derogatory",
"Yiddish",
"word",
"for",
"a",
"black",
"person",
".",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"concedes",
"nothing",
"in",
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"ability",
"to",
"stumble",
"and",
"bumble",
".",
"He",
"can",
"match",
"Jackie",
"Mason",
"with",
"his",
"own",
"Robert",
"``",
"Sonny",
"''",
"Carson",
",",
"an",
"angry",
"street",
"organizer",
"who",
"was",
"convicted",
"of",
"kidnapping",
"in",
"1974",
".",
"The",
"Dinkins",
"campaign",
"paid",
"Mr.",
"Carson",
"close",
"to",
"$",
"10,000",
"to",
"get",
"out",
"the",
"vote",
"on",
"primary-election",
"day",
".",
"Paper",
"work",
"on",
"how",
"it",
"was",
"spent",
"is",
"incomplete",
".",
"Mr.",
"Carson",
"has",
"been",
"charged",
"with",
"being",
"anti-Semitic",
".",
"Asked",
"about",
"that",
"the",
"other",
"day",
",",
"he",
"replied",
",",
"``",
"Anti-Semitic",
"?",
"I",
"'m",
"anti-white",
".",
"''",
"More",
"troubling",
"for",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"is",
"his",
"record",
"in",
"personal",
"accounting",
".",
"It",
"began",
"in",
"1973",
",",
"when",
"he",
"was",
"being",
"considered",
"for",
"deputy",
"mayor",
",",
"and",
"a",
"routine",
"check",
"unearthed",
"the",
"extraordinary",
"fact",
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"he",
"had",
"n't",
"paid",
"his",
"income",
"tax",
"for",
"the",
"previous",
"four",
"years",
".",
"``",
"I",
"was",
"always",
"going",
"to",
"do",
"it",
"tomorrow",
",",
"''",
"he",
"explained",
"at",
"the",
"time",
".",
"And",
"now",
"he",
"'s",
"busily",
"trying",
"to",
"explain",
"an",
"arrangement",
"in",
"which",
"he",
"sold",
"stock",
"in",
"Inner",
"City",
"Broadcasting",
"Co.",
",",
"headed",
"by",
"his",
"old",
"friend",
"and",
"patron",
",",
"Percy",
"Sutton",
",",
"to",
"his",
"son",
",",
"David",
"Dinkins",
"Jr.",
",",
"for",
"$",
"58,000",
".",
"He",
"had",
"valued",
"the",
"shares",
"at",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"1",
"million",
"two",
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".",
"He",
"says",
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"sold",
"the",
"stock",
"to",
"avoid",
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"problems",
"in",
"his",
"role",
"as",
"a",
"voting",
"member",
"of",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"Board",
"of",
"Estimate",
".",
"He",
"says",
"his",
"son",
"has",
"n't",
"paid",
"for",
"the",
"shares",
".",
"``",
"It",
"looks",
"like",
"serious",
"tax",
"evasion",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Ailes",
",",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"media",
"consultant",
".",
"``",
"It",
"follows",
"the",
"same",
"pattern",
"as",
"his",
"tax",
"returns",
".",
"He",
"waits",
"to",
"talk",
"about",
"it",
"until",
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"he",
"gets",
"caught",
".",
"''",
"``",
"He",
"simply",
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"n't",
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"something",
"worth",
"a",
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"worth",
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"58,000",
"two",
"years",
"later",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Powers",
",",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"campaign",
"manager",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"ludicrous",
"for",
"him",
"to",
"suggest",
"it",
"'s",
"the",
"difference",
"between",
"the'breakup",
"'",
"value",
"of",
"the",
"shares",
"and",
"their",
"market",
"value",
".",
"''",
"So",
"far",
"though",
",",
"no",
"one",
"--",
"not",
"even",
"former",
"U.S.",
"attorney",
"Giuliani",
"--",
"has",
"been",
"able",
"to",
"pinpoint",
"just",
"what",
"law",
"Mr.",
"Dinkins",
"has",
"broken",
"or",
"just",
"what",
"tax",
"he",
"has",
"evaded",
".",
"``",
"The",
"crime",
"goes",
"to",
"character",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Ron",
"Maiorana",
",",
"a",
"consultant",
"to",
"the",
"Giuliani",
"campaign",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"serious",
"stuff",
".",
"He",
"evades",
"and",
"ducks",
".",
"He",
"'s",
"had",
"a",
"history",
"of",
"deception",
"and",
"this",
"is",
"the",
"latest",
"chapter",
".",
"''",
"``",
"It",
"makes",
"people",
"think",
",",
"maybe",
"this",
"guy",
"is",
"n't",
"so",
"squeaky",
"clean",
"after",
"all",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Garth",
",",
"Mayor",
"Koch",
"'s",
"media",
"consultant",
".",
"``",
"The",
"result",
"may",
"turn",
"out",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"lot",
"closer",
"than",
"people",
"think",
"."
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"follows",
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"Supreme",
"Court",
"last",
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".",
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",",
"the",
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"crimes",
",",
"including",
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".",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"he",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"--",
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"'",
"fees",
"have",
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".",
"``",
"The",
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"suffer",
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"run",
"are",
"defendants",
",",
"but",
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"suffer",
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"all",
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",",
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"bar",
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",",
"''",
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"Lefcourt",
",",
"a",
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"possible",
"fee",
"seizures",
".",
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"Antar",
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",",
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"and",
"securities",
"fraud",
"charges",
".",
"Under",
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",",
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",",
"the",
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".",
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"Antar",
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"case",
",",
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".",
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",",
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"Court",
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",",
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"Antar",
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"believe",
"Mr.",
"Antar",
"'s",
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"gains",
"are",
"so",
"great",
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"any",
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"has",
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"pay",
"attorneys",
"derives",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"the",
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"even",
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"are",
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".",
"Justin",
"Feldman",
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"Jack",
"Arseneault",
",",
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",",
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".",
"In",
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",",
"U.S.",
"Attorney",
"Samuel",
"A.",
"Alito",
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",",
"``",
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"reason",
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"'s",
"fees",
"to",
"drug",
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"just",
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",",
"and",
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"different",
"from",
"actually",
"doing",
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",",
"although",
"we",
"reserve",
"that",
"right",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Antar",
"was",
"charged",
"last",
"month",
"in",
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"filed",
"in",
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"court",
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"by",
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"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
".",
"In",
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",",
"the",
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"accused",
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"engaging",
"in",
"a",
"``",
"massive",
"financial",
"fraud",
"''",
"to",
"overstate",
"the",
"earnings",
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"Crazy",
"Eddie",
",",
"Edison",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
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".",
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",",
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"Antar",
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".",
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"SEC",
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"in",
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"sell",
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"stake",
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"reap",
"huge",
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".",
"Mr.",
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",",
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"60",
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"the",
"sale",
"of",
"his",
"shares",
"between",
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"1987",
".",
"The",
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"Department",
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"the",
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"'s",
"fee-forfeiture",
"power",
"is",
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"be",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"a",
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",",
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"they",
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"being",
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[
"Kay",
"Peterson",
"mounts",
"her",
"bicycle",
"and",
"grinds",
"up",
"yet",
"another",
"steep",
",",
"rocky",
"path",
"seemingly",
"suitable",
"only",
"for",
"mountain",
"goats",
".",
"After",
"a",
"tortuous",
"climb",
",",
"she",
"is",
"rewarded",
"by",
"a",
"picture-postcard",
"vista",
":",
"a",
"glade",
"of",
"golden",
"aspens",
"under",
"an",
"azure",
"Indian-summer",
"sky",
".",
"This",
"place",
"is",
"12",
"miles",
"into",
"the",
"back",
"country",
"--",
"a",
"day-long",
"trudge",
"for",
"a",
"hiker",
",",
"but",
"reached",
"by",
"Ms.",
"Peterson",
"and",
"six",
"others",
"in",
"a",
"mere",
"two",
"hours",
"of",
"pedaling",
"fat-tired",
"mountain",
"bikes",
".",
"``",
"This",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Ms.",
"Peterson",
",",
"``",
"is",
"what",
"it",
"'s",
"all",
"about",
".",
"''",
"Twelve",
"hundred",
"miles",
"away",
",",
"rangers",
"at",
"a",
"Napa",
"County",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"state",
"park",
"are",
"among",
"the",
"many",
"who",
"do",
"n't",
"quite",
"share",
"the",
"enthusiasm",
".",
"This",
"summer",
",",
"speeding",
"bikers",
"were",
"blamed",
"for",
"an",
"accident",
"in",
"the",
"Napa",
"County",
"park",
",",
"in",
"which",
"a",
"horse",
"--",
"spooked",
"on",
"a",
"trail",
"that",
"was",
"closed",
"to",
"bikers",
"--",
"broke",
"its",
"leg",
".",
"The",
"animal",
"had",
"to",
"be",
"destroyed",
";",
"the",
"bikers",
"fled",
"and",
"were",
"never",
"found",
".",
"In",
"numerous",
"parks",
"near",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"rangers",
"have",
"been",
"forced",
"to",
"close",
"trails",
",",
"set",
"up",
"speed",
"traps",
"and",
"use",
"radar",
"guns",
"to",
"curb",
"fast",
"and",
"reckless",
"riding",
".",
"They",
"have",
"even",
"sent",
"helicopters",
"in",
"pursuit",
"of",
"bikers",
"after",
"hikers",
"and",
"equestrians",
"complained",
"they",
"were",
"being",
"driven",
"from",
"trails",
".",
"``",
"We",
"were",
"being",
"overrun",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Steve",
"Fiala",
",",
"trails",
"coordinator",
"of",
"the",
"East",
"Bay",
"Regional",
"Park",
"District",
".",
"Two",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"the",
"district",
"decided",
"to",
"limit",
"the",
"bikes",
"to",
"fire",
"roads",
"in",
"its",
"65,000",
"hilly",
"acres",
".",
"From",
"about",
"200,000",
"six",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"mountain",
"bikes",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"grow",
"to",
"10",
"million",
"in",
"1990",
".",
"At",
"least",
"half",
"that",
"growth",
"will",
"have",
"come",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"three",
"years",
"alone",
".",
"The",
"controversy",
"kicked",
"up",
"by",
"the",
"proliferation",
"of",
"these",
"all-terrain",
"bicycles",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"divisive",
"storms",
"to",
"blow",
"through",
"the",
"national",
"conservation",
"movement",
"in",
"recent",
"memory",
".",
"Bikers",
"--",
"many",
"of",
"them",
"ardent",
"environmentalists",
"--",
"proclaim",
"their",
"sport",
"an",
"efficient",
",",
"safe",
",",
"fitness-promoting",
"way",
"to",
"get",
"back",
"to",
"nature",
",",
"while",
"asserting",
"a",
"right",
",",
"as",
"taxpayers",
",",
"to",
"pedal",
"on",
"public",
"lands",
".",
"But",
"the",
"bikes",
"'",
"burgeoning",
"numbers",
",",
"safety",
"concerns",
"and",
"fear",
"that",
"they",
"damage",
"fragile",
"landscapes",
"have",
"prompted",
"pleas",
",",
"from",
"the",
"Sierras",
"to",
"the",
"Eastern",
"Seaboard",
",",
"to",
"ban",
"them",
"from",
"the",
"back",
"country",
".",
"Key",
"to",
"the",
"issue",
"is",
"that",
"the",
"bikes",
",",
"in",
"skillful",
"hands",
",",
"can",
"go",
"virtually",
"anywhere",
",",
"and",
"in",
"reckless",
"hands",
"can",
"become",
"vehicles",
"of",
"terror",
".",
"An",
"adept",
"bicyclist",
"can",
"leap",
"from",
"a",
"dead",
"stop",
"to",
"the",
"top",
"of",
"a",
"picnic",
"table",
"without",
"losing",
"balance",
".",
"Such",
"skills",
"allow",
"riders",
"to",
"fly",
"down",
"treacherous",
"mountain",
"grades",
"at",
"speeds",
"of",
"up",
"to",
"40",
"miles",
"an",
"hour",
"--",
"a",
"thrill",
"for",
"the",
"cyclist",
"but",
"a",
"nightmare",
"for",
"unsuspecting",
"hikers",
"or",
"equestrians",
".",
"For",
"harried",
"public-land",
"managers",
"across",
"the",
"nation",
",",
"the",
"response",
"is",
"increasingly",
"to",
"shut",
"the",
"gates",
".",
"The",
"state",
"of",
"California",
",",
"following",
"the",
"lead",
"of",
"some",
"regional",
"parks",
",",
"recently",
"adopted",
"regulations",
"that",
"closed",
"nearly",
"all",
"hiking",
"paths",
"in",
"state",
"parks",
"to",
"mountain",
"bicycles",
".",
"The",
"move",
"largely",
"consigns",
"them",
"to",
"roads",
"used",
"by",
"motorized",
"vehicles",
".",
"Most",
"other",
"states",
"have",
"enacted",
"similar",
"bans",
".",
"The",
"bikes",
"are",
"unwelcome",
"on",
"trails",
"in",
"national",
"parks",
".",
"Even",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Forest",
"Service",
",",
"whose",
"lenient",
"``",
"multiple-use",
"''",
"philosophy",
"permits",
"motorized",
"vehicles",
"on",
"thousands",
"of",
"miles",
"of",
"its",
"trails",
"across",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"has",
"begun",
"to",
"close",
"some",
"lands",
"to",
"the",
"bikes",
",",
"including",
"major",
"portions",
"of",
"the",
"popular",
"Pacific",
"Crest",
"Trail",
",",
"which",
"stretches",
"from",
"California",
"to",
"Canada",
".",
"Often",
"these",
"closings",
"come",
"after",
"vigorous",
"anti-bike",
"lobbying",
"by",
"conservation",
"organizations",
",",
"the",
"politically",
"potent",
"Sierra",
"Club",
"among",
"them",
".",
"Sierra",
"has",
"been",
"instrumental",
"in",
"securing",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"the",
"California",
"bans",
".",
"It",
"has",
"been",
"waging",
"an",
"all-out",
"campaign",
"to",
"beat",
"back",
"a",
"proposal",
",",
"pushed",
"by",
"Utah",
"bike",
"groups",
",",
"to",
"allow",
"the",
"cycles",
"in",
"federally",
"designated",
"wilderness",
"areas",
",",
"where",
"they",
"are",
"now",
"prohibited",
".",
"Yet",
"Sierra",
"'s",
"hard-line",
"stance",
"has",
"created",
"something",
"of",
"a",
"rift",
"in",
"the",
"organization",
",",
"which",
"estimates",
"that",
"17",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"500,000",
"members",
"own",
"mountain",
"bikes",
".",
"Pressure",
"from",
"these",
"members",
"prompted",
"the",
"club",
"recently",
"to",
"soften",
"its",
"anti-bike",
"rhetoric",
";",
"it",
"no",
"longer",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"lumps",
"the",
"bikes",
"into",
"the",
"same",
"category",
"as",
"motorcycles",
"and",
"other",
"terrain-marring",
"off-road",
"vehicles",
".",
"But",
"the",
"club",
"still",
"insists",
"that",
"public",
"lands",
"ought",
"to",
"be",
"closed",
"to",
"the",
"bikes",
"unless",
"studies",
"indicate",
"the",
"bikes",
"wo",
"n't",
"injure",
"the",
"environment",
"or",
"other",
"users",
".",
"``",
"I",
"have",
"a",
"mountain",
"bike",
",",
"yet",
"as",
"a",
"hiker",
"I",
"'ve",
"been",
"run",
"off",
"the",
"road",
"by",
"kids",
"careening",
"down",
"a",
"fire",
"trail",
"on",
"them",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Gene",
"Coan",
",",
"an",
"official",
"at",
"Sierra",
"'s",
"headquarters",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"echoing",
"the",
"concerns",
"of",
"many",
"members",
".",
"``",
"People",
"who",
"feel",
"that",
"cyclists",
"should",
"be",
"banned",
"from",
"an",
"area",
"are",
"n't",
"looking",
"at",
"the",
"whole",
"picture",
",",
"''",
"complains",
"Mark",
"Langton",
",",
"associate",
"editor",
"of",
"Mountain",
"and",
"City",
"Biking",
"magazine",
"in",
"Canoga",
"Park",
",",
"Calif",
".",
"Mr.",
"Langton",
"is",
"among",
"the",
"legions",
"of",
"bikers",
"who",
"got",
"their",
"first",
"taste",
"of",
"wilderness",
"as",
"hikers",
"or",
"backpackers",
".",
"He",
"says",
"fellow",
"bikers",
"show",
"the",
"same",
"concern",
"for",
"the",
"land",
"that",
"they",
"demonstrated",
"as",
"hikers",
";",
"many",
"are",
"appalled",
"that",
"the",
"conservation",
"community",
"would",
"suddenly",
"consider",
"them",
"the",
"enemy",
".",
"To",
"fight",
"back",
",",
"activists",
"such",
"as",
"Mr.",
"Langton",
"are",
"forming",
"groups",
"to",
"lobby",
"land",
"managers",
"over",
"access",
"issues",
"and",
"undertake",
"education",
"programs",
"to",
"show",
"that",
"the",
"bikes",
"can",
"responsibly",
"share",
"trails",
".",
"Mr.",
"Langton",
"'s",
"group",
",",
"Concerned",
"Off-Road",
"Bicyclists",
"Association",
",",
"mounted",
"petition",
"drives",
"to",
"help",
"keep",
"open",
"certain",
"Santa",
"Monica",
"Mountain",
"trails",
"designated",
"for",
"closing",
".",
"Biking",
"groups",
"in",
"Montana",
",",
"Idaho",
",",
"Michigan",
"and",
"Massachusetts",
"have",
"won",
"similar",
"concessions",
",",
"says",
"Tim",
"Blumenthal",
",",
"mountain",
"bike",
"editor",
"of",
"Bicycling",
"magazine",
".",
"These",
"groups",
"have",
"been",
"trying",
"to",
"improve",
"the",
"mountain",
"biker",
"'s",
"image",
";",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco-area",
"park",
"district",
"where",
"a",
"ranger",
"was",
"clobbered",
"by",
"a",
"cyclist",
"this",
"summer",
"bikers",
"have",
"formed",
"a",
"volunteer",
"patrol",
"to",
"help",
"rangers",
"enforce",
"regulations",
",",
"and",
"to",
"school",
"riders",
"in",
"proper",
"trail",
"etiquette",
".",
"Even",
"staunch",
"anti-bike",
"Sierra",
"members",
"concede",
"that",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"riders",
"cause",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"problems",
".",
"While",
"some",
"are",
"renegade",
"riders",
"who",
"simply",
"scorn",
"regulations",
",",
"much",
"bad",
"riding",
"simply",
"reflects",
"ignorance",
"that",
"can",
"be",
"corrected",
"through",
"``",
"education",
"and",
"peer",
"pressure",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jim",
"Hasenauer",
",",
"a",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"International",
"Mountain",
"Biking",
"Association",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"we",
"'re",
"making",
"progress",
".",
"''",
"Few",
"would",
"have",
"foreseen",
"such",
"a",
"furor",
"when",
",",
"a",
"decade",
"ago",
",",
"some",
"Marin",
"County",
"bicycle",
"enthusiasts",
"created",
"a",
"hybrid",
"bike",
"using",
"fat",
"tires",
",",
"lightweight",
"metallurgy",
"and",
"multi-gear",
"technology",
".",
"They",
"wanted",
"a",
"machine",
"that",
"would",
"allow",
"them",
"to",
"pedal",
"into",
"rugged",
"terrain",
"then",
"inaccessible",
"to",
"cycles",
".",
"They",
"got",
"a",
"machine",
"more",
"responsive",
",",
"more",
"stable",
"and",
"in",
"many",
"ways",
"easier",
"to",
"ride",
"than",
"the",
"thin-tired",
"racing",
"bikes",
"that",
"then",
"were",
"the",
"rage",
".",
"When",
"the",
"bikes",
"first",
"entered",
"mass",
"production",
"in",
"1981",
",",
"they",
"were",
"dismissed",
"as",
"a",
"fad",
".",
"Last",
"year",
",",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"10",
"million",
"bicycles",
"sold",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"were",
"mountain",
"bikes",
".",
"In",
"California",
",",
"a",
"bellwether",
"market",
",",
"they",
"accounted",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"80",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"bike",
"sales",
".",
"The",
"majority",
"of",
"the",
"bikes",
"never",
"even",
"make",
"it",
"into",
"the",
"high",
"country",
".",
"City",
"dwellers",
"love",
"them",
"because",
"they",
"shift",
"smoothly",
"in",
"traffic",
",",
"bounce",
"easily",
"over",
"curbs",
"and",
"roll",
"through",
"road",
"glass",
"with",
"far",
"fewer",
"flat",
"tires",
"than",
"racing",
"bikes",
".",
"Crested",
"Butte",
",",
"population",
"1,200",
",",
"is",
"a",
"bastion",
"of",
"the",
"sport",
".",
"By",
"one",
"estimate",
",",
"everyone",
"here",
"under",
"50",
"owns",
"at",
"least",
"one",
"bike",
".",
"The",
"town",
"is",
"home",
"to",
"the",
"Mountain",
"Bike",
"Hall",
"of",
"Fame",
"and",
"it",
"hosts",
"the",
"annual",
"Fat",
"Tire",
"Bike",
"Week",
".",
"This",
"summer",
",",
"the",
"jamboree",
"attracted",
"more",
"visitors",
"than",
"the",
"busiest",
"week",
"of",
"the",
"town",
"'s",
"winter",
"ski",
"season",
".",
"David",
"Lindsey",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"Fat",
"Tire",
"Bike",
"celebration",
",",
"muses",
"that",
"the",
"bike",
"'s",
"popularity",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"combination",
"of",
"technology",
"and",
"nostalgia",
".",
"``",
"The",
"mountain",
"bike",
"feels",
"as",
"comfortable",
"as",
"the",
"`",
"paperboy",
"'",
"bike",
"you",
"had",
"as",
"a",
"kid",
",",
"but",
"it",
"can",
"do",
"so",
"much",
"more",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
"."
