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Crisis is the new normal

pspanhas any major political movement been as thoroughly expunged from popular memory as the spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiantiglobalization_movement target_blankspanantiglobalisation movementspanaspan two decades ago the dominant opinion on the left was that globalisation was a destructive and exploitative innovation of international capitalism to be fought spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki1999_seattle_wto_protests target_blankspanin seattle in 1999spanaspan and spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki27th_g8_summit target_blankspanin genoa in 2001spanaspan thousands of protestors from across the world gathered to protest against the signing of the transnational trade treaties that accelerated the spread of globalisation a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld1999dec05wtoglobalisationcheered on by the organs of left opinionaspanp pspana spana relnoopener hrefhttpnewsbbccouk1hiuk1305103stm target_blankspanbbc articlespanaspan from 2001 notes that opponents of globalisation believe it leads to exploitation of the worlds poor workers and the environment makes it easier for rich companies to act with less accountability and that countries individual cultures are becoming overpowered by americanisation on the other hand those in favour of globalisation claim it should make everyone richer [while] trade links can encourage countries to respect human rightsspanp pspantwenty years on it is clear that the opponents of globalisation were entirely correct and the supporters were utterly wrong and yet their brains broken by brexit spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomanandmenon1status1444683003800789008s20 target_blankspanbritains liberal commentariatspanaspan continue to advocatespana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomandrewprlevistatus1445690981458714638s20 target_blankspan globalised food supply chainsspana spanpurely as a result of remainer tribalismspanp divdiv pspanthe bbcs neutral tone at the turn of the millennium is almost unimaginable in todays hysterical discourse where opposition to globalisation has been recoded as a political signifier entirely randomly from a reasoned leftwing argument to an irrational prejudice of reactionary and probably racist deplorables likewise the left has seemingly abandoned its commitment to localisation and the preservation of unionised national labour in favour of spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202010globalismwinsbecauseitshighstatus target_blankspancosmopolitan dreamsspanaspan of unfettered globalisationspanp pspanin britain this bizarre polar inversion is manifest in the political discourse over the current spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombusiness2021oct02supplychainworldeconomyenergylabourtransportcovid target_blankspansupply chain crisisspanaspan the fundamental problem causing empty shelves in britain today is not brexit itself but the overcomplexity of supply chains maximised for efficiency in good times but which are spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheamericanconservativecomarticleswhydidntwetestourtradesantifragilitybeforecovid19 target_blankspandangerously fragilespanaspan whenever the system meets a shock by over attenuating supply chains on a global scale and centralising food production for the benefit of the supermarkets the system was unable to cope with the pandemics cascading aftershocks from energy crises to labour shortages still working themselves through the global economy spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1235104098300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarh5is boris taking us back to the seventiesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarspanbyspan dominic sandbrookapdivadiv pspanthis is a global supply chain crisis caused by a worldwide slowmotion but acceleratingspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlecovidsbiggestscalpwillbeglobalisationp7m8rxkn7 target_blank spancollapse of globalisationspanaspan as the american economistspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021oct01americasupplychainshortages target_blank spanmatt stoller underlinesspanaspan globalisation has left us uniquely unprepared to manage a supply shock our hyperefficient globalized supply chain once romanticized by men like tom friedman in spanispanthe world is flatspanispan is the problem like the financial system before the 2008 crash this kind of economic order hides its fragility it seems to work quite well until it doesnt now were beginning to see what it looks like when it doesnt spanp pspantake spana relnoopener hrefhttpssustainablefoodtrustorgarticlesweneedjoinedupthinkingaboutlocalabattoirs target_blankspanmeat processingspanaspan as an example for decades in search of efficiency supermarkets have centralised the processing of meat in gigantic megaabattoirs forcing small regional abattoirs to close and crowding out local farmers the working environment in these places is so appalling and exploitative and the pay so low that they can only be staffed by immigrants from poorer regions of the world as a result spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombusiness2021oct14uturnexpectedontemporaryvisasfornonukbutcherslabourshortagemeatindustry target_blankspanmore than two thirds spanaspanof britains meat processing labour force is made up of migrantsspanspan making the nations food supply dependent on the free flow of foreign labour and on the nationwide distribution of live animals and processed meat to a tiny number of centralised hubs spanp pspanthis is an entirely unsustainable as well as immoral state of affairs spanspanas the commentator richard north an expert on the meat industry spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwturbulenttimescouknewsbrexitbrexitfromanothergalaxy target_blankspanobservesspanaspan the number of abattoirs in britain has shrunk from 3326 units in the 1960s to a mere 156 in 2020 with the result that the meat industry structure in the uk is already so concentrated as to be unsustainable as soon as the system meets a shock as it has now a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211015farmersurgegovernmentletusslaughtersellpigssolveabattoir target_blankit is unable to copeaspanp pspanyet even before the current shock the centralisation of meat production was eroding the resilience of britains food supply in 2018 34 separate organisations from the national trust to the womens institute and the rspca spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwfarmingukcomnewssmallabattoirsclosingatalarmingratethirtyfourgroupstellgove_50000html target_blankspanlobbied the governmentspanaspan to halt the collapse of britains network of small regional abattoirs a huge national asset closing at an alarming rate as christopher price of the rare breed survival trust observes spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrbstorgukblograrebreedbriefingabattoirs target_blankspanhas notedspanaspan large scale abattoirs require workers to carry out highly specific often highly mechanised procedures as part of the slaughtering process and employ relatively large numbers of narrower skilled lower paid people in one location instead the government should support the creation of more local and smaller abattoirs where each worker is required to be more highly and multiskilled with the flexibility for parttime work this would benefit rural areas where local employment is rare and facilitate the creation of new premium markets for distinctive meat products from local breeds and the expansion of related businesses such as butchers and farm shopsspanp pspanbut insteadb bthis vital opportunity to reform the sector into one dependent on highskilled highpaid labour working in significantly better conditions is being squandered instead cheered on by spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomchannel4newsstatus1447997796636839942s20 target_blankspantheir useful idiots in britains commentator classspanaspan the corporate food lobby has leaned on the government to spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticleukvisaabattoirporkbutcherpigslaborshortages target_blankspanreopen the floodgates to lowpaid migrant labourspanaspan keeping a broken and exploitative system on artificial life support spanp pspanthe current system is simply unsustainable and exploitative to agricultural workers as the radical left farming union the landworkers alliance noted in spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelandmagazineorguksitesdefaultfilesmanifesto20final20lowpdf target_blankspantheir 2016 manifestospanaspan the rural economy is vulnerable to competition from global markets and to aggressive price bargaining from cartels of processors and distributors supermarkets with the result that less than ten per cent of earnings from the uk food industry go to uk farmers and fishermen spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1235155836300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarh5dont blame brexit for shortagesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarspanbyspan philip pilkingtonapdivadiv pspanalready the labour shortage is allowing farm workers spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlebroccolipickerspaid30anhourasbritainrunsshortofvegetablesdfs0mk2sp target_blankspanto demand higher wagesspanaspan a process which should be allowed to continue not just because its fair but also because it builds resilience into the system a britain where the farming sector is forced into decline by global competition is a britain highly vulnerable to global shocks of the kind we are experiencing now and yet as the landworkers alliance spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelandmagazineorguksitesdefaultfilescappdf target_blankspanwarned back in 2017spanaspan the corporate farming lobby is addicted to the current system with organisations that have the governments ear like the national farmers union more focussed on developing superefficient megafarms capable of competing in a cutthroat global market than in producing the bulk of the uks food supply through a network of secure family farms spanp pspanthe globalisation of supply lines according to the logic of the free market is also a disaster for the environment as a greenpeace investigation spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunearthedgreenpeaceorg20211013cargilldeforestationbrazilukdairycadburycheese target_blankspanrevealed last weekspanaspan the growing consolidation of britains dairy industry into a handful of americanstyle megadairies is allowing global food corporations to feed cows soybeans sourced from spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscominvestigatesspecialreportbrazildeforestation target_blankspanbrazils endangered cerrado ecoregionspanaspan the impact has been profound it has accelerated deforestation and global warming forced cows to live in miserable and unnatural indoors conditions in giant sheds and driven small dairy farmers here in britain out of business spanp pspanyet aside from moral questions the supply chain of soybeans is also extremely liable to disruption in times of crisis such as the drought spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsfeatures20210928climatechangeinbrazilfirefrostdroughtupendsglobalmarkets target_blankspanthe worst in over a centuryspanaspan currently devastating brazils farming sector shortages of soybeans caused by environmental collapse in brazil or by blockages in the global shipping system will mean future shortages of milk and cheese an absurd situation in a country like britain blessed with abundant rainfall and lush grass spanp pspansuch builtin vulnerabilities are dangerous as we head into an era of permanent crisis indeed as the leftwing economist spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomeconomy202110whyconventionaleconomicsisinadequateforournewageofscarcityandemergency target_blankspanjames meadway warnsspanaspan though brexit has exacerbated britains exposure to supply chain disruption it is a parochial mistake to single out britains leaving the eu as the primary cause of the crisis rather what we are experiencing is the first tremors of the generalised environmental collapse of this centuryspana relnoopener hrefhttpscorporatenordeacomapiresearchitem68075pdfembeddedtrue target_blank spangas prices are not going to come down any time soonspanaspan and the supply chain crisis will not be resolved this year or even next spanp pspancrisis is the new normal and to sustain the very basic good of food security britain will have to become more selfreliant decentralising supply chains in pursuit of resilience rather than efficiency and reshoring food production as far as is possible this isnt a leap back to the middle ages as online critics howl britain was 78 selfsufficient in food spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthegrocercouksourcinghowcantheukbemoreselfsufficientinfood653103articletextas20brexit20and20climate20change2c20self2dsufficiency20is20downamptextthe20uk20is20just2018in20the20past20two20decades target_blankspanas late as the 1980sspanaspan and returning to localised production and supply chains should be considered a vital strategic goalspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1233914758scalede1633965805482copy300x158jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarh5the tories can save blue labourh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinosapdivadiv pspanand yet in a stunning example of cognitive dissonance we see liberal commentators spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2019feb26terrifiedwarmweatherglobalwarminglondon target_blankspanwho warnspanaspan of the looming catastrophe of climate collapse spana hrefhttpstwittercomjonnelledgestatus1447278382148988934s20spansimultaneously arguingspanaspan that fragile globalised supply chains are somehow both desirable and permanent like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwweirinfo20160329imaginingtheendoftheworldinfictionandcapitalism target_blankspanthe famous quotespanaspan that its easier to imagine the end of the world than the end of capitalism it seems its easier for these people to imagine total civilisational collapse than not being able to eat kenyan strawberries in midwinter spanp pspanthe leftwing antiglobalisation protestors of twenty years ago were right then and spana hrefhttpsjohnredwoodsdiarycom20201205anewfarmingpolicyspantheir newly localist conservative successorsspanaspan are right now instead of spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomgunnkitstatus1447632482116030467s20 target_blankspanmockingspanaspan the governments tentative steps towards relocalisation of the nations food supply as the backwards fantasies of nostalgic brexiteers our stubbornly parochial remainer comment class should for once step back and observe the changing world around them spanp pspanthe global supply chain crisis is forcing the conservatives to abandon their freetrading dreams as neoliberal ideology gets crushed by stark reality this is an unalloyed good and should be supported and encouraged as far as possible the government is spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcoukpolitics20211004businesseshavebecomedrunkcheaplaboursaytories target_blankspancorrect to sayspanaspan that todays supply chain meltdown is a failure of the free market and not of the state and that businesses have become drunk on cheap labour the current crisis is an opportunity to rebalance britains food system into a fairer and more resilient model and the government spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwitvcomnews20211005thereisnoalternativepmsaystheremaybetoughtimesonwaytohighwages target_blankspanfinally being forced towards good policyspanaspan by events outside its control needs to hold its nerve spanp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110crisisisthenewnormalappcommentsview 29 commentsa

pspanhas major political movement thoroughly expunged popular memory spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiantiglobalization_movement target_blankspanantiglobalisation movementspanaspan decades ago dominant opinion left globalisation destructive exploitative innovation international capitalism fought spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki1999_seattle_wto_protests target_blankspanin seattle 1999spanaspan spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki27th_g8_summit target_blankspanin genoa 2001spanaspan thousands protestors world gathered protest signing transnational trade treaties accelerated spread globalisation hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld1999dec05wtoglobalisationcheered organs left opinionaspanp pspana spana relnoopener hrefhttpnewsbbccouk1hiuk1305103stm target_blankspanbbc articlespanaspan 2001 notes opponents globalisation believe leads exploitation worlds poor workers environment makes easier rich companies act accountability countries individual cultures overpowered americanisation hand favour globalisation claim richer [while] trade links encourage countries respect human rightsspanp pspantwenty years clear opponents globalisation entirely correct supporters utterly wrong brains broken brexit spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomanandmenon1status1444683003800789008s20 target_blankspanbritains liberal commentariatspanaspan continue advocatespana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomandrewprlevistatus1445690981458714638s20 target_blankspan globalised food supply chainsspanaspanpurely result remainer tribalismspanp divdiv pspanthe bbcs neutral tone turn millennium unimaginable todays hysterical discourse opposition globalisation recoded political signifier entirely randomly reasoned leftwing argument irrational prejudice reactionary probably racist deplorables likewise left seemingly abandoned commitment localisation preservation unionised national labour favour spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202010globalismwinsbecauseitshighstatus target_blankspancosmopolitan dreamsspanaspan unfettered globalisationspanp pspanin britain bizarre polar inversion manifest political discourse current spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombusiness2021oct02supplychainworldeconomyenergylabourtransportcovid target_blankspansupply chain crisisspanaspan fundamental problem causing shelves britain today brexit overcomplexity supply chains maximised efficiency good times spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheamericanconservativecomarticleswhydidntwetestourtradesantifragilitybeforecovid19 target_blankspandangerously fragilespanaspan system meets shock attenuating supply chains global scale centralising food production benefit supermarkets system unable cope pandemics cascading aftershocks energy crises labour shortages working global economyspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1235104098300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarh5is boris taking seventiesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isboristakingusbacktotheseventiesrefinnarspanbyspan dominic sandbrookapdivadiv pspanthis global supply chain crisis caused worldwide slowmotion acceleratingspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlecovidsbiggestscalpwillbeglobalisationp7m8rxkn7 target_blank spancollapse globalisationspanaspan american economistspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021oct01americasupplychainshortages target_blank spanmatt stoller underlinesspanaspan globalisation left uniquely unprepared manage supply shock hyperefficient globalized supply chain romanticized men like tom friedman spanispanthe world flatspanispan problem like financial system 2008 crash kind economic order hides fragility work doesnt beginning looks like doesntspanp pspantake spana relnoopener hrefhttpssustainablefoodtrustorgarticlesweneedjoinedupthinkingaboutlocalabattoirs target_blankspanmeat processingspanaspan example decades search efficiency supermarkets centralised processing meat gigantic megaabattoirs forcing small regional abattoirs close crowding local farmers working environment places appalling exploitative pay low staffed immigrants poorer regions world result spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombusiness2021oct14uturnexpectedontemporaryvisasfornonukbutcherslabourshortagemeatindustry target_blankspanmore thirds spanaspanof britains meat processing labour force migrantsspanspan making nations food supply dependent free flow foreign labour nationwide distribution live animals processed meat tiny number centralised hubs spanp pspanthis entirely unsustainable immoral state affairsspanspanas commentator richard north expert meat industry spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwturbulenttimescouknewsbrexitbrexitfromanothergalaxy target_blankspanobservesspanaspan number abattoirs britain shrunk 3326 units 1960s mere 156 2020 result meat industry structure uk concentrated unsustainable soon system meets shock relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211015farmersurgegovernmentletusslaughtersellpigssolveabattoir target_blankit unable copeaspanp pspanyet current shock centralisation meat production eroding resilience britains food supply 2018 34 separate organisations national trust womens institute rspca spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwfarmingukcomnewssmallabattoirsclosingatalarmingratethirtyfourgroupstellgove_50000html target_blankspanlobbied governmentspanaspan halt collapse britains network small regional abattoirs huge national asset closing alarming rate christopher price rare breed survival trust observes spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrbstorgukblograrebreedbriefingabattoirs target_blankspanhas notedspanaspan large scale abattoirs require workers carry highly specific highly mechanised procedures slaughtering process employ relatively large numbers narrower skilled lower paid people location instead government support creation local smaller abattoirs worker required highly multiskilled flexibility parttime work benefit rural areas local employment rare facilitate creation new premium markets distinctive meat products local breeds expansion related businesses butchers farm shopsspanp pspanbut insteadb bthis vital opportunity reform sector dependent highskilled highpaid labour working significantly better conditions squandered instead cheered spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomchannel4newsstatus1447997796636839942s20 target_blankspantheir useful idiots britains commentator classspanaspan corporate food lobby leaned government spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticleukvisaabattoirporkbutcherpigslaborshortages target_blankspanreopen floodgates lowpaid migrant labourspanaspan keeping broken exploitative system artificial life supportspanp pspanthe current system simply unsustainable exploitative agricultural workers radical left farming union landworkers alliance noted spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelandmagazineorguksitesdefaultfilesmanifesto20final20lowpdf target_blankspantheir 2016 manifestospanaspan rural economy vulnerable competition global markets aggressive price bargaining cartels processors distributors supermarkets result cent earnings uk food industry uk farmers fishermenspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1235155836300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarh5dont blame brexit shortagesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dontblamebrexitforshortagesrefinnarspanbyspan philip pilkingtonapdivadiv pspanalready labour shortage allowing farm workers spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlebroccolipickerspaid30anhourasbritainrunsshortofvegetablesdfs0mk2sp target_blankspanto demand higher wagesspanaspan process allowed continue fair builds resilience system britain farming sector forced decline global competition britain highly vulnerable global shocks kind experiencing landworkers alliance spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelandmagazineorguksitesdefaultfilescappdf target_blankspanwarned 2017spanaspan corporate farming lobby addicted current system organisations governments ear like national farmers union focussed developing superefficient megafarms capable competing cutthroat global market producing bulk uks food supply network secure family farmsspanp pspanthe globalisation supply lines according logic free market disaster environment greenpeace investigation spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunearthedgreenpeaceorg20211013cargilldeforestationbrazilukdairycadburycheese target_blankspanrevealed weekspanaspan growing consolidation britains dairy industry handful americanstyle megadairies allowing global food corporations feed cows soybeans sourced spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscominvestigatesspecialreportbrazildeforestation target_blankspanbrazils endangered cerrado ecoregionspanaspan impact profound accelerated deforestation global warming forced cows live miserable unnatural indoors conditions giant sheds driven small dairy farmers britain businessspanp pspanyet aside moral questions supply chain soybeans extremely liable disruption times crisis drought spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsfeatures20210928climatechangeinbrazilfirefrostdroughtupendsglobalmarkets target_blankspanthe worst centuryspanaspan currently devastating brazils farming sector shortages soybeans caused environmental collapse brazil blockages global shipping system mean future shortages milk cheese absurd situation country like britain blessed abundant rainfall lush grassspanp pspansuch builtin vulnerabilities dangerous head era permanent crisis leftwing economist spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomeconomy202110whyconventionaleconomicsisinadequateforournewageofscarcityandemergency target_blankspanjames meadway warnsspanaspan brexit exacerbated britains exposure supply chain disruption parochial mistake single britains leaving eu primary cause crisis experiencing tremors generalised environmental collapse centuryspana relnoopener hrefhttpscorporatenordeacomapiresearchitem68075pdfembeddedtrue target_blank spangas prices going come time soonspanaspan supply chain crisis resolved year nextspanp pspancrisis new normal sustain basic good food security britain selfreliant decentralising supply chains pursuit resilience efficiency reshoring food production far possible isnt leap middle ages online critics howl britain 78 selfsufficient food spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthegrocercouksourcinghowcantheukbemoreselfsufficientinfood653103articletextas20brexit20and20climate20change2c20self2dsufficiency20is20downamptextthe20uk20is20just2018in20the20past20two20decades target_blankspanas late 1980sspanaspan returning localised production supply chains considered vital strategic goalspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1233914758scalede1633965805482copy300x158jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarh5the tories save blue labourh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinosapdivadiv pspanand stunning example cognitive dissonance liberal commentators spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2019feb26terrifiedwarmweatherglobalwarminglondon target_blankspanwho warnspanaspan looming catastrophe climate collapse spana hrefhttpstwittercomjonnelledgestatus1447278382148988934s20spansimultaneously arguingspanaspan fragile globalised supply chains desirable permanent like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwweirinfo20160329imaginingtheendoftheworldinfictionandcapitalism target_blankspanthe famous quotespanaspan easier imagine end world end capitalism easier people imagine total civilisational collapse able eat kenyan strawberries midwinterspanp pspanthe leftwing antiglobalisation protestors years ago right spana hrefhttpsjohnredwoodsdiarycom20201205anewfarmingpolicyspantheir newly localist conservative successorsspanaspan right instead spana relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomgunnkitstatus1447632482116030467s20 target_blankspanmockingspanaspan governments tentative steps relocalisation nations food supply backwards fantasies nostalgic brexiteers stubbornly parochial remainer comment class step observe changing world themspanp pspanthe global supply chain crisis forcing conservatives abandon freetrading dreams neoliberal ideology gets crushed stark reality unalloyed good supported encouraged far possible government spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcoukpolitics20211004businesseshavebecomedrunkcheaplaboursaytories target_blankspancorrect sayspanaspan todays supply chain meltdown failure free market state businesses drunk cheap labour current crisis opportunity rebalance britains food system fairer resilient model government spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwitvcomnews20211005thereisnoalternativepmsaystheremaybetoughtimesonwaytohighwages target_blankspanfinally forced good policyspanaspan events outside control needs hold nervespanp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110crisisisthenewnormalappcommentsview 29 commentsa

616e0f62e21762d0e28f1474

What I’ve been reading

p1 carole angier a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomspeaksilencesearchwsebalddp1526634791refsr_1_1dchild1keywordscaroleangierqid1634333401sr81 target_blankspeak silence in search of wg sebalda  might sebald be the only semirecent writer who can hold a candle to ferrante knausgaard and houllebecq  this book is sprawling and suffers somewhat from lack of access to the authors family but it is a true labor of love  and angier has a deep understanding of sebald and also brings out the jewishrelated themes in his work though he was not jewish himself  it attempts to be a sebaldian work itself and even if it does not always succeed it is the kind of passionate book we need more of  recommended but you have to read sebald first if need be start with emdie ausgewanderten [the emigrants]emp p2 arthur herman a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomvikingheartscandinaviansconqueredworldebookdpb08b3cwg2zrefsr_1_1dchild1keywordsvikingheartqid1634333323sr81 target_blankthe viking heart how scandinavians conquered the worlda  ignore the subtitle  there have been a number of good books on the vikings lately and this is perhaps the most popular and big picture of the lot  the early vikings swept through europe in a matter of decades mixing conquest and trade  king canute was pretty impressive it seems  specialists may pick nits but it is very readable and seems to me to give a good overview of the role of the vikings in european history  this would be the one to start withp p3 lawrence rothfield a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncommeasuremanlibertyflorentinerenaissanceebookdpb08r9869ttrefsr_1_3dchild1keywordslawrencerothfieldqid1634333291sr83 target_blankthe measure of man liberty virtue and beauty in the florentine republica  an excellent introduction to florence with some focus on issues of liberty and also civic leaderhip  one should never tire of reading about this particular topicp p4 howard w french a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombornblacknessafricaafricansmakingdp1631495828refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsborninblacknessqid1634333198sr81 target_blankborn in blackness africa africans and the making of the modern world 1471 to the second world wara  think of this book as a retelling of some standard historical episodes but with africa at the center rather than as a recipient of european advances  this is a useful reframing and i enjoyed the read  but perhaps by the end it was the new world that in my mind was upgraded as a more central spot for the rise of modernity  too frequently the relevance of africa has to be rescued by invoking portugal as sweden russia and turkey simply will not do the trick therep pnew out is diane coyle a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomcogsmonsterswhateconomicsshouldebookdpb0923wp27hrefsr_1_1crid1gg7tqn6p195dchild1keywordscogsandmonsterswhateconomicsis2candwhatitshouldbeqid1634333262sprefixcogsandmonst2caps2c175sr81 target_blankcogs and monsters what economics is and what it should bea she is typically wisep pi am happy to see the publication of calvin dukes a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomentrepreneurialcommunitiescalvindukedp1944298770refsr_1_1dchild1keywordscalvindukeentrepreneurialcommunitiesqid1634333485sr81 target_blankentrepreneurial communities an alternative to the state the theories of spencer heath and spencer maccallumap pthere is also kyle harper a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomplaguesuponearthprincetoneconomicdp069119212xrefsr_1_1dchild1keywordskyleharperplaguesqid1634333526sr81 target_blankplagues upon the earth disease and the course of human historya long and comprehensivep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whativebeenreading204htmlwhat ive been readinga appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

p1 carole angier relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomspeaksilencesearchwsebalddp1526634791refsr_1_1dchild1keywordscaroleangierqid1634333401sr81 target_blankspeak silence search wg sebalda sebald semirecent writer hold candle ferrante knausgaard houllebecq book sprawling suffers somewhat lack access authors family true labor love angier deep understanding sebald brings jewishrelated themes work jewish attempts sebaldian work succeed kind passionate book need recommended read sebald need start emdie ausgewanderten [the emigrants]emp p2 arthur herman relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomvikingheartscandinaviansconqueredworldebookdpb08b3cwg2zrefsr_1_1dchild1keywordsvikingheartqid1634333323sr81 target_blankthe viking heart scandinavians conquered worlda ignore subtitle number good books vikings lately popular big picture lot early vikings swept europe matter decades mixing conquest trade king canute pretty impressive specialists pick nits readable good overview role vikings european history start withp p3 lawrence rothfield relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncommeasuremanlibertyflorentinerenaissanceebookdpb08r9869ttrefsr_1_3dchild1keywordslawrencerothfieldqid1634333291sr83 target_blankthe measure man liberty virtue beauty florentine republica excellent introduction florence focus issues liberty civic leaderhip tire reading particular topicp p4 howard w french relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombornblacknessafricaafricansmakingdp1631495828refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsborninblacknessqid1634333198sr81 target_blankborn blackness africa africans making modern world 1471 second world wara think book retelling standard historical episodes africa center recipient european advances useful reframing enjoyed read end new world mind upgraded central spot rise modernity frequently relevance africa rescued invoking portugal sweden russia turkey simply trick therep pnew diane coyle relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomcogsmonsterswhateconomicsshouldebookdpb0923wp27hrefsr_1_1crid1gg7tqn6p195dchild1keywordscogsandmonsterswhateconomicsis2candwhatitshouldbeqid1634333262sprefixcogsandmonst2caps2c175sr81 target_blankcogs monsters economics bea typically wisep pi happy publication calvin dukes relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomentrepreneurialcommunitiescalvindukedp1944298770refsr_1_1dchild1keywordscalvindukeentrepreneurialcommunitiesqid1634333485sr81 target_blankentrepreneurial communities alternative state theories spencer heath spencer maccallumap pthere kyle harper relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomplaguesuponearthprincetoneconomicdp069119212xrefsr_1_1dchild1keywordskyleharperplaguesqid1634333526sr81 target_blankplagues earth disease course human historya long comprehensivep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whativebeenreading204htmlwhat ive readinga appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616e113be21762d0e28f148c

Chomsky, Pollin and Lapavitsas: Are We Witnessing the Demise of Neoliberalism?

a hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticleschomskypollinandlapavitsasarewewitnessingthedemiseofneoliberalismimg sizesmaxwidth 200px 100vw 200px srchttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky200x133jpg width200 altnoam chomsky srcsethttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky200x133jpg 200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky400x267jpg 400w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky1200x800jpg 1200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky800x533jpg 800w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky1536x1024jpg 1536w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky2048x1365jpg 2048w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomskyjpg 2400w classwppostimage height133apafter 40 years of neoliberal rule in which the state actively sought to eradicate the boundary between market civil society and governance by making economic rationality the cornerstone of every human activity advanced capitalism appears to be at a crossroads on account of the economic and social impact of the covid19 pandemic socalled big government has staged a dramatic comeback and even conservative leaders have broken with some of the basic orthodoxies of neoliberalismp pare we in the midst of fundamental and permanent changes with regard to the relation between the state and markets are we witnessing the demise of neoliberalism has the pandemic led to the emergence of a new variant of capitalismp pin this interview worldrenowned scholar and public intellectual noam chomsky along with two preeminent economists of the left costas lapavitsas from the university of london and robert pollin from the university of massachusetts amherst share their thoughts and insights about economics and capitalism in the age of the pandemic and beyondp pstrongcj polychroniou noam the neoliberal era of the last 40 years has been defined to a large extent by growing inequalities slow growth and environmental degradation indeed even the international monetary fund admitted some years ago that stronga hrefhttpsfortunecom20160603imfneoliberalismfailingstrongneoliberalism had failedstrongastrong yet it took the outbreak of a pandemic for a consensus to emerge regarding the failures of neoliberalism why did neoliberalism triumph and endure in the first place and is it actually deadstrongp pstrongnoam chomskystrong my feeling is that a version of neoliberalism has triumphed because it has been highly successful for the designers whose power has been considerably enhanced by such predictable consequences as radical inequality restricting democracy destruction of unions and atomization of the population so that there is limited defense against the version of neoliberalism that has been pursued with impressive dedication in this latest phase of class war i say a version because the statecorporate managers of the system insist upon a very powerful state that can protect their interests internationally and provide them with massive bailouts and subsidies when their programs collapse as they do regularlyp pfor similar reasons i dont think that this version is dead though it is being readjusted in response to growing popular anger and resentment much fueled by the successes of the neoliberal assault on the populationp pstrongbob the pandemic has shown us that neoliberal capitalism is more than inadequate in addressing largescale economic and public health crises are the resources mobilized by national states during the pandemic crisis a simple case of emergency keynesianism or do they represent a fundamental shift in the traditional role of government which is to maximize societys welfare moreover are the policies we have seen implemented so far at all levels of government sufficient to provide the basis for a progressive economic agenda in the postpandemic era strongp pstrongrobert pollinstrong neoliberalism is a variant of capitalism in which economic policies are weighted heavily in favor of supporting the privileges of big corporations wall street and the rich neoliberalism became dominant globally around 1980 beginning with the elections of margaret thatcher in the united kingdom and ronald reagan in the us the top priorities under neoliberalism as practiced throughout the world have included cutting both taxes on the rich along with public spending on the nonrich weakening protections for both working people and the environment and any semblance of a commitment to full and decent employment and enabling financial speculation to run rampant while bailing out the speculators when the markets proceed inevitably into crises p pneoliberalism represented a counterrevolution against social democraticnew dealdevelopmental state variants capitalism which emerged primarily as a result of successful political struggles by progressive political parties labor unions and allied social movements out of the 1930s depression and continuing through the early 1970s of course social democraticnew dealdevelopmental state capitalism was still capitalism disparities of income wealth and opportunity remained intolerably high along with the malignancies of racism sexism and imperialism nevertheless the broadly social democratic models produced dramatically more egalitarian versions of capitalism than the neoliberal regime that supplanted these models the neoliberal model in turn has been highly successful in achieving its most basic aim which is to shower evergreater advantages on the already overprivileged for example under neoliberalism in the united states between 1978 and 2019 the average pay for big corporate ceos has risen a hrefhttpsbostonreviewnetclassinequalityrobertpollingeraldepsteinneoliberalismsbailoutproblememtenfoldema relative to the average nonsupervisory workerp asidethe neoliberal model has been highly successful in achieving its most basic aim which is to shower evergreater advantages on the already overprivilegedaside pwith the onset of the covid pandemic in march 2020 government policies in the highincome countries did pursue measures to prevent a total 1930slevel economic collapse depending on the country these measures included direct cash support for lower and middleincome people significant increases in unemployment insurance and large payroll subsidy programs to prevent layoffs but by far the most aggressive policy interventions were the bailouts provided for big corporations and wall streetp pin the us for example nearly 50 percent of the entire labor force filed for unemployment benefits between march 2020 and february 2021 however over this same period wall street stock prices rose by 46 percent one of the sharpest oneyear increases on record the same pattern prevailed globally the international labour organization a hrefhttpswwwiloorgwcmsp5groupspublicdgreportsdcommdocumentsbriefingnotewcms_767028pdfreporteda that there were unprecedented global employment losses in 2020 of 114 million jobs relative to 2019 at the same time global stock markets rose sharply by 45 percent throughout europe 56 percent in china 58 percent in the uk and 80 percent in japan and with standard amp poors global 1200 index a hrefhttpswwwinvestingcomindicesmajorindicesrisinga by 67 percentp pso while there was a desperately needed expansion of social welfare programs helping people to survive under covid these measures were enacted within the framework of still larger efforts to prop up the still prevailing neoliberal orderp pof course the severity of the climate crisis has continued to deepen during the pandemic in february un secretarygeneral antnio guterres a hrefhttpswwwunorgsgencontentsgstatement20210226secretarygenerale28099sstatementtheunfcccinitialnationallydeterminedcontributionssynthesisreportsaida 2021 is a makeorbreak year to confront the global climate emergency governments are nowhere close to the level of ambition needed to limit climate change to 15 degrees and meet the goals of the paris agreement the major emitters must step up with much more ambitious emissions reductions targets for 2030 well before the november un climate conference in glasgow p pwe are now into october in the make or break year and yet little has been accomplished since guterres spoke in february it is true that throughout the highincome countries social movements and climate activists are fighting to advance programs that combine climate stabilization and an egalitarian social agenda under the rubric of a global green new deal the extent to which they succeed will determine whether we will have established a basis for a progressive economic agenda and effective climate policies in the postpandemic era we do not yet know how successful these efforts will be as a hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesthereisaproblemwiththeinfrastructureandbudgetbillstheyretoosmallwe discusseda at some length recently the social infrastructure and climate proposal being debated right now in the us congress is itself not ambitious enough to be truly transformative but if it is enacted it will still represent a significant break from neoliberal dominance that has prevailed since thatcher and reaganp asidewhen covid19 struck it became crystal clear that contemporary capitalism is entirely dependent on massive state interventionaside pstrongcostas the covid pandemic has exposed numerous structural flaws of capitalism and the neoliberal order may be indeed on the verge of collapse still can we speak of a crisis of capitalism given that we do not see largescale opposition to the current system strongp pstrongcostas lapavitsas strongthere is no question that the pandemic shock represents a tremendous crisis of global capitalism but i would urge strong caution regarding the collapse of neoliberalism the period since the great crisis of 20072009 looks more like an interregnum a term offered in the spirit of antonio gramsci when the old is refusing to die and the new cannot be born and like all such periods it is prone to monsters including fascismp pthe great crisis of 20072009 was overcome by the state deploying its massive strength to defend financialized capitalism and globalization but what followed was a decade of low growth poor investment weak productivity growth sustained inequality and partially revived profits economic performance was poor in core countries providing further evidence of the failure of neoliberalism the golden era of financialization is well and truly over despite the sustained rise of stock markets in the previous decade yet economic performance was also mediocre in china reflecting an underlying weakness of productive accumulation across the worldp pwhen covid19 struck it became crystal clear that contemporary capitalism is entirely dependent on massive state intervention core western states were able to intervene on an unprecedented scale mostly because of monopoly command by central banks over fiat money unlike 20072009 however the state also deployed fiat money to relax austerity thus engaging in the unspoken nationalization of the wage bill and the income statements of thousands of enterprisesp pit is a misunderstanding that neoliberalism necessarily means marginalizing the state and imposing austerity rather it is about using the state selectively to defend the interests of a small elite an oligarchy associated with big business and the financial sector fundamentally it stands for shifting the balance of power in favor of capital by removing controls on its activities when the pandemic shock threatened the foundations of class rule austerity and forbearing from direct economic intervention were abandoned in the blink of an eye the neoliberal ideologists rapidly adapted to the new reality though it is always possible that austerity will return what has not taken place is an institutional shift in favor of workers interests that would limit the freedom of capital it is primarily in this sense that the old is refusing to diep pthe pandemic also made it clear that there is great variety in the relationship between powerful states and domestic capitalist accumulation core western states in the grip of neoliberal ideology derive their strength primarily from command over fiat money in contrast the chinese state remains directly involved in both productive accumulation and finance as well as having possession over vast resources their respective responses to the pandemic differed greatlyp pinevitably there has been a tremendous escalation in the contest for global hegemony including in the military field for the first time since 1914 moreover the hegemonic contest is also immediately economic the soviet union was exclusively a political and military contestant to the us the lada could never compete with chrysler but china can outcompete the us economically making the struggle considerably deeper and removing any obvious point of equilibrium the us ruling bloc realizes that is has made a strategic miscalculation and this accounts for its current unrelenting aggressiveness conditions in the international arena are exceedingly dangerousp pstill the global hegemonic struggle lacks entirely in ideological content western neoliberal democracies are exhausted failed and bereft of new ideas the attempts of the us ruling bloc to present its aggressiveness as a defense of democracy are hollow and ludicrous on the other hand chinese and russian authoritarianism has considerable domestic support but no capacity to offer a globally appealing social and political perspectivep pthe characteristic feature of the interregnum since 20072009 is an ideological impasse there is tremendous discontent with capitalism particularly as the degradation of the environment and the warming of the planet have raised great concern among the young but that concern has not translated into a broadbased mobilization behind fresh socialist ideas and politics this is the challenge ahead particularly as the far right is already taking advantagestrong strongp asidetheres reason to be hopeful that what must be done can be doneaside pstrongpostcapitalism defined broadly as a social system in which the power of markets is restricted productive activity is premised on automation work is delinked from wages and the state provides universal basic services and a basic income is possible because of changes in information technology according to some pundits should the left spend political capital by envisioning a postcapitalist futurestrongp pstronglapavitsas strongduring the pandemic crisis the domestic actions of nation states displaced the precepts and prescriptions of neoliberal capitalism foisted invasive measures on social and personal life centering on public health and hygiene and imposed severe restrictions on civil liberties and economic activity the state inflamed political tensions heightened social polarization and restricted freedomsstrong strongp pworkers paid the greatest price through income loss rising unemployment and worsening public provision but the middle strata were also left out in the cold thus delivering a major blow to the class alliances that supported the neoliberal project giant oligopolies in new technology emerged as the main beneficiaries google amazon microsoft and the rest their actions are steadily eclipsing the figure of the citizen as personal identities are increasingly organized around market links to the oligopolies at the same time the extreme right was strengthened a trend that started before the pandemic and has accelerated through the agency of powerful oligarchiesp pthere has been no shortage of grassroots reactions to these developments heavyhanded state actions official cultivation of fear suspension of rights and liberties the danger of permanent repression and the crushing of workers and the middle strata during the lockdowns spurred various responses often in a libertarian directionp pbear in mind that maintaining capitalist accumulation in the years to come will be exceedingly difficult across the world the underlying weakness of accumulation is far from easy to confront it is also clear that state intervention in the pandemic has created major difficulties with the disruption of supply chains the rise of inflation eating into workers incomes and the tremendous escalation of public debt and all that is without even mentioning the broader issues of environment and climatep pit is hardly possible that economic growth could be sustained without largescale state intervention on the supply side through public investment that also involves profound distributional changes in income that benefit workers it seems even less likely that this would happen without a major shift in property rights redistributing wealth and productive resources in favor of workers and the poorp ptechnology alone is never the answer for complex social problems indeed one aspect of the technological revolution of the last four decades is its inability even to improve the economic conditions of accumulation since its effect on the average productivity of labor is modest i see no reason at this stage to expect that artificial intelligence would prove dramatically different perhaps it will but there are no guaranteesp pwestern neoliberal democracies are ideologically exhausted and their capitalist economies are beset with problems in this context it is imperative for socialists and progressives to think of a postcapitalist future and ascertain its broad parameters we need to think about the use of digital technologies the greening of production and the protection of the environment but all that should take place in social conditions that favor working people and not capitalists with a new sociality collective action and individual fulfilment through communal association the rejuvenation of the socialist promise is the paramount need of the timesp pstrongbob during the neoliberal era mainstream economics shaded easily into ideology indeed it is rather easy to show that mainstream economic policy is full of misrepresentation of reality the question is how does an alleged science become ideology and how likely it is that the coronavirus pandemic in conjunction with the flaws of neoliberalism and the urgency of the climate crisis will lead to an intellectual paradigm shift in stronga hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcombusinessarchive201312whyeconomicsisreallycalledthedismalscience282454strongdismal sciencestrongastrongstrongp pstrongpollinstrong lets recognize that all varieties of economists are heavily influenced by ideology or what the great conservative economist joseph schumpeter more judiciously termed their preanalytic vision leftist economists myself included are as guilty as anyone else our ideology influences the questions that we decide are most important to ask ideology also provides us with some initial guesses as to what the answers to these questions are likely to be still if we are also attempting to be the least bit scientific or even minimally honest as economic researchers we will put our hunches and our preferred answers to the test of evidence and be open to challengesp pi think it is fair to say that not all but a high percentage of mainstream economists have not been committed to these minimally objective scientific standards they rather have been so fully immersed in their ideological biases that they are unable to even think about how they might ask questions differently their biases have been reinforced by the fact that these prejudices provide succor to policy regimes that as noted above shower benefits on the already overprivilegedp pjoan robinson the renowned cambridge university economist of the great depression and postworld war ii era a hrefhttpswwwazquotescomquote1173698beautifully captureda this allure of orthodox economics as follows one of the main effects i will not say purposes of orthodox traditional economics was a plan for explaining to the privileged class that their position was morally right and was necessary for the welfare of society p pat the same time there has been no shortage of progressive economists over the neoliberal era who have stood up to mainstream orthodoxy as represented for example by the 24 people you interviewed in the new book a hrefhttpswwwversobookscombooks3849economicsandtheleftemeconomics and the leftem eminterviews with progressive economistsema in my view how much influence economists such as these will have will depend primarily on how successful are the progressive movements in advancing the green new deal and related programs in the coming months and years p pthere are hopeful signs just late last month the federal reserve released a hrefhttpswwwfederalreservegoveconresfedsfiles2021062pappdfa papera by jeremy rudd a senior member of its own staff which begins with the observation that mainstream economics is replete with ideas that everyone knows to be true but that are actually arrant nonsensep prudd also notes on page one that he is leaving aside in this paper the deeper concern that the primary role of mainstream economics in our society is to provide apologetics for a criminally oppressive unsustainable and unjust social order there may well be more jeremy rudds out there poised to spring from the shadows of the professional mainstream this would be a most positive development but i would also say that its about time p pstrongnoam its been said by far too many that it is easier to imagine the end of the world than the end of capitalism given that capitalism is actually destroying the earth how firstly would you respond to the above statement and secondly how do you envision economy and society after capitalism strongp pstrongchomskystrong id prefer to rephrase the question to refer to state capitalism those whom adam smith called the masters of mankind the dominant business classes would never tolerate capitalism which would expose them to the ravages of the market thats for the victims for the masters a powerful state is required insofar as they can control it and reduce the underlying population thorstein veblens ironic term to subordination and passivityp pit does not seem to me too difficult to imagine at least a serious mitigation of the destructive and repressive elements of this system and its eventual transformation to a far more fair and just society in fact we must not only imagine but proceed to implement such programs or well all be finished the masters too p pits even quite realistic to imagine and implement the overthrow of the basic state capitalist principle renting oneself to a master in a more anodyne formulation having a job after all for millennia its been recognized in principle at least that being subjected to the will of a master is an intolerable attack on human dignity and rights the concept is not far back in our own history in late 19thcentury america radical farmers and industrial workers were seeking to create a cooperative commonwealth in which they would be free of domination by illegitimate bosses robbing their labor and of northeast bankers and market managers these powerful movements were so effectively crushed by statecorporate force that today even the highly popular ideas sound exotic but they are not far below the surface and are even being revived in many important waysp pin short theres reason to be hopeful that what must be done can be donep pemnote this interview has been lightly edited for clarity and concisionemp

hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticleschomskypollinandlapavitsasarewewitnessingthedemiseofneoliberalismimg sizesmaxwidth 200px 100vw 200px srchttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky200x133jpg width200 altnoam chomsky srcsethttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky200x133jpg 200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky400x267jpg 400w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky1200x800jpg 1200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky800x533jpg 800w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky1536x1024jpg 1536w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomsky2048x1365jpg 2048w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads2021102021_1013noamchomskyjpg 2400w classwppostimage height133apafter 40 years neoliberal rule state actively sought eradicate boundary market civil society governance making economic rationality cornerstone human activity advanced capitalism appears crossroads account economic social impact covid19 pandemic socalled big government staged dramatic comeback conservative leaders broken basic orthodoxies neoliberalismp pare midst fundamental permanent changes regard relation state markets witnessing demise neoliberalism pandemic led emergence new variant capitalismp pin interview worldrenowned scholar public intellectual noam chomsky preeminent economists left costas lapavitsas university london robert pollin university massachusetts amherst share thoughts insights economics capitalism age pandemic beyondp pstrongcj polychroniou noam neoliberal era 40 years defined large extent growing inequalities slow growth environmental degradation international monetary fund admitted years ago stronga hrefhttpsfortunecom20160603imfneoliberalismfailingstrongneoliberalism failedstrongastrong took outbreak pandemic consensus emerge failures neoliberalism neoliberalism triumph endure place actually deadstrongp pstrongnoam chomskystrong feeling version neoliberalism triumphed highly successful designers power considerably enhanced predictable consequences radical inequality restricting democracy destruction unions atomization population limited defense version neoliberalism pursued impressive dedication latest phase class war version statecorporate managers system insist powerful state protect interests internationally provide massive bailouts subsidies programs collapse regularlyp pfor similar reasons dont think version dead readjusted response growing popular anger resentment fueled successes neoliberal assault populationp pstrongbob pandemic shown neoliberal capitalism inadequate addressing largescale economic public health crises resources mobilized national states pandemic crisis simple case emergency keynesianism represent fundamental shift traditional role government maximize societys welfare policies seen implemented far levels government sufficient provide basis progressive economic agenda postpandemic era strongp pstrongrobert pollinstrong neoliberalism variant capitalism economic policies weighted heavily favor supporting privileges big corporations wall street rich neoliberalism dominant globally 1980 beginning elections margaret thatcher united kingdom ronald reagan priorities neoliberalism practiced world included cutting taxes rich public spending nonrich weakening protections working people environment semblance commitment decent employment enabling financial speculation run rampant bailing speculators markets proceed inevitably crises p pneoliberalism represented counterrevolution social democraticnew dealdevelopmental state variants capitalism emerged primarily result successful political struggles progressive political parties labor unions allied social movements 1930s depression continuing early 1970s course social democraticnew dealdevelopmental state capitalism capitalism disparities income wealth opportunity remained intolerably high malignancies racism sexism imperialism broadly social democratic models produced dramatically egalitarian versions capitalism neoliberal regime supplanted models neoliberal model turn highly successful achieving basic aim shower evergreater advantages overprivileged example neoliberalism united states 1978 2019 average pay big corporate ceos risen hrefhttpsbostonreviewnetclassinequalityrobertpollingeraldepsteinneoliberalismsbailoutproblememtenfoldema relative average nonsupervisory workerp asidethe neoliberal model highly successful achieving basic aim shower evergreater advantages overprivilegedaside pwith onset covid pandemic march 2020 government policies highincome countries pursue measures prevent total 1930slevel economic collapse depending country measures included direct cash support lower middleincome people significant increases unemployment insurance large payroll subsidy programs prevent layoffs far aggressive policy interventions bailouts provided big corporations wall streetp pin example nearly 50 percent entire labor force filed unemployment benefits march 2020 february 2021 period wall street stock prices rose 46 percent sharpest oneyear increases record pattern prevailed globally international labour organization hrefhttpswwwiloorgwcmsp5groupspublicdgreportsdcommdocumentsbriefingnotewcms_767028pdfreporteda unprecedented global employment losses 2020 114 million jobs relative 2019 time global stock markets rose sharply 45 percent europe 56 percent china 58 percent uk 80 percent japan standard amp poors global 1200 index hrefhttpswwwinvestingcomindicesmajorindicesrisinga 67 percentp pso desperately needed expansion social welfare programs helping people survive covid measures enacted framework larger efforts prop prevailing neoliberal orderp pof course severity climate crisis continued deepen pandemic february un secretarygeneral antnio guterres hrefhttpswwwunorgsgencontentsgstatement20210226secretarygenerale28099sstatementtheunfcccinitialnationallydeterminedcontributionssynthesisreportsaida 2021 makeorbreak year confront global climate emergency governments close level ambition needed limit climate change 15 degrees meet goals paris agreement major emitters step ambitious emissions reductions targets 2030 november un climate conference glasgow p pwe october break year little accomplished guterres spoke february true highincome countries social movements climate activists fighting advance programs combine climate stabilization egalitarian social agenda rubric global green new deal extent succeed determine established basis progressive economic agenda effective climate policies postpandemic era know successful efforts hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesthereisaproblemwiththeinfrastructureandbudgetbillstheyretoosmallwe discusseda length recently social infrastructure climate proposal debated right congress ambitious truly transformative enacted represent significant break neoliberal dominance prevailed thatcher reaganp asidewhen covid19 struck crystal clear contemporary capitalism entirely dependent massive state interventionaside pstrongcostas covid pandemic exposed numerous structural flaws capitalism neoliberal order verge collapse speak crisis capitalism given largescale opposition current system strongp pstrongcostas lapavitsas strongthere question pandemic shock represents tremendous crisis global capitalism urge strong caution collapse neoliberalism period great crisis 20072009 looks like interregnum term offered spirit antonio gramsci old refusing die new born like periods prone monsters including fascismp pthe great crisis 20072009 overcome state deploying massive strength defend financialized capitalism globalization followed decade low growth poor investment weak productivity growth sustained inequality partially revived profits economic performance poor core countries providing evidence failure neoliberalism golden era financialization truly despite sustained rise stock markets previous decade economic performance mediocre china reflecting underlying weakness productive accumulation worldp pwhen covid19 struck crystal clear contemporary capitalism entirely dependent massive state intervention core western states able intervene unprecedented scale monopoly command central banks fiat money unlike 20072009 state deployed fiat money relax austerity engaging unspoken nationalization wage bill income statements thousands enterprisesp pit misunderstanding neoliberalism necessarily means marginalizing state imposing austerity state selectively defend interests small elite oligarchy associated big business financial sector fundamentally stands shifting balance power favor capital removing controls activities pandemic shock threatened foundations class rule austerity forbearing direct economic intervention abandoned blink eye neoliberal ideologists rapidly adapted new reality possible austerity return taken place institutional shift favor workers interests limit freedom capital primarily sense old refusing diep pthe pandemic clear great variety relationship powerful states domestic capitalist accumulation core western states grip neoliberal ideology derive strength primarily command fiat money contrast chinese state remains directly involved productive accumulation finance having possession vast resources respective responses pandemic differed greatlyp pinevitably tremendous escalation contest global hegemony including military field time 1914 hegemonic contest immediately economic soviet union exclusively political military contestant lada compete chrysler china outcompete economically making struggle considerably deeper removing obvious point equilibrium ruling bloc realizes strategic miscalculation accounts current unrelenting aggressiveness conditions international arena exceedingly dangerousp pstill global hegemonic struggle lacks entirely ideological content western neoliberal democracies exhausted failed bereft new ideas attempts ruling bloc present aggressiveness defense democracy hollow ludicrous hand chinese russian authoritarianism considerable domestic support capacity offer globally appealing social political perspectivep pthe characteristic feature interregnum 20072009 ideological impasse tremendous discontent capitalism particularly degradation environment warming planet raised great concern young concern translated broadbased mobilization fresh socialist ideas politics challenge ahead particularly far right taking advantagestrong strongp asidetheres reason hopeful doneaside pstrongpostcapitalism defined broadly social system power markets restricted productive activity premised automation work delinked wages state provides universal basic services basic income possible changes information technology according pundits left spend political capital envisioning postcapitalist futurestrongp pstronglapavitsas strongduring pandemic crisis domestic actions nation states displaced precepts prescriptions neoliberal capitalism foisted invasive measures social personal life centering public health hygiene imposed severe restrictions civil liberties economic activity state inflamed political tensions heightened social polarization restricted freedomsstrong strongp pworkers paid greatest price income loss rising unemployment worsening public provision middle strata left cold delivering major blow class alliances supported neoliberal project giant oligopolies new technology emerged main beneficiaries google amazon microsoft rest actions steadily eclipsing figure citizen personal identities increasingly organized market links oligopolies time extreme right strengthened trend started pandemic accelerated agency powerful oligarchiesp pthere shortage grassroots reactions developments heavyhanded state actions official cultivation fear suspension rights liberties danger permanent repression crushing workers middle strata lockdowns spurred responses libertarian directionp pbear mind maintaining capitalist accumulation years come exceedingly difficult world underlying weakness accumulation far easy confront clear state intervention pandemic created major difficulties disruption supply chains rise inflation eating workers incomes tremendous escalation public debt mentioning broader issues environment climatep pit hardly possible economic growth sustained largescale state intervention supply public investment involves profound distributional changes income benefit workers likely happen major shift property rights redistributing wealth productive resources favor workers poorp ptechnology answer complex social problems aspect technological revolution decades inability improve economic conditions accumulation effect average productivity labor modest reason stage expect artificial intelligence prove dramatically different guaranteesp pwestern neoliberal democracies ideologically exhausted capitalist economies beset problems context imperative socialists progressives think postcapitalist future ascertain broad parameters need think use digital technologies greening production protection environment place social conditions favor working people capitalists new sociality collective action individual fulfilment communal association rejuvenation socialist promise paramount need timesp pstrongbob neoliberal era mainstream economics shaded easily ideology easy mainstream economic policy misrepresentation reality question alleged science ideology likely coronavirus pandemic conjunction flaws neoliberalism urgency climate crisis lead intellectual paradigm shift stronga hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcombusinessarchive201312whyeconomicsisreallycalledthedismalscience282454strongdismal sciencestrongastrongstrongp pstrongpollinstrong lets recognize varieties economists heavily influenced ideology great conservative economist joseph schumpeter judiciously termed preanalytic vision leftist economists included guilty ideology influences questions decide important ask ideology provides initial guesses answers questions likely attempting bit scientific minimally honest economic researchers hunches preferred answers test evidence open challengesp pi think fair high percentage mainstream economists committed minimally objective scientific standards fully immersed ideological biases unable think ask questions differently biases reinforced fact prejudices provide succor policy regimes noted shower benefits overprivilegedp pjoan robinson renowned cambridge university economist great depression postworld war ii era hrefhttpswwwazquotescomquote1173698beautifully captureda allure orthodox economics follows main effects purposes orthodox traditional economics plan explaining privileged class position morally right necessary welfare society p pat time shortage progressive economists neoliberal era stood mainstream orthodoxy represented example 24 people interviewed new book hrefhttpswwwversobookscombooks3849economicsandtheleftemeconomics leftem eminterviews progressive economistsema view influence economists depend primarily successful progressive movements advancing green new deal related programs coming months years p pthere hopeful signs late month federal reserve released hrefhttpswwwfederalreservegoveconresfedsfiles2021062pappdfa papera jeremy rudd senior member staff begins observation mainstream economics replete ideas knows true actually arrant nonsensep prudd notes page leaving aside paper deeper concern primary role mainstream economics society provide apologetics criminally oppressive unsustainable unjust social order jeremy rudds poised spring shadows professional mainstream positive development time p pstrongnoam said far easier imagine end world end capitalism given capitalism actually destroying earth firstly respond statement secondly envision economy society capitalism strongp pstrongchomskystrong id prefer rephrase question refer state capitalism adam smith called masters mankind dominant business classes tolerate capitalism expose ravages market thats victims masters powerful state required insofar control reduce underlying population thorstein veblens ironic term subordination passivityp pit difficult imagine mitigation destructive repressive elements system eventual transformation far fair society fact imagine proceed implement programs finished masters p pits realistic imagine implement overthrow basic state capitalist principle renting oneself master anodyne formulation having job millennia recognized principle subjected master intolerable attack human dignity rights concept far history late 19thcentury america radical farmers industrial workers seeking create cooperative commonwealth free domination illegitimate bosses robbing labor northeast bankers market managers powerful movements effectively crushed statecorporate force today highly popular ideas sound exotic far surface revived important waysp pin short theres reason hopeful donep pemnote interview lightly edited clarity concisionemp

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Have we reached the high water mark of woke?

pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20211020havewereachedthehighwatermarkofwokehave we reached the high water mark of wokea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

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The myth of lone-wolf terrorism

pmy heart sank twice last week first when i heard about the brutal murder of sir david amess and again when i started to read some of the disturbing commentary about the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuk58943184 target_blank25yearolda arrested on suspicion of carrying out the attackp pfor many the ethnicity and heritage of ali harbi ali were wholly irrelevant to his alleged behaviour acknowledging that ali is of somali background a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsholamos1status1449113935697879046 target_blankwea were a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomhimself132status1449486322410852355 target_blanktolda is racist and xenophobic he must only be identified as britishp pas someone who was born in somalia i find this absurd of course a suspect is not a murderer because he has a somali background but denouncing facts as racist especially when the person in question was referred to prevent and police and security services a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017sirdavidamessmurdersuspecthadconsideredkillingmpstelegraph target_blankbelievea he may have been inspired by alshabaab in somalia forces a dangerous ignorance on the publicp divdiv pyet it is just one of a number of fallacies that continue to dominate almost every discussion about islamistdriven terrorism fallacies that are promoted by both the media and british authorities indeed it strikes me that our efforts to counter islamist attacks are hindered by at least three other misconceptions our insistence on describing a perpetrator as a lone wolf our obsession with online selfradicalisation and the idea that all extremisms are created equalp ptake that first fallacy as unpleasant as it may be to acknowledge i suspect sir david might be alive today along with numerous other victims of islamist extremists if those in charge of preventing terrorism recognised that islamist extremists are anything but lone wolvesp pin a liberal society it is appealing to think of suspects of islamist terror as solitary actors as a matter of principle we uphold the importance of individual freedoms rights and responsibilities while our judicial system assumes that individuals are responsible for their actions we also recognise the importance of not maligning an entire community because of the extremist views of a few of their fellow believers this is particularly crucial when the historical relationship between a particular minority and their new country is fraught with memories of colonialismp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1235909330scalede1634576357748300x184jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarh5why prevent will never workh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pbut while individuals such as amesss murderer may conduct their attacks alone they still emerge out of communities or networks of likeminded individuals whether inperson or online they learn from teachers imams or instructors the radical ideas that inspire their violence this is not to say that their entire family or community is extremist only that these individuals find and are exposed to people who are little is known about the background of ali but we can be certain that he did not plunge a knife into a total stranger possibly a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017sirdavidamessmurdersuspecthadconsideredkillingmpstelegraph target_blankpicked at randoma wholly of his own accord someone or some group inspired these actionsp psince last friday weve heard from a number of people who reportedly knew ali all of whom have expressed a hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamissmurderfootballmadsuspecthappilysanghymnsq3df5xkhlshocka at his alleged crime yet it seems hugely unlikely that no one in his immediate circle picked up on his extremist tendencies after all the somalian communities are very social unlike in traditional western families where individuals live an atomised life within an atomised society a somali family typically lives together in one household where everyone is involved in everyone elses businessp pgossip is a way of life solitude is not an option even more so during the pandemic when families not only lived together but were home more often it is likely therefore that key signs of radicalisation a shift in language withdrawal from society increased frequency of praying and attending mosque would be noticed by various family membersp pwhen that does happen you might expect a persons family to become more involved to pull them back into their community but that isnt always the case imagine for example that you are a family member of a potentially radicalised individual from a highly tightknit community you notice something of concern but might it be best to keep quiet are you a sinner if you report your brother to a programme led by nonmuslims what does it mean for your relationship with god and the afterlife what kind of traitor would report their own blood to the authoritiesp por perhaps you are just a nonmuslim colleague or friend of the individual you may notice a change in behaviour but are you really going to go forward and report them with the possibility of being labelled a racist or an islamophobe who would report a potentially innocent person just for observing their religionp plone wolves then do not come out of nowhere they are inspired by other radicals and they are noticed by their community the problem is that the community then keeps quietp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346746710scalede1634549059204300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarh5the making of essex manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspanbyspan simon hefferapdivadiv pa similar fallacy looms over our understanding of online radicalisation which does not occur in a silo between the individual and their computer screen the individual has to be susceptible in a place of vulnerability where islamic radicalism can easily set inp pthough there is much about ali that we are yet to learn we do know that his father was harbi ali kullane a former government official in somalia since the attack reports have a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamissmurderfootballmadsuspecthappilysanghymnsq3df5xkhl target_blankpresenteda kullanes twitter profile as a testament to assimilation displaying his support for captain tom and the england football team it has also been a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomuknews2021oct18fatherofsuspectdavidamesskillingworkedantiextremistprojects target_blankreporteda that while working in somalia he faced threats from alshabaabp pand yet i suspect his attitude to his new country is more nuanced than has been presented it is striking for example that not a single news outlet has flagged a tweet by kullane from 2017 in which he a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomxarbistatus862703560009682944 target_blanksuggestsa the 5pointed star [on the somali flag] represents the aspiration of a nation and the misery inflicted by british colonialism lets not sugar coat this somalia given that kullane a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017fatherallegedjihadisuspectedkillingsirdavidamesshad target_blankmoveda to the uk in the nineties his comment suggests an antipathy to britain that has so far been ignoredp pthe last fallacy that must be confronted is the belief that all forms of extremism are created equal and should be treated as such under the british counterterrorism prevent programme islamism is lumped together with other forms of extremism such as farright extremism and handled with a similar approach but while rightwing extremism is a threat that should not be downplayed its causes and motivations are totally unrelated to radical islamists they should be distinct and handled separatelyp pthe only way to prevent islamist terrorist attacks is to understand the lexicon of the islamists it is vital to understand the historic heroes that inspire them the emhadithsem that speak to them the myths and legends that motivate them and the materials that are put into their hands it is important to know not just the history of islam but also the history of the nation that is connected to the radicalised individualp pthis kind of specialisation is not possible when so many in the uk cry islamophobia at every turn the only way to ask family and community members to come forward and report potentially radicalised individuals is to win their confidence individuals have to feel that they can safely approach the authorities without repercussion they also deserve to know that the situation will be handled by someone who deeply understands the issues at hand as nik adams a counterterrorism police officer a hrefhttpswwwftcomcontenta82e18b41ea311e9b12646fc3ad87c65explained abrilliantly we need people who can recognise how significant the seemingly insignificant might bep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pgiven the ineffectiveness of britains counterterrorism strategy and the blinkered approach to reporting since sir davids murder that will be an uphill struggle but it is not impossible prevent is undergoing an independent review led by the capable william shawcross that will report in december and produce suggestions on how it can be improvedp pmore importantly i believe that by and large the islamic terrorist narrative is waning alqaeda is a skeleton of what it was two decades ago while the spectre of isis continues to serve as a reallife deterrent to what living under a caliphate requires even the muslim brotherhood narrative is stale and petering out yes the taliban may have taken control of afghanistan and the threat of islamism in africa remains deeply concerning and often ignored but taken in its entirety radical islam does not have the same potency it once didp pso even with the tragic death of sir david the defeat of radical islam in britain is still attainable but achieving that requires us to bin the fallacies regurgitated after every attack if we dont the pattern of seemingly random terrorist violence will persistp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themythoflonewolfterrorismappcommentsview commentsa

pmy heart sank twice week heard brutal murder sir david amess started read disturbing commentary relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuk58943184 target_blank25yearolda arrested suspicion carrying attackp pfor ethnicity heritage ali harbi ali wholly irrelevant alleged behaviour acknowledging ali somali background relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsholamos1status1449113935697879046 target_blankwea relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomhimself132status1449486322410852355 target_blanktolda racist xenophobic identified britishp pas born somalia find absurd course suspect murderer somali background denouncing facts racist especially person question referred prevent police security services relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017sirdavidamessmurdersuspecthadconsideredkillingmpstelegraph target_blankbelievea inspired alshabaab somalia forces dangerous ignorance publicp divdiv pyet number fallacies continue dominate discussion islamistdriven terrorism fallacies promoted media british authorities strikes efforts counter islamist attacks hindered misconceptions insistence describing perpetrator lone wolf obsession online selfradicalisation idea extremisms created equalp ptake fallacy unpleasant acknowledge suspect sir david alive today numerous victims islamist extremists charge preventing terrorism recognised islamist extremists lone wolvesp pin liberal society appealing think suspects islamist terror solitary actors matter principle uphold importance individual freedoms rights responsibilities judicial system assumes individuals responsible actions recognise importance maligning entire community extremist views fellow believers particularly crucial historical relationship particular minority new country fraught memories colonialismp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1235909330scalede1634576357748300x184jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarh5why prevent workh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pbut individuals amesss murderer conduct attacks emerge communities networks likeminded individuals inperson online learn teachers imams instructors radical ideas inspire violence entire family community extremist individuals find exposed people little known background ali certain plunge knife total stranger possibly relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017sirdavidamessmurdersuspecthadconsideredkillingmpstelegraph target_blankpicked randoma wholly accord group inspired actionsp psince friday weve heard number people reportedly knew ali expressed hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamissmurderfootballmadsuspecthappilysanghymnsq3df5xkhlshocka alleged crime hugely unlikely immediate circle picked extremist tendencies somalian communities social unlike traditional western families individuals live atomised life atomised society somali family typically lives household involved elses businessp pgossip way life solitude option pandemic families lived home likely key signs radicalisation shift language withdrawal society increased frequency praying attending mosque noticed family membersp pwhen happen expect persons family involved pull community isnt case imagine example family member potentially radicalised individual highly tightknit community notice concern best quiet sinner report brother programme led nonmuslims mean relationship god afterlife kind traitor report blood authoritiesp por nonmuslim colleague friend individual notice change behaviour going forward report possibility labelled racist islamophobe report potentially innocent person observing religionp plone wolves come inspired radicals noticed community problem community keeps quietp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346746710scalede1634549059204300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarh5the making essex manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspanbyspan simon hefferapdivadiv pa similar fallacy looms understanding online radicalisation occur silo individual computer screen individual susceptible place vulnerability islamic radicalism easily set inp pthough ali learn know father harbi ali kullane government official somalia attack reports relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamissmurderfootballmadsuspecthappilysanghymnsq3df5xkhl target_blankpresenteda kullanes twitter profile testament assimilation displaying support captain tom england football team relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomuknews2021oct18fatherofsuspectdavidamesskillingworkedantiextremistprojects target_blankreporteda working somalia faced threats alshabaabp pand suspect attitude new country nuanced presented striking example single news outlet flagged tweet kullane 2017 relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomxarbistatus862703560009682944 target_blanksuggestsa 5pointed star [on somali flag] represents aspiration nation misery inflicted british colonialism lets sugar coat somalia given kullane relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211017fatherallegedjihadisuspectedkillingsirdavidamesshad target_blankmoveda uk nineties comment suggests antipathy britain far ignoredp pthe fallacy confronted belief forms extremism created equal treated british counterterrorism prevent programme islamism lumped forms extremism farright extremism handled similar approach rightwing extremism threat downplayed causes motivations totally unrelated radical islamists distinct handled separatelyp pthe way prevent islamist terrorist attacks understand lexicon islamists vital understand historic heroes inspire emhadithsem speak myths legends motivate materials hands important know history islam history nation connected radicalised individualp pthis kind specialisation possible uk cry islamophobia turn way ask family community members come forward report potentially radicalised individuals win confidence individuals feel safely approach authorities repercussion deserve know situation handled deeply understands issues hand nik adams counterterrorism police officer hrefhttpswwwftcomcontenta82e18b41ea311e9b12646fc3ad87c65explained abrilliantly need people recognise significant seemingly insignificant bep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pgiven ineffectiveness britains counterterrorism strategy blinkered approach reporting sir davids murder uphill struggle impossible prevent undergoing independent review led capable william shawcross report december produce suggestions improvedp pmore importantly believe large islamic terrorist narrative waning alqaeda skeleton decades ago spectre isis continues serve reallife deterrent living caliphate requires muslim brotherhood narrative stale petering yes taliban taken control afghanistan threat islamism africa remains deeply concerning ignored taken entirety radical islam potency didp pso tragic death sir david defeat radical islam britain attainable achieving requires bin fallacies regurgitated attack dont pattern seemingly random terrorist violence persistp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themythoflonewolfterrorismappcommentsview commentsa

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How Michel Barnier could become President

pin 1965 at the age of 14 a young man called michel joined the gaullist political movement then called the udvmep pby 1968 he was a member of the udr in 1976 he was a rising young star in the rpr he was elected in 1978 frances youngest member of parliament aged 27p pin 2002 he joined the newly created ump party and was appointed foreign minister under president jacques chirac in 2015 he became a member of les rpublicains in a gap between his second stint as european commissioner and his appointment as monsieur brexit the european unions chief negotiator on british departurep pwe speak of course of michel barnier detested by british brexiteers admired by british remainers is barnier an ideologically adjustable vicar of bray emversion franememememaiseem no not at all barnier has belonged to five parties but never changed his political coat the gaullist or wider centreright movements repeatedly altered their names and their geometry barnier remained loyal to all of themp divdiv psix months before a compelling french presidential election michel barniers partypolitical lifestory is significant for two reasonsp pfirstly it helps to explain why barnier has emerged as favourite to be chosen as the presidential candidate of the main french centreright party in a closed primary in early december the 90000 or so emmilitantsem members of les rpublicains lr face a choice on 4 december between three nohopers and three uninspiring senior candidates two of whom left the party four years ago internal polls a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhuffingtonpostfrentrypasserparlecongreslrleparirisquedexavierbertrand_fr_61647fb3e4b0c1ab4bb77ee4 target_blanksuggesta that members are turning more in desperation than in expectation to barnier a man who has always stuck by the party whatever its name or policy emdu jour emhappened to bep psecondly the potted history of barniers life and times also explains why barnier aged 70 may never be the president of the republic if he does become the centreright nominee he could yet be the man who saves his political family from oblivion more likely he may be remembered as the last chieftain of a troubled political dynasty which stretches from charles de gaulle to nicolas sarkozyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages669932952300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarspanmore from this author spanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarh5macron the failed machiavellih5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarspanbyspan john lichfieldapdivadiv pafter decades of shapeshifting dividing uniting backstabbing trampling spending rules breaking the law the french centreright is running out of ideological and electoral road part of its territory nationalist antieuropean antimigration socially conservative was conquered years ago by marine le pen another part liberal socially and economically proeuropean was annexed in 2017 by emmanuel macron a further chunk of harder centreright opinion more educated and betterheeled than lepennist voters is migrating to the xenophobic essayist and tv pundit eric zemmourp pas a result none of the leading contenders to be the les rpublicainss candidate in the first round of the presidential election on 10 april is sure of reaching the twocandidate second round on 24 aprilp pbest placed in national as opposed to internal opinion polls is xavier bertrand president of the northern french region hautsdefrance followed by valrie pcresse president of the greater paris region iledefrance michel barnier comes a poor third with a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlejddfrpolitiquepresidentielle2022voicilamoyennedessondagesa6moisdupremiertour4069728 target_blankan average of pollsa giving him only 11 of the round one vote far short of the likely 17 to 20 entry ticket to round twop pwhy would lr party members vote for the weakest candidate nationally in their closed primary on 4 december is this another example of the perpetual instinct for selfharm of french smallc conservatives once described as the stupidest centre right in the worldp ppossibly then again the election is six months away public opinion is relatively volatile only 60 of those questioned offer an opinion to pollsters and zemmours rapid rise could prove as ephemeral as similar irruptions in past french presidential electionsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1232526940scalede1633357807839300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarh5is ric zemmour the french trumph5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarspanbyspan anneelisabeth moutetapdivadiv pbarniers supporters point to the fact that his candidature was mocked when he entered the race in august he was many pundits said too dull too closely associated with brussels and too little known in france to win the centreright nomination yet two months later he looks oddson to be selected according to an internal poll barnier is approved by 58 of lr members pcresse by 52 and bertrand by only 38p pother than his unbroken membership of gaullist parties for half a century barnier has seduced the lr membership he could be our joe biden a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbfmtvcompolitiqueelectionspresidentiellepresidentiellemichelbarnierpeutiletrelecandidatsurprisedeladroite_an202110110017html target_blankthey suggesta old and underestimated others say that the tall patricianlooking barnier has the face of a president in other words he is not the bland xavier bertrand and he is not valerie pcresse competent likeable but undeniably and unacceptably to many french conservatives a womanp pbarnier has also pulled off a great coup which could yet come back to haunt him he has called for a referendum on whether france should suspend parts of the eu and council of europe treaties to allow a three tofiveyear moratorium on migration though not asylum seekingp pthis was greeted by the british media and some in france as an act of breathtaking hypocrisy after years of lecturing the british on the drawbacks of leaving the eu here was barnier a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlemichelbarnierbrexitfrancecandidateeucampaigntrail target_blanksuggestinga that france should step outside the european treaties to take back control of immigration policyp pthe truth is a little more complicated barniers point is that the eu has no coherent policy for external immigration and therefore national governments should have the right to create their own as things stand he says the european courts interpret their respective treaties in ways that make this impossiblep pthe eu referendum initiative however limited changed barniers image as an uncompromising brussels technocrat it gave him a role before the rise of zemmour in the debate on migration which may shape the election on both counts it endeared barnier to the harder line members who remain in the french centrerightp pon other issues however he remains a fervent european he called last weekend for the increased a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlefigarofrelectionspresidentiellesmichelbarnierplaidepourunemutualisationdenationsdansleprojeteuropeen20211017 target_blankmutualisationa of national economic policies to prevent europe from being marginalised by china and the united states in the decades aheadp pif barnier does win les rpublicains nomination his apparent ambivalence on europe will be lambasted by zemmour le pen and by some leftwing candidates as an example of elitist groupthink the idea of a mutualised europe may also jar with many members of les rpublicains what remains of the party is close to emlepennismemp pthe nationalistauthoritarian drift of the lr membership is sometimes compared to what happened to the us republican party under donald trump or the british conservative party via boris johnson and brexit there are points of comparison but the battle for the soul of the french centreright is much olderp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages906982786scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarh5how france conquered europeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinos apdivadiv pin 1976 jacques chirac created the rassemblement pour la rpublique rpr to replace what was left of the old gaullist movement and as a luxury bulldozer for his personal use the more economically liberal socially moderate and reformist wing of the centreright united loosely behind president valry giscard destaing in an alliance called the union pour la democratie francaise udfp pchiracs party was supposed to be nationalistauthoritarian and rural socially conservative and economically interventionist but it had a proeuropean economically liberal wing too these two broad strands of the french centreright cooperated and tripped each other up for two decades chirac seesawed from one viewpoint to the other while funding the rpr party by embezzling millions of francs from the paris town hall where he was mayorp pin 2002 after marine le pens father reached the second round of the presidential election chirac skilfully exploited the crisis to merge his rpr with part of the more europeanminded udfp pthis new centreright party the ump was hijacked by nicolas sarkozy before his presidential victory in 2007 like chirac but more energetically sarkozy attempted to ride the twin horses of the french centreright like chirac he played fast and loose with the rules and like chirac before him he was a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworldeurope58729505 target_blanksentenced to jail last montha for fraudulently circumventing campaign financing lawsp pthe french centreright adores law and order for others the last two centreright french presidents were given jail sentences for corruption three of the last six french centreright prime ministers have been convicted of criminal offences after leaving officep pthis miserable record three of the last six french centreright prime ministers have been convicted of criminal offences after leaving office has left a legacy of personal loathing within the main centreright party to date the party changed its name to les rpublicains in 2015 to distance itself from a damaged ump brand but two years later the centreright failed to make the second round of a presidential election for the first time in the history of the fifth republic after its candidate franois fillon was accused of fiddling his parliamentary expenses emmanuel macron carved off a chunk of the centristliberaleuropean wing marine le pen took some of the nationalistauthoritariansp pfollowing macrons victory the lr party membership subsided from over 200000 to 80000 at the start of this year it is now 90000 and rising this membership surge may or may not allow bertrand or less likely pcresse to overtake barnier and snatch the nomination most peoples money is on barnierp pif he does win he will take on a heavy historical responsibility the 2022 election will be empasse ou casseem for the battered legacy of de gaulle chirac and sarkozy another failure to reach the second round will hasten the disintegration of les rpublicains the moderate proeuropean elements will be absorbed into a greater macronism the rest will merge with the farrightp pthis i believe is eric zemmours principal ambition to do well enough in 2022 to destroy both the lr and le pens rassemblement national a new nationalist antimigrant eurosceptic movement could then emerge before the next presidential election in 2027p diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages12338897691300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarspanmore from this author spanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarh5whats behind macrons furyh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarspanbyspan john lichfield apdivadiv pbarnier could however still prevent the destruction of the movement that he has served since the age of 14 he or whoever becomes the centreright candidate still has a slim chance of being elected president of the republic as things stand farright rivals le pen and zemmour are jostling for second position in the first round on 17 to 20 the top place seems likely to go to president macron whose a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlejddfrpolitiquepresidentielle2022voicilamoyennedessondagesa6moisdupremiertour4069728 target_blankfirstround support is stablea on 2327p pthe second place in round two on 24 april could be a threeway lottery until the last moment le pen and zemmour could cancel each other out and reduce the entry score to something in the high teens reachable by barnier or another gaullistp pif either marine le pen or eric zemmour qualifies for round two macron will crush them the left and greens with around 30 of the vote split seven ways in round one will not vote for the farright in round two some will abstain most will grumble and vote for macronp pif barnier or another centreright candidate sneaks into round two the result could be very close many left and green voters loathe macron they would vote to dump him on 24 april and then loathe the new centreright president the next dayp pcould that be president barnier  it remains unlikely but i no longer think that its impossiblep a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howmichelbarniercouldbecomepresidentappcommentsview commentsa

pin 1965 age 14a young man called michel joined gaullist political movement called udvmep pby 1968 member udr 1976 rising young star rpr elected 1978 frances youngest member parliament aged 27p pin 2002 joined newly created ump party appointed foreign minister president jacques chirac 2015 member les rpublicains gap second stint european commissioner appointment monsieur brexit european unions chief negotiator british departurep pwe speak course michel barnier detested british brexiteers admired british remainers barnier ideologically adjustable vicar brayemversion franememememaiseem barnier belonged parties changed political coat gaullist wider centreright movements repeatedly altered names geometry barnier remained loyal themp divdiv psix months compelling french presidential election michel barniers partypolitical lifestory significant reasonsp pfirstly helps explain barnier emerged favourite chosen presidential candidate main french centreright party closed primary early december 90000 emmilitantsem members les rpublicains lr face choice 4 december nohopers uninspiring senior candidates left party years ago internal polls relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhuffingtonpostfrentrypasserparlecongreslrleparirisquedexavierbertrand_fr_61647fb3e4b0c1ab4bb77ee4 target_blanksuggesta members turning desperation expectation barnier man stuck party policy emdu jour emhappened bep psecondly potted history barniers life times explains barnier aged 70 president republic centreright nominee man saves political family oblivion likely remembered chieftain troubled political dynasty stretches charles de gaulle nicolas sarkozyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages669932952300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarspanmore author spanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarh5macron failed machiavellih5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105macronscunningplanrefinnarspanbyspan john lichfieldapdivadiv pafter decades shapeshifting dividing uniting backstabbing trampling spending rules breaking law french centreright running ideological electoral road territory nationalist antieuropean antimigration socially conservative conquered years ago marine le pen liberal socially economically proeuropean annexed 2017 emmanuel macron afurther chunk harder centreright opinion educated betterheeled lepennist voters migrating xenophobic essayist tv pundit eric zemmourp pas result leading contenders les rpublicainss candidate round presidential election 10 april sure reaching twocandidate second round 24 aprilp pbest placed national opposed internal opinion polls xavier bertrand president northern french region hautsdefrance followed valrie pcresse president greater paris region iledefrance michel barnier comes poor relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlejddfrpolitiquepresidentielle2022voicilamoyennedessondagesa6moisdupremiertour4069728 target_blankan average pollsa giving 11 round vote far short likely 17 20 entry ticket round twop pwhy lr party members vote weakest candidate nationally closed primary 4 december example perpetual instinct selfharm french smallc conservatives described stupidest centre right worldp ppossibly election months away public opinion relatively volatile 60 questioned offer opinion pollsters zemmours rapid rise prove ephemeral similar irruptions past french presidential electionsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1232526940scalede1633357807839300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarh5is ric zemmour french trumph5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110isericzemmourthefrenchtrumprefinnarspanbyspan anneelisabeth moutetapdivadiv pbarniers supporters point fact candidature mocked entered race august pundits said dull closely associated brussels little known france win centreright nomination months later looks oddson selected according internal poll barnier approved 58 lr members pcresse 52 bertrand 38p pother unbroken membership gaullist parties half century barnier seduced lr membership joe biden relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbfmtvcompolitiqueelectionspresidentiellepresidentiellemichelbarnierpeutiletrelecandidatsurprisedeladroite_an202110110017html target_blankthey suggesta old underestimated tall patricianlooking barnier face president words bland xavier bertrand valerie pcresse competent likeable undeniably unacceptably french conservatives womanp pbarnier pulled great coup come haunt called referendum france suspend parts eu council europe treaties allow tofiveyear moratorium migration asylum seekingp pthis greeted british media france act breathtaking hypocrisy years lecturing british drawbacks leaving eu barnier relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlemichelbarnierbrexitfrancecandidateeucampaigntrail target_blanksuggestinga france step outside european treaties control immigration policyp pthe truth little complicated barniers point eu coherent policy external immigration national governments right create things stand says european courts interpret respective treaties ways impossiblep pthe eu referendum initiative limited changed barniers image uncompromising brussels technocrat gave role rise zemmour debate migration shape election counts endeared barnier harder line members remain french centrerightp pon issues remains fervent european called weekend increased relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlefigarofrelectionspresidentiellesmichelbarnierplaidepourunemutualisationdenationsdansleprojeteuropeen20211017 target_blankmutualisationa national economic policies prevent europe marginalised china united states decades aheadp pif barnier win les rpublicains nomination apparent ambivalence europe lambasted zemmour le pen leftwing candidates example elitist groupthink idea mutualised europe jar members les rpublicains remains party close emlepennismemp pthe nationalistauthoritarian drift lr membership compared happened republican party donald trump british conservative party boris johnson brexit points comparison battle soul french centreright olderp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages906982786scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarh5how france conquered europeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinos apdivadiv pin 1976 jacques chirac created rassemblement pour la rpublique rpr replace left old gaullist movement luxury bulldozer personal use economically liberal socially moderate reformist wing centreright united loosely president valry giscard destaing alliance called union pour la democratie francaise udfp pchiracs party supposed nationalistauthoritarian rural socially conservative economically interventionist proeuropean economically liberal wing broad strands french centreright cooperated tripped decades chirac seesawed viewpoint funding rpr party embezzling millions francs paris town hall mayorp pin 2002 marine le pens father reached second round presidential election chirac skilfully exploited crisis merge rpr europeanminded udfp pthis new centreright party ump hijacked nicolas sarkozy presidential victory 2007 like chirac energetically sarkozy attempted ride twin horses french centreright like chirac played fast loose rules like chirac relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworldeurope58729505 target_blanksentenced jail montha fraudulently circumventing campaign financing lawsp pthe french centreright adores law order centreright french presidents given jail sentences corruption french centreright prime ministers convicted criminal offences leaving officep pthis miserable record french centreright prime ministers convicted criminal offences leaving office left legacy personal loathing main centreright party date party changed les rpublicains 2015 distance damaged ump brand years later centreright failed second round presidential election time history fifth republic candidate franois fillon accused fiddling parliamentary expenses emmanuel macron carved chunk centristliberaleuropean wing marine le pen took nationalistauthoritariansp pfollowing macrons victory lr party membership subsided 200000 80000 start year 90000 rising membership surge allow bertrand likely pcresse overtake barnier snatch nomination peoples money barnierp pif win heavy historical responsibility 2022 election empasse ou casseem battered legacy de gaulle chirac sarkozy failure reach second round hasten disintegration les rpublicains moderate proeuropean elements absorbed greater macronism rest merge farrightp pthis believe eric zemmours principal ambition 2022 destroy lr le pens rassemblement national new nationalist antimigrant eurosceptic movement emerge presidential election 2027p diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages12338897691300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarspanmore author spanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarh5whats macrons furyh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109whatsbehindmacronsfuryrefinnarspanbyspan john lichfield apdivadiv pbarnier prevent destruction movement served age 14 centreright candidate slim chance elected president republic things stand farright rivals le pen zemmour jostling second position round 17 20 place likely president macron relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlejddfrpolitiquepresidentielle2022voicilamoyennedessondagesa6moisdupremiertour4069728 target_blankfirstround support stablea 2327p pthe second place round 24 april threeway lottery moment le pen zemmour cancel reduce entry score high teens reachable barnier gaullistp pif marine le pen eric zemmour qualifies round macron crush left greens 30 vote split seven ways round vote farright round abstain grumble vote macronp pif barnier centreright candidate sneaks round result close left green voters loathe macron vote dump 24 april loathe new centreright president dayp pcould president barnier remains unlikely longer think impossiblep hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howmichelbarniercouldbecomepresidentappcommentsview commentsa

616f7d1876c974083ed84124

Can Stephen Pinker save the world?

pspanat the close of his new book spana relnoopener hrefhttpsstevenpinkercompublicationsrationalitywhatitwhyitseemssoscarceandwhyitmatters target_blankispanrationalityspaniaspan after 30 pages of references the psychologist psycholinguist and champion of enlightenment liberalism steven pinker offers an alphabetical checklist of the biases and fallacies he has spent 10 chapters dissecting and despatching more than 90 items long this rogues gallery of conceptual crooks ranges from familiar rascals like the ad hominem fallacy to our ubiquitous socialmedia chum tu quoque who now goes by the trendier name of whataboutery spanp pspanalong the way his identity parade all guilty mlud takes in hardened malefactors such as false dichotomy guilt by association and straw man in addition to more exotic wronguns like the motteandbailey tactic a kind of medieval cousin to that old lag moving the goalposts and a new favourite of mine the texas sharpshooter fallacy first you fire a bullet into the barn door then you paint a bullseye neatly round the hole tada much investment advice comes right out of that texan barnspanp pspanalmost any arena of opinion and argument offers the prospect of a full card at pinker bingo political knockabout of the sort you hear weekly either in westminster or on spanispanquestion timespanispan gives you the chance to shout house within minutes even public debate that should bow readily to evidencebased reasoning such as the international response to climate change will throw up fogs of rhetorical pollution look at the preliminary positions from both drasticaction radicals and kickthecan gradualists staked out in advance of the imminent cop 26 conference in glasgow with the planets future at stake advocacy groups still tend to smother the clear light of reason in a dense cloud of confirmation bias special pleading guiltbyassociation and so on you could argue that the comforting litany of targets and initiatives intoned by governments and agencies also deepen the sleep of reasonspanspan spanp divdiv pspantrust in technocratic fixes may also function as a kind of mindnumbing cult a century ago the pioneering sociologist max weber whom pinker cites much less than he should saw that the iron cage of bureaucratic rationality that defined modern life would become an official religion prone to heretical pushbacks in the form of mystic charismatic or ecstatic movements the standoff between topdown climatechange bureaucracy and the gestural militancy of the radicals proves him correctspanp pspanas in ecopolitics so in media education culture and even arguably the social superstructures of science itself within modern institutions and modern selves the sphere of rationality pinker toils to expand cohabits with what he calls the mythology mindset immune to reasons charms and claims behind the pinker project lies a teleology of his own the spanispana priorispanispan conviction he permits himself that is the belief in longterm human progress measured in indices such as declining violence improving health and longevity expanding empathy and solidarity set out in spanispanthe better angels of our naturespanispan 2011 and reinforced by spanispanenlightenment nowspanispan 2018spanspan spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages1301892355scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarh5how rational is steven pinkers worldh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarspanbyspan razib khanapdivadiv pspancritics dismiss this principle of incremental betterment as groundless optimism he treats it as simple historical factuality progressives dont like progress he has quipped about his radical detractors our picture of the future he insists in spanispanrationalityspanispan need not be a bot tweeting fake news forever the arc of knowledge is a long one and it bends towards rationality spanp pspanpinkers steadily advancing reason is no alien mr spocklike logic machine or unfeeling calculus of personal advantage he often cites david hume who claimed in his spanispantreatise on human naturespanispan that reason is and ought only to be the slave of the passions and can never pretend to any other office than to serve and obey them take slave here to mean something like operating system and you approach the pinker ambition to subject our goals and drives some selfish many others not to a more reflective scrutiny of the mental processes that underlie our choicesspanp pspanpinkers wide appeal rests partly on the selfhelp howto character of his arguments wherever your will and desire those driving passions make you want to travel rationalitys toolkit will help you reach your destination thus rationalchoice theory which he expounds in the new book with typical brio and lucidity may serve idealistic as much as selfinterested ends even though it sounds about as lovable as ebenezer scrooge it powers for instance the resultsoriented philanthropy of the effective altruism movement to the dismay of puritans who expect guilt and lamentation sackclothandashes from wouldbe social reformers spanspan spanp pspanpinker though also wants to uphold truth and morality according to his own liberalsecular lights so he inflects his valueneutral account of the pitfalls on the road to reason with warnings against the dangers of populist irrationality in power enjoyably he does point out the logical flaw in saying that were living in a posttruth era if its true its false like that ancient cretan liar still the trump years and their perceived assaults on reason have shaped this new work and together with glancing allusions to the pandemic given it a topical edge he deplores the myside bias and skewed motivated reasoning of a polarised themagainstus culture and he rightly dislikes most forms of binary reasoning spanp pspanin the end however pinker himself reverts to a simple dualism between the reality mindset he endorses and the mythology mindset that underpins supernatural faith elects frauds who tell 30000 lies to the us presidency and most recently has killed thousands of conspiracyprone antivaxxers near the end of spanispanrationalityspanispan he reinvents the oldest wheel on the cart of sociology and anthropology when he states the function of these [mythological] beliefs is to construct a social reality that binds the tribe or sect and gives it a moral purpose of course but what then how should we try to connect myth and realityspanspan spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109raymondocopye1630081506812300x154jpegadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarh5raymond williams mapped mountainsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspanthe pandemic has shown us that even in the bestinformed societies the spread of evidencefree mythological beliefs and the willingness of millions to act on them can cost lives on a battlefield scale the task of building bridges between the magical thinker and the reasoning creature both of whom coexist in every human mind feels more urgent than ever can pinkers mental toolkit span the gap spanspan spanp pspanpinker has little sense of dialectic his cleancut antithesis between reality and mythology in human thinking belongs in the lab or the lectureroom rather than in the messier interpersonal spaces where we live most of the time even nietzsche whom again he could have profitably consulted more than he does saw the eternal wrangle between the reason order and control of apollo and the frenzy fury and bliss of dionysus as a perpetual toand fro rather than a winnertakesall struggle with pinker the cause of reason tends to look like a zerosum game the light advances and the darkness diminishes or vice versaspanp pspanpinker is above all a teacher a professor of psychology at harvard since 2003 and teachers unless perhaps they teach literature philosophy or even quantum physics need truth to vanquish falsity his careerdefining mission to advocate and communicate the tools of reason draws its strength from a pedagogic model rooted in his homeground disciplines of experimental psychology and psycholinguistics he may have written an entire book to disprove the spanispantabula rasa spanispanpicture of the human mind spanispanthe blank slatespanispan in 2002 but he does believe that sustained effort can help rewrite our preexisting scriptsspanp pspanlike any caring teacher pinker sometimes has to make us suffer but its all for our own good submitting all of ones beliefs to the trials of reason and evidence he warns is an unnatural skill like literacy and numeracy and must be instilled and cultivated spanspan spanp pspanits not all pain in the pinker classroom though much of the fun of spanispanrationalityspanispan comes in the counterintuitive exercises that our keepfit instructor sets his cerebrally flabby pupils if these dont make your brain pleasurably ache as dormant muscles flex into action then they should few readers will forget in a hurry his probability workouts especially this one suppose that the prevalence of breast cancer in the population of women is 1 a breastcancer diagnostic test has a truepositive rate of 90 and a falsepositive rate of 9 a woman takes it and tests positive what are the percentage chances she has the disease between 80 and 90 a sample of doctors estimated the correct answer is around 9spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106john_william_waterhouse__the_remorse_of_the_emperor_nero_after_the_murder_of_his_mother1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarh5nero wasnt misunderstoodh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspanbayesian reasoning a key component of pinkers procedure in spanispanrationalityspanispan will direct our attention to the base rate of any phenomenon that 1 prevalence and avoid distraction by the surface noise of the foreground figures baserate neglect as he demonstrates plagues much policymaking as does the cognate vice of the availability heuristic rare plane crashes sway behaviour more than frequent car crashes a bluemoon terror outrage outranks the longhaul attrition of air pollution and so on our judgments individual and collective repeatedly succumb to psychological amplifiers such as recency vividness or emotional poignancy hard or lurid cases make bad laws and bad decisions spanp pspanand so on as the skittles of error fall to reasons conquering ball pinker disentangles our confusions of correlation and causation he guides us through the moves of formal logic that let us unpick the assertions of advertisers and pundits some of them deeply intuitive as when we sceptically say thats a big if he outlines game theory and the prisoners dilemma that asks us to choose between potential gains or losses with no knowledge of the other players actionsspanp pspanas a primer for cognitive hygiene and a booster pack for your powers of critical reflection spanispanrationalityspanispan does what it says on the box and lots more yet in pinkers payoff chapter cheekily titled whats wrong with people his grasp falters his recommendations for improving rationality in public affairs sound either selfevident or anodyne those rulegoverned contracts scientific peer review media factchecking statistical and critical thinking in education evidencebased evaluation in health and social policy lamely he suggests that it would be nice to see people earn brownie points for acknowledging uncertainty in their beliefs or questioning the dogmas of their political sect and who would bestow those coveted points on repentant zealots party activists rewarded for loyalty socialmedia corporations that profit from trafficdriving division although he throws harsh words against the blowhard simplifications of media commentators pinkers own nostrums often hover around the oped level the mythology mindset that flourishes both in party politics and social activism would find little advantage in his forms of deliberative doubt just now polarisation paysspanp pspana teacher to the last pinker knows supremely well how to lead willing students towards a greater light whats missing is a robust model of the impartial agencies communal and political that might enable people to learn cherish and deploy the tools of rationality as citizens not just as pupils or professionals correctly pinker regrets the decline of classcrossing civilsociety organisations like churches and clubs where people meet for a shared connective purpose rather than gather virtually in sociocultural tribes made up of uniform but atomised opinionconsumers but he cant say much about how supercharged rationality alone would heal the rifts between myside and your sidespanp pspancuriously just across the harvard campus a solution of sorts might await the great bengaliborn philosophereconomist amartya sen fails to rate a single mention in spanispanrationalityspanispan yet sen a harvard professor since 2004 began his career as an analyst of social choice theory he has devoted more than half a century of original work to the role of public reasoning in entrenching and enhancing democratic normsspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104image3741300x208pngadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarh5philip roths carnival of desireh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspansen grew up in rabindranath tagores utopian community at santiniketan the bengali polymaths visionary scheme to ground practical reasoning in peaceful and productive daily life from famine prevention to womens empowerment and the codification of the uns human development index which he cocreated sen has argued that the collective pursuit of rationality can serve common goods and deepen the bonds of belonging and communityspanspan spanp pspansen an admirer of the adam smith believes that strong institutions of collective reasoning can mitigate selfseeking and that it is the power of reason that allows us to consider our obligations and ideals as well as our interests and advantages spanispandevelopment as freedomspanispan from village councils in india to the building however incomplete of accountable global agencies he has done a lifetimes best to make democratic rationality work in the public square think of it as a project to make pinkers reality mindset yield the same sort of collective pleasures and rewards as his mythology mindset spanp pspanpinker notes that on a private level people to tend to make pretty good sense and good choices about their lives sen asks how cooperative politics may do that too for now pinkers spanispanrationalityspanispan can tell us with forensic verve and agility how to catch out those faithdriven diehards as they blunder through their faulty premises false syllogisms illusory correlations and so on so far he cant show convincingly how or why they should play a better game spanspan spanp pispanrationality what it is why it seems scarce why it matters spanispanby steven pinker allen lane 25spanp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canstephenpinkersavetheworldappcommentsview commentsa

pspanat close new book spana relnoopener hrefhttpsstevenpinkercompublicationsrationalitywhatitwhyitseemssoscarceandwhyitmatters target_blankispanrationalityspaniaspan 30 pages references psychologist psycholinguist champion enlightenment liberalism steven pinker offers alphabetical checklist biases fallacies spent 10 chapters dissecting despatching 90 items long rogues gallery conceptual crooks ranges familiar rascals like ad hominem fallacy ubiquitous socialmedia chum tu quoque goes trendier whatabouteryspanp pspanalong way identity parade guilty mlud takes hardened malefactors false dichotomy guilt association straw man addition exotic wronguns like motteandbailey tactic kind medieval cousin old lag moving goalposts new favourite texas sharpshooter fallacy fire bullet barn door paint bullseye neatly round hole tada investment advice comes right texan barnspanp pspanalmost arena opinion argument offers prospect card pinker bingo political knockabout sort hear weekly westminster spanispanquestion timespanispan gives chance shout house minutes public debate bow readily evidencebased reasoning international response climate change throw fogs rhetorical pollution look preliminary positions drasticaction radicals kickthecan gradualists staked advance imminent cop 26 conference glasgow planets future stake advocacy groups tend smother clear light reason dense cloud confirmation bias special pleading guiltbyassociation argue comforting litany targets initiatives intoned governments agencies deepen sleep reasonspanspanspanp divdiv pspantrust technocratic fixes function kind mindnumbing cult century ago pioneering sociologist max weber pinker cites saw iron cage bureaucratic rationality defined modern life official religion prone heretical pushbacks form mystic charismatic ecstatic movements standoff topdown climatechange bureaucracy gestural militancy radicals proves correctspanp pspanas ecopolitics media education culture arguably social superstructures science modern institutions modern selves sphere rationality pinker toils expand cohabits calls mythology mindset immune reasons charms claims pinker project lies teleology spanispana priorispanispan conviction permits belief longterm human progress measured indices declining violence improving health longevity expanding empathy solidarity set spanispanthe better angels naturespanispan 2011 reinforced spanispanenlightenment nowspanispan 2018spanspanspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages1301892355scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarh5how rational steven pinkers worldh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howrationalisstevenpinkersworldrefinnarspanbyspan razib khanapdivadiv pspancritics dismiss principle incremental betterment groundless optimism treats simple historical factuality progressives dont like progress quipped radical detractors picture future insists spanispanrationalityspanispan need bot tweeting fake news forever arc knowledge long bends rationalityspanp pspanpinkers steadily advancing reason alien mr spocklike logic machine unfeeling calculus personal advantage cites david hume claimed spanispantreatise human naturespanispan reason ought slave passions pretend office serve obey slave mean like operating system approach pinker ambition subject goals drives selfish reflective scrutiny mental processes underlie choicesspanp pspanpinkers wide appeal rests partly selfhelp howto character arguments desire driving passions want travel rationalitys toolkit help reach destination rationalchoice theory expounds new book typical brio lucidity serve idealistic selfinterested ends sounds lovable ebenezer scrooge powers instance resultsoriented philanthropy effective altruism movement dismay puritans expect guilt lamentation sackclothandashes wouldbe social reformers spanspanspanp pspanpinker wants uphold truth morality according liberalsecular lights inflects valueneutral account pitfalls road reason warnings dangers populist irrationality power enjoyably point logical flaw saying living posttruth era true false like ancient cretan liar trump years perceived assaults reason shaped new work glancing allusions pandemic given topical edge deplores myside bias skewed motivated reasoning polarised themagainstus culture rightly dislikes forms binary reasoningspanp pspanin end pinker reverts simple dualism reality mindset endorses mythology mindset underpins supernatural faith elects frauds tell 30000 lies presidency recently killed thousands conspiracyprone antivaxxers near end spanispanrationalityspanispan reinvents oldest wheel cart sociology anthropology states function [mythological] beliefs construct social reality binds tribe sect gives moral purpose course try connect myth realityspanspanspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109raymondocopye1630081506812300x154jpegadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarh5raymond williams mapped mountainsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108raymondwilliamsmappedmountainsrefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspanthe pandemic shown bestinformed societies spread evidencefree mythological beliefs willingness millions act cost lives battlefield scale task building bridges magical thinker reasoning creature coexist human mind feels urgent pinkers mental toolkit span gapspanspanspanp pspanpinker little sense dialectic cleancut antithesis reality mythology human thinking belongs lab lectureroom messier interpersonal spaces live time nietzsche profitably consulted saw eternal wrangle reason order control apollo frenzy fury bliss dionysus perpetual toand fro winnertakesall struggle pinker cause reason tends look like zerosum game light advances darkness diminishes vice versaspanp pspanpinker teacher professor psychology harvard 2003 teachers teach literature philosophy quantum physics need truth vanquish falsity careerdefining mission advocate communicate tools reason draws strength pedagogic model rooted homeground disciplines experimental psychology psycholinguistics written entire book disprove spanispantabula rasa spanispanpicture human mind spanispanthe blank slatespanispan 2002 believe sustained effort help rewrite preexisting scriptsspanp pspanlike caring teacher pinker suffer good submitting ones beliefs trials reason evidence warns unnatural skill like literacy numeracy instilled cultivatedspanspanspanp pspanits pain pinker classroom fun spanispanrationalityspanispan comes counterintuitive exercises keepfit instructor sets cerebrally flabby pupils dont brain pleasurably ache dormant muscles flex action readers forget hurry probability workouts especially suppose prevalence breast cancer population women 1 breastcancer diagnostic test truepositive rate 90 falsepositive rate 9 woman takes tests positive percentage chances disease 80 90 sample doctors estimated correct answer 9spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106john_william_waterhouse__the_remorse_of_the_emperor_nero_after_the_murder_of_his_mother1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarh5nero wasnt misunderstoodh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106nerowasntmisunderstoodrefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspanbayesian reasoning key component pinkers procedure spanispanrationalityspanispan direct attention base rate phenomenon 1 prevalence avoid distraction surface noise foreground figures baserate neglect demonstrates plagues policymaking cognate vice availability heuristic rare plane crashes sway behaviour frequent car crashes bluemoon terror outrage outranks longhaul attrition air pollution judgments individual collective repeatedly succumb psychological amplifiers recency vividness emotional poignancy hard lurid cases bad laws bad decisionsspanp pspanand skittles error fall reasons conquering ball pinker disentangles confusions correlation causation guides moves formal logic let unpick assertions advertisers pundits deeply intuitive sceptically thats big outlines game theory prisoners dilemma asks choose potential gains losses knowledge players actionsspanp pspanas primer cognitive hygiene booster pack powers critical reflection spanispanrationalityspanispan says box lots pinkers payoff chapter cheekily titled whats wrong people grasp falters recommendations improving rationality public affairs sound selfevident anodyne rulegoverned contracts scientific peer review media factchecking statistical critical thinking education evidencebased evaluation health social policy lamely suggests nice people earn brownie points acknowledging uncertainty beliefs questioning dogmas political sect bestow coveted points repentant zealots party activists rewarded loyalty socialmedia corporations profit trafficdriving division throws harsh words blowhard simplifications media commentators pinkers nostrums hover oped level mythology mindset flourishes party politics social activism find little advantage forms deliberative doubt polarisation paysspanp pspana teacher pinker knows supremely lead willing students greater light whats missing robust model impartial agencies communal political enable people learn cherish deploy tools rationality citizens pupils professionals correctly pinker regrets decline classcrossing civilsociety organisations like churches clubs people meet shared connective purpose gather virtually sociocultural tribes uniform atomised opinionconsumers cant supercharged rationality heal rifts myside sidespanp pspancuriously harvard campus solution sorts await great bengaliborn philosophereconomist amartya sen fails rate single mention spanispanrationalityspanispan sen harvard professor 2004 began career analyst social choice theory devoted half century original work role public reasoning entrenching enhancing democratic normsspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104image3741300x208pngadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarh5philip roths carnival desireh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104philiprothscarnivalofdesirerefinnarspanbyspan boyd tonkinapdivadiv pspansen grew rabindranath tagores utopian community santiniketan bengali polymaths visionary scheme ground practical reasoning peaceful productive daily life famine prevention womens empowerment codification uns human development index cocreated sen argued collective pursuit rationality serve common goods deepen bonds belonging communityspanspanspanp pspansen admirer adam smith believes strong institutions collective reasoning mitigate selfseeking power reason allows consider obligations ideals interests advantages spanispandevelopment freedomspanispan village councils india building incomplete accountable global agencies lifetimes best democratic rationality work public square think project pinkers reality mindset yield sort collective pleasures rewards mythology mindsetspanp pspanpinker notes private level people tend pretty good sense good choices lives sen asks cooperative politics pinkers spanispanrationalityspanispan tell forensic verve agility catch faithdriven diehards blunder faulty premises false syllogisms illusory correlations far cant convincingly play better game spanspanspanp pispanrationality scarce matters spanispanby steven pinker allen lane 25spanp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canstephenpinkersavetheworldappcommentsview commentsa

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What is going on in this Malaysian-Chinese libertarian video of the year?

piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedrp7upbhereversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 height360iframep pblocked on weibo by the way  one major figure in the video is the malaysianchinese rapper a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinamewee target_blanknameweea also a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikikimberley_chen target_blankkimberly chena  i put up this post among other reasons to show just how much there is in the way of a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201812deconstructingculturalcodeshtml target_blankcultural codes to cracka  how much of it do you understand  do you get the references to a relnoopener hrefhttpssupchinacom20200423nmsltheoriginsofthechineseinternetslang target_blankthis thaichinese internet controversya  what else  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsabinaknight1status1450235054479876096s21 target_blankfurther excellent commentary from sabina knighta  20 on the youtube music chartsp pvia stup pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110bannedinchinahtmlwhat is going on in this malaysianchinese libertarian video of the yeara appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedrp7upbhereversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 height360iframep pblocked weibo way major figure video malaysianchinese rapper relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinamewee target_blanknameweea relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikikimberley_chen target_blankkimberly chena post reasons way relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201812deconstructingculturalcodeshtml target_blankcultural codes cracka understand references relnoopener hrefhttpssupchinacom20200423nmsltheoriginsofthechineseinternetslang target_blankthis thaichinese internet controversya relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsabinaknight1status1450235054479876096s21 target_blankfurther excellent commentary sabina knighta 20 youtube music chartsp pvia stup pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110bannedinchinahtmlwhat going malaysianchinese libertarian video yeara appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Why the left should celebrate Boris Johnson’s clash with the Treasury

pan extraordinary briefing over the weekend 16 october from the treasury about the prime ministers a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10099485treasuryofficialsaccuseborisjohnsoneconomicilliteracyecoplanshtml target_blankeconomic illiteracya concludes a torrid seven days for the once allpowerful department a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent9fc439616cdd40b9b42fa1610e697a5a target_blankoutmanoeuvreda at the start of the week by the business secretary kwasi kwarteng over emergency support for businesses during the gas crisis the treasury was revealed on friday to be resorting to a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent0c160b2902f74b149f7211df6b5e68fa target_blankstatistical chicanerya to convince other secretaries of state to accept tighter spending plansp ptraditionally the spending review period is a time when the treasury gets to demonstrate its power threatening cuts across government and throwing the odd crumb to pet departments yet the current rows suggest a shift of authority inside whitehall briefing against the prime minister particularly one as politically commanding as boris johnson doesnt make a government department strong it makes it desperate fiddling with figures to persuade departments to accept tight spending cuts is not an indication of a treasury in controlp pthere should be no tears over this loss in status no single department bears as grave a responsibility for the misery of the last decade it was senior officials at the treasury that insisted on and fought for austerity from 2009 onwards crowbarring labour into supporting spending cuts ahead of the may 2010 election and then working overtime to frighten an admittedly credulous nick clegg into believing a greekstyle crisis would erupt without themp pthe treasury has stuck doggedly and absurdly to the austerity mantra for the decade since even as empirical justification for austerity has been shredded even as the economics profession has turned almost as one against fiscal tightening even as perhaps most significantly public support for spending cuts has evaporated we can still find the treasury insisting on the necessity of belttighteningp pof course the rot runs deeper than just the past ten years as an a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbennettinstitutecamacukpublicationsimperialtreasuryappraisalmethodologyandregion target_blankexcellent analysisa by economists diane coyle and marianne sensier details the department has been systematically biased in its investment decisions against the rest of the country outside london figures from the a hrefhttpswwwipprorgfiles201908transportinvestmentinthenorthernpowerhouseaugust19pdfinstitute for public policy researcha in 2019 for example show that this has meant yorkshire receives 511 per head in transport funding while london receives 3636p pcoyle and sensier demonstrate that the departments own operating system its green book guide to investment decisions is methodologically flawed chasing shortterm gains to gdp in london at the expense of longerterm stable investment across the whole country rewriting those rules a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsbusiness51012590 target_blankas the conservatives have claimed they want to doa is a crucial part of getting a grip on the departmentp pshortterm thinking is hardwired into the treasury stretching over decades and multiple changes in government the departments failures are the consequence of more than just bad decisions by politicians lacking a comprehensive economic mandate the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikitreasury_view target_blanktreasury viewa fixates on the governments deficit and debt and neglects to reflect on the economy that produces themp pbut as any undergraduate macroeconomics course will teach you since what the government does affects the whole economy economic policymaking should attend to the whole economy embeforeem it turns to considering the government debt and the deficit that emerge from itp pfailure to think this way has meant for example that the immense windfall from north sea oil and gas coming onstream from the late 1960s was squandered on daytoday spending instead of being placed into a sovereign wealth fund as norway did later with such success more recently a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcommonwealthcoukreportsgreeningthegreenbook target_blankaccountants ernst amp young saya renewables investors face a confused and inconsistent environment in the uk as a result of treasury shortterm costcutting by prioritising a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationshmtreasuryoutcomedeliveryplanhmtreasuryoutcomedeliveryplan2021to2022 target_blankcontrol over public spendinga above wider economic goals the treasury is hobbling the countryp pat the centre of the current dispute between no 10 and the treasury are the prime ministers plans to increase public investment in our energy system focused on decarbonisation in the middle of an energy crisis with wholesale gas prices at alltime highs gas suppliers going bankrupt and businesses and consumers facing a winter of dramatically higher energy bills the real economic illiteracy would be a failure to invest in energy infrastructure that helps to ensure this doesnt happen againp pthe treasury thinks it knows better it always does and using the power it wields inside whitehall thanks to its control of the purse strings what the treasury as an institution thinks tends to become what the whole government has to think working for shadow chancellor john mcdonnell in the runup to the june 2017 election it was this prospect that gave me sleepless nightsp pas the polls tightened i became increasingly concerned that a possible minority labour government would find itself on the wrong side of the treasury view i had every confidence in mcdonnell and the shadow treasury team around him we also had a plan to box it in lining up external advisers and looking to rapidly set an emergency budget but would it be enough the vision that haunted me was of ending up with a sorrowful jeremy corbyn on the steps of downing street announcing with a heavy heart that the economic situation was worse than expected and austerity would therefore be continuing i had been in syntagma square central athens when syriza was elected in 2015 pm alexis tsipras heralding a new dawn for his country i had seen syriza collapse six months later i feared a very british repeat getting on top of her majestys treasury had to be a priorityp pso of course i am happy to see no 10 and any spending department lined up against the uks overmighty beancounters whatever his own intentions johnson will be performing a great service to any future progressive administration if his government can cut it down to size better for this tory administration to choose to take on the task of reform than a future labour government be forced top pemstrong[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticstransportpolitics202110nomatterwhosprimeministerthetreasuryalwayswinsno matter whos prime minister the treasury always winsa]strongemp

pan extraordinary briefing weekend 16 october treasury prime ministers relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10099485treasuryofficialsaccuseborisjohnsoneconomicilliteracyecoplanshtml target_blankeconomic illiteracya concludes torrid seven days allpowerful department relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent9fc439616cdd40b9b42fa1610e697a5a target_blankoutmanoeuvreda start week business secretary kwasi kwarteng emergency support businesses gas crisis treasury revealed friday resorting relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent0c160b2902f74b149f7211df6b5e68fa target_blankstatistical chicanerya convince secretaries state accept tighter spending plansp ptraditionally spending review period time treasury gets demonstrate power threatening cuts government throwing odd crumb pet departments current rows suggest shift authority inside whitehall briefing prime minister particularly politically commanding boris johnson doesnt government department strong makes desperate fiddling figures persuade departments accept tight spending cuts indication treasury controlp pthere tears loss status single department bears grave responsibility misery decade senior officials treasury insisted fought austerity 2009 onwards crowbarring labour supporting spending cuts ahead 2010 election working overtime frighten admittedly credulous nick clegg believing greekstyle crisis erupt themp pthe treasury stuck doggedly absurdly austerity mantra decade empirical justification austerity shredded economics profession turned fiscal tightening significantly public support spending cuts evaporated find treasury insisting necessity belttighteningp pof course rot runs deeper past years relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbennettinstitutecamacukpublicationsimperialtreasuryappraisalmethodologyandregion target_blankexcellent analysisa economists diane coyle marianne sensier details department systematically biased investment decisions rest country outside london figures hrefhttpswwwipprorgfiles201908transportinvestmentinthenorthernpowerhouseaugust19pdfinstitute public policy researcha 2019 example meant yorkshire receives 511 head transport funding london receives3636p pcoyle sensier demonstrate departments operating system green book guide investment decisions methodologically flawed chasing shortterm gains gdp london expense longerterm stable investment country rewriting rules relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsbusiness51012590 target_blankas conservatives claimed want doa crucial getting grip departmentp pshortterm thinking hardwired treasury stretching decades multiple changes government departments failures consequence bad decisions politicians lacking comprehensive economic mandate relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikitreasury_view target_blanktreasury viewa fixates governments deficit debt neglects reflect economy produces themp pbut undergraduate macroeconomics course teach government affects economy economic policymaking attend economy embeforeem turns considering government debt deficit emerge itp pfailure think way meant example immense windfall north sea oil gas coming onstream late 1960s squandered daytoday spending instead placed sovereign wealth fund norway later success recently relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcommonwealthcoukreportsgreeningthegreenbook target_blankaccountants ernst amp young saya renewables investors face confused inconsistent environment uk result treasury shortterm costcutting prioritising relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationshmtreasuryoutcomedeliveryplanhmtreasuryoutcomedeliveryplan2021to2022 target_blankcontrol public spendinga wider economic goals treasury hobbling countryp pat centre current dispute 10 treasury prime ministers plans increase public investment energy system focused decarbonisation middle energy crisis wholesale gas prices alltime highs gas suppliers going bankrupt businesses consumers facing winter dramatically higher energy bills real economic illiteracy failure invest energy infrastructure helps ensure doesnt happen againp pthe treasury thinks knows better power wields inside whitehall thanks control purse strings treasury institution thinks tends government think working shadow chancellor john mcdonnell runup june 2017 election prospect gave sleepless nightsp pas polls tightened increasingly concerned possible minority labour government find wrong treasury view confidence mcdonnell shadow treasury team plan box lining external advisers looking rapidly set emergency budget vision haunted ending sorrowful jeremy corbyn steps downing street announcing heavy heart economic situation worse expected austerity continuing syntagma square central athens syriza elected 2015 pm alexis tsipras heralding new dawn country seen syriza collapse months later feared british repeat getting majestys treasury priorityp pso course happy 10 spending department lined uks overmighty beancounters intentions johnson performing great service future progressive administration government cut size better tory administration choose task reform future labour government forced pemstrong[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticstransportpolitics202110nomatterwhosprimeministerthetreasuryalwayswinsno matter whos prime minister treasury winsa]strongemp

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Academic Freedom Trouble at the University of Michigan

pa hrefhttpsreasoncom20211008brightshenguniversityofmichiganothelloracismmusic professor bright shenga showed his class at the university of michigan the 1965 film of william shakespeares emothelloem in which laurence olivier plays the moor in dark makeup students objected a colleague denounced showing the film as a quotracist actquot a dean declared that showing the film was contrary to the schools antiracist commitments sheng was removed from the classroom until he quotagreedquot to step away from the class entirely meanwhile he remains under threat of investigation and discipline for his offensesp pthe a hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgafacondemnssuspensionofmichiganprofessorbrightshengacademic freedom alliance has released a public lettera calling on the university of michigan to immediately allow professor sheng to fully return to his teaching duties to drop all investigations of him and threats to him arising from this incident and to reaffirm that faculty at the university have the freedom to assign pedagogically relevant materials in their classes even when those materials are controversial or might cause offensep pas i note in the afa letterp blockquotepunfortunately efforts to suppress classroom materials and censor classroom instruction because they might be divisive are all too familiar the cornerstone of recent state legislative efforts including those in a hrefhttpswwwmlivecompublicinterest202110michiganlawmakersdebatebilltobancriticalracetheoryinschoolshtmlmichigana to outlaw quota hrefhttpsareomagazinecom20210616thetroublewithbanningcriticalracetheorydivisive conceptsaquot like critical race theory or quotracist theoriesquot from the classroom is precisely the belief that instructors should not be allowed to expose students to materials or ideas that they might find disturbing or racist universities are in no position to resist such efforts if they are themselves willing to punish their professors on that selfsame basis if dean gier imagines that exposing students to racist materials is outside the scope of academic freedom he is quite mistaken if such an assertion of power by a dean were accepted it would a hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20200823chipping_away_at_academic_freedom_144012htmlcarve a large and perilous holea in academic freedom protections that will loom over faculty at the university for years to come faculty quite rightly will worry whether they might be accused by university administrators of having engaged in a racist act that could subject them to discipline and sanction for assigning students materials ranging from thomas jefferson to mark twain to ibram kendipblockquote pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110afalettertomichiganonbrightshengv2pdfread the whole thing hereap pupdate professor sheng has been informed that the university of michigan will not pursue any further investigation arising from his class assignment it is not enough for universitys to quietly drop these cases and move on as if nothing has happened the university needs to publicly affirm that it will respect its facultys academic freedom and take steps to insure that such groundless investigations against faculty are not undertaken in the futurep

pa hrefhttpsreasoncom20211008brightshenguniversityofmichiganothelloracismmusic professor bright shenga showed class university michigan 1965 film william shakespeares emothelloem laurence olivier plays moor dark makeup students objected colleague denounced showing film quotracist actquot dean declared showing film contrary schools antiracist commitments sheng removed classroom quotagreedquot step away class entirely remains threat investigation discipline offensesp pthe hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgafacondemnssuspensionofmichiganprofessorbrightshengacademic freedom alliance released public lettera calling university michigan immediately allow professor sheng fully return teaching duties drop investigations threats arising incident reaffirm faculty university freedom assign pedagogically relevant materials classes materials controversial cause offensep pas note afa letterp blockquotepunfortunately efforts suppress classroom materials censor classroom instruction divisive familiar cornerstone recent state legislative efforts including hrefhttpswwwmlivecompublicinterest202110michiganlawmakersdebatebilltobancriticalracetheoryinschoolshtmlmichigana outlaw quota hrefhttpsareomagazinecom20210616thetroublewithbanningcriticalracetheorydivisive conceptsaquot like critical race theory quotracist theoriesquot classroom precisely belief instructors allowed expose students materials ideas find disturbing racist universities position resist efforts willing punish professors selfsame basis dean gier imagines exposing students racist materials outside scope academic freedom mistaken assertion power dean accepted hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20200823chipping_away_at_academic_freedom_144012htmlcarve large perilous holea academic freedom protections loom faculty university years come faculty rightly worry accused university administrators having engaged racist act subject discipline sanction assigning students materials ranging thomas jefferson mark twain ibram kendipblockquote pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110afalettertomichiganonbrightshengv2pdfread thing hereap pupdate professor sheng informed university michigan pursue investigation arising class assignment universitys quietly drop cases happened university needs publicly affirm respect facultys academic freedom steps insure groundless investigations faculty undertaken futurep

