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import gradio as gr |
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import pandas as pd |
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import backtrader as bt |
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import requests |
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with open("instructions.md", "r") as md_file: |
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instructions = md_file.read() |
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class TrendFollowingStrategy(bt.Strategy): |
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params = (('ma_period', 15),) |
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def __init__(self): |
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self.ma = bt.indicators.SimpleMovingAverage(self.data.close, period=self.params.ma_period) |
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self.crossover = bt.ind.CrossOver(self.data.close, self.ma) |
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self.last_signal = None |
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self.last_signal_timeframe = self.data._timeframe |
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self.trade_count = 0 |
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self.win_count = 0 |
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self.loss_count = 0 |
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self.trade_log = [] |
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def next(self): |
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if not self.position: |
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if self.crossover > 0: |
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self.buy() |
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self.last_signal = 'CALL' |
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elif self.crossover < 0: |
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self.sell() |
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self.last_signal = 'PUT' |
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else: |
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if self.position.size > 0 and self.crossover < 0: |
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self.close() |
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elif self.position.size < 0 and self.crossover > 0: |
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self.close() |
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def notify_trade(self, trade): |
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if trade.isclosed: |
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outcome = 'win' if trade.pnl > 0 else 'loss' |
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self.log_trade(self.last_signal, outcome) |
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def log_trade(self, trade_type, outcome): |
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""" |
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Log the details of each trade. |
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""" |
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self.trade_count += 1 |
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if outcome == 'win': |
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self.win_count += 1 |
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elif outcome == 'loss': |
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self.loss_count += 1 |
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trade_details = { |
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'trade_num': self.trade_count, |
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'trade_type': trade_type, |
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'outcome': outcome |
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} |
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self.trade_log.append(trade_details) |
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print(f"Trade {self.trade_count}: {trade_type} - {outcome}") |
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def get_trade_log(self): |
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""" |
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Get the trade log as a list of dictionaries. |
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""" |
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return self.trade_log |
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def fetch_forex_intraday(api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol, interval, outputsize='compact'): |
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try: |
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url = f'https://www.alphavantage.co/query?function=FX_INTRADAY&from_symbol={from_symbol}&to_symbol={to_symbol}&interval={interval}&apikey={api_key}&outputsize={outputsize}' |
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response = requests.get(url) |
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data = response.json() |
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time_series_key = 'Time Series FX (' + str(interval) + ')' |
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forex_data = pd.DataFrame(data[time_series_key]).T |
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forex_data.columns = ['Open', 'High', 'Low', 'Close'] |
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forex_data.index = pd.to_datetime(forex_data.index) |
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forex_data.sort_index(inplace=True) |
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forex_data = forex_data.apply(pd.to_numeric) |
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return forex_data |
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except Exception as e: |
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print(f"An error occurred: {str(e)}") |
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return None |
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def analyze_sentiment(json_response, target_ticker): |
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""" |
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Analyze the sentiment data for a specific ticker. |
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:param json_response: The JSON response from the API. |
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:param target_ticker: The ticker symbol to analyze (e.g., base_ticker). |
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:return: A string describing the overall sentiment for the target ticker. |
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""" |
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if not json_response or "feed" not in json_response: |
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return "No data available for analysis" |
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sentiment_label = "Neutral" |
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highest_relevance = 0 |
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for item in json_response.get("feed", []): |
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for ticker_data in item.get("ticker_sentiment", []): |
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if ticker_data["ticker"] == target_ticker: |
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relevance_score = float(ticker_data.get("relevance_score", 0)) |
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sentiment_score = float(ticker_data.get("ticker_sentiment_score", 0)) |
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if relevance_score > highest_relevance: |