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[
"Digital",
"Equipment",
"Corp.",
"is",
"planning",
"a",
"big",
"coming-out",
"party",
"on",
"Tuesday",
"for",
"its",
"first",
"line",
"of",
"mainframe",
"computers",
".",
"But",
"an",
"uninvited",
"guest",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"crash",
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".",
"On",
"the",
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"of",
"the",
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"announcement",
",",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"Corp.",
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".",
"``",
"Their",
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",",
"`",
"You",
"want",
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"mainframes",
",",
"we",
"'ll",
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",",
"'",
"''",
"says",
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".",
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",",
"''",
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"complains",
".",
"``",
"Maybe",
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"a",
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".",
"''",
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"mainframe",
"computers",
",",
"the",
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"number-crunchers",
"that",
"nearly",
"every",
"big",
"company",
"needs",
"to",
"run",
"its",
"business",
".",
"IBM",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Armonk",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"has",
"dominated",
"the",
"market",
"for",
"decades",
".",
"That",
"does",
"n't",
"scare",
"Digital",
",",
"which",
"has",
"grown",
"to",
"be",
"the",
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"'s",
"second-largest",
"computer",
"maker",
"by",
"poaching",
"customers",
"of",
"IBM",
"'s",
"mid-range",
"machines",
".",
"Digital",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Maynard",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"hopes",
"to",
"stage",
"a",
"repeat",
"performance",
"in",
"mainframes",
",",
"and",
"it",
"has",
"spent",
"almost",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"developing",
"the",
"new",
"technology",
".",
"A",
"spoiler",
",",
"nimble",
"Tandem",
"Computers",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Cupertino",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"jumped",
"into",
"the",
"fray",
"earlier",
"this",
"week",
"with",
"an",
"aggressively",
"priced",
"entry",
".",
"IBM",
"appears",
"more",
"worried",
"about",
"Digital",
",",
"which",
"has",
"a",
"broad",
"base",
"of",
"customers",
"waiting",
"for",
"the",
"new",
"line",
",",
"dubbed",
"the",
"VAX",
"9000",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"nuclear",
"war",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Thomas",
"Willmott",
",",
"a",
"consultant",
"with",
"Aberdeen",
"Group",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"surge",
"in",
"competition",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"stir",
"new",
"life",
"into",
"the",
"huge",
"mainframe",
"market",
",",
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"slowed",
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"single",
"digits",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
".",
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"'s",
"traditional",
"mainframe",
"rivals",
",",
"including",
"Unisys",
"Corp.",
",",
"Control",
"Data",
"Corp.",
"and",
"NCR",
"Corp.",
",",
"have",
"struggled",
"recently",
".",
"Digital",
"is",
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"a",
"new",
"approach",
".",
"Robert",
"M.",
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",",
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"'s",
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"president",
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",",
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"mainframe",
"is",
"designed",
"not",
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"computer",
"around",
"which",
"everything",
"revolves",
",",
"but",
"as",
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"a",
"decentralized",
"network",
"weaving",
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"hundreds",
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",",
"personal",
"computers",
",",
"printers",
"and",
"other",
"devices",
".",
"And",
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",",
"it",
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"n't",
"need",
"any",
"plumbing",
".",
"The",
"challengers",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"big",
"price",
"advantage",
".",
"Digital",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"tag",
"its",
"new",
"line",
"from",
"about",
"$",
"1.24",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"4.4",
"million",
"and",
"up",
",",
"depending",
"on",
"configuration",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"about",
"half",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"comparably",
"equipped",
"IBM",
"mainframes",
".",
"Tandem",
"'s",
"pricing",
"is",
"just",
"as",
"aggressive",
".",
"The",
"heightened",
"competition",
"will",
"hit",
"IBM",
"at",
"a",
"difficult",
"time",
".",
"The",
"computer",
"giant",
"'s",
"current",
"mainframe",
"line",
",",
"which",
"has",
"sold",
"well",
"and",
"has",
"huge",
"profit",
"margins",
",",
"is",
"starting",
"to",
"show",
"its",
"age",
".",
"The",
"new",
"3090s",
"due",
"next",
"week",
"will",
"boost",
"performance",
"by",
"only",
"about",
"8",
"%",
"to",
"10",
"%",
".",
"And",
"IBM",
"is",
"n't",
"expected",
"to",
"deliver",
"a",
"new",
"generation",
"of",
"mainframes",
"until",
"1991",
".",
"Still",
",",
"no",
"one",
"expects",
"IBM",
"'s",
"rivals",
"to",
"deliver",
"a",
"knockout",
".",
"IBM",
"has",
"a",
"near-monopoly",
"on",
"mainframes",
",",
"with",
"an",
"estimated",
"70",
"%",
"share",
"of",
"the",
"market",
".",
"IBM",
"is",
"five",
"times",
"the",
"size",
"of",
"Digital",
"--",
"and",
"40",
"times",
"the",
"size",
"of",
"Tandem",
"--",
"and",
"wields",
"enormous",
"market",
"power",
".",
"It",
"counts",
"among",
"its",
"customers",
"a",
"majority",
"of",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"largest",
"corporations",
",",
"which",
"entrust",
"their",
"most",
"critical",
"business",
"information",
"to",
"IBM",
"computers",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"walk",
"in",
"and",
"replace",
"a",
"company",
"'s",
"corporate",
"accounting",
"system",
"if",
"it",
"'s",
"already",
"running",
"on",
"an",
"IBM",
"mainframe",
",",
"''",
"concedes",
"Kenneth",
"H.",
"Olsen",
",",
"Digital",
"'s",
"president",
".",
"He",
"says",
"Digital",
"will",
"target",
"faster-growing",
"market",
"segments",
"such",
"as",
"on-line",
"transaction",
"processing",
",",
"which",
"includes",
"retail-sales",
"tracking",
",",
"airline",
"reservations",
"and",
"bank-teller",
"networks",
".",
"Tandem",
",",
"which",
"already",
"specializes",
"in",
"on-line",
"transaction",
"processing",
",",
"is",
"a",
"potent",
"competitor",
"in",
"that",
"market",
".",
"A",
"key",
"marketing",
"target",
"for",
"Digital",
"will",
"be",
"the",
"large",
"number",
"of",
"big",
"customers",
"who",
"already",
"own",
"both",
"Digital",
"and",
"IBM",
"systems",
".",
"One",
"such",
"company",
"is",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"Co",
".",
"Stanley",
"Rose",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
",",
"technological",
"and",
"strategic",
"planning",
"at",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
",",
"says",
"that",
"despite",
"Digital",
"'s",
"low",
"prices",
",",
"``",
"we",
"are",
"n't",
"about",
"to",
"unplug",
"our",
"IBM",
"mainframes",
"for",
"a",
"DEC",
"machine",
".",
"The",
"software",
"conversion",
"costs",
"would",
"dwarf",
"any",
"savings",
".",
"''",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Rose",
"is",
"still",
"looking",
"seriously",
"at",
"the",
"9000",
".",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"uses",
"Digital",
"'s",
"VAX",
"to",
"run",
"its",
"huge",
"money-transfer",
"and",
"capital",
"markets",
"accounts",
",",
"juggling",
"hundreds",
"of",
"billions",
"of",
"dollars",
"each",
"day",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"As",
"that",
"system",
"grows",
",",
"larger",
"computers",
"may",
"be",
"needed",
".",
"``",
"In",
"the",
"past",
",",
"customers",
"had",
"to",
"go",
"to",
"IBM",
"when",
"they",
"outgrew",
"the",
"VAX",
".",
"Now",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"That",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"cost",
"IBM",
"revenue",
".",
"''",
"Analysts",
"say",
"Digital",
"can",
"expect",
"this",
"pent-up",
"demand",
"for",
"the",
"new",
"VAX",
"to",
"fuel",
"strong",
"sales",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Barry",
"F.",
"Willman",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"Sanford",
"C.",
"Bernstein",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"estimates",
"the",
"9000",
"could",
"boost",
"sales",
"by",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"in",
"the",
"fiscal",
"year",
"beginning",
"in",
"July",
".",
"He",
"bases",
"the",
"estimate",
"on",
"a",
"survey",
"of",
"hundreds",
"of",
"Digital",
"'s",
"largest",
"customers",
".",
"Although",
"Digital",
"will",
"announce",
"a",
"full",
"family",
"of",
"mainframes",
"next",
"week",
",",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"expected",
"to",
"begin",
"shipping",
"in",
"volume",
"until",
"next",
"year",
".",
"The",
"first",
"model",
"available",
"will",
"be",
"the",
"210",
",",
"which",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"appeal",
"to",
"many",
"technical",
"and",
"scientific",
"buyers",
"interested",
"in",
"the",
"optional",
"super-charger",
",",
"or",
"vector",
"processor",
",",
"says",
"Terry",
"Shannon",
"of",
"International",
"Data",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"market",
"research",
"concern",
".",
"Four",
"more",
"models",
",",
"aimed",
"squarely",
"at",
"IBM",
"'s",
"commercial",
"customers",
",",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"begin",
"shipping",
"in",
"late",
"June",
".",
"Most",
"analysts",
"do",
"n't",
"expect",
"the",
"new",
"mainframes",
"to",
"begin",
"contributing",
"significantly",
"to",
"revenue",
"before",
"the",
"fiscal",
"first",
"quarter",
",",
"which",
"begins",
"next",
"July",
"1",
".",
"Digital",
"'s",
"new",
"line",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"long",
"time",
"coming",
".",
"The",
"company",
"has",
"long",
"struggled",
"to",
"deliver",
"a",
"strong",
"mainframe-class",
"product",
",",
"and",
"made",
"a",
"costly",
"decision",
"in",
"1988",
"to",
"halt",
"development",
"of",
"an",
"interim",
"product",
"meant",
"to",
"stem",
"the",
"revenue",
"losses",
"at",
"the",
"high",
"end",
".",
"Digital",
"'s",
"failure",
"to",
"deliver",
"a",
"true",
"mainframe-class",
"machine",
"before",
"now",
"may",
"have",
"cost",
"the",
"company",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"in",
"revenue",
"in",
"fiscal",
"1989",
",",
"Mr.",
"Willman",
"says",
".",
"IBM",
"will",
"face",
"still",
"more",
"competition",
"in",
"coming",
"months",
".",
"Amdahl",
"Corp.",
",",
"backed",
"by",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Fujitsu",
"Ltd.",
",",
"has",
"a",
"growing",
"share",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"with",
"its",
"low-priced",
",",
"IBM-compatible",
"machines",
".",
"And",
"National",
"Advanced",
"Systems",
",",
"a",
"joint",
"venture",
"of",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Hitachi",
"Ltd.",
"and",
"General",
"Motors",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"Electronic",
"Data",
"Systems",
",",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"unveil",
"a",
"line",
"of",
"powerful",
"IBM-compatible",
"mainframes",
"later",
"this",
"year",
".",
"NOTE",
":",
"NAS",
"is",
"National",
"Advanced",
"Systems",
",",
"CDC",
"--",
"Control",
"Data",
"Corp.",
",",
"Bull",
"NH",
"Information",
"Systems",
"Inc",
".",
"Source",
":",
"International",
"Data",
"Corp",
".",
"Compiled",
"by",
"Publishers",
"Weekly",
"from",
"data",
"from",
"large-city",
"bookstores",
",",
"bookstore",
"chains",
"and",
"local",
"bestseller",
"lists",
"across",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Copyright",
"1989",
"by",
"Reed",
"Publishing",
"USA",
"."
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[
"Market",
"makers",
"in",
"Nasdaq",
"over-the-counter",
"stocks",
"are",
"adding",
"their",
"voices",
"to",
"the",
"swelling",
"chorus",
"of",
"complaints",
"about",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Their",
"motivation",
",",
"however",
",",
"has",
"a",
"strong",
"practical",
"aspect",
":",
"Program",
"trading",
"is",
"hazardous",
"to",
"their",
"paychecks",
".",
"The",
"most",
"controversial",
"form",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
",",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"is",
"``",
"making",
"it",
"tough",
"for",
"traders",
"to",
"make",
"money",
",",
"''",
"declares",
"Robert",
"Antolini",
",",
"head",
"of",
"OTC",
"trading",
"at",
"Donaldson",
",",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
".",
"Stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"--",
"the",
"computer-guided",
"buying",
"and",
"selling",
"of",
"stocks",
"with",
"offsetting",
"trades",
"in",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"to",
"profit",
"from",
"fleeting",
"price",
"discrepancies",
"--",
"affects",
"the",
"OTC",
"market",
"directly",
"through",
"the",
"31",
"stocks",
"included",
"in",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-stock",
"index",
".",
"The",
"S&P",
"500",
"is",
"often",
"used",
"in",
"arbitrage",
"strategies",
".",
"The",
"portion",
"of",
"OTC",
"volume",
"attributable",
"to",
"program",
"trading",
"is",
"n't",
"known",
",",
"as",
"it",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
",",
"where",
"it",
"amounted",
"to",
"more",
"than",
"13",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Estimates",
"from",
"traders",
"put",
"it",
"at",
"less",
"than",
"5",
"%",
"of",
"Nasdaq",
"'s",
"average",
"daily",
"volume",
"of",
"roughly",
"133",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"Other",
"market-maker",
"gripes",
":",
"Program",
"trading",
"also",
"causes",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"Index",
"to",
"lose",
"ground",
"against",
"other",
"segments",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"Because",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
"it",
"is",
"more",
"difficult",
"to",
"trade",
"many",
"OTC",
"stocks",
"without",
"sharp",
"price",
"moves",
",",
"a",
"condition",
"known",
"as",
"illiquidity",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"the",
"price",
"volatility",
"that",
"is",
"amplified",
"by",
"program",
"trading",
"is",
"undercutting",
"efforts",
"to",
"woo",
"individual",
"investors",
"back",
"to",
"an",
"OTC",
"market",
"that",
"sorely",
"misses",
"them",
".",
"Some",
"of",
"these",
"problems",
"are",
"neither",
"new",
"nor",
"unique",
"to",
"the",
"OTC",
"market",
".",
"But",
"the",
"big",
",",
"often",
"tumultuous",
"slide",
"in",
"stock",
"prices",
"this",
"month",
"has",
"turned",
"some",
"of",
"those",
"who",
"have",
"been",
"profiting",
"from",
"the",
"practice",
"against",
"it",
".",
"Peter",
"DaPuzzo",
",",
"head",
"of",
"retail",
"equity",
"trading",
"at",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
",",
"acknowledges",
"that",
"he",
"was",
"n't",
"troubled",
"by",
"program",
"trading",
"when",
"it",
"began",
"in",
"the",
"pre-crash",
"bull",
"market",
"because",
"it",
"added",
"liquidity",
"and",
"people",
"were",
"pleased",
"to",
"see",
"stock",
"prices",
"rising",
".",
"``",
"We",
"were",
"n't",
"as",
"concerned",
"until",
"they",
"became",
"sell",
"programs",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"DaPuzzo",
",",
"who",
"now",
"thinks",
"it",
"adds",
"unnecessary",
"volatility",
".",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
",",
"however",
",",
"executes",
"program",
"trades",
"for",
"clients",
".",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
",",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"and",
"Kidder",
"Peabody",
",",
"in",
"addition",
"to",
"Shearson",
",",
"do",
"program-trade",
"OTC",
"stocks",
".",
"Shearson",
",",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"and",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"say",
"they",
"do",
"so",
"only",
"for",
"customers",
",",
"however",
".",
"Kidder",
"Peabody",
"does",
"program",
"trading",
"for",
"its",
"own",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"clients",
"'",
"accounts",
".",
"Of",
"course",
",",
"there",
"were",
"sell",
"programs",
"in",
"past",
"years",
",",
"too",
",",
"but",
"they",
"seem",
"to",
"hurt",
"market",
"makers",
"more",
"painfully",
"these",
"days",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"largely",
"because",
"of",
"defensive",
"measures",
"they",
"adopted",
"after",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
",",
"when",
"individual",
"investors",
"fled",
"the",
"market",
"and",
"trading",
"activity",
"dwindled",
".",
"Market",
"makers",
",",
"to",
"cut",
"costs",
",",
"slashed",
"inventories",
"of",
"stocks",
"they",
"keep",
"on",
"hand",
"to",
"sell",
"investors",
"when",
"other",
"holders",
"are",
"n't",
"selling",
".",
"And",
"to",
"protect",
"their",
"reduced",
"capital",
"investment",
"from",
"eroding",
"further",
",",
"market",
"makers",
"became",
"quicker",
"to",
"lower",
"price",
"quotes",
"when",
"sell",
"programs",
"are",
"in",
"progress",
".",
"On",
"days",
"when",
"prices",
"are",
"tumbling",
",",
"they",
"must",
"be",
"willing",
"to",
"buy",
"shares",
"from",
"sellers",
"when",
"no",
"one",
"else",
"will",
".",
"In",
"such",
"an",
"environment",
",",
"market",
"makers",
"can",
"suffer",
"huge",
"losses",
"both",
"on",
"trades",
"made",
"that",
"day",
"at",
"steadily",
"dropping",
"prices",
"and",
"in",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"their",
"inventories",
"of",
"shares",
".",
"``",
"It",
"makes",
"no",
"sense",
"for",
"us",
"to",
"put",
"money",
"at",
"risk",
"when",
"you",
"know",
"you",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"lose",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Antolini",
",",
"of",
"Donaldson",
"Lufkin",
".",
"But",
"this",
"skittishness",
",",
"Mr.",
"Antolini",
"says",
",",
"is",
"creating",
"liquidity",
"problems",
"in",
"certain",
"OTC",
"stocks",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"harder",
"to",
"sell",
"stocks",
"when",
"the",
"sell",
"programs",
"come",
"in",
"because",
"some",
"market",
"makers",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"-LCB-",
"take",
"the",
"orders",
"-RCB-",
".",
"No",
"one",
"has",
"big",
"positions",
"and",
"no",
"one",
"wants",
"to",
"take",
"big",
"risks",
".",
"''",
"Joseph",
"Hardiman",
",",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"National",
"Association",
"of",
"Securities",
"Dealers",
",",
"which",
"oversees",
"trading",
"on",
"Nasdaq",
",",
"agrees",
"that",
"program",
"trading",
"is",
"hurting",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"efforts",
"to",
"bring",
"back",
"small",
"investors",
".",
"But",
",",
"he",
"observes",
",",
"while",
"makers",
"suffer",
"losses",
"when",
"program",
"trading",
"drags",
"the",
"market",
"down",
",",
"they",
"also",
"make",
"money",
"when",
"program",
"trading",
"pushes",
"the",
"prices",
"higher",
".",
"``",
"Sometimes",
"-LCB-",
"traders",
"-RCB-",
"lose",
"sight",
"of",
"that",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"The",
"OTC",
"stocks",
"in",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"include",
"Nasdaq",
"'s",
"biggest",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Apple",
"Computer",
",",
"MCI",
"Communications",
",",
"Tele-Communications",
"and",
"Liz",
"Claiborne",
".",
"These",
"big",
"stocks",
"greatly",
"influence",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"Index",
".",
"When",
"the",
"computers",
"say",
"``",
"sell",
",",
"''",
"the",
"composite",
"tumbles",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
".",
"The",
"problem",
",",
"market",
"makers",
"say",
",",
"is",
"that",
"while",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
"and",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"usually",
"recover",
"as",
"buy",
"programs",
"kick",
"in",
",",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"frequently",
"is",
"left",
"behind",
".",
"Eight",
"trading",
"days",
"after",
"Oct.",
"12",
",",
"the",
"day",
"before",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"plunge",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"had",
"fallen",
"4.3",
"%",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"3.3",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
",",
"3.5",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"Composite",
"Index",
"and",
"3.6",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
".",
"This",
"gap",
"eventually",
"closes",
",",
"but",
"slowly",
".",
"Three",
"days",
"later",
",",
"as",
"of",
"Friday",
"'s",
"close",
",",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"was",
"down",
"6",
"%",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"5.9",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"industrial",
"average",
",",
"5.7",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"and",
"5.8",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"Composite",
".",
"The",
"main",
"reason",
"for",
"this",
"lag",
"is",
"that",
"individual",
"investors",
"own",
"65",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"OTC",
"market",
"'s",
"capitalization",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Hardiman",
",",
"much",
"more",
"than",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
".",
"Such",
"investors",
"tend",
"to",
"be",
"more",
"cautious",
"than",
"institutional",
"investors",
"are",
"about",
"re-entering",
"the",
"market",
"after",
"massive",
"selloffs",
",",
"market",
"makers",
"say",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"Market",
"Activity",
"The",
"Nasdaq",
"Composite",
"Index",
"tumbled",
"5.39",
",",
"or",
"1.2",
"%",
"to",
"452.76",
"on",
"Friday",
".",
"For",
"the",
"week",
",",
"the",
"index",
"dropped",
"3.8",
"%",
".",
"Weakness",
"in",
"big",
"technology",
"stocks",
"hurt",
"the",
"composite",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"100",
"Index",
",",
"which",
"fell",
"1.4",
"%",
",",
"or",
"6.43",
",",
"on",
"Friday",
",",
"to",
"437.68",
".",
"The",
"Nasdaq",
"Financial",
"Index",
"lost",
"about",
"1",
"%",
",",
"or",
"3.95",
",",
"to",
"448.80",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"trading",
"volume",
"totaled",
"132.8",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"The",
"average",
"daily",
"share",
"turnover",
"for",
"October",
"is",
"almost",
"148",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"LIN",
"Broadcasting",
"surged",
"4",
"5/8",
"to",
"112",
"5/8",
";",
"LIN",
"and",
"BellSouth",
"sweetened",
"their",
"merger",
"agreement",
"in",
"an",
"attempt",
"to",
"keep",
"shareholders",
"from",
"tendering",
"their",
"shares",
"to",
"McCaw",
"Cellular",
"Communications",
".",
"McCaw",
",",
"which",
"dropped",
"2",
"1/2",
"to",
"37",
"3/4",
",",
"has",
"offered",
"$",
"125",
"a",
"share",
"for",
"a",
"majority",
"of",
"LIN",
"'s",
"shares",
".",
"The",
"revised",
"LIN-BellSouth",
"agreement",
"boosts",
"the",
"dollar",
"amount",
"of",
"the",
"special",
"dividend",
"LIN",
"promises",
"to",
"pay",
"shareholders",
".",
"LIN",
"now",
"plans",
"to",
"dole",
"out",
"$",
"42",
"a",
"share",
"in",
"cash",
",",
"up",
"from",
"the",
"earlier",
"$",
"20",
"amount",
".",
"Intel",
"eased",
"1/8",
"to",
"31",
"7/8",
".",
"The",
"semiconductor",
"concern",
"said",
"the",
"interruption",
"in",
"shipment",
"of",
"its",
"80486",
"computer",
"chip",
"will",
"be",
"brief",
"and",
"have",
"little",
"impact",
"on",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"earnings",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"fell",
"7/8",
"Thursday",
"amid",
"concerns",
"over",
"problems",
"discovered",
"with",
"the",
"chip",
".",
"Intel",
"told",
"analysts",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"will",
"resume",
"shipments",
"of",
"the",
"chips",
"within",
"two",
"to",
"three",
"weeks",
".",
"Weisfield",
"'s",
"rocketed",
"9",
"1/2",
"to",
"39",
"after",
"the",
"jewelry",
"store",
"operator",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"in",
"preliminary",
"discussions",
",",
"with",
"a",
"party",
"it",
"would",
"n't",
"identify",
",",
"regarding",
"the",
"possible",
"acquisition",
"of",
"the",
"company",
".",
"Starpointe",
"Savings",
"Bank",
"rose",
"3",
"to",
"20",
"after",
"the",
"Federal",
"Deposit",
"Insurance",
"Corp.",
"approved",
"Dime",
"Savings",
"Bank",
"of",
"New",
"York",
"'s",
"$",
"21-a-share",
"acquisition",
"of",
"Starpointe",
".",
"Kirschner",
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"fell",
"4",
"to",
"15",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"its",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"will",
"probably",
"be",
"lower",
"than",
"the",
"16",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
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"reported",
"last",
"year",
",",
"despite",
"a",
"rise",
"in",
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"revenue",
".",
"Kirschner",
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"$",
"376,000",
"on",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"14.5",
"million",
"in",
"the",
"1988",
"quarter",
".",
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"company",
"blamed",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"factors",
"for",
"the",
"earnings",
"decline",
",",
"including",
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"sales",
"of",
"joint-implants",
"."