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Make TeleMedicine Permanent

pone of the silver linings of the pandemic was the ability to see a doctor and be prescribed medicine online i used telemedicine multiple times during the pandemic and it was greattelemedicine saved me at least an hour each visit and i think my medical care was as good as if i had been in person i already knew i had poison ivy no need for the doctor to get it alsop ptelemedicine has been possible for a long time what allowed it to take off during the pandemic wasnt new technology but deregulation hipaa rules for example a hrefhttpunder20this20notice2c20covered20health20care20providers20may20use20popular20applications20that20allow20for20video20chats2c20including20apple20facetime2c20facebook20messenger20video20chat2c20google20hangouts20video2c20zoom2c20or20skype2c20to20provide20telehealth20without20risk20that20ocr20might20seek20to20impose20a20penalty20for20noncompliance20with20the20hipaa20rules20related20to20the20good20faith20provision20of20telehealth20during20the20covid1920nationwide20public20health20emergencywere waiveda for good faith use of standard communication technologies such as zoom and facetime even though these would ordinarily have been prohibitedp pthe federal ryan haight act was a hrefhttpswwwnatlawreviewcomarticlecovid19deaconfirmspublichealthemergencyexceptiontelemedicineprescribinglifteda which let physicians prescribe controlled substances narcotics depressants stimulants hallucinogens and anabolic steroids in a telemedicine appointmentprior to covid an inperson appointment was requiredp pprior to covid medicaid and medicare wouldnt pay for many services delivered over the internet but during the pandemic the list of telemedicine approved services was expanded tennessee for example a hrefhttpswwwtngovcontentdamtntenncaredocumentstenncaremcotelehealthguidanceforskilledtherapiespdfallowed speech therapists to bill for an online sessiona a hrefhttpmanualsmedicaidalaskacomdocsdnldfees_telehealth_20200813pdfalaska alloweda mental health and counseling services and west virginia allowed psychological testing to be delivered via telemedicine a hreffilectempcovid19_alert_009pdfwisconsin alloweda durable medical equipment such as prosthetics and orthotics to be prescribed without a facetoface meetingp panother very important lifting of regulation was allowing crossstate licensing which let outofstate physicians have appointments with instate patients so long of course as the physicians were licensed in their state of residencep pthe kicker is that almost all of these changes are temporary regulatory burdens that were lifted for covid will all be reinstated once the public health emergency phe expires the phe has been a hrefhttpswwwphegovemergencynewshealthactionsphepagescovdi15oct21aspxrepeatedly extendeda but that will only push off the crux of the issue which is whether many of the innovations that we were forced to adopt during the pandemic shouldnt be made permanentp pworking from home has worked better and been much more popular than anyone anticipated not everyone who was forced to work at home because of covid wants to continue to work at home but many businesses are finding that allowing some work from home as an option is a valuable benefit they can offer their workers without a loss in productivityp pin the same way many telemedicine innovations pioneered during the pandemic should remain as options no one doubts that some medical services are better performed inperson nor that requiring inperson visits limits some types of fraud and abuse nevertheless the goal should be to ensure quality by regulating the provider of medical services not regulating how they perform their services communications technology is improving at a record pace we have moved from telephones to facetime and soon will have even more sophisticated virtual presence technology that can be integrated with next generation apple watches and fitbits that gather medical information we want medical care to build on the progress in other industries and not be bound to 19th and 20th century technologyp pthe growth of telemedicine is one of the few benefits of the pandemic as the pandemic ends lets make this silver lining permanentp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110maketelemedicinepermanenthtmlmake telemedicine permanenta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pone silver linings pandemic ability doctor prescribed medicine online telemedicine multiple times pandemic greattelemedicine saved hour visit think medical care good person knew poison ivy need doctor alsop ptelemedicine possible long time allowed pandemic wasnt new technology deregulation hipaa rules example hrefhttpunder20this20notice2c20covered20health20care20providers20may20use20popular20applications20that20allow20for20video20chats2c20including20apple20facetime2c20facebook20messenger20video20chat2c20google20hangouts20video2c20zoom2c20or20skype2c20to20provide20telehealth20without20risk20that20ocr20might20seek20to20impose20a20penalty20for20noncompliance20with20the20hipaa20rules20related20to20the20good20faith20provision20of20telehealth20during20the20covid1920nationwide20public20health20emergencywere waiveda good faith use standard communication technologies zoom facetime ordinarily prohibitedp pthe federal ryan haight act wasa hrefhttpswwwnatlawreviewcomarticlecovid19deaconfirmspublichealthemergencyexceptiontelemedicineprescribingliftedawhich let physicians prescribe controlled substances narcotics depressants stimulants hallucinogens anabolic steroids telemedicine appointmentprior covid inperson appointment requiredp pprior covid medicaid medicare wouldnt pay services delivered internet pandemic list telemedicine approved services expanded tennessee example hrefhttpswwwtngovcontentdamtntenncaredocumentstenncaremcotelehealthguidanceforskilledtherapiespdfallowed speech therapists bill online sessiona hrefhttpmanualsmedicaidalaskacomdocsdnldfees_telehealth_20200813pdfalaska alloweda mental health counseling services west virginia allowed psychological testing delivered telemedicine hreffilectempcovid19_alert_009pdfwisconsin alloweda durable medical equipment prosthetics orthotics prescribed facetoface meetingp panother important lifting regulation allowing crossstate licensing let outofstate physicians appointments instate patients long course physicians licensed state residencep pthe kicker changes temporary regulatory burdens lifted covid reinstated public health emergency phe expires phe hrefhttpswwwphegovemergencynewshealthactionsphepagescovdi15oct21aspxrepeatedly extendeda push crux issue innovations forced adopt pandemic shouldnt permanentp pworking home worked better popular anticipated forced work home covid wants continue work home businesses finding allowing work home option valuable benefit offer workers loss productivityp pin way telemedicine innovations pioneered pandemic remain options doubts medical services better performed inperson requiring inperson visits limits types fraud abuse goal ensure quality regulating provider medical services regulating perform services communications technology improving record pace moved telephones facetime soon sophisticated virtual presence technology integrated generation apple watches fitbits gather medical information want medical care build progress industries bound 19th 20th century technologyp pthe growth telemedicine benefits pandemic pandemic ends lets silver lining permanentp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110maketelemedicinepermanenthtmlmake telemedicine permanenta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Worrying Sentence(s) of the Day

blockquotepa hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211018uscoronaviruspublichealthhtmlnytimesa an examination of hundreds of health departments around the country shows that the nation may be less prepared for the next pandemic than it was for the current onep pstate and local public health departments across the country have endured not only the publics fury but widespread staff defections burnout firings unpredictable funding and a significant erosion in their authority to impose the health orders that were critical to americas early response to the pandemicpblockquote ppeople have had it lets hope we arent tested again soonp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110worryingsentencesofthedayhtmlworrying sentences of the daya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepa hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211018uscoronaviruspublichealthhtmlnytimesa examination hundreds health departments country shows nation prepared pandemic current onep pstate local public health departments country endured publics fury widespread staff defections burnout firings unpredictable funding significant erosion authority impose health orders critical americas early response pandemicpblockquote ppeople lets hope arent tested soonp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110worryingsentencesofthedayhtmlworrying sentences daya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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My podcast with philosopher Jimmy Alfonso Licon

psomewhat less than an hour here is his summary of a relnoopener hrefhttpsjimmyalfonsoliconsubstackcompeudaimoniaradioepisode6withtyler target_blankour chatap blockquotepprof cowen and i had a wide ranging interview on topics ranging from whether economic growth is a moral imperative ufos are extraterrestrials rent seeking is a drain on the economy things like plato pumpkin spice and the founding fathers are overrated why we should or shouldnt care about chess and how to think about failure among other topicspblockquote pi am pleased to have jimmy visiting at george mason this year  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpssitesgooglecomsitejimmyalicon target_blankjimmys home page and publicationsa note he is on the job market this yearp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110mypodcastwithphilosopherjimmyalfonsoliconhtmlmy podcast with philosopher jimmy alfonso licona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

psomewhat hour summary relnoopener hrefhttpsjimmyalfonsoliconsubstackcompeudaimoniaradioepisode6withtyler target_blankour chatap blockquotepprof cowen wide ranging interview topics ranging economic growth moral imperative ufos extraterrestrials rent seeking drain economy things like plato pumpkin spice founding fathers overrated shouldnt care chess think failure topicspblockquote pi pleased jimmy visiting george mason year relnoopener hrefhttpssitesgooglecomsitejimmyalicon target_blankjimmys home page publicationsa note job market yearp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110mypodcastwithphilosopherjimmyalfonsoliconhtmlmy podcast philosopher jimmy alfonso licona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Average is over

blockquotepthirteenyearolds saw unprecedented declines in both reading and math between 2012 and 2020 according to scores released this morning from the national assessment of educational progress naep consistent with several years of previous data the results point to a clear and widening cleavage between americas highest and lowestperforming students and raise urgent questions about how to reverse prolonged academic stagnationp pthe scores offer more discouraging evidence from naep often referred to as the nations report card various iterations of the exam each tracking a hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgarticlenaepsciencescoresdownforfourthgradersflatforolderstudentsarereadingchallengestoblamedifferenta a hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgnaepsocialstudiesscoresshowadownturningeographyushistorybutaretheheadlineshypedsubjectsa and a hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgtwelfthgradenaepscoresoffermorebadnewsforreadingstagnationinmathage groupsa over several years have now shown flat or falling numbersp pboth reading and math results for nineyearolds have made no headway scores were flat for every ethnic and gender subgroup of younger children with the exception of nineyearold girls who scored five points worse on math than they had in 2012 their dip in performance produced a gender gap for the age group that did not exist on the tests last iterationp pmore ominous were the results for 13yearolds who experienced statistically significant drops of three and five points in reading and math respectively compared with math performance in 2012 boys overall lost five points and girls overall lost six points black students dropped eight points and hispanic students four points both decreases widened their score gap with white students whose scores were statistically unchanged from 2012p pin keeping with previous naep releases the scores also showed significant drops in performance among lowperforming testtakers most disturbing declines among 13yearolds scoring at the 10th percentile of reading mean that the groups literacy performance is not significantly improved compared with 1971 when the test was first administered in all other agesubject configurations students placing at all levels of the achievement spectrum have gained ground over the last halfcenturypblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgarticlenaeplongtermunprecedentedperformancedropamerican13yearolds target_blankthe full storya please note these are precovid test scores arguably now the problem could be worse  via luke a concerned humanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110averageisover3htmlaverage is overa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthirteenyearolds saw unprecedented declines reading math 2012 2020 according scores released morning national assessment educational progress naep consistent years previous data results point clear widening cleavage americas highest lowestperforming students raise urgent questions reverse prolonged academic stagnationp pthe scores offer discouraging evidence naep referred nations report card iterations exam trackinga hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgarticlenaepsciencescoresdownforfourthgradersflatforolderstudentsarereadingchallengestoblamedifferentaa hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgnaepsocialstudiesscoresshowadownturningeographyushistorybutaretheheadlineshypedsubjectsaanda hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgtwelfthgradenaepscoresoffermorebadnewsforreadingstagnationinmathage groupsa years shown flat falling numbersp pboth reading math results nineyearolds headway scores flat ethnic gender subgroup younger children exception nineyearold girls scored points worse math 2012 dip performance produced gender gap age group exist tests iterationp pmore ominous results 13yearolds experienced statistically significant drops points reading math respectively compared math performance 2012 boys overall lost points girls overall lost points black students dropped points hispanic students points decreases widened score gap white students scores statistically unchanged 2012p pin keeping previous naep releases scores showed significant drops performance lowperforming testtakers disturbing declines 13yearolds scoring 10th percentile reading mean groups literacy performance significantly improved compared 1971 test administered agesubject configurations students placing levels achievement spectrum gained ground halfcenturypblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthe74millionorgarticlenaeplongtermunprecedentedperformancedropamerican13yearolds target_blankthe storya note precovid test scores arguably problem worse luke concerned humanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110averageisover3htmlaverage overa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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FDA relents on mix and match for third dose

phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211018uspoliticsfdamixandmatchboostershtml target_blankthe nyt accounta they sound both confused and confusing  how about if you have had jampj it is fine and probably preferable to get a further dose of moderna or pfizer  yet suddenly it is finep pand it is the usual story people have been doing this for months and the fda would not say it is terrible  because they knew it wasnt  but they wouldnt say so  and now the status quo has shifted and so everyone will treat it as fine as if the supposed fears of yesterday never ever existedp pmaybe i should a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110someofthemarefraudshtml target_blankinsult people more oftenap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fdarelentsonmixandmatchforthirddosehtmlfda relents on mix and match for third dosea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211018uspoliticsfdamixandmatchboostershtml target_blankthe nyt accounta sound confused confusing jampj fine probably preferable dose moderna pfizer suddenly finep pand usual story people months fda terrible knew wasnt wouldnt status quo shifted treat fine supposed fears yesterday existedp pmaybe relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110someofthemarefraudshtml target_blankinsult people oftenap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fdarelentsonmixandmatchforthirddosehtmlfda relents mix match dosea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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More on the MIT Disinvitation of Dorian Abbot

puniversity of chicago professor dorian abbot was to deliver the tenth annual john carlson lecture at the department of earth atmospheric and planetary science at the massachusetts institute of technology on october 21 as a result of a pressure campaign a hrefhttpsreasoncomvolokh20211005adisinvitationatmithe was disinviteda from delivering that lecture because of his views on diversity and inclusion initiatives in american higher education he will instead be a hrefhttpsjmpprincetonedueventsclimateandpotentiallifeotherplanetsdelivering his remarks virtuallya on planetary climate and the prospects of life on exoplanets on october 21 at the james madison program at princeton university the academic freedom alliance issued a a hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110afalettertomitondorianabbotdisinvitationpdfpublic lettera rebuking mit for caving in to such pressurep pthe provost at mit has subsequently a hrefhttpsorgchartmitedunode6letters_to_communityimportantupdatereeapspublicly released an emaila he sent to the faculty about the incident and minimizing the damage that had been done by the disinvitation the academic freedom alliance has now released a a hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgafasendsfollowuplettertomitonspeakerdisinvitationsecond public lettera this one directed to the provost at mit and responding to the points raised in his emailp pas i note in that letterp blockquotepyou note in your letter that the department of earth atmospheric and planetary sciences quothad to make a difficult decisionquot when an organized petition campaign was launched to pressure the institute to disinvite professor abbot it is true that universities are sometimes put in the difficult position of upholding their values of academic freedom and open inquiry when particular instances of speech become controversial and universities are being pressured to suppress speech identifying the correct principle and the universitys proper responsibilities in such circumstances is not difficult howeverp pthe universitys duty is clear emonce a university has extended an invitation to a speaker to speak to members of the campus community the university must not rescind that invitation because some object that the speaker or ideas that the speaker has expressed are unacceptableem the institute seems to have lost sight of that very basic principle in this case and in doing so has subverted its own institutional mission to foster the free exchange of ideaspblockquote pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110secondafalettertomitondorianabbotdisinvitationpdfspanyou can read the whole thing herespanaspanspan dirltrbr spanspanp pi should add that the a hrefhttpinj9mjtlunl2inj9mjl1shtmlmammaak6tpiaacrrrl4aaaa86rgaaaaagqoajwl0aaiqzwbhbwqivbrndrl3qlwgoxkvaknr7gaiiwcbbc7192cbe857a55daxib4xwond_fiwc_eqqodtwmit president has now posted a public lettera to the campus community about the incident herep

puniversity chicago professor dorian abbot deliver tenth annual john carlson lecture department earth atmospheric planetary science massachusetts institute technology october 21 result pressure campaign hrefhttpsreasoncomvolokh20211005adisinvitationatmithe disinviteda delivering lecture views diversity inclusion initiatives american higher education instead hrefhttpsjmpprincetonedueventsclimateandpotentiallifeotherplanetsdelivering remarks virtuallya planetary climate prospects life exoplanets october 21 james madison program princeton university academic freedom alliance issued hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110afalettertomitondorianabbotdisinvitationpdfpublic lettera rebuking mit caving pressurep pthe provost mit subsequently hrefhttpsorgchartmitedunode6letters_to_communityimportantupdatereeapspublicly released emaila sent faculty incident minimizing damage disinvitation academic freedom alliance released hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgafasendsfollowuplettertomitonspeakerdisinvitationsecond public lettera directed provost mit responding points raised emailp pas note letterp blockquotepyou note letter department earth atmospheric planetary sciences quothad difficult decisionquot organized petition campaign launched pressure institute disinvite professor abbot true universities difficult position upholding values academic freedom open inquiry particular instances speech controversial universities pressured suppress speech identifying correct principle universitys proper responsibilities circumstances difficult howeverp pthe universitys duty clear emonce university extended invitation speaker speak members campus community university rescind invitation object speaker ideas speaker expressed unacceptableem institute lost sight basic principle case subverted institutional mission foster free exchange ideaspblockquote pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgwpcontentuploads202110secondafalettertomitondorianabbotdisinvitationpdfspanyou read thing herespanaspanspan dirltrbr spanspanp pi add hrefhttpinj9mjtlunl2inj9mjl1shtmlmammaak6tpiaacrrrl4aaaa86rgaaaaagqoajwl0aaiqzwbhbwqivbrndrl3qlwgoxkvaknr7gaiiwcbbc7192cbe857a55daxib4xwond_fiwc_eqqodtwmit president posted public lettera campus community incident herep

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Immigration Activists Sever Conversations With White House Over Return of Trump-Era Border Policy

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201906borderwall21jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201906borderwall21jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201906borderwall21600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201906borderwall21331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201906borderwall21jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201906borderwall21jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201906borderwall21600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201906borderwall21331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altborder wall 2 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpg height675 picture div pstrongimmigration activists have had it with president joe bidens increasing willingness to play the role of deporter in chief strongdozens of them stormed out of a virtual meeting with white house officials in protest of the administrations revival of the migrant protection protocols mpp a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211016immigrationadvocateswalkoutbiden516122reportsa empoliticoemp pmpp known informally as quotremain in mexicoquot was a program started under president donald trump it required asylum seekers to stay in mexico while waiting for us immigration court hearingsp pthe a hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015bidenadministrationsettoreinstateremaininmexicopolicynextmonthprogram proved controversiala critics claimed it violates immigrants rights under domestic and international law to claim asylum on us soil and that it required 70000 migrants to wait for their court hearings in tent cities in dangerous mexican border towns the biden administration ended the program in june but a federal judge in response to a lawsuit brought by missouri and texas ordered that it be reinstatedp pthe administrations compliance with the court order proved the last straw for some immigration activistsp pquoti cannot stand one more meeting of them pretendingquot ariana saludares a 40yearold advocate from the new mexicobased organization colores united and attendee of the saturday meeting with white house officials told empoliticoem quotthey give us accolades on the outside but on the inside were having to take out the metaphoric knives from our backquotp pthese activists also expressed frustration with bidens continuation of another of trumps border policies that measure called title 42 allows border patrol officials to expel migrants on the grounds that they pose a public health threat due to covid19p pthat policy resulted in more than 1 million people being expelled from the us a hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015bidenadministrationsettoreinstateremaininmexicopolicynextmonthas of july 2021a the biden administration has recently used this a hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsarticles20210924title42thelawremovinghaitiansfromusborderquicktakesreffbjg1w9mpublic health justificationa to deport thousands of haitian migrants from the usmexico border near del rio texasp pbiden had a hrefhttpswwwpriorgstories20210112whybidensdayonepromiseendremainmexicoprogrammaygounfilledpromiseda on the campaign trail that he would a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210420uspoliticsbidenrefugeeshtmltakea a softer more humane approach to immigration his continuation of many of the past administrations draconian border policies has left activists feeling betrayedp pquotits almost like we were bamboozled into thinking that this was going to be the best optionquot said saludares quotit is as if you know that your family is now turning against you and telling you that its okay its notquotp pat least the biden administration a hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscompoliticsbidenadministrationstopsborderpatrolusinghorsesdelriofired some horsesa rightp hr h2free mindsh2 pmaine is cracking down on obscene license plates the state is in the middle of making new rules that would prohibit the words emfuckem emshitem and other obscenities unfit for print from appearing on vanity platesp pthe state is currently pausing applications for these vulgar plates and will eventually recall those that have already been issued a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticleodditiesbusinessmaineeb34f0bb19717f4bde2cabfe4c100c7creportsa the associated pressp pquotrulemaking will delay the process of active removal of plates from the road but will help us balance the free speech rights of citizens and the public interest of removing inappropriate license platesquot said secretary of state shenna bellowsp pcalifornias own restrictions on supposedly offensive vanity plates were a hrefhttpsreasoncom20201125offensivelicenseplatesarefreespeechcourttellscaliforniastruck downa on first amendment grounds late last year maines new rules could potentially run into the same problemp hr h2free marketsh2 pstrongnashvilles government betrays its reputation as a party city by attempting to shut down the hottest tub on wheels strongearlier this month the nashville government filed a lawsuit against the music city party tub and its owner guy williams for operating a public swimming pool without the requisite permits a hrefhttpswwwtennesseancomstorynewslocaldavidson20211007nashvillehottubonwheelslawsuit6026160001reportsa emtheem emtennesseanemp pwilliams has been operating his mobile hot tuba heated pool on a trailer thats pulled by a truck around city streetsthrough a shifting series of corporate entities since april 2019 the citys lawsuit contends that he lacks a necessary public pool permit from the health department and that the party tub itself requires multiple design updates to be street legalp pits asking that a judge temporarily shut down the party tub a preliminary injunction hearing was scheduled for last week but thus far there hasnt been any reporting on its outcomep pshould the party tub be shut down it would be a real loss for both unfettered free enterprise in all its gaudy glory and for any number of bachelorettes looking for one last ride before settling downp hr h2quick hitsh2 p apples latest iphone privacy features have obstructed its tech rivals ads from reaching users tripling the companys market sharep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrchart of the daya hrefhttpstwittercomappleref_srctwsrc5etfwappleas advertising business has more than tripled its market share in the six months after it introduced privacy changes to iphones that obstructed rivals including a hrefhttpstwittercomfacebookref_srctwsrc5etfwfacebooka and a hrefhttpstwittercomgoogleref_srctwsrc5etfwgooglea from targeting ads at consumers p pa thread a hrefhttpstcovhffxozhgapictwittercomvhffxozhgaap p patrick mcgee patrickmcgee_ a hrefhttpstwittercompatrickmcgee_status1449608262492459011ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 17 2021apblockquote pp p the emsan francisco chronicle emhas a a hrefhttpswwwsfchroniclecombayareaarticlemonicagandhiissfsmostcontroversial16538324phplong profilea on monica gandhi a san francisco doctor who has generated controversy for advocating a slightly more liberal harm reductionoriented approach to the pandemicp p china hawks are a hrefhttpstwittercomjerrydunleavystatus1449770792305242121foaming at the moutha after the country conducted a hypersonic missile test in low orbitp p biden has a hrefhttpswwwlatimescompoliticsstory20211018bidenleavescubainthedeepfreezemaintaineda limits on people sending remittances to cuba despite promises to lift those sanctionsp p new york city is looking to turn a massive public graveyard a hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsfeatures20211015nycsbiggestpublicgraveyardhartislandgetsremodelsrndpremiumsreffbjg1w9minto a public parka funp p democrats in congress are a hrefhttpswwwseattletimescomnationworldnationpoliticsdemocratsweighcarbontaxaftermanchinrejectskeyclimateprovisionconsideringa passing a carbon tax after sen joe manchin dwva rejected their clean energy plan for addressing climate changep p colombian a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnation20211018pabloescobarcolombianhippossterilizationofficialsa are sterilizing hippos smuggled into the country by drug kingpin pablo escobar the animals are reportedly an invasive speciesp p is it a a hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110151046555306wizardnewzealandchristchurchcitycouncilpartwayswitch hunta the new zealand city of christchurch has fired its municipal wizard of 23 years after he made a joke about beating womenp p former secretary of state colin powell a hrefhttpswwwcnncom20211018politicscolinpowelldiesindexhtmlutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwcnnutm_termlinkutm_content20211018t123a053a27has dieda at age 84 of complications from covid19 his family said on facebookp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201906borderwall21jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201906borderwall21jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201906borderwall21600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201906borderwall21331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201906borderwall21jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201906borderwall21jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201906borderwall21600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201906borderwall21331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altborder wall 2 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201906borderwall21800x450jpg height675 picture div pstrongimmigration activists president joe bidens increasing willingness play role deporter chief strongdozens stormed virtual meeting white house officials protest administrations revival migrant protection protocols mpp hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211016immigrationadvocateswalkoutbiden516122reportsa empoliticoemp pmpp known informally quotremain mexicoquot program started president donald trump required asylum seekers stay mexico waiting immigration court hearingsp pthe hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015bidenadministrationsettoreinstateremaininmexicopolicynextmonthprogram proved controversiala critics claimed violates immigrants rights domestic international law claim asylum soil required 70000 migrants wait court hearings tent cities dangerous mexican border towns biden administration ended program june federal judge response lawsuit brought missouri texas ordered reinstatedp pthe administrations compliance court order proved straw immigration activistsp pquoti stand meeting pretendingquot ariana saludares 40yearold advocate new mexicobased organization colores united attendee saturday meeting white house officials told empoliticoem quotthey accolades outside inside having metaphoric knives backquotp pthese activists expressed frustration bidens continuation trumps border policies measure called title 42 allows border patrol officials expel migrants grounds pose public health threat covid19p pthat policy resulted 1 million people expelled hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015bidenadministrationsettoreinstateremaininmexicopolicynextmonthas july 2021a biden administration recently hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsarticles20210924title42thelawremovinghaitiansfromusborderquicktakesreffbjg1w9mpublic health justificationa deport thousands haitian migrants usmexico border near del rio texasp pbiden hrefhttpswwwpriorgstories20210112whybidensdayonepromiseendremainmexicoprogrammaygounfilledpromiseda campaign trail hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210420uspoliticsbidenrefugeeshtmltakea softer humane approach immigration continuation past administrations draconian border policies left activists feeling betrayedp pquotits like bamboozled thinking going best optionquot said saludares quotit know family turning telling okay notquotp pat biden administration hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscompoliticsbidenadministrationstopsborderpatrolusinghorsesdelriofired horsesa rightp hr h2free mindsh2 pmaine cracking obscene license plates state middle making new rules prohibit words emfuckem emshitem obscenities unfit print appearing vanity platesp pthe state currently pausing applications vulgar plates eventually recall issued hrefhttpsapnewscomarticleodditiesbusinessmaineeb34f0bb19717f4bde2cabfe4c100c7creportsa associated pressp pquotrulemaking delay process active removal plates road help balance free speech rights citizens public interest removing inappropriate license platesquot said secretary state shenna bellowsp pcalifornias restrictions supposedly offensive vanity plates hrefhttpsreasoncom20201125offensivelicenseplatesarefreespeechcourttellscaliforniastruck downa amendment grounds late year maines new rules potentially run problemp hr h2free marketsh2 pstrongnashvilles government betrays reputation party city attempting shut hottest tub wheels strongearlier month nashville government filed lawsuit music city party tub owner guy williams operating public swimming pool requisite permits hrefhttpswwwtennesseancomstorynewslocaldavidson20211007nashvillehottubonwheelslawsuit6026160001reportsa emtheememtennesseanemp pwilliams operating mobile hot tuba heated pool trailer thats pulled truck city streetsthrough shifting series corporate entities april 2019 citys lawsuit contends lacks necessary public pool permit health department party tub requires multiple design updates street legalp pits asking judge temporarily shut party tub preliminary injunction hearing scheduled week far hasnt reporting outcomep pshould party tub shut real loss unfettered free enterprise gaudy glory number bachelorettes looking ride settling downp hr h2quick hitsh2 p apples latest iphone privacy features obstructed tech rivals ads reaching users tripling companys market sharep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrchart daya hrefhttpstwittercomappleref_srctwsrc5etfwappleas advertising business tripled market share months introduced privacy changes iphones obstructed rivals including hrefhttpstwittercomfacebookref_srctwsrc5etfwfacebooka hrefhttpstwittercomgoogleref_srctwsrc5etfwgooglea targeting ads consumers p pa thread hrefhttpstcovhffxozhgapictwittercomvhffxozhgaap p patrick mcgee patrickmcgee_ hrefhttpstwittercompatrickmcgee_status1449608262492459011ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 17 2021apblockquote pp ptheemsan francisco chronicleemhas hrefhttpswwwsfchroniclecombayareaarticlemonicagandhiissfsmostcontroversial16538324phplong profilea monica gandhi san francisco doctor generated controversy advocating slightly liberal harm reductionoriented approach pandemicp pchina hawks hrefhttpstwittercomjerrydunleavystatus1449770792305242121foaming moutha country conducted hypersonic missile test low orbitp pbiden hrefhttpswwwlatimescompoliticsstory20211018bidenleavescubainthedeepfreezemaintaineda limits people sending remittances cuba despite promises lift sanctionsp pnew york city looking turn massive public graveyard hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsfeatures20211015nycsbiggestpublicgraveyardhartislandgetsremodelsrndpremiumsreffbjg1w9minto public parka funp pdemocrats congress hrefhttpswwwseattletimescomnationworldnationpoliticsdemocratsweighcarbontaxaftermanchinrejectskeyclimateprovisionconsideringa passing carbon tax sen joe manchin dwva rejected clean energy plan addressing climate changep p colombian hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnation20211018pabloescobarcolombianhippossterilizationofficialsa sterilizing hippos smuggled country drug kingpin pablo escobar animals reportedly invasive speciesp pis hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110151046555306wizardnewzealandchristchurchcitycouncilpartwayswitch hunta new zealand city christchurch fired municipal wizard 23 years joke beating womenp pformer secretary state colin powell hrefhttpswwwcnncom20211018politicscolinpowelldiesindexhtmlutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwcnnutm_termlinkutm_content20211018t123a053a27has dieda age 84 complications covid19 family said facebookp

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Steven Pinker: Rationality Saves Lives

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpinker srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanin his bestselling books spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143122010reasonmagazinea20ispanthe better angels of our naturespaniaspan and spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0525427570reasonmagazinea20ispanenlightenment nowspaniaspan the harvard linguist steven pinker made the surprisingly controversial case that humanity has been getting richer and less violent over the past two centuriesspanp pspanin spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasinb08wk3jnltreasonmagazinea20ispanrationality what it is why it seems scarce and why it mattersspaniaspan he argues that our ability to reason and think critically is central to human flourishing and undergirds our phenomenal material and moral progress since the enlightenment spanspanpinker explains how cognitive defects such as the sunkcost fallacy and myside bias cloud our thinking and contribute to intensely polarized tribalistic worldviews resulting in such phenomena as qanon and what he calls quotuniversities suffocating leftwing monoculturequot spanp pspannot afraid to shy away from controversy pinker insists that public policy should be largely driven by facts not emotion even in heartwrenching cases such as the police killing of george floyd he tells emreasonems nick gillespie that if the goal is to save the largest number of lives including black lives then basing policy on quotspanspana viral video is probably not the way to goquot a more effective approach he argues quotis to look at how many people are killed by police and compare it to how many people are killed from gang warfare and street crime ispanspanf you hobbled the police you might actually increase the number of people of all races who were killed which is in fact exactly what happenedquotspanp pspanemreasonem talked with pinker about emrationalityem social progress and why despite the negativity fear and anger in the world hes optimistic about the futurespanp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpinker srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanin bestselling books spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143122010reasonmagazinea20ispanthe better angels naturespaniaspan spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0525427570reasonmagazinea20ispanenlightenment nowspaniaspan harvard linguist steven pinker surprisingly controversial case humanity getting richer violent past centuriesspanp pspanin spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasinb08wk3jnltreasonmagazinea20ispanrationality scarce mattersspaniaspan argues ability reason think critically central human flourishing undergirds phenomenal material moral progress enlightenment spanspanpinker explains cognitive defects sunkcost fallacy myside bias cloud thinking contribute intensely polarized tribalistic worldviews resulting phenomena qanon calls quotuniversities suffocating leftwing monoculturequot spanp pspannot afraid shy away controversy pinker insists public policy largely driven facts emotion heartwrenching cases police killing george floyd tells emreasonems nick gillespie goal save largest number lives including black lives basing policy quotspanspana viral video probably way goquot effective approach argues quotis look people killed police compare people killed gang warfare street crime ispanspanf hobbled police actually increase number people races killed fact exactly happenedquotspanp pspanemreasonem talked pinker emrationalityem social progress despite negativity fear anger world hes optimistic futurespanp

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Trump's Tariffs Didn't Work. Biden's Won't Work Either.

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110iosphotos2546512400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110iosphotos2546511200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110iosphotos254651600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110iosphotos254651331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110iosphotos2546512400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110iosphotos2546511200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110iosphotos254651600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110iosphotos254651331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altiosphotos254651 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpg height675 picture div pthe united states is known as the land of the free but it has become a place where the government decides whom we are allowed to buy from and sell to for instance when denied the freedom to trade without paying an expensive import tax many americans will find themselves begging our trade overlords for an exemption this is i believe a fair description of the biden administrations decision to not only maintain ineffective import taxesalso called tariffsbut to reup the listless exemption processp pafter a monthslong review by her agency united states trade representative katherine tai recently announced that the tariffs imposed by the trump administration in order to make the chinese government change its ways have failed yet the administrations prescription seems to be more of the samep pits a shame by staying with the tariffs the administration continues to signal a belief that when it comes to trade uncle sam always knows best while tariffs are pitched to the public as a way to help domestic workers or boost us competitiveness they always penalize domestic consumers through fewer choices and higher prices many of these consumers are themselves domestic producers trying to secure the goods they need to make and sell fundamentally american productsp pover at the cato institute scott lincicome summarized the point well quotthe tariffs that the trump administration imposed on chinese imports harmed us consumers and manufacturers deterred investment mainly due to uncertainty lowered us gdp growth and hurt us exporters especially farmers but also us manufacturers that used chinese inputsquotp pmeanwhile the tariffs arent achieving former president donald trumps goal to pressure china to give up its central planning the truth is that the reliance on tariffsinstead of on a real trade agreements traditional compliance incentivesset it up to fail as lincicome explains quotbecause the agreement is so onesided chinathe party making all of the concessionshas very little incentive to comply in order to maintain its agreement benefits there are none or encourage us compliance theres nothing for the us to comply withquotp phe adds that quotcurrent us policy actually appears to have pushed china to emdouble downem on selfsufficiency distortive industrial policy and nationalism more generallyquotp pas for the hope that the tariffs would force multinational companies in china to settle back in the united states this has failed too reporting on a new paper published by researchers at the university of kansas and the university of california irvine emreasonem magazines eric boehm wrote thisp blockquotepquotroughly 11 percent of multinational companies exited china in 2019 the first full year in which tariffs were in placea significant increase from previous years but the overall number of multinational firms operating in china actually increased during that same year as foreign investment continued to flow into china even as the trade war ratcheted up costsquotpblockquote pto the extent that firms left china it apparently had less to do with the tariffs than with the uncertainty created by the trade war between an erratic president and the chinese authoritarian governmentp pyet our policy is to continue doing what hasnt worked before tai president joe biden and our trade overlords may hope that we will all swallow this bitter pill because they are allowing american producers to come and plead their cases it will be little comfort to those who received no mercy during the trump administrationp pindeed data from a september 2021 congressional research service report reveal that only a small percentage of applicants were granted exemptions the process was and i assume will continue to be skewed toward special interests it was also arbitrary costly and time consuming as the government accountability office has documentedp pwhen faced with this evidence most people would back away from using tariffsbut not politicians and trade bureaucrats its not just pursuit of a failing policy its also doubling down on the idea that american producers must beg for the freedom to continue trading and doing what is best for their businesses and employeesp pare we in the land of the free or the land of the permissionslip petitionersp pstrongcopyright 2021 a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpcreatorscom datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpcreatorscomampsourcegmailampust1634271572362000ampusgafqjcnfzy0yapykjztqhispxw_ffrcyrdq target_blankcreatorscomastrongp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110iosphotos2546512400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110iosphotos2546511200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110iosphotos254651600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110iosphotos254651331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110iosphotos2546512400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110iosphotos2546511200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110iosphotos254651600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110iosphotos254651331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altiosphotos254651 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110iosphotos254651800x450jpg height675 picture div pthe united states known land free place government decides allowed buy sell instance denied freedom trade paying expensive import tax americans find begging trade overlords exemption believe fair description biden administrations decision maintain ineffective import taxesalso called tariffsbut reup listless exemption processp pafter monthslong review agency united states trade representative katherine tai recently announced tariffs imposed trump administration order chinese government change ways failed administrations prescription samep pits shame staying tariffs administration continues signal belief comes trade uncle sam knows best tariffs pitched public way help domestic workers boost competitiveness penalize domestic consumers fewer choices higher prices consumers domestic producers trying secure goods need sell fundamentally american productsp pover cato institute scott lincicome summarized point quotthe tariffs trump administration imposed chinese imports harmed consumers manufacturers deterred investment mainly uncertainty lowered gdp growth hurt exporters especially farmers manufacturers chinese inputsquotp pmeanwhile tariffs arent achieving president donald trumps goal pressure china central planning truth reliance tariffsinstead real trade agreements traditional compliance incentivesset fail lincicome explains quotbecause agreement onesided chinathe party making concessionshas little incentive comply order maintain agreement benefits encourage compliance theres comply withquotp phe adds quotcurrent policy actually appears pushed china emdouble downem selfsufficiency distortive industrial policy nationalism generallyquotp pas hope tariffs force multinational companies china settle united states failed reporting new paper published researchers university kansas university california irvine emreasonem magazines eric boehm wrote thisp blockquotepquotroughly 11 percent multinational companies exited china 2019 year tariffs placea significant increase previous years overall number multinational firms operating china actually increased year foreign investment continued flow china trade war ratcheted costsquotpblockquote pto extent firms left china apparently tariffs uncertainty created trade war erratic president chinese authoritarian governmentp pyet policy continue hasnt worked tai president joe biden trade overlords hope swallow bitter pill allowing american producers come plead cases little comfort received mercy trump administrationp pindeed data september 2021 congressional research service report reveal small percentage applicants granted exemptions process assume continue skewed special interests arbitrary costly time consuming government accountability office documentedp pwhen faced evidence people away tariffsbut politicians trade bureaucrats pursuit failing policy doubling idea american producers beg freedom continue trading best businesses employeesp pare land free land permissionslip petitionersp pstrongcopyright 2021a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpcreatorscom datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpcreatorscomampsourcegmailampust1634271572362000ampusgafqjcnfzy0yapykjztqhispxw_ffrcyrdq target_blankcreatorscomastrongp

616f811576c974083ed84182

Steven Pinker: Rationality Has Made Us Richer, Kinder, and More Free

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker_editedjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker_edited1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker_edited600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker_edited331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker_editedjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker_edited1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker_edited600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker_edited331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpinker_edited srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanin the controversial yet bestselling books spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143122010reasonmagazinea20ispanthe better angels of our naturespaniaspan and spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143111388reasonmagazinea20ispanenlightenment nowspaniaspan harvard linguist steven pinker made the case that humanity has been getting richer and less violent over the past two centuriesspanp pspanin his new book spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasinb08wk3jnltreasonmagazinea20ispanrationality what it is why it seems scarce why it mattersspaniaspan he argues that our ability to reason and think critically is central to human flourishing and undergirds our phenomenal material and moral progress since the enlightenment pinker lays out the basic cognitive biases that cloud our thinking and give rise to intensely polarized and tribalistic worldviews that threaten continued advances and he tells emreasonems nick gillespie how all of us can become better sharper thinkers in all aspects of our livesspanp pemphoto a hrefhttpscommonswikimediaorgwikifilesteven_pinkerjpgandrew westa ema hrefhttpscreativecommonsorglicensesbysa40deedenemcc by sa 40emap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker_editedjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker_edited1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker_edited600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker_edited331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110pinker_editedjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110pinker_edited1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110pinker_edited600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110pinker_edited331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpinker_edited srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110pinker_edited800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanin controversial bestselling books spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143122010reasonmagazinea20ispanthe better angels naturespaniaspan spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin0143111388reasonmagazinea20ispanenlightenment nowspaniaspan harvard linguist steven pinker case humanity getting richer violent past centuriesspanp pspanin new book spana hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasinb08wk3jnltreasonmagazinea20ispanrationality scarce mattersspaniaspan argues ability reason think critically central human flourishing undergirds phenomenal material moral progress enlightenment pinker lays basic cognitive biases cloud thinking rise intensely polarized tribalistic worldviews threaten continued advances tells emreasonems nick gillespie better sharper thinkers aspects livesspanp pemphoto hrefhttpscommonswikimediaorgwikifilesteven_pinkerjpgandrew westa ema hrefhttpscreativecommonsorglicensesbysa40deedenemcc sa 40emap

616f819476c974083ed84186

This Year's Nobel Prize in Economics Is a Victory for Objectivity and Rigor

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410472400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410471200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410472400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410471200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altnobel2021xnaphotostwo441047 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpeg height675 picture div pspanthis week the nobel prize in economics went to spanspandavid card joshua angrist and guido imbensspanspan a trio of scholars whose work helped spark what has been called the quotcredibility revolutionquot not only is it a richly deserved award for a trio of innovative economists who helped improve the quality of social science findings but it is also a sort of quiet rebuff to those on the left who oppose values like quotrigorquot and quotobjectivityquot in datagathering entirely spanp pspanthe credibility revolution was just what it sounds like it made economics more credible through the development of novel analytical methods that were both statistically sound and importantly easy to understand and explain spanp pspanangrist coined the phrase spana hrefhttpspubsaeaweborgdoipdfplus101257jep2423spanin a 2010 paperspanaspan with jrnsteffen pischke that paper which was framed against previous work by ucla economics professor edward leamer argued that the revolution was a response to a gnawing sense that empirical work in economics had long suffered from a quotdistressing lack of robustness to changes in key assumptionsquot the credibility revolution which began in the 1990s was about finding ways to better use data and perform experiments that would produce better results as angrist and pischke wrote quotthe primary force driving the credibility revolution has been a vigorous push for better and more clearly articulated research designsquotspanp pspanin particular they helped advance the use of empirical studies of realworld events that served as natural experiments in which investigators test the effect of an experimental variable by using a realworld control natural experiments of course can be difficult to interpret this groups work helped economists understand how and when natural experiments can reveal causality spanp pspanover the last several decades their innovative research designs and other methods derived from them have made it possible for economists to productively study events that would otherwise be difficult or impossible to study via the randomized controlled experiments that are considered the gold standard in economic research spanp pspanso they didnt just discover some new interesting information they developed widely applicable methods that made it possible for us to better study and better understand our world in many cases these techniques have replaced older methods that relied primarily on models and statistical analysis that had little or no connection to realworld events spanp pspanits not that all the findings produced this way are necessarily beyond debate among the most famous of cards experiments was a study looking at how a minimum wage increase affected fast food employment that study has been hotly debated for decades  yet as alex tabarrok spana hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmlspanwritesspanaspan at emmarginal revolutionem it was simply a better experimental design than much of what had preceded it another influential spana hrefhttpsdavidcardberkeleyedupapersmarielimpactpdfspanstudyspanaspan by card found that even an unusually large influx of immigrant labor into miami did not negatively impact wages or employment amongst the citys lesseducated residents this one too has been debated in both cases cards insight was to use a natural experimentto find data in the real worldand then try to find ways that data could shed light on important public policy questions spanp pspanthe award then was less about any specific result or conclusion the economists had achieved and more about their contributions to economic methodologyspanp pspanits been spana hrefhttpstwittercompaulkrugmanstatus1447555249129000963s20spansuggestedspanaspan that this years award is a victory for the left because findings derived from this sort of research have tended to complicate conservative economic assumptions but i think you can also understand this particular award with its emphasis on methodological innovationon producing better research that does a more convincing job of proving what it is we think we knowalso serves as an implicit rebuke to a certain form of leftist thinking thats been percolating through various organizations and institutionsspanp pspanthese economists made their field more credible by making it more spanispanrigorousspanispan in the sense that they provided better measurement tools and more spanispanobjectivespanispan in the sense that the results were less dependent on the biases and assumptions of the investigators spanspanthese are good things indeed they are spanispansuch obviously good thingsspanispan that it is almost strange to remark upon them at all yet the seemingly obvious proposition that social science should strive whenever possible to be more objective and rigorous is now under attacknot only from fringe segments of the left but from within institutions nominally devoted to sound social sciencespanp pspanthe urban institute an influential and highly regarded think tank recently spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgurbanwireequitableresearchrequiresquestioningstatusquospanpublished a blog postspanaspan from a staff policy analyst titled quotspanspanequitable research requires questioning the status quoquot spanspanin which quotrigorquot and quotobjectivityquot were listed without meaningful caveat or qualification as quotharmful research practicesquot spanp pspanthe post raised some eyebrows and now contains an editorial note at the top saying that blog posts quotspanspanrepresent individual authors views and not urban policyquot plus a spanspanlink to a spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgstatementsarahrosenwartellpresidenturbaninstitute0spanstatementspanaspan by the institutes president that says quotspanspanas an organization the urban institute continuously strives to conduct spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgaboutuswhyurbanwhatwevaluespanrigorous objective researchspanaspan to improve lives and communities that rigor is a hallmark of what we doquot the original post however is still up and even if it doesnt represent an institutional position its telling that a staff policy analyst would openly condemn such attributes on an institutional forum spanp pspannor is this an isolated case as spanispanreasonspanispan contributor jesse singal spana hrefhttpsjessesingalsubstackcompliberalorganizationsshouldnotspanrecently noted in his substack emsingalmindedem on the urban institute kerfufflespanaspan and related incidents spanspanexplicit denunciations of objectivity and rigor have become depressingly common in certain liberal circles and are especially common in the realm of education policy inevitably these denunciations are tied up with weaponized spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20200130nyschoolschiefrichardcarranzacantquitcallingparentsracistspanbadfaith charges of racismspanaspan as in a notorious diversity and inclusion training slide given to new york city public school administrators saying that quotobjectivityquot and quotworship of the written wordquot were all spana hrefhttpsnypostcom20190520richardcarranzahelddoewhitesupremacyculturetrainingspantraits of white supremacy culturespanaspanspanp pspanmuch of this strain of thinking can be traced back to the work of diversity consultant tema okun for a more indepth look at the widespread influence and serious problems with okuns work you should read matthew yglesias bluntly titled emslow boringem substack post quotspana hrefhttpswwwslowboringcomptemaokunspantema okuns white supremacy culture work is badspanaspanquot spanp pspanthe gist however is that she views virtually any sign of logical ordered thinking as a symptom of white supremacy naturally she provides essentially no real evidence or substantive argument to back up her views which is probably not all that surprising from someone who appears to think that robust evidentiary standards are bad meanwhile her books and articles have been shared widely amongst leftleaning nonprofits and political outfits some of those have been groups with softer more activistoriented missions as the urban institute post shows its been creeping into nominally empirical research organizations as well spanp pspanits not that no one on the left believes in objectivity and rigor and sound social science or that those ideas have completely fallen by the wayside but critics of those qualities view them as quotharmfulquot and in opposition to the lefts political goals even in leftleaning spaces where you would expect those qualities to be assumed to be beneficial they are now up for debate in certain quarters of the left rigor and objectivitythe qualities that give research spanispancredibilityspanispanare no longer seen as obviously good spanp pthose qualities however are what this years nobel prize is all about so not only is this years economics nobel an spanaward for a group of economists whose innovations have had an immense impact on the field but it is also a defense of a set of values that should guide all social science research spanp pspanone might think that these values need no defense that they speak for themselvesand yet its clearer than ever that they are under attack and that they must be explicitly defended and so with its award the nobel committee has quietly taken a side in an intraleft argument it is the right onespanp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410472400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410471200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410472400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo4410471200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altnobel2021xnaphotostwo441047 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110nobel2021xnaphotostwo441047800x450jpeg height675 picture div pspanthis week nobel prize economics went spanspandavid card joshua angrist guido imbensspanspan trio scholars work helped spark called quotcredibility revolutionquot richly deserved award trio innovative economists helped improve quality social science findings sort quiet rebuff left oppose values like quotrigorquot quotobjectivityquot datagathering entirelyspanp pspanthe credibility revolution sounds like economics credible development novel analytical methods statistically sound importantly easy understand explainspanp pspanangrist coined phrase spana hrefhttpspubsaeaweborgdoipdfplus101257jep2423spanin 2010 paperspanaspan jrnsteffen pischke paper framed previous work ucla economics professor edward leamer argued revolution response gnawing sense empirical work economics long suffered quotdistressing lack robustness changes key assumptionsquot credibility revolution began 1990s finding ways better use data perform experiments produce better results angrist pischke wrote quotthe primary force driving credibility revolution vigorous push better clearly articulated research designsquotspanp pspanin particular helped advance use empirical studies realworld events served natural experiments investigators test effect experimental variable realworld control natural experiments course difficult interpret groups work helped economists understand natural experiments reveal causalityspanp pspanover decades innovative research designs methods derived possible economists productively study events difficult impossible study randomized controlled experiments considered gold standard economic researchspanp pspanso didnt discover new interesting information developed widely applicable methods possible better study better understand world cases techniques replaced older methods relied primarily models statistical analysis little connection realworld eventsspanp pspanits findings produced way necessarily debate famous cards experiments study looking minimum wage increase affected fast food employment study hotly debated decades alex tabarrok spana hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmlspanwritesspanaspan emmarginal revolutionem simply better experimental design preceded influential spana hrefhttpsdavidcardberkeleyedupapersmarielimpactpdfspanstudyspanaspan card found unusually large influx immigrant labor miami negatively impact wages employment citys lesseducated residents debated cases cards insight use natural experimentto find data real worldand try find ways data shed light important public policy questionsspanp pspanthe award specific result conclusion economists achieved contributions economic methodologyspanp pspanits spana hrefhttpstwittercompaulkrugmanstatus1447555249129000963s20spansuggestedspanaspan years award victory left findings derived sort research tended complicate conservative economic assumptions think understand particular award emphasis methodological innovationon producing better research convincing job proving think knowalso serves implicit rebuke certain form leftist thinking thats percolating organizations institutionsspanp pspanthese economists field credible making spanispanrigorousspanispan sense provided better measurement tools spanispanobjectivespanispan sense results dependent biases assumptions investigatorsspanspanthese good things spanispansuch obviously good thingsspanispan strange remark seemingly obvious proposition social science strive possible objective rigorous attacknot fringe segments left institutions nominally devoted sound social sciencespanp pspanthe urban institute influential highly regarded think tank recently spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgurbanwireequitableresearchrequiresquestioningstatusquospanpublished blog postspanaspan staff policy analyst titled quotspanspanequitable research requires questioning status quoquot spanspanin quotrigorquot quotobjectivityquot listed meaningful caveat qualification quotharmful research practicesquotspanp pspanthe post raised eyebrows contains editorial note saying blog posts quotspanspanrepresent individual authors views urban policyquot plus spanspanlink spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgstatementsarahrosenwartellpresidenturbaninstitute0spanstatementspanaspan institutes president says quotspanspanas organization urban institute continuously strives conduct spana hrefhttpswwwurbanorgaboutuswhyurbanwhatwevaluespanrigorous objective researchspanaspan improve lives communities rigor hallmark doquot original post doesnt represent institutional position telling staff policy analyst openly condemn attributes institutional forumspanp pspannor isolated case spanispanreasonspanispan contributor jesse singal spana hrefhttpsjessesingalsubstackcompliberalorganizationsshouldnotspanrecently noted substackemsingalmindedem urban institute kerfufflespanaspan related incidents spanspanexplicit denunciations objectivity rigor depressingly common certain liberal circles especially common realm education policy inevitably denunciations tied weaponized spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20200130nyschoolschiefrichardcarranzacantquitcallingparentsracistspanbadfaith charges racismspanaspan notorious diversity inclusion training slide given new york city public school administrators saying quotobjectivityquot quotworship written wordquot spana hrefhttpsnypostcom20190520richardcarranzahelddoewhitesupremacyculturetrainingspantraits white supremacy culturespanaspanspanp pspanmuch strain thinking traced work diversity consultant tema okun indepth look widespread influence problems okuns work read matthew yglesias bluntly titledemslow boringem substack post quotspana hrefhttpswwwslowboringcomptemaokunspantema okuns white supremacy culture work badspanaspanquot spanp pspanthe gist views virtually sign logical ordered thinking symptom white supremacy naturally provides essentially real evidence substantive argument views probably surprising appears think robust evidentiary standards bad books articles shared widely leftleaning nonprofits political outfits groups softer activistoriented missions urban institute post shows creeping nominally empirical research organizations wellspanp pspanits left believes objectivity rigor sound social science ideas completely fallen wayside critics qualities view quotharmfulquot opposition lefts political goals leftleaning spaces expect qualities assumed beneficial debate certain quarters left rigor objectivitythe qualities research spanispancredibilityspanispanare longer seen obviously goodspanp pthose qualities years nobel prize years economics nobel spanaward group economists innovations immense impact field defense set values guide social science researchspanp pspanone think values need defense speak themselvesand clearer attack explicitly defended award nobel committee quietly taken intraleft argument right onespanp

616f81a276c974083ed84188

Congress Raised the Debt Ceiling Again Without Doing Anything To Fix the $28 Trillion National Debt

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381302400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381301200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381302400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381301200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altdreamstime_xl_11518301 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpg height675 picture div pstrongthe house of representatives voted tuesday evening to lift the debt ceiling by 480 billion temporarily postponing a possible default until early december strongthe bill which had passed the senate last week heads to president joe bidens desk a few days before the october 18 deadline that treasury department officials had set for a possible defaultp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltr219206 house approves rule along party lines that deems as passed the bill to raise the debt ceiling by 480 billion until early december biden will sign it soon fixes tally from previous tweetp p manu raju mkraju a hrefhttpstwittercommkrajustatus1448068261149646857ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp pbut the shortterm measure doesnt really resolve anything it merely buys some time for congress to reach an agreement on a more significant move on the a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210927uspoliticsusdebtceilinghtmldebt ceilinga potentially as part of the 35 trillion reconciliation bill that a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210930joemanchinisforcingcongresstothinkaboutthedeficitgooddemocrats are trying to push through the senateap pto bring the shortterm debt ceiling increase to the senate floor last week republicans dropped their monthslong threat of blocking the legislature in a hrefhttpswwwrepublicanleadersenategovimomediadocbiden20letter201082021pdfa lettera to the white house last week however senate minority leader mitch mcconnell rky warned that the gop would not do so again quoti will not be a party to any future effort to mitigate the consequences of democratic mismanagementquot mcconnell wrote quotyour lieutenants on capitol hill now have the time they claimed they lacked to address the debt ceiling through standalone reconciliation and all the tools to do it they cannot invent another crisis and ask for my helpquotp pmcconnell is right that democratic brinkmanship on the debt ceilingwhich could have been raised even without republican supportwas unnecessary and counterproductive but republicans were more than happy to raise the debt ceiling on several occasions while president donald trump was in the white house more importantly republicans were happy to approve budgets that relied heavily on borrowing a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200131trumphasfullyembracedtheideathatdeficitsdontmatterduring the trump yearsa raising the debt ceiling now is necessary to allow the treasury to borrow money for that alreadyapproved spendingp pthats a detail often lost in debates over the debt ceilingand one that is sometimes willfully misplaced rep marjorie taylor greene rga for example a hrefhttpstwittercomrepmtgstatus1448013422600335363claimeda that tuesdays vote on the debt ceiling was to quotpay forquot the 35 trillion reconciliation billp pin some important ways fretting about the debt limit is a lot like worrying about the status of the proverbial barn door after the metaphorical cow is already loose except in this case the metaphorical cow is a lot of very real money thats been borrowed by congress the way to avoid fights over the debt limit is to shut the doorthat is to stop deficit spendingbefore the cow gets away once it does you can point fingers and assign blame if you want but youve ultimately got to get in the truck and go find the cow a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210926opinionrepublicanmcconnelldebtceilingbidenhtmlyouve got to raise the debt limitap pand then you emreally emshould remember to shut the door next timep pa decade ago it looked like congress mightve learned that lesson fights over the debt ceiling helped to usher in the closest thing america has had to a serious conversation about the trajectory of the federal debt in a long time those conversations led to temporary spending caps and the 2013 sequestrationp pthose a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200827nodonaldtrumpdidnotshrinkgovernmentspending caps died harda during the trump years and the covid19 pandemic a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200414budgetdeficitnowexpectedtonear4trillionthisyearstretched federal borrowing to new highsa so now were back to having fights about the debt ceiling because lawmakers and presidents a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210508theeraofsmallgovernmentisoverkeep agreeing to borrow more moneya in a bipartisan fashion this debt limit increase doesnt belong to one side of the aisle or the other it belongs to everyone in washington who has spent the past few decades spending spending and spending some more with little regard for how to pay for itp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrquick recap of the debt ceiling fight a hrefhttpstcosxysccqlzipictwittercomsxysccqlziap p connor obrien connorobriennh a hrefhttpstwittercomconnorobriennhstatus1448074110807035906ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2free mindsh2 pbwhen lawmakers talk about quotreformingquot section 230 which protects free speech on the internet theyre really talking about a hrefhttpswwwtechdirtcomarticles2021100411400447697whysection230reformeffectivelymeanssection230repealshtmlrepealing itabp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrlots of talk from some corners about quotreformingquot section 230 rather than quotrepealingquot it a hrefhttpstwittercomcathygellisref_srctwsrc5etfwcathygellisa explains why basically all plans to reform it are effectively repeal a hrefhttpstco0okm8pogsohttpstco0okm8pogsoap p mike masnick mmasnick a hrefhttpstwittercommmasnickstatus1448012394425323521ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2free marketsh2 pstrongthe food and drug administration fda for the first time authorized the marketing of a vaping product on the grounds that it can help smokers quit strongp pa hrefhttpswwwfdagovnewseventspressannouncementsfdapermitsmarketingecigaretteproductsmarkingfirstauthorizationitskindagencythe fda saida that the vuse solo ecigarette produces aerosols that quotare significantly less toxic than combusted cigarettes based on available dataquot and that quotthe potential benefit to smokers who switch completely or significantly reduce their cigarette use would outweigh the risk to youthquotp pin other words the fda confirmed a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210922bureaucratsandpoliticiansseemdeterminedtocripplealifesavingalternativetosmokingexactly what vaping advocates have been saying for emyearsema but did it only after issuing a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210915ifthefdadoesntkillthevapingindustrythedemocratstaxhikejustmightsweeping new regulationsa that a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210912sincethefdahasnotapprovedanyvapingproductsallofthemarenowsubjecttoenforcementactioneffectively crusheda large swaths of the ecigarette marketp pnow while literally millions of other products await the fdas official and slowmoving stamp of approval the agency has awarded a huge market privilege to vuse solo by making it for now the only ecigarette product that can be marketed legally its probably a total coincidence that vuse is manufactured by rj reynolds one of the biggest tobacco companies on the planetp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrwell looks like there will be at least 1 ecigarette legally authorized for sale in the united states the independent market has been wiped out but r j reynolds gets to keep selling so the law is working as intended by big tobacco companies a hrefhttpstco6fbppwbou4httpstco6fbppwbou4ap p jacob grier jacobgrier a hrefhttpstwittercomjacobgrierstatus1448002703695564800ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2covid19 updateh2 pstrongvaccinated passportholding individuals will once again be allowed to cross the canadian and mexican land borders into the united states starting in novemberstrong emthe new york times ema hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211012uspoliticsuscanadamexicobordersopenhtmlreportsap blockquote pthe lifting of the 19month ban at the land borders will not only reconnect the united states to its neighbors but is one of the last steps to opening the countrys borders to vaccinated travelers throughout the world after more than a year of cutting off the country from international tourism the administration has now turned the country into a welcome destination for the vaccinated while making clear that all foreigners who choose to not get a shot will face stringent restrictions to enter the united statesp punvaccinated travelers will continue to be barred from crossing the borders with mexico or canadap blockquote plifting the travel restrictions is a welcomeif long overduesignal that pandemic restrictions are winding down even if a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlevirusoutbreakpandemicspublichealthnewyorkhealth4ef0c6c5263815a26f8aa17f6ea490aeshutting the bordera a hrefhttpstheinterceptcom20200305coronavirustrumpclosingbordersnever did mucha to stop covid19s spread in the first place and a hrefhttpsforeignpolicycom20210913travelbansborderrestrictionsbidencovidpandemicmade even less sensea once vaccines were readily availablep hr h2quick hitsh2 p data released wednesday morning show a hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20211013theconsumerpriceindexrose5point4percentyearoveryearinseptembervs5point3percentestimatehtmlthe consumer price index rose 54 percenta in the past year the largest yearoveryear increase in inflation since 1991p p a rare moment of brutal honesty from the white housep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrreuters quotthere will be things that people cant getquot at christmas white house saysp p josh caplan joshdcaplan a hrefhttpstwittercomjoshdcaplanstatus1447993677561929735ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp p it will take britain more than a decade to get new nuclear power plants onlinep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrfun fact the us decided to build quotthe worlds first fullscale atomic electric power plant devoted exclusively to peacetime usesquot in 1953 and it went live in 1957p pthat is it took less time to invent nuclear power stations in the 50s than it takes to replicate them today a hrefhttpstcotvgtwh5ibyhttpstcotvgtwh5ibyap p patrick collison patrickc a hrefhttpstwittercompatrickcstatus1447997002986389504ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp p federal tax receipts a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211012taxrevenuesurgepandemic515792jumped by 18 percenta in the fiscal year that ended last month the biggest oneyear increase since 1977 this is your periodic reminder that the federal government doesnt have a revenue problem it has a spending problemp p when a missing teen a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorythemissingteenwhofueledcultpanicoverdungeonsanddragonssparked a moral panica about emdungeons amp dragonsemp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381302400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381301200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381302400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede16341283381301200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altdreamstime_xl_11518301 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110dreamstime_xl_11518301scalede1634128338130800x450jpg height675 picture div pstrongthe house representatives voted tuesday evening lift debt ceiling 480 billion temporarily postponing possible default early december strongthe bill passed senate week heads president joe bidens desk days october 18 deadline treasury department officials set possible defaultp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltr219206 house approves rule party lines deems passed bill raise debt ceiling 480 billion early december biden sign soon fixes tally previous tweetp p manu raju mkraju hrefhttpstwittercommkrajustatus1448068261149646857ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp pbut shortterm measure doesnt resolve merely buys time congress reach agreement significant hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210927uspoliticsusdebtceilinghtmldebt ceilinga potentially 35 trillion reconciliation bill hrefhttpsreasoncom20210930joemanchinisforcingcongresstothinkaboutthedeficitgooddemocrats trying push senateap pto bring shortterm debt ceiling increase senate floor week republicans dropped monthslong threat blocking legislature hrefhttpswwwrepublicanleadersenategovimomediadocbiden20letter201082021pdfa lettera white house week senate minority leader mitch mcconnell rky warned gop quoti party future effort mitigate consequences democratic mismanagementquot mcconnell wrote quotyour lieutenants capitol hill time claimed lacked address debt ceiling standalone reconciliation tools invent crisis ask helpquotp pmcconnell right democratic brinkmanship debt ceilingwhich raised republican supportwas unnecessary counterproductive republicans happy raise debt ceiling occasions president donald trump white house importantly republicans happy approve budgets relied heavily borrowing hrefhttpsreasoncom20200131trumphasfullyembracedtheideathatdeficitsdontmatterduring trump yearsa raising debt ceiling necessary allow treasury borrow money alreadyapproved spendingp pthats detail lost debates debt ceilingand willfully misplaced rep marjorie taylor greene rga example hrefhttpstwittercomrepmtgstatus1448013422600335363claimeda tuesdays vote debt ceiling quotpay forquot 35 trillion reconciliation billp pin important ways fretting debt limit lot like worrying status proverbial barn door metaphorical cow loose case metaphorical cow lot real money thats borrowed congress way avoid fights debt limit shut doorthat stop deficit spendingbefore cow gets away point fingers assign blame want youve ultimately got truck find cow hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210926opinionrepublicanmcconnelldebtceilingbidenhtmlyouve got raise debt limitap pand youemreallyemshould remember shut door timep pa decade ago looked like congress mightve learned lesson fights debt ceiling helped usher closest thing america conversation trajectory federal debt long time conversations led temporary spending caps 2013 sequestrationp pthose hrefhttpsreasoncom20200827nodonaldtrumpdidnotshrinkgovernmentspending caps died harda trump years covid19 pandemic hrefhttpsreasoncom20200414budgetdeficitnowexpectedtonear4trillionthisyearstretched federal borrowing new highsa having fights debt ceiling lawmakers presidents hrefhttpsreasoncom20210508theeraofsmallgovernmentisoverkeep agreeing borrow moneya bipartisan fashion debt limit increase doesnt belong aisle belongs washington spent past decades spending spending spending little regard pay itp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrquick recap debt ceiling fight hrefhttpstcosxysccqlzipictwittercomsxysccqlziap p connor obrien connorobriennh hrefhttpstwittercomconnorobriennhstatus1448074110807035906ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2free mindsh2 pbwhen lawmakers talk quotreformingquot section 230 protects free speech internet theyre talking hrefhttpswwwtechdirtcomarticles2021100411400447697whysection230reformeffectivelymeanssection230repealshtmlrepealing itabp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrlots talk corners quotreformingquot section 230 quotrepealingquot hrefhttpstwittercomcathygellisref_srctwsrc5etfwcathygellisa explains basically plans reform effectively repeal hrefhttpstco0okm8pogsohttpstco0okm8pogsoap p mike masnick mmasnick hrefhttpstwittercommmasnickstatus1448012394425323521ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2free marketsh2 pstrongthe food drug administration fda time authorized marketing vaping product grounds help smokers quitstrongp pa hrefhttpswwwfdagovnewseventspressannouncementsfdapermitsmarketingecigaretteproductsmarkingfirstauthorizationitskindagencythe fda saida vuse solo ecigarette produces aerosols quotare significantly toxic combusted cigarettes based available dataquot quotthe potential benefit smokers switch completely significantly reduce cigarette use outweigh risk youthquotp pin words fda confirmed hrefhttpsreasoncom20210922bureaucratsandpoliticiansseemdeterminedtocripplealifesavingalternativetosmokingexactly vaping advocates saying foremyearsema issuing hrefhttpsreasoncom20210915ifthefdadoesntkillthevapingindustrythedemocratstaxhikejustmightsweeping new regulationsa hrefhttpsreasoncom20210912sincethefdahasnotapprovedanyvapingproductsallofthemarenowsubjecttoenforcementactioneffectively crusheda large swaths ecigarette marketp pnow literally millions products await fdas official slowmoving stamp approval agency awarded huge market privilege vuse solo making ecigarette product marketed legally probably total coincidence vuse manufactured rj reynolds biggest tobacco companies planetp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrwell looks like 1 ecigarette legally authorized sale united states independent market wiped r j reynolds gets selling law working intended big tobacco companies hrefhttpstco6fbppwbou4httpstco6fbppwbou4ap p jacob grier jacobgrier hrefhttpstwittercomjacobgrierstatus1448002703695564800ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp hr h2covid19 updateh2 pstrongvaccinated passportholding individuals allowed cross canadian mexican land borders united states starting novemberstrongemthe new york timesema hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211012uspoliticsuscanadamexicobordersopenhtmlreportsap blockquote pthe lifting 19month ban land borders reconnect united states neighbors steps opening countrys borders vaccinated travelers world year cutting country international tourism administration turned country welcome destination vaccinated making clear foreigners choose shot face stringent restrictions enter united statesp punvaccinated travelers continue barred crossing borders mexico canadap blockquote plifting travel restrictions welcomeif long overduesignal pandemic restrictions winding hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlevirusoutbreakpandemicspublichealthnewyorkhealth4ef0c6c5263815a26f8aa17f6ea490aeshutting bordera hrefhttpstheinterceptcom20200305coronavirustrumpclosingbordersnever mucha stop covid19s spread place hrefhttpsforeignpolicycom20210913travelbansborderrestrictionsbidencovidpandemicmade sensea vaccines readily availablep hr h2quick hitsh2 p data released wednesday morning hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20211013theconsumerpriceindexrose5point4percentyearoveryearinseptembervs5point3percentestimatehtmlthe consumer price index rose 54 percenta past year largest yearoveryear increase inflation 1991p p rare moment brutal honesty white housep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrreuters quotthere things people cant getquot christmas white house saysp p josh caplan joshdcaplan hrefhttpstwittercomjoshdcaplanstatus1447993677561929735ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp p britain decade new nuclear power plants onlinep blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrfun fact decided build quotthe worlds fullscale atomic electric power plant devoted exclusively peacetime usesquot 1953 went live 1957p pthat took time invent nuclear power stations 50s takes replicate today hrefhttpstcotvgtwh5ibyhttpstcotvgtwh5ibyap p patrick collison patrickc hrefhttpstwittercompatrickcstatus1447997002986389504ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 12 2021apblockquote pp p federal tax receipts hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211012taxrevenuesurgepandemic515792jumped 18 percenta fiscal year ended month biggest oneyear increase 1977 periodic reminder federal government doesnt revenue problem spending problemp p missing teen hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorythemissingteenwhofueledcultpanicoverdungeonsanddragonssparked moral panica emdungeons amp dragonsemp

6170ab80e579af57fa2df701

CDC Wants Your Vaccinated 5-Year-Old Masked Indefinitely

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110girlmasks2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110girlmasks1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110girlmasks600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110girlmasks331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110girlmasks2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110girlmasks1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110girlmasks600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110girlmasks331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgirlmasks srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpg height675 picture div pdr rochelle walensky director of the centers for disease control and prevention cdc was a hrefhttpstwittercomibroadcasts1yqxopynmozkvaskeda wednesday morning at a white house covid19 response team briefing to explain what impact expanding vaccination to 5 to 11yearolds would have on masking in schools quotyou can speak to sort of the benefits along those linesquot associated press reporter a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecoronaviruspandemicbusinesshealthcoronavirusvaccinebf6e5c8725aca6c757b129dad8f96926zeke millera prompted herp pheres how walensky respondedp pafter we have authorization from [the food and drug administration] and recommendations from cdc we will be working to scale up pediatric vaccination that said it emwillem take some time and as i just noted as we head into these winter months we know we cannot be complacent we also know that from previous data that schools that have emhadem masks in place were threeandahalf times less likely to have school outbreaks requiring school closure so right now we are going to continue to recommend masks in all schools for all people in those schools and we will look forward to scaling out pediatric vaccination during this period of timep pso the quotbenefitsquot of vaccinating kids is that kids will be vaccinated otherwise nothing changesp pwalensky and the cdc have a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210811aremaskrequirementsinschoolsnecessarytocontrolcovid19serially misrepresented the dataa on which they a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210825theevidencesupportingmaskmandatesinschoolsisweakerthanbidenpretendsbasea their a hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202108thescienceofmaskingkidsatschoolremainsuncertainhtmlglobal outliera of a a hrefhttpswwwcdcgovcoronavirus2019ncovcommunityschoolschildcarek12guidancehtmlmaskuserecommendationa that kids aged 2 and older wear masks in indoor group settings but what makes the directors comments today particularly a hrefhttpstwitchycomsarahd31303520211020itsnevergoingtostopcdcdirectorrochellewalenskysaysthatevenvaccinatedkidsshouldstillberequiredtomaskupinschoolsdistressinga for some parents is that it offers zero off ramp no numerical set of targets to hit not even a distant glimmer of light when it comes to the increasingly grim and questionably scientific practice of concealing childrens faces at a developmentally critical agep pquotplease find a parameter to unmask childrenquot a hrefhttpstwittercommonicagandhi9status1450888397627691012respondeda infectious disease specialist monica gandhi of uc san francisco or as johns hopkins epidemiologist jennifer nuzzo a hrefhttpstwittercomjennifernuzzostatus1450563388787023874wrotea yesterday quotmasks in schools were meant to be a temporary measure it is good policy and practice to establish offramps for interventions that arent meant to be permanentwe should be able to answer what conditions would enable an endquotp pmy 6yearold who has spent nearly onequarter of her life wearing masks in group indoor settings attends a school where all the adults are vaccinated kids and adults alike get tested once a week and per state requirement as directly influenced by the cdc everyone over age 2 wears masks even outdoors we live in a moderately high vaccination a hrefhttpswww1nycgovsitedohcovidcovid19datavaccinespagezip codea 68 percent of all residents with at least one shot 64 percent fully vaxxed in a city with a lower case rate than a hrefhttpswwwnytimescominteractive2021uscovidcaseshtmlall but six statesa whose positive rate among regularly tested unvaccinated public school students since midseptember is a minuscule a hrefhttpstestingresultsschoolsnyc023 percenta i would like to know what any of those numbers need to look like in order for my daughter to see her teachers mouths againp pinstead as harvard associate public health professor joseph g allen wrote in tuesdays ema hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20211019schoolsshoulddoawaywithmaskmandatesbyendyearwashington postaem quotits easy to see how schools could a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210830opinionuscovidpolicyhtmlsleepwalka into indefinite masking for kids for at least this entire school yearquotp pthe coronavirus remains largely an a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210928agemaytrumpvaccinationstatusinassessingcovid19riskolderperson diseasea attacking particularly those with preexisting comorbidities as of oct 20 just 542 of the 723280 people who the cdc have a hrefhttpswwwcdcgovnchsnvssvsrrcovid_weeklyindexhtmsexandagecounteda as deaths involving covid19 have been under the age of 18 despite that group representing a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210917toddlermaskingbidensaysgovernorsareplayingpoliticswiththelivesofchildren23 percenta of the us population the two age cohorts in new york city with the lowest cumulative covid19 case rates are the ones totally or mostly ineligible for the vaccine children age 0 to 4 a hrefhttpswwwstatistacomstatistics1109831coronaviruscasesratesbyagenewyorkcity6049 per 100000 peoplea and children age 5 to 12 9220 per 100000p pas allen points out quotin highly vaccinated new england the a hrefhttpscovidcdcgovcoviddatatrackernewhospitaladmissionshospitalization ratea right now for kids under 17 is about 7 per em10 millionem that is not a typo at the worst of the delta surge in florida the hospitalization rate for this age group was about 1 per 100000 it has since dropped sharply in that region and is now approaching 1 per million againquot and a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210921quarantinedlaschoolkidshavelowercovidratesthanvaccinatedteachersirresponsible journalistic scaremongeringa notwithstanding these numbers accelerated downward as school doors opened this fallp pwalenskys refusal to offer parents any future hope runs the risk of doing more than just boosting alcohol sales as monica gandhi points out it reduces a potential incentive for parents to vaccinate their younguns quoti think tying availability of the vaccine in children to taking away restrictions in adults and children provides a very positive motivation for everyonequot she a hrefhttpstwittercommonicagandhi9status1450850536165711880wrotea todayp pit also reinforces the growing notion that pandemic restrictions are meted out in proportion to the a hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015ingavinnewsomscaliforniacovid19rulesareforthosewithoutpoliticalpowertargets political powera rather than vulnerability to the disease quotwhen the 63yearold governor of ny goes out to crowded bars without a mask but mandates 2yearolds lower risk of severe illness than vaxd governor wear masks all day long at daycarequot a hrefhttpstwittercomrachbarnhartstatus1450809246556295177noteda democratic new york state legislator rachel barnhardt yesterday referring to some widely circulated a hrefhttpstwittercomdavidzweigstatus1450609474541178884photosa of kathy hochul yukking it up with some buffalo bills fans quotits time for some offrampsquotp pthere are a hrefhttpsaboutburbiocomschoolmaskpoliciesbystateentire swathsa of the country where the cdcs opinion of school masking matters not and there are plenty of parents in cdcobedient cities like new york and los angeles who view the a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210921quarantinedlaschoolkidshavelowercovidratesthanvaccinatedteachersmicroscopic positivetest ratesa of students as proof that heavyhanded restrictions work since the relevant public officials wont answer the question ill put it to the maskhappy bluestate parents at what numberof cases hospitalizations vaccines you name itwill you support allowing developmentally sensitive kids to take the damned masks offp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110girlmasks2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110girlmasks1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110girlmasks600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110girlmasks331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110girlmasks2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110girlmasks1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110girlmasks600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110girlmasks331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgirlmasks srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110girlmasks800x450jpg height675 picture div pdr rochelle walensky director centers disease control prevention cdc hrefhttpstwittercomibroadcasts1yqxopynmozkvaskeda wednesday morning white house covid19 response team briefing explain impact expanding vaccination 5 11yearolds masking schools quotyou speak sort benefits linesquot associated press reporter hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecoronaviruspandemicbusinesshealthcoronavirusvaccinebf6e5c8725aca6c757b129dad8f96926zeke millera prompted herp pheres walensky respondedp pafter authorization [the food drug administration] recommendations cdc working scale pediatric vaccination said emwillem time noted head winter months know complacent know previous data schools emhadem masks place threeandahalf times likely school outbreaks requiring school closure right going continue recommend masks schools people schools look forward scaling pediatric vaccination period timep pso quotbenefitsquot vaccinating kids kids vaccinated changesp pwalensky cdc hrefhttpsreasoncom20210811aremaskrequirementsinschoolsnecessarytocontrolcovid19serially misrepresented dataa hrefhttpsreasoncom20210825theevidencesupportingmaskmandatesinschoolsisweakerthanbidenpretendsbasea hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202108thescienceofmaskingkidsatschoolremainsuncertainhtmlglobal outliera hrefhttpswwwcdcgovcoronavirus2019ncovcommunityschoolschildcarek12guidancehtmlmaskuserecommendationa kids aged 2 older wear masks indoor group settings makes directors comments today particularly hrefhttpstwitchycomsarahd31303520211020itsnevergoingtostopcdcdirectorrochellewalenskysaysthatevenvaccinatedkidsshouldstillberequiredtomaskupinschoolsdistressinga parents offers zero ramp numerical set targets hit distant glimmer light comes increasingly grim questionably scientific practice concealing childrens faces developmentally critical agep pquotplease find parameter unmask childrenquot hrefhttpstwittercommonicagandhi9status1450888397627691012respondeda infectious disease specialist monica gandhi uc san francisco johns hopkins epidemiologist jennifer nuzzo hrefhttpstwittercomjennifernuzzostatus1450563388787023874wrotea yesterday quotmasks schools meant temporary measure good policy practice establish offramps interventions arent meant permanentwe able answer conditions enable endquotp pmy 6yearold spent nearly onequarter life wearing masks group indoor settings attends school adults vaccinated kids adults alike tested week state requirement directly influenced cdc age 2 wears masks outdoors live moderately high vaccination hrefhttpswww1nycgovsitedohcovidcovid19datavaccinespagezip codea 68 percent residents shot 64 percent fully vaxxed city lower case rate hrefhttpswwwnytimescominteractive2021uscovidcaseshtmlall statesa positive rate regularly tested unvaccinated public school students midseptember minuscule hrefhttpstestingresultsschoolsnyc023 percenta like know numbers need look like order daughter teachers mouths againp pinstead harvard associate public health professor joseph g allen wrote tuesdays ema hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20211019schoolsshoulddoawaywithmaskmandatesbyendyearwashington postaem quotits easy schools coulda hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210830opinionuscovidpolicyhtmlsleepwalkainto indefinite masking kids entire school yearquotp pthe coronavirus remains largely hrefhttpsreasoncom20210928agemaytrumpvaccinationstatusinassessingcovid19riskolderperson diseasea attacking particularly preexisting comorbidities oct 20 542 723280 people cdc hrefhttpswwwcdcgovnchsnvssvsrrcovid_weeklyindexhtmsexandagecounteda deaths involving covid19 age 18 despite group representing hrefhttpsreasoncom20210917toddlermaskingbidensaysgovernorsareplayingpoliticswiththelivesofchildren23 percenta population age cohorts new york city lowest cumulative covid19 case rates ones totally ineligible vaccine children age 0 4a hrefhttpswwwstatistacomstatistics1109831coronaviruscasesratesbyagenewyorkcity6049 100000 peoplea children age 5 12 9220 100000p pas allen points quotin highly vaccinated new england thea hrefhttpscovidcdcgovcoviddatatrackernewhospitaladmissionshospitalization ratearight kids 17 7 perem10 millionem typo worst delta surge florida hospitalization rate age group 1 100000 dropped sharply region approaching 1 million againquot hrefhttpsreasoncom20210921quarantinedlaschoolkidshavelowercovidratesthanvaccinatedteachersirresponsible journalistic scaremongeringa notwithstanding numbers accelerated downward school doors opened fallp pwalenskys refusal offer parents future hope runs risk boosting alcohol sales monica gandhi points reduces potential incentive parents vaccinate younguns quoti think tying availability vaccine children taking away restrictions adults children provides positive motivation everyonequot hrefhttpstwittercommonicagandhi9status1450850536165711880wrotea todayp pit reinforces growing notion pandemic restrictions meted proportion hrefhttpsreasoncom20211015ingavinnewsomscaliforniacovid19rulesareforthosewithoutpoliticalpowertargets political powera vulnerability disease quotwhen 63yearold governor ny goes crowded bars mask mandates 2yearolds lower risk severe illness vaxd governor wear masks day long daycarequot hrefhttpstwittercomrachbarnhartstatus1450809246556295177noteda democratic new york state legislator rachel barnhardt yesterday referring widely circulated hrefhttpstwittercomdavidzweigstatus1450609474541178884photosa kathy hochul yukking buffalo bills fans quotits time offrampsquotp pthere hrefhttpsaboutburbiocomschoolmaskpoliciesbystateentire swathsa country cdcs opinion school masking matters plenty parents cdcobedient cities like new york los angeles view hrefhttpsreasoncom20210921quarantinedlaschoolkidshavelowercovidratesthanvaccinatedteachersmicroscopic positivetest ratesa students proof heavyhanded restrictions work relevant public officials wont answer question ill maskhappy bluestate parents numberof cases hospitalizations vaccines itwill support allowing developmentally sensitive kids damned masks offp

6170aba5e579af57fa2df703

Welcome to the Second Enlightenment

h4the new discourses podcast with james lindsay episode 51h4 divyou may have noticed that times are turbulent and that something very nefarious seems to be afoot youre not wrong of course thats exactly whats happening and it presents a dangerous time for humanity the question is why its happening because the answer to that question informs us significantly on our prospects going forward on the one hand and this is correct a global push for a kind of communofascism is underway a power grab of the grandest proportions in human history this is consistent with communist visions stretching back over a century and must be recognized and resisted on the other hand its happening inowi instead of at some other time is that merely because the technological tools to make this attempt finally exist with digital technology and social media enabling new forms of propaganda and social credit systems for unprecedented social control partly yes but merely no the internet like its nearest conceptual predecessor the printing press has changed everything understanding the nature of that change sheds useful light on the world we now inhabit along with how we should address this new threat and what we have to look forward to if or when we succeeddiv divdiv divin this episode of the new discourses podcast host james lindsay walks us through a view that breaks out of our limited historical parallax and considers the question of whats going on around us in a broader frame what he sees is the dawn of the second enlightenment which will change the world in unbelievable ways for the better if it can set the world ablaze and spread its light drawing on lessons from the previous enlightenment which unfolded from the sixteenth through the nineteenth centuries lindsay makes a case that for all it did accomplish it didnt do the one thing that most educated liberals believe it did the first enlightenment did not create a marketplace of ideas it created an aristocracy of ideas which was a huge step in the right direction away from the magisteria of the darker age that preceded it now with the advent of the internet and the ability for the average person to hold information property by the fruits of his own research the marketplace of ideas is finally emerging its also threatening the power of the information aristocrats in the expert caste including its worst offenders the technocrats these are doing everything in their power to reestablish a technocratic information aristocracy in the form of a new administered information economy an information socialism totally under oligarchical technocratic control join james for this eyeopening discussion here on the new discourses podcastdiv pemsubscribe to the new discourses podcast on spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blanka spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan or by spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemprevious episodes of the new discourses podcast are available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110welcometothesecondenlightenmentwelcome to the second enlightenmenta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

h4the new discourses podcast james lindsay episode 51h4 divyou noticed times turbulent nefarious afoot youre wrong course thats exactly whats happening presents dangerous time humanity question happening answer question informs significantly prospects going forward hand correct global push kind communofascism underway power grab grandest proportions human history consistent communist visions stretching century recognized resisted hand happeninginowiinstead time merely technological tools attempt finally exist digital technology social media enabling new forms propaganda social credit systems unprecedented social control partly yes merely internet like nearest conceptual predecessor printing press changed understanding nature change sheds useful light world inhabit address new threat look forward succeeddiv divdiv divin episode new discourses podcast host james lindsay walks view breaks limited historical parallax considers question whats going broader frame sees dawn second enlightenment change world unbelievable ways better set world ablaze spread light drawing lessons previous enlightenment unfolded sixteenth nineteenth centuries lindsay makes case accomplish didnt thing educated liberals believe enlightenment create marketplace ideas created aristocracy ideas huge step right direction away magisteria darker age preceded advent internet ability average person hold information property fruits research marketplace ideas finally emerging threatening power information aristocrats expert caste including worst offenders technocrats power reestablish technocratic information aristocracy form new administered information economy information socialism totally oligarchical technocratic control join james eyeopening discussion new discourses podcastdiv pemsubscribe new discourses podcast spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankaspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan byspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemprevious episodes new discourses podcast available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110welcometothesecondenlightenmentwelcome second enlightenmenta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

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Studying the True Face of Gender Ideology

img altstudying the true face of gender ideology srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110screenshot20211019at75112pmjpgpthis week progressive british activist jo maugham a hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449295699829567489s20warneda his 300000plus twitter followers of yet another vast and vastly expensive piece of antitrans infrastructure that had been erected virtually overnight with zero transparency the tweet went viral even though as many commenters noted it was unclear what supposed antitrans leviathan maugham was describing a day later the otherwise prolix maugham still wouldnt provide that information but instead a hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449642373894508549s20directeda followers to unspecified un and eu reports that supposedly detail billions being channeled [to antitrans activists] often from the us christian rightpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri see yet another vast and vastly expensive piece of antitrans infrastructure has sprung up virtually overnight with zero transparency as to where the money came fromp jo maugham jolyonmaugham a hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449295699829567489ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 16 2021ablockquote figurepone reason why its difficult to decode this kind of conspiracism is that terms such as antitrans have effectively become meaningless you can now be accused of transphobia for instance if you a hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticlenekpb71in8cispeoplesaytheywoulddatesomeonewhoistransdeclinea to date a trans person whose biology doesnt match your sexual orientation if you a hrefhttpsslatecomhumaninterest202107wispalatransphobicprotesthtmlobjecta to your child being exposed to a naked adult male including a a hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20210911162431httpswwwlosangelesbladecom20210902lapdseekingregisteredsexoffenderinjunewispaincidentsex offendera in a spa or if you complain publicly about an alleged a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinionwashingtonsecretsnetworkblackoutongenderfluidrapeclaiminloudounschoolrapea perpetrated in a school bathroom by someone who selfdescribes as genderfluidppeven mainstream feminism is apparently now transphobic as it turns out the likely subject of the tweet that maugham put out on october 16th was a a hrefhttpswwwportsmouthcouknewspeopleportsmouthcouncilfliestransandotherinclusiveflagsoutsideoffices3421367conferencea being run that same day by filia a grassroots feminist a hrefhttpsfiliaorguklatestnews2020922filiastatementongovernmentscommitmenttoprotectsexbasedrightsorganizationa which supports the right of women to maintain safe sexsegregated spaces while these women met in portsmouth protestors demanding a hrefhttpsthecriticcoukthequietcancellationstrans inclusivitya held up signs with a hrefhttpstwittercomwith_rhymesstatus1449346244405497859photo1slogansa such as suck my dick you transphobic cunts and as julie bindel a hrefhttpsthecriticcoukthequietcancellationsreportsa it is these misogynistsnot the female campaigners at filia who have spent their careers protecting women from rape domestic assault and female genital mutilationwho have the ear of progressive politicians and activists a hrefhttpswwwpinknewscouk20210602lgballiancecharitycommissionstatusappealmermaidsgoodlawprojecttranssuch as maughama one portsmoutharea mp bindel notes has shunned representatives of filia even while meeting with a local a hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomviolenttransactivismartista who seems to believe that ideologically noncompliant terfs a slur indicating trans exclusionary radical feminists should be threatened with baseball bats given how difficult it is to justify the fullon misogynistic hate that now animates the extreme fringes of the transrights movement its easy to see why maugham would prefer to distract critics with the fiction that filias gendercritical feminism is just a smokescreen for a sinister christian conspiracy hatched overseaspfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri dont think ive ever seen tras more perfectly represented a hrefhttpstcorkpesbmypopictwittercomrkpesbmypoap rhymes with orange with_rhymes a hrefhttpstwittercomwith_rhymesstatus1449346244405497859ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 16 2021ablockquote figurepto be fair it is absolutely true that many prominent american conservatives emdoem oppose the campaign to replace biological sex with gender identity as the basis for admission to womens bathrooms locker rooms prisons sports leagues and rapecrisis centers and in some cases these rightwing figures have championed a hrefhttpswwwcnncom20210415politicsantitransgenderlegislation2021indexhtmllawsa that suppress the legitimate rights of transgender individuals to be treated with dignity and compassion but outside the united states the intellectual pushback against gender extremism is led mostly by academics authors activists journalists and even comedians who are the furthest thing from republican biblethumpersppin canada this movement has included a hrefhttpsquillettecom20191031torontosmeghanmurphymeltdownacasestudyinmediadrivensocialpanicmeghan murphya who first made a name for herself as a a hrefhttpsthewalruscaourownworstenemiesvancouverarea feminist activista sex researchers a hrefhttpswwwdrdebrasohcombookdebra soha and a hrefhttpsquillettecom20191224podcast68clinicalpsychologistdrjamescantorcriticisestheamericanacademyofpediatricsguidelinesfortreatingtranschildrenjames cantora former canadian track champion a hrefhttpswwwunsportingcomlinda bladea and writer april halley who has noted that the risk posed by putting male bodies in womens prisons is disproportionately borne by a hrefhttpsquillettecom20191012malebodiedrapistsarebeingimprisonedwithwomenwhydosofewpeoplecareindigenous and black womena in the uk the gendercritical side has been led by the aforementioned bindel a lifelong leftist emeconomist emjournalist a hrefhttpswwwsimonandschustercombookstranshelenjoyce9780861540495helen joycea university of sussex philosophy professor kathleen stock childrens author a hrefhttpswwwjkrowlingcomopinionsjkrowlingwritesaboutherreasonsforspeakingoutonsexandgenderissuesjk rowlinga comedian a hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomrickygervaisdoesntcareifyouthinkhestransphobicricky gervaisa and heterodox trans activist a hrefhttpsquillettecom20200202imayhavegenderdysphoriabutistillprefertobasemylifeonbiologynotfantasydebbie haytona in new zealand its included the feminist likes of a hrefhttpswww1newsconz20210713antitransbillboardremovedfromwellingtonscbdspeak up for womena in australia its been mildmannered journalist and researcher a hrefhttpsquillettecom20210510podcast148bernardlaneonthefightforamorebalancedapproachtowardchildrenseekingmedicalizedgenderchangebernard laneappeven in the united states the most influential gendercritical figures in the cultural as opposed to political sphere arent conservative lawmakers but rather current or former contributors to such centrist publications as theem new york times ema hrefhttpsricochetcom1073228bariweissinterviewcourageinthefaceofbookburnersbari weissa ematlantic emmagazine a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907booksreviewtranshelenjoycehtmljesse singala and theem wall street journal ema hrefhttpsquillettecom20201107genderactivistsaretryingtocancelmybookwhyissiliconvalleyhelpingthemabigail shriera then theres comedian a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211015artstelevisiondavechappellenetflixhtmldave chappellea and comedianemmanqueemturnedpodcaster a hrefhttpsandrewsullivansubstackcompwherehaveallthelesbiansgone0a7katie herzoga if jo maugham would like to tell us which one of these people is directing the flow of all those christian billions earmarked for spreading transphobia im all earsppindeed one reason why the campaign to roll back gender extremism has been slow to gain momentum is precisely because many of these gender crits are otherwise progressive in their politics and peer groupswhich means that they tend to be affected by the taboos and informal speech codes that govern the gender debate in these spheres specifically they are pressured to begin any discussion from the proposition that a hrefhttpsaclupaorgennewstranswomenarewomenavoidingmistakesourpredecessorstrans women are womena a circular notion that preemptively stigmatizes discussion of reallife human sexual biology as many gendercritical feminists have a hrefhttpsquillettecom20200619podcast96helenjoyceontheoddredefinitionofthewordwomannoteda in fact the word woman now lacks any real definition in orthodox progressive circles except to such extent that a woman is imagined to be literally any human adult who selfdeclares as a woman moreover even those who are willing to navigate these aliceinwonderland rules of engagement risk being a hrefhttpsmermaidsukorguknewstransrightsarenotupfordebatecheckmateda by the failsafe argument that debate emitself emrepresentsem ema form of transphobic violence that a hrefhttpswwwmacleanscaopiniontranspeoplecannotbeerasedwehavealwaysexistedandwillcontinuetoliveerasesa the existence of trans people and even drives them to a hrefhttpswwwtampabaycomopinion20210430floridagetsitwrongontransgenderathletescompetinginschoolsportseditorialsuicidea by these rhetoric maneuvers even the mildest critique of gender orthodoxy can be demonized as hate speech which in turn can serve to inspire mobbings of gender heretics that as a hrefhttpsquillettecom20210318thecampaignofliesagainstjournalistjessesingalandwhyitmattersthe case of jesse singala showed with particular vividness quickly spiral into lurid social panicppconsider the case of the aforementioned kathleen stock whos been a hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticleinsidethecloakanddaggercampaignagainstkathleenstock6rcdpm855vilifieda by activists for stating the commonsense proposition that trans women need not be treated as a hrefhttpsquillettecom20190411ignoringdifferencesbetweenmenandwomenisthewrongwaytoaddressgenderdysphorialiteral womena in regard to certain intimate sexsegregated spaces where many females experience reasonable apprehensions in the presence of male bodies incensed that anyone would defend an academics right to say such things a british lecturer named ellie gore has a hrefhttpstwittercomellie_gorestatus1450706404357115906s20trieda to link stock to nazis and a university of sussex student union officer denounced stock on the bbc as a dangerous bigot who sought to eliminate trans people in law a distortion of stocks views so flagrantly dishonest that a bbc newscaster was later required to read out a public a hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10095721bbcapologisesstudentunionrepsaysprofessorsupportseliminationtranspeoplelawhtmlapologya yet gendercritical feminists face this kind of calumny every dayor worse stock has been advised to hire a hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlekathleenstockthesussexuniversityprofessorintransrowurgedtogetbodyguards2khmgzk98bodyguardsa and install cctv cameras outside her home and the university of sussex administration is now urging her to a hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlekathleenstockthesussexuniversityprofessorintransrowurgedtogetbodyguards2khmgzk98stay awaya from campus for her own protection the whole ordeal offers a case study in how a hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10098351anonymoustransmobdefendcloakdaggercrusadeagainstfeministprofessorhtmlv4296352598130209329tiny cadresa of highly motivated ideologues can intimidate others and most academics not unreasonably would prefer to simply keep their heads down mumble their pronouns and get on with their daily workppand yet even amidst such scenes there are signs that the tide is turning it is notable for instance that not only did university of sussex administrators publicly a hrefhttpstwittercomsussexunistatus1446108933702098956defenda stocks right to say and write what she believes but so have a hrefhttpsopenlettertosussexfromukphilosopherswordpresscomhundredsa of british philosophers who put their name to an open letter as for jesse singal his career not only survived the campaign of lies against him butsomewhat astonishinglyhe was even commissioned by theem new york times emto a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907booksreviewtranshelenjoycehtmlreviewa helen joyces newly published gendercritical book a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtranswhenideologymeetsrealityebookdpb08xqymwvqemtrans when ideology meets realityemaem emwhen teardrenched penguin random house staff in toronto recently tried to a hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticleg5bv3xpenguinrandomhousestaffconfrontpublisheraboutnewjordanpetersonbookconfronta their bosses about the companys publication of a new book by alleged transphobe jordan peterson the stunt a hrefhttpsreasoncom20201125jordanpeterson12rulesforlifesequelpenguinrandomhousebackfired badlya hachette uk likewise a hrefhttpswwwindependentcoukartsentertainmentbooksnewsjkrowlinghachettebookstaffemployeesboycotttransrowa9570436htmlrebuffeda a similar inhouse campaign against its own star gender crit jk rowling and this month netflix executives offered a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211014businessmediadavechappelleclosernetflixhtmlno apologiesa for streaming a comedy special by dave chappelle that many activists a hrefhttpsdeadlinecom202110davechappelletransphobiccontroversynetflixterrafieldessaytedsarandosreedhastingswalkout1234857971decrieda because it poked fun at gender pietiespfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrin response to issues on our campus our vc adam tickell has said we are investigating activity on our campus which appears to have been designed to attack professor kathleen stock for exercising her academic freedoms [13]p university of sussex sussexuni a hrefhttpstwittercomsussexunistatus1446108933702098956ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021ablockquote figurepeven within the lgbt world there is mounting opposition to a form of gender ideology that as allan stratton has a hrefhttpsquillettecom20210921theprogressivecaseforrenouncinggenderextremismlastofathreepartseriesexplaineda to emquillette emreaders paradoxically carries a strong whiff of homophobia since by definition gays and lesbians are attracted to same sexed bodies its why weve been beaten murdered and legally and socially persecuted throughout history the outlandish if fashionable claim that were attracted to someone elses gender id gaslights the truth of our lives in boston outgoing pride officials actually a hrefhttpsquillettecom20211013theimplosionofbostonsprideparadeisasignofthingstocomeshut downa their organization this year rather than let it lapse into the hands of activists who seem intent on turning it into a black lives matterrun cadre of trans activists and in the uk many lesbians and gay men have become so disgusted by the political orientation of their traditional organizations that theyve created a new group called a hrefhttpslgballianceorguklgb alliancea which i need scarcely mention jo maugham has stridently a hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1330876017595068416langendenouncedaphrpif it strikes you that ive gone out of my way to namecheck an abundance of prominent gender crits in the paragraphs above your impression is correct in part this inventory process is intended to give credit where its due as the campaign against militant gender ideology picks up steam there will no doubt be many a late joiner eager to insist that their hearts were secretly with the gendercritical camp all along victory has a thousand fathers but defeat is an orphan as the expression goes and so before this bandwagon gets too crowded its worth naming the muchmaligned a hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesdawnstaceyennis20191219jkrowlingcomesoutasaterfsh6a2f9a705d70terfsa who put their careers on the line well before celebrities such as chappelle rowling and a hrefhttpspagesixcom20210928bethennyfrankeldefendstransphobiccommentsbethany frankela entered the frayppbut my principal motivation is to disabuse readers of the idea that this is a simple leftright culturewar battle such as the one once fought over gay marriage almost all of the figures ive listed are progressive or centrist most are female several are gay none to my knowledge are christian transphobes of the type who populate jo maughams fever dreams having personally interviewed or been interviewed by most of these people in fact id say their only obvious commonalities are intellectual selfconfidence and a suspicion of ideological cultismppperhaps the most important figure in this movement even if she doesnt selfidentify as an adherent is lisa littman the former brown university school of public health professor who authored the first a hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0202330peerreviewed studya of rapidonset gender dysphoria or rogd this marked the first time that any academic had produced an authoritative description of the phenomenon by which natal female girls and teenagers suddenly announce a desire to transition to a masculine identitytypically after becoming immersed in online forums or social milieus in which popular or admired transidentified peergroup members encourage others to pursue transition as a means to address their anxieties following publication of her study in 2018 littman predictably endured months of abuse and her own university a hrefhttpsretractionwatchcom20180829readeroutcrypromptsbrowntoretractpressreleaseontransteensretracteda a press release promoting her work the journal in which shed published emplos oneem also came under heavy fire and subsequently published a hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc6424391additional clarifications and contexta in an unsuccessful bid to appease activists whod insisted that littman was a bigot blowing a hrefhttpsunherdcom201812letscientificstudybecometransspeech2refinnartransphobic dogwhistlesapphaving met littman in person and a hrefhttpsquillettecom20190319aninterviewwithlisalittmanwhocoinedthetermrapidonsetgenderdysphoriaintervieweda her for emquilletteem i can attest that shes exactly what youd expect of an awardwinning ivy league expert whos spent her career researching preventive medicine public health gynecology and the psychology of adolescent girls before becoming famous for her work on rogd she made a name for herself in academic circles with published articles such as a hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov28069493learning from adolescents and young adults experiences with early discontinuation of the contraceptive implantaem emand a hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov23816154connecting knowledge about abortion and sexual and reproductive health to belief about abortion restrictionsa and the effort to denounce her or stock or singal or any of the other figures ive named as hateaddled bigots was always ludicrous yet this type of calumny is indispensable to the gender extremists cause as it supports the conceit that any opposition to their orthodoxy can never emerge from goodfaith research but rather betrays an inherently malignant character amazingly emnew york times emwriter jennifer finney boylan actually made this argument a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211010opiniontransabortionrightshtmlexplicitlya earlier this month when she denounced gender critical feminists as people whose heartslike the grinchsare two sizes too smallpplittmans naysayers denounced her 2018 study for all sorts of nominal reasons but what their critique always really boiled down to was as one a hrefhttpslinkspringercomarticle101007s1050801914532publisheda critic claimed that shed used a pathologizing framework and language of pathology to conceive describe and theorize the phenomenon [of rogd] as tantamount to both an infectious disease cluster outbreaks of gender dysphoria and a disorder eg eating disorders and anorexia nervosa this is a heavily torqued way of saying that littman seeks to understand the dysphoria experienced by girls in the larger context of their personal histories a hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless41467020177941autisma a hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesijir201139traumaa and a hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0202330social influencesaa mode of scientific inquiry that contradicts the preferred quasimystical understanding of gender identity as an unfalsifiable life force that cannot be understood except by uncritical acceptance of acts of selfidentificationpplittman is hardly the only researcher whos conducted a proper scientifically informed inquiry into the many factors that can contribute to gender dysphoria in toronto for instance a hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadatorontocamhsettlementformerheadgenderidentityclinic14854015dr kenneth zuckera has been using a holistic counselling approach with transidentified children for years and sexologist ray blanchard has been studying a hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc3180619the typology of trans mena since the late 1980s these men too have been denounced for challenging the idea of gender identity as a secular form of sacred soulspirit but littman broke new ground with her focus on the recently observed surge in dysphoria among ema hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomsociety2020feb22sswedenteenagetransgenderrowdysphoriadiagnosessoargirlsaem suddenly seeking to transition often in a great flourish of politicized rhetoric and oppositional postures directed at their own family membersppas helen joyce writes in emtransem gender dysphoria was until recently primarily a natal male phenomenon it was only with the rise of social media and the a hrefhttpsquillettecom20211004instagramandtheteengirlmentalhealthanxietya such media encourages that girls and young women began a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomsociety2020feb22sswedenteenagetransgenderrowdysphoriadiagnosessoardominatinga the intake rosters at gender clinics to demand that the global medical and research establishment ignore this development for ideological reasons is of course unconscionable yet that is exactly the demand that littmans critics have effectively a hrefhttpslinkspringercomarticle101007s1050801914532put forwarda they realized early on that if littman could get away with addressing gender dysphoria in a rigorous and scholarly way an important ideological taboo would be smashed and in this regard i am happy to report they were entirely correctppsince littmans 2018 paper was published events have vindicated her approach in particular detransitioners girls who once asserted they were trans but subsequently took steps to revert to a gender identity consistent with their biological sex are a hrefhttpswwwpiqueresprojectcomincreasingly vocal and wellorganizeda much to the chagrin of activists whod insisted that the very idea of trans desistance is a hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord202180256001irrelevanta a hrefhttpsarchivethinkprogressorgtransgenderchildrendesistancea5caf61fc5c6pseudoscientifica and a hrefhttpswwwhrcorgresourcesdebunkingthemythstransgenderhealthandwellbeingdebunkeda and many of them have personal tales that are consistent with the rogd pattern that littman outlinedpplast year the detransition movement got a prominent human face thanks to litigation initiated by a hrefhttpsquillettecom20201218likeitornotkeirabellhasopeneduparealconversationaboutgenderdysphoriakeira bella against the londonbased centre that runs britains gender identity development service which even before bell entered the public eye had been embroiled in a hrefhttpsquillettecom20200117whyiresignedfromtavistocktransidentifiedchildrenneedtherapynotjustaffirmationanddrugsscandala it goes without saying that bell has become a a hrefhttpswwwredditcomrtransgenderukcommentsj61uxzi_hate_keira_bell_so_much_she_startedhateda judas figure to many gender extremists as they correctly see her example as an unusually compelling rebuke to the sweeping claim that children as young as a hrefhttpswwwkqedorgfutureofyou440851canyoureallyknowthata3yearoldistransgenderthree years olda just know if they were a hrefhttpsquillettecom20190924nooneisborninthewrongbodyborn in the wrong bodya indeed the a hrefhttpswwwpersuasioncommunitypkeirabellmystorydetailsa of bells story show how the ideologicallyapproved method of blithely affirming a patients asserted gender identity can produce tragic resultspblockquoteby the time i was 14 i was severely depressed and had given up i stopped going to school i stopped going outside i just stayed in my room avoiding my mother playing video games getting lost in my favorite music and surfing the internet something else was happening i became attracted to girls i had never had a positive association with the term lesbian or the idea that two girls could be in a relationship this made me wonder if there was something inherently wrong with me around this time out of the blue my mother asked if i wanted to be a boy something that hadnt even crossed my mind i then found some websites about females transitioning to male shortly after i moved in with my father and his thenpartner she asked me the same question my mother had i told her that i thought i was a boy and that i wanted to become one as i look back i see how everything led me to conclude it would be best if i stopped becoming a woman my thinking was that if i took hormones id grow taller and wouldnt look much different from biological men i began seeing a psychologist through the national health service or nhs when i was 15because i kept insisting that i wanted to be a boyi was referred to the gender identity development service at the tavistock and portman clinic in london there i was diagnosed with gender dysphoria which is psychological distress because of a mismatch between your biological sex and your perceived gender identity by the time i got to the tavistock i was adamant that i needed to transition it was the kind of brash assertion thats typical of teenagers what was really going on was that i was a girl insecure in my body who had experienced parental abandonment felt alienated from my peers suffered from anxiety and depression and struggled with my sexual orientation after a series of superficial conversations with social workers i was put on puberty blockers at age 16 a year later i was receiving testosterone shots when 20 i had a double mastectomyblockquotehrpthis week the peerreviewed emarchives of sexual behaviorem published a a hrefhttpslinkspringercomcontentpdf101007s1050802102163wpdfnew article by littmana titled individuals treated for gender dysphoria with medical andor surgical transition who subsequently detransitioned a survey of 100 detransitioners as in 2018 littman is exploring an area that is scandalously underresearched the a hrefhttpstransequalityorgissuesustranssurvey2015 us transgender surveya on which many prominent trans advocates have relied for their published research was a hrefhttpstransequalityorgsitesdefaultfilesdocsustsustsfullreportdec17pdfformulateda in a way that generally excluded detransitioners as it restricted participation to those individuals currently residing in a us state of territory who identif[y] as transgender trans genderqueer nonbinary and other identities on the transgender identity spectrumppin littmans study participants were asked why theyd originally set about the process of transition more than 70 percent of natal female respondents selected both i thought transitioning was my only option to feel better and it made me uncomfortable to be perceived romanticallysexually as a [female] interestingly only 13 percent of natal femalesbut fully 39 percent of natal malesagreed with the statement i had erotic reasons for wanting to transition it has long been a tenet of gender orthodoxy that gender identity and sexual orientation are to be regarded as completely separate characteristics the fact that some biologically male trans women are a hrefhttpsquillettecom20191106whatisautogynephiliaaninterviewwithdrrayblanchardautogynephilesa individuals who become sexually aroused at the thought of themselves as a woman is seen as particularly radioactiveeven though the phenomenon has been studied a hrefhttpsquillettecom20210907thetruthaboutautogynephiliafor decadesa and some trans individuals discuss their own autogynophilia a hrefhttpsquillettecom20200202imayhavegenderdysphoriabutistillprefertobasemylifeonbiologynotfantasycandidlya and so it will be interesting to see whether littmans critics attack her with special ferocity on this pointppin describing survey results a hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoifull1010800091836920211919479publisheda by german researcher elie vandenbussche in april littman noted that respondents expressed reasons for detransition included pblockquoterealizing that their gender dysphoria was related to other issues 70 health concerns 62 observing that transition did not help their dysphoria 50 and that they found alternatives to deal with their dysphoria 45 external factors such as lack of support financial concerns and discrimination were less common 13 12 and 10 respectively many in the sample described that when they detransitioned they lost support or were ostracized from lesbian gay bisexual and transgender lgbt communitiesblockquotepyet its also important to acknowledge that the available data does not invalidate the idea that transphobia is a real problem in our society fully 17 percent of female detransitioners studied by littman and 36 percent of natal males cited discrimination as one of their reasons for detransition but overall the more common responses included i discovered that my gender dysphoria was caused by something specific ex trauma abuse mentalhealth conditions my mental health did not improve while transitioning and my mental health was worse while transitioning this is not surprising given that almost 40 percent of female participants reported being depressed prior to the onset of dysphoria more than a quarter engaged in nonsuicidal selfinjury almost half 48 percent reported that theyd experienced a trauma in the year before theyd begun experiencing dysphoria in many cases caregivers presented transition as a solution to all these woes my gender therapist acted like [transition] was a panacea for everything wrote one respondent another wrote that the doctor pushed drugs and surgery at every visit one particularly sad entry reads i was dating a trans woman and she framed our relationship in a way that was contingent on my being transppfor those who believe that this kind of research hurts the lgbt community i will end with two more facts plucked from littmans study 1 a full 52 percent of participants agreed that the process of transitioning delayed or prevented their dealing with the underlying trauma or mental health condition that lay behind their dysphoria with one participant having becom[e] critical of transition because i felt that many people were doing it out of selfhatred and started to realize that applied to me as well and 2 nearly a quarter of participants said that transition emerged from some form of internalized homophobiaem emby imagining that they were actually a member of the opposite sex they could also imagine away their homosexualityppi suppose it is possible for a true believer to read a study like this and still cling to the idea that littman is some sort of transphobic hatemonger instead of a thoughtful and humane researcher seeking a better understanding of gender dysphoria or maybe shes a secret christian fundamentalist on the payroll of that vastly expensive antitrans infrastructure that jo maugham is banging on about sadly neither of these claims would represent the most farfetched smears that gender ideologues have concocted as a means to demonize women who tell inconvenient truths ppbut i comfort myself with the knowledge that in the long run a system of thought built on fantasy and selfdeception can never persist indefinitely no matter how ruthless its enforcers while many of us are lazy and gullible in our ideological commitments pledging allegiance to faddish notions so that we may be seen as enlightened such vanities tend to fall away once we see evidence that proves weve been duped thank you to lisa littmanand to all the others ive named herefor putting that kind of evidence on full public display p

img altstudying true face gender ideology srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110screenshot20211019at75112pmjpgpthis week progressive british activist jo maugham hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449295699829567489s20warneda 300000plus twitter followers vast vastly expensive piece antitrans infrastructure erected virtually overnight zero transparency tweet went viral commenters noted unclear supposed antitrans leviathan maugham describing day later prolix maugham wouldnt provide information instead hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449642373894508549s20directeda followers unspecified un eu reports supposedly detail billions channeled [to antitrans activists] christian rightpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri vast vastly expensive piece antitrans infrastructure sprung virtually overnight zero transparency money came fromp jo maugham jolyonmaugham hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1449295699829567489ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 16 2021ablockquote figurepone reason difficult decode kind conspiracism terms antitrans effectively meaningless accused transphobia instance hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticlenekpb71in8cispeoplesaytheywoulddatesomeonewhoistransdeclinea date trans person biology doesnt match sexual orientation hrefhttpsslatecomhumaninterest202107wispalatransphobicprotesthtmlobjecta child exposed naked adult male including hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20210911162431httpswwwlosangelesbladecom20210902lapdseekingregisteredsexoffenderinjunewispaincidentsex offendera spa complain publicly alleged hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinionwashingtonsecretsnetworkblackoutongenderfluidrapeclaiminloudounschoolrapea perpetrated school bathroom selfdescribes genderfluidppeven mainstream feminism apparently transphobic turns likely subject tweet maugham october 16th hrefhttpswwwportsmouthcouknewspeopleportsmouthcouncilfliestransandotherinclusiveflagsoutsideoffices3421367conferencea run day filia grassroots feminist hrefhttpsfiliaorguklatestnews2020922filiastatementongovernmentscommitmenttoprotectsexbasedrightsorganizationa supports right women maintain safe sexsegregated spaces women met portsmouth protestors demanding hrefhttpsthecriticcoukthequietcancellationstrans inclusivitya held signs hrefhttpstwittercomwith_rhymesstatus1449346244405497859photo1slogansa suck dick transphobic cunts julie bindel hrefhttpsthecriticcoukthequietcancellationsreportsa misogynistsnot female campaigners filia spent careers protecting women rape domestic assault female genital mutilationwho ear progressive politicians activists hrefhttpswwwpinknewscouk20210602lgballiancecharitycommissionstatusappealmermaidsgoodlawprojecttranssuch maughama portsmoutharea mp bindel notes shunned representatives filia meeting local hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomviolenttransactivismartista believe ideologically noncompliant terfs slur indicating trans exclusionary radical feminists threatened baseball bats given difficult justify fullon misogynistic hate animates extreme fringes transrights movement easy maugham prefer distract critics fiction filias gendercritical feminism smokescreen sinister christian conspiracy hatched overseaspfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri dont think ive seen tras perfectly represented hrefhttpstcorkpesbmypopictwittercomrkpesbmypoap rhymes orange with_rhymes hrefhttpstwittercomwith_rhymesstatus1449346244405497859ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 16 2021ablockquote figurepto fair absolutely true prominent american conservatives emdoem oppose campaign replace biological sex gender identity basis admission womens bathrooms locker rooms prisons sports leagues rapecrisis centers cases rightwing figures championed hrefhttpswwwcnncom20210415politicsantitransgenderlegislation2021indexhtmllawsa suppress legitimate rights transgender individuals treated dignity compassion outside united states intellectual pushback gender extremism led academics authors activists journalists comedians furthest thing republican biblethumpersppin canada movement included hrefhttpsquillettecom20191031torontosmeghanmurphymeltdownacasestudyinmediadrivensocialpanicmeghan murphya hrefhttpsthewalruscaourownworstenemiesvancouverarea feminist activista sex researchers hrefhttpswwwdrdebrasohcombookdebra soha hrefhttpsquillettecom20191224podcast68clinicalpsychologistdrjamescantorcriticisestheamericanacademyofpediatricsguidelinesfortreatingtranschildrenjames cantora canadian track champion hrefhttpswwwunsportingcomlinda bladea writer april halley noted risk posed putting male bodies womens prisons disproportionately borne hrefhttpsquillettecom20191012malebodiedrapistsarebeingimprisonedwithwomenwhydosofewpeoplecareindigenous black womena uk gendercritical led aforementioned bindel lifelong leftist emeconomist emjournalist hrefhttpswwwsimonandschustercombookstranshelenjoyce9780861540495helen joycea university sussex philosophy professor kathleen stock childrens author hrefhttpswwwjkrowlingcomopinionsjkrowlingwritesaboutherreasonsforspeakingoutonsexandgenderissuesjk rowlinga comedian hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomrickygervaisdoesntcareifyouthinkhestransphobicricky gervaisa heterodox trans activist hrefhttpsquillettecom20200202imayhavegenderdysphoriabutistillprefertobasemylifeonbiologynotfantasydebbie haytona new zealand included feminist likes hrefhttpswww1newsconz20210713antitransbillboardremovedfromwellingtonscbdspeak womena australia mildmannered journalist researcher hrefhttpsquillettecom20210510podcast148bernardlaneonthefightforamorebalancedapproachtowardchildrenseekingmedicalizedgenderchangebernard laneappeven united states influential gendercritical figures cultural opposed political sphere arent conservative lawmakers current contributors centrist publications theem new york times ema hrefhttpsricochetcom1073228bariweissinterviewcourageinthefaceofbookburnersbari weissa ematlantic emmagazine hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907booksreviewtranshelenjoycehtmljesse singala theem wall street journal ema hrefhttpsquillettecom20201107genderactivistsaretryingtocancelmybookwhyissiliconvalleyhelpingthemabigail shriera theres comedian hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211015artstelevisiondavechappellenetflixhtmldave chappellea comedianemmanqueemturnedpodcaster hrefhttpsandrewsullivansubstackcompwherehaveallthelesbiansgone0a7katie herzoga jo maugham like tell people directing flow christian billions earmarked spreading transphobia im earsppindeed reason campaign roll gender extremism slow gain momentum precisely gender crits progressive politics peer groupswhich means tend affected taboos informal speech codes govern gender debate spheres specifically pressured begin discussion proposition hrefhttpsaclupaorgennewstranswomenarewomenavoidingmistakesourpredecessorstrans women womena circular notion preemptively stigmatizes discussion reallife human sexual biology gendercritical feminists hrefhttpsquillettecom20200619podcast96helenjoyceontheoddredefinitionofthewordwomannoteda fact word woman lacks real definition orthodox progressive circles extent woman imagined literally human adult selfdeclares woman willing navigate aliceinwonderland rules engagement risk hrefhttpsmermaidsukorguknewstransrightsarenotupfordebatecheckmateda failsafe argument debate emitself emrepresentsem ema form transphobic violence hrefhttpswwwmacleanscaopiniontranspeoplecannotbeerasedwehavealwaysexistedandwillcontinuetoliveerasesa existence trans people drives hrefhttpswwwtampabaycomopinion20210430floridagetsitwrongontransgenderathletescompetinginschoolsportseditorialsuicidea rhetoric maneuvers mildest critique gender orthodoxy demonized hate speech turn serve inspire mobbings gender heretics hrefhttpsquillettecom20210318thecampaignofliesagainstjournalistjessesingalandwhyitmattersthe case jesse singala showed particular vividness quickly spiral lurid social panicppconsider case aforementioned kathleen stock whos hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticleinsidethecloakanddaggercampaignagainstkathleenstock6rcdpm855vilifieda activists stating commonsense proposition trans women need treated hrefhttpsquillettecom20190411ignoringdifferencesbetweenmenandwomenisthewrongwaytoaddressgenderdysphorialiteral womena regard certain intimate sexsegregated spaces females experience reasonable apprehensions presence male bodies incensed defend academics right things british lecturer named ellie gore hrefhttpstwittercomellie_gorestatus1450706404357115906s20trieda link stock nazis university sussex student union officer denounced stock bbc dangerous bigot sought eliminate trans people law distortion stocks views flagrantly dishonest bbc newscaster later required read public hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10095721bbcapologisesstudentunionrepsaysprofessorsupportseliminationtranspeoplelawhtmlapologya gendercritical feminists face kind calumny dayor worse stock advised hire hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlekathleenstockthesussexuniversityprofessorintransrowurgedtogetbodyguards2khmgzk98bodyguardsa install cctv cameras outside home university sussex administration urging hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlekathleenstockthesussexuniversityprofessorintransrowurgedtogetbodyguards2khmgzk98stay awaya campus protection ordeal offers case study hrefhttpswwwdailymailcouknewsarticle10098351anonymoustransmobdefendcloakdaggercrusadeagainstfeministprofessorhtmlv4296352598130209329tiny cadresa highly motivated ideologues intimidate academics unreasonably prefer simply heads mumble pronouns daily workppand amidst scenes signs tide turning notable instance university sussex administrators publicly hrefhttpstwittercomsussexunistatus1446108933702098956defenda stocks right write believes hrefhttpsopenlettertosussexfromukphilosopherswordpresscomhundredsa british philosophers open letter jesse singal career survived campaign lies butsomewhat astonishinglyhe commissioned theem new york times emto hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907booksreviewtranshelenjoycehtmlreviewa helen joyces newly published gendercritical book hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtranswhenideologymeetsrealityebookdpb08xqymwvqemtrans ideology meets realityemaem emwhen teardrenched penguin random house staff toronto recently tried hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticleg5bv3xpenguinrandomhousestaffconfrontpublisheraboutnewjordanpetersonbookconfronta bosses companys publication new book alleged transphobe jordan peterson stunt hrefhttpsreasoncom20201125jordanpeterson12rulesforlifesequelpenguinrandomhousebackfired badlya hachette uk likewise hrefhttpswwwindependentcoukartsentertainmentbooksnewsjkrowlinghachettebookstaffemployeesboycotttransrowa9570436htmlrebuffeda similar inhouse campaign star gender crit jk rowling month netflix executives offered hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211014businessmediadavechappelleclosernetflixhtmlno apologiesa streaming comedy special dave chappelle activists hrefhttpsdeadlinecom202110davechappelletransphobiccontroversynetflixterrafieldessaytedsarandosreedhastingswalkout1234857971decrieda poked fun gender pietiespfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrin response issues campus vc adam tickell said investigating activity campus appears designed attack professor kathleen stock exercising academic freedoms [13]p university sussex sussexuni hrefhttpstwittercomsussexunistatus1446108933702098956ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021ablockquote figurepeven lgbt world mounting opposition form gender ideology allan stratton hrefhttpsquillettecom20210921theprogressivecaseforrenouncinggenderextremismlastofathreepartseriesexplaineda emquillette emreaders paradoxically carries strong whiff homophobia definition gays lesbians attracted sexed bodies weve beaten murdered legally socially persecuted history outlandish fashionable claim attracted elses gender id gaslights truth lives boston outgoing pride officials actually hrefhttpsquillettecom20211013theimplosionofbostonsprideparadeisasignofthingstocomeshut downa organization year let lapse hands activists intent turning black lives matterrun cadre trans activists uk lesbians gay men disgusted political orientation traditional organizations theyve created new group called hrefhttpslgballianceorguklgb alliancea need scarcely mention jo maugham stridently hrefhttpstwittercomjolyonmaughamstatus1330876017595068416langendenouncedaphrpif strikes ive gone way namecheck abundance prominent gender crits paragraphs impression correct inventory process intended credit campaign militant gender ideology picks steam doubt late joiner eager insist hearts secretly gendercritical camp victory thousand fathers defeat orphan expression goes bandwagon gets crowded worth naming muchmaligned hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesdawnstaceyennis20191219jkrowlingcomesoutasaterfsh6a2f9a705d70terfsa careers line celebrities chappelle rowling hrefhttpspagesixcom20210928bethennyfrankeldefendstransphobiccommentsbethany frankela entered frayppbut principal motivation disabuse readers idea simple leftright culturewar battle fought gay marriage figures ive listed progressive centrist female gay knowledge christian transphobes type populate jo maughams fever dreams having personally interviewed interviewed people fact id obvious commonalities intellectual selfconfidence suspicion ideological cultismppperhaps important figure movement doesnt selfidentify adherent lisa littman brown university school public health professor authored hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0202330peerreviewed studya rapidonset gender dysphoria rogd marked time academic produced authoritative description phenomenon natal female girls teenagers suddenly announce desire transition masculine identitytypically immersed online forums social milieus popular admired transidentified peergroup members encourage pursue transition means address anxieties following publication study 2018 littman predictably endured months abuse university hrefhttpsretractionwatchcom20180829readeroutcrypromptsbrowntoretractpressreleaseontransteensretracteda press release promoting work journal shed published emplos oneem came heavy fire subsequently published hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc6424391additional clarifications contexta unsuccessful bid appease activists whod insisted littman bigot blowing hrefhttpsunherdcom201812letscientificstudybecometransspeech2refinnartransphobic dogwhistlesapphaving met littman person hrefhttpsquillettecom20190319aninterviewwithlisalittmanwhocoinedthetermrapidonsetgenderdysphoriaintervieweda emquilletteem attest shes exactly youd expect awardwinning ivy league expert whos spent career researching preventive medicine public health gynecology psychology adolescent girls famous work rogd academic circles published articles hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov28069493learning adolescents young adults experiences early discontinuation contraceptive implantaem emand hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov23816154connecting knowledge abortion sexual reproductive health belief abortion restrictionsa effort denounce stock singal figures ive named hateaddled bigots ludicrous type calumny indispensable gender extremists cause supports conceit opposition orthodoxy emerge goodfaith research betrays inherently malignant character amazingly emnew york times emwriter jennifer finney boylan actually argument hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211010opiniontransabortionrightshtmlexplicitlya earlier month denounced gender critical feminists people heartslike grinchsare sizes smallpplittmans naysayers denounced 2018 study sorts nominal reasons critique boiled hrefhttpslinkspringercomarticle101007s1050801914532publisheda critic claimed shed pathologizing framework language pathology conceive describe theorize phenomenon [of rogd] tantamount infectious disease cluster outbreaks gender dysphoria disorder eg eating disorders anorexia nervosa heavily torqued way saying littman seeks understand dysphoria experienced girls larger context personal histories hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless41467020177941autisma hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesijir201139traumaa hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0202330social influencesaa mode scientific inquiry contradicts preferred quasimystical understanding gender identity unfalsifiable life force understood uncritical acceptance acts selfidentificationpplittman hardly researcher whos conducted proper scientifically informed inquiry factors contribute gender dysphoria toronto instance hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadatorontocamhsettlementformerheadgenderidentityclinic14854015dr kenneth zuckera holistic counselling approach transidentified children years sexologist ray blanchard studying hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc3180619the typology trans mena late 1980s men denounced challenging idea gender identity secular form sacred soulspirit littman broke new ground focus recently observed surge dysphoria ema hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomsociety2020feb22sswedenteenagetransgenderrowdysphoriadiagnosessoargirlsaem suddenly seeking transition great flourish politicized rhetoric oppositional postures directed family membersppas helen joyce writes emtransem gender dysphoria recently primarily natal male phenomenon rise social media hrefhttpsquillettecom20211004instagramandtheteengirlmentalhealthanxietya media encourages girls young women began hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomsociety2020feb22sswedenteenagetransgenderrowdysphoriadiagnosessoardominatinga intake rosters gender clinics demand global medical research establishment ignore development ideological reasons course unconscionable exactly demand littmans critics effectively hrefhttpslinkspringercomarticle101007s1050801914532put forwarda realized early littman away addressing gender dysphoria rigorous scholarly way important ideological taboo smashed regard happy report entirely correctppsince littmans 2018 paper published events vindicated approach particular detransitioners girls asserted trans subsequently took steps revert gender identity consistent biological sex hrefhttpswwwpiqueresprojectcomincreasingly vocal wellorganizeda chagrin activists whod insisted idea trans desistance hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord202180256001irrelevanta hrefhttpsarchivethinkprogressorgtransgenderchildrendesistancea5caf61fc5c6pseudoscientifica hrefhttpswwwhrcorgresourcesdebunkingthemythstransgenderhealthandwellbeingdebunkeda personal tales consistent rogd pattern littman outlinedpplast year detransition movement got prominent human face thanks litigation initiated hrefhttpsquillettecom20201218likeitornotkeirabellhasopeneduparealconversationaboutgenderdysphoriakeira bella londonbased centre runs britains gender identity development service bell entered public eye embroiled hrefhttpsquillettecom20200117whyiresignedfromtavistocktransidentifiedchildrenneedtherapynotjustaffirmationanddrugsscandala goes saying bell hrefhttpswwwredditcomrtransgenderukcommentsj61uxzi_hate_keira_bell_so_much_she_startedhateda judas figure gender extremists correctly example unusually compelling rebuke sweeping claim children young hrefhttpswwwkqedorgfutureofyou440851canyoureallyknowthata3yearoldistransgenderthree years olda know hrefhttpsquillettecom20190924nooneisborninthewrongbodyborn wrong bodya hrefhttpswwwpersuasioncommunitypkeirabellmystorydetailsa bells story ideologicallyapproved method blithely affirming patients asserted gender identity produce tragic resultspblockquoteby time 14 severely depressed given stopped going school stopped going outside stayed room avoiding mother playing video games getting lost favorite music surfing internet happening attracted girls positive association term lesbian idea girls relationship wonder inherently wrong time blue mother asked wanted boy hadnt crossed mind found websites females transitioning male shortly moved father thenpartner asked question mother told thought boy wanted look led conclude best stopped woman thinking took hormones id grow taller wouldnt look different biological men began seeing psychologist national health service nhs 15because kept insisting wanted boyi referred gender identity development service tavistock portman clinic london diagnosed gender dysphoria psychological distress mismatch biological sex perceived gender identity time got tavistock adamant needed transition kind brash assertion thats typical teenagers going girl insecure body experienced parental abandonment felt alienated peers suffered anxiety depression struggled sexual orientation series superficial conversations social workers puberty blockers age 16 year later receiving testosterone shots 20 double mastectomyblockquotehrpthis week peerreviewed emarchives sexual behaviorem published hrefhttpslinkspringercomcontentpdf101007s1050802102163wpdfnew article littmana titled individuals treated gender dysphoria medical andor surgical transition subsequently detransitioned survey 100 detransitioners 2018 littman exploring area scandalously underresearched hrefhttpstransequalityorgissuesustranssurvey2015 transgender surveya prominent trans advocates relied published research hrefhttpstransequalityorgsitesdefaultfilesdocsustsustsfullreportdec17pdfformulateda way generally excluded detransitioners restricted participation individuals currently residing state territory identif[y] transgender trans genderqueer nonbinary identities transgender identity spectrumppin littmans study participants asked theyd originally set process transition 70 percent natal female respondents selected thought transitioning option feel better uncomfortable perceived romanticallysexually [female] interestingly 13 percent natal femalesbut fully 39 percent natal malesagreed statement erotic reasons wanting transition long tenet gender orthodoxy gender identity sexual orientation regarded completely separate characteristics fact biologically male trans women hrefhttpsquillettecom20191106whatisautogynephiliaaninterviewwithdrrayblanchardautogynephilesa individuals sexually aroused thought woman seen particularly radioactiveeven phenomenon studied hrefhttpsquillettecom20210907thetruthaboutautogynephiliafor decadesa trans individuals discuss autogynophilia hrefhttpsquillettecom20200202imayhavegenderdysphoriabutistillprefertobasemylifeonbiologynotfantasycandidlya interesting littmans critics attack special ferocity pointppin describing survey results hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoifull1010800091836920211919479publisheda german researcher elie vandenbussche april littman noted respondents expressed reasons detransition included pblockquoterealizing gender dysphoria related issues 70 health concerns 62 observing transition help dysphoria 50 found alternatives deal dysphoria 45 external factors lack support financial concerns discrimination common 13 12 10 respectively sample described detransitioned lost support ostracized lesbian gay bisexual transgender lgbt communitiesblockquotepyet important acknowledge available data invalidate idea transphobia real problem society fully 17 percent female detransitioners studied littman 36 percent natal males cited discrimination reasons detransition overall common responses included discovered gender dysphoria caused specific ex trauma abuse mentalhealth conditions mental health improve transitioning mental health worse transitioning surprising given 40 percent female participants reported depressed prior onset dysphoria quarter engaged nonsuicidal selfinjury half 48 percent reported theyd experienced trauma year theyd begun experiencing dysphoria cases caregivers presented transition solution woes gender therapist acted like [transition] panacea wrote respondent wrote doctor pushed drugs surgery visit particularly sad entry reads dating trans woman framed relationship way contingent transppfor believe kind research hurts lgbt community end facts plucked littmans study 1 52 percent participants agreed process transitioning delayed prevented dealing underlying trauma mental health condition lay dysphoria participant having becom[e] critical transition felt people selfhatred started realize applied 2 nearly quarter participants said transition emerged form internalized homophobiaem emby imagining actually member opposite sex imagine away homosexualityppi suppose possible true believer read study like cling idea littman sort transphobic hatemonger instead thoughtful humane researcher seeking better understanding gender dysphoria maybe shes secret christian fundamentalist payroll vastly expensive antitrans infrastructure jo maugham banging sadly claims represent farfetched smears gender ideologues concocted means demonize women tell inconvenient truths ppbut comfort knowledge long run system thought built fantasy selfdeception persist indefinitely matter ruthless enforcers lazy gullible ideological commitments pledging allegiance faddish notions seen enlightened vanities tend fall away evidence proves weve duped thank lisa littmanand ive named herefor putting kind evidence public display p