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highest_relevance = relevance_score |
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if sentiment_score <= -0.35: |
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sentiment_label = "Bearish" |
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elif -0.35 < sentiment_score <= -0.15: |
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sentiment_label = "Somewhat-Bearish" |
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elif -0.15 < sentiment_score < 0.15: |
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sentiment_label = "Neutral" |
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elif 0.15 <= sentiment_score < 0.35: |
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sentiment_label = "Somewhat_Bullish" |
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elif sentiment_score >= 0.35: |
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sentiment_label = "Bullish" |
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return sentiment_label |
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def make_trade_decision(base_currency, quote_currency, quote_sentiment, base_sentiment): |
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""" |
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Make a trade decision based on sentiment analysis and forex signal parameters. |
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:param quote_sentiment: Sentiment analysis result for {base_currency}. |
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:param base_sentiment: Sentiment analysis result for {quote_currency}. |
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:param entry: Entry price for the trade. |
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:param stop_loss: Stop loss price. |
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:param take_profit: Take profit price. |
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:return: A decision to make the trade or not, along with sentiment analysis results. |
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""" |
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trade_decision = "No trade" |
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decision_reason = f"{base_currency} Sentiment: {quote_sentiment}, {quote_currency} Sentiment: {base_sentiment}" |
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bullish_sentiments = ["Bullish", "Somewhat_Bullish"] |
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bearish_sentiments = ["Bearish", "Somewhat-Bearish"] |
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if quote_sentiment in bullish_sentiments and base_sentiment not in bullish_sentiments: |
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trade_decision = f"Sell {base_currency}/{quote_currency}" |
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elif base_sentiment in bullish_sentiments and quote_sentiment not in bullish_sentiments: |
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trade_decision = f"Buy {base_currency}/{quote_currency}" |
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elif quote_sentiment in bearish_sentiments and base_sentiment not in bearish_sentiments: |
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trade_decision = f"Buy {base_currency}/{quote_currency}" |
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elif base_sentiment in bearish_sentiments and quote_sentiment not in bearish_sentiments: |
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trade_decision = f"Sell {base_currency}/{quote_currency}" |
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return trade_decision, decision_reason |
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def fetch_sentiment_data(api_endpoint, ticker, api_key, sort='LATEST', limit=50): |
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params = { |
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'function': 'NEWS_SENTIMENT', |
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'tickers': ticker, |
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'apikey': api_key, |
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'sort': sort, |
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'limit': limit |
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} |
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response = requests.get(api_endpoint, params=params) |
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if response.status_code == 200: |
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return response.json() |
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else: |
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return f"Error fetching data: {response.status_code}" |
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def load_data(api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol, interval): |
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forex_data = fetch_forex_intraday(api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol, interval) |
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data = bt.feeds.PandasData(dataname=forex_data) |
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return data |
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def should_trade(strategy, api_endpoint, api_key, base_currency, quote_currency): |
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consistent_periods = 3 |
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if len(strategy) < consistent_periods: |
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return False, None, None, "Insufficient data" |
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if strategy.last_signal_timeframe in bt.TimeFrame.Names: |
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timeframe = bt.TimeFrame.getname(strategy.last_signal_timeframe) |
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else: |
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timeframe = "Unknown Timeframe" |
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base_ticker = f"FOREX:{base_currency}" |
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quote_ticker = f"FOREX:{quote_currency}" |
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json_response = fetch_sentiment_data(api_endpoint, f"{base_ticker}", api_key) |
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base_sentiment = analyze_sentiment(json_response, base_ticker) |
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quote_sentiment = analyze_sentiment(json_response, quote_currency) |
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trade_decision, decision_reason = make_trade_decision(base_currency, quote_currency, quote_sentiment, base_sentiment) |
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signal = strategy.crossover[0] |
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if all(strategy.crossover[-i] == signal for i in range(1, consistent_periods + 1)): |
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return True, trade_decision, timeframe, decision_reason |
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return False, None, None, "Not enough consistent signals or conflicting sentiment " +decision_reason+"." |
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import backtrader as bt |
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def run_backtest(api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol, interval): |
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""" |
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Run a backtest using the specified API key, currency symbols, and interval. |
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Parameters: |