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"rights",
"''",
"until",
"Feb.",
"28",
".",
"Those",
"rights",
"prevent",
"anyone",
"other",
"than",
"Revco",
"from",
"proposing",
"a",
"reorganization",
"plan",
".",
"Also",
"under",
"Chapter",
"11",
",",
"a",
"reorganization",
"plan",
"is",
"subject",
"to",
"approval",
"by",
"bondholders",
",",
"banks",
"and",
"other",
"creditors",
".",
"A",
"financial",
"adviser",
"for",
"Revco",
"bondholders",
",",
"David",
"Schulte",
",",
"of",
"Chilmark",
"Partners",
",",
"had",
"mixed",
"reactions",
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"the",
"offer",
".",
"He",
"said",
"he",
"feared",
"a",
"Revco",
"reorganization",
"might",
"force",
"bondholders",
"to",
"accept",
"a",
"``",
"cheap",
"deal",
",",
"''",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"Bass",
"group",
"'s",
"offer",
"would",
"give",
"them",
"more",
"money",
".",
"However",
",",
"the",
"group",
"is",
"offering",
"to",
"pay",
"off",
"bondholders",
"in",
"cash",
"only",
"--",
"$",
"260.5",
"million",
"--",
"and",
"no",
"equity",
".",
"The",
"Revco",
"bonds",
"are",
"high-yield",
",",
"high-risk",
"``",
"junk",
"''",
"bonds",
";",
"holders",
"have",
"$",
"750",
"million",
"in",
"claims",
"against",
"Revco",
",",
"Mr.",
"Schulte",
"said",
".",
"Revco",
"received",
"the",
"offer",
"Oct.",
"20",
",",
"but",
"issued",
"a",
"response",
"yesterday",
"only",
"after",
"a",
"copy",
"of",
"the",
"proposal",
"was",
"made",
"public",
"by",
"bondholders",
".",
"Acadia",
"Partners",
"Limited",
"Partnership",
",",
"a",
"Fort",
"Worth",
",",
"Texas",
",",
"partnership",
"that",
"includes",
"the",
"Robert",
"M.",
"Bass",
"Group",
",",
"made",
"the",
"proposal",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bass",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"Fort",
"Worth",
".",
"Analysts",
"said",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"second-largest",
"drugstore",
"chain",
"was",
"a",
"valuable",
"company",
",",
"despite",
"its",
"financial",
"woes",
".",
"Its",
"problem",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"is",
"that",
"management",
"paid",
"too",
"much",
"in",
"the",
"leveraged",
"buy-out",
"and",
"the",
"current",
"$",
"515",
"million",
"debt",
"load",
"is",
"keeping",
"Revco",
"in",
"the",
"red",
".",
"``",
"If",
"bought",
"at",
"the",
"right",
"price",
",",
"it",
"could",
"still",
"be",
"profitable",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Jeffrey",
"Stein",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"McDonald",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"Cleveland",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Revco",
"'s",
"1,900",
"stores",
"in",
"27",
"states",
"represent",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"and",
"demographics",
"are",
"helping",
"pharmacies",
":",
"The",
"nation",
"'s",
"aging",
"population",
"will",
"boost",
"demand",
"for",
"prescription",
"drugs",
".",
"Last",
"week",
",",
"Revco",
"'s",
"parent",
"company",
",",
"Anac",
"Holding",
"Corp.",
",",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"reported",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"16.2",
"million",
"for",
"the",
"fiscal",
"first",
"quarter",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"27.9",
"million",
"in",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"quarter",
".",
"Sales",
"were",
"$",
"597.8",
"million",
",",
"up",
"2.4",
"%",
"from",
"the",
"previous",
"year",
".",
"The",
"company",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Twinsburg",
",",
"Ohio",
",",
"said",
"its",
"operating",
"profit",
"before",
"depreciation",
"and",
"amortization",
"increased",
"51",
"%",
",",
"to",
"$",
"9.2",
"million",
"from",
"$",
"6.1",
"million",
".",
"Acadia",
"Partners",
"and",
"the",
"Bass",
"Group",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
".",
"The",
"partnership",
"also",
"includes",
"American",
"Express",
"Co.",
",",
"Equitable",
"Life",
"Assurance",
"Society",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"and",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"offer",
"consists",
"of",
"$",
"410.5",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
"and",
"the",
"rest",
"in",
"notes",
".",
"Acadia",
"would",
"sell",
"up",
"to",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"equity",
"in",
"the",
"reorganized",
"company",
"to",
"creditors",
"and",
"bondholders",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"cash",
"distribution",
",",
"but",
"creditors",
"and",
"bondholders",
"would",
"receive",
"no",
"discount",
"for",
"their",
"shares",
".",
"Revco",
"'s",
"chairman",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"Boake",
"A.",
"Sells",
",",
"said",
"both",
"the",
"company",
"and",
"the",
"bondholders",
"have",
"put",
"forth",
"reorganization",
"plans",
",",
"but",
"little",
"progress",
"has",
"been",
"made",
"since",
"negotiations",
"began",
"this",
"summer",
".",
"He",
"said",
"he",
"has",
"not",
"met",
"with",
"representatives",
"from",
"Acadia",
".",
"Any",
"reorganization",
"proposal",
",",
"Mr.",
"Sells",
"said",
",",
"is",
"difficult",
"to",
"assess",
"because",
"it",
"must",
"be",
"agreed",
"upon",
"by",
"the",
"company",
",",
"bondholders",
",",
"banks",
"and",
"other",
"creditors",
".",
"Revco",
"has",
"$",
"1.5",
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"in",
"claims",
"outstanding",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"like",
"the",
"board",
"can",
"decide",
"''",
"by",
"itself",
",",
"Mr.",
"Sells",
"said",
",",
"adding",
",",
"``",
"we",
"'re",
"indifferent",
"to",
"(",
"the",
"Bass",
")",
"plan",
".",
"We",
"just",
"want",
"a",
"plan",
"that",
"satisfies",
"creditors",
"and",
"at",
"the",
"end",
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"a",
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"Revco",
".",
"''",
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"Mr.",
"Schulte",
",",
"the",
"bondholders",
"'",
"adviser",
",",
"said",
"Revco",
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"its",
"feet",
"in",
"responding",
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"the",
"proposal",
".",
"``",
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"want",
"to",
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"does",
"n't",
"exist",
",",
"''",
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"said",
".",
"Mr.",
"Schulte",
",",
"who",
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",",
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",",
"``",
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"'s",
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"a",
"responsible",
"offer",
".",
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"'s",
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"an",
"effort",
"to",
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"the",
"company",
"''",
"in",
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"middle",
"of",
"the",
"night",
"."
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[
"Consumer",
"prices",
"rose",
"a",
"surprisingly",
"moderate",
"0.2",
"%",
"in",
"September",
",",
"pushed",
"up",
"mostly",
"by",
"a",
"jump",
"in",
"clothing",
"costs",
",",
"the",
"Labor",
"Department",
"reported",
".",
"Energy",
"costs",
",",
"which",
"drove",
"wholesale",
"prices",
"up",
"sharply",
"during",
"the",
"month",
",",
"continued",
"to",
"decline",
"at",
"the",
"retail",
"level",
",",
"pulling",
"down",
"transportation",
"and",
"helping",
"to",
"ease",
"housing",
"costs",
".",
"The",
"report",
"was",
"the",
"brightest",
"news",
"the",
"financial",
"markets",
"had",
"seen",
"since",
"before",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"plunged",
"more",
"than",
"190",
"points",
"last",
"Friday",
".",
"The",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"rallied",
"on",
"the",
"news",
",",
"closing",
"39.55",
"points",
"higher",
"at",
"2683.20",
".",
"Bond",
"prices",
"also",
"jumped",
"as",
"traders",
"appeared",
"to",
"read",
"the",
"data",
"as",
"a",
"sign",
"that",
"interest",
"rates",
"may",
"fall",
".",
"But",
"many",
"economists",
"were",
"not",
"nearly",
"as",
"jubilant",
".",
"The",
"climb",
"in",
"wholesale",
"energy",
"prices",
"is",
"certain",
"to",
"push",
"up",
"retail",
"energy",
"prices",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"months",
",",
"they",
"warned",
".",
"They",
"also",
"said",
"the",
"dollar",
"is",
"leveling",
"off",
"after",
"a",
"rise",
"this",
"summer",
"that",
"helped",
"to",
"reduce",
"the",
"prices",
"of",
"imported",
"goods",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"inflation",
"is",
"going",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"through",
"the",
"fall",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Joel",
"Popkin",
",",
"a",
"specialist",
"on",
"inflation",
"who",
"runs",
"an",
"economic",
"consulting",
"firm",
"here",
".",
"``",
"It",
"has",
"been",
"in",
"what",
"I",
"would",
"describe",
"as",
"a",
"lull",
"for",
"the",
"past",
"several",
"months",
".",
"''",
"``",
"We",
"'ve",
"had",
"whopping",
"declines",
"in",
"consumer",
"energy",
"prices",
"in",
"each",
"of",
"the",
"past",
"three",
"months",
",",
"and",
"at",
"the",
"wholesale",
"level",
"those",
"are",
"fully",
"behind",
"us",
"now",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Jay",
"Woodworth",
",",
"chief",
"domestic",
"economist",
"at",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"Co.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"Because",
"wholesale",
"energy",
"prices",
"shot",
"up",
"by",
"a",
"steep",
"6.5",
"%",
"last",
"month",
",",
"many",
"analysts",
"expected",
"energy",
"prices",
"to",
"rise",
"at",
"the",
"consumer",
"level",
"too",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"many",
"economists",
"were",
"expecting",
"the",
"consumer",
"price",
"index",
"to",
"increase",
"significantly",
"more",
"than",
"it",
"did",
".",
"But",
"retail",
"energy",
"prices",
"declined",
"0.9",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Though",
"analysts",
"say",
"competition",
"will",
"probably",
"hold",
"down",
"increases",
"in",
"retail",
"energy",
"prices",
",",
"many",
"expect",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"wholesale",
"rise",
"to",
"be",
"passed",
"along",
"to",
"the",
"consumer",
"before",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Still",
",",
"some",
"analysts",
"insisted",
"that",
"the",
"worst",
"of",
"the",
"inflation",
"is",
"behind",
".",
"``",
"It",
"increasingly",
"appears",
"that",
"1987-88",
"was",
"a",
"temporary",
"inflation",
"blip",
"and",
"not",
"the",
"beginning",
"of",
"a",
"cyclical",
"inflation",
"problem",
",",
"''",
"argued",
"Edward",
"Yardeni",
",",
"chief",
"economist",
"at",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
"Inc.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"In",
"both",
"1987",
"and",
"1988",
",",
"consumer",
"prices",
"rose",
"4.4",
"%",
".",
"A",
"run-up",
"in",
"world",
"oil",
"prices",
"last",
"winter",
"sent",
"consumer",
"prices",
"soaring",
"at",
"a",
"6.7",
"%",
"annual",
"rate",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"five",
"months",
"of",
"this",
"year",
",",
"but",
"the",
"subsequent",
"decline",
"in",
"energy",
"prices",
"has",
"pulled",
"the",
"annual",
"rate",
"back",
"down",
"to",
"4.4",
"%",
".",
"Mr.",
"Yardeni",
"predicted",
"that",
"world",
"business",
"competition",
"will",
"continue",
"to",
"restrain",
"prices",
".",
"``",
"The",
"bottom",
"line",
"is",
",",
"it",
"seems",
"to",
"me",
"that",
"the",
"economic",
"environment",
"has",
"become",
"very",
",",
"very",
"competitve",
"for",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"businesses",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"Back",
"in",
"1987-88",
",",
"business",
"was",
"operating",
"at",
"fairly",
"tight",
"capacity",
",",
"so",
"businesses",
"felt",
"they",
"could",
"raise",
"prices",
".",
"''",
"Now",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"a",
"slowdown",
"in",
"economic",
"activity",
"has",
"slackened",
"demand",
".",
"The",
"mild",
"inflation",
"figures",
"renewed",
"investors",
"'",
"hopes",
"that",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"will",
"ease",
"its",
"interest-rate",
"stance",
".",
"The",
"steep",
"climb",
"in",
"producer",
"prices",
"reported",
"last",
"Friday",
"fostered",
"pessimism",
"about",
"lower",
"interest",
"rates",
"and",
"contributed",
"to",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"6.9",
"%",
"plunge",
"that",
"day",
".",
"In",
"the",
"past",
"several",
"days",
",",
"however",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"'s",
"central",
"bank",
"has",
"allowed",
"a",
"key",
"interest",
"rate",
"to",
"fall",
"slightly",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"stabilize",
"the",
"markets",
".",
"Analysts",
"say",
"Fed",
"policy",
"makers",
"have",
"been",
"wary",
"of",
"relaxing",
"credit",
"too",
"much",
"because",
"they",
"were",
"still",
"uncertain",
"about",
"the",
"level",
"of",
"inflation",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
".",
"Excluding",
"the",
"volatile",
"categories",
"of",
"energy",
"and",
"food",
"--",
"leaving",
"what",
"some",
"economists",
"call",
"the",
"core",
"inflation",
"rate",
"--",
"consumer",
"prices",
"still",
"rose",
"only",
"0.2",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Transportation",
"costs",
"actually",
"fell",
"0.5",
"%",
",",
"and",
"housing",
"costs",
"gained",
"only",
"0.1",
"%",
".",
"Apparel",
"prices",
"rocketed",
"up",
"1.7",
"%",
",",
"but",
"that",
"was",
"after",
"three",
"months",
"of",
"declines",
".",
"Medical",
"costs",
"continued",
"their",
"steep",
"ascent",
",",
"rising",
"0.8",
"%",
"after",
"four",
"consecutive",
"months",
"of",
"0.7",
"%",
"increases",
".",
"Car",
"prices",
",",
"another",
"area",
"that",
"contributed",
"to",
"the",
"steep",
"rise",
"in",
"the",
"wholesale",
"index",
"last",
"month",
",",
"still",
"showed",
"declines",
"at",
"the",
"consumer",
"level",
".",
"They",
"dropped",
"0.4",
"%",
"as",
"dealers",
"continued",
"to",
"offer",
"rebates",
"to",
"attract",
"customers",
".",
"Food",
"prices",
"rose",
"0.2",
"%",
"for",
"the",
"second",
"month",
"in",
"a",
"row",
",",
"far",
"slower",
"than",
"the",
"monthly",
"rises",
"earlier",
"in",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Separately",
",",
"the",
"Labor",
"Department",
"reported",
"that",
"average",
"weekly",
"earnings",
"rose",
"0.3",
"%",
"in",
"September",
",",
"after",
"adjusting",
"for",
"inflation",
",",
"following",
"a",
"0.7",
"%",
"decline",
"in",
"August",
".",
"All",
"the",
"numbers",
"are",
"adjusted",
"for",
"seasonal",
"fluctuations",
".",
"Here",
"are",
"the",
"seasonally",
"adjusted",
"changes",
"in",
"the",
"components",
"of",
"the",
"Labor",
"Department",
"'s",
"consumer",
"price",
"index",
"for",
"September",
"."
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[
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"businesses",
"for",
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"reasons",
".",
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"a",
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"to",
"fill",
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"records",
"is",
"rarely",
"one",
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"them",
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"of",
"change",
".",
"Last",
"week",
",",
"Sen.",
"Malcolm",
"Wallop",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"Wyo",
".",
")",
"held",
"hearings",
"on",
"a",
"bill",
"to",
"strengthen",
"an",
"existing",
"law",
"designed",
"to",
"reduce",
"regulatory",
"hassles",
"for",
"small",
"businesses",
".",
"``",
"A",
"great",
"many",
"federal",
"regulations",
"are",
"meant",
"for",
"larger",
"entities",
"and",
"do",
"n't",
"really",
"apply",
"to",
"small",
"businesses",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Marian",
"Jacob",
",",
"a",
"legislative",
"aide",
"to",
"Sen.",
"Wallop",
".",
"Other",
"lawmakers",
"are",
"busy",
"trying",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"recently",
"lapsed",
"Paperwork",
"Reduction",
"Act",
",",
"which",
"many",
"feel",
"benefited",
"small",
"enterprises",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"optimistic",
"entrepreneurs",
"await",
"a",
"promised",
"land",
"of",
"less",
"red",
"tape",
"--",
"just",
"as",
"soon",
"as",
"Uncle",
"Sam",
"gets",
"around",
"to",
"arranging",
"it",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"they",
"tackle",
"the",
"mounds",
"of",
"paper",
"--",
"and",
"fantasize",
"about",
"a",
"dream",
"world",
"where",
"bulk-mail",
"postal",
"regulations",
"and",
"government",
"inspectors",
"are",
"banished",
".",
"To",
"find",
"out",
"what",
"red",
"tape",
"riles",
"entrepreneurs",
"most",
",",
"the",
"Journal",
"asked",
"a",
"completely",
"unscientific",
",",
"random",
"sample",
"of",
"business",
"owners",
"to",
"fantasize",
"about",
"the",
"forms",
"and",
"regulations",
"they",
"would",
"most",
"like",
"to",
"get",
"lost",
"in",
"the",
"mail",
".",
"Some",
"entrepreneurs",
"say",
"the",
"red",
"tape",
"they",
"most",
"love",
"to",
"hate",
"is",
"red",
"tape",
"they",
"would",
"also",
"hate",
"to",
"lose",
".",
"They",
"concede",
"that",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"government",
"meddling",
"that",
"torments",
"them",
"is",
"essential",
"to",
"the",
"public",
"good",
",",
"and",
"even",
"to",
"their",
"own",
"businesses",
".",
"Rules",
"that",
"set",
"standards",
"for",
"products",
"or",
"govern",
"business",
"behavior",
",",
"generally",
"the",
"best",
"regarded",
"form",
"of",
"red",
"tape",
",",
"``",
"create",
"a",
"level",
"playing",
"field",
"and",
"keep",
"unscrupulous",
"competitors",
"away",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Sidney",
"West",
",",
"president",
"of",
"TechDesign",
"International",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Springfield",
",",
"Va.",
",",
"business",
"that",
"designs",
"telecommunication",
"and",
"other",
"products",
".",
"Mr.",
"West",
"cites",
"the",
"Federal",
"Communications",
"Commission",
"and",
"its",
"standards",
"for",
"telecommunications",
"equipment",
":",
"``",
"They",
"monitor",
"product",
"quality",
"and",
"prevent",
"junk",
"from",
"flooding",
"the",
"market",
".",
"''",
"Some",
"gripes",
"about",
"red",
"tape",
"are",
"predictable",
":",
"Architects",
"complain",
"about",
"a",
"host",
"of",
"building",
"regulations",
",",
"auto",
"leasing",
"companies",
"about",
"car",
"insurance",
"rules",
".",
"Determining",
"when",
"handicapped",
"access",
"is",
"required",
"can",
"be",
"a",
"nightmare",
"for",
"architects",
",",
"says",
"Mark",
"Dooling",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Dooling",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"a",
"Newton",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"architectural",
"firm",
".",
"There",
"is",
"such",
"a",
"maze",
"of",
"federal",
",",
"state",
"and",
"local",
"codes",
"that",
"``",
"building",
"inspectors",
"are",
"backing",
"away",
"from",
"interpreting",
"them",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Dooling",
"says",
".",
"Taxi",
",",
"leasing",
"and",
"other",
"companies",
"that",
"maintain",
"fleets",
"of",
"vehicles",
"devote",
"substantial",
"resources",
"to",
"complying",
"with",
"state",
"insurance",
"laws",
"and",
"a",
"host",
"of",
"agencies",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"very",
"costly",
"and",
"time-consuming",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Phil",
"Rosen",
",",
"a",
"partner",
"in",
"Fleet",
"&",
"Leasing",
"Management",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Boston",
"car-leasing",
"company",
".",
"One",
"senior",
"executive",
"at",
"his",
"firm",
"spends",
"nearly",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"his",
"time",
"on",
"insurance",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Other",
"forms",
"of",
"red",
"tape",
"are",
"more",
"pervasive",
".",
"The",
"most",
"onerous",
",",
"many",
"entrepreneurs",
"say",
",",
"is",
"the",
"record-keeping",
"and",
"filing",
"required",
"by",
"tax",
"authorities",
".",
"Complying",
"with",
"environmental",
"and",
"workplace",
"regulations",
"runs",
"a",
"close",
"second",
".",
"But",
"gripes",
"run",
"the",
"gamut",
".",
"Here",
"is",
"the",
"red",
"tape",
"that",
"irks",
"surveyed",
"business",
"owners",
"the",
"most",
":",
"ENVIRONMENTAL",
"REGULATIONS",
":",
"Next",
"to",
"medical",
"insurance",
",",
"``",
"costs",
"of",
"compliance",
"''",
"are",
"the",
"fastest-growing",
"expense",
"at",
"Impco",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Providence",
",",
"R.I.",
",",
"chemical",
"company",
".",
"Peter",
"Gebhard",
",",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"owner",
",",
"says",
"spending",
"on",
"regulatory",
"paper",
"work",
"and",
"the",
"people",
"to",
"do",
"it",
"--",
"mostly",
"to",
"comply",
"with",
"federal",
",",
"state",
"and",
"local",
"environmental",
"laws",
"--",
"will",
"rise",
"almost",
"30",
"%",
"this",
"year",
"to",
"$",
"100,000",
".",
"Mr.",
"Gebhard",
"adds",
"that",
"spending",
"on",
"environmental",
"red",
"tape",
"amounts",
"to",
"between",
"6.5",
"%",
"and",
"7.5",
"%",
"of",
"Impco",
"'s",
"total",
"operating",
"expenses",
".",
"Eastern",
"Reproduction",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"Waltham",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"thin",
"metal",
"precision",
"parts",
",",
"must",
"report",
"to",
"five",
"federal",
"and",
"state",
"agencies",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"to",
"local",
"fire",
",",
"police",
",",
"hospital",
"and",
"plumbing",
"authorities",
",",
"says",
"Robert",
"Maguire",
",",
"president",
".",
"One",
"state",
"environmental",
"regulator",
"returned",
"a",
"report",
"because",
"``",
"it",
"was",
"n't",
"heavy",
"enough",
",",
"it",
"could",
"n't",
"have",
"been",
"correct",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Maguire",
"says",
".",
"WITHHOLDING",
"RULES",
":",
"Employers",
"must",
"deposit",
"withholding",
"taxes",
"exceeding",
"$",
"3,000",
"within",
"three",
"days",
"after",
"payroll",
"--",
"or",
"pay",
"stiff",
"penalties",
"--",
"and",
"that",
"'s",
"a",
"big",
"problem",
"for",
"small",
"businesses",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"especially",
"nettlesome",
"``",
"if",
"you",
"'re",
"on",
"the",
"road",
"and",
"you",
"'re",
"the",
"one",
"responsible",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Eddie",
"Brown",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Brown",
"Capital",
"Management",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Baltimore",
"money-management",
"firm",
".",
"EMPLOYEE",
"MANUALS",
":",
"Revising",
"employee",
"manuals",
"on",
"pensions",
",",
"health",
"care",
"and",
"other",
"subjects",
"costs",
"over",
"$",
"25,000",
"a",
"year",
"for",
"Bert",
"Giguiere",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Professional",
"Agricultural",
"Management",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Fresno",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"provider",
"of",
"business",
"services",
"to",
"farmers",
".",
"An",
"employer",
"leaves",
"itself",
"open",
"to",
"a",
"great",
"deal",
"of",
"liability",
"if",
"its",
"employee",
"manuals",
"do",
"n't",
"reflect",
"the",
"most",
"recent",
"laws",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"But",
"the",
"ever-changing",
"laws",
"are",
"usually",
"so",
"complicated",
"and",
"confusing",
"that",
"``",
"you",
"need",
"professionals",
"to",
"help",
"you",
";",
"you",
"ca",
"n't",
"do",
"it",
"yourself",
",",
"''",
"he",
"adds",
".",
"PENSION",
"AND",
"PROFIT-SHARING",
"RULES",
":",
"Complying",
"with",
"these",
"is",
"enough",
"to",
"make",
"business",
"owners",
"look",
"forward",
"to",
"their",
"own",
"pension",
"days",
".",
"Yearly",
"changes",
"in",
"federal",
"benefit",
"laws",
"force",
"small",
"businesses",
"to",
"repeatedly",
"re-evaluate",
"and",
"redesign",
"existing",
"plans",
".",
"Alice",
"Fixx",
",",
"who",
"runs",
"her",
"own",
"public-relations",
"concern",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"says",
"she",
"has",
"had",
"to",
"overhaul",
"her",
"pension",
"and",
"profit-sharing",
"plans",
"three",
"times",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"three",
"years",
".",
"``",
"It",
"does",
"n't",
"increase",
"benefits",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"costly",
"and",
"time-consuming",
",",
"''",
"Ms.",
"Fixx",
"says",
".",
"Compliance",
"added",
"15",
"%",
"to",
"20",
"%",
"to",
"her",
"accounting",
"bill",
"last",
"year",
",",
"she",
"says",
".",
"SALES",
"TAX",
"RECORDS",
":",
"Advertising",
"agencies",
"and",
"other",
"service",
"companies",
"are",
"exempt",
"from",
"city",
"and",
"state",
"sales",
"tax",
"in",
"most",
"locales",
"--",
"but",
"the",
"exemption",
"comes",
"at",
"a",
"price",
"of",
"exhaustive",
"records",
"and",
"rigorous",
"reviews",
".",
"To",
"justify",
"their",
"exempt",
"status",
"and",
"avoid",
"penalties",
",",
"these",
"businesses",
"must",
"show",
"once",
"a",
"year",
"that",
"each",
"and",
"every",
"transaction",
"on",
"which",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"pay",
"sales",
"tax",
"was",
"a",
"legitimate",
"business",
"expense",
".",
"``",
"You",
"need",
"one",
"person",
"to",
"just",
"take",
"care",
"of",
"sales",
"tax",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jennie",
"Tong",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Lee",
"Liu",
"&",
"Tong",
"Advertising",
"Inc.",
",",
"New",
"York",
"."