6170abb7e579af57fa2df70b

My Conversation with Stanley McChrystal

phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesstanleymcchrystal target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is part of the cwt summaryp blockquotephe joined tyler to discuss whether weve gotten better or worse at analyzing risk the dangerous urge among policymakers to oversimplify the past why being a good military commander is about more than winning battlefield victories why were underestimating the risk that china will invade taiwan how to maintain a long view of history what set henry kissinger apart the usefulness of war games how well we understand china and russia why there havent been any major attacks on us soil since 911 the danger of a soldier class in america his take on wokeness and the military whats needed to have women as truly senior commanders in the armed forces why officers with bad experiences should still be considered for promotion how to address extremists in the military why he supports a draft the most interesting class he took at west point how to care for disabled veterans his advice to enlisted soldiers on writing a will the most emotionally difficult part and greatest joys of his military career the prospect of drone assassinations what he eats for his only meal of the day why hes done writing books and morepblockquote pandp blockquote pstrongcowen strongif we had to shrink one capacity of the military say by 50 percent and double the capacity of another what would you pick to shrink and what to expandp pstrongmcchrystal strongthis is always the tough one i tend to think that the maneuver warfare part that we have created for ground warfare in europe or in the mideast is probably somewhere where we have to accept some risk we have to have fewer capabilities there you could even argue maybe the number of aircraft carriers  big capital thingsp pi think where we cant afford  and therefore i would invest  is in really good people now that seems like a simplistic answer but we are going to need very crafty people at things like a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrandorgblog202104howthemilitarymightexpanditscyberskillshtml target_blank datahrefhttpswwwrandorgblog202104howthemilitarymightexpanditscyberskillshtmlcyber warfarea were going to need very innovative people were going to need people with cultural acuity which means language skills and emthatsem going to be more important so if i was advocating id be leaning toward resourcing harder in those areasp pstrongcowen strongnow of course your father was a general you come from a military family why is it that military recruitment right now is so well predicted by having had a parent in the armed forces whats driving that and how can we take advantage of that to recruit additional peoplep pstrongmcchrystal strongwell weve taken advantage of it to the point where it may be counterproductive now when i would travel the battlefields and go to small bases invariably the sergeant or lieutenant in charge was the son or daughter of a friend of mine in one way its comforting because you know people have entered the service with open eyes and clear expectations and they make good soldiers but a relnoopener hrefhttpsslatecomnewsandpolitics201708thewarriorcasteofmilitaryfamiliesthatfightamericaswarshtml target_blank datahrefhttpsslatecomnewsandpolitics201708thewarriorcasteofmilitaryfamiliesthatfightamericaswarshtmlyou dont want a soldier class in americaap blockquote pdefinitely recommended there is also a segment about disabled veterans and their rights  and again here is stans new book a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomriskusersguidestanleymcchrystalebookdpb08vd34v2crefsr_1_2crid12uco14mkj5ffdchild1keywordsstanleymcchrystalbookriskqid1634742907qsid14214283993463341sprefixstanleymcchrystal2caps2c315sr82sres05931922062cb09hq8ylyr2c15918474862c05255343772cb01mtxibl82c153912360x2cb09jtxybs92cb00ay6oio42cb0117volpksrptabis_book target_blankrisk a users guidea coauthored with anna butricop p p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110myconversationwithstanleymcchrystalhtmlmy conversation with stanley mcchrystala appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesstanleymcchrystal target_blankthe audio video transcripta cwt summaryp blockquotephe joined tyler discuss weve gotten better worse analyzing risk dangerous urge policymakers oversimplify past good military commander winning battlefield victories underestimating risk china invade taiwan maintain long view history set henry kissinger apart usefulness war games understand china russia havent major attacks soil 911 danger soldier class america wokeness military whats needed women truly senior commanders armed forces officers bad experiences considered promotion address extremists military supports draft interesting class took west point care disabled veterans advice enlisted soldiers writing emotionally difficult greatest joys military career prospect drone assassinations eats meal day hes writing books morepblockquote pandp blockquote pstrongcowenstrongif shrink capacity military 50 percent double capacity pick shrink expandp pstrongmcchrystalstrongthis tough tend think maneuver warfare created ground warfare europe mideast probably accept risk fewer capabilities argue maybe number aircraft carriersbig capital thingsp pi think cant affordand investis good people like simplistic answer going need crafty people things likea relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrandorgblog202104howthemilitarymightexpanditscyberskillshtml target_blank datahrefhttpswwwrandorgblog202104howthemilitarymightexpanditscyberskillshtmlcyber warfarea going need innovative people going need people cultural acuity means language skills andemthatsemgoing important advocating id leaning resourcing harder areasp pstrongcowenstrongnow course father general come military family military recruitment right predicted having parent armed forces whats driving advantage recruit additional peoplep pstrongmcchrystalstrongwell weve taken advantage point counterproductive travel battlefields small bases invariably sergeant lieutenant charge son daughter friend way comforting know people entered service open eyes clear expectations good soldiers buta relnoopener hrefhttpsslatecomnewsandpolitics201708thewarriorcasteofmilitaryfamiliesthatfightamericaswarshtml target_blank datahrefhttpsslatecomnewsandpolitics201708thewarriorcasteofmilitaryfamiliesthatfightamericaswarshtmlyou dont want soldier class americaap blockquote pdefinitely recommended segment disabled veterans rights stans new book relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomriskusersguidestanleymcchrystalebookdpb08vd34v2crefsr_1_2crid12uco14mkj5ffdchild1keywordsstanleymcchrystalbookriskqid1634742907qsid14214283993463341sprefixstanleymcchrystal2caps2c315sr82sres05931922062cb09hq8ylyr2c15918474862c05255343772cb01mtxibl82c153912360x2cb09jtxybs92cb00ay6oio42cb0117volpksrptabis_book target_blankrisk users guidea coauthored anna butricop pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110myconversationwithstanleymcchrystalhtmlmy conversation stanley mcchrystala appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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American warfare and the battle for profit

pin january 1961 as dwight eisenhower was about to leave office as us president he issued a stark and unexpected warning in the councils of government we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence whether sought or unsought by the militaryindustrial complex the potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist those were the days when republicans with distinguished military records wanted to restrain defence spending eisenhower had spent the final years of his presidency resisting pressure to authorise costly projects in response to exaggerated threatsp paccording to andrew cockburn in emthe spoils of warem this warning had little effect the misplaced power led not only to a bloated pentagon budget but also to the wars that provided it with a rationale waste mismanagement and corruption became the norm weapons programmes took years to complete if at all supported by contracts that encouraged goldplating with unnecessarily high specifications and no incentives to keep costs under control generals and admirals went along with this because the contractors promised lucrative retirement jobs congress relaxed its oversight as orders and military bases were strategically directed to the districts and states of influential house members even once the nation was at war instead of providing decent boots for soldiers money went into esoteric weapons systems that failed to deliverp pcockburn the washington dc editor of emharpers magazineem comes from a family of radical journalists who have made it their business to challenge official accounts and expose scandals he has long been unearthing awkward facts about the practices and policies of the us national security establishment during the 1980s he produced a counter to the pentagons glossy booklets about the soviet unions military power pointing instead to its weaknesses and dysfunctions an analysis he could claim was vindicated after the end of the cold war in this collection of   more recent articles he picks out choice examples to support his core themes taking advantage of the targetrich environment of this century to show that little has changedp phe is not opposed to all weapons systems in the opening piece he describes how the a10 warthog was effective in providing close air support for troops on the ground in afghanistan the us air force however wanted to use the fantastically expensive b1 bomber designed for nuclear missions against the soviet union and quite unsuitable for the afghanistan role which resulted in the deaths of many innocent civiliansp pelsewhere he tells the story of fat leonard a naval contractor who serviced port visits for the seventh fleet bribing senior officers with cash and lascivious parties to ensure that their ships visited his facilities cockburns indictment does not stop at showing how defence contractors and their allies extract what they can from the system while giving little of value in return he also blames them for promoting the arms race and encouraging wars this has been achieved by pushing for military action and sidelining diplomacy while demonising potential enemies he challenges portrayals both of american foes and its friends the saudis for instance come in for a rough time because of their connections to the 911 attacks and the war in yemenp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculture202106howsecondworldwarwaswonhow the second world war was wona]emstrongp pthis is robust oldfashioned progressive polemical journalism not all the targets are hit with precision but cockburn describes some shocking practices and provides valuable critiques for example of the overreliance on sanctions as a coercive instrument he picks up on issues that have been around since weapons manufacturers and their critics discovered war could be profitable he argues that the military are not generally interested in war save as a means to budget enhancement considerations of foreign policy and strategy are deceptive hiding the real driving force the most important question is always emcui bonoem who benefitsp pas someone who spends his time studying foreign policy and strategy have i been missing the point cockburn is of course right that the pentagons enormous budget provides opportunities for schemers and grifters some in charge of large corporations and that the institutional interests of the armed services lead to distorted defence priorities greater awareness of these issues helps civilians push back against this misplaced power as they often do when i started work in this area in the early 1970s i was attracted by theories of the malign influence of the militaryindustrial complex which then acquired added credibility as explanations were sought for the calamitous vietnam war yet i soon discovered it explained less than expectedp pfor example cockburn attributes the missile gap scare of 1960 as a preemptive response on cue to eisenhowers militaryindustrial complex speech the claim however that the soviet union was outproducing the us in intercontinental ballistic missiles icbm was in part the result of the soviet union testing an icbm before the us and then launching the worlds first artificial earth satellite sputnik 1 in 1957 these events were followed by nikita khrushchevs boast that soviet rockets were coming off production lines like sausages eisenhower and the cia doubted the exaggerated air force projections about how far the soviet union was ahead with missile development this was confirmed when us satellites provided evidence that the americans were in fact ahead its not clear how satellites fit in with cockburns thesis as in this and other areas such as arms control verification they were a source of reassuring evidencep panother example is natos expansion during the 1990s it is true as cockburn notes that drawing former members of the warsaw pact into the alliance was good domestic politics for bill clinton it may have opened up new markets for defence contractors although they were already opening but the issue cannot be understood without appreciating the anxieties of those central and eastern european countries which had been let down badly by the western democracies before and now wanted stronger security guaranteesp pthe debates about foreign policy and strategy should therefore not be dismissed too lightly in emhumaneem samuel moyn a professor of both history and jurisprudence at yale universitystrong strongasks what has gone wrong with us defence policy this century and he does not mention defence contractors instead he explores a dilemma that has long dogged antiwar campaigners war is horrible so we must find ways to alleviate the suffering but if this results in war becoming less horrible then it is a more tempting optionp pthis was a sharp debate in the late 19th century as the first efforts were taken to make war less miserable such as the formation of the red cross attempts to codify the laws of war so the injured and prisoners could be treated properly prohibitions on particularly obnoxious weapons and the first hague conferences on disarmament these could be presented as steps towards the abolition of war but the likely outcome was to sustain war as an acceptable instrument of statecraft the steps were dismissed accordingly by critics such as leo tolstoy and the austrian antiwar campaigner bertha von suttnerp pit was not however the possibility of a humane war that led the rush into the first world war but the prize of an early victory for the side that mobilised first once there was no quick victory and the fighting took hold the war became attritional and with poisoned gas air raids and attacks on merchant shipping ever more deadly after it was all over efforts to abolish war were taken up again with renewed vigour strengthening both global organisations and international law to no avail another even more brutal world war followed the first this time with organised mass murderp pthe korean war confirmed that nuclear weapons had created an incentive to limit conflicts although for the korean people the fighting was as deadly as anything that had gone before the conduct of the vietnam war led to more soulsearching especially after the revelations about the atrocity at my lai in 1968 moyn skilfully takes us through the debates prompted by vietnam about international law and how it should be adapted and enforced out of this came a determination to find a more humane way to fight such warsp pfrom the early 1970s highly accurate weapons were introduced into the us arsenal that made it possible to avoid largescale civilian casualties now drones can loiter above possible targets before launching missiles lawyers can be brought in to check whether the targets are appropriate before they are hit for the lawyerly barack obama looking for a way to deal with us enemies without getting entangled in more occupations of unfriendly territory these were the perfect weapons although his enthusiasm gradually waned as he became more troubled by their legal and ethical implicationsp pmoyn is also torn between the obvious advantages if war is going to be fought of doing so in a way that reduces its human cost and the concern that if we get too comfortable with humane wars then we will forget about the need to ban them altogether despite his claim that the us has reinvented war his focus is too narrow for this to work drone warfare is only one part of contemporary military practice it might provide a means of assassinating terrorists and other hostile figures but it provides no means of controlling territory which is what most wars are about the vicious urban battles fought in iraq and syria and the persistent militia campaigns mixed with gangsterism in ukraine and in subsaharan africa also describe modern warfare in these cases civilian suffering is as great as ever moyn also fails to address the current us preoccupation with china also oddly ignored by cockburn and what a war over taiwan might look likep pif the institution of war survives it will not be because of the lobbying efforts of the militaryindustrial complex or the promise of combat without tears but rather because people and states keep finding things to fight aboutp pemlawrence freedman is emeritus professor of war studies at kings college london and the author of the future of war a history penguinemp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldamericasnorthamericaus202109thenewageofamericanpowerthe new age of american powera]emstrongbrbrstrongthe spoils of war power profit and the american war machine strongbrandrew cockburn bremverso 288pp 1799emp pstronghumane how the united states abandoned peace and reinvented war strongbrsamuel moyn bremverso 416pp 20emp

pin january 1961 dwight eisenhower leave office president issued stark unexpected warning councils government guard acquisition unwarranted influence sought unsought militaryindustrial complex potential disastrous rise misplaced power exists persist days republicans distinguished military records wanted restrain defence spending eisenhower spent final years presidency resisting pressure authorise costly projects response exaggerated threatsp paccording andrew cockburn emthe spoils warem warning little effect misplaced power led bloated pentagon budget wars provided rationale waste mismanagement corruption norm weapons programmes took years complete supported contracts encouraged goldplating unnecessarily high specifications incentives costs control generals admirals went contractors promised lucrative retirement jobs congress relaxed oversight orders military bases strategically directed districts states influential house members nation war instead providing decent boots soldiers money went esoteric weapons systems failed deliverp pcockburn washington dc editor emharpers magazineem comes family radical journalists business challenge official accounts expose scandals long unearthing awkward facts practices policies national security establishment 1980s produced counter pentagons glossy booklets soviet unions military power pointing instead weaknesses dysfunctions analysis claim vindicated end cold war collection recent articles picks choice examples support core themes taking advantage targetrich environment century little changedp phe opposed weapons systems opening piece describes a10 warthog effective providing close air support troops ground afghanistan air force wanted use fantastically expensive b1 bomber designed nuclear missions soviet union unsuitable afghanistan role resulted deaths innocent civiliansp pelsewhere tells story fat leonard naval contractor serviced port visits seventh fleet bribing senior officers cash lascivious parties ensure ships visited facilities cockburns indictment stop showing defence contractors allies extract system giving little value return blames promoting arms race encouraging wars achieved pushing military action sidelining diplomacy demonising potential enemies challenges portrayals american foes friends saudis instance come rough time connections 911 attacks war yemenp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculture202106howsecondworldwarwaswonhow second world war wona]emstrongp pthis robust oldfashioned progressive polemical journalism targets hit precision cockburn describes shocking practices provides valuable critiques example overreliance sanctions coercive instrument picks issues weapons manufacturers critics discovered war profitable argues military generally interested war save means budget enhancement considerations foreign policy strategy deceptive hiding real driving force important question emcui bonoem benefitsp pas spends time studying foreign policy strategy missing point cockburn course right pentagons enormous budget provides opportunities schemers grifters charge large corporations institutional interests armed services lead distorted defence priorities greater awareness issues helps civilians push misplaced power started work area early 1970s attracted theories malign influence militaryindustrial complex acquired added credibility explanations sought calamitous vietnam war soon discovered explained expectedp pfor example cockburn attributes missile gap scare 1960 preemptive response cue eisenhowers militaryindustrial complex speech claim soviet union outproducing intercontinental ballistic missiles icbm result soviet union testing icbm launching worlds artificial earth satellite sputnik 1 1957 events followed nikita khrushchevs boast soviet rockets coming production lines like sausages eisenhower cia doubted exaggerated air force projections far soviet union ahead missile development confirmed satellites provided evidence americans fact ahead clear satellites fit cockburns thesis areas arms control verification source reassuring evidencep panother example natos expansion 1990s true cockburn notes drawing members warsaw pact alliance good domestic politics bill clinton opened new markets defence contractors opening issue understood appreciating anxieties central eastern european countries let badly western democracies wanted stronger security guaranteesp pthe debates foreign policy strategy dismissed lightly emhumaneem samuel moyn professor history jurisprudence yale universitystrong strongasks gone wrong defence policy century mention defence contractors instead explores dilemma long dogged antiwar campaigners war horrible find ways alleviate suffering results war horrible tempting optionp pthis sharp debate late 19th century efforts taken war miserable formation red cross attempts codify laws war injured prisoners treated properly prohibitions particularly obnoxious weapons hague conferenceson disarmament presented steps abolition war likely outcome sustain war acceptable instrument statecraft steps dismissed accordingly critics leo tolstoy austrian antiwarcampaigner bertha von suttnerp pit possibility humane war led rush world war prize early victory mobilised quick victory fighting took hold war attritional poisoned gas air raids attacks merchant shipping deadly efforts abolish war taken renewed vigour strengthening global organisations international law avail brutal world war followed time organised mass murderp pthe korean war confirmed nuclear weapons created incentive limit conflicts korean people fighting deadly gone conduct vietnam war led soulsearching especially revelations atrocity lai 1968 moyn skilfully takes debates prompted vietnam international law adapted enforced came determination find humane way fight warsp pfrom early 1970s highly accurate weapons introduced arsenal possible avoid largescale civilian casualties drones loiter possible targets launching missiles lawyers brought check targets appropriate hit lawyerly barack obama looking way deal enemies getting entangled occupations unfriendly territory perfect weapons enthusiasm gradually waned troubled legal ethical implicationsp pmoyn torn obvious advantages war going fought way reduces human cost concern comfortable humane wars forget need ban altogether despite claim reinvented war focus narrow work drone warfare contemporary military practice provide means assassinating terrorists hostile figures provides means controlling territory wars vicious urban battles fought iraq syria persistent militia campaigns mixed gangsterism ukraine subsaharan africa describe modern warfare cases civilian suffering great moyn fails address current preoccupation china oddly ignored cockburn war taiwan look likep pif institution war survives lobbying efforts militaryindustrial complex promise combat tears people states finding things fight aboutp pemlawrence freedman emeritus professor war studies kings college london author future war history penguinemp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldamericasnorthamericaus202109thenewageofamericanpowerthe new age american powera]emstrongbrbrstrongthe spoils war power profit american war machine strongbrandrew cockburn bremverso 288pp 1799emp pstronghumane united states abandoned peace reinvented war strongbrsamuel moyn bremverso 416pp 20emp

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The goodness business: how woke capitalism turned virtue into profit

pon the morning of 7 april this year jamie dimon the ceo of  jpmorgan chase published his annual letter to shareholders the head of americas largest bank reflected on the brutal murder of george floyd and the racial unrest that followed the week after floyds murder in may 2020 dimon was among the first ceos publicly to take the knee while visiting a branch in new york and described how the bank was fully engaged in trying to solve some of the worlds biggest issues climate change poverty economic development and racial inequalityp plater that day dimon and the board of jpmorgan chase published another document their proxy statement to the banks annual shareholder meeting in it dimon and his board recommended voting against proposals aimed at helping make the changes he had claimed to support one called for the bank to undertake a racial equity audit another asked that it review its practices on political lobbying neither proposal was passed the statement also revealed that dimon whose letter had opined a few hours earlier that the fault line in his fractured country is inequality is paid 758 times the median american incomep pfor a company to say one thing and do another is hardly new but in the past year the contrast between the virtues espoused by businesses and the real activity from which they make their money has become so stark that it has reached a kind of breaking pointp pthe workplace has become politicised as never before on the workfocused social network linkedin 188000 people describe their job as activist there are more activists than there are midwives historians orthodontists or scriptwriters in the past year employees at apple the worlds most profitable company have broken their strict code of silence with letters that demanded the sacking of an employee who had written a novel they considered sexist requesting a public statement in support of the people of palestine and protesting a policy asking that they return to office working google a company founded with the motto dont be evil is now engaged in a legal battle with workers who say they were sacked for protesting against its work with us border controlp pto ask for ethics from a corporation is like expecting a scalpel to have a sense of humour it is a mindless tool the design of which is wholly at odds with such expectations but it would not be fair to say that the workers of apple or google were naive people have not suddenly become more sensitive or more gullible but they have for decades been told by the managerial class that the companies to which they give their time their energy their ideas and their money exist for a higher purpose than simply making a profitp pin many organisations this is affirmed at board level by a chief impact officer or impact partner harry the duke of sussex holds both titles for the coaching company betterup and the asset manager ethic such moral agency must also be communicated to consumers the pr company edelman identifies cause marketing taking a position on an issue wholly unrelated to your business as one of the more effective ways to shift unitsp pfor some this is as a corruption of capitalisms true purpose when dimon and other wall street ceos were called before the senate banking committee in may the republican tim scott complained that banks were taking political positions on issues such as georgias new voting laws opponents of which say restrict the voting rights of people of colour woke capitalism scott said seems to be running amok throughout the financial institutions of our country in the same week the group consumers research launched a sevenfigure advertising campaign that targeted the ceos of cocacola nike and american airlines for putting woke politics over consumer interestsp pbut arguing that capitalism should be unfettered and amoral is itself a political position no business is without its ideals in the new emoticonomy this is not a circumstance created accidentally by political parties activists or workers but deliberately by businesses it has been going on for some timep pafter the end of the second world war companies in the us and europe made use of low interest rates to launch a long period of acquisition using cheap debt to make offers other companies shareholders couldnt refuse this allowed some companies especially in the us to grow rapidly into large conglomerates but because antitrust legislation prevented such businesses from buying up their competitors these conglomerates were strange manytentacled beasts the telecommunications company itt bought hundreds of companies in the 1960s diversifying into hotels schools houses timber bread and makeupp pthe apparently rapid growth of these new corporate giants was attributed to the genius of the captains of industry who oversaw them men such as james ling and harold geenen but this scale was bought with bonds and debentures with debt and this debt demanded efficiency the great conglomerates faced the problem of persuading tens of thousands of people to be loyal hardworking employees of a giant faceless holding corporationp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomsciencetech202101wokecapitalismappleandamazonmakeshypocritesusallthe woke capitalism of apple and amazon makes hypocrites of us alla]emstrongp pthe solution was found in work that had begun in the 1920s at harvards school of human relations as gillian tett explains in her recent book emanthro visionem companies such as western electric had begun employing anthropologists to listen to their employees and understand their working culture and social relations building on the theory of scientific management developed before the war by the engineer frederick winslow taylor and the growing field of industrialorganisational psychology corporations realised there was money to be made in understanding how their employees feltp pin 1953 the american economist howard r bowen published emsocial responsibilities of the businessmanem in which he introduced the idea of corporate social responsibility the need not only to respect the rights of those inside the business but also to avoid causing harm in the wider world this idea was controversial at first to bowens colleagues at the university of illinois it reeked of socialism and he was forced to resign in 1950 but it proved useful to the new corporate titans employees of huge conglomerates could now be united by popular values such as patriotism and a sense of contributing to wider socioeconomic progressp pthese ideas were spread by the growing class of professional managers from a handful of students at the wharton school in pennsylvania in 1908 the master of business administration mba programme spread across american european and asian universities in the second half of the 20th century until by 2008 more than 100000 mba graduates were entering the workplace each yearp pat the same time that moral managerialism was taking over the world the political parties to which people had once looked for moral guidance were gradually running out of credibility in the 1960s half of british voters knew immediately which side theyd take in a general election by 2018 just 9 per cent of the electorate identified as strong supporters of any political party according to a report published by kings college londons policy institute but people had not become uninterested in politics itself issues causes and projects were now their focusp pin his short film emoh dearismem the film maker adam curtis traces the rise of issuebased politics back to the 19671970 biafran war and the charitable appeals that followed tv news and events such as live aid he argues simplified complex crises such as famines and civil wars removing their political context and presenting them as little more than natural disasters but while political parties vacillated unable to respond in equally simple terms businesses began to claim the moral high ground no sector was more committed to this transfer than the rapidly growing companies of silicon valleyp figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11024x755jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11024x755jpg 1024w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1300x221jpg 300w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1768x566jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11536x1132jpg 1536w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs12048x1509jpg 2048w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1397x293jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1180x133jpg 180w classwpimage238651 height755figcaptionman on a mission as ceo of apple steve jobs inspired in his employees a sense of purpose photo by justin sullivangetty imagesfigcaptionfigure pin 1983 john sculley gave up his job as the youngest ever president of pepsi when a 28yearold steve jobs asked him do you want to sell sugarwater the rest of your life or do you want to come with me and change the world when sculley repeated this anecdote to me 30 years later he has repeated it many times the excitement in his voice was still audiblep pwhat jobs had offered sculley was something no benefits package or equity share could ever match a sense of purpose in the decades since apple has hired thousands of the worlds most talented workers with some version of this promisep pin september 2009 the british advertising executive simon sinek spoke at an event in a ballroom in a suburb of seattle he began by asking the audience why apple was so successful how martin luther king came to lead the civil rights movement and why the wright brothers were first into the air as if these were all comparable achievements made by similar peoplep pi made a discovery sinek said theres a pattern all the great inspiring leaders and organisations in the world whether its apple or martin luther king or the wright brothers they all think act and communicate the exact same way on a flip chart sinek then drew a circle the golden circle and in the middle he wrote the word why the secret to success was not efficiency or inventiveness but vision whats your purpose whats your cause whats your beliefp psineks talk has been watched more than 50 million times the reason for its popularity is not that its true it is the magical bullshit of the professional speaking industry but because it tells the managerial class that it can like steve jobs summon the vision necessary to propel companies to greatness it will be that vision not the people in the factory on the sales floor or in the delivery vans that is the difference between failure and gloryp pthis idea is fundamental to apple google facebook and the other companies of silicon valley which are built on the idea that one can in principle master all things by calculation as the 20thcentury sociologist max weber put it such companies see social environmental and political issues from climate change to racial inequality as equations to be solved by the genius of a gifted few googles moonshot division google x says it aims to use technologies such as machine learning and robotics to solve some of the worlds hardest problems and improve the lives of millions even billions of people it also happens to generate thousands of valuable patents per yearp pthe billionaire ceos of these companies are presented as saviours of the human race mark zuckerberg wants to cure all disease jeff bezos and bill gates want to address the climate crisis elon musk wants to establish human colonies on mars in case jeff and bills plan doesnt work the former ceo of wework adam neumann claimed that the purpose of wework was not to sublet office space but to end world hunger to elevate the worlds consciousness and to give all 150 million of the worlds orphans a familyp pthese people are not scientists doctors or aid workers they are mba graduates  selling targeted advertising web hosting  and office space but as sinek made clear there was no longer any need for a businesss real activities to have any connection to  its missionp pthis mindset allowed andrew bosworth a vicepresident at facebook and creator of the social networks news feed to tell the ugly truth about his company to his colleagues in a 2016 memo all the work we do in growth is justified the subtle language that helps people stay searchable the work we will likely have to do in china he wrote anything that allows us to connect more people more often is de facto goodp pas sheera frenkel and cecilia kang described in their book on facebook eman ugly truthem this view allowed senior facebook employees to ignore the crises their company was creating the managers of silicon valley do not need to think about what their companies are doing now to do so would be a distraction from their real business of changing the world any technological and financial advancement is to them inherently right because it represents progressp pthe salesforce ceo marc benioff has expanded this position over several books including emcompassionate capitalismem 2004 emthe business of changing the worldem 2006 and emtrailblazer the power of business as the greatest platform for changeem 2019 he has campaigned against discriminatory legislation in indiana and georgia and for greater support for homeless people in san francisco at the same time benioff has amassed a personal wealth more than 80000 times the american median and salesforce has used legal measures to minimise its tax payments over the last three years the company has made 41bn in the us and paid no us federal tax whatsoeverp pexecutive megalomania extends in subtler forms across the whole managerial class people who once saw themselves as selling trainers beer or it services now consider themselves the leaders of missiondriven companies solving the worlds problemsp pin recent years the idea has spread that moral authority can be assumed not only by a company or its csuite but by capital itself this idea was codified in a letter sent to hundreds of business leaders by larry fink the cofounder and ceo of the us  investment firm blackrock in 2018p pblackrock invests more than 9tn of other peoples money and its riskmanagement platform aladdin is used to manage a further 25tn it is the largest shareholder in many of the worlds companies after reminding the ceos that blackrocks clients are the true owners of your company fink explained in his letter that governments were failing to prepare for the future and that society increasingly is turning to the private sector and asking that companies respond to broader societal challengesp pcarl rhodes a professor of organisational studies and author of emwoke capitalismem due to be published in november says finks letter was a turning point hes not talking about their core business activities hes saying this is an additional responsibility which exists above and beyond that fink arguably the worlds most powerful ceo was instructing companies that the sense of purpose essential to modern managerialism had now spread to capital markets securities would be priced against virtuep pbut the growth of investments rated against environmental social and governance esg criteria does not actually entail the real commitment to green growth rishi sunak said was needed in his budget speech in march any more than buying a tesla will propel humanity to other worlds governments for all their talk about a green industrial revolution sunak again have left it to banks to make rules on what counts as esgp pthe result is to pick one product the 244m gif global lower carbon equity fund which states its mission as reducing carbon exposure but invests according to its most recent filings in coal mines and coalfired power stations through agl energy and origin energy oil and gas drilling services through maersk and mining barrick gold rio tinto its biggest holdings include microsoft amazon and google all of which are decarbonising their own companies while supplying billions of dollars worth of cloud computing and machine learning services to the oil and gas industry helping companies such as exxonmobil and shell increase production and unlock new depositsp pmany other esg funds contain investments in bp which in 2018 claimed to be drilling the arctic to support the global energy transition it has since sold its alaskan assets and altria owner of philip morris a tobacco harm reduction company that sells more than 200 billion cigarettes per yearp pagain this is about progress just as  silicon valleys sense of mission persuaded the world that mass surveillance limitless consumerism and the monetisation of private space were progressive innovations the moral capital flowing into oil and tobacco companies allows them to argue with straight faces that they are the ones best placed to fix the crises they createdp pin the last ten years google searches for the term imposter syndrome have soared as millennials have ascended to the managerial class and exchanged work that has directly observable results for administration and strategy in the us and uk managerial and administrative jobs have grown faster than other areas of the economy as the late anthropologist david graeber wrote in his 2013 tirade against the makework of the modern economy on the phenomenon of bullshit jobs its as if someone were out there making up pointless jobs just for the sake of keeping us all workingp pthis sense of corporate uselessness is pervasive in 2019 a survey by the chartered institute of personnel and development found that almost a quarter of the uk workforce thought their job made no useful contribution to society seven million people in this country see no point in going to work other than to make moneyp pat the same time the cost of entering the whitecollar workplace has risen precipitously in 15 years the average level of student debt at the point of repayment has more than quadrupled from under 10000 to over 40000 apprentices too pay heavily for their training the minimum wage for an apprentice is 430 an hour entrylevel workers must contend with much higher costs of living stagnant wages and competition from others who can afford unpaid internshipsp pdespite these challenges bobby duffy director of the policy institute at kings college london says it is not the case that an angry new cohort of woke youngsters has arrived to disrupt the workplace duffy says there is not massive evidence that social purpose is a particularly strong or new driver for current younger generations in terms of what they want from employers theres interest in social purpose from all generationsp pwhat has changed says duffy is the  attention paid by businesses to social issues and with it the emergence of an industry of lots of consultants and trainers who focus on microdifferences between generations devoted to pretending that major generational divisions exist in the workplace it  is not so much that younger generations  demand more from the workplace but that the visionaries of the managerial class must be seen to understand the future in the absence of unions which now represent less than 14 per cent of privatesector workers it has become much easier for a company to make disputes appear the fault of restive young snowflakesp pyou dont see corporations arguing for an increase in the minimum wage says carl rhodes you dont see corporations arguing for an increase in corporate taxation so that society can provide better schools and hospitals there may be limited demand for wokery from employees but for companies says rhodes it shifts attention away from economic differences and works to sever the connection between the political and economicp pwhat does woke capitalism want beyond the brand value generated by what chimamanda ngozi adichie calls the passionate performance of virtue there is a greater prize at stakep plast month five of americas largest financial institutions including blackrock and goldman sachs announced plans to use a new questionnaire when buying municipal bonds the securities issued by states and local governments to raise money for public hospitals policing libraries and transport infrastructure the questionnaire asks whether elected representatives are willing to engage with investors on issues regarding racial equity on an ongoing basis and requests data on police officers behaviourp pthis programme is still being developed but it could lead to a situation in which financial institutions decide which cities or states can raise money for public works based on their politics executives will decide if a population is morally deserving of new school buildings and water systems  p pfor such power to be handed over something essential needs to change and there is evidence that this is happening every year since 2000 edelman has released its trust barometer a global report on attitudes to government business ngos charities and the media the 2021 report which surveyed more than 33000 people in 28 countries found that in a year in which governments have raised trillions to fight a global pandemic it is businesses that have gained credibility respondents were more likely to believe a statement from their employer than their government and when asked which group they trusted to do what is right respondents chose ceos over journalists religious leaders or those in government business is the only institution seen as both competent and ethical the report states and the only trusted institutionp pthe final section of jamie dimons letter to his shareholders is a 19page section on public policy not the specific policy that regulates the banking sector but the whole of government it is a presidential address dimons vision for his country a country that has for too long been run by politicians frankly we punted too much of the responsibility to our government he writes few of our institutions are blamelessp pthe embarrassing mismanagement of the world around us the brexit shambles the trump years the failure to act upon the climate crisis presents a moment for business to take on the moral agency of government itself and the power that comes with it for companies that already straddle the globe this is where further expansion lies because they are still for the moment much smaller than the states they inhabitp pwhen jeff bezos then the worlds richest man took the first commercial passenger flight beyond the krmn line and into space this year he did so in safety and luxury to widespread disdain six decades earlier alan shepard made the same trip in discomfort and the knowledge that his rocket stood a good chance of exploding he returned a national hero that 60year gap and the risk shepard was prepared to take is the difference between the state and private enterprise between being transacted with as a company and being loved as a nation and that is the real objective of woke capitalism faith and the authority it confersp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomlongreads202109thespiritoftheagewhythetechbillionaireswanttoleavehumanitybehindthe spirit of the age why the tech billionaires want to leave humanity behinda]emstrongp

pon morning 7 april year jamie dimon ceo jpmorgan chase published annual letter shareholders head americas largest bank reflected brutal murder george floyd racial unrest followed week floyds murder 2020 dimon ceos publicly knee visiting branch new york described bank fully engaged trying solve worlds biggest issues climate change poverty economic development racial inequalityp plater day dimon board jpmorgan chase published document proxy statement banks annual shareholder meeting dimon board recommended voting proposals aimed helping changes claimed support called bank undertake racial equity audit asked review practices political lobbying proposal passed statement revealed dimon letter opined hours earlier fault line fractured country inequality paid 758 times median american incomep pfor company thing hardly new past year contrast virtues espoused businesses real activity money stark reached kind breaking pointp pthe workplace politicised workfocused social network linkedin 188000 people describe job activist activists midwives historians orthodontists scriptwriters past year employees apple worlds profitable company broken strict code silence letters demanded sacking employee written novel considered sexist requesting public statement support people palestine protesting policy asking return office working google company founded motto dont evil engaged legal battle workers sacked protesting work border controlp pto ask ethics corporation like expecting scalpel sense humour mindless tool design wholly odds expectations fair workers apple google naive people suddenly sensitive gullible decades told managerial class companies time energy ideas money exist higher purpose simply making profitp pin organisations affirmed board level chief impact officer impact partner harry duke sussex holds titles coaching company betterup asset manager ethic moral agency communicated consumers pr company edelman identifies cause marketing taking position issue wholly unrelated business effective ways shift unitsp pfor corruption capitalisms true purpose dimon wall street ceos called senate banking committee republican tim scott complained banks taking political positions issues georgias new voting laws opponents restrict voting rights people colour woke capitalism scott said running amok financial institutions country week group consumers research launched sevenfigure advertising campaign targeted ceos cocacola nike american airlines putting woke politics consumer interestsp pbut arguing capitalism unfettered amoral political position business ideals new emoticonomy circumstance created accidentally political parties activists workers deliberately businesses going timep pafter end second world war companies europe use low interest rates launch long period acquisition cheap debt offers companies shareholders couldnt refuse allowed companies especially grow rapidly large conglomerates antitrust legislation prevented businesses buying competitors conglomerates strange manytentacled beasts telecommunications company itt bought hundreds companies 1960s diversifying hotels schools houses timber bread makeupp pthe apparently rapid growth new corporate giants attributed genius captains industry oversaw men james ling harold geenen scale bought bonds debentures debt debt demanded efficiency great conglomerates faced problem persuading tens thousands people loyal hardworking employees giant faceless holding corporationp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomsciencetech202101wokecapitalismappleandamazonmakeshypocritesusallthe woke capitalism apple amazon makes hypocrites alla]emstrongp pthe solution found work begun 1920s harvards school human relations gillian tett explains recent book emanthro visionem companies western electric begun employing anthropologists listen employees understand working culture social relations building theory scientific management developed war engineer frederick winslow taylor growing field industrialorganisational psychology corporations realised money understanding employees feltp pin 1953 american economist howard r bowen published emsocial responsibilities businessmanem introduced idea corporate social responsibility need respect rights inside business avoid causing harm wider world idea controversial bowens colleagues university illinois reeked socialism forced resign 1950 proved useful new corporate titans employees huge conglomerates united popular values patriotism sense contributing wider socioeconomic progressp pthese ideas spread growing class professional managers handful students wharton school pennsylvania 1908 master business administration mba programme spread american european asian universities second half 20th century 2008 100000 mba graduates entering workplace yearp pat time moral managerialism taking world political parties people looked moral guidance gradually running credibility 1960s half british voters knew immediately theyd general election 2018 9 cent electorate identified strong supporters political party according report published kings college londons policy institute people uninterested politics issues causes projects focusp pin short film emoh dearismem film maker adam curtis traces rise issuebased politics 19671970 biafran war charitable appeals followed tv news events live aid argues simplified complex crises famines civil wars removing political context presenting little natural disasters political parties vacillated unable respond equally simple terms businesses began claim moral high ground sector committed transfer rapidly growing companies silicon valleyp figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11024x755jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11024x755jpg 1024w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1300x221jpg 300w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1768x566jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs11536x1132jpg 1536w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs12048x1509jpg 2048w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1397x293jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142stevejobs1180x133jpg 180w classwpimage238651 height755figcaptionman mission ceo apple steve jobs inspired employees sense purpose photo justin sullivangetty imagesfigcaptionfigure pin 1983 john sculley gave job youngest president pepsi 28yearold steve jobs asked want sell sugarwater rest life want come change world sculley repeated anecdote 30 years later repeated times excitement voice audiblep pwhat jobs offered sculley benefits package equity share match sense purpose decades apple hired thousands worlds talented workers version promisep pin september 2009 british advertising executive simon sinek spoke event ballroom suburb seattle began asking audience apple successful martin luther king came lead civil rights movement wright brothers air comparable achievements similar peoplep pi discovery sinek said theres pattern great inspiring leaders organisations world apple martin luther king wright brothers think act communicate exact way flip chart sinek drew circle golden circle middle wrote word secret success efficiency inventiveness vision whats purpose whats cause whats beliefp psineks talk watched 50 million times reason popularity true magical bullshit professional speaking industry tells managerial class like steve jobs summon vision necessary propel companies greatness vision people factory sales floor delivery vans difference failure gloryp pthis idea fundamental apple google facebook companies silicon valley built idea principle master things calculation 20thcentury sociologist max weber companies social environmental political issues climate change racial inequality equations solved genius gifted googles moonshot division google x says aims use technologies machine learning robotics solve worlds hardest problems improve lives millions billions people happens generate thousands valuable patents yearp pthe billionaire ceos companies presented saviours human race mark zuckerberg wants cure disease jeff bezos bill gates want address climate crisis elon musk wants establish human colonies mars case jeff bills plan doesnt work ceo wework adam neumann claimed purpose wework sublet office space end world hunger elevate worlds consciousness 150 million worlds orphans familyp pthese people scientists doctors aid workers mba graduates selling targeted advertising web hosting office space sinek clear longer need businesss real activities connection missionp pthis mindset allowed andrew bosworth vicepresident facebook creator social networks news feed tell ugly truth company colleagues 2016 memo work growth justified subtle language helps people stay searchable work likely china wrote allows connect people de facto goodp pas sheera frenkel cecilia kang described book facebook eman ugly truthem view allowed senior facebook employees ignore crises company creating managers silicon valley need think companies distraction real business changing world technological financial advancement inherently right represents progressp pthe salesforce ceo marc benioff expanded position books including emcompassionate capitalismem 2004 emthe business changing worldem 2006 emtrailblazer power business greatest platform changeem 2019 campaigned discriminatory legislation indiana georgia greater support homeless people san francisco time benioff amassed personal wealth 80000 times american median salesforce legal measures minimise tax payments years company 41bn paid federal tax whatsoeverp pexecutive megalomania extends subtler forms managerial class people saw selling trainers beer services consider leaders missiondriven companies solving worlds problemsp pin recent years idea spread moral authority assumed company csuite capital idea codified letter sent hundreds business leaders larry fink cofounder ceo investment firm blackrock 2018p pblackrock invests 9tn peoples money riskmanagement platform aladdin manage 25tn largest shareholder worlds companies reminding ceos blackrocks clients true owners company fink explained letter governments failing prepare future society increasingly turning private sector asking companies respond broader societal challengesp pcarl rhodes professor organisational studies author emwoke capitalismem published november says finks letter turning point hes talking core business activities hes saying additional responsibility exists fink arguably worlds powerful ceo instructing companies sense purpose essential modern managerialism spread capital markets securities priced virtuep pbut growth investments rated environmental social governance esg criteria actually entail real commitment green growth rishi sunak said needed budget speech march buying tesla propel humanity worlds governments talk green industrial revolution sunak left banks rules counts esgp pthe result pick product 244m gif global lower carbon equity fund states mission reducing carbon exposure invests according recent filings coal mines coalfired power stations agl energy origin energy oil gas drilling services maersk mining barrick gold rio tinto biggest holdings include microsoft amazon google decarbonising companies supplying billions dollars worth cloud computing machine learning services oil gas industry helping companies exxonmobil shell increase production unlock new depositsp pmany esg funds contain investments bp 2018 claimed drilling arctic support global energy transition sold alaskan assets altria owner philip morris tobacco harm reduction company sells 200 billion cigarettes yearp pagain progress silicon valleys sense mission persuaded world mass surveillance limitless consumerism monetisation private space progressive innovations moral capital flowing oil tobacco companies allows argue straight faces ones best placed fix crises createdp pin years google searches term imposter syndrome soared millennials ascended managerial class exchanged work directly observable results administration strategy uk managerial administrative jobs grown faster areas economy late anthropologist david graeber wrote 2013 tirade makework modern economy phenomenon bullshit jobs making pointless jobs sake keeping workingp pthis sense corporate uselessness pervasive 2019 survey chartered institute personnel development found quarter uk workforce thought job useful contribution society seven million people country point going work moneyp pat time cost entering whitecollar workplace risen precipitously 15 years average level student debt point repayment quadrupled 10000 40000 apprentices pay heavily training minimum wage apprentice 430 hour entrylevel workers contend higher costs living stagnant wages competition afford unpaid internshipsp pdespite challenges bobby duffy director policy institute kings college london says case angry new cohort woke youngsters arrived disrupt workplace duffy says massive evidence social purpose particularly strong new driver current younger generations terms want employers theres interest social purpose generationsp pwhat changed says duffy attention paid businesses social issues emergence industry lots consultants trainers focus microdifferences generations devoted pretending major generational divisions exist workplace younger generations demand workplace visionaries managerial class seen understand future absence unions represent 14 cent privatesector workers easier company disputes appear fault restive young snowflakesp pyou dont corporations arguing increase minimum wage says carl rhodes dont corporations arguing increase corporate taxation society provide better schools hospitals limited demand wokery employees companies says rhodes shifts attention away economic differences works sever connection political economicp pwhat woke capitalism want brand value generated chimamanda ngozi adichie calls passionate performance virtue greater prize stakep plast month americas largest financial institutions including blackrock goldman sachs announced plans use new questionnaire buying municipal bonds securities issued states local governments raise money public hospitals policing libraries transport infrastructure questionnaire asks elected representatives willing engage investors issues racial equity ongoing basis requests data police officers behaviourp pthis programme developed lead situation financial institutions decide cities states raise money public works based politics executives decide population morally deserving new school buildings water systemsp pfor power handed essential needs change evidence happening year 2000 edelman released trust barometer global report attitudes government business ngos charities media 2021 report surveyed 33000 people 28 countries found year governments raised trillions fight global pandemic businesses gained credibility respondents likely believe statement employer government asked group trusted right respondents chose ceos journalists religious leaders government business institution seen competent ethical report states trusted institutionp pthe final section jamie dimons letter shareholders 19page section public policy specific policy regulates banking sector government presidential address dimons vision country country long run politicians frankly punted responsibility government writes institutions blamelessp pthe embarrassing mismanagement world brexit shambles trump years failure act climate crisis presents moment business moral agency government power comes companies straddle globe expansion lies moment smaller states inhabitp pwhen jeff bezos worlds richest man took commercial passenger flight krmn line space year safety luxury widespread disdain decades earlier alan shepard trip discomfort knowledge rocket stood good chance exploding returned national hero 60year gap risk shepard prepared difference state private enterprise transacted company loved nation real objective woke capitalism faith authority confersp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomlongreads202109thespiritoftheagewhythetechbillionaireswanttoleavehumanitybehindthe spirit age tech billionaires want leave humanity behinda]emstrongp

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Afghanistan shows the American dream of remaking the world is over

pthe abrupt disappearance of a familiar world leaves a sense of unreality in those who witness it when an unhinged rabble stormed the capitol building in washington dc in january it was hard to believe the scenes broadcast across the world were happening a similar sense of disbelief is produced by images of american and allied forces struggling to extract their citizens and partners from the grip of a triumphant taliban in afghanistan the two events are part of the same process of disintegration the disorder that has been loosed on the world reflects the disorder that reigns in the united states itselfp pthere are many who think joe bidens decision to accept the afghanistan withdrawal plan negotiated by donald trump in doha in february 2020 was simply a default in leadership biden should have disowned trumps deal or delayed its implementation until conditions looked more propitious the uss retreat was needless and the decline of american power can be reversed by an act of will it is not only a shrunken army of neoconservatives seething in their washington bunkers who think this way so does tony blair when he fulminates against bidens imbecilic decisionp pit is true that the biden administrations handling of americas withdrawal has been deplorable leaving bagram airbase in the dead of night on 1 july without informing the local afghan commander and programming electricity and water supplies to be shut off after the last plane had departed prefigured the chaos that followed the base housed a prison widely feared and hated by afghans as a centre where largescale torture was practised which contained thousands of inmates many of them fighters from the taliban and islamic state they soon escaped or were releasedp parrant incompetence characterised the american exit from the start but attributing the afghan tragedy to joe bidens poor judgement and allegedly waning mental powers is a copout instead the retreat is the outcome of 20 years and more of liberal overreach in the us and its allies if anyone is senile it is the political class that mired the west in this conflict bidens decision may yet be remembered as a long overdue shift to realism in american foreign policyp pit is worth asking what the us and nato believed they were doing in afghanistan the official narrative propagated by the governments involved in the afghan mission is that the original plan was to prevent the country from being used as a safe haven for terrorists and that this was achieved exiting in present circumstances has left the west more vulnerable they argue and at the same time signals to its allies that they cannot count on its protectionp pthere is some truth in this story it is not only ukraine and taiwan that suspect they too could be abandoned by the us japan israel the gulf states the baltic states and georgia will be wondering how much american guarantees of their security are worth jihadism has been reenergised a trend already manifesting itself in countries such as somalia and mali a horrendous refugee crisis is brewing desperate afghans fleeing terror and famine who only weeks ago were being assured that human rights are universal will face sealed borders across europe within afghanistan the us pullout has handed the initiative to terrorist forces even more extreme than the taliban such as isis and various jihadist splinter groupsp pthe dangers are all too clear yet installing an army of occupation was never a sustainable strategy more than the us switching its attention to another misbegotten war in iraq it was this fateful decision that made disaster unavoidable occupying afghanistan meant waging a counterinsurgency campaign which in turn meant a failed exercise in nationbuilding an ignominious exit was preordainedp pthere were better ways of defending the west the campaign of disabling terrorist sites by bombing which drove osama bin laden and alqaeda from the country could have been turned into a permanent threat backed by that of concentrated ground operations pressure could have been exerted on pakistan whose military interservices intelligence agency isi nurtured and sheltered the taliban throughout its historyp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomafghanistan202109jeremybowensdiarywherethewestwentwronginafghanistantheruinsofhelmandandmysharpnewattirejeremy bowens diary where the west went wrong in afghanistan the ruins of helmand and my sharp new attirea]emstrongp plaunching a counterinsurgency campaign defied the lessons of history the last major victory in a war of this kind was in the malayan emergency in the 1950s where the british were able to deploy an existing state infrastructure against communist rebels in afghanistan a modern state had to be constructed from scratch an impossible task as afghan history has repeatedly demonstrated if a small western garrison had been kept in place as some have proposed it would have only delayed the final reckoning all the taliban had to do was waitp pwhen a modern state has existed in afghanistan it has been superimposed on a country of tribes and clans and this is the case today around threequarters of the population live in villages where identities and loyalties are local and tribal for these rural communities which suffered the worst carnage of the war the afghan nation is a fictionp pthis may explain the uncanny ease with which kabul fell which seemed to surprise even the taliban knowing the weakness of the state the real holders of power local and regional governors police chiefs and clan leaders surrendered without hesitation the kabul government functioned principally as an instrument of kleptocratic elites aid funds were siphoned off on a stupendous scale ghost soldiers were invented and their salaries stolen while actual soldiers went unpaid the legal system installed by the allies was slow and corrupt forcing many afghans to turn to taliban justice insteadp pthe government did secure improvements in society particularly for urban women but these gains were dependent on keeping the taliban at bay which demanded a permanent colonialstyle military presence in the country it was never a viable option no democracy can sustain an indefinite loss of life for such an endlessly receding goal the women and girls who are being denied a proper education and dragged off to sexual slavery are casualties of promises that could not be keptp psome suggest afghanistans new rulers are savvier now than when they were in power between 1996 and 2001 they may be but that does not make them any less malevolent the liberal west understands fanaticism as the result of ignorance and error as human beings grow smarter they will be less cruel and repressive it is a dangerous delusion taliban forces are making housetohouse searches using handheld digital surveillance devices left behind in the allied retreat wherever they can they deploy new technologies to enforce a virulent fundamentalist ideology nothing is more prototypically modern than fundamentalism the attempt to recreate a crudely simplified version of an irretrievable past describing the taliban as taking the country back to the middle ages does an injustice to the subtler cultures of medieval timesp pthe new selfdeclared emirate threatens the west its friends and its enemies alike while delighting in americas humiliation china and russia have jihadist threats of their own to contend with india fears afghanistan will become a base for terror groups like the one that carried out the 2008 attacks in mumbai iran and pakistan welcome american defeat but worry about a further influx of refugees on top of the millions they already host unlike vietnam where american withdrawal failed to cause a domino effect for communism in southeast asia afghanistans future is a crucial factor in regional and global power strugglesp pnationbuilding in afghanistan demonstrated the limitations of a model of development that has mesmerised thinkers and governments from all parts of the political spectrum for generations modernisation means catching up with the west and adopting its institutions and values temporary deviations are permissible given the imperfections of local cultures but all societies are moving towards a single destination an idealised replica of the kind of state and society that used  to exist in some western countriesp pthis view of modernisation was promoted by ashraf ghani afghan president between september 2014 and august 2021 in the book emfixing failed states a framework for rebuilding a fractured worldem coauthored with the british human rights lawyer clare lockhart 2008 the two founded a washingtonbased consultancy the institute of state effectiveness in 2005 by the time of the american withdrawal ghani was a worldrenowned expert on development when the taliban reached the outskirts of kabul he fled the country and now lives abroadp pghanis model originates in 18thcentury europe when economists such as annerobertjacques turgot 172781 and adam smith 172390 presented human development as unfolding in a series of distinct phases terminating in commercial societies of the kind in which they lived progress consisted of transforming or eliminating any remnants of earlier and supposedly more primitive forms of life in their own societies such as village communities while others followed in the wake of this ongoing advancep plater thinkers accepted the idea of all of humankind moving through the same phases of development even if they changed the ultimate destination karl marx writing in the emnew york herald tribuneem in 1853 praised british imperialism for disrupting the undignified stagnant and vegetative life of indian villages though modified by lenin marxs view of preindustrial life framed the soviet effort to catch up with and overtake the capitalist west through forcedmarch industrialisation which led to millions dying in the collectivisation of agriculture in the early 1930s a generation later a parallel concept known as forceddraft urbanisation developed by the american political scientist samuel huntington was applied as a strategy in the vietnam war resulting in the mass displacement of vietnamese villagersp pthe belief that modernising meant copying the west resurfaced during the shortlived gorbachev era between 1985 and 1991 when jubilant liberals imagined postcommunist russia becoming a democracy like canada or sweden this fantasy had an academic pedigree in the work of the harvard sociologist daniel bell 19192011 who in emthe end of ideologyem 1960 envisioned soviet communism and liberal capitalism converging in some variant of social democracy bells analysis was revisited by francis fukuyama in emthe origins of political order em2011 where the worlds central political problem was defined as getting to denmarkp pthere are radical defects in this neocolonial vision which many in the ruling elites of developing countries for all their antiwestern stances have embraced liberal democracy developed over centuries in conflicts that included revolutions civil wars dictatorships and two world wars the idea that this fraught history could be compressed into a couple of decades was delusional conceivably a modern state could have been fashioned in afghanistan by building on traditional structures of authority in villages and tribes but that would have meant admitting that there could be more than one path of political development for the country a possibility that seems never to have been seriously consideredp ptoday the liberal mode of government is decaying in the countries where it originated the us in particular shows many of the signs of a state in disrepair an american cultural revolution has transformed the country out of recognition police forces are being defunded and some cities such as portland are not far from becoming ungoverned spaces a combination of ultraprogressive social policies and neoliberal capitalism is turning others such as san francisco into drugsodden shanty towns but without the informal communities that preserve some semblance of order in developing countries superficially at odds neoliberalism and the prevailing progressivism have a common root in the privileging of individual choice over other human values together they erode the social bonds that individuals need in  order to make meaningful decisions the result is an acute form of anomiep pthe esoteric liberalism of languagepurification and thoughtcleansing that has seized control of many american universities and institutions can be understood as an attempt to impose a kind of solidarity on the resulting chaos universities in particular are theatres for maoiststyle struggle sessions while much of the media is engaged in agitprop practically all of americas institutions are sites of political warfare in these conditions any attempt to export american ideas of government will be seen as the globalisation of americas disordersp figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1024x683jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1024x683jpg 1024w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal300x200jpg 300w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal768x513jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1536x1025jpg 1536w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal2048x1367jpg 2048w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal397x265jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal180x120jpg 180w classwpimage238671 height683figcaptionfailed intervention evacuees board a us air force plane in kabul on 17 august 2021 photo by senior airman brennen legeapfigcaptionfigure pbut there is little likelihood of any future project of that kind a country that has dissolved into warring ideological tribes lacks the taste for foreign adventures many expect these divisions will pass and someday they will but the world will not wait on america to resolve its internecine warfare and in the meantime us foreign policies will need to be less erratic if the countrys international standing is to be salvagedp pperhaps biden has begun this renewal on 1 september he announced the decision about afghanistan is not just about afghanistan its about ending an era of major military operations to remake other countriesp pthis biden doctrine has been denounced as a stratagem aimed at the midterm elections in november 2022 but biden has voiced doubts about the afghan mission for at least a decade and it could be that his new doctrine marks a turn to a more restrained and realistic american foreign policyp pto claim that us withdrawal could have been averted is to fail to grasp the necessity of what is now unfolding it may be true that afghanistans fate was sealed with trumps exit plan which told the taliban the war was over but trump proposed the plan because he knew promising to end foreign wars was a key lever in coming to power while biden knew that if he declined to implement the plan he would boost trumps chances of reelectionp pa tragedy that can be avoided by willpower is not a tragedy a crumbling pax americana is the logic of events and it is not a process america can unilaterally reverse an argument can be made that the end of the afghan war enables the us to focus on china and renew its military preeminence through the use of ultraadvanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and robotics however the next phase in world order will be shaped not by what the us plans to do but more by what other states are already doingp pnations throughout the world that have relied on american power for their security will hedge their bets in late august this year saudi arabia a longstanding strategic ally of the us signed a military cooperation agreement with russia poland disappointed and anxious since the us tacitly endorsed russias nord stream 2 gas pipeline to germany earlier this year has been forging closer links with china a trend evident in viktor orbns hungary for years european leaders such as emmanuel macron and ursula von der leyen have talked of the need to develop european strategic autonomy yet after decades of declarations of intent a european army remains a phantom a creaking structure composed of 27 states cannot support a credible defence union in practice the pursuit of a chimerical independent defence capability will only strengthen europes urge to seek an accommodation with russia and chinap pthis strategic vacuum in europe may be part of the rationale for the historic aukus pact between the us uk and australia to build a new fleet of nuclearpropelled submarines and collaborate in the indopacific region if chinas expansion must be contained only the us can do it but it should be clear that the upshot cannot be a renewal of american hegemony the rise of china is part of an unalterable shift from western dominance we will continue to inhabit a world more like that before 1914 in which a number of great  powers compete with one another for status and resourcesp pthere are many reasons for the afghan debacle besides the fatal decision to install an army of occupation rigid western military bureaucracies profiteering washington contractors corrupt afghan elites and the exigencies of american politics have all played a part but the ultimate causes lie in the mindset which believes that humankind advances by becoming more like the westp pthere is no universal human agent advancing through history human beings have common needs but they also want different futures do afghan villagers truly yearn for the personal autonomy pursued by a westernised middle class in afghan cities could it not be that much of the afghan population remains attached to the tribal identities that have thwarted attempts to remake the country in the past when the west looks at afghanistan might it be seeing a blurred image of itself rather than the complex and discordant truthp pfor liberals these questions are akin to blasphemy the rulesbased liberal order was always in part an illusion power was more important than rules but the illusion maintained a kind of stability until power moved elsewhere with the rise of china russias  reemergence as a major player and indias increasing role as a counterweight to china any reference to the international community today demands a suspension of disbelief the west has ceased to be the deciding force in world events without noticing the factp pthis blindness is not surprising for figures such as tony blair who imagined a new humanity was emerging globalised and progressive understanding the present would destroy their selfimage dreading this trauma they remain transfixed by the alternate reality they have constructed in their minds as a consequence the west suffers from a chronic cognitive disorder which prevents it from framing workable strategies for its own survivalp pfor all its crusades and selfdestructive impulses what remains of a western way of life is worth preserving but defending it effectively means renouncing the attempt to project our values into societies we do not understand there are many ways of being modern some of them like the talibans attempt to impose a fundamentalist ideology on afghanistan and the ensuing resurgence of worldwide jihadism are a threat to the west in a different and more profound manner so is the hightech totalitarian experiment under way in china balancing these and other threats such as climate change and the risk of future pandemics will be extremely challenging what is needed above all is a sense of realityp pbut unless the west can shed the delusion that the rest of humankind is a backward version of itself tragedies like that enacted in afghanistan will be repeated in new and possibly more grandiose formsp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics202108graveyardempireswhyamericanpowerfailedafghanistanthe graveyard of empires why american power failed in afghanistana]emstrongp

pthe abrupt disappearance familiar world leaves sense unreality witness unhinged rabble stormed capitol building washington dc january hard believe scenes broadcast world happening similar sense disbelief produced images american allied forces struggling extract citizens partners grip triumphant taliban afghanistan events process disintegration disorder loosed world reflects disorder reigns united states itselfp pthere think joe bidens decision accept afghanistan withdrawal plan negotiated donald trump doha february 2020 simply default leadership biden disowned trumps deal delayed implementation conditions looked propitious uss retreat needless decline american power reversed act shrunken army neoconservatives seething washington bunkers think way tony blair fulminates bidens imbecilic decisionp pit true biden administrations handling americas withdrawal deplorable leaving bagram airbase dead night 1 july informing local afghan commander programming electricity water supplies shut plane departed prefigured chaos followed base housed prison widely feared hated afghans centre largescale torture practised contained thousands inmates fighters taliban islamic state soon escaped releasedp parrant incompetence characterised american exit start attributing afghan tragedy joe bidens poor judgement allegedly waning mental powers copout instead retreat outcome 20 years liberal overreach allies senile political class mired west conflict bidens decision remembered long overdue shift realism american foreign policyp pit worth asking nato believed afghanistan official narrative propagated governments involved afghan mission original plan prevent country safe haven terrorists achieved exiting present circumstances left west vulnerable argue time signals allies count protectionp pthere truth story ukraine taiwan suspect abandoned japan israel gulf states baltic states georgia wondering american guarantees security worth jihadism reenergised trend manifesting countries somalia mali horrendous refugee crisis brewing desperate afghans fleeing terror famine weeks ago assured human rights universal face sealed borders europe afghanistan pullout handed initiative terrorist forces extreme taliban isis jihadist splinter groupsp pthe dangers clear installing army occupation sustainable strategy switching attention misbegotten war iraq fateful decision disaster unavoidable occupying afghanistan meant waging counterinsurgency campaign turn meant failed exercise nationbuilding ignominious exit preordainedp pthere better ways defending west campaign disabling terrorist sites bombing drove osama bin laden alqaeda country turned permanent threat backed concentrated ground operations pressure exerted pakistan military interservices intelligence agency isi nurtured sheltered taliban historyp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomafghanistan202109jeremybowensdiarywherethewestwentwronginafghanistantheruinsofhelmandandmysharpnewattirejeremy bowens diary west went wrong afghanistan ruins helmand sharp new attirea]emstrongp plaunching counterinsurgency campaign defied lessons history major victory war kind malayan emergency 1950s british able deploy existing state infrastructure communist rebels afghanistan modern state constructed scratch impossible task afghan history repeatedly demonstrated small western garrison kept place proposed delayed final reckoning taliban waitp pwhen modern state existed afghanistan superimposed country tribes clans case today threequarters population live villages identities loyalties local tribal rural communities suffered worst carnage war afghan nation fictionp pthis explain uncanny ease kabul fell surprise taliban knowing weakness state real holders power local regional governors police chiefs clan leaders surrendered hesitation kabul government functioned principally instrument kleptocratic elites aid funds siphoned stupendous scale ghost soldiers invented salaries stolen actual soldiers went unpaid legal system installed allies slow corrupt forcing afghans turn taliban justice insteadp pthe government secure improvements society particularly urban women gains dependent keeping taliban bay demanded permanent colonialstyle military presence country viable option democracy sustain indefinite loss life endlessly receding goal women girls denied proper education dragged sexual slavery casualties promises keptp psome suggest afghanistans new rulers savvier power 1996 2001 malevolent liberal west understands fanaticism result ignorance error human beings grow smarter cruel repressive dangerous delusion taliban forces making housetohouse searches handheld digital surveillance devices left allied retreat deploy new technologies enforce virulent fundamentalist ideology prototypically modern fundamentalism attempt recreate crudely simplified version irretrievable past describing taliban taking country middle ages injustice subtler cultures medieval timesp pthe new selfdeclared emirate threatens west friends enemies alike delighting americas humiliation china russia jihadist threats contend india fears afghanistan base terror groups like carried 2008 attacks mumbai iran pakistan welcome american defeat worry influx refugees millions host unlike vietnam american withdrawal failed cause domino effect communism southeast asia afghanistans future crucial factor regional global power strugglesp pnationbuilding afghanistan demonstrated limitations model development mesmerised thinkers governments parts political spectrum generations modernisation means catching west adopting institutions values temporary deviations permissible given imperfections local cultures societies moving single destination idealised replica kind state society exist western countriesp pthis view modernisation promoted ashraf ghani afghan president september 2014 august 2021 book emfixing failed states framework rebuilding fractured worldem coauthored british human rights lawyer clare lockhart 2008 founded washingtonbased consultancy institute state effectiveness 2005 time american withdrawal ghani worldrenowned expert development taliban reached outskirts kabul fled country lives abroadp pghanis model originates 18thcentury europe economists annerobertjacques turgot 172781 adam smith 172390 presented human development unfolding series distinct phases terminating commercial societies kind lived progress consisted transforming eliminating remnants earlier supposedly primitive forms life societies village communities followed wake ongoing advancep plater thinkers accepted idea humankind moving phases development changed ultimate destination karl marx writing emnew york herald tribuneem 1853 praised british imperialism disrupting undignified stagnant vegetative life indian villages modified lenin marxs view preindustrial life framed soviet effort catch overtake capitalist west forcedmarch industrialisation led millions dying collectivisation agriculture early 1930s generation later parallel concept known forceddraft urbanisation developed american political scientist samuel huntington applied strategy vietnam war resulting mass displacement vietnamese villagersp pthe belief modernising meant copying west resurfaced shortlived gorbachev era 1985 1991 jubilant liberals imagined postcommunist russia democracy like canada sweden fantasy academic pedigree work harvard sociologist daniel bell 19192011 emthe end ideologyem 1960 envisioned soviet communism liberal capitalism converging variant social democracy bells analysis revisited francis fukuyama emthe origins political order em2011 worlds central political problem defined getting denmarkp pthere radical defects neocolonial vision ruling elites developing countries antiwestern stances embraced liberal democracy developed centuries conflicts included revolutions civil wars dictatorships world wars idea fraught history compressed couple decades delusional conceivably modern state fashioned afghanistan building traditional structures authority villages tribes meant admitting path political development country possibility seriously consideredp ptoday liberal mode government decaying countries originated particular shows signs state disrepair american cultural revolution transformed country recognition police forces defunded cities portland far ungoverned spaces combination ultraprogressive social policies neoliberal capitalism turning san francisco drugsodden shanty towns informal communities preserve semblance order developing countries superficially odds neoliberalism prevailing progressivism common root privileging individual choice human values erode social bonds individuals need order meaningful decisions result acute form anomiep pthe esoteric liberalism languagepurification thoughtcleansing seized control american universities institutions understood attempt impose kind solidarity resulting chaos universities particular theatres maoiststyle struggle sessions media engaged agitprop practically americas institutions sites political warfare conditions attempt export american ideas government seen globalisation americas disordersp figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1024x683jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1024x683jpg 1024w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal300x200jpg 300w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal768x513jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal1536x1025jpg 1536w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal2048x1367jpg 2048w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal397x265jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202110202142withdrawal180x120jpg 180w classwpimage238671 height683figcaptionfailed intervention evacuees board air force plane kabul 17 august 2021 photo senior airman brennen legeapfigcaptionfigure pbut little likelihood future project kind country dissolved warring ideological tribes lacks taste foreign adventures expect divisions pass someday world wait america resolve internecine warfare meantime foreign policies need erratic countrys international standing salvagedp pperhaps biden begun renewal 1 september announced decision afghanistan afghanistan ending era major military operations remake countriesp pthis biden doctrine denounced stratagem aimed midterm elections november 2022 biden voiced doubts afghan mission decade new doctrine marks turn restrained realistic american foreign policyp pto claim withdrawal averted fail grasp necessity unfolding true afghanistans fate sealed trumps exit plan told taliban war trump proposed plan knew promising end foreign wars key lever coming power biden knew declined implement plan boost trumps chances reelectionp pa tragedy avoided willpower tragedy crumbling pax americana logic events process america unilaterally reverse argument end afghan war enables focus china renew military preeminence use ultraadvanced technologies artificial intelligence robotics phase world order shaped plans states doingp pnations world relied american power security hedge bets late august year saudi arabia longstanding strategic ally signed military cooperation agreement russia poland disappointed anxious tacitly endorsed russias nord stream 2 gas pipeline germany earlier year forging closer links china trend evident viktor orbns hungary years european leaders emmanuel macron ursula von der leyen talked need develop european strategic autonomy decades declarations intent european army remains phantom creaking structure composed 27 states support credible defence union practice pursuit chimerical independent defence capability strengthen europes urge seek accommodation russia chinap pthis strategic vacuum europe rationale historic aukus pact uk australia build new fleet nuclearpropelled submarines collaborate indopacific region chinas expansion contained clear upshot renewal american hegemony rise china unalterable shift western dominance continue inhabit world like 1914 number great powers compete status resourcesp pthere reasons theafghan debacle fatal decision install army occupation rigid western military bureaucracies profiteering washington contractors corrupt afghan elites exigencies american politics played ultimate causes lie mindset believes humankind advances like westp pthere universal human agent advancing history human beings common needs want different futures afghan villagers truly yearn personal autonomy pursued westernised middle class afghan cities afghan population remains attached tribal identities thwarted attempts remake country past west looks afghanistan seeing blurred image complex discordant truthp pfor liberals questions akin blasphemy rulesbased liberal order illusion power important rules illusion maintained kind stability power moved rise china russias reemergence major player indias increasing role counterweight china reference international community today demands suspension disbelief west ceased deciding force world events noticing factp pthis blindness surprising figures tony blair imagined new humanity emerging globalised progressive understanding present destroy selfimage dreading trauma remain transfixed alternate reality constructed minds consequence west suffers chronic cognitive disorder prevents framing workable strategies survivalp pfor crusades selfdestructive impulses remains western way life worth preserving defending effectively means renouncing attempt project values societies understand ways modern like talibans attempt impose fundamentalist ideology afghanistan ensuing resurgence worldwide jihadism threat west different profound manner hightech totalitarian experiment way china balancing threats climate change risk future pandemics extremely challenging needed sense realityp pbut west shed delusion rest humankind backward version tragedies like enacted afghanistan repeated new possibly grandiose formsp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics202108graveyardempireswhyamericanpowerfailedafghanistanthe graveyard empires american power failed afghanistana]emstrongp

6170ac37e579af57fa2df72b

Kathleen Stock and Sussex University: the war over academic freedom

pon saturday 16 october nearly one hundred people took over an open day at the university of sussex to protest the employment of kathleen stock a professor of philosophy stock out get kathleen off our campus no terfs here rang the chants dont come to sussex they warned visitorsp pbut of what were they warning them a leaflet handed out by the protesters laid out their views stock is one of this wretched islands most prominent transphobes it said the letters vituperative tone at times overwhelmed its authors accuracy consencus nessecity fire kathleen stock it concluded until then youll see us aroundp pwhen i visited stock recently she spoke haltingly of the slow burn of her social isolation at sussex punctured as it has been by the discovery of new online attacks and internal emails undermining her in the wake of any publicity she attractsp pstock who believes that biological sex is immutable and occasionally takes precedence over someones gender identity told me that a campaign has been waged against her since she raised concerns in 2018 over a shift away from sexbased rights to a world where any male could identify as a woman through selfdeclaration alone a process known as selfid this month is just the endgame some of my colleagues have been spinning a line against me for a long time she told mep pi asked nehaal bajwa the diversity officer at sussex students union how stock was contributing to the dire state of unsafety for trans people in this colonial shithole as the leaflet put it stocks views created an unsafe atmosphere for trans students bajwa said as protesters overtook the campus square setting off pink and blue flares stock cancelled her courses and followed police advice to stay off campus and secure her home i asked a protester whether the demo was designed to be intimidating were standing still they said her presence to us is intimidatingp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110kathleenstocktransrightsandacrisisoffreespeechinbritishuniversitieskathleen stock trans rights and a crisis of free speech in british universitiesa]emstrongp pthe conflict dates back to may 2018 when stock published a blog post that calmly raised concerns over the shift to selfid some have pointed out she wrote that this change in the law will allow some duplicitous or badly motivated males to change gender fairly easily putting women at risk not from those who are trans but from predatory menp pwomen were being redefined stock added the category of women has historically been defined she noted in virtue of oppression on the basis of biological and reproductive characteristics given that trans women did not share these characteristics their lived experience differed materially from females she said it would be inaccurate stock suggested not to distinguish between these sets of experiencesp pthese views have led to stock being denigrated by some of her fellow academics at sussex university certain people seem to be emboldened to behave badly a supportive colleague of stocks told me the fact there is a police investigation surely means something really bad has happenedp pstock the child of a philosophy lecturer and a newspaper proofreader has been teaching at sussex for nearly two decades this year has been among the most notable in her career she was awarded an obe in the new year honours prompting more than 600 academics to sign an open letter in criticism of the decision and her book emmaterial girls why reality matters for feminismem was publishedp pmany of her supporters believe that stocks academic freedom is at risk after her blog post in may and a followup interview in the brighton emargusem her office was defaced with stickers stating if your feminism doesnt include all women its not feminism terfs not welcome herep pin 2018 the emargusem ran pieces in which interviewees accused stock of putting students at physical and mental risk and warned antitrans groups not to hijack pride stock who is gay was quoted and pictured the sussex students union accused stock of transphobia on facebook and a spyhole was put in stocks office door by campus security in 2019 she was shown the quickest routes off stage at a graduationp pbut the university did not act to address this culture of harassment despite one fellow professor regularly hounding stock online in all but name and another academic openly tweeting shame on stock and her fellow transphobic ilk instead administrators gave stocks critics access to the internal email system to send schoolwide messages without offering stock a right of reply and those in managerial roles supported her critics rather than remaining neutral stock became ever more socially isolatedp pthree of stocks four fellow professors of philosophy at sussex told me that they supported her academic freedom but none would say so publicly despite more than 200 uk academic philosophers signing an open letter supporting stocks and others right to raise concerns on this matter the oxford historian timothy garton ash tweeted whatever your views on her views on gender and sexual identity every civilised person must condemn this harassment [and] intimidation of a woman on campus its discrimination in the name of antidiscrimination harassment in the name of antiharassmentp pthe outgoing sussex vicechancellor adam tickell declined to speak to me in a statement the university said it had spoken out against bullying and harassment tickell recently made a clear statement in support of stock on bbc radio yet he and his team are acting late having left the accusation that one of their professors is transphobic unaddressed for years stock is now likely to leave her postbrbrstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen are in a bigger fight than the suffragettes helen joyce on the trans debatea]emstrongp

pon saturday 16 october nearly people took open day university sussex protest employment kathleen stock professor philosophy stock kathleen campus terfs rang chants dont come sussex warned visitorsp pbut warning leaflet handed protesters laid views stock wretched islands prominent transphobes said letters vituperative tone times overwhelmed authors accuracy consencus nessecity fire kathleen stock concluded youll aroundp pwhen visited stock recently spoke haltingly slow burn social isolation sussex punctured discovery new online attacks internal emails undermining wake publicity attractsp pstock believes biological sex immutable occasionally takes precedence someones gender identity told campaign waged raised concerns 2018 shift away sexbased rights world male identify woman selfdeclaration process known selfid month endgame colleagues spinning line long time told mep pi asked nehaal bajwa diversity officer sussex students union stock contributing dire state unsafety trans people colonial shithole leaflet stocks views created unsafe atmosphere trans students bajwa said protesters overtook campus square setting pink blue flares stock cancelled courses followed police advice stay campus secure home asked protester demo designed intimidating standing said presence intimidatingp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110kathleenstocktransrightsandacrisisoffreespeechinbritishuniversitieskathleen stock trans rights crisis free speech british universitiesa]emstrongp pthe conflict dates 2018 stock published blog post calmly raised concerns shift selfid pointed wrote change law allow duplicitous badly motivated males change gender fairly easily putting women risk trans predatory menp pwomen redefined stock added category women historically defined noted virtue oppression basis biological reproductive characteristics given trans women share characteristics lived experience differed materially females said inaccurate stock suggested distinguish sets experiencesp pthese views led stock denigrated fellow academics sussex university certain people emboldened behave badly supportive colleague stocks told fact police investigation surely means bad happenedp pstock child philosophy lecturer newspaper proofreader teaching sussex nearly decades year notable career awarded obe new year honours prompting 600 academics sign open letter criticism decision book emmaterial girls reality matters feminismem publishedp pmany supporters believe stocks academic freedom risk blog post followup interview brighton emargusem office defaced stickers stating feminism doesnt include women feminism terfs welcome herep pin 2018 emargusem ran pieces interviewees accused stock putting students physical mental risk warned antitrans groups hijack pride stock gay quoted pictured sussex students union accused stock transphobia facebook spyhole stocks office door campus security 2019 shown quickest routes stage graduationp pbut university act address culture harassment despite fellow professor regularly hounding stock online academic openly tweeting shame stock fellow transphobic ilk instead administrators gave stocks critics access internal email system send schoolwide messages offering stock right reply managerial roles supported critics remaining neutral stock socially isolatedp pthree stocks fellow professors philosophy sussex told supported academic freedom publicly despite 200 uk academic philosophers signing open letter supporting stocks right raise concerns matter oxford historian timothy garton ash tweeted views views gender sexual identity civilised person condemn harassment [and] intimidation woman campus discrimination antidiscrimination harassment antiharassmentp pthe outgoing sussex vicechancellor adam tickell declined speak statement university said spoken bullying harassment tickell recently clear statement support stock bbc radio team acting late having left accusation professors transphobic unaddressed years stock likely leave postbrbrstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen bigger fight suffragettes helen joyce trans debatea]emstrongp

6170ac6de579af57fa2df737

What’s killing our MPs?

pspanthere it was sitting on the conference table in spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikidavid_leyonhjelm target_blankspansenator david leyonhjelmsspanaspan electoral office spanispanglowingspanispan death threats are common in politics and i have to say usually ignored this however was radioactive among other things it included a vivid fantasy of smashing my then bosss skull and stomping the bone fragments into his office carpet spanp pspani think david said heavily we need to tell the afp [australian federal police] about this onespanp pspanthat investigation as well as several followup chats with afp officers after a spate of online and offline death threats directed at both david and me was very revealing turns out its hard to tell when a death threat is serious or vacuous braggadocio and it gets harder the farther away any given threat moves from traditional forms of communicationspanp pspanmy spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukgpproductb06zzkyp8w target_blankspanfirst novel caused a major national controversyspanaspan before email was much of a thing which meant i was deluged with abusive correspondence for a while there australia post was delivering my mail in sacks subjectively i experienced this as far more threatening than anything emailed to or tweeted at me since a willingness to stuff an envelope affix a stamp and walk to the post office was a sign a harasser meant it although the afp pointed out the heuristic has broken down thanks to huge uptake of email your nans using it now to organise her waitrose deliveries spanp pspanpolice still tend to assume an emailer is more likely to mean it but even so one afp officer suggested this may be because theres a lot of information in an email masking ones identity when sending a threatening one is surprisingly difficult meanwhile the number of loose units in the population is rather higher than we commonly think another afp officer said bluntly theres one in every suburban streetspanp pspanaustralia is less dangerous for its mps than the uk only once has a serving parliamentarian been murdered in office and the killers motive had spana relnoopener hrefhttpsarchivephpkpqu target_blankspanmore to do with organised crime than political ideologyspanaspan that the two countries are both parliamentary democracies run on the westminster model with singlemember constituencies and significant contact between mps and the general public suggests its possible to improve mps security without undermining healthy civic engagement australia as i think everyone knows also has a more spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsworldasiapacific13615751 target_blankspanbelligerent and confrontationalspanaspan political culture than the uk and yet keeps its mps safe and whole this is doable spanp pspanall that however is to one side when it comes to the murder of both sir david amess and jo cox i say this because theres a lot of blame flying around right now largely directed at social media especially twitter and anonymity on social media especially twitterspanp pspanfarright extremists and islamists are not tweeting death threats at mps menacing local councillors on community facebook pages or sending letters written in green ink to political staffers typically a lonely often mentally ill young man who starts as a sincere muslim or nationalist goes down the rabbithole and comes out the other side a violent extremist the process is much less visible than spanispananythingspanispan on twitter the coarsening of public discourse emergence of manichaean political thinking and any relationship they have to social media use is one issue ideologically motivated terrorism is another very different issue spanp pspanstopping violent ideologues before they strike is as always when it comes to terrorism a matter of patient yet decisive policing and while were doing this since prevent is all over the news again its wise to remember that integration and security policies also concentrate government power such that spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterrorist target_blankspancivil liberties are undermined at the population levelspanaspan in other words its easier to erect one barrier around the country through immigration policy than many barriers around every rock concert or constituency surgery inside it and yes the composition of a countrys immigration and refugee intake mattersspanp pspanwhat social media spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howtwitterruinedeverything target_blankispandoesspanispan do is spanispanpolarisespaniaspan whatever beliefs one brings to it are reinforced and sometimes embroidered healthy suspicion of government diktats curdles into vaccine conspiracies a strong commitment to complying with health ordinances ferments into public confrontation of those not wearing masks the polarisation effect is not however unique to social media and is unevenly distributed across different media types spanp aside h1get more from capxh1 ul li a hrefhttpstwittercomcapx target_blankiifollow us on twittera li li a hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomcapxco target_blankiijoin us on facebooka li li a hrefhttpswwwcapxcosubscribe target_blankiisign up to our email bulletinsa li li a hrefhttpsitunesapplecomgbpodcastcapxpresentsfreeexchangeid1220313938 target_blankiisubscribe to free exchange the capx podcasta li ul aside pspanin his latest book spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukhowinnovationworksserendipityenergydp0008334811 target_blankispanhow innovation worksspaniaspan science writer and zoologist matt ridley observes that the first mass availability of radio coincided with intense political polarisation something empirically verifiable the march 1933 nazi vote share increased more in places where more people had access to radios while in the us both notorious antisemite father charles coughlin and president franklin roosevelt built huge and loyal supportbases through radio in 1934 guglielmo marconi himself dismayed at the uses to which nazis and communists alike were putting his invention he originally conceived of it as a communications medium and not for broadcast wondered aloud have i done the world a good or have i added a menacespanp pspanin 1994 the world witnessed another horrifying natural experiment along similar lines ridley notes how during the rwandan genocide the more people in an area had access to the hate radio station rtlm the greater the violence against tutsis even here though caution is necessary the recency of the slaughter meant that researchers had access to vast amounts of data disclosed in subsequent war crimes litigation according to spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoifull1010801369824920181525677 target_blankspanthe latest studyspanaspan no more than 10 of the violence and possibly a bit less could be attributed to rtlms broadcastsspanp pspanrelatedly the extent to which the invention of the printing press contributed to europes wars of religion is still a topic of lively debate among early modernists with spana relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeylipptxkraa target_blankspanhistorian niall ferguson describing booksspanaspan like the spanispanmalleus maleficarum spanispanhammer of witches as early examples of fake news that went viral thanks to being printed books and therefore cheapspanp pspanbooks radio and twitter all share a common trait theyre wordbased and provide minimal or no visual cues we human beings however evolved to communicate with each other facetoface its possible as ridley goes on to discuss television brought national electorates back towards a social consensus and did not polarise because it lets us see each others faces senator joe mccarthy was notoriously found out on telly and ridley describes the speed with which his bubble burst the american people have had a look at you for six weeks quipped senator stuart symington you are not fooling anyonespanp pspanwhether the polarisation and discursive coarsening facilitated by social media leads to anything worse than the digital equivalent of hot air is still unknown we need much more research before we claim its killing our mps and until that happens an online safety bill or davids law cutting the legs out from under twitter to stop mps getting murdered while doing their jobs is the wrong answer to the right questionspanp pemstronga relnoopener hrefhttpscapxcosubscribe datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscapxcosubscribeampsourcegmailampust1634800509150000ampusgafqjcngzggbhnuedepy94tltcs_vohqva target_blankclick here to subscribe to our daily briefingastrong  the best pieces from capx and across the webemp pemcapx depends on the generosity of its readers if you value what we do please consider making a donationemp div div divdiv div div pspan spanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcowhatskillingourmpswhats killing our mpsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

pspanthere sitting conference table spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikidavid_leyonhjelm target_blankspansenator david leyonhjelmsspanaspan electoral office spanispanglowingspanispan death threats common politics usually ignored radioactive things included vivid fantasy smashing bosss skull stomping bone fragments office carpetspanp pspani think david said heavily need tell afp [australian federal police] onespanp pspanthat investigation followup chats afp officers spate online offline death threats directed david revealing turns hard tell death threat vacuous braggadocio gets harder farther away given threat moves traditional forms communicationspanp pspanmy spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukgpproductb06zzkyp8w target_blankspanfirst novel caused major national controversyspanaspan email thing meant deluged abusive correspondence australia post delivering mail sacks subjectively experienced far threatening emailed tweeted willingness stuff envelope affix stamp walk post office sign harasser meant afp pointed heuristic broken thanks huge uptake email nans organise waitrose deliveriesspanp pspanpolice tend assume emailer likely mean afp officer suggested theres lot information email masking ones identity sending threatening surprisingly difficult number loose units population higher commonly think afp officer said bluntly theres suburban streetspanp pspanaustralia dangerous mps uk serving parliamentarian murdered office killers motive spana relnoopener hrefhttpsarchivephpkpqu target_blankspanmore organised crime political ideologyspanaspan countries parliamentary democracies run westminster model singlemember constituencies significant contact mps general public suggests possible improve mps security undermining healthy civic engagement australia think knows spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsworldasiapacific13615751 target_blankspanbelligerent confrontationalspanaspan political culture uk keeps mps safe doablespanp pspanall comes murder sir david amess jo cox theres lot blame flying right largely directed social media especially twitter anonymity social media especially twitterspanp pspanfarright extremists islamists tweeting death threats mps menacing local councillors community facebook pages sending letters written green ink political staffers typically lonely mentally ill young man starts sincere muslim nationalist goes rabbithole comes violent extremist process visible spanispananythingspanispan twitter coarsening public discourse emergence manichaean political thinking relationship social media use issue ideologically motivated terrorism different issuespanp pspanstopping violent ideologues strike comes terrorism matter patient decisive policing prevent news wise remember integration security policies concentrate government power spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterrorist target_blankspancivil liberties undermined population levelspanaspan words easier erect barrier country immigration policy barriers rock concert constituency surgery inside yes composition countrys immigration refugee intake mattersspanp pspanwhat social mediaspana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howtwitterruinedeverything target_blankispandoesspanispando isspanispanpolarisespaniaspan beliefs brings reinforced embroidered healthy suspicion government diktats curdles vaccine conspiracies strong commitment complying health ordinances ferments public confrontation wearing masks polarisation effect unique social media unevenly distributed different media typesspanp aside h1get capxh1 ul li hrefhttpstwittercomcapx target_blankiifollow twittera li li hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomcapxco target_blankiijoin facebooka li li hrefhttpswwwcapxcosubscribe target_blankiisign email bulletinsa li li hrefhttpsitunesapplecomgbpodcastcapxpresentsfreeexchangeid1220313938 target_blankiisubscribe free exchange capx podcasta li ul aside pspanin latest book spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukhowinnovationworksserendipityenergydp0008334811 target_blankispanhow innovation worksspaniaspan science writer zoologist matt ridley observes mass availability radio coincided intense political polarisation empirically verifiable march 1933 nazi vote share increased places people access radios notorious antisemite father charles coughlin president franklin roosevelt built huge loyal supportbases radio 1934 guglielmo marconi dismayed uses nazis communists alike putting invention originally conceived communications medium broadcast wondered aloud world good added menacespanp pspanin 1994 world witnessed horrifying natural experiment similar lines ridley notes rwandan genocide people area access hate radio station rtlm greater violence tutsis caution necessary recency slaughter meant researchers access vast amounts data disclosed subsequent war crimes litigation according spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoifull1010801369824920181525677 target_blankspanthe latest studyspanaspan 10 violence possibly bit attributed rtlms broadcastsspanp pspanrelatedly extent invention printing press contributed europes wars religion topic lively debate early modernists spana relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeylipptxkraa target_blankspanhistorian niall ferguson describing booksspanaspan like spanispanmalleus maleficarum spanispanhammer witches early examples fake news went viral thanks printed books cheapspanp pspanbooks radio twitter share common trait theyre wordbased provide minimal visual cues human beings evolved communicate facetoface possible ridley goes discuss television brought national electorates social consensus polarise lets faces senator joe mccarthy notoriously found telly ridley describes speed bubble burst american people look weeks quipped senator stuart symington fooling anyonespanp pspanwhether polarisation discursive coarsening facilitated social media leads worse digital equivalent hot air unknown need research claim killing mps happens online safety bill davids law cutting legs twitter stop mps getting murdered jobs wrong answer right questionspanp pemstronga relnoopener hrefhttpscapxcosubscribe datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscapxcosubscribeampsourcegmailampust1634800509150000ampusgafqjcngzggbhnuedepy94tltcs_vohqva target_blankclick subscribe daily briefingastrong best pieces capx webemp pemcapx depends generosity readers value consider making donationemp div div divdiv div div pspanspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcowhatskillingourmpswhats killing mpsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

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Long soccer Covid

blockquotepthis paper estimates the workplace productivity effects of covid19 by studying performance of soccer players after anbr infection we construct a dataset that encompasses all traceable infections in the elite leagues of germany and italy relying on a staggered differenceindifferences design we identify negative short and longerrun performance effects relative to their preinfection outcomes infected players performance temporarily drops by more than 6over half a year later it is still around 5 lowerpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdicehhudefileadminredaktionfakultaetenwirtschaftswissenschaftliche_fakultaetdicediscussion_paper368_fischer_reade_schmalpdf target_blankthe full papera by kai fischer j james reade and w benedikt schmal via a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomflorianedererstatus1448762345078018050 target_blankflorian ederera  how about chessp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110longsoccercoviddepartmentofuhohhtmllong soccer covida appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthis paper estimates workplace productivity effects covid19 studying performance soccer players anbr infection construct dataset encompasses traceable infections elite leagues germany italy relying staggered differenceindifferences design identify negative short longerrun performance effects relative preinfection outcomes infected players performance temporarily drops 6over half year later 5 lowerpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdicehhudefileadminredaktionfakultaetenwirtschaftswissenschaftliche_fakultaetdicediscussion_paper368_fischer_reade_schmalpdf target_blankthe papera kai fischer j james reade w benedikt schmal relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomflorianedererstatus1448762345078018050 target_blankflorian ederera chessp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110longsoccercoviddepartmentofuhohhtmllong soccer covida appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Medicaid coverage doesn’t seem to help for diabetes and asthma

blockquotepwe use oregons 2008 medicaid lottery to assess the management of diabetes and asthma as well as several markers of physical health this analysis complements several prior studies by introducing new data elements and by analyzing chronically ill subpopulations while we had previously found that having insurance increases the diagnosis and use of medication for diabetes we show here that it does not significantly increase the likelihood of diabetic patients receiving recommended care such as eye exams and regular blood sugar monitoring nor does it improve the management of patients with asthma we also find no effect on measures of physical health including pulse obesity or blood markers of chronic inflammation effects of medicaid on health care utilization appear similar for those with and without prelottery diagnoses of chronic physical health conditions thus while medicaid is an important determinant of access to care overall it does not appear that medicaid alone has detectable effects on the management of several chronic physical health conditions at least over the first two years in this setting however sample limitations highlight the value of additional researchpblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29373fromrss target_blanka new nber working paper by heidi allen and katherine baickera  to be clear my intuition here is to blame medicine and also the patients not medicaid per sep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110medicaidcoveragedoesntseemtohelpfordiabetesandasthmahtmlmedicaid coverage doesnt seem to help for diabetes and asthmaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepwe use oregons 2008 medicaid lottery assess management diabetes asthma markers physical health analysis complements prior studies introducing new data elements analyzing chronically ill subpopulations previously found having insurance increases diagnosis use medication diabetes significantly increase likelihood diabetic patients receiving recommended care eye exams regular blood sugar monitoring improve management patients asthma find effect measures physical health including pulse obesity blood markers chronic inflammation effects medicaid health care utilization appear similar prelottery diagnoses chronic physical health conditions medicaid important determinant access care overall appear medicaid detectable effects management chronic physical health conditions years setting sample limitations highlight value additional researchpblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29373fromrss target_blanka new nber working paper heidi allen katherine baickera clear intuition blame medicine patients medicaid sep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110medicaidcoveragedoesntseemtohelpfordiabetesandasthmahtmlmedicaid coverage doesnt help diabetes asthmaa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Do You Buy That … Limiting Abortion Access Will Mobilize Democrats At The Polls?

pfivethirtyeights nate silver breaks down public opinion on abortion legislation and what it will mean for the midterms on abcs this weekp

pfivethirtyeights nate silver breaks public opinion abortion legislation mean midterms abcs weekp

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Here come the Nineties

peveryone is bullish on natural gas but i think americas most inexhaustible resource might be 1990s nostalgia every time it seems our embuzzfeedem badlands have run dry another emfriendsem reunion or reassessment of francis fukuyama comes gushing through the soilp pso it is that the most hyped series on tv right now is emamerican crime storyem dedicated this season to ryan murphys telling of the clinton impeachment emlegends of the hidden templeem perhaps the most beloved childrens show from the nineties and thats saying something is being remade for adults even the recent death of comedian norm macdonald elicited callbacks to the days of cynical wiseasses and oj simpson cracksp pwhat is it about the nineties that remains stuck in americas craw as a journalist i sometimes feel out of my depth when i write but on this topic im a embona fideem specialist i was born in 1987 which makes me a quintessential nineties kid the decade spanned my first memory to my middle school graduation like so many others i often find myself missing it and also like so many others i wonder whether thats mere nostalgia for childhood or something deeperp pthe first thing that comes to mind when the nineties are mentioned is a certain neonplastic consumerism the sixties had their music and political causes the eighties their patriotism and renewal but my decade was characterized by stuff towering heaps of it pokmon cartridges magic cards tamagotchis moon shoes velcro sneakers furbies super soakers game boys pogs beanie babies vcrs cds fruit by the foot warheads foxtails nordictracks koosh balls surge cans floppy disks pieces of the aggro crag pendants of life yoyos discmans pagersp pthis was no accident demand for stuff was high back then consumer spending surged throughout the nineties boosted by a stock market boom and an increase in productivity after years of concerns that japanese workers were outhustling americans and while a brief recession in 1990 might have sunk george hw bushs presidency unemployment would subsequently fall from 75 percent in 1992 to 4 percent in 2000 all those bulging shopping carts seemed to herald a new american economy one in which there wasnt just a chicken in every pot but the pot itself had four different cook settings and was marked down at kmartp pthere were warning signs that all this might not be sustainable unprecedented amounts of credit card debt lurked behind that consumer spending economic inequality was widening the burst of the dotcom bubble in the late nineties which wrecked many internet startup companies what a country we might have been had petscom not gone under showed that the galloping growth could be illusory that a highflying stock market wasnt an ironclad indicator of economic realityp ponward the prosperity went and no one much cared to think about what would happen when it ended the 1990s in retrospect can look like a time of great hubris or at least complacency yet there was genuine justification for feeling this way the berlin wall had come tumbling down and with it any hope of marxism displacing markets or the ussr menacing the usap pwe were king of the hill to use the title of mike judges 1997 cartoon series presiding over a unipolar moment there were no serious challenges to americas global powerp palongside the triumph and triumphalism came the seeming resolution of the social problems that had so often provided grist for antiamericanism crime plunged during the nineties putting an end to the bronx is burning violence of the previous two decades which had made america look so unjust to the rest of the world the cultural fractiousness of the sixties was long gone with a concomitant lowering of the national temperature and political stakes voter turnout in the 1996 election was the lowest since that glowering square calvin coolidge was elected 70 years earlier its too cute by half to say the biggest issue of the decade was a presidential blowjob but certainly politics back then felt smaller less consequentialp pwhere coolidge had been the ironic taciturn opposite to the giddy 1920s bill clinton was the gigawatt embodiment of naughty nineties decadence and optimism the first baby boomer president the man who couldnt say no to a 22yearold intern clinton felt more like a cultural skipper than a coolidgestyle night watchman in line with the decades giddy expansionism he signed into law free trade across north america and deregulated the banks and while the monica lewinsky scandal can seem today like an unseemly outburst of american puritanism it also presaged much of our modern smashmouth flashbulb politicsp pclintons misbehavior didnt just spawn tv careers for james carville and ann coulter it hinted at deeper trends presidents had had affairs in the past fdr and lucy mercer jfk and every female who ever passed through his oval office but the public nature of clintons dalliances and his ultimate survival after their exposure seemed like nothing less than a ratification of the sexual revolution the public didnt just forgive clinton for lewinsky they forgave him for gennifer flowers and paula jones too that clinton should be removed from office was always a distinctly minority view his approval rating throughout the impeachment process never fell below 55 percentp pamerica as it turned out didnt mind a little sex in the workplace ironically clinton had declined to run for president in 1988 reportedly because the former colorado senator gary hart had been torpedoed as a candidate by his affair with donna rice what a difference a decade made the 1990s had seen the rise of internet porn viagra and sexenamored sitcoms to say the decade revolutionized or even popularized the carnal would be as cheeky as philip larkin claiming sex began in 1963 but americans certainly become more comfortable with sex especially as a feature of the consumerism and mass media in which they were saturatedp pwhat all of this amounted to politically economically sexually was a sense that we had gotten away with it america was the nation we badly wanted to be liberal pluralist capitalist thriving at home and respected abroad trading freely beaconing to immigrants shedding at last that old frontier austerity and religious puritanism onward then into our techpositive sexpositive futurep pthis headiness is where the muchmaligned idea of an end to history comes swaggering in the book that popularized the term francis fukuyamas a hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579780743284554emthe end of history and the last manema was published in 1992 during the eyewatering national high that followed the cold war its a more serious work than it often gets credit for but it does ultimately conclude that americanstyle liberal democracy is more or less the final answer to all our political questions a curious irony that the eschatology of communism holds that it is the final stage of history yet here was marxisms greatest adversary america exulting in similar termsp pwe all know what happened next this hubris combined with anger over 911 saw us try and fail to democratize the middle east the unfettered pursuit of profit and deregulation helped crash the economy into the worst recession since the great depression technological optimism few figures were as quintessentially nineties as bill gates yielded an epidemic of instagram a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesfacebookknowsinstagramistoxicforteengirlscompanydocumentsshow11631620739suicidesa and a global politics warped by social media sex positivity provided cover for the crimes of powerful men liberal triumphalism gave way to attacks on free speech fiscal prudence yielded a skyhigh national debt the unipolar moment expired as china rose decline a once unthinkable word reserved for peakoil whack jobs and gloomy english historians sprang naturally off our lipsp div a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div pfrom number one to are we done in a mere 20 years and history teaches that nations can unravel quickly one consequence of 1990s pride was that it prevented us from addressing the underlying problems that might have forestalled some of our unraveling yet it would also be trite to say that the decade contained the seeds of our destruction to insist that things had to end up this way is to subscribe to so much shallow determinism as to be either a fool or a political philosophy professor between now and the nineties lie countless terrible decisions by policymakers which cumulatively have squandered our inheritancep pso perhaps theres something to the nostalgia after all perhaps it really was a better time all thats in the rearview now we nineties kids arent even the target demo anymore even if we do know why apple jacks dont taste like apple soon enough well be grumbling like reactionaries about the softness of the younger generation none of these little gen z shits couldve ever put the silver monkey together not that we ever couldp pyet even allowing that the hidden temple was our vietnam the point about the nineties is that there wasnt a major war to fight it wasnt an end to history so much as a holiday from it an aberration in our otherwise tumultuous national story for that reason perhaps its okay that we remember it fondly there are worse things than memories of afternoons spent playing super nintendo in the shade of unrealityp piemthis article was originally published in emia hrefhttpspectatorussubscribethe spectatoraiems november 2021 world edition emip pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicherecometheninetieshere come the ninetiesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

peveryone bullish natural gas think americas inexhaustible resource 1990s nostalgia time embuzzfeedem badlands run dry emfriendsem reunion reassessment francis fukuyama comes gushing soilp pso hyped series tv right emamerican crime storyem dedicated season ryan murphys telling clinton impeachment emlegends hidden templeem beloved childrens nineties thats saying remade adults recent death comedian norm macdonald elicited callbacks days cynical wiseasses oj simpson cracksp pwhat nineties remains stuck americas craw journalist feel depth write topic im embona fideem specialist born 1987 makes quintessential nineties kid decade spanned memory middle school graduation like find missing like wonder thats mere nostalgia childhood deeperp pthe thing comes mind nineties mentioned certain neonplastic consumerism sixties music political causes eighties patriotism renewal decade characterized stuff towering heaps pokmon cartridges magic cards tamagotchis moon shoes velcro sneakers furbies super soakers game boys pogs beanie babies vcrs cds fruit bythe foot warheads foxtails nordictracks koosh balls surge cans floppy disks pieces aggro crag pendants life yoyos discmans pagersp pthis accident demand stuff high consumer spending surged nineties boosted stock market boom increase productivity years concerns japanese workers outhustling americans brief recession 1990 sunk george hw bushs presidency unemployment subsequently fall 75 percent 1992 4 percent 2000 bulging shopping carts herald new american economy wasnt chicken pot pot different cook settings marked kmartp pthere warning signs sustainable unprecedented amounts credit card debt lurked consumer spending economic inequality widening burst dotcom bubble late nineties wrecked internet startup companies country petscom gone showed galloping growth illusory highflying stock market wasnt ironclad indicator economic realityp ponward prosperity went cared think happen ended 1990s retrospect look like time great hubris complacency genuine justification feeling way berlin wall come tumbling hope marxism displacing markets ussr menacing usap pwe king hill use title mike judges 1997 cartoon series presiding unipolar moment challenges americas global powerp palongside triumph triumphalism came resolution social problems provided grist antiamericanism crime plunged nineties putting end bronx burning violence previous decades america look unjust rest world cultural fractiousness sixties long gone concomitant lowering national temperature political stakes voter turnout 1996 election lowest glowering square calvin coolidge elected 70 years earlier cute half biggest issue decade apresidential blowjob certainly politics felt smaller consequentialp pwhere coolidge ironic taciturn opposite giddy 1920s bill clinton gigawatt embodiment naughty nineties decadence optimism baby boomer president man couldnt 22yearold intern clinton felt like cultural skipper coolidgestyle night watchman line decades giddy expansionism signed law free trade north america deregulated banks monica lewinsky scandal today like unseemly outburst american puritanism presaged modern smashmouth flashbulb politicsp pclintons misbehavior didnt spawn tv careers james carville ann coulter hinted deeper trends presidents affairs past fdr lucy mercer jfk female passed oval office public nature clintons dalliances ultimate survival exposure like ratification sexual revolution public didnt forgive clinton lewinsky forgave gennifer flowers paula jones clinton removed office distinctly minority view approval rating impeachment process fell 55 percentp pamerica turned didnt mind little sex workplace ironically clinton declined run president 1988 reportedly colorado senator gary hart torpedoed candidate affair donna rice difference decade 1990s seen rise internet porn viagraand sexenamored sitcoms decade revolutionized popularized carnal cheeky philip larkin claiming sex began 1963 americans certainly comfortable sex especially feature consumerism mass media saturatedp pwhat amounted politically economically sexually sense gotten away america nation badly wanted liberal pluralist capitalist thriving home respected abroad trading freely beaconing immigrants shedding old frontier austerity religious puritanism onward techpositive sexpositive futurep pthis headiness muchmaligned idea end history comes swaggering book popularized term francis fukuyamas hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579780743284554emthe end history manema published 1992 eyewatering national high followed cold war work gets credit ultimately conclude americanstyle liberal democracy final answer political questions curious irony eschatology communism holds final stage history marxisms greatest adversary america exulting similar termsp pwe know happened hubris combined anger 911 saw try fail democratize middle east unfettered pursuit profit deregulation helped crash economy worst recession great depression technological optimism figures quintessentially nineties bill gates yielded epidemic instagram hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesfacebookknowsinstagramistoxicforteengirlscompanydocumentsshow11631620739suicidesa global politics warped social media sex positivity provided cover crimes powerful men liberal triumphalism gave way attacks free speech fiscal prudence yielded skyhighnational debt unipolar moment expired china rose decline unthinkable word reserved peakoil whack jobs gloomy english historians sprang naturally lipsp div hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div pfrom number mere 20 years history teaches nations unravel quickly consequence 1990s pride prevented addressing underlying problems forestalled unraveling trite decade contained seeds destruction insist things end way subscribe shallow determinism fool political philosophy professor nowand nineties lie countless terrible decisions policymakers cumulatively squandered inheritancep pso theres nostalgia better time thats rearview nineties kids arent target demo anymore know apple jacks dont taste like apple soon grumbling like reactionaries softness younger generation little gen z shits couldve silver monkey couldp pyet allowing hidden temple vietnam point nineties wasnt major war fight wasnt end history holiday aberration tumultuous national story reason okay remember fondly worse things memories afternoons spent playing super nintendo shade unrealityp piemthis article originally published emia hrefhttpspectatorussubscribethe spectatoraiems november 2021 world editionemip pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicherecometheninetieshere come ninetiesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

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COVID, lockdown and the retreat of scientific debate

pscience is about rational disagreement the questioning and testing of orthodoxy and the constant search for truth with something like lockdown an untested policy that affects millions rigorous debate and the basics of verificationfalsification are more important than ever academics backing lockdown or any major theory ought to welcome challenges knowing as scientists do that robust challenge is the way to identify error improve policy and save livesp pbut with lockdown science is in danger of being suppressed by politics lockdown moved instantly from untested theory to unchallengeable orthodoxy where dissenters face personal attack understandable on social media perhaps but it has now crept into the embritish medical journalem in a a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsblogsbmjcombmj20210913covid19andthenewmerchantsofdoubt target_blankrecent articlea about the a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorg target_blankgreat barrington declarationap pthe gbd which i wrote together with dr jay bhattacharya at stanford and dr sunetra gupta at oxford argues for focused protection rather than a blanket lockdown which inflicts so much harm on society we wanted better protection of those most at risk mindful that covidstrong strongtypically poses only a mild risk to the young for saying so we are smeared as the new merchants of doubt as if skepticism and challenge is regarded by the embmjem as something to be condemnedp pthe errorstrewn attacks in bmj demonstrate what awaits academics who do challenge prevailing viewsp pthe embmjem article is full of errors that ought to have never found their way into any publication here are some examplesp ol limy colleagues and i are described as emcritics of public health measures to curb covid19em on the contrary throughout the pandemic we have strongly advocated embetterem public health measures to curb covid19 specifically protection of highrisk older people witha relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorgfrequentlyaskedquestions target_blank manya a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorgfocusedprotection target_blankemclearlyemaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwaftonbladetsedebattabnneqdlatingenover60arjobbautanforhemmet target_blank emdefinedema a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwnewsweekcomweshouldfocusprotectingvulnerablecovidinfectionopinion1543225 target_blankproposalsa the failure to implement such measures in our view has led to many unnecessary covid deathsli liwe are described as emproponents of herd immunityem which is akin to accusing someone of being in favor of gravity both are scientifically established phenomena every covid strategy leads to herd immunity the key is to minimize morbidity and mortality the language here is nonscientific herd immunity is not a creed its how pandemics endli liit says we haveem expressed opposition to mass vaccinationem dr gupta and i have spent decades on vaccine research and we are alla relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleshowtoendlockdownsnextmonth11608230214 target_blank strongaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsthefederalistcom20210428cdcpunishessuperstarscientistforcovidvaccinerecommendationthecdcfollowed4dayslater target_blank advocatesa for covid and other vaccines they are among the greatest inventions in history to falsely credit the antivaccine movement with support from professors at harvard oxford and stanford is damaging for vaccine confidence this is unworthy of a medical journalli lithe gbd is referred to as a emsophisticatedemem science denialismem note here how something that challenges an orthodoxy is described as antiscience a label that presumably could have been applied to any scientific innovator who ever questioned a failed orthodoxy collateral public health damage from covid restrictions are real anda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorg target_blank enormousa ona relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpslinkspringercomcontentpdf101007s00392020017800pdf target_blank cardiovascular diseaseaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorgarticleeditorsnote4 target_blank canceraa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi101111ijcp14319 target_blank diabetesaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwuniceforgpressreleasescovid19pandemicleadsmajorbackslidingchildhoodvaccinationsnewwhounicefdata target_blank backsliding childhood vaccinationsaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlevirusoutbreakafricaaptopnewsunderstandingtheoutbreakhunger5cbee9693c52728a3808f4e7b4965cbd target_blank starvationa anda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorgarticlesmentalhealth target_blank mental healtha just to name a few it is not the gbd but those who downplay lockdown harms who should be equated with those who question the harms of tobacco or climate changeli lithe gbd was notem sponsored by the american institute for economic research aierem and im pleased to see that the embmj emhas at least retracted this claimemem we were there for media interviews with no sponsorship how did such a blunder end up in print in the first place the aier staff did not even know about the declaration until the day before it was signed and the aier president and board did not know about it until after publication if we had written the declaration at say starbucks would the embmjem have claimed that it was sponsored by the coffee shopli lithe embmj emarticle mentions emaier contributor scott atlasem but dr atlas has never been affiliated with nor written for aier neither have we unless the embmjem also views us as affiliated with hundreds of universities and organizations that we have visited during our careers or that have reprinted some of our articles dr atlas was not even aware that aier had reprinted one of his articles until the embmj emlinked to it several aier employees have gracefully supported the gbd just like countless other people around the world but we have never received any money from the aier this basic error again exposes how normal checks did not appear to have been applied by the embmjemli lithe embmj emarticle ends by saying that my colleagues and i are peddling a emwellfunded sophisticated science denialist campaign based on ideological and corporate interestsem nobody has paid us money for our work on the gbd or for advocating focused protection none of us would have undertaken this project for professional gain it is far easier to stay silent than put your head above the parapet as a vaccine developer dr gupta has connections with a pharmaceutical startup but dr bhattacharya and i are among the few drugvaccine scientists who purposely avoid pharmaceutical company funding to be free from conflicts of interestsli ol pthe embmjem attempt to link us to the koch brothers is an emad hominemem attack of the highest order but failed to mention much closer connections we all work for universities that have received donations from koch foundations although unrelated to any of our own work while the aier has received only a singlea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwaierorgarticletheobsessionwithfunders target_blank 68000 koch donationa a few years agoa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspublicintegrityorg2015103018684kochbrothershigheredinvestmentsadvancepoliticalgoals target_blank many universitiesa have received multiple much larger koch donations including million dollar gifts to a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpstodaydukeedu201808dukecenterexpandscommitmenthistoryeconomics target_blankdukeaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscharleskochfoundationorgnewsmitharvardlaunchcollaborativeinternationalstudiesprogram target_blank harvardaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwhopkinsmedicineorgnewsmediareleasesdavid_koch_gives_20_million_for_hopkins_cancer_research target_blank johns hopkinsa anda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwbizjournalscomsanfrancisconews20170616kochbrotherdonatesstanfordseanparkergivinghtml target_blank stanforda since university staff frequently publish in the embmjem the journal is arguably more closely connected to a emnetwork of organizations funded by charles kochem than the aierp pmany scientists receive research funding from private foundations for which we as scientists should be grateful it is hypocritical and discriminatory for the embmjem to single out dr gupta because her lab received limited funds from the opel foundation as one among many examples neil ferguson and his team at imperial college were awarded a prize by the kochaffiliated mercatus centers emergent ventures programp pduring a pandemic it is the duty of public health scientists to engage with government officials to use their expertise to confront what right now is perhaps the biggest single problem facing humanity it is hard to understand why anyone would criticize thatp pif we are to be faulted for anything it is that we failed to convince governments to implement focused protection instead of damaging lockdowns one place where we had some success was florida where the cumulativea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpstwittercomdrjbhattacharyastatus1435362491316387843 target_blank ageadjusted covid mortalitya is lower than the us national average with less collateral damage if we are wrong then as scientists we would welcome a scientific discussion on how and where we are wrongp div a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomdcdiarylaunchofferimg alt width1200 srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailbannerpng classwpimage29978 height217a div pthe embmjem article urges people to use empolitical and legal strategiesem rather than scientific argument to counter our views on the pandemic it also calls for people to adhere to the emscientific consensusem as represented by aa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis014067362032153xfulltext target_blank memoranduma published by the emlancetem a document that questions natural immunity after covid disease despite a recent israeli study a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwmedrxivorgcontent1011012021082421262415v1 target_blanksuggestinga it could be stronger than vaccine protectionp pwhat is there to say because ofa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20210802thesmearcampaignagainstthegreatbarringtondeclaration target_blank political strategiesa using slander and emad hominem emattacks many physicians and scientists have been reluctant to speak out despite their reservations about pandemic policies the errorstrewn attacks in embmj emdemonstrate what awaits academics who do challenge prevailing viewsp pthat such an article was published exemplifies the decay in standards of scientific journals open and honest discourse is critical for science and public health as scientists we must now tragically acknowledge that 400 years of scientific enlightenment may be coming to an end ita relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwgoodreadscombookshow30671the_sleepwalkers target_blank starteda with tycho brahe johannes kepler galileo galilei and ren descartes it would be tragic if it would end up as one of the many casualties of this pandemicp pemthis article was originally published onem a hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlecovidlockdownandtheretreatofscientificdebatethe spectatoraems uk websiteemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopiccovidlockdownretreatscientificdebatebmjgreatbarringtondeclarationcovid lockdown and the retreat of scientific debatea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

pscience rational disagreement questioning testing orthodoxy constant search truth like lockdown untested policy affects millions rigorous debate basics verificationfalsification important academics backing lockdown major theory ought welcome challenges knowing scientists robust challenge way identify error improve policy save livesp pbut lockdown science danger suppressed politics lockdown moved instantly untested theory unchallengeable orthodoxy dissenters face personal attack understandable social media crept theembritish medical journalemin relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsblogsbmjcombmj20210913covid19andthenewmerchantsofdoubt target_blankrecent articleaabout thea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorg target_blankgreat barrington declarationap pthe gbd wrote dr jay bhattacharya stanford dr sunetra gupta oxford argues focused protection blanket lockdown inflicts harm society wanted better protection risk mindful covidstrongstrongtypically poses mild risk young saying smeared new merchants doubt skepticism challenge regarded embmjemas condemnedp pthe errorstrewn attacks bmj demonstrate awaits academics challenge prevailing viewsp ptheembmjemarticle errors ought found way publication examplesp ol limy colleagues described asemcritics public health measures curb covid19em contrary pandemic strongly advocatedembetterem public health measures curb covid19 specifically protection highrisk older people witha relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorgfrequentlyaskedquestions target_blankmanyaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsgbdeclarationorgfocusedprotection target_blankemclearlyemaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwaftonbladetsedebattabnneqdlatingenover60arjobbautanforhemmet target_blankemdefinedemaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwnewsweekcomweshouldfocusprotectingvulnerablecovidinfectionopinion1543225 target_blankproposalsa failure implement measures view led unnecessary covid deathsli liwe described asemproponents herd immunityem akin accusing favor gravity scientifically established phenomena covid strategy leads herd immunity key minimize morbidity mortality language nonscientific herd immunity creed pandemics endli liit says haveemexpressed opposition mass vaccinationem dr gupta spent decades vaccine research alla relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleshowtoendlockdownsnextmonth11608230214 target_blankstrongaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsthefederalistcom20210428cdcpunishessuperstarscientistforcovidvaccinerecommendationthecdcfollowed4dayslater target_blankadvocatesa covid vaccines greatest inventions history falsely credit antivaccine movement support professors harvard oxford stanford damaging vaccine confidence unworthy medical journalli lithe gbd referred aemsophisticatedememscience denialismem note challenges orthodoxy described antiscience label presumably applied scientific innovator questioned failed orthodoxy collateral public health damage covid restrictions real anda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorg target_blankenormousaona relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpslinkspringercomcontentpdf101007s00392020017800pdf target_blankcardiovascular diseaseaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorgarticleeditorsnote4 target_blankcanceraa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi101111ijcp14319 target_blankdiabetesaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwuniceforgpressreleasescovid19pandemicleadsmajorbackslidingchildhoodvaccinationsnewwhounicefdata target_blankbacksliding childhood vaccinationsaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlevirusoutbreakafricaaptopnewsunderstandingtheoutbreakhunger5cbee9693c52728a3808f4e7b4965cbd target_blankstarvationaanda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscollateralglobalorgarticlesmentalhealth target_blankmental healtha gbd downplay lockdown harms equated question harms tobacco climate changeli lithe gbd notemsponsored american institute economic research aierem im pleased theembmjemhas retracted claimememwe media interviews sponsorship blunder end print place aier staff know declaration day signed aier president board know publication written declaration starbucks theembmjemhave claimed sponsored coffee shopli litheembmjemarticle mentionsemaier contributor scott atlasem dr atlas affiliated written aier embmjem views affiliated hundreds universities organizations visited careers reprinted articles dr atlas aware aier reprinted articles embmjemlinked aier employees gracefully supported gbd like countless people world received money aier basic error exposes normal checks appear applied theembmjemli litheembmjemarticle ends saying colleagues peddling emwellfunded sophisticated science denialist campaign based ideological corporate interestsem paid money work gbd advocating focused protection undertaken project professional gain far easier stay silent head parapet vaccine developer dr gupta connections pharmaceutical startup dr bhattacharya drugvaccine scientists purposely avoid pharmaceutical company funding free conflicts interestsli ol ptheembmjemattempt link koch brothers anemad hominememattack highest order failed mention closer connections work universities received donations koch foundations unrelated work aier received singlea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwaierorgarticletheobsessionwithfunders target_blank 68000 koch donationaa years agoa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspublicintegrityorg2015103018684kochbrothershigheredinvestmentsadvancepoliticalgoals target_blankmany universitiesahave received multiple larger koch donations including million dollar gifts toa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpstodaydukeedu201808dukecenterexpandscommitmenthistoryeconomics target_blankdukeaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpscharleskochfoundationorgnewsmitharvardlaunchcollaborativeinternationalstudiesprogram target_blankharvardaa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwhopkinsmedicineorgnewsmediareleasesdavid_koch_gives_20_million_for_hopkins_cancer_research target_blankjohns hopkinsaanda relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwbizjournalscomsanfrancisconews20170616kochbrotherdonatesstanfordseanparkergivinghtml target_blankstanforda university staff frequently publish theembmjem journal arguably closely connected aemnetwork organizations funded charles kochemthan aierp pmany scientists receive research funding private foundations scientists grateful hypocritical discriminatory theembmjem single dr gupta lab received limited funds opel foundation examplesneil ferguson team imperial college awarded prize thekochaffiliated mercatus centers emergent ventures programp pduring pandemic duty public health scientists engage government officials use expertise confront right biggest single problem facing humanity hard understand criticize thatp pif faulted failed convince governments implement focused protection instead damaging lockdowns place success florida cumulativea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpstwittercomdrjbhattacharyastatus1435362491316387843 target_blank ageadjusted covid mortalityais lower national average collateral damage wrong scientists welcome scientific discussion wrongp div hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomdcdiarylaunchofferimg alt width1200 srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailbannerpng classwpimage29978 height217a div ptheembmjemarticle urges people useempolitical legal strategiesemrather scientific argument counter views pandemic calls people adhere theemscientific consensusemas represented aa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis014067362032153xfulltext target_blankmemorandumapublished theemlancetem document questions natural immunity covid disease despite recent israeli studya relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwmedrxivorgcontent1011012021082421262415v1 target_blanksuggestingait stronger vaccine protectionp pwhat ofa relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20210802thesmearcampaignagainstthegreatbarringtondeclaration target_blankpolitical strategiesausing slander andemad hominememattacks physicians scientists reluctant speak despite reservations pandemic policies errorstrewn attacks inembmjemdemonstrate awaits academics challenge prevailing viewsp pthat article published exemplifies decay standards scientific journals open honest discourse critical science public health scientists tragically acknowledge 400 years scientific enlightenment coming end ita relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwgoodreadscombookshow30671the_sleepwalkers target_blankstartedawith tycho brahe johannes kepler galileo galilei ren descartes tragic end casualties pandemicp pemthis article originally published onem hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlecovidlockdownandtheretreatofscientificdebatethe spectatoraems uk websiteemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopiccovidlockdownretreatscientificdebatebmjgreatbarringtondeclarationcovid lockdown retreat scientific debatea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