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- api_key (str): The API key for accessing the data. |
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- from_symbol (str): The base currency symbol. |
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- to_symbol (str): The quote currency symbol. |
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- interval (str): The time interval for the data. |
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Returns: |
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- html_message (str): An HTML message containing the calculated statistics, trade log, and trade decision information. |
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""" |
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try: |
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cerebro = bt.Cerebro() |
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cerebro.addstrategy(TrendFollowingStrategy) |
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data = load_data(api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol, interval) |
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cerebro.adddata(data) |
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cerebro.broker.set_cash(10000) |
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strategy_instance = cerebro.run()[0] |
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api_endpoint = "https://www.alphavantage.co/query" |
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total_trades = strategy_instance.trade_count |
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total_wins = strategy_instance.win_count |
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total_losses = strategy_instance.loss_count |
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win_percentage = (total_wins / total_trades) * 100 |
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loss_percentage = (total_losses / total_trades) * 100 |
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trade_log = strategy_instance.get_trade_log() |
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valid_buy_trades = 0 |
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valid_sell_trades = 0 |
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last_trade_line = "" |
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for trade in trade_log: |
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if trade['trade_type'] == 'CALL': |
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valid_buy_trades += 1 |
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elif trade['trade_type'] == 'PUT': |
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valid_sell_trades += 1 |
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last_trade_line = f"Trade {trade['trade_num']}: {trade['trade_type']} - {trade['outcome']}" |
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for trade in trade_log: |
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if trade['trade_type'] == 'CALL': |
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valid_buy_trades += 1 |
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elif trade['trade_type'] == 'PUT': |
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valid_sell_trades += 1 |
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if win_percentage > loss_percentage: |
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signal = last_trade_line |
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color = "green" |
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else: |
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signal = last_trade_line |
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color = "red" |
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trade_decision, trade_type, trade_timeframe, reason = should_trade(strategy_instance, api_endpoint, api_key, from_symbol, to_symbol) |
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html_message = f""" |
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<p><strong>Strategy Performance Summary:</strong></p> |
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<p>On the {interval} timeframe</p> |
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<p>*****************************</p> |
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<p>Total Trades: {total_trades}</p> |
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<p>Total Wins: {total_wins} ({win_percentage:.2f}%)</p> |
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<p>Total Losses: {total_losses} ({loss_percentage:.2f}%)</p> |
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<p>Signal: <span style='color: {color}'>{signal}</span></p> |
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<p><strong>Trade Log:</strong></p> |
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<ul> |
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""" |
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for trade in trade_log: |
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html_message += f"<li>Trade {trade['trade_num']}: {trade['trade_type']} - {trade['outcome']}</li>" |
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html_message += "</ul>" |
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html_message += f""" |
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<p><strong>Trade Decision:</strong></p> |
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<p>Trade Type: {trade_type}</p> |
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<p>Timeframe: {trade_timeframe}</p> |
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<p>Reason: {reason}</p> |
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""" |
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return html_message |
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except Exception as e: |
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return f"Waiting for data" |
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from_currency_choices = ['EUR', 'GBP', 'USD', 'AUD', 'JPY', 'CAD', 'CHF', 'NZD'] |
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to_currency_choices = ['USD', 'JPY', 'GBP', 'AUD', 'CAD', 'CHF', 'NZD', 'EUR'] |
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api_key_link = "https://www.alphavantage.co/support/#api-key" |
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api_key_input = gr.Textbox(label="API Key", placeholder="Enter your API key") |
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from_currency_input = gr.Dropdown(label="From Currency", choices= ['EUR', 'GBP', 'USD', 'AUD', 'JPY', 'CAD', 'CHF', 'NZD']) |
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to_currency_input = gr.Dropdown(label="To Currency", choices=['USD', 'JPY', 'GBP', 'AUD', 'CAD', 'CHF', 'NZD', 'EUR']) |
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interval_input = gr.Radio(label="Interval", choices=["1min", "5min", "15min", "30min", "60min"]) |
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gr.Interface( |
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fn=run_backtest, |
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inputs=[api_key_input, from_currency_input, to_currency_input, interval_input], |
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outputs="html", |
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live=True, |
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title="Forex Trend Trading Signals", |
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description=instructions, |
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cache_examples=True |
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).launch() |
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