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[
"Columbia",
"Savings",
"&",
"Loan",
"Association",
",",
"reeling",
"from",
"thrift-accounting",
"changes",
"mandated",
"by",
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"and",
"the",
"recent",
"collapse",
"of",
"the",
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"market",
",",
"announced",
"a",
"loss",
"for",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"of",
"$",
"226.3",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"11.57",
"a",
"share",
".",
"For",
"the",
"quarter",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
",",
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"reported",
"earnings",
"of",
"$",
"16.3",
"million",
",",
"or",
"37",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
".",
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"assets",
"increased",
"to",
"$",
"12.7",
"billion",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"quarter",
"from",
"$",
"12.4",
"billion",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"The",
"loss",
"stems",
"from",
"$",
"357.5",
"million",
"of",
"write-downs",
"on",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"$",
"4.4",
"billion",
"high-yield",
"investment",
"securities",
"portfolio",
",",
"which",
"includes",
"about",
"$",
"3.7",
"billion",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"$",
"400",
"million",
"of",
"preferred",
"stock",
",",
"and",
"Treasury",
"securities",
".",
"Columbia",
"owes",
"its",
"spectacular",
"growth",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
"to",
"its",
"junk-bond",
"portfolio",
",",
"the",
"largest",
"of",
"any",
"U.S.",
"thrift",
".",
"Much",
"of",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"junk-bond",
"trading",
"has",
"been",
"done",
"through",
"the",
"high-yield",
"department",
"of",
"its",
"Beverly",
"Hills",
"neighbor",
",",
"Drexel",
"Burnham",
"Lambert",
"Inc",
".",
"For",
"the",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"losses",
"totaled",
"$",
"212",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"10.83",
"a",
"share",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"net",
"income",
"of",
"$",
"48.7",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.11",
"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"The",
"results",
"include",
"a",
"$",
"130.2",
"million",
"write-down",
"of",
"the",
"securities",
"in",
"the",
"high-yield",
"portfolio",
"to",
"the",
"lower",
"of",
"their",
"cost",
"or",
"market",
"value",
".",
"Columbia",
"also",
"added",
"$",
"227.3",
"million",
"to",
"reserves",
"for",
"losses",
"on",
"the",
"portfolio",
",",
"increasing",
"general",
"reserves",
"to",
"$",
"300",
"million",
",",
"or",
"about",
"6.7",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"total",
"portfolio",
",",
"as",
"of",
"Sept.",
"30",
".",
"On",
"June",
"30",
",",
"loss",
"reserves",
"stood",
"at",
"$",
"108.3",
"million",
".",
"Thrift",
"officials",
"said",
"the",
"$",
"300",
"million",
"reserve",
"will",
"be",
"adjusted",
"quarterly",
"and",
"will",
"reflect",
"the",
"rate",
"of",
"dispositions",
"and",
"market",
"conditions",
".",
"The",
"adjustments",
"result",
"from",
"the",
"recently",
"passed",
"thrift-industry",
"bailout",
"legislation",
",",
"which",
"requires",
"thrifts",
"to",
"divest",
"all",
"high-yield",
"bond",
"investments",
"by",
"1994",
".",
"Previously",
",",
"Columbia",
"did",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
"adjust",
"the",
"book",
"value",
"of",
"its",
"junk-bond",
"holdings",
"to",
"reflect",
"declines",
"in",
"market",
"prices",
",",
"because",
"it",
"held",
"the",
"bonds",
"as",
"long-term",
"investments",
".",
"Because",
"Columbia",
"now",
"must",
"sell",
"the",
"bonds",
"within",
"five",
"years",
",",
"accounting",
"rules",
"require",
"the",
"thrift",
"to",
"value",
"the",
"bonds",
"at",
"the",
"lower",
"of",
"cost",
"or",
"market",
"prices",
".",
"For",
"its",
"future",
"strategy",
",",
"Columbia",
"officials",
"said",
"the",
"thrift",
"may",
"branch",
"out",
"into",
"commercial",
"lending",
"or",
"managing",
"outside",
"investments",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"beefing",
"up",
"more",
"traditional",
"thrift",
"activities",
".",
"The",
"quarterly",
"results",
"also",
"reflected",
"$",
"21.4",
"million",
"in",
"non-recurring",
"losses",
"from",
"commercial",
"real-estate",
"activities",
"in",
"California",
".",
"Thomas",
"Spiegel",
",",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"chairman",
",",
"said",
"in",
"a",
"statement",
"that",
"the",
"thrift",
"was",
"``",
"disappointed",
"''",
"by",
"the",
"effects",
"of",
"the",
"accounting",
"changes",
".",
"But",
"he",
"said",
"Columbia",
"remains",
"``",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"strongly",
"capitalized",
"thrifts",
"in",
"the",
"industry",
",",
"''",
"based",
"on",
"the",
"economic",
"value",
"of",
"its",
"assets",
"and",
"tangible",
"capital",
".",
"Columbia",
"announced",
"the",
"results",
"after",
"the",
"close",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"Its",
"shares",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"5.125",
"each",
"in",
"composite",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"trading",
",",
"down",
"37.5",
"cents",
".",
"The",
"price",
"of",
"Columbia",
"shares",
"has",
"been",
"cut",
"nearly",
"in",
"half",
"since",
"August",
",",
"when",
"they",
"traded",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"10",
",",
"as",
"investors",
"apparently",
"realized",
"that",
"the",
"thrift",
"would",
"be",
"forced",
"to",
"take",
"a",
"big",
"write-down",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"'s",
"decline",
"accelerated",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"weeks",
",",
"from",
"a",
"price",
"of",
"$",
"8",
"a",
"share",
"on",
"Oct.",
"9",
".",
"Columbia",
"officials",
"said",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"know",
"how",
"quickly",
"they",
"will",
"dispose",
"of",
"the",
"thrift",
"'s",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"because",
"federal",
"regulations",
",",
"such",
"as",
"those",
"that",
"would",
"allow",
"thrifts",
"to",
"continue",
"holding",
"the",
"bonds",
"in",
"separately",
"capitalized",
"subsidiaries",
",",
"have",
"n't",
"yet",
"been",
"completed",
".",
"Columbia",
"officials",
"also",
"said",
"the",
"thrift",
"should",
"n't",
"face",
"problems",
"meeting",
"regulatory",
"capital",
"requirements",
",",
"despite",
"the",
"large",
"reserves",
"and",
"write-downs",
"and",
"stiffer",
"regulatory",
"requirements",
"that",
"should",
"be",
"in",
"place",
"by",
"year",
"'s",
"end",
".",
"Its",
"ratio",
"of",
"tangible",
"equity",
"to",
"total",
"assets",
"as",
"of",
"Sept.",
"30",
"was",
"3.6",
"%",
",",
"and",
"total",
"equity",
"was",
"$",
"457.9",
"million",
".",
"The",
"thrift",
"emphasized",
"that",
"it",
"has",
"a",
"large",
"portfolio",
"of",
"equity",
"securities",
"issued",
"in",
"connection",
"with",
"corporate",
"restructurings",
"and",
"leveraged",
"buy-outs",
",",
"which",
"has",
"a",
"book",
"value",
"of",
"$",
"90",
"million",
".",
"Although",
"many",
"of",
"the",
"transactions",
"related",
"to",
"those",
"securities",
"have",
"n't",
"been",
"completed",
",",
"Columbia",
"said",
"the",
"ultimate",
"gain",
"on",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"those",
"assets",
"will",
"range",
"from",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"300",
"million",
".",
"Columbia",
"also",
"has",
"unrealized",
"gains",
"in",
"its",
"public",
"equity",
"securities",
"portfolio",
"of",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"70",
"million",
".",
"David",
"B.",
"Hilder",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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[
"This",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"week",
"of",
"stunning",
"events",
"behind",
"what",
"was",
"once",
"called",
"the",
"Iron",
"Curtain",
"and",
"interesting",
"shifts",
"in",
"official",
"American",
"policy",
"toward",
"Moscow",
".",
"It",
"has",
"also",
"been",
"a",
"week",
"when",
"inside-the-beltway",
"Washington",
"has",
"had",
"a",
"high",
"old",
"time",
"gnawing",
"over",
"ex-President",
"Reagan",
"'s",
"multimillion-dollar",
"junket",
"in",
"Japan",
".",
"The",
"latter",
"may",
"seem",
"oddly",
"irrelevant",
",",
"if",
"not",
"downright",
"trivial",
",",
"given",
"the",
"big",
"picture",
"and",
"the",
"way",
"we",
"have",
"handled",
"it",
"in",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"capital",
"has",
"done",
"nothing",
"to",
"dispel",
"that",
"impression",
".",
"In",
"fact",
",",
"however",
",",
"Mr.",
"Reagan",
"'s",
"casual",
"debasement",
"of",
"the",
"office",
"he",
"so",
"recently",
"held",
"raises",
"issues",
"about",
"which",
"Americans",
"can",
"actually",
"do",
"something",
".",
"Our",
"ability",
"to",
"influence",
"the",
"outcome",
"of",
"events",
"in",
"Eastern",
"Europe",
"and",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"is",
"far",
"more",
"marginal",
".",
"Those",
"events",
"continue",
"to",
"move",
"at",
"a",
"rate",
",",
"and",
"in",
"a",
"direction",
",",
"which",
"leave",
"informed",
"commentary",
"--",
"let",
"alone",
"policy",
"--",
"far",
"in",
"their",
"wake",
".",
"Earlier",
"this",
"week",
",",
"Soviet",
"Foreign",
"Minister",
"Eduard",
"A.",
"Shevardnadze",
"confessed",
"that",
"the",
"U.S.S.R.",
"ignored",
"universal",
"human",
"values",
"by",
"invading",
"Afghanistan",
"and",
",",
"to",
"put",
"it",
"bluntly",
",",
"``",
"engaged",
"in",
"a",
"violation",
"of",
"the",
"ABM",
"Treaty",
"''",
"by",
"building",
"its",
"radar",
"station",
"at",
"Krasnoyarsk",
".",
"Hungary",
"is",
"no",
"longer",
"a",
"``",
"Socialist",
"Peoples",
"''",
"republic",
",",
"the",
"Communist",
"Party",
"no",
"longer",
"has",
"automatic",
"delegates",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.S.R.",
"'s",
"Congress",
"of",
"Peoples",
"Deputies",
"and",
"Egon",
"Krenz",
"was",
"not",
"backed",
"unanimously",
"by",
"his",
"fellow",
"party",
"functionaries",
"when",
"he",
"took",
"over",
"as",
"East",
"Germany",
"'s",
"new",
"maximum",
"leader",
".",
"All",
"of",
"that",
"is",
"just",
"for",
"starters",
",",
"or",
"so",
"the",
"hundreds",
"of",
"thousands",
"of",
"Eastern",
"Europeans",
"in",
"the",
"streets",
"seem",
"to",
"hope",
"and",
"are",
"certainly",
"demanding",
".",
"Of",
"like",
",",
"though",
"lesser",
",",
"note",
",",
"Secretary",
"of",
"State",
"James",
"Baker",
"put",
"the",
"administration",
"four-square",
"behind",
"perestroika",
"and",
"glasnost",
",",
"and",
"therefore",
"behind",
"Mikhail",
"Gorbachev",
",",
"in",
"a",
"pair",
"of",
"carefully",
"reasoned",
"speeches",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"week",
"or",
"so",
".",
"And",
",",
"last",
"but",
"not",
"least",
",",
"President",
"George",
"Bush",
"now",
"views",
"the",
"changes",
"in",
"Eastern",
"Europe",
"as",
"``",
"absolutely",
"extraordinary",
"''",
"and",
"believes",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Krenz",
"``",
"ca",
"n't",
"turn",
"the",
"clock",
"back",
"''",
"in",
"East",
"Germany",
"because",
"the",
"change",
"is",
"too",
"inexorable",
",",
"''",
"as",
"he",
"told",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Times",
"'s",
"R.W.",
"Apple",
"Jr",
".",
"(",
"In",
"other",
"words",
",",
"after",
"some",
"highly",
"visible",
"dithering",
"and",
"public",
"airing",
"of",
"differences",
",",
"the",
"administration",
"has",
"come",
"down",
"on",
"the",
"side",
"of",
"those",
"who",
"believe",
"that",
"what",
"we",
"are",
"witnessing",
"from",
"Berlin",
"to",
"Siberia",
"is",
"a",
"good",
"thing",
"to",
"be",
"welcomed",
",",
"rather",
"than",
"a",
"new",
"thing",
"to",
"be",
"feared",
"or",
"viewed",
"with",
"suspicion",
".",
")",
"All",
"of",
"this",
"is",
"what",
"history",
"will",
"note",
",",
"assuming",
"that",
"events",
"do",
"n't",
"make",
"it",
"seem",
"a",
"bad",
"joke",
",",
"when",
"the",
"record",
"of",
"this",
"time",
"is",
"put",
"down",
".",
"For",
"journalists",
",",
"however",
",",
"who",
"write",
"what",
"they",
"fondly",
"view",
"as",
"history",
"'s",
"first",
"draft",
",",
"this",
"has",
"also",
"been",
"a",
"week",
"to",
"give",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"space",
"and",
"time",
"to",
"Ron",
"and",
"Nancy",
"'s",
"sales",
"appearance",
"in",
"Japan",
"on",
"behalf",
"of",
"a",
"communications",
"giant",
"and",
"its",
"controversial",
"founder",
".",
"It",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"well-paid",
"transaction",
",",
"this",
"bartering",
"away",
"of",
"the",
"prestige",
"of",
"the",
"republic",
"'s",
"highest",
"office",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"industrialist",
"has",
"coughed",
"up",
"at",
"least",
"$",
"2",
"million",
",",
"the",
"Japanese",
"government",
"has",
"put",
"up",
"just",
"about",
"as",
"much",
",",
"or",
"so",
"it",
"is",
"reported",
"and",
"at",
"least",
"one",
"estimate",
"puts",
"the",
"total",
"tab",
"at",
"$",
"7",
"million",
".",
"All",
"of",
"which",
"has",
"enabled",
"those",
"of",
"us",
"in",
"Washington",
"who",
"enjoy",
"wallowing",
"in",
"such",
"things",
"to",
"go",
"into",
"high",
"public",
"dudgeon",
",",
"as",
"Mr.",
"Apple",
"and",
"I",
"did",
"the",
"other",
"night",
"on",
"ABC",
"'s",
"``",
"Nightline",
".",
"''",
"Punching",
"away",
",",
"we",
"raised",
"what",
"I",
"still",
"think",
"were",
"all",
"the",
"right",
"issues",
"and",
"landed",
"more",
"than",
"one",
"hard",
"blow",
",",
"but",
"at",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"affair",
",",
"there",
"was",
"just",
"the",
"tiniest",
"nagging",
"worry",
"that",
"we",
"had",
"been",
"aiming",
"at",
"the",
"wrong",
"target",
".",
"As",
"one",
"of",
"his",
"defenders",
"so",
"aptly",
"put",
"it",
",",
"President",
"Reagan",
"was",
"simply",
"doing",
"what",
"he",
"had",
"always",
"done",
"before",
"his",
"election",
"(",
"and",
"some",
"would",
"say",
"thereafter",
"as",
"well",
")",
".",
"He",
"was",
"performing",
"for",
"pay",
",",
"and",
"why",
"should",
"anyone",
"expect",
"anything",
"more",
"?",
"Primarily",
"because",
"there",
"'s",
"more",
"to",
"the",
"matter",
"than",
"Ronald",
"Reagan",
"'s",
"personal",
"values",
",",
"or",
"lack",
"of",
"them",
".",
"Selling",
"the",
"presidency",
"for",
"a",
"mess",
"of",
"pottage",
"is",
"not",
"so",
"much",
"a",
"devaluation",
"from",
"the",
"norm",
"of",
"public",
"life",
"today",
"as",
"it",
"is",
"a",
"reflection",
"of",
"the",
"disintegration",
"of",
"public",
"standards",
".",
"The",
"theme",
"song",
"for",
"the",
"1980s",
"has",
"been",
",",
"``",
"Anything",
"Goes",
",",
"''",
"and",
"it",
"has",
"been",
"whistled",
"with",
"gusto",
"from",
"Wall",
"Street",
"to",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"highest",
"peaks",
"of",
"televangelism",
".",
"There",
"are",
"those",
"who",
"say",
"that",
"this",
"is",
"nothing",
"new",
",",
"that",
"America",
"has",
"always",
"suffered",
"from",
"a",
"bad",
"case",
"of",
"schizophrenia",
"when",
"it",
"comes",
"to",
"the",
"dichotomy",
"between",
"what",
"is",
"professed",
"and",
"what",
"is",
"practiced",
".",
"There",
"is",
"evidence",
"to",
"support",
"that",
"view",
".",
"Eighty-three",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"William",
"James",
"wrote",
"to",
"H.G.",
"Wells",
":",
"``",
"The",
"moral",
"flabbiness",
"born",
"of",
"the",
"exclusive",
"worship",
"of",
"the",
"bitch",
"goddess",
"success",
"...",
"that",
",",
"with",
"the",
"squalid",
"cash",
"interpretation",
"put",
"on",
"the",
"word",
"success",
",",
"is",
"our",
"national",
"disease",
".",
"''",
"But",
"if",
"it",
"was",
"the",
"national",
"disease",
"in",
"1906",
",",
"it",
"is",
"today",
"the",
"national",
"commonplace",
".",
"If",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"law",
"against",
"it",
",",
"do",
"it",
".",
"If",
"the",
"law",
"leaves",
"loopholes",
",",
"use",
"them",
".",
"If",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"moral",
"prohibition",
"that",
"expressly",
"forbids",
"it",
",",
"full",
"speed",
"ahead",
".",
"And",
"if",
"you",
"are",
"caught",
"or",
"if",
"people",
"complain",
",",
"simply",
"argue",
"that",
"``",
"everyone",
"does",
"it",
"''",
"or",
"``",
"no",
"one",
"said",
"I",
"should",
"n't",
"''",
"and",
"brazen",
"it",
"out",
".",
"As",
"a",
"last",
"recourse",
",",
"when",
"all",
"else",
"has",
"failed",
"and",
"you",
"are",
"pinned",
",",
"apologize",
"for",
"having",
"disappointed",
"those",
"who",
"trusted",
"you",
"but",
"deny",
"having",
"actually",
"done",
"anything",
"wrong",
".",
"(",
"See",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"Jim",
"Bakker",
"'s",
"remarks",
"upon",
"being",
"sentenced",
"to",
"prison",
"this",
"Tuesday",
"for",
"defrauding",
"the",
"faithful",
".",
")",
"Consider",
"the",
"troubling",
"dissonance",
"between",
"Mr.",
"Shevardnadze",
"'s",
"speech",
"of",
"confession",
"this",
"week",
"and",
"the",
"hang-tough",
"defense",
"of",
"everyone",
"concerned",
"with",
"the",
"Iran-Contra",
"affair",
".",
"The",
"Soviet",
"foreign",
"minister",
"publicly",
"concedes",
"that",
"his",
"government",
"``",
"violated",
"norms",
"of",
"behavior",
"''",
"in",
"Afghanistan",
"and",
"just",
"plain",
"lied",
"about",
"the",
"radar",
"station",
".",
"We",
"have",
"people",
"in",
"high",
"place",
"still",
"lying",
"through",
"their",
"teeth",
"about",
"Iran-Contra",
",",
"and",
"that",
"apparently",
"is",
"n't",
"going",
"to",
"change",
".",
"For",
"that",
"matter",
",",
"those",
"long",
"ago",
"identified",
"as",
"liars",
"are",
"still",
"given",
"respectful",
"hearings",
"in",
"the",
"press",
".",
"That",
"is",
"the",
"key",
"to",
"the",
"current",
"``",
"national",
"disease",
".",
"''",
"No",
"one",
"seems",
"willing",
"to",
"hold",
"anyone",
"in",
"public",
"life",
"to",
"a",
"standard",
"higher",
"than",
"the",
"narrowest",
"construction",
"of",
"the",
"law",
".",
"The",
"occasional",
"media",
"witch",
"hunt",
"about",
"some",
"politician",
"'s",
"private",
"peccadilloes",
"notwithstanding",
",",
"the",
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"inclination",
"is",
"to",
"offer",
"a",
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"the",
"old",
"refrain",
",",
"``",
"Who",
"am",
"I",
"to",
"judge",
"?",
"''",
"Thus",
",",
"no",
"standards",
",",
"no",
"judgment",
"and",
"no",
"values",
".",
"``",
"You",
"are",
"mad",
"because",
"he",
"'s",
"making",
"so",
"much",
"money",
",",
"''",
"say",
"President",
"Reagan",
"'s",
"defenders",
".",
"No",
",",
"we",
"ought",
"to",
"be",
"mad",
"because",
"he",
"has",
"demeaned",
"the",
"office",
"we",
"gave",
"him",
",",
"enlisting",
"it",
"in",
"the",
"service",
"of",
"private",
"gain",
",",
"just",
"as",
"we",
"ought",
"to",
"be",
"mad",
"that",
"public",
"officials",
"lie",
"through",
"their",
"teeth",
",",
"play",
"disingenuous",
"games",
"about",
"their",
"activities",
"or",
",",
"to",
"steal",
"a",
"phrase",
",",
"make",
"public",
"service",
"a",
"private",
"trough",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"not",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"stampeded",
"into",
"overreacting",
"to",
"any",
"of",
"this",
",",
"President",
"Bush",
"told",
"Mr.",
"Apple",
"in",
"this",
"week",
"'s",
"interview",
".",
"He",
"was",
"referring",
"to",
"the",
"``",
"absolutely",
"extraordinary",
"''",
"events",
"in",
"Eastern",
"Europe",
",",
"and",
"it",
"is",
"a",
"defensible",
"position",
".",
"But",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"defense",
"at",
"all",
"for",
"the",
"ethos",
"of",
"the",
"1980s",
".",
"We",
"did",
"n't",
"stampede",
"into",
"it",
",",
"we",
"slithered",
"and",
"slipped",
"down",
"the",
"long",
"slope",
",",
"and",
"now",
"we",
"have",
"as",
"its",
"quintessential",
"symbol",
"a",
"former",
"president",
"huckstering",
"for",
"a",
"foreign",
"poohbah",
".",
"Or",
"perhaps",
"that",
"is",
"a",
"fitting",
"symbol",
"for",
"the",
"United",
"States",
"of",
"1989",
":",
"Everything",
"for",
"sale",
";",
"nothing",
"of",
"real",
"value",
".",
"Mr.",
"Carter",
"is",
"a",
"political",
"commentator",
"who",
"heads",
"a",
"television",
"production",
"firm",
"."