6170b005e579af57fa2df750

Trans activism’s war on solidarity

pi met a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlewhyatranswomanthinksselfidisamistake target_blankclaudiaa in a pub in hackney in 2003 i was researching diagnoses of transsexuality at the time and a mutual friend introduced us i had thought as i do now that the notion of being trapped in the wrong body was deeply sexist and conservative we should all be able to present how we wish whatever sex we are born intop pdressed head to toe in black her hair swept into a glorious silvergrey chignon she told me she was in mourning for her former lover david who had not died but left claudia many years ago describing david as a cross between george best and jesus christ claudia told me her life storyp pborn male claudia grew up on a rundown estate in glasgow where she was mercilessly bullied for being gay then in the early eighties claudia met david who soon announced he was not gay and that therefore claudia must be a woman she had genital surgery in 1986p divdiv pi changed for all the wrong reasons claudia told me david walked out a year after the operation claudia and i became firm friends and remain so to this day i later wrote about her for the emsunday telegraph magazineem but the editors decided not to put the article online so it was not widely readp pnot so my nowinfamous a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2004jan31genderweekend7 target_blankcolumna in the emguardianem entitled gender benders beware in which i railed against a trans woman who had tried to have a rape crisis centre in vancouver shut down by tying its staff up in years of litigation the fallout was immediate the readers editor received more than a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancommedia2004feb14pressandpublishingcomment200 lettersa of complaint many as a result of lobbying by trans activists he would later distance himself from the article claiming it abused an already abused minorityp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110stock1536x8641300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarh5the hounding of kathleen stockh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspanbyspan timandra harknessapdivadiv pi began to receive death and rape threats by email as well as messages that i was being watched i was used to my feminist views being unpopular those of us who name and blame men for violence towards women are often warned to keep quiet but nothing could prepare me for the misogyny of extreme transgender activistsp pdespite the hostility i contacted a number of trans people to see if they were willing to talk over the years i had debated countless prominent activists at public events it was always respectful warm and in some cases truly enlightening for both sides i kept in touch with some of my opponents and friendships were formedp pin 2007 i was asked by the bbc to take part in ema relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccoukradio4hecklerspipo29wl target_blankhecklersaem a live radio programme with an aggressive format i was asked to put forward my view that sexchange operations constitute unnecessary mutilation before an audience of doctors and transgender people at the royal society of medicine two trans people a gender clinician and peter tatchell were put up to argue against mep pi was convinced i would mess up and was too scared to invite my feminist allies to watch but i survived and afterwards stayed for a drink with several of the audience two individual trans men came up to me lifted their tshirts and showed me their double mastectomy scars a trans woman told me that before transition and hormones she was being poisoned by testosterone there was no animosity except for the fact that claudia who had insisted on coming along to support me was cruelly snubbed by her own community solidarity never extends to those who speak out against the transgender doctrinep pthe following year i was nominated for the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2008nov08lesbianism target_blankjournalist of the yeara award by stonewall for my work on antilesbian violence i had no interest in the nomination which had come from the public as opposed to an internal vote by the charity but when the gay media decided to go absolutely berserk about my nomination i changed my mind i had to go despite the fact that i had long made public my view that stonewall prioritised rich gay men over lesbiansp psoon social media was awash with petitions open letters and plans for a demonstration at the event there was talk of how to storm the victoria and albert museum where the event was being held but stonewall held firmp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1252476952scalede1630004478723300x173jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarh5stonewalls greatest betrayalh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarspanbyspan jonny bestapdivadiv pthe crowd greeting me on arrival was loud and aggressive my name was plastered over dozens of placards and bindel the bigot was being screamed through loudhailers once i had managed to enter the building i was told by one of the judges that i was the clear winner but the panel had received strict instructions that i was not to be given the award so it was a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewsuknewsdrmiriamstoppardscoopsjournalist356232 target_blankgiven toa a heterosexual agony auntp pthe impact of that decision would extend far beyond the handingout of a mundane prize it galvanised the modern day transrights movement the a relnoopener hrefhttpscommonswikimediaorgwikifilestephen_whittle_obe_and_christine_burns_mbe_at_buckingham_palacejpg target_blankold guarda such as press for change founders christine burns and stephen whittle started to be dismissed as irrelevant and too conciliatory with the younger bluefringe crew declaring themselves the new overlordsp pfrom 2008 onwards whenever i was invited to speak alongside a transgender activist or ally the event would face threats of being shut down or disrupted in 2010 i was invited to speak at queer question time at the royal vauxhall tavern i turned up to face a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvjvxmd0qlose target_blankmassive demonstrationa of well over 100 trans activists shouting my name through loudhailers jostling me as i tried to enter the building many of the protesters came inside for the event and every time i opened my mouth screamed over mep pthe atmosphere became so toxic that one of my copanellists former london mayor ken livingstone was forced to say im sure that you do have people that put you in danger but i cant imagine julie bindel is one from the floor an object was thrown across the room and hit me just below the eye i was terrified even though it turned out to be a lanyard thrown by a trans womanp pbut at least the event had been able to take place from 2008 the uk national union of students nus has included me on its noplatform a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsukpolitics201403whendidnoplatformbecomeaboutattackingindividualsdeemeddisagreeable target_blanklista alongside fascist groups and individuals this meant that even when i was invited to speak at universities on male violence towards women and girls the nus would threaten to withdraw any financial support it had given to the organiser inevitably i would be dropped publicly to protect the eventp pfor many that still wasnt enough in 2011 upset that i was still invited to speak at the occasional university event the nus gay lesbian bisexual transgender glbt conference voted to noplatform me once and for all the motion summed up their spiteful worldview this conference believes that julie bindle [sic] is vilep pand on it went in denmark at a conference on how to end the harms caused to women by the global sex trade i had to be escorted out of the venue by police officers after an angry mob started to bang loudly on the windows and scream through loudhailers at another event in spain where i was asked to deliver a keynote speech on rape i was stopped from going on stage with minutes to spare i later discovered that a major funder of the organising group had raised concerns about transphobia as reflected by the invitation to julie bindel to speakp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages1152686518scalede16297334335191300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarh5why i became transh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarspanbyspan debbie haytonapdivadiv pi am of course not the only activist to be harassed over the years i have made friends with a number of trans people who have also been harassed and deplatformed when attempting to have discussions with feminists such as myself ive interviewed dozens of detransitioners who have been cast asunder after expressing regret about transitioning i also know many trans people who are perfectly happy with their decision but none of them believe it is reasonable to demand that they encroach womenonly spaces such as domestic violence refuges rape crisis services prisons or hospital wardsp pthe problem after all is not trans people it is extreme trans activism a mens rights movement which has grown out of the backlash against feminism in particular the type of feminism that seeks to eradicate male violence towards women and girlsp pfor me the costs of being targeted in this way have been enormous and not just in relation to my unpaid activism the mob follows me around preventing me from speaking on how to end male violence under the guise of protecting transrights whenever i speak about prostitution an a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpalgravecomgbbook9781349959464 target_blankexpertisea of mine i am told that i clearly hate trans sex workers as though everything comes back to thatp pfaced with such vitriol my mental health took a hammering i began to feel ashamed of the trouble i was causing for those who invited me to speak i would find myself apologising to them which they would graciously accept as though they had done something commendable by having me there despite my decades of active feminism and public profilep pi started to wonder if perhaps i was a monster and i was ridiculously grateful to those who did not hide or apologise for the fact that they had any public connection to me my selfconfidence fell to rock bottom as i doubted my abilities skills and knowledge on hearing of the latest cancellation i would end up highly distressed and in floods of tears knowing that mud often sticks i was offered a newspaper column only to have it withdrawn after several staff members announced they would publicly argue against my appointmentp pi spent years trying to warn my fellow feminists that if they stood by and let them scapegoat me eventually they would come after every dissenter first on the list would be the lesbians because we are a thorn in the side of misogynistic gay men yet when i appealed to academics to stand with me and not cancel an event i was speaking at most turned the other cheek and decided a quiet life was betterp pand so now here we are the witches are being drowned and the bitches burned at the stake kathleen stock jo phoenix selina todd and many other women whose names you will never know are being put through hellp pbut another largely hidden cost of this war is the lost opportunity for solidarity as a young lesbian trans people were my friends and allies that is how it should be those of us who live on the margins of society and who are discriminated against should have each others backs we are all victims of this bloody battlep a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110transactivismswaronsolidarityappcommentsview 23 commentsa

pi met relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlewhyatranswomanthinksselfidisamistake target_blankclaudiaa pub hackney 2003 researching diagnoses transsexuality time mutual friend introduced thought notion trapped wrong body deeply sexist conservative able present wish sex born intop pdressed head toe black hair swept glorious silvergrey chignon told mourning lover david died left claudia years ago describing david cross george best jesus christ claudia told life storyp pborn male claudia grew rundown estate glasgow mercilessly bullied gay early eighties claudia met david soon announced gay claudia woman genital surgery 1986p divdiv pi changed wrong reasons claudia told david walked year operation claudia firm friends remain day later wrote emsunday telegraph magazineem editors decided article online widely readp pnot nowinfamous relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2004jan31genderweekend7 target_blankcolumna emguardianem entitled gender benders beware railed trans woman tried rape crisis centre vancouver shut tying staff years litigation fallout immediate readers editor received hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancommedia2004feb14pressandpublishingcomment200 lettersa complaint result lobbying trans activists later distance article claiming abused abused minorityp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110stock1536x8641300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarh5the hounding kathleen stockh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspanbyspan timandra harknessapdivadiv pi began receive death rape threats email messages watched feminist views unpopular blame men violence women warned quiet prepare misogyny extreme transgender activistsp pdespite hostility contacted number trans people willing talk years debated countless prominent activists public events respectful warm cases truly enlightening sides kept touch opponents friendships formedp pin 2007 asked bbc ema relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccoukradio4hecklerspipo29wl target_blankhecklersaem live radio programme aggressive format asked forward view sexchange operations constitute unnecessary mutilation audience doctors transgender people royal society medicine trans people gender clinician peter tatchell argue mep pi convinced mess scared invite feminist allies watch survived stayed drink audience individual trans men came lifted tshirts showed double mastectomy scars trans woman told transition hormones poisoned testosterone animosity fact claudia insisted coming support cruelly snubbed community solidarity extends speak transgender doctrinep pthe following year nominated relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2008nov08lesbianism target_blankjournalist yeara award stonewall work antilesbian violence interest nomination come public opposed internal vote charity gay media decided absolutely berserk nomination changed mind despite fact long public view stonewall prioritised rich gay men lesbiansp psoon social media awash petitions open letters plans demonstration event talk storm victoria albert museum event held stonewall held firmp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1252476952scalede1630004478723300x173jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarh5stonewalls greatest betrayalh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108stonewallsgreatestbetrayalrefinnarspanbyspan jonny bestapdivadiv pthe crowd greeting arrival loud aggressive plastered dozens placards bindel bigot screamed loudhailers managed enter building told judges clear winner panel received strict instructions given award relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewsuknewsdrmiriamstoppardscoopsjournalist356232 target_blankgiven toa heterosexual agony auntp pthe impact decision extend far handingout mundane prize galvanised modern day transrights movement relnoopener hrefhttpscommonswikimediaorgwikifilestephen_whittle_obe_and_christine_burns_mbe_at_buckingham_palacejpg target_blankold guarda press change founders christine burns stephen whittle started dismissed irrelevant conciliatory younger bluefringe crew declaring new overlordsp pfrom 2008 onwards invited speak alongside transgender activist ally event face threats shut disrupted 2010 invited speak queer question time royal vauxhall tavern turned face relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvjvxmd0qlose target_blankmassive demonstrationa 100 trans activists shouting loudhailers jostling tried enter building protesters came inside event time opened mouth screamed mep pthe atmosphere toxic copanellists london mayor ken livingstone forced im sure people danger cant imagine julie bindel floor object thrown room hit eye terrified turned lanyard thrown trans womanp pbut event able place 2008 uk national union students nus included noplatform relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsukpolitics201403whendidnoplatformbecomeaboutattackingindividualsdeemeddisagreeable target_blanklista alongside fascist groups individuals meant invited speak universities male violence women girls nus threaten withdraw financial support given organiser inevitably dropped publicly protect eventp pfor wasnt 2011 upset invited speak occasional university event nus gay lesbian bisexual transgender glbt conference voted noplatform motion summed spiteful worldview conference believes julie bindle [sic] vilep pand went denmark conference end harms caused women global sex trade escorted venue police officers angry mob started bang loudly windows scream loudhailers event spain asked deliver keynote speech rape stopped going stage minutes spare later discovered major funder organising group raised concerns transphobia reflected invitation julie bindel speakp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages1152686518scalede16297334335191300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarh5why transh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whyibecametransrefinnarspanbyspan debbie haytonapdivadiv pi course activist harassed years friends number trans people harassed deplatformed attempting discussions feminists ive interviewed dozens detransitioners cast asunder expressing regret transitioning know trans people perfectly happy decision believe reasonable demand encroach womenonly spaces domestic violence refuges rape crisis services prisons hospital wardsp pthe problem trans people extreme trans activism mens rights movement grown backlash feminism particular type feminism seeks eradicate male violence women girlsp pfor costs targeted way enormous relation unpaid activism mob follows preventing speaking end male violence guise protecting transrights speak prostitution relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpalgravecomgbbook9781349959464 target_blankexpertisea told clearly hate trans sex workers comes thatp pfaced vitriol mental health took hammering began feel ashamed trouble causing invited speak find apologising graciously accept commendable having despite decades active feminism public profilep pi started wonder monster ridiculously grateful hide apologise fact public connection selfconfidence fell rock doubted abilities skills knowledge hearing latest cancellation end highly distressed floods tears knowing mud sticks offered newspaper column withdrawn staff members announced publicly argue appointmentp pi spent years trying warn fellow feminists stood let scapegoat eventually come dissenter list lesbians thorn misogynistic gay men appealed academics stand cancel event speaking turned cheek decided quiet life betterp pand witches drowned bitches burned stake kathleen stock jo phoenix selina todd women names know hellp pbut largely hidden cost war lost opportunity solidarity young lesbian trans people friends allies live margins society discriminated backs victims bloody battlep hrefhttpsunherdcom202110transactivismswaronsolidarityappcommentsview 23 commentsa

6171fcf3c67fa28bbbfe9fe9

How Stonewall was exposed

pwhen stonewall was set up in 1989 gay people did not have equal rights in the uk homosexuality may have been decriminalised in 1967 but the age of consent wasnt the same as it was for straight people in the eighties section 28 was still on the statute books causing harm to gay students and teachers alike and of course gay people were not allowed to have their relationships recognised in law the work of stonewall in those days was invaluablep pits founders including ian mckellen fought a very public often personal but ultimately successful battle to bring about political change though changing hearts and minds john majors government the new labour government of tony blair and finally the conservativeled coalition of david cameron saw every single one of the unequal treatments of gay british people rescinded by 2013 when the coalition passed the gay marriage act the battle for gay rights was essentially wonp pbut there is a problem with rights battles which is that even once they are won not everybody will leave the barricades many have no other homes to go to many find purpose only in the struggle still others more cynically have lifestyles to sustain and pensions and mortgages to pay besides power and influence once accrued is a hard thing to give upp pso it appears was the case with stonewall who around the time that the conservatives passed the gay marriage act decided to pivot onto an entirely new cause gender ideologyp divdiv ptrans rights had always been part of the lgbt cause most gay people were sympathetic to the small number of trans people we met in bars or clubs but their cause was not the same as ours and besides most trans people seemed to want to just get on with their lives passing as the opposite sex and being accepted this all changed the moment ruth hunt took over as chief executive of stonewall in 2014 with her arrival the organisations focus changed and the cry of stonewall adverts some people are gay get over it morphed into a more complex set of assertions this included the claim that some people are trans so therefore biological sex does not exist and in fact there is an endlessly growing number of different gender identitiesp pperhaps hunt and her colleagues did not realise the explosive device they were placing beneath their own movement for if you accept that there is no such thing as sex but only selfidentifying gender then samesex attracted people are erased this means you delete your core constituency if you are an organisation like stonewall regardless stonewall persevered not least because by now they had discovered an especially lucrative businessp pthis was summed up in what became known as the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstonewallorgukcreatinginclusiveworkplacesworkplaceequalityindicesukworkplaceequalityindex target_blankstonewall equality indexa and a hrefhttpswwwstonewallorgukdiversitychampionsprogrammediversity champions schemea the charity would effectively audit companies and other public and private sector organisations to grade how good they were for lgbt employees and how advanced they were in lgbt rights again at the start of this project in the 2000s there was something to be said for it but by the 2010s it was charging companies 2500 just to apply to be part of the diversity champions scheme commercial interest had taken over as emthe timesem a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlestonewallequalitylistbulliesbossesandsilencesdissentcz6k7klf5 target_blankdemonstrateda stonewall confected arbitrary rules to force employers into doing more to become diversity champions it coerced those involved in the scheme to lobby for stonewalls point of view and it misrepresented the law in relation to trans rights confusing the law of the land with stonewalls preferred lawp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1157417935e1628178084566300x172jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarh5does owen jones have a woman problemh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pafter publication of emthe timesem report equalities minister liz truss called for government departments to leave the stonewall scheme around the same time the equality and human rights commission also left saying that it was not best value for money the fact that stonewall had been appraising the work of the ehrc was a demonstration of just where the organisation had been sitting in the new clerical class that had come to dominate britain the principles of this new elite were centered around the new religion of diversity and equality and the groups which claimed to be the holders of the doctrines of this faith had done exceptionally well until nowp pas things started to fall apart stonewall and its allies responded in the way of all trapped elites they continued to accuse their critics of maliciousintent specifically in this case bigotry and refused to take any of the criticisms onboard so a devastating summary judgement came down upon them which they did not even bother to answer it came from a somewhat surprising sourcep pthe bbc is among the corporations to have been caught up in stonewalls various schemes and yet the questions over stonewalls connection with the bbc and the wider british elite came from a farflung if noble corner of the great bbc empire stephen nolan of bbc radio ulsterp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages504322094594x5941300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarh5roger scruton is the heretic we needh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pnolan takes 10 episodes to fully investigate the influence of stonewall and its empire this includes the gender ideology that stonewall pushes its closeness to government its penetration of ofcom and finally its closeness to the bbc itself it is a remarkable act of journalism demonstrating that among the finest attributes of the bbc is the ability of people at the corporation to question their own bossesp pit also inevitably takes some time to get through and so the response has been predictably illinformed stonewalls defenders and those pushing the same ideology as the group immediately attacked the podcast and its makers they did so suspiciously fast given that youd need to dedicate at least eight hours to listen to the whole thing as stonewalls foundations started to collapse they attempted to rise above the fray as a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepoststephennolansstonewalldocumentaryisunmissable target_blankgareth robertsa noted their response was a deeply unserious tweet asserting that they were simply working towards a better worldp blockquote datawidth550 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrlooks like were trending today twitter img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f440png classwpsmileyp pyou mightve seen a podcast about our work today we make img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley no img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley apology img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley for working towards a better world for lgbtq peoplep pin fact wed love to tell you more about our work in the thread belowp p stonewall stonewalluk a hrefhttpstwittercomstonewallukstatus1448654195658088453ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 14 2021apblockquote pp pthey didnt address any of the very serious questions raised by nolan questions about stonewalls undue influence inside and outside government its misrepresentation of the law its displacement of the law with its own interpretation of it or hope for it and its ability through ofcom in particular to effectively mark its own homeworkp pstonewall has tried to pretend that it is above answering these very significant questions but it is not one clip from nolan demonstrates this above all its with ben cohen the founder and chief executive of empink newsem the legacy online gay publication likes to act as a sort of ideological enforcer for stonewall pursuing their perceived opponents and otherwise engaging in activism in the guise of journalism they attend the same black tie dinners and downing street receptionsp pbut worth the price of listening to the nolan show alone is the moment in episode three when nolan asks cohen to define a couple of the genderbollocks terms that stonewall and others expect everyone in the uk including bbc presenters like nolan to be able to understand and all those diversity champions out there what is twospirit nolan asks cohen cohen cannot explain what about genderqueer again cohen is stumped while undeniably funny this moment also represents something very serious in stonewalls wider collapsep div dataloopno dataaudiohttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110audio20211015112608mp3 dataidsu_audio_player_6171f19972c90 dataswfhttpsunherdcomwpcontentpluginsshortcodesultimatevendorjplayerjplayerswf dataautoplaynodivdivdivdivdivdivspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspandivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdiv pit is one thing that a group should be caught out in a dodgy moneymaking scheme it is another that people should be seeing through their influencepeddling operations yet it is far worse when a clerical class cannot explain the doctrines of their own faith a faith they have been busy trying to spew out across the whole of society but which is so baseless that even the priestly class doesnt know what they are talking about it is the end of the faithp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howstonewallwasexposedappcommentsview commentsa

pwhen stonewall set 1989 gay people equal rights uk homosexuality decriminalised 1967 age consent wasnt straight people eighties section 28 statute books causing harm gay students teachers alike course gay people allowed relationships recognised law work stonewall days invaluablep pits founders including ian mckellen fought public personal ultimately successful battle bring political change changing hearts minds john majors government new labour government tony blair finally conservativeled coalition david cameron saw single unequal treatments gay british people rescinded 2013 coalition passed gay marriage act battle gay rights essentially wonp pbut problem rights battles won everybody leave barricades homes find purpose struggle cynically lifestyles sustain pensions mortgages pay power influence accrued hard thing upp pso appears case stonewall time conservatives passed gay marriage act decided pivot entirely new cause gender ideologyp divdiv ptrans rights lgbt cause gay people sympathetic small number trans people met bars clubs cause trans people want lives passing opposite sex accepted changed moment ruth hunt took chief executive stonewall 2014 arrival organisations focus changed cry stonewall adverts people gay morphed complex set assertions included claim people trans biological sex exist fact endlessly growing number different gender identitiesp pperhaps hunt colleagues realise explosive device placing beneath movement accept thing sex selfidentifying gender samesex attracted people erased means delete core constituency organisation like stonewall regardless stonewall persevered discovered especially lucrative businessp pthis summed known relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstonewallorgukcreatinginclusiveworkplacesworkplaceequalityindicesukworkplaceequalityindex target_blankstonewall equality indexa hrefhttpswwwstonewallorgukdiversitychampionsprogrammediversity champions schemea charity effectively audit companies public private sector organisations grade good lgbt employees advanced lgbt rights start project 2000s said 2010s charging companies 2500 apply diversity champions scheme commercial interest taken asemthe timesema relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlestonewallequalitylistbulliesbossesandsilencesdissentcz6k7klf5 target_blankdemonstratedastonewall confected arbitrary rules force employers diversity champions coerced involved scheme lobby stonewalls point view misrepresented law relation trans rights confusing law land stonewalls preferred lawp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1157417935e1628178084566300x172jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarh5does owen jones woman problemh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108doesowenjoneshaveawomanproblemrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pafter publication ofemthe timesemreport equalities minister liz truss called government departments leave stonewall scheme time equality human rights commission left saying best value money fact stonewall appraising work ehrc demonstration organisation sitting new clerical class come dominate britain principles new elite centered new religion diversity equality groups claimed holders doctrines faith exceptionally nowp pas things started fall apart stonewall allies responded way trapped elites continued accuse critics maliciousintent specifically case bigotry refused criticisms onboard devastating summary judgement came bother answer came somewhat surprising sourcep pthe bbc corporations caught stonewalls schemes questions stonewalls connection bbc wider british elite came farflung noble corner great bbc empire stephen nolan bbc radio ulsterp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages504322094594x5941300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarh5roger scruton heretic needh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108rogerscrutonisthehereticweneedrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pnolan takes 10 episodes fully investigate influence stonewall empire includes gender ideology stonewall pushes closeness government penetration ofcom finally closeness bbc remarkable act journalism demonstrating thefinest attributes bbc ability people corporation question bossesp pit inevitably takes time response predictably illinformed stonewalls defenders pushing ideology group immediately attacked podcast makers suspiciously fast given youd need dedicate hours listen thing stonewalls foundations started collapse attempted rise fray asa relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepoststephennolansstonewalldocumentaryisunmissable target_blankgareth robertsa noted response deeply unserious tweet asserting simply working better worldp blockquote datawidth550 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrlooks like trending today twitter img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f440png classwpsmileyp pyou mightve seen podcast work today img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley apology img alt srchttpssworgimagescoreemoji131072x721f44fpng classwpsmiley working better world lgbtq peoplep pin fact wed love tell work thread belowp p stonewall stonewalluk hrefhttpstwittercomstonewallukstatus1448654195658088453ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 14 2021apblockquote pp pthey didnt address questions raised nolan questions stonewalls undue influence inside outside government misrepresentation law displacement law interpretation hope ability ofcom particular effectively mark homeworkp pstonewall tried pretend answering significant questions clip nolan demonstrates ben cohen founder chief executive empink newsemthe legacy online gay publication likes act sort ideological enforcer stonewall pursuing perceived opponents engaging activism guise journalism attend black tie dinners downing street receptionsp pbut worth price listening nolan moment episode nolan asks cohen define couple genderbollocks terms stonewall expect uk including bbc presenters like nolan able understand diversity champions twospirit nolan asks cohen cohen explain genderqueer cohen stumped undeniably funny moment represents stonewalls wider collapsep div dataloopno dataaudiohttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110audio20211015112608mp3 dataidsu_audio_player_6171f19972c90 dataswfhttpsunherdcomwpcontentpluginsshortcodesultimatevendorjplayerjplayerswf dataautoplaynodivdivdivdivdivdivspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspanspandivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdivdiv pit thing group caught dodgy moneymaking scheme people seeing influencepeddling operations far worse clerical class explain doctrines faith faith busy trying spew society baseless priestly class doesnt know talking end faithp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howstonewallwasexposedappcommentsview commentsa

6171fcf5c67fa28bbbfe9feb

Does Grand Theft Auto save lives?

pafter two gunmen opened fire at a stream of passing cars on a tennessee highway in 2003 killing one person and badly wounding another it didnt take long for the police to find a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsaloncom20050222gta_killers target_blankthe culpritsa lurking in the bushes nearby were two teenage stepbrothers who quickly confessed to the crime but it wasnt their fault they explained they hadnt meant to hurt anyone they were simply copying their favourite videogame emgrand theft auto iiiemp ponce they were put trial this claim was taken at facevalue by the victims familys lawyers who launched a 246 million lawsuit against the games developers sony computer entertainment america and rockstar games the case however was eventually a relnoopener hrefhttpjthtlorgcontentarticlesv8i2jthtlv8i2_oholleranpdf target_blankdismisseda exactly twenty years after emgta iii emwas released the debate over violent video games can seem like yesterdays controversyp divdiv pbut its a theme that keeps reappearing it was referenced last week by ted sarandos the coceo of netflix after a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthecutcom202110allthefalloutfromdavechappellesnewspecialhtml target_blankcriticisma of the new dave chappelle comedy special netflix as a company sarandos wrote in a relnoopener hrefhttpsvarietycom2021filmnewstedsarandosdavechappelledefense1235088647 target_blankan emaila to staff last week ha[s] a strong belief that content on screen doesnt directly translate to realworld harm he continuedp blockquotepemthe strongest evidence to support this is that violence on screens has grown hugely over the last thirty years especially with [firstperson] shooter games and yet violent crime has fallen significantly in many countries adults can watch violence assault and abuse or enjoy shocking standup comedy without it causing them to harm othersempblockquote psarandos has now distanced himself from his remarks saying they shouldve been made with a relnoopener hrefhttpsvarietycom2021filmnewsdavechappellenetflixtedsarandosiscrewedup1235093098 target_blanka lot more humanitya but was he right right that videogame violence was a useful analogy is it really the case that theres no translation from virtual to realworld violence what have we learned in the 20 years since emgta iiiemp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages502138775e1633535529930300x170jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarh5the dangers of the nobel prizeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pthe evidence is certainly confusing the american psychological association published a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwapaorgpifamiliesreviewvideogamespdf target_blanka reviewa of videogame violence in 2015 a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwapaorgscienceleadershipbsareportviolentvideogamespdf target_blankupdateda a little in 2019 which concluded that playing violent videogames does indeed make children adolescents and young adults more aggressive but the apa also concluded that there simply wasnt enough evidence to say whether this translated to realworld criminal violence or delinquencyp pin 2020 a relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoifull1011771745691620927666 target_blankanother set of researchersa added an extra dose of ambiguity they pointed to a number of holes in the apas analysis uncovered lots of studies that had been missed and noticed on a closer look that many of the studies cited had been very poorquality they concluded that the apa had greatly overestimated the consistency of the evidence linking videogames to aggression although stated with quite some uncertainty the association between videogames and aggressive behaviour in their new analysis appeared negligible higherquality studies since then tend to a relnoopener hrefhttpsroyalsocietypublishingorgdoifull101098rsos171474 target_blanksupport that caseap peven worse for the case against videogames some of the studies that were often cited as evidence for their effects on aggression and violence have come under intense suspicion in recent years for example one study that had claimed to show how firstperson shooter games influenced people to aim for the head when shooting a real gun was a relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoiabs1011770093650212446622 target_blankretracteda after data irregularities were discovered several other articles on this topic by one particular academic qian zhang of southwest university in china have also either been retracted or seriously questioned after a relnoopener hrefhttpscrystalprisonzoneblogspotcom202101itriedtoreportscientificmisconducthtml target_blankan investigationa by the data sleuth joe hilgardp pnot only that but at least some evidence points in the opposite direction a number of studies even claim that after the release of a very popular videogame crime actually goes emdownem presumably due to the potential perpetrators and their victims being incapacitated or perhaps selfincapacitated by the game that is people are safely staying inside committing virtual slayings and virtual bank robberies instead of getting mixed up in realworld crime a relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoifull1011771477370817717070 target_blankone such studya specifically pointed to the most recent emgrand theft autoem instalment 2013s emgta vem as having these crimedampening effectsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107screenshot20210712at190952300x178jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarh5what warhammer taught me about footballh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv psuch evidence showing that violent video games actually emreduceem realworld violence rather than just being unrelated to it seem almost too good to be true if youre on the provideogames side of the debate of course the data they use is just an overview we cant be sure that the specific people who avoided crime did so because they were staying at home playing emgtaem we dont have a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiecological_fallacy target_blankindividuallevel dataa and they might have been doing something else entirely but a relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoiabs101002soej12139 target_blanka fewa a hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord201433466001studiesa have now found similar results and the selfincapacitation effect does seem intuitively plausible perhaps more plausible than the idea that after an intense session of emgtaem players would feel the urge to put down the controller and go to seek out a reallife scrapp pthe results seem particularly convincing for games from the emgrand theft autoem series simply because theyre so astonishingly popular emgta vem alone has sold more than a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvideogameschroniclecomnewsgrandtheftautovhasnowsoldover150millioncopies target_blank150 million copiesa and with a game thats by all accounts extremely absorbing and addictive thats a lot of potential people off the streets to return to the point made by netflixs ted sarandos the immense and increasing popularity of such violent games while crime rates have either dropped or flattened out should at least give pause to anyone who wants to draw a causal link between the two after all an awful lot of people are playing these games however much nongamers might find the whole thing bafflingp pand thats perhaps the distinction we should draw between the emqualityem of a piece of art or media and its emeffectsem these arent the same thing our sense of disgust or moral disapproval doesnt necessarily pinpoint the things that are really toxic in our environment bad quality and bad effects surely overlap sometimes but its too common to see them conflated to see a this is in bad taste argument masquerading as a this has bad effects argumentp pin fact what we might need is to rehabilitate the act of criticism or even the idea of aesthetics itself thoughtful criticism of our cultural objects including videogames is a good thing in itself and neednt rely on whether they have good or bad effects in the real world the a relnoopener hrefhttpsaestheticsonlineorgpagedeanstate target_blankfull picturea of what makes something beautiful or what gives it artistic value can of course include its realworld consequences if any but those are among the most difficult things to pin down critics shouldnt play at being scientists when their aesthetic criticism is valuable regardlessp plikewise scientists should avoid playing at being critics and not let their sense of aesthetic distaste or moral offence interfere with the sober disinterested gathering of data that solid research requires its surely not going too far to argue that a sense of distaste about videogames was what led the scientists mentioned above to overlook the bad perhaps fraudulent studies that pointed to their bad effectsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202009civ300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarh5why civilization is a political masterpieceh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarspanbyspan sam leithapdivadiv pis emgrand theft auto iiiem a good piece of art not really it did represent a watershed moment in game design the subsequent 20 years have been stuffed full of games that built on or ripped off its a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikisandbox_game target_blankgeneral setupa and whereas it emdidem allow players to wander around a city with a sniper rifle blowing the heads off randomlychosen pedestrians it also had a relatively sophisticated gangstermovielike plotline with a wickedly ironic and satirical view on society something which many critics and to be fair players missed but it wasnt much of a step forward for videogames in the artistic value stakes for that take a look at wikipedias list of a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_video_games_considered_artistic target_blankgames considered artistica on which the later emgta vem with its wider cinematic scope does appearp pdid emgrand theft auto iiiem cause realworld violence the evidence would suggest otherwise the sheer complexity of arriving at an answer to that question though should make us substantially more cautious about advancing our pet theory of how this or that medium has massive impacts on our psychologyp pvideogame researchers have recently begun to highlight the sheer uncertainty of many of the effects in their field perhaps believers in the effects of other media whether newspapers books movies instagram or even netflix comedy specials should show the same kind of intellectual humilityp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110doesgrandtheftautosavelivesappcommentsview commentsa

pafter gunmen opened fire stream passing cars tennessee highway 2003 killing person badly wounding didnt long police find relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsaloncom20050222gta_killers target_blankthe culpritsa lurking bushes nearby teenage stepbrothers quickly confessed crime wasnt fault explained hadnt meant hurt simply copying favourite videogame emgrand theft auto iiiemp ponce trial claim taken facevalue victims familys lawyers launched 246 million lawsuit games developers sony computer entertainment america rockstar games case eventually relnoopener hrefhttpjthtlorgcontentarticlesv8i2jthtlv8i2_oholleranpdf target_blankdismisseda exactly years emgta iii emwas released debate violent video games like yesterdays controversyp divdiv pbut theme keeps reappearing referenced week ted sarandos coceo netflix relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthecutcom202110allthefalloutfromdavechappellesnewspecialhtml target_blankcriticisma new dave chappelle comedy special netflix company sarandos wrote relnoopener hrefhttpsvarietycom2021filmnewstedsarandosdavechappelledefense1235088647 target_blankan emaila staff week ha[s] strong belief content screen doesnt directly translate realworld harm continuedp blockquotepemthe strongest evidence support violence screens grown hugely thirty years especially [firstperson] shooter games violent crime fallen significantly countries adults watch violence assault abuse enjoy shocking standup comedy causing harm othersempblockquote psarandos distanced remarks saying shouldve relnoopener hrefhttpsvarietycom2021filmnewsdavechappellenetflixtedsarandosiscrewedup1235093098 target_blanka lot humanitya right right videogame violence useful analogy case theres translation virtual realworld violence learned 20 years emgta iiiemp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages502138775e1633535529930300x170jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarh5the dangers nobel prizeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pthe evidence certainly confusing american psychological association published relnoopener hrefhttpswwwapaorgpifamiliesreviewvideogamespdf target_blanka reviewa videogame violence 2015 relnoopener hrefhttpswwwapaorgscienceleadershipbsareportviolentvideogamespdf target_blankupdateda little 2019 concluded playing violent videogames children adolescents young adults aggressive apa concluded simply wasnt evidence translated realworld criminal violence delinquencyp pin 2020 relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoifull1011771745691620927666 target_blankanother set researchersa added extra dose ambiguity pointed number holes apas analysis uncovered lots studies missed noticed closer look studies cited poorquality concluded apa greatly overestimated consistency evidence linking videogames aggression stated uncertainty association videogames aggressive behaviour new analysis appeared negligible higherquality studies tend relnoopener hrefhttpsroyalsocietypublishingorgdoifull101098rsos171474 target_blanksupport caseap peven worse case videogames studies cited evidence effects aggression violence come intense suspicion recent years example study claimed firstperson shooter games influenced people aim head shooting real gun relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoiabs1011770093650212446622 target_blankretracteda data irregularities discovered articles topic particular academic qian zhang southwest university china retracted seriously questioned relnoopener hrefhttpscrystalprisonzoneblogspotcom202101itriedtoreportscientificmisconducthtml target_blankan investigationa data sleuth joe hilgardp pnot evidence points opposite direction number studies claim release popular videogame crime actually goes emdownem presumably potential perpetrators victims incapacitated selfincapacitated game people safely staying inside committing virtual slayings virtual bank robberies instead getting mixed realworld crime relnoopener hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoifull1011771477370817717070 target_blankone studya specifically pointed recent emgrand theft autoem instalment 2013s emgta vem having crimedampening effectsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107screenshot20210712at190952300x178jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarh5what warhammer taught footballh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatwarhammertaughtmeaboutliferefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv psuch evidence showing violent video games actually emreduceem realworld violence unrelated good true youre provideogames debate course data use overview cant sure specific people avoided crime staying home playing emgtaem dont relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiecological_fallacy target_blankindividuallevel dataa entirely relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoiabs101002soej12139 target_blanka fewa hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord201433466001studiesa found similar results selfincapacitation effect intuitively plausible plausible idea intense session emgtaem players feel urge controller seek reallife scrapp pthe results particularly convincing games emgrand theft autoem series simply theyre astonishingly popular emgta vem sold relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvideogameschroniclecomnewsgrandtheftautovhasnowsoldover150millioncopies target_blank150 million copiesa game thats accounts extremely absorbing addictive thats lot potential people streets return point netflixs ted sarandos immense increasing popularity violent games crime rates dropped flattened pause wants draw causal link awful lot people playing games nongamers find thing bafflingp pand thats distinction draw emqualityem piece art media emeffectsem arent thing sense disgust moral disapproval doesnt necessarily pinpoint things toxic environment bad quality bad effects surely overlap common conflated bad taste argument masquerading bad effects argumentp pin fact need rehabilitate act criticism idea aesthetics thoughtful criticism cultural objects including videogames good thing neednt rely good bad effects real world relnoopener hrefhttpsaestheticsonlineorgpagedeanstate target_blankfull picturea makes beautiful gives artistic value course include realworld consequences difficult things pin critics shouldnt play scientists aesthetic criticism valuable regardlessp plikewise scientists avoid playing critics let sense aesthetic distaste moral offence interfere sober disinterested gathering data solid research requires surely going far argue sense distaste videogames led scientists mentioned overlook bad fraudulent studies pointed bad effectsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202009civ300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarh5why civilization political masterpieceh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202009whycivilizationisapoliticalmasterpiecerefinnarspanbyspan sam leithapdivadiv pis emgrand theft auto iiiem good piece art represent watershed moment game design subsequent 20 years stuffed games built ripped relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikisandbox_game target_blankgeneral setupa emdidem allow players wander city sniper rifle blowing heads randomlychosen pedestrians relatively sophisticated gangstermovielike plotline wickedly ironic satirical view society critics fair players missed wasnt step forward videogames artistic value stakes look wikipedias list relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_video_games_considered_artistic target_blankgames considered artistica later emgta vem wider cinematic scope appearp pdid emgrand theft auto iiiem cause realworld violence evidence suggest sheer complexity arriving answer question substantially cautious advancing pet theory medium massive impacts psychologyp pvideogame researchers recently begun highlight sheer uncertainty effects field believers effects media newspapers books movies instagram netflix comedy specials kind intellectual humilityp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110doesgrandtheftautosavelivesappcommentsview commentsa

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Covid facts to ponder

ul lithe overall death rate for men is 16 times higher than the death rate for womenli ul phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbrookingsedublogupfront20211019atleast65000morementhanwomenhavediedfromcovid19intheus target_blankthe underlying brookings studya by richard v reeves and beyond deng based on us data  that is a pretty big gap  we have done plenty to vaccinate older people first but men are never given priority place in these lines  why notp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110covidfactstoponderhtmlcovid facts to pondera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

ul lithe overall death rate men 16 times higher death rate womenli ul phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbrookingsedublogupfront20211019atleast65000morementhanwomenhavediedfromcovid19intheus target_blankthe underlying brookings studya richard v reeves deng based data pretty big gap plenty vaccinate older people men given priority place lines notp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110covidfactstoponderhtmlcovid facts pondera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The player exposing the NBA’s hypocrisy on China

premember when free tibet was a mainstay of the cool hippie subculture that dominated the nineties back when hollywood cared about the fate of buddhisms holy landp pfew will even remember that disney yes the same disney that recently filmed parts of the liveaction imulani in xinjiang produced a film ikunduni about the early life of the dalai lama china then retaliated by a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20160615businessinternationalchinadisneyhtmlbanninga disney films causing the company to backtrack and attempt to bury the scorsesedirected biopic disneys thenceo even traveled to china to apologizep pthis series of events should sound familiar by now in the age of western capitulation to china less commonplace these days is the sight of a celebrity sporting imagery of the dalai lama and any quaint talk of freeing tibetp pthats why it was stupefying to see the boston celtics center enes kanter denounce president xi jinping as a brutal dictator with an image of tibets exiled spiritual leader emblazoned across his tshirt this came in a a hrefhttpstwittercomeneskanterstatus1450869180283203589videoa that was posted to social media right before the new york knicks were slated to play the celtics in the opening home game of the nba seasonp pwith somber conviction kanter looked into the camera and criticized chinas denial of basic rights and freedoms to the tibetan people and its ongoing cultural genocide avowing that he could no longer stay silentp phis activism did not end there as kanter stepped out into the madison square garden arena all eyes were on his brightly hued sneakers that bore unmistakable visual references to the tibetan flag which chinese authorities consider a symbol of separatism custommade and handpainted by the chinese dissident artist a hrefhttpstwittercomeneskanterstatus1450963678413705224ref_srctwsrc5etfw7ctwcamp5etweetembed7ctwterm5e14509636784137052247ctwgr5e7ctwcon5es1_ref_urlhttps3a2f2fdeadlinecom2f20212f102fnbachinablackouteneskanterfreetibetbostonceltics12348596652fbadiucaoa the shoes were bathed in blue and swirls of orange flames that represented the 150 tibetans who as enes referenced in his video selfimmolated in protest of beijings rule the words free tibet were inscribed on one side of the shoe in boldp div classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861jpg altenes kanter width1024 srcsethttps3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861jpg 1024w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861300x200jpg 300w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861768x512jpg 768w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861435x290jpg 435w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861730x486jpg 730w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861600x400jpg 600w classwpimage30210 height682p classwpcaptiontextenes kanters free tibet shoes gettypdiv pit was clear that the firestorm set off by kantergate would render the fallout from moreygate tame by comparison in 2019 former houston rockets manager daryl morey posted a tweet supporting the prodemocracy movement in hong kong cringeinducing concessions to the chinese followed morey and the nba both apologized but the backlash was substantial merchandising sales fell through and tv contracts were revoked resulting in a a hrefhttpsnbanbcsportscom20200216nbaloseshundredsofmillionsofdollarsinchinamayreturntoplaypreseasongamesin2020lossa of hundreds of millions of dollars in revenuep psure enough shortly after enes kanters stunt internet giant tencent holdings the nbas streaming partner in the country canceled the live broadcast and pulled all future celtics games while weibo chinas answer to twitter immediately banned any searches for kanters name on the platform kanter even drew the a hrefhttpstwittercomchenweihuastatus1451146447450255360s20irea of chinese state media on twitterp pdespite having played an average of 12 minutes in the a hrefhttpswwwfoxsportscomnbaeneskanterplayergamelogseason2021seasontypeprepreseasona games under his new coach ime udoka kanter did not spend a single second out of his tracksuit and on the court curious considering that the game went into double overtime and saw the celtics eventually succumb to the knicks 134138p pwe cant be sure if the decision to bench kanter was political but we were all thinking it the nbas track record has been to cave to the ccps ideological orthodoxy and silence any deviants right around the time kanter began speaking out against china his income dropped substantially indeed after having one of the most productive seasons of his entire nba career with the portland trailblazers last season averaging career highs in multiple areas he was only able to secure a oneyear contract with the celtics for the current 2022 seasonp pof course when it comes to emdomesticem activism the nba is very much supportive of its players and coaches after the pandemic forced the league to play all remaining games in the disney bubble in orlando black lives matter was painted prominently on the courts and players wore slogans on their jerseys in lieu of last names i cant breathe antiracist justice but when it comes to stand with hong kong or free tibet it sure looks like team owners and league officials are not only far less supportive but actively try to undermine the statements and campaignsp pwhy does the nba permit moral grandstanding and outrage over domestic issues but not international ones the most charitable answer is that due to limited bandwidth no one can get really bogged down in every minutia of every single case of human rights violations around the globe but this ignores the fact that the nba and related companies already have their tentacles deep in chinese markets more than a billiondollar enterprise and growing in fact the league even established training camps to discover homegrown stars in xinjiang the region where atrocities are regularly carried out against the uighur muslimsp div a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div pnothing better exposes the woke edifice projected by the nba than international human rights when cold hard financial realities of losing business or market access come into conflict with all that pesky activism why support itp pwhich is why enes kanters latest freetibet campaign is so brilliant it forces the nba to finally take one of two positions either they condone his anticcp activism and risk losing billions of dollars and creating a diplomatic incident or they punish him for going offscript on their financial overlords and reveal themselves for the faux woke authority that they arep pbuckle up were in for a long interesting ridep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomlifedivergentactivismeneskantertibetthe player exposing the nbas hypocrisy on chinaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

premember free tibet mainstay cool hippie subculture dominated nineties hollywood cared fate buddhisms holy landp pfew remember disney yes disney recently filmed parts liveaction imulani xinjiang produced film ikunduni early life dalai lama china retaliated hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20160615businessinternationalchinadisneyhtmlbanninga disney films causing company backtrack attempt bury scorsesedirected biopic disneys thenceo traveled china apologizep pthis series events sound familiar age western capitulation china commonplace days sight celebrity sporting imagery dalai lama quaint talk freeing tibetp pthats stupefying boston celtics center enes kanter denounce president xi jinping brutal dictator image tibets exiled spiritual leader emblazoned tshirt came hrefhttpstwittercomeneskanterstatus1450869180283203589videoa posted social media right new york knicks slated play celtics opening home game nba seasonp pwithsomber conviction kanterlooked intothe camera andcriticizedchinasdenial basic rights freedoms tibetan peopleandits ongoingcultural genocideavowing couldno longer stay silentp phis activism end kanter stepped madison square garden arena eyes brightly hued sneakers bore unmistakable visual references tibetan flag chinese authorities consider symbol separatism custommade handpainted chinese dissident artist hrefhttpstwittercomeneskanterstatus1450963678413705224ref_srctwsrc5etfw7ctwcamp5etweetembed7ctwterm5e14509636784137052247ctwgr5e7ctwcon5es1_ref_urlhttps3a2f2fdeadlinecom2f20212f102fnbachinablackouteneskanterfreetibetbostonceltics12348596652fbadiucaoa shoes bathed blue swirls orange flames represented 150 tibetans enes referenced video selfimmolated protest beijings rule words free tibet inscribed shoe boldp div classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861jpg altenes kanter width1024 srcsethttps3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861jpg 1024w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861300x200jpg 300w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861768x512jpg 768w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861435x290jpg 435w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861730x486jpg 730w https3tu97y2w9w35k69i31phftc4wpenginenetdnasslcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1347791861600x400jpg 600w classwpimage30210 height682p classwpcaptiontextenes kanters free tibet shoes gettypdiv pit clear firestorm set kantergate render fallout moreygate tame comparison 2019 houston rockets manager daryl morey posted tweet supporting prodemocracy movement hong kong cringeinducing concessions chinese followed morey nba apologized backlash substantial merchandising sales fell tv contracts revoked resulting hrefhttpsnbanbcsportscom20200216nbaloseshundredsofmillionsofdollarsinchinamayreturntoplaypreseasongamesin2020lossaof hundreds millions dollars revenuep psure shortly enes kanters stunt internet giant tencent holdings nbas streaming partner country canceled live broadcast pulled future celtics games weibo chinas answer twitter immediately banned searches kanters platform kanter drew thea hrefhttpstwittercomchenweihuastatus1451146447450255360s20ireaof chinese state mediaon twitterp pdespite having playedan average 12 minutes thea hrefhttpswwwfoxsportscomnbaeneskanterplayergamelogseason2021seasontypeprepreseasona games new coach ime udoka kanter spend single second tracksuit court curious considering game went double overtime saw celtics eventually succumb knicks 134138p pwe cant sure decision bench kanter political thinking nbas track record cave ccps ideological orthodoxy silence deviants right time kanter began speaking china income dropped substantially having productive seasons entire nba career portland trailblazers season averaging career highs multiple areas able secure oneyear contract celtics current 2022 seasonp pof course comes emdomesticem activism nba supportive players coaches pandemic forced league play remaining games disney bubble orlando black lives matter painted prominently courts players wore slogans jerseys lieu names cant breathe antiracist justice comes stand hong kong free tibet sure looks like team owners league officials far supportive actively try undermine statements campaignsp pwhy nba permit moral grandstanding outrage domestic issues international ones charitable answer limited bandwidth bogged minutia single case human rights violations globe ignores fact nba related companies tentacles deep chinese markets billiondollar enterprise growing fact league established training camps discover homegrown stars xinjiang region atrocities regularly carried uighur muslimsp div hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div pnothing better exposes woke edifice projected nba international human rights cold hard financial realities losing business market access come conflict pesky activism support itp pwhich enes kanters latest freetibet campaign brilliant forces nba finally positions condone anticcp activism risk losing billions dollars creating diplomatic incident punish going offscript financial overlords reveal faux woke authority arep pbuckle long interesting ridep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomlifedivergentactivismeneskantertibetthe player exposing nbas hypocrisy chinaa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

6171fde2c67fa28bbbfea00b

You Can't Fight Campus Illiberalism With More Illiberalism

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_072400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_071200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_072400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_071200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altcornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpeg height675 picture div pi consider my children to be extraordinarily lucky to be born and live in the united states when i moved here from france in 1999 i believed that while far from perfect america still very much embraced the values held by its founders especially a respect for pluralism and viewpoint diversityp pin fact ive long believed that the first amendments protections for freedom of religion speech press assembly and petition are indispensable ingredients for the success of a country with hundreds of millions of diverse people whose ancestors arrived here from all over the world by the time i moved here many battles to extend freedoms to black and other minority citizens as well as to religious associations on american campuses and elsewhere had already been won by first amendment litigators as a result i took this extension of freedom for granted but i know now that it took much too long for these rights to be extended to all and theres still a lot to be donep pas my eldest daughter just started college ive found myself worrying that academic freedom and viewpoint diversity are now in jeopardy the deterioration of the culture of free speech is documented by greg lukianoff and jonathan haidt in their 2015 book emthe coddling of the american mindem they explain how students who not too long ago had to be protected from speech codes on campus are now asking administrators to protect them from speech they dont want to hear they believe that words that dont conform to their constantly shifting standards are a form of violence as a result incidents on college campuses have multiplied leaving many students and faculty terrified of saying the wrong thingp psadly some conservatives are fighting this leftwing illiberalism with their own illiberalism some even argue that liberal democracys time has passed they embrace nationalists like former president donald trump and hungarian strongman prime minister viktor orban as role models in the hope of rescuing america from what they see as the degenerate culture of the left in response to abusive mask mandates they impose antimask mandates extending to the private sector and they fight the teaching of critical race theory in k12 schools with problematic and illiberal bans of their ownp pno matter who wins this illiberal arm wrestling our liberal culture will be lost unfortunately this illiberalism also limits the production of knowledge in academia and in public policy the sum of it all means that my daughters with all of us will be worse offp pbut i havent lost all hope many people on the left and the right are rising to fight for our liberal democratic values organizations like foundation for individual rights in education fire are defending students and professors of all stripes against persecution by fellow students and zealous administratorsp precognizing the threat of rising illiberalism five alumni groups from cornell university davidson college princeton university the university of virginia and washington and lee university just created the alumni free speech alliance to fight for open inquiry on campus also as of now 82 institutions or faculty bodies have adopted or endorsed the chicago statement or a substantially similar statement to show their commitment to free speech on campus also princeton is stepping up to host a conference by the university of chicagos dorian abbot whose lecture at mit was canceled under pressure from activists who objected to his political viewsp pmy own employer the mercatus center at george mason university launched a program on pluralism and civil exchange aimed at restoring liberalism in america writing for the dispatch former first amendment litigator david french makes the case almost daily that fighting illiberalism of the left or the right is better opposed with liberal values and federal civil rights statutes rather than intolerance leftleaning writers like jonathan chait and matt yglesias are also doing their part finally theres a courageous and persistent battle against illiberalism led by very diverse thinkers like the brookings institutions jonathan rauch bari weiss columbia university professor john mcwhorter brown university economist glenn loury and andrew sullivan thats just a small sample of those rising to the challengep pthe late congressman and civil rights activist john lewis said quotget in good trouble necessary trouble and help redeem the soul of americaquot while the situation may not be as dire as when lewis spoke these words many people are doing this right now and in the name of my daughters i thank themp pstrongspancopyright 2021 spana dataoriginalcomputedfontsize16 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpcreatorscom datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpcreatorscomampsourcegmailampust1634870335660000ampusgafqjcngqet6ndlxf3yzsu1jnaueutg dataremovefontsizetrue target_blankcreatorscomastrongp pemcorrection the original version of this story misstated fires full nameemp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_072400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_071200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_072400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_071200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altcornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110cornell_university_arts_quad_view_ithaca_ny_07800x450jpeg height675 picture div pi consider children extraordinarily lucky born live united states moved france 1999 believed far perfect america embraced values held founders especially respect pluralism viewpoint diversityp pin fact ive long believed amendments protections freedom religion speech press assembly petition indispensable ingredients success country hundreds millions diverse people ancestors arrived world time moved battles extend freedoms black minority citizens religious associations american campuses won amendment litigators result took extension freedom granted know took long rights extended theres lot donep pas eldest daughter started college ive found worrying academic freedom viewpoint diversity jeopardy deterioration culture free speech documented greg lukianoff jonathan haidt 2015 book emthe coddling american mindem explain students long ago protected speech codes campus asking administrators protect speech dont want hear believe words dont conform constantly shifting standards form violence result incidents college campuses multiplied leaving students faculty terrified saying wrong thingp psadly conservatives fighting leftwing illiberalism illiberalism argue liberal democracys time passed embrace nationalists like president donald trump hungarian strongman prime minister viktor orban role models hope rescuing america degenerate culture left response abusive mask mandates impose antimask mandates extending private sector fight teaching critical race theory k12 schools problematic illiberal bans ownp pno matter wins illiberal arm wrestling liberal culture lost unfortunately illiberalism limits production knowledge academia public policy sum means daughters worse offp pbut havent lost hope people left right rising fight liberal democratic values organizations like foundation individual rights education fire defending students professors stripes persecution fellow students zealous administratorsp precognizing threat rising illiberalism alumni groups cornell university davidson college princeton university university virginia washington lee university created alumni free speech alliance fight open inquiry campus 82 institutions faculty bodies adopted endorsed chicago statement substantially similar statement commitment free speech campus princeton stepping host conference university chicagos dorian abbot lecture mit canceled pressure activists objected political viewsp pmy employer mercatus center george mason university launched program pluralism civil exchange aimed restoring liberalism america writing dispatch amendment litigator david french makes case daily fighting illiberalism left right better opposed liberal values federal civil rights statutes intolerance leftleaning writers like jonathan chait matt yglesias finally theres courageous persistent battle illiberalism led diverse thinkers like brookings institutions jonathan rauch bari weiss columbia university professor john mcwhorter brown university economist glenn loury andrew sullivan thats small sample rising challengep pthe late congressman civil rights activist john lewis said quotget good trouble necessary trouble help redeem soul americaquot situation dire lewis spoke words people right daughters thank themp pstrongspancopyright 2021 spana dataoriginalcomputedfontsize16 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpcreatorscom datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpcreatorscomampsourcegmailampust1634870335660000ampusgafqjcngqet6ndlxf3yzsu1jnaueutg dataremovefontsizetrue target_blankcreatorscomastrongp pemcorrection original version story misstated fires nameemp

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Can geothermal energy replace oil and gas? My long-read Q&A with Jamie Beard

pstrongby james pethokoukis and jamie beardstrongp pwith the cost declines of solar and wind climate activists hope renewables can upend the oil and gas industry powering the world without contributing to climate change but geothermal advocates say we can use the drilling practices of todays energy giants to access the immense heat beneath the earths crust today well be discussing whether geothermal could be the clean energy source of the future to answer that question and more ive brought on jamie beardp pjamie is the founder and executive director of the geothermal entrepreneurship organization at the university of texas at austinp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode34214f6cd1f844628c0f0a64ec77e519iframediv pwhat follows is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation you can download the episode a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastjamiebeardgeothermalenergyasaclimatesolution target_blankherea and dont forget to subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell your friends leave a reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongnow ill admit that when i bring geothermal technology up to people maybe because theyve watched too many history channel shows theyll say are you talking about drilling into super volcanoes because that sounds super dangerous i dont think thats what youre talking about i wonder if we could just start off by describing the suite of technologies we are talking about when youre talking about geothermalstrongp pa lot of geothermal in the world that exists today is in fact near volcanoes so people are used to that idea particularly in places like iceland but theres also a lot of geothermal development in the united states where geothermal resources are close to the surface and have surface manifestations like in california thats typically called hydrothermal geothermal and its been around for well more than 100 years in terms of producing energy and heat for humans to use but thats not the only option for geothermal anymore hydrothermal resources are limited by their natural occurrence thats in limited places in the worldp pover the past couple of decades weve had some pretty significant technological leaps in particular in the oil and gas industry with the shale boom being one and the directional drilling technologies and fracking technologies that came out of that but also in offshore exploration and developmentp pso if you take those technologies and you leverage them and you apply them to geothermal we can actually enable all kinds of geothermal concepts now and they go from engineered geothermal systems where you drill and you fracture rock to produce these underground reservoirs so these are essentially engineered systems where we are mimicking conditions like iceland for instancep spanspan pstrongwe dont have to just rely on what mother nature has given usstrongp pexactly were engineering the subsurface to mimic that with the goal of being able to do that anywhere in the world that we need energy so weve got the engineered systems that use fracturing technologies and then weve got these newer concepts advanced geothermal systems or closed loop systems as some call them strong strongwhere fracturing is not used directional drilling technologies are used instead youre essentially drilling radiators into rock and harvesting heat that way and then there are all sorts of hybrids there are a lot of ways these two types of things are combined to create different systems as well so a lot of innovation is happening in this space and theres a lot new in the past couple of decades that have enabled some step changes forwardp pstrongthats super interesting because i think if we were to ask most people about the big innovation in this country over the past generation i think almost every single person might say the internet we tend to forget about oil and gas as far as the shale revolution and how those technologies are now being used to create something that frankly some people have been talking about for decades if you go back and read what the tech optimists from a half century ago said they would talk about nuclear fusion and things but theyd also talk about tapping the very heat of the earth itself now we can kind of do thatstrongp pright the oil and gas industry even has looked at geothermal over the years a lot this is not a new thing but what is new is that it used to be a moonshot before directional drilling and before fracturing technologies and before high pressure and temperature technologies in oil and gas were developed and again all of these are pretty new theyve happened in the early 2000s and over the last decade before those technologies existed the idea that we could drill deep enough and somehow engineer rock to harvest geothermal anywhere in the world was scifi it was a moonshot to say the least and oil and gas consistently kind of punted so it was like well thats just crazy when it comes to hydrothermal it was just too niche for an industry like oil and gas that really only gets interested when theres scalability when theres the ability to do something globally or in a really big way thats whats really exciting about this these new capabilities are actually enabled by technology leaps that have happened in oil and gasp pstrongwhat are the particular advantages of this technology over both what we already have and the next generation of nuclear theres been a lot in the papers lately about nuclear fusion weve all seen this big drop in prices for solar what is the compelling case for geothermalstrongp poh my gosh lets start for one geothermal is baseload its 247 you dont need energy storage for geothermal that is a big deal when you talk with utilities struggling right now with increasing intermittence on the grid and you look at where energy storage is in terms of scalability for grid scale energy storage having a clean baseload source of energy in the very near term is an exciting prospect geothermal also has a tiny footprint compared to other renewables if you look at sources of clean energy like solar and wind the geothermal footprint comparatively megawatt to megawatt is about 1 percent of that of solar and wind thats a big deal in a spaceconstrained world particularly if youre wanting to put power plants near population centers where there are people and you dont have a lot of land thats another really exciting thing job creation geothermal per megawatt creates three or four times more jobs than other renewables do i think thats a really interesting concept and what ive really grabbed on to and you mentioned nuclear are nextgen nuclear concepts coming down the pikep pstrongwe just did a podcast on nuclear fusionstrongp pno doubt no doubtp pstrongits excitingstrongp pits exciting but heres the deal its really expensive just to get it ready were talking about just massive investments of billions of dollars for geothermal to be ready for prime time meaning were getting teams into the field getting technologies demonstrated fullscale get oil and gas engaged and start scaling this thing its a drop in a bucket comparatively in terms of whats needed for investments about maybe a half a billion dollars worth of field deployments might get us to a place for geothermal where we could have a scalable concept ready to go and wed be off on another shale boom but this time for clean energy i think thats really an interesting thing to think about whats it going to take to get massive scale in terms of the dollars invested and thats where geothermal i think really bests nuclear but the thing that im really excited about of course and this is what my focus is right now is the fact that we have an existing globally present industry with millions of highly trained individuals in the workforce that are perfectly suited to take geothermal to scale really fastp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadderrickjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613241figcaptionan oil derrick stands above the plains north of amarillo texasbrreuterslucas jacksonfigcaptionfigure pof course im talking about the oil and gas industry in leveraging that workforce to do this we actually avoid a lot of the job losses and disruption thats forecasted for the industry we dont have to retrain geophysicists to install solar panels we can let geophysicists do what geophysicists do best but for geothermal instead of hydrocarbons thats what gets me really excited about geothermal we have such assets on the table here theres a ferrari in the driveway its just a matter of hopping in and pressing the gasp pstrongare there some technologies that could only be used in certain places while other technologies could be used anywhere perhaps even in places where there are currently facilities there has been so much talk about the decline of the coal region since they already have coal plants there could you just put them there how do different technologies intersect with geography and where you would locate power plantsstrongp pyeah thats an awesome question i think the lowhanging fruit really is to figure out geothermal gradients within a 100 mile radius of all the worlds population centers and really make it a goal to put geothermal developments near where we need the electricity so were not building massive grid infrastructure projects into the middle of nowhere thats a lowhanging fruit for geothermal there are geothermal concepts some of them utilize fracking technology some of them do not there are going to be places in the world that arent going to like the frackbased concepts like egs because they have frack bans in place they have some very significant public relations issues with even the word fracking it doesnt matter if its for oil and gas or geothermal its fracking and fracking is badp pa lot of this is an educational challenge a lot of this is a political challenge but the reality of it is are places that have significant opposition to fracking going to be the first to institute these engineered geothermal systems no they wont be so there are going to be some places where theres going to need to be some political and educational strides before geothermal development of certain types will take off that said there are others like advanced geothermal or closedloop systems that dont utilize fractures they may be more realistic for places in the world that have that type of opposition you mentioned coal plants its an interesting concept its one that is gaining traction in places where coal plants are located in areas with high geothermal gradients meaning that you dont have to drill super far to get really hot temperaturesp pwe may not be able to redevelop coal plants megawatt for megawatt or gigawatt for gigawatt in other words if we redeveloped a coal plant into a geothermal plant which would essentially mean that we would drill a series of wells on the site of the coal plant theyre big i mean youre storing coal there youve got massive fly ash ponds theyre huge pieces of property so we would repurpose the property drill a series of wells there and essentially use geothermal steam to drive the turbines just as we use steam from burning coal to drive the turbine so its the same but the question becomes can you do that megawatt for megawatt would the plant still be exactly the same output with a geothermal angle as it would for coal and thats an area of inquiry right nowp pits really a matter of how economically and whether we can drill to the depths we need to get the amount of heat wed need in some places its more likely than others it would be more likely in the west of the united states that it would be a possibility in texas in some places there are coal plants located on really awesome shallow geothermal resources for instance in the northeast where geothermal resources are deeper and therefore the drilling would be much more expensive the prospect of doing that in the short term is lower just like everything the coal plant conversion is going to be an incremental approach where you pick the plant thats sitting on the shallowest hottest resources we can find and see what happens lets try it first and go from there i think thats a really cool concept its one thats not super close in time in terms of execution but i think its coming its coming within this decade i thinkp pstrongwhen it comes to fracking bans are the activists worried about making climate change worse are they worried about groundwater contamination or earthquakes whats their concernstrongp pyeah depending on where you are in the world or which state in the united states theres a different reason there are some regulations in place that actually do make an exception for geothermal projects it depends on where you are and what the concern is in europe seismicity is certainly on the publics mind and seismicity is something in geothermal that we have to be very careful aboutp pstrongare those earthquakes is that what that meansstrongp pinduced seismicity manmade earthquakes essentially thats another area though where the oil and gas industry could bring just an amazing wealth of knowledge and standardization because the oil and gas industry has been through this with their learnings in hydraulic fracturing and wastewater injection in texas and oklahoma typically in this context and the oil and gas context the seismicity that is resulting from fracturing operations or wastewater disposal is actually not enough for humans to notice it its not something that we would feel necessarily though sometimes it is the oil and gas industry monitors it nonetheless its something that we need to pay a lot of attention to as geothermal development scales and goes global because we dont want to be producing manmade earthquakes with our power plantsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadfrackingjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613242figcaptionprotesters take part in a rally against us fracked gas exports at the national mallbrreutersjonathan ernstfigcaptionfigure pso i think this is an eyes wide open moment in terms of translating oil and gas knowledge from fracking into geothermal to make sure that were not having events like that certainly in europe they have had some thats why its in the public consciousness theyve had some manmade earthquakes that were caused by geothermal projects that have caused property damage its not just europe its also asia as well its happened in south korea as wellp pstrongwhat do you tell people who are also concerned about the climate but theyre worried about earthquakes and other things theres no perfect technology what are you more concerned about how do you begin to make that casestrongp pi think my personal views on this actually offend many of my climate activist friends because i dont like hypocrisy and i think we need to have eyes wide open when it comes to the supply chains that were leaning on for renewable energy investment and development in particular when it comes to lithium mining and energy storage i dont think that the world understands the impact and what thats going to mean if we mine much as we need to mine over the next two decades to meet current climate goals just in terms of energy storage not to mention rareearths that are needed to develop solar and windp peyes wide open on supply chains when i step back and look at our choices in terms of clean energy technologies would i rather riskmitigate seismicity and do that in a measured standardized way than mine a ton of lithium and rare earth yeah i would rather do that because i think its a manageable risk that has less impact on the environment i think its really worth thinking about those things as we make investments and having eyes wide open on what the real impacts are of the various energy sources that were investing inp pstrongspeaking of energy where is the private sector energy coming from is it from big established oil players whose names weve all heard of is it scrappy startups whos doing this right nowstrongp pright now its startups that are making a lot of noise the interesting thing about that is many of the startups that are out there doing projects are led by oil and gas industry veterans folks that have left industry or had retired from industry but then got excited about this and jumped in and started companies so youve got former chief scientists of shell and executives from bp you name it every oil and gas entity is now represented by a veteran that started a geothermal company i think thats really cool thats something that i think really says something about this movement of course those teams have really hit the ground running because theyve spent their entire lives exploring for drilling for and producing subsurface energy it just happened to be hydrocarbons and not geothermalp pso they know what theyre doing they get on the ground and they go drill thats really great but its not just startups now major multinational oil and gas companies are engaging but theyre all doing it in different ways some are more slow than others certainly the oil service sector has hit the ground running on this because they have a lot to gain these are the guys that go out and drill the projects and that have a lot of workforce and assets and technologies that will apply here over the past maybe 18 months several of them have done fullsweep internal investigations of where their strengths are here and theyve hung up geothermal shingles you go to the baker hughes website now and theyve got a geothermal program theyve hung a geothermal shinglep pi think its new and its cool most oil and gas entities now have titled geothermal people teams leaders management executives thats new thats exciting there are also oil and gas teams meaning oil and gas entities one in particular selffunded a field trial and just had a breakthrough outcome that is not yet public but soon will be in a six month turnaround they designed the tool got it into the field selffunded a field trial and knocked it out of the park like worldrecord in terms of hard rock geothermal drilling in six months i think that is a beautiful illustration of what happens when oil and gas brains and oil and gas entities start engaging in this problem set the problems just get solved its pretty awesome i think were going to see a lot more of that over the next couple of yearsp pstrongbut what are they waiting to see are they just waiting to see what happens with these startups and theyll swoop in and theyll buy all of them what does all in look like and what are we waiting on for that to happenstrongp pso some of them have taken the approach that theyre going to invest in a couple of startups that they like and see what happens i think from the big oil perspective like the operator perspective chevron shell patel exxon etc bp these entities do not typically go out and pioneer things like this they instead make investments and wait to see what happens an employee from one of the big international oil companies recently at a conference said were waiting for our geothermal george mitchell as soon as that entity proves a scalable concept in the field there will be a pile on i think that is definitely truep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadbigoiljpgx91208 classwpimage1008613250figcaptionlogos of five of the largest publicly traded oil companies bp chevron exxon mobil royal dutch shell and total via reutersfigcaptionfigure pstrongfor the listeners whos george mitchellstrongp pgeorge mitchell is the wildcatter that got out into the field and figured out fracking and kicked off the shale boom there are a lot of parallels between that kind of wildcatter culture and geothermal were seeing that now with these startups that are oil and gas veterans that are out there trying these new concepts and seeing how to best harvest heat it really does have a lot of parallels with how the shale boom kicked off we could very easily get on that exponential growth curve that shell did which took the entire world by surprise within the next two years we could very easily get on that curve and have a pile on just like we did with shale when the geothermal george mitchell shows upp pits my gut that the geothermal george mitchell is already in the field but its just a matter of waiting for data at this point its really exciting some companies have made some bets in startups and theyre waiting to see what pans out i would say in my ideal world i kind of wish big oil would work from the top down because geothermal interest has been really grassroots in big operators i wish there was a more topdown approach where because they have everything they need to figure this out and do this internally there was a ceo or two out there that said hey troops i want to hear from you about how we make this happen failures not an option i want to see something deployed in the next 18 months i want the best ideas go if that happened a topdown approach in some of the biggest oil companies in the world its my guess that most of your geothermal challenges would be nipped in very short orderp pstrongwhat do you think is a reasonable forecast for the kind of role this could play over the next ill let you give me a number of years what kind of role can geothermal play given the technologies people are working on right nowstrongp pi am the outlier in this pretty much globally i think at this point im willing to go all in because i think its worth it ive listened to enough people particularly in oil and gas to say that if we did do geothermal at oil and gas scale it would solve energy and meet world energy demand by 2050 ill hard stop on that are there people willing to lockstep me on that yet nope not yet not publicly but in a couple of years will there be yep im pretty sure there will i do agree that we need a mix yes all of that stuff but geothermal has been this vastly underestimated resource that has a very wellsuited industry to scale it quickly were in a really unique position there where things could get really big really fastp pstrongdoes this sector need more government research does it need deregulation if youre going to be drilling on public land have you ever heard those kinds of issues raised are they ready to go they have what they need the research has been done we just need to sort of keep developing these technologies in the private sector does government need to do anything here that youve been made aware of or that people talk aboutstrongp pyeah i think there are two major opportunities policy is one and policy makes my skin crawl because im trying to get teams funded and into the field we need demonstrations when you start talking about policy and regulatory barriers funders literally leave the room they dont want to hear about it its slow forget it this is not nowp pbecause most of the lowhanging fruit at least in the united states for geothermal development is on federal land and its currently harder to develop a geothermal project on federal land than it is an oil and gas project so we have some serious issues on federal land for geothermal development one of them is that geothermal development is subject to nepa and it does not have a categorical exclusion like oil and gas development doesp pthat is a direct result of the geothermal industry not having a lobby its just a ridiculous situation in terms of the ability to develop projects on federal land lets fix that thats ridiculous weve got to fix that but a way around that is to aim for private and state land for now lets just build enough momentum here and have enough success that the federal piece will move eventually but lets not wait for it we can be doing things now thats why quite frankly theres a lot of ongoing demonstrations and interest in geothermal in texas because youve got a lot of private and state land there where development can happen quickly thats one thing making some policy adjustments that would really unleash a lot of development that are just frankly silly but also slowp pwhat we really need is for the oil and gas industry to start lobbying for geothermal ill just say it if the oil and gas industry did that many of these problems would be near instantly solved thats one thing another thing when it comes to investment should the government invest more money in geothermal of course geothermal has been underresourced forever it has never enjoyed the subsidies or appropriations that any other energy source has gotten specifically in renewables by orders of magnitude p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadgeothermaljpgx91208 classwpimage1008613254figcaptiona geothermal powerplant owned by energysource llc is seen atop the san andreas fault in calipatria california reutersernest scheyderfigcaptionfigure pconsidering the fact that it really doesnt need very much to get it off the ground i dont mean research im not sure we should be dumping a lot of dollars right now into lab based research it would be helpful to do some but the high impact stuff right now for geothermal is funding teams into the field we need demonstrations we need to stop tweeting about it we need to stop talking about it we need to start doing itp pstrongdidnt we see that with fracking demonstration projectsstrongp pyes look george mitchell didnt figure fracking out in the lab you know thats not how that happened its not how breakthroughs happen you get out in the field and you get on a learning curve will the first couple of projects be perfectly successful probably not but theyll be iterated this is also another way that the oil and gas industry could be immediately engaged to build teams and deploy them into the field to build projects i think thats the area where there could be really high impact in terms of dollars not necessarily in the lab but in the fieldp pstrongif we brought you back 10 years from now 15 years from now the title of the podcast could be geothermal the lost dream what will have gone wrong if none of this happened would it be that you were quashed by regulations the technology didnt work strongwstronghat would have gone wrongstrongp pin my view i think we have a narrow window to get oil and gas excited about doing this if we miss that window and oil and gas decides to pivot into solar and wind and hydrogen and doesnt really pay much attention to geothermal geothermal is never going to scale fast enough to be competitive with solar and wind it will always be behind so it will be irrelevant eventually in my view the only way to catch up and scale this fast enough is getting the oil and gas industry engaged and excited if that doesnt happen soon it doesnt matter if it ever happens itll never happen my urgency is to not only engage with oil and gas about it but also try to get them into the field doing projects so they can get excited internally about doing it not just invest in startups on the side and watch but actually get into the field and get some learning i view failure as failure to attract the perfect suitor to scale this industry in time to make it happenp pstrongmy guest today has been jamie beard jamie thanks for coming on the podcaststrongp pthanks very much for having me jim its been funp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution my longread qampa with arthur turrella a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis the united states really meritocratic my longread qampa with adrian wooldridgea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthelegacyofthemoonlandingmylongreadqawithcharlesfishmanthe legacy of the moon landing my longread qampa with charles fishmanapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeardcan geothermal energy replace oil and gas my longread qampa with jamie bearda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis jamie beardstrongp pwith cost declines solar wind climate activists hope renewables upend oil gas industry powering world contributing climate change geothermal advocates use drilling practices todays energy giants access immense heat beneath earths crust today discussing geothermal clean energy source future answer question ive brought jamie beardp pjamie founder executive director geothermal entrepreneurship organization university texas austinp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode34214f6cd1f844628c0f0a64ec77e519iframediv pwhat follows lightly edited transcript conversation download episode relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastjamiebeardgeothermalenergyasaclimatesolution target_blankherea dont forget subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell friends leave reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongnow ill admit bring geothermal technology people maybe theyve watched history channel shows theyll talking drilling super volcanoes sounds super dangerous dont think thats youre talking wonder start describing suite technologies talking youre talking geothermalstrongp pa lot geothermal world exists today fact near volcanoes people idea particularly places like iceland theres lot geothermal development united states geothermal resources close surface surface manifestations like california thats typically called hydrothermal geothermal 100 years terms producing energy heat humans use thats option geothermal anymore hydrothermal resources limited natural occurrence thats limited places worldp pover past couple decades weve pretty significant technological leaps particular oil gas industry shale boom directional drilling technologies fracking technologies came offshore exploration developmentp pso technologies leverage apply geothermal actually enable kinds geothermal concepts engineered geothermal systems drill fracture rock produce underground reservoirs essentially engineered systems mimicking conditions like iceland instancep spanspan pstrongwe dont rely mother nature given usstrongp pexactly engineering subsurface mimic goal able world need energy weve got engineered systems use fracturing technologies weve got newer concepts advanced geothermal systems closed loop systems strong strongwhere fracturing directional drilling technologies instead youre essentially drilling radiators rock harvesting heat way sorts hybrids lot ways types things combined create different systems lot innovation happening space theres lot new past couple decades enabled step changes forwardp pstrongthats super interesting think ask people big innovation country past generation think single person internet tend forget oil gas far shale revolution technologies create frankly people talking decades read tech optimists half century ago said talk nuclear fusion things theyd talk tapping heat earth kind thatstrongp pright oil gas industry looked geothermal years lot new thing new moonshot directional drilling fracturing technologies high pressure temperature technologies oil gas developed pretty new theyve happened early 2000s decade technologies existed idea drill deep engineer rock harvest geothermal world scifi moonshot oil gas consistently kind punted like thats crazy comes hydrothermal niche industry like oil gas gets interested theres scalability theres ability globally big way thats whats exciting new capabilities actually enabled technology leaps happened oil gasp pstrongwhat particular advantages technology generation nuclear theres lot papers lately nuclear fusion weve seen big drop prices solar compelling case geothermalstrongp poh gosh lets start geothermal baseload 247 dont need energy storage geothermal big deal talk utilities struggling right increasing intermittence grid look energy storage terms scalability grid scale energy storage having clean baseload source energy near term exciting prospect geothermal tiny footprint compared renewables look sources clean energy like solar wind geothermal footprint comparatively megawatt megawatt 1 percent solar wind thats big deal spaceconstrained world particularly youre wanting power plants near population centers people dont lot land thats exciting thing job creation geothermal megawatt creates times jobs renewables think thats interesting concept ive grabbed mentioned nuclear nextgen nuclear concepts coming pikep pstrongwe podcast nuclear fusionstrongp pno doubt doubtp pstrongits excitingstrongp pits exciting heres deal expensive ready talking massive investments billions dollars geothermal ready prime time meaning getting teams field getting technologies demonstrated fullscale oil gas engaged start scaling thing drop bucket comparatively terms whats needed investments maybe half billion dollars worth field deployments place geothermal scalable concept ready wed shale boom time clean energy think thats interesting thing think whats going massive scale terms dollars invested thats geothermal think bests nuclear thing im excited course focus right fact existing globally present industry millions highly trained individuals workforce perfectly suited geothermal scale fastp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadderrickjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613241figcaptionan oil derrick stands plains north amarillo texasbrreuterslucas jacksonfigcaptionfigure pof course im talking oil gas industry leveraging workforce actually avoid lot job losses disruption thats forecasted industry dont retrain geophysicists install solar panels let geophysicists geophysicists best geothermal instead hydrocarbons thats gets excited geothermal assets table theres ferrari driveway matter hopping pressing gasp pstrongare technologies certain places technologies places currently facilities talk decline coal region coal plants different technologies intersect geography locate power plantsstrongp pyeah thats awesome question think lowhanging fruit figure geothermal gradients 100 mile radius worlds population centers goal geothermal developments near need electricity building massive grid infrastructure projects middle thats lowhanging fruit geothermal geothermal concepts utilize fracking technology going places world arent going like frackbased concepts like egs frack bans place significant public relations issues word fracking doesnt matter oil gas geothermal fracking fracking badp pa lot educational challenge lot political challenge reality places significant opposition fracking going institute engineered geothermal systems wont going places theres going need political educational strides geothermal development certain types said like advanced geothermal closedloop systems dont utilize fractures realistic places world type opposition mentioned coal plants interesting concept gaining traction places coal plants located areas high geothermal gradients meaning dont drill super far hot temperaturesp pwe able redevelop coal plants megawatt megawatt gigawatt gigawatt words redeveloped coal plant geothermal plant essentially mean drill series wells site coal plant theyre big mean youre storing coal youve got massive fly ash ponds theyre huge pieces property repurpose property drill series wells essentially use geothermal steam drive turbines use steam burning coal drive turbine question megawatt megawatt plant exactly output geothermal angle coal thats area inquiry right nowp pits matter economically drill depths need heat wed need places likely likely west united states possibility texas places coal plants located awesome shallow geothermal resources instance northeast geothermal resources deeper drilling expensive prospect short term lower like coal plant conversion going incremental approach pick plant thats sitting shallowest hottest resources find happens lets try think thats cool concept thats super close time terms execution think coming coming decade thinkp pstrongwhen comes fracking bans activists worried making climate change worse worried groundwater contamination earthquakes whats concernstrongp pyeah depending world state united states theres different reason regulations place actually exception geothermal projects depends concern europe seismicity certainly publics mind seismicity geothermal careful aboutp pstrongare earthquakes meansstrongp pinduced seismicity manmade earthquakes essentially thats area oil gas industry bring amazing wealth knowledge standardization oil gas industry learnings hydraulic fracturing wastewater injection texas oklahoma typically context oil gas context seismicity resulting fracturing operations wastewater disposal actually humans notice feel necessarily oil gas industry monitors nonetheless need pay lot attention geothermal development scales goes global dont want producing manmade earthquakes power plantsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadfrackingjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613242figcaptionprotesters rally fracked gas exports national mallbrreutersjonathan ernstfigcaptionfigure pso think eyes wide open moment terms translating oil gas knowledge fracking geothermal sure having events like certainly europe thats public consciousness theyve manmade earthquakes caused geothermal projects caused property damage europe asia happened south korea wellp pstrongwhat tell people concerned climate theyre worried earthquakes things theres perfect technology concerned begin casestrongp pi think personal views actually offend climate activist friends dont like hypocrisy think need eyes wide open comes supply chains leaning renewable energy investment development particular comes lithium mining energy storage dont think world understands impact thats going mean need decades meet current climate goals terms energy storage mention rareearths needed develop solar windp peyes wide open supply chains step look choices terms clean energy technologies riskmitigate seismicity measured standardized way ton lithium rare earth yeah think manageable risk impact environment think worth thinking things investments having eyes wide open real impacts energy sources investing inp pstrongspeaking energy private sector energy coming big established oil players names weve heard scrappy startups whos right nowstrongp pright startups making lot noise interesting thing startups projects led oil gas industry veterans folks left industry retired industry got excited jumped started companies youve got chief scientists shell executives bp oil gas entity represented veteran started geothermal company think thats cool thats think says movement course teams hit ground running theyve spent entire lives exploring drilling producing subsurface energy happened hydrocarbons geothermalp pso know theyre ground drill thats great startups major multinational oil gas companies engaging theyre different ways slow certainly oil service sector hit ground running lot gain guys drill projects lot workforce assets technologies apply past maybe 18 months fullsweep internal investigations strengths theyve hung geothermal shingles baker hughes website theyve got geothermal program theyve hung geothermal shinglep pi think new cool oil gas entities titled geothermal people teams leaders management executives thats new thats exciting oil gas teams meaning oil gas entities particular selffunded field trial breakthrough outcome public soon month turnaround designed tool got field selffunded field trial knocked park like worldrecord terms hard rock geothermal drilling months think beautiful illustration happens oil gas brains oil gas entities start engaging problem set problems solved pretty awesome think going lot couple yearsp pstrongbut waiting waiting happens startups theyll swoop theyll buy look like waiting happenstrongp pso taken approach theyre going invest couple startups like happens think big oil perspective like operator perspective chevron shell patel exxon etc bp entities typically pioneer things like instead investments wait happens employee big international oil companies recently conference said waiting geothermal george mitchell soon entity proves scalable concept field pile think definitely truep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadbigoiljpgx91208 classwpimage1008613250figcaptionlogos largest publicly traded oil companies bp chevron exxon mobil royal dutch shell total reutersfigcaptionfigure pstrongfor listeners whos george mitchellstrongp pgeorge mitchell wildcatter got field figured fracking kicked shale boom lot parallels kind wildcatter culture geothermal seeing startups oil gas veterans trying new concepts seeing best harvest heat lot parallels shale boom kicked easily exponential growth curve shell took entire world surprise years easily curve pile like shale geothermal george mitchell shows upp pits gut geothermal george mitchell field matter waiting data point exciting companies bets startups theyre waiting pans ideal world kind wish big oil work geothermal interest grassroots big operators wish topdown approach need figure internally ceo said hey troops want hear happen failures option want deployed 18 months want best ideas happened topdown approach biggest oil companies world guess geothermal challenges nipped short orderp pstrongwhat think reasonable forecast kind role play ill let number years kind role geothermal play given technologies people working right nowstrongp pi outlier pretty globally think point im willing think worth ive listened people particularly oil gas geothermal oil gas scale solve energy meet world energy demand 2050 ill hard stop people willing lockstep nope publicly couple years yep im pretty sure agree need mix yes stuff geothermal vastly underestimated resource wellsuited industry scale quickly unique position things big fastp pstrongdoes sector need government research need deregulation youre going drilling public land heard kinds issues raised ready need research need sort developing technologies private sector government need youve aware people talk aboutstrongp pyeah think major opportunities policy policy makes skin crawl im trying teams funded field need demonstrations start talking policy regulatory barriers funders literally leave room dont want hear slow forget nowp pbecause lowhanging fruit united states geothermal development federal land currently harder develop geothermal project federal land oil gas project issues federal land geothermal development geothermal development subject nepa categorical exclusion like oil gas development doesp pthat direct result geothermal industry having lobby ridiculous situation terms ability develop projects federal land lets fix thats ridiculous weve got fix way aim private state land lets build momentum success federal piece eventually lets wait things thats frankly theres lot ongoing demonstrations interest geothermal texas youve got lot private state land development happen quickly thats thing making policy adjustments unleash lot development frankly silly slowp pwhat need oil gas industry start lobbying geothermal ill oil gas industry problems near instantly solved thats thing thing comes investment government invest money geothermal course geothermal underresourced forever enjoyed subsidies appropriations energy source gotten specifically renewables orders magnitude p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beardlongreadgeothermaljpgx91208 classwpimage1008613254figcaptiona geothermal powerplant owned energysource llc seen atop san andreas fault calipatria california reutersernest scheyderfigcaptionfigure pconsidering fact doesnt need ground dont mean research im sure dumping lot dollars right lab based research helpful high impact stuff right geothermal funding teams field need demonstrations need stop tweeting need stop talking need start itp pstrongdidnt fracking demonstration projectsstrongp pyes look george mitchell didnt figure fracking lab know thats happened breakthroughs happen field learning curve couple projects perfectly successful probably theyll iterated way oil gas industry immediately engaged build teams deploy field build projects think thats area high impact terms dollars necessarily lab fieldp pstrongif brought 10 years 15 years title podcast geothermal lost dream gone wrong happened quashed regulations technology didnt work strongwstronghat gone wrongstrongp pin view think narrow window oil gas excited miss window oil gas decides pivot solar wind hydrogen doesnt pay attention geothermal geothermal going scale fast competitive solar wind irrelevant eventually view way catch scale fast getting oil gas industry engaged excited doesnt happen soon doesnt matter happens itll happen urgency engage oil gas try field projects excited internally invest startups watch actually field learning view failure failure attract perfect suitor scale industry time happenp pstrongmy guest today jamie beard jamie thanks coming podcaststrongp pthanks having jim funp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution longread qampa arthur turrella hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis united states meritocratic longread qampa adrian wooldridgea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthelegacyofthemoonlandingmylongreadqawithcharlesfishmanthe legacy moon landing longread qampa charles fishmanapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeardcan geothermal energy replace oil gas longread qampa jamie bearda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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Without Marc Warner “thousands would be dead”: the physicist who averted Britain’s herd immunity disaster

pit seems to me that this plan could easily be mad marc warner ceo of the ai consultancy faculty told dominic cummings according to the former downing street advisers parliamentary testimony the plan to pursue herd immunity and avoid locking down could be incredibly destructive has this really been tested have you really thought it all through should i and some others start thinking about a plan bp pless than a fortnight later after consulting demis hassabis ceo of the ai startup deepmind and the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsuk202107timothygowersmanwhochangeddominiccummingssmind target_blankmathematician timothy gowersa cummings invited warner warners brother ben a downing street data scientist and the prime ministers private secretary for health into boris johnsons study to discuss an alternative pandemic approach together the foursome sketched out plan b on a whiteboardp pben warner and cummings met johnson the next morning we showed him this graph it has here no mitigation our plan this is all the nhs broken said cummings gesturing to the original plan and here is an actual plan which is lockdownp pnine days later on 23 march the government announced the countrys first lockdown it was a totally totally crazy time marc warner tells me when we speak via video call in july its seven days a week incredible hours but everyone really working together trying to get this stuff sorted and so we could look at the data and see where things were goingp pin his select committee appearance in may cummings described warner as one of the smartest and most ethical people i have ever met in my life he said that if he cummings had been prime minister he would have placed warner in charge of this whole thing in cummingss world warner would have had as close to kingly authority as the state has legally to do stuff and pushing the barriers of legality he would have been in charge of everyone and he can fire anybody he can move anybody and he can jiggle the whole thing aroundp pwarner rolls his eyes as i remind him of this again we just try and do our best theres not really much to it the customer has a problem we try and help them fix it to the best of our ability i dont think theres much more to it than thatp pnevertheless cummings was unambiguous about warners role in averting an even larger disaster than the uk ultimately endured without him thousands of people would be dead he told mps and i know that his involvement in it has come at a lot of personal cost for himself and for his companyp praised in bedford warner 36 had what he calls a very gentle childhood he went on holiday to seaside resorts such as poole and southwold and attended three schools each less than three miles from his family home warners mother was a pe teacher and his dad an accountant but it was his grandparents who inspired his passion for science his grandmother taught chemistry and his grandfather taught physicsp pthey definitely encouraged my interest in science in general and i remember doing some night experiments with ph as a kid i dont know how much i understood it but i certainly liked that different liquids could change the colour of the paperp pemstrong[see also spana relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspublicsector2021nsmglive target_blankjoin new statesman and tech monitor to hear leading public sector it professionals discuss digital transformation themes across central government local administration and healthcare bodies in the ukaspan]strongemp pwarner says it wasnt that he knew young that i wanted to be a physicist but that he had a physics teacher who can help you out with a bunch of things at home so you do better in it and so i suppose its a somewhat selffulfilling prophecyp pwarner moved to london at 18 to study physics at imperial college london after graduating he specialised in quantum computing completing a phd at the london centre for nanotechnology before taking up a research fellowship at harvardp pit was there in the early 2010s that warner began to research artificial intelligence i started to get interested in ai through the kind of ai safety angle and people like nick bostrom who were writing very very early before he wrote his book emsuper intelligenceemp pi thought that was interesting and important and understudied but i thought ai was magical i had a phd in physics but my assumption was ai was going to be too hard and the maths would be too complicated he saysp pit was only when i actually sat down with a textbook when i was doing my research fellowship at harvard and started looking through it and i thought although it sounds magical actually its similar to the maths we do in physics in some sense its actually easier to masterp pin 2014 warner faced a decision continue pursuing quantum computing research or move into the ai sector i stumbled across these programmes in the us that helped academic phds become commercial data scientists i thought that that has got to be a good thing for the world we should just set that up while im thinking about these bigger picture thingsp pand then basically the truth is i just enjoyed working with my friends says warner he met andrew brookes now facultys chief technology officer at secondary school and angie ma its chief people officer while studying for his phd when i was originally thinking well well set this up and then ill make a big decision it basically came down to loyalty to friendsp pin august 2015 warner ma and brookes launched asi data science facultys original moniker the company developed a fellowship programme for recent phd graduates to carry out data science secondments with facultys clients using advanced modelling to solve complex business problems the company has built a terrorism propaganda detection tool for the home office and analysis to help the uk coastguard distribute resources more effectivelyp pwith 5 to 10 per cent of ukbased maths physics and engineering phd students applying to take part each year places on the programme are now fiercely contested just one in ten applicants are accepted the programme has thereby given faculty the opportunity to select the very brightest data scientists and then employ them inhousep pthe faculty engineers and data scientists were really amongst the best weve ever worked with said one source who worked with warner and his team at the start of the pandemic id say the most impressive thing is the quality of the talent that theyve managed to recruitp pnot only are they very very brilliant engineers and data scientists but they have a kind of grit that a lot of people who are very talented in that way [lack] faculty has somehow kind of creamed off the people who combine those two thingsp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsuk202107timothygowersmanwhochangeddominiccummingssmindcovid19 target_blanktimothy gowers the man who changed dominic cummingss mind on covid19a]emstrongp pwarner possesses these qualities too the source said hes incredibly bright hes got a fantastic temperament hes a very levelheaded laidback person whos got that ability to talk to ceos and someone whos totally operational as if they were the same ranking individual hes the same person with everyonep pit was warners temperament that appears to have converted cummings into one of his most committed acolytes one is definitely a fan of the other there is some form of friendship said the source but i dont know how close they really are or where that dates from with dom cummings you never really know because he admires people like marc in just such a sort of demented wayp preflecting on cummingss claim that warner was one of the most ethical people hed ever met the source added cummings really is big on his superlatives i mean people are the most ethical people in the world or theyre the most fucking hopeless or theyre the most corrupt there are very few shades of greyp plast march faculty was enlisted by downing street to build a covid19 data dashboard for the nhs and government officials developed in partnership with peter thiels data engineering firm palantir the dashboard analysed how much stress covid19 was placing on hospitals across the country over time it also predicted demand on nhs services allowing managers to distribute resources such as ppe ventilators and beds accordinglyp pa number of the worlds largest consultancy firms including mckinsey and accenture have also built models for the government during the pandemic but the source said facultys were the most useful the socalled early warning system that [faculty] developed for nhs england was a tremendous phenomenal bit of workp phowever despite the utility of facultys work the companys links to cummings have attracted much scrutiny from campaigners cummingss private consultancy company paid faculty 260000 over the course of two years in exchange for work that has not been explained facultys data scientists had previously worked to build political models for vote leave and were praised in one of cummingss blogs p pphysicists and mathematicians regularly invade other fields the adviser wrote but other fields do not invade theirs so we can see which fields are hardest for very talented peoplep psince 2018 faculty has won more than a dozen government contracts but warner denies that his links to cummings have led to preferential treatment weve worked with government long long before johnson was pm i was appointed to the ai council on ai under theresa may we think its critically important that companies like ours work with government to make services betterp pfrom our perspective the work of the government is just totally mission driven in many ways the private sector is more lucrative and theres less scrutiny but as citizens of our country we just dont feel like we can step away from some of the important problems that the country faces ultimately the government has to get betterp pthe nhs has to be better and cheaper especially with all the spending thats gone out over the last 18 months realistically one of the important ways of doing that is going to be technology companies working to help governments get better and cheaperp pwarner has a gentle manner and is softly spoken but becomes frustrated as he reflects on the criticism his companys work has received ultimately fair scrutiny is just totally critical to the good functioning of democracy and a government he says but its important to make sure that the people doing that scrutiny are honest with the public and themselves about the separation between facts and opinionsp pmany working in healthcare and government feel disappointed that ai a field of technology that silicon valley executives describe as more important than fire or electricity  has failed to help combat the pandemic while a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtechnologyreviewcom202107301030329machinelearningaifailedcovidhospitaldiagnosispandemic target_blankhundreds of ai tools have been builta few have played a significant role in managing the pandemic warners work is an exception to this rule but even faculty relies on large numbers of highly educated engineers to deliver its products and the companys most important contribution to britains pandemic response was arguably warners criticism of the herd immunity strategy which stemmed from his own analysis rather than any modelling faculty had producedp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomsciencetechtechnology202006howoneamericasmostcontroversialbillionairescrackednhs target_blankhow one of americas most controversial billionaires cracked the nhsa]emstrongp pthe extent to which ai reshapes businesses governments and economies in the coming years will determine facultys growth potential faculty i think has a chance of being a very important company because we can actually ensure that organisations get the value from ai warner says everyone knows that ai is a big deal the fact is quite a lot of people know its going to be a huge deal and a massive trend but a lot of them experimented with ai and found that although in principle it should have been really useful in practice it didnt really create the valuep pthats because theres a whole bunch of things you need to get right and you need to apply [ai] to the right problem you need to build good models you need to scale those models effectively you need to embed it in the organisation you need to connect things across the organisation unless you get all of that right you wont actually see the valuep

pit plan easily mad marc warner ceo ai consultancy faculty told dominic cummings according downing street advisers parliamentary testimony plan pursue herd immunity avoid locking incredibly destructive tested thought start thinking plan bp pless fortnight later consulting demis hassabis ceo ai startup deepmind thea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsuk202107timothygowersmanwhochangeddominiccummingssmind target_blankmathematician timothy gowersa cummings invited warner warners brother ben downing street data scientist prime ministers private secretary healthinto boris johnsons study discuss alternative pandemic approach foursome sketched plan b whiteboardp pben warner cummings met johnson nextmorning showed graph mitigation plan nhs brokensaid cummings gesturing original planand actual plan lockdownp pnine days later 23 march government announced countrys lockdown totally totally crazy time marc warner tellsme speak video callin july seven days week incredible hours working trying stuff sorted look data things goingp pin select committee appearance cummings described warner smartest ethical people met life said cummings prime minister placed warner charge thing cummingss world warner close kingly authority state legally stuff pushing barriers legality charge fire anybody anybody jiggle thing aroundp pwarner rolls eyes asi remind try best theres customer problem try help fix best ability dont think theres thatp pnevertheless cummings unambiguous warners role averting larger disaster ukultimately endured thousands people dead told mps know involvement come lot personal cost companyp praised bedford warner 36had calls avery gentle childhoodhe went holiday toseaside resortssuch pooleand southwold attended schools miles family home warners mother pe teacher dad accountant grandparents inspired passion science grandmother taught chemistry grandfather taught physicsp pthey definitely encouraged interest science general remember night experiments phas kid dont know understood certainly liked different liquids change colour paperp pemstrong[see spana relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspublicsector2021nsmglive target_blankjoin new statesman tech monitor hear leading public sector professionals discuss digital transformation themes central government local administration healthcare bodies ukaspan]strongemp pwarner says wasnt heknew young wanted physicist physics teacher help bunch things home better suppose somewhat selffulfilling prophecyp pwarner moved london 18to study physics imperial college london graduatinghe specialised quantum computing completing phd london centre nanotechnologybefore taking research fellowship harvardp pit early 2010sthat warner began research artificial intelligencei started interested ai kind ai safety angle andpeople like nick bostrom writing veryvery early wrote bookemsuper intelligenceemp pi thought interesting important understudied thought ai magicali phd physics assumption ai going hard maths complicated saysp pit actually sat textbook research fellowship harvard started looking thought sounds magical actually similar mathswe physics sense actually easier masterp pin 2014 warner faced decision continue pursuing quantum computing research ai sectori stumbled programmes helped academic phds commercial data scientists thought got good thing world set im thinking bigger picture thingsp pand basically truth enjoyed working friends says warner hemet andrew brookesnow facultys chief technology officer secondary school angie ma chief people officer studying hisphd originally thinking set ill big decision itbasically came loyalty friendsp pin august 2015warner ma brookes launchedasi data science facultys original moniker company developed fellowship programme recent phd graduates carry data science secondments facultys clients advanced modelling solve complex business problems company built terrorism propaganda detection tool home office analysis help uk coastguard distribute resources effectivelyp pwith 5 10 cent ukbased maths physics engineering phd students applying year places programme fiercely contested applicants accepted programme given faculty opportunity select brightest data scientists employ inhousep pthe faculty engineers data scientists best weve worked said source worked warner team start pandemic id impressive thing quality talent theyve managed recruitp pnot brilliant engineers data scientists kind grit lot people talented way [lack] faculty kind creamed offthe people combine thingsp pstrongem[see alsoa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsuk202107timothygowersmanwhochangeddominiccummingssmindcovid19 target_blanktimothy gowers man changed dominic cummingss mind covid19a]emstrongp pwarner possesses qualities source saidhes incredibly bright hes got fantastic temperament hes levelheaded laidback person whos got ability talk ceos whos totally operational ranking individualhes person everyonep pit warnerstemperament appears converted cummings committed acolytesone definitely fan otherthere form friendship said sourcebut dont know close dates fromwith dom cummings know becausehe admires people like marc sort demented wayp preflecting cummingss claim warner ethical people hed met source addedcummings big onhis superlatives mean people ethical people world theyre fucking hopeless theyre corrupt arevery shades greyp plast march faculty enlisted downing street build covid19 data dashboard nhs government officials developed partnership peter thiels data engineering firm palantir dashboard analysedhow stress covid19 placing hospitals country time predicted demand nhs services allowing managers distribute resources ppe ventilators beds accordinglyp pa number worlds largest consultancy firms including mckinsey accenture built models government pandemic source said facultys usefulthe socalled early warning system [faculty] developed nhs england tremendous phenomenal bit workp phowever despite utility facultys work companys links cummings haveattracted scrutiny campaigners cummingss private consultancy company paid faculty 260000 course years exchange work explained facultysdata scientists previously worked build political models vote leave praised cummingssblogsp pphysicists mathematicians regularly invade fieldsthe adviser wrote fields invade theirs fields hardest talented peoplep psince 2018 faculty won dozen government contracts butwarner deniesthat links cummings led preferential treatment weve worked governmentlong long johnson pm appointed ai council ai theresa think critically important companies like work government services betterp pfrom perspective work government totally mission driven ways private sector lucrative theres scrutiny citizens country dont feel like step away important problems country faces ultimately government betterp pthe nhs better cheaper especially spending thats gone 18 months realistically important ways going technology companies working help governments better cheaperp pwarner gentle manner softly spoken frustrated reflects criticism companys workhas receivedultimatelyfair scrutiny totally critical good functioning democracy government says important sure people scrutiny honest public separation facts opinionsp pmany working healthcare andgovernment feel disappointed ai field technology silicon valley executives describe important fire electricity failed help combat pandemic whilea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtechnologyreviewcom202107301030329machinelearningaifailedcovidhospitaldiagnosispandemic target_blankhundreds ai tools builta played significant role managing pandemic warners work exception rule faculty relies large numbers highly educated engineers deliver products companys important contribution britains pandemic response arguably warners criticism herd immunity strategy stemmed analysis modelling faculty producedp pstrongem[see alsoa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomsciencetechtechnology202006howoneamericasmostcontroversialbillionairescrackednhs target_blankhow americas controversial billionaires cracked nhsa]emstrongp pthe extent ai reshapes businesses governments economies coming years determine facultys growth potentialfaculty think chance important company actually ensure organisations value ai warner sayseveryone knows ai big deal fact lot people know going huge deal massive trend lot experimented ai found principle useful practice didnt create valuep pthats theres bunch things need right need apply [ai] right problem need build good models need scale models effectively need embed organisation need connect things organisation right wont actually valuep

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The Academic Freedom Podcast #6 on Tenure in Georgia

pa new episode of a hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgpodcaststhe academic freedom podcasta from the a hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgacademic freedom alliancea is now available subscribe through your favorite platform so you dont miss an episodep pthis episode of the podcast tries to unpack the meaning and significance of the new policies for posttenure review just adopted by the board of regents of the university system of georgia the new policy as voted on by the regents can be found a hrefhttpswwwusgeduregentsassetsregentsdocumentsboard_meetingsagenda_2021_10_1213pdfherea scroll down to page 50 of the agenda for quotboard policy revisions a letter from the american association of university professors outlining concerns with the proposed policy can be found a hrefhttpsdrivegooglecomfiled1qprreoijswuxvayojn1j9krfvvisguviewherea a letter from the foundation of individual rights in education outlining their concerns with the proposed policy can be found a hrefhttpswwwthefireorgfiretogeorgiaregentsprotectacademicfreedombyrejectingpoliticizedposttenurereviewhereap pis this the death of tenure in georgia to help me figure that out im joined by matthew boedy of the georgia chapter of the aaup and tyler coward of fire there are still details to be figured out on the individual campuses but this policy move is a worrisome step for those who care about academic freedom and it might be the wave of the future as state legislatures and university trustees look for ways to make it easier to fire university professorsp pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedompodbeancomegeorgiasposttenurereviewpolicythedeathoftenurelisten to the whole thingap

pa new episode hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgpodcaststhe academic freedom podcasta hrefhttpsacademicfreedomorgacademic freedom alliancea available subscribe favorite platform dont miss episodep pthis episode podcast tries unpack meaning significance new policies posttenure review adopted board regents university system georgia new policy voted regents found hrefhttpswwwusgeduregentsassetsregentsdocumentsboard_meetingsagenda_2021_10_1213pdfherea scroll page 50 agenda quotboard policy revisions letter american association university professors outlining concerns proposed policy found hrefhttpsdrivegooglecomfiled1qprreoijswuxvayojn1j9krfvvisguviewherea letter foundation individual rights education outlining concerns proposed policy found hrefhttpswwwthefireorgfiretogeorgiaregentsprotectacademicfreedombyrejectingpoliticizedposttenurereviewhereap pis death tenure georgia help figure im joined matthew boedy georgia chapter aaup tyler coward fire details figured individual campuses policy worrisome step care academic freedom wave future state legislatures university trustees look ways easier fire university professorsp pa hrefhttpsacademicfreedompodbeancomegeorgiasposttenurereviewpolicythedeathoftenurelisten thingap

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Why won’t the mainstream media talk about trans issues?

pthe wonderful thing about woke narratives is that you only have to wait a while until they collapse the core of donald trumps appeal in 2016 we were told by the media was that white supremacists and various rubes saw a chance to reverse racial progress the results of 2020 showed that in fact black and latino support for trump had increased over those four years while biden won by increasing his white male vote the racial reckoning in the wake of george floyds murder was proof we were told that we needed to defund the police only months later the democratic primary for new york citys mayoral election was won by a black former cop eric adams who promised to increase police funding and had more support among african americans and latinos than upscale whitesp plast year every major media organization ran story after story about how white supremacists inspired by trumps rhetoric on the china virus were inflicting random violence against asian americans as video after video and local news story after local news story showed that the attacks were largely by young black men or deranged homeless people the establishment media started to run articles about multiracial whiteness to cover their posteriors while racial justice figures insisted critical race theory was only being taught in a few law schools teachers leaked high and even elementary school curricula showing precisely the concepts of crt in action the crt scholars moved seamlessly to the argument that sure its there and should be taughtp punlike in britain where there is a strong debate about trans questions especially the treatment of children with gender dysphoria the woke media in the us will not print a word about it and when they do describe it as function of hateful transphobia and nothing else but last week we found out in fact that medical treatment of gender dysphoric kids was sloppy sloppy healthcare without sufficient attention to kids overall mental health and that many children who have been put on puberty blockers followed by cross sex hormones will never experience an orgasm as an adult who told us this two transgender surgeons who are preeminent practitioners of trans surgery on the board of the world professional association for transgender health no lessp pwe were also told it was an absurd idea that some people might abuse transinclusive provisions that allow trans women with male genitalia to be in intimate spaces with other women and then a sex offender showed up in a spa in los angeles first the media argued that nothing had happened and that transphobes were making it up then they ran defensive pieces reluctantly copping to the truth a second case is unfolding in virginia with a rape in a school girls toilet we dont know all the facts yet but it has a similar dynamicp phas any movement ever crashed and burned more quickly than the social justice revolution yet it powers on strong sustained by the unfalsifiable its increasing passion commensurate to the debunking that happens every dayp div a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomdcdiarylaunchofferimg alt width1200 srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailbannerpng classwpimage29978 height217a div pi know there are plenty of other things to worry about but the increasing frequency of people playing their own music in public is beginning to get to me people go to the beach or get a spot in a park whip out their boombox often now a small hitech gadget and blast their noise so everyone else has to hear it as well on their bikes they play throbbing club music as they pass you in the street cars vibrating with the beat blasting from their stereos instantly force every passerby to pay attention i understand the need to brighten up your day and chores and work and even downtime with your favorite tunes i do it all the time but there are these things called earphones or airpods or a million other headsets you might have heard of they allow you to listen to a better quality sound at any volume without imposing your tastes on everyone else in your vicinity its winwin i used to be a total karen about this going up to these noisemachines and asking them to turn it down or off now i just sigh lick my wounds and walk on its a strange time isnt it at the same time that codes of speech and behavior are increasingly enforced with discipline in workplaces on the street anything goes is that what happens when civilizations diep pemthis article was originally published in ema hrefhttpspectatorcoukarticlewhywonttheusmediatalkabouttransissuesthe spectatoraems uk magazine a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribenowsubscribe to the world edition hereaemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicmediatalkabouttransissueswhy wont the mainstream media talk about trans issuesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

pthe wonderful thing woke narratives wait collapse core donald trumps appeal 2016 told media white supremacists rubes saw chance reverse racial progress results 2020 showed fact black latino support trump increased years biden won increasing white male vote racial reckoning wake george floyds murder proof told needed defund police months later democratic primary new york citys mayoral election won black cop eric adams promised increase police funding support african americans latinos upscale whitesp plast year major media organization ran story story white supremacists inspired trumps rhetoric china virus inflicting random violence asian americans video video local news story local news story showed attacks largely young black men deranged homeless people establishment media started run articles multiracial whiteness cover posteriors racial justice figures insisted critical race theory taught law schools teachers leaked high elementary school curricula showing precisely concepts crt action crt scholars moved seamlessly argument sure taughtp punlike britain strong debate trans questions especially treatment children gender dysphoria woke media print word describe function hateful transphobia week found fact medical treatment gender dysphoric kids sloppy sloppy healthcare sufficient attention kids overall mental health children puberty blockers followed cross sex hormones experience orgasm adult told transgender surgeons preeminent practitioners trans surgery board world professional association transgender health lessp pwe told absurd idea people abuse transinclusive provisions allow trans women male genitalia intimate spaces women sex offender showed spa los angeles media argued happened transphobes making ran defensive pieces reluctantly copping truth second case unfolding virginia rape school girls toilet dont know facts similar dynamicp phas movement crashed burned quickly social justice revolution powers strong sustained unfalsifiable increasing passion commensurate debunking happens dayp div hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomdcdiarylaunchofferimg alt width1200 srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailbannerpng classwpimage29978 height217a div pi know plenty things worry increasing frequency people playing music public beginning people beach spot park whip boombox small hitech gadget blast noise hear bikes play throbbing club music pass street cars vibrating beat blasting stereos instantly force passerby pay attention understand need brighten day chores work downtime favorite tunes time things called earphones airpods million headsets heard allow listen better quality sound volume imposing tastes vicinity winwin total karen going noisemachines asking turn sigh lick wounds walk strange time isnt time codes speech behavior increasingly enforced discipline workplaces street goes happens civilizations diep pemthis article originally published inema hrefhttpspectatorcoukarticlewhywonttheusmediatalkabouttransissuesthe spectatoraemsuk magazinea hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribenowsubscribe world edition hereaemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicmediatalkabouttransissueswhy wont mainstream media talk trans issuesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

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Understanding the Rise in Life Expectancy Inequality

pa relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id3934758 target_blankby gordon b dahl etalap blockquotepwe provide a novel decomposition of changing gaps in life expectancy between rich and poor into differential changes in agespecific mortality rates and differences in survivability declining agespecific mortality rates increases life expectancy but the gain is small if the likelihood of living to this age is small ex ante survivability or if the expected remaining lifetime is short ex post survivability lower survivability of the poor explains between onethird and onehalf of the recent rise in life expectancy inequality in the us and the entire change in denmark our analysis shows that the recent widening of mortality rates between rich and poor due to lifestylerelated diseases does not explain much of the rise in life expectancy inequality rather the dramatic 50 reduction in cardiovascular deaths which benefited both rich and poor made initial differences in lifestylerelated mortality more consequential via survivabilitypblockquote pvia a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupfacetime target_blankthe excellent kevin lewisa  and rad from the comments greater survivability of cardio vascular events allows lifestyle choices to catchup with peoplep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110understandingtheriseinlifeexpectancyinequalityhtmlunderstanding the rise in life expectancy inequalitya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pa relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id3934758 target_blankby gordon b dahl etalap blockquotepwe provide novel decomposition changing gaps life expectancy rich poor differential changes agespecific mortality rates differences survivability declining agespecific mortality rates increases life expectancy gain small likelihood living age small ex ante survivability expected remaining lifetime short ex post survivability lower survivability poor explains onethird onehalf recent rise life expectancy inequality entire change denmark analysis shows recent widening mortality rates rich poor lifestylerelated diseases explain rise life expectancy inequality dramatic 50 reduction cardiovascular deaths benefited rich poor initial differences lifestylerelated mortality consequential survivabilitypblockquote pvia relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupfacetime target_blankthe excellent kevin lewisa rad comments greater survivability cardio vascular events allows lifestyle choices catchup peoplep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110understandingtheriseinlifeexpectancyinequalityhtmlunderstanding rise life expectancy inequalitya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6171fee3c67fa28bbbfea029

Optimism about Mexico a story of compounding returns

pcurrent per capital income a relnoopener hrefhttpsdataworldbankorgindicatornygdppcapppcdlocationsfr target_blankmeasures at about 19k pppa  apply 22 growth for 3035 years and mexico then approaches the living standard of todays uk or south korea  since 1994 a relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscommexicogdpgrowthannual target_blankmexicos average growth rate has been 209a including covid times so that is hardly outlandish as an assumptionp phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211019mexicocouldbethenextdenmarkunspectacularbutstablecmpid3dsocialflowtwitterviewutm_contentviewutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittersrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg column on that topica  here is one excerptp blockquote pin the meantime there are reasons to be bullish on mexico right now one is that economic globalization has been somewhat halted and in some areas even reversed to the extent americans do not trust chinese supply chains the mexican economy will pick up some of the slack mexico is also the natural lowerwage supplier to north american industry its main problem in this regard is that its wages are no longer so low but that too reflects its progressp pand if tourism in asia and europe remains difficult or inconvenient americans will visit mexico more and grow accustomed to holidaying in locales other than cancun some of those habits are likely to stickp blockquote pi do also cover the ifs and or buts  andp blockquotepmexico like much of latin america also has a burgeoning startup scene especially in ecommerce and fintech mexico city might end up as the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgsbstanfordeduinsightsmexicocitylatinamericasfuturetechhub target_blanktechnology capitala of [spanishspeaking] latin america that would help with one of mexicos chronic economic problems namely that small firms decide to stay small to escape regulations and taxes successful tech startups in contrast can scale more easily and face fewer regulations on average than manufacturing firmspblockquote precommendedp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110optimismaboutmexicoastoryofcompoundingreturnshtmloptimism about mexico a story of compounding returnsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pcurrent capital income relnoopener hrefhttpsdataworldbankorgindicatornygdppcapppcdlocationsfr target_blankmeasures 19k pppa apply 22 growth 3035 years mexico approaches living standard todays uk south korea 1994 relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscommexicogdpgrowthannual target_blankmexicos average growth rate 209a including covid times hardly outlandish assumptionp phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211019mexicocouldbethenextdenmarkunspectacularbutstablecmpid3dsocialflowtwitterviewutm_contentviewutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittersrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg column topica excerptp blockquote pin meantime reasons bullish mexico right economic globalization somewhat halted areas reversed extent americans trust chinese supply chains mexican economy pick slack mexico natural lowerwage supplier north american industry main problem regard wages longer low reflects progressp pand tourism asia europe remains difficult inconvenient americans visit mexico grow accustomed holidaying locales cancun habits likely stickp blockquote pi cover ifs buts andp blockquotepmexico like latin america burgeoning startup scene especially ecommerce fintech mexico city end thea relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgsbstanfordeduinsightsmexicocitylatinamericasfuturetechhub target_blanktechnology capitala [spanishspeaking] latin america help mexicos chronic economic problems small firms decide stay small escape regulations taxes successful tech startups contrast scale easily face fewer regulations average manufacturing firmspblockquote precommendedp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110optimismaboutmexicoastoryofcompoundingreturnshtmloptimism mexico story compounding returnsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6171ff96c67fa28bbbfea02d

Andrew Yang: 'Political Violence Is Becoming More and More of an Inevitability'

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110yang12400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110yang11200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110yang1600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110yang1331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110yang12400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110yang11200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110yang1600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110yang1331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altandrew yang srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpg height675 picture div pandrew yangs run for the democratic partys presidential nomination didnt last all that long but his support for a universal basic income ubi pushed that arcane topic to the center of ongoing policy debates about how best to help americans dislocated by technological and economic changep pthe a hrefhttpswwwandrewyangcom46yearold entrepreneura who also ran unsuccessfully this year to become new york citys mayor has a new book out emforward notes on the future of our democracyem is part campaign memoir and part political manifesto in which he outlines the principles and policies he thinks are essential to making america once again a land of opportunity to further his agenda he has also launched the a hrefhttpswwwforwardpartycomforward partya which proclaims it is neither left nor right in its mission statementp pquotwe can tell that the duopoly is killing usquot says yang quotits turning us against each other political stress is at civil war levels political violence is becoming more and more of an inevitabilityquot the forward partys a hrefhttpswwwforwardpartycomwhyforwardcore principlesa include pushing for open primaries and rankedchoice voting creating a basic income for all citizens promoting quothumancentered capitalismquot and infusing politics with quotgrace and tolerancequotp phe talked about all thatand how his agenda intersects with libertarian ideaswith emreasonems nick gillespiep pemphoto ron adar sopa imagessipa usanewscomemp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110yang12400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110yang11200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110yang1600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110yang1331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110yang12400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110yang11200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110yang1600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110yang1331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altandrew yang srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110yang1800x450jpg height675 picture div pandrew yangs run democratic partys presidential nomination didnt long support universal basic income ubi pushed arcane topic center ongoing policy debates best help americans dislocated technological economic changep pthe hrefhttpswwwandrewyangcom46yearold entrepreneura ran unsuccessfully year new york citys mayor new book emforward notes future democracyem campaign memoir political manifesto outlines principles policies thinks essential making america land opportunity agenda launched hrefhttpswwwforwardpartycomforward partya proclaims left right mission statementp pquotwe tell duopoly killing usquot says yang quotits turning political stress civil war levels political violence inevitabilityquot forward partys hrefhttpswwwforwardpartycomwhyforwardcore principlesa include pushing open primaries rankedchoice voting creating basic income citizens promoting quothumancentered capitalismquot infusing politics quotgrace tolerancequotp phe talked thatand agenda intersects libertarian ideaswith emreasonems nick gillespiep pemphoto ron adar sopa imagessipa usanewscomemp

617202efc67fa28bbbfea035

If the unions won’t defend academic freedom, then who will?

plast year channel 4 broadcast a documentary entitled emthe school that tried to end racismem in which pupils were segregated by skin colour to do the race work required of them by socalled race experts it won a bafta rather than the public condemnation it deservedp pthe lack of public or official criticism served as a green light for educatoractivists already working within schools to up the ante and push for an actively antiracist agenda being nonracist the traditional default position was no longer an option because it denied positions of structural power into which we are allegedly all born to impose a belief without interrogation isnt education its indoctrination and it should have no place in our schools and universities yet the attack on a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomeducation2021oct16campusinthespotlighthowsussexbecamefocusofrowovertransrights target_blankkathleen stocka by the university and college union for her views on transgender issues is the latest reminder of how organisations that are supposed to represent educators consistently fail to protect their membersp pstock is far from alone at the university of kent professor of sociology ellie lee is at odds with her employers because she refuses to decolonise her reading list or impose a training course on her students that endorses the concepts of white privilege and unconscious biasp pat dont divide us a campaign to stop schools obsessing about racial identity teachers and parents have been sending examples of materials and anecdotes that suggest schools too are succumbing to a radical change in cultural values the results are educationally banal and ethically dubious parents have highlighted how some teachers have said things like ememperhaps you are starting to address your own white privilegeemem and on a technical level white is not a protected characteristic and so in a legal sense there is not racism against white people to childrenemem others have highlighted how pupils were asked to make a black lives matter poster for their art homework with examples including an image of a bloodied black power fist a police station on fire and an image depicting a girl being shot in the head with a gun whilst surrounded by racist slogans these simplistic moralistic platitudes ignore the duty of schools to strive for impartiality in a broad as well as strictly political sensep pand this approach is being rolled out with the official endorsement of local councils as well as unions a relnoopener hrefhttpsdontdivideuscomletterrecrtbasedantiracisminbrightonhoveschools datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsdontdivideuscomletterrecrtbasedantiracisminbrightonhoveschoolsampsourcegmailampust1634640485865000ampusgafqjcnf4m_9calvs6do4j6i3mil6snxc6q target_blankbrighton and hove county councila for example under deputy leader hannah clare has sanctioned a new schools antiracist strategy based on critical race theory being colourblind an approach to antiracism that has informed significant legal and social progress in britain is apparently no longer sufficient never mind that most schoolchildren lack sufficient life experience and knowledge to understand the concept of racism as a distinct social and political category but then its not just the children concerned it is parents who are the real audience for these patronising messagesp pas the new academic year progresses no doubt administration departments at many universities will be compiling their submissions for advance hes race equality charter a framework through which institutions work to identify and selfreflect on institutional and cultural barriers standing in the way of black asian and minority ethnic staff and students as our expert academics group a relnoopener hrefhttpsdontdivideuscomforequalityagainsttheraceequalitycharterdontdivideusrespondstoadvancehesraceequalitycharter datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsdontdivideuscomforequalityagainsttheraceequalitycharterdontdivideusrespondstoadvancehesraceequalitycharterampsourcegmailampust1634640485865000ampusgafqjcng7zfc3hptunl9wpmyhqnsglkdha target_blankwarneda recently they will be signing up to a system of monitoring and micromanaging campus relations which is based on an uncritical acceptance that britain is a systematically racist society it will further entrench the view that identities are fragile things which need protecting lest they shatter at the slightest touch or offensive word such a culture is inimical to education whether in universities or schoolsp pschools need teachers who will push back and follow the lead of those brave individuals in academia who think that identity politics should stay out of education but in the absence of vocal support from their unions is it any wonder schoolteachers remain silent to speak out risks academic isolation and in some cases police protection the government has a chance to protect academic freedom in the higher education free speech bill and a soontobe published schools white paper failure to seize that chance will leave us all poorerp pia relnoopener hrefhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupform datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupformampsourcegmailampust1634640642032000ampusgafqjcnephfwpzix1x0j5ettfdl7i4nzcba target_blankclick here to subscribe to our daily briefinga em the best pieces from capx and across the webemip pemcapx depends on the generosity of its readers if you value what we do please consider making a donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcoiftheunionswillnotdefendacademicfreedomthenwhowillif the unions wont defend academic freedom then who willa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

plast year channel 4 broadcast documentary entitled emthe school tried end racismem pupils segregated skin colour race work required socalled race experts won bafta public condemnation deservedp pthe lack public official criticism served green light educatoractivists working schools ante push actively antiracist agenda nonracist traditional default position longer option denied positions structural power allegedly born impose belief interrogation isnt education indoctrination place schools universities attack relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomeducation2021oct16campusinthespotlighthowsussexbecamefocusofrowovertransrights target_blankkathleen stocka university college union views transgender issues latest reminder organisations supposed represent educators consistently fail protect membersp pstock far university kent professor sociology ellie lee odds employers refuses decolonise reading list impose training course students endorses concepts white privilege unconscious biasp pat dont divide campaign stop schools obsessing racial identity teachers parents sending examples materials anecdotes suggest schools succumbing radical change cultural values results educationally banal ethically dubious parents highlighted teachers said things like ememperhaps starting address white privilegeememandon technical level white protected characteristic legal sense racism white people childrenemem highlighted pupils asked black lives matter poster art homework examples including image bloodied black power fist police station fire image depicting girl shot head gun whilst surrounded racist slogans simplistic moralistic platitudes ignore duty schools strive impartiality broad strictly political sensep pand approach rolled official endorsement local councils unions relnoopener hrefhttpsdontdivideuscomletterrecrtbasedantiracisminbrightonhoveschools datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsdontdivideuscomletterrecrtbasedantiracisminbrightonhoveschoolsampsourcegmailampust1634640485865000ampusgafqjcnf4m_9calvs6do4j6i3mil6snxc6q target_blankbrighton hove county councila example deputy leader hannah clare sanctioned new schools antiracist strategy based critical race theory colourblind approach antiracism informed significant legal social progress britain apparently longer sufficient mind schoolchildren lack sufficient life experience knowledge understand concept racism distinct social political category children concerned parents real audience patronising messagesp pas new academic year progresses doubt administration departments universities compiling submissions advance hes race equality charter framework institutions work identify selfreflect institutional cultural barriers standing way black asian minority ethnic staff students expert academics group relnoopener hrefhttpsdontdivideuscomforequalityagainsttheraceequalitycharterdontdivideusrespondstoadvancehesraceequalitycharter datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsdontdivideuscomforequalityagainsttheraceequalitycharterdontdivideusrespondstoadvancehesraceequalitycharterampsourcegmailampust1634640485865000ampusgafqjcng7zfc3hptunl9wpmyhqnsglkdha target_blankwarneda recently signing system monitoring micromanaging campus relations based uncritical acceptance britain systematically racist society entrench view identities fragile things need protecting lest shatter slightest touch offensive word culture inimical education universities schoolsp pschools need teachers push follow lead brave individuals academia think identity politics stay education absence vocal support unions wonder schoolteachers remain silent speak risks academic isolation cases police protection government chance protect academic freedom higher education free speech bill soontobe published schools white paper failure seize chance leave poorerp pia relnoopener hrefhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupform datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupformampsourcegmailampust1634640642032000ampusgafqjcnephfwpzix1x0j5ettfdl7i4nzcba target_blankclick subscribe daily briefingaem best pieces capx webemip pemcapx depends generosity readers value consider making donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcoiftheunionswillnotdefendacademicfreedomthenwhowillif unions wont defend academic freedom willa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

61733be0f882f715679ace48

5 questions for Jamie Beard on the potential of geothermal energy

pstrongby james pethokoukis and jamie beardstrongp pis the future of clean energy right beneath our feet by tapping into the infrastructure and expertise of the oil and gas industry geothermal energy could deliver a scalable fossil fuel alternative on a recent episode of political economy jamie beard discussed the exciting future of geothermal its environmental implications and the role government can play in furthering this technologyp pjamie is the founder and executive director of the geothermal entrepreneurship organization at the university of texas at austinp pbelow is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation you can read our full discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeard target_blankherea you can also subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera or download the podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongcould you describe the suite of technologies we are talking about with geothermalstrongp pa lot of geothermal in the world that exists today is where geothermal resources are close to the surface and have surface manifestations thats typically called hydrothermal geothermal and its been around for well more than 100 years but thats not the only option for geothermal anymore over the past couple of decades weve had some pretty significant technological leaps the shale boom and the directional drilling technologies and fracking technologies that came out of that but also offshore exploration and developmentp pso if you take those technologies and you leverage them and you apply them to geothermal we can actually enable all kinds of geothermal concepts now were engineering the subsurface to mimic iceland for instance with the goal of being able to do that anywhere in the world that we need energy and then weve got advanced geothermal systems or closed loop systems where fracturing is not used directional drilling technologies are used instead youre essentially drilling radiators into rock and harvesting heat that way there are a lot of ways these two types of things are combined to create different systems as well so a lot of innovation is happening in this spacep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beard5qspowerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613508figcaptiona view of the power lines from nastaveni geothermal power station near reykjavik icelandbrreutersints kalninsfigcaptionfigure pstrongwhat are the particular advantages of this technology over both what we already have and the next generation of nuclear strongp pfor one geothermal is baseload its 247 you dont need energy storage for geothermal that is a big deal having a clean baseload source of energy in the very near term is an exciting prospect geothermal also has a tiny footprint compared to other renewables if you look at sources of clean energy the geothermal footprint comparatively megawatt to megawatt is about 1 percent of that of solar and wind geothermal per megawatt also creates three or four times more jobs than other renewables dop pnextgen nuclear is exciting but heres the deal its really expensive just to get it ready were talking about just massive investments of billions of dollars for geothermal to be ready for prime time meaning were getting teams into the field getting technologies demonstrated fullscale get oil and gas engaged and start scaling this thing its a drop in a bucket comparatively in terms of whats needed for investments about maybe a half a billion dollars worth of field deployments might get us to a place for geothermal where we could have a scalable concept ready to go and wed be off on another shale boom but this time for clean energyp pstrongwhat do you tell people who are concerned about the climate but theyre also worried about the environmental impact of geothermalstrongp pi think we need to have eyes wide open when it comes to the supply chains that were leaning on for renewable energy investment and development in particular when it comes to lithium mining and energy storage i dont think that the world understands the impact and what thats going to mean if we mine much as we need to mine over the next two decades to meet current climate goals just in terms of energy storage not to mention rareearths that are needed to develop solar and windp pseismicity is something that we need to pay a lot of attention to as geothermal development scales and goes global because we dont want to be producing manmade earthquakes with our power plants so i think this is an eyes wide open moment in terms of translating oil and gas knowledge from fracking into geothermal when i step back and look at our choices in terms of clean energy technologies would i rather riskmitigate seismicity and do that in a measured standardized way than mine a ton of lithium and rare earth yeah i would rather do that because i think its a manageable risk that has less impact on the environmentp pstrongdoes this sector need more government research does it need deregulationstrongp pi think there are two major opportunities most of the lowhanging fruit at least in the united states for geothermal development is on federal land and its currently harder to develop a geothermal project on federal land than it is an oil and gas project geothermal development is subject to nepa and it does not have a categorical exclusion like oil and gas development doesp pshould the government invest more money in geothermal of course geothermal has been underresourced forever it has never enjoyed the subsidies or appropriations that any other energy source has gotten specifically in renewables by orders of magnitude im not sure we should be dumping a lot of dollars right now into lab based research it would be helpful to do some but the high impact stuff right now for geothermal is funding teams into the field we need demonstrationsp pstrongif we brought you back 15 years from now what will have gone wrong if none of this has happenedstrongp pin my view i think we have a narrow window to get oil and gas excited about doing this if we miss that window and oil and gas decides to pivot into solar and wind and hydrogen and doesnt really pay much attention to geothermal geothermal is never going to scale fast enough to be competitive with solar and wind it will always be behind so it will be irrelevant eventually in my view the only way to catch up and scale this fast enough is getting the oil and gas industry engaged and excited if that doesnt happen soon it doesnt matter if it ever happens itll never happen my urgency is to not only engage with oil and gas about it but also try to get them into the field doing projects so they can get excited internally about doing it not just invest in startups on the side and watch but actually get into the field and get some learning i view failure as failure to attract the perfect suitor to scale this industry in time to make it happenp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforarthurturrellonfusionenergy5 questions for arthur turrell on fusion energya a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforrameznaamontheviabilityofsolarandwindenergytopowerthefuture5 questions for ramez naam on the viability of solar and wind energy to power the futurea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornatemorrisonentrepreneurshipinnovationandenvironmentalism5 questions for nate morris on entrepreneurship innovation and environmentalismapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforjamiebeardonthepotentialofgeothermalenergy5 questions for jamie beard on the potential of geothermal energya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis jamie beardstrongp pis future clean energy right beneath feet tapping infrastructure expertise oil gas industry geothermal energy deliver scalable fossil fuel alternative recent episode political economy jamie beard discussed exciting future geothermal environmental implications role government play furthering technologyp pjamie founder executive director geothermal entrepreneurship organization university texas austinp pbelow abbreviated transcript conversation read discussiona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeard target_blankherea subscribe podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsaora relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera download podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongcould describe suite technologies talking geothermalstrongp pa lot geothermal world exists today geothermal resources close surface surface manifestations thats typically called hydrothermal geothermal 100 years thats option geothermal anymore past couple decades weve pretty significant technological leaps shale boom directional drilling technologies fracking technologies came offshore exploration developmentp pso technologies leverage apply geothermal actually enable kinds geothermal concepts engineering subsurface mimic iceland instance goal able world need energy weve got advanced geothermal systems closed loop systems fracturing directional drilling technologies instead youre essentially drilling radiators rock harvesting heat way lot ways types things combined create different systems lot innovation happening spacep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110beard5qspowerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613508figcaptiona view power lines nastaveni geothermal power station near reykjavik icelandbrreutersints kalninsfigcaptionfigure pstrongwhat particular advantages technology wealready generation nuclear strongp pfor geothermal baseload 247 dont need energy storage geothermal big deal having clean baseload source energy near term exciting prospect geothermal tiny footprint compared renewables look sources clean energy geothermal footprint comparatively megawatt megawatt 1 percent solar wind geothermal megawatt creates times jobs renewables dop pnextgen nuclear exciting heres deal expensive ready talking massive investments billions dollars geothermal ready prime time meaning getting teams field getting technologies demonstrated fullscale oil gas engaged start scaling thing drop bucket comparatively terms whats needed investments maybe half billion dollars worth field deployments place geothermal scalable concept ready wed shale boom time clean energyp pstrongwhat tell people concerned climate theyre worried environmental impact geothermalstrongp pi think need eyes wide open comes supply chains leaning renewable energy investment development particular comes lithium mining energy storage dont think world understands impact thats going mean need decades meet current climate goals terms energy storage mention rareearths needed develop solar windp pseismicity need pay lot attention geothermal development scales goes global dont want producing manmade earthquakes power plants think eyes wide open moment terms translating oil gas knowledge fracking geothermal step look choices terms clean energy technologies riskmitigate seismicity measured standardized way ton lithium rare earth yeah think manageable risk impact environmentp pstrongdoes sector need government research need deregulationstrongp pi think major opportunities lowhanging fruit united states geothermal development federal land currently harder develop geothermal project federal land oil gas project geothermal development subject nepa categorical exclusion like oil gas development doesp pshould government invest money geothermal course geothermal underresourced forever enjoyed subsidies appropriations energy source gotten specifically renewables orders magnitude im sure dumping lot dollars right lab based research helpful high impact stuff right geothermal funding teams field need demonstrationsp pstrongif brought 15 years gone wrong happenedstrongp pin view think narrow window oil gas excited miss window oil gas decides pivot solar wind hydrogen doesnt pay attention geothermal geothermal going scale fast competitive solar wind irrelevant eventually view way catch scale fast getting oil gas industry engaged excited doesnt happen soon doesnt matter happens itll happen urgency engage oil gas try field projects excited internally invest startups watch actually field learning view failure failure attract perfect suitor scale industry time happenp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforarthurturrellonfusionenergy5 questions arthur turrell fusion energya hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforrameznaamontheviabilityofsolarandwindenergytopowerthefuture5 questions ramez naam viability solar wind energy power futurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornatemorrisonentrepreneurshipinnovationandenvironmentalism5 questions nate morris entrepreneurship innovation environmentalismapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforjamiebeardonthepotentialofgeothermalenergy5 questions jamie beard potential geothermal energya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

61733bf4f882f715679ace4e

Details in BLS report suggest that the ‘gender earnings gap’ can be explained by age, marital status, children, hours worked, etc.

pa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110womensearnings2021pngx91208img alt width900 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110womensearnings20211024x699pngx91208 classwpimage1008613488 height614ap pthe bureau of labor statistics bls releases an annual report every year on the highlights of womens earnings since the bls report actually analyzes bothem mensem and womens earnings one might ask why the report isnt simply titled more accurately highlights of earnings in america heres the opening paragraph from the most recent bls report a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2020homehtm target_blankhighlights of womens earnings in 2020a that was released last month september 2021p blockquote pin 2020 women who were fulltime wage and salary workers had median usual weekly earnings that were 823 percent of those of male fulltime wage and salary workers in 1979 the first year for which comparable earnings data are available womens earnings were 62 percent of mens most of the growth in womens earnings relative to mens occurred in the 1980s when the womenstomens ratio went from 64 percent to 70 percent and in the 1990s when the ratio went from 72 percent to 77 percent since 2004 the womenstomens earnings ratio has remained in the 80 to 83 percent rangep blockquote phow do we explain the fact that women working fulltime last year earned 823 cents for every dollar men earned according to the bls heres how the a relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorginfoqampahtmlnational committee on pay equitya ncpe explains itp blockquote pthe wage gap exists in part because many women and people of color are still segregated into a few lowpaying occupations part of the wage gap results from differences in education experience or time in the workforcestrong but a significant portion cannot be explained by any of those factors it is attributable to discriminationstrong in other words certain jobs pay less because they are held by women and people of colorp blockquote plets investigate the claim that the gender pay gap is a result of discrimination by looking at some of the data on wages and hours worked by gender and by marital status and age in the bls report for 2020p p1 among fulltime workers those working 35 hours or more per week emmen were more likely than women emto work a greater number of hours see a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2019pdfhomepdf target_blanktable 5ap pa for examplestrong 196 of men working fulltime worked 41 or more hours per week in 2020 compared to only 102 of women who worked those hours meaning that men working fulltime last year were nearly twice as likely as women to work 41 hours per work or more strongp pbstrong further men working fulltime were also 23 times more likely than women to work 60 hour weeks strong4strong3strong of men worked 60 hours per week or more in 2020 compared to only 19 of women who worked those hoursp pc also strongwomen working fulltime were more than twice as likely as men to work shorter workweeks of 35 to 39 hours per weekstrong 77 of fulltime women worked those hours in 2020 compared to only 36 of men who did sop pwhats especially interesting is that strongmen working 3539 hours per week last year earned only 924 of what women earned working those same hours 600 median weekly earnings for men vs 649strongstrong for womenstrong ie there was a 76strongstrong strongemgender earnings gap in favor of female workers for that cohortemstrong using the standard political and gender rhetoric of groups like the national committee on pay equity couldnt that earnings premium for women be mostly explained by stronggender discrimination against men in the labor market for employees working 3539 hours per week that is to be consistent shouldnt the claim here be that certain jobs pay less because they are held by menbrstrongp p2 another way to adjust for the significant gender difference in average hours worked is to compare the strongmedian hourly earningsstrong of wage and salary workers paid hourly rates instead of the strongmedian usual weekly earningsstrong of fulltime wage and salary workers in 2020 the median hourly earnings of women 1522 were 857 of the median hourly earnings of men 1775 representing a gender hourly earnings gap of 143 therefore nearly 20 34 percentage points of the 177 gender weekly earnings gap disappears just by comparing median hourly earnings instead of median weekly earnings  p p3 although not reported by the bls i can estimate using its data that the average workweek for fulltime workers last year was strong413 hours for women strongand strong428 hours for men strongtherefore the average man employed fulltime worked 150 more hours per week in 2020 compared to the average woman which totals to an average of an additional 75 male work hours per year compared to the average fulltime female workerp pstrongcomment because men work more hours on average than womenstrong some of the raw earnings gap naturally disappears just by simply controlling for the number of hours worked per week an important factor not even mentioned by groups like the national committee on pay equity for example women earned 823 of median male earnings for all workers working 35 hours per week or more in 2020 for a raw unadjusted pay gap of 177 for all fulltime workers but for those workers with a 40hour workweek more than threequarters of all fulltime female workers strongwomen earned 874 of median male earningsstrong for a smaller pay gap of only 126 see chart and table 1 therefore once we control only for one variable hours worked and compare men and women both working 40hours per week in 2020 almost onethird 51 percentage points of the raw 177 pay gap reported by the bls for fulltime workers disappearsp p4 the bls also reports in a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 1a that for strongyoung workers ages 1624 years women earned 947 of the median earnings of their male counterparts working fulltime reflecting a 53 gender earnings gap for that age cohort last year strongonce again controlling for just a single important variable age we find that more than twothirds 124 percentage points of the overall 177 unadjusted raw earnings gap for all workers disappears for young workersp p5 the bls reports that for fulltime strongsingle workers who have never marriedstrong women earned strong940 of mens earnings in 2020strong which is a gender earnings gap of only 6 see a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 1a and chart above compared to an overall unadjusted pay gap of 177 for all workers in that group when controlling for marital status and comparing the earnings of unmarried men and unmarried womenstrong twothirds 117 percentage points of the raw 177 earnings gap is explained by just one variable among many marital statusstrongp p6 in a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 7a the bls reports that for strongfulltime single workers with no children under 18 years old at home strongincludes never married divorced separated and widowedstrong womens median weekly earnings of 819 were 937 of the weekly earnings of 874 for their male counterparts in that cohort strongsee chart above for this group once you control for marital status and children at home we can explain nearly twothirds 114 percentage points of the unadjusted 177 gender earnings gapp p7 from table 1 in the bls report we find that for strongmarried workers with a spouse present women working fulltime earned only 785 of what married men with a spouse present earned working fulltime in 2020 strongsee chart in contrast strongfemale workers who have never been married earned only 6 less on average than their male counterpartsstrong which is only onethird of the 177 unadjusted gender earnings gap therefore bls data show that marriage has a significant and negative effect on womens earnings relative to mens but we can realistically assume that marriage is a voluntary lifestyle choice and its that personal decision not necessarily labor market discrimination that contributes to at least some of the gender earnings gap for married fulltime workers with a spouse presentp p8 also from table 7strong married women with spouse present working fulltime with children under 18 years at home strongearned 785 of what married men spouse present earned working fulltime with children under 18 years see chart once again we find that marriage and motherhood have a significantly negative effect on womens earnings but those lower earnings dont necessarily result from labor market discrimination they more likely result from personal family choices about careers familyfriendly and flexible workplaces commute time child care and the number of hours workedp pstrongbottom linestrong when the bls reports that women working fulltime in 2020 earned 823 of what men earned working fulltime that is very much different from saying that women earned 823 of what men earned emfor doing exactly the same work while working the exact same number of hours in the same occupationem with exactly the same educational background and exactly the same years of continuous uninterrupted work experience and with exactly the same marital and family eg number of children status as shown above once we start controlling individually for the many relevant factors that affect earnings eg hours worked age marital status and having children most of the raw earnings differential disappears in a more comprehensive study that controlled for all of the relevant variables simultaneously we would likely find that those variables would account for nearly 100 of the unadjusted raw earnings differential of 177 for womens earnings compared to men as reported by the bls discrimination to the extent that it does exist would likely account for a very small portion of the raw 177 gender earnings gapp pfor example a comprehensive a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwshrmorghrtodaypublicpolicyhrpublicpolicyissuesdocumentsgender20wage20gap20final20reportpdf target_blank2009 study from the department of labora an analysis of reasons for the disparity in wages between men and women came to the following conclusion emphasis addedp blockquote pthis study leads to the unambiguous conclusion that the differences in the compensation of men and women are the result of a multitude of factors and that strongthe raw wage gap should not be used as the basis to justify corrective actionstrong indeed there may be nothing to correct the strongdifferences in raw wages may be almost entirely the result of the individual choices being made by both male and female workersstrongp blockquote pstrongfinal thought strongconsider these definitionsp pstrongwagestrong a payment of money for labor or services usually according to contract and paid on an hourly daily or piecework basisp pstrongearningsstrong money obtained in return for labor or servicesp pusing the definition of wage above the claim of a gender wage gap implies for many like the ncpe that women are paid lower hourly or daily wages than men when they are working sidebyside for the same company doing the exact same job with the same educational and work backgroundsp planguage and words are important and thats why i think its important and more accurate to refer to a gender emearningsem gap rather than a gender empayem gap or gender emwageem gap note that the ncpe uses the terms gender wage gap and wage gap 12 times on just a relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorginfoqampahtmlthe qampa page of its websitea and more than a relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorgindexhtml20 times on its main websitea the department of labor study also used the term raw wage gap the underlying assumption with that language gender wage gap is that there is one hourly or weekly or monthly wage paid to men and a lower hourly or weekly or monthly wage paid to women working sidebyside their male counterparts doing the exact same job when both have the exact same educational and work backgrounds etcp pswitching to using the term gender emearningsem gap broadens the concept of earnings differentials by gender and more accurately allows for the reality that women are usually making the same hourly or weekly wage as men doing the exact same job but men often earn more on average than women because men are working longer hours on average performing different jobs than women working in jobs that are physically more rigorous construction working in jobs that are more dangerous logging and in more hostile work environments oil rigs workers involve longer commute times and may be less flexible and less family friendly so i think its time to completely scrap the term gender wage gap and replace it with the more accurate gender earnings gap unfortunately a google search reveals that there are 30 times more results for the term a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearcheink3mxbidesf0tawylzlodwq22genderwagegap22oq22genderwagegap22gs_lpsyab30l1015456172971749402019414063j901gwswiz0i71j0i7i30j0i7i5i30j0i13xi68ekw9arqved0ahukewi4h43dkzrmahvhoq0khbkkbp0q4dudcaouact5 target_blankgender wage gapa more than 2 million results than for a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearcheinn2nw_uzozw80pepkiin4asq22genderearningsgap22oq22genderearningsgap22gs_lpsyab30j0i30l927307827510227561600014614020j1201gwswiz0i71j0i7i30j0i13ufwmtjwrvvmgender earnings gapa 62000p p p pp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemdetailsinblsreportsuggestthatthegenderearningsgapcanbeexplainedbyagemaritalstatuschildrenhoursworkedetcdetails in bls report suggest that the gender earnings gap can be explained by age marital status children hours worked etca appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110womensearnings2021pngx91208img alt width900 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110womensearnings20211024x699pngx91208 classwpimage1008613488 height614ap pthe bureau labor statistics bls releases annual report year highlights womens earnings bls report actually analyzes bothem mensem womens earnings ask report isnt simply titled accurately highlights earnings america heres opening paragraph recent bls report relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2020homehtm target_blankhighlights womens earnings 2020a released month september 2021p blockquote pin 2020 women fulltime wage salary workers median usual weekly earnings 823 percent male fulltime wage salary workers 1979 year comparable earnings data available womens earnings 62 percent mens growth womens earnings relative mens occurred 1980s womenstomens ratio went 64 percent 70 percent 1990s ratio went 72 percent 77 percent 2004 womenstomens earnings ratio remained 80 83 percent rangep blockquote phow explain fact women working fulltime year earned 823 cents dollar men earned according bls heres relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorginfoqampahtmlnational committee pay equitya ncpe explains itp blockquote pthe wage gap exists women people color segregated lowpaying occupations wage gap results differences education experience time workforcestrong significant portion explained factors attributable discriminationstrong words certain jobs pay held women people colorp blockquote plets investigate claim gender pay gap result discrimination looking data wages hours worked gender marital status age bls report 2020p p1 fulltime workers working 35 hours weekemmen likely women emto work greater number hours relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2019pdfhomepdf target_blanktable 5ap pa examplestrong 196 men working fulltime worked 41 hours week 2020 compared 102 women worked hours meaning men working fulltime year nearly twice likely women work 41 hours work morestrongp pbstrong men working fulltime 23 times likely women work 60 hour weeks strong4strong3strong men worked 60 hours week 2020 compared 19 women worked hoursp pc alsostrongwomen working fulltime twice likely men work shorter workweeks 35 39 hours weekstrong 77 fulltime women worked hours 2020 compared 36 men sop pwhats especially interesting strongmen working 3539 hours week year earned 924 women earned working hours 600 median weekly earnings men vs 649strongstrong womenstrong ie 76strongstrong strongemgender earnings gap favor female workers cohortemstrong standard political gender rhetoric groups like national committee pay equity couldnt earnings premium women explained bystronggender discrimination men labor market employees working 3539 hours week consistent shouldnt claim certain jobs pay held menbrstrongp p2 way adjust significant gender difference average hours worked compare strongmedian hourly earningsstrong wage salary workers paid hourly rates instead strongmedian usual weekly earningsstrong fulltime wage salary workers 2020 median hourly earnings women 1522 857 median hourly earnings men 1775 representing gender hourly earnings gap 143 nearly 20 34 percentage points 177 gender weekly earnings gap disappears comparing median hourly earnings instead median weekly earnings p p3 reported bls estimate data average workweek fulltime workers year strong413 hours women strongandstrong428 hours men strongtherefore average man employed fulltime worked 150 hours week 2020 compared average woman totals average additional 75 male work hours year compared average fulltime female workerp pstrongcomment men work hours average womenstrong raw earnings gap naturally disappears simply controlling number hours worked week important factor mentioned groups like national committee pay equity example women earned 823 median male earnings workers working 35 hours week 2020 raw unadjusted pay gap 177 fulltime workers workers 40hour workweek threequarters fulltime female workers strongwomen earned 874 median male earningsstrong smaller pay gap 126 chart table 1 control variable hours worked compare men women working 40hours week 2020 onethird 51 percentage points raw 177 pay gap reported bls fulltime workers disappearsp p4 bls reports relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 1a forstrongyoung workers ages 1624 years women earned 947 median earnings male counterparts working fulltime reflecting 53 gender earnings gap age cohort year strongonce controlling single important variable age find twothirds 124 percentage points overall 177 unadjusted raw earnings gap workers disappears young workersp p5 bls reports fulltime strongsingle workers marriedstrong women earned strong940 mens earnings 2020strong gender earnings gap 6 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 1a chart compared overall unadjusted pay gap 177 workers group controlling marital status comparing earnings unmarried men unmarried womenstrong twothirds 117 percentage points raw 177 earnings gap explained variable marital statusstrongp p6 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwblsgovopubreportswomensearnings2018homehtm target_blanktable 7a bls reports forstrongfulltime single workers children 18 years old home strongincludes married divorced separated widowedstrong womens median weekly earnings 819 937 weekly earnings 874 male counterparts cohort strongsee chart group control marital status children home explain nearly twothirds 114 percentage points unadjusted 177 gender earnings gapp p7 table 1 bls report find strongmarried workers spouse present women working fulltime earned 785 married men spouse present earned working fulltime 2020 strongsee chart contrast strongfemale workers married earned 6 average male counterpartsstrong onethird 177 unadjusted gender earnings gap bls data marriage significant negative effect womens earnings relative mens realistically assume marriage voluntary lifestyle choice personal decision necessarily labor market discrimination contributes gender earnings gap married fulltime workers spouse presentp p8 table 7strong married women spouse present working fulltime children 18 years home strongearned 785 married men spouse present earned working fulltime children 18 years chart find marriage motherhood significantly negative effect womens earnings lower earnings dont necessarily result labor market discrimination likely result personal family choices careers familyfriendly flexible workplaces commute time child care number hours workedp pstrongbottom linestrong bls reports women working fulltime 2020 earned 823 men earned working fulltime different saying women earned 823 men earned emfor exactly work working exact number hours occupationem exactly educational background exactly years continuous uninterrupted work experience exactly marital family eg number children status shown start controlling individually relevant factors affect earnings eg hours worked age marital status having children raw earnings differential disappears comprehensive study controlled relevant variables simultaneously likely find variables account nearly 100 unadjusted raw earnings differential 177 womens earnings compared men reported bls discrimination extent exist likely account small portion raw 177 gender earnings gapp pfor example comprehensivea relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwshrmorghrtodaypublicpolicyhrpublicpolicyissuesdocumentsgender20wage20gap20final20reportpdf target_blank2009 study department labora analysis reasons disparity wages men women came following conclusion emphasis addedp blockquote pthis study leads unambiguous conclusion differences compensation men women result multitude factors thatstrongthe raw wage gap basis justify corrective actionstrong correct thestrongdifferences raw wages entirely result individual choices male female workersstrongp blockquote pstrongfinal thought strongconsider definitionsp pstrongwagestrong payment money labor services usually according contract paid hourly daily piecework basisp pstrongearningsstrong money obtained return labor servicesp pusing definition wage claim gender wage gap implies like ncpe women paid lower hourly daily wages men working sidebyside company exact job educational work backgroundsp planguage words important thats think important accurate refer gender emearningsem gap gender empayem gap gender emwageem gap note ncpe uses terms gender wage gap wage gap 12 times relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorginfoqampahtmlthe qampa page websitea relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpayequityorgindexhtml20 times main websitea department labor study term raw wage gap underlying assumption language gender wage gap hourly weekly monthly wage paid men lower hourly weekly monthly wage paid women working sidebyside male counterparts exact job exact educational work backgrounds etcp pswitching term gender emearningsem gap broadens concept earnings differentials gender accurately allows reality women usually making hourly weekly wage men exact job men earn average women men working longer hours average performing different jobs women working jobs physically rigorous construction working jobs dangerous logging hostile work environments oil rigs workers involve longer commute times flexible family friendly think time completely scrap term gender wage gap replace accurate gender earnings gap unfortunately google search reveals 30 times results term relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearcheink3mxbidesf0tawylzlodwq22genderwagegap22oq22genderwagegap22gs_lpsyab30l1015456172971749402019414063j901gwswiz0i71j0i7i30j0i7i5i30j0i13xi68ekw9arqved0ahukewi4h43dkzrmahvhoq0khbkkbp0q4dudcaouact5 target_blankgender wage gapa 2 million results relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearcheinn2nw_uzozw80pepkiin4asq22genderearningsgap22oq22genderearningsgap22gs_lpsyab30j0i30l927307827510227561600014614020j1201gwswiz0i71j0i7i30j0i13ufwmtjwrvvmgender earnings gapa 62000p pp pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemdetailsinblsreportsuggestthatthegenderearningsgapcanbeexplainedbyagemaritalstatuschildrenhoursworkedetcdetails bls report suggest gender earnings gap explained age marital status children hours worked etca appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

61733c04f882f715679ace50

The English Garden We Call the West

div a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomenduringtensioncapitalismmoralorderdp1641771518refsr_1_1crid1aoxk5x2psevpdchild1keywordstheenduringtensioncapitalismandthemoralorderqid1634833113sr81texthttps3aamznto3e6jvvg target_blankemthe enduring tension capitalism and the moral orderemabr by donald j devine encounter books 384 pp 24 divimg altthe english garden we call the west srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110wildgarden1959jpgpconservative and classical liberal commentators notably jonah goldberg in his book emsuicide of the westem have taken advantage of a wellknown comparison between angloamerican constitutionalism and english gardens in contrast to highly stylized and symmetrical french gardens the classical english garden as popularized by capability brown finds beauty in chaos and in letting nature flourish with minimal human interference its politicalcultural analog is the free society in which governing institutions are not designed to quell the naturally occurring functions of human society rather than aiming to control the world of social relations like a precisely trimmed hedge angloamerican liberalism embraces the messiness of letting a thousand flowers bloomeven at the risk of some being poisonousppsuch a garden deserves an omnicompetent guide and donald devine is up to the task in emthe enduring tensionem devine offers a whimsical yet thoughtprovoking tour of the english garden we call the west whose untamed beauty frequently escapes notice devine who was an accomplished political scientist before becoming president reagans personnel czar has long been thinking about grand theories of the free world accordingly his opus reads like a docents explanation to the uninitiated but curious of the significance of every chancedupon root and branchppdevine leads us through the landscape not with a rigidly structured essay on the intractable problems of central planning or the conservative movements prized dialectical tensions but with an array of somewhat unpredictable case studies devine aims to show why the breathtaking success of the wild west is met with both high levels of ingratitude and also calls for government to tame its unruly outgrowths his sometimesmeandering exploration of that question examines eminter aliaem the conflict in ukraine the collision of gay rights and religious liberty and proposals to reform the american administrative state this method bespeaks the humility of a man who recognizes that no single theory can pinpoint why some civilizations succeed and others failppsuch breadth might be mistaken for confusion a more sympathetic reader will take emthe enduring tensions emstructure as a fitting reflection of its subject matter its message is humble meliorism those tasked with trying to balance capitalism and moral order freedom and stability need not give up their attempts to bring humans into greater harmony with one another and with the obligations of natural morality rather they should presume little about what they imagine they can designphrpthe free world is built on a delicate balance on one side exerting powerful and visible pull is the free market devine begins his analysis with a close look at capitalism which capitalism he asks recognizing that capitalism has been much more than a mere economic system to its proponents and critics alike he challenges figures from marx to pope francis on their understandings of capitalisms shortcomings while accepting the prominent critique that capitalism is inadequate as a selfsustaining moral system devine is not shy about defending property rights in theory and practice as an excellent form of protecting the weak and vulnerable but concedes that without restraints often derived from belief in a judicatory higher power unbounded capitalism can quickly become corrosive and exploitativeppon the other end of the dialectic are the various forms of social order that have emerged over the course of human history order in the sense of hierarchies and responsibilities attached to the roles into which all individuals are born and reared emerges from the operative units of social organization a church state family or other source of obligation traditionally citizens of christian nationstates could expect that a dedication to loving their neighbors and even their enemies and to the demands of imitating god would restrain their peers from exploitative actions such expectations breed the trust and reciprocation that are prerequisite to human flourishing cooperation of the kind adam smith envisioned when he wrote of the widespread social benefits that would redound from proliferating free markets is not merely bolstered by but empredicated uponem sources of constraint and obligationpptherein lies a massive tension capitalism will burn itself out should fellow citizens no longer trust their trade partners yet a society with too many constraints will fail to bear capitalisms finest fruit as many conservative philosophers including devines mentor frank s meyer have pointed out freedom is desirable for its own sake for allowing an infinite diversity of people to pursue their own highest goods as they see fit yet there must be limits to those pursuits they must be bounded by a common morality that does not condone force fraud or violation of certain natural law principles recognizing that this tension undergirds liberal democratic capitalism and that policy cannot neatly resolve it is the first step toward defending the american tradition from its detractorstoward seeing the beauty in the english gardenppwhether this tension endures is another story devine identifies its primary challengers which come from new institutions and changes in mass attitudes moreover devine reports that as group identities have gained strength there has followed a weakening commitment to crucial capitalist ideals like freedom property rights limited government and the value of hard work these developments seem unrelated but within the context of capitalisms symbiosis with an order based in common morality they are clearly connected when trust and cooperation are said to be rooted in say melanin levels rather than shared commitment to ideals that transcend human difference institutions such as property rights begin to look less like tools to protect the vulnerable and more like tools of exploitation put differently hierarchies can breed a sense of responsibility or resentment when the hierarchy is believed to serve a higher good individuals will dutifully accept responsibility when that higher good is denied in favor of tribal loyalty hierarchies become much harder to embrace a sense of responsibility fades away and those institutions that depend upon a common sense of responsibility begin to look only exploitativephrptruth be told nobody likes tension its confusing and seems to leave too many people insufficiently free for all its paeans to the value of freedom fweedom in vice president harriss personal apocrypha the cultural left seeks a hierarchy of its own enlightened technocrats to distribute more resources to the oppressed and cultural vanguardists to ratchet up the speed of our acceptablelanguageandbehavior treadmill there is no need to rehash here the fundamentally antifreedom implications of the recent rhetorical switch from equality to equity yet traditional sources of order and obligation such as religion and parental authority remain anathema to the progressive projectppmeanwhile the cultural right grows ever more prepared to deneutralize the public square across states and localities aiming to reorient americans to a common good whose consensus of support remains unproven americans are far too free some such as sohrab ahmari or adrian vermeule argue and the right should not shy away from using state power to limit certain forms of expression and conduct having nationalized so much of our politics and culture imbalance in the freedomversusorder tugofwar anywhere poses a threat to its endurance everywhere it seemsppboth these camps argue that they are in fact engaging in the tension between freedom and orderjust in a different form than we are accustomed to seeing in america devine draws on political scientist jacob levys work to distinguish between two kinds of free political systems he identifies a pluralist freedom associated with rugged individualism and tocquevillian civil society that emerges from the bottom with individuals pursuing their happiness freely often by banding together in independent associations that advance their various group interests and act as buffers between the individual and the statepdiv span datapullquotethose tasked with trying to balance capitalism and moral order freedom and stability should presume little about what they imagine they can designspan divpover the past two centuries devine argues american liberalism has drifted away from pluralist freedom and towards rationalized freedom those on the left and right who eschew classical american liberalism for greater order advocate their own brands of rationalization to borrow levys idiosyncratic use of the word progressive rationalists believe they can design a political economy that works for everyone conservative rationalists believe they can orient all citizens towards the best traditional virtues each camp seeks to pare back the social garden in its own wayppdevine urges his readers to take a long historical view of why such efforts are misguided there is a popular impulse today to claim that the west has transcended the world of prepolitical rights and obligations which the state traditionally exists to protect and has entered a world in which the state is the emsourceem of what we owe and are owed a good conservative will ask how this happened in order to assess whether rationalized freedom is what our american tradition prescribes or if we should try to balance freedom and order by returning to a narrower view of the state and a wider view of the private sphereppdevine unsurprisingly suggests the latter for two major reasons first the bureaucratic rationalization of american politics over the last century has created as many problems as it has solved devine is in his hayekian wheelhouse when showing the myriad problems of trying to rationalize what is fundamentally suprarational human affairsppthe second problem is fundamental to rationalization it concerns government stretching its arm into the private affairs of individuals whereas once upon a time the state was more confined to traditional public affairs delegated powers of the federal government and traditional police powers of the states the civil rights revolution of the midtwentieth century blurred the boundaries between the state and the types of private action the state would not tolerate this was part of a noble effort to amend americas unfulfilled promise to its black citizens of course but was not without its unintended consequencesppdevine gingerly paints a picture illustrating some fundamental problems with government action bleeding into what was once a pluralist sphere democratic institutions are not necessarily best at fostering cohesion trust cooperation and all the other things pluralist institutions evolved to support majorities especially of diverse individuals speaking through the blunt instrument of the vote are illequipped to tell people what is right and what is wrong to guide us through a garden and show us which of its bountiful fruit are sweet and which are likely poisonousppgovernment no matter how rational or enlightened is not your family your church or your local kiwanis club by its nature as a largely majoritarian institution its commitment is primarily to the voters will and only secondarily to that which is fair or moral it falls to those many other institutions to do once again what they did before the modern welfare state took their place synagogues mosques and churches provide the moral education families raise responsible citizens democratic majorities should as a general rule get out of the wayppour garden comes with forbidden fruits and our desire to destroy these can be just as tempting as the desire to taste them we can try to limit the human freedom to do wrong by rationalizing our way to curated order maximizing state opprobrium for all abuses of liberty devines most important lesson is that to do so is asking for trouble we are better off living within tension where we are politically free to do some wrong but obligated by a moral code to do right nor are we without trusty guides tradition teaches us which fruits are poisonous religion teaches us that our freedoms come with obligationsppin emthe enduring tensionem devine signals his belief that ultimately the american judeochristian tradition is one of individual moral sovereignty order can provide purpose and moral education but it cannot fully dislodge human choice nor human accountability our shared anthropological account must insist that we are fundamentally free but materially constrained our garden may grow wild but by insisting on living within the enduring tension we can subdue it and preserve itppstrongemtal fortgang emstrongemis a law student and tikvah legal fellowemppp

div hrefhttpswwwamazoncomenduringtensioncapitalismmoralorderdp1641771518refsr_1_1crid1aoxk5x2psevpdchild1keywordstheenduringtensioncapitalismandthemoralorderqid1634833113sr81texthttps3aamznto3e6jvvg target_blankemthe enduring tension capitalism moral orderemabr donald j devine encounter books 384 pp 24 divimg altthe english garden west srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110wildgarden1959jpgpconservative classical liberal commentators notably jonah goldberg book emsuicide westem taken advantage wellknown comparison angloamerican constitutionalism english gardens contrast highly stylized symmetrical french gardens classical english garden popularized capability brown finds beauty chaos letting nature flourish minimal human interference politicalcultural analog free society governing institutions designed quell naturally occurring functions human society aiming control world social relations like precisely trimmed hedge angloamerican liberalism embraces messiness letting thousand flowers bloomeven risk poisonousppsuch garden deserves omnicompetent guide donald devine task emthe enduring tensionem devine offers whimsical thoughtprovoking tour english garden west untamed beauty frequently escapes notice devine accomplished political scientist president reagans personnel czar long thinking grand theories free world accordingly opus reads like docents explanation uninitiated curious significance chancedupon root branchppdevine leads landscape rigidly structured essay intractable problems central planning conservative movements prized dialectical tensions array somewhat unpredictable case studies devine aims breathtaking success wild west met high levels ingratitude calls government tame unruly outgrowths sometimesmeandering exploration question examines eminter aliaem conflict ukraine collision gay rights religious liberty proposals reform american administrative state method bespeaks humility man recognizes single theory pinpoint civilizations succeed failppsuch breadth mistaken confusion sympathetic reader emthe enduring tensions emstructure fitting reflection subject matter message humble meliorism tasked trying balance capitalism moral order freedom stability need attempts bring humans greater harmony obligations natural morality presume little imagine designphrpthe free world built delicate balance exerting powerful visible pull free market devine begins analysis close look capitalism capitalism asks recognizing capitalism mere economic system proponents critics alike challenges figures marx pope francis understandings capitalisms shortcomings accepting prominent critique capitalism inadequate selfsustaining moral system devine shy defending property rights theory practice excellent form protecting weak vulnerable concedes restraints derived belief judicatory higher power unbounded capitalism quickly corrosive exploitativeppon end dialectic forms social order emerged course human history order sense hierarchies responsibilities attached roles individuals born reared emerges operative units social organization church state family source obligation traditionally citizens christian nationstates expect dedication loving neighbors enemies demands imitating god restrain peers exploitative actions expectations breed trust reciprocation prerequisite human flourishing cooperation kind adam smith envisioned wrote widespread social benefits redound proliferating free markets merely bolstered empredicated uponem sources constraint obligationpptherein lies massive tension capitalism burn fellow citizens longer trust trade partners society constraints fail bear capitalisms finest fruit conservative philosophers including devines mentor frank s meyer pointed freedom desirable sake allowing infinite diversity people pursue highest goods fit limits pursuits bounded common morality condone force fraud violation certain natural law principles recognizing tension undergirds liberal democratic capitalism policy neatly resolve step defending american tradition detractorstoward seeing beauty english gardenppwhether tension endures story devine identifies primary challengers come new institutions changes mass attitudes devine reports group identities gained strength followed weakening commitment crucial capitalist ideals like freedom property rights limited government value hard work developments unrelated context capitalisms symbiosis order based common morality clearly connected trust cooperation said rooted melanin levels shared commitment ideals transcend human difference institutions property rights begin look like tools protect vulnerable like tools exploitation differently hierarchies breed sense responsibility resentment hierarchy believed serve higher good individuals dutifully accept responsibility higher good denied favor tribal loyalty hierarchies harder embrace sense responsibility fades away institutions depend common sense responsibility begin look exploitativephrptruth told likes tension confusing leave people insufficiently free paeans value freedom fweedom vice president harriss personal apocrypha cultural left seeks hierarchy enlightened technocrats distribute resources oppressed cultural vanguardists ratchet speed acceptablelanguageandbehavior treadmill need rehash fundamentally antifreedom implications recent rhetorical switch equality equity traditional sources order obligation religion parental authority remain anathema progressive projectppmeanwhile cultural right grows prepared deneutralize public square states localities aiming reorient americans common good consensus support remains unproven americans far free sohrab ahmari adrian vermeule argue right shy away state power limit certain forms expression conduct having nationalized politics culture imbalance freedomversusorder tugofwar poses threat endurance seemsppboth camps argue fact engaging tension freedom orderjust different form accustomed seeing america devine draws political scientist jacob levys work distinguish kinds free political systems identifies pluralist freedom associated rugged individualism tocquevillian civil society emerges individuals pursuing happiness freely banding independent associations advance group interests act buffers individual statepdiv span datapullquotethose tasked trying balance capitalism moral order freedom stability presume little imagine designspan divpover past centuries devine argues american liberalism drifted away pluralist freedom rationalized freedom left right eschew classical american liberalism greater order advocate brands rationalization borrow levys idiosyncratic use word progressive rationalists believe design political economy works conservative rationalists believe orient citizens best traditional virtues camp seeks pare social garden wayppdevine urges readers long historical view efforts misguided popular impulse today claim west transcended world prepolitical rights obligations state traditionally exists protect entered world state emsourceem owe owed good conservative ask happened order assess rationalized freedom american tradition prescribes try balance freedom order returning narrower view state wider view private sphereppdevine unsurprisingly suggests major reasons bureaucratic rationalization american politics century created problems solved devine hayekian wheelhouse showing myriad problems trying rationalize fundamentally suprarational human affairsppthe second problem fundamental rationalization concerns government stretching arm private affairs individuals time state confined traditional public affairs delegated powers federal government traditional police powers states civil rights revolution midtwentieth century blurred boundaries state types private action state tolerate noble effort amend americas unfulfilled promise black citizens course unintended consequencesppdevine gingerly paints picture illustrating fundamental problems government action bleeding pluralist sphere democratic institutions necessarily best fostering cohesion trust cooperation things pluralist institutions evolved support majorities especially diverse individuals speaking blunt instrument vote illequipped tell people right wrong guide garden bountiful fruit sweet likely poisonousppgovernment matter rational enlightened family church local kiwanis club nature largely majoritarian institution commitment primarily voters secondarily fair moral falls institutions modern welfare state took place synagogues mosques churches provide moral education families raise responsible citizens democratic majorities general rule wayppour garden comes forbidden fruits desire destroy tempting desire taste try limit human freedom wrong rationalizing way curated order maximizing state opprobrium abuses liberty devines important lesson asking trouble better living tension politically free wrong obligated moral code right trusty guides tradition teaches fruits poisonous religion teaches freedoms come obligationsppin emthe enduring tensionem devine signals belief ultimately american judeochristian tradition individual moral sovereignty order provide purpose moral education fully dislodge human choice human accountability shared anthropological account insist fundamentally free materially constrained garden grow wild insisting living enduring tension subdue preserve itppstrongemtal fortgang emstrongemis law student tikvah legal fellowemppp

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Enough With the Masks Already!

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswoctechnocracy_mixdownmp3 img altenough with the masks already srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110masksjpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswoctechnocracy_mixdownmp3herea is a link to the filep audiopdamir and shadi talk about health security theater during this latest phase of the pandemic before going on to discuss how technocratic approaches tend to worsen and exacerbate polarization in democratic societies also can anyone make a moral case for democracy without recourse to godppemrequired readingempullia hrefhttpsislamconfbyueduthe islamic world today issues and perspectivesa brigham young universityliliquota hrefhttpswwwdeseretcom202191322671593thedangerofbringingreligiouszealtothepoliticalrealmsecularizationpoliticsthe danger of bringing religious zeal to the political realmaquot by shadi hamid deseret newsliliquota hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907briefingriskbreakthroughinfectionsdeltahtmlone in 5000aquot by david leonhardt emnytemlilia hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdpb081qp4fy1refdpkindleredirect_encodingutf8btkr1empublic opinionema by walter lippmannliliquota hrefhttpsnewcriterioncomissues20061limitstodemocracylimits to democracyaquot by roger scruton emnew criterionemliliquota hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesolutionismisnotthesolutionsolutionism is not the solutionaquot by damir marusic wocliulp a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivemoralityisimpossiblewithoutpowerportalsignup target_blankappplease do consider a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesubscribejoining our growing communitya and get access to bonus episodes with guests like glenn greenwald and ross douthat you will also receive exclusive a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefriday_essaysfriday essaysa where shadi and damir alternate writing each weekppp

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswoctechnocracy_mixdownmp3 img altenough masks srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110masksjpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswoctechnocracy_mixdownmp3herea link filep audiopdamir shadi talk health security theater latest phase pandemic going discuss technocratic approaches tend worsen exacerbate polarization democratic societies moral case democracy recourse godppemrequired readingempullia hrefhttpsislamconfbyueduthe islamic world today issues perspectivesa brigham young universityliliquota hrefhttpswwwdeseretcom202191322671593thedangerofbringingreligiouszealtothepoliticalrealmsecularizationpoliticsthe danger bringing religious zeal political realmaquot shadi hamid deseret newsliliquota hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210907briefingriskbreakthroughinfectionsdeltahtmlone 5000aquot david leonhardt emnytemlilia hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdpb081qp4fy1refdpkindleredirect_encodingutf8btkr1empublic opinionema walter lippmannliliquota hrefhttpsnewcriterioncomissues20061limitstodemocracylimits democracyaquot roger scruton emnew criterionemliliquota hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesolutionismisnotthesolutionsolutionism solutionaquot damir marusic wocliulp hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivemoralityisimpossiblewithoutpowerportalsignup target_blankappplease consider hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesubscribejoining growing communitya access bonus episodes guests like glenn greenwald ross douthat receive exclusive hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefriday_essaysfriday essaysa shadi damir alternate writing weekppp

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OnlySubs: Toxic Femininity and Wokeness as a Filtering Mechanism

pemonlysubs episode 66 toxic femininity and wokeness as a filtering mechanismspan datatagposttitle spanemis now available exclusively for new discourses contributors on the following platformsbr a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost1201538toxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubswithjameslindsayep66 target_blanklocalsabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompoststoxicfemininity57724982 target_blankpatreonabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts449754 target_blanksubscribestarabr a relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeddiipdgitoa target_blankyoutube membersabr a relnoopener hrefhttpsthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursestoxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubswithjameslin5wul0z2event target_blankthinkspotap divthough its risky enough to say so its beyond obvious to most who arent fettered by political correctness that the woke movement operates on toxically feminine energy that is mean girls stuff the question people have is iwhyi one reason is that its obviously attractive to young women for some set of reasons but this only moves the question one step further back in this episode of james lindsay onlysubs my subscribersonly podcast i explore the idea that the woke ideology provides young women in a deregulated sexual market with a powerful tool for erecting a filtering mechanism and is therefore attractive to some of them whom it advantages this observation follows from a fairly wellestablished belief in the evolutionary psychology of dating and human courtship that suggests that males tend to be evaluated for mateworthiness in terms of their approach mechanism while females are evaluated according to their filtering mechanism being a wokescold is a very powerful filtering mechanism that even allows for creating a whole new pecking order of female dominance through social and psychological manipulation join me for this controversial little explorationdiv pprevious episodes of emonlysubsem can be found a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110onlysubstoxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubs toxic femininity and wokeness as a filtering mechanisma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

pemonlysubs episode 66 toxic femininity wokeness filtering mechanismspan datatagposttitlespanemis available exclusively new discourses contributors following platformsbr relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost1201538toxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubswithjameslindsayep66 target_blanklocalsabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompoststoxicfemininity57724982 target_blankpatreonabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts449754 target_blanksubscribestarabr relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeddiipdgitoa target_blankyoutube membersabr relnoopener hrefhttpsthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursestoxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubswithjameslin5wul0z2event target_blankthinkspotap divthough risky obvious arent fettered political correctness woke movement operates toxically feminine energy mean girls stuff question people isiwhyi reason obviously attractive young women set reasons moves question step episode james lindsay onlysubs subscribersonly podcast explore idea woke ideology provides young women deregulated sexual market powerful tool erecting filtering mechanism attractive advantages observation follows fairly wellestablished belief evolutionary psychology dating human courtship suggests males tend evaluated mateworthiness terms approach mechanism females evaluated according filtering mechanism wokescold powerful filtering mechanism allows creating new pecking order female dominance social psychological manipulation join controversial little explorationdiv pprevious episodes emonlysubsem found hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110onlysubstoxicfemininityandwokenessasafilteringmechanismonlysubs toxic femininity wokeness filtering mechanisma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

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The drone revolution is already here – but we need the right rules to take full advantage

p dirltrtheres a technological revolution taking place in the sky above us most peoples experience of drones will be as a fun way to take aerial photographs or even just a toy to fly about in their gardens but they are capable of so much morep p dirltrindeed drones are already being used for inspections of buildings roads railways power lines and even planes in airports saving the time and money involved in sending people to great heights or across great distances with the help of drones potential problems are being identified and resolved sooner rather than later making our infrastructure cheaper to maintain and repairp p dirltrand this is only the start in some countries drones are helping to save lives through emergency medical deliveries of organs and medicines their commercial potential is also enormous with trials of doortodoor deliveries beginning in the us and ireland drone deliveries of mail packages and food promise to bring access to big city amenities much farther into the suburbs and even the countrysidep p dirltrthe fact drones can take off and land vertically without the need for a long runway may even one day be applied to passenger transportation they may provide a faster and cheaper alternative to getting to areas currently only served by roads without having to go through the major costs and delays of trying to lay new tram or railway lines as with home deliveries a drone revolution in passenger transportation will make it much easier for people to live further away from the big cities while still being able to enjoy the perks of a city lifestylep p dirltrwith evercheaper and lighter batteries and ever more sophisticated navigation systems inventors and entrepreneurs are rapidly solving the technical barriers that stand in the way the key obstacles now are politicalp p dirltrtrials of drone services have already been taking place under the auspices of the civil aviation authority and although the regulator has to take a safetyfirst approach they have been remarkably forwardthinking in this area the big challenge for the uk is finding a way to safely integrate drones into one of the busiest airspaces in the world it is one thing to set aside some airspace temporarily for a trial but quite another to have drones continually making deliveries above and around londonp p dirltrto actually achieve the potential of drones they will have to be integrated into the area below 10000 feet traditionally the nearuncontested domain of recreational flyers as it stands recreational flyers can fly when and where they like subject to very simple rules and with pilots taking full responsibility for their own safety pilots flying in this airspace do not even have to emit electronic signals from their aircraft drones threaten to change all thatp aside h1get more from capxh1 ul li a hrefhttpstwittercomcapx target_blankiifollow us on twittera li li a hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomcapxco target_blankiijoin us on facebooka li li a hrefhttpswwwcapxcosubscribe target_blankiisign up to our email bulletinsa li li a hrefhttpsitunesapplecomgbpodcastcapxpresentsfreeexchangeid1220313938 target_blankiisubscribe to free exchange the capx podcasta li ul aside p dirltrif drones are to be integrated into our skies the less regulated parts of our skies will need a new set of rules and although the technology already exists to make this possible without needing traditional airtraffic control systems it will require all recreational flyers to emit electronic signals so that they become visible in effect to dronesp p dirltrat the moment recreational flyers are being asked to pay for much of the cost of becoming electronically conspicuous themselves but a new report by the entrepreneurs network a relnoopener hrefhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic58ed40453a04116f46e8d99bt6166afe260bb950c5d2d174e1634119652881digitisetheskiespdf datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic58ed40453a04116f46e8d99bt6166afe260bb950c5d2d174e1634119652881digitise2bthe2bskiespdfampsourcegmailampust1634994665305000ampusgafqjcnefdfzguro9zvpzfatu_gu5os76g target_blankdigitise the skiesa makes the case that the government should bear the entire oneoff cost of all existing aircraft installing these electronic signal emitters which will likely be less than 10m thats small change compared to the 42bn estimated to be added to the countrys economy thanks to drones by 2030 and a simple solution that should satisfy recreational flyers helping them to make the transition to much busier and more regulated skiesp pemstronga relnoopener hrefhttpscapxcosubscribe datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscapxcosubscribeampsourcegmailampust1634995074374000ampusgafqjcnf9iqycuaayquz0q2wb3mddvv_zq target_blankclick here to subscribe to our daily briefingastrong  the best pieces from capx and across the webemp pemcapx depends on the generosity of its readers if you value what we do please consider making a donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcothedronerevolutionisalreadyherebutweneedtherightrulestotakefulladvantagethe drone revolution is already here but we need the right rules to take full advantagea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

p dirltrtheres technological revolution taking place sky peoples experience drones fun way aerial photographs toy fly gardens capable morep p dirltrindeed drones inspections buildings roads railways power lines planes airports saving time money involved sending people great heights great distances help drones potential problems identified resolved sooner later making infrastructure cheaper maintain repairp p dirltrand start countries drones helping save lives emergency medical deliveries organs medicines commercial potential enormous trials doortodoor deliveries beginning ireland drone deliveries mail packages food promise bring access big city amenities farther suburbs countrysidep p dirltrthe fact drones land vertically need long runway day applied passenger transportation provide faster cheaper alternative getting areas currently served roads having major costs delays trying lay new tram railway lines home deliveries drone revolution passenger transportation easier people live away big cities able enjoy perks city lifestylep p dirltrwith evercheaper lighter batteries sophisticated navigation systems inventors entrepreneurs rapidly solving technical barriers stand way key obstacles politicalp p dirltrtrials drone services taking place auspices civil aviation authority regulator safetyfirst approach remarkably forwardthinking area big challenge uk finding way safely integrate drones busiest airspaces world thing set aside airspace temporarily trial drones continually making deliveries londonp p dirltrto actually achieve potential drones integrated area 10000 feet traditionally nearuncontested domain recreational flyers stands recreational flyers fly like subject simple rules pilots taking responsibility safety pilots flying airspace emit electronic signals aircraft drones threaten change thatp aside h1get capxh1 ul li hrefhttpstwittercomcapx target_blankiifollow twittera li li hrefhttpswwwfacebookcomcapxco target_blankiijoin facebooka li li hrefhttpswwwcapxcosubscribe target_blankiisign email bulletinsa li li hrefhttpsitunesapplecomgbpodcastcapxpresentsfreeexchangeid1220313938 target_blankiisubscribe free exchange capx podcasta li ul aside p dirltrif drones integrated skies regulated parts skies need new set rules technology exists possible needing traditional airtraffic control systems require recreational flyers emit electronic signals visible effect dronesp p dirltrat moment recreational flyers asked pay cost electronically conspicuous new report entrepreneurs network relnoopener hrefhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic58ed40453a04116f46e8d99bt6166afe260bb950c5d2d174e1634119652881digitisetheskiespdf datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic58ed40453a04116f46e8d99bt6166afe260bb950c5d2d174e1634119652881digitise2bthe2bskiespdfampsourcegmailampust1634994665305000ampusgafqjcnefdfzguro9zvpzfatu_gu5os76g target_blankdigitise skiesa makes case government bear entire oneoff cost existing aircraft installing electronic signal emitters likely 10m thats small change compared 42bn estimated added countrys economy thanks drones 2030 simple solution satisfy recreational flyers helping transition busier regulated skiesp pemstronga relnoopener hrefhttpscapxcosubscribe datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscapxcosubscribeampsourcegmailampust1634995074374000ampusgafqjcnf9iqycuaayquz0q2wb3mddvv_zq target_blankclick subscribe daily briefingastrong best pieces capx webemp pemcapx depends generosity readers value consider making donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcothedronerevolutionisalreadyherebutweneedtherightrulestotakefulladvantagethe drone revolution need right rules advantagea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

61733cd1f882f715679ace6a

The trans assault on freedom

pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20211022thetransassaultonfreedomthe trans assault on freedoma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20211022thetransassaultonfreedomthe trans assault freedoma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

61733cd7f882f715679ace6e

The Price of COVID-19 Risk In A Public University

pwow duha altindag samuel cole and r alan seals jr three professors in the economics department at auburn university study their own universitys covid policies the administration defied the alabama governors public health order on social distancing and created their own policy which caused enrollment in about half of the facetoface classes to exceed legal limits professors assigned to teach these riskier classes were less powerful albeit they were paid more to take on the risk i am told that the administration is not happy i hope the authors have tenurep blockquotepwe study a market for occupational covid19 risk at auburn university a large public school in the us the universitys practices in spring 2021 caused approximately half of the facetoface classes to have enrollments above the legal capacity allowed by state law which followed cdcs social distancing guidelines our results suggest that the politically less powerful instructors such as graduate student teaching assistants and adjunct instructors as well as women were systematically recruited to deliver their courses in riskier classrooms using the dispersibility of each class as an instrument for classroom risk our iv estimates obtained from hedonic wage regressions show that instructors who taught at least one risky class were paid more than those who exclusively taught safe courses we estimate a covid19 risk premium of 8400 per classpblockquote pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thepriceofcovid19riskinapublicuniversityhtmlthe price of covid19 risk in a public universitya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pwow duha altindag samuel cole r alan seals jr professors economics department auburn university study universitys covid policies administration defied alabama governors public health order social distancing created policy caused enrollment half facetoface classes exceed legal limits professors assigned teach riskier classes powerful albeit paid risk told administration happy hope authors tenurep blockquotepwe study market occupational covid19 risk auburn university large public school universitys practices spring 2021 caused approximately half facetoface classes enrollments legal capacity allowed state law followed cdcs social distancing guidelines results suggest politically powerful instructors graduate student teaching assistants adjunct instructors women systematically recruited deliver courses riskier classrooms dispersibility class instrument classroom risk iv estimates obtained hedonic wage regressions instructors taught risky class paid exclusively taught safe courses estimate covid19 risk premium 8400 classpblockquote pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thepriceofcovid19riskinapublicuniversityhtmlthe price covid19 risk public universitya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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What I’ve been reading

p1 paul a offit a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomyoubetyourlifetransfusionsebookdpb08ryrgpj6refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsyoubetyourlifeqid1634656487sr81 target_blankyou bet your life from blood transfusions to mass vaccination the long and risky history of medical innovationa  the stories and anecdotes are fun most of all about the early history of the polio vaccine and how poorly some of the process went  by the end of the book however it doesnt add up to very much  the underlying theme is that early innovation is fraught with risk but offit is unwilling to draw straightforward conclusions that we should be more tolerant of such risks  he instead inveighs against the disturbing show of hubris from the recent vaccine manufacturers  is that really the problem right now  how many ways are there for the biomedical establishment to show that its antiexpected value anticorporate side can morph into subtle forms of antivaxx sentiment  he also has the annoying tendency like many of his peers to dismiss massive ethical issues with a single paragraph that would not withstand scrutiny in an undergraduate philosophy course  yes we will always treat sins of commission as more important than sins of omission as offit argues  but does he emendorseem this approach  he wont say  does he think we should vary our practices here emat the marginem  he wont say  too inconvenient  still the book is informative and enjoyable enough so i dont regret buying it or finishing it  but if you are looking for a biomedical establishment punching bag well it is that toop pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whativebeenreading205htmlwhat ive been readinga appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

p1 paul offit relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomyoubetyourlifetransfusionsebookdpb08ryrgpj6refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsyoubetyourlifeqid1634656487sr81 target_blankyou bet life blood transfusions mass vaccination long risky history medical innovationa stories anecdotes fun early history polio vaccine poorly process went end book doesnt add underlying theme early innovation fraught risk offit unwilling draw straightforward conclusions tolerant risks instead inveighs disturbing hubris recent vaccine manufacturers problem right ways biomedical establishment antiexpected value anticorporate morph subtle forms antivaxx sentiment annoying tendency like peers dismiss massive ethical issues single paragraph withstand scrutiny undergraduate philosophy course yes treat sins commission important sins omission offit argues emendorseem approach wont think vary practices emat marginem wont inconvenient book informative enjoyable dont regret buying finishing looking biomedical establishment punching bag toop pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whativebeenreading205htmlwhat ive readinga appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Straussian Beatles, Paul McCartney solo edition

pone thing ive always enjoyed about paul is his willingness to be a plain flat outright snot about other people  did you see lately when he a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcnncom20211013entertainmentpaulmccartneyrollingstonesscliintlindexhtml target_blankcalleda the rolling stones a blues cover band  not wrong  ever listen to the lyrics of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvembynwr5r_u target_blankanother girlap panyway if you paw through the ram album you will find some real daggers  dear boy for instance is paul mocking lindas exhusband here are a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwazlyricscomlyricspaulmccartneydearboyhtml target_blanksome lyricsap blockquotepi guess you never knew dear boy what you have foundbr i guess you never knew dear boybr that she was just the cutest thing aroundbr i guess you never knew what you have foundbr dear boyp pi guess you never knew dear boybr that love was therebr and maybe when you look to hard dear boybr you never do become awarebr i guess you never did become awarebr dear boyp pwhen i stepped in my heart was down and outbr but her love came through and brought me roundbr got me up and aboutp pi hope you never know dear boybr how much you missedbr and even when you fall in love dear boybr it wont be half as good as thisbr i hope you never know how much you missedbr dear boy how much you missedpblockquote pmaybe its ok to take public stabs at your new wifes exhusband is it but keep in mind paul was raising the guys daughter at the time  what did she think  or maybe up in that scottish farm she just never listened to ram or this song  paul himself has a relnoopener hrefhttpsgeniuscompaulmccartneydearboylyrics target_blankadmitteda the underlying meaning in radio interviews  the guy by the way committed suicide woe unto him who is attacked by paul mccartneyp pbrian wilson by the way was a big admirer of the voices and harmonies on that one here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvzptkv26g4p4 target_blankthe cutap pgentler but still cutting is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvdupyakozlya target_blankuncle albertadmiral halseya  its pauls account of why he has not been calling the rellies back home namely because they are too boring and too removed from the reality of his life  paul is reporting sarcastically that his life is too boring to have anything to say to the guyp blockquotepwere so sorry uncle albertbr were so sorry if we caused you any painbr were so sorry uncle albertbr but theres no one left at homebr and i believe im gonna rainp pwere so sorry but we havent heard a thing all daybr were so sorry uncle albertbr but if anything should happenbr well be sure to give a ringp pwere so sorry uncle albertbr but we havent done a bloody thing all daybr were so sorry uncle albertbr but the kettles on the boilbr and were so easily called awaypblockquote pof course he really did have an uncle albert and i bet he emdidntem call much  can you blame him  this interpretation by the way comes from paul himself many years later on satellite radiop ptoo many people the paradigmatic macca straussian song deserves a post of its own  it has more passiveaggressive references to john lennon than are usually reportedp pand that is all just on one album  here are a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomsstraussianbeatles target_blankprevious installments of straussian beatlesa  by the way yesterday may in part be a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlepaulmccartneythelyricsbookbeatles0xhq8trnd target_blankabout the early death of pauls motherap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110straussianbeatlespaulmccartneysoloeditionhtmlstraussian beatles paul mccartney solo editiona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pone thing ive enjoyed paul willingness plain flat outright snot people lately relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcnncom20211013entertainmentpaulmccartneyrollingstonesscliintlindexhtml target_blankcalleda rolling stones blues cover band wrong listen lyrics relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvembynwr5r_u target_blankanother girlap panyway paw ram album find real daggers dear boy instance paul mocking lindas exhusband relnoopener hrefhttpswwwazlyricscomlyricspaulmccartneydearboyhtml target_blanksome lyricsap blockquotepi guess knew dear boy foundbr guess knew dear boybr cutest thing aroundbr guess knew foundbr dear boyp pi guess knew dear boybr love therebr maybe look hard dear boybr awarebr guess awarebr dear boyp pwhen stepped heart outbr love came brought roundbr got aboutp pi hope know dear boybr missedbr fall love dear boybr wont half good thisbr hope know missedbr dear boy missedpblockquote pmaybe ok public stabs new wifes exhusband mind paul raising guys daughter time think maybe scottish farm listened ram song paul relnoopener hrefhttpsgeniuscompaulmccartneydearboylyrics target_blankadmitteda underlying meaning radio interviews guy way committed suicide woe unto attacked paul mccartneyp pbrian wilson way big admirer voices harmonies relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvzptkv26g4p4 target_blankthe cutap pgentler cutting relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvdupyakozlya target_blankuncle albertadmiral halseya pauls account calling rellies home boring removed reality life paul reporting sarcastically life boring guyp blockquotepwere sorry uncle albertbr sorry caused painbr sorry uncle albertbr theres left homebr believe im gonna rainp pwere sorry havent heard thing daybr sorry uncle albertbr happenbr sure ringp pwere sorry uncle albertbr havent bloody thing daybr sorry uncle albertbr kettles boilbr easily called awaypblockquote pof course uncle albert bet emdidntem blame interpretation way comes paul years later satellite radiop ptoo people paradigmatic macca straussian song deserves post passiveaggressive references john lennon usually reportedp pand album relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomsstraussianbeatles target_blankprevious installments straussian beatlesa way yesterday relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlepaulmccartneythelyricsbookbeatles0xhq8trnd target_blankabout early death pauls motherap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110straussianbeatlespaulmccartneysoloeditionhtmlstraussian beatles paul mccartney solo editiona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61748d413cb7f42f573dc6f6

NASA chief Bill Nelson on UFOs

blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltran unprecedented statement by current nasa director and former senator bill nelson it is the most honest and forthright commentary to date on the uap issue from a nasa director and perhaps the most thoughtful uaprelated statement ever made by a serving senior us official a hrefhttpstco2rl4gbucudhttpstco2rl4gbucudap p christopher k mellon chriskmellon a hrefhttpstwittercomchriskmellonstatus1451947993100337153ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 23 2021apblockquote pp pand a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchv9hh1xeqklts target_blankmore on youtubea for instance at 5530p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nasachiefbillnelsononufoshtmlnasa chief bill nelson on ufosa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltran unprecedented statement current nasa director senator bill nelson honest forthright commentary date uap issue nasa director thoughtful uaprelated statement serving senior official hrefhttpstco2rl4gbucudhttpstco2rl4gbucudap p christopher k mellon chriskmellon hrefhttpstwittercomchriskmellonstatus1451947993100337153ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 23 2021apblockquote pp pand relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchv9hh1xeqklts target_blankmore youtubea instance 5530p pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nasachiefbillnelsononufoshtmlnasa chief bill nelson ufosa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61748da43cb7f42f573dc706

Lockdowns' High Costs and Murky Benefits

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109book1jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109book1jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109book1600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109book1331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109book1jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109book1jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109book1600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109book1331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altbook1 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpg height675 picture div pquotwere not going to put a dollar figure on human lifequot andrew cuomo a democrat who was then new yorks governor declared four days after he imposed a statewide covid19 lockdown last year the goal he explained was to quotsave lives period whatever it costsquotp pryan bournes emeconomics in one virusem offers a muchneeded rejoinder to that morally obtuse position bourne an economist at the cato institute highlights considerations that politicians like cuomo too often ignored as they decided how to deal with a public health crisis more serious than any the country had faced since the influenza pandemic of 1918 eschewing unwarranted confidence bourne takes no firm position on the costeffectiveness of mass business closures or stayathome orders but he does insist empaceem cuomo that costeffectiveness matters and he deftly shows how economic reasoning illuminates such issuesp pif legislators were determined to quotsave lives period whatever it costsquot they would set the speed limit at 5 miles per hour or perhaps ban automobiles altogether which would prevent nearly 40000 trafficrelated deaths every year those policies seem reasonable only if you ignore the countervailing costs in public policy economist thomas sowell famously observed there are no solutions there are only tradeoffsp pquotlogicallyquot bourne writes quotthere must be some negative consequences of government lockdowns and some point at which they might become selfdefeatingquot to figure out when that might be policy makers needed to estimate the public health payoff from lockdowns and compare it to the harm they causedp pcontrary to cuomos framing of the issue this is not a matter of weighing quotthe economic costquot of maintaining lockdowns against quotthe human costquot of lifting them as if those categories were mutually exclusive even in lifeanddeath terms lockdowns had a downside since they plausibly contributed to a spike in drugrelated deaths discouraged potentially lifesaving medical care and inflicted financial and psychological distress neither of which is good for your health and as bourne emphasizes quoteconomic welfarequot goes beyond household finances or gdp encompassing everything people valuep pbourne reviews the literature on the benefits of lockdowns making several important analytical points if we want to know whether lockdowns quotworkedquot for example we need to distinguish between the impact of governmentimposed restrictions and the impact of voluntary precautions an early highly influential projection by researchers at imperial college london which was amplified by the trump administration envisioned as many as 22 million covid19 deaths in the united states based on a counterfactual scenario where quotwe do nothingquot but doing nothing was never a realistic option by then people already were responding to the pandemic by changing their behaviorp pin addition to all the voluntary cancellations of large gatherings such as conventions and sporting events smartphone mobility data show that individual excursions fell sharply in early march weeks before most of the lockdowns one study that bourne cites by economists christopher cronin and william evans estimated that quotnonregulatory responses by individuals and businessesquot accounted for quotbetween 74 and 83 percentquot of the drop in visits to retailers entertainment venues hotels restaurants and service businesses economists austan goolsbee and chad syverson found that quotlegal restrictionsquot were responsible for less than 12 percent of the decline in quotoverall consumer trafficquotp psince quotextensive social distancing was happening prior to government ordersquot bourne writes quotit would be wrong to suggest all lives saved compared to doing nothing can be attributed to government policiesquot he suggests that voluntary adaptation quotmight explain why cases and deaths across countries implementing very different public health interventions nevertheless followed fairly consistent patterns through much of the spring and summer of 2020quotp pthe importance of private precautions cuts both ways in assessing the costeffectiveness of lockdowns it reduces the benefits of such policies but it also reduces their costs since americans spooked by covid19 responded by staying at home more and spending less time and money at brickandmortar businesses those businesses and their employees would have suffered although not as much even if states had not restricted their operations or shut them down completely quotit is clear that businesses and much economic activity were shuttering or constrained through changed private behaviorsquot bourne notes quoteven prior to stategovernmentmandated business closures and stayathome ordersquotp pa proper analysis of lockdowns also has to distinguish between covid19 deaths that were prevented and covid19 deaths that were merely delayed while conventional wisdom suggests that lockdowns were most effective at reducing virus transmission early in the pandemic their impact on mortality was at least potentially bigger later on when better treatment and vaccines were already available or around the corner then again relatively strict states such as california which experienced the same winter surge in cases and deaths as states that were frequently criticized as lax did not see any obvious public health benefit from reimposing restrictions in late 2020p pa couple of natural experiments indicated that lifting lockdowns did not have anything like the disastrous impact that critics predicted after the wisconsin supreme court overturned that states lockdown in may 2020 economist dhaval dave and his colleagues found the decision quothad little impact on social distancingquot and there was quotno evidencequot one month later that it quotimpacted covid19 growthquot wisconsin like the rest of the country did see a modest increase in new cases later that summer followed by a surge in the fall and winter and while texas gov greg abbott a republican was widely condemned for lifting business occupancy limits and a statewide face mask mandate in early march 2021 dave et al likewise found quotno evidencequot that the reopening affected cases or deathsp phere too the lesson is not obvious as dave pointed out removing legal restrictions may have had a smaller impact than imposing them if people tended to stick with cautious habits they adopted during lockdownsp pseveral studies that bourne discusses estimate that us lockdowns had a substantial additional effect on cases and deaths beyond what was already being accomplished through voluntary changes here is how he summarizes a study by a team of pennwharton economists quotalthough the private responses did most of the heavy lifting the combined impact of state stayathome orders school closings and nonessential business closures across the united states reduced deaths by 48000 in the first three months of the pandemicquot by contrast a subsequent study by researchers at the university of chicago published after bournes book concluded that lockdowns during that period quotdid not produce large health benefits but also accounted for a small share of pandemicrelated economic disruptionsquotp passuming that estimates of large effects are credible there is still the issue of what price was worth paying to avoid those deaths cuomo who asserted that quota human life is pricelessquot even as he pursued a reckless nursing home policy that probably caused many avoidable deaths thought even asking that question was a moral affront but in a world of finite resources where officials routinely and appropriately weigh the cost of lifesaving regulations the question is unavoidablep pregulators commonly assume a policy is justified if it costs around 10 million for each death it is expected to prevent that quotvalue of a statistical lifequot vsl is derived from research on how much extra pay people demand for hazardous work which involves a relatively young and healthy population as bourne notes this vsl implies that quotwe should be willing to effectively sacrifice up to 10 percent of all us wealthquot which is roughly five times americas gdp to quotsave the lives of just 033 percent of the populationquot but given the age distribution of covid19 deaths which were overwhelmingly concentrated among elderly people with preexisting health conditions some economists think the vsl in this context should be closer to 3 million which obviously would make a big difference in estimating the impact of lockdownsp pfully considered bourne thinks both the costs and the benefits of lockdowns may have run into the trillions of dollars even if the latter sum was higher that does not necessarily mean lockdowns were the best approach since less sweeping more carefully targeted policies might have achieved similar results at a lower cost as several international surveys of covid19 control measures have suggested bourne does not venture a definitive conclusionp pin addition to considering the merits of lockdowns bourne uses the pandemic to illustrate economic concepts such as externalities the justification for government intervention in this case marginal analysis which politicians too rarely applied in judging the wisdom of restricting lowrisk activities such as boating and fishing the price mechanism which policy makers keen to stamp out quotprice gougingquot tended to ignore moral hazard which suggests that some covid19 precautions might have counterintuitively encouraged risky behavior and public choice which helps explain which businesses got bailouts bournes focus throughout is on smart questions rather than glib answersan approach frequently missing in the pandemic eras acrimonious debatesp pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin1952223067reasonmagazinea20 target_blankemeconomics in one virus an introduction to economic reasoning through covid19ema by ryan a bourne cato institute 309 pages 1995p

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109book1jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109book1jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109book1600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109book1331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109book1jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109book1jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109book1600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109book1331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altbook1 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109book1800x450jpg height675 picture div pquotwere going dollar figure human lifequot andrew cuomo democrat new yorks governor declared days imposed statewide covid19 lockdown year goal explained quotsave lives period costsquotp pryan bournesemeconomics virusemoffers muchneeded rejoinder morally obtuse position bourne economist cato institute highlights considerations politicians like cuomo ignored decided deal public health crisis country faced influenza pandemic 1918 eschewing unwarranted confidence bourne takes firm position costeffectiveness mass business closures stayathome orders insistempaceemcuomo costeffectiveness matters deftly shows economic reasoning illuminates issuesp pif legislators determined quotsave lives period costsquot set speed limit 5 miles hour ban automobiles altogether prevent nearly 40000 trafficrelated deaths year policies reasonable ignore countervailing costs public policy economist thomas sowell famously observed solutions tradeoffsp pquotlogicallyquot bourne writes quotthere negative consequences government lockdowns point selfdefeatingquot figure policy makers needed estimate public health payoff lockdowns compare harm causedp pcontrary cuomos framing issue matter weighing quotthe economic costquot maintaining lockdowns quotthe human costquot lifting categories mutually exclusive lifeanddeath terms lockdowns downside plausibly contributed spike drugrelated deaths discouraged potentially lifesaving medical care inflicted financial psychological distress good health bourne emphasizes quoteconomic welfarequot goes household finances gdp encompassing people valuep pbourne reviews literature benefits lockdowns making important analytical points want know lockdowns quotworkedquot example need distinguish impact governmentimposed restrictions impact voluntary precautions early highly influential projection researchers imperial college london amplified trump administration envisioned 22 million covid19 deaths united states based counterfactual scenario quotwe nothingquot realistic option people responding pandemic changing behaviorp pin addition voluntary cancellations large gatherings conventions sporting events smartphone mobility data individual excursions fell sharply early march weeks lockdowns study bourne cites economists christopher cronin william evans estimated quotnonregulatory responses individuals businessesquot accounted quotbetween 74 83 percentquot drop visits retailers entertainment venues hotels restaurants service businesses economists austan goolsbee chad syverson found quotlegal restrictionsquot responsible 12 percent decline quotoverall consumer trafficquotp psince quotextensive social distancing happening prior government ordersquot bourne writes quotit wrong suggest lives saved compared attributed government policiesquot suggests voluntary adaptation quotmight explain cases deaths countries implementing different public health interventions followed fairly consistent patterns spring summer 2020quotp pthe importance private precautions cuts ways assessing costeffectiveness lockdowns reduces benefits policies reduces costs americans spooked covid19 responded staying home spending time money brickandmortar businesses businesses employees suffered states restricted operations shut completely quotit clear businesses economic activity shuttering constrained changed private behaviorsquot bourne notes quoteven prior stategovernmentmandated business closures stayathome ordersquotp pa proper analysis lockdowns distinguish covid19 deaths prevented covid19 deaths merely delayed conventional wisdom suggests lockdowns effective reducing virus transmission early pandemic impact mortality potentially bigger later better treatment vaccines available corner relatively strict states california experienced winter surge cases deaths states frequently criticized lax obvious public health benefit reimposing restrictions late 2020p pa couple natural experiments indicated lifting lockdowns like disastrous impact critics predicted wisconsin supreme court overturned states lockdown 2020 economist dhaval dave colleagues found decision quothad little impact social distancingquot quotno evidencequot month later quotimpacted covid19 growthquot wisconsin like rest country modest increase new cases later summer followed surge fall winter texas gov greg abbott republican widely condemned lifting business occupancy limits statewide face mask mandate early march 2021 dave et al likewise found quotno evidencequot reopening affected cases deathsp phere lesson obvious dave pointed removing legal restrictions smaller impact imposing people tended stick cautious habits adopted lockdownsp pseveral studies bourne discusses estimate lockdowns substantial additional effect cases deaths accomplished voluntary changes summarizes study team pennwharton economists quotalthough private responses heavy lifting combined impact state stayathome orders school closings nonessential business closures united states reduced deaths 48000 months pandemicquot contrast subsequent study researchers university chicago published bournes book concluded lockdowns period quotdid produce large health benefits accounted small share pandemicrelated economic disruptionsquotp passuming estimates large effects credible issue price worth paying avoid deaths cuomo asserted quota human life pricelessquot pursued reckless nursing home policy probably caused avoidable deaths thought asking question moral affront world finite resources officials routinely appropriately weigh cost lifesaving regulations question unavoidablep pregulators commonly assume policy justified costs 10 million death expected prevent quotvalue statistical lifequot vsl derived research extra pay people demand hazardous work involves relatively young healthy population bourne notes vsl implies quotwe willing effectively sacrifice 10 percent wealthquot roughly times americas gdp quotsave lives 033 percent populationquot given age distribution covid19 deaths overwhelmingly concentrated elderly people preexisting health conditions economists think vsl context closer 3 million obviously big difference estimating impact lockdownsp pfully considered bourne thinks costs benefits lockdowns run trillions dollars sum higher necessarily mean lockdowns best approach sweeping carefully targeted policies achieved similar results lower cost international surveys covid19 control measures suggested bourne venture definitive conclusionp pin addition considering merits lockdowns bourne uses pandemic illustrate economic concepts externalities justification government intervention case marginal analysis politicians rarely applied judging wisdom restricting lowrisk activities boating fishing price mechanism policy makers keen stamp quotprice gougingquot tended ignore moral hazard suggests covid19 precautions counterintuitively encouraged risky behavior public choice helps explain businesses got bailouts bournes focus smart questions glib answersan approach frequently missing pandemic eras acrimonious debatesp pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomexecobidosasin1952223067reasonmagazinea20 target_blankemeconomics virus introduction economic reasoning covid19ema ryan bourne cato institute 309 pages 1995p

61748dce3cb7f42f573dc710

The greatest book(s) on Africa ever written?

pyes i am talking about the new sevenvolume set a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsubsaharanafricaarchitecturalphilippmeuserdp3869224002refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsarchitecturalguidetosubsaharanafricaqid1634937158qsid14214283993463341sr81sres38692240022cb08nfcdcfn2cb08gc9ztvf2cb08hvyr2p52cb07gxc4r9r2cb06wlqp1sb2cb08cr8f1832cb07gx7r73m2cb08gsp59zt2cb07f1tqryk2cb07wf9rt3g2cb0813yy8m52cb07ys1s83x2cb07q2mwzzy2cb07cwxbg7s2cb072m8jz8rsrptabis_book target_blankarchitectural guide to subsaharan africaa  i am now about halfway through volume ii and will read the rest albeit slowly  the books have plenty of text and also a lot of quality photographs  while they are easy to read they are not actually fast goingp pthese books have dozens of authors so a systematic review misses the point but just think do you need to read yet another largely political history of africa detailing the conflict in biafra the fall of apartheid in south africa and the mugabe dictatorship in zimbabwe  at what i hope are your current margins what exactly are you going to learnp pshould you instead read seven volumes about how africans and sometimes nonafricans have embuiltem africa  its homes  its businesses  its government buildings and nonprofit centers  its churches and mosques  what africa looks like and why  every significant discussion is accompanied by a relevant photographp pis that not a more important learningp pwhere else can you find a subchapter beyond design finnish architects in senegal  which are in fact the most notable a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwoffbeattravellingcomfishmarketnouakchottmauritania target_blankvistasa in the nouakchott fish market  why does it seem that no building in mauretania is next to any other building in mauretania  i am reading the west africa volume obviouslyp pdefinitely recommended a notable achievementp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thegreatestbooksonafricaeverwrittenhtmlthe greatest books on africa ever writtena appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pyes talking new sevenvolume set relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsubsaharanafricaarchitecturalphilippmeuserdp3869224002refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsarchitecturalguidetosubsaharanafricaqid1634937158qsid14214283993463341sr81sres38692240022cb08nfcdcfn2cb08gc9ztvf2cb08hvyr2p52cb07gxc4r9r2cb06wlqp1sb2cb08cr8f1832cb07gx7r73m2cb08gsp59zt2cb07f1tqryk2cb07wf9rt3g2cb0813yy8m52cb07ys1s83x2cb07q2mwzzy2cb07cwxbg7s2cb072m8jz8rsrptabis_book target_blankarchitectural guide subsaharan africaa halfway volume ii read rest albeit slowly books plenty text lot quality photographs easy read actually fast goingp pthese books dozens authors systematic review misses point think need read largely political history africa detailing conflict biafra fall apartheid south africa mugabe dictatorship zimbabwe hope current margins exactly going learnp pshould instead read seven volumes africans nonafricans embuiltem africa homes businesses government buildings nonprofit centers churches mosques africa looks like significant discussion accompanied relevant photographp pis important learningp pwhere find subchapter design finnish architects senegal fact notable relnoopener hrefhttpswwwoffbeattravellingcomfishmarketnouakchottmauritania target_blankvistasa nouakchott fish market building mauretania building mauretania reading west africa volume obviouslyp pdefinitely recommended notable achievementp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thegreatestbooksonafricaeverwrittenhtmlthe greatest books africa writtena appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61748dd63cb7f42f573dc712

The whip-banning polity that is Reno

blockquote pthe reno city council voted to ban the possession and use of whips without a permit in downtown reno on wednesdayp pcouncilwoman jenny brekhus who said she was not present when the ordinance was introduced was the only no votep pbrekhus said that she wants the ordinance applied citywide and expressed concern that as is the ban targets certain demographicsp pcity attorney karl hall explained that the ordinance is restricted to the downtown area because complaints to the police were concentrated in that area he added that there may be areas outside of downtown where whips may be usefulp phall also said that those who have a legitimate use for a whip downtown can receive a permitpblockquote pthis a relnoopener hrefhttpswww8newsnowcomnewslocalnewswhipsbannedindowntownrenoareabecausesoundresemblesgunfire target_blanksecond articlea i find stranger yetp blockquotepthe change approved wednesday comes after police reported a steep increase over the past two years of 911 calls from residents who mistake the sound of a cracking whip for gunfirep phe said theyre also being used in public areas for fights and intimidationp plily baran spoke against the ordinance earlier on behalf of the american civil liberties union she said that the homeless community is known for using the whips and that the ordinance will perpetuate the criminalization of the unhousedpblockquote pmodel that  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrgjcomstorynews20211013citycouncilwhipswithoutpermitillegaldowntownreno8445499002 target_blankthe full main storya via the estimable chugp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thewhipbanningpolitythatisrenohtmlthe whipbanning polity that is renoa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote pthe reno city council voted ban possession use whips permit downtown reno wednesdayp pcouncilwoman jenny brekhus said present ordinance introducedwas votep pbrekhus said wants ordinanceapplied citywide expressed concern bantargets certain demographicsp pcity attorney karl hall explained ordinance restricted tothe downtown area complaints police concentrated area added areas outside downtown whips usefulp phall said legitimate use whip downtown receive permitpblockquote pthis relnoopener hrefhttpswww8newsnowcomnewslocalnewswhipsbannedindowntownrenoareabecausesoundresemblesgunfire target_blanksecond articlea find stranger yetp blockquotepthe change approved wednesday comes police reported steep increase past years 911 calls residents mistake sound cracking whip gunfirep phe said theyre public areas fights intimidationp plily baran spoke ordinance earlier behalf american civil liberties union said homeless community known whips ordinance perpetuate criminalization unhousedpblockquote pmodel relnoopener hrefhttpswwwrgjcomstorynews20211013citycouncilwhipswithoutpermitillegaldowntownreno8445499002 target_blankthe main storya estimable chugp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thewhipbanningpolitythatisrenohtmlthe whipbanning polity renoa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61748dfc3cb7f42f573dc714

The new public health despotism

pi live in the bay area in a county where the vaccination rate is in the mid80s in late july i was dropping my younger daughter off for a soccer day camp each morning it was 10 kids running around an open field they wore masks for six hours each day and it was about 85 that week telling my fully vaccinated daughter to put that thing on i felt compromised for participating in the charade the old scots irish belligerence started welling upp prules are meant to codify some bit of rational truth and make it effective these days we find ourselves in situations where to do the genuinely rational thing might require embreakingem the rules of some institution but to do so is to invite confrontation you may go through an internal struggle deciding how much resistance to put up to insist on reasons is to be ornery and you want to be sociable you tell yourself there is no point in being confrontational with staff at the ymca who are themselves simply carrying out orders there is nobody visible to whom you can address your reasons nobody of whom you can demand an accountp pafter a year and a half of this going along with it starts to become habitual if you defy the mask order and are challenged by somebody doing their job as instructed chances are youre going to back down and comply which is worse than if you had complied to begin with even if you strongly suspect fear of the virus has been stoked out of proportion to serve bureaucratic and political interests or as an artefact of the scaremongering business model of media you may subtly adjust your view of the reality of covid to bring it more into line with your actual behaviour you can reduce the dissonance that way the alternative is to be confronted every day with fresh examples of your own slavishnessp divdiv pin the hobbesian formula the leviathan relies upon fear to suppress pride it is pride that makes men difficult to govern it may be illuminating to view our covid moment through this lens and consider how small moments of humiliation may be put in the service of a longstanding political project or find their meaning and normative force in itp pspecifically to play ones part in covid theatre as in security theatre at the airport is to suffer the unique humiliation of a rational being who submits to moments of social control that he knows to be founded upon untruths that these are expressed in the language of science is especially gratingp pwe need to consider the good faith intellectual positions that greased the skids for our slide into an illiberal form of governance for in addition to the political opportunism surrounding covid there were also wellmeaning efforts to control the pandemic by altering peoples behaviour the question is what were the means employed for doing this and what was the view of human beings that made such means attractive what we got in the end without anyone really intending it may fairly be called a propaganda state that seeks to manipulate without persuadingp phere science may be plainly antiscientific according to the circumstances the word does not name a mode of inquiry rather it is invoked to legitimise the transfer of sovereignty from democratic to technocratic bodies and as a device for insulating such transfers from the realm of political contest can this be squared with the idea of representative governmentp pthe columbia law professor philip hamburger writes about the administrative state it consists of a vast array of executive agencies that empower themselves to place people under binding obligations without recourse to legislation sidestepping the constitutions separation of powers in theory only congress can make laws its members are subject to the democratic process so they must persuade their constituents and one another but as the administrative state has metastasised supplanting the lawmaking power of the legislature unelected bureaucrats increasingly set the contours of modern life with little accountability they stake their legitimacy on claims of expertise rather than alignment with popular preferences this trajectory began a century ago in the progressive era and took large strides forward during the new deal and great societyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202012gettyimages1228697748300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarh5how race politics liberated the elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv phamburger puts this in historical context with other forms of unaccountable power such as the notorious star chamber of james i ever tempted to exert more power with less effort rulers are rarely content to govern merely through the law and in their restless desire to escape its pathways many of them try to work through other mechanismsp pthe restless desire to escape the inconvenience of law is one that progressives are especially prone to in their aspiration to transform society merely extant majorities of opinion and the legislative possibilities that are circumscribed by them typically inspire not deference but impatiencep pit is as beings capable of reason that the legislature is supposed to represent us the judicial branch regards us in the same light when a court issues a decision the judge writes an opinion in which he explains his reasoning he grounds the decision in law precedent common sense and principles that he feels obliged to articulate and defend this is what transforms the decision from mere fiat into something that is politically legitimate under the premises of republican government capable of securing the assent of a free people it constitutes the difference between simple power and authorityp pthe nineties saw the rise of new currents in the social sciences that emphasised the cognitive incompetence of human beings the rational actor model of human behaviour a simplistic premise that had underwritten the party of the market for the previous half century was deposed by the more psychologically informed school of behavioural economics which teaches that our actions are largely guided by prereflective cognitive biases and heuristics these biases tend to be functional both in the sense that they reflect general patterns of reality and because they offer fast and frugal substitutes for deliberation which is a slow and costly activity an adjacent thought can be found in phenomenological writers such as merleauponty and hubert dreyfus the kind of thinking that consists of chains of propositional statements and logical inferences is a special case not typical of animals with bodies we are one such animal and our everyday coping with the world must have a certain fluency to it if we are not to be paralysedp pthe developments in psychology that gave rise to behavioural economics provided a necessary revision to our understanding of the human person in the direction of realism for the narrowly economistic rational market actor anthropology of the choosing self was indeed inadequatep pin their book emnudgeem richard thaler and cass sunstein point out that individual choices dont usually happen in a vacuum they are often sculpted by a choice architecture that may be more or less deliberate in its design but generally operates beneath the threshold of awareness as a kind of background cognitive scaffolding a classic example is the placement of items on grocery store shelves high margin items tend to be placed at eye level while impulse purchases are placed in the slowmoving checkout line sugary cereals are placed at a childs eye level so the kid will nag his mother for some lucky charmsp a hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostrichardhthaleronvaccinesnudgeisntenoughrefinnardivimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109thaler2jpgdivspansuggested reading spanh5richard h thaler on vaccines nudge isnt enoughh5pspanbyspan freddie sayerspdivdiva pwhy not exploit the power of choice architecture for the public good and replace the lucky charms with brussels sprouts doing so has an obvious appeal it is a noncoercive way to improve peoples behaviour emwithout having to persuade them of anythingem this offered obvious encouragement to the paternalistic tendencies of the administrative state following the publication of emnudgeem in 2009 both the obama white house and the government of david cameron in the uk established nudge units to operationalise the insights of behavioral economics the examples that the nudgers like to offer by way of illustrating their techniques are uncontroversial things like increasing the savings rate or getting people to stop smokingp pas thaler and sunstein like to point out when they are on the defensive they didnt invent nudging they merely gave it a name and articulated its principals in the language of social science but this articulation has been highly consequential when something banal is presented as a scientific finding it becomes emavailableem to institutions part of their toolkit for evidence based interventionsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202005gettyimages12174691141300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarh5the danger of safetyismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pbehavioral insight teams inspired by emnudgeem are currently operating in the european commission the united nations the who and by thalers reckoning about 400 other entities in government and the ngo world as well as in countless private corporations it would be hard to overstate the degree to which this approach has been institutionalisedp pin a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvdlr4ct3fzx4 target_blanka recent interview with emunherdema thaler insisted that the nudge is simply a tool one that can be used for good or ill but as with so many technological innovations the availability of the tool alters the range of possibilities indeed it alters the way objects in the world show up for the one who holds the tool the innovation achieved here at scale is in the way government conceives its subjects not as citizens whose considered consent must be secured but as particles to be steered through a science of behavior management that relies on our prereflective biasesp pone example that thaler and sunstein call attention to in their advice to administrators is the emerging norm bias norms of various descriptions have more or less purchase on us for reasons one can speculate on endlessly but if you tell people that some new norm is ememergingem they are more likely to identify with it it seems most people dont want to be on the wrong side of history so announcing the emergence of some new norm can become a selffulfilling prophecy a means of steering the herd this holds obvious attraction for the vanguardist it seems to promise that one can mark out the direction of history and thereby make it sop psuch vanguardists may be ideologues or they may simply be institutional players who have internalised the expansionary logic of the bureaucracies who employ them the hygiene state propagandises a new normal of social distancing and face covering here is an outlandish medical morality of social atomisation presented as something inevitablep pwhile economics was getting psychologised in the 1990s a parallel development was happening in political science before getting into this consider the larger frame the soviet union had just collapsed this placed liberal democracy in a new situation or rather returned it to a situation that had obtained in the mid19supthsup centuryp pliberalism and democracy are two distinct things not entirely at ease with one another their differences were submerged during the cold war when they had a common enemy in soviet communism just as they had been submerged previously when they had a common enemy in monarchyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202010gettyimages541321353300x175jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarh5what the woke terror shares with the french revolutionh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pwhen monarchy was finally eliminated as a rival to democracy in the revolutions of 1848 the alliance of convenience between liberalism and democracy threatened to break down by 1861 john stuart mill was terrified that democratic majorities would constrain a liberalism consisting of experiments in living the freedom of educated elites to explore new cultural terrain and projects of selfcultivation would require jettisoning religious interdictions as well as the parochial affections and commitments by which the masses took their bearings the basic problem was that such a liberatory project gets its political legitimacy by allying itself with democracy first against monarchy and then against communismp pas adrian vermeule puts it liberalism fears that its dependence on and fundamental difference from democracy will be exposed if a sustained course of nonliberal popular opinion comes to light the solution is to offer an idealised concept of democracy sharply distinguished from mere majoritarianism by this device the liberal may get to preserve his selfunderstanding as a democrat this can become quite strained as in the reflex to call the popularly elected governments of poland and hungary antidemocratic when pew did opinion polling in afghanistan a decade ago and found that something like 95 of respondents expressed a preference that sharia law should be the law of the land this was not allowed to interrupt the conviction that making afghanistan democratic would require a feminist social transformation that is an explicitly antimajoritarian revolutionp pback to the nineties the hot career track for my cohort of phd students in the political science department was to build up a theoretical edifice to strengthen the hyphen in liberaldemocracy kind of like ptolemys addition of epicycles and other intricacies to the geocentric model of the solar system in an effort to save it from an accumulating body of observation the political theorists of my generation did this under a rubric they called deliberative democracy there was a quarrel at the time between habermas and rawls and it was rawls who insisted on this crucial point if you could just establish the right framing emconditions emfor deliberation the demos would arrive at acceptably liberal positions we should be able to formalise these conditions it was thought and conversely wherever the opinions of the demos depart from an axis running roughly from the editorial page of the emnew york timesem to that of the emwall street journalem it was taken to be prima facie evidence that there was some distorting influence in the discursive conditions under which people were conducting their thought processes or their conversations among themselves the result was opinion that was not emauthentically emdemocratic ie not liberalp pobviously the prospect of populism was already causing some anxiety propping up liberaldemocracy as a conceptual unity would require a cadre of subtle dialecticians working at a metalevel on the formal conditions of thought nudging the populace through a cognitive framing operation to be conducted beneath the threshold of explicit argument i remember there was one grad student in my department who was running experiments on focus groups seeing if he could get them to think the right thoughtsp pto my unsympathetic eye this looked like an exercise in selfdelusion by aspiring apparatchiks for whom a frankly elitist posture would have been psychologically untenable i dont know if that grad student got his subjects to think the right thoughts but i have little doubt he got them to emsay emthe right thoughts and thereby lend those thoughts the demotic imprimatur he was looking for maybe that was good enough political correctness might be understood as a device that became necessary for liberalism to continue to claim the mantle of democracy even as prosecution of its program would require increasingly antidemocratic measuresp pas it turns out the best way to secure the discursive conditions for deliberative democracy and install a proper choice architecture that will nudge the demos in the right direction is to curate information soon the internet would both enable and undermine these aspirationsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages1211656392594x5941300x194jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarh5how science has been corruptedh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pof all the platform firms google is singular its nearmonopoly on search around 90 puts it in a position to steer thought and increasingly it avows the steering of thought as its unique responsibility in an important article titled googlegov law professor adam j white details both the personnel flows and deep intellectual affinities between google and the obama white house hundreds of people switched jobs back and forth some of them multiple times between this one firm and the administration over eight years an unprecedented alignment of corporate power and the executive branch white writes that both aspired to reshape americans informational context ensuring that we make choices based only upon what they consider the right kind of factswhile denying that there could be any values or politics embedded in the effortp pone of the central tenets of progressives selfunderstanding is that they are profact and proscience while their opponents often the majority are said to have an unaccountable aversion to these good things they cling to fond illusions and irrational anxieties it follows that good governance means giving people eminformedem choices this is not the same as giving people what they emthinkem they want according to their untutored preferences informed choices are the ones that make sense within a wellcurated informational contextp pthere is a distinct epistemic style that progressive politics took on during the mutual infatuation of google and obama here the idea of neutrality or objectivity is deployed to assert an identity between what liberals want to do and the interests of demos this identity reveals itself once distortions of objective reality are cleared awayp pspeaking at googles headquarters in 2007 obama said he would use the bully pulpit to give them good information the bully pulpit has previously been understood as a perch from which to attempt persuasion persuasion is what you do if you are engaged in democratic politics curating information on the other hand is what you do if you believe dissent from your outlook can only be due to a failure to properly process the relevant information a cognitive failure that isp pin the founders letter that accompanied googles 2004 initial public offering larry page and sergey brin said their goal is getting you exactly what you want even when you arent sure what you need the perfect search engine would do this with almost no effort on the part of the user in a 2013 update to the founders letter page said that the search engine of my dreams provides information without you even having to ask minimizing the users active input google will answer not the question you might have posed yourself but the question you should have asked as eric schmidt told the wall street journal [o]ne idea is that more and more searches are done on your behalf without you having to type i actually think most people dont want google to answer their questions they want google to tell them what they should be doing nextp pthe firm will provide a kind of mental scaffold for us guiding our intentions by shaping our informational context this is to take the idea of trusteeship and install it in the infrastructure of thoughtp pbut this effort has more or less failed due to the proliferation of unauthorised voices on the internet the pandemic prompted clumsy efforts to regain control and these have often backfiredp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202005gettyimages1217469114e1589538597564300x172jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarh5the danger of safetyismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pif we credit public health with any purposeful coherence we might suppose the confusion it sowed was an unintended effect of approaching behavior modification as a game theoretical problem in game theory one assumes that people are selfinterested maximizers of their own utility and tries to manipulate them based on this premise which is sometimes best accomplished by sending deceptive signals for example early in the pandemic we were told masks dont work because the priority was to preserve a scarce supply of masks for health workers more recently the relative risks of the virus versus the vaccine for different demographics has been dismissed as irrelevant for the sake of combatting vaccine hesitancy but such deceptions however wellintended can succeed only if you have control over the flow of information so once you go down this road of departing from the truth youre committed to censorship and rigorous narrative enforcement which is very difficult to do in the internet erap pthe absurdities of covid theatre could be taken as a tacit recognition of this state of affairs much as security theater pointed to a new political accommodation after 911 in this accommodation we have accepted the impossibility of grounding our practices in reality we submit to ossified bureaucracies such as the tsa that have become selfprotective interest groups they can expand but never contract and we must pretend reality is such as to justify their existence covid is likely to do for public health what 911 did for the security state going through an airport we still take off our shoes because twenty years ago some clown tried to light his shoe on fire we submit to being irradiated emand emgroped often as not one tries to put out of mind facts such as this in independent audits of airport security about 8090 of weapons pass through undetected the microwave machine presents an imposing image of science that helps us bury such knowledge we have a duty to carry out an ascetic introspection searching out any remaining tendencies toward rational pride and regard for the truth submitting them to analysis similarly the irrationality of the covid rules we comply with has perhaps become their main point in complying we enact the new terms of citizenshipp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismappcommentsview 12 commentsa

pi live bay area county vaccination rate mid80sin late july dropping younger daughter soccer day camp morning 10 kids running open field wore masks hours day 85 week telling fully vaccinated daughter thing felt compromised participating charade old scots irish belligerence started welling upp prules meant codify bit rational truth effective days find situations genuinely rational thing require embreakingem rules institution invite confrontation internal struggle deciding resistance insist reasons ornery want sociable tell point confrontational staff ymca simply carrying orders visible address reasons demand accountp pafter year half going starts habitual defy mask order challenged somebody job instructed chances youre going comply worse complied begin strongly suspect fear virus stoked proportion serve bureaucratic political interests artefact scaremongering business model media subtly adjust view reality covid bring line actual behaviour reduce dissonance way alternative confronted day fresh examples slavishnessp divdiv pin hobbesian formula leviathan relies fear suppress pride pride makes men difficult govern illuminating view covid moment lens consider small moments humiliation service longstanding political project find meaning normative force itp pspecifically play ones covid theatre security theatre airport suffer unique humiliation rational submits moments social control knows founded untruths expressed language science especially gratingp pwe need consider good faith intellectual positions greased skids slide illiberal form governance addition political opportunism surrounding covid wellmeaning efforts control pandemic altering peoples behaviour question means employed view human beings means attractive got end intending fairly called propaganda state seeks manipulate persuadingp phere science plainly antiscientific according circumstances word mode inquiry invoked legitimise transfer sovereignty democratic technocratic bodies device insulating transfers realm political contest squared idea representative governmentp pthe columbia law professor philip hamburger writes administrative state consists vast array executive agencies empower place people binding obligations recourse legislation sidestepping constitutions separation powers theory congress laws members subject democratic process persuade constituents administrative state metastasised supplanting lawmaking power legislature unelected bureaucrats increasingly set contours modern life little accountability stake legitimacy claims expertise alignment popular preferences trajectory began century ago progressive era took large strides forward new deal great societyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202012gettyimages1228697748300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarh5how race politics liberated elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012howracepoliticsliberatedtheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv phamburger puts historical context forms unaccountable power notorious star chamber james iever tempted exert power effort rulers rarely content govern merely law restless desire escape pathways try work mechanismsp pthe restless desire escape inconvenience law progressives especially prone aspiration transform society merely extant majorities opinion legislative possibilities circumscribed typically inspire deference impatiencep pit beings capable reason legislature supposed represent judicial branch regards light court issues decision judge writes opinion explains reasoning grounds decision law precedent common sense principles feels obliged articulate defend transforms decision mere fiat politically legitimate premises republican government capable securing assent free people constitutes difference simple power authorityp pthe nineties saw rise new currents social sciences emphasised cognitive incompetence human beings rational actor model human behaviour simplistic premise underwritten party market previous half century deposed psychologically informed school behavioural economics teaches actions largely guided prereflective cognitive biases heuristics biases tend functional sense reflect general patterns reality offer fast frugal substitutes deliberation slow costly activity adjacent thought found phenomenological writers merleauponty hubert dreyfus kind thinking consists chains propositional statements logical inferences special case typical animals bodies animal everyday coping world certain fluency paralysedp pthe developments psychology gave rise behavioural economics provided necessary revision understanding human person direction realism narrowly economistic rational market actor anthropology choosing self inadequatep pin book emnudgeem richard thaler cass sunstein point individual choices dont usually happen vacuum sculpted choice architecture deliberate design generally operates beneath threshold awareness kind background cognitive scaffolding classic example placement items grocery store shelves high margin items tend placed eye level impulse purchases placed slowmoving checkout line sugary cereals placed childs eye level kid nag mother lucky charmsp hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostrichardhthaleronvaccinesnudgeisntenoughrefinnardivimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109thaler2jpgdivspansuggested reading spanh5richard h thaler vaccines nudge isnt enoughh5pspanbyspan freddie sayerspdivdiva pwhy exploit power choice architecture public good replace lucky charms brussels sprouts obvious appeal noncoercive way improve peoples behaviour emwithout having persuade anythingem offered obvious encouragement paternalistic tendencies administrative state following publication emnudgeem 2009 obama white house government david cameron uk established nudge units operationalise insights behavioral economics examples nudgers like offer way illustrating techniques uncontroversial things like increasing savings rate getting people stop smokingp pas thaler sunstein like point defensive didnt invent nudging merely gave articulated principals language social science articulation highly consequential banal presented scientific finding emavailableem institutions toolkit evidence based interventionsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202005gettyimages12174691141300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarh5the danger safetyismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202005thehypocrisyofsafetyismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pbehavioral insight teams inspired emnudgeem currently operating european commission united nations thalers reckoning 400 entities government ngo world countless private corporations hard overstate degree approach institutionalisedp pin relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvdlr4ct3fzx4 target_blanka recent interview emunherdema thaler insisted nudge simply tool good ill technological innovations availability tool alters range possibilities alters way objects world holds tool innovation achieved scale way government conceives subjects citizens considered consent secured particles steered science behavior management relies prereflective biasesp pone example thaler sunstein attention advice administrators emerging norm bias norms descriptions purchase reasons speculate endlessly tell people new norm ememergingem likely identify people dont want wrong history announcing emergence new norm selffulfilling prophecy means steering herd holds obvious attraction vanguardist promise mark direction history sop psuch vanguardists ideologues simply institutional players internalised expansionary logic bureaucracies employ hygiene state propagandises new normal social distancing face covering outlandish medical morality social atomisation presented inevitablep pwhile economics getting psychologised 1990s parallel development happening political science getting consider larger frame soviet union collapsed placed liberal democracy new situation returned situation obtained mid19supthsup centuryp pliberalism democracy distinct things entirely ease differences submerged cold war common enemy soviet communism submerged previously common enemy monarchyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202010gettyimages541321353300x175jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarh5what woke terror shares french revolutionh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202010whatthewoketerrorshareswiththefrenchrevolutionrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pwhen monarchy finally eliminated rival democracy revolutions 1848 alliance convenience liberalism democracy threatened break 1861 john stuart mill terrified democratic majorities constrain liberalism consisting experiments living freedom educated elites explore new cultural terrain projects selfcultivation require jettisoning religious interdictions parochial affections commitments masses took bearings basic problem liberatory project gets political legitimacy allying democracy monarchy communismp pas adrian vermeule puts liberalism fears dependence fundamental difference democracy exposed sustained course nonliberal popular opinion comes light solution offer idealised concept democracy sharply distinguished mere majoritarianism device liberal preserve selfunderstanding democrat strained reflex popularly elected governments poland hungary antidemocratic pew opinion polling afghanistan decade ago found like 95 respondents expressed preference sharia law law land allowed interrupt conviction making afghanistan democratic require feminist social transformation explicitly antimajoritarian revolutionp pback nineties hot career track cohort phd students political science department build theoretical edifice strengthen hyphen liberaldemocracy kind like ptolemys addition epicycles intricacies geocentric model solar system effort save accumulating body observation political theorists generation rubric called deliberative democracy quarrel time habermas rawls rawls insisted crucial point establish right framingemconditionsemfor deliberation demos arrive acceptably liberal positions able formalise conditions thought conversely opinions demos depart axis running roughly editorial page emnew york timesemto theemwall street journalem taken prima facie evidence distorting influence discursive conditions people conducting thought processes conversations result opinion notemauthenticallyemdemocratic ie liberalp pobviously prospect populism causing anxiety propping liberaldemocracy conceptual unity require cadre subtle dialecticians working metalevel formal conditions thought nudging populace cognitive framing operation conducted beneath threshold explicit argument remember grad student department running experiments focus groups seeing think right thoughtsp pto unsympathetic eye looked like exercise selfdelusion aspiring apparatchiks frankly elitist posture psychologically untenable dont know grad student got subjects think right thoughts little doubt got emsay emthe right thoughts lend thoughts demotic imprimatur looking maybe good political correctness understood device necessary liberalism continue claim mantle democracy prosecution program require increasingly antidemocratic measuresp pas turns best way secure discursive conditions deliberative democracy install proper choice architecture nudge demos right direction curate information soon internet enable undermine aspirationsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages1211656392594x5941300x194jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarh5how science corruptedh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howsciencehasbeencorruptedrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pof platform firms google singular nearmonopoly search 90 puts position steer thought increasingly avows steering thought unique responsibility important article titled googlegov law professor adam j white details personnel flows deep intellectual affinities google obama white house hundreds people switched jobs forth multiple times firm administration years unprecedented alignment corporate power executive branch white writes aspired reshape americans informational context ensuring choices based consider right kind offactswhiledenying values politics embedded effortp pone central tenets progressives selfunderstanding profact proscience opponents majority said unaccountable aversion good things cling fond illusions irrational anxieties follows good governance means giving peopleeminformedemchoices giving people theyemthinkemthey want according untutored preferences informed choices ones sense wellcurated informational contextp pthere distinct epistemic style progressive politics took mutual infatuation google obama idea neutrality objectivity deployed assert identity liberals want interests demos identity reveals distortions objective reality cleared awayp pspeaking googles headquarters 2007 obama said use bully pulpit good information bully pulpit previously understood perch attempt persuasion persuasion engaged democratic politics curating information hand believe dissent outlook failure properly process relevant information cognitive failure isp pin founders letter accompanied googles 2004 initial public offering larry page sergey brin said goal getting exactly want arent sure need perfect search engine effort user 2013 update founders letter page said search engine dreams provides information having ask minimizing users active input google answer question posed question asked eric schmidt told wall street journal [o]ne idea searches behalf having type actually think people dont want google answer questions want google tell nextp pthe firm provide kind mental scaffold guiding intentions shaping informational context idea trusteeship install infrastructure thoughtp pbut effort failed proliferation unauthorised voices internet pandemic prompted clumsy efforts regain control backfiredp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202005gettyimages1217469114e1589538597564300x172jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarh5the danger safetyismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012thedangerofsafetyismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pif credit public health purposeful coherence suppose confusion sowed unintended effect approaching behavior modification game theoretical problem game theory assumes people selfinterested maximizers utility tries manipulate based premise best accomplished sending deceptive signals example early pandemic told masks dont work priority preserve scarce supply masks health workers recently relative risks virus versus vaccine different demographics dismissed irrelevant sake combatting vaccine hesitancy deceptions wellintended succeed control flow information road departing truth youre committed censorship rigorous narrative enforcement difficult internet erap pthe absurdities covid theatre taken tacit recognition state affairs security theater pointed new political accommodation 911 accommodation accepted impossibility grounding practices reality submit ossified bureaucracies tsa selfprotective interest groups expand contract pretend reality justify existence covid likely public health 911 security state going airport shoes years ago clown tried light shoe fire submit irradiated emand emgroped tries mind facts independent audits airport security 8090 weapons pass undetected microwave machine presents imposing image science helps bury knowledge duty carry ascetic introspection searching remaining tendencies rational pride regard truth submitting analysis similarly irrationality covid rules comply main point complying enact new terms citizenshipp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismappcommentsview 12 commentsa

6175df1893bd98d59fec5d41

Ports and Tolerance

pan elegant essay by saumitra jha on a hrefhttpswwwpublicbooksorgtolerancebyaccidenttrustbydesignwhy tolerance between hindus and muslims evolved in indias port citiesap blockquote figure classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 436px 100vw 436px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773300x201jpg alt width436 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773300x201jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric42207731024x685jpg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773768x514jpg 768w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric42207731536x1028jpg 1536w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773jpg 1920w classwpimage82221 height292figcaption classwpcaptiontextport sea monument gateway of india mumbai historicfigcaptionfigure p[w]here do institutions of tolerance emerge combining the historical accounts the fieldwork and the data it became clear that such institutions develop in very specific places where two conditions were satisfied first hindus and muslims needed to have incentives to work together for example engaging in business relationships that complemented each other rather than competed against one another second this complementarity had to be robust it had to be difficult for one group to replicate or simply steal the source of the others complementarityp pone important set of examples of these were portslike mahatma gandhis own hometown porbandarthat had traded to the distant middle east during the medieval period for one month a year for close to a thousand years mecca had been one of the largest markets in the world during the hajjand one had to be muslim to go to mecca this gave muslims in portsin india but also on the african coasts the malay peninsula and beyonda strong advantage in overseas trade and shipping and yet this advantage nonetheless benefited the communities they connected by sailp pfurther this complementarity in overseas trade came from a trading network that was intangible and so impossible to seize and the scale of the hajj was so large it was impossible for a hindu to replicate not surprisingly thenbefore being disrupted by european colonial interventions beginning in the 16th centurymuslims had dominated overseas trade across the indian ocean from the coasts of zanzibar to india malaysia and beyond as far as chinap pports emerged at natural harbors along indias medieval coasts to accommodate these trading relationships these ports also witnessed not just the emergence of rules but also beliefs and organizations that supported trade intergroup trust and religious tolerance so much so that even three centuries laterafter muslim trade advantages had ended due to european colonial interventions and many of the ports themselves had silted up and become inaccessible to tradethis legacy of beliefs norms and organizations continued to shape the way people interacted with one another the institutions of peace and tolerance outlived the economic incentives that had once sustained thempblockquote pphoto credit a hrefhttpswwwmaxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773maxpixelap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110portsandtolerancehtmlports and tolerancea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pan elegant essay saumitra jha hrefhttpswwwpublicbooksorgtolerancebyaccidenttrustbydesignwhy tolerance hindus muslims evolved indias port citiesap blockquote figure classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 436px 100vw 436px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773300x201jpg alt width436 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773300x201jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric42207731024x685jpg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773768x514jpg 768w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric42207731536x1028jpg 1536w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110maxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773jpg 1920w classwpimage82221 height292figcaption classwpcaptiontextport sea monument gateway india mumbai historicfigcaptionfigure p[w]here institutions tolerance emerge combining historical accounts fieldwork data clear institutions develop specific places conditions satisfied hindus muslims needed incentives work example engaging business relationships complemented competed second complementarity robust difficult group replicate simply steal source complementarityp pone important set examples portslike mahatma gandhis hometown porbandarthat traded distant middle east medieval period month year close thousand years mecca largest markets world hajjand muslim mecca gave muslims portsin india african coasts malay peninsula beyonda strong advantage overseas trade shipping advantage nonetheless benefited communities connected sailp pfurther complementarity overseas trade came trading network intangible impossible seize scale hajj large impossible hindu replicate surprisingly thenbefore disrupted european colonial interventions beginning 16th centurymuslims dominated overseas trade indian ocean coasts zanzibar india malaysia far chinap pports emerged natural harbors indias medieval coasts accommodate trading relationships ports witnessed emergence rules beliefs organizations supported trade intergroup trust religious tolerance centuries laterafter muslim trade advantages ended european colonial interventions ports silted inaccessible tradethis legacy beliefs norms organizations continued shape way people interacted institutions peace tolerance outlived economic incentives sustained thempblockquote pphoto credit hrefhttpswwwmaxpixelnetportseamonumentgatewayofindiamumbaihistoric4220773maxpixelap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110portsandtolerancehtmlports tolerancea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6175df6893bd98d59fec5d4f

Janos Kornai and the soft budget constraint

blockquotepthe most developed thesis of that book was that capitalist economies were in a state of constant excess supply overproduction whereas centrally planned economies were in a state of constant excess demand shortage and he drew out with minute detail all the implications of this analysis i remember raising arguments from his book in my general equilibrium class in university surely annoying the professor olivier blanchard once told me he had a similar experience kornais book was extremely popular among young rebellious economists who wanted to change the worldp pin 1980 his magnum opus emeconomics of shortageem came out whereas his earlier work on the economics of planning was mostly theoretical all that literature was very remote from how planning was done in reality this was the first book to propose a systematic and powerful analysis of how the socialist economy really worked in practice starting with the concept of the soft budget constraint stateowned enterprises in socialist economies that were making losses would never shut down he explained how this led to increasing demand by enterprises making them barely responsive to price variations these increased demands led to generalised shortages that deeply influenced the behaviour of enterprise managers consumers and plannerspblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpsvoxeuorgarticlejnoskornai19282021utm_sourcedlvritutm_mediumtwitter target_blanka broader appreciation by grard rolanda  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoiabs101111j146764351986tb01252x target_blankone original kornai piece on the topica  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwaeaweborgarticlesid101257002205103771799999 target_blanka later ungated piecea  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsoconnellfasharvardedufilesmaskinfilestheories_of_the_soft_budget_constraintpdf target_blankeric maskin on different theories of the soft budget constraintap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110janoskornaiandthesoftbudgetconstrainthtmljanos kornai and the soft budget constrainta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthe developed thesis book capitalist economies state constant excess supply overproduction centrally planned economies state constant excess demand shortage drew minute detail implications analysis remember raising arguments book general equilibrium class university surely annoying professor olivier blanchard told similar experience kornais book extremely popular young rebellious economists wanted change worldp pin 1980 magnum opusemeconomics shortageem came earlier work economics planning theoretical literature remote planning reality book propose systematic powerful analysis socialist economy worked practice starting concept soft budget constraint stateowned enterprises socialist economies making losses shut explained led increasing demand enterprises making barely responsive price variations increased demands led generalised shortages deeply influenced behaviour enterprise managers consumers plannerspblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpsvoxeuorgarticlejnoskornai19282021utm_sourcedlvritutm_mediumtwitter target_blanka broader appreciation grard rolanda relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoiabs101111j146764351986tb01252x target_blankone original kornai piece topica relnoopener hrefhttpswwwaeaweborgarticlesid101257002205103771799999 target_blanka later ungated piecea relnoopener hrefhttpsoconnellfasharvardedufilesmaskinfilestheories_of_the_soft_budget_constraintpdf target_blankeric maskin different theories soft budget constraintap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110janoskornaiandthesoftbudgetconstrainthtmljanos kornai soft budget constrainta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61777844bf3aa0e0e6297780