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] |
[
"Hardly",
"a",
"day",
"passes",
"without",
"news",
"photos",
"of",
"the",
"police",
"dragging",
"limp",
"protesters",
"from",
"some",
"building",
"or",
"thoroughfare",
"in",
"one",
"of",
"our",
"cities",
".",
"Of",
"recent",
"note",
"are",
"the",
"activities",
"of",
"the",
"pro-",
"and",
"anti-abortionists",
",",
"anti-nuclear",
"activists",
",",
"animal",
"rights",
"protesters",
",",
"college",
"students",
"concerned",
"about",
"racism",
",",
"anti-apartheid",
"groups",
",",
"various",
"self-styled",
"``",
"environmentalists",
"''",
"and",
"those",
"dissatisfied",
"with",
"the",
"pace",
"of",
"the",
"war",
"against",
"AIDS",
".",
"Maybe",
"he",
"did",
"n't",
"start",
"it",
",",
"but",
"Mohandas",
"Gandhi",
"certainly",
"provided",
"a",
"recognizable",
"beginning",
"to",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"as",
"we",
"know",
"it",
"today",
".",
"The",
"Mahatma",
",",
"or",
"``",
"great",
"souled",
"one",
",",
"''",
"instigated",
"several",
"campaigns",
"of",
"passive",
"resistance",
"against",
"the",
"British",
"government",
"in",
"India",
".",
"Unfortunately",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Webster",
"'s",
"Biographical",
"Dictionary",
",",
"``",
"His",
"policies",
"went",
"beyond",
"his",
"control",
"and",
"resulted",
"...",
"in",
"riots",
"and",
"disturbances",
"''",
"and",
"later",
"a",
"renewed",
"campaign",
"of",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"``",
"resulted",
"in",
"rioting",
"and",
"a",
"second",
"imprisonment",
".",
"''",
"I",
"am",
"not",
"a",
"proponent",
"of",
"everything",
"Gandhi",
"did",
",",
"but",
"some",
"of",
"his",
"law",
"breaking",
"was",
"justified",
"because",
"India",
"was",
"then",
"under",
"occupation",
"by",
"a",
"foreign",
"power",
",",
"and",
"Indians",
"were",
"not",
"able",
"to",
"participate",
"fully",
"in",
"decisions",
"that",
"vitally",
"affected",
"them",
".",
"It",
"is",
"difficult",
",",
"however",
",",
"to",
"justify",
"civil",
"disobedience",
",",
"non-violent",
"or",
"not",
",",
"where",
"citizens",
"have",
"full",
"recourse",
"to",
"the",
"ballot",
"box",
"to",
"effect",
"change",
".",
"Where",
"truly",
"representative",
"governments",
"are",
"safeguarded",
"by",
"constitutional",
"protections",
"of",
"human",
"rights",
"and",
"an",
"independent",
"judiciary",
"to",
"construe",
"those",
"rights",
",",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"excuse",
"for",
"breaking",
"the",
"law",
"because",
"some",
"individual",
"or",
"group",
"disagrees",
"with",
"it",
".",
"There",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"few",
"cases",
"where",
"the",
"law",
"breaking",
"is",
"well",
"pinpointed",
"and",
"so",
"completely",
"non-invasive",
"of",
"the",
"rights",
"of",
"others",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"difficult",
"to",
"criticize",
"it",
".",
"The",
"case",
"of",
"Rosa",
"Parks",
",",
"the",
"black",
"woman",
"who",
"refused",
"to",
"sit",
"at",
"the",
"back",
"of",
"the",
"bus",
",",
"comes",
"to",
"mind",
"as",
"an",
"illustration",
".",
"But",
"most",
"cases",
"of",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"are",
"not",
"nearly",
"so",
"benign",
".",
"The",
"public",
"has",
"a",
"tendency",
"to",
"equate",
"lawful",
"demonstrations",
"with",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
".",
"It",
"is",
"true",
"that",
"both",
"are",
"non-violent",
",",
"but",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"fundamental",
"difference",
"between",
"them",
".",
"Lawful",
"demonstrations",
",",
"such",
"as",
"peaceful",
"picketing",
"and",
"other",
"assemblages",
"that",
"do",
"not",
"disturb",
"the",
"peace",
"or",
"cause",
"a",
"public",
"nuisance",
"or",
"interfere",
"with",
"the",
"rights",
"of",
"others",
",",
"are",
"rights",
"guaranteed",
"by",
"any",
"truly",
"free",
"system",
"of",
"government",
".",
"Civil",
"disobedience",
",",
"violent",
"or",
"non-violent",
",",
"is",
"intentional",
"law",
"breaking",
".",
"The",
"subject",
"of",
"this",
"discussion",
"is",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
";",
"but",
",",
"before",
"we",
"get",
"on",
"with",
"that",
",",
"let",
"me",
"make",
"just",
"a",
"few",
"tangential",
"remarks",
"about",
"lawful",
"demonstrations",
".",
"They",
"are",
"useful",
"to",
"call",
"public",
"attention",
"to",
"grievances",
",",
"but",
"they",
"have",
"little",
"value",
"in",
"educating",
"anyone",
"about",
"the",
"issues",
"in",
"dispute",
".",
"The",
"delight",
"of",
"television",
"in",
"dramatic",
"confrontation",
"encourages",
"overuse",
"of",
"slogans",
"chanted",
"through",
"bullhorns",
",",
"militant",
"gestures",
",",
"accusatory",
"signs",
"and",
"other",
"emotionally",
"inspired",
"tactics",
".",
"Civilized",
"discourse",
"and",
"an",
"environment",
"where",
"compromise",
"can",
"begin",
"are",
"lost",
"in",
"a",
"hostile",
"posture",
"abetted",
"by",
"superficial",
"media",
"interviews",
".",
"At",
"best",
",",
"demonstrations",
"are",
"overused",
"and",
"boringly",
"uninformative",
";",
"at",
"worst",
",",
"they",
"can",
"become",
"the",
"stimuli",
"that",
"lead",
"to",
"law",
"breaking",
".",
"Demonstrations",
"are",
"particularly",
"apt",
"to",
"degenerate",
"into",
"criminal",
"conduct",
"when",
"they",
"leave",
"the",
"site",
"of",
"the",
"grievance",
"and",
"become",
"mobile",
".",
"Petty",
"criminals",
"and",
"street",
"people",
"looking",
"for",
"excitement",
"attach",
"themselves",
"like",
"remora",
"to",
"the",
"fringes",
"of",
"the",
"crowd",
"and",
"use",
"the",
"protest",
"as",
"an",
"excuse",
"for",
"rock",
"throwing",
",",
"auto",
"trashing",
",",
"arson",
",",
"window",
"breaking",
",",
"looting",
",",
"pocket",
"picking",
"and",
"general",
"hooliganism",
".",
"Soon",
"the",
"whole",
"purpose",
"of",
"the",
"demonstration",
"is",
"lost",
"in",
"mob",
"mania",
".",
"There",
"are",
"better",
"ways",
"to",
"promote",
"a",
"cause",
".",
"Where",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"is",
"the",
"centerpiece",
",",
"rather",
"than",
"a",
"lawful",
"demonstration",
"that",
"may",
"only",
"attract",
"crime",
",",
"it",
"is",
"difficult",
"to",
"justify",
".",
"Some",
"find",
"no",
"harm",
"in",
"the",
"misdemeanors",
"of",
"trespass",
",",
"minor",
"property",
"destruction",
",",
"blocking",
"traffic",
"and",
"the",
"like",
".",
"They",
"say",
"these",
"are",
"small",
"prices",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"galvanizing",
"action",
"for",
"the",
"all-important",
"cause",
".",
"The",
"crimes",
"may",
"appear",
"small",
",",
"but",
"the",
"prices",
"can",
"be",
"huge",
".",
"Here",
"are",
"two",
"cases",
"to",
"illustrate",
".",
"Assume",
"a",
"neighborhood",
"demonstration",
"to",
"protest",
"speeding",
"on",
"a",
"certain",
"road",
"or",
"a",
"careless",
"accident",
"involving",
"a",
"police",
"car",
".",
"The",
"protesters",
"lie",
"down",
"in",
"the",
"street",
",",
"blocking",
"traffic",
",",
"and",
"will",
"not",
"move",
"until",
"the",
"authorities",
"carry",
"them",
"away",
".",
"Assume",
"that",
"someone",
"caught",
"in",
"the",
"jam",
"has",
"a",
"heart",
"attack",
".",
"There",
"is",
"no",
"way",
"to",
"get",
"an",
"ambulance",
"in",
"quickly",
"to",
"move",
"him",
"to",
"a",
"hospital",
".",
"He",
"dies",
".",
"The",
"demonstration",
"was",
"non-violent",
"and",
"involved",
"only",
"a",
"simple",
"misdemeanor",
",",
"but",
"its",
"impact",
"on",
"that",
"individual",
"was",
"violent",
"and",
"terminal",
".",
"Assume",
"that",
"a",
"TV",
"network",
"is",
"airing",
"a",
"celebrity",
"interview",
"program",
"with",
"a",
"live",
"audience",
".",
"The",
"politician",
"appearing",
"is",
"highly",
"controversial",
"and",
"has",
"recently",
"generated",
"a",
"good",
"deal",
"of",
"rancor",
"amid",
"certain",
"groups",
".",
"In",
"a",
"planned",
"protest",
"against",
"his",
"appearance",
",",
"several",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"studio",
"audience",
"chain",
"themselves",
"in",
"front",
"of",
"the",
"TV",
"cameras",
"in",
"such",
"a",
"way",
"that",
"the",
"program",
"can",
"not",
"continue",
".",
"The",
"network",
"must",
"refund",
"money",
"to",
"the",
"advertisers",
"and",
"loses",
"considerable",
"revenue",
"and",
"prestige",
".",
"The",
"demonstrators",
"have",
"been",
"non-violent",
",",
"but",
"the",
"result",
"of",
"their",
"trespasses",
"has",
"been",
"to",
"seriously",
"impair",
"the",
"rights",
"of",
"others",
"unconnected",
"with",
"their",
"dispute",
".",
"It",
"might",
"be",
"alleged",
"that",
"TV",
"has",
"done",
"more",
"than",
"its",
"share",
"to",
"popularize",
"and",
"promote",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
",",
"so",
"the",
"second",
"situation",
"hypothesized",
"above",
"would",
"be",
"simply",
"a",
"case",
"of",
"``",
"chickens",
"coming",
"home",
"to",
"roost",
".",
"''",
"Or",
"maybe",
"the",
"TV",
"network",
"would",
"lose",
"nothing",
".",
"Geraldo",
"or",
"Phil",
"would",
"probably",
"pull",
"up",
"another",
"camera",
"and",
"interview",
"the",
"chained",
"protesters",
".",
"Let",
"us",
"look",
"for",
"a",
"moment",
"at",
"another",
"type",
"of",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"that",
"only",
"harms",
"other",
"people",
"indirectly",
",",
"yet",
"does",
"irreparable",
"damage",
"to",
"the",
"nation",
"as",
"a",
"whole",
".",
"I",
"am",
"referring",
"to",
"those",
"young",
"men",
"who",
"chose",
"to",
"disobey",
"their",
"country",
"'s",
"call",
"to",
"arms",
"during",
"the",
"Vietnam",
"war",
"and",
"fled",
"to",
"Canada",
"or",
"some",
"other",
"sanctuary",
"to",
"avoid",
"combat",
".",
"Their",
"cowardly",
"acts",
"of",
"civil",
"disobedience",
",",
"which",
"they",
"tried",
"to",
"hide",
"under",
"the",
"cloak",
"of",
"outrage",
"at",
"a",
"war",
"they",
"characterized",
"as",
"``",
"immoral",
",",
"''",
"weakened",
"the",
"national",
"fabric",
"and",
"threw",
"additional",
"burdens",
"on",
"those",
"who",
"served",
"honorably",
"in",
"that",
"conflict",
".",
"Even",
"more",
"at",
"fault",
"are",
"those",
"leaders",
"in",
"and",
"out",
"of",
"government",
"who",
"urged",
"and",
"supported",
"their",
"defections",
",",
"thereby",
"giving",
"great",
"help",
"and",
"comfort",
"to",
"the",
"enemy",
"propagandists",
".",
"It",
"is",
"amazing",
"that",
"the",
"ensuing",
"mass",
"executions",
"in",
"Vietnam",
"and",
"Cambodia",
"do",
"not",
"weight",
"more",
"heavily",
"on",
"minds",
"so",
"morally",
"fine-tuned",
".",
"Worse",
",",
"it",
"remained",
"to",
"a",
"well-meaning",
"but",
"naive",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"United",
"States",
"to",
"administer",
"the",
"final",
"infamy",
"upon",
"those",
"who",
"fought",
"and",
"died",
"in",
"Vietnam",
".",
"Under",
"the",
"guise",
"of",
"``",
"healing",
"the",
"wounds",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
",",
"''",
"President",
"Carter",
"pardoned",
"thousands",
"of",
"draft",
"evaders",
",",
"thus",
"giving",
"dignity",
"to",
"their",
"allegations",
"of",
"the",
"war",
"'s",
"``",
"immorality",
".",
"''",
"The",
"precedent",
"having",
"been",
"set",
",",
"who",
"can",
"complain",
"if",
"future",
"generations",
"called",
"upon",
"to",
"defend",
"the",
"U.S.",
"yield",
"to",
"the",
"temptation",
"to",
"avoid",
"the",
"danger",
"of",
"combat",
"by",
"simply",
"declaring",
"the",
"war",
"immoral",
"and",
"hiding",
"until",
"it",
"is",
"over",
"?",
"Finally",
",",
"I",
"think",
"it",
"important",
"to",
"point",
"out",
"the",
"extraordinarily",
"high",
"visibility",
"of",
"non-violent",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"in",
"these",
"days",
"of",
"intensive",
"media",
"coverage",
".",
"Give",
"television",
"a",
"chance",
"to",
"cover",
"live",
"any",
"breaking",
"of",
"the",
"law",
",",
"and",
"no",
"second",
"invitation",
"will",
"be",
"required",
".",
"This",
"brings",
"into",
"question",
"the",
"motives",
"of",
"those",
"who",
"lead",
"civil",
"disobedience",
"demonstrations",
".",
"Do",
"they",
"want",
"the",
"spotlight",
"for",
"themselves",
"or",
"for",
"their",
"cause",
"?",
"Here",
"is",
"a",
"good",
"rule",
"of",
"thumb",
":",
"If",
"the",
"movement",
"produced",
"the",
"leader",
",",
"the",
"chance",
"that",
"he",
"is",
"sincere",
"is",
"much",
"greater",
"than",
"if",
"the",
"leader",
"produced",
"the",
"movement",
".",
"In",
"either",
"case",
",",
"ask",
"yourself",
"whether",
"you",
"have",
"become",
"better",
"informed",
"on",
"the",
"issues",
"under",
"protest",
"by",
"watching",
"the",
"act",
"of",
"civil",
"disobedience",
".",
"If",
"you",
"have",
"not",
",",
"it",
"is",
"probable",
"that",
"a",
"thorough",
"airing",
"of",
"the",
"dispute",
"by",
"calm",
"and",
"rational",
"debate",
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[
"Consumer",
"confidence",
"stayed",
"strong",
"in",
"October",
",",
"despite",
"the",
"unsettling",
"gyrations",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"``",
"The",
"sharp",
"stock",
"market",
"decline",
"in",
"late",
"October",
"appears",
"to",
"have",
"had",
"little",
"or",
"no",
"effect",
"on",
"consumers",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Fabian",
"Linden",
",",
"executive",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"Conference",
"Board",
"'s",
"consumer",
"research",
"center",
".",
"``",
"Survey",
"returns",
"received",
"after",
"the",
"drop",
"in",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"average",
"were",
"about",
"the",
"same",
"as",
"the",
"views",
"expressed",
"prior",
"to",
"that",
"event",
".",
"''",
"The",
"nonprofit",
",",
"industry-supported",
"group",
"said",
"its",
"Consumer",
"Confidence",
"Index",
"was",
"116.4",
"in",
"October",
",",
"barely",
"changed",
"from",
"a",
"revised",
"116.3",
"in",
"September",
".",
"The",
"index",
"was",
"116.9",
"in",
"October",
"1988",
"and",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"year",
"has",
"ranged",
"from",
"a",
"low",
"of",
"112.9",
"to",
"a",
"high",
"of",
"120.7",
".",
"It",
"uses",
"a",
"base",
"of",
"100",
"in",
"1985",
".",
"In",
"October",
",",
"more",
"people",
"said",
"that",
"present",
"business",
"conditions",
"were",
"``",
"good",
"''",
"than",
"in",
"September",
".",
"An",
"equal",
"number",
"in",
"each",
"month",
"said",
"that",
"employment",
"conditions",
"were",
"good",
".",
"And",
"19.6",
"%",
"of",
"consumers",
"contacted",
"believed",
"business",
"conditions",
"will",
"improve",
"in",
"the",
"coming",
"six",
"months",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"18.3",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Also",
",",
"more",
"people",
"said",
"conditions",
"will",
"worsen",
"in",
"the",
"period",
".",
"(",
"Fewer",
"said",
"conditions",
"wo",
"n't",
"change",
".",
")",
"In",
"October",
"1988",
",",
"21.1",
"%",
"said",
"business",
"conditions",
"would",
"improve",
".",
"In",
"October",
"1989",
",",
"16.9",
"%",
"said",
"more",
"jobs",
"will",
"be",
"created",
"in",
"the",
"coming",
"six",
"months",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"17.4",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"and",
"18.6",
"%",
"in",
"October",
"1988",
".",
"Only",
"26.8",
"%",
"in",
"October",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"28.5",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"and",
"26.8",
"%",
"in",
"October",
"1988",
",",
"said",
"income",
"would",
"increase",
".",
"``",
"The",
"sustained",
"level",
"of",
"confidence",
"can",
"be",
"attributed",
"to",
"the",
"continued",
"favorable",
"circumstances",
"which",
"affect",
"the",
"consumer",
"'s",
"day-to-day",
"economic",
"life",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Linden",
".",
"``",
"Unemployment",
"continues",
"at",
"a",
"relatively",
"low",
"level",
",",
"providing",
"a",
"sense",
"of",
"job",
"security",
",",
"and",
"a",
"low",
"inflation",
"rate",
"has",
"kept",
"the",
"purchasing",
"power",
"of",
"the",
"weekly",
"paycheck",
"reasonably",
"strong",
".",
"''",
"The",
"consumer",
"confidence",
"survey",
",",
"covering",
"5,000",
"U.S.",
"households",
",",
"is",
"conducted",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"two",
"weeks",
"of",
"each",
"month",
"for",
"the",
"Conference",
"Board",
"by",
"National",
"Family",
"Opinion",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Toledo",
",",
"Ohio",
",",
"market",
"researcher",
".",
"Buying",
"plans",
"were",
"mixed",
"in",
"October",
",",
"with",
"fewer",
"households",
"indicating",
"plans",
"to",
"buy",
"cars",
"and",
"more",
"saying",
"they",
"will",
"buy",
"homes",
"and",
"appliances",
"in",
"the",
"coming",
"six",
"months",
".",
"In",
"October",
",",
"6.7",
"%",
"of",
"respondents",
"said",
"they",
"will",
"buy",
"a",
"car",
",",
"easing",
"from",
"September",
"when",
"8.1",
"%",
"anticipated",
"a",
"purchase",
".",
"In",
"October",
"1988",
",",
"7.3",
"%",
"said",
"they",
"would",
"buy",
"a",
"car",
".",
"Home",
"purchase",
"plans",
"increased",
"to",
"3.3",
"%",
"from",
"3.1",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"two",
"recent",
"months",
".",
"In",
"October",
"1988",
",",
"3.7",
"%",
"said",
"they",
"would",
"buy",
"a",
"house",
".",
"In",
"1989",
",",
"home",
"purchase",
"plans",
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[
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".",
"Trinidad",
"Corp.",
"is",
"contesting",
"liability",
".",
"It",
"claims",
"the",
"Coast",
"Guard",
"failed",
"to",
"chart",
"the",
"rock",
"and",
"refuses",
"to",
"pay",
"damages",
".",
"That",
"means",
"the",
"fund",
"is",
"n't",
"obligated",
"to",
"pay",
"anything",
",",
"at",
"least",
"so",
"far",
".",
"The",
"Oil",
"Pollution",
"Act",
",",
"scheduled",
"to",
"come",
"up",
"for",
"a",
"vote",
"in",
"Congress",
"this",
"fall",
",",
"would",
"provide",
"that",
"if",
"claimants",
"are",
"n't",
"paid",
"within",
"90",
"days",
"of",
"a",
"spill",
",",
"the",
"liability",
"fund",
"would",
"compensate",
"them",
"and",
"seek",
"reimbursement",
"from",
"the",
"owner",
"or",
"operator",
"of",
"the",
"vessel",
",",
"says",
"a",
"spokesman",
"for",
"Rep.",
"George",
"Miller",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Calif.",
")",
",",
"a",
"sponsor",
"of",
"the",
"bill",
".",
"The",
"spokesman",
"says",
"the",
"``",
"glitch",
"''",
"in",
"the",
"statute",
"is",
"``",
"the",
"worst",
"kind",
"of",
"Catch-22",
".",
"''",
"Many",
"Law",
"School",
"Grads",
"Find",
"Classes",
"Never",
"End",
"RECENT",
"LAW",
"school",
"graduates",
"are",
"starting",
"jobs",
"with",
"law",
"firms",
"this",
"fall",
"--",
"and",
"heading",
"back",
"to",
"class",
".",
"Bar",
"associations",
"and",
"consultants",
"are",
"offering",
"more",
"programs",
"to",
"teach",
"associates",
"all",
"they",
"need",
"to",
"know",
"about",
"law",
"but",
"did",
"n't",
"learn",
"in",
"law",
"school",
".",
"``",
"Law",
"school",
"teaches",
"wonderful",
"theory",
",",
"but",
"it",
"does",
"n't",
"teach",
"the",
"nuts",
"and",
"bolts",
"of",
"practical",
"lawyering",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Aaron",
"Weitz",
",",
"head",
"of",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"County",
"Lawyers",
"'",
"Association",
"committee",
"that",
"sponsors",
"such",
"a",
"course",
".",
"In",
"the",
"past",
",",
"associates",
"learned",
"the",
"basics",
"from",
"senior",
"lawyers",
"who",
"acted",
"as",
"mentors",
".",
"But",
"these",
"days",
",",
"large",
"firms",
"hire",
"as",
"many",
"as",
"30",
"new",
"associates",
"a",
"year",
",",
"and",
"it",
"'s",
"impossible",
"to",
"personally",
"train",
"everyone",
",",
"says",
"Joel",
"Henning",
"of",
"Hildebrandt",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"consulting",
"firm",
"that",
"runs",
"training",
"classes",
".",