How we can escape a lockdown Christmas

pa family member went to get his booster jab the other day at a dropin centre it involved queuing for two and a half hours outdoors in a car park the other people in the queue were mainly in their eighties several gave up and went homep pbut after an autumn of a relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailsvaccinationsareatypenationareanameengland target_blankabsolutely pathetic numbersa  for a while we were barely jabbing 40000 a day first and second doses combined down from ten times that number and more in the spring and early summer the programme does appear to have picked up a little there were hundreds of thousands of booster jabs alone a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwenglandnhsukstatisticsstatisticalworkareascovid19vaccinations target_blankgiven over the weekendap pthe government has pinned its entire winter strategy on those boosters sajid javid the health secretary a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsuk58985617 target_blankhas saida plan b will not be introduced because of them plan b is a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationscovid19responseautumnandwinterplan2021covid19responseautumnandwinterplan2021contingencyplanning target_blankmilquetoasty set of minor interventionsa including greater use of vaccine passports and legally requiring masks in some places they may ask for people to work from home if things get worse its not exactly a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombooks2019oct30ukwasprimedfornuclearwarintheuktarasyounginterview target_blankprotect and surviveap pand were not going there yetp pbut there is a problem which is that covid19 in the uk has become really hard to predict last year whatever you looked at  a relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailscases target_blankcasesa a relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailshealthcare target_blankhospitalisationsa a relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailsdeaths target_blankdeathsa  the numbers followed a simple pattern they started going up slowly then they went up quicker then quicker then quicker then the government imposed a lockdown and a little while and a few thousand more dead people later the numbers crashed back down againp divdiv pbut this year the pandemic is no longer doing nice straightforward exponential curves if you look at a relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailshealthcare target_blankhospitalisationsa over the last six months or so youll see that they started a familiarlooking rise in about june and they clambered up to about 1000 a day in late july and then they just stopped and went back down a bit then they rose again and back down now theyve started going up again but will that carry on will the curve fizzle out again unlike last year its not easy to tell what will happen nextp padam kucharski a mathematical epidemiologist explained why winter 202122 is trickier to model than 2021 first he says in any epidemic when r is near 1 its a headache r is the number of people that each infected person goes on to infect on average so if your initial 100 cases lead to 200 subsidiary cases then your r is 2 if r is above 1 your epidemic is growing exponentially if its below 1 its dying awayp pwhen r is well above 1 its fairly easy to predict what will happen cases will go up faster and faster until it runs out of susceptible people or until policies and behaviours change so that r goes below 1 and the epidemic declines again thats how it was last yearp pbut now thanks to vaccines and natural immunity the number of susceptible people around is lower were close to a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostcanwebuildaherdimmunitytocovid19 target_blankherd immunitya  so even with essentially no restrictions r is close to 1 and when its close to 1 smaller things can affect the course of the epidemic much more it bounces around says kucharski schools reopening or closing for half term the vaccine rollout and boosters if the epidemic is increasing or decreasing some small change can knock it the other wayp a hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostsajidisrightwedontneedmorerestrictionsrefinnardivimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1236004073scaledjpgdivspansuggested reading spanh5sajid is right we dont need more restrictionsh5pspanbyspan amy jonespdivdiva pone way to think of it is that if your r is 25 and for instance schools close for half term then your r might go down to 23 its the difference between an epidemic thats spreading quickly and one thats spreading not quite so quickly but if r is 11 and you knock it down to 09 then its the difference between a pandemic thats growing and one thats shrinkingp pit also means that individual behaviour becomes important around our way it recently became very obvious that lots of schoolchildren and their parents were getting the disease so when ours got the sniffles we were quicker to take them out of school and more wary of going to shops presumably millions of people have behaved in similar ways it wouldnt have made much difference last year the disease was spreading so rapidly but it could be enough now to change things from an uparrow to a downarrowp ptheres a more interesting dynamic at play as well says kucharski imagine the first two waves of the pandemic as a forest fire in a virgin forest once a tree starts burning it easily spreads to the trees around it and left to its own devices the fire will carry on until the forest has burnt away an immunologically naive population is the same when you have a fully susceptible population says kucharski the simple exponential curve models will give you something sensiblep pbut we no longer live in a virgin forest vaccinations and acquired immunity means that the large bulk of the population is less susceptible to infection in our analogy you could imagine that its a far sparser forest with occasional clumps here and there representing groups with lower vaccination uptake now if a tree catches fire it might not spread to any others or it might be in a clump and spread around that clump quickly and then burn out or a spark might make it from the clump to a nearby clump its much more dependent on luck and randomnessp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1219201731scaled1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarh5the new public health despotismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pyou have a much patchier network for the virus to spread in says kucharski a lot more dead ends and surges in younger groups and places with lower vaccination cover you get pockets of susceptibility and you get large outbreaks but it has to work its way from one pocket to another when youve got lots of these happening in parallel you have a much bumpier dynamic more conducive to a bobblingalong plateau than one that has clear growth or declinep pall of which makes the epidemic much harder to predict but theres another layer of difficulty on top of that which is that youre not just predicting an epidemic youre predicting human behaviour more specifically youre predicting the behaviour of the current government and parliament there is not an algorithm which says at 1500 hospitalisations a day we reenter lockdown or anythingp pother countries do have something like that in taiwan for instance a relnoopener hrefhttpsfocustaiwantwsociety202105120005 target_blankthere are four levels of restrictionsa which are imposed on a specified set of conditions level 1 is imposed if there are cases imported from overseas that result in isolated community transmission level 2 is imposed if there are domestically transmitted cases from unknown sources etc if you could predict the behaviour of the epidemic in taiwan youd have a pretty good basis for predicting the policy response to itp pbut not in the uk plan b or any further restrictions will be imposed if the government decides to impose them i think thats a bad system and the taiwanese method of removing the decision as far as possible from political pressure would be better but thats the system we have so as well as predicting what the virus will do we have to predict how 361 tory mps will respond to the virus and how boris johnson and sajid javid will respond to them so predicting whether well end up in a lockdown is hardp pbut perhaps theres a more interesting question which is should we act as though we might have to and start doing something about it now should we impose plan bp pfor all the current doom and gloom we are in a better place than a relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile1017129s1376_spimo_consensus_statementpdf target_blankeven the most optimistica of the governments spimo models projections from early september and those models a relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile1027851s1383_spimo_summary_autumn_winter_scenariospdf target_blanknow atend to forecast a decline in cases from later this month even if we dont impose plan b were not facing an immediate crisisp poliver johnson a mathematician at bristol says an autumn decline is plausible the key thing is it has been so crazy in schools with 7 or 8 of schoolkids infected at any one time he says you cant have that forever youll run out of people so its a case of working out when youll run out of people the little clumps of forest will burn down eventuallyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages12352517861copye1634122087853300x151jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarh5the men who failed britainh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pthe pandemic though has been consistently hard to predict and the great failings of the british covid response have been a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritain target_blanktrying to be too clevera a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostborisjohnsonfailsthemarshmallowtest target_blankdoing things too latea and a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blanknot thinking about riskbenefit calculations or worstcase scenariosap pthis feels very much like one of those situations its true that probably if we leave it and do nothing things wont get that much worse and may soon get better but theres a nontrivial chance that they will get worse given that the costs of imposing plan b restrictions are minor why not take simple lowcost steps now to avoid the unlikely but plausible and very bad future shit showp pwe have a suite of tools available to us not just plan b but also things like increased rapid testing that can avoid future disruption but also if we impose them now we can undo them later easily if theyre unnecessary or tweak them if theyre not quite right and we should be able to avoid stringent restrictions being imposed again and another catastrophic christmas lockdown given the tools we now have available says kucharski it would be completely absurd if we got to that pointp pi agree we absolutely should not need to consider a plan c one in which we shut stuff down stop people seeing their loved ones close the pubs ruin christmas and we can make it all but certain that we dont have to do that if we take small sensible precautions now hopefully enough elderly people will stand in cold car parks to get their boosters but lets not rely on it entirelyp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howwecanescapealockdownchristmasappcommentsview commentsa

pa family member went booster jab day dropin centre involved queuing half hours outdoors car park people queue mainly eighties gave went homep pbut autumn ofa relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailsvaccinationsareatypenationareanameengland target_blankabsolutely pathetic numbersa barely jabbing 40000 day second doses combined times number spring early summer programme appear picked little hundreds thousands booster jabs alonea relnoopener hrefhttpswwwenglandnhsukstatisticsstatisticalworkareascovid19vaccinations target_blankgiven weekendap pthe government pinned entire winter strategy boosters sajid javid health secretarya relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsuk58985617 target_blankhas saidaplan b introduced plan b aa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationscovid19responseautumnandwinterplan2021covid19responseautumnandwinterplan2021contingencyplanning target_blankmilquetoasty set minor interventionsa including greater use vaccine passports legally requiring masks places ask people work home things worse exactlya relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombooks2019oct30ukwasprimedfornuclearwarintheuktarasyounginterview target_blankprotect surviveap pand going yetp pbut problem covid19 uk hard predict year looked relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailscases target_blankcasesaa relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailshealthcare target_blankhospitalisationsaa relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailsdeaths target_blankdeathsa numbers followed simple pattern started going slowly went quicker quicker quicker government imposed lockdown little thousand dead people later numbers crashed againp divdiv pbut year pandemic longer nice straightforward exponential curves look ata relnoopener hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailshealthcare target_blankhospitalisationsaover months youll started familiarlooking rise june clambered 1000 day late july stopped went bit rose theyve started going carry curve fizzle unlike year easy tell happen nextp padam kucharski mathematical epidemiologist explained winter 202122 trickier model 2021 says epidemic r near 1 headache r number people infected person goes infect average initial 100 cases lead 200 subsidiary cases r 2 r 1 epidemic growing exponentially 1 dying awayp pwhen r 1 fairly easy predict happen cases faster faster runs susceptible people policies behaviours change r goes 1 epidemic declines thats yearp pbut thanks vaccines natural immunity number susceptible people lower close toa relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostcanwebuildaherdimmunitytocovid19 target_blankherd immunitya essentially restrictions r close 1 close 1 smaller things affect course epidemic bounces says kucharski schools reopening closing half term vaccine rollout boosters epidemic increasing decreasing small change knock wayp hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostsajidisrightwedontneedmorerestrictionsrefinnardivimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1236004073scaledjpgdivspansuggested reading spanh5sajid right dont need restrictionsh5pspanbyspan amy jonespdivdiva pone way think r 25 instance schools close half term r 23 difference epidemic thats spreading quickly thats spreading quickly r 11 knock 09 difference pandemic thats growing thats shrinkingp pit means individual behaviour important way recently obvious lots schoolchildren parents getting disease got sniffles quicker school wary going shops presumably millions people behaved similar ways wouldnt difference year disease spreading rapidly change things uparrow downarrowp ptheres interesting dynamic play says kucharski imagine waves pandemic forest fire virgin forest tree starts burning easily spreads trees left devices fire carry forest burnt away immunologically naive population fully susceptible population says kucharski simple exponential curve models sensiblep pbut longer live virgin forest vaccinations acquired immunity means large bulk population susceptible infection analogy imagine far sparser forest occasional clumps representing groups lower vaccination uptake tree catches fire spread clump spread clump quickly burn spark clump nearby clump dependent luck randomnessp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1219201731scaled1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarh5the new public health despotismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawfordapdivadiv pyou patchier network virus spread says kucharski lot dead ends surges younger groups places lower vaccination cover pockets susceptibility large outbreaks work way pocket youve got lots happening parallel bumpier dynamic conducive bobblingalong plateau clear growth declinep pall makes epidemic harder predict theres layer difficulty youre predicting epidemic youre predicting human behaviour specifically youre predicting behaviour current government parliament algorithm says 1500 hospitalisations day reenter lockdown anythingp pother countries like taiwan instancea relnoopener hrefhttpsfocustaiwantwsociety202105120005 target_blankthere levels restrictionsa imposed specified set conditions level 1 imposed cases imported overseas result isolated community transmission level 2 imposed domestically transmitted cases unknown sources etc predict behaviour epidemic taiwan youd pretty good basis predicting policy response itp pbut uk plan b restrictions imposed government decides impose think thats bad system taiwanese method removing decision far possible political pressure better thats system predicting virus predict 361 tory mps respond virus boris johnson sajid javid respond tothem predictingwhetherwell end lockdown hardp pbut theres interesting question act start impose plan bp pfor current doom gloom better place thana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile1017129s1376_spimo_consensus_statementpdf target_blankeven optimisticaof governments spimo models projections early september modelsa relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile1027851s1383_spimo_summary_autumn_winter_scenariospdf target_blanknowatend forecast decline cases later month dont impose plan b facing immediate crisisp poliver johnson mathematician bristol says autumn decline plausible key thing crazy schools 7 8 schoolkids infected time says cant forever youll run people case working outwhenyoull run people little clumps forest burn eventuallyp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages12352517861copye1634122087853300x151jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarh5the men failed britainh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pthe pandemic consistently hard predict great failings british covid response beena relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritain target_blanktrying cleveraa relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostborisjohnsonfailsthemarshmallowtest target_blankdoing things latea anda relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blanknot thinking riskbenefit calculations worstcase scenariosap pthis feels like situations true probably leave things wont worse soon better theres nontrivial chance worse given costs imposing plan b restrictions minor simple lowcost steps avoid unlikely plausible bad future shit showp pwe suite tools available plan b things like increased rapid testing avoid future disruption impose undo later easily theyre unnecessary tweak theyre right able avoid stringent restrictions imposed catastrophic christmas lockdown given tools available says kucharski completely absurd got pointp pi agree absolutely shouldnotneed consider plan c shut stuff stop people seeing loved ones close pubs ruin christmas certain dont small sensible precautions hopefully elderly people stand cold car parks boosters lets rely entirelyp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howwecanescapealockdownchristmasappcommentsview commentsa

61777846bf3aa0e0e6297782

The Democrat who could bring down Biden

pfor many a relnoopener hrefhttpseditioncnncom20211021politicskyrstensinemaprimarychallengeindexhtml target_blankliberalsa this was the year that kyrsten sinema became the most infuriating politician in the united states the firstterm arizona senator is along with west virginias joe manchin obstructing the passage of joe bidens 35 trillion social services and climate change package the reasons for manchins stubbornness a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomenvironment2021sep30joemanchinclimatecoalbaronstocks target_blankare well knownap pbut sinema is more enigmatic it was said that she demanded 100 billion in cuts to proposed climate programmes though this was denied by her office the package was trimmed to 2 trillion but she still refused to support it she was accused of being bent on the a relnoopener hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202110sinemataxeswealthybidenbuildbackbetterrichdemocratssenatehtml target_blankdestructiona of the biden presidency she had one commentator wrote a a relnoopener hrefhttpstheinterceptcom20211022kyrstensinemacorporatedemocrats target_blankdeath gripa on the democratic partyp pin public sinema was taciturn even as she was trailed and harried by progressive activists who followed her into a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompolitics20211004kyrstensinemabathroomimmigrationreconciliation target_blankpublic restroomsa or tried to a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbostonglobecom20211011metroactivistsprotestkyrstensinemamarathonitsunclearifsheran target_blankconfront her at a marathona nobody on the left understands her thinking to the emwashington postem she is simply a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompoliticssinemanegotiationsreconciliation202110232341a062335911ec93e2dba2c2c11851_storyhtml target_blankinscrutablea so fury and a relnoopener hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202110whatdoeskirstensinemawant5theoriesindependentdemocratprimaryhtml target_blanktheorisinga is their response hers was to tell them somewhat cryptically on instagram to a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomkyrstensinemasfuckoffringisthenewireallydontcaredou target_blankfuck offap divdiv pbidens bill has been maimed by sinema regardless of what happens in the weeks ahead eventually interest in her may begin to fade or she might face a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcompoliticsarchive202110progressivesprimarykyrstensinemaarizona620422 target_blankprimary challengea that ends her career as a senator but there is another way to look at sinema one with wider and much longerlasting implications for politics and political theory than her obstructionism in the senatep pin recent years there have been two major shifts in the relationship between politics and political theory on the one hand a number of important modern political thinkers such as a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210525opinionmichelfoucaulthtml target_blankmichel foucaulta once perceived in american academic and activists circles as useful even necessary for ostensibly radical and critical leftist politics have begun to appeal to the right which long rejected them on the other hand adherence to a capitalismfriendly version of academics and activists politics especially on matters of culture race and sexuality became a condition of membership in nearly every important institution in the united states ideas that once generated a thrilling frisson of subversion in college seminars among students and teachers who at the time could see themselves as joined in a common project of leftist critique have now become the evermore explicit moral centre of our regime or are being taken up by its opponents on the rightp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021092gettyimages920388896scaled1300x190jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarh5conservatives need multiculturalismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarspanbyspan blake smithapdivadiv psuch changes can perhaps be traced more easily through the writings of thinkers whose minds because of their mediocrity reflect rather than resist larger trends one such thinker a former activist and technically a scholar is sinema who holds a phd in justice studies from arizona state university her a relnoopener hrefhttpsrepositoryasueduattachments93743contenttmppackageqx5pmvsinema_asu_0010e_11884pdf target_blank2012 dissertationa emwho must die the state of exception in rwandas genocideem and hera relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecombookshlfrlridlio_cgaaqbajoifndpgpr7dq22whomustdieinrwanda27s22ots0r0whh4jilsigahrtjep63k0freptq_ab5exqvovonepageqschmittffalse target_blank 2015 booka of almost the same title are representative moments in the double shift by which leftists once enamoured of certain strands of radical political theory repurposed it towards the consolidation of a new hegemonic political morality discarding its subversive dimension and making it available to the rightp pin her work on rwanda sinema purports through a handful of incompletely understood concepts drawn chiefly from the writings of carl schmitt and giorgio agamben to discover in the genocide committed in 1994 a generalisable lesson about the importance of the rule of law in its absence she argues the worst sorts of barbarities are possible and indeed likelyp psinemas work has no original insights and hardly any grasp on the theory that supposedly informs it it is however a useful document it sheds in the first place some light on sinema herself a former antiwar radical who is now perhaps the most notorious centrist in congress and who prides herself on a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewrepubliccomarticle163837kyrstensinemabudgetreconciliationdemocrats target_blankupbeat bipartisanshipa expounded in her 2009 book emunite and conquer how to build coalitions that win and lastem for those who would rather dim the lights on sinema an already highlyvisible political personage her invocation of schmitt and agamben offers an opportunity to consider the strange transformation that these theorists work has undergonep pschmitt and agamben in principle should have been uncomfortable reading for sinema the former was an early 20thcentury german legal theorist who attacked liberal democracy and supplied theoretical justification for the nazi regime the latter is a stillliving italian philosopher who used schmitts ideas for his own critique of liberalism launched from the radical left rather than the far right but given sinemas political and intellectual origins on the antiwar left of the early 2000s her choice is less surprising the two thinkers were critical references for activist and academic critics of american power throughout the war on terrorp psince the eighties and nineties schmitt had become first acceptable and then compulsory reading for american political theorists who were taken with what seemed to be his insights into the deficiencies of liberal democracys emphasis on the rule of law and the formal aspects of democratic procedure some thinkers on the left such as chantal mouffe used his ideas to advocate for a reinvigorated form of political democracy that valued frankly acknowledged conflicts over neutral rules and norms this socalled agonism once inspired populist leftist movements in europe but seems to appeal to few american academics after the rise since the first trump campaign of rightwing populism at home norms such as nato and nafta suddenly appealed to leftists who had long critiqued themp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1219201731scaled1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarh5the new public health despotismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawford apdivadiv pwhile some tried to use schmitt to attack liberalism from the left others drawing on agambens interpretation of schmitt argued that the united states was becoming or had become a dangerously illiberal country schmitt had argued infamously that states inevitably find themselves confronted with states of exception situations where legal norms can no longer be applied in such instances some agent must decide what is to be done so that order can be restored and the normal rules can function again schmitt saw this power to make decisions in exceptional circumstances as the essence of sovereignty he argued that liberal democracies oriented towards preserving the rule of law which their leaders and ideologues imagine needs no supplement of sovereign decisionmaking ignore this fact to their perilp pagamben however countered that supposedly liberal states are in fact constantly dealing with states of exception liberals do not in his view periodically confront normless states of exception in crises rather they constantly create these conditions in a series of works including his 1995 emhomo sacer sovereign power and bare lifeem agamben drew on schmitt and foucault to warn that what he saw as the paradigmatic instances of the nazis systematic illegality and inhumanity the concentration camp and the lethal power of doctors over life unworthy of life the disabled mentally handicapped etc were also present at least potentially in democratic states which create their own zones in which law and rights are suspendedp pafter 911 these arguments took on great cogency for many thinkers on the american left the us government appeared to them to be suspending fundamental rights of its citizens through the patriot act which suspended longstanding norms about the limits of state surveillance meanwhile in guantanamo bay the government seemed to consign individuals to a sitespecific state of exception in which the norms governing neither the treatment of prisoners of war nor criminals applied agambens theories did not offer much clear direction on what critics of the apparently normless war on terror might do to oppose the sovereign power of the united states but they did give a moral and philosophical weight to critics sense that the country was on a dangerous slide towards reenacting the worst horrors of the 20th centuryp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202101gettyimages1296052529300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarh5the war on terror returns homeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarspanbyspan will lloydapdivadiv prather than argue as schmitt and agamben did that states of exception necessarily appear or that liberal states continually create them sinema insisted that such situations could be avoided by protecting the rule of law this revealed a basic misunderstanding of her chosen interlocutors arguments schmitt posited that the rule of law is never adequate since states of exception requiring the exercise of sovereignty necessarily appear agamben likewise argued following foucault that liberal states are inherently unable to live up to their own constitutional norms and in their routine exercise of power place certain spaces and persons outside them sinema either with navet or the cunning of stupidity simply wishes the problem away and urges us to follow the rules but while her intellectual inadequacies are her own the lameness of her conclusion reflects a change in the political valence of theoryp pby the mid2010s as sinema was writing leftist opposition to the imperial and illiberal dimensions of american security policy was melting away or moving to the right in the following years fears about terrorism targeted the latter painting american conservatives and the spectre of white supremacy as security threats in much the same rhetoric that had been used to describe islamic terrorist networksp psince the spring of 2020 as agamben has repeatedly observed covid policy has imitated the war on terror in its suspensions of rights and intimated the handing over of political power to medical officials in ways anticipated in emhomo sacerem thus if schmitt and agamben remain relevant for understanding our politics it is in ways that are uncomfortable for the cultural left which now finds itself increasingly running rather than critiquing the machinery of american powerp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1315077280scalede1634220262401copy300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarh5the triumph of americas ruling classh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarspanbyspan jacob siegel apdivadiv pin our presentday sequels to the war on terror the campaigns against racism and covid hegemonic institutions pursue enemies and suspend liberal norms in the name of our psychological and physical wellbeing now in possession of what we might call the commanding heights of the moral economy from which it produces elites and wouldbe elites worldview this left no longer needs to perform radicalnessp pit can assume instead the position of a centre ringed about by benighted ignorant but nevertheless dangerous enemies conservatives the latter are not credited with having specific comprehensible or legitimate objections to the dominant policies and values they are instead imagined as hateful prejudiced enemies of legality science and moral decency that is they are seen not as political foes but as cognitive and moral degenerates in a manner that recalls the way islamic terrorists during the bush era were said to hate america for our freedom and to be full of irrational islamic rage rather than recognised as having a comprehensible set of objections to american policies in the middle eastp pwe should not be surprised to hear pleas for the rule of law and deference for experts from those who once drawing on radical theory revealed the subterfuges and hypocrisies behind liberal norms of legality and objectivity critique like terrorism is a weapon of the weak the powerful claim to defend security reason and morality while those out of power grown clever and cynical from their experience of marginality contest these claims and question whether such things even exist to be defended with the cultural left in the ascendancy the political theory by which it climbed has become a ladder to be thrown away and available to be taken up by the rightp plong after the furore around sinema is forgotten her academic work will glint as one ironic point of light in this vast change in the way liberals and conservatives in america think about themselves and their countryp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thedemocratwhocouldbringdownbidenappcommentsview commentsa

pfor relnoopener hrefhttpseditioncnncom20211021politicskyrstensinemaprimarychallengeindexhtml target_blankliberalsa year kyrsten sinema infuriating politician united states firstterm arizona senator west virginias joe manchin obstructing passage joe bidens 35 trillion social services climate change package reasons manchins stubbornness relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomenvironment2021sep30joemanchinclimatecoalbaronstocks target_blankare knownap pbut sinema enigmatic said demanded 100 billion cuts proposed climate programmes denied office package trimmed 2 trillion refused support accused bent relnoopener hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202110sinemataxeswealthybidenbuildbackbetterrichdemocratssenatehtml target_blankdestructiona biden presidency commentator wrote relnoopener hrefhttpstheinterceptcom20211022kyrstensinemacorporatedemocrats target_blankdeath gripa democratic partyp pin public sinema taciturn trailed harried progressive activists followed relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompolitics20211004kyrstensinemabathroomimmigrationreconciliation target_blankpublic restroomsa tried relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbostonglobecom20211011metroactivistsprotestkyrstensinemamarathonitsunclearifsheran target_blankconfront marathona left understands thinking emwashington postem simply relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompoliticssinemanegotiationsreconciliation202110232341a062335911ec93e2dba2c2c11851_storyhtml target_blankinscrutableaso fury relnoopener hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202110whatdoeskirstensinemawant5theoriesindependentdemocratprimaryhtml target_blanktheorisinga response tell somewhat cryptically instagram relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomkyrstensinemasfuckoffringisthenewireallydontcaredou target_blankfuck offap divdiv pbidens bill maimed sinema regardless happens weeks ahead eventually interest begin fade face aa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcompoliticsarchive202110progressivesprimarykyrstensinemaarizona620422 target_blankprimary challengea ends career senator way look sinema wider longerlasting implications politics political theory obstructionism senatep pin recent years major shifts relationship politics political theory hand number important modern political thinkers relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210525opinionmichelfoucaulthtml target_blankmichel foucaulta perceived american academic activists circles useful necessary ostensibly radical critical leftist politics begun appeal right long rejected hand adherence capitalismfriendly version academics activists politics especially matters culture race sexuality condition membership nearly important institution united states ideas generated thrilling frisson subversion college seminars students teachers time joined common project leftist critique evermore explicit moral centre regime taken opponents rightp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021092gettyimages920388896scaled1300x190jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarh5conservatives need multiculturalismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109conservativesneedmulticulturalismrefinnarspanbyspan blake smithapdivadiv psuch changes traced easily writings thinkers minds mediocrity reflect resist larger trends thinker activist technically scholar sinema holds phd justice studies arizona state university relnoopener hrefhttpsrepositoryasueduattachments93743contenttmppackageqx5pmvsinema_asu_0010e_11884pdf target_blank2012 dissertationa emwho die state exception rwandas genocideem hera relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecombookshlfrlridlio_cgaaqbajoifndpgpr7dq22whomustdieinrwanda27s22ots0r0whh4jilsigahrtjep63k0freptq_ab5exqvovonepageqschmittffalse target_blank 2015 booka title representative moments double shift leftists enamoured certain strands radical political theory repurposed consolidation new hegemonic political morality discarding subversive dimension making available rightp pin work rwanda sinema purports handful incompletely understood concepts drawn chiefly writings carl schmitt giorgio agamben discover genocide committed 1994 generalisable lesson importance rule law absence argues worst sorts barbarities possible likelyp psinemas work original insights hardly grasp theory supposedly informs useful document sheds place light sinema antiwar radical notorious centrist congress prides relnoopener hrefhttpsnewrepubliccomarticle163837kyrstensinemabudgetreconciliationdemocrats target_blankupbeat bipartisanshipa expounded 2009 book emunite conquer build coalitions win lastem dim lights sinema highlyvisible political personage invocation schmitt agamben offers opportunity consider strange transformation theorists work undergonep pschmitt agamben principle uncomfortable reading sinema early 20thcentury german legal theorist attacked liberal democracy supplied theoretical justification nazi regime stillliving italian philosopher schmitts ideas critique liberalism launched radical left far right given sinemas political intellectual origins antiwar left early 2000s choice surprising thinkers critical references activist academic critics american power war terrorp psince eighties nineties schmitt acceptable compulsory reading american political theorists taken insights deficiencies liberal democracys emphasis rule law formal aspects democratic procedure thinkers left chantal mouffe ideas advocate reinvigorated form political democracy valued frankly acknowledged conflicts neutral rules norms socalled agonism inspired populist leftist movements europe appeal american academics rise trump campaign rightwing populism home norms nato nafta suddenly appealed leftists long critiqued themp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1219201731scaled1300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarh5the new public health despotismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thenewcoviddespotismrefinnarspanbyspan matthew crawford apdivadiv pwhile tried use schmitt attack liberalism left drawing agambens interpretation schmitt argued united states dangerously illiberal country schmitt argued infamously states inevitably find confronted states exception situations legal norms longer applied instances agent decide order restored normal rules function schmitt saw power decisions exceptional circumstances essence sovereignty argued liberal democracies oriented preserving rule law leaders ideologues imagine needs supplement sovereign decisionmaking ignore fact perilp pagamben countered supposedly liberal states fact constantly dealing states exception liberals view periodically confront normless states exception crises constantly create conditions series works including 1995 emhomo sacer sovereign power bare lifeem agamben drew schmitt foucault warn saw paradigmatic instances nazis systematic illegality inhumanity concentration camp lethal power doctors life unworthy life disabled mentally handicapped etc present potentially democratic states create zones law rights suspendedp pafter 911 arguments took great cogency thinkers american left government appeared suspending fundamental rights citizens patriot act suspended longstanding norms limits state surveillance guantanamo bay government consign individuals sitespecific state exception norms governing treatment prisoners war criminals applied agambens theories offer clear direction critics apparently normless war terror oppose sovereign power united states moral philosophical weight critics sense country dangerous slide reenacting worst horrors 20th centuryp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202101gettyimages1296052529300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarh5the war terror returns homeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202101thewaronterrorreturnshomerefinnarspanbyspan lloydapdivadiv prather argue schmitt agamben states exception necessarily appear liberal states continually create sinema insisted situations avoided protecting rule law revealed basic misunderstanding chosen interlocutors arguments schmitt posited rule law adequate states exception requiring exercise sovereignty necessarily appear agamben likewise argued following foucault liberal states inherently unable live constitutional norms routine exercise power place certain spaces persons outside sinema navet cunning stupidity simply wishes problem away urges follow rules intellectual inadequacies lameness conclusion reflects change political valence theoryp pby mid2010s sinema writing leftist opposition imperial illiberal dimensions american security policy melting away moving right following years fears terrorism targeted painting american conservatives spectre white supremacy security threats rhetoric describe islamic terrorist networksp psince spring 2020 agamben repeatedly observed covid policy imitated war terror suspensions rights intimated handing political power medical officials ways anticipated emhomo sacerem schmitt agamben remain relevant understanding politics ways uncomfortable cultural left finds increasingly running critiquing machinery american powerp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1315077280scalede1634220262401copy300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarh5the triumph americas ruling classh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetriumphofamericasrulingclassrefinnarspanbyspan jacob siegel apdivadiv pin presentday sequels war terror campaigns racism covid hegemonic institutions pursue enemies suspend liberal norms psychological physical wellbeing possession commanding heights moral economy produces elites wouldbe elites worldview left longer needs perform radicalnessp pit assume instead position centre ringed benighted ignorant dangerous enemies conservatives credited having specific comprehensible legitimate objections dominant policies values instead imagined hateful prejudiced enemies legality science moral decency seen political foes cognitive moral degenerates manner recalls way islamic terrorists bush era said hate america freedom irrational islamic rage recognised having comprehensible set objections american policies middle eastp pwe surprised hear pleas rule law deference experts drawing radical theory revealed subterfuges hypocrisies liberal norms legality objectivity critique like terrorism weapon weak powerful claim defend security reason morality power grown clever cynical experience marginality contest claims question things exist defended cultural left ascendancy political theory climbed ladder thrown away available taken rightp plong furore sinema forgotten academic work glint ironic point light vast change way liberals conservatives america think countryp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thedemocratwhocouldbringdownbidenappcommentsview commentsa

61777849bf3aa0e0e6297784

Parenting isn’t what it used to be

pit is 2am and the baby is screaming and crying in the other room alone in his crib he is inconsolable there have been months of nights like this the new parents have the best intentions but they are at their wits end yanked out of a sleep only recently obtained the babys father pulls himself from bed thaws and warms some of the mothers milk and offers it to his son the baby takes it eagerly and is satisfied but also now very much awake if left he will cryp pand so the father rocks his son back and forth holding him safely with one hand now fully awake himself he pulls out his phone and falls into the abyss his complete attention is on the screen its blue light seeming like a balm but acting like a bomb destroying any natural tiredness the baby unable to find his fathers gaze reaches for the phone the father jarred into consciousness pulls up an animated show created for infants he puts it in his childs view the baby looks he laughs the characters on the screen do not respond the baby frowns he has no friends here it is a long time before he falls back asleepp divdiv pfor all its conveniences the modern age has not removed the challenges of parenting the exhaustion the constant demands the necessary subordination of ones needs in fact in many ways it has intensified them parents lives are busier both with necessary things like work and tempting distractions like instagram and so to get through the night we turn to technological solutions like breast pumps or the expensive advice of a hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercommagazine20210628thepromiseandtheperilofahighpricedsleeptrainersleep trainersa meanwhile we spend our days in front of screens eating food so processed it barely resembles food anymore and so brings less nutrition and more risk into our livesp pin our new book ema huntergatherers guide to the 21supstsup century evolution and the challenges of modern lifeme bret weinstein and i argue that humans are the ultimate generalists with such incredible capacity to create new niches for ourselves that we have created a rate of change even we cannot keep up with and so our brains and bodies are out of step with the 21st century this mismatch has given rise to all sorts of conditions and diseases that would have been unknown in antiquity from the widespread need for orthodontia to obesity a lot of these disorders have their roots in our earliest yearsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021072gettyimages1228826229300x177jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarh5how the sun could wipe us outh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarspanbyspan bret weinsteinapdivadiv pas a species we are social and longlived with generational overlap and long childhoods some other animals are similar to us in these regards elephants and orcas parrots and crows but humans seem to do everything emmoreem we live in larger groups with the longest postreproductive lives and have the longest childhoodsp pif a foal can gallop within a day of its birth why does it take a human baby months just to learn how to roll over childhood is not an error or a waste of time it is when we learn to be human our giant brains and our ability and need to connect with other human beings take years to mature very early we need to be assured of our safety soon after we need to be tested stretched to our limitsp pbut the baby introduced earlier may rarely be taken outside never feeling the sun on his face or experiencing the minor discomfort of being momentarily cold that experience can offer not just valuable evidence that discomfort can be recovered from but also enables the reassuring embrace of his mother as she holds him close warming him protecting him as the baby grows he learns to selfsoothe to a point but on a path that is cleared of all challenges he will not learn what real risk is nor can he know the true depth of his parents love they have so successfully cocooned him including from their own selvesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202012gettyimages930104644300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarh5the dangerous cult of natural childbirthh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarspanbyspan louise perryapdivadiv pimagine a baby from 15000 years ago or 150000 before the advent of farming but after we were fully modern at the anatomical and physiological level we had language and fire and tools were cooking our food living in community exploring ideas around campfires sometime late in that time span we began to make art to hold funerals to have rites of passagep psuch a baby would have been snuggled close in the embrace of family and friends never alone never isolated a baby alone in that environment was at high risk he would have been in actual contact with his mother or another caregiver for most of his early life but as he grew he would have been allowed more and more freedoms he would have watched the older children and played around the fire and handled sharp tools he would not have been completely protected from harm but he also would not have been completely protected from exploration when his body achieved adulthood his mind would too he would be antifragile unlike todays 18yearoldsp pin ema huntergatherers guideem we argue that though modernity has made us healthier in many ways and expanded our minds there are exceptions we do not argue for a return to a simpler time such a prescription has many problems but its also impossible to fulfil but we do argue for some caution in adopting all the modern advances as many of them bring hidden costs which become visible with an evolutionary lensp pdo not expect tiny babies to sleep alone it sends a confusing and terrifying message nobody has your back if you provide utter reassurance while they are tiny that you are there for them then far earlier than their coddled counterparts they will be confident enough to explore on their own to take and manage risks they also sleep better  which means you will toop pdo share parenting as much as possible early on this may mean pumping breast milk to save for later this tool of modernity is so freeing for many women a mothers milk is best for nutritional immunological and bonding reasons but the pressure to provide it at all hours can be a burden sometimes allowing a babys father or another caretaker to provide it is a giftp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201902gettyimages966260894300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarh5our modern parenting is making monstersh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pbut here is an example of where moving away from our ancient ways may have hidden costs what else besides nutrition is stored in that milk theres some evidence that breast milk contains circadian cues if true then milk delivered at 2 am straight from the breast would not only satiate the baby but also send the signal that it is now time to sleep milk expressed at noon in contrast would send the opposite signal when feeding the baby at night then its best to provide nighttime milk it wont hurt and may very well helpp pdo not put screens in front of children especially screens that have animate objects on them as bret and i posit in our book babies and young children who are entertained by screens will learn to flatten their emotional range they do not expect humanoid forms to respond to themp pdo eradicate all blue light from the space where you and your baby sleep early morning sunlight is so very blue and those who are regularly exposed to bright outdoor light early in the day are more productive and more fit than those who are not but expose yourself to blue light late at night when our ancestors would have been gathered around a campfire or navigating by the pale light of the moon and find yourself struggling with sleep and therefore with productivity creativity and healthp pdo feed your children real food tempting though it is to lean on processed meals a healthy person has an incredible diversity of gut flora obtained from the consumption of whole foods with as short a supply chain as possible an unhealthy person ingests shelfstable products containing multisyllabic ingredients synthesised in a lab in house sparrows eating a diet that is out of whack makes the birds slower to learn quicker to anger and generally more stressed what are the chances that humans are completely unlike house sparrows in this regardp pdo move your body and encourage your children to move theirs we are embodied beings our screens may compel us to believe that we are mere brains in jars that can manage to type sarcasm and anger and emojis but we are in fact more and far better than that and it is during our long lovely childhoods that we find out how connected and creative we can bep a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110parentingisntwhatitusedtobeappcommentsview commentsa

pit 2am baby screaming crying room crib inconsolable months nights like new parents best intentions wits end yanked sleep recently obtained babys father pulls bed thaws warms mothers milk offers son baby takes eagerly satisfied awake left cryp pand father rocks son forth holding safely hand fully awake pulls phone falls abyss complete attention screen blue light like balm acting like bomb destroying natural tiredness baby unable find fathers gaze reaches phone father jarred consciousness pulls animated created infants puts childs view baby looks laughs characters screen respond baby frowns friends long time falls asleepp divdiv pfor conveniences modern age removed challenges parenting exhaustion constant demands necessary subordination ones needs fact ways intensified parents lives busier necessary things like work tempting distractions like instagram night turn technological solutions like breast pumps expensive advice hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercommagazine20210628thepromiseandtheperilofahighpricedsleeptrainersleep trainersa spend days screens eating food processed barely resembles food anymore brings nutrition risk livesp pin new book ema huntergatherers guide 21supstsup century evolution challenges modern lifeme bret weinstein argue humans ultimate generalists incredible capacity create new niches created rate change brains bodies step 21st century mismatch given rise sorts conditions diseases unknown antiquity widespread need orthodontia obesity lot disorders roots earliest yearsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021072gettyimages1228826229300x177jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarh5how sun wipe outh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107howthesuncouldwipeusoutrefinnarspanbyspan bret weinsteinapdivadiv pas species social longlived generational overlap long childhoods animals similar regards elephants orcas parrots crows humans emmoreem live larger groups longest postreproductive lives longest childhoodsp pif foal gallop day birth human baby months learn roll childhood error waste time learn human giant brains ability need connect human beings years mature early need assured safety soon need tested stretched limitsp pbut baby introduced earlier rarely taken outside feeling sun face experiencing minor discomfort momentarily cold experience offer valuable evidence discomfort recovered enables reassuring embrace mother holds close warming protecting baby grows learns selfsoothe point path cleared challenges learn real risk know true depth parents love successfully cocooned including selvesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202012gettyimages930104644300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarh5the dangerous cult natural childbirthh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012whychildbirthisabattlegroundrefinnarspanbyspan louise perryapdivadiv pimagine baby 15000 years ago 150000 advent farming fully modern anatomical physiological level language fire tools cooking food living community exploring ideas campfires late time span began art hold funerals rites passagep psuch baby snuggled close embrace family friends isolated baby environment high risk actual contact mother caregiver early life grew allowed freedoms watched older children played fire handled sharp tools completely protected harm completely protected exploration body achieved adulthood mind antifragile unlike todays 18yearoldsp pin ema huntergatherers guideem argue modernity healthier ways expanded minds exceptions argue return simpler time prescription problems impossible fulfil argue caution adopting modern advances bring hidden costs visible evolutionary lensp pdo expect tiny babies sleep sends confusing terrifying message provide utter reassurance tiny far earlier coddled counterparts confident explore manage risks sleep better means toop pdo share parenting possible early mean pumping breast milk save later tool modernity freeing women mothers milk best nutritional immunological bonding reasons pressure provide hours burden allowing babys father caretaker provide giftp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201902gettyimages966260894300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarh5our modern parenting making monstersh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912ourmodernparentingismakingmonsters2refinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pbut example moving away ancient ways hidden costs nutrition stored milk theres evidence breast milk contains circadian cues true milk delivered 2 straight breast satiate baby send signal time sleep milk expressed noon contrast send opposite signal feeding baby night best provide nighttime milk wont hurt helpp pdo screens children especially screens animate objects bret posit book babies young children entertained screens learn flatten emotional range expect humanoid forms respond themp pdo eradicate blue light space baby sleep early morning sunlight blue regularly exposed bright outdoor light early day productive fit expose blue light late night ancestors gathered campfire navigating pale light moon find struggling sleep productivity creativity healthp pdo feed children real food tempting lean processed meals healthy person incredible diversity gut flora obtained consumption foods short supply chain possible unhealthy person ingests shelfstable products containing multisyllabic ingredients synthesised lab house sparrows eating diet whack makes birds slower learn quicker anger generally stressed chances humans completely unlike house sparrows regardp pdo body encourage children theirs embodied beings screens compel believe mere brains jars manage type sarcasm anger emojis fact far better long lovely childhoods find connected creative bep hrefhttpsunherdcom202110parentingisntwhatitusedtobeappcommentsview commentsa

617778abbf3aa0e0e6297788

Netflix and the woke power play

pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20211025netflixandthewokepowerplaynetflix and the woke power playa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

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617778c1bf3aa0e0e629778c

In Defense of Meritocracy

img altin defense of meritocracy srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110examtakingjpgphow should a society allocate its most important lucrative and prestigious positions in most places for most of history the question had a simple answer by heredity monarchs and aristocrats held almost all the societys power and wealth and passed their positions on to their offspring over the last two hundred years a different system came to supplant hereditary privilege the new system distributes positions through evidence of cognitive and intellectual skills as measured by performance on competitive standardized examinations it is called meritocracyppthe first appearance of such a system came a millennium ago in china beginning in the 10supthsup century and lasting until the beginning of the 20supthsup officials in the provinces and at the imperial court were chosen by a protracted and rigorous series of nationwide written examinations candidates had to demonstrate eminter aliaem their mastery of classic chinese texts which was perhaps useful for managing a large landbased asian empire before the modern era but is of dubious relevance to a contemporary industrial societyppmeritocracy came later to the west it became established for the first time with the french revolution one of whose slogansa career open to talentscaptures its essence the sixth article of the revolutions declaration of the rights of man issued in 1789 concisely defined the concept all citizens are equally admissible to all public offices positions and employments according to their capacity and without any other distinction than that of virtues and talentsppsince offices positions and employments had previously been apportioned not according to an individuals talents and virtues but rather by his in the traditional world careers were open only to men birth this was a truly revolutionary development in the 19supthsup and 20supthsup centuries it spread at an uneven pace throughout the western world and beyond competitive national examinations became important rites of passage in great britain france and the united states through the 11plus the baccalaureate and the scholastic aptitude test respectively channeling young people to schools and then onward to prestigious careersppalthough its social economic and political consequences have had a major impact on the modern world the theory and practice of meritocracy has lacked a good historyuntil nowem ema hrefhttpsamznto3m74v3semthe aristocracy of talent how meritocracy made the modern worldema by adrian wooldridge fills that gap the author is an editor and columnist at emthe economistem the influential londonbased weekly magazine that calls itself a newspaper and the coauthor of a number of wellregarded books most recently a hrefhttpsamznto3jttkoremcapitalism in americaema written with the former chairman of the american federal reserve board alan greenspan wooldridges wideranging informative and often provocative book depicts the traditional world in which personal background and connections counted for everything the traces and harbingers of the meritocratic idea that appeared before the french revolution and its progress thereafterppthe traditional way of distributing rewards based on birth which meritocracy largely replaced has been more or less discredited in recent times the proponents of a permanent hereditary dominant aristocracy are scarce and the most visible remnants of the hereditary principle in the west monarchs have lost the political power their ancestors once wielded still meritocracy has not lacked for opposition of various kindsppthe most violent episodes of opposition to it occurred where it began in china in the 19supthsup century a failed examination taker proclaiming that he was a hrefhttpsamznto2zc6ggygods chinese sona led an insurrection that took control of a large part of the country the taiping rebellion as it was called lasted from 1850 to 1864 and claimed twenty million lives the bloodiest conflict ever fought anywhere up to that time in the mid1960s the chinese communist leader mao zedong unleashed the great proletarian cultural revolution in which millions of students attacked people in authority especially teachers schools and universities closed and examinations were suspended mao declared that china should rely on people who were redthat is ideologically ferventrather than experts whom meritocratic procedures had selected the cultural revolution turned the country upside down by some estimates several million people died and millions more had their lives disrupted or ruinedphrpthe west faces its own serious challenges to meritocracy although they are not remotely as violent as those in china wooldridge devotes the last section of his book to these western challenges three in particular are worth notingppfirst throughout the west the meritocratic system has displayed a tendency to become sclerotic entrenching elites rather than refreshing them people who rise to the top have found ways to use their positions to assure success for their offspring for example sending them to rigorous preparatory schools too costly for most parents to afford and not numerous enough to serve the entire population at the same time climbing up the meritocratic ladder has become more difficult in this way meritocracy is not functioning as it is designed to doppsecond meritocracy has increasingly become associated with economic inequality meritocratic systems are not and are not designed to be egalitarian in every way while they do provide equal opportunity unequal outcomes invariably result because people have different talents and abilities some will do better than others but the winners will earn their success through their own efforts and that success at least in theory will benefit society as a whole since the bestqualified people will fill the most important positionsppover the last four decades in the west the system has worked more or less as intended in that the most proficient exam takers have obtained the most remunerative positions because of the way both national economies and the global economy have evolved however the gap between the most affluent segment of society and all the rest has widened sharplyppeconomic inequality has reached levels unseen for more than a hundred years this has generated popular resentment at the economically successful and therefore at the social practices to which they owe their success wooldridge considers that resentment in combination with the calcification of the meritocratic process and other developments to be responsible for the upsurge of populism in the western world over the past decade that brought donald trump and other previously unlikely figures to power and caused great britain to leave the european unionpdiv span datapullquotemeritocratic systems are not designed to be egalitarian in every wayspan divpfinally especially in the united states but in other countries as well meritocracy faces opposition on the grounds that it is unrepresentative in that the pool of winners it yields does not contain the numbers of people from some groups that is proportional to these groups share of the total population it follows according to this criticism that offices positions and employments should be allocated according to ethnic and racial group membership rather than by individual merit as measured by tests this proposition has for several decades influenced the admissions policies of americas selective institutions of higher education it has spread to the wider society and it plays an increasing role in the public policies of the democratic party it brings with it three considerable drawbacksppfirst it relinquishes one of the achievements that meritocracy at its best confers economic efficiency and material progress there is something to be said for a police force having at least some members from the racial and ethnic groups for which it has responsibility regardless of test scores there is far less to be said for selecting neurosurgeons or virologists on the basis of their race or ethnicity indeed a society that does so consistently has every chance of degrading its neurophysiological health and retarding the development of therapies for diseases such as the coronavirus it is no accident that china built the secondlargest economy in the world to the benefit of hundreds of millions of poor chinese and placed itself on the cutting edge of technological innovation only when it abandoned the maoist system of allocating positions and embracedagainmeritocracyppin addition since as wooldridge notes meritocracy is associated with rapid economic growth abandoning it is likely to make societies that do so less wealthy and because east asian countries have become the most enthusiastic practitioners of selection by merit they will become not only wealthier but also in the case of china more powerful than the westphrpthe flight from meritocracy also has the perverse and ironic consequence of restoring the system of allocating positions that over the decades meritocracy supplanted apportionment by group membership gives pride of place once again to heredityalbeit ethnic and racialrather than achievement the antimeritocratic policies of recent years in fact restore to a prominent social role the hereditary principle that dominated traditional europe the overthrow of which was regarded in the west as a powerful and welcome sign of progress they also violate one of the central precepts of western public life namely that people should be judged and treated as individuals in the name of what its advocates call social justice therefore racial and ethnic quotas reinstate a practice that western societies over the course of several centuries had come virtually unanimously to consider emunemjustppfinally a policy of allocating positions and opportunities by group membership threatens to turn the societies and economies of the countries that adopt it into racial and ethnic spoils systems with each constituent group striving to elbow aside all the others this is a recipe for the kind of bitter conflict based on tribalism that plagues much of the world but which western societies have managed for the most part to avoid since world war iippto be sure the practice of meritbased selection does not work perfectly in western countries and at the end of his book the author offers some useful suggestions for improving it in particular to make it fairer his principal conclusion however is that the best way forward lies in treating people as individuals rather than as members of groups [and] in distributing opportunities and jobs on the basis of ability and achievementppthe evidence that wooldridge assembles in his book supports that conclusion emthe aristocracy of talentem makes a persuasive case that as a way of allocating positions and opportunities meritocracy deserves the assessment that winston churchill made of democracy the worst system except for all the others that have been triedppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthormichaelmandelbaumemstrongmichael mandelbaumstrongemaem is the christian a herter professor emeritus of american foreign policy at the johns hopkins school of advanced international studies a member of the editorial board of emamerican purposeem and author of ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrisefallpeaceearthdp0190935936refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsmichaelmandelbaumtheriseandqid1605540450sbookssr11customerreviewsthe rise and fall of peace on earthaem 2019emppemimage by albeiro rodas public domain httpscommonswikimediaorgwindexphpcurid3474875emp

img altin defense meritocracy srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110examtakingjpgphow society allocate important lucrative prestigious positions places history question simple answer heredity monarchs aristocrats held societys power wealth passed positions offspring years different system came supplant hereditary privilege new system distributes positions evidence cognitive intellectual skills measured performance competitive standardized examinations called meritocracyppthe appearance system came millennium ago china beginning 10supthsup century lasting beginning 20supthsup officials provinces imperial court chosen protracted rigorous series nationwide written examinations candidates demonstrate eminter aliaem mastery classic chinese texts useful managing large landbased asian empire modern era dubious relevance contemporary industrial societyppmeritocracy came later west established time french revolution slogansa career open talentscaptures essence sixth article revolutions declaration rights man issued 1789 concisely defined concept citizens equally admissible public offices positions employments according capacity distinction virtues talentsppsince offices positions employments previously apportioned according individuals talents virtues traditional world careers open men birth truly revolutionary development 19supthsup 20supthsup centuries spread uneven pace western world competitive national examinations important rites passage great britain france united states 11plus baccalaureate scholastic aptitude test respectively channeling young people schools onward prestigious careersppalthough social economic political consequences major impact modern world theory practice meritocracy lacked good historyuntil nowem ema hrefhttpsamznto3m74v3semthe aristocracy talent meritocracy modern worldema adrian wooldridge fills gap author editor columnist emthe economistem influential londonbased weekly magazine calls newspaper coauthor number wellregarded books recently hrefhttpsamznto3jttkoremcapitalism americaema written chairman american federal reserve board alan greenspan wooldridges wideranging informative provocative book depicts traditional world personal background connections counted traces harbingers meritocratic idea appeared french revolution progress thereafterppthe traditional way distributing rewards based birth meritocracy largely replaced discredited recent times proponents permanent hereditary dominant aristocracy scarce visible remnants hereditary principle west monarchs lost political power ancestors wielded meritocracy lacked opposition kindsppthe violent episodes opposition occurred began china 19supthsup century failed examination taker proclaiming hrefhttpsamznto2zc6ggygods chinese sona led insurrection took control large country taiping rebellion called lasted 1850 1864 claimed million lives bloodiest conflict fought time mid1960s chinese communist leader mao zedong unleashed great proletarian cultural revolution millions students attacked people authority especially teachers schools universities closed examinations suspended mao declared china rely people redthat ideologically ferventrather experts meritocratic procedures selected cultural revolution turned country upside estimates million people died millions lives disrupted ruinedphrpthe west faces challenges meritocracy remotely violent china wooldridge devotes section book western challenges particular worth notingppfirst west meritocratic system displayed tendency sclerotic entrenching elites refreshing people rise found ways use positions assure success offspring example sending rigorous preparatory schools costly parents afford numerous serve entire population time climbing meritocratic ladder difficult way meritocracy functioning designed doppsecond meritocracy increasingly associated economic inequality meritocratic systems designed egalitarian way provide equal opportunity unequal outcomes invariably result people different talents abilities better winners earn success efforts success theory benefit society bestqualified people fill important positionsppover decades west system worked intended proficient exam takers obtained remunerative positions way national economies global economy evolved gap affluent segment society rest widened sharplyppeconomic inequality reached levels unseen years generated popular resentment economically successful social practices owe success wooldridge considers resentment combination calcification meritocratic process developments responsible upsurge populism western world past decade brought donald trump previously unlikely figures power caused great britain leave european unionpdiv span datapullquotemeritocratic systems designed egalitarian wayspan divpfinally especially united states countries meritocracy faces opposition grounds unrepresentative pool winners yields contain numbers people groups proportional groups share total population follows according criticism offices positions employments allocated according ethnic racial group membership individual merit measured tests proposition decades influenced admissions policies americas selective institutions higher education spread wider society plays increasing role public policies democratic party brings considerable drawbacksppfirst relinquishes achievements meritocracy best confers economic efficiency material progress said police force having members racial ethnic groups responsibility regardless test scores far said selecting neurosurgeons virologists basis race ethnicity society consistently chance degrading neurophysiological health retarding development therapies diseases coronavirus accident china built secondlargest economy world benefit hundreds millions poor chinese placed cutting edge technological innovation abandoned maoist system allocating positions embracedagainmeritocracyppin addition wooldridge notes meritocracy associated rapid economic growth abandoning likely societies wealthy east asian countries enthusiastic practitioners selection merit wealthier case china powerful westphrpthe flight meritocracy perverse ironic consequence restoring system allocating positions decades meritocracy supplanted apportionment group membership gives pride place heredityalbeit ethnic racialrather achievement antimeritocratic policies recent years fact restore prominent social role hereditary principle dominated traditional europe overthrow regarded west powerful welcome sign progress violate central precepts western public life people judged treated individuals advocates social justice racial ethnic quotas reinstate practice western societies course centuries come virtually unanimously consider emunemjustppfinally policy allocating positions opportunities group membership threatens turn societies economies countries adopt racial ethnic spoils systems constituent group striving elbow aside recipe kind bitter conflict based tribalism plagues world western societies managed avoid world war iippto sure practice meritbased selection work perfectly western countries end book author offers useful suggestions improving particular fairer principal conclusion best way forward lies treating people individuals members groups [and] distributing opportunities jobs basis ability achievementppthe evidence wooldridge assembles book supports conclusion emthe aristocracy talentem makes persuasive case way allocating positions opportunities meritocracy deserves assessment winston churchill democracy worst system triedppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthormichaelmandelbaumemstrongmichael mandelbaumstrongemaem christian herter professor emeritus american foreign policy johns hopkins school advanced international studies member editorial board emamerican purposeem author ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrisefallpeaceearthdp0190935936refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsmichaelmandelbaumtheriseandqid1605540450sbookssr11customerreviewsthe rise fall peace earthaem 2019emppemimage albeiro rodas public domain httpscommonswikimediaorgwindexphpcurid3474875emp

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The economic consequences of the Opium War

pthat is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29404fromrss target_blanka new nber working papera by wolfgang keller and caroline h shiue here is the abstractp blockquotepthis paper studies the economic consequences of the wests foray into china after the opium war 183942 when western colonial influence was introduced in dozens of socalled treaty ports we document a turnaround during the 19th century in the nature of chinas capital markets whereas before the opium war coastal cities were of relatively minor importance the treaty port system of the west transformed china into an economy focused on coastal areas and on international trade that aligned with the trading interests of the west we show first that the west had a positive impact on chinas economy during the 19th century it brought down local interest rates and regions under western influence exhibited both higher rates of industry growth and technology adoption second the geographic scope of influence went far beyond the ports impacting most of china interest rates fell by more than a quarter in the immediate vicinity of the ports and still by almost ten percent at distances of 450 kilometers from treaty ports the development of china was not simply propelled by its own pre1800 history or by post1978 reforms the nearly 100 years of semicolonization have shaped chinas economy today as one focused on the coastal areaspblockquote pas both alex and i have said before economics is still a discipline where you can put forward nonpc results without being destroyed for itp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110theeconomicconsequencesoftheopiumwarhtmlthe economic consequences of the opium wara appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29404fromrss target_blanka new nber working papera wolfgang keller caroline h shiue abstractp blockquotepthis paper studies economic consequences wests foray china opium war 183942 western colonial influence introduced dozens socalled treaty ports document turnaround 19th century nature chinas capital markets opium war coastal cities relatively minor importance treaty port system west transformed china economy focused coastal areas international trade aligned trading interests west west positive impact chinas economy 19th century brought local interest rates regions western influence exhibited higher rates industry growth technology adoption second geographic scope influence went far ports impacting china interest rates fell quarter immediate vicinity ports percent distances 450 kilometers treaty ports development china simply propelled pre1800 history post1978 reforms nearly 100 years semicolonization shaped chinas economy today focused coastal areaspblockquote pas alex said economics discipline forward nonpc results destroyed itp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110theeconomicconsequencesoftheopiumwarhtmlthe economic consequences opium wara appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Garry Kasparov: From Communism's Last Chess Champion to Freedom Fighter

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgarry kasparov srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpg height675 picture div pthe soviet union collapsed 30 years ago in part because its governmentrun economy was incapable of producing the blue jeans cigarettes and automobiles that its citizens wantedp pwhat it was great at was producing champion chess playersp pspanfrom the end of world war ii until the evil empire dissolved in 1991 all but one world championthe american bobby fischerrepresented the ussrspanp pspannone was better than a hrefhttpswwwkasparovcomgarry kasparova who became world champion in 1985 at the recordsetting age of 22 widely considered the greatest chess player in modern history he held that title for 15 yearsspanp pspanas a chess prodigy he traveled abroad for competitions and describes youthful trips to france and germany as nothing short of revelatory the casual quotabundancequot of what used to be called quotthe free worldquot quotjust felt differentquot he says beyond the iron curtain he encountered the anticommunist works of george orwell and was able to read exiled dissident aleksandr solzhenitsyns suppressed indictments of totalitarianismspanp pspanas the 80s progressed he publicly questioned the soviet system in 1990 he joined the democratic party of russia and became increasingly outspoken in favor of human rights representative democracy and limited government spanp pspanin postsoviet russia he used his celebrity and influence to spearhead attempts to build civil society and conduct fair elections emerging as a critic of russian leader vladimir putin by the early 2010s he had been arrested for participating in unauthorized antigovernment demonstrations and was widely believed to be the author of a popular petition demanding putins resignationspanp pspanas chairman of the a hrefhttpshrforghuman rights foundationa kasparov continues to lobby for freedom in the former soviet union and beyond in september spanispanreasonspanispan spoke with the chess grandmaster in new york about what it was like to be the beneficiary of a catastrophically failed system and what lessons the worldespecially american democratic socialistsshould remember three decades after the collapse of the soviet unionspanp peminterview by nick gillespie cameras by jim epstein and kevin alexander edited by ian keyser intro and graphics by isaac reese production assistance by regan tayloremp pemmusic credit quotelevationquot by stanley gurvich via artlistemp pemphoto credits julian dufort design picsnewscom sovfoto universal images groupnewscom tasszuma pressnewscom kpazumapressnewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom karpov sergeiitartassabacanewscom karpov sergeiitartassabacanewscom novoderezhkin antonitartassabacanewscom keystone pictures usazuma pressnewscom sergei karpukhinreutersnewscom stringerrussiareutersnewscom photoshotnewscom staffreutersnewscom tasszuma pressnewscom cornelia guspicturealliance dpanewscom mirrorpixnewscom siegfried pilzunited archivesrobanewscom united archives schweigmannunited archivesrobanewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom akgimagesnewscom akgimagesnewscom fine art images heritage imagesnewscom arnie sachscnp mega newscomrssilnewscom bert verhoffpictures from historynewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom alexander demianchukzumapressnewscom rob croesanefo wwwkremlinru david shankbone wikimedia commons gerhard hund wikimedia commons gfhund wikimedia commons owen williams wikimedia commons petar miloevi wikimedia commons rob croes anefo wikimedia commons ivan simochkin wikimedia commonsemp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgarry kasparov srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202110kasparov_thumb_v02800x450jpg height675 picture div pthe soviet union collapsed 30 years ago governmentrun economy incapable producing blue jeans cigarettes automobiles citizens wantedp pwhat great producing champion chess playersp pspanfrom end world war ii evil empire dissolved 1991 world championthe american bobby fischerrepresented ussrspanp pspannone better hrefhttpswwwkasparovcomgarry kasparova world champion 1985 recordsetting age 22 widely considered greatest chess player modern history held title 15 yearsspanp pspanas chess prodigy traveled abroad competitions describes youthful trips france germany short revelatory casual quotabundancequot called quotthe free worldquot quotjust felt differentquot says iron curtain encountered anticommunist works george orwell able read exiled dissident aleksandr solzhenitsyns suppressed indictments totalitarianismspanp pspanas 80s progressed publicly questioned soviet system 1990 joined democratic party russia increasingly outspoken favor human rights representative democracy limited governmentspanp pspanin postsoviet russia celebrity influence spearhead attempts build civil society conduct fair elections emerging critic russian leader vladimir putin early 2010s arrested participating unauthorized antigovernment demonstrations widely believed author popular petition demanding putins resignationspanp pspanas chairman hrefhttpshrforghuman rights foundationa kasparov continues lobby freedom soviet union september spanispanreasonspanispan spoke chess grandmaster new york like beneficiary catastrophically failed system lessons worldespecially american democratic socialistsshould remember decades collapse soviet unionspanp peminterview nick gillespie cameras jim epstein kevin alexander edited ian keyser intro graphics isaac reese production assistance regan tayloremp pemmusic credit quotelevationquot stanley gurvich artlistemp pemphoto credits julian dufort design picsnewscom sovfoto universal images groupnewscom tasszuma pressnewscom kpazumapressnewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom karpov sergeiitartassabacanewscom karpov sergeiitartassabacanewscom novoderezhkin antonitartassabacanewscom keystone pictures usazuma pressnewscom sergei karpukhinreutersnewscom stringerrussiareutersnewscom photoshotnewscom staffreutersnewscom tasszuma pressnewscom cornelia guspicturealliance dpanewscom mirrorpixnewscom siegfried pilzunited archivesrobanewscom united archives schweigmannunited archivesrobanewscom keystone pictures usazumapressnewscom akgimagesnewscom akgimagesnewscom fine art images heritage imagesnewscom arnie sachscnp mega newscomrssilnewscom bert verhoffpictures historynewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom antonello nuscapolarisnewscom alexander demianchukzumapressnewscom rob croesanefo wwwkremlinru david shankbone wikimedia commons gerhard hund wikimedia commons gfhund wikimedia commons owen williams wikimedia commons petar miloevi wikimedia commons rob croes anefo wikimedia commons ivan simochkin wikimedia commonsemp

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Do you want one of the best jobs in the world?

pare you an accomplished pediatrics researcher wellestablished in her or his career who has considerable experience leading researchers and research teams and executing programmatic initiatives do you have a commitment to policyrelevant research and are you energized by the possibilities of cultivating and sustaining productive relationships with faculty and staff external research collaborators funders operational partners and other key stakeholders do you have an interest in pediatric health services informatics patientcentered outcomes research comparative effectiveness research and translational research including organizing and financing of care clinical evaluation and outcomes research monitoring and accountability clinical decision making populations and communities artificial intelligence data science and analytics and provider and consumer behaviorp pwould you like a hrefhttpsindianapeopleadmincompostings11624the best job in the worldap pok clearly im biased but here in the department of pediatrics at indiana university school of medicine were looking for someone with vision thought leadership intellectual curiosity integrity excellence and research expertise to start as the associate director for two key divisions childrens health services research and the center for pediatric and adolescent comparative effectiveness research help merge them and then take over as directorp pmy first job was in chsr and i later founded and became director of pacer the current director of chsr sarah wiehe and i want to do a planned transitionmerger of these very successful groups helping to hand over leadership to the new add while we step back and focus on new roles sarah coruns our ctsi and in addition to other jobs im now chief health officer for iup pi cant stress enough that youd be taking over two groups that are extremely successful in their own rights the merged group will be a powerhouse the department of pediatrics couldnt be in better shape this position and the center would be extremely well resourced and set up for successp pa hrefhttpsindianapeopleadmincompostings11624here is the official job postinga we are looking for someone in the associatefull professor range and although it should go without saying ill say it anywayp blockquotepas the nations largest medical school spaniusmspan is committed to being an institution that not only reflects the diversity of the learners we teach and the patient populations we serve but also pursues the values of diversity equity and inclusion that inform academic excellence we desire candidates who enhance our representational diversity as well as those whose work contributes to equitable and inclusive learning and working environments for our students staff and faculty spaniusmspan strives to take an antiracist stance regularly evaluating and updating its policies procedures and practices to confer equitable opportunities for contribution and advancement for all members of our community we invite individuals who will join us in our mission to advance racial equity to transform health and wellbeing for all throughout the state of indianapblockquote pwhen i moved to indiana 18 years ago i had never lived in the midwest i thought id be here five years and leave im still here many years later largely because this is just the absolute best place to work this job will be one of the best there youd be foolish not to consider itp pquestions email or dm mep pa hrefhttpstwittercomaaronecarrollaaronecarrollapthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressdoyouwantoneofthebestjobsintheworlddo you want one of the best jobs in the worlda first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

pare accomplished pediatrics researcher wellestablished career considerable experience leading researchers research teams executing programmatic initiatives commitment policyrelevant research energized possibilities cultivating sustaining productive relationships faculty staff external research collaborators funders operational partners key stakeholders interest pediatric health services informatics patientcentered outcomes research comparative effectiveness research translational research including organizing financing care clinical evaluation outcomes research monitoring accountability clinical decision making populations communities artificial intelligence data science analytics provider consumer behaviorp pwould like hrefhttpsindianapeopleadmincompostings11624the best job worldap pok clearly im biased department pediatrics indiana university school medicine looking withvision thought leadership intellectual curiosity integrity excellence research expertise start associate director key divisions childrens health services research center pediatric adolescent comparative effectiveness research help merge directorp pmy job chsr later founded director pacer current director chsr sarah wiehe want planned transitionmerger successful groups helping hand leadership new add step focus new roles sarah coruns ctsi addition jobs im chief health officer iup pi cant stress youd taking groups extremely successful rights merged group powerhouse department pediatrics couldnt better shape position center extremely resourced set successp pa hrefhttpsindianapeopleadmincompostings11624here official job postinga looking associatefull professor range saying ill anywayp blockquotepas nations largest medical schoolspaniusmspanis committed institution reflects diversity learners teach patient populations serve pursues values diversity equity inclusion inform academic excellence desire candidates enhance representational diversity work contributes equitable inclusive learning working environments students staff facultyspaniusmspanstrives antiracist stance regularly evaluating updating policies procedures practices confer equitable opportunities contribution advancement members community invite individuals join mission advance racial equity transform health wellbeing state indianapblockquote pwhen moved indiana 18 years ago lived midwest thought id years leave im years later largely absolute best place work job best youd foolish consider itp pquestions email dm mep pa hrefhttpstwittercomaaronecarrollaaronecarrollapthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressdoyouwantoneofthebestjobsintheworlddo want best jobs worlda appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

6177798fbf3aa0e0e62977ac

The tax on unrealized capital gains

pmaybe i dont understand how the supposed plan is supposed to work  there is no tax credit for unrealized capital losses right  so you wont want to hold volatile asset classes any more right  imagine the value going up you pay some tax and then the value falls and you move into loss territory  you still paid the tax  you get nothing back  by exactly how much do the prices of these assets have to fall ex ante so that holding them is a good idea in the first place  or maybe the wealthy investors subject to this tax are not significant enough to on their own move market prices in which cases they are just pushed out of these very risk asset classesp pif you emcanem deduct unrealized losses just how much revenue will the bill raise  might the wealthy be incentized to hold ever yet riskier assets in that case  and how will debt assets be treated  what exactly is equity anyway  do all options and derivatives positions have to be considered as well  if not there is a massive arbitrage opportunity hold some assets with a big chance to take losses but hedge your position with derivativesp phas anyone estimated all this and figured it out  should we pass such a tax bill without such estimates and public debate  isnt that kind of democracy good  what would the party of science sayp pwhat am i missing herep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thetaxonunrealizedcapitalgainshtmlthe tax on unrealized capital gainsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pmaybe dont understand supposed plan supposed work tax credit unrealized capital losses right wont want hold volatile asset classes right imagine value going pay tax value falls loss territory paid tax exactly prices assets fall ex ante holding good idea place maybe wealthy investors subject tax significant market prices cases pushed risk asset classesp pif emcanem deduct unrealized losses revenue bill raise wealthy incentized hold riskier assets case debt assets treated exactly equity options derivatives positions considered massive arbitrage opportunity hold assets big chance losses hedge position derivativesp phas estimated figured pass tax bill estimates public debate isnt kind democracy good party science sayp pwhat missing herep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thetaxonunrealizedcapitalgainshtmlthe tax unrealized capital gainsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61777a09bf3aa0e0e62977b2

We Have a Diversity Bureaucracy. In the Wake of Yale Law Brouhaha, Prominent Scholars Say We Need A Free Speech Bureaucracy Too

pimg width736 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202110rsz_gettyimages1042045118jpg height514ppin 2015 yale university became ground zero for debates over free speech in higher education after an email about halloween costumes sparked months of protests against yales alleged racism university president peter salovey took to the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesyalebelievesinfreespeechandsodoi1476745961 target_blankpages of the emwall street journalema to assure the public of his commitment to academic freedomp pquotin the course of all the events and discussions of the past yearquot salovey wrote in the 2016 oped quotthe yale administration did not criticize discipline or dismiss a single member of its faculty staff or student body for expressing an opinionquotp pbut when yale law school a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountdid two of those things last monthaadministrators publicly criticized a student for what the university now says was protected speech and subjected him to a process many professors consider disciplinarysalovey was silentp psalovey did not respond to a request for comment about the administrators conduct but as news of the incident has spread the chorus of outrage has grown louder and more diverse from progressive law professors to conservative senators luminaries across the political spectrum are saying yale has gone too farand some are calling for consequences including the firing of administrators and revocation of federal fundsp pquotwhen things like this happen there should be a formal investigation and disciplinary proceedingsquot said princeton universitys robert george quotif after a full and fair hearing administrators are found guilty of violating free speech or other academic freedom rights of students or faculty they should be dismissed until this begins to happen you can expect more of thisquotp parkansas senator tom cotton r went so far as to threaten yales federal fundingp pquotim sadly not surprised that yale law is full of humorless petty tyrants trying to punish conservatives for harmless jokesquot cotton told the emwashington free beaconem quotif these schools want to keep getting federal funds they should focus on teaching the law and protect the free speech of their studentsquotp pbut such consequences are unlikely legal scholars told the emfree beaconem because it is the threat of losing federal funds that motivates censorship in the first place though private schools like yale are not bound by the first amendment they are bound by civil rights laws that forbid discrimination and harassment that means they have an incentive to flout their own speech protections whenever a student registers offense no matter how trivial the incident may seemp pquotuniversities are not punished for stifling free speechquot said david bernstein a constitutional historian at george masons antonin scalia law school quotthey are punished for allowing harassmentquotp pthe result has been a large and growing imbalance of bureaucratic power within elite institutions which rely on a sprawling diversity apparatus to shield themselves from liabilityp pquotevery university and big corporation is now incentivized to have a bureaucracy dedicated to handling harassment complaintsquot bernstein told the emfree beaconem quotthe problem is you dont have a counterbalancing first amendment or free speech bureaucracyquotin part because theres no legal incentive to set one upp pthe fruits of that asymmetry have disturbed even progressive professors nicholas christakis a sociologist at yale and a selfdescribed quotleftyquot said that quotthe university has no business policing the expression of its studentsquot and called on yale to apologize for the quotshameful episodequotp pmartha nussbaum a leftwing legal theorist at the university of chicago said it quotwould be appalling and chillingquot for any administrator to suggest that quotthe federalist society is per se racistquot as yale law school diversity director yassen eldik alleged nussbaums chicago colleague brian leiterwho has a relnoopener hrefhttpscrowewisceduwpcontentuploadssites313202003updatedcrowedebatebookletpdf target_blankargueda america is quotdoomedquot if it does not embrace socialismagreed telling the emfree beaconem that quotyale has some serious academic freedom and free expression problemsquotp pthese problems have persisted in spite of yales official policies which a relnoopener hrefhttpsyalecollegeyaleedugetknowyalecollegeofficedeanreportsreportcommitteefreedomexpressionyale target_blankprotecta speech quotdeemed irresponsible offensive unscholarly or untruequot the issue bernstein said is that allegations of harassment tend to have more teeth than allegations of censorship yale doesnt pay bureaucrats to enforce its free speech policies it does pay them as bernstein put it quotto listen to anyones harassment complaint no matter how puerile it may seemquotp pthat solicitousness isnt just a function of campus culture but also of the way courts and government agencies have interpreted civil rights laws over the past three decades to qualify as quotharassmentquot the supreme court a relnoopener hrefhttpscoffieldlawcommeritorsavingsbankvvinsonsexualharassmentisunlawfuldiscrimination target_blankruleda in 1986 conduct must be quotsufficiently severe or pervasivequot to create an quotabusivequot environment while exacting in theory this standard has proven elastic in practiceeventually coming to encompass symbols memes and viewpoints that many regard as protected speechp pquotcases from the 80s and 90s defined harassment pretty narrowlyquot said eugene volokh a first amendment scholar at the university of california los angeles school of law but over time harassment started quotexpanding to things that people perceive as expressing racist viewpoints and then to things with a connotation that some people find offensivequotp pin 2013 for example the equal employment opportunity commission a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnewsvolokhconspiracywp20140828illegalhostileworkenvironmentharassmentforcoworkerstowearconfederateflagtshirts target_blanksaida that displaying a confederate flag could constitute harassment under the civil rights act and in 2016 a jewish man successfully sued his employer over a training video that used the a relnoopener hrefhttpsknowyourmemecommemeshitlersdownfallparodies target_blankquothitler bunkerquot video memea in which hitler was parodically portrayed as the ceo of a rival companyp pthat concept creep has been accelerated by an activist tendency to conflate speech with violence quotwhen i was writing about harassment law 20 years agoquot bernstein recalled quotthe claim was that racist language is harmful and harm has to be balanced against free speech now the claim is that racist speech is the equivalent of violence so you dont have to balance anymorequotp pthe yale law brouhaha is the latest example of how the harassment bureaucracy can undermine free speech trent colbert a secondyear law student had invited classmates to a happy hour at his quottrap housequot a term administrators said elicited nine quotdiscrimination and harassmentquot complaints in under 12 hours summoned to the law schools office of student affairs colbert was also informed that his membership in the conservative federalist society had quottriggeredquot his peersp pwhen colbert refused to issue a predrafted apology the schools quotdiscrimination and harassment coordinatorsquot sent out an email on sept 16 that quotcondemn[ed]quot colberts quotracistquot message quotin the strongest possible termsquot the next day yale law associate dean ellen cosgrove and diversity director yaseen eldik implied that the students behavior could cause trouble with the barp pfor volokh the most concerning thing about colberts case is the precedent it sets for political discourse in elite law schoolsp pquotyale is sending the message that referring to popeyes chicken and trap house might be punishable and maybe even illegalquot volokh said noting that it was the schools discrimination and harassment coordinators who publicly condemned colberts party invite quotif harassment can be something as mild as that then expressing views some find offensive will be even more clearly harassmentquotp ptaken to its logical conclusion volokh added such reasoning would preclude any discussion of controversial topics like race and crimep pall this suggests that the colbert saga isnt just a preview of what will happen when todays students become tomorrows judges it is also a reflection of what has already happened to the lawp pthat transformation can chill speech even when allegations of harassment are ultimately dismissed as they were in colberts case quotregardless of the results of the processquot bernstein said quotgoing through the process itself is a huge harmquotp psuch processes have widened the gap between the purpose and structure of yale law school which alums say is becoming a mechanism of conformityp pquotthe only reason this institution exists is to promote interesting thinkingquot said jd vance a senate primary candidate in ohio and alum of yale law quotwhat it actually does is train people to be boring and provincial thinkers who harass other people for having original thoughtsquotp peven more liberal alums of the school including above the law founder david lat share vances concerns lat a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1450309615380570113 target_blanktweeteda that quotthe intellectual environment at yale law school right now is extremely hostile to conservativesquotp pquotif a conservative or libertarian law student asked me if they should go to yale law todayquot lat a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1450309613862146050 target_blanksaida quoti would have to think long and hard about my answerquotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuswehaveadiversitybureaucracyinthewakeofyalelawbrouhahaprominentscholarssayweneedafreespeechbureaucracytoowe have a diversity bureaucracy in the wake of yale law brouhaha prominent scholars say we need a free speech bureaucracy tooa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width736 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202110rsz_gettyimages1042045118jpg height514ppin 2015 yale university ground zero debates free speech higher education email halloween costumes sparked months protests yales alleged racism university president peter salovey took relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesyalebelievesinfreespeechandsodoi1476745961 target_blankpages emwall street journalema assure public commitment academic freedomp pquotin course events discussions past yearquot salovey wrote 2016 oped quotthe yale administration criticize discipline dismiss single member faculty staff student body expressing opinionquotp pbut yale law school hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountdid things monthaadministrators publicly criticized student university says protected speech subjected process professors consider disciplinarysalovey silentp psalovey respond request comment administrators conduct news incident spread chorus outrage grown louder diverse progressive law professors conservative senators luminaries political spectrum saying yale gone farand calling consequences including firing administrators revocation federal fundsp pquotwhen things like happen formal investigation disciplinary proceedingsquot said princeton universitys robert george quotif fair hearing administrators found guilty violating free speech academic freedom rights students faculty dismissed begins happen expect thisquotp parkansas senator tom cotton r went far threaten yales federal fundingp pquotim sadly surprised yale law humorless petty tyrants trying punish conservatives harmless jokesquot cotton told emwashington free beaconem quotif schools want getting federal funds focus teaching law protect free speech studentsquotp pbut consequences unlikely legal scholars told emfree beaconem threat losing federal funds motivates censorship place private schools like yale bound amendment bound civil rights laws forbid discrimination harassment means incentive flout speech protections student registers offense matter trivial incident seemp pquotuniversities punished stifling free speechquot said david bernstein constitutional historian george masons antonin scalia law school quotthey punished allowing harassmentquotp pthe result large growing imbalance bureaucratic power elite institutions rely sprawling diversity apparatus shield liabilityp pquotevery university big corporation incentivized bureaucracy dedicated handling harassment complaintsquot bernstein told emfree beaconem quotthe problem dont counterbalancing amendment free speech bureaucracyquotin theres legal incentive set upp pthe fruits asymmetry disturbed progressive professors nicholas christakis sociologist yale selfdescribed quotleftyquot said quotthe university business policing expression studentsquot called yale apologize quotshameful episodequotp pmartha nussbaum leftwing legal theorist university chicago said quotwould appalling chillingquot administrator suggest quotthe federalist society se racistquot yale law school diversity director yassen eldik alleged nussbaums chicago colleague brian leiterwho relnoopener hrefhttpscrowewisceduwpcontentuploadssites313202003updatedcrowedebatebookletpdf target_blankargueda america quotdoomedquot embrace socialismagreed telling emfree beaconem quotyale academic freedom free expression problemsquotp pthese problems persisted spite yales official policies relnoopener hrefhttpsyalecollegeyaleedugetknowyalecollegeofficedeanreportsreportcommitteefreedomexpressionyale target_blankprotecta speech quotdeemed irresponsible offensive unscholarly untruequot issue bernstein said allegations harassment tend teeth allegations censorship yale doesnt pay bureaucrats enforce free speech policies pay bernstein quotto listen anyones harassment complaint matter puerile seemquotp pthat solicitousness isnt function campus culture way courts government agencies interpreted civil rights laws past decades qualify quotharassmentquot supreme court relnoopener hrefhttpscoffieldlawcommeritorsavingsbankvvinsonsexualharassmentisunlawfuldiscrimination target_blankruleda 1986 conduct quotsufficiently severe pervasivequot create quotabusivequot environment exacting theory standard proven elastic practiceeventually coming encompass symbols memes viewpoints regard protected speechp pquotcases 80s 90s defined harassment pretty narrowlyquot said eugene volokh amendment scholar university california los angeles school law time harassment started quotexpanding things people perceive expressing racist viewpoints things connotation people find offensivequotp pin 2013 example equal employment opportunity commission relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnewsvolokhconspiracywp20140828illegalhostileworkenvironmentharassmentforcoworkerstowearconfederateflagtshirts target_blanksaida displaying confederate flag constitute harassment civil rights act 2016 jewish man successfully sued employer training video relnoopener hrefhttpsknowyourmemecommemeshitlersdownfallparodies target_blankquothitler bunkerquot video memea hitler parodically portrayed ceo rival companyp pthat concept creep accelerated activist tendency conflate speech violence quotwhen writing harassment law 20 years agoquot bernstein recalled quotthe claim racist language harmful harm balanced free speech claim racist speech equivalent violence dont balance anymorequotp pthe yale law brouhaha latest example harassment bureaucracy undermine free speech trent colbert secondyear law student invited classmates happy hour quottrap housequot term administrators said elicited quotdiscrimination harassmentquot complaints 12 hours summoned law schools office student affairs colbert informed membership conservative federalist society quottriggeredquot peersp pwhen colbert refused issue predrafted apology schools quotdiscrimination harassment coordinatorsquot sent email sept 16 quotcondemn[ed]quot colberts quotracistquot message quotin strongest possible termsquot day yale law associate dean ellen cosgrove diversity director yaseen eldik implied students behavior cause trouble barp pfor volokh concerning thing colberts case precedent sets political discourse elite law schoolsp pquotyale sending message referring popeyes chicken trap house punishable maybe illegalquot volokh said noting schools discrimination harassment coordinators publicly condemned colberts party invite quotif harassment mild expressing views find offensive clearly harassmentquotp ptaken logical conclusion volokh added reasoning preclude discussion controversial topics like race crimep pall suggests colbert saga isnt preview happen todays students tomorrows judges reflection happened lawp pthat transformation chill speech allegations harassment ultimately dismissed colberts case quotregardless results processquot bernstein said quotgoing process huge harmquotp psuch processes widened gap purpose structure yale law school alums mechanism conformityp pquotthe reason institution exists promote interesting thinkingquot said jd vance senate primary candidate ohio alum yale law quotwhat actually train people boring provincial thinkers harass people having original thoughtsquotp peven liberal alums school including law founder david lat share vances concerns lat relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1450309615380570113 target_blanktweeteda quotthe intellectual environment yale law school right extremely hostile conservativesquotp pquotif conservative libertarian law student asked yale law todayquot lat relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1450309613862146050 target_blanksaida quoti think long hard answerquotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuswehaveadiversitybureaucracyinthewakeofyalelawbrouhahaprominentscholarssayweneedafreespeechbureaucracytoowe diversity bureaucracy wake yale law brouhaha prominent scholars need free speech bureaucracy tooa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

61777a1abf3aa0e0e62977b6

Intertemporal substitution sentences to ponder

blockquotepthe federal aviation administration is prohibited from creating safety regulations for private spaceflights until october 2023pblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211022scienceastronautsdisabilitiesastroaccesshtml target_blankthe nyt articlea via the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupachievementunlocked target_blankkevin lewisa  how else do you think they got shatner up therep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110intertemporalsubstitutionsentencestoponderhtmlintertemporal substitution sentences to pondera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthe federal aviation administration prohibited creating safety regulations private spaceflights october 2023pblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211022scienceastronautsdisabilitiesastroaccesshtml target_blankthe nyt articlea excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupachievementunlocked target_blankkevin lewisa think got shatner therep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110intertemporalsubstitutionsentencestoponderhtmlintertemporal substitution sentences pondera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61777a2ebf3aa0e0e62977ba

Bad News—A Review

img altbad newsa review srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110badnewspngpppstronga review of ema hrefhttpsamznto3egqoxhbad news how woke media is undermining democracya emby batya ungarsargon encounter 312 pages october 2021strongppin ema hrefhttpsamznto3egqoxhbad news how woke media is undermining democracyaem batya ungarsargon the deputy opinion editor of emnewsweekem where full disclosure she has published two of my essays argues that elite leftwing journalists have embraced a racebased view of american inequality and abandoned any sort of classbased analysis theyve done this she explains because it largely absolves them of having to apologize for their own elite lifestyles the fact is she writes journalism has become a profession of astonishing privilege over the past century metamorphosing from a bluecollar trade into one of the occupations with the most highly educated workforces in the united states and along with this status revolution has come the radicalization of the profession on questions of identity leaving in the dust anything commensurate to a similar concern with economic inequality ppwhats interesting about it african american filmmaker eli steele tells ungarsargon is that were further away from segregation and slavery than ever before racism on almost every metric is lower among a mountain of evidence marshalled in support of this claim ungarsargon cites a hrefhttpsquillettecom20201222apeculiarkindofracistpatriarchyan article rav arora wrotea for emquilletteem in which he noted that american women of iranian turkish and asian descent all outearn white american males so why do americas elite journalists see racism everywhere liberal and leftwing journalists and media outlets accuse working class people of racism says ungarsargon not for actual racism but for things that have increasingly been lumped under the ever expanding category of what counts as racism these include opposition to immigration opposition to affirmative action and criticism of any black person ppcuriously many africanamericans particularly of the working class wouldnt fare very well in a study of racial animus more often than not she writes what they measure is insufficient liberalism on questions of race for example to measure the alleged racism of trump supporters one study determined peoples racism according to whether they support affirmative action or not even though over half of black americans dont can something that splits the black community down the middle really measure racism likewise she cites a a hrefhttpsharvardharrispollcomwpcontentuploads201801final_hhp_jan2018refield_registeredvoters_xtabpdfharvard capsharris polla which found that 85 percent of black americans want less immigration this shouldnt surprise us she writes a 2010 study concluded that when it comes to immigration no racial or ethnic group has benefited less or been harmed more than the nations africanamerican community illegal immigration has been tied to a massive decrease in black workingclass wages and up to a 10 percent increase in the mass incarceration of black americansppopposition to immigration was a mainstreamnay a leftwingstance just a few years ago in 2016 democratic socialist senator bernie sanders campaigned for the presidency by denouncing the idea of open borders deeming it a koch brothers proposal that would make everybody in america poorer today if a member of the white working class were to express such sentiments to a reporter for the ematlanticem the emtimesem or npr he would almost certainly be branded a racistppungarsargon reminds us that america once had a vibrant populist press which spoke up on behalf of the working class the first chapter of embad newsem focuses on the way that two crusading newspaper publishersbenjamin day and joseph pulitzercreated and then expanded the socalled penny press in order to illuminate issues and causes near and dear to the poor and the downtrodden regardless of race in 1829 when day arrived in new york city as an itinerant printer economic inequality was intractable four percent of new yorkers owned half of the citys assets the city was full of financially struggling laborers but they rarely went on strike in large part because the press would uniformly condemn such actions and cast them as criminals ppit was days idea to create a paper that cost only a penny per issue a price that most working people could afford with that in mind he created the emnew york sunem and filled each issue with stories that the working poor cared deeply about primarily crime stories the elites who lived in exclusive neighborhoods didnt need to worry much about street crime but poor people had to live with it every day and so they took a close interest in it days experiment proved so successful that soon even upscale new yorkers were reading the emsunem usually in the privacy of their own homes where no one could catch them at it once he had the attention of the employers as well as the employees ungarsargon writes day advocated vigorously for higher wages and shorter working hours in 1834 he printed in full a manifesto entitled union is power written by a group of girls who went on strike at the lowell mill and when new yorks seamstresses went on strike they had his full support tooppbefore the advent of the emsunem one in every 16 new yorkers bought a paper daily by 1850 one in every four new yorkers was buying a daily paper so when joseph pulitzeran immigrant from hungaryarrived in new york city in 1864 he found himself in one of the most literate places on earth thanks in part to the proliferation of cheap news it took him until 1880 but eventually he realized his dream of owning a new york city newspaper that newspaper the emnew york worldem was also written for ordinary people pulitzer hated big words and long sentences the trappings of the educated snobocracy and hallmarks of a college education far beyond the means of his readers the world exposed the misdeeds of wealthy robber barons like william h vanderbilt who avoided paying any taxes on his 200 million fortune by claiming he was in debt pulitzer covered police brutality and tracked down tainted milk and sausage made of horse meat going to war against anyone who took advantage of the poor from a position of powerppalas this model of journalism wouldnt last and this is where one of the villains of ungarsargons story appears the emnew york timesem she spends an entire chapter detailing how the emtimesem since its inception in 1851 has largely eschewed the concerns of common people in order to court deeppocketed subscribers the financial model of the emtimesem has always been reliant on selling expensive advertising space to corporations that produce luxury brands to do this the emtimesem has had to convince those corporations that its subscribers are for the most part much wealthier than the average americanppin 1896 the emtimesem was purchased by adolph ochs whose heirs still control it in 1930 when joseph pulitzers sons offered to sell the emnew york worldem to ochs at a bargainbasement rate he demurred it was important ungarsargon notes for ochs to make sure the right people were purchasing the times but it was even more important to make sure the wrong people were not reading it getting highclass advertisers to pay for space in the new york times depended on reassuring them that not a dime of their fee would be wasted on the eyeballs of someone who might enjoy pulitzers worldppanother villain in ungarsargons tale is walter lippmann 18891974 a harvardeducated journalist and media critic who deplored the fact that so many of the professional journalists of his day lacked an elite education he called these reporters accidental witnesses to the events of the world and complained that they were men of small caliber who couldnt be trusted to report the truth he wanted only highly educated men to cover the news and he wanted to make a degree in journalism from an elite institution a necessary condition for the practice of reporting lippmann ungarsargon writes would soon get his wish today 92 percent of journalists are college educated thanks to an extreme class chasm that has opened in america and yet it would be a mistake to view this in the context of journalistic ethics while the labor of distinguishing truth from fiction is a crucial part of the job of a journalist there is absolutely no evidence that having a college degree makes one better at thisppungarsargon cites a study from the 1930s showing that only about 40 percent of american journalists at that time possessed a college degree and nearly 10 percent of journalists hadnt even attended high school she supplies a quote from richard harwood a longtime reporter for the emwashington postem in the early times we were not only describing the life of normal people we were participating in it most of the reporters came from the lower middle class which is where the readers and most of the subjects came from too we were more or less on the same level with the people we dealt with we lived in the same neighborhood reporters regarded themselves as working class ironically the quote a hrefhttpswwwamazoncombreakingvintagefallowspublishedrandomdpb00ekyv088comes from a booka by ematlanticem journalist james fallows who these days travels the country in his own private plane in order to write about how ordinary working folk live the days when reporters were mostly just workingclass drudges themselves are long goneppas radio and then television made journalism a trade that could bring national recognition to its practitioners it began to attract a more affluent and educated workforce but writes ungarsargon the thing that really jumpstarted the status revolution in journalism was the watergate scandal andjust as importantlyits treatment in the hollywood film emall the presidents menem the movie suddenly made journalism seem like a very glamorous endeavor at its peak a david and goliath tale where plucky sexpots played by robert redford and dustin hoffman could bring down the most powerfuland most unpopularman on the planet it created a feedback loop where better educated people became reporters and demanded more money whereupon even more educated people appliedppsince then journalists have become an elite caste almost all of them have at least a bachelors degree whereas only about a third of americans do back in the day ungarsargon writes when national media outlets were dwarfed by the number of local television and radio stations papers and magazines you could count on a sizable number of journalists to still be living in smaller american cities some of them attending church and synagogue alongside their readers viewers and listeners not so today she writes that a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocommagazinestory20170425mediabubblerealjournalismjobseastcoast21504873 percenta of todays internet publishing jobs are in places that voted for hilary clinton for president in 2016 those digital media jobs she remarks located in the most expensive cities in america pay entrylevel wages of 3500040000 a year because thats not a living wage in these cities more often than not someone else is paying the rent for these young journalists in other words journalism is now a rich kids jobppwhereas the emtimesem used to boast about how exclusive its readership was it now boasts about how exclusive its newsroom is theodore kim the man in charge of newsroom internships and fellowships there boasted in a since deleted tweet a few years ago that he drew his interns and fellows mostly from a hrefhttpsvoicesaajaorgindex201981howamericastopnewsroomsrecruitinternsfromasmallcircleofcollegesjust four universitiesa columbia northwestern yale and uc berkeley in listing these schools that churn out the most consistently productive candidates kim said the quiet part out loud he as the gatekeeper to the internship program at the emnew york timesemthe most desirable pathway to success in an ever more competitive fieldwas admitting that unless you come from the kind of background that can pay 70000 for a vanity degree you need not apply writes ungarsargon who holds a doctorate from uc berkeleyppwhen i was growing up nbc newsman chet huntley was among the nations elite journalists his slender memoir a hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukgenerousyearsremembrancesfrontierboyhooddp0394426185emthe generous yearsema published in 1968 towards the end of his career describes his familys hardscrabble life on a vast and unpromising stretch of montana range land early in the 20th century one of my first childhood chores he wrote was to take a team and the wagon drive through the range land and return with tremendous loads of what we called cow chips without those chips theyd have had nothing to burn in the wood stove in 2013 buzz bissinger real name harry gerard bissinger iii educated at philips academy andover upenn wrote a a hrefhttpswwwgqcomstorybuzzbissingershopaholicgucciaddiction6700word essaya for emgqem about why he spent 63841297 on designer clothing over the course of two years ppemnew york timesem columnist and cofounder of emvoxem ezra klein is a minor villain in embad newsem if youve never heard of vox writes ungarsargon thats probably because its not emfor youem from its inception the site had a very specific audience in mind young affluent and highly educated voxs trademark style would be a cheeky barely concealed smugness that flatters its readers into believing that by reading the websitewhich not coincidentally would sustain all of the liberal opinions that young affluent educated people already holdthey can rest assured that they are among the ranks of the correct the eminformedem rather than one of the stupids klein and his wife ematlanticem reporter annie lowrey both write frequently about the poor and the working class without evincing much understanding of either lowrey was one of the first elite journalists to produce a hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202006defundpolice612682an article defendinga the activist slogan defund the policea position few poor and workingclass people actually support as ungarsargon notes [t]he abandonment of objectivity in favor of a woke moral panic isnt really about representing black people but about pandering to white readers it is they who are clicking on stories calling for defunding the policea view rejected by 81 percent of black respondents in a gallup pollppat the emnew york timesem the problem worsened during the great recession as ungarsargon writespblockquotebetween 2008 and 2015 there were a series of buyouts at the paper sometimes leading to hundreds of reporters at a time leaving or retiring these reductions disproportionately cleared out senior ranks of reporters who had a more traditional view of journalism in which a big part of the mandate the meaning and the fun of being a journalist was exposing yourself and your readers to other cultures and other people and helping others to understand them in the buyouts these reporters were replaced by a younger generation of digital natives some journalists some in ancillary digital roles who were educated at elite institutions and viewed their roles less as understanding their subjects and more as sitting in judgment over those they disagreed withblockquotepat a 2019 meeting one of the papers young reporters asked its executive editor dean baquet im wondering to what extent you think that the fact of racism and white supremacy being sort of the foundation of this country should play into our reporting just because it feels to me like it should be a starting point you know like these conversations about what is racist what isnt racist i just feel like racism is everything it should be considered in our science reporting in our culture reporting in our national reporting needless to say baquet heartily agreed with this sentiment and ungarsargons book provides a graph which charts the recent exponential proliferation of the words racist and racism in the emnew york timesem the emlos angeles timesem the emwall street journalem the emwashington postem the emnew york postem and on national public radio another graph illustrates a similar recent increase in references to the precivil war slave trade in those same media venues despite the fact that said trade ended about 170 years agophrpso where did all this come from ungarsargon contends that it started in academia and spends a chapter describing how american universities beginning about five decades ago underwent a shift away from facts and grand narratives and toward relativism it took several decades for this new trend to take hold of american journalism first all of the older journalists who took up the trade prior to the vietnam war era had to die or retire then major journalistic venues such as the emtimesem and the empostem had to hire only those journalists who had been educated at expensive elite universities after that according to ungarsargon all roads led to a culture war around raceppjust as new york newspapers of the early 19th century generally ignored street crime because it didnt much interest their upscale readers todays progressive media largely ignore blackonblack crime because it doesnt interest theirs in embad newsem ungarsargon quotes journalist zaid jilani who points out that massive amounts of blood were shed in black neighborhoods across america in the summer of 2020 but this was largely ignored by the leftwing media because it was caused by other black americans not by violent white police officers pponly about a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20200401americansmainsourcesforpoliticalnewsvarybypartyandageseven or eight percenta of the people who get their news from the emtimesem or npr lack any college education at all and this is by design media venues like to show their advertisers just how wealthy and educated their content consumers are emnew yorkem magazine a hrefhttpmediakitnymagcomnewyorkboasts to its advertisersa that it has 2224000 affluent magazine readers monthly likewise ungarsargon writes the wall street journal a hrefhttpsmediakitwsjbarronscommediakitpireports in its media kita that four out of five readers have a bachelors degree or higher and half are affluent meaning they own liquid assets of 1 million or more in a a hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20200128100550httpsnytmediakitcomindexphppnewspapernowdeleted media kita the new york times boasted a print readership who were elite affluent and influential more likely to be millionaires csuite executives or business decision makers than the average affluent adult and claimed a median household income of 191000 with digital readers coming in at 96000ppwith the emtimesem and its ilk focusing so much attention on wooing the wealthy middle and workingclass americans were left largely unrepresented into this vacuum stepped rupert murdoch and his minions alas murdoch is no joseph pulitzer with a captive workingclass audience writes ungarsargon fox news could have created a real political constituency one that demanded dignity in exchange for hard work and insisted that the downward mobility so many americans face today is unacceptable as we know this did not happen the channel went all in on the culture wars abandoning the workingclasss economic interests entirely to unite rich and poor conservative americans around the cultural front without threatening the status of its rich viewershipppbut half a loaf is better than what the liberal press has been offering workingclass media consumers as ungarsargon puts it [i]f the working class in america is an amalgam of cultural and economic factors the liberal media has abandoned both sides of this equation while conservative media delivers on one of them at least fox news doesnt sneer at workingclass values while abandoning workingclass viewers economicallyppits easy to understand why an upwardly mobile class of journalists might prefer to focus on race and gender issues rather than on the woes of the working class whats odd is that this even seems to trump solidarity with their own class of elite laborers when andrew sullivan was run out of emnew yorkem magazine for his heterodox views none of his fellow writers stood up for him in february of 2021 donald mcneil a longtime science reporter for the emtimesem was pressured to resign after it was discovered that two years earlier he had used a racial slur in a neutral way during a casual discussion about said slur when mcneil took to medium to write his side of the story the emtimesem covered it with a a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210301businessdonaldmcneilnewyorktimesracialslurhtmlheadline that reada extimes reporter who used racial slur publishes a lengthy defense thats a rather cold description of a 45year former colleague who had earned numerous awards for his reporting ppbut ungarsargon reminds us that mcneil was not only backstabbed by his former employer but also by the labor union whose job it was to defend himpblockquoteinstead of fighting for mcneils job the newsguild observed that theres never a moment when harmful racist rhetoric is acceptable we are not defense attorneys a times reporter active in the union wrote on twitter the washington free beacon reporting on the role the union playedor rather failed to playin saving mcneils job noted how many times staffers come from wealthy backgrounds and how few actually rely on the job security the union provides and aptly concluded that defending workers has given way to defenestrating them especially when they violate the taboos of welltodo progressives it wasnt just a culture war anymore between antiracist wokesters and what was left of oldschool journalists committed to objectivity it was a class war between highly educated young elites and their older middleclass colleagues who offended their woke sensibilities and thus they thought deserved to be let goblockquotepin embad newsem ungarsargon cites various journalists who date the current moral panic to roughly the middle of the obama presidency when it became clear that having a black man in the white house wasnt going to be quite the panacea progressives hoped conor friedersdorf a reporter for the ematlanticem dates the great awokening to about 2014 he tells ungarsargon i started writing about what people now call wokeness at least as early as 2014 it seemed to me that there was some new moral thing in the air that i did not recognize from when i was in college i didnt yet see it in journalism at least not like its there today to friedersdorfs credit when an outcry among the staff of the ematlanticem led editor jeffrey goldberg to rescind a job offer hed made to firebrand conservative writer kevin williamson he objected publicly and in the pages of the ematlanticem itselfppbut 2014 now seems like a longgone era in american journalism back in 2014 writes ungarsargon journalists were able to cover wokeness because it hadnt yet become their own ideology not any more thomas chatterton williams a journalist who also dates the great awokening to the second obama term told ungarsargon thats when the idea that white supremacy is hard wired into the dna of america began to be popularized by writers like tanehisi coates im convinced part of why [it is happening] now is because things are better than theyve ever been you dont get this level of complaint until much more fundamental concerns and obstacles have been taken care ofppungarsargon cites the work of political scientist zach goldberg a hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticlesmediagreatracialawakeningwho found thata from 2012 to 2016 media outlets like the times the huffington post and buzzfeed began covering topics like white privilege social justice and institutional racism with exponential regularity this increase began right when the emnew york timesem erected an online paywall to keep nonsubscribers from reading its articlesa move sure to keep out lowerincome readers this meant that the emtimesem now more than ever had to tailor its pages to a more educated more affluent readershipexactly the kind of people likely to get excited by articles on intersectionality and systemic racism goldberg further found that between 2013 and 2019 the frequency of words like white and racial privilege grew by an astonishing 1200 percent in the times and by 1500 percent in the washington post the term white supremacy was used fewer than seventyfive times in 2010 in the washington post and the new york times but over seven hundred times in 2020 alone at npr it was used 2400 times or roughly 200 times per monthppthe situation became much worse when donald trump entered the political arena executives at cbs msnbc cnn the emnew york timesem and elsewhere realized that trump was a veritable goldmine once upon a time the newsrooms and advertising departments at most media outlets maintained at least a semblance of independence from each other but trumps ascent made young journalists at elite outlets want to do nothing but publish negative stories about him all day long and this was exactly what the advertising department wanted as well because the name trump in an online headline pretty much guaranteed millions of clicks with the incentives so aligned writes ungarsargon there wasnt even really a need to break down whatever was left of the wall between advertising and editorial it happened on its own it can both be the caseindeed it emisem both the casethat trump made a lot of very real mistakes as a candidate and president emandem that the medias obsession with him went beyond all proportion due to an unignorable profit motive trump drove sales so trump drove editorialppshe notes that if you type trump and russia into their search engines the emtimesems website will return over 15000 results and the empostems website will bring up more than 27000 despite the fact that the mueller investigation turned up no hard evidence of collusion between the trump campaign and the russian government if you enter the phrases opioid crisis or homelessness or income inequality into the search engines of the emtimesem or the empostem youll get a tiny fraction of the number of hits that trump and russia bring up elite journalists leaned into trumps alleged and actual wrongdoings because it gave them an excuse to focus on him and not on the problems of the white working class whom they have largely abandonedphrpembad newsem is a valuable and timely book but it isnt without its faults while ungarsargon condemns progressive journalists for embracing sketchy evidence that trumps support was driven largely by racism she mostly ignores rightwing journalistslike a hrefhttpswashingtonmonthlycommagazinenovemberdecember2018selectivehearingalleged serial fabulist salena zitoawho have used sketchy evidence to argue that many of trumps voters were merely disenchanted former democrats worried about trade and justifiably fed up with elite condescension this may be true in some cases but in zitos sympathetic dispatches from trump country the former democrats often turned out to be republican party insiders some were also prone to conspiracist and inflammatory views which zito tactfully omitted from the quotes she attributed to them since they complicated her argument that these were simply noble people misunderstood by arrogant elites that trump had a deranging effect on progressive and liberal media outlets and journalists is beyond dispute at this point that he had a deranging effect on his elite supporters is less remarked upon in polemics like ungarsargons zito it should be noted has vehemently denied any wrongdoingppthe subtitle to ungarsargons book mentions woke media which probably explains why she largely ignores the sins of rightwing journalism being leftofcenter herself her book is probably intended part as a family squabble with other leftwingers but surely at least some of the antiracism that pervades contemporary journalism arose as a response to rightwing media racebaiting from figures like rush limbaugh to whom trump awarded the presidential medal of freedom back in 2007 limbaugh liked to regale his millions of listeners with a song entitled barack the magic negro the same year radio shockjock don imus referred to the mostlyblack rutgers womens basketball team as a bunch of nappyheaded hoes around the same time many in rightwing journalism began to emphasize obamas middle name hussein whenever they mentioned him despite the fact that obama himself didnt use itppleft unconsidered by ungarsargon is the possibility that the racist response obamas campaign elicited from some prominent media conservatives is at least partly to blame for the illiberal lefts current obsession with race a journalist who graduated from college during that time might well have felt honorbound to go on the offensive against things so well offensive many of the trends ungarsargon identifies certainly deserve the scorn she heaps upon them but polarization has produced corresponding problems of bias hyperbole and motivated reasoning in rightwing media ecosystems which are not examined as a result her critique of the lamentable state of contemporary media is necessarily incompleteppa bigger problem with embad newsem is that its thesisthat leftwing journalists have allowed themselves to be swept up in a moral panic over race and that this has caused them to almost entirely abandon classbased criticisms of american societyis really only halftrue ungarsargons book is an excellent summary of how an obsession with postmodern doctrines of antiracism has caused leftwing journalism to become a wholly unreliable source of information about the current rapidly improving state of race relations in america but shes far less effective at convincing the reader that prominent liberal venues such as the emnew york timesem and the ematlanticem have abandoned class issues annie lowrey among the wokest of woke journalists writes regularly about class issues for the ematlanticem she is also the author of a book entitled a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgivepeoplemoneyinequalityrevolutioniseebookdpb07486p1x3emgive people moneyema that forcefully argues for the implementation of a universal basic incomeppungarsargon is right that the current moral panic over race distracts many journalists from much more serious stories but shes wrong when she writes that the liberal mainstream news media has [sic] actively excluded the working classeven the idea of being working classfrom its pages shes also wrong when she writes that labor coverage which used to be robust has nearly vanished from mainstream journalism i recently spent two fairly enjoyable years working at an amazon warehouse and i lost track of the number of times wellmeaning friends contacted me to see if i was okay after they had seen yet another piece in the emnew york timesem about how horrible the working conditions at these sweatshops are the mainstream presss coverage of workingclass lives is often muddleheaded sentimental and occasionally downright wrong which is a good reason to employ more writers from these backgrounds who know what they are talking about but there is still plenty of itppwe should do what we can to end the current moral panic over race not because it distracts us from a more important battle over class but because moral panics are bad for us in their own right but they can be difficult to resist because they provide the allure of engagement in righteous conflict which requires very little in the way of personal sacrifice but contributes massively to societal discord as ungarsargon writes in one of her books many perceptive passages when you define racism as an omnipresent whitesupremacist framework baked into the heart of our nation that can never be solved or extracted you give people a culture war they can hammer away at forever a perpetual cudgel against those who disagree with them even if those who disagree with them are less affluent and less fortunatethe losers of the economic and culture warp

img altbad newsa review srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110badnewspngpppstronga review ema hrefhttpsamznto3egqoxhbad news woke media undermining democracya emby batya ungarsargon encounter 312 pages october 2021strongppin ema hrefhttpsamznto3egqoxhbad news woke media undermining democracyaem batya ungarsargon deputy opinion editor emnewsweekem disclosure published essays argues elite leftwing journalists embraced racebased view american inequality abandoned sort classbased analysis theyve explains largely absolves having apologize elite lifestyles fact writes journalism profession astonishing privilege past century metamorphosing bluecollar trade occupations highly educated workforces united states status revolution come radicalization profession questions identity leaving dust commensurate similar concern economic inequality ppwhats interesting african american filmmaker eli steele tells ungarsargon away segregation slavery racism metric lower mountain evidence marshalled support claim ungarsargon cites hrefhttpsquillettecom20201222apeculiarkindofracistpatriarchyan article rav arora wrotea emquilletteem noted american women iranian turkish asian descent outearn white american males americas elite journalists racism liberal leftwing journalists media outlets accuse working class people racism says ungarsargon actual racism things increasingly lumped expanding category counts racism include opposition immigration opposition affirmative action criticism black person ppcuriously africanamericans particularly working class wouldnt fare study racial animus writes measure insufficient liberalism questions race example measure alleged racism trump supporters study determined peoples racism according support affirmative action half black americans dont splits black community middle measure racism likewise cites hrefhttpsharvardharrispollcomwpcontentuploads201801final_hhp_jan2018refield_registeredvoters_xtabpdfharvard capsharris polla found 85 percent black americans want immigration shouldnt surprise writes 2010 study concluded comes immigration racial ethnic group benefited harmed nations africanamerican community illegal immigration tied massive decrease black workingclass wages 10 percent increase mass incarceration black americansppopposition immigration mainstreamnay leftwingstance years ago 2016 democratic socialist senator bernie sanders campaigned presidency denouncing idea open borders deeming koch brothers proposal everybody america poorer today member white working class express sentiments reporter ematlanticem emtimesem npr certainly branded racistppungarsargon reminds america vibrant populist press spoke behalf working class chapter embad newsem focuses way crusading newspaper publishersbenjamin day joseph pulitzercreated expanded socalled penny press order illuminate issues causes near dear poor downtrodden regardless race 1829 day arrived new york city itinerant printer economic inequality intractable percent new yorkers owned half citys assets city financially struggling laborers rarely went strike large press uniformly condemn actions cast criminals ppit days idea create paper cost penny issue price working people afford mind created emnew york sunem filled issue stories working poor cared deeply primarily crime stories elites lived exclusive neighborhoods didnt need worry street crime poor people live day took close interest days experiment proved successful soon upscale new yorkers reading emsunem usually privacy homes catch attention employers employees ungarsargon writes day advocated vigorously higher wages shorter working hours 1834 printed manifesto entitled union power written group girls went strike lowell mill new yorks seamstresses went strike support tooppbefore advent emsunem 16 new yorkers bought paper daily 1850 new yorkers buying daily paper joseph pulitzeran immigrant hungaryarrived new york city 1864 found literate places earth thanks proliferation cheap news took 1880 eventually realized dream owning new york city newspaper newspaper emnew york worldem written ordinary people pulitzer hated big words long sentences trappings educated snobocracy hallmarks college education far means readers world exposed misdeeds wealthy robber barons like william h vanderbilt avoided paying taxes 200 million fortune claiming debt pulitzer covered police brutality tracked tainted milk sausage horse meat going war took advantage poor position powerppalas model journalism wouldnt villains ungarsargons story appears emnew york timesem spends entire chapter detailing emtimesem inception 1851 largely eschewed concerns common people order court deeppocketed subscribers financial model emtimesem reliant selling expensive advertising space corporations produce luxury brands emtimesem convince corporations subscribers wealthier average americanppin 1896 emtimesem purchased adolph ochs heirs control 1930 joseph pulitzers sons offered sell emnew york worldem ochs bargainbasement rate demurred important ungarsargon notes ochs sure right people purchasing times important sure wrong people reading getting highclass advertisers pay space new york times depended reassuring dime fee wasted eyeballs enjoy pulitzers worldppanother villain ungarsargons tale walter lippmann 18891974 harvardeducated journalist media critic deplored fact professional journalists day lacked elite education called reporters accidental witnesses events world complained men small caliber couldnt trusted report truth wanted highly educated men cover news wanted degree journalism elite institution necessary condition practice reporting lippmann ungarsargon writes soon wish today 92 percent journalists college educated thanks extreme class chasm opened america mistake view context journalistic ethics labor distinguishing truth fiction crucial job journalist absolutely evidence having college degree makes better thisppungarsargon cites study 1930s showing 40 percent american journalists time possessed college degree nearly 10 percent journalists hadnt attended high school supplies quote richard harwood longtime reporter emwashington postem early times describing life normal people participating reporters came lower middle class readers subjects came level people dealt lived neighborhood reporters regarded working class ironically quote hrefhttpswwwamazoncombreakingvintagefallowspublishedrandomdpb00ekyv088comes booka ematlanticem journalist james fallows days travels country private plane order write ordinary working folk live days reporters workingclass drudges long goneppas radio television journalism trade bring national recognition practitioners began attract affluent educated workforce writes ungarsargon thing jumpstarted status revolution journalism watergate scandal andjust importantlyits treatment hollywood film emall presidents menem movie suddenly journalism like glamorous endeavor peak david goliath tale plucky sexpots played robert redford dustin hoffman bring powerfuland unpopularman planet created feedback loop better educated people reporters demanded money educated people appliedppsince journalists elite caste bachelors degree americans day ungarsargon writes national media outlets dwarfed number local television radio stations papers magazines count sizable number journalists living smaller american cities attending church synagogue alongside readers viewers listeners today writes hrefhttpswwwpoliticocommagazinestory20170425mediabubblerealjournalismjobseastcoast21504873 percenta todays internet publishing jobs places voted hilary clinton president 2016 digital media jobs remarks located expensive cities america pay entrylevel wages 3500040000 year thats living wage cities paying rent young journalists words journalism rich kids jobppwhereas emtimesem boast exclusive readership boasts exclusive newsroom theodore kim man charge newsroom internships fellowships boasted deleted tweet years ago drew interns fellows hrefhttpsvoicesaajaorgindex201981howamericastopnewsroomsrecruitinternsfromasmallcircleofcollegesjust universitiesa columbia northwestern yale uc berkeley listing schools churn consistently productive candidates kim said quiet loud gatekeeper internship program emnew york timesemthe desirable pathway success competitive fieldwas admitting come kind background pay 70000 vanity degree need apply writes ungarsargon holds doctorate uc berkeleyppwhen growing nbc newsman chet huntley nations elite journalists slender memoir hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukgenerousyearsremembrancesfrontierboyhooddp0394426185emthe generous yearsema published 1968 end career describes familys hardscrabble life vast unpromising stretch montana range land early 20th century childhood chores wrote team wagon drive range land return tremendous loads called cow chips chips theyd burn wood stove 2013 buzz bissinger real harry gerard bissinger iii educated philips academy andover upenn wrote hrefhttpswwwgqcomstorybuzzbissingershopaholicgucciaddiction6700word essaya emgqem spent 63841297 designer clothing course years ppemnew york timesem columnist cofounder emvoxem ezra klein minor villain embad newsem youve heard vox writes ungarsargon thats probably emfor youem inception site specific audience mind young affluent highly educated voxs trademark style cheeky barely concealed smugness flatters readers believing reading websitewhich coincidentally sustain liberal opinions young affluent educated people holdthey rest assured ranks correct eminformedem stupids klein wife ematlanticem reporter annie lowrey write frequently poor working class evincing understanding lowrey elite journalists produce hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202006defundpolice612682an article defendinga activist slogan defund policea position poor workingclass people actually support ungarsargon notes [t]he abandonment objectivity favor woke moral panic isnt representing black people pandering white readers clicking stories calling defunding policea view rejected 81 percent black respondents gallup pollppat emnew york timesem problem worsened great recession ungarsargon writespblockquotebetween 2008 2015 series buyouts paper leading hundreds reporters time leaving retiring reductions disproportionately cleared senior ranks reporters traditional view journalism big mandate meaning fun journalist exposing readers cultures people helping understand buyouts reporters replaced younger generation digital natives journalists ancillary digital roles educated elite institutions viewed roles understanding subjects sitting judgment disagreed withblockquotepat 2019 meeting papers young reporters asked executive editor dean baquet im wondering extent think fact racism white supremacy sort foundation country play reporting feels like starting point know like conversations racist isnt racist feel like racism considered science reporting culture reporting national reporting needless baquet heartily agreed sentiment ungarsargons book provides graph charts recent exponential proliferation words racist racism emnew york timesem emlos angeles timesem emwall street journalem emwashington postem emnew york postem national public radio graph illustrates similar recent increase references precivil war slave trade media venues despite fact said trade ended 170 years agophrpso come ungarsargon contends started academia spends chapter describing american universities beginning decades ago underwent shift away facts grand narratives relativism took decades new trend hold american journalism older journalists took trade prior vietnam war era die retire major journalistic venues emtimesem empostem hire journalists educated expensive elite universities according ungarsargon roads led culture war raceppjust new york newspapers early 19th century generally ignored street crime didnt interest upscale readers todays progressive media largely ignore blackonblack crime doesnt interest theirs embad newsem ungarsargon quotes journalist zaid jilani points massive amounts blood shed black neighborhoods america summer 2020 largely ignored leftwing media caused black americans violent white police officers pponly hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20200401americansmainsourcesforpoliticalnewsvarybypartyandageseven percenta people news emtimesem npr lack college education design media venues like advertisers wealthy educated content consumers emnew yorkem magazine hrefhttpmediakitnymagcomnewyorkboasts advertisersa 2224000 affluent magazine readers monthly likewise ungarsargon writes wall street journal hrefhttpsmediakitwsjbarronscommediakitpireports media kita readers bachelors degree higher half affluent meaning liquid assets 1 million hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20200128100550httpsnytmediakitcomindexphppnewspapernowdeleted media kita new york times boasted print readership elite affluent influential likely millionaires csuite executives business decision makers average affluent adult claimed median household income 191000 digital readers coming 96000ppwith emtimesem ilk focusing attention wooing wealthy middle workingclass americans left largely unrepresented vacuum stepped rupert murdoch minions alas murdoch joseph pulitzer captive workingclass audience writes ungarsargon fox news created real political constituency demanded dignity exchange hard work insisted downward mobility americans face today unacceptable know happen channel went culture wars abandoning workingclasss economic interests entirely unite rich poor conservative americans cultural threatening status rich viewershipppbut half loaf better liberal press offering workingclass media consumers ungarsargon puts [i]f working class america amalgam cultural economic factors liberal media abandoned sides equation conservative media delivers fox news doesnt sneer workingclass values abandoning workingclass viewers economicallyppits easy understand upwardly mobile class journalists prefer focus race gender issues woes working class whats odd trump solidarity class elite laborers andrew sullivan run emnew yorkem magazine heterodox views fellow writers stood february 2021 donald mcneil longtime science reporter emtimesem pressured resign discovered years earlier racial slur neutral way casual discussion said slur mcneil took medium write story emtimesem covered hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210301businessdonaldmcneilnewyorktimesracialslurhtmlheadline reada extimes reporter racial slur publishes lengthy defense thats cold description 45year colleague earned numerous awards reporting ppbut ungarsargon reminds mcneil backstabbed employer labor union job defend himpblockquoteinstead fighting mcneils job newsguild observed theres moment harmful racist rhetoric acceptable defense attorneys times reporter active union wrote twitter washington free beacon reporting role union playedor failed playin saving mcneils job noted times staffers come wealthy backgrounds actually rely job security union provides aptly concluded defending workers given way defenestrating especially violate taboos welltodo progressives wasnt culture war anymore antiracist wokesters left oldschool journalists committed objectivity class war highly educated young elites older middleclass colleagues offended woke sensibilities thought deserved let goblockquotepin embad newsem ungarsargon cites journalists date current moral panic roughly middle obama presidency clear having black man white house wasnt going panacea progressives hoped conor friedersdorf reporter ematlanticem dates great awokening 2014 tells ungarsargon started writing people wokeness early 2014 new moral thing air recognize college didnt journalism like today friedersdorfs credit outcry staff ematlanticem led editor jeffrey goldberg rescind job offer hed firebrand conservative writer kevin williamson objected publicly pages ematlanticem itselfppbut 2014 like longgone era american journalism 2014 writes ungarsargon journalists able cover wokeness hadnt ideology thomas chatterton williams journalist dates great awokening second obama term told ungarsargon thats idea white supremacy hard wired dna america began popularized writers like tanehisi coates im convinced [it happening] things better theyve dont level complaint fundamental concerns obstacles taken care ofppungarsargon cites work political scientist zach goldberg hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticlesmediagreatracialawakeningwho found thata 2012 2016 media outlets like times huffington post buzzfeed began covering topics like white privilege social justice institutional racism exponential regularity increase began right emnew york timesem erected online paywall nonsubscribers reading articlesa sure lowerincome readers meant emtimesem tailor pages educated affluent readershipexactly kind people likely excited articles intersectionality systemic racism goldberg found 2013 2019 frequency words like white racial privilege grew astonishing 1200 percent times 1500 percent washington post term white supremacy fewer seventyfive times 2010 washington post new york times seven times 2020 npr 2400 times roughly 200 times monthppthe situation worse donald trump entered political arena executives cbs msnbc cnn emnew york timesem realized trump veritable goldmine time newsrooms advertising departments media outlets maintained semblance independence trumps ascent young journalists elite outlets want publish negative stories day long exactly advertising department wanted trump online headline pretty guaranteed millions clicks incentives aligned writes ungarsargon wasnt need break left wall advertising editorial happened caseindeed emisem casethat trump lot real mistakes candidate president emandem medias obsession went proportion unignorable profit motive trump drove sales trump drove editorialppshe notes type trump russia search engines emtimesems website return 15000 results empostems website bring 27000 despite fact mueller investigation turned hard evidence collusion trump campaign russian government enter phrases opioid crisis homelessness income inequality search engines emtimesem empostem youll tiny fraction number hits trump russia bring elite journalists leaned trumps alleged actual wrongdoings gave excuse focus problems white working class largely abandonedphrpembad newsem valuable timely book isnt faults ungarsargon condemns progressive journalists embracing sketchy evidence trumps support driven largely racism ignores rightwing journalistslike hrefhttpswashingtonmonthlycommagazinenovemberdecember2018selectivehearingalleged serial fabulist salena zitoawho sketchy evidence argue trumps voters merely disenchanted democrats worried trade justifiably fed elite condescension true cases zitos sympathetic dispatches trump country democrats turned republican party insiders prone conspiracist inflammatory views zito tactfully omitted quotes attributed complicated argument simply noble people misunderstood arrogant elites trump deranging effect progressive liberal media outlets journalists dispute point deranging effect elite supporters remarked polemics like ungarsargons zito noted vehemently denied wrongdoingppthe subtitle ungarsargons book mentions woke media probably explains largely ignores sins rightwing journalism leftofcenter book probably intended family squabble leftwingers surely antiracism pervades contemporary journalism arose response rightwing media racebaiting figures like rush limbaugh trump awarded presidential medal freedom 2007 limbaugh liked regale millions listeners song entitled barack magic negro year radio shockjock don imus referred mostlyblack rutgers womens basketball team bunch nappyheaded hoes time rightwing journalism began emphasize obamas middle hussein mentioned despite fact obama didnt use itppleft unconsidered ungarsargon possibility racist response obamas campaign elicited prominent media conservatives partly blame illiberal lefts current obsession race journalist graduated college time felt honorbound offensive things offensive trends ungarsargon identifies certainly deserve scorn heaps polarization produced corresponding problems bias hyperbole motivated reasoning rightwing media ecosystems examined result critique lamentable state contemporary media necessarily incompleteppa bigger problem embad newsem thesisthat leftwing journalists allowed swept moral panic race caused entirely abandon classbased criticisms american societyis halftrue ungarsargons book excellent summary obsession postmodern doctrines antiracism caused leftwing journalism wholly unreliable source information current rapidly improving state race relations america shes far effective convincing reader prominent liberal venues emnew york timesem ematlanticem abandoned class issues annie lowrey wokest woke journalists writes regularly class issues ematlanticem author book entitled hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgivepeoplemoneyinequalityrevolutioniseebookdpb07486p1x3emgive people moneyema forcefully argues implementation universal basic incomeppungarsargon right current moral panic race distracts journalists stories shes wrong writes liberal mainstream news media [sic] actively excluded working classeven idea working classfrom pages shes wrong writes labor coverage robust nearly vanished mainstream journalism recently spent fairly enjoyable years working amazon warehouse lost track number times wellmeaning friends contacted okay seen piece emnew york timesem horrible working conditions sweatshops mainstream presss coverage workingclass lives muddleheaded sentimental occasionally downright wrong good reason employ writers backgrounds know talking plenty itppwe end current moral panic race distracts important battle class moral panics bad right difficult resist provide allure engagement righteous conflict requires little way personal sacrifice contributes massively societal discord ungarsargon writes books perceptive passages define racism omnipresent whitesupremacist framework baked heart nation solved extracted people culture war hammer away forever perpetual cudgel disagree disagree affluent fortunatethe losers economic culture warp

61777ccbbf3aa0e0e62977c0

Running to be Detroit’s Mayor – Against Democratic Party Machine

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine titlerunning to be detroits mayor against democratic party machineimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachinejpg 1100w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576aparve error src mismatch url httpsyoutube4ewvgmxnju src in httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjufeatureoembedampenablejsapi1amporiginhttpstheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjuactual comparison url httpsyoutube4ewvgmxnju src in httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjuenablejsapi1amporiginhttps3a2f2ftheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachinesourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine titlerunning detroits mayor democratic party machineimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachine768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachinejpg 1100w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576aparve error src mismatch url httpsyoutube4ewvgmxnju src httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjufeatureoembedampenablejsapi1amporiginhttpstheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjuactual comparison url httpsyoutube4ewvgmxnju src httpswwwyoutubecomembed4ewvgmxnjuenablejsapi1amporiginhttps3a2f2ftheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrunningtobedetroitsmayoragainstdemocraticpartymachinesourceap

6177812fbf3aa0e0e62977c4

A Conversation With Paul Jay – Pt 4

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsaconversationwithpauljaypt4 titlea conversation with paul jay pt 4img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherichjpg 1100w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576aparve error src mismatch url httpsyoutubexu36aenrbe src in httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbefeatureoembedampenablejsapi1amporiginhttpstheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbeactual comparison url httpsyoutubexu36aenrbe src in httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbeenablejsapi1amporiginhttps3a2f2ftheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsaconversationwithpauljaypt4sourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsaconversationwithpauljaypt4 titlea conversation paul jay pt 4img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherich768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202110webwhiletheplanetburnssaudisareplanninga500billionfuturemegacityfortherichjpg 1100w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576aparve error src mismatch url httpsyoutubexu36aenrbe src httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbefeatureoembedampenablejsapi1amporiginhttpstheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbeactual comparison url httpsyoutubexu36aenrbe src httpswwwyoutubecomembedxu36aenrbeenablejsapi1amporiginhttps3a2f2ftheanalysisnews src gen httpswwwp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsaconversationwithpauljaypt4sourceap

617881bcaeafd7072b44d01c

If Economists Chose the Health Care System

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1150x150jpg 150w classwppostimage height600divphealth economists study the economic determinants of health they also analyze how health care resources are utilized and allocated and how health care policies and quality of care can be improved in this episode we discuss what exactly a healthcare system would look like if these professionals were calling all the shotsp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedvikfv73v88 width500 height281iframep pthis video was adapted from a column austin wrote for the a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200217upshothealthsystemeconomistssurveyhtmlupshota links to sources can be found a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200217upshothealthsystemeconomistssurveyhtmlthereapthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressifeconomistschosethehealthcaresystemif economists chose the health care systema first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1150x150jpg 150w classwppostimage height600divphealth economists study economic determinants health analyze health care resources utilized allocated health care policies quality care improved episode discuss exactly healthcare system look like professionals calling shotsp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedvikfv73v88 width500 height281iframep pthis video adapted column austin wrote hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200217upshothealthsystemeconomistssurveyhtmlupshota links sources found hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200217upshothealthsystemeconomistssurveyhtmlthereapthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressifeconomistschosethehealthcaresystemif economists chose health care systema appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

617881f2aeafd7072b44d024

Parasites & Monster Legends on The Healthcare Triage Podcast

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail768x768jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail768x768jpg 768w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail150x150jpg 150w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnailjpg 1080w classwppostimage height600divpif youve contracted toxoplasmosis from your cat you may be more likely to take risks so why not take the plunge and listen to this podcastp pas halloween approaches a hrefhttpsmedicineiuedufaculty13502sullivanwilliambill sullivan phda joins the healthcare triage podcast to share his research on the zombifying parasite toxoplasma gondii and the science behind monster legends like vampires werewolves and zombiesp p p piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpshtml5playerlibsyncomembedepisodeid20884148height90themecustomthumbnailyesdirectionforwardrenderplaylistnocustomcolor000000 width100 height90iframep p p phealthcare triage podcasts are hosted by aaron carroll md the podcast is sponsored by the iu school of medicine and the indiana clinical and translational sciences institute ctsip pavailable wherever you get your podcasts including a hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcasthealthcaretriagepodcastid999134849mt2itunesapthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressparasitesmonsterlegendsonthehealthcaretriagepodcastparasites amp monster legends on the healthcare triage podcasta first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail768x768jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail768x768jpg 768w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnail150x150jpg 150w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110halloweenpodcastthumbnailjpg 1080w classwppostimage height600divpif youve contracted toxoplasmosis cat likely risks plunge listen podcastp pas halloween approachesa hrefhttpsmedicineiuedufaculty13502sullivanwilliambill sullivan phda joins healthcare triage podcast share research zombifying parasite toxoplasma gondii science monster legends like vampires werewolves zombiesp pp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpshtml5playerlibsyncomembedepisodeid20884148height90themecustomthumbnailyesdirectionforwardrenderplaylistnocustomcolor000000 width100 height90iframep pp phealthcare triage podcasts hosted aaron carroll md podcast sponsored iu school medicine indiana clinical translational sciences institute ctsip pavailable podcasts including hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcasthealthcaretriagepodcastid999134849mt2itunesapthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressparasitesmonsterlegendsonthehealthcaretriagepodcastparasites amp monster legends healthcare triage podcasta appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

617881f6aeafd7072b44d026

Weekly Roundup and a Social Media Symposium

img altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110weeklyrounduppngpdear quillettersppwelcome to the 1010 new subscribers since the last emweekly roundupem brbrthis week youll find an eclectic selection of articles to read including a symposium of mental health experts on the impacts of social media a summary and analysis of antivaccination arguments from the left an indepth review of a new book on quotwokequot media and another on quotwokequot racism and a fascinating podcast with author of ema hrefhttpsamznto2zyya8mthe status gameaem will storrppif youd like to continue the conversation after reading any of our articles please subscribe to the a hrefhttpsforumquillettecomsquillette circlea to discuss with fellow readers ppand a reminder that all of our work is supported by our reader community if you like our work and wish to see independent journalism thrive please become a a hrefhttpsquillettecomsubscribepaying subscriber todayappwarmly bremclaireemppstrongsymposiumstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026publichealthcrisisormediamoralpanicexpertsdivdivfacebook the new big tobacco or a media moral panicdivdiveditors note former facebook product manager turned whistleblower frances haugen recently testified before us congress in what has been described as the biggest expose in facebooks history central to haugens testimony has been the assertion that facebook knows about the social psychologicaldivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanquillettespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110facebookpngdivafigurepstrongsciencestrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211021vaccinerejectionismandtheleftdivdivvaccine rejectionism and the leftdivdivfor most of the past two centuries the left has been identified with science and against obscurantism we have believed that rational thought and the fearless analysis of objective reality both natural and social are incisive tools for combating the mystifications promoted by the powerful theodivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjon entine and patrick whittlespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110gettyimages81406617jpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211019autonomousvehicleshypeorrealitydivdivautonomous vehicles hype or realitydivdivautomobile accidents are the second leading cause of death worldwide with roughly 13 million fatalities annually according to the world health organization china accounts for roughly 260000 of those and the united states roughly 40000 car ownership is growing in developing countries which wildivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanrandall mayesspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110carspngdivafigurepstrongreviewstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026wokeracismareviewdivdivwoke racisma reviewdivdiva review of woke racism how a new religion has betrayed black america by john mcwhorter portfolio 224 pages october 2021 if you had told someone a decade agoafter the election of the first black president and in anticipation of the first black female vice presidentthat race relationsdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjared marcel pollenspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110wokeracismpngdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211025badnewsareviewdivdivbad newsa reviewdivdiva review of bad news how woke media is undermining democracy by batya ungarsargon encounter 312 pages october 2021 in bad news how woke media is undermining democracy batya ungarsargon the deputy opinion editor of newsweek where full disclosure she has published two of my essays argudivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspankevin mimsspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110badnewspngdivafigurepstrongworld affairsstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211023fromplayboysportsstartoislamistpoliticianthestrangeturnofimrankhandivdivfrom playboy sports star to islamist politician the strange turn of imran khandivdivthe values trajectory of pakistan prime minister imran khan is scarcely believable born into a welltodo family in the new country of pakistan five years after the independence and partition of india khan received a prestigious education at the elite aitchison college in lahore and then at oxfordivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanrumy hasanspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110khan1pngdivafigurepstrongactivism and culturestrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211021cancelculturehasalottoanswerfordivdivcancel culture has a lot to answer fordivdivsometimes our most precious cultural institutions fail to live up to their high educational and moral commitments and responsibilities these failures especially damage the social fabric because they tend to harm many people who rely on them and tarnish the high ideals that the institutions claim todivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanpeter h schuckspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110yuhanduhthsfndyu_sunsplashjpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211023injectingantiracismactivismintotheadoptionprocesswonthelpblackchildrendivdivinjecting antiracism activism into the adoption process wont help black childrendivdiva headline on newsweeks web site grabbed my attention in early may wokeness has come for adoption its the children who will suffer this is a subject i know well my wife and i have fostered three child refugeesfrom zimbabwe guatemala and honduras respectively these foster childrendivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspandavid k rydenspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110untitledjpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211020stoppretendingthisisfeminismdivdivstudying the true face of gender ideologydivdivthis week progressive british activist jo maugham warned his 300000plus twitter followers of yet another vast and vastly expensive piece of antitrans infrastructure that had been erected virtually overnight with zero transparency the tweet went viral even though as many commenters notedivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjonathan kayspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom2021102a8ph8pjpgdivafigurepstrongpodcaststrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026podcast170willstorronhumansinsatiableappetiteforstatusdivdivpodcast 170 will storr on our insatiable appetite for statusdivdivquillette podcast host jonathan kay speaks with author will storr about his new book detailing the profound role of statusseeking in shaping human societiesdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanquillettespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup and a social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110storrpngdivafigurepp

img altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110weeklyrounduppngpdear quillettersppwelcome 1010 new subscribers emweekly roundupem brbrthis week youll find eclectic selection articles read including symposium mental health experts impacts social media summary analysis antivaccination arguments left indepth review new book quotwokequot media quotwokequot racism fascinating podcast author ema hrefhttpsamznto2zyya8mthe status gameaem storrppif youd like continue conversation reading articles subscribe hrefhttpsforumquillettecomsquillette circlea discuss fellow readers ppand reminder work supported reader community like work wish independent journalism thrive hrefhttpsquillettecomsubscribepaying subscriber todayappwarmly bremclaireemppstrongsymposiumstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026publichealthcrisisormediamoralpanicexpertsdivdivfacebook new big tobacco media moral panicdivdiveditors note facebook product manager turned whistleblower frances haugen recently testified congress described biggest expose facebooks history central haugens testimony assertion facebook knows social psychologicaldivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanquillettespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110facebookpngdivafigurepstrongsciencestrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211021vaccinerejectionismandtheleftdivdivvaccine rejectionism leftdivdivfor past centuries left identified science obscurantism believed rational thought fearless analysis objective reality natural social incisive tools combating mystifications promoted powerful theodivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjon entine patrick whittlespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110gettyimages81406617jpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211019autonomousvehicleshypeorrealitydivdivautonomous vehicles hype realitydivdivautomobile accidents second leading cause death worldwide roughly 13 million fatalities annually according world health organization china accounts roughly 260000 united states roughly 40000 car ownership growing developing countries wildivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanrandall mayesspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110carspngdivafigurepstrongreviewstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026wokeracismareviewdivdivwoke racisma reviewdivdiva review woke racism new religion betrayed black america john mcwhorter portfolio 224 pages october 2021 told decade agoafter election black president anticipation black female vice presidentthat race relationsdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjared marcel pollenspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110wokeracismpngdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211025badnewsareviewdivdivbad newsa reviewdivdiva review bad news woke media undermining democracy batya ungarsargon encounter 312 pages october 2021 bad news woke media undermining democracy batya ungarsargon deputy opinion editor newsweek disclosure published essays argudivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspankevin mimsspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110badnewspngdivafigurepstrongworld affairsstrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211023fromplayboysportsstartoislamistpoliticianthestrangeturnofimrankhandivdivfrom playboy sports star islamist politician strange turn imran khandivdivthe values trajectory pakistan prime minister imran khan scarcely believable born welltodo family new country pakistan years independence partition india khan received prestigious education elite aitchison college lahore oxfordivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanrumy hasanspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110khan1pngdivafigurepstrongactivism culturestrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211021cancelculturehasalottoanswerfordivdivcancel culture lot answer fordivdivsometimes precious cultural institutions fail live high educational moral commitments responsibilities failures especially damage social fabric tend harm people rely tarnish high ideals institutions claim todivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanpeter h schuckspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110yuhanduhthsfndyu_sunsplashjpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211023injectingantiracismactivismintotheadoptionprocesswonthelpblackchildrendivdivinjecting antiracism activism adoption process wont help black childrendivdiva headline newsweeks web site grabbed attention early wokeness come adoption children suffer subject know wife fostered child refugeesfrom zimbabwe guatemala honduras respectively foster childrendivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspandavid k rydenspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110untitledjpgdivafigurefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211020stoppretendingthisisfeminismdivdivstudying true face gender ideologydivdivthis week progressive british activist jo maugham warned 300000plus twitter followers vast vastly expensive piece antitrans infrastructure erected virtually overnight zero transparency tweet went viral commenters notedivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanjonathan kayspandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom2021102a8ph8pjpgdivafigurepstrongpodcaststrongpfigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20211026podcast170willstorronhumansinsatiableappetiteforstatusdivdivpodcast 170 storr insatiable appetite statusdivdivquillette podcast host jonathan kay speaks author storr new book detailing profound role statusseeking shaping human societiesdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanquillettespandivdivdivimg altweekly roundup social media symposium srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110storrpngdivafigurepp

61788223aeafd7072b44d02a

Why the UK was so vulnerable to another Covid outbreak

pthe covid discussion is all about the high case rates in england the phenomenally high rates in children and whether we should do anything about it last week the a hrefhttpswwwbmaorgukbmamediacentreincrediblyconcerningthatgovernmentisnottakingmoreactiontoprotectpublicagainstcovidwarnsbmabritish medical associationa the a hrefhttpswwwnhsconfedorgnewsenactplanbplusavoidstumblingwintercrisisnhs confederationa a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct22unionswarnofwinterofchaoswithouturgentactiontocurbcovidtrade unionsa and the a hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsuk59027290laboura party all called for the government to move to its winter plan b which would mean reinstating mask mandates in indoor public spaces recommending home working where possible and potentially introducing vaccine passports meanwhile there were rumours that plan b would a hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewspoliticsleakedwhitehallmemodetailingimmediate25286392come this weeka a hrefhttpstwittercompippacrerarstatus1452196411995574276s20not todaya a hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211020cop26governmentwonthesitatelockcountryafter cop26 in novembera or not at all as a hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211024coronaviruscasesslumpwintersayscientistscases are set to plummeta reported cases have fallen in the past few days but so have tests with the start of half term and the proportion of people testing positive remains high so what is going on p pthere is little doubt that we are entering winter in a much worse position a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct21uksneighbourscriticisecovidpoliciesascasesbegintosurgeacrosseuthan our western european neighboursa cases hospital admissions and deaths are all considerably lower in spain portugal france germany and italy to name a few this is largely due to england being the first among those to remove almost all restrictions other countries have pursued a a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct11covidrateslowerwesterneuropethancentralandeasternvaccineplus strategya where high vaccination rates are combined with some or all of continued mask mandates restrictions on the highestrisk venues such as nightclubs vaccine passports and efforts to improve ventilation all of which seemed to help keep delta under control as vaccinations progressed 85 per cent of portugals entire population is vaccinated compared to 67 per cent in england p pwhile the 100000 daily cases health secretary a hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent08577e07faeb4cd296ed567151b539f6sajid javid warned abouta in july did not materialise cases remained high all summer again unlike our european neighbours we failed to vaccinate as many teenagers as we needed over those months and failed to put in place proper mitigations in schools leading to rapid increases in cases among children over the first half of term by the end of last week we had a hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailscasesareatypenationareanameengland15000 newly reported casesa in children under 15 every day and a hrefhttpswwwreuterscombusinesshealthcarepharmaceuticalschildrenfuelenglishcovidcaseriseafterslowvaccinestart20211019almost 10 per centa of all 1115 year olds had covid high cases in children have spread to not just their parents generation but also their grandparents the same number of people in england have tested positive for the first time since 1st june as did from 1st september 2020 to 31st march 202135m p pthese high case numbers have consequences over 75000 hospital admissions 11000 deaths and a hrefhttpswwwonsgovukpeoplepopulationandcommunityhealthandsocialcareconditionsanddiseasesbulletinsprevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk7october2021thousands more cases of long covida we have also seen a new subtype of delta emerge called ay42 that appears to be a a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworldlive2021oct22covidlivenewsupto18000healthcareworkerskilledbyviruswhosaysmelbourneemergesfromlonglockdownlittle more transmissiblea than its parent its advantage is small enough that it is unlikely to change the game in the way that delta did but it will be enough to make things harder than they should have been we are now heading into the months when people move indoors to socialise and covid19 thrivesp blockquote classwpblockquotepby the end of last week almost 10 per cent of all 1115 year olds had covidpblockquote pas well as the deliberate policy decisions to tolerate high case numbers particularly in young people england has also been a little unlucky the greater vaccine resistance of delta compared to previously dominant variants has meant that any waning of immunity after vaccination is more of a problem waning is gradual but becomes a noticeable issue about four to five months a hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis0140673621021838fulltextafter the second dosea while effectiveness in preventing severe illness and death has remained high waning is more pronounced in older people or those with underlying conditions we also used far more astrazeneca than our european neighbours for over40s which while an excellent vaccine a hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesd41586021022618is less effective than pfizera against delta that means many of our most vulnerable people now six months or more from their second dose are at increasing risk of catching covid and then developing more severe illnessp pso where is there cause for optimism firstly vaccines in people under 30 are extremely effective in preventing both a hrefhttpswwwnccdcgoveidarticle2711211886_articleinfectiona and a hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmmwrvolumes70wrmm7042e1htmsevere illnessa after a dismally slow beginning the teen vaccination programme in england is hopefully about to take off with parents being able to access vaccines for 1215yearolds outside of school settings if we can get doses into teens rapidly over the next two weeks this will have a significant braking effect on transmission as well as protecting children themselves from educational disruption sickness and long covid half term will also act as a natural brake on transmission as children mix less with others especially in areas that have twoweek breaksp pthe other good news is that boosters too are incredibly effective at preventing a hrefhttpswwwreuterscombusinesshealthcarepharmaceuticalspfizerbiontechreporthighefficacycovid19boostershotstudy20211021infectiona and a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021sep27dataisraelcovidboostershotsstandardsevere illnessa in older and vulnerable people we have already boosted over 50 per cent of the over80s but we need this to speed up significantly to keep pace with the numbers becoming eligible every day accelerating the programme will directly protect older people and reduce hospital admissions and deaths p pwe do have means at our disposal to complement high vaccine coverage better case identification and isolation including communicating the full range of symptoms and supporting people to isolate reaching out to undervaccinated populations reinstating mask mandates in general and in secondary schools investing in better ventilation encouraging working from home and considering the option of vaccine passports in higherrisk settings none of these measures are anywhere near to lockdown measuresindeed they make lockdown much less likely than if we continue to rely solely on vaccination and natural immunity which appears to be the current planp pwhile in time vaccines on their own are likely to be able to do almost all the heavy lifting of keeping cases very low we are not there yetand to have maximum impact we would need to offer teens their second dose roll out vaccines if approved to 511 year olds and consider boosting all adults p pif we can combine accelerated vaccination with additional measures as soon as possible we will be in a far better position to bring cases down rapidly and keep them there this will reduce some of a hrefhttpswwwbmjcomcontent375bmjn2587the current extreme pressure on the nhsa lower the risk of even worse variants emerging and give us the best possible chance of a sociable christmas p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukscienceandtechnologywhytheukwassovulnerabletoanothercovid19outbreakcoronaviruswhy the uk was so vulnerable to another covid outbreaka appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukprospect magazineap

pthe covid discussion high case rates england phenomenally high rates children week thea hrefhttpswwwbmaorgukbmamediacentreincrediblyconcerningthatgovernmentisnottakingmoreactiontoprotectpublicagainstcovidwarnsbmabritish medical associationa thea hrefhttpswwwnhsconfedorgnewsenactplanbplusavoidstumblingwintercrisisnhs confederationaa hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct22unionswarnofwinterofchaoswithouturgentactiontocurbcovidtrade unionsa thea hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsuk59027290laboura party called government winter plan b mean reinstating mask mandates indoor public spaces recommending home working possible potentially introducing vaccine passports rumours plan b woulda hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewspoliticsleakedwhitehallmemodetailingimmediate25286392come weeka hrefhttpstwittercompippacrerarstatus1452196411995574276s20not todayaa hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211020cop26governmentwonthesitatelockcountryafter cop26 novembera asa hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211024coronaviruscasesslumpwintersayscientistscases set plummeta reported cases fallen past days tests start half term proportion people testing positive remains high going onp pthere little doubt entering winter worse positiona hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct21uksneighbourscriticisecovidpoliciesascasesbegintosurgeacrosseuthan western european neighboursa cases hospital admissions deaths considerably lower spain portugal france germany italy largely england remove restrictions countries pursued aa hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct11covidrateslowerwesterneuropethancentralandeasternvaccineplus strategya high vaccination rates combined continued mask mandates restrictions highestrisk venues nightclubs vaccine passports efforts improve ventilation help delta control vaccinations progressed 85 cent portugals entire population vaccinated compared 67 cent englandp pwhile 100000 daily cases health secretarya hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent08577e07faeb4cd296ed567151b539f6sajid javid warned abouta july materialise cases remained high summer unlike european neighbours failed vaccinate teenagers needed months failed place proper mitigations schools leading rapid increases cases children half term end week hada hrefhttpscoronavirusdatagovukdetailscasesareatypenationareanameengland15000 newly reported casesa children 15 day anda hrefhttpswwwreuterscombusinesshealthcarepharmaceuticalschildrenfuelenglishcovidcaseriseafterslowvaccinestart20211019almost 10 centa 1115 year olds covid high cases children spread parents generation grandparents number people england tested positive time 1st june 1st september 2020 31st march 202135mp pthese high case numbers consequences 75000 hospital admissions 11000 deaths anda hrefhttpswwwonsgovukpeoplepopulationandcommunityhealthandsocialcareconditionsanddiseasesbulletinsprevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk7october2021thousands cases long covida seen new subtype delta emerge called ay42 appears aa hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworldlive2021oct22covidlivenewsupto18000healthcareworkerskilledbyviruswhosaysmelbourneemergesfromlonglockdownlittle transmissiblea parent advantage small unlikely change game way delta things harder heading months people indoors socialise covid19 thrivesp blockquote classwpblockquotepby end weekalmost 10 cent 1115 year olds covidpblockquote pas deliberate policy decisions tolerate high case numbers particularly young people england little unlucky greater vaccine resistance delta compared previously dominant variants meant waning immunity vaccination problem waning gradual noticeable issue monthsa hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis0140673621021838fulltextafter second dosea effectiveness preventing severe illness death remained high waning pronounced older people underlying conditions far astrazeneca european neighbours over40s excellent vaccinea hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesd41586021022618is effective pfizera delta means vulnerable people months second dose increasing risk catching covid developing severe illnessp pso cause optimism firstly vaccines people 30 extremely effective preventing botha hrefhttpswwwnccdcgoveidarticle2711211886_articleinfectiona anda hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmmwrvolumes70wrmm7042e1htmsevere illnessa dismally slow beginning teen vaccination programme england hopefully parents able access vaccines 1215yearolds outside school settings doses teens rapidly weeks significant braking effect transmission protecting children educational disruption sickness long covid half term act natural brake transmission children mix especially areas twoweek breaksp pthe good news boosters incredibly effective preventinga hrefhttpswwwreuterscombusinesshealthcarepharmaceuticalspfizerbiontechreporthighefficacycovid19boostershotstudy20211021infectiona anda hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021sep27dataisraelcovidboostershotsstandardsevere illnessa older vulnerable people boosted 50 cent over80s need speed significantly pace numbers eligible day accelerating programme directly protect older people reduce hospital admissions deathsp pwe means disposal complement high vaccine coverage better case identification isolation including communicating range symptoms supporting people isolate reaching undervaccinated populations reinstating mask mandates general secondary schools investing better ventilation encouraging working home considering option vaccine passports higherrisk settings measures near lockdown measuresindeed lockdown likely continue rely solely vaccination natural immunity appears current planp pwhile time vaccines likely able heavy lifting keeping cases low yetand maximum impact need offer teens second dose roll vaccines approved 511 year olds consider boosting adultsp pif combine accelerated vaccination additional measures soon possible far better position bring cases rapidly reduce ofa hrefhttpswwwbmjcomcontent375bmjn2587the current extreme pressure nhsa lower risk worse variants emerging best possible chance sociable christmasp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukscienceandtechnologywhytheukwassovulnerabletoanothercovid19outbreakcoronaviruswhy uk vulnerable covid outbreaka appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukprospect magazineap

61788231aeafd7072b44d02c

Don’t overpredict a negative future

pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211025americasnegativepoliticsarecreatinganationalmooddisordersrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one bitp blockquotepa second question would be whether there is evidence to support the contention that americans have become more negative overall i am doubtful do fans of the boston red sox hate the new york yankees more than they used to its not obvious that the answer is yes what about animosity between say protestants and catholics thats probably a good deal weaker there is almost certainly less homophobia too in addition to many other forms of prejudice there are other indicators of progress the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210819businessstartupbusinesscreationpandemichtml target_blanksurgea in the number of americans starting new businesses for example is hardly a sign of pessimismpblockquote pandp blockquote pthe good news is that shifts in national moods come relatively frequently and they are difficult to forecast in the 1990s for instance few people forecast our current predicament of such an extreme polarized emotional opposition negative moods do not necessarily feed upon each other and become worse as shown by the broader currents of history civilization has been around for thousands of years and the us for a few hundred years in both cases with many ups and downs if negative moods inevitably lead to nothing more than further collapse or destruction it is hard to see how we would have come so farp asideaside pit is even possible that national moods are characterized by meanreversion namely that negative moods tend to turn more positive and vice versa that would imply we could look forward to better moods ahead that is hardly gospel but i havent seen anyone with a better theoryp blockquote pandp blockquote pso to sum up a few of the basic facts under this worldview americans are more negative and more oppositional in some important ways especially around politics this is not a good development yet especially when you look beyond politics the national mood is by no means entirely sour or hopeless national moods also change frequently and in unpredictable ways there will be many a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles202012242020inreviewmaybeitwasntquiteashorribleasitseemedsrefep6bv7cs target_blankpositive developmentsa in coming decades most of all in biotechnologyp pthe negativity in other words is contained and it could change swiftly and without notice i dont know about you but i find this outlook liberating or even dare i say a reason for some modest optimismp blockquote pthe mention of strongmrstrong commentators however is behind the paywallp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110dontoverpredictanegativefuturehtmldont overpredict a negative futurea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat topic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211025americasnegativepoliticsarecreatinganationalmooddisordersrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna bitp blockquotepa second question evidence support contention americans negative overall doubtful fans boston red sox hate new york yankees obvious answer yes animosity protestants catholics thats probably good deal weaker certainly homophobia addition forms prejudice indicators progress thea relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210819businessstartupbusinesscreationpandemichtml target_blanksurgeain number americans starting new businesses example hardly sign pessimismpblockquote pandp blockquote pthe good news shifts national moods come relatively frequently difficult forecast 1990s instance people forecast current predicament extreme polarized emotional opposition negative moods necessarily feed worse shown broader currents history civilization thousands years years cases ups downs negative moods inevitably lead collapse destruction hard come farp asideaside pit possible national moods characterized meanreversion negative moods tend turn positive vice versa imply look forward better moods ahead hardly gospel havent seen better theoryp blockquote pandp blockquote pso sum basic facts worldview americans negative oppositional important ways especially politics good development especially look politics national mood means entirely sour hopeless national moods change frequently unpredictable ways manya relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles202012242020inreviewmaybeitwasntquiteashorribleasitseemedsrefep6bv7cs target_blankpositive developmentsain coming decades biotechnologyp pthe negativity words contained change swiftly notice dont know find outlook liberating dare reason modest optimismp blockquote pthe mention strongmrstrong commentators paywallp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110dontoverpredictanegativefuturehtmldont overpredict negative futurea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

61788258aeafd7072b44d030

Does America need more planning? My long-read Q&A with Neil Chilson

pstrongby james pethokoukis and neil chilsonstrongp pin economics emergent order refers to systems of order that spontaneously emerge without any central direction or plan it is the unplanned order of supply and demand that makes market economies work but critics of a handsoff approach to policy contend that order is likely to devolve into chaos without rational calculated planning in this episode of political economy neil chilson discusses the lessons of emergent order for policymakers and whether this concept still applies in the complex datarich world of the 21st centuryp pneil is a senior research fellow for technology and innovation at the charles koch institute and the author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting out of control emergent leadership in a complex worldaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode3e718ded61a14feda47c572524d5d726iframediv pwhat follows is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation you can download the episode a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastneilchilsonemergentorderinacomplexworld target_blankherea and dont forget to subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell your friends leave a reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongone of my favorite sayings is one which i stole from former obama treasury secretary timothy geithner in which he said plan beats no plan because without a plan you have chaos but your book is about emergent order and that sounds like theres no plan if its not about planning and detail and its not chaos what is emergent orderstrongp pchilson its a great quote and its actually pretty decent advice i think youre right my book is not about creating a grand plan in some ways its about pointing out how often grand plans fail and sometimes they can fail really miserably but that doesnt mean that we shouldnt plan at all in fact as participants in what i would call a complex dynamic system this is what complexity scientists would call it we contribute to emergent order outcomes where nobody controls the outcome and nobody really controls the system but orderly beneficial exchanges happen we contribute to those in part by the plans that we make and how we try to execute themp pso its not that there is no point in planning we are planning creatures we are toolusing creatures its more understanding and being humble about what we can actually achieve through planning and being ready to adapt our plans when the environment changes which it inevitably willp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadgeithnerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613679figcaptionus treasury secretary timothy geithner speaks at the clinton global initiative in chicago june 30 2011 reutersjohn gressfigcaptionfigure spanspan pstronglet me read a couple sentences because listeners love it when i read beautifully ordered systems can and regularly do emerge from the independent actions of molecules or cells or people without anyone being in charge and in fact seemingly small interventions into a complex system could send it spinning out of control and even destroy it what are a couple examples of beautifully ordered systems that emerge and how do they get sent spinning out of controlstrongp psure a simple example from physics would be something like a whirlpool you let the water out of your bathtub and this structure forms its not static its continuously moving its a bunch of different elements a bunch of different molecules that are interacting with each other under these forces and it creates a structure that structure is persistent but can be easily disturbed your idea might be i want to try to shape this structure but its very easy to destroy it if youre trying to shape it with your hand for example thats a simple physics example theres lots of examples in economics of a bottomup system that works very well and then a controlling force tries to step in and control something about it for their purposes and spins it out of controlp pone of my favorite examples is from james c scotts book ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomseeinglikestatecertainconditiondp0300078153 target_blankseeing like a stateaem he talks about german forestry the germans back in the 1800s wanted to increase their lumber output from their forests they were wild forests they were not planned at all and so what they did is they essentially replanted the forest in very orderly quite aesthetically pleasing rows of trees of a very specific tree that was the favorite for lumber it was very easy to maintain the forest in some ways it was very easy to go in and cut down trees when they were ready it was very easy to measure the metrics of the lumber output but that complex ecosystem which served many needs other than lumber was completely upended by this so peasants who gathered firewood from the forest could no longer do that in the same wayp pthe natural ecosystem was completely disrupted to the point at which it was essentially a monoculture and very quickly was subject to disease although in the short run it jacked up the output of lumber in the longer run it was actually greatly reduced and required a whole bunch of followon interventions to try to save the project that the government had put into place and so thats a good example from the natural ecosystem side of not only control disrupting the many uses of a complex system but maybe even undermining the particular goal that the person trying to step into control is trying to achievep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadtreesjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613694figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pstrongyoure a smart guy you operate at a very high level im going to bring it down a level and what this makes me think of interventions into a complex system with unintended outcomes is the film emjurassic parkem where the scientists thought they understood dinosaurs it turns out they really didnt before they knew it theyre running for their lives if i look at the industrial revolution or as economist deirdre mccloskey calls it the great enrichment how the world went from being super poor to not being so poor through an emergent order lens how did that happenstrongp pyeah so im a huge fan of mccloskeys work i think i actually have a copy of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombourgeoisequalitycapitalinstitutionsenricheddp022633399x target_blankbourgeois equalityaem right here behind me and i cite her quite a lot in the book so economics is one of the fields that first identified emergent order concepts adam smith talks about them he doesnt use that term in fact the more common term in economics is spontaneous order but the way that it happens strongstrong and i think mccloskeys telling is not only quite literate but very compelling evidentiarywise strongstrong is that people started following some simple basic rules at the individual level around property rights there was also a change in culture around basically the entrepreneur the innovator became somebody to be admired rather than somebody to be fearedp pand those cultural changes along with some of the basic principles around property rights allowed individual exchanges that were not designed topdown but where one innovator would see a problem out there in the world and try to solve it and then subject it to a market test where people voted essentially with their dollars about whether or not they supported it and over time of all these many many experiments some succeeded many failed and then people moved on to try to solve a new problem and over time that created the very widespread prosperity through the creation of new business models and new technologiesp pso almost all of them you cannot design from the top in retrospect they might look obvious but in looking forward its very hard to tell which of these experiments wouldve worked but the collective result of these many many many experiments by individuals or maybe even individual firms sums together to be this great leap forward in technology and in widespread betterment for human societyp pstrongas you were mentioning that i was thinking of a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssiliconvalleyanunrepeatablemiraclealongreadqawithmargaretomara target_blankconversationa i had with the historian margaret omara about the rise of silicon valley and if you look at it after the fact it seems very obvious you had stanford university and then we just had the defense department and they started plowing money and emboomem and we had this tremendous innovation hub there was a plan created this was post new deal plans were very big so this was like the latest plan coming out of that kind of ethos i mean she laughed she goes no there was no plan at all after the fact it looks like oh it seems very logical that would happen but there was no planstrongp pyeah and i think sometimes people try to look at silicon valley and then theyre like well well create the same conditions in our area and silicon valley will happen here too and what we see is often and this is true in complex systems its more than just you put all the elements together and you hit a switch and it goes many emergent systems actually have a long startup time essentially all of the intelligence in the system is through the interconnections between the parts and it takes time to make those interconnections even if you have all the elements in the same placep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadgooglejpgx91208 classwpimage1008613693figcaptiona google logo is seen at its headquarters office in mountain view californiabrphoto by yichuan caosipa usafigcaptionfigure pkevin kelly has a book thats actually called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomoutcontrolbiologymachineseconomicdp0201483408 target_blankout of controlaem so it was written in the 80s and it takes a much more sciencebiology take on this but he talks about how you could put together a bunch of bees and you dont get a hive he also talks about how you could understand every single thing about the individual bee but that doesnt explain the behavior when you put thousands of them together or when they come together in a hive and so complex systems are not like machines where you just assemble all the pieces and then you turn it on and it works its more like some really complicated types of baking recipes where you have to put the pieces together but then it takes a long time for them to actually integrate for the dough to rise for example so that you get a system that actually works so that makes them very hard to design and it also makes them pretty much impossible to control even though there are lots of ways to influence themp pstrongis it appropriate to call the economy a machine sometimes ill use that word ill call it a jobs machine or a growth machine but what youre describing doesnt sound very machinelike it sounds very biological and it does not sound artificial and if i start calling the economy a machine have i already taken a step in the wrong directionstrongp pyeah i think hayek actually points this out he says that often we have this mental model and i think one of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsrussrobertsinfoabout target_blankruss robertsa videos on the hayek versus keynes thing has a really good set of lines around the economy not being a machine the difference between a machine and something like an organism even some of the simplest organisms is exactly what i was talking about with the bees earlier you can take an auto engine apart and if you understand every single piece its complicated thats the difference between complex and complicated an auto engine is complicated you can take it apart and if you understand the function of every single piece youll be able to sort of sum those functions together and understand how the whole engine worksp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadenginejpgx91208 classwpimage1008613699figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pthats not true for an organism where if you took it apart into its different pieces even if you understood those pieces theres something about the connectivity between those pieces the knowledge exists in the relationships between those pieces in a way that cant be reduced and summedp pand the economy is very much that way because the interactions between individuals are so contextspecific and because relationships are built over time not just at the individual level but between the supplier and the producer and there are all these intangibles that cant really be measured and you cant sum together all the pieces to get a really accurate picture of where the system is going often you have to paint with a very broad brush about what the future of the economy is going to be and precise predictions are just off the table because of the complexity of the systemp pstrongadam smith that was a long time ago life was simpler then its a complicated world we need to make plans despite our conversation about plans earlier we just cant let things kind of happen its a world so complicated that to let order emerge would be chaotic we have goals for our society its not like we need a lot of good plans and thanks to ai we have more information than ever we have big data and then well have bigger data maybe we can create our own order a lot better than we used to maybe one day the ai will do it for usstrongp pyeah ive actually seen that argument the sort of revival of the calculation problem that mises tackled in the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsolllibertyfundorgpagemisesontheimpossibilityofeconomiccalculationundersocialism target_blanksocialist calculation problema theres people who now argue essentially we can collect enough data to solve that now and well just let a machine do it im really skeptical there could be a sort of nihilistic take on emergent order where you basically say ah its complicated i dont understand im just going to sit back if im meant to do something great i will if good things are supposed to come to me they will im out of control herep pbut the whole point of emergent order is it actually requires people to act  you in the economy have to act for order to emerge in an ant farm the ants cant just sit back and do nothing theyre following the simple rules that they have theyre following the inputs that they have using the local knowledge that they have and so they should try to be the most antlike that they can and thats true also for humans i think and part of the message of my book is that we cant just sit back and let the world happen to usp pthis is one of the flaws i think of the stoics who said dont try to control things you cant control your lot in life in many ways is out of your control and theyre not wrong about that but i think they didnt have a good model for how much influence we can have on the institutions and the systems that we interact with we dont have control over them but we can feed into the feedback loops of the institutions that we participate in and in many ways our greatest work as humans is to improve the institutions that we participate in even though we cant control themp pand one of the messages in my book is one of the best ways to help improve the institutions that youre part of is to play your role within them as best as possible and also to help them play the role that theyre supposed to serve that theyre intended to serve as best as possible and this applies to institutions from congress to your family to your local community group and even groups of friends i think these same principles of realizing that we cannot control a complex system but we have the ability and in many ways the moral obligation to influence the systems that we participate in is one of the key reasons we should stop trying to be in control and focus on influence insteadp pstrongsome people are going to hear what youve said so far theyre going to say well heres whats really going on this is a bunch of fancy talk and its a defense of the neoliberal market capitalist markets thats what hes really talking about and guess what we tried that and what is the outcome i mean we care about the outcome and the outcome has been bad the outcome has been stagnation the outcome is plutocracy vast inequality maybe we need to have less emergent order and a lot more directed order and a directed purpose to our societystrongp pin the chapter where i talked about where emergent order came from i intentionally paired economics and biology which are the two major fields where emergent order concepts come from to combat this a little bit often the same people who will say that about the economy will look at the environment and say well we shouldnt try to design things in the environment youre messing with nature its this complex system that will have all these unintended consequences if we mess with nature and so they seem to understand and embrace the emergent order nature of nature but dont seem to see the parallel to economicsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadenvironmentalismjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613690figcaptionactivists march holding a banner during the march at extinction rebellions nature protest held in central london photo by loredana sangiuliano sopa imagessipa usafigcaptionfigure pand often people on the right are the flip of that theyll often say i buy that markets are emergent and that we dont control them and intervening and designing them doesnt work very well but there must be some grand design in nature and i dont want to get into the creationist debate because as a religious believer myself i think emergent order is quite compatible with theology in many ways but quite intentionally i think people just dont realize how emergent order as a basic principle is consistent both in biology and in economics in a way that should make us humble about how much we think we can design either of those systems so if you see a problem in the economy or you see a problem in the environment its not to say that we shouldnt try to address those problems but that we should be humble about what we can actually achieve when we do thatp pthe concept often is that we should just sweep away the past systems and redesign everything from the bottom up but what we know from biology what we know from history and increasingly from psychology is that theres a lot of knowledge captured in the system that is not expressed and if we sweep away the system and try to put a designed system in place we might have something that is in some ways more aesthetically pleasing but often it will be a sort of shallow solution that only addresses one set of problems instead of the whole big host of problems that are out there in the world and the consequences of that is a system thats less welladapted to all of the people who are participating in itp peven if i accept many of the problems that people point out in the economy i continue to be as skeptical of our ability to reshape everything from the top down as i think many people would be if i said well we should just redesign nature so that we dont have erosion and we dont have species that kill each other i think that level of intervention in nature would make many people as nervous as i am about similarly drastic interventions in the economyp pstrongperhaps your book will create a moment of embrace of emergent order we do not seem to be in that moment in washington where theres a lot of very expensive plans that will affect all areas of the economy what would be the cautionary note that you would give policymakers todaystrongp pwell the book has six principles for emergent leadership but the one i would mostly focus on for policymakers today is around humility there are two principles actually one is deeply understanding what you actually can control and what you cant and focus on the things that you can and second being humble even in that space about what youre likely to achieve and i think those two principles are missing from a lot of the discussion in dc but they should be much more widely embraced and i think there are good reasons in my book for why people across the political spectrum would want to do thatp pstrongmy guest today has been neil chilson author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting out of control emergent leadership in a complex worldaem neil thanks for coming on the podcaststrongp pthanks a lot great to be herep pemjames pethokoukis is the dewitt wallace fellow at the american enterprise institute where he writes and edits the aeideas blog and hosts a weekly podcast a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy with james pethokoukisa neil is a senior research fellow for technology and innovation at the charles koch instituteemp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeardcan geothermal energy replace oil and gas my longread qampa with jamie bearda a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution my longread qampa with arthur turrella a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis the united states really meritocratic my longread qampa with adrian wooldridgeapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsdoesamericaneedmoreplanningmylongreadqawithneilchilsondoes america need more planning my longread qampa with neil chilsona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis neil chilsonstrongp pin economics emergent order refers systems order spontaneously emerge central direction plan unplanned order supply demand makes market economies work critics handsoff approach policy contend order likely devolve chaos rational calculated planning episode political economy neil chilson discusses lessons emergent order policymakers concept applies complex datarich world 21st centuryp pneil senior research fellow technology innovation charles koch institute author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting control emergent leadership complex worldaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode3e718ded61a14feda47c572524d5d726iframediv pwhat follows lightly edited transcript conversation download episode relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastneilchilsonemergentorderinacomplexworld target_blankherea dont forget subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell friends leave reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongone favorite sayings stole obama treasury secretary timothy geithner said plan beats plan plan chaos book emergent order sounds like theres plan planning detail chaos emergent orderstrongp pchilson great quote actually pretty decent advice think youre right book creating grand plan ways pointing grand plans fail fail miserably doesnt mean shouldnt plan fact participants complex dynamic system complexity scientists contribute emergent order outcomes controls outcome controls system orderly beneficial exchanges happen contribute plans try execute themp pso point planning planning creatures toolusing creatures understanding humble actually achieve planning ready adapt plans environment changes inevitably willp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadgeithnerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613679figcaptionus treasury secretary timothy geithner speaks clinton global initiative chicago june 30 2011 reutersjohn gressfigcaptionfigure spanspan pstronglet read couple sentences listeners love read beautifully ordered systems regularly emerge independent actions molecules cells people charge fact seemingly small interventions complex system send spinning control destroy couple examples beautifully ordered systems emerge sent spinning controlstrongp psure simple example physics like whirlpool let water bathtub structure forms static continuously moving bunch different elements bunch different molecules interacting forces creates structure structure persistent easily disturbed idea want try shape structure easy destroy youre trying shape hand example thats simple physics example theres lots examples economics bottomup system works controlling force tries step control purposes spins controlp pone favorite examples james c scotts book ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomseeinglikestatecertainconditiondp0300078153 target_blankseeing like stateaem talks german forestry germans 1800s wanted increase lumber output forests wild forests planned essentially replanted forest orderly aesthetically pleasing rows trees specific tree favorite lumber easy maintain forest ways easy cut trees ready easy measure metrics lumber output complex ecosystem served needs lumber completely upended peasants gathered firewood forest longer wayp pthe natural ecosystem completely disrupted point essentially monoculture quickly subject disease short run jacked output lumber longer run actually greatly reduced required bunch followon interventions try save project government place thats good example natural ecosystem control disrupting uses complex system maybe undermining particular goal person trying step control trying achievep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadtreesjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613694figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pstrongyoure smart guy operate high level im going bring level makes think interventions complex system unintended outcomes film emjurassic parkem scientists thought understood dinosaurs turns didnt knew theyre running lives look industrial revolution economist deirdre mccloskey calls great enrichment world went super poor poor emergent order lens happenstrongp pyeah im huge fan mccloskeys work think actually copy ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombourgeoisequalitycapitalinstitutionsenricheddp022633399x target_blankbourgeois equalityaem right cite lot book economics fields identified emergent order concepts adam smith talks doesnt use term fact common term economics spontaneous order way happens strongstrong think mccloskeys telling literate compelling evidentiarywise strongstrong people started following simple basic rules individual level property rights change culture basically entrepreneur innovator somebody admired somebody fearedp pand cultural changes basic principles property rights allowed individual exchanges designed topdown innovator problem world try solve subject market test people voted essentially dollars supported time experiments succeeded failed people moved try solve new problem time created widespread prosperity creation new business models new technologiesp pso design retrospect look obvious looking forward hard tell experiments wouldve worked collective result experiments individuals maybe individual firms sums great leap forward technology widespread betterment human societyp pstrongas mentioning thinking relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssiliconvalleyanunrepeatablemiraclealongreadqawithmargaretomara target_blankconversationa historian margaret omara rise silicon valley look fact obvious stanford university defense department started plowing money emboomem tremendous innovation hub plan created post new deal plans big like latest plan coming kind ethos mean laughed goes plan fact looks like oh logical happen planstrongp pyeah think people try look silicon valley theyre like create conditions area silicon valley happen true complex systems elements hit switch goes emergent systems actually long startup time essentially intelligence system interconnections parts takes time interconnections elements placep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadgooglejpgx91208 classwpimage1008613693figcaptiona google logo seen headquarters office mountain view californiabrphoto yichuan caosipa usafigcaptionfigure pkevin kelly book thats actually called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomoutcontrolbiologymachineseconomicdp0201483408 target_blankout controlaem written 80s takes sciencebiology talks bunch bees dont hive talks understand single thing individual bee doesnt explain behavior thousands come hive complex systems like machines assemble pieces turn works like complicated types baking recipes pieces takes long time actually integrate dough rise example system actually works makes hard design makes pretty impossible control lots ways influence themp pstrongis appropriate economy machine ill use word ill jobs machine growth machine youre describing doesnt sound machinelike sounds biological sound artificial start calling economy machine taken step wrong directionstrongp pyeah think hayek actually points says mental model think relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsrussrobertsinfoabout target_blankruss robertsa videos hayek versus keynes thing good set lines economy machine difference machine like organism simplest organisms exactly talking bees earlier auto engine apart understand single piece complicated thats difference complex complicated auto engine complicated apart understand function single piece youll able sort sum functions understand engine worksp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadenginejpgx91208 classwpimage1008613699figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pthats true organism took apart different pieces understood pieces theres connectivity pieces knowledge exists relationships pieces way cant reduced summedp pand economy way interactions individuals contextspecific relationships built time individual level supplier producer intangibles cant measured cant sum pieces accurate picture system going paint broad brush future economy going precise predictions table complexity systemp pstrongadam smith long time ago life simpler complicated world need plans despite conversation plans earlier cant let things kind happen world complicated let order emerge chaotic goals society like need lot good plans thanks ai information big data bigger data maybe create order lot better maybe day ai usstrongp pyeah ive actually seen argument sort revival calculation problem mises tackled relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsolllibertyfundorgpagemisesontheimpossibilityofeconomiccalculationundersocialism target_blanksocialist calculation problema theres people argue essentially collect data solve let machine im skeptical sort nihilistic emergent order basically ah complicated dont understand im going sit im meant great good things supposed come im control herep pbut point emergent order actually requires people act economy act order emerge ant farm ants cant sit theyre following simple rules theyre following inputs local knowledge try antlike thats true humans think message book cant sit let world happen usp pthis flaws think stoics said dont try control things cant control lot life ways control theyre wrong think didnt good model influence institutions systems interact dont control feed feedback loops institutions participate ways greatest work humans improve institutions participate cant control themp pand messages book best ways help improve institutions youre play role best possible help play role theyre supposed serve theyre intended serve best possible applies institutions congress family local community group groups friends think principles realizing control complex system ability ways moral obligation influence systems participate key reasons stop trying control focus influence insteadp pstrongsome people going hear youve said far theyre going heres whats going bunch fancy talk defense neoliberal market capitalist markets thats hes talking guess tried outcome mean care outcome outcome bad outcome stagnation outcome plutocracy vast inequality maybe need emergent order lot directed order directed purpose societystrongp pin chapter talked emergent order came intentionally paired economics biology major fields emergent order concepts come combat little bit people economy look environment shouldnt try design things environment youre messing nature complex system unintended consequences mess nature understand embrace emergent order nature nature dont parallel economicsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilsonlongreadenvironmentalismjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613690figcaptionactivists march holding banner march extinction rebellions nature protest held central london photo loredana sangiuliano sopa imagessipa usafigcaptionfigure pand people right flip theyll buy markets emergent dont control intervening designing doesnt work grand design nature dont want creationist debate religious believer think emergent order compatible theology ways intentionally think people dont realize emergent order basic principle consistent biology economics way humble think design systems problem economy problem environment shouldnt try address problems humble actually achieve thatp pthe concept sweep away past systems redesign know biology know history increasingly psychology theres lot knowledge captured system expressed sweep away system try designed system place ways aesthetically pleasing sort shallow solution addresses set problems instead big host problems world consequences system thats welladapted people participating itp peven accept problems people point economy continue skeptical ability reshape think people said redesign nature dont erosion dont species kill think level intervention nature people nervous similarly drastic interventions economyp pstrongperhaps book create moment embrace emergent order moment washington theres lot expensive plans affect areas economy cautionary note policymakers todaystrongp pwell book principles emergent leadership focus policymakers today humility principles actually deeply understanding actually control cant focus things second humble space youre likely achieve think principles missing lot discussion dc widely embraced think good reasons book people political spectrum want thatp pstrongmy guest today neil chilson author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting control emergent leadership complex worldaem neil thanks coming podcaststrongp pthanks lot great herep pemjames pethokoukis dewitt wallace fellow american enterprise institute writes edits aeideas blog hosts weekly podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy james pethokoukisa neil senior research fellow technology innovation charles koch instituteemp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicscangeothermalenergyreplaceoilandgasmylongreadqawithjamiebeardcan geothermal energy replace oil gas longread qampa jamie bearda hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution longread qampa arthur turrella hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis united states meritocratic longread qampa adrian wooldridgeapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsdoesamericaneedmoreplanningmylongreadqawithneilchilsondoes america need planning longread qampa neil chilsona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

61788285aeafd7072b44d034

The Renew America Movement: A Center-Right Third Party Taking Shape

pconservative pundit jonah goldberg recently revived the debate over the need for a new conservative political party a hrefhttpsthedispatchcompathirdpartycouldcurewhatailsarguinga in emthe dispatchem the conservative but trumpskeptical online publication  he cofounded that it is a better alternative for never trump conservatives than voting for democrats aroused the antiantitrumpers at emnational review emfired off a hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcomcornerafurtherreplytojonahgoldbergonreaganitethirdpartiesthree quick responsesa in opposition while david french emthe dispatchems senior editor a hrefhttpsfrenchpressthedispatchcompjonahisrightweighed ina in support however goldbergs argument and the responses he provoked fail to reflect what is happening on the ground in realtimethe reality is that the centerright has already created a political movement which very well may evolve into a third partyp pgoldberg briefly refers to aemnew york timesem a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211011opinion2022housesenatetrumphtmlopeda by miles taylor the former chief of staff in the department of homeland security during the trump administration and christine todd whitman the former republican governor of new jersey they  argue that to defend democracy antitrump republicans need to vote for democrats in 2022  goldberg argues that a better option is the creation of a third party with a simple reaganite conservative platform combined with a serious plank to defend the soundness of elections  p pgoldberg fails to place this seemingly simple choice alliance with democrats or a new party in the broader context of what is actually happening  taylor and whitman were not writing for themselves but as leaders of the a hrefhttpsrenewamericamovementcomrenew america movementa ram ram is the political organization launched by hundreds of current and former republican leaders including myself taylor and whitman made it clear that ram will be supporting candidates of both partiesp blockquote classwpblockquotep[w]e will endorse and support bipartisanoriented moderate democrats in difficult races and we will defend a small nucleus of courageous republicans such as liz cheney adam kinzinger peter meijer and others who are unafraid to speak the truthpblockquote ptaylor and whitman also indicated that ram would support independent candidates who will not run as spoilers for the democrats rather ram will take local circumstances into account in those cases where democrats can be convinced that an independent is the most viable option to beat a trump republican they cite utah as an example where senator mike lee a republican who supported trumps refusal to concede defeat in the presidential election almost certainly cannot be defeated by a democratic challenger but an independent might succeed which is why former republican evan mcmullin a member of ram a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211005evanmcmullinutahsenatebid515129announced recentlya that he was entering the racep pin the short term  the 2022 and most likely the 2024 elections  rams efforts will  focus not just on supporting democrats  but on an alloftheabove electoral strategy to help prevent trump and his supporters from regaining power and destroying our democracy but as taylor and whitman made clear in their editorial the option of forming a third party remains on the table in the long termp blockquote classwpblockquotepstarting a new centerright party may prove to be the last resort if trumpbacked candidates continue to win republican primaries we and our allies have debated the option of starting a new party for months and will continue to explore its viability in the long runpblockquote pis this movement and potential new party the conservative reaganite alternative goldberg is looking for well we have chosen to use the term centerright but the meaning of labels is in the eye of the beholder  we are all current or former republicans and rams first action was to adopt a set of guiding principles a hrefhttpswwwacallforamericanrenewalcomema call for american renewalema that includes this arguably reaganite statement on economic opportunityp blockquote classwpblockquotepwe recognize open marketbased economies as consistent with our natural liberty and the optimal means of ensuring economic mobility and the allocation of scarce resources we support sensible and limited regulation including to ensure equal opportunity and affirm governments vital role in assisting vulnerable citizens while encouraging selfreliance without the impediments of cronyism and corruptionpblockquote pthe point is we have moved beyond debating what should be done about trump and his takeover of the gop we have moved on to doing the hard work of winning elections we raise money endorse candidates gather allies hire political professionals and build a grassroots base p ptoday almost five and a half years after the hashtag nevertrump began trending on twitter the centerright movement is composed of hundreds of prominent current and former republican leaders hundreds of thousands of donors large and small and millions of social media followers it includes intellectual leaders media pundits think tanks political operatives and a robust fundraising organizational and political infrastructure  the ground is being laid for this movement to evolve into a party if events take us therep pthe republican party has not exactly split yet but chunks of it are breaking off this new centerright movement is a reality but where does it go from here and how long before it is capable of winning elections this new movement is still far from reaching full development but we were a factor in the 2020 election and we are gearing up to make a difference in 2022 america needs this movement to succeed our democracy is still under threat and we are likely to face a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20210923robertkaganconstitutionalcrisisa massive constitutional crisisa in the next two elections we cant avoid this fight  instead to win it we need to build a hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgthenextbattleforamericandemocracyisaroundthecornerandmoderatesmustbeinthefighta broad prodemocracy coalitiona that includes those of us who used to be loyal republicans the good news is that its happeningp pemnote this post represents the authors opinion and does not reflect the positioning of the niskanen center emp pphoto a hrefhttpswwwistockphotocomphotocloseupruffledamericanflaggm1154460019313957467choness via istockap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgtherenewamericamovementacenterrightthirdpartytakingshapethe renew america movement a centerright third party taking shapea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

pconservative pundit jonah goldberg recently revived debate need new conservative political party hrefhttpsthedispatchcompathirdpartycouldcurewhatailsarguinga emthe dispatchem conservative trumpskeptical online publication cofounded better alternative trump conservatives voting democrats aroused antiantitrumpers emnational review emfired hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcomcornerafurtherreplytojonahgoldbergonreaganitethirdpartiesthree quick responsesa opposition david french emthe dispatchems senior editor hrefhttpsfrenchpressthedispatchcompjonahisrightweighed ina support goldbergs argument responses provoked fail reflect happening ground realtimethe reality centerright created political movement evolve partyp pgoldberg briefly refers aemnew york timesem hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211011opinion2022housesenatetrumphtmlopeda miles taylor chief staff department homeland security trump administration christine todd whitman republican governor new jersey argue defend democracy antitrump republicans need vote democrats 2022 goldberg argues better option creation party simple reaganite conservative platform combined plank defend soundness electionsp pgoldberg fails place seemingly simple choice alliance democrats new party broader context actually happening taylor whitman writing leaders hrefhttpsrenewamericamovementcomrenew america movementa ram ram political organization launched hundreds current republican leaders including taylor whitman clear ram supporting candidates partiesp blockquote classwpblockquotep[w]e endorse support bipartisanoriented moderate democrats difficult races defend small nucleus courageous republicans liz cheney adam kinzinger peter meijer unafraid speak truthpblockquote ptaylor whitman indicated ram support independent candidates run spoilers democrats ram local circumstances account cases democrats convinced independent viable option beat trump republican cite utah example senator mike lee republican supported trumps refusal concede defeat presidential election certainly defeated democratic challenger independent succeed republican evan mcmullin member ram hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20211005evanmcmullinutahsenatebid515129announced recentlya entering racep pin short term 2022 likely 2024 elections rams efforts focus supporting democrats alloftheabove electoral strategy help prevent trump supporters regaining power destroying democracy taylor whitman clear editorial option forming party remains table long termp blockquote classwpblockquotepstarting new centerright party prove resort trumpbacked candidates continue win republican primaries allies debated option starting new party months continue explore viability long runpblockquote pis movement potential new party conservative reaganite alternative goldberg looking chosen use term centerright meaning labels eye beholder current republicans rams action adopt set guiding principles hrefhttpswwwacallforamericanrenewalcomema american renewalema includes arguably reaganite statement economic opportunityp blockquote classwpblockquotepwe recognize open marketbased economies consistent natural liberty optimal means ensuring economic mobility allocation scarce resources support sensible limited regulation including ensure equal opportunity affirm governments vital role assisting vulnerable citizens encouraging selfreliance impediments cronyism corruptionpblockquote pthe point moved debating trump takeover gop moved hard work winning elections raise money endorse candidates gather allies hire political professionals build grassroots basep ptoday half years hashtag nevertrump began trending twitter centerright movement composed hundreds prominent current republican leaders hundreds thousands donors large small millions social media followers includes intellectual leaders media pundits think tanks political operatives robust fundraising organizational political infrastructure ground laid movement evolve party events therep pthe republican party exactly split chunks breaking new centerright movement reality long capable winning elections new movement far reaching development factor 2020 election gearing difference 2022 america needs movement succeed democracy threat likely face hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20210923robertkaganconstitutionalcrisisa massive constitutional crisisa elections cant avoid fight instead win need build hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgthenextbattleforamericandemocracyisaroundthecornerandmoderatesmustbeinthefighta broad prodemocracy coalitiona includes loyal republicans good news happeningp pemnote post represents authors opinion reflect positioning niskanen center emp pphoto hrefhttpswwwistockphotocomphotocloseupruffledamericanflaggm1154460019313957467choness istockap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgtherenewamericamovementacenterrightthirdpartytakingshapethe renew america movement centerright party taking shapea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

61788362aeafd7072b44d04c

The PATRIOT Act's Poisoned Tree

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109featuresdoherty600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109featuresdoherty331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109featuresdoherty600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109featuresdoherty331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altfeaturesdoherty srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpg height675 picture div pamerican history neither began nor ended on 911 that days vile events shoved the nation down a darker path than it might otherwise have trod but just as the attack inflicted on america was the poisoned fruit of past policy crimes and mistakes the resultant flowering of government surveillance and information capture grew from roots set far deeper than the rubble from the twin towersp pwithin a month of the assault a bill called the uniting and strengthening america by providing appropriate tools required to intercept and obstruct terrorism act giving the federal government vast new snooping powers appeared on the floors of the house and the senate the usa patriot act soon to lose the emusaem in standard usage was signed into law by president george w bush on october 26 2001 voting against it were 66 house members and just one senator russ feingold dwiscp ptwo decades down the line after a confusing array of followon intelligencegathering laws including the 2015 usa freedom act which supplanted various patriot act provisions it is not obvious that america has indeed been quotstrengthenedquot the law has been used overwhelmingly to prosecute the war on drugs not the war on terror during a time when the country began moving away from prohibitionism the new tools are errorprone have not been shown to have prevented terrorism on us soil and have nonetheless been used as a pretext for successive administrations to construct vast constitutionally dubious secret surveillance networksp pbut efficacy wasnt a big part of the original debate the preventive utility of an informationgathering dragnet was widelyand wronglyassumed back then supporters and opponents were more apt to argue over the impact on civil libertiesp pa common argument defense lawyers make when trying to get courts to dismiss evidence obtained illegally against their client is that it was the quotfruit of the poisoned treequot the patriot act itself was the fruit of the tree of law enforcements relentless desire to be free of the inconveniences of the fourth amendment and its guiding principles of privacy and due processp h2the wish listh2 pcritics of the law warned that it heralded the quotdeath of privacyquot proponents retorted that in fact the law wasnt some huge departure for american surveillance on that narrow point at least the hawks werent wrongp pfor example the controversial quotnational security lettersquotwarrantless demands for data about people from third parties such as phone companies without notifying the target of the investigationhad already been in use authorized by the 1978 right to financial privacy act rfpa and the 1986 electronics communication privacy act ecpa the shadowy foreign intelligence surveillance court fisc which many americans discovered was the provider of judicial fig leaves for patriot fishing expeditions had been operational since the passage of the 1978 foreign intelligence surveillance act fisa an intended embulwarkem against previous surveillance abusesp pas former gman michael j woods wrote in a 2005 emjournal of national security law amp policyem article the fbi before 911had five separate legal authorities that addressed the need to compel production of transactional information in counterintelligence investigations three types of national security letters under rfpa ecpa and fcra [fair credit reporting act] the fisa pen registertrap and trace authorityquotie grabbing the numbers for incoming and outgoing calls from a phone or browser history from a computerquotand the fisa business records authority all of these authorities specified the types of records that could be obtained and all the records specified were according to the reasoning of the supreme courtoutside the protection of the fourth amendmentquot in the controversial 1976 emmiller emcase the court decided that if you willingly gave up information to a third party such as a credit reporting agency isp or telco you no longer had a privacy right under the fourth amendment regarding that informationp pthe patriot act made it somewhat easier to obtain approval for surveillance meant to focus on a foreign national changing the standard for tracking an individual from foreign intelligence being the quotprimary purposequot of an investigation to just a quotsignificant purposequot us citizens who communicated with said foreigners were also fair game for scrutiny particularly if any aspect of that communication took place outside of the countryp pthe fisa court which had always been deferential to intelligence agencies became even more of a rubber stamp issuing approvals the public was never allowed to read even so in the gungho spirit of the times bush administration department of justice official david addington crowed that they were just quotone bomb away from getting rid of that obnoxious courtquot even the flimsy paper barrier between the executive branch and its maximum security desires was considered too much of an irritantp pthough 911 provided the impetus and urgency none of the patriot act powers were dreamed up solely in response to that terrible day rather the attacks on the world trade center and pentagon provided an expedient excuse to fulfill law enforcements longstanding wish list and one of the principal keepers of that list now resides in the white housep pas a senator joe biden initially bragged about the patriot act like a proud papa clucking that thenattorney general john ashcroft had essentially quotsent upmy billquota grab bag of expanded police authority that biden had been pushing since the oklahoma city bombing in 1995p pthat grafting of domestic law enforcement concerns onto the response to a foreignoriginating attack should give us pause especially in 2021 quotdomestic terrorquot was a category specifically enumerated in the patriot act and the one most likely to be used by a president intimately familiar with those law enforcement tools at a time when quotislamic terrorquot has faded as an existential threat patriots most immediate relevance in this administration might just be its potential weaponization against the presidents political opponentsp ppatriots overall spirit and intent was to widen the circumstances places and targets for which the government didnt need to worry about the niceties of the fourth amendment and its attendant legal tradition and practice about warrants notice meaningful judicial oversight and particularity patriot struck critics as unconstitutionally invasive of citizens privacy allegedly in the name of fighting foreign terror and over time didnt seem to deliver any goods especially regarding the latter point that justified the unconstitutionalityp h2what patriot allowedh2 pthe patriot act expanded the potential criminal exposure of everyone living in the united states whether or not we were involved in terrorist plots noncitizen residents could now be faced with indefinite detention without conviction us citizens who took more than 10000 out of the country were no longer guilty of a paperwork crime they were subject under section 371 to having their money seized by the government this among other tightening of the informational reins on banks in the name of stopping terror financing via quotmoney launderingquotp pparts of patriot were controversial enough that they were passed with builtin quotsunsetsquot requiring them to be reapproved by congress every five years since those sections generated political conflict they tended to be the most discussed aspects of the sprawling lawp pthe most controversial both at the time and as a result of later revelations about how it was used was section 215 which expanded the definition of the quotbusiness recordsquot that government snoops could snatch under fisa authority before the capturable records had to be provided by common carriers providers of public accommodation storage or vehicle rental operations now they could mean quotany tangible thingquot that the feds could convince the fisa court was relevant to a terror investigationp pand convincing the fisa court turned out to be about as easy as saying quotbecause we say soquot as the fbis woods spelled out quotthe judge has no meaningful discretion in considering a 215 application while the plain language of 215 directs the judge to issue the business records order if the judge finds that the application meets the requirements of the section the only requirementis that the application specify that the records concerned are sought for an authorized investigationquotp pthere was also the quotroving wiretapquot authority under section 206 allowing surveillance to follow a target without any additional permission when a target changed communication methods privacy rights groups felt this was in conflict with the fourth amendment requirement that a legal warrant quotparticularly describ[e] the place to be searchedquotp pthe quotlone wolfquot provision allows for tracking individuals suspected of terrorist intentions who are not known to be associated with any known foreign organization or government it was added in 2004 but the government claims it has never been usedp pall of these controversial sections were reauthorized in 2006 and again in 2011 under both bush and president barack obama bush additionally made sure to let us know in his signing statement that his administration would only report what it felt like reporting to the public about patriot use saying that he quotshall construequot requirements quotthat call for furnishing information to entities outside the executive branchin a manner consistent with the presidents constitutional authorityto withhold information the disclosure of which could impair foreign relations national security the deliberative processes of the executive or the performance of the executives constitutional dutiesquot and it was his lawyers considered opinion that once the authorization for use of military force that launched the war on terror was declared that the president could do whatever he wanted to defend this nation and that any attempt to emstop emhim was the true blot on the constitutionp pother troublesome parts of patriot were not subject to sunset or reauthorization confusingly similar to these section 215 powers is section 505s quotnational security lettersquot these may be issued solely by the fbi and allow the taking of records from third parties who are then forbidden to discuss having ratted out their customersp psection 213 authorized what privacy advocates called quotsneak and peekquot searches and seizures in which the typical prior notification involving a judgeauthorized warrant was replaced with letting targets know quotwithin a reasonable period of its execution which period may thereafter be extended by the court for good cause shownquot emreasonableem here is both undefined and unlikelyp h2did patriot helph2 pthe fisa process was known to be errorprone even prior to its post911 expansion according to a report issued in 2006 by the justice departments office of inspector general 75 errors were made in 200001 regarding a targets asserted connections to foreign terror a 2007 report from the same office found that fbi agents produced a similar pattern of exceeding their authority with national security letters including aiming them at the wrong people taking things the national security letters did not specify and executing them past the stated time period in the requestp pbush administration officials liked to keep their secret investigations and secret laws as secret as they could frequently stonewalling even relevant congressional committees about how the acts provisions were being used and often revealing details only behind closed doors to congress members and staffers with relevant topsecret clearance many offices having no such credentialed staff just had to stay in the dark intel folk in the executive branch seemed to think the obligations of informed democracy were met by an elite of intelligence committee mucketymucks in congress knowing some of what the administration was up to with the actual electorate kept rightly in the darkp psuch obscurity coupled with the vague catchall of quotinformation sharingquot across intel agencies helped spread the notion that the patriot act was vital for national security but as the american civil liberties union aclu argued on its website quotthe patriot act is not the reason for improvements in information sharingfisa information properly obtained for foreign intelligence purposes could always be shared with criminal investigators if relevant to crime rather the patriot act is about emmaking it easier to use fisa as an endrun around the fourth amendmentemquotstrongem emstrongp pthe aclu further noted that quota list obtained by the justice department defines only 361 cases defined as terrorism investigations from september 11 2001 to september 2004quot and that quotonly 39 of these individuals were convicted of crimes related to terrorismquot and how earthshaking were these terror arrests one indication quotthe median sentence for these crimes was 11 monthsquotp ppatriots terrorfighting record did not improve much over time either critics thought that practices such as sneakandpeek searches meant to make endruns around the fourth amendment would become common law enforcement practice not just for urgent emergency needs to shut down a terror plan and they were right as lee tien of the electronic freedom foundation wrote in 2014 quotexactly what privacy advocates argued in 2001 is happening sneak and peek warrants are not just being used in exceptional circumstancesbut as an everyday investigative toolquotp ptien pointed out a consistent pattern from 2009 to 2013 of the use of them for terrorismrelated cases being consistently less than em1 percent emof total uses with narcotics cases in each of those years being over 70 percent that pattern can still be seen in the 2020 figures with 71 percent for drugs the pie chart on a federal court report on that years use of what they call quotdelayed noticequot warrants does not even have anything related to terror as a listed categoryp pas much as patriot did for the bush administration it didnt do enoughso officials quickly and covertly went beyond even its expanded tools and authorities these surreptitious mission creeps were known under various names including the colorful quotstellarwindquot a program uncovered in 2005 by emtheem emnew york timesem those overly optimistic about the watchdog press should note that the paper held that information for a year over national security concerns before publishing it as the emtimes emeventually reported stellarwind had quotmonitored the international telephone calls and international email messages of hundreds perhaps thousands of people inside the united states without warrants over the past three yearsquotp pyet the excesses of the informationgathering machine enabled by the patriot act were only just beginning to shock the conscience of the worldp h2the snowden effecth2 pthose keeping a close eye on the security state already knew by the turn of the 2010s that the government was doing disturbing things such as having secret rooms built in a major atampt center in san francisco from which to grab internet traffic enabled by another prepatriot authorization the 1994 communications assistance for law enforcement act which mandated that telecom companies deliberately design their systems to aid in government eavesdropping the search engine company yahoo was already complaining in 2009 while asking the government to reject a foia request regarding what yahoo got paid to give up information on their customers to the feds that letting the world know how much they delivered regarding their customers would successfully quotshame yahooquot and quotshockquot their customers as they accuse the foia requester of wanting to dop pthe journalist james bamford who has written multiple books about the national security agency nsa concluded as early as 2008 that quotthe idea of communications privacy in the united states has literally become a jokequot by then pranksters from the san francisco billboard liberation front had already altered an atampt billboard to read quotatampt works in more places like nsa headquartersquotp peven then the spooks appetite for making sure they were capableem emof maximum snooping without pesky encryption or civil liberties getting in the way could not quite be sated in 2013 that pathological drive would finally become common knowledgep pthe breakthrough came with the colorful espionage tale of former cia man and thennsa contractor edward snowden after leaking gigabytes of info grabbed from within one of the feds hawaii data warrens and then hightailing it to hong kong as an international fugitive he eventually wound up in russia after the us cancelled his passport suddenly it began to sink in that the government wanted to know everything it possibly could about usand that it was using the patriot acts section 215 as legal justification for acting on that desirep pthe surveillance machine was scooping up staggering amounts of metadatarecords of which phone numbers were calling which when and for how long and the analogous information generated by internet useunder the belief that well it emmightem prove relevant to some terror or foreignespionage investigation fisa judges compliant as always agreed while intelligence apologists stressed that no actual content was being retained or read very full accounts of ones private doings can be easily gleaned from knowing every phone number a person calls and every website a person visitsp pin barton gellmans 2020 snowden book emdark mirrorem former nsa deputy director rick ledgett offered the best defense intel pros could come up with to appease outraged americans quoti get that they are concerned that the government is listening to their communications but the government just doesnt care things theyre doing are not interesting enough from a national security perspectivequotp pthe privacy and civil liberties oversight board a bipartisan executive branch agency determined in a 2014 report after the snowden revelations that nsas bulk telephone records program quothas shown minimal value in safeguarding the nation from terrorism based on the information provided to the board including classified briefings and documentation we have not identified a single instance involving a threat to the united states in which the program made a concrete difference in the outcome of a counterterrorism investigationquotstrong strongp pbecause of the secrecy surrounding most aspects of the program its next to impossible to assess the tangible harms from patriot and postpatriot surveillance still we know that as obama left office he made it easier for the nsa to share information it grabbed overseas with american law enforcement even if those communications involve american citizens as the aclu of massachusetts warned in 2016 this allowed domestic law enforcement quotto poke around in your private information in the course of totally routine investigations and if they find something that suggests say involvement in illegal drug activity they could send that information to local or state police that means information the nsa collects for purposes of socalled national security will be used by police to lock up ordinary americans for routine crimesquotp pto legally cover their tracks about potentially illgotten evidencethe nsa was specifically known to share information with the drug enforcement administrationlaw enforcement agencies often feel obliged to come up with what they call quotparallel constructionquot an alternate untrue story for how they learned the information that doesnt involve relying on warrantless nsa proceduresp pand no matter what paper barriers exist to protect americans from surveillance abuse the work is done by actual human beings who often do whatever they want to and can abc news reported in 2008 about nsa whistleblowers with tales of giggling over salacious personal details revealed in phone calls from americans in the middle east whose actual content they amused themselves by listening in on this included eavesdropping on soldiers in baghdad quotcalling home to the united states talking to their spouses sometimes their girlfriendsquot with staffers taking as a perk of their nsa job the power to overhear quotpersonal private things with americans who are not in any way shape or form associated with anything to do with terrorismquotp pthe mass phone metadata program the most memorable and understandable symbol of postpatriot government overreach was finally reined in legislatively with 2015s usa freedom act which changed nsa access to the phone records from quotthey take it all from telcosquot to quottelcos keep it but run searches for the nsa on demandquot the searches were now supposed to be limited to two quothopsquot from the targeted phone number to every number called from it and then to every number called from all of those which still could turn dozens of targeted numbers into millions of records involving countless people with no connection to any sinister foreign behaviorp h2the age of terror never endedh2 ppresident donald trump and his administration added a new wrinkle to the usual washington reauthorization dance combining official support for keeping as much surveillance power as possible with sporadic declarations from the president himself often in tweets that fisaapproved surveillance may have bedeviled his own communications trump railed against the quotdeep statequot while continuing to empower it even after the nsa itself had at least officially abandoned it for example the trump administration in an august 2019 letter to congress signed by thendirector of national intelligence dan coates asked for an eternal commitment without further sunsetting to the usa freedom act version of the callrecords programp pbut there was one silver lining in trumps zigzag after the department of justices inspector general slammed the fbi in a 478page december 2019 report over a dubiously sourced warrant to conduct surveillance against lowlevel trump campaign staffer carter page that surveillance having been the spark that lit the justice departments twoyear special russia investigation the republican party no longer had the stomach for automatic renewals of patriots sunset provisions in march 2020 section 215 the roving wiretap authorization and the lone wolf provision all legally expiredp pthe irregularities in the carter page fisa application were no unique artifact of a deep state out to gut trump according to a 2019 article published on the electronic frontier foundation website quotover the past twenty years federal agencies have a hrefhttpswwwefforgdeeplinks201310newdocumentsreleasedresponseefflawsuitconfirmnsacollectsfirstinformsemrepeatedlyema misled the fisc about the nature and scope of fisa surveillance for example in one opinion from 2009 a fisc judge recounted how the nsa had repeatedly submitt[ed] inaccurate descriptions of the way the nsa was conducting surveillance in another opinion from 2011 another fisc judge wrote that he was troubled by the governments substantial misrepresentations regarding the scope of a major collection programthe third instance in less than three years of the government misleading the fisc about a significant aspect of the governments surveillance programsquotp pbut the surprising death of section 215 is no reason for privacyconscious americans to believe the post911 surveillance hangover is gone as timothy edgar author of embeyond snowden privacy mass surveillance and the struggle to reform the nsa embrookings institution press wrote in emworld politics review emin aprilemem quotthe nsas most sweeping surveillance powers involve its collection of data outside the united statespowers that are not affected by the expiration of a few provisions of the patriot act in the internet age this data can and does include the communications of both americans and others and the nsa can collect it without a court order or meaningful oversight from congressquotp pthe mentality of the post911 surveillance state has not gone away even if the weird political exigencies of one congress in the latter days of the trump administration let some of its legal authority lapse the patriot act built a machine designed to exaggerate and exploit fears of dangerous others that sort of weaponized anxiety tends to become freefloating and selfperpetuatingp pthe patriot act was the fruit of a poisoned tree and we can still see the shadow of its overgrowth in 2021 as the biden administration transfers its own quotdomestic terrorquot anxieties onto anything related to trumpism following the january 6 melee the administration in june issued a new strategy report on domestic terrorism and while so far it seeks no new lawmaking power that report troublingly insists that quotit is equally important that the federal government engage in efforts to prevent individuals from being drawn into the grip of domestic terrorism in the first instance that means reducing both supply and demand of recruitment materials by limiting widespread availability online and bolstering resilience to it by those who nonetheless encounter it among other measuresquot that smacks of the sort of infiltration and harassment of people who have as of yet merely engaged in first amendment protected activitiesp palso alarming for those who want their online lives free from contentbased snooping is the declaration that quotthe widespread availability of domestic terrorist recruitment material online is a national security threat whose front lines are overwhelmingly privatesector online platforms and we are committed to informing more effectively the escalating efforts by those platforms to secure those front linesquotp phugh handeyside a senior staff attorney with the aclus national security project says those sorts of emphases means bidens plan quotrelies on tools and structures that have proven deeply harmful to muslim and immigrant communities and have focused on speech and other constitutionally protected activities as a basis for investigationquotp pfeingold now head of the american constitution society warned his former democratic colleagues on capitol hill in a february emwall street journal emoped not to let fear of a trumpist threat convince them that more expanded legal powers are needed he wrote there that quotthe overwhelming tendency in domestic antiterrorism has been to use invasive and unconstitutional surveillance techniques to criminalize legitimate dissentquot and in an interview stresses that progressive activists have as much of a chance as being ensnared in any new emphasis on fighting domestic terror inspired by january 6 indeed two people who harmed empty portions of the controversial dakota access pipeline have already been hit with enhanced sentences this year based on the claim that they were domestic terroristsp pthe patriot act defines quotdomestic terrorquot as breaking the law in a manner that quotinvolves acts dangerous to human lifequot in order to quotinfluence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercionquot given how easy it is to break some law while protesting especially if police come to disperse you this interpretation has alarming implications for the right to speak out against government actions in a public setting this can affect black lives matter as easily as team magap ponline activity and metadata and even private papers stored on our devices are still quite vulnerable to prying eyes both private and federaland the former can too easily become the latter in august apple announced that it intended to preload its devices with a tool allowing the company to search for signs of child pornography encrypted or not alliances between the government and the companies that make the devices we all use to communicate whether those alliances are eagerly embraced or coerced are not going away postsnowden new motives will always arise to justify the governments desire to annihilate our information privacy the patriot act was not the source of that government compulsion to snoop nor will the expiration of some of its most controversial provisions mark the end of itp

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109featuresdoherty600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109featuresdoherty331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202109featuresdohertyjpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202109featuresdoherty600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202109featuresdoherty331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altfeaturesdoherty srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202109featuresdoherty800x450jpg height675 picture div pamerican history began ended 911 days vile events shoved nation darker path trod attack inflicted america poisoned fruit past policy crimes mistakes resultant flowering government surveillance information capture grew roots set far deeper rubble twin towersp pwithin month assault bill called uniting strengthening america providing appropriate tools required intercept obstruct terrorism act giving federal government vast new snooping powers appeared floors house senate usa patriot act soon lose theemusaemin standard usage signed law president george w bush october 26 2001 voting 66 house members senator russ feingold dwiscp ptwo decades line confusing array followon intelligencegathering laws including 2015 usa freedom act supplanted patriot act provisions obvious america quotstrengthenedquot law overwhelmingly prosecute war drugs war terror time country began moving away prohibitionism new tools errorprone shown prevented terrorism soil nonetheless pretext successive administrations construct vast constitutionally dubious secret surveillance networksp pbut efficacy wasnt big original debate preventive utility informationgathering dragnet widelyand wronglyassumed supporters opponents apt argue impact civil libertiesp pa common argument defense lawyers trying courts dismiss evidence obtained illegally client quotfruit poisoned treequot patriot act fruit tree law enforcements relentless desire free inconveniences fourth amendment guiding principles privacy processp h2the wish listh2 pcritics law warned heralded quotdeath privacyquot proponents retorted fact law wasnt huge departure american surveillance narrow point hawks werent wrongp pfor example controversial quotnational security lettersquotwarrantless demands data people parties phone companies notifying target investigationhad use authorized 1978 right financial privacy act rfpa 1986 electronics communication privacy act ecpa shadowy foreign intelligence surveillance court fisc americans discovered provider judicial fig leaves patriot fishing expeditions operational passage 1978 foreign intelligence surveillance act fisa intendedembulwarkemagainst previous surveillance abusesp pas gman michael j woods wrote 2005emjournal national security law amp policyemarticle fbi 911had separate legal authorities addressed need compel production transactional information counterintelligence investigations types national security letters rfpa ecpa fcra [fair credit reporting act] fisa pen registertrap trace authorityquotie grabbing numbers incoming outgoing calls phone browser history computerquotand fisa business records authority authorities specified types records obtained records specified according reasoning supreme courtoutside protection fourth amendmentquot controversial 1976emmilleremcase court decided willingly gave information party credit reporting agency isp telco longer privacy right fourth amendment informationp pthe patriot act somewhat easier obtain approval surveillance meant focus foreign national changing standard tracking individual foreign intelligence quotprimary purposequot investigation quotsignificant purposequot citizens communicated said foreigners fair game scrutiny particularly aspect communication took place outside countryp pthe fisa court deferential intelligence agencies rubber stamp issuing approvals public allowed read gungho spirit times bush administration department justice official david addington crowed quotone bomb away getting rid obnoxious courtquot flimsy paper barrier executive branch maximum security desires considered irritantp pthough 911 provided impetus urgency patriot act powers dreamed solely response terrible day attacks world trade center pentagon provided expedient excuse fulfill law enforcements longstanding wish list principal keepers list resides white housep pas senator joe biden initially bragged patriot act like proud papa clucking thenattorney general john ashcroft essentially quotsent upmy billquota grab bag expanded police authority biden pushing oklahoma city bombing 1995p pthat grafting domestic law enforcement concerns response foreignoriginating attack pause especially 2021 quotdomestic terrorquot category specifically enumerated patriot act likely president intimately familiar law enforcement tools time quotislamic terrorquot faded existential threat patriots immediate relevance administration potential weaponization presidents political opponentsp ppatriots overall spirit intent widen circumstances places targets government didnt need worry niceties fourth amendment attendant legal tradition practice warrants notice meaningful judicial oversight particularity patriot struck critics unconstitutionally invasive citizens privacy allegedly fighting foreign terror time didnt deliver goods especially point justified unconstitutionalityp h2what patriot allowedh2 pthe patriot act expanded potential criminal exposure living united states involved terrorist plots noncitizen residents faced indefinite detention conviction citizens took 10000 country longer guilty paperwork crime subject section 371 having money seized government tightening informational reins banks stopping terror financing quotmoney launderingquotp pparts patriot controversial passed builtin quotsunsetsquot requiring reapproved congress years sections generated political conflict tended discussed aspects sprawling lawp pthe controversial time result later revelations section 215 expanded definition quotbusiness recordsquot government snoops snatch fisa authority capturable records provided common carriers providers public accommodation storage vehicle rental operations mean quotany tangible thingquot feds convince fisa court relevant terror investigationp pand convincing fisa court turned easy saying quotbecause soquot fbis woods spelled quotthe judge meaningful discretion considering 215 application plain language 215 directs judge issue business records order judge finds application meets requirements section requirementis application specify records concerned sought authorized investigationquotp pthere quotroving wiretapquot authority section 206 allowing surveillance follow target additional permission target changed communication methods privacy rights groups felt conflict fourth amendment requirement legal warrant quotparticularly describ[e] place searchedquotp pthe quotlone wolfquot provision allows tracking individuals suspected terrorist intentions known associated known foreign organization government added 2004 government claims usedp pall controversial sections reauthorized 2006 2011 bush president barack obama bush additionally sure let know signing statement administration report felt like reporting public patriot use saying quotshall construequot requirements quotthat furnishing information entities outside executive branchin manner consistent presidents constitutional authorityto withhold information disclosure impair foreign relations national security deliberative processes executive performance executives constitutional dutiesquot lawyers considered opinion authorization use military force launched war terror declared president wanted defend nation attempt toemstopemhim true blot constitutionp pother troublesome parts patriot subject sunset reauthorization confusingly similar section 215 powers section 505s quotnational security lettersquot issued solely fbi allow taking records parties forbidden discuss having ratted customersp psection 213 authorized privacy advocates called quotsneak peekquot searches seizures typical prior notification involving judgeauthorized warrant replaced letting targets know quotwithin reasonable period execution period extended court good cause shownquotemreasonableemhere undefined unlikelyp h2did patriot helph2 pthe fisa process known errorprone prior post911 expansion according report issued 2006 justice departments office inspector general 75 errors 200001 targets asserted connections foreign terror 2007 report office found fbi agents produced similar pattern exceeding authority national security letters including aiming wrong people taking things national security letters specify executing past stated time period requestp pbush administration officials liked secret investigations secret laws secret frequently stonewalling relevant congressional committees acts provisions revealing details closed doors congress members staffers relevant topsecret clearance offices having credentialed staff stay dark intel folk executive branch think obligations informed democracy met elite intelligence committee mucketymucks congress knowing administration actual electorate kept rightly darkp psuch obscurity coupled vague catchall quotinformation sharingquot intel agencies helped spread notion patriot act vital national security american civil liberties union aclu argued website quotthe patriot act reason improvements information sharingfisa information properly obtained foreign intelligence purposes shared criminal investigators relevant crime patriot act aboutemmaking easier use fisa endrun fourth amendmentemquotstrongememstrongp pthe aclu noted quota list obtained justice department defines 361 cases defined terrorism investigations september 11 2001 september 2004quot quotonly 39 individuals convicted crimes related terrorismquot earthshaking terror arrests indication quotthe median sentence crimes 11 monthsquotp ppatriots terrorfighting record improve time critics thought practices sneakandpeek searches meant endruns fourth amendment common law enforcement practice urgent emergency needs shut terror plan right lee tien electronic freedom foundation wrote 2014 quotexactly privacy advocates argued 2001 happening sneak peek warrants exceptional circumstancesbut everyday investigative toolquotp ptien pointed consistent pattern 2009 2013 use terrorismrelated cases consistently thanem1 percentemof total uses narcotics cases years 70 percent pattern seen 2020 figures 71 percent drugs pie chart federal court report years use quotdelayed noticequot warrants related terror listed categoryp pas patriot bush administration didnt enoughso officials quickly covertly went expanded tools authorities surreptitious mission creeps known names including colorful quotstellarwindquot program uncovered 2005 byemtheememnew york timesem overly optimistic watchdog press note paper held information year national security concerns publishing theemtimesemeventually reported stellarwind quotmonitored international telephone calls international email messages hundreds thousands people inside united states warrants past yearsquotp pyet excesses informationgathering machine enabled patriot act beginning shock conscience worldp h2the snowden effecth2 pthose keeping close eye security state knew turn 2010s government disturbing things having secret rooms built major atampt center san francisco grab internet traffic enabled prepatriot authorization 1994 communications assistance law enforcement act mandated telecom companies deliberately design systems aid government eavesdropping search engine company yahoo complaining 2009 asking government reject foia request yahoo got paid information customers feds letting world know delivered customers successfully quotshame yahooquot quotshockquot customers accuse foia requester wanting dop pthe journalist james bamford written multiple books national security agency nsa concluded early 2008 quotthe idea communications privacy united states literally jokequot pranksters san francisco billboard liberation altered atampt billboard read quotatampt works places like nsa headquartersquotp peven spooks appetite making sure capableememof maximum snooping pesky encryption civil liberties getting way sated 2013 pathological drive finally common knowledgep pthe breakthrough came colorful espionage tale cia man thennsa contractor edward snowden leaking gigabytes info grabbed feds hawaii data warrens hightailing hong kong international fugitive eventually wound russia cancelled passport suddenly began sink government wanted know possibly usand patriot acts section 215 legal justification acting desirep pthe surveillance machine scooping staggering amounts metadatarecords phone numbers calling long analogous information generated internet useunder belief itemmightemprove relevant terror foreignespionage investigation fisa judges compliant agreed intelligence apologists stressed actual content retained read accounts ones private doings easily gleaned knowing phone number person calls website person visitsp pin barton gellmans 2020 snowden bookemdark mirrorem nsa deputy director rick ledgett offered best defense intel pros come appease outraged americans quoti concerned government listening communications government doesnt care things theyre interesting national security perspectivequotp pthe privacy civil liberties oversight board bipartisan executive branch agency determined 2014 report snowden revelations nsas bulk telephone records program quothas shown minimal value safeguarding nation terrorism based information provided board including classified briefings documentation identified single instance involving threat united states program concrete difference outcome counterterrorism investigationquotstrongstrongp pbecause secrecy surrounding aspects program impossible assess tangible harms patriot postpatriot surveillance know obama left office easier nsa share information grabbed overseas american law enforcement communications involve american citizens aclu massachusetts warned 2016 allowed domestic law enforcement quotto poke private information course totally routine investigations find suggests involvement illegal drug activity send information local state police means information nsa collects purposes socalled national security police lock ordinary americans routine crimesquotp pto legally cover tracks potentially illgotten evidencethe nsa specifically known share information drug enforcement administrationlaw enforcement agencies feel obliged come quotparallel constructionquot alternate untrue story learned information doesnt involve relying warrantless nsa proceduresp pand matter paper barriers exist protect americans surveillance abuse work actual human beings want abc news reported 2008 nsa whistleblowers tales giggling salacious personal details revealed phone calls americans middle east actual content amused listening included eavesdropping soldiers baghdad quotcalling home united states talking spouses girlfriendsquot staffers taking perk nsa job power overhear quotpersonal private things americans way shape form associated terrorismquotp pthe mass phone metadata program memorable understandable symbol postpatriot government overreach finally reined legislatively 2015s usa freedom act changed nsa access phone records quotthey telcosquot quottelcos run searches nsa demandquot searches supposed limited quothopsquot targeted phone number number called number called turn dozens targeted numbers millions records involving countless people connection sinister foreign behaviorp h2the age terror endedh2 ppresident donald trump administration added new wrinkle usual washington reauthorization dance combining official support keeping surveillance power possible sporadic declarations president tweets fisaapproved surveillance bedeviled communications trump railed quotdeep statequot continuing empower nsa officially abandoned example trump administration august 2019 letter congress signed thendirector national intelligence dan coates asked eternal commitment sunsetting usa freedom act version callrecords programp pbut silver lining trumps zigzag department justices inspector general slammed fbi 478page december 2019 report dubiously sourced warrant conduct surveillance lowlevel trump campaign staffer carter page surveillance having spark lit justice departments twoyear special russia investigation republican party longer stomach automatic renewals patriots sunset provisions march 2020 section 215 roving wiretap authorization lone wolf provision legally expiredp pthe irregularities carter page fisa application unique artifact deep state gut trump according 2019 article published electronic frontier foundation website quotover past years federal agencies havea hrefhttpswwwefforgdeeplinks201310newdocumentsreleasedresponseefflawsuitconfirmnsacollectsfirstinformsemrepeatedlyemamisled fisc nature scope fisa surveillance example opinion 2009 fisc judge recounted nsa repeatedly submitt[ed] inaccurate descriptions way nsa conducting surveillance opinion 2011 fisc judge wrote troubled governments substantial misrepresentations scope major collection programthe instance years government misleading fisc significant aspect governments surveillance programsquotp pbut surprising death section 215 reason privacyconscious americans believe post911 surveillance hangover gone timothy edgar author ofembeyond snowden privacy mass surveillance struggle reform nsaembrookings institution press wrote inemworld politics reviewemin aprilememquotthe nsas sweeping surveillance powers involve collection data outside united statespowers affected expiration provisions patriot act internet age data include communications americans nsa collect court order meaningful oversight congressquotp pthe mentality post911 surveillance state gone away weird political exigencies congress days trump administration let legal authority lapse patriot act built machine designed exaggerate exploit fears dangerous sort weaponized anxiety tends freefloating selfperpetuatingp pthe patriot act fruit poisoned tree shadow overgrowth 2021 biden administration transfers quotdomestic terrorquot anxieties related trumpism following january 6 melee administration june issued new strategy report domestic terrorism far seeks new lawmaking power report troublingly insists quotit equally important federal government engage efforts prevent individuals drawn grip domestic terrorism instance means reducing supply demand recruitment materials limiting widespread availability online bolstering resilience nonetheless encounter measuresquot smacks sort infiltration harassment people merely engaged amendment protected activitiesp palso alarming want online lives free contentbased snooping declaration quotthe widespread availability domestic terrorist recruitment material online national security threat lines overwhelmingly privatesector online platforms committed informing effectively escalating efforts platforms secure linesquotp phugh handeyside senior staff attorney aclus national security project says sorts emphases means bidens plan quotrelies tools structures proven deeply harmful muslim immigrant communities focused speech constitutionally protected activities basis investigationquotp pfeingold head american constitution society warned democratic colleagues capitol hill februaryemwall street journalemoped let fear trumpist threat convince expanded legal powers needed wrote quotthe overwhelming tendency domestic antiterrorism use invasive unconstitutional surveillance techniques criminalize legitimate dissentquot interview stresses progressive activists chance ensnared new emphasis fighting domestic terror inspired january 6 people harmed portions controversial dakota access pipeline hit enhanced sentences year based claim domestic terroristsp pthe patriot act defines quotdomestic terrorquot breaking law manner quotinvolves acts dangerous human lifequot order quotinfluence policy government intimidation coercionquot given easy break law protesting especially police come disperse interpretation alarming implications right speak government actions public setting affect black lives matter easily team magap ponline activity metadata private papers stored devices vulnerable prying eyes private federaland easily august apple announced intended preload devices tool allowing company search signs child pornography encrypted alliances government companies devices use communicate alliances eagerly embraced coerced going away postsnowden new motives arise justify governments desire annihilate information privacy patriot act source government compulsion snoop expiration controversial provisions mark end itp

6178839faeafd7072b44d054

Further points on the tax on unrealized capital gains

blockquotepput simply this proposal is biased towards people with inherited wealth invested in nontraded assets and mature businesses and against people invested in publicly traded equities in growth companies many of which they have started and built up if that is the message that the tax law writers want to send they should at least have the decency to be up front about that message and to defend itpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsaswathdamodaranblogspotcom202110thebillionairetaxworsttaxideaeverhtml target_blankmuch more from aswath damodarana devastating throughout  and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2006793seq1metadata_info_tab_contents target_blankalan auerbach on retrospective capital gains taxationa not my favorite but a much better idea than what is being put forwardp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110furtherpointsonthetaxonunrealizedcapitalgainshtmlfurther points on the tax on unrealized capital gainsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepput simply proposal biased people inherited wealth invested nontraded assets mature businesses people invested publicly traded equities growth companies started built message tax law writers want send decency message defend itpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpsaswathdamodaranblogspotcom202110thebillionairetaxworsttaxideaeverhtml target_blankmuch aswath damodarana devastating relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2006793seq1metadata_info_tab_contents target_blankalan auerbach retrospective capital gains taxationa favorite better idea forwardp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110furtherpointsonthetaxonunrealizedcapitalgainshtmlfurther points tax unrealized capital gainsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

617883baaeafd7072b44d056

On the persistence of the China Shock

phere are a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29401fromrss target_blanknew results from autor dorn and hansonap blockquotepwe evaluate the duration of the china trade shock and its impact on a wide range of outcomes over the period 2000 to 2019 the shock plateaued in 2010 enabling analysis of its effects for nearly a decade past its culmination adverse impacts of import competition on manufacturing employment overall employmentpopulation ratios and income per capita in more tradeexposed us commuting zones are present out to 2019 over the full study period greater import competition implies a reduction in the manufacturing employmentpopulation ratio of 154 percentage points which is 55 of the observed change in the value and the absorption of 86 of this net job loss via a corresponding decrease in the overall employment rate reductions in population headcounts which indicate net outmigration register only for foreignborn workers and the nativeborn 2539 years old implying that exit from work is a primary means of adjustment to tradeinduced contractions in labor demand more negatively affected regions see modest increases in the uptake of government transfers but these transfers primarily take the form of social security and medicare benefits adverse outcomes are more acute in regions that initially had fewer collegeeducated workers and were more industrially specialized impacts are qualitativelybut not quantitativelysimilar to those caused by the decline of employment in coal production since the 1980s indicating that the china trade shock holds lessons for other episodes of localized job loss import competition from china induced changes in income per capita across local labor markets that are much larger than the spatial heterogeneity of income effects predicted by standard quantitative trade models even using higherend estimates of the consumer benefits of rising trade with china a substantial fraction of commuting zones appears to have suffered absolute declines in average real incomespblockquote pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110onthepersistenceofthechinashockhtmlon the persistence of the china shocka appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29401fromrss target_blanknew results autor dorn hansonap blockquotepwe evaluate duration china trade shock impact wide range outcomes period 2000 2019 shock plateaued 2010 enabling analysis effects nearly decade past culmination adverse impacts import competition manufacturing employment overall employmentpopulation ratios income capita tradeexposed commuting zones present 2019 study period greater import competition implies reduction manufacturing employmentpopulation ratio 154 percentage points 55 observed change value absorption 86 net job loss corresponding decrease overall employment rate reductions population headcounts indicate net outmigration register foreignborn workers nativeborn 2539 years old implying exit work primary means adjustment tradeinduced contractions labor demand negatively affected regions modest increases uptake government transfers transfers primarily form social security medicare benefits adverse outcomes acute regions initially fewer collegeeducated workers industrially specialized impacts qualitativelybut quantitativelysimilar caused decline employment coal production 1980s indicating china trade shock holds lessons episodes localized job loss import competition china induced changes income capita local labor markets larger spatial heterogeneity income effects predicted standard quantitative trade models higherend estimates consumer benefits rising trade china substantial fraction commuting zones appears suffered absolute declines average real incomespblockquote pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110onthepersistenceofthechinashockhtmlon persistence china shocka appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Hillary Clinton’s thriller is a #Resistance fever dream

pyou already know that a hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate of terroria hillary clintons new novel written in collaboration with the bestselling author louise penny is going to be awful you want to know iwhyi if the novel is a corpse then let this critic be the coronerp pto be fair a hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate of terroria offers as much literary competence as you would expect from the sort of weighty thriller youd pick up in a train station if youd forgotten your charger penny is a pro the pacing is respectable the characters are numerous enough that you forget that none of them are especially welldeveloped there are stylistic howlers a russian dictator has a coldness that would have given siberia a chill which makes no sense at all but what do you expectp pwhat makes this book entertainingi iare its politics you can no more separate art from ideology in the case of a hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate of terroriai ithan you can a man from his vital organs it involves a smart plucky and perpetually underrated female secretary of state i wonder who helped inspire that a dim thug of an outgoing president again who knows and a conspiracy to topple the us government led by sinister rightwingers in league with swarthy terrorists and a cold calculating russian strongman who is much smaller than the main character expects your guess is as good as minep panyone expecting deep political insights from the worlds of washington and international politics will be disappointed this novel was written with a level of political naivete that makes you wonder how much clinton was actually involved we learn for examplep pifive eyes was the name for an alliance of intelligence agencies from australia new zealand canada the uk and the us ellen had not heard of this organization of englishspeaking allies until shed become secretary of stateip pthe five eyes is such an obscure and secretive organization that even a boneheaded reviewer like me has heard of it had ellen adams who had spent decades building and running an international media empire that now spread across television networks an allnews channel websites and newspapers never seen a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20180904uspoliticsgovernmentaccessencrypteddatahtmlreportsa on the alliance in such marginal outlets as the inew york timesi you almost await the revelation that there exists a mysterious littleknown body named the federal bureau of investigationsp pthen again adams  or the authors  has no wish to focus on the shadier sides of american statecraft the us that broken beacon was in this novel governed with decency and openness until the awful president tru er whatever his name was messed everything up savor thisp pisecretary adams on entering as secstate had quickly realized there was no such thing as the deep state there was nothing deep about it nothing hidden career employees and political appointees wandered the halls and in meetings and shared bathrooms and tables in the cafeteriasip phow can a deep state exist when people on different levels of government ishare bathroomsi in this novel there was for example no a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombooks2021sep05theafghanistanpapersreviewcraigwhitlockwashingtonpostdecadelong attempt to obscure the tragic facts of the war in afghanistana there was just the inexplicable lust for destruction held by president tronald dump and his scheming ideological compadresp pthe book ends up being a kind of fever dream of the sort of people who considered themselves part of the resistance the russian leader  padimir vlutin or whatever he was called  is finally reduced to a quivering wreck by charges of pedophilia as far as i can tell once evidence of these charges extracts the information adams needs she fails to pursue them  a genuinely interesting example of diplomatic amoralityp pfemale genius is forever being overlooked a british politician states a banal fact about israeli intelligence operations and seems to have forgotten that ellen had said exactly that just a few minutes earlier this sort of social critique might be more compelling if it was not penned by a woman who obtained top jobs in politics time and again  or indeed if was not centered around a media mogul who was made secretary of state for no obvious reasonp pat the end of her acknowledgements clinton writesp pithis is a work of fiction but the story it tells is all too timely its up to us to make sure its plot stays fictionalip div a hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div plet us be fair to our liberal friends and acknowledge that their fears are not entirely without foundation donald trump iisi a man with an ample enough ego but if he could mount a coup he might soon be declaring it the biggest best and most beautiful coup in the world but the paranoia real or opportunistic that leads clinton to frame a rightwing dirty bomb attack on us soil in prophetic terms combined with the pettiness that leads her to grouse about alleged diplomatic slights are unique to establishment liberalism in its senescencep pthe authors discuss friends and family members they lost around the time of writing the book who helped to inspire its characters i have no cause to doubt their sincere intentions still stacey abramss surprisingly able thriller iwhile justice sleeps iapparently took her twelve years to create given that the idea to write a book together was apparently pitched to clinton and penny in spring 2020 we can assume it took them less than one  throughout which clinton also a hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastyouandmebothwithhillaryclintonid1531768983ran a podcasta and a hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58669865became chancellor of queens universitya belfast perhaps if there is a sequel they should spent a bit more time developing the story id never discourage former politicians from devoting themselves to their pastimesp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcombookandarthillaryclintonthrillerresistancefeverdreamstateterrorhillary clintons thriller is a resistance fever dreama appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

pyou know thata hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate terroria hillary clintons new novel written collaboration bestselling author louise penny going awful want know iwhyi novel acorpsethenletthis criticbethecoronerp pto faira hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate terroria offers literary competence expect sort weighty thriller youd pick train station youd forgotten charger penny pro pacing respectable characters numerous forget especially welldeveloped stylistic howlers russian dictator coldness given siberia chill makes sense expectp pwhat makesthis book entertainingiiareits politics separate art fromideology case ofa hrefhttpsbookshoporga30579781982173678istate terroriaiithan man vital organsit involves smart plucky perpetuallyunderratedfemalesecretary ofstate wonderwhohelpedinspire dimthug anoutgoing president knowsand conspiracyto topplethe governmentled sinister rightwingers league withswarthyterrorists andacold calculating russian strongman ismuch smaller main character expects guess good minep panyone expecting deep political insights worlds washington international politics disappointedthis novel written level political naivete makesyouwonder clinton wasactuallyinvolvedwe learn examplep pifive eyes alliance intelligence agencies australia new zealand canada uk ellen heard organization englishspeaking allies shed becomesecretary ofstateip pthefive eyes obscure secretive organization evenaboneheaded reviewerlike mehas heard ithad ellen adams spent decades building running international media empire spread television networks allnews channel websites newspapersnever seena hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20180904uspoliticsgovernmentaccessencrypteddatahtmlreportsaon thealliancein marginal outlets theinew york timesiyou almostawait revelation exists amysterious littleknownbodynamedthe federal bureau investigationsp pthen adamsor authorshas wish focus shadier sides american statecraft theus brokenbeacon novel governed decency openness untilthe awful president tru er messed upsavor thisp pisecretary adams entering assecstate quickly realized thing deep state nothingdeepabout hidden career employees political appointees wandered halls meetings shared bathrooms tables cafeteriasip phow deep state existwhen people different levels governmentishare bathroomsiin novel example noa hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancombooks2021sep05theafghanistanpapersreviewcraigwhitlockwashingtonpostdecadelong attempt obscure tragic facts war afghanistanathere inexplicable lust destruction held president tronald dump hisscheming ideological compadresp pthe book ends kind fever dream sort people considered resistance russian leaderpadimirvlutinor calledis finallyreduced quivering wreck charges pedophiliaas far tell evidence charges extracts information adams needs fails pursue thema genuinely interesting example diplomatic amoralityp pfemale genius forever overlookeda british politicianstates banal fact aboutisraeli intelligence operations forgotten ellen said exactly minutes earlierthis sort socialcritique compelling penned woman obtainedtop jobs politics timeandagainor notcenteredaround media mogul madesecretary ofstate obvious reasonp pat end acknowledgements clinton writesp pithis work fiction story tells timely sure plot stays fictionalip div hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomsubscribethedcdiaryimg alt srchttpsspectatorworldcomwpcontentuploads202110emailnewslettermobpng classwpimage29949a div plet fair liberal friends acknowledge fearsare entirely foundationdonaldtrumpiisia man ample ego mounta coup soonbedeclaring biggestbest beautiful coup worldbut paranoia real opportunistic leads clinton frame rightwing dirty bomb attack soil prophetic terms combined pettiness leads togrouse alleged diplomatic slights unique establishment liberalism itssenescencep pthe authors discuss friends family members lost time writing book helped inspire charactersi causeto doubttheir sincere intentions stacey abramss surprisingly ablethrilleriwhile justice sleepsiapparently took years tocreategiven idea write book apparently pitched clinton penny inspring2020 assume took onethroughout clinton alsoa hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastyouandmebothwithhillaryclintonid1531768983ran podcastaanda hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58669865became chancellor queens universityabelfastperhaps sequelthey shouldspenta bit time developing storyid discourage politicians devoting totheir pastimesp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcombookandarthillaryclintonthrillerresistancefeverdreamstateterrorhillary clintons thriller resistance fever dreama appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