"The",
"Hildebrandt",
"course",
"enables",
"students",
"to",
"brush",
"up",
"on",
"negotiation",
"skills",
"by",
"role",
"playing",
"in",
"simulated",
"deals",
".",
"Students",
"also",
"are",
"taught",
"to",
"return",
"clients",
"'",
"phone",
"calls",
"immediately",
"and",
"to",
"treat",
"the",
"support",
"staff",
"with",
"respect",
".",
"Many",
"law",
"firms",
"sponsor",
"their",
"own",
"programs",
".",
"At",
"the",
"Baltimore",
"firm",
"of",
"Weinberg",
"&",
"Green",
",",
"new",
"corporate",
"and",
"banking",
"associates",
"are",
"required",
"to",
"enroll",
"in",
"a",
"20-class",
"course",
".",
"Partners",
"lecture",
"on",
"how",
"to",
"form",
"corporations",
",",
"draft",
"agreements",
"and",
"defend",
"clients",
"against",
"unwanted",
"tender",
"offers",
".",
"Now",
",",
"clients",
"know",
"that",
"new",
"associates",
"have",
"had",
"some",
"practical",
"training",
"before",
"working",
"on",
"their",
"cases",
",",
"says",
"James",
"J.",
"Hanks",
",",
"a",
"partner",
"at",
"the",
"firm",
".",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"Creates",
"A",
"Courthouse",
"for",
"Kids",
"THE",
"CHILDREN",
"of",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"will",
"soon",
"have",
"their",
"own",
"$",
"52",
"million",
"courthouse",
".",
"The",
"building",
",",
"which",
"will",
"handle",
"child",
"abuse",
",",
"custody",
"and",
"foster",
"care",
"cases",
",",
"will",
"be",
"``",
"less",
"formal",
",",
"less",
"threatening",
"and",
"just",
"basically",
"less",
"grim",
"than",
"most",
"courthouses",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Edmund",
"Edelman",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"County",
"Board",
"of",
"Supervisors",
".",
"Designs",
"call",
"for",
"an",
"L-shaped",
"structure",
"with",
"a",
"playground",
"in",
"the",
"center",
".",
"There",
"will",
"be",
"recreation",
"and",
"movie",
"rooms",
".",
"Teens",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"listen",
"to",
"music",
"with",
"headsets",
".",
"Study",
"halls",
",",
"complete",
"with",
"reference",
"materials",
",",
"will",
"be",
"available",
".",
"And",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"nurse",
"'s",
"station",
"and",
"rooms",
"for",
"children",
"to",
"meet",
"with",
"social",
"workers",
".",
"The",
"building",
"'s",
"25",
"courtrooms",
"will",
"be",
"smaller",
",",
"says",
"Charlene",
"Saunders",
",",
"a",
"court",
"administrator",
".",
"The",
"bench",
"will",
"be",
"lower",
"so",
"the",
"judge",
"seems",
"less",
"intimidating",
",",
"and",
"walls",
"will",
"be",
"painted",
"in",
"bright",
"colors",
"and",
"covered",
"with",
"murals",
".",
"Cases",
"in",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"County",
"involving",
"dependent",
"children",
"are",
"usually",
"heard",
"in",
"the",
"Criminal",
"Courts",
"Building",
".",
"``",
"We",
"need",
"to",
"get",
"the",
"kids",
"away",
"from",
"the",
"criminals",
"into",
"a",
"less",
"traumatic",
"environment",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Edelman",
".",
"About",
"45,000",
"children",
"in",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"County",
"are",
"under",
"court",
"supervision",
",",
"Mr.",
"Edelman",
"says",
",",
"and",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"1,500",
"new",
"children",
"are",
"added",
"each",
"month",
".",
"The",
"courthouse",
",",
"to",
"be",
"built",
"in",
"Monterey",
"Park",
",",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"open",
"in",
"the",
"spring",
"of",
"1992",
".",
"Law",
"Firm",
"Management",
"Can",
"Be",
"Quite",
"Rewarding",
"IT",
"PAYS",
"to",
"follow",
"a",
"management",
"career",
"path",
"--",
"even",
"at",
"law",
"firms",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"the",
"conclusion",
"of",
"a",
"recent",
"study",
"of",
"large",
"law",
"firms",
"conducted",
"by",
"Altman",
"&",
"Weil",
"Inc.",
",",
"an",
"Ardmore",
",",
"Pa.",
",",
"law",
"firm",
"consultant",
".",
"Its",
"survey",
"of",
"96",
"firms",
",",
"each",
"with",
"100",
"to",
"1,000",
"lawyers",
",",
"shows",
"that",
"managing",
"partners",
"earned",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"$",
"395,974",
"in",
"compensation",
"and",
"cash",
"benefits",
"in",
"the",
"firms",
"'",
"1988",
"fiscal",
"years",
".",
"Managing",
"partners",
"who",
"responded",
"to",
"the",
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"spend",
"over",
"half",
"their",
"time",
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"their",
"firms",
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"just",
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"law",
".",
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"of",
"their",
"time",
"to",
"practicing",
"law",
"earned",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"217,000",
"."
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[
"Steve",
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"technology",
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"an",
"effort",
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"spur",
"sales",
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"Next",
"Inc.",
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"new",
"machine",
".",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
"moved",
"to",
"remedy",
"a",
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"his",
"computer",
"'s",
"drawbacks",
"yesterday",
"by",
"lowering",
"the",
"entry-level",
"price",
"for",
"a",
"Next",
"machine",
"by",
"$",
"1,500",
",",
"or",
"23",
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",",
"if",
"the",
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"chooses",
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"an",
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".",
"The",
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"drive",
",",
"which",
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"the",
"storage",
"device",
"of",
"choice",
"for",
"virtually",
"every",
"desktop",
"computer",
"user",
",",
"also",
"now",
"will",
"supplement",
"Next",
"'s",
"futuristic",
"optical",
"device",
"if",
"buyers",
"pay",
"full",
"price",
".",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
",",
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",",
"founded",
"Next",
"four",
"years",
"ago",
"in",
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"hopes",
"of",
"fomenting",
"a",
"revolution",
"in",
"the",
"way",
"desktop",
"computers",
"are",
"designed",
"and",
"used",
".",
"His",
"Next",
"computer",
",",
"introduced",
"about",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
"and",
"aimed",
"primarily",
"at",
"university",
"computer",
"users",
",",
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"snazzy",
"graphics",
",",
"digital",
"sound",
",",
"built-in",
"networking",
"and",
"a",
"sleek",
"black",
"design",
".",
"But",
"the",
"computer",
"was",
"proving",
"a",
"hard",
"sell",
"because",
"of",
"its",
"high",
"price",
",",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"software",
"and",
"an",
"optical",
"data-storage",
"device",
"that",
"was",
"too",
"slow",
".",
"The",
"machine",
"began",
"shipping",
"at",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"last",
"year",
".",
"The",
"closely",
"held",
"company",
"has",
"n't",
"disclosed",
"sales",
".",
"However",
",",
"most",
"universities",
"that",
"have",
"bought",
"the",
"machines",
"say",
"they",
"are",
"buying",
"small",
"numbers",
"for",
"evaluation",
"purposes",
".",
"Universities",
"can",
"now",
"buy",
"a",
"Next",
"computer",
"without",
"an",
"optical",
"storage",
"device",
"for",
"$",
"4,995",
".",
"A",
"computer",
"with",
"the",
"optical",
"device",
"will",
"still",
"cost",
"$",
"6,495",
",",
"but",
"from",
"now",
"on",
"Next",
"will",
"outfit",
"every",
"computer",
"with",
"a",
"hard",
"drive",
"and",
"supply",
"one",
"at",
"no",
"cost",
"to",
"those",
"who",
"have",
"already",
"bought",
"Next",
"machines",
".",
"Commercial",
"customers",
"can",
"purchase",
"the",
"same",
"system",
"through",
"Businessland",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"computer",
"retailer",
"based",
"in",
"San",
"Jose",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"for",
"roughly",
"$",
"3,000",
"more",
".",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
"said",
"the",
"changes",
"were",
"prompted",
"by",
"requests",
"from",
"customers",
"who",
"are",
"frustrated",
"with",
"the",
"performance",
"of",
"the",
"optical",
"device",
",",
"which",
"is",
"n't",
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"as",
"standard",
"equipment",
"by",
"any",
"rivals",
".",
"Another",
"factor",
"was",
"that",
"customers",
"were",
"asking",
",",
"``",
"Why",
"do",
"n't",
"you",
"give",
"us",
"a",
"cheaper",
"system",
"?",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
"said",
"at",
"a",
"conference",
"on",
"university",
"computing",
"here",
".",
"Optical-storage",
"devices",
"can",
"handle",
"very",
"large",
"amounts",
"of",
"data",
"and",
"make",
"it",
"far",
"easier",
"to",
"edit",
"film",
"clips",
"or",
"audio",
"recordings",
"with",
"a",
"computer",
".",
"But",
"the",
"technology",
",",
"while",
"reliable",
",",
"is",
"far",
"slower",
"than",
"the",
"widely",
"used",
"hard",
"drives",
".",
"To",
"get",
"around",
"the",
"delays",
"caused",
"by",
"the",
"optical",
"device",
",",
"Businessland",
",",
"which",
"is",
"Next",
"'s",
"exclusive",
"dealer",
"to",
"corporations",
",",
"has",
"for",
"months",
"been",
"advising",
"customers",
"to",
"purchase",
"hard",
"drives",
"with",
"the",
"machines",
".",
"Next",
"'s",
"decision",
"to",
"rely",
"on",
"the",
"more-established",
"hard",
"drive",
"in",
"every",
"Next",
"computer",
"does",
"n't",
"signal",
"a",
"retreat",
"from",
"optical",
"storage",
",",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
",",
"who",
"for",
"years",
"has",
"said",
"this",
"technology",
"will",
"play",
"a",
"crucial",
"role",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"decade",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"extremely",
"committed",
"to",
"optical",
"storage",
"technology",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"We",
"think",
"everything",
"will",
"go",
"this",
"way",
"in",
"a",
"few",
"years",
".",
"''",
"He",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"next",
"generation",
"of",
"optical",
"drives",
"will",
"be",
"as",
"fast",
"as",
"hard",
"drives",
",",
"but",
"he",
"depends",
"on",
"outside",
"suppliers",
"for",
"the",
"devices",
".",
"But",
"university",
"computer",
"specialists",
",",
"who",
"welcomed",
"the",
"move",
",",
"called",
"it",
"a",
"necessary",
"retreat",
"from",
"the",
"cutting",
"edge",
"of",
"technology",
"and",
"one",
"that",
"'s",
"likely",
"to",
"increase",
"Next",
"'s",
"sales",
"on",
"campuses",
".",
"``",
"From",
"the",
"standpoint",
"of",
"being",
"on",
"the",
"forefront",
"of",
"technology",
",",
"this",
"is",
"a",
"step",
"backward",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Jerry",
"W.",
"Sprecher",
",",
"a",
"senior",
"computing",
"manager",
"for",
"the",
"California",
"state",
"university",
"system",
".",
"``",
"But",
"it",
"will",
"definitely",
"boost",
"Next",
"'s",
"sales",
".",
"''",
"Universities",
",",
"however",
",",
"say",
"Next",
"'s",
"prices",
"must",
"go",
"even",
"lower",
"before",
"large",
"numbers",
"of",
"students",
"purchase",
"the",
"machine",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'d",
"still",
"like",
"to",
"see",
"a",
"student",
"model",
",",
"''",
"priced",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"3,500",
",",
"said",
"Ronald",
"Johnson",
",",
"director",
"of",
"academic",
"computing",
"at",
"Minnesota",
"'s",
"Gustavus",
"Adolphus",
"College",
",",
"which",
"has",
"bought",
"eight",
"Next",
"machines",
".",
"Broad",
"acceptance",
"of",
"Next",
"'s",
"computer",
"also",
"is",
"hindered",
"by",
"difficulty",
"in",
"distributing",
"software",
"for",
"it",
".",
"Most",
"software",
"is",
"distributed",
"on",
"cheap",
"floppy",
"disks",
",",
"but",
"the",
"Next",
"computer",
"does",
"n't",
"come",
"with",
"a",
"device",
"that",
"reads",
"them",
".",
"Next",
"'s",
"computer",
"also",
"needs",
"more",
"software",
"applications",
",",
"but",
"Mr.",
"Jobs",
"said",
"he",
"expects",
"more",
"soon",
".",
"He",
"said",
"he",
"expects",
"Lotus",
"Development",
"Corp.",
"to",
"introduce",
"a",
"Next",
"version",
"of",
"its",
"popular",
"1-2-3",
"spreadsheet",
"program",
"in",
"1990",
".",
"Educators",
"added",
"that",
"Next",
"needs",
"to",
"soon",
"offer",
"a",
"color",
"version",
"of",
"its",
"computer",
".",
"Every",
"major",
"maker",
"offers",
"computers",
"with",
"color",
"displays",
".",
"Next",
"wo",
"n't",
"comment",
"on",
"when",
"it",
"will",
"do",
"the",
"same",
",",
"but",
"is",
"believed",
"to",
"have",
"a",
"color",
"model",
"under",
"development",
"."
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"At",
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"interest",
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"``",
"You",
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"just",
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",",
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"Robert",
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",",
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"at",
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"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Inc.",
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"York",
".",
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"''",
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"to",
"repay",
"the",
"debt",
"for",
"several",
"years",
".",
"Typically",
",",
"Mr.",
"Willens",
"estimates",
",",
"this",
"type",
"of",
"debt",
"makes",
"up",
"15",
"%",
"to",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"financing",
"for",
"LBOs",
".",
"These",
"types",
"of",
"bonds",
"have",
"been",
"used",
"in",
"buy-outs",
"of",
"companies",
"such",
"as",
"RJR",
"Nabisco",
"Inc.",
",",
"Storer",
"Communications",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Kroger",
"Co",
".",
"A",
"second",
"provision",
"passed",
"by",
"the",
"Senate",
"and",
"House",
"would",
"eliminate",
"a",
"rule",
"allowing",
"companies",
"that",
"post",
"losses",
"resulting",
"from",
"LBO",
"debt",
"to",
"receive",
"refunds",
"of",
"taxes",
"paid",
"over",
"the",
"previous",
"three",
"years",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"if",
"a",
"company",
"posted",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"from",
"buy-out",
"interest",
"payments",
",",
"the",
"existing",
"rule",
"would",
"allow",
"the",
"concern",
"to",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"receive",
"a",
"refund",
"from",
"the",
"tax",
"it",
"paid",
"from",
"1986",
"through",
"1989",
",",
"when",
"it",
"may",
"have",
"been",
"a",
"profitable",
"public",
"company",
".",
"But",
"that",
"rule",
"is",
"being",
"virtually",
"overlooked",
"by",
"Wall",
"Street",
",",
"which",
"is",
"concentrating",
"on",
"coping",
"with",
"the",
"deduction",
"issue",
".",
"``",
"Prices",
"for",
"LBOs",
"have",
"to",
"come",
"down",
"if",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"that",
"feature",
",",
"''",
"argued",
"Lawrence",
"Schloss",
",",
"managing",
"director",
"for",
"merchant",
"banking",
"at",
"Donaldson",
",",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
"Securities",
"Corp.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"Several",
"Wall",
"Street",
"officials",
"say",
"the",
"proposed",
"legislation",
"already",
"is",
"having",
"an",
"impact",
".",
"An",
"investment",
"group",
"led",
"by",
"Chicago",
"'s",
"Pritzker",
"family",
"recently",
"lowered",
"a",
"$",
"3.35",
"billion",
"bid",
"for",
"American",
"Medical",
"International",
",",
"Beverly",
"Hills",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"threat",
"of",
"the",
"legislation",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"one",
"investment",
"banker",
",",
"who",
"requested",
"anonymity",
",",
"said",
"his",
"firm",
"did",
"n't",
"raise",
"the",
"ante",
"for",
"a",
"target",
"company",
"earlier",
"this",
"month",
"after",
"a",
"stronger",
"bid",
"emerged",
"from",
"a",
"public",
"company",
"that",
"was",
"n't",
"concerned",
"about",
"the",
"financing",
"provision",
".",
"``",
"We",
"would",
"have",
"paid",
"more",
"if",
"we",
"thought",
"that",
"law",
"was",
"n't",
"going",
"to",
"pass",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"One",
"possible",
"solution",
"for",
"Wall",
"Street",
"is",
"to",
"increase",
"the",
"equity",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"transaction",
"--",
"that",
"is",
",",
"give",
"lenders",
"a",
"bigger",
"stake",
"in",
"the",
"surviving",
"company",
"rather",
"than",
"just",
"interest",
"payments",
".",
"That",
"would",
"force",
"the",
"buy-out",
"firm",
"and",
"the",
"target",
"company",
"'s",
"management",
"to",
"reduce",
"their",
"level",
"of",
"ownership",
".",
"``",
"The",
"pigs",
"in",
"the",
"trough",
"may",
"have",
"to",
"give",
"a",
"little",
"bit",
"of",
"the",
"slop",
"back",
"and",
"then",
"the",
"deal",
"can",
"go",
"through",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Peter",
"C.",
"Canellos",
",",
"tax",
"partner",
"at",
"Wachtell",
",",
"Lipton",
",",
"Rosen",
"&",
"Katz",
".",
"Another",
"solution",
",",
"said",
"a",
"tax",
"lawyer",
"who",
"requested",
"anonymity",
",",
"is",
"for",
"firms",
"to",
"use",
"convertible",
"bonds",
"that",
"sell",
"at",
"a",
"discount",
".",
"Since",
"they",
"have",
"a",
"lower",
"interest",
"rate",
",",
"they",
"would",
"n't",
"fall",
"under",
"the",
"junk-bond",
"category",
"that",
"would",
"lose",
"its",
"deductibility",
".",
"The",
"House",
"version",
"of",
"the",
"bill",
"would",
"make",
"debt",
"non-deductible",
"if",
"it",
"pays",
"five",
"percentage",
"points",
"above",
"Treasury",
"notes",
",",
"has",
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"least",
"a",
"five-year",
"maturity",
"and",
"does",
"n't",
"pay",
"interest",
"for",
"at",
"least",
"one",
"year",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"first",
"five",
".",
"The",
"bill",
"would",
"then",
"declare",
"that",
"the",
"debt",
"is",
"equity",
"and",
"therefore",
"is",
"n't",
"deductible",
".",
"The",
"Senate",
"bill",
"would",
"only",
"deny",
"the",
"deduction",
"until",
"interest",
"is",
"actually",
"paid",
".",
"Currently",
",",
"even",
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"the",
"issuer",
"does",
"n't",
"pay",
"tax",
",",
"the",
"debt",
"holder",
"is",
"taxed",
"on",
"the",
"accrued",
"interest",
".",
"But",
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"holders",
"are",
"often",
"foreign",
"investors",
"and",
"tax-exempt",
"pension",
"funds",
"that",
"do",
"n't",
"pay",
"taxes",
"on",
"their",
"holdings",
".",
"The",
"Senate",
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"its",
"version",
"of",
"the",
"provision",
"would",
"yield",
"$",
"17",
"million",
"the",
"first",
"year",
"and",
"a",
"total",
"of",
"$",
"409",
"million",
"over",
"five",
"years",
".",
"The",
"House",
"version",
"would",
"raise",
"slightly",
"more",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"Wall",
"Street",
"finds",
"ways",
"around",
"the",
"new",
"rules",
",",
"a",
"Senate",
"aide",
"contends",
"LBOs",
"will",
"become",
"somewhat",
"more",
"difficult",
".",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"question",
"it",
"will",
"make",
"LBOs",
"more",
"expensive",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"interest",
"deduction",
"was",
"the",
"engine",
"that",
"made",
"these",
"things",
"more",
"productive",
"."
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[
"PRIMERICA",
"Corp.",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"raised",
"its",
"quarterly",
"14",
"%",
"to",
"eight",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"from",
"seven",
"cents",
",",
"payable",
"Nov.",
"24",
"to",
"stock",
"of",
"record",
"Nov.",
"6",
".",
"The",
"financial",
"services",
"company",
",",
"which",
"has",
"about",
"98.8",
"million",
"shares",
"outstanding",
",",
"noted",
"its",
"``",
"continued",
"confidence",
"in",
"the",
"ongoing",
"strength",
"of",
"the",
"operations",
"."
] | [
2,
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2,
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2,
2,
0,
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11,
11,
7,
14,
14,
7,
16,
14,
7,
20,
20,
7,
7,
7,
22,
23,
26,
22,
28,
26,
26,
29,
7,
4,
4,
4,
14,
4,
7,
4,
10,
10,
11,
7,
11,
4,
0,
18,
18,
18,
14,
22,
22,
22,
18,
25,
25,
22,
14
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[
"Battle-tested",
"Japanese",
"industrial",
"managers",
"here",
"always",
"buck",
"up",
"nervous",
"newcomers",
"with",
"the",
"tale",
"of",
"the",
"first",
"of",
"their",
"countrymen",
"to",
"visit",
"Mexico",
",",
"a",
"boatload",
"of",
"samurai",
"warriors",
"blown",
"ashore",
"375",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"``",
"From",
"the",
"beginning",
",",
"it",
"took",
"a",
"man",
"with",
"extraordinary",
"qualities",
"to",
"succeed",
"in",
"Mexico",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Kimihide",
"Takimura",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Mitsui",
"group",
"'s",
"Kensetsu",
"Engineering",
"Inc.",
"unit",
".",
"Here",
"in",
"this",
"new",
"center",
"for",
"Japanese",
"assembly",
"plants",
"just",
"across",
"the",
"border",
"from",
"San",
"Diego",
",",
"turnover",
"is",
"dizzying",
",",
"infrastructure",
"shoddy",
",",
"bureaucracy",
"intense",
".",
"Even",
"after-hours",
"drag",
";",
"``",
"karaoke",
"''",
"bars",
",",
"where",
"Japanese",
"revelers",
"sing",
"over",
"recorded",
"music",
",",
"are",
"prohibited",
"by",
"Mexico",
"'s",
"powerful",
"musicians",
"union",
".",
"Still",
",",
"20",
"Japanese",
"companies",
",",
"including",
"giants",
"such",
"as",
"Sanyo",
"Industries",
"Corp.",
",",
"Matsushita",
"Electronics",
"Components",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Sony",
"Corp.",
"have",
"set",
"up",
"shop",
"in",
"the",
"state",
"of",
"Northern",
"Baja",
"California",
".",
"Keeping",
"the",
"Japanese",
"happy",
"will",
"be",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"important",
"tasks",
"facing",
"conservative",
"leader",
"Ernesto",
"Ruffo",
"when",
"he",
"takes",
"office",
"Nov.",
"1",
",",
"as",
"the",
"first",
"opposition",
"governor",
"in",
"Mexico",
"'s",
"modern",
"history",
".",
"Mexico",
",",
"with",
"its",
"desperate",
"need",
"for",
"investment",
",",
"and",
"Japan",
",",
"with",
"its",
"huge",
"budget",
"surplus",
",",
"would",
"seem",
"like",
"a",
"perfect",
"match",
".",
"But",
"the",
"two",
"countries",
"remain",
"separated",
"by",
"a",
"cultural",
"barrier",
"wider",
"than",
"the",
"ocean",
".",
"Conservative",
"Japanese",
"investors",
"are",
"put",
"off",
"by",
"what",
"they",
"consider",
"Mexico",
"'s",
"restrictive",
"investment",
"regulations",
"and",
"loose",
"work",
"habits",
".",
"From",
"the",
"Mexicans",
"'",
"viewpoint",
",",
"vaunted",
"tactics",
"of",
"methodical",
"Japanese",
"managers",
"do",
"n't",
"count",
"for",
"much",
"in",
"a",
"land",
"where",
"a",
"saying",
"says",
"``",
"there",
"are",
"no",
"fixed",
"rules",
".",
"''",
"Japan",
"ranks",
"as",
"only",
"the",
"fourth",
"largest",
"foreign",
"investor",
"in",
"Mexico",
",",
"with",
"5",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"total",
"investments",
".",
"That",
"is",
"just",
"1",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"the",
"money",
"Japan",
"has",
"invested",
"abroad",
".",
"Mexican",
"President",
"Carlos",
"Salinas",
"de",
"Gortari",
"would",
"like",
"to",
"change",
"that",
".",
"The",
"young",
"president",
"so",
"admires",
"Japanese",
"discipline",
"that",
"he",
"sends",
"his",
"children",
"to",
"a",
"Japanese",
"school",
"in",
"Mexico",
"City",
".",
"He",
"already",
"has",
"finagled",
"a",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"loan",
"from",
"the",
"Japanese",
"government",
".",
"But",
"Mexico",
"urgently",
"needs",
"more",
"help",
".",
"Mr.",
"Salinas",
"'s",
"unpopular",
"Institutional",
"Revolutionary",
"Party",
",",
"or",
"PRI",
",",
"faces",
"congressional",
"elections",
"in",
"1991",
".",
"For",
"the",
"PRI",
"to",
"stand",
"a",
"chance",
",",
"Mr.",
"Salinas",
"has",
"to",
"press",
"on",
"with",
"an",
"economic",
"program",
"that",
"so",
"far",
"has",
"succeeded",
"in",
"lowering",
"inflation",
"and",
"providing",
"moderate",
"economic",
"growth",
".",
"But",
"maintaining",
"the",
"key",
"components",
"of",
"his",
"strategy",
"--",
"a",
"stable",
"exchange",
"rate",
"and",
"high",
"level",
"of",
"imports",
"--",
"will",
"consume",
"enormous",
"amounts",
"of",
"foreign",
"exchange",
".",
"Mr.",
"Salinas",
"needs",
"big",
"investment",
"inflows",
"--",
"quickly",
".",
"The",
"problem",
"is",
"that",
"Japanese",
"businesses",
"make",
"decisions",
"with",
"a",
"view",
"well",
"beyond",
"the",
"coming",
"months",
"that",
"weigh",
"so",
"heavily",
"on",
"Mr.",
"Salinas",
".",
"``",
"The",
"Japanese",
"will",
"come",
"to",
"Mexico",
",",
"but",
"not",
"immediately",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Kazushige",
"Suzuki",
",",
"director-general",
"of",
"the",
"Japanese",
"External",
"Trade",
"Organization",
"in",
"Mexico",
".",
"If",
"not",
"now",
",",
"when",
"?",
"``",
"When",
"the",
"fruit",
"is",
"ripe",
",",
"it",
"falls",
"from",
"the",
"tree",
"by",
"itself",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Pressed",
"on",
"the",
"matter",
",",
"he",
"is",
"more",
"specific",
".",
"``",
"There",
"will",
"be",
"big",
"Japanese",
"investments",
"probably",
"five",
"to",
"10",
"years",
"from",
"now",
".",
"''",
"Ryukichi",
"Imai",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"ambassador",
"to",
"Mexico",
",",
"agrees",
"that",
"Mexico",
"may",
"be",
"too",
"eager",
".",
"``",
"There",
"seems",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"presumption",
"in",
"some",
"sectors",
"of",
"(",
"Mexico",
"'s",
")",
"government",
"that",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"Japanese",
"money",
"waiting",
"behind",
"the",
"gate",
",",
"and",
"that",
"by",
"slightly",
"opening",
"the",
"gate",
",",
"that",
"money",
"will",
"enter",
"Mexico",
".",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"that",
"is",
"the",
"case",
".",
"''",
"Mexican",
"officials",
"maintain",
"the",
"Japanese",
"reserve",
"is",
"only",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"unfamiliarity",
".",
"``",
"Because",
"of",
"distance",
",",
"it",
"takes",
"a",
"while",
"for",
"them",
"to",
"appreciate",
"the",
"economic",
"stability",
"we",
"'ve",
"achieved",
",",
"''",
"says",
"one",
"economic",
"policymaker",
".",
"Mexico",
"is",
"sending",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"missions",
"to",
"Japan",
"looking",
"for",
"a",
"major",
"breakthrough",
"investment",
"in",
"telecommunications",
",",
"petrochemicals",
"or",
"tourism",
".",
"It",
"is",
"hoped",
"that",
"other",
"Japanese",
"would",
"then",
"follow",
"the",
"leader",
".",
"But",
"Japanese",
"investors",
"say",
"that",
"their",
"reluctance",
"to",
"invest",
"stems",
"not",
"only",
"from",
"concerns",
"about",
"Mexico",
"'s",
"economic",
"outlook",
",",
"but",
"also",
"reservations",
"about",
"Mexico",
"'s",
"recently",
"revamped",
"investment",
"law",
".",
"Unable",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"new",
"law",
"through",
"a",
"congress",
"with",
"a",
"strong",
"leftist",
"bloc",
",",
"Mexico",
"jury-rigged",
"the",
"existing",
"law",
"'s",
"regulations",
".",
"It",
"created",
"special",
"20-year",
"trusts",
"to",
"allow",
"foreigners",
"100",
"%",
"ownership",
"in",
"some",
"once-closed",
"industries",
".",
"It",
"also",
"made",
"artful",
"use",
"of",
"semantics",
",",
"redefining",
"as",
"non-strategic",
"industries",
"some",
"that",
"had",
"been",
"in",
"the",
"national",
"domain",
".",
"``",
"Those",
"devices",
"do",
"n't",
"give",
"sufficient",
"certainty",
"to",
"our",
"bosses",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Yasuo",
"Nakamura",
",",
"representative",
"of",
"the",
"Industrial",
"Bank",
"of",
"Japan",
".",
"Mr.",
"Nakamura",
"cites",
"the",
"case",
"of",
"a",
"customer",
"who",
"wants",
"to",
"build",
"a",
"giant",
"tourism",
"complex",
"in",
"Baja",
"and",
"has",
"been",
"trying",
"for",
"eight",
"years",
"to",
"get",
"around",
"Mexican",
"restrictions",
"on",
"foreign",
"ownership",
"of",
"beachfront",
"property",
".",
"He",
"could",
"develop",
"the",
"beach",
"through",
"a",
"trust",
",",
"but",
"instead",
"is",
"trying",
"have",
"his",
"grandson",
"become",
"a",
"naturalized",
"Mexican",
"so",
"his",
"family",
"gains",
"direct",
"control",
".",
"Some",
"say",
"the",
"best",
"hope",
"for",
"the",
"Mexicans",
"is",
"catching",
"the",
"eye",
"of",
"Japan",
"by",
"promoting",
"the",
"one",
"industry",
"the",
"Japanese",
"clearly",
"like",
"--",
"the",
"border",
"assembly",
"plants",
",",
"known",
"as",
"``",
"maquiladoras",
",",
"''",
"which",
"are",
"open",
"to",
"100",
"%",
"foreign",
"control",
".",
"``",
"We",
"must",
"do",
"more",
"to",
"help",
"the",
"Japanese",
"here",
"in",
"Baja",
"if",
"we",
"want",
"them",
"to",
"invest",
"elsewhere",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Ruffo",
",",
"the",
"governor-elect",
"of",
"the",
"National",
"Action",
"Party",
"and",
"himself",
"a",
"succesful",
"businessman",
".",
"Plant",
"operators",
"are",
"heartened",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Ruffo",
"'s",
"pledge",
"to",
"cut",
"corruption",
"associated",
"with",
"the",
"ruling",
"party",
"officials",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Ruffo",
"frets",
"that",
"an",
"even",
"bigger",
"problem",
"could",
"be",
"protectionism",
"from",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"where",
"some",
"politicians",
"oppose",
"what",
"they",
"consider",
"Japanese",
"efforts",
"to",
"use",
"maquiladoras",
"to",
"crack",
"the",
"U.S.",
"market",
"through",
"the",
"back",
"door",
"."
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[
"Everything",
"looked",
"good",
"as",
"neurosurgeon",
"Walter",
"Levy",
"and",
"colleagues",
"carefully",
"cut",
"away",
"a",
"woman",
"'s",
"spinal",
"tumor",
"at",
"the",
"Cleveland",
"Clinic",
"in",
"1978",
".",
"Using",
"small",
"electrical",
"shocks",
"applied",
"to",
"her",
"feet",
",",
"they",
"were",
"able",
"to",
"monitor",
"sensory",
"nerves",
".",
"The",
"shocks",
"generated",
"nerve",
"impulses",
"that",
"traveled",
"via",
"spine",
"to",
"brain",
"and",
"showed",
"up",
"clearly",
"on",
"a",
"brain-wave",
"monitor",
",",
"indicating",
"no",
"damage",
"to",
"the",
"delicate",
"spinal",
"tissue",
".",
"Then",
",",
"says",
"Dr.",
"Levy",
",",
"``",
"she",
"woke",
"up",
"paralyzed",
".",
"''",
"The",
"damage",
"was",
"to",
"her",
"motor",
"nerves",
",",
"which",
"could",
"n't",
"be",
"monitored",
"along",
"with",
"the",
"sensory",
"nerves",
",",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"The",
"tragedy",
",",
"he",
"adds",
",",
"``",
"galvanized",
"me",
"''",
"to",
"look",
"for",
"a",
"way",
"to",
"prevent",
"similar",
"cases",
".",
"Dr.",
"Levy",
"'s",
"answer",
"may",
"come",
"with",
"a",
"new",
"kind",
"of",
"magnetic",
"brain",
"probe",
",",
"a",
"device",
"that",
"he",
"and",
"dozens",
"of",
"U.S.",
"researchers",
"are",
"studying",
"with",
"great",
"hope",
".",
"Besides",
"holding",
"the",
"promise",
"of",
"safer",
"spinal",
"surgery",
",",
"the",
"probe",
"could",
"improve",
"the",
"diagnosis",
"of",
"brain",
"and",
"nerve",
"disorders",
"such",
"as",
"strokes",
"and",
"multiple",
"sclerosis",
".",
"Perhaps",
"most",
"exciting",
",",
"the",
"device",
"is",
"thrusting",
"open",
"a",
"window",
"to",
"the",
"workings",
"of",
"the",
"brain",
".",
"The",
"probe",
",",
"which",
"is",
"painless",
",",
"non-invasive",
"and",
"apparently",
"harmless",
",",
"employs",
"strong",
"magnetic",
"fields",
"to",
"induce",
"small",
"whirlwinds",
"of",
"electricity",
"within",
"the",
"brain",
".",
"If",
"positioned",
"over",
"the",
"brain",
"'s",
"motor-control",
"area",
",",
"the",
"hand-held",
"electromagnets",
"generate",
"nerve",
"impulses",
"that",
"zip",
"down",
"motor",
"nerves",
"and",
"activate",
"muscles",
",",
"making",
",",
"say",
",",
"a",
"finger",
"twitch",
".",
"In",
"principle",
",",
"they",
"will",
"enable",
"doctors",
"to",
"check",
"the",
"body",
"'s",
"motor",
"system",
"the",
"way",
"an",
"electrician",
"tests",
"a",
"home",
"'s",
"electrical",
"circuits",
"by",
"running",
"current",
"through",
"them",
".",
"``",
"Until",
"now",
",",
"we",
"'ve",
"had",
"no",
"objective",
"way",
"of",
"measuring",
"motor",
"function",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Keith",
"Chiappa",
",",
"a",
"neurologist",
"conducting",
"clinical",
"tests",
"with",
"the",
"devices",
"at",
"Boston",
"'s",
"Massachusetts",
"General",
"Hospital",
".",
"``",
"All",
"we",
"could",
"do",
"was",
"tell",
"a",
"patient",
",",
"`",
"squeeze",
"my",
"fingers",
"as",
"hard",
"as",
"you",
"can",
"'",
"or",
"`",
"raise",
"your",
"arm",
".",
"'",
"``",
"Under",
"the",
"best",
"circumstances",
"such",
"tests",
"are",
"subjective",
";",
"when",
"a",
"patient",
"is",
"unconscious",
",",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"work",
"at",
"all",
".",
"Magnetic",
"brain",
"tweaking",
"started",
"in",
"the",
"early",
"1900s",
",",
"when",
"researchers",
"produced",
"flashes",
"of",
"light",
"in",
"the",
"visual",
"field",
"with",
"magnets",
".",
"In",
"the",
"1960s",
",",
"Mayo",
"Clinic",
"researchers",
"developed",
"magnetic",
"devices",
"to",
"stimulate",
"motor",
"nerves",
"in",
"the",
"hand",
"and",
"other",
"limbs",
".",
"But",
"for",
"brain",
"tests",
",",
"the",
"unwieldy",
"machines",
"``",
"would",
"have",
"required",
"patients",
"to",
"stand",
"on",
"their",
"heads",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Reginald",
"Bickford",
",",
"a",
"researcher",
"at",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"California",
"at",
"San",
"Diego",
".",
"The",
"field",
"took",
"off",
"in",
"1985",
"after",
"scientists",
"at",
"Britain",
"'s",
"Sheffield",
"University",
"developed",
"a",
"handy",
",",
"compact",
"magnet",
"for",
"brain",
"stimulation",
".",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"at",
"least",
"two",
"commercial",
"versions",
"have",
"been",
"put",
"on",
"the",
"U.S.",
"market",
",",
"and",
"an",
"estimated",
"500",
"have",
"been",
"sold",
".",
"In",
"August",
",",
"a",
"Chicago",
"conference",
"on",
"such",
"devices",
"attracted",
"more",
"than",
"100",
"researchers",
",",
"who",
"reported",
"studies",
"on",
"everything",
"from",
"brain",
"mapping",
"to",
"physical",
"therapy",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"feel",
"we",
"can",
"use",
"-LCB-",
"the",
"devices",
"-RCB-",
"routinely",
"in",
"surgery",
"yet",
",",
"but",
"we",
"'re",
"getting",
"close",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Dr.",
"Levy",
",",
"who",
"is",
"now",
"with",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Pittsburgh",
".",
"A",
"problem",
",",
"he",
"adds",
",",
"is",
"that",
"anesthetized",
"brains",
"are",
"more",
"resistant",
"to",
"magnetic",
"stimulation",
"than",
"awake",
"ones",
".",
"The",
"devices",
"could",
"help",
"indicate",
"when",
"surgery",
"would",
"help",
",",
"says",
"Charles",
"Tator",
",",
"a",
"University",
"of",
"Toronto",
"neurosurgeon",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"paralyzed",
"car-crash",
"victims",
"occasionally",
"have",
"some",
"intact",
"spinal",
"tissues",
"that",
",",
"if",
"preserved",
"by",
"emergency",
"surgery",
",",
"enable",
"partial",
"recovery",
".",
"But",
"such",
"operations",
"typically",
"are",
"n't",
"performed",
"because",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"sign",
"right",
"after",
"an",
"injury",
"that",
"surgery",
"would",
"be",
"beneficial",
".",
"``",
"The",
"cost",
"-LCB-",
"of",
"magnetic",
"stimulators",
"-RCB-",
"would",
"seem",
"like",
"peanuts",
"if",
"we",
"could",
"retrieve",
"limb",
"function",
"''",
"in",
"such",
"people",
",",
"Dr.",
"Tator",
"says",
".",
"Scientists",
"caution",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"chance",
"the",
"magnet",
"technique",
"might",
"spark",
"seizures",
"in",
"epileptics",
".",
"But",
"no",
"significant",
"problems",
"have",
"been",
"reported",
"among",
"hundreds",
"of",
"people",
"tested",
"with",
"the",
"devices",
".",
"The",
"main",
"sensation",
",",
"besides",
"feeling",
"like",
"a",
"puppet",
"jerked",
"with",
"invisible",
"strings",
",",
"is",
"``",
"like",
"a",
"rap",
"on",
"the",
"head",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Sam",
"Bridgers",
",",
"a",
"neurologist",
"who",
"has",
"studied",
"the",
"brain",
"stimulators",
"at",
"Yale",
"University",
".",
"One",
"apparent",
"side",
"effect",
"is",
"a",
"minor",
"increase",
"in",
"a",
"brain",
"hormone",
".",
"And",
"some",
"doctors",
"who",
"have",
"conducted",
"hours",
"of",
"tests",
"on",
"themselves",
"report",
"temporary",
"headaches",
".",
"At",
"least",
"two",
"companies",
",",
"Cadwell",
"Laboratories",
"Inc.",
"of",
"Kennewick",
",",
"Wash.",
",",
"and",
"Novametrix",
"Medical",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
"of",
"Wallingford",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"now",
"sell",
"versions",
"of",
"the",
"magnetic",
"devices",
".",
"The",
"machines",
",",
"which",
"at",
"$",
"12,500",
"are",
"inexpensive",
"by",
"medical",
"standards",
",",
"have",
"n't",
"been",
"approved",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"for",
"marketing",
"as",
"brain",
"stimulators",
"but",
"are",
"sold",
"for",
"stimulating",
"nerves",
"in",
"the",
"hand",
",",
"legs",
"and",
"other",
"non-brain",
"areas",
".",
"Researchers",
"can",
"apply",
"for",
"permission",
"to",
"use",
"the",
"probes",
"for",
"brain",
"studies",
".",
"At",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Kentucky",
",",
"a",
"team",
"led",
"by",
"Dean",
"Currier",
",",
"a",
"physical",
"therapy",
"researcher",
",",
"is",
"testing",
"the",
"stimulators",
"in",
"conjunction",
"with",
"electric",
"shocks",
"to",
"induce",
"muscle",
"contractions",
"to",
"help",
"prevent",
"wasting",
"of",
"thigh",
"muscles",
"after",
"knee",
"surgery",
".",
"Similarly",
",",
"a",
"Purdue",
"University",
"team",
"led",
"by",
"heart",
"researcher",
"W.A.",
"Tacker",
"hopes",
"to",
"develop",
"ways",
"to",
"magnetically",
"induce",
"cardiac",
"muscle",
"contractions",
".",
"The",
"devices",
"might",
"someday",
"serve",
"as",
"temporary",
"pacemakers",
"or",
"restarters",
"for",
"stopped",
"hearts",
",",
"says",
"Dr.",
"Tacker",
",",
"whose",
"prototype",
"was",
"dubbed",
"the",
"``",
"Tacker",
"whacker",
".",
"''",
"The",
"devices",
"'",
"most",
"remarkable",
"possibilities",
",",
"though",
",",
"involve",
"the",
"brain",
".",
"Probing",
"with",
"the",
"stimulators",
",",
"National",
"Institutes",
"of",
"Health",
"scientists",
"recently",
"showed",
"how",
"the",
"brain",
"reorganizes",
"motor-control",
"resources",
"after",
"an",
"amputation",
".",
"Similar",
"studies",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"reveal",
"how",
"stroke",
"patients",
"'",
"brains",
"regroup",
"--",
"a",
"first",
"step",
"toward",
"finding",
"ways",
"to",
"bolster",
"that",
"process",
"and",
"speed",
"rehabilitation",
".",
"Scientists",
"also",
"are",
"exploring",
"memory",
"and",
"perception",
"with",
"the",
"new",
"machines",
".",
"At",
"the",
"State",
"University",
"of",
"New",
"York",
"at",
"Brooklyn",
",",
"researchers",
"flash",
"two",
"groups",
"of",
"different",
"letters",
"on",
"a",
"computer",
"screen",
"in",
"front",
"of",
"human",
"guinea",
"pigs",
".",
"Between",
"flashes",
",",
"certain",
"areas",
"in",
"subjects",
"'",
"brains",
"are",
"jolted",
"with",
"a",
"magnetic",
"stimulator",
".",
"When",
"the",
"jolt",
"is",
"timed",
"just",
"right",
",",
"the",
"subjects",
"do",
"n't",
"recall",
"seeing",
"the",
"first",
"group",
"of",
"letters",
".",
"``",
"Where",
"does",
"that",
"first",
"stimulus",
"go",
"?",
"''",
"exclaims",
"SUNY",
"neurologist",
"Paul",
"Maccabee",
".",
"``",
"Trying",
"to",
"answer",
"that",
"is",
"suggesting",
"all",
"kinds",
"of",
"theories",
",",
"''",
"such",
"as",
"precisely",
"where",
"and",
"how",
"the",
"brain",
"processes",
"incoming",
"signals",
"from",
"the",
"eyes",
".",
"He",
"and",
"others",
"say",
"that",
"the",
"machines",
"are",
"weak",
"enough",
"that",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"jeopardize",
"the",
"memory",
".",
"Both",
"the",
"SUNY",
"team",
"and",
"researchers",
"at",
"the",
"National",
"Magnet",
"Laboratory",
"in",
"Cambridge",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"are",
"working",
"with",
"more",
"potent",
"magnetic",
"brain",
"stimulators",
".",
"Among",
"other",
"things",
",",
"the",
"stronger",
"devices",
"may",
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[
"PepsiCo",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"chairman",
"said",
"he",
"is",
"``",
"more",
"than",
"comfortable",
"with",
"''",
"analysts",
"'",
"estimates",
"that",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
"rose",
"to",
"at",
"least",
"98",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"1",
"a",
"share",
"from",
"91",
"cents",
"the",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"D.",
"Wayne",
"Calloway",
",",
"also",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
"of",
"the",
"company",
",",
"indicated",
"that",
"he",
"expects",
"analysts",
"to",
"raise",
"their",
"forecasts",
"for",
"1989",
"after",
"the",
"company",
"releases",
"its",
"earnings",
"today",
".",
"So",
"far",
",",
"analysts",
"have",
"said",
"they",
"are",
"looking",
"for",
"$",
"3.30",
"to",
"$",
"3.35",
"a",
"share",
".",
"After",
"today",
"'s",
"announcement",
",",
"that",
"range",
"could",
"increase",
"to",
"$",
"3.35",
"to",
"$",
"3.40",
"a",
"share",
".",
"The",
"official",
"said",
"he",
"also",
"would",
"be",
"comfortable",
"with",
"that",
"new",
"range",
".",
"In",
"1988",
",",
"the",
"soft-drink",
"giant",
"earned",
"$",
"2.90",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Results",
"for",
"1989",
"will",
"include",
"about",
"40",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
"from",
"the",
"dilutive",
"effects",
"of",
"snack-food",
"and",
"bottling",
"company",
"acquisitions",
".",
"In",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
",",
"the",
"company",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"at",
"$",
"57.125",
"a",
"share",
",",
"up",
"$",
"3.125",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"third-quarter",
"sales",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"increase",
"25",
"%",
"from",
"$",
"3.12",
"billion",
"of",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"third",
"quarter",
".",
"Domestic",
"soft-drink",
"bottler",
"case",
"sales",
"are",
"estimated",
"to",
"have",
"risen",
"only",
"1",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"--",
"well",
"below",
"the",
"4",
"%",
"to",
"5",
"%",
"growth",
"of",
"recent",
"years",
"--",
"but",
"about",
"in",
"line",
"with",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"soft-drink",
"industry",
".",
"Mr.",
"Calloway",
"blamed",
"the",
"slower",
"volume",
"on",
"rainier",
"weather",
",",
"a",
"dearth",
"of",
"new",
"products",
"in",
"the",
"industry",
"and",
"--",
"to",
"a",
"much",
"lesser",
"extent",
"--",
"pricing",
".",
"PepsiCo",
"said",
"its",
"soft-drink",
"prices",
"were",
"about",
"2",
"%",
"higher",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
".",
"Mr.",
"Calloway",
"also",
"noted",
"that",
"soft-drink",
"volume",
"rose",
"a",
"hefty",
"9",
"%",
"in",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"making",
"the",
"comparison",
"more",
"difficult",
".",
"International",
"soft-drink",
"volume",
"was",
"up",
"about",
"6",
"%",
".",
"Snack-food",
"tonnage",
"increased",
"a",
"strong",
"7",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"while",
"domestic",
"profit",
"increased",
"in",
"double",
"digits",
",",
"Mr.",
"Calloway",
"said",
".",
"Excluding",
"the",
"British",
"snack-food",
"business",
"acquired",
"in",
"July",
",",
"snack-food",
"international",
"tonnage",
"jumped",
"40",
"%",
",",
"with",
"sales",
"strong",
"in",
"Spain",
",",
"Mexico",
"and",
"Brazil",
".",
"Total",
"snack-food",
"profit",
"rose",
"30",
"%",
".",
"Led",
"by",
"Pizza",
"Hut",
"and",
"Taco",
"Bell",
",",
"restaurant",
"earnings",
"increased",
"about",
"25",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"on",
"a",
"22",
"%",
"sales",
"increase",
".",
"Same-store",
"sales",
"for",
"Pizza",
"Hut",
"rose",
"about",
"13",
"%",
",",
"while",
"Taco",
"Bell",
"'s",
"increased",
"22",
"%",
",",
"as",
"the",
"chain",
"continues",
"to",
"benefit",
"from",
"its",
"price-value",
"strategy",
".",
"Taco",
"Bell",
"has",
"turned",
"around",
"declining",
"customer",
"counts",
"by",
"permanently",
"lowering",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"its",
"tacos",
".",
"Same",
"store-sales",
"for",
"Kentucky",
"Fried",
"Chicken",
",",
"which",
"has",
"struggled",
"with",
"increased",
"competition",
"in",
"the",
"fast-food",
"chicken",
"market",
"and",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"new",
"products",
",",
"rose",
"only",
"1",
"%",
".",
"The",
"operation",
",",
"which",
"has",
"been",
"slow",
"to",
"respond",
"to",
"consumers",
"'",
"shifting",
"tastes",
"away",
"from",
"fried",
"foods",
",",
"has",
"been",
"developing",
"a",
"grilled-chicken",
"product",
"that",
"may",
"be",
"introduced",
"nationally",
"at",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"next",
"year",
".",
"The",
"new",
"product",
"has",
"performed",
"well",
"in",
"a",
"market",
"test",
"in",
"Las",
"Vegas",
",",
"Nev.",
",",
"Mr.",
"Calloway",
"said",
".",
"After",
"a",
"four-year",
",",
"$",
"7.7",
"billion",
"acquisition",
"binge",
"that",
"brought",
"a",
"major",
"soft-drink",
"company",
",",
"soda",
"bottlers",
",",
"a",
"fast-food",
"chain",
"and",
"an",
"overseas",
"snack-food",
"giant",
"to",
"Pepsi",
",",
"Mr.",
"Calloway",
"said",
"he",
"does",
"n't",
"expect",
"any",
"major",
"acquisition",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"year",
"or",
"so",
".",
"But",
",",
"``",
"You",
"never",
"can",
"tell",
",",
"''",
"he",
"added",
",",
"``",
"you",
"have",
"to",
"take",
"advantage",
"of",
"opportunities",
"."
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"Three",
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"3",
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",",
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"accounted",
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"47",
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"months",
",",
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"50",
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"a",
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".",
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"for",
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"rose",
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"1.63",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"Exchange",
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",",
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"75.25",
",",
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".",
"Warner-Lambert",
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".",
"Warner-Lambert",
",",
"Morris",
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",",
"N.J.",
",",
"reported",
"sales",
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"a",
"record",
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"and",
"the",
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"row",
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"more",
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"earnings",
"growth",
".",
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"growth",
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",",
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",",
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"earnings",
"expected",
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"20",
"%",
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"6.10",
".",
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"for",
"the",
"quarter",
"rose",
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"$",
"1.11",
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"$",
"1.03",
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".",
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"world-wide",
"sales",
"rose",
"9",
"%",
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"quarter",
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"$",
"340",
"million",
";",
"U.S.",
"sales",
"rose",
"15",
"%",
".",
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",",
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".",
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"U.S.",
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"increased",
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"277",
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"despite",
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".",
"Earnings",
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"sales",
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",",
"profit",
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"Elizabeth",
"Arden",
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"litigation",
"at",
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".",
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"the",
"Indianapolis",
",",
"Ind.",
",",
"company",
"rose",
"11",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"1.045",
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"from",
"$",
"940.6",
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".",
"Nine-month",
"sales",
"grew",
"12",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"3.39",
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"from",
"$",
"3.03",
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"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Sales",
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"Prozac",
",",
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"Settlement",
"Trust",
".",
"The",
"trust",
",",
"which",
"owns",
"80",
"%",
"of",
"Manville",
"'s",
"stock",
"on",
"a",
"fully",
"diluted",
"basis",
",",
"is",
"a",
"separate",
"legal",
"entity",
"that",
"is",
"settling",
"claims",
"with",
"asbestos",
"victims",
".",
"When",
"and",
"if",
"the",
"trust",
"runs",
"out",
"of",
"cash",
"--",
"which",
"seems",
"increasingly",
"likely",
"--",
"it",
"will",
"need",
"to",
"convert",
"its",
"Manville",
"stock",
"to",
"cash",
".",
"But",
"as",
"an",
"80",
"%",
"owner",
",",
"if",
"it",
"tried",
"to",
"sell",
"much",
"of",
"its",
"stock",
"in",
"the",
"market",
",",
"it",
"would",
"likely",
"depress",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"its",
"shares",
".",
"Some",
"investors",
"say",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"good",
"chance",
"that",
"the",
"trust",
"will",
",",
"instead",
",",
"seek",
"to",
"convert",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"shares",
"to",
"cash",
",",
"in",
"some",
"sort",
"of",
"friendly",
"restructuring",
"that",
"would",
"n't",
"involve",
"just",
"dumping",
"stock",
"on",
"the",
"market",
".",
"``",
"Their",
"principal",
"asset",
"is",
"Manville",
"common",
"stock",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jeffrey",
"Halis",
",",
"who",
"runs",
"Sabre",
"Associates",
",",
"an",
"investment",
"fund",
"that",
"owns",
"Manville",
"shares",
".",
"``",
"If",
"they",
"tried",
"to",
"sell",
",",
"they",
"'d",
"be",
"chasing",
"their",
"own",
"tail",
".",
"What",
"makes",
"the",
"most",
"sense",
"is",
"to",
"find",
"someone",
"who",
"wants",
"to",
"buy",
"the",
"whole",
"company",
"or",
"cause",
"a",
"recapitalization",
"of",
"all",
"shares",
".",
"''",
"The",
"trust",
"is",
"n't",
"commenting",
"on",
"when",
"it",
"might",
"need",
"to",
"liquefy",
"its",
"Manville",
"stock",
".",
"However",
",",
"the",
"trust",
"'s",
"cash",
"flow",
"from",
"investments",
"is",
"far",
"short",
"of",
"its",
"payments",
"to",
"asbestos",
"victims",
".",
"Its",
"cash",
"and",
"liquid",
"securities",
"fell",
"by",
"$",
"338",
"million",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"six",
"months",
"of",
"1989",
".",
"The",
"trust",
"also",
"will",
"receive",
"$",
"75",
"million",
"a",
"year",
"starting",
"in",
"1991",
"on",
"a",
"bond",
"it",
"holds",
"from",
"Manville",
".",
"And",
",",
"beginning",
"in",
"1992",
",",
"it",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"claim",
"on",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"Manville",
"'s",
"annual",
"net",
"income",
".",
"Even",
"so",
",",
"the",
"trust",
"would",
"seem",
"to",
"be",
"facing",
"a",
"cash",
"crunch",
".",
"As",
"of",
"June",
"30",
",",
"it",
"had",
"settled",
"only",
"about",
"15,000",
"of",
"the",
"81,000",
"received",
"claims",
"from",
"asbestos",
"victims",
",",
"for",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"$",
"40,424",
"each",
".",
"(",
"The",
"average",
"should",
"drop",
"over",
"time",
",",
"since",
"the",
"most",
"expensive",
"claims",
"are",
"being",
"settled",
"first",
")",
".",
"And",
"as",
"of",
"midyear",
",",
"settled",
"but",
"unpaid",
"claims",
"amounted",
"to",
"$",
"136",
"million",
"--",
"more",
"than",
"half",
"the",
"trust",
"'s",
"total",
"of",
"$",
"268",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
"and",
"marketable",
"securities",
".",
"``",
"At",
"some",
"point",
",",
"we",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"need",
"an",
"infusion",
"of",
"funds",
",",
"''",
"a",
"person",
"close",
"to",
"the",
"trust",
"says",
".",
"Even",
"before",
"then",
",",
"the",
"trust",
"may",
"be",
"eager",
"to",
"unload",
"Manville",
"stock",
".",
"It",
"does",
"n't",
"pay",
"a",
"dividend",
",",
"and",
"this",
"trust",
"needs",
"income",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"with",
"88",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"assets",
"tied",
"up",
"in",
"Manville",
",",
"the",
"trust",
"is",
"badly",
"in",
"need",
"of",
"diversification",
".",
"``",
"Obviously",
",",
"a",
"diversified",
"portfolio",
"would",
"have",
"less",
"risk",
",",
"''",
"the",
"person",
"close",
"to",
"the",
"trust",
"says",
".",
"Manville",
"itself",
"does",
"n't",
"rule",
"out",
"a",
"restructuring",
".",
"Though",
"the",
"ink",
"is",
"barely",
"dry",
"on",
"its",
"new",
",",
"post-bankruptcy",
"law",
"structure",
",",
"Bill",
"Bullock",
",",
"Manville",
"'s",
"head",
"of",
"investor",
"relations",
",",
"says",
"the",
"company",
"is",
"continually",
"pondering",
"``",
"whether",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"better",
"way",
"to",
"be",
"structured",
".",
"We",
"understand",
"that",
"the",
"trust",
"is",
"ultimately",
"going",
"to",
"need",
"to",
"sell",
"some",
"of",
"our",
"shares",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Of",
"course",
",",
"one",
"option",
"would",
"be",
"for",
"Manville",
"to",
"buy",
"out",
"the",
"trust",
"'s",
"shares",
"--",
"which",
"would",
"do",
"little",
"to",
"benefit",
"public",
"stockholders",
".",
"But",
"the",
"trust",
",",
"in",
"most",
"cases",
",",
"is",
"forbidden",
"from",
"seeking",
"a",
"buyer",
"for",
"only",
"its",
"shares",
"before",
"November",
"1993",
".",
"And",
"both",
"the",
"trust",
"and",
"Manville",
"are",
"seeking",
"to",
"avoid",
"the",
"bad",
"publicity",
"that",
",",
"in",
"the",
"asbestos",
"era",
",",
"tarred",
"the",
"Manville",
"name",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"the",
"trust",
"is",
"unlikely",
"to",
"do",
"anything",
"that",
"would",
"hurt",
"Manville",
"'s",
"other",
"shareholders",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"a",
"rare",
"case",
"of",
"a",
"company",
"with",
"a",
"big",
"majority",
"holder",
"which",
"will",
"probably",
"act",
"in",
"the",
"interests",
"of",
"the",
"minority",
"holders",
",",
"''",
"one",
"investor",
"says",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"restructuring",
",",
"Manville",
"seems",
"to",
"be",
"attractive",
"long-term",
".",
"Its",
"stock",
",",
"at",
"9",
"5/8",
",",
"trades",
"at",
"about",
"8",
"1/2",
"times",
"estimated",
"1989",
"earnings",
"--",
"an",
"appropriately",
"low",
"multiple",
"for",
"a",
"company",
"with",
"recession-sensitive",
"customers",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bullock",
"says",
"45",
"%",
"of",
"revenues",
"are",
"tied",
"to",
"construction",
".",
"Analysts",
"predict",
"little",
"or",
"no",
"near-term",
"growth",
".",
"They",
"are",
",",
"nonetheless",
",",
"high",
"on",
"Manville",
"'s",
"management",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"best",
"in",
"the",
"business",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Salomon",
"Brothers",
"analyst",
"Stephen",
"Dobi",
".",
"And",
"he",
"says",
"Manville",
"has",
"the",
"financial",
"flexibility",
"to",
"buy",
"other",
"companies",
"at",
"the",
"best",
"possible",
"moment",
"when",
"other",
"construction-related",
"firms",
"are",
"hurting",
"and",
"selling",
"cheap",
".",
"With",
"a",
"conservative",
"debt-to-equity",
"ratio",
"of",
"1-to-1",
"--",
"and",
"$",
"329",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
"--",
"Manville",
"is",
"indeed",
"actively",
"on",
"the",
"prowl",
".",
"So",
"far",
",",
"as",
"a",
"price-conscious",
"shopper",
",",
"Manville",
"has",
"n't",
"bought",
"much",
".",
"Paul",
"Kleinaitis",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"Duff",
"&",
"Phelps",
",",
"says",
",",
"``",
"Even",
"though",
"they",
"have",
"borrowing",
"power",
",",
"they",
"have",
"been",
"disciplined",
"about",
"acquisitions",
".",
"''",
"And",
"Mr.",
"Kleinaitis",
"says",
"that",
"with",
"80",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"stock",
"in",
"friendly",
"hands",
",",
"Manville",
"is",
"the",
"rare",
"publicly",
"traded",
"company",
"that",
"can",
"ignore",
"short-term",
"stock",
"fluctuations",
"and",
"plan",
"for",
"the",
"long",
"haul",
".",
"Manville",
"(",
"NYSE",
";",
"Symbol",
":",
"MVL",
")",
"Business",
":",
"Forest",
"products",
"and",
"roofing",
"Year",
"ended",
"Dec.",
"31",
",",
"1988",
":",
"Sales",
":",
"$",
"2.06",
"billions",
"Net",
"loss",
":",
"$",
"1.30",
"billion",
"*",
"Third",
"quarter",
",",
"Sept.",
"30",
",",
"1989",
":",
"Per-share",
"earnings",
":",
"30",
"cents",
"vs.",
"44",
"cents",
"**",
"Average",
"daily",
"trading",
"volume",
":",
"74,351",
"shares",
"Common",
"shares",
"outstanding",
":",
"120",
"million",
"*",
"Includes",
"$",
"1.29",
"billion",
"extraordinary",
"charge",
".",
"**",
"Year",
"ago",
"figure",
"is",
"restated",
"."
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