6179d3489cb58ea58cb4eecd

The Last Liberal Republican President, with John R. Price

prichard nixons legacy will be forever tarnished by the watergate scandal that led him to become the first and only us president to resign from office but nixon was also a political mastermind whose impact continues to resound in both domestic and world politics p pjohn r price served on the domestic policy side of the first nixon administration eventually becoming special assistant to the president for urban affairs he has written about his experience in a compelling new memoir and history emthe last liberal republican an insiders perspective on nixons surprising social policyem in this interview price talks about his background as one of the founding memoirs of the ripon society a moderate republican activist group in the 1960s his efforts on behalf of progressive republicans like nelson rockefeller and jacob javits and his work in the nixon administration for the eminent harvard sociologist and later us senator daniel patrick moynihan p pprice describes his efforts with moynihan and nixon to create the family assistance plan a farreaching welfare proposal that would have implemented a negative income tax for households with working parents he makes the case that nixon was in many ways a liberal  indeed the last liberal republican president  and that his social welfare program if it had passed congress would have put the country on a different and better trajectory  p iframe srchttpsplayersimplecastcom3bb2d45581864584b56e01e0d17057a4darkfalse width100 height200pxiframe h2transcripth2 pstrongjohn r pricestrong this is key i think to my sense of nixon that there was somewhere at that curious complicated mans core a feeling that he wanted before he left the world to have done something remarkably good and memorablep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong hello im geoff kabaservice for the niskanen center welcome to the vital center podcast where we try to sort through the problems of the muddled moderate majority of americans drawing upon history biography and current events im delighted to be joined today by my friend john r price who has just written a brilliant memoir and history entitled a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomlastliberalrepublicanperspectivesurprisingdp0700632050emthe last liberal republican an insiders perspective on nixons surprising social policyema john spent much of the 1960s as a moderate republican activist before joining the nixon administration after the 1968 electionp phe worked for daniel patrick moynihan in the urban affairs council focusing on welfare reform and the creation of the family assistance plan and after moynihan left the administration and returned to harvard john succeeded him as special assistant to the president for urban affairs and executive secretary to the council on urban affairs reporting directly to john ehrlichman so welcome back john and congratulations on your bookp pstrongjohn r price strongthank you geoffrey i appreciate your supportp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong youre welcome and my saying welcome back was actually a bit of a freudian slip there because unfortunately as you know you and i taped an entire podcast a few weeks ago that utterly failed to record but john your many stellar qualities include your vast supply of patience so i hope you dont mind a certain sense of dj vu in repeating our conversationp pstrongjohn r pricestrong not a bit lets get on with itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong great so as i was saying one of the many intriguing aspects of your book is that you situate the nixon presidency in the much longer history of factional warfare within the republican party and i also like that you spent the first third or so of the book relating your own somewhat forrest gumpish experiences in the 1960s where you were personally involved with seemingly every significant republican organization and leader and then another valuable aspect of the book is your focus on the relationship between nixon and moynihan and the struggle to pass the family assistance plan which was a welfare program that aimed to implement a negative income tax for households with working parentsp pand your approaching nixon from these angles really reveals a rather different nixon from the one who appears in most histories so although maybe ive supplied some of the answer to my own question for you can you tell me what inspired you to write this bookp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well partly it was the fact that 50 years had gone by and if i were going to write it id better get to it but more importantly i think that it was in a way a justification for my own life and at one point nixon said to a group of us staff in his office he said pat moynihan if we get family assistance and we will  will have done something with his life and i felt that nixon was speaking almost for himself on that very point this is key i think to my sense of the importance of writing the book and my sense of nixon that there was somewhere at that mans that curious complicated mans core a feeling that he wanted before he left the world to have done something remarkably good and memorablep pand so i write the book partly out of that sense of nixons own personal quest but also out of the fact that i had come from maybe an upbringing and certainly a college grinnell in iowa which had a very strong sense of the social gospel as it was called a hundred and more years ago so it was a whole mix of reasons both personal as a sense of an amateur historian and as desiring to give a glimpse of nixon as you just said most people never had the opportunity to seep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong well i think youve succeeded wonderfully in this book maybe we can begin by you telling me something about your family background and early interest in republican politicsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong thank you my family was basically nonpartisan i say that despite the fact that both my mother and father regularly pulled the republican lever but they werent feverish about it there wasnt rancor there wasnt a huge sense of great gulfs in american politics my mother was from a dairy farm in iowa southern iowa holstein cows and my grandfather and my grandmother were a republican and democrat respectively so when they went to vote on election day they canceled each other out and then went home to a very satisfying quiet calm midday mealp pmy father was out of the coal mining camps in west virginia having actually begun working in the mines at age twelve and finally later more or less finished high school and then talked his way into college of which he was the first family member ever to attend but his politics were basically one of stability and practicality he was not an ideologue in any way and he greatly greatly found disorder abhorrent and the coal mining camps at the time he was a young man and teaching school were pretty wild with union organization and pinkertons being brought in to put them down violently violence on both sides so my folks were republicans but basically centrist and moderate in their temperamentp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and how did you get into your interest in republican politicsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well the first intimation of it came when i was nine years old when governor tom dewey someone to whom we will refer probably more than once in this conversation governor tom dewey of new york was running for the second time for the presidency as the republican standardbearer in 1948 so i at the tender age of nine was dispatched or volunteered i have no idea to carry campaign posters and a hammer and tacks up and down my oneblocklong street affixing tom deweys picture and slogans to telephone poles and lightposts that was the beginningp pand then i four years later saw eisenhower in an opencar motorcade through my hometown on long island new york my dad and i watched it and then as i got on and through high school i began to be very interested in social studies and such and at college in the late 60s i wound up being very interested in policy and by that time someone named nelson rockefeller had come on the scene and completely seduced me as he did thousands of other centrist somewhat more moderate and potentially liberal folks of my agep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and of course you would end up going to work for rockefeller twice as it happensp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes and that was still a long time in the future at that point but he had been sort of a comet in the sky in 1958 which was about halfway through my college years and he became the sort of emerging figure of the more moderate wing of the party or at least he thought he was because richard nixon was still the vice president and was about to beat nelson rockefeller for the 1960 nomination which he duly and handily didp pbut nonetheless rockefeller emerged as a powerful northern republican governor of which there were many  more than a handful and they were a very formidable force within the party but at the same time rising within the party and outside it was the conservative movement it was a formidable force that had been suppressed during the eisenhower presidency the old taft wing the more conservative wing which eisenhower had beaten for his own nomination in 1952 had been sort of somnolent and under the surface but came back with a vengeance after nixons 1960 defeat and it really set up a struggle between the conservatives and nelson rockefeller in the first instancep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you have written about this in your book but generally speaking how was the republican party of 1960 different from the one we have todayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well it was a broad church still very much so and you had the eisenhower administration drawing to an end and as usual especially after a couple of terms they were running out of gas and the members of the administration were aging and theyd shot their wads and they were back off to business or retirement or college presidencies or whatever but you had that strong eisenhower moderate wing dont forget eisenhower had vastly expanded social security he had made possible through the esi the employersponsored insurance program a vast transformation of the landscape of health insurance in america because employers began to offer it to their employees and it really took holdp pand then you had the more conservative wing which as i say had been sort of suppressed during much of eisenhower but was beginning once again to feel its oats nixon was a centrist nixon was definitely the heir to eisenhower and frankly in his campaign against jack kennedy nixon was probably more the centrist than even jack kennedy so you had a broad church republican party in 1960 quite different to todayp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you know john i know from past conversations that you have a story about iowa republican congressman fred schwengel that dates to the summer of 1960 which kind of shows just on a personal level how different politics was in those daysp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well its interesting schwengel was from the eastern mississippi river side of iowa quad cities area as its called and he was a longtime republican member there traditional midwestern republican which meant very procivil rights economically he was more or less conservative  that is fiscally prudent but schwengel was interested in history he liked history he liked facts he later in fact went on to become the chairman or president of the national capital historical societyp pbut that summer he had a summer intern from my college grinnell college and invited that young man and me over for a sunday hamburger and he grilled the hamburgers and hotdogs and then he said if youd be interested come on down to our recreation room in the basement ive got some recordings if youd be willing to hear them id love to play them for you and what he played for us were campaign speeches of adlai ewing stevenson who had run against dwight eisenhower in 52 and again in 1956 but who was an eloquent eloquent manp pand by that time of course the new deal had itself burned out and stevenson had little or no chance against eisenhower but his rhetoric his eloquence his ability to turn into a fine phrase very important thoughts were really important to schwengel himself and he just wanted us to listen to this for entertainment and for exposure to a fine rhetoricianp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong its very rare i run across republican politicians who are aficionados of the speeches of lets say barack obama even though obama was a rhetorician of a level of eloquence of stevenson himselfp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes id agreep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong interesting anecdote so you graduated from grinnell college you went to oxford as a rhodes scholar and upon your return to the states you enrolled at the harvard law school and you were present at the creation of the ripon society for our listeners who may not know what was the ripon societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong it was starting in 1962 a sort of inchoate group of maybe 10 or a dozen which grew slowly over the next year young men many law students but also grad students at tufts and at mit and elsewhere and we felt vaguely republican we liked eisenhower though by that time we felt a little ashamed because of course the prevailing view of eisenhower by the early 1960s was that he had been a tired old man who didnt know what he was doing and so on that view is radically undergoing a transformation these daysp pbut the name ripon was given to the group later and the concept for the group was a transplant from across the atlantic from the british conservative or tory party and one of the key players in it emil frankel had been a fulbright at manchester and he came back knowledgeable about this group called the bow group the bow group was like this group of ours in the boston area young people who really were interested in politics but they were interested in policy and in ideas and their place in politics and so the bow group became a bridge between policy and officeholders policy and politiciansp pso that was specifically the model that this young group fledgling group took for itself and we experimented with names american bow group nothing jelled until the assassination of jack kennedy in november of 1963 within two months the ripon society had formalized declared a credo if you will and embraced the name of ripon ripon was the town in wisconsin and in the little white schoolhouse in ripon wisconsin the republican party was born so we specifically determined that we were a republican group we were a policyoriented group we were a young group and we meant to ensure that politics did not degenerate but had a high level of concern about policy and getting things done that helped peoplep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong its interesting that you mentioned the growing conservative movement which was also going on at that time and the way you specifically put it was that the eisenhower presidency had suppressed a lot of that conservative sentiment you know i often think about the roots of trumpian populism and while i dont want to be presentist in the way that im thinking about richard nixon i do consider his role on the one hand being eisenhowers conservative hatchet man but on the other hand participating in that repression of the specifically isolationist element of america first that came out as the mccarthyite movement with senator joe mccarthy and robert taft was always its standard bearer and eisenhower really did convert the republican party to internationalism and seemingly the cause of moderation but of course that did not lastp pstrongjohn r pricestrong absolutely and you made a very important point  not central to my book or my career in politics or my arguments which were focused on domestic and social policy  but the reason eisenhower has often said that he finally decided to run for the presidency was because he had a private secret meeting with robert taft senator of ohio and a key leader in the republicans in the congress senate he was the republican leader specifically in the senate and eisenhower asked him point blank he said  nato had just been formed in 1949  and eisenhower said to taft look even harry truman has been asking me to run for president he said i wouldnt run if i knew that you would embrace internationalism and embrace nato specifically and taft said in conscience i cant do that and that led to eisenhower saying all right he didnt say it to taft at the time but he made the decision to run against taft for the nomination and for the presidencyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong when the ripon society had come up with its name it made a pilgrimage to that schoolhouse in wisconsinp pstrongjohn r pricestrong we did indeed but there was a specific moment in time when that was done and it was after the presumptive nominee of the republican party in 1964 barry morris goldwater of arizona had voted against the 1964 civil rights act and he had voted with i think four other republican senators 25 or 26 other republicans by a ratio of almost five to one voted in favor of the civil rights act but goldwater had opposed it voting with democrats like strom thurmond who that autumn crossed the aisle to say he was a republicanp pand so we felt the folks in ripon felt that this was blasphemy if you will within the context of a party which for a hundred years had stood for civil rights for the 13th 14th and 15th amendments for attempts at reconstruction for the eisenhower court and the brown vs board of education decision  all of these things and so we went to ripon and issued a a hrefhttpsbooksgooglecombooksabouta_declaration_of_conscience_from_ripon_whtmlidf7ogzgeacaajdeclaration of consciencea saying that the party could not in conscience nominate someone barry goldwater who stood so opposed to its historic lineage and purposep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you know its interesting that the conservative movement congealed around goldwater and also opposed nelson rockefeller i remember a quote from william rusher who was the publisher of emnational reviewem magazine where he said that every movement needs an enemy and for the conservative movement nelson rockefeller was itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yeah he had a big bullseye he had a big bullseye on himp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and rockefeller really was the most formidable challenger to goldwater during that 1964 presidential primary and series of contests leading up to the republican nomination and since you worked for rockefeller on two occasions like i said id be curious to hear your take on him why is it that people nowadays should esteem nelson rockefeller and was there any truth to this notion of it was possible to be both a liberal and a republican in those daysp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well nelson rockefeller certainly stood for that i mean he would call himself a moderate i dont think hed call himself a liberal he kept saying he was electable because he believed in a way like richard nixon did that elections would be won in the center in the middle of american politics and he had a favorite phrase he said republicans and independents and  discerning democrats will be for me he was a man of immense ego but equally immense charm he had i think at age 31 become the family boss on the construction of rockefeller center  that could go to your head the biggest construction project probably of the entire new deal era and then he helped to found the museum of modern art with his mother and then he was an assistant secretary of state under fdr undersecretary of hew under eisenhower so he had by dint of wealth and charm and family connections he had already had one heck of a start in public lifep phe then was elected governor of new york which was then  60 65 years ago a formidable platform for a governor of either party it was still the largest state and the east was still predominant in media and so forth so he had an enormous spot if you will from which to maneuver and he was a man as i say of great ego of great charm of great energy and he had a radiant charm and he was also a builder he liked to do things big and so he was a spender and he built a vast state university system and he helped to inspire the building of the original world trade center and all these kinds of things so nelson was regarded as being a huge spender  a liberal in that sense a big government man and a man with an ego to matchp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you know i found that when i was researching rockefeller i came to think less highly of him than many people who had been in the ripon society and were around in politics at the time precisely because he didnt seem to be part of the dwight eisenhower tradition of moderate republicanism that i was writing about and that seemed central to me since weve spoken last i have been up to albany new york and i have gone to the old capital and gazed upon what is now the nelson a rockefeller empire state plaza and as you said he was a builder and a spender and the plaza came in at something like twice its original planned budget at 2 billionp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and its this vast brasiliastyle space thats kind of like a modernist ode to big government it has no human scale at all and i find it somewhat offputting about rockefeller that he was not a fiscal conservativep pstrongjohn r pricestrong correct and some of his best buddies were architects themselves of olympian tastes and ambitions and thats partly why he was a very easy target as we both agree he was a big spender and didnt have the same sense of a fiscal constraint that say tom dewey did his predecessor as republican governor and so rockefeller was easily portrayed by the conservatives as perhaps too rambunctious internationally  there still was that tinge of noninternationalism in the conservatives and then that he was willing to spend anything that he saw hed throw money atp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah to be fair rockefellers had been key demons in the demonology of populism for a century at that point along with east coast bankers and railroads and jews and immigrants and all the rest of itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong and the oil business but the way in which the rockefeller family were big spenders was a wonderful way because yes the old man the old baptist from cleveland who founded the dynasty was a man whose reputation was deadly in many ways his son created the rockefeller foundation and he created the blood bank they created colonial williamsburg they created the rockefeller university which in turn generated all kinds of hybrid seeds which allowed a revolution in agriculture and the feeding of millions of people so the penance done by john d jr was massive and the other rockefellers  and nelson because he was the most visible benefited from that somewhat now more benign reputation that the family had earned through the leadership of john d jrp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and of course the rockefeller family also gave tremendous support to the historically black colleges and universities of the countryp pstrongjohn r pricestrong absolutely spellman collegep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and nelson rockefeller was an ardent supporter of both civil rights and civil libertiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes he was but so was tom dewey with more fiscal restraintp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and i think even robert taft though he was very conservative and isolationist also was a supporter of civil rights and thats what differentiates to me the barry goldwater line of conservatives  the far right if you will from the old conservative tradition that was more midwesternp pstrongjohn r pricestrong that is exactly right i made the point earlier in passing but the traditional midwestern conservatives both in the house and the senate guys like mcculloch of ohio who was ranking republican of the house judiciary committee at the time of that civil rights act was a real leader on it and lyndon johnson when he finally converted to being in favor of civil rights having long played footsie with the southern segregationist democrats lyndon turned to the republicans he told hubert humphrey his vice president that they needed to go to the or he wasnt yet vice president they needed to go to everett mckinley dirksen who was the minority leader from illinois who represented exactly that strain of midwestern traditional procivil rights republicansp pdirksen when he led the floor fight on cloture to keep the democratic southern segregationist filibuster from succeeding dirksen broke cloture with republican votes as i say almost fivetoone as the democrats did about twoandahalftoone in favor of the civil rights bill and everett dirksen as he walked off the floor after the vote turned to barry goldwater who led five republicans to oppose it and he flicked his thumb on his teeth at barry goldwaterp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong people tend to forget this but richard nixon was considered to be the strongest supporter of civil rights inside the eisenhower administration or among the leaders who were in the top circle at any rate richard nixon obviously was hated by the left for his anticommunismp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong his redbaiting as they saw it in his elections and subsequently in the congress but he also did have that strain of support for civil rights pretty strongly within him in the 50s as wellp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes he did and in fact against the advice of many in his white house when push came to shove within the first year that he was in the office as president he had to respond to the supreme court case of a hrefhttpswwwoyezorgcases1969632holmes vs alexandera this is not my special area but it is important to note that was the case that finally  finally after the brown decision in 1954 said times up youve got to do it now so nixon had the hot potato the eisenhower court the warren court had made the decision in a hrefhttpswwwhistorycomtopicsblackhistorybrownvboardofeducationoftopekabrown v board of education of topekaa that they had to integrate the schools but basically the phrase i forget exactly what it was but it was essentially with deliberate speed i think and that was interpreted to mean in sort of southern style lets take our time about it and white citizens councils formed in opposition so nixon had to face it when he had to either make sure that the decision was implemented or fall on his sword and conservatives in the white house fought strenuously against his decision to really enforce that supreme court decision but he didp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong your book john is a very interesting counterpart to the series of nixon memoirs written by pat buchanan of course you served alongside buchanan in nixons white house you and a number of other ripon society alumni were part of an identifiable moderatetoliberal republican group buchanan of course was trying to bring the conservative movement into the nixon white house and in buchanans telling the moderates come across as intolerant and unwilling to compromise but what i think buchanan overlooks is that the central issue animating the ripon society was its support for civil rights and when you have a candidate like barry goldwater who represents the conservative movement who is voting against the civil rights act of 1964 thats not an issue on which compromise is possiblep pstrongjohn r pricestrong and as i say we took our stand immediately prior to the convention in 64 at which goldwater was finally nominated and that convention was as angry as bilious as almost violent as the democratic one later in 68 but it was very indicative of how these passions were right there on the surface and we felt strongly one reason bill scranton decided to seek that nomination against barry goldwater despite the fact he knew it was a kamikaze mission was because he had a sense of the historic role of the republican party and he came from a longtime republicanactive family in pennsylvania and he stood up and tried to challenge goldwater principally on that issuep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you had come to the 1964 republican national convention in san franciscos cow palace as a member of rockefellers staff in the summer of 1964 you joined john deardourffs research operation in the rockefeller campaign he and doug bailey really formed the first campaign management outfit and so you were there seeing this unfold as barry goldwater is declaring that extremism in defense of liberty is no vice what was it like to be at that convention as a moderate republicanp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well going back a ways before that which was the final moment of his acceptance speech the moderates were a thin if not hardy band and we were trying to figure out some way to stop the goldwater nomination the polling of republicans in the party at large across the country indicated goldwater was not their choice not their first choice rather what youd had was this powerful well thoughtout guerilla movement led by william rusher and clifton white and others to nominate goldwater from the ground up and so the moderates were left at san francisco with little to do except try to win over some of the swingables some of the winnable among the delegates by trying to propose platform planks which could try to peel them off from the hard right which was really in control of the convention and we failed abjectlyp prockefeller himself after a very very vicious california primary only weeks before the convention spoke to the convention and he talked about one of the planks we had offered about condemnation of extremism and he stood up on the rostrum about 30 feet above where i was standing  i was literally right below him and facing the new goldwater delegation from california which had just won when they beat rockefeller three weeks earlier in the primary and they were 20 feet away from me with orange life jackets on and cowboy hats and rockefeller stood up there 25 30 feet above me crying out against extremism and saying this was not what the republican party was and he then went on to talk about bomb threats to his campaign headquarters and to his person and the delegates began to stir with anger and rage and the bronx cheers became louder and finally he said you may not like to hear it ladies and gentlemen but its the truth and at that point right in front of me the front row of the goldwater california delegates stood up on their chairs and spat at rockefeller which happened to be in my direction and i was nearer but it was a raw very difficult very angry placep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong everyone in 1964 wouldve understood that a condemnation of extremism within the republican party really specifically referred to the role played by the john birch societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes which was a group initially i think in california which had made an icon of some virtually unknown person who was elevated into a figure of heroism and there were a lot of funding sources that supported it and they really really took after eisenhower accusing him of being a communist dupe this is a man who had fought with zhukov against the nazis and also was the head of natos alliance against the communists so that may have escaped them but they did make a big point of eisenhower being almost procommunist in his sympathies which was staggering and then they i must say in 62 they took after richard nixon in the primary when he went back to california after his loss to jack kennedy and sought the governorship to try it again probably and he won the primary but the loss of blood by the attacks from the birchers and other rightwingers meant that he in the general election lost to the democrat pat brownp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and from that episode  and probably others at least but certainly from that nixon distrusted the far right did he notp pstrongjohn r pricestrong very much more than distrusted he told john whitaker one of his longtime aides and a colleague of mine who became a colleague of mine he said you know i think the right wing just dont like people he literally said that he said i dont think they like people and he carried those wounds with him consistently pat buchanan whom you cited earlier pat has an interesting point in one of his books and the two books are interesting pat buchanan says nixon when he would talk with buchanan  buchanan being his emissary to the right wing to the hard right pat buchanan says nixon never ever used the word we it was always they he never identified himself with buchanan as a hard conservativep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah buchanan does point out that nixon came of political age before the conservative movement got started in the mid1950s but what buchanan puts less emphasis on is that the conservative movement got started in reaction to dwight eisenhowers presidency of which richard nixon was the vice presidentp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes thats a fairly important point and also i will mention that nixon was sort of the spearcarrier as you referred earlier to him while vice president for eisenhower who sought to and whose instinct was to remain above the fray at least visibly above the fray and he basically dispatched richard nixon to try to help get rid of mccarthy joe mccarthy who was a darling of the right wing at that point  erratic and irresponsible but they loved him but he was a real problem for eisenhower because he went around accusing everybody up to and including general george catlett marshall whod been army chief of staff in world war ii and secretary of state of again being some sort of a communist dupe and eisenhower was furious at questioning the patriotism of george marshall and so he had nixon try to work on helping to cut mccarthy out and nixon was very much a part of that and then tom dewey was too eisenhower turned to tom dewey to say what kind of a lawyer can i get to try and bring mccarthy down in the armymccarthy hearings and he turned to joseph nye welch who was himself a grinnell college gradp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and i would say that the birch society movement was strongest in california in the early 1960s compared to any other state and what nixon fatally underestimated in his contest for governor was that his candidacy presented an opportunity for the birchers and other mccarthy loyalists to have revengep pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes no question no question but it was not just a personal revenge it was partly issues for example one thing i came across in my work trying to put the book together was the fact that nixon had some prolabor sympathies and one of the issues which was beginning to germinate among the conservatives as early as 6061 was an antiunion movement called the right to work laws which were to be passed at state levels and which were to inhibit the ability of unions to organize in those states and to prevent union shops and so on well nixon opposed right to work so there was a policy issue and not just a vengeance issue with which the right was anxious to beat him upp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah in fact the right to work issue was what had caused california to fall to the democrats in the first place in that 1958 election and union supporters by and large swamped republican candidates in 58 and nixon had sort of been out there trying to drum up support in his role as vice president during that election so he wouldve seen right to work as a foolish political hill to die on put it that wayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes good way to put itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah and nixons psychology at the time that you first got to know him must have been affected on some level by the 1960 election when he wouldve had a much better case than donald trump to argue that the election had really been legitimately won by himself and had been taken by the democrats through underhanded meansp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes i never had a personal conversation with him about the 1960 election but one of my friends was a man named john a wells jack wells who was a lawyer in a new york firm and long wheelhorse of the republican party hed worked for willkie in 1940 at tom deweys behest he then worked for dewey in both of his campaigns and nixon dispatched jack wells in 1960 after the election to chicago to cook county and he then probed as a good forensic lawyer the election returns and he came back to nixon and to the republican national committee and said there is more than adequate grounds for you to contest the election and a strong likelihood based on what ive seen that you probably could overturn cook county which in turn would probably mean illinois falls into your column and then theres texas but this would go a long way toward you overturning the electionp pand nixon heres the contrast that youre driving at nixon said no to jack wells and to the republican national committee which was salivating to go after it he said no he said i remember the 1876 tildenhayes presidential race which was so close that it was not finally resolved for three or four months after the election and nixon said to jack wells i cannot put the country through that rather a different ethos or attitude about constitutional processp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong rather so you were director of delegate intelligence for the 1968 rockefeller for president campaign and of course that fell short and nixon got the nomination when and how did you actually go to work for himp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well i actually had worked in 63 for a summer job doing the original research on barry goldwater then as you mentioned i took two weeks off of a summer associate job at a law firm to go to san francisco but in 68 what happened was it was sort of stopstart and nelson rockefeller was being coy and thinking that he had a better shot at being nominated if he appeared to have the party approach him instead of his going full tilt after the nomination so things were poking along and some of the key financial figures in the republican party approached me and said look lets ask nelson if he would take you on as head of delegate intelligence meaning trying to put the dossiers together on every one of the delegates understanding what their interests were how they might be appealed to what civic organizations church alumni groups what banks they banked at how could we find ways to talk to them and bring them alongp pand so we started late in the game after rockefeller had pulled out and spiro agnew in fury spiro having backed him thoroughly turned elsewhere so we had a long uphill struggle because it was late and also important to remember about rockefeller rockefeller was more a policy person than he was a delegate hunter and he really believed that if you studied an issue hard enough and long enough and if you had enough experts writing about it and if you then digested it and had a good speechwriter helping you that you would win elections by policy alone really richard nixon was a little different he was the man of the thousand chicken dinners at precinct committee meetingsp pso rockefellers degree of avidness avidity for delegate hunting and cultivating county chairs and so on just wasnt there it just wasnt there so it was the combination of a late start of nelson having disappointed people in the past so they just wouldnt stick their necks out again for him and of the fact that he just didnt focus on the delegate side even though i and my group and the delegate hunters with whom we worked were doing our bestp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so how did the nixon offer come aboutp pstrongjohn r pricestrong the nixon offer came about through two people who were very close to richard nixon one was walter thayer who was a mentor of mine and the president of the new york heraldtribune and i called him the secretary general of the eastern republican establishment he worked with john hay whitney who had owned the tribune until he sold it because he couldnt afford to carry it anymore and thayer called me and hed backed rockefeller and he said i hope youd be willing to work for richard nixon and then charlie mcwhorter a wonderful guy who was a chairman of the national young republicans years earlier and knew everybody in the party  he was a bachelor whose total energy was spent on republican party matters he called me likewise and said i hope youll work for nixon for whom charlie had worked when nixon was vicepresidentp pand i was weighing all this because i had not started out as a nixon supporter so what did i do i went to see my boss from whom i had taken a leave of absence in brooklyn in bedstuy i was working on a community development corporation and i went to see him we had breakfast at juniors on flatbush avenue  cheesecake for breakfast and i said to him john what should i dop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong this is john doarp pstrongjohn r pricestrong well i was going to get there  that was the punchline but john doar was a republican from new richmond wisconsin who when eisenhower and herb brownell formed the civil rights division of the department of justice had come down as a staff lawyer and then stayed on after kennedy won and bob kennedy had recognized john doar and promoted him to assistant attorney general for civil rightsp pso john doar was my boss now at bedstuy and i said what do i do and he said john youre a republican arent you and i said i am and he said well dont be squeamish about it look at the other side youve got john connolly southern democrat governor youve got dave dubinsky big labor union leader and youve got dick daley the mayor of a corrupt chicago he said of course you work for richard nixon this is the john doar who led the 44lawyersstrong impeachment team against richard nixon some years later for the house judiciary committee on which among others was hillary rodham hes the guy who pushed me into working for richard nixonp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong tell me about your position for which you were hired in 1968 and into 1969p pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes well first of all and most interestingly nixon had gotten intrigued by a democrat named daniel patrick moynihan pat was partisan a partisan democrat and had worked for bobby kennedy against nixon until kennedy was killed and he then worked for hubert humphrey against nixon until the election when nixon won but what attracted nixon what intrigued him was something moynihan had written a year and a half earlier he wrote it and delivered a speech at the americans for democratic action in it moynihan was basically saying about a time not unlike our own look we are in a situation approaching anarchy the confidence and trust in institutions the necessary institutions holding together a society is dwindling drying up and he said liberals and conservatives have to come together to try to address peoples real needs otherwise this society is going to collapse the social contract will go and we wont have enough respect for institutions to keep goingp pthat appealed to nixon and it was the original basis of their connection their almost spiritual connection it wasnt so much about welfare reform or about urban development or housing it was on that basic burkean notion  edmund burke the angloirish office holder and political philosopher and ethical philosopher of society needing this glue to hold it together and thats what first brought them togetherp pso anyway nixon hires moynihan and i was on the transition staff for len garment and i wound up having lunch with pat moynihan and he said lets do it together i want you to come in and be my counsel and youll do what im doing and i want you to help me with the machinery of this tobecreated cabinetlevel body for the formulation of domestic policy urban policy  which means as he said cities which means the race problem so thats how it began i was working for pat as his counsel and supporting the machinery of the domestic cabinet which the president chaired basically that was what it wasp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong pat buchanan in his book a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgpproductb00hxylw8krefdbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p1_i8emthe greatest comebackema had an interesting appraisal of nixon he said while his judgment on people was not infallible when it came to talent he wanted the best and he was not put off if the best had not wanted him and he gives as an example not only moynihan who was a lifelong democrat but also henry kissinger of harvard who had worked for nelson rockefeller and also john connolly who was nixons secretary of the treasury who had delivered texas for humphrey in 1968 buchanan continues on the selection of these men testifies to the truth that nixon was no ideologue no true believer he had instincts one could call conservative but reflexive reactions that were liberalp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and you in your book wrote at one point that nixon had to remind himself every morning that he was a republican he was a man of endless expedience that made him a great politicianp pstrongjohn r pricestrong i think that thats absolutely right and expedience is what most everyone thinks of when they look at richard nixon in the rearview mirror and certainly at the time but i think that he had within him something which had probably germinated from the time of his mother who was a progressive republican politically but who was a quaker and a very observant one and a very important figure in nixons emotional life and his life generally and i think that pat buchanan is absolutely right pat also elsewhere uses the word eclectic he said nixon was an eclectic he would listen to every point of view but pat also says that he said this is buchanan talking i never could understand it heres richard nixon whos absolutely brilliant whos had great achievements in his life whos a centrist with basically even liberal policies and yet the establishment wouldnt accept him and he craved it he longed for itp pso there was part of that too it was that he felt that the liberal policies might bring along more of the establishment and the democrats he said at one point the democrats have to support the family assistance plan its logical for them but he understood republican politics better than he did internal democratic politics but i think nixon definitely had these instincts which were liberal we can get more to specific policies if you wishp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong tell me a little more about nixons family history and how that may have influenced his views on social policiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes his father i never studied the family ive read the typical biographies theres a number of very good ones a couple of more recent ones and they suggest that nixons father was erratic and not successful in the various things he undertook from being a citrus farmer to running a gas station and a produce store his mother was the central figure emotionally i think in nixons life as i mentioned she was a progressive republican in the politics of the time when nixon was born and being raised born in 1913 and she was also a very very observant quaker the quaker roots growing up through her family tree were very strong and very traditional in the sense of things like having been important on the underground railway and in the civil rights movementp pnixon himself was a member of the naacp when he first ran for congress in 1946 the roots and the trajectory of his mothers belief system were there i think and i found a picture at the hoover presidential library of him with quaker relatives including his grandmother in west branch iowa herbert hoovers hometown and it just reinforced for me the fact that this was an ingredient which you cannot overlook in nixons life he didnt wear it on his sleeve and he was much more observant of it than was herbert hoover according to archivists at the hoover museum hoover library so i think that was a very very urgent part of his upbringing its interesting to remember whittier college to which he went because he couldnt afford to go to harvard where hed been accepted was in a quaker town the hotel at which he was first nominated for congress was called the william penn hotel this was a very quaker community in which he was raisedp pand ill go to the end of the story in a way when i went to see richard nixon in exile on elba called san clemente after he had resigned from office i was out there two years later and i wound up going in to see him and in a very emotional moment he was very emotionally needy he took my hand in both of his and walked backwards with me leading me with my hand cupped in his across the room and sat me down put his leg up on a hassock because hed been threatened with a blood problem which was lifethreatening and he was still being very cautious and he turned to me and he smiled and said so johnyou were the house liberal then werent you and when i told this story to his daughter trisha she put her hand over mine and she said john that was what was the bond between you and my father the liberalism and it was partly the quaker ancestry im convinced she saidp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so nixons social policies as proposed included his guaranteed income for families with children proposal the family assistance plan that weve alluded to his dramatic expansion of the food stamp and nutrition programs and his call for a universal health insurance program which of course was not passed and you wrote that the moynihannixon policies if they had been enacted in full might have entirely changed the shape of domestic events over the next decades how sop pstrongjohn r pricestrong well i think again going back to that first glue that held nixon and moynihan together namely confidence in institutions working i think that though the unemployment level was not high back in 69 when the family assistance plan was proposed despite that there were millions millions of americans living below the governments stated poverty line these people were struggling and they were in need which was not being met the welfare program was state and locallyadministered so its impact was patchy the eligibility standards varied from place to place the benefits levels varied from state to state and so my feeling is that had they been able to get that floor under the income not just of working families but of everything they would collapse the welfare system along with the working poor into a single national floor under income for families with childrenp pand i think what it would have done in conjunction with a health insurance program would have been to relieve anxiety to have given you more of a sense of the efficacy of institutions of the fact that the elite or the governing groups really did understand what was going on out there in clay county west virginia or in rural oklahoma or in upstate new york and i think it would have not in a dramatic or in a specific way but i think it would have in an overall way improved the confidence americans had in the institutions that were governing themp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and something else you also mentioned is that kind of framework of economic security could have reduced the scale of economic divisions which both play into racial antagonisms but also underlie the kind of grievances that eventually would surface in conservative populismp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes and really its the point i just made in a way but carrying it further and i think that the calls by the populists nixon could have preempted in some ways and still done it within the construct of reason and rationality as i said he was a constitutionalist when it came to 1960 nixon was very understanding of politics was he not and he understood how to speak to needs which people had and didnt have satisfied i think that if hed gotten the programs he sought that the temperature would have turned down that there would have been less drive for the later more strident populism and that the society as a whole would have been more stable im just convinced of thatp pbut of course thats what if thats what if and all i could really do that was the punchline at the end of what 340 pages and ten years of thinking but rather the gritty of it the details of it were in what he tried to do looking at the policy alternatives weighing the facts weighing the arguments it was not just a political it was a policy discussion and decisionp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so you and i have talked on numerous occasions about the number of ripon society alumni who ended up in the nixon administration people like chris demuth lee huebner bob patricelli steve kurzman and in many ways ripon actually provided some of the framework it seems for nixons august 8th 1969 new federalism address that was a phrase that lee huebner had used in one of the ripon forums editorials and similar in shape to the way nixon developed it using a moneybased not servicesbased attack on poverty and revenue sharing so that also seems consonant with moynihans ideas as wellp pstrongjohn r pricestrong oh very much in fact i make the point that moynihan some three months before that in a may 1969 memo he sent to nixon outlined virtually everything that wound up in the august 8th talk called the new federalism moynihan talked for example about revenue sharing and he said one thing that could do since its totally flexible use by the recipient state and locality is they could reduce the regressive sales tax so that the poor could be even more relieved in these hightax jurisdictions he was seeing it always in the sense of how do you address the questions of poverty and people struggling just to survive on inadequate income whether it was a welfare check for mississippi or whether it was a job at the minimum wage and you had five kidsp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong now when we get to the family assistance plan you had actually planted the idea of a negative income tax in nixons mind at a dinner you had with him at the links club in new york in january 1968 this had been a longstanding proposal from the ripon societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes it hadp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong although it did also have its genesis in milton friedmans 1962 work a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomcapitalismfreedomanniversarymiltonfriedmandp0226264211refasc_df_0226264211taghyprod20linkcodedf0hvadid343203979134hvposhvnetwghvrand13973812062443139484hvponehvptwohvqmthvdevchvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9008143hvtargidpla436528818695psc1tagrefadgrpid69360436752hvponehvptwohvadid343203979134hvposhvnetwghvrand13973812062443139484hvqmthvdevchvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9008143hvtargidpla436528818695capitalism and freedoma can you tell me a little more about the ideas that led to the family assistance planp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes you mentioned republican sources actually it was very bipartisan because there had been a number of economists whod been on kennedys and johnsons council of economic advisors who as well supported a negative income taxp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong james tobin for onep pstrongjohn r pricestrong and pechman at brookings joseph pechman so this had roots on both sides of the aisle it also tracked or looked at a european model which had been in place for decades which was called the family allowance or the childrens allowance and this was something moynihan had been drawn to in france and holland and great britain there were payments made to every family on account of the number of children they had or per capita payment i tried to argue him out of it as soon as i was asked by him to do welfare with him and i said pat this is just too expensive if you give money to every single person the sticker shock is going to be too much republicans can absolutely be written off but even many democrats couldnt go along with itp pand so finally i tried at great length to bring moynihan around to the negative income tax which was an incometested floor the payments for which would reduce as the income grew of the recipient family with children he was slow to come around but finally the ideas began percolating up through the department of health education and welfare to secretary finch a great close friend of nixons and george schultz who had been at the university of chicago and was now labor secretary and a formidable man in public policy who just died this year at age 101 having served as secretary of state and head of the budget bureau and so forthp pso all of these came together in a proposal that nixon finally embraced which was the family assistance plan it was a uniform floor under the income of all families with children and which was incometested meaning as your income went up the payment declined but it was meant to sustain families on welfare in those former lowpayment or almost nopayment states where theyd been way below the poverty line in what they were paid and even in the higherpayment states like new york wisconsin new jersey what had happened was there was a little bit in the proposal that would give the big states some fiscal relief not a lot but somep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so the negative income tax approach was different both from moynihans preferred approach and also from universal basic income which is a policy thats had a strong revival with the 2020 presidential campaign of andrew yang what would you tell the presentday advocates of ubip pstrongjohn r pricestrong well first of all im not sure theres all that much difference i think its terminology and that term covers a big circus tent area i think i would tell them what i said to moynihan which is marshall your resources focus on the areas of greatest need focus on those who are truly poor and who are most needy and thats what nixon finally did mcgovern george mcgovern from south dakota who ran against nixon in 1972 paid the price for one version of that universal basic income idea because he had what he called a demogrant 1000 to every woman man and child per whatever per year or per month and nixon just nailed him on it  because again of the sticker price it was the shock value and so i would urge yang and any others to be more careful in the cost issuesp pas we see on this broader bill thats now being considered cost is really important to a few people republicans are for sure going to be there as well as opposing anything biden does but for fiscal reasons and for effectiveness reasons cost should be one issue and one way to go about it is a negative income tax incometested approach the other thing is  and this still is an issue just as it was in nixons time there are other programs out there for the poor or the nearpoor things like food stamps well we looked at what do we do with food stamps do we cash them out that is do we raise the family assistance plan by so much and no longer provide food stamps and say okay out of the cash youre getting now you will pay for the food that you were using food stamps for before or what if you have an income subsidy on rent or something like thatp pthis was a place where we came a cropper and i think that anything being looked at today child tax credit and all these other services you need to look at the total if you will income effect or purchasing power effect on a recipient family or individual and make sure that youre not creating for the poor or the nearpoor a package of things which will add up to far more than a middleincome family could afford and will build huge resentment toward the recipientsp pso theres this tradeoff of cost of integration of other related programs to address need and of the resentment factor some people say well we should have it universal that way there would be no resentment well fine but are you going to spend 2 trillion a year on income maintenance i dont think sop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so some historians have claimed that nixons heart wasnt really in the fap that he made a play for itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong nonsensep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong okayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong and in fact gene mccarthy  a name that many of you will remember united states senator i bumped into gene mccarthy at a cocktail party in london in november of 73 which was two years after id left the white house and after mccarthy had led the liberals opposing nixons fap and he said to me well of course they were duping you the only guy there who wanted this was pat moynihan and i said it was actually also richard nixon and i cite for that a lot of conservative flaringnostril rabidly opposed conservative opinion and emhuman eventsem one of the major publications of the conservative movement was constantly editorializing and running news stories opposing the family assistance plan and finally there were stories when nixon finally dropped it before the 72 election they were wiping their brows and saying phew glad thats over there were editorials in emhuman eventsem saying nixon fought for over two years and not at all incompetently for the family assistance plan he really believed in it and i rest my case that was coming from emhuman eventsemp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah there actually were considerable conservative defections from the nixon presidency due to his support for fap as well as the opening to china as well as his creation of osha and the epa one can question whether nixon in totality was a liberal but i think theres no denying as you write that nixon was the last liberal republican president in the sense that he was the last republican president to pursue an array of liberal policiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong i couldnt agree more thats really the point of my book what happened was that reagan who was the emerging hero of the conservative movement  as i put it the elisha who picked up the mantle of goldwaters elijah  reagan saw the family assistance plan as a means by which he reagan could begin to pull away the party from nixons vision of a strong and active federal government on behalf of peoples needs and turn it into what it became  50 years of what weve had as a republican partyp pi was there when nixon briefed reagan at san clemente on his welfare reform it was clear to me that this was reagans intention and it was made even more clear by the memoirs of the people reagan had working for him on welfare in which they specifically said it was an antinixon move that he did  antinixon republican as well as antidemocratic so reagan saw it as a very valuable intraparty fight toolp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong since you mentioned emhuman eventsem i actually pulled up a letter from the editor of emhuman eventsem to harry dent who was one of nixons ambassadors to the conservatives he wrote  this is 1969 december the last few weeks have been a disaster so far as the administrations conservative image is concerned vis finchs actions on the whitten amendment  which would have barred hew from withholding funds to segregated school districts  the doubling of money to the arts the continuation of the poverty program the furthering of trade with communist china the drastic cuts in the military damn it we cant sell this nonsense to our readersp pstrongjohn r pricestrong oh yes and as a result of things like that pat buchanan asked many of us ripon people to go out and shrive ourselves to sackcloth and ashes out in front of the white house he was really pounding away at us as an adversary saying just this my god the conservatives look and youve got liberal republican ripon society people working for you so go out and shrive yourselves confess to sin it was going the wrong way even after lee huebner had looked at votes in the senate and house which showed that liberal republicans were voting with the administration far more often than were conservative republicansp pthe thing which finally put the cork back in the bottle was that lee said to haldeman and to the person actually handling this inquiry this heresy inquiry he said well now look why dont you ask pat buchanan and tom huston to go out and stand with us and why dont you tell them to call out the american conservative union and emhuman eventsem and the emnational reviewem on all their criticisms of nixon dead silence after thatp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong lee huebner had told me that after hed said that he passed by buchanan in the hallway to which buchanan said touchp pstrongjohn r pricestrong right exactlyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so were getting here at the duality of richard nixon its both the question of his good angels and his bad angelsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong but also the ways in which he saw a republican party that was balanced between opposing conservative and even progressive instincts and how he wanted to find the center of that partyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes and he was coming from a trajectory as i said of dewey and eisenhower in his own instincts and he was looking at a party which was transforming lyndon johnson when he shifted gears and embraced the civil rights act said to his people this means that the south has been lost by the democrats for a generation well read maybe three generations so far and counting and nixon understood that buchanan and nixon understood that and i dont think that either of them was a racist i dont believe that but they also saw where the politics was going and they tried through other means like an appeal on cultural issues to the south so nixon was i wouldnt call it schizophrenic about it he just was enough of a master politician to understand where all these moving parts werep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and nixon in 1968 had seen the considerable appeal of george wallace to democratic voters in northern states not just in the segregated southp pstrongjohn r pricestrong thats exactly right wallace carried dixie he got i think it was 46 electoral college votes carrying virtually all of dixie all of what strom thurmond had carried in the 1948 campaign against harry truman and henry wallace and so nixon surely saw that but he saw just what youre talking about which is that frankly a lot of the bob kennedy robert kennedy voters then went to wallace they went to wallace in the autumn general election they were northern urban lunchpail roman catholic industrial workers by and large that went that way but they went that way for similar reasons of resentment of the elites of being disdained or talked down to it was the deplorables issue lets be honest these people were condescended to  or felt they were and that was part of it it wasnt just an economic or lunchpail issuep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong since you raised this issue you had talked about how eisenhower had repressed the isolationist old right and that it eventually came back in the form of the barry goldwater candidacy would it be fair to say that curiously it was ronald reagan who suppressed the conservative populist instincts in the republican party that had surfaced in nixons administration and that in a sense came back with a vengeance in the form of donald trumpp pstrongjohn r pricestrong maybe so maybe reagan apart from charm and a certain empathy that he had maybe reagan was able to effect things like major tax cuts and pivot more toward the welltodo and so on and he managed to hide that through as i say charm and good looks and personal warmth and connecting with voters so that it wasnt so much there his rhetoric was fine too he was complaining about the things that a lot of these folks also felt and complained aboutp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong of course when one thinks about the end of richard nixons presidency it tends to overshadow much of what had come before and yet again comparing nixon to other former presidents shall we say when barry goldwater and other conservative leaders in the senate came to tell him that he should go he went and he didnt try to have a stab in the back narrative about how republicans had had their government stolen from them by the democratsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong no rather what he did was over time  and not that much time he reinvented himself and he became a statesman and he focused on that which i think always had most attracted him and where he felt the most resonance in his real self which was global affairs and peacemaking pat buchanan again says you know when richard nixon came into office in that january he really really believed in a wilsonianjudeochristian notion of beating swords into plowshares and swords into pruning hooks and he believed he would be a peacemaker and i think thats where he again found himself he found his inner core and he went about it with formidable effect and accomplishment  and really for many people overcame the picture of nixon as a for some people as a cringing malevolent dishonorable person i think that he came backp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong well john thank you so much for talking to me thats a good note on which to end i cannot recommend too highly your wonderful book emthe last liberal republicanem about richard nixon and his social policies thank you so much for being with me johnp pstrongjohn r pricestrong my great pleasure geoffrey thank you toop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and thank you all for listening to the vital center podcast please subscribe and rate us on your preferred podcasting platform if you have any questions comments or other responses please include them along with your rating or send us an email at contactniskanencenterorg thanks as always to our technical director kristie eshelman our sound engineer ray ingegneri and the niskanen center in washington dcp pa hrefhttpsunsplashcomphotost2b1zjptwphotoa by a relnoreferrer noopener 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prichard nixons legacy forever tarnished watergate scandal led president resign office nixon political mastermind impact continues resound domestic world politicsp pjohn r price served domestic policy nixon administration eventually becomingspecial assistant president urban affairs written experience compelling new memoir historyemthe liberal republican insiders perspective nixons surprising social policyem interview price talks background founding memoirs ripon society moderate republican activist group 1960s efforts behalf progressive republicans like nelson rockefeller jacob javits work nixon administration eminent harvard sociologist later senator daniel patrick moynihanp pprice describes efforts moynihan nixon create family assistance plan farreaching welfare proposal implemented negative income tax households working parents makes case nixon ways liberal liberal republican president social welfare program passed congress country different better trajectoryp iframe srchttpsplayersimplecastcom3bb2d45581864584b56e01e0d17057a4darkfalse width100 height200pxiframe h2transcripth2 pstrongjohn r pricestrong key think sense nixon curious complicated mans core feeling wanted left world remarkably good memorablep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong hello im geoff kabaservice niskanen center welcome vital center podcast try sort problems muddled moderate majority americans drawing history biography current events im delighted joined today friend john r price written brilliant memoir history entitled hrefhttpswwwamazoncomlastliberalrepublicanperspectivesurprisingdp0700632050emthe liberal republican insiders perspective nixons surprising social policyema john spent 1960s moderate republican activist joining nixon administration 1968 electionp phe worked daniel patrick moynihan urban affairs council focusing welfare reform creation family assistance plan moynihan left administration returned harvard john succeeded special assistant president urban affairs executive secretary council urban affairs reporting directly john ehrlichman welcome john congratulations bookp pstrongjohn r price strongthank geoffrey appreciate supportp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong youre welcome saying welcome actually bit freudian slip unfortunately know taped entire podcast weeks ago utterly failed record john stellar qualities include vast supply patience hope dont mind certain sense dj vu repeating conversationp pstrongjohn r pricestrong bit lets itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong great saying intriguing aspects book situate nixon presidency longer history factional warfare republican party like spent book relating somewhat forrest gumpish experiences 1960s personally involved seemingly significant republican organization leader valuable aspect book focus relationship nixon moynihan struggle pass family assistance plan welfare program aimed implement negative income tax households working parentsp pand approaching nixon angles reveals different nixon appears histories maybe ive supplied answer question tell inspired write bookp pstrongjohn r pricestrong partly fact 50 years gone going write id better importantly think way justification life point nixon said group staff office said pat moynihan family assistance life felt nixon speaking point key think sense importance writing book sense nixon mans curious complicated mans core feeling wanted left world remarkably good memorablep pand write book partly sense nixons personal quest fact come maybe upbringing certainly college grinnell iowa strong sense social gospel called years ago mix reasons personal sense amateur historian desiring glimpse nixon said people opportunity seep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong think youve succeeded wonderfully book maybe begin telling family background early interest republican politicsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong thank family basically nonpartisan despite fact mother father regularly pulled republican lever werent feverish wasnt rancor wasnt huge sense great gulfs american politics mother dairy farm iowa southern iowa holstein cows grandfather grandmother republican democrat respectively went vote election day canceled went home satisfying quiet calm midday mealp pmy father coal mining camps west virginia having actually begun working mines age finally later finished high school talked way college family member attend politics basically stability practicality ideologue way greatly greatly found disorder abhorrent coal mining camps time young man teaching school pretty wild union organization pinkertons brought violently violence sides folks republicans basically centrist moderate temperamentp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong interest republican politicsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong intimation came years old governor tom dewey refer probably conversation governor tom dewey new york running second time presidency republican standardbearer 1948 tender age dispatched volunteered idea carry campaign posters hammer tacks oneblocklong street affixing tom deweys picture slogans telephone poles lightposts beginningp pand years later saw eisenhower opencar motorcade hometown long island new york dad watched got high school began interested social studies college late 60s wound interested policy time named nelson rockefeller come scene completely seduced thousands centrist somewhat moderate potentially liberal folks agep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong course end going work rockefeller twice happensp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes long time future point sort comet sky 1958 halfway college years sort emerging figure moderate wing party thought richard nixon vice president beat nelson rockefeller 1960 nomination duly handily didp pbut nonetheless rockefeller emerged powerful northern republican governor handful formidable force party time rising party outside conservative movement formidable force suppressed eisenhower presidency old taft wing conservative wing eisenhower beaten nomination 1952 sort somnolent surface came vengeance nixons 1960 defeat set struggle conservatives nelson rockefeller instancep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong written book generally speaking republican party 1960 different todayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong broad church eisenhower administration drawing end usual especially couple terms running gas members administration aging theyd shot wads business retirement college presidencies strong eisenhower moderate wing dont forget eisenhower vastly expanded social security possible esi employersponsored insurance program vast transformation landscape health insurance america employers began offer employees took holdp pand conservative wing sort suppressed eisenhower beginning feel oats nixon centrist nixon definitely heir eisenhower frankly campaign jack kennedy nixon probably centrist jack kennedy broad church republican party 1960 different todayp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong know john know past conversations story iowa republican congressman fred schwengel dates summer 1960 kind shows personal level different politics daysp pstrongjohn r pricestrong interesting schwengel eastern mississippi river iowa quad cities area called longtime republican member traditional midwestern republican meant procivil rights economically conservative fiscally prudent schwengel interested history liked history liked facts later fact went chairman president national capital historical societyp pbut summer summer intern college grinnell college invited young man sunday hamburger grilled hamburgers hotdogs said youd interested come recreation room basement ive got recordings youd willing hear id love play played campaign speeches adlai ewing stevenson run dwight eisenhower 52 1956 eloquent eloquent manp pand time course new deal burned stevenson little chance eisenhower rhetoric eloquence ability turn fine phrase important thoughts important schwengel wanted listen entertainment exposure fine rhetoricianp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong rare run republican politicians aficionados speeches lets barack obama obama rhetorician level eloquence stevenson himselfp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes id agreep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong interesting anecdote graduated grinnell college went oxford rhodes scholar return states enrolled harvard law school present creation ripon society listeners know ripon societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong starting 1962 sort inchoate group maybe 10 dozen grew slowly year young men law students grad students tufts mit felt vaguely republican liked eisenhower time felt little ashamed course prevailing view eisenhower early 1960s tired old man didnt know view radically undergoing transformation daysp pbut ripon given group later concept group transplant atlantic british conservative tory party key players emil frankel fulbright manchester came knowledgeable group called bow group bow group like group boston area young people interested politics interested policy ideas place politics bow group bridge policy officeholders policy politiciansp pso specifically model young group fledgling group took experimented names american bow group jelled assassination jack kennedy november 1963 months ripon society formalized declared credo embraced ripon ripon town wisconsin little white schoolhouse ripon wisconsin republican party born specifically determined republican group policyoriented group young group meant ensure politics degenerate high level concern policy getting things helped peoplep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong interesting mentioned growing conservative movement going time way specifically eisenhower presidency suppressed lot conservative sentiment know think roots trumpian populism dont want presentist way im thinking richard nixon consider role hand eisenhowers conservative hatchet man hand participating repression specifically isolationist element america came mccarthyite movement senator joe mccarthy robert taft standard bearer eisenhower convert republican party internationalism seemingly cause moderation course lastp pstrongjohn r pricestrong absolutely important point central book career politics arguments focused domestic social policy reason eisenhower said finally decided run presidency private secret meeting robert taft senator ohio key leader republicans congress senate republican leader specifically senate eisenhower asked point blank said nato formed 1949 eisenhower said taft look harry truman asking run president said wouldnt run knew embrace internationalism embrace nato specifically taft said conscience cant led eisenhower saying right didnt taft time decision run taft nomination presidencyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong ripon society come pilgrimage schoolhouse wisconsinp pstrongjohn r pricestrong specific moment time presumptive nominee republican party 1964 barry morris goldwater arizona voted 1964 civil rights act voted think republican senators 25 26 republicans ratio voted favor civil rights act goldwater opposed voting democrats like strom thurmond autumn crossed aisle republicanp pand felt folks ripon felt blasphemy context party years stood civil rights 13th 14th 15th amendments attempts reconstruction eisenhower court brown vs board education decision things went ripon issued hrefhttpsbooksgooglecombooksabouta_declaration_of_conscience_from_ripon_whtmlidf7ogzgeacaajdeclaration consciencea saying party conscience nominate barry goldwater stood opposed historic lineage purposep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong know interesting conservative movement congealed goldwater opposed nelson rockefeller remember quote william rusher publisher emnational reviewem magazine said movement needs enemy conservative movement nelson rockefeller itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yeah big bullseye big bullseye himp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong rockefeller formidable challenger goldwater 1964 presidential primary series contests leading republican nomination worked rockefeller occasions like said id curious hear people nowadays esteem nelson rockefeller truth notion possible liberal republican daysp pstrongjohn r pricestrong nelson rockefeller certainly stood mean moderate dont think hed liberal kept saying electable believed way like richard nixon elections won center middle american politics favorite phrase said republicans independents discerning democrats man immense ego equally immense charm think age 31 family boss construction rockefeller center head biggest construction project probably entire new deal era helped found museum modern art mother assistant secretary state fdr undersecretary hew eisenhower dint wealth charm family connections heck start public lifep phe elected governor new york 60 65 years ago formidable platform governor party largest state east predominant media forth enormous spot maneuver man great ego great charm great energy radiant charm builder liked things big spender built vast state university system helped inspire building original world trade center kinds things nelson regarded huge spender liberal sense big government man man ego matchp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong know found researching rockefeller came think highly people ripon society politics time precisely didnt dwight eisenhower tradition moderate republicanism writing central weve spoken albany new york gone old capital gazed nelson rockefeller empire state plaza said builder spender plaza came like twice original planned budget 2 billionp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong vast brasiliastyle space thats kind like modernist ode big government human scale find somewhat offputting rockefeller fiscal conservativep pstrongjohn r pricestrong correct best buddies architects olympian tastes ambitions thats partly easy target agree big spender didnt sense fiscal constraint tom dewey predecessor republican governor rockefeller easily portrayed conservatives rambunctious internationally tinge noninternationalism conservatives willing spend saw hed throw money atp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah fair rockefellers key demons demonology populism century point east coast bankers railroads jews immigrants rest itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong oil business way rockefeller family big spenders wonderful way yes old man old baptist cleveland founded dynasty man reputation deadly ways son created rockefeller foundation created blood bank created colonial williamsburg created rockefeller university turn generated kinds hybrid seeds allowed revolution agriculture feeding millions people penance john d jr massive rockefellers nelson visible benefited somewhat benign reputation family earned leadership john d jrp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong course rockefeller family gave tremendous support historically black colleges universities countryp pstrongjohn r pricestrong absolutely spellman collegep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong nelson rockefeller ardent supporter civil rights civil libertiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes tom dewey fiscal restraintp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong think robert taft conservative isolationist supporter civil rights thats differentiates barry goldwater line conservatives far right old conservative tradition midwesternp pstrongjohn r pricestrong exactly right point earlier passing traditional midwestern conservatives house senate guys like mcculloch ohio ranking republican house judiciary committee time civil rights act real leader lyndon johnson finally converted favor civil rights having long played footsie southern segregationist democrats lyndon turned republicans told hubert humphrey vice president needed wasnt vice president needed everett mckinley dirksen minority leader illinois represented exactly strain midwestern traditional procivil rights republicansp pdirksen led floor fight cloture democratic southern segregationist filibuster succeeding dirksen broke cloture republican votes fivetoone democrats twoandahalftoone favor civil rights bill everett dirksen walked floor vote turned barry goldwater led republicans oppose flicked thumb teeth barry goldwaterp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong people tend forget richard nixon considered strongest supporter civil rights inside eisenhower administration leaders circle rate richard nixon obviously hated left anticommunismp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong redbaiting saw elections subsequently congress strain support civil rights pretty strongly 50s wellp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes fact advice white house push came shove year office president respond supreme court case hrefhttpswwwoyezorgcases1969632holmes vs alexandera special area important note case finally finally brown decision 1954 said times youve got nixon hot potato eisenhower court warren court decision hrefhttpswwwhistorycomtopicsblackhistorybrownvboardofeducationoftopekabrown v board education topekaa integrate schools basically phrase forget exactly essentially deliberate speed think interpreted mean sort southern style lets time white citizens councils formed opposition nixon face sure decision implemented fall sword conservatives white house fought strenuously decision enforce supreme court decision didp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong book john interesting counterpart series nixon memoirs written pat buchanan course served alongside buchanan nixons white house number ripon society alumni identifiable moderatetoliberal republican group buchanan course trying bring conservative movement nixon white house buchanans telling moderates come intolerant unwilling compromise think buchanan overlooks central issue animating ripon society support civil rights candidate like barry goldwater represents conservative movement voting civil rights act 1964 thats issue compromise possiblep pstrongjohn r pricestrong took stand immediately prior convention 64 goldwater finally nominated convention angry bilious violent democratic later 68 indicative passions right surface felt strongly reason bill scranton decided seek nomination barry goldwater despite fact knew kamikaze mission sense historic role republican party came longtime republicanactive family pennsylvania stood tried challenge goldwater principally issuep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong come 1964 republican national convention san franciscos cow palace member rockefellers staff summer 1964 joined john deardourffs research operation rockefeller campaign doug bailey formed campaign management outfit seeing unfold barry goldwater declaring extremism defense liberty vice like convention moderate republicanp pstrongjohn r pricestrong going ways final moment acceptance speech moderates thin hardy band trying figure way stop goldwater nomination polling republicans party large country indicated goldwater choice choice youd powerful thoughtout guerilla movement led william rusher clifton white nominate goldwater ground moderates left san francisco little try win swingables winnable delegates trying propose platform planks try peel hard right control convention failed abjectlyp prockefeller vicious california primary weeks convention spoke convention talked planks offered condemnation extremism stood rostrum 30 feet standing literally right facing new goldwater delegation california won beat rockefeller weeks earlier primary 20 feet away orange life jackets cowboy hats rockefeller stood 25 30 feet crying extremism saying republican party went talk bomb threats campaign headquarters person delegates began stir anger rage bronx cheers louder finally said like hear ladies gentlemen truth point right row goldwater california delegates stood chairs spat rockefeller happened direction nearer raw difficult angry placep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong 1964 wouldve understood condemnation extremism republican party specifically referred role played john birch societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes group initially think california icon virtually unknown person elevated figure heroism lot funding sources supported took eisenhower accusing communist dupe man fought zhukov nazis head natos alliance communists escaped big point eisenhower procommunist sympathies staggering 62 took richard nixon primary went california loss jack kennedy sought governorship try probably won primary loss blood attacks birchers rightwingers meant general election lost democrat pat brownp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong episode probably certainly nixon distrusted far right notp pstrongjohn r pricestrong distrusted told john whitaker longtime aides colleague colleague said know think right wing dont like people literally said said dont think like people carried wounds consistently pat buchanan cited earlier pat interesting point books books interesting pat buchanan says nixon talk buchanan buchanan emissary right wing hard right pat buchanan says nixon word identified buchanan hard conservativep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah buchanan point nixon came political age conservative movement got started mid1950s buchanan puts emphasis conservative movement got started reaction dwight eisenhowers presidency richard nixon vice presidentp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes thats fairly important point mention nixon sort spearcarrier referred earlier vice president eisenhower sought instinct remain fray visibly fray basically dispatched richard nixon try help rid mccarthy joe mccarthy darling right wing point erratic irresponsible loved real problem eisenhower went accusing everybody including general george catlett marshall whod army chief staff world war ii secretary state sort communist dupe eisenhower furious questioning patriotism george marshall nixon try work helping cut mccarthy nixon tom dewey eisenhower turned tom dewey kind lawyer try bring mccarthy armymccarthy hearings turned joseph nye welch grinnell college gradp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong birch society movement strongest california early 1960s compared state nixon fatally underestimated contest governor candidacy presented opportunity birchers mccarthy loyalists revengep pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes question question personal revenge partly issues example thing came work trying book fact nixon prolabor sympathies issues beginning germinate conservatives early 6061 antiunion movement called right work laws passed state levels inhibit ability unions organize states prevent union shops nixon opposed right work policy issue vengeance issue right anxious beat upp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah fact right work issue caused california fall democrats place 1958 election union supporters large swamped republican candidates 58 nixon sort trying drum support role vice president election wouldve seen right work foolish political hill die wayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes good way itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah nixons psychology time got know affected level 1960 election wouldve better case donald trump argue election legitimately won taken democrats underhanded meansp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes personal conversation 1960 election friends man named john wells jack wells lawyer new york firm long wheelhorse republican party hed worked willkie 1940 tom deweys behest worked dewey campaigns nixon dispatched jack wells 1960 election chicago cook county probed good forensic lawyer election returns came nixon republican national committee said adequate grounds contest election strong likelihood based ive seen probably overturn cook county turn probably mean illinois falls column theres texas long way overturning electionp pand nixon heres contrast youre driving nixon said jack wells republican national committee salivating said said remember 1876 tildenhayes presidential race close finally resolved months election nixon said jack wells country different ethos attitude constitutional processp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong director delegate intelligence 1968 rockefeller president campaign course fell short nixon got nomination actually work himp pstrongjohn r pricestrong actually worked 63 summer job original research barry goldwater mentioned took weeks summer associate job law firm san francisco 68 happened sort stopstart nelson rockefeller coy thinking better shot nominated appeared party approach instead going tilt nomination things poking key financial figures republican party approached said look lets ask nelson head delegate intelligence meaning trying dossiers delegates understanding interests appealed civic organizations church alumni groups banks banked find ways talk bring alongp pand started late game rockefeller pulled spiro agnew fury spiro having backed thoroughly turned long uphill struggle late important remember rockefeller rockefeller policy person delegate hunter believed studied issue hard long experts writing digested good speechwriter helping win elections policy richard nixon little different man thousand chicken dinners precinct committee meetingsp pso rockefellers degree avidness avidity delegate hunting cultivating county chairs wasnt wasnt combination late start nelson having disappointed people past wouldnt stick necks fact didnt focus delegate group delegate hunters worked bestp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong nixon offer come aboutp pstrongjohn r pricestrong nixon offer came people close richard nixon walter thayer mentor president new york heraldtribune called secretary general eastern republican establishment worked john hay whitney owned tribune sold couldnt afford carry anymore thayer called hed backed rockefeller said hope youd willing work richard nixon charlie mcwhorter wonderful guy chairman national young republicans years earlier knew everybody party bachelor total energy spent republican party matters called likewise said hope youll work nixon charlie worked nixon vicepresidentp pand weighing started nixon supporter went boss taken leave absence brooklyn bedstuy working community development corporation went breakfast juniors flatbush avenue cheesecake breakfast said john dop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong john doarp pstrongjohn r pricestrong going punchline john doar republican new richmond wisconsin eisenhower herb brownell formed civil rights division department justice come staff lawyer stayed kennedy won bob kennedy recognized john doar promoted assistant attorney general civil rightsp pso john doar boss bedstuy said said john youre republican arent said said dont squeamish look youve got john connolly southern democrat governor youve got dave dubinsky big labor union leader youve got dick daley mayor corrupt chicago said course work richard nixon john doar led 44lawyersstrong impeachment team richard nixon years later house judiciary committee hillary rodham hes guy pushed working richard nixonp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong tell position hired 1968 1969p pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes interestingly nixon gotten intrigued democrat named daniel patrick moynihan pat partisan partisan democrat worked bobby kennedy nixon kennedy killed worked hubert humphrey nixon election nixon won attracted nixon intrigued moynihan written year half earlier wrote delivered speech americans democratic action moynihan basically saying time unlike look situation approaching anarchy confidence trust institutions necessary institutions holding society dwindling drying said liberals conservatives come try address peoples real needs society going collapse social contract wont respect institutions goingp pthat appealed nixon original basis connection spiritual connection wasnt welfare reform urban development housing basic burkean notion edmund burke angloirish office holder political philosopher ethical philosopher society needing glue hold thats brought togetherp pso nixon hires moynihan transition staff len garment wound having lunch pat moynihan said lets want come counsel youll im want help machinery tobecreated cabinetlevel body formulation domestic policy urban policy means said cities means race problem thats began working pat counsel supporting machinery domestic cabinet president chaired basically wasp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong pat buchanan book hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgpproductb00hxylw8krefdbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p1_i8emthe greatest comebackema interesting appraisal nixon said judgment people infallible came talent wanted best best wanted gives example moynihan lifelong democrat henry kissinger harvard worked nelson rockefeller john connolly nixons secretary treasury delivered texas humphrey 1968 buchanan continues selection men testifies truth nixon ideologue true believer instincts conservative reflexive reactions liberalp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong book wrote point nixon remind morning republican man endless expedience great politicianp pstrongjohn r pricestrong think thats absolutely right expedience thinks look richard nixon rearview mirror certainly time think probably germinated time mother progressive republican politically quaker observant important figure nixons emotional life life generally think pat buchanan absolutely right pat uses word eclectic said nixon eclectic listen point view pat says said buchanan talking understand heres richard nixon whos absolutely brilliant whos great achievements life whos centrist basically liberal policies establishment wouldnt accept craved longed itp pso felt liberal policies bring establishment democrats said point democrats support family assistance plan logical understood republican politics better internal democratic politics think nixon definitely instincts liberal specific policies wishp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong tell little nixons family history influenced views social policiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes father studied family ive read typical biographies theres number good ones couple recent ones suggest nixons father erratic successful things undertook citrus farmer running gas station produce store mother central figure emotionally think nixons life mentioned progressive republican politics time nixon born raised born 1913 observant quaker quaker roots growing family tree strong traditional sense things like having important underground railway civil rights movementp pnixon member naacp ran congress 1946 roots trajectory mothers belief system think found picture hoover presidential library quaker relatives including grandmother west branch iowa herbert hoovers hometown reinforced fact ingredient overlook nixons life didnt wear sleeve observant herbert hoover according archivists hoover museum hoover library think urgent upbringing interesting remember whittier college went couldnt afford harvard hed accepted quaker town hotel nominated congress called william penn hotel quaker community raisedp pand ill end story way went richard nixon exile elba called san clemente resigned office years later wound going emotional moment emotionally needy took hand walked backwards leading hand cupped room sat leg hassock hed threatened blood problem lifethreatening cautious turned smiled said johnyou house liberal werent told story daughter trisha hand said john bond father liberalism partly quaker ancestry im convinced saidp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong nixons social policies proposed included guaranteed income families children proposal family assistance plan weve alluded dramatic expansion food stamp nutrition programs universal health insurance program course passed wrote moynihannixon policies enacted entirely changed shape domestic events decades sop pstrongjohn r pricestrong think going glue held nixon moynihan confidence institutions working think unemployment level high 69 family assistance plan proposed despite millions millions americans living governments stated poverty line people struggling need met welfare program state locallyadministered impact patchy eligibility standards varied place place benefits levels varied state state feeling able floor income working families collapse welfare system working poor single national floor income families childrenp pand think conjunction health insurance program relieve anxiety given sense efficacy institutions fact elite governing groups understand going clay county west virginia rural oklahoma upstate new york think dramatic specific way think overall way improved confidence americans institutions governing themp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong mentioned kind framework economic security reduced scale economic divisions play racial antagonisms underlie kind grievances eventually surface conservative populismp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes point way carrying think calls populists nixon preempted ways construct reason rationality said constitutionalist came 1960 nixon understanding politics understood speak needs people didnt satisfied think hed gotten programs sought temperature turned drive later strident populism society stable im convinced thatp pbut course thats thats punchline end 340 pages years thinking gritty details tried looking policy alternatives weighing facts weighing arguments political policy discussion decisionp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong talked numerous occasions number ripon society alumni ended nixon administration people like chris demuth lee huebner bob patricelli steve kurzman ways ripon actually provided framework nixons august 8th 1969 new federalism address phrase lee huebner ripon forums editorials similar shape way nixon developed moneybased servicesbased attack poverty revenue sharing consonant moynihans ideas wellp pstrongjohn r pricestrong oh fact point moynihan months 1969 memo sent nixon outlined virtually wound august 8th talk called new federalism moynihan talked example revenue sharing said thing totally flexible use recipient state locality reduce regressive sales tax poor relieved hightax jurisdictions seeing sense address questions poverty people struggling survive inadequate income welfare check mississippi job minimum wage kidsp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong family assistance plan actually planted idea negative income tax nixons mind dinner links club new york january 1968 longstanding proposal ripon societyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes hadp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong genesis milton friedmans 1962 work hrefhttpswwwamazoncomcapitalismfreedomanniversarymiltonfriedmandp0226264211refasc_df_0226264211taghyprod20linkcodedf0hvadid343203979134hvposhvnetwghvrand13973812062443139484hvponehvptwohvqmthvdevchvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9008143hvtargidpla436528818695psc1tagrefadgrpid69360436752hvponehvptwohvadid343203979134hvposhvnetwghvrand13973812062443139484hvqmthvdevchvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9008143hvtargidpla436528818695capitalism freedoma tell little ideas led family assistance planp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes mentioned republican sources actually bipartisan number economists whod kennedys johnsons council economic advisors supported negative income taxp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong james tobin onep pstrongjohn r pricestrong pechman brookings joseph pechman roots sides aisle tracked looked european model place decades called family allowance childrens allowance moynihan drawn france holland great britain payments family account number children capita payment tried argue soon asked welfare said pat expensive money single person sticker shock going republicans absolutely written democrats couldnt itp pand finally tried great length bring moynihan negative income tax incometested floor payments reduce income grew recipient family children slow come finally ideas began percolating department health education welfare secretary finch great close friend nixons george schultz university chicago labor secretary formidable man public policy died year age 101 having served secretary state head budget bureau forthp pso came proposal nixon finally embraced family assistance plan uniform floor income families children incometested meaning income went payment declined meant sustain families welfare lowpayment nopayment states theyd way poverty line paid higherpayment states like new york wisconsin new jersey happened little bit proposal big states fiscal relief lot somep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong negative income tax approach different moynihans preferred approach universal basic income policy thats strong revival 2020 presidential campaign andrew yang tell presentday advocates ubip pstrongjohn r pricestrong im sure theres difference think terminology term covers big circus tent area think tell said moynihan marshall resources focus areas greatest need focus truly poor needy thats nixon finally mcgovern george mcgovern south dakota ran nixon 1972 paid price version universal basic income idea called demogrant 1000 woman man child year month nixon nailed sticker price shock value urge yang careful cost issuesp pas broader bill thats considered cost important people republicans sure going opposing biden fiscal reasons effectiveness reasons cost issue way negative income tax incometested approach thing issue nixons time programs poor nearpoor things like food stamps looked food stamps cash raise family assistance plan longer provide food stamps okay cash youre getting pay food food stamps income subsidy rent like thatp pthis place came cropper think looked today child tax credit services need look total income effect purchasing power effect recipient family individual sure youre creating poor nearpoor package things add far middleincome family afford build huge resentment recipientsp pso theres tradeoff cost integration related programs address need resentment factor people universal way resentment fine going spend 2 trillion year income maintenance dont think sop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong historians claimed nixons heart wasnt fap play itp pstrongjohn r pricestrong nonsensep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong okayp pstrongjohn r pricestrong fact gene mccarthy remember united states senator bumped gene mccarthy cocktail party london november 73 years id left white house mccarthy led liberals opposing nixons fap said course duping guy wanted pat moynihan said actually richard nixon cite lot conservative flaringnostril rabidly opposed conservative opinion emhuman eventsem major publications conservative movement constantly editorializing running news stories opposing family assistance plan finally stories nixon finally dropped 72 election wiping brows saying phew glad thats editorials emhuman eventsem saying nixon fought years incompetently family assistance plan believed rest case coming emhuman eventsemp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong yeah actually considerable conservative defections nixon presidency support fap opening china creation osha epa question nixon totality liberal think theres denying write nixon liberal republican president sense republican president pursue array liberal policiesp pstrongjohn r pricestrong couldnt agree thats point book happened reagan emerging hero conservative movement elisha picked mantle goldwaters elijah reagan saw family assistance plan means reagan begin pull away party nixons vision strong active federal government behalf peoples needs turn 50 years weve republican partyp pi nixon briefed reagan san clemente welfare reform clear reagans intention clear memoirs people reagan working welfare specifically said antinixon antinixon republican antidemocratic reagan saw valuable intraparty fight toolp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong mentioned emhuman eventsem actually pulled letter editor emhuman eventsem harry dent nixons ambassadors conservatives wrote 1969 december weeks disaster far administrations conservative image concerned vis finchs actions whitten amendment barred hew withholding funds segregated school districts doubling money arts continuation poverty program furthering trade communist china drastic cuts military damn cant sell nonsense readersp pstrongjohn r pricestrong oh yes result things like pat buchanan asked ripon people shrive sackcloth ashes white house pounding away adversary saying god conservatives look youve got liberal republican ripon society people working shrive confess sin going wrong way lee huebner looked votes senate house showed liberal republicans voting administration far conservative republicansp pthe thing finally cork bottle lee said haldeman person actually handling inquiry heresy inquiry said look dont ask pat buchanan tom huston stand dont tell american conservative union emhuman eventsem emnational reviewem criticisms nixon dead silence thatp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong lee huebner told hed said passed buchanan hallway buchanan said touchp pstrongjohn r pricestrong right exactlyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong getting duality richard nixon question good angels bad angelsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yesp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong ways saw republican party balanced opposing conservative progressive instincts wanted find center partyp pstrongjohn r pricestrong yes coming trajectory said dewey eisenhower instincts looking party transforming lyndon johnson shifted gears embraced civil rights act said people means south lost democrats generation read maybe generations far counting nixon understood buchanan nixon understood dont think racist dont believe saw politics going tried means like appeal cultural issues south nixon wouldnt schizophrenic master politician understand moving parts werep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong nixon 1968 seen considerable appeal george wallace democratic voters northern states segregated southp pstrongjohn r pricestrong thats exactly right wallace carried dixie got think 46 electoral college votes carrying virtually dixie strom thurmond carried 1948 campaign harry truman henry wallace nixon surely saw saw youre talking frankly lot bob kennedy robert kennedy voters went wallace went wallace autumn general election northern urban lunchpail roman catholic industrial workers large went way went way similar reasons resentment elites disdained talked deplorables issue lets honest people condescended felt wasnt economic lunchpail issuep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong raised issue talked eisenhower repressed isolationist old right eventually came form barry goldwater candidacy fair curiously ronald reagan suppressed conservative populist instincts republican party surfaced nixons administration sense came vengeance form donald trumpp pstrongjohn r pricestrong maybe maybe reagan apart charm certain empathy maybe reagan able effect things like major tax cuts pivot welltodo managed hide charm good looks personal warmth connecting voters wasnt rhetoric fine complaining things lot folks felt complained aboutp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong course thinks end richard nixons presidency tends overshadow come comparing nixon presidents shall barry goldwater conservative leaders senate came tell went didnt try stab narrative republicans government stolen democratsp pstrongjohn r pricestrong time time reinvented statesman focused think attracted felt resonance real self global affairs peacemaking pat buchanan says know richard nixon came office january believed wilsonianjudeochristian notion beating swords plowshares swords pruning hooks believed peacemaker think thats found found inner core went formidable effect accomplishment people overcame picture nixon people cringing malevolent dishonorable person think came backp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong john thank talking thats good note end recommend highly wonderful book emthe liberal republicanem richard nixon social policies thank johnp pstrongjohn r pricestrong great pleasure geoffrey thank toop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong thank listening vital center podcast subscribe rate preferred podcasting platform questions comments responses include rating send email contactniskanencenterorg thanks technical director kristie eshelman sound engineer ray ingegneri niskanen center washington dcp pa hrefhttpsunsplashcomphotost2b1zjptwphotoa bya relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwistockphotocomphotomudsplatteredrepublicanpartycampaignpinsgm615266606106673503 target_blankken tannenbaum istockaa hrefhttpsunsplashcomaaronburdenap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgthelastliberalrepublicanpresidentthe liberal republican president john r pricea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

6179d3a59cb58ea58cb4eed5

A Crisis of Abundance

pa hrefhttpswwwzerohedgecommarketsretailersliningstoreshelvessingleproductshidesupplyshortageif shelves in food sections start to go bare this could be very problematic remember what happened in the soviet union right before the collapseap pa hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomwhattosaywhensomeonesayspeopledontwanttoworkrightnow20217 no one wants to work anymorebrbraa hrefhttpstwittercomjackstatus1451733913961783299hyperinflation is going to change everything its happeningap pthese complaints are increasingly common and the vast majority of us recognize them as hyperbolic but this is emphatically a case of americans insisting on seeing the glass as half full and failing to recognize that the glass is actually a giant bucket we are not struggling with the supply of goods and labor because we are entering an age of scarcity rather crowded ports and for hire signs are the growing pains associated with entering an age of abundancep centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrsomehow were in a situation in which a record sampp 500 a rapid labor market recovery a surge in household wealth surging demand for consumer goods rapid wage gains particularly at the low end manufacturers working nonstop is being depicted as evidence of a policy mistakep joe weisenthal thestalwart a hrefhttpstwittercomthestalwartstatus1452956108084203523ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 26 2021ablockquote center h2 strongabundance in tradestrongh2 pa recent article in the hill askeda hrefhttpsthehillcomopinioninternational577239aresupplychaindisruptionsthebeginningoftheendofglobalization are supply chain disruptions the beginning of the end of globalization a the article suggests that the answer is yes and that american consumers living in a land of plenty will have to get used to scarcityp psome grocery aisles are indeed oddly empty and some people are waiting months for some backordered goods but this is not because of scarcity its because of the difficulties in managing abundancep pearlier in the pandemic many people delayed spending now people are more willing to open their wallets personal consumption expenditures a measure of consumer spending fell dramatically at the beginning of the pandemic but have met or exceeded the prepandemic trends since the summerp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 512px 100vw 512px srchttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87png width512 alt srcsethttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87png 512w httpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87300x285png 300w classwpimage9496 height486figurediv pand much of that spending has gone to importsp centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltroverall import volumes at the five largest container ports up 19 from two years ago comparing janaug up every month of the year relative to the same month in 2019brbrnormally volume up about 4 annuallybrbrthe ports cant handle all of the increased demand a hrefhttpstcojuk2qw1wtnpictwittercomjuk2qw1wtnap jason furman jasonfurman a hrefhttpstwittercomjasonfurmanstatus1449042403315236866ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 15 2021ablockquote center pour ports are simply struggling to manage a 20 percent increase in volume forcing ships to wait weeks or months offshore before bringing their goods to marketp pthis is frustrating many of us had come to expect deliveries within days of ordering i ordered soccer cleats for my daughter at the beginning of her fall season and it looks like they will not arrive in time for her last game but its important to recognize that we are actually receiving more goods than is typical even if its not as much as we would likebrp h2strongabundance in laborstrongh2 pthe current problem in the labor market is not that no one wants to work anymore its that by and large the majority of people who want to work already have jobs that makes it harder for firms to hire new workers the economy were in right now is not like the economy of the early pandemic or the 2008 financial crisis its roughly the economy we had in 2016p pto see why look at the chart below which plots the standard unemployment rate on the yaxis and another measure that tracks what percentage of the primeage working population people aged 25 to 54 is actually working looking at both measures is helpful because the unemployment rate is difficult to interpret for younger and older americans who may be moving in and out of the workforce for reasons including school and early retirement the lower and further to the right our data lies the happier the story it tells us about the labor marketbrbrin blue we see the annual change for both variables in the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis in red we see the same variables but only covering the last four monthsp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 512px 100vw 512px srchttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88png width512 alt srcsethttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88png 512w httpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88300x226png 300w classwpimage9497 height386figurediv pwhat should be striking about this graph is how fast the labor market is recovering in june this year we had an unemployment rate of 58 percent and an employmentpopulation ratio of 771 percent in other words the labor market was in roughly the same condition it was near the end of 2014 but by september unemployment had dropped to 48 percent while the employmentpopulation ratio rose to 78 percent roughly the position the labor market was in as of 2016brbrin other words the labor market has made as much progress in four months as it previously did in nearly four years alan cole of a hrefhttpstcopssgudvihoamp1full stack economicsa has called this the warp speed recoveryp centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrone way i think about our warp speed recovery is by imagining were timetraveling through the 2010s but about 412x as fastbrbrcurrently we are in 2014 but we will be in 2015 by oh may and 2016 by augustp alan cole alanmcole a hrefhttpstwittercomalanmcolestatus1377979467285606403ref_srctwsrc5etfwapril 2 2021ablockquote center peven the 2016 economy still left room for improvement as the chart shows the labor market kept expanding through the next three years but we are far from a crisis in which businesses cant find workersas in any strong economy if you want to hire more workers you need to lure in people who a hrefhttpsrooseveltinstituteorg20211019whattheresurgenceinemployertoemployertransitionstellsusabouttodayslabormarketalready have jobsabrp h2strongmaintaining an abundant economystrongh2 pa recent article in bloomberg noted that dominos pizza saw its firstever decline in earnings last quarter this was driven at least in part by difficulties recruiting enough drivers to deliver pizzas promptlyp psome people will take such news as a sign that workers are unwilling to work right now this belief has policy implications such as ending the a hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgcongressshouldincludeunemploymentinsurancereforminthereconciliationbillenhanced unemployment insurance programa or providing a hrefhttpswwwhuffpostcomentryreturntoworkbonusesunemployment_n_614ca7f4e4b098483a735f6breturntowork bonusesabut these tools will be ineffective if the cause of the problem is not that people are unmotivated but that so many are already employed elsewherebrbrpizza delivery is the type of industry that may have difficulty adapting to this situation before the pandemic places like papa johns were struggling with a a hrefhttpswwwrestaurantdivecomnewspapajohnsisstrugglingwitha220turnoverrateofitsdeliverydrivers551365220 percent turnover ratea few people intend to work in pizza delivery permanently more often its a job that people take to earn extra money between other opportunitiesbrbras a result the pizza delivery business depends on a slack labor market to a certain extent as workers find other opportunities it gets harder and harder to find delivery drivers pizza restaurants can increase their wages and prices but it may be the case that some pizza restaurants will go out of business embecause emof the thriving economy not despite it this may be the case at many similar employers whose business models are built around having lowpaid ondemand workersp pthat uneven prosperitywhere some companies will have trouble adapting to a thriving economycan be dangerous business models such as pizza delivery are currently organized to expect that there will be people available to perform the labor at fairly low wages as a result  a set of companies  would benefit from keeping the economy below potential economist michael kalecki a hrefhttpsdelongtypepadcomkalecki43pdfargued athat as the economy approaches full employment some business interests will begin to push against the government policies that  sustain this growthp pwhile the economy is doing well now we need to maintain the political and economic forces that allow it to thrive that means keepinga hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcom202109bidenmustignoreaocandreappointchairmanpowell the federal reserve focused on full employmenta a hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202101jan21rulesforsustainablefiscalpolicy1pdfpursuing sustainable fiscal policya and a hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgdoworkingfamiliesreallyprefersinglefamilyhousingtextbyvalerie20soonnovember20172c202020reducing costs on the supply sidea but it also means recognizing that some people will find full employment disadvantageous and learning when to ignore their complaintsp pphoto credit a hrefhttpswwwistockphotocomphotoglobalbusinesslogisticsimportexportbackgroundandcontainercargofreightshipgm1266958681371564101tryaging via istockap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgacrisisofabundancea crisis of abundancea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

pa hrefhttpswwwzerohedgecommarketsretailersliningstoreshelvessingleproductshidesupplyshortageif shelves food sections start bare problematic remember happened soviet union right collapseap pa hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomwhattosaywhensomeonesayspeopledontwanttoworkrightnow20217no wants work anymorebrbraa hrefhttpstwittercomjackstatus1451733913961783299hyperinflation going change happeningap pthese complaints increasingly common vast majority recognize hyperbolic emphatically case americans insisting seeing glass half failing recognize glass actually giant bucket struggling supply goods labor entering age scarcity crowded ports hire signs growing pains associated entering age abundancep centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrsomehow situation record sampp 500 rapid labor market recovery surge household wealth surging demand consumer goods rapid wage gains particularly low end manufacturers working nonstop depicted evidence policy mistakep joe weisenthal thestalwart hrefhttpstwittercomthestalwartstatus1452956108084203523ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 26 2021ablockquote center h2strongabundance tradestrongh2 pa recent article hill askeda hrefhttpsthehillcomopinioninternational577239aresupplychaindisruptionsthebeginningoftheendofglobalization supply chain disruptions beginning end globalization athe article suggests answer yes american consumers living land plenty scarcityp psome grocery aisles oddly people waiting months backordered goods scarcity difficulties managing abundancep pearlier pandemic people delayed spending people willing open wallets personal consumption expenditures measure consumer spending fell dramatically beginning pandemic met exceeded prepandemic trends summerp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 512px 100vw 512px srchttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87png width512 alt srcsethttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87png 512w httpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed87300x285png 300w classwpimage9496 height486figurediv pand spending gone importsp centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltroverall import volumes largest container ports 19 years ago comparing janaug month year relative month 2019brbrnormally volume 4 annuallybrbrthe ports cant handle increased demand hrefhttpstcojuk2qw1wtnpictwittercomjuk2qw1wtnap jason furman jasonfurman hrefhttpstwittercomjasonfurmanstatus1449042403315236866ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 15 2021ablockquote center pour ports simply struggling manage 20 percent increase volume forcing ships wait weeks months offshore bringing goods marketp pthis frustrating come expect deliveries days ordering ordered soccer cleats daughter beginning fall season looks like arrive time game important recognize actually receiving goods typical likebrp h2strongabundance laborstrongh2 pthe current problem labor market wants work anymore large majority people want work jobs makes harder firms hire new workers economy right like economy early pandemic 2008 financial crisis roughly economy 2016p pto look chart plots standard unemployment rate yaxis measure tracks percentage primeage working population people aged 25 54 actually working looking measures helpful unemployment rate difficult interpret younger older americans moving workforce reasons including school early retirement lower right data lies happier story tells labor marketbrbrin blue annual change variables recovery 2008 financial crisis red variables covering monthsp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 512px 100vw 512px srchttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88png width512 alt srcsethttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88png 512w httpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202110unnamed88300x226png 300w classwpimage9497 height386figurediv pwhat striking graph fast labor market recovering june year unemployment rate 58 percent employmentpopulation ratio 771 percent words labor market roughly condition near end 2014 september unemployment dropped 48 percent employmentpopulation ratio rose 78 percent roughly position labor market 2016brbrin words labor market progress months previously nearly years alan cole hrefhttpstcopssgudvihoamp1full stack economicsa called warp speed recoveryp centerblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrone way think warp speed recovery imagining timetraveling 2010s 412x fastbrbrcurrently 2014 2015 oh 2016 augustp alan cole alanmcole hrefhttpstwittercomalanmcolestatus1377979467285606403ref_srctwsrc5etfwapril 2 2021ablockquote center peven 2016 economy left room improvement chart shows labor market kept expanding years far crisis businesses cant find workersas strong economy want hire workers need lure people hrefhttpsrooseveltinstituteorg20211019whattheresurgenceinemployertoemployertransitionstellsusabouttodayslabormarketalready jobsabrp h2strongmaintaining abundant economystrongh2 pa recent article bloomberg noted dominos pizza saw firstever decline earnings quarter driven difficulties recruiting drivers deliver pizzas promptlyp psome people news sign workers unwilling work right belief policy implications ending hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgcongressshouldincludeunemploymentinsurancereforminthereconciliationbillenhanced unemployment insurance programa providing hrefhttpswwwhuffpostcomentryreturntoworkbonusesunemployment_n_614ca7f4e4b098483a735f6breturntowork bonusesabut tools ineffective cause problem people unmotivated employed elsewherebrbrpizza delivery type industry difficulty adapting situation pandemic places like papa johns struggling hrefhttpswwwrestaurantdivecomnewspapajohnsisstrugglingwitha220turnoverrateofitsdeliverydrivers551365220 percent turnover ratea people intend work pizza delivery permanently job people earn extra money opportunitiesbrbras result pizza delivery business depends slack labor market certain extent workers find opportunities gets harder harder find delivery drivers pizza restaurants increase wages prices case pizza restaurants business embecause emof thriving economy despite case similar employers business models built having lowpaid ondemand workersp pthat uneven prosperitywhere companies trouble adapting thriving economycan dangerous business models pizza delivery currently organized expect people available perform labor fairly low wages result set companies benefit keeping economy potential economist michael kalecki hrefhttpsdelongtypepadcomkalecki43pdfargued athat economy approaches employment business interests begin push government policies sustain growthp pwhile economy need maintain political economic forces allow thrive means keepinga hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcom202109bidenmustignoreaocandreappointchairmanpowell federal reserve focused employmenta hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgwpcontentuploads202101jan21rulesforsustainablefiscalpolicy1pdfpursuing sustainable fiscal policya hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgdoworkingfamiliesreallyprefersinglefamilyhousingtextbyvalerie20soonnovember20172c202020reducing costs supply sidea means recognizing people find employment disadvantageous learning ignore complaintsp pphoto credit hrefhttpswwwistockphotocomphotoglobalbusinesslogisticsimportexportbackgroundandcontainercargofreightshipgm1266958681371564101tryaging istockap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgacrisisofabundancea crisis abundancea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

6179d3b49cb58ea58cb4eed7

The religious polity that is Iceland

blockquotepa proposal to ban clergy from charging or accepting fees for funerals weddings and baptisms has prompted threats of industrial action by the clergy union of the church of iceland jkirkjanp pthe church of iceland is the established lutheran church of the island nation and its clergy are paid by the state clerical salaries and parochial responsibilities are laid out in a contract negotiated by the association of icelandic clergy and the state funerals baptisms weddings and confirmations are considered extra work and are governed by a set fa hrefhttpskirkjanislibraryfilesstarfsreglurgjaldskrc3a120um20greic3b0slur20fyrir20prestsc3bejc3b3nustu20c3bejc3b3c3b0kirkjunnarpdfee scheduleap pon 19 oct 2022 the kirkjur the church of icelands executive council proposed ending the practice of charging fees an announcement from the kirkjur said the church would ban priests from charging fees it believed clergy were sufficiently remunerated for their work and further stated they believed the ministrations of the church should be available to all and no one by dint of lack of funds should be denied services it is outdated and alienating for the services of the church that priests who are serving people in moments of joy and sorrow later send these people a bill for the services this greatly undermines the credibility of the services of the church the kirkjur wrotep pthe president of the clergy union ninna sif svavarsdttir issued a a hrefhttpskirkjanislibraryfilesmalaskra2021_2022umsc3b6gn20um2026mc3a1l20kirkjuc3beings202021202220prestafc3a9lag20c38dslandspdfstatement adecrying the proposal and took issue with the tone of kirkjurs announcement it is highly distasteful and indecent for a church council to warn pastors about a lack of christian love when they exercise their clear fundamental right to collect fees for extra workp pmssvavarsdttir stated a collective bargaining agreement had been reached in july 2021 and if the church hierarchy was going to abrogate the contract the clergy might be compelled to exercise their rights under law and strikepblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsanglicanink20211026clergystrikethreatforchurchoficeland target_blankthe full storya via evanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thepolitythatisicelandhtmlthe religious polity that is icelanda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepa proposal ban clergy charging accepting fees funerals weddings baptisms prompted threats industrial action clergy union church iceland jkirkjanp pthe church iceland established lutheran church island nation clergy paid state clerical salaries parochial responsibilities laid contract negotiated association icelandic clergy state funerals baptisms weddings confirmations considered extra work governed set fa hrefhttpskirkjanislibraryfilesstarfsreglurgjaldskrc3a120um20greic3b0slur20fyrir20prestsc3bejc3b3nustu20c3bejc3b3c3b0kirkjunnarpdfee scheduleap pon 19 oct 2022 kirkjur church icelands executive council proposed ending practice charging fees announcement kirkjur said church ban priests charging fees believed clergy sufficiently remunerated work stated believed ministrations church available dint lack funds denied services outdated alienating services church priests serving people moments joy sorrow later send people bill services greatly undermines credibility services church kirkjur wrotep pthe president clergy union ninna sif svavarsdttir issued aa hrefhttpskirkjanislibraryfilesmalaskra2021_2022umsc3b6gn20um2026mc3a1l20kirkjuc3beings202021202220prestafc3a9lag20c38dslandspdfstatementadecrying proposal took issue tone kirkjurs announcement highly distasteful indecent church council warn pastors lack christian love exercise clear fundamental right collect fees extra workp pmssvavarsdttir stated collective bargaining agreement reached july 2021 church hierarchy going abrogate contract clergy compelled exercise rights law strikepblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpsanglicanink20211026clergystrikethreatforchurchoficeland target_blankthe storya evanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thepolitythatisicelandhtmlthe religious polity icelanda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6179d3ff9cb58ea58cb4eee3

The Illiberal Roots of Liberalism

div a hrefhttpsamznto3g9l1ni target_blankempermanent revolution the reformation and the illiberal roots of liberalismemabr by james simpson belknap press 464 pp 35 divimg altthe illiberal roots of liberalism srchttpsimagesunsplashcomphoto16185900678245ba32ca76ce9cropentropycstinysrgbfitmaxfmjpgixidmnwxmtc3m3wwfdf8c2vhcmnofdq4fhxtyxnrfgvufdb8fhx8mtyznte5mtiynaixlibrb121q80w2000pat the moment the merits and deficitsand implicitly the fateof liberalism are much debated at the moment from the right religious figures like catholic integralist adrian vermeule and orthodox gadfly rod dreher argue that liberalisms studied neutrality toward the ends or purposes of life has led to a collapse of even the idea of the good with disastrous consequences to public and indeed private life meanwhile from the left the broad assemblage of tendencies grouped under the label woke posits that liberal protections for speech armsbearing and property are mere masks for the interests of the powerful and that these need to be abolished in order to establishstrong stronga new hierarchy aligned with their standards of justice given that both these tendencies are promoting absolute ends often at drastic odds with each other there exists little room for compromiseppfrom a certain angle this situation looks a lot like a conflict of faiths historically there have been three solutions to conflicts of faithintolerance where are the albigensians say goodbye to spain and britain jews tolerance venice has jews but they live in a ghetto things are better but not great for jews and christians in the ottoman empire and the outlying latecomer liberalism liberalism modestly refuses to admit the superiority of any one school of metaphysics and provides mechanisms to avoid conflict and promote societywide cooperation between all groups whose members are treated as equal rightsbearing individuals those interested in the question of whether liberalism can or should survive ought to take a look at the milieu in which it arose protestant england at war with itself over which side was the most godly on the right was the kings church promoting an integral view of society and on the left were the puritans who could not abide the presence of the sinful individuals and flawed institutions inevitable in such arrangementsppjames simpson of harvard university has written a provocative work on just this topic a hrefhttpsamznto3g9l1niempermanent revolution the reformation and the illiberal roots of liberalismema where the whig school of history depicted liberalism as the latest positive step of progress that had begun with the english reformation herbert butterfield famously criticized this tendency in his a hrefhttpsamznto3axa4uoemwhig interpretation of historyema 1931 arguing instead that liberalism was an entirely unintended accidental outcome simpson contends that butterfields argument has been insufficiently heeded and that we remain too whiggish in our view of liberalisms originsmisleading us about its natureand of the period from which liberalism emerged simultaneously simpson concedes that the whigs had at least one important thing rightppsimpson reveals how his book originated from a seminar on john milton which he attended as a late medievalist [who] had been very kindly invited and sat demurely on the side benches determined not to speak a question arose about miltons conception of freedom whichcorrectly in simpsons viewcast milton in the role of a protoliberal as the seminar proceeded simpson struggled with a number of contingent questions as a calvinist puritan how does milton assert free will how can scholars view milton as fundamentally liberal given his scorn of the will of the people and the idea of a constitution finally how is it possible for liberals who support limited irenic meliorist reforms to admire milton who worked for a violent revolutionary military juntappsimpson subsequently immersed himself in an extended study of the entire english reformation concluding that ones judgment of the period was radically swayed by the temporal direction from which one approached it in simpsons witty metaphor most angloamerican scholars of literature enter mansion reformation through the grand front door of 1688 at which liberalism is aborning this allows them to admire the edifice but medievalists and early modernists enter the period through the back door of 1517 and wade through decades of illiberalism absolutism antihumanist determinism bloodshed and horrorpphow one gets from 1517 to 1688 is simpsons concern he traces the pathway across a variety of cultural vectors which he calls religion as revolution working modernitys despair sincerity amp hypocrisy breaking idols theater magic sacrament managing scripture and liberty amp liberties ultimatelyand fairly persuasivelyhe discerns three periods in the english reformation ppfirst came a giddy revolutionary period from roughly 1520 to 1547 when traditional christian soon to be cast as sectarian catholic ideas mixed with new lutheran propositions and henry viii seized control of the church in england begetting the church of england a second cultural mood of what simpson terms revolutionary grief attended the calvinist ascendancy in anglican theology following many bishops exile in the marian period culminating in a pitiless iconoclasm upon their return cem em15581625 a third moment followed c 160388 in which absolutist purificatory iconoclastic ideology spread to the realm of the political with regicide revolution and civil war in tow simultaneously strategies of escape from the intolerable dynamics of the past century began to be formulatedppsimpsons conclusion is that this brutal bloody despairing period managed to birth an inherently conciliatory doctrine like liberalism because of the internal dynamics of the ideologies unleashed in the reformation in his perception three cultural forces drove the evolution evangelical protestantism was revolutionaryand second permanently so violently repudiating earlier incarnations of protestantism third this permanent revolution was as it always is punishingly violent fissiparous and unsustainable and manifestly required some sort of selfstabilizationppthus in agreement with the whigs simpson believes that liberalism did emerge from a specifically protestant matrix contra the whigs however and closer to butterfield simpson argues that liberalism emerged specifically emagainstem the dominant religiopolitical culture which could not stop attacking itself in successive waves of moreevangelicalthanthou criticismphrpsimpsons argument is strongly made and richly detailed with citations of many of the leading literary lights of the day one wishes these citations would have included more political voices from that extremely voluble age but simpson is more concerned with culture than the specifics of politics or the details of theology and it is hard to argue that the likes of shakespeare marlowe donne and milton werent some of the most perceptive observers of the culture of their dayppreaders interested in the details of simpsons argument are warmly commended to the work but readers of this publication may be more interested in the implications of the dynamic one is the distinction between libertyor as simpson writes libertyand liberties as a medievalist simpson recognizes the latter as the older concept liberties like those recognized in the magna carta were specific distinct plural and granted by prerogative common law perpetuated and generated such liberties they are akin to the specific negative liberties described in the bill of rights in the american constitutionpdiv span datapullquotethose interested in the question of whether liberalism can or should survive ought to take a look at the milieu in which it arosespan divpliberty in the grander ideological often personified unitary sense simpson argues emerges from the reformation context more directly liberty becomes an absolute condition the violation of which is its opposite slavery just as we characterize the 17supthsup century as the age of absolutism in its monarchies so did its antimonarchical opponents become absolutists in their own right as god became more absolute and man increasinglyand ultimately absolutelyworthless impotent and predestined so did the claims of those advocating on his behalf hence the paradox of milton a great advocate of liberty utterly contemptuous of the liberties of his fellow englishmen he is an antiabsolutist absolutist simpsons description of how emparadise lostem 1667 expresses some of the tension milton must have perceived in his own thought is one of the best indepth readings he presentsppsimpson concludes that while evangelical religion aspires to one key form of modernity liberalism expresses the reactive decentralizing countermovement of modernization moreover simpson concludes that this emergence both from and against english calvinist culture bred some persistent probably inextricable congenital problems within liberalismppfirst liberalism does not account for its origins and therefore its own nature properly a persistent whig bias still encodes the approved products of liberalism as protestant and the disapprobated illiberal elements as catholic when in fact the reformation emproducedem much of what we consider to be medieval or illiberal such as witch crazes suppression of theater hypocrisy among others long after the catholic church was a dim memory in englandppsecond liberalism remains a relative of english calvinism having emerged from the same cultural matrix it carries within itself similar impulses simpson cites the continuation of trends he describes indepth as emerging in the crucible of the 16supthsup and 17supthsup centuriespblockquote[l]iberals continue automatically to distrust institutions overwork calibrate agency with minute attention fear inauthenticity enjoy visual art in aesthetic conditions that remain partially iconoclastic remain appalled at various forms of idolatry even if the idolaters are now consumers read to save themselves above all many of us remain historical secessionists vigilantly insisting on the legitimacy of the modern age we liberals remain children of our permanent revolutions both energized and scarred by themblockquotepthis last point has acute contemporary resonances as certain schools of modern liberalism periodically echo our illiberal forebears as simpson writes contemporary liberalism looks especially unpersuasive when it mimics as it not infrequently does the intolerant exclusivist identitarian politics characteristic of the nondemocratic antimeritocratic virtueparading evangelical true church when liberals act like the elect they betray their traditionppsimpsons final conclusion is perhaps the most important for contemporary discussions of the liberal political order liberalism is not a firstorder political ideology and it becomes horribly deformed when it is taken to be one liberalism does not provide a metaphysics or any definition of the common good it is a secondorder ideology of means by which people who disagree on firstorder questions can live together without descending into authoritarianism and war as did the english in the 17supthsup century when the newer forms of protestantism could no longer abide the older and absolutized politicsppas pundit jonah goldberg likes to quip conservatism is a empartialem philosophy of life the liberalism that goldbergs formulation of conservatism has attempted to conserve is a set of norms means and manners by which members of even widely opposed ideologies can pursue their unique ends if often in a dissatisfying hedged fashion simpson drives the point home one can be a liberal and a modified catholic or a liberal and a modified socialist where the modification points to acceptance of state mechanisms notably constitutional democracy for managing ideological conflictppsimpson warns that when liberalism claims to be a firstorder belief system it jeopardizes itself because its desire to reshape the world only stands on the shallow grounds of abstract universalist human rights and on tolerance as an absolute virtue in simpsons summation the only voice the liberal must strenuously resist is that of the figure who refuses to accept the wise constitutional restraints derived from the liberal tradition that make us freerppsimpsons arguments are plausible even if not as expansive as one might wish the reader hoping to hear more from other voices or hoping for a comparative narrative of how such events developed in the protestant countries of continental europe in order to learn how much of the english calvinist dynamic is specifically english is in fact wishing for a much larger book empermanent revolutionem is recommended to enthusiasts of history literature and political philosophy who know that emcontraem many of the reformers we cannot displace ourselves from our history our traditions and our messy multifarious reality however glittering the claims of pure absolute righteousness may beppstrongemwilliam j walshemstrongem is a writer based in wisconsinemppp

div hrefhttpsamznto3g9l1ni target_blankempermanent revolution reformation illiberal roots liberalismemabr james simpson belknap press 464 pp 35 divimg altthe illiberal roots liberalism srchttpsimagesunsplashcomphoto16185900678245ba32ca76ce9cropentropycstinysrgbfitmaxfmjpgixidmnwxmtc3m3wwfdf8c2vhcmnofdq4fhxtyxnrfgvufdb8fhx8mtyznte5mtiynaixlibrb121q80w2000pat moment merits deficitsand implicitly fateof liberalism debated moment right religious figures like catholic integralist adrian vermeule orthodox gadfly rod dreher argue liberalisms studied neutrality ends purposes life led collapse idea good disastrous consequences public private life left broad assemblage tendencies grouped label woke posits liberal protections speech armsbearing property mere masks interests powerful need abolished order establishstrong stronga new hierarchy aligned standards justice given tendencies promoting absolute ends drastic odds exists little room compromiseppfrom certain angle situation looks lot like conflict faiths historically solutions conflicts faithintolerance albigensians goodbye spain britain jews tolerance venice jews live ghetto things better great jews christians ottoman empire outlying latecomer liberalism liberalism modestly refuses admit superiority school metaphysics provides mechanisms avoid conflict promote societywide cooperation groups members treated equal rightsbearing individuals interested question liberalism survive ought look milieu arose protestant england war godly right kings church promoting integral view society left puritans abide presence sinful individuals flawed institutions inevitable arrangementsppjames simpson harvard university written provocative work topic hrefhttpsamznto3g9l1niempermanent revolution reformation illiberal roots liberalismema whig school history depicted liberalism latest positive step progress begun english reformation herbert butterfield famously criticized tendency hrefhttpsamznto3axa4uoemwhig interpretation historyema 1931 arguing instead liberalism entirely unintended accidental outcome simpson contends butterfields argument insufficiently heeded remain whiggish view liberalisms originsmisleading natureand period liberalism emerged simultaneously simpson concedes whigs important thing rightppsimpson reveals book originated seminar john milton attended late medievalist [who] kindly invited sat demurely benches determined speak question arose miltons conception freedom whichcorrectly simpsons viewcast milton role protoliberal seminar proceeded simpson struggled number contingent questions calvinist puritan milton assert free scholars view milton fundamentally liberal given scorn people idea constitution finally possible liberals support limited irenic meliorist reforms admire milton worked violent revolutionary military juntappsimpson subsequently immersed extended study entire english reformation concluding ones judgment period radically swayed temporal direction approached simpsons witty metaphor angloamerican scholars literature enter mansion reformation grand door 1688 liberalism aborning allows admire edifice medievalists early modernists enter period door 1517 wade decades illiberalism absolutism antihumanist determinism bloodshed horrorpphow gets 1517 1688 simpsons concern traces pathway variety cultural vectors calls religion revolution working modernitys despair sincerity amp hypocrisy breaking idols theater magic sacrament managing scripture liberty amp liberties ultimatelyand fairly persuasivelyhe discerns periods english reformation ppfirst came giddy revolutionary period roughly 1520 1547 traditional christian soon cast sectarian catholic ideas mixed new lutheran propositions henry viii seized control church england begetting church england second cultural mood simpson terms revolutionary grief attended calvinist ascendancy anglican theology following bishops exile marian period culminating pitiless iconoclasm return cem em15581625 moment followed c 160388 absolutist purificatory iconoclastic ideology spread realm political regicide revolution civil war tow simultaneously strategies escape intolerable dynamics past century began formulatedppsimpsons conclusion brutal bloody despairing period managed birth inherently conciliatory doctrine like liberalism internal dynamics ideologies unleashed reformation perception cultural forces drove evolution evangelical protestantism revolutionaryand second permanently violently repudiating earlier incarnations protestantism permanent revolution punishingly violent fissiparous unsustainable manifestly required sort selfstabilizationppthus agreement whigs simpson believes liberalism emerge specifically protestant matrix contra whigs closer butterfield simpson argues liberalism emerged specifically emagainstem dominant religiopolitical culture stop attacking successive waves moreevangelicalthanthou criticismphrpsimpsons argument strongly richly detailed citations leading literary lights day wishes citations included political voices extremely voluble age simpson concerned culture specifics politics details theology hard argue likes shakespeare marlowe donne milton werent perceptive observers culture dayppreaders interested details simpsons argument warmly commended work readers publication interested implications dynamic distinction libertyor simpson writes libertyand liberties medievalist simpson recognizes older concept liberties like recognized magna carta specific distinct plural granted prerogative common law perpetuated generated liberties akin specific negative liberties described bill rights american constitutionpdiv span datapullquotethose interested question liberalism survive ought look milieu arosespan divpliberty grander ideological personified unitary sense simpson argues emerges reformation context directly liberty absolute condition violation opposite slavery characterize 17supthsup century age absolutism monarchies antimonarchical opponents absolutists right god absolute man increasinglyand ultimately absolutelyworthless impotent predestined claims advocating behalf paradox milton great advocate liberty utterly contemptuous liberties fellow englishmen antiabsolutist absolutist simpsons description emparadise lostem 1667 expresses tension milton perceived thought best indepth readings presentsppsimpson concludes evangelical religion aspires key form modernity liberalism expresses reactive decentralizing countermovement modernization simpson concludes emergence english calvinist culture bred persistent probably inextricable congenital problems liberalismppfirst liberalism account origins nature properly persistent whig bias encodes approved products liberalism protestant disapprobated illiberal elements catholic fact reformation emproducedem consider medieval illiberal witch crazes suppression theater hypocrisy long catholic church dim memory englandppsecond liberalism remains relative english calvinism having emerged cultural matrix carries similar impulses simpson cites continuation trends describes indepth emerging crucible 16supthsup 17supthsup centuriespblockquote[l]iberals continue automatically distrust institutions overwork calibrate agency minute attention fear inauthenticity enjoy visual art aesthetic conditions remain partially iconoclastic remain appalled forms idolatry idolaters consumers read save remain historical secessionists vigilantly insisting legitimacy modern age liberals remain children permanent revolutions energized scarred themblockquotepthis point acute contemporary resonances certain schools modern liberalism periodically echo illiberal forebears simpson writes contemporary liberalism looks especially unpersuasive mimics infrequently intolerant exclusivist identitarian politics characteristic nondemocratic antimeritocratic virtueparading evangelical true church liberals act like elect betray traditionppsimpsons final conclusion important contemporary discussions liberal political order liberalism firstorder political ideology horribly deformed taken liberalism provide metaphysics definition common good secondorder ideology means people disagree firstorder questions live descending authoritarianism war english 17supthsup century newer forms protestantism longer abide older absolutized politicsppas pundit jonah goldberg likes quip conservatism empartialem philosophy life liberalism goldbergs formulation conservatism attempted conserve set norms means manners members widely opposed ideologies pursue unique ends dissatisfying hedged fashion simpson drives point home liberal modified catholic liberal modified socialist modification points acceptance state mechanisms notably constitutional democracy managing ideological conflictppsimpson warns liberalism claims firstorder belief system jeopardizes desire reshape world stands shallow grounds abstract universalist human rights tolerance absolute virtue simpsons summation voice liberal strenuously resist figure refuses accept wise constitutional restraints derived liberal tradition freerppsimpsons arguments plausible expansive wish reader hoping hear voices hoping comparative narrative events developed protestant countries continental europe order learn english calvinist dynamic specifically english fact wishing larger book empermanent revolutionem recommended enthusiasts history literature political philosophy know emcontraem reformers displace history traditions messy multifarious reality glittering claims pure absolute righteousness beppstrongemwilliam j walshemstrongem writer based wisconsinemppp

6179d4049cb58ea58cb4eee5

5 questions for Neil Chilson on ‘emergent order’

pstrongby james pethokoukis and neil chilsonstrongp pin emthe wealth of nationsem adam smith wrote of the invisible hand that directs free market operations today economists speak of emergent order order that emerges spontaneously without any central direction but weve come a long way since adam smith on this episode of the political economy podcast neil chilson discusses emergent order and how it should guide policymakers in the complex world of the 21st centuryp pneil is a senior research fellow for technology and innovation at the charles koch institute and the author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting out of control emergent leadership in a complex worldaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode3e718ded61a14feda47c572524d5d726iframediv pbelow is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation you can read our full discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsdoesamericaneedmoreplanningmylongreadqawithneilchilson target_blankherea you can also subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera or download the podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongyour book is about emergent order and that sounds like theres no plan if its not about planning and its not chaos what is emergent orderstrongp pchilson youre right my book is not about creating a grand plan in some ways its about pointing out how often grand plans fail but that doesnt mean that we shouldnt plan at all we contribute to emergent order outcomes where nobody controls the outcome and nobody really controls the system but orderly beneficial exchanges happen we contribute to those in part by the plans that we make and how we try to execute themp pyou in the economy have to act for order to emerge and part of the message of my book is that we cant just sit back and let the world happen to us we dont have control over the systems we interact with but we can feed into the feedback loops of the institutions that we participate in so its not that there is no point in planning its more understanding and being humble about what we can actually achieve through planning and being ready to adapt our plans when the environment changes which it inevitably willp pstrongwhat is an example of a beautifully ordered system that emerges and how does it get sent spinning out of control by planningstrongp pone of my favorite examples is from james c scotts book ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomseeinglikestatecertainconditiondp0300078153 target_blankseeing like a stateaem the germans back in the 1800s wanted to increase their lumber output from their forests and so what they did is they essentially replanted the forest in very orderly quite aesthetically pleasing rows of trees of a very specific tree that was the favorite for lumber it was very easy to go in and cut down trees when they were ready but that complex ecosystem which served many needs other than lumber was completely upended by thisp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilson5qsforestjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613773figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pthe natural ecosystem was completely disrupted to the point at which it was essentially a monoculture and very quickly was subject to disease although in the short run it jacked up the output of lumber in the longer run it was actually greatly reduced and so thats a good example from the natural ecosystem side of not only control disrupting the many uses of a complex system but maybe even undermining the particular goal that the person trying to step into control is trying to achievep pstrongi had a conversation with the historian margaret omara about the rise of silicon valley you had stanford university and then the defense department started plowing money and strongstrongemboomemstrongstrong after the fact it looks like oh it seems very logical that would happen but there was no planstrongp pi think sometimes people try to look at silicon valley and then theyre like well well create the same conditions in our area and silicon valley will happen here too and what we see is often and this is true in complex systems its more than just you put all the elements together and you hit a switch and it goesp pkevin kelly has a book called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomoutcontrolbiologymachineseconomicdp0201483408 target_blankout of controlaem he talks about how you could put together a bunch of bees and you dont get a hive he also talks about how you could understand every single thing about the individual bee but that doesnt explain the behavior when they come together in a hive and so complex systems are not like machines where you just assemble all the pieces and then you turn it on and it works so that makes them very hard to design and it also makes them pretty much impossible to control even though there are lots of ways to influence themp pstrongis the world so complicated today that to let order emerge would be chaotic some people will say we tried letting order emerge the outcome is plutocracy vast inequality maybe we need to have less emergent order and a lot more directed order how do you respondstrongp pive actually seen that argument which mises tackled in the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsolllibertyfundorgpagemisesontheimpossibilityofeconomiccalculationundersocialism target_blanksocialist calculation problema theres people who now argue essentially we can collect enough data to solve that now and well just let a machine do it im really skepticalp poften the same people who will say that about the economy will look at the environment and say its this complex system that will have all these unintended consequences if we mess with nature and so they seem to understand and embrace the emergent order nature of nature but dont seem to see the parallel to economics and often people on the right are the flip of thatp pif you see a problem in the economy or you see a problem in the environment its not to say that we shouldnt try to address those problems but that we should be humble about what we can actually achieve when we do that theres a lot of knowledge captured in the system that is not expressed and if we sweep away the system and try to put a designed system in place the consequences of that is a system thats less welladapted to all of the people who are participating in it even if i accept the many of the problems that people point out in the economy i continue to be skeptical of our ability to reshape everything from the top downp pstrongwhat would be the cautionary note that you would give policymakers todaystrongp pwell the book has six principles for emergent leadership but the one i would mostly focus on for policymakers today is around humility there are two principles actually one is deeply understanding what you actually can control and what you cant and focus on the things that you can and second being humble even in that space about what youre likely to achieve and i think those two principles are missing from a lot of the discussion in dc but they should be much more widely embraced and i think there are good reasons in my book for why people across the political spectrum would want to do thatp pemjames pethokoukis is the dewitt wallace fellow at the american enterprise institute where he writes and edits the aeideas blog and hosts a weekly podcast a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy with james pethokoukisa neil is a senior research fellow for technology and innovation at the charles koch instituteemp pdivpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforazeemazharontheeffectsoffuturetechnology5 questions for azeem azhar on the effects of future technologya a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforalexedmansonhowcompaniescangrowthepie5 questions for alex edmans on how companies can grow the piea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformauroguillenonhowtheworldwillchangeby20305 questions for mauro guilln on how the world will change by 2030apdivbr pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforneilchilsononemergentorder5 questions for neil chilson on emergent ordera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis neil chilsonstrongp pin emthe wealth nationsem adam smith wrote invisible hand directs free market operations today economists speak emergent order order emerges spontaneously central direction weve come long way adam smith episode political economy podcast neil chilson discusses emergent order guide policymakers complex world 21st centuryp pneil senior research fellow technology innovation charles koch institute author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomgettingoutcontrolemergentleadershipdp1636768431 target_blankgetting control emergent leadership complex worldaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode3e718ded61a14feda47c572524d5d726iframediv pbelow abbreviated transcript conversation read discussion relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsdoesamericaneedmoreplanningmylongreadqawithneilchilson target_blankherea subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera download podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongyour book emergent order sounds like theres plan planning chaos emergent orderstrongp pchilson youre right book creating grand plan ways pointing grand plans fail doesnt mean shouldnt plan contribute emergent order outcomes controls outcome controls system orderly beneficial exchanges happen contribute plans try execute themp pyou economy act order emerge message book cant sit let world happen dont control systems interact feed feedback loops institutions participate point planning understanding humble actually achieve planning ready adapt plans environment changes inevitably willp pstrongwhat example beautifully ordered system emerges sent spinning control planningstrongp pone favorite examples james c scotts book ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomseeinglikestatecertainconditiondp0300078153 target_blankseeing like stateaem germans 1800s wanted increase lumber output forests essentially replanted forest orderly aesthetically pleasing rows trees specific tree favorite lumber easy cut trees ready complex ecosystem served needs lumber completely upended thisp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110chilson5qsforestjpgx91208 classwpimage1008613773figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pthe natural ecosystem completely disrupted point essentially monoculture quickly subject disease short run jacked output lumber longer run actually greatly reduced thats good example natural ecosystem control disrupting uses complex system maybe undermining particular goal person trying step control trying achievep pstrongi conversation historian margaret omara rise silicon valley stanford university defense department started plowing money strongstrongemboomemstrongstrong fact looks like oh logical happen planstrongp pi think people try look silicon valley theyre like create conditions area silicon valley happen true complex systems elements hit switch goesp pkevin kelly book called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomoutcontrolbiologymachineseconomicdp0201483408 target_blankout controlaem talks bunch bees dont hive talks understand single thing individual bee doesnt explain behavior come hive complex systems like machines assemble pieces turn works makes hard design makes pretty impossible control lots ways influence themp pstrongis world complicated today let order emerge chaotic people tried letting order emerge outcome plutocracy vast inequality maybe need emergent order lot directed order respondstrongp pive actually seen argument mises tackled relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsolllibertyfundorgpagemisesontheimpossibilityofeconomiccalculationundersocialism target_blanksocialist calculation problema theres people argue essentially collect data solve let machine im skepticalp poften people economy look environment complex system unintended consequences mess nature understand embrace emergent order nature nature dont parallel economics people right flip thatp pif problem economy problem environment shouldnt try address problems humble actually achieve theres lot knowledge captured system expressed sweep away system try designed system place consequences system thats welladapted people participating accept problems people point economy continue skeptical ability reshape downp pstrongwhat cautionary note policymakers todaystrongp pwell book principles emergent leadership focus policymakers today humility principles actually deeply understanding actually control cant focus things second humble space youre likely achieve think principles missing lot discussion dc widely embraced think good reasons book people political spectrum want thatp pemjames pethokoukis dewitt wallace fellow american enterprise institute writes edits aeideas blog hosts weekly podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy james pethokoukisa neil senior research fellow technology innovation charles koch instituteemp pdivpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforazeemazharontheeffectsoffuturetechnology5 questions azeem azhar effects future technologya hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforalexedmansonhowcompaniescangrowthepie5 questions alex edmans companies grow piea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformauroguillenonhowtheworldwillchangeby20305 questions mauro guilln world change 2030apdivbr pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforneilchilsononemergentorder5 questions neil chilson emergent ordera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

6179d43c9cb58ea58cb4eeed

The biggest barrier to radical climate action is the global epidemic of mistrust

pa new iron curtain has descended on europe the vaccine divide west of the old capitalistcommunist border jab rates today are around 150 doses per 100 people east of it they are typically under 100 or in the cases of russia romania and bulgaria significantly lower a reality reflected in the soaring infection rates in those countries the observation even works within oncedivided germany of the six federal states in the old east a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstatistacomstatistics1195589coronaviruscovid19vaccinationsnumberfederalstateper1000germany target_blankfour make up the least vaccinateda in the whole country a plausible explanation for this european divide is that folks in postcommunist places are less trusting of authority a product of deep memories or in the case of russia the enduring reality of oppressive surveillance societiesp pas we approach the second anniversary of the start of the pandemic the role of trust in combating covid19 is all but incontrovertible drawing on his 1995 book emtrust the social virtues and the creation of prosperityem a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarypandemicpoliticaldecaylatinamericacaribbeanbyfrancisfukuyamaandluisfelipelopezcalva202106 target_blankfrancis fukuyama argued recentlya that trust works on two levels first trusting societies are ones where citizens have enough faith in each other to cooperate to solve collective challenges and to indulge in altruistic behaviour second citizens in trusting societies have more confidence in experts institutions and most of all in their leaders in many countries during the pandemic fukuyama writes with reference to latin america low social trust has interacted with high levels of polarisation to produce devastating consequencesp pthese observations apply far beyond the pandemic complicated modern societies throw up what economists call coordination problems where mutually desirable outcomes depend on coordinated behaviour by large numbers of actors such societies have all sorts of machines for solving those problems from devices such as prices and laws to institutions such as public services stock markets trade unions and courts but the oil that lubricates the wheels of all those machines is trust without which none can work smoothlyp pthe american political scientist robert putnam documented this in his 1993 book emmaking democracy workem which concentrated on the profound gulf in prosperity and social cohesion between the northern and southern regions of italy putnam showed that while the north of the country enjoyed high levels of trust rooted in medieval experiences of selfrule the souths weakness lay in low levels of trust produced by long periods of foreign domination in his subsequent book embowling aloneem 2000 he went on to argue that this trust or social capital was in widespread decline in the rich west research suggests that this process has only accelerated the gallup world poll which monitors global attitudes a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwoecdilibraryorgdocservergov_glance201776enpdfexpires1635337299ididaccnameguestchecksumf7b7df3d92ae10c492dabcc26a95615d target_blankshows a fall in trusta in 25 oecd countries between 2007 and 2016 similar findings emerge from other major global monitors of trust like those by a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwedelmancominsightstrustdistrustinamerica target_blankpew and edelmana it is impossible to understand our times without reference to these shiftsp pthat reality will loom over world leaders and their representatives when they gather in glasgow for the a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomenvironmentcop26cop26a climate summit in glasgow from 31 october the climate crisis is the ultimate coordination problem the uns intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc has put the costs of the energy and infrastructure investments needed to limit temperature rises to 15c at around a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwipccchsr15chapterspm target_blank24trn a year until 2035a global annual gdp is about 80trn so that is 3 per cent of global output for one generation to save the planet for thousands of generations to come it is a nobrainerp pyet bringing those resources together and executing that industrial and social transformation will mean marshalling unprecedented reserves of trust citizens need to trust those authorities preaching the dangers of the climate crisis and spending their tax money on the transition they must trust each other to cooperate in collective efforts to change lifestyles governments must trust their counterparts and international institutions to shoulder their share of the burden no surprise then that academic research shows a close correlation between social trust and support for climate action we find that higher trust relates to a higher proclivity to engage in prosocial and proenvironmental behaviour write researchers stefano carattini and matthias roesti in a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwlseacukgranthaminstitutepublicationtrusthappinessandprosocialbehavior target_blanksprawling research reviewa published by the london school of economics last yearp pno surprise either that the language of climate change deniers and belittlers amounts to dont trust dont trust the experts governments and institutions to be right about the dangers dont trust others to do their bit dont trust those facing drought floods and fires to be worth saving todays world with its strongman leaders and fragmenting multilateralist institutions is a lowtrust environment if cop26 is a flop that will be the best explanation and the vaccine divide will look like a premonitionp pthe answer is superficially simple promote trust value and respect it invest it in those who deserve it the informed the qualified the selfless and respect others who make that investment restore it where it has been betrayed with honest leadership citizen engagement and rigorous transparency yet the difficulties contained in those nice mantras are obvious the saying that trust takes years to build seconds to break and forever to repair is no less accurate for being a clichp pit is not the way of this column nor its author to catastrophise often things do not work out as badly as we fear societies do not collapse every time something goes wrong if the climate cause needs one thing it is optimism progress depends on the belief that remarkable change can be affected using all the force of human ingenuity and altruism available and yet in such a lowtrust global environment and with the countdown to climate meltdown ticking away so excruciatingly it is hard to escape the feeling that humanity is well on the way to flunking this most existential of coordination problemsp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomp239614preview_id239614preview_nonce9b1e84efd5previewtrue_thumbnail_id239636the eu climate chief frans timmermans the planet is probably going to be ok but we wonta]emstrongp

pa new iron curtain descended europe vaccine divide west old capitalistcommunist border jab rates today 150 doses 100 people east typically 100 cases russia romania bulgaria significantly lower reality reflected soaring infection rates countries observation works oncedivided germany federal states old east relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstatistacomstatistics1195589coronaviruscovid19vaccinationsnumberfederalstateper1000germany target_blankfour vaccinateda country plausible explanation european divide folks postcommunist places trusting authority product deep memories case russia enduring reality oppressive surveillance societiesp pas approach second anniversary start pandemic role trust combating covid19 incontrovertible drawing 1995 book emtrust social virtues creation prosperityem relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarypandemicpoliticaldecaylatinamericacaribbeanbyfrancisfukuyamaandluisfelipelopezcalva202106 target_blankfrancis fukuyama argued recentlya trust works levels trusting societies ones citizens faith cooperate solve collective challenges indulge altruistic behaviour second citizens trusting societies confidence experts institutions leaders countries pandemic fukuyama writes reference latin america low social trust interacted high levels polarisation produce devastating consequencesp pthese observations apply far pandemic complicated modern societies throw economists coordination problems mutually desirable outcomes depend coordinated behaviour large numbers actors societies sorts machines solving problems devices prices laws institutions public services stock markets trade unions courts oil lubricates wheels machines trust work smoothlyp pthe american political scientist robert putnam documented 1993 book emmaking democracy workem concentrated profound gulf prosperity social cohesion northern southern regions italy putnam showed north country enjoyed high levels trust rooted medieval experiences selfrule souths weakness lay low levels trust produced long periods foreign domination subsequent book embowling aloneem 2000 went argue trust social capital widespread decline rich west research suggests process accelerated gallup world poll monitors global attitudes relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwoecdilibraryorgdocservergov_glance201776enpdfexpires1635337299ididaccnameguestchecksumf7b7df3d92ae10c492dabcc26a95615d target_blankshows fall trusta 25 oecd countries 2007 2016 similar findings emerge major global monitors trust like relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwedelmancominsightstrustdistrustinamerica target_blankpew edelmana impossible understand times reference shiftsp pthat reality loom world leaders representatives gather glasgow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomenvironmentcop26cop26a climate summit glasgow 31 october climate crisis ultimate coordination problem uns intergovernmental panel climate change ipcc costs energy infrastructure investments needed limit temperature rises 15c relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwipccchsr15chapterspm target_blank24trn year 2035a global annual gdp 80trn 3 cent global output generation save planet thousands generations come nobrainerp pyet bringing resources executing industrial social transformation mean marshalling unprecedented reserves trust citizens need trust authorities preaching dangers climate crisis spending tax money transition trust cooperate collective efforts change lifestyles governments trust counterparts international institutions shoulder share burden surprise academic research shows close correlation social trust support climate action find higher trust relates higher proclivity engage prosocial proenvironmental behaviour write researchers stefano carattini matthias roesti relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwlseacukgranthaminstitutepublicationtrusthappinessandprosocialbehavior target_blanksprawling research reviewa published london school economics yearp pno surprise language climate change deniers belittlers amounts dont trust dont trust experts governments institutions right dangers dont trust bit dont trust facing drought floods fires worth saving todays world strongman leaders fragmenting multilateralist institutions lowtrust environment cop26 flop best explanation vaccine divide look like premonitionp pthe answer superficially simple promote trust value respect invest deserve informed qualified selfless respect investment restore betrayed honest leadership citizen engagement rigorous transparency difficulties contained nice mantras obvious saying trust takes years build seconds break forever repair accurate clichp pit way column author catastrophise things work badly fear societies collapse time goes wrong climate cause needs thing optimism progress depends belief remarkable change affected force human ingenuity altruism available lowtrust global environment countdown climate meltdown ticking away excruciatingly hard escape feeling humanity way flunking existential coordination problemsp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomp239614preview_id239614preview_nonce9b1e84efd5previewtrue_thumbnail_id239636the eu climate chief frans timmermans planet probably going ok wonta]emstrongp

6179d4e79cb58ea58cb4ef01

Clement and Tribe Predicted the FDA Catastrophe

figure classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 522px 100vw 522px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribejpg alt width522 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribejpg 620w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribe300x180jpg 300w classwpimage82244 height313figcaption classwpcaptiontextpaul clement and laurence tribefigcaptionfigure plaboratory developed tests are not fda regulatednever have beeninstead theem labsem are regulated under the a hrefhttpwwwcmsgovregulationsandguidancelegislationcliaindexhtmlredirectcliaclinical laboratory improvement amendments cliaa as overseen by the cms laboratory developed tests are the kind your doctor orders they are a service not a product and are not sold directly to patients labs develop new tests emroutinelyem and they do not apply to the fda for approval despite this long history the fda has claimed that it has the right to regulate lab tests and they have merely chosen not to exercise this right for forty years in 2015 paul clement the former us solicitor general under george w bush and laurence tribe considered by many to be the leading constitutional lawyer in the united states wrote an article that a hrefhttpwwwaclacomwpcontentuploads201501tribeclementwhitepaper1615pdfrejected the fdas claimsa writing that the fdas assertion of authority over laboratorydeveloped testing services is clearly foreclosed by the fdas own authorizing statute and by the broader statutory contextp pdespite lacking statutory authority the fda has continued to claim it is authorized to regulate laboratory tests indeed a key failure in the pandemic happened a hrefhttpswwwyalelawjournalorgforumdeadlydelaythefdasroleinamericascovidtestingdebaclewhen the fda issued socalled guidance documentsa saying that any sarscovii test had to be preapproved by the fda thus the fda reversed the logic of emergency in ordinary times preapproval was not necessary but when speed was of the essence it became necessary to get fda preapproval the fdas preapproval process a hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsnewsdeskwhatwentwrongwithcoronavirustestingintheusslowed down testing in the united statesa and it wasnt until after the a hrefhttpswwwmedtechdivecomnewsfdaseeksrightbalancepermitsimmediateuseofcoronavirustests573260fda lifted its restrictionsa in march that a hrefhttpswwwmedtechdivecomnewslabcorpquestdiagnosticscoronavirustest573597tests from the big labsa became availablep pclement and tribe rejected the fda claims of regulatory authority over laboratory developed tests on historical statutory and legal grounds but they also argued that letting the fda regulate laboratory tests was a dangerous idea in a remarkably prescient passage clement and tribe 2015 p 18 warnedp blockquotepthe fda approval process is protracted and not designed for the rapid clearance of tests many clinical laboratories track world trends regarding infectious diseases ranging from sars to h1n1 and avian influenza in these fastmoving lifeordeath situations awaiting the development of manufactured test kits and the completion of fdas clearance procedures could entail potentially catastrophic delays with disastrous consequences for patient carepblockquote pa hrefhttpwwwaclacomwpcontentuploads201501tribeclementwhitepaper1615pdfclement and tribe nailed ita catastrophic delays with disastrous consequences for patient care is exactly what happenedp pstrongaddendumstrong see also my prepandemic piece on this issue a hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201311ourdnaourselveshtmlour dna our selvesap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110clementandtribepredictedthefdacatastrophehtmlclement and tribe predicted the fda catastrophea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

figure classwpcaptionimg sizesmaxwidth 522px 100vw 522px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribejpg alt width522 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribejpg 620w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110clementandtribe300x180jpg 300w classwpimage82244 height313figcaption classwpcaptiontextpaul clement laurence tribefigcaptionfigure plaboratory developed tests fda regulatednever beeninstead theem labsem regulated hrefhttpwwwcmsgovregulationsandguidancelegislationcliaindexhtmlredirectcliaclinical laboratory improvement amendments cliaa overseen cms laboratory developed tests kind doctor orders service product sold directly patients labs develop new tests emroutinelyem apply fda approval despite long history fda claimed right regulate lab tests merely chosen exercise right years 2015 paul clement solicitor general george w bush laurence tribe considered leading constitutional lawyer united states wrote article hrefhttpwwwaclacomwpcontentuploads201501tribeclementwhitepaper1615pdfrejected fdas claimsa writing fdas assertion authority laboratorydeveloped testing services clearly foreclosed fdas authorizing statute broader statutory contextp pdespite lacking statutory authority fda continued claim authorized regulate laboratory tests key failure pandemic happened hrefhttpswwwyalelawjournalorgforumdeadlydelaythefdasroleinamericascovidtestingdebaclewhen fda issued socalled guidance documentsa saying sarscovii test preapproved fda fda reversed logic emergency ordinary times preapproval necessary speed essence necessary fda preapproval fdas preapproval process hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsnewsdeskwhatwentwrongwithcoronavirustestingintheusslowed testing united statesa wasnt hrefhttpswwwmedtechdivecomnewsfdaseeksrightbalancepermitsimmediateuseofcoronavirustests573260fda lifted restrictionsa march hrefhttpswwwmedtechdivecomnewslabcorpquestdiagnosticscoronavirustest573597tests big labsa availablep pclement tribe rejected fda claims regulatory authority laboratory developed tests historical statutory legal grounds argued letting fda regulate laboratory tests dangerous idea remarkably prescient passage clement tribe 2015 p 18 warnedp blockquotepthe fda approval process protracted designed rapid clearance tests clinical laboratories track world trends infectious diseases ranging sars h1n1 avian influenza fastmoving lifeordeath situations awaiting development manufactured test kits completion fdas clearance procedures entail potentially catastrophic delays disastrous consequences patient carepblockquote pa hrefhttpwwwaclacomwpcontentuploads201501tribeclementwhitepaper1615pdfclement tribe nailed ita catastrophic delays disastrous consequences patient care exactly happenedp pstrongaddendumstrong prepandemic piece issue hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201311ourdnaourselveshtmlour dna selvesap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110clementandtribepredictedthefdacatastrophehtmlclement tribe predicted fda catastrophea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6179d54d9cb58ea58cb4ef0f

The biggest tax bill ever tax estimate of the day

blockquotepaccording to zucmans analysis musk would pay as much as 50 billion under the tax over its first five years while bezos could pay as much as 44 billionpblockquote pit could be that at least half of the planned revenue from the policy would have come from emten individuals onlyem  fortunately it is looking as if a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomuspolicy20211026billioniaretaxdemsbiden target_blankthe plan will not be pursuedap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thebiggesttaxbillevertaxestimateofthedayhtmlthe biggest tax bill ever tax estimate of the daya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepaccording zucmans analysis musk pay 50 billion tax years bezos pay 44 billionpblockquote pit half planned revenue policy come emten individuals onlyem fortunately looking relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomuspolicy20211026billioniaretaxdemsbiden target_blankthe plan pursuedap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thebiggesttaxbillevertaxestimateofthedayhtmlthe biggest tax bill tax estimate daya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap