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1.1k

Intel to invest $4.6 billion in new chip plant in Poland

259 comments

2023-06-24

Intel plans to invest up to $4.6 billion in a new semiconductor assembly and test facility near Wrocław, Poland, as part of a multi-billion-dollar investment drive across Europe to build chip capacity, it said on Friday.The U.S. chipmaker last year announced plans to build a big chip complex in Germany along with facilities in Ireland and France as it seeks to benefit from European Commission's eased funding rules and subsidies as the EU looks to cut its dependence on U.S. and Asian supply.The facility in Poland will employ 2,000 workers and create several thousand additional jobs during the construction phase and hiring by suppliers, the company said in a statement."Poland was just a little bit hungrier to win this site," Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said in a news conference.Several countries have been vying to get Intel to invest in their regions and some, like Germany, who have secured a commitment from Intel, have been in talks on the amount of subsidies they can doll out.Handelsblatt newspaper reported on Thursday that the German government and Intel were close to an agreement for 9.9 billion euros ($10.83 billion) in subsidies, up from a previously agreed 6.8 billion."We are not asking for handouts, we are asking for competitiveness," Gelsinger said in an interview."Labour costs have gone up substantially, material costs have gone up substantially, so all of a sudden, the cost gap was bigger than we had originally estimated."German Chancellor Olaf Scholz will meet with Gelsinger on Monday, a government spokesperson said in Berlin.Gelsinger declined to provide detail on the subsidy amount, but said he hopes to come to an agreement."The gaps are too big. If we close them, we shake hands, and we are going forward," Gelsinger said.The level of any subsidy offered to Intel by Poland was not made public during Friday's announcement.Design and planning for the facility will begin immediately, with construction to commence pending European Commission approval.Mateusz Morawiecki, prime minister of Poland, called Intel's factory "the largest greenfield investment in the history of Poland".The company, which has been in the country for 30 years and employs 4,000 workers, said it chose Poland because of its infrastructure, available talent and noted the site is close to its planned factory in Germany and its site in Ireland.It expects the facility to come online by 2027.Intel under Gelsinger has been investing billions in building factories across three continents to restore its dominance in chip making and better compete with rivals AMD, NVIDIA and Samsung.https://www.reuters.com/technology/intel-invest-46-bln-new-chip-plant-poland-2023-06-16/

2023-07-24

40

Should I sell CHPT and LCID?

84 comments

2023-06-24

I invested in both when I first opened my Roth IRA 3 years ago. Both down 70% since then. Lesson learnt. Should I sell and invest in VOO / JEPI etc? Or hold on and pray for a miracle bounce back? CHPT especially I still have hope for…just curious what others think. Thanks in advance.Update: I’ve sold LCID but holding CHPT for now. Will invest the money I’ve cashed out on VOO.

2023-07-24

155

Ready to ditch the fax machine and embrace the future of faxing? With eFax, you can send and receive faxes right from your computer, or smartphone.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=JfX3ht0FFUvbM4y0ry6iST35UvCtqHUcfyjNaciIzIeqLIYp69H7hg7pseMtZQx7Z5Kiu-FDa2kPJIUY2RFLglEa-B2nKxpEOBzWRmbWN4l84IiD7Qgzccgh1t2tBpPIz-RY0mrzebxF3tnemkLhNVW80aM6XtC-5TIn6sr_cbwq2PwTDyiEaPf6fwvBmaJL8lFkIZMTE8YTRLYuf3zSO0vpqcERfzZqq55PNyzHsHKGr1KEEHgpgE7hjRoatwgW2lH__NuzJaGT1lI171bOUAqUdZVz-WO3uOEHLPmktdv4Q8aHWzA9N9QlzQowKBCg5QW0Ix0EXvcjkhqXGb2QjMOk9tdWlc13LugPjD1dDvofxva6MHOjlUukRF-gr4M3iVx8IER5&zp=_oDpQUVFMoCNXYDG-THr3zR0lvp_LaldJPtXNt3KlxLzuS_qVMZb3vrouk5_33EkjK5uLPRTOCC_PD6PG5DIm7nCa5-IuC03bCP5w5dGnhuXc6cgd-u4-LXihr386AcXy6XUFdgo7KTk6HDhEQEcSlE_tR-NnFrzp9wenr7O2AmoheaY293vNm8o0cmaGJmlw7yyjA0OGTZuPsl-QyhQ3jgXcWmdXKAjmkQ2eLANeGloVXHfLVGgdkk

0 comments

2023-07-24

14

/r/Stocks Weekend Discussion Saturday - Jun 17, 2023

165 comments

2023-06-24

This is the weekend edition of our stickied discussion thread. Discuss your trades / moves from last week and what you're planning on doing for the week ahead.Some helpful links:Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocksBloomberg market newsStreetInsider news:Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dipsReuters aggregated - Global newsIf you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

4

r/Stocks Weekly Thread on Meme Stocks Saturday - Jun 17, 2023

4 comments

2023-06-24

The meme stock scheduled posts will now run weekly and post Saturday afternoon and won't be a sticky; you're probably seeing this because automod sent you here!Full list of meme stocks here. This will be updated every once in a while.Welcome traders who just can't help them selves discuss the same exact stock that's been discussed 100s of times a day. I get it, you want to talk about what's popular, what's hot, and that 1.. single.. stock you like.. well here you go! Some helpful links just for you:Previous meme stock threadsGeneral discussionsThe original GME megathread with a ton of useful informationUse Finviz for aggregated news on your favorite stockAn important message from our mod u/TCGYT regarding meme stocks.Lastly if you need professional help:Problem Gambling: Call/Text: 1-800-522-4700 or chat online now.Crisis Hotline (24/7): 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (Veterans, press 1) or Text “HOME” to 741-741

2023-07-24

792

Nvidia board member dumps $48 million more in stock amid monster rally

192 comments

2023-06-24

Harvey Jones, who has been on the board since 1993, has unloaded more than $76 million worth of Nvidia shares so far this month.A longtime board member at Nvidia Corp. dumped more than $48 million worth of the chip maker’s shares earlier this week, cashing in on the stock’s recent surge.Harvey Jones, who has been on the Nvidia NVDA, -0.80% board since 1993, sold nearly 120,000 shares of the company Tuesday at prices between $400 and $408.51, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made public Wednesday. He pocketed $48.3 million through the transaction, which took place with shares that he held in his living trust.Jones, who is also the managing partner of private-investment entity Square Wave Ventures, holds 676,396 shares of Nvidia through the trust after Tuesday’s activity. He owns another 137,934 shares directly.The latest transaction by Jones follows a move by the Nvidia director to unload 70,205 shares at an average price of $405 on June 2, according to a filing from earlier in the month. He made over $28 million through that earlier burst of selling.Jones is reducing his Nvidia holdings as the stock has seen a massive run up so far this year, rising nearly 200% over that span. Nvidia recently became just the seventh U.S. public company to finish out a trading session with a market capitalization above $1 trillion, and it’s seen as a huge beneficiary of the growing fascination with artificial-intelligence technology.https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidia-board-member-dumps-48-million-more-in-stock-amid-monster-rally-4aa58158

2023-07-24

1.6k

The market has gone up over 30% since Michael Burry's infamous "Sell." tweet.

314 comments

2023-06-24

On the 31st January 2023, Michael Burry posted a very short tweet saying "Sell."Since then, the market has been on an absolute rampage, up over 30% in that time.Whether he was early or wrong remains to be seen, although you could argue that they're the same thing. Regardless, it gives us another example of why you shouldn't try and time the market.Personally, I find it hard to believe that somebody that intelligent could be THAT wrong so I'm a bit bearish than most people now.Thoughts?

2023-07-24

2

Automated technical analysis

10 comments

2023-06-24

Does anyone have experience/recommendations regarding automating technical analysis? I've been interested in it for a while as a way to save time looking at tons of charts and to more easily look at large sections of the market.I've written a python script that scans the S&P500 stocks and uses RSI, Bollinger bands, and ADX to I identify possible entry points. My hope is to build a system that'll flag like 10-20 opportunities a week that I can then manually review and decide to buy or not.My goal is relatively short term trading, without going into single day trading. So holding for a couple days to a couple weeks.Thoughts? Has anyone done this and has recommendations? Is anyone more experience with technical analysis and willing to give some pointers for indicators that can be relatively easily put into code?Or even a good book recommendation to better understand technical analysis would be great. I think the script I have now is nice. But I'm sure the algorithm for finding potential entry points could use a lot of tweaking

2023-07-24

3

Exercised stock options in Carta, haven't got certificate

1 comment

2023-06-24

I exercised my ex-employer's stock options in Carta and they have been stuck at the "Waiting for employer to issue certificate" step for many months now. I reached out to the comptroller at the company, they said it's an issue on Carta's end and they will get to it, but it's been several weeks and they are not responding. Meanwhile, my funds are stuck with Carta but I don't have a certificate.The company itself is doing quite badly and are not likely to IPO so exercising them was likely a mistake. I have two main questions:Since the certificate has not been issued yet (but the exercise is in progress), is it possible for the exercise request to be reversed/reversed at this stage so that I get back my funds? [Or is it that once an exercise has been requested, it must go through...]In this case, would the responsibility be with Carta or the company to finalize the exercise? If company then I can request some ex-colleagues to talk to the finance dept. If Carta I'll reach out to support. It seems like it's a company step unless it's a technical issue on Carta's end.Either way, I want to finalize this so I either have a stock option certificate or have the exercise cancelled entirely.

2023-07-24

12

Shopify stock: Time to sell?

13 comments

2023-06-24

This growth stock's recent gains may be driven more by hype than fundamentalsShares of Shopify have skyrocketed recently. The stock is up about 90% year to date and more than 115% over the last year. Some shareholders of the e-commerce platform provider are likely sitting on big gains, so this begs the question: Is it time to take profits?The growth stock's recent gains seem to be fueled by a combination of momentum in tech stocks and hype surrounding artificial intelligence (AI). As a result, this may be one of those times when it makes sense to sell into exuberance.Not only is the valuation questionable, but the company's operating loss is moving in the wrong direction. With shares trading at about $66 as of this writing, the bull case is becoming too difficult to justify.Disappointing business economicsWhen Shopify went public in 2015, many investors likely expected the company would be unprofitable for some time. With that said, it's unlikely investors expected that the company would still be reporting significant operating losses into 2023.Sure, revenue has surged from $205 million in 2015 to $5.9 billion over the trailing 12 months. But the company's trailing-12-month operating loss has increased substantially over this period, growing from about $18 million in 2015 to about $549 million.To be fair, Shopify's operating loss has improved as a percentage of sales during this period. But at the end of the day, Shopify has failed to show investors that its business can generate meaningful profits consistently. Even worse, the stakes for Shopify to do so are now incredibly high, given the company's staggering market capitalization of $84 billion.Operating losses haven't just increased between 2015 and 2023. Trends didn't look good in the company's most recently reported first quarter, either. The first-quarter operating loss was $193 million, or 13% of revenue. This compares to $98 million, or 8% of revenue, in the year-ago period.Fortunately, Shopify is doing things to address the poor economics of its business. Alongside its first-quarter results, the company announced that it was reducing its workforce by 20%. This should help it make material progress toward profitability. But it could be five to 10 years before profits live up to Shopify's gargantuan market capitalization, which is marching toward one-tenth of a trillion dollars.None of this is to say that Shopify is a bad business. It's just difficult to justify an $84 billion market capitalization, given the underlying fundamentals.There may be better stocks to buyGiven the hype surrounding artificial intelligence and the Nasdaq Composite's 31% year-to-date gain, it would be difficult to argue against the idea that some of the recent gains in tech have been more about momentum and fear of missing out than fundamentals. It makes sense, therefore, for investors to scrutinize their portfolios to see where exuberance may be the dominating sentiment.Shopify's frothy valuation looks like it could be the byproduct of some of the hype in tech and AI, making it a good time for investors to consider selling their entire positions or at least trimming them a bit. After all, with tech stocks leading the market's rally recently, there may be some stocks beyond tech that are more attractive at this point.

2023-07-24

Vote

Um eine Terrororganisation von innen zu stürzen, gehen die Agentinnen Cruz und Joe undercover.

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0 comments

2023-07-24

6

Info/Redeeming US Government Savings/Recovery Bonds

10 comments

2023-06-24

I was gifted these US Government Savings/Recovery Bonds. I know nothing about them. Do they gain value? Any help/information is appreciated. Repeating to avoid "low effort post" as I have nothing more to say about this. TIA! I was gifted these US Government Savings/Recovery Bonds. I know nothing about them. Do they gain value? Any help/information is appreciated. Repeating to avoid "low effort post" as I have nothing more to say about this. TIA!

2023-07-24

56

iRobot shares up 20% on U.K. Approval of Acquisition by Amazon

16 comments

2023-06-24

iRobot up 20% on CMA approving the acquisition of the company by Amazon.https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/06/16/why-irobot-stock-suddenly-skyrocketed-today/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=articleInteresting approval considering the CMA has blocked the Microsoft acquisition of ATVI. Amazon could easily be viewed as the top owner of in-home user data.This gives Amazon another look inside the homes of millions of customers. Amazon's view into users homes broadens even wider than what is offered currently with Alexa, Whole Foods, Prime membership, Echo, Kindle, Prime Video, etc.Interesting article on the perceived monopoly written 11 months ago.https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/08/amazon-roomba-irobot-acquisition-monopoly/671145/

2023-07-24

0

Training ML models until low error rates are achieved requires billions of $ invested

13 comments

2023-06-24

For example, achieving a 5 percent error rate would require 10 19 billion floating-point operations.Important work by scholars at the University of Massachusetts Amherst allows us to understand the economic cost and carbon emissions implied by this computational burden. The answers are grim: Training such a model would cost US $100 billion and would produce as much carbon emissions as New York City does in a month. And if we estimate the computational burden of a 1 percent error rate, the results are considerably worseA large European supermarket chain recently abandoned a deep-learning-based system that markedly improved its ability to predict which products would be purchased. The company executives dropped that attempt because they judged that the cost of training and running the system would be too high.Source https://spectrum.ieee.org/deep-learning-computational-cost

2023-07-24

497

Microsoft’s stock hits record after executives predict $10 billion in annual A.I. revenue

98 comments

2023-06-24

2023-07-24

0

The Trials of Short Sellers

6

2023-06-24

The indices are rising each day. Almost without pause. Those who opened long positions either in early May or at the start of the year are in a good spot. But is it really that bad for those who are short? The question seems odd. Of course it's bad! But, in reality, things are more nuanced than that. Surely, it's unfortunate for those who, a month ago, put all their money, or borrowed money, into short funds like SPXU or SQQQ. However, those who perceive fundamental economic issues as a threat to the stock market, yet who still have a basic understanding of risk management, may view the current euphoria as an opportunity to sell higher. The issues themselves, including rising interest rates, problems in the banking sector and commercial real estate, and a cooling labor market, have been widely discussed. It's not worth rehashing them here. After all, the technical aspect is more important. A short seller believes that, fundamentally, the indices should be lower. But do they accept the reality that the market may not start to fall immediately upon the opening of the first shorts? Undoubtedly. The market rises over 80% of the time. However, this fact itself is not a reason to momentarily go long and then attempt to quickly flip at the peak. Timing is a tricky thing. What's far more important is understanding what to do in the event of one scenario or another. If one cautiously opens a position in small portions, then there's no significant issue with a "paper" loss. Moreover, unfavorable movement at the start allows for a gradual increase in the position volume at a more favorable price. When the market does turn, such averaging will result in earning more than if the market had immediately collapsed following the opening of a small initial short position. What matters here is that there is movement. Whether it goes down immediately or rises first isn't as crucial. Sometimes, it's even better if it rises first. To conclude, given the present circumstances and despite the seeming adversity, I find myself quite comfortable holding SPXU.

2023-07-24

1.3k

Friend reported me Insider trading solicitation potentially misleading / unconfirmed

958

2023-06-24

Asked a friend about a company he works at. I own a few shares of his company and noticed it doing well so planning on taking my gains. Asked him if I should sell, he said he can’t tell me anything about it. Which I’m like ok but do you like it? No response. Then he proceeded to text me the next day and said that he reported to his management about me inquiring about the company stock. He reported me for insider trading solicitation. I have not sold or bought any more shares of the company. I haven’t even logged in to the brokerage since our exchange. I bought the shares of the company before even asking him. How worried should I be? Edit: he works in accounting (senior financial analyst)

2023-07-24

1.4k

Appeals court in Belgium rules that TSLA has to refund full price for Tesla S because of severe deficiencies in comfort and safety Company News

257

2023-06-24

This is the first ruling of an appellate court in Europe against Tesla. The ruling by the Antwerp court rips apart Tesla‘s auto pilot functions and cites multiple severe deficiencies like unwanted stoppages. The court also criticized Tesla for obstructing the investigation https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/gerichtsurteil-in-belgien-tesla-muss-fahrzeug-zuruecknehmen/29207716.html

2023-07-24

11.2k

Geopolitics is your sandbox

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=Nt6eRbCgg_4DP0WBHMjs8-JCvt_UH--bV6DWXZn2I9iVRu0CxrppYdstLkyefElHM-AXFGlLUw6wYHN7C2LF8g9LHGirVVIMIgNfpAB6uY3t8iOENzqiwv8d8fwWqvKUj7EEKBN1VogaitST8keA60rGJxvRatS43Khy1Sv9C-oKmeb8DcCS3-hz0oUWGpM8DOcZX596sTCU_KgyHnxmZWHql9c4jNXVf22BgHRvQhokQr68SDvnGrCHh4KCkErMCUCstdzICrYVxUSuKtSJg-rB3OtSMEB9TwXj4vYf23e1pkZ62kGknuXLHfifyu3osWTTxO8toMBEw-1rKR9CTxOAWsf0e4wywVHhUF08uQXMl_cFQ_JFtkwfner8CPrHcLAN&zp=mGgGm5knwNegroox8N3964k1nbFNL8Ndj_gC2bbQAicTcX8_NbygN2vWHYekp6kR-eawaNYn58GA608UjaEWcl6NIyup7w6ZoDmJvNaLJiEdt7nMnPFUpjvmDOeh1Y_xJz5V5iVUXu91gnXbHIamzb4xLp31q3JaIqae6IYj7CPzLR7p7F4tj-fXkrTL50BpVng0-A19rw

1.9k

2023-07-24

14

Can someone please help me set up my 403B? My employer allows me to use a self-directed brokerage account and I'm a little overwhelmed. Advice Request

13

2023-06-24

Hey everyone! I'm just looking for personal insights and opinions regarding the best 3-fund portfolio and index funds. Not sure where to really begin. Since this is my first real retirement account, I'm assuming consistent, passive, safe (enough) gains are what I'm after. Thank you all very much.

2023-07-24

13

Stock Price Increased but Negative gains on Fidelity Advice Request

18

2023-06-24

I’m new to this process of buying and selling of stocks. I recently created a Fidelity account and invested in a stock. The next day, the price of the stock went up by like $7, but it’s saying that I lost money? My balance is below what I initially had before and I’m pretty sure fidelity doesn’t have any trading fees…so what’s going on?

2023-07-24

6

Anecdotal going out to stores for research?

16

2023-06-24

So, I’ve always felt this advice was very anecdotal compared to following news and looking into company info regarding stocks. But, a couple years ago following my then girlfriend now wife, she had me pull into Starbucks, we waited for 30 minutes for drinks through a busy line through drive thru and store. I ended up buying into it and making a healthy profit. Today at the mall, my wife explained styles and walked past various large name brand stores and stopped at Lululemon, it was super busy and pretty pricey but quite a healthy amount of buyers into it despite inflation and housing environment. Does anyone else like to go out and do their own research? I usually don’t but sometimes seeing/hearing what the trends are from my wife/friends helps forecast what style/brand is in.

2023-07-24

6

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning June 19th, 2023

5 comments

2023-06-24

Good Friday evening to all of you here on r/stocks! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 19th, 2023.S&P 500 breaks six-day win streak on Friday, but still notches best week since March: Live updates - (Source)The S&P 500 rose slightly Friday, touching the 4,300 level for the first time since August 2022 as investors looked ahead to upcoming inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.Stocks slipped on Friday as Wall Street closed out a huge week in which investors received a pause on rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, plus encouraging inflation data.The S&P 500 ticked down 0.37% to close at 4,409.59, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 108.94 points, or 0.32%, to close at 34,299.12. The Nasdaq Composite lost 0.68% to finish the session at 13,689.57.Here are the major market milestones on the week:The S&P 500 is up 2.6% on the week, its best performance since March.It’s the S&P 500′s fifth positive week in a row, the first such streak since November 2021.The benchmark is now up more than 26% from its bear market low.The Nasdaq Composite is up about 3.3% on the week, its best week since March.The Nasdaq is up eight weeks in a row, its best winning streak since 2019.Both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were up six days in a row through Thursday.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up nearly 1.3% for the week, its third positive week in a row.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have hit their highest levels since April 2022.The Federal Reserve delivered what investors wanted this week when the central bank left rates unchanged Wednesday after 10 consecutive hikes. While the Fed signaled that two more rate increases were coming this year, many traders and economists on Wall Street believe the Fed could be nearly done. Earlier in the week, the May consumer price index came in at the lowest in two years.Adobe added 0.9% after beating results and issuing upbeat guidance, the latest tech stock to rally. AI darling Nvidia gained 10% this week, adding to its 192% surge this year. Microsoft added 4.7% this week and hit a record Thursday. Tech shares were the hardest hit initially when the Fed embarked on its rate-hiking campaign.“Wall Street remains upbeat that the AI wave won’t be going away anytime soon and that investors will prefer US stocks as we see diverging central bank policies worldwide,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “This stock market rally seems a bit overextended but too much money remains on the sidelines, which means if the AI trade remains intact, this winning streak for the S&P 500 can continue.”Friday brought more good news on the inflation and economic front. Consumer inflation expectations fell in June, with one-year assumptions for price pressures declining to 3.3% from 4.2% in May. The headline reading from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers came in at 63.9, higher than estimates of 60.2 from Dow Jones.Friday’s session saw choppy moves across the stock market as stock options, index futures and index future option contracts.Friday also marks the final trading day before a long weekend, with the market closed Monday in observation of Juneteenth.This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)S&P Sectors for this past week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)Major Indices for this past week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)S&P Sectors for the Past Week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)Four Things the Bulls Need to Know“The stock market is the only place where things go on sale, yet everyone runs out of the store screaming.” -Old stock market axiomHere are four things that have caught my attention over the past week.First up, you might have heard by now, but the S&P 500 moved into a new bull market, up more than 20% from the October ’22 lows. We wrote about this in detail here, but investors need to know that a year after this happened, the S&P 500 was historically up 17.7% on average and higher 12 out of 13 times.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Adding to the fun, S&P 500 finally made a new 52-week high this week, the first one since early January 2022. What does this mean? Below we looked at all the times stocks went at least one year without a new 52-week high and the good news is more strength is quite likely. A year later stocks have been higher an incredible 15 out of 15 times and up more than 17% on average. Adding that to the numbers in the first table and the next year could continue to surprise to the upside.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Next up, this week marked officially eight months since the bear market ended. To think stocks would be up more than 20% by now would have been crazy to most investors if they were being honest. The quote I used above is one I always think about when stocks fall and it really does sum up investor sentiment well. Very few were saying ‘buy stocks’ last October and most didn’t say it early in 2023 either.We did note the week of the lows why the lows were likely in (and boy did the bears hate that call), but even I’ve got to admit the strength this year has been impressive. We moved to overweight equities in our Carson House View models in mid-December and we added to equity risk in late March during the regional bank crisis. To sum it up, we’ve been in the lonely bullish camp and continue to think higher prices are coming.What does eight months without a new 52-week low mean? It would be extremely rare for stocks to roll over and make new lows from here for starters. Also, three months later the S&P 500 was up 85% of the time, six months later 90% of the time, and a year later 80% of the time higher. The bottom line, once you get to eight months without a new 52-week low, the upward trajectory likely stays in place.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Lastly, the bear market officially started a year ago this week, as the S&P 500 moved to down 20% from the January ’22 peak on 6/13/2022. That wasn’t a fun time for investors at all, but here we are a year later, and stocks are up more than 16%. In other words, had you had the intestinal fortitude to buy when all the headlines were negative, you’d be sitting on some great gains a year later. Again, think about the quote at the top of this blog. This is what is important to always remember. Stocks go up and they go down. If you want to get some good deals, you need to buy when they are lower.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Why the Fed Wasn’t As Hawkish As Everyone ThinksThe Federal Reserve (Fed) didn’t raise rates in June, leaving the Federal Funds rate in the 5-5.25% range. This was the first meeting in which they held back ever since they started raising rates back in March 2022.However, the big news was that Fed members project rates to be 0.5%-points higher than what they projected back in March. Members updated their projections for rates to hit 5.6% at the end of 2023, up from the previous estimate of 5.1%. By itself, this was viewed as a very hawkish signal, despite the pause in rate hikes.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)If you recall, the last set of projections was made in March soon after the Silicon Valley Bank crisis. At the time, they said that potential credit tightening would be equivalent to rate hikes, so they left projections unchanged.Fast forward three months and the economy looks to have weathered the banking crisis, even as core inflation (excluding food and energy) remains elevated. Hence the update to where they believe rates should be at the end of 2023.However, the rest of the materials they released, along with Fed Chair Powell’s comments suggest more rate hikes are not a certainty.The Fed is (finally) acknowledging the economy’s resilienceAlong with interest rate projections, Fed members also updated their economic projections. This is where things got interesting. The updated projections included:Raising 2023 real GDP growth from 0.4% to 1%Dropping the 2023 unemployment rate from 4.5% to 4.1%Despite projecting more rate hikes, they seem to believe that economic growth will be stronger than they expected back in March, and the unemployment rate lower.At the same time, they also expect inflation as measured by the core personal consumption expenditures index (their preferred measure) to be 3.9% y the end of 2023. In March, the expectation was 3.6%. The higher projection makes sense within the context of the economic strength we’re seeing currently (we’ve written about this).Moreover, Fed members expect core inflation to slow to 2.6% in 2024, leading them to project interest rate cuts worth about 1%. Even as the economy grows 1.1% in 2024.Take all these projections with several grains of salt. Moreover, these projections are not forecasts – instead, they’re more like best guesses.However, it is a sign that Fed officials finally believe that inflation can slow down without a recession. That’s a significant turnaround from what they’ve been signaling over the last year, i.e. a huge economic slowdown/recession is necessary for inflation to fall.In fact, Powell acknowledged that the conditions are in place for inflation to slow down – economic growth has fallen below trend though activity remains strong, the labor market is less tight, and goods supply chain disruptions are easing.Pausing in June allows them to get more information about the impact of rate hikes and the banking crisis. Now, the July Fed meeting is only 6 weeks away and there’s not enough data that will give them that information. Instead, they’re looking for at least 3 months of data to see how things evolve.That buys time and indicates that 2 more rate hikes (each worth 0.25%) are not a sure thing. At the same time, raising the 2023 estimate ensures that investors believe they are serious about curbing inflation, and gives them the optionality to increase rates if inflation remains persistent.Good news: inflation looks to be headed lowerHeadline CPI inflation has decelerated from a peak of 9.1% year-over-year in June 2022 to 4% in May. Over the past three months, inflation is running at a 2.2% annualized pace, the slowest 3-month pace since two and half years.The big driver of the pullback has been energy, but more recently, food prices have also started falling. Vehicle prices, which boosted inflation last year, are also moving lower – used car prices rose over the last two months, but private data indicates that it’s going to reverse soon.What’s left? As the chart below indicates, a lot of it is shelter inflation (the dark green bar). This is the main reason why core inflation remains elevated, running at a 5% annualized pace over the last three months. That’s simply too high for the Fed.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)The good news is that shelter inflation looks to be at an inflection point. We’ve discussed in the past how the official rental inflation data has a significant lag to the private market data. Private data have been showing rents to be decelerating for more than a year now. It’s taken a while, but the official data is now turning around as well. It is a bit like turning an aircraft carrier around, and so it is going to take a while. But it is just a matter of time before core inflation decelerates on the back of falling shelter inflation.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Now, the Fed has said that they need to see even services inflation excluding shelter decelerate. We received good news on that front. The Atlanta Federal Reserve calculates something called the Sticky Price CPI excluding food, energy, and shelter. It measures inflation for items whose prices typically don’t change frequently. Over the past 3 months, this measure is running at a 2.5% annualized pace, well below the peak of 7.3% we saw last year.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)On top of this, the producer price index, which measures input prices for businesses and typically leads inflation, has collapsed to just 1.2% year-over-year in May. That’s well off the peak pace of 11.6% we saw in March 2022, and lower than the pre-pandemic average of 2%. Even excluding food and energy, PPI is down to 2.8% now from 9.7% 14 months ago.All in all, there’s encouraging news on the inflation front even as the economy remains resilient. Powell’s comments reflect that. This is why we’re not quite so convinced that two more rate hikes are baked in. But expect them to leave rates higher for longer.Why Strong Stock Returns on Friday is BullishOne of the most hated and despised rallies continued last week, with the S&P now up nearly 12% on the year and officially up more than 20% from the October lows. If you’ve been reading or listening to what the Carson Investment Research team has been saying, then you know we’ve been in the camp we’ve been in a new bull market for quite some time now, expecting continued higher prices. None the less, with stocks now officially up 20%, we see others finally coming around. For instance, check out the cover of Barron’s over the weekend. Yeah, we sure weren’t seeing things like that in January, were we?(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Sonu and I both wrote blogs last week on stocks being up 20% from the lows and you can read them here and here. Additionally, here’s a Yahoo! Finance hit I did on October 13, the exact day that stocks officially bottomed. I noted many reasons to think better times were coming and fortunately, that is exactly what has happened.Additionally, here’s the blog I wrote a week after the October lows titled Why Stocks Likely Just Bottomed. Our bullish tilt since late last year wasn’t popular and has been widely mocked by many bears for months and months. We aren’t hearing so much chirping from them now thoughOne thing we’ve notice lately is buying and strength in stocks later in the week, specifically on Thursday and Friday. We love to see this, as it shows there is confidence to hold stocks over the weekend. Those of us that have done this long enough remember how volatile (and usually bearish) Friday afternoons would be during the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) or during the COVID bear market in February and March of 2020. Even last year during the bear market we saw historically weak returns on Friday.So, to now see buying and confidence on Thursday and Friday in ’23 are significant changes from what we saw during previous bearish phases and could be another clue that this bull market is indeed healthy and likely has legs left.This first chart shows just how much better Thursday and Friday are doing than the other days this year. Again, we like to see this late week buying as a clue things are healthy and confident. (For those wondering how we did the annualized return calculations, the average Friday return this year so far has been a gain of 0.40%, so we multiplied that by 252 (the number of trading days per year) to get an annualized return).(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Let’s talk specifically about Friday, shall we? As of last week, Friday was up an incredible 101.7% on an annualized basis in ’23. This would come in as the best Friday EVER. Now, let’s be honest, the odds do favor this coming back to earth some over the remaining rest of the year, but overall we are on a great start to this year being one of the best ever for stocks on a Friday.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)What does it all mean you ask? In the final table below, I looked at all years that had at least a 55% annualized return on Friday. This was the very best 12 years ever for Friday returns and sure enough, they are also some of the best years overall for stocks. In other words, some of the best years ever also saw strong performance on the last day of the week, further confirming that buying on a Friday is what you tend to see in bullish markets.We will end on this note, stocks were higher 12 out of 12 times in these years and up a very impressive 24.8% on average, about half of this year’s 12.0% return so far. This could be a subtle clue that as good as this year has been, it could have more in the tank before all is said and done. I did discuss this Friday concept on Yahoo! Finance on Friday.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Solid Pre-Election June Gains As ExpectedJune is delivering much better than typical pre-election year strength, but NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are leading the charge as usual. R2K was up 7% for the month yesterday and NAS was up 4%, both up more today. However, June quarterly OpEx is riddled with volatility. Week after DJIA is Down 27 of the last 33 years 1990-2022. (2023 STA page 108.) S&P down 23 of 33. NASDAQ down 18/33.So far in 2023 NASDAQ is closely tracking the pre-election pattern up 28.6% year-to-date! But remember, June ends NASDAQ’s Best 8 Months with a seasonal peak in mid-July. Enjoy this AI/Chip-driven rally for now and use it to reposition for the Worst 4 Months July-October.The backdrop is set up for sideways action over the weak summer months, especially after mid-July into the worst two months of the year August and September. This is lining up well for our NASDAQ Best 8 Months MACD Seasonal Sell Signal that can occur anytime on or after June 1. AI (Almanac Investor) subscribers will be emailed when it triggers.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)More Balanced JuneHeading into the month of June, stock market performance this year was a clear case of the haves and the have-nots. The chart below shows the performance of S&P 500 sectors on a YTD basis through the end of May. As of 5/31, just three sectors - Technology, Communications Services, and Consumer Discretionary - were outperforming the S&P 500 YTD, and the eight other sectors were not only underperforming the S&P 500's YTD gain of 8.9%, but they were also all down on a YTD basis.(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)The flip of the calendar has seen the trend of uneven YTD returns flip as well. Besides the fact that every sector is up on a MTD basis, the number of sectors outperforming the S&P 500's 4.6% MTD gains are much more evenly split with five sectors outperforming and six underperforming. Surprisingly, one of those sectors lagging behind the S&P 500 is Technology! Uneven market returns have been a key complaint of bears all year. If the pattern of June continues, though, what will they blame next?(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Here is the list of notable tickers reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-($FDX $KMX $DRI $ACN $WGO $FDS $LZB $CMC $KBH $GMS $DLNG $PDCO $MEI $CDMO $SCS $APOG $XAIR $ASTL $CGRN)(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)(NONE.)Here is the full list of companies report earnings for this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:Monday 6.19.23 Before Market Open:(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)(NONE. U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF JUNETEENTH.)Monday 6.19.23 After Market Close:(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)(NONE. U.S. MARKETS CLOSED IN OBSERVANCE OF JUNETEENTH.)Tuesday 6.20.23 Before Market Open:(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)(NONE.)Tuesday 6.20.23 After Market Close:(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)Wednesday 6.21.23 Before Market Open:(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)Wednesday 6.21.23 After Market Close:(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)Thursday 6.22.23 Before Market Open:(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)Thursday 6.22.23 After Market Close:(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)Friday 6.23.23 Before Market Open:(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)(NONE.)Friday 6.23.23 After Market Close:(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)(NONE.)(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)(T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)DISCUSS!What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?I hope you all have a wonderful long 3-day weekend and a great new trading week ahead r/stocks. :)

2023-07-24

23

Das mit Spannung erwartete Einzelspieler-Weltraum-Action-RPG EVERSPACE 2 erscheint am 15. August 2023 für PlayStation 5 und Xbox Series X|S! 🚀🚀🚀 Jetzt mit 20% Rabatt auf PlayStation vorbestellen oder an Tag 1 über Xbox Game Pass spielen und beim Kauf 20% sparen!

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0 comments

2023-07-24

589

The CEO of Kroger mentioned AI 8 times on the Company's earnings call: Bloomberg

152 comments

2023-06-24

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-15/the-ceo-of-kroger-mentioned-ai-8-times-on-the-company-s-earnings-callThe word was used 0 times in the prior earnings call.Are companies contractually required to mention "AI" even if they don't do anything with "AI"? I am quite bothered when a CEO feels the need to name-drop a buzzword and then cannot explain what he means by it.I'm very much a bear on companies like Kroger. It reeks of desperation. Stock is down pretty hard in turn.

2023-07-24

7

Help with Indices

13 comments

2023-06-24

Hi All!Where can I find the ticker name for each sector of the S&P 500 sectors?For example: Ticker name for SP500 Communication SectorI want to quickly be able to determine how each aspect of the market is doing

2023-07-24

2

How aggressive should a 20 year olds portfolio be?

46 comments

2023-06-24

To add some context, all I’ve ever invested in was VOO since I was 18. While it is the safe option, I can’t help but feel like I’m missing out on some serious returns by playing it too safe. An investment strategy I was planning to implement was 90% of my investment money goes into VOO while 10% goes into short term t-bills. Do you guys think I should be more aggressive? If so, how should I implement it?

2023-07-24

42

At what point does one exit an apple position

152 comments

2023-06-24

Currently holding a small to medium stake in Apple at ~ 115 $ average. No longer comfortable adding but hesitant to sell. Weird feeling.At what point does this become a lower upside hold. Thinking of just dumping half and leaving the rest. Do not need the cash and it would just be slammed straight into an ETF.Any advice?

2023-07-24

35

r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jun 16, 2023

427 comments

2023-06-24

This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post.Some helpful day to day links, including news:Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocksBloomberg market newsStreetInsider news:Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dipsReuters aggregated - Global newsMost fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well.See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:Market Cap - Shares Outstanding - Volume - Dividend - EPS - P/E Ratio - EPS Q/Q - PEG - Sales Q/Q - Return on Assets (ROA) - Return on Equity (ROE) - BETA - SMA - quarterly earningsIf you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.Useful links:Investopedia page on fundamental analysis including Discounted Cash Flow analysis; see definition here and read their PDF on the topic.FINVIZ for fundamental data, charts, and aggregated newsEarnings Whisper for earnings detailsSee our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

0

Wish me luck, I went Amd this time, let's see how much ot will grow back

23 comments

2023-06-24

I just brought AMD stock at 121 USDDespite google estimating that they'll loose, by looking at data they haven't lost much under this amount they're at in the last month, despite the fact that I lost 1% since yesterday I feel confident about this investmentWhat do you think about their situation?How much could they grow from now on?Ik that 16 USD isn't too much but, for me is still something if I get let's say 20-25 back when selling

2023-07-24

0

Tesla's valuation could soar by another $150 billion thanks to the rise of the robo-taxi, RBC says

28 comments

2023-06-24

Tesla shares could jump another 19% thanks to the rise of robot-taxis, according to RBC.That would add over $150 billion to the EV giant's total market capitalization.Robo-taxis "could potentially transform society" and account for over 70% of Tesla's future value, analysts said.Tesla's market capitalization could soar by over $150 billion thanks to a looming surge in demand for robo-taxis, according to RBC Capital Markets.The self-driving taxi "could potentially transform society more than anything else in our lifetimes" and makeup over 70% of the EV giant's future value, a team of analysts led by Tom Narayan said in a note to clients Thursday.The Canadian bank lifted its price target for Tesla's stock to $305 – over 19% above the $255.90 shares traded at as of Thursday's close.Those gains would add another $155 billion to Elon Musk's company's total valuation, by Insider's calculations. Tesla has already seen its market cap surge by over $270 billion in the past month after it struck deals with General Motors and Ford that would allow them access to the EV leader's charging infrastructure.Tesla should be able to dominate the robot-taxi market given how well-developed its self-driving tech already is, according to RBC.Narayan's team estimated that Musk's EV maker could achieve a 25% market share in the US, as well as an 8% share in Europe and a 7% share in China.Tesla's share price is already up 107% in 2023, with the EV maker adding over $300 billion of market cap over the past month alone.The robo-taxi is the strongest of several factors that will help the stock extend its breakneck rally, according to RBC.Tesla's early success in its price war and the landmark deals it signed with Ford and General Motors last month could also fuel further gains, the analysts said.They added that the stock will also benefit from the frenzy for artificial intelligence, which has helped fellow tech giant Nvidia to rack up triple-digit gains and reach a $1 trillion valuation.

2023-07-24

Vote

Der flinke, drehmomentstarke Inductor – das elektrische Mountainbike deiner Freiheitsträume. Jetzt bei Pedal & Metal Cycles erhältlich. Und: Mitglieder bei GTA+ können sich die Penaud La Coureuse bei Legendary Motorsport kostenlos holen.

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0 comments

2023-07-24

0

Robinhood doesn't allow 0dte trading.

37 comments

2023-06-24

I see people on Wallstreet bets buying hundreds of 0dte contracts on robinhood. But when I just buy 2 qqq call options, robinhood exercised one of them as a safety precaution protocol.. they said I didn't have collateral for assignment? But im buying to open not selling, so why do i need collateral? Is webull the same way? I might transfer

2023-07-24

465

Mediterranean restaurant chain Cava stock soars as much as 112% in market debut

233 comments

2023-06-24

2023-07-24

246

Thank you META! What a run it’s been on…

118 comments

2023-06-24

What a run from $80s to $280s… and some analysts are saying there is still big upside from here.I was feeling pretty negative/depressed 6 months ago but kept buying as much Meta as I could. Wasn’t sure how it would end up but kept buying. Now the portfolio is breaking new all time highs every week.I’m sure heavy Nvidia and Tesla investors are feeling good too.Cheers everyone, let’s hope the run up can keep going!

2023-07-24

1.7k

Jack Dorsey's '$300 million bar tab' to rub shoulders with Jay-Z results in a lawsuit

176 comments

2023-06-24

Many people assume that Twitter was the reason for Jack Dorsey’s impressive fortune, but that actually isn’t the case. When Elon Musk acquired Twitter in October 2022 for $44 billion, Dorsey held a modest 2% ownership of the company’s outstanding equity, equivalent to approximately 18 million shares. Dorsey's pre-tax earnings from the Twitter sale amounted to $978 million.The true source of Dorsey's wealth lies in his involvement with Block Inc., a renowned payments company originally known as Square. As one of the co-founders, Dorsey's ownership of 43 million shares in Block has proven immensely lucrative. With the current share price standing at $64, Dorsey's stake is estimated to be valued at around $2.75 billion.At present, Dorsey's net worth is $4.4 billion. Like many tech billionaires, he leverages his wealth to engage in ventures that many would deem "cool." While this type of investing is commonly used by tech billionaires, retail investors have also begun investing in startups through equity crowdfunding.According to some business analysts and disgruntled Block shareholders, his acquisition of Tidal, Jay-Z's music streaming service, was nothing more than a "$300 million bar tab to hang out with Jay-Z."On March 4, the world was taken aback when Block announced its agreement to acquire Tidal for $306 million. The news broke through a tweet from Dorsey that showcased a seemingly casual photo of him and Jay-Z enjoying each other’s company in a Hamptons, New York, mansion at the crack of dawn. The tweet expressed Dorsey's gratitude for Jay-Z's vision and leadership and stated his excitement about working together.At 5:04 a.m., Dorsey tweeted, "I’m grateful for Jay's vision, wisdom and leadership. I knew TIDAL was something special as soon as I experienced it, and I'm inspired to work with him. He'll now help lead our entire company, including Seller and the Cash App, as soon as the deal closes.The details of the deal were presumed to have been negotiated between Dorsey and Jay-Z over wine.When Dorsey and Jay-Z are together, they may enjoy a glass of wine, Dorsey's preference, or the D’USSÉ cognac Jay-Z enjoys.As it would later be alleged in a lawsuit brought by Block shareholders, the idea for Block's acquisition of Tidal came while Dorsey was "summering" with Jay-Z in the Hamptons. The claim was that out of the blue, Dorsey joined a Block board meeting via Zoom from the Hamptons and said he wanted to buy Tidal.Dorsey's proposal caught many off guard for several reasons. First, Block, primarily a payments company, had no prior involvement in the music streaming industry. It also came to light that Tidal was grappling with severe financial challenges, prompting Jay-Z to personally loan the struggling service $50 million to keep it afloat. Artists were abandoning the platform, and those who remained had no contractual obligation to stay.Given Tidal’s dire circumstances, the value of the music streaming service appeared questionable at best, with some arguing that it was essentially worthless. Nevertheless, Dorsey and Jay-Z proceeded with the deal, purchasing 80% of Tidal for $306 million.The recent legal battle ended in defeat for shareholders. The Delaware judge overseeing the case ruled against the shareholders, emphasizing that, from a technical standpoint, engaging in a poor business deal does not violate any laws. This verdict left Block and Dorsey in the clear, despite the deal being branded as "a $300 million bar tab to hang out with Jay-Z."

2023-07-24

65

Why will inflation keep going down from here ?

110 comments

2023-06-24

Stock and houses prices are already recovering and consumer spending hasn't slowed down. The fed is already hinting at stopping hikes and were expecting more growth.Am I missing something but I don't see any reason for inflation to fall if demand is going to ramp up ?

2023-07-24

182

European Central Bank diverges from Fed, raising rates to highest in 22 years.

53 comments

2023-06-24

2023-07-24

4

Cava stock soars in its IPO debut

8 comments

2023-06-24

Cava (CAVA) on Thursday made its public debut on the New York Stock Exchange, and it looks like Wall Street investors want, at least initially, to take a big bite.Shares of the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain closed at $43.30, valuing the restaurant chain at roughly $4.8 billion. That's almost twice what the company priced on Wednesday evening at $22 per share, which valued the company at $2.5 billion.Cava initially sought a common stock price offering for between $17 and $19 per share, which valued Cava as a roughly $2.1 billion business; it then raised that range to $19 to $20 last Monday.Cava's IPO is the sixth largest on a US exchange so far this year. The largest? On May 3 J&J spinoff Kenvue (KVUE), a consumer health company, made its public debut at $4.37 billion.Last year, Cava saw same-store sales grow 14.2% year-over-year. In Q1 of 2023 alone, the company saw sales increase 28.4%.In fiscal year 2021, the company posted a net loss of $37.4 million, which widened in 2022 to a net loss of $59.00 million.Cava said in the S-1 filing that it plans to use the proceeds to open new restaurants and for general corporate purposes such as the payback of a loan used to finance its second production facility in Verona, Virginia, which broke ground in 2022.The chain opened its first fast-casual concept back in 2011. As of April 16, there are 263 Cava restaurants. Since it acquired the Mediterranean fast-casual chain Zoes Kitchen for $300 million back in August 2018, it has successfully converted 145 Zoes Kitchen locations into the Cava brand. Throughout the rest of 2023, it plans to open between 34 to 44 new Cava locations and open another eight converted Zoes (the remainder of the locations). By 2032, the company said it plans to operate 1,000 locations in the US.Cava is the first food chain to go public since Sweetgreen (SG) made its debut in 2021. Back then, shares of the salad chain surged in its public debut to $52 per share from its offering price of $28 per share. The chain, however, is now trading well below its offering price, largely because it isn't yet profitable.On Thursday, when Cava made its debut, shares of Sweetgreen got a bit of a boost in early market trading to more than $11 per share, after falling to roughly $6 earlier this year.David Trainer of New Constructs said the IPO is overvalued, while Chris Versace, Tematica Research's chief investment officer, told "As an investor, I would just sit kind of sit back and wait and kind of see what develops. I would not be chasing this in the near term."If the Cava IPO is successful though, it could have implications for other chains: Panera Brands, which owns Caribou Coffee, Panera Bread, and Einstein Bros Bagels; Korean barbecue concept GEN Restaurant Group; and Brazilian Steakhouse Fogo de Chão are expected to go public at some point.

2023-07-24

7

Investopedia - “IBKR has more fractional shares available across more markets than anyone else.” Your capital is at risk.

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0 comments

2023-07-24

0

Tuesday is going to be a big day for NVDA to retest ATH, or come back down to earth..

20 comments

2023-06-24

So far NVDA really is respecting supports, each time it breaks resistance, it only does so after 8 or nine attempts. Volume was lower today compared to recent volume, if we hover for any extended period of time, I don't think it will be able to hang up there. What direction do you think?

2023-07-24

111

Health insurance stocks slide after UnitedHealth warns more surgeries will drive up medical costs

49 comments

2023-06-24

Health insurer stocks dropped after UnitedHealth Group warned of higher medical costs as older Americans start to catch up on surgeries they delayed during the Covid-19 pandemic.Shares of UnitedHealth, Humana, Elevance Health, and CVS Health all declined. * Insurance companies have benefited in recent years from a delay in nonurgent procedures, but that trend may be reversing.Health insurer stocks dropped Wednesday after UnitedHealth Group warned of higher medical costs as older Americans start to catch up on surgeries they delayed during the Covid-19 pandemic.Shares of UnitedHealth, the largest U.S.health care provider by market value, closed around 6% lower. Medicare-focused insurer Humanadecline by d 11%.Elevance Health closed roughly 7% lower, and CVS Health , which owns insurer Aetna, slid nearly 8%.Insurance companies have benefited in recent years from a delay in nonurgent procedures due to hospital staffing shortages and the pandemic, which saw hospitals inundated with Covid patients. Hospitals at that time were widely seen as too risky to enter for elective procedures.But on Tuesday, UnitedHealth executives indicated that the trend may be reversing.The company has recorded “strong outpatient care activity” throughout April, May, and the early part of June, Chief Financial Officer John Rex said at a Goldman Sachs healthcare conference.Most of the uptick in care has come from Medicare enrollees who are getting heart procedures and hip and knee replacements at outpatient clinics, according to Rex.UnitedHealth CEO Timothy Noel said older adults covered under Medicare are getting “more comfortable accessing services for things that they might have pushed off a bit.”Rex said the amount of premium revenue spent on care for the second quarter may be at the high end or “moderately above” expectations due to the increase in procedures.Shares of medical device manufacturers Medtronic and Stryker jumped 2.5% and 4%, respectively, after UnitedHealth’s remarks.Shares of hospital operators HCA Healthcare and Tenet Healthcare also edged higher.

2023-07-24

6

Is their some good bargain plays in tech at this time

25 comments

2023-06-24

It’s hard to invest in tech as someone who has a small account so I’m always looking for cheaper tech plays that could make me money. Just recently I sold all my shares in MRVL. I had been holding them at an average of 37$ and sold at 62.I’m trying to look for more tech plays. Do you guys have a recommendations for cheaper tech stocks.Here are some tickers that I thought are interesting: PRFT, DOCU, YOU, FRSH, TOST, DLB, and NEWRThanks

2023-07-24

2

With 64% ownership, Block, Inc.($SQ) boasts of strong institutional backing

3 comments

2023-06-24

Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Block's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions50% of the business is held by the top 20 shareholdersTo get a sense of who is truly in control of Block, Inc. it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 64% to be precise, is institutions. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or loses the most if there is a downturn).Because institutional owners have a huge pool of resources and liquidity, their investing decisions tend to carry a great deal of weight, especially with individual investors. Hence, having a considerable amount of institutional money invested in a company is often regarded as a desirable trait.What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Block?Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.Block already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Block's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Block. Because actions speak louder than words, it is a good sign when insiders own a significant stake in a company. In Block's case, its President, Jack Dorsey, is the largest shareholder, holding 8.0% of shares outstanding. For context, the second-largest shareholder holds about 5.8% of the shares outstanding, followed by ownership of 5.4% by the third-largest shareholder.A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 20 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.Insider Ownership Of BlockThe definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or CEO.I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions, it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.General Public OwnershipThe general public-- including retail investors -- owns a 26% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

2023-07-24

5

What VIX Option Trades Predict

6 comments

2023-06-24

VIX trading patterns paint a cautious picture that is at odds with the fear gauge’s superficial message that investors aren’t concerned about stock risk.With the VIX around 15—a level that suggests little to no fear about the future—investors have bought 155,000 VIX July $23 calls, 70,000 July $27 calls, and about 140,000 August $20 calls.The trading patterns indicate that institutional investors are hedging their portfolios just in case the stock market sinks and the VIX surges.

2023-07-24

10

What is your thought on TGT? Company Discussion

22

2023-06-24

I use target a lot for my day to day need and I like this company as a whole. However I see that their stock price falling gradually based on some recent negative news. What do you think about this company? Is this a falling knife?

2023-07-24

0

Why are so few people using darkpools or paying attention to them?

34

2023-06-24

Im fairly new trader, less then a year, but am constantly surprised by how many people do the same thing, use the same strats or indicators, and fail. This is not some sort of mystery box, unsolvable puzzle. Literally all the data is present, all the puzzle pieces are their, you just need to assemble them. These type of data points are far more powerful then any lines we can draw on a chart. If you spent more time looking at boring numbers instead of pretty lines, youd prob be much further ahead then your average trader. One thing i found to be quite interesting, and have focused alot of my attention on, is darkpool's or ats exchanges. Not many people know about these, often ignored and overlook. Realized that they are very important signals. They are trades just like any other, but off exchange, with skewed or hidden fill details, sometimes also delayed. The entire point of darkpools is to hide or mitigate price discovery. Generally in my experience, when someone tries to hide something, its for a good reason. These trades still get published to the SIP, just like all other trades. Need to find and filter them, and see what people are buying and when. I created a tool to track these trades over time, with an open source visualization software called Grafana. Now i can see how these trades are affecting the market, and the underlying stock. You can view the dashboard and see some examples of what im talking about. Its not public, so you would have to reach out if you want info. What i realized is that alot of things drive people to buy and sell. However, unless people are actually buying and selling, then all that other stuff is just a distraction or guessing game. In the end, buying/selling will always be the sole driver of price, simple supply and demand. You can see what funds, makers, and smart money is buying/selling, on the exact day they do it. Seems logical to pay attention? You should look into darkpools, or do some more research on them if you have not already. More then 50% of market volume lies on the darkpool. Citadel is also using their own darkpools and many of then other to fill hft trades and hedge option contracts. SO much noise on the lot exchange volume.

2023-07-24

155

Ready to ditch the fax machine and embrace the future of faxing? With eFax, you can send and receive faxes right from your computer, or smartphone.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=KhhLSBk6vuXY9sn7GExIa1MOUzAGFg9xjVZdDuvVaxhckjo-WlCFjeOKmghgKOuXiap5wqOP7Dr89EjZI14d-6Pzh8A2estyt67k_QgU0-Hg53zkoMyHrTeNr4Pfout8rL4rQUPN0434kc-8Bb9JHS-WU5F5Mr68J1Xsu2T-V4TytatxYrfaErN6M13gfPOXbxmMGavrCKpvtzm3t22MQkAa91Fn9Tlqv6z4y2X1V0J93K3LmIKQBO9VnDTtEoemogfnLZeOWiWx-gWO1RSCT_-TqY_Y6DcFXrvNSNQZ3SIa_rDtX40Bi143XczTnGfpuD3TEMyXqBvZIzwpsa681PFZ5GVR6jVNDtcFE73Y12JHADpIBmsipMBSfRWY3bSN8JNSM4_P&zp=n9nRySIn4rLYNNaW1DaurofTBneQmvKsJMehlMGFW9mauyv8Xdc29fjiG-eTtXjj5ZZJdPFIplNf5cI4RBs_vWI0P4EXhZb0rEMz0FTixXd9qAqE0zPDgBZxPHxA2rUgSxR8Jodpbvr_C9E2agWq_Ru9qK8czpxdfTtWzgimVeAsjTzdgSMNAtqOsekT8G9ovm2MgVhy5bcRjknBHRAMgr5bON5EuXY8EfM5JPsNEq73TKkT1oAuIV0

0

2023-07-24

6

Confused with the Adjusted Closing Price for Cash Dividend Advice

8

2023-06-24

I'm using a source where it doesn't calculate the Adjusted Closing Price, but it gives the value for the Cash Dividend e.g. date and value of the dividend given. I read that I needed to just minus the dividend value at the same day as the closing price to get the Adjusted Closing Price. My question is, do I minus the value of the dividend on the subsequent closing price days or just the day it was given? Date Closing Price Adjusted Closing Price 01/01/2001 1.00 1.00 02/01/2001 * Div Cash given at 0.30 1.50 1.20 03/01/2001 1.60 Do I also minus the dividend that I got yesterday? 04/01/2001 1.65 Question: Same here. Do I minus this as well? I asked because when I looked at Yahoo Finance, the Adjusted Closing Price is different every day which really doesn't add up as dividends are given on a specific day.

2023-07-24

5

When to sell VS exercise a call option

7

2023-06-24

A pretty basic/straightforward question but one, I assume, with multiple perspectives and strategies. Are there many instances where exercising an ITM call option is the smarter play than selling the option for a profit? Is the answer as simple as - “yes, if you want to own the stock and/or think it will go up more post-option-expiration” It seems to me that exercising the option somewhat defeats the purpose of purchasing it in the first place, because you could have just purchased the shares outright without paying the premium. Particularly if the stock pays a dividend.. or is this just a psychological hurdle? When to exercise? When to sell? Cheers, thanks.

2023-07-24

14

Markets going up and inflation still high?

72

2023-06-24

Let me see if I understand this right. Please correct me here if not. Consumer price index is how they are handling whether or not inflation is still high. Food costs are through the roof. I don't see them dropping any pricing yet. Feds are coming up with the percentages of inflation of 5.5% in the meeting and saying things are getting better. Better where in the CPI? They said by next year to be around 4% to 4.5% inflation. 

Economy is strong because labor market is still good with lower unemployment rates. 

 What's the driving factor of the markets going up when by next year we will still be at a 4% inflation if all goes as planned. Or worse case scenario they crash the system from raising rates even more later this year. And if 2% is the target that means we could be almost three years out until they hit that target assuming all goes well. What here is it I'm missing?

2023-07-24

5

Capital gains quesiton

2 comments

2023-06-24

Hi , so in this scenario am I correct about how the taxes would work here? So if I have 1 million in a index fund and withdraw only just below the max for 0% capital gains rate is ( 40k or something like that ) and do not make any income for that year would there be no tax for that? Also , let's say you have 1 million of a index fund but 800k of it is what you actually put in , since that is not taxed if you take out 80k what's to say you're pulling from the principal and not the interest? I am very confused on that last part , thanks

2023-07-24

23

Das mit Spannung erwartete Einzelspieler-Weltraum-Action-RPG EVERSPACE 2 erscheint am 15. August 2023 für PlayStation 5 und Xbox Series X|S! 🚀🚀🚀 Jetzt mit 20% Rabatt auf PlayStation vorbestellen oder an Tag 1 über Xbox Game Pass spielen und beim Kauf 20% sparen!

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0 comments

2023-07-24

688

Fed holds off on rate hike, but says two more are coming later this year

346 comments

2023-06-24

WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided against what would have been an 11th consecutive interest rate increase as it measures what the impacts have been from the previous 10.But the decision by the Federal Open Market Committee to hold off on a hike at this meeting came with a projection that another two quarter percentage point moves are on the way before the end of the year.Central bankers following a two-day meeting said they will take another six weeks to see the impacts of policy moves as the Fed fights an inflation battle that lately has shown some promising if uneven signs. The decision left the Fed’s key borrowing rate in a target range of 5%-5.25%.“Holding the target range steady at this meeting allows the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy,” the post-meeting statement said. The Fed next meets July 25-26.Markets had widely been anticipating the Fed to “skip” this meeting – officials generally prefer the term to a “pause” that infers a longer-range plan to keep rates where they are. The expectation leaned heavily against an increase after policymakers, particularly Chairman Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, had indicated that some change in approach could be in order.The surprising aspect of the decision came with the “dot plot” in which the individual members of the Federal Open Market Committee indicate their expectations for rates further out.The dots moved decidedly upward, pushing the median expectation to a funds rate of 5.6% by the end of 2023. Assuming the committee moves in quarter-point increments, that would imply two more hikes over the remaining four meetings this year.FOMC members approved Wednesday’s move unanimously, though there remained considerable disagreement among members. Two members indicated they don’t see hikes this year while four saw one increase and nine, or half the committee, expect two. Two more members added a third hike while one saw four more, again assuming quarter-point moves.

2023-07-24

12

A Hawk in Doves' Feathers

19 comments

2023-06-24

As expected, the FED's rate remains unchanged at 5.25%, but there are indications that hikes may be forthcoming. Note the plural. According to the updated forecasts from committee members, we could see rates rise to between 5.5-5.75% this year. This implies at least two more salutations from the regulator, potentially as soon as July, to be followed with another rise in September. Swap quotations are currently suggesting this path.The contributing factors are clear: rising prices and a super-heated labor market. Core PCE has decelerated but not to the desired extent. As long as it remains above 5%, that serves as a clear signal that further policy tightening is necessary.This is unfavorable news for gold and the markets, along with anyone needing to refinance their debts. This latter category including the U.S. Treasury.The possibility of a double rate hike and hints of persistent high rates imply a high probability that by 2030-2032, U.S. debt payments could reach the $1.7-1.8 trillion range.This is an extremely negative scenario for the country - it could ultimately lead to the U.S. dollar relinquishing its role as the world's primary reserve currency. While it remains a contentious point, recent geopolitical trends point in this direction.So why aren't we seeing a market collapse? Partly because of the vast volumes of Call options purchased by large institutional investors. A significant portion of these are due to be exercised this Friday. Therefore, it's more advantageous for large players to drive the markets up, or at the very least, to prevent them from falling.What might prompt the Fed to change course and begin easing policy ahead of schedule?Significant troubles in the corporate debt market, meaning high-profile bankruptcies.Issues within the banking sector.A stock market crash.Real, emerging problems in the labor market.In such a climate, I'm on high alert for news related to all these plotlines. And of course, I'm maintaining my short positions.

2023-07-24

11

Reviewing Shell’s Investor Day Materials

1 comment

2023-06-24

I’m looking at Shell’s Investor Day materials and they make a great point on page 34 that I think is overlooked in the retail recharging EV debate (upper right panel if you look it up). Someone with an EV makes 2x the visits to a retail facility than someone with an ICE engine. Retail stations make lots of money through in-store sales — more visits, more opportunities for sales. I’m wondering if other retail gas/diesel players transition to this model if it will rapidly expand volumes. Any opinions on this?

2023-07-24

142

Which institutions buy NVDA at those levels?

130 comments

2023-06-24

It is well known that retail investors do not move the markets especially trillion dollar companies. Even if some retails investors pour their 401Ks or excess cash into NVDA this would not create any significant price appreciation.So institutional buyers are the ones pouring million of dollars every day to this company with a P/E or more than 200So my question is if they know something we all miss, (maybe something such as a new product that was not announced during the recent earnings but insiders know it) or the institutions are masked WSBs managing billions?Every institution had the opportunity to buy NVDA at 250 when ChatGPT was talk of the town. Everyone could buy NVDA at 300 before earnings. Everyone could also buy NVDA at 390 after earnings.So who is buying today at 430 and why?

2023-07-24

169

Intel in talks to serve as anchor for ARM IPO

50 comments

2023-06-24

https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/intel-talks-anchor-investor-arm-014951769.htmlIntel is in talks with SoftBank Group Corp's Arm to be an anchor investor in the chip designer's initial public offering (IPO), a source familiar with the matter told Reuters on Monday.Arm plans to sell its shares on Nasdaq later this year, seeking to raise between $8 billion and $10 billion, Reuters reported earlier in April.Great idea for Intel to open a sizable position in ARM as the IPO anchor imo. Intel clearly missed most of the smartphone race apart from some modems before selling even that off, but getting tighter with ARM and becoming the best place to fabricate ARM parts would be a solid addition to the turnaround. Also hedges from singular Nvidia or Apple influence on ARM.

2023-07-24

3

Why is Coinbase stock still hanging on?

32 comments

2023-06-24

With all of the lawsuits and crackdown on crypto, it would seem as though Coinbase would shoot down in value. What is the reason for Coinbase still not dropping like crazy and even having some days of gains? It seems nonsensical.

2023-07-24

21

r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Jun 15, 2023

599 comments

2023-06-24

This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post.Some helpful day to day links, including news:Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocksBloomberg market newsStreetInsider news:Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dipsReuters aggregated - Global newsRequired info to start understanding options:Call option Investopedia video basically a call option allows you to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to buyPut option Investopedia video a put option allows you to sell 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to sellSee the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:Call option - Put option - Exercising an option - Strike price - ITM - OTM - ATM - Long options - Short options - Combo - Debit - Credit or Premium - Covered call - Naked - Debit call spread - Credit call spread - Strangle - Iron condor - Vertical debit spreads - Iron FlyIf you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

7

Investopedia - “IBKR has more fractional shares available across more markets than anyone else.” Your capital is at risk.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=W7tH4DBuV9iKL_kt0LWrwzqJO4VeqXyBetaU267xOx4nNF89Yn-NltxMbH3Ru2X0Yb6knKzexMZuap9YVpJeKt8YUu_o1AxCNrmOBI-UJFcBeXURP6RTHHr1uW7AiOvBEHNJZyluTeD5RY1djHJxqqwy3us5yqu5AiUAoy_XsC_T_ZHOV3MwF4hyUcS_PrGT-uzeC03qSquIBBTKYliSBmrygh3W7-V5Ksvim1QDL_J6iHDZIdHodjDS_dWHe5se-Nu5KxBEDfn632HxirTBuiYMD9G2biYionsZrMJhsHN0pd3ry3LB_yYzqpsPcPrY8IfGjYbBhG9zFCsBlhJXyxDZyMyB6gKU8fyOqiOTtwCQFVKihloN3ZXCUhUxn_GhvIcxxHn9&zp=_oYdgyAsQN76OH2x9-rn7vYyPSZ7j3opQ9GuQriVU-oiCRiDTLyFdC2rpOXq05gcqhoV-rWeXSHOKnHVPlKwx4DmXoTcXhCj2vckTT-hMtxjM3L2CyfOrX_XHhOnhyczVOGDHjEqRD_hssdGy0KJHJGl0u4oHB_IQpi_NiKo50Se9C4a-Cvragy-ITl6fCHbexloofC9er5-w2pnT-m3MNHaKzP0Dv78EH3OIFgJfmR7yJ9iecowpPEjHzYlfMOJnc8g0w

0 comments

2023-07-24

380

Shell boosts dividend 15% as it pivots back toward oil and gas

158 comments

2023-06-24

Shell Plc will increase its dividend 15 percent and boost natural gas production as new Chief Executive Officer Wael Sawan refocuses on the fossil fuels that drove record profits last year.It’s part of a pivot by the European oil major to expand the most profitable parts of its business, even if they are carbon intensive, while scaling back ventures that don’t make high enough returns. The company reiterated its pledge to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, but didn’t present a clear plan to achieve that target.“We will invest in the models that work — those with the highest returns that play to our strengths,” Sawan said in a statement. The CEO and his management team will lay out more details of the plan to shareholders at a presentation in New York later on Wednesday.https://www.cnbctv18.com/market/shell-boosts-dividend-15-as-it-pivots-back-toward-oil-and-gas-16931241.htm

2023-07-24

24

How Shopify ($SHOP) 'shape shift' made e-commerce firm attractive again

24 comments

2023-06-24

E-commerce software and services provider Shopify ($SHOP) suddenly looks a lot different to investors in the wake of a strategy shift. Canada-based Shopify in early June completed the sale of its fulfillment unit, easing investor angst over rising investments for SHOP stock.With the move, Canada-based Shopify slashed capital spending and improved its financial outlook."Post the recent 'shape shift' where it exited the logistics business and reduced over 20% of the workforce, the company is free cash flow positive," said UBS analyst Kunal Madhukar in a recent report.Covid Emergency E-Commerce BoostFurther, Shopify stock has jumped 90% in 2023 as of June 14. Shopify stock has gained 42% since the company announced the sale of the fulfillment business to privately held Flexport on May 4. SHOP stock rebounded from a 2022 sell-off spurred by worries over growing investments and management turnover.Shares are trading near a 14-month high, trying to clear a short consolidation forged after surging on May 4 following the first-quarter earnings report and the Flexport deal."While SFN (Shopify Fulfillment Network) turned out to be an expensive experiment, we also must recognize that Shopify made a fast pivot — taking calculated risks can sometimes lead to strategic mistakes," said Baird analyst Colin Sebastian in a report. "We still believe Shopify can be a trillion-dollar GMV (gross merchandise volume) platform with take rates expanding as the company widens in scope."In 2022, Shopify's GMV growth slowed to 12% ($197.2 billion). GMV growth has been trending down since 2020 when it boomed 96% during the coronavirus pandemic. Consumers shifted to online shopping during the emergency. In addition, Shopify in 2022 accounted for roughly 18% of all U.S. e-commerce, says UBS.According to research firm Gartner, Shopify is the largest e-commerce software provider with about 15% global share, ahead of SAP (SAP) and Salesforce (CRM). Shopify garners nearly two-thirds of revenue from the U.S.Shopify sets up e-commerce websites for businesses. It partners with companies such as Stripe to handle digital payments. Well-funded and fast-growing Stripe has put off an initial public offering.Among merchants services is Shop Pay. It's an accelerated checkout option for stores on the Shopify platform. Shopify Capital provides loans to merchants. The new Shop Cash rewards program provides consumers with incentives, aiming to boost GMV through higher orders.SHOP Stock: PayPal Friction?Meanwhile, Shopify has encroached on PayPal Holdings (PYPL), said Lisa Ellis, analyst at SVB MoffettNathanson in a report."PayPal and Shopify have a long-standing partnership and PayPal enjoys a privileged position on the Shopify platform," said Ellis in a report. "However, many of Shopify's payments-related initiatives pose a competitive threat to PayPal."She noted Shopify Payments, a payment processing service offered through Stripe. Ellis also noted a "buy now, pay later" consumer financing service that Shopify now offers through Affirm Holdings (AFRM).Meanwhile, to build up a logistics business that stored and shipped products for its merchant customers, Shopify had acquired Deliverr for $2.1 billion in 2022. In 2019 it bought startup 6 River Systems for $450 million.Flexport will be Shopify's logistics partner under a revenue-sharing arrangement. Shopify now holds a 13% equity interest in Flexport.Shopify To Join Amazon Buy With Prime?Amid the sale, there's also speculation over a possible Shopify deal with e-commerce giant Amazon.com (AMZN).Amazon now offers its massive distribution network to merchants that do not sell goods on its website. Amazon's product fulfillment services are part of a program called Buy With Prime.At UBS, Madhukar says Shopify could join the Buy With Prime program based on management comments on Shopify's first-quarter earnings call."The company said things are moving positively in their discussions with Amazon on BwP, which could suggest they may be closer to getting a deal done," Madhukar said. "Although it is still unclear whether a deal will make SHOP whole on gross profit dilution, a resolution could result in a better merchant and consumer experience, and lead to higher volumes that may offset any potential dilution."Also, Shopify rival BigCommerce (BGIC) uses Amazon's fulfillment services.Started in 2006, Shopify recently hiked contract prices for merchants.In the quarter ended March 31, Shopify earned one cent per share on an adjusted basis, down a penny from a year earlier. Revenue for SHOP stock rose 25% to $1.5 billion, the company said.Analysts expected the Shopify earnings report to show a loss of 4 cents on revenue of $1.435 billion. Gross merchandise volume rose 15% to $49.6 billion, topping estimates of $47.75 billion.In 2023, Wall Street analysts expect adjusted profit to boom to 33 cents a share from 4 cents last year. Shopify earnings per share is projected to rise 70% to 56 cents in 2024.Revenue will rise 20% to $6.74 billion this year and 18% in 2024 to $7.93 billion, analysts predict.Shopify Stock: Enterprise Marketing PushTo spur GMV growth for SHOP stock, Shopify has partnered with Facebook (FB), Pinterest (PINS) and Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google in social media marketing.Meanwhile, analysts expect Shopify to target larger companies.In May, Shopify launched a program called Commerce Components. It enables businesses to integrate Shopify's checkout and back-office services with their existing online platforms. Further, toymaker Mattel (MAT) is one early customer."Subscription pricing increase that rolled out at the end of April will be a key catalyst supporting topline growth and margins," said Evercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney in a report. "And Shopify continues to drive product innovations, especially for enterprise solutions. Commerce Components offers a lightweight solution for large enterprises without replacing the merchants' whole online infrastructure."

2023-07-24

0

Which financial stock should you invest in: Marathon Digital ($MARA) vs. Everi Holdings ($EVRI)

2 comments

2023-06-24

In this piece, I evaluated two financial stocks, Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ($MARA) and Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI), to determine a better investment. Based on a fundamental comparison of these stocks, $EVRI appears to have better upside potential than $MARA for reasons explained throughout this article.Financial stocks usually perform well in a rising interest rate environment. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates ten times since last year. However, the Central Bank held rates steady for the first time since January 2022, maintaining the benchmark interest rate between 5% and 5.25%.However, Fed officials raised their interest rate forecasts for this year; signaling rates could reach as high as 5.6%, implying two additional rate hikes this year. Further rate hikes could benefit financial companies as it helps them raise their profit margins.Financial services companies are leveraging technology to provide innovative and convenient financial services like online banking, wealth management, digital payments, consumer credit, etc. With technology becoming a significant part of our lives, the demand for digital financial services will likely rise.The financial services market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.4% to $33.31 trillion by 2026. Post 2026, the market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% to reach $45.15 trillion by 2031.MARA’s loss per share was $0.04 narrower than the analyst estimates, while its revenue beat the consensus estimate by 4.8%. On the other hand, EVRI’s EPS and revenue beat the consensus estimates by 38.9% and 5.2%, respectively.MARA’s Chairman and CEO Fred Thiel said, “After weathering a tumultuous 2022 that tested the resilience of our entire industry, this year is off to a strong start as we grew our hash rate, reduced our cost to mine, and improved our balance sheet during the first quarter. With more hash rate coming online in the months ahead, Marathon remains on track to reach our 23 exahash goal near the middle of this year.”EVRI’s CEO Randy Taylor said, “Overall, our first quarter results continued to demonstrate our consistent growth profile, as we further execute on our organic growth initiatives and benefit from several acquisitions we completed over the last twelve months.”For fiscal 2023, EVRI expects its net income to be between $92 million and $100 million, while its adjusted EPS is expected to be between $1.58 and $1.66. In addition, its adjusted EBITDA is projected to come between $384 million and $396 million. Also, its free cash flow will be between $150 million and $160 million.When it comes to price performance, MARA is the clear winner. MARA’s stock has gained 105.3% in price over the past six months compared to EVRI’s 0.5% decline. In addition, MARA’s stock has gained 39.6% over the past year, compared to EVRI’s 8.3% decline.Recent Financial ResultsMARA’s total revenues for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023, declined 1.1% year-over-year to $51.13 million. Its operating loss narrowed 73.5% year-over-year to $3.86 million. The company’s net loss narrowed 43.7% year-over-year to $7.24 million. Its loss per share narrowed 58.3% year-over-year to $0.05.EVRI’s total revenues for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023, increased 14.2% year-over-year to $200.47 million. Its net cash provided by operating activities rose 501.2% year-over-year to $31.71 million. The company’s adjusted EBITDA increased 3.2% year-over-year to $92.48 million. Its adjusted EPS came in at $0.43, representing an increase of 2.4% year-over-year.Expected Financial PerformanceMARA’s EPS for fiscal 2023 and 2024 is expected to increase 108.7% and 85.2% year-over-year to $0.27 and $0.50. Its fiscal 2023 and 2024 revenue is expected to increase 267.4% and 38% year-over-year to $432.57 million and $596.81 million.Analysts expect EVRI’s EPS for fiscal 2023 to decline 12.2% year-over-year to $1.09. Its EPS for fiscal 2024 is expected to increase 13.1% year-over-year to $1.23. Its fiscal 2023 and 2024 revenue is expected to increase 8% and 4.8% year-over-year to $845.15 million and $885.53 million.ProfitabilityEVRI’s trailing-12-month revenue is 6.9 times what MARA generates. EVRI is more profitable, with an EBITDA margin and Return on Equity of 43.74% and 50.13%, compared to MARA’s negative 231.11% and 103.20%, respectively. Also, EVRI’s asset turnover of 0.48x compares to MARA’s 0.08x.ValuationIn terms of forward EV/Sales, EVRI is currently trading at 2.42x, 54.3% lower than MARA’s 5.29x. EVRI’s forward EV/EBITDA ratio of 5.24x is 57.3% lower than MARA’s 12.28x.Thus, EVRI is relatively more affordable.

2023-07-24

548

Tesla stock extends record streak to 13 sessions

290 comments

2023-06-24

Tesla shares are up a whopping 41% during that time.Tesla ($TSLA) shares jumped 3.6% today, extending the company’s record winning streak to 13 sessions in a row. In that time, shares have risen nearly 42%, adding further gains to an already big year for Tesla shareholders.Tesla stock is rising in tandem with the overall market today on cooling inflation data, but the shares have been on the rise for a couple weeks now. The latest big news came late last week when General Motors (GM) announced it was joining forces with Tesla to leverage the electric vehicle maker's Supercharger Network. The companies announced the Tesla Supercharger Network will be open to GM EV drivers starting next year, and by 2025 GM anticipates its EVs will include Tesla’s NACs connector, which will allow for direct access to Tesla Superchargers.GM’s move comes two weeks after Ford (F) announced a similar partnership with Tesla to enable access for Ford vehicles to Tesla's charging network.Several industry analysts recently told Yahoo Finance that Tesla's partnership with Ford would be a positive tailwind for Tesla's revenue moving forward."Recall in our 2022 report that we sized the potential for Tesla opening its network more widely in the next few years (i.e. more than just Ford) at $1-$3 bn of incremental revenue (although Tesla wouldn’t necessarily capture all of this)," Goldman analyst Mark Delaney wrote in a note following the Ford deal. "We believe the news is a modest incremental positive for Tesla as it will likely bring in additional profits and help Tesla to sustain the most robust charging network, albeit with some risk of fewer vehicle sales."Nonetheless it hasn’t all been good news for Tesla during the recent run-up, as the stock brushed aside negative reports about the upcoming and highly anticipated Cybertruck. Per leaked internal documents that German newspaper Handelsblatt reported on, as picked up by Wired, Tesla engineers have had some big concerns about the Cybertruck’s capabilities.Preproduction “alpha” versions of the Cybertruck were struggling with basic issues like suspension, body sealing, noise levels, handling, and braking, Wired reports. An automotive engineer Wired spoke with said a company like Tesla has the financial resources to address the issues, but the engineer was still “astounded” that Tesla was struggling with some basic engineering issues with the Cybertruck.Tesla CEO Elon Musk has nonetheless promised the company will hold a Cybertruck delivery event later in Q3, with limited production volumes beginning later this year.https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-stock-extends-record-streak-to-13-sessions-210555462.html

2023-07-24

1

Help me understand ETF price

5 comments

2023-06-24

I'm fully invested in XEQT which I understood tracks the US, Canadian and to a lesser extent global markets closely. When I look at the daily change in the S&P and TSX I would expect the ETF price to be close to an average but it is lower than both. Is there a lag in ETF price? Does it just not track the market as I understood? Thanks in advance

2023-07-24

114

Loathe Schwab mobile after TD switch

73 comments

2023-06-24

Does anybody hate Schwab’s mobile app? The charts are awful. No pre or post market views for some low caps, chart auto switches to landscape mode which is really annoying, technicals are limited, the list goes on. I just hate this app so much, it takes away from investing for me. TD was such an easy to use interface.What should I switch to? Robinhood, Webull, Fidelity?

2023-07-24

11

$DAL - No Respect!

19 comments

2023-06-24

The airlines continue to get no respect, led by Delta Air Lines ($DAL). Anyone just needs to look at the recent rally in the cruise line sector to see how the stock market is irrationally negative on the airlines. The investment thesis remains ultra Bullish on airline stocks like Delta.For the last year, the market has told investors to not buy airline stocks due to an impending recession. Airlines like Delta have made tons of money and returned to cash flow positive, yet the stock hasn't rallied from the early 2021 levels when signs existed that travel demand would rebound from the covid destruction.The amazing part here is that the cruise lines were about a year behind the airlines in removing covid restrictions and returning to profits and positive cash flows. Most airlines reported strong profits starting in Q2'22, though Delta reported small profits at the end of 2021.Cruise lines like Carnival Corp. ($CCL) and Royal Caribbean ($RCL) were still reporting large losses in the last couple of quarters. In fact, the forecast is for Carnival to report another large loss for the just ended May quarter due to the inclusion of March in the quarterly results.In essence, the airlines are far ahead of the cruise lines in the travel recovery, but oddly the stocks have underperformed. For the YTD period, Royal Caribbean and Carnival have seen share price gains of ~93% versus the solid, but much smaller, 28% gain for Delta.The amazing part is that Delta has forecast a return to near record EPS in 2024. The airline is forecasting an EPS of up $6 this year for a stock trading at only $42 now.While Royal Caribbean has a goal of hitting a record EPS in 2025, the cruise line is only now starting to generate profits. Carnival has no such plan to return to record profits anytime soon, but the stock has rallied anyway.A prime example of the disconnect here are the forward PE ratios. Delta trades at only 6x PE targets while Royal Caribbean is now up at 14x and Carnival trades at a market multiple of 19x.The share price move is strange considering Delta is in a better financial position, having returned to positive cash flows sooner. Logic would say the casino is missing an obvious big play in $DAL.-Check The Balance Sheet- A big key to the forecasts of Delta is the return to large positive cash flows. Previously, the airline returned billions in capital to shareholders annually via mainly stock buybacks and now these cash flows will repay debt.Delta ended Q1 with net debt of $15.4 billion, but the company still has debt far above pre-covid levels. The airline forecasts a combination of lower capex and higher income, leading to over $6 billion in positive cash flows through the end of 2024 to drive net debt far lower.The airline should end 2024 with net debt back towards the early 2020 levels. Delta Air Lines should generate $4+ billion in annual free cash flows starting in 2024, leaving the airline with the options of either pushing towards positive cash balances or starting to repurchase extremely cheap shares here.One of the biggest aspects missed by the business return to normalization is that the loyalty plan offers a huge revenue boost over 2019 levels. Delta works with American Express ($AXP) on Delta Skymiles and the remuneration from the plan has grown from $4 billion in 2019 to a goal of $7+ billion in 2024.These high margin revenues provide a huge upside to the potential profits versus the $7.33 earned back in 2019. As the interest expenses are cut back to pre-covid levels or lower, investors should start looking at the potential for Delta to earn $8 to $9 per share in 2025 and beyond.-TL;DR- The key investor takeaway is that Delta remains cheap. The stock should trade at an equivalent, or higher, forward PE multiple than the cruise lines. The airline remains on a solid path to hitting the $7+ EPS target in 2024 and the stock should ultimately follow the debt repayments Delta will undertake in the next year to much higher prices.Falling energy prices and the AMEX remunerations are additional catalysts for faster profits and cash flow.(Not a financial advisor. Do your own research etc etc etc)

2023-07-24

156

Ready to ditch the fax machine and embrace the future of faxing? With eFax, you can send and receive faxes right from your computer, or smartphone.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=Q4Kr44OTOj42ZAObpa9UZnPYmJ_6qM1oQ-IiMkhLctOwBVOfwyTPwoNsoL8bnRWoqb9Rw_znzOIePPmN-5pRh0X6mQ8wdaoxDl7crZdyqLWUs6xN6aMepixsUX3UDbvTI23imPdY-RutVy0EZwTqhmaqE5jJGbthHTFB1usS858EvDjtjWPdAummm5CvOeWlZj0wM2xOdjRsnhkQh4ZLJ3T7Zg0AUXqBukwTzTL6qZLe0kWvyop-Kr4B0rx6JrgD-NCOZRqIA-K75ZKe1r5Y3JoeIBgw3DKygu4ihHdKtGlGP9f4srB32u73099gv5PHbaVveJmYO-RgjdYsgtIcBm0cBsTDAK_jJqJRBWZnmRJjF08rGbHReKBY_KRZDWPk-3ZUxj8K&zp=VTtcy7oU_TpMluLE8tM8AmkkvZj9Nhxsb0rH_acRjiT2gbFwtY-ORL0ywUla7mGjiFYAuqTDzcZB0s_IrEWuGrTBBItl91qhT56gvYcpTxWNzl0C6GMAUKM8eNXRzAxuSJzo9ThhEv6967tQJoXrHzFYFh9EjnP5QmFphPfsl4IOXRIfnmPFlTGBOwrbqmeabwD3S2EVG5_Guo8UxOpsxKJS2BIvKD-IIVanjG3dD8OmT1JwKhy--B0

0 comments

2023-07-24

61

I'm up 45% in ADBE. Should I sell?

138 comments

2023-06-24

It's not a huge position, but if I sold at market price today I'd make a quick $700.I'm just curious what you all think about ADBE. I'm a big user of their products, but am wondering if the AI push will eventually catch up with Adobe and start driving the price down because graphic design will eventually pivot from people to AI.I've been thinking of selling lately and taking the profit. What are your thoughts on the company?

2023-07-24

7

How many of you are going to be too late?? How many of you are worried you didn’t time this market well?

48 comments

2023-06-24

Seems like the stock market didn’t completely crash immediately after the Fed Meeting today(Wednesday). So far until now, the bottom of the bear market was late 2022. I remember scrolling through this subreddit in the fall of last year, and I’ve never seen more bearish sentiment in my life. So many people here late last year convinced that the stock market would crash lower.I’m not saying that the market can’t go to new all time lows. I’m just asking, for the individual stock pickers who’ve been sitting in cash waiting, how worried are you that the bull market started months ago? Or how worried are you that the bull market has already been confirmed?

2023-07-24

134

Where do you get your relevant news from?

86 comments

2023-06-24

With the recent blackout on reddit, I realized that I mostly use reddit as my news-aggregator and if this place goes belly-up... then I'd be kinda up shit creek.I also supply my news with sector-specific news sites (in Danish, mind) but they just don't deliver enough information needed to make informed decision on what/when to buy/sell.So do you guys have any go-to places for solid news?

2023-07-24

10

The Perfect Entry Price

69 comments

2023-06-24

I’m torn. How do you determine the perfect entry price? I see NVIDIA at their 52 week high and I want to buy into it, but it’s really high right now. I know I should wait until it drops down, but I’m unsure the best price to buy it at.What’s the best way to determine this?

2023-07-24

181

r/Stocks welcome back: Discuss future of Reddit and Reddit pre-ipo including valuation Meta

255

2023-06-24

The Rate my Portfolio sticky can be found here. Welcome back to r/Stocks and thanks for participating in the Reddit-going-dark protest, remember 67% of you voted for it, well guess what, nothing changed, you probably guessed that already. So here are the next steps that nearly 8000 Reddit communities are discussing: https://www.reddit.com/r/ModCoord/comments/148ks6u/indefinite_blackout_next_steps_polling_your/ So you'll start to see new polls pop up on your favorite Reddit community later this week and last till the end of the month, and yes it will have a "no, keep the sub open" or "go dark indefinite unless Reddit lowers their api fees" thus preventing apollo/rif from shutting down. Please use this post to discuss Reddit pre-ipo and stock price, for example, will Reddit stock price fall 90% post-ipo, or will valuation for Reddit be lower if they shutdown 3rd party apps (perhaps higher), discuss! edit, I added the portfolio sticky at the top

2023-07-24

10

Dual-listing: risks involved with buying in the secondary market Advice Request

2

2023-06-24

Hey everyone, I live in France and only recently opened the kind of account that lets you invest abroad. Interactive Brokers (IBKR) is my broker. I'm interested in the CDPR stock (yeah, awful timing, it just shot up this week, right after I was done researching the industry's fundamentals... anyway) and IBKR shows it listed in Warsaw (its native stock-exchange, ticker CDR) and Frankfurt (ticker 7CD). Given that I have a euro-denominated account, buying shares in Frankfurt would be more convenient: no need to exchange euros for Polish zlotys. However, the company's website only mentions Warsaw. Could it be that the stock is listed in Frankfurt without CDPR's approval? Also, what are the risks involved with buying in Frankfurt? Firstly, obviously, this secondary market is much, much less liquid with way less depth and possibly more bid-ask spread. But I'm no whale so I don't think I'd be impacted by price slippage. Secondly and more importantly, what if the stock is delisted from Frankfurt? Could I migrate my shares to Warsaw? I don't think so. Then I guess I'd probably have some time after the delisting announcement to sell and maybe buy shares back in Warsaw. But wouldn't I risk selling at a discount in Frankfurt then, when everyone is cashing out (though arbitrageurs should keep relative prices equal, am I right)? And what other risks did I miss? Apologies for the newbie question really - it's somewhat intimidating when you start interacting with foreign markets :-)

2023-07-24

0

$BLCV Questions Advice Request

2

2023-06-24

Hello! Newish to the sub, mostly a lurker here. I was looking for new ETFs to get into and I found $BLCV was created in may of 2023. Now I am not asking per say for DD. But I saw that Blackrock oversees it or so I think. Am I losing my mind or is it actually ran by Blackrock. My Etrade shows “***”in-front of it which is throw me off. Seems undervalued but I was curious if anyone else saw this.

2023-07-24

Vote

Um eine Terrororganisation von innen zu stürzen, gehen die Agentinnen Cruz und Joe undercover.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=OjsQIV23Fc-WX9Lf_DztLEhgcXUro0YPgNi3vHVp14m_lp5pd3Jla0aMI0Ks0LfxoHsl5ZhkspbxrH36A_kC6WGvhLmsmrpNSYyAFAfyw6LKDCRoGZmy_s_FnTGYckUSF2i6IIfK9huP-6JcPTz-hM4ZLnakMAGD0HlcdgBSg5l6hG8C6qsmrtGg3FoSpb7A5p-avkdRW3LyxX_7KWb4_vuus5735j6O6N7ikMVzHKCVvo3K8e6mwbg6H1QXpW12zJdUj6QX74YFUf_uj8znYveSiWDPAcTeeF1HAoG4yCUdhgFKwP2o6Im2XRFeugA-R7jb9mNVsJddsKl_Et-q-eU9gpeHtejpiUdrXk1gC90g2QapvWpUmFp2OO0RSpsfvxmMog&zp=nS7ff2UMjOLQ5RhaKm8p9JmXTTcWBOoxyaaJ4_MfMIzyDbASUPUkEAmh7KAJIGRGLA9qYMVsEE13BdR_1Jbk43vRnctGHKNuylipP0mvRCacuhRLpCKlIwJD8iUkn7TcunzPJJ0UINg6hQioIF5FfGG674dpl2VbBJ81V1FAAG2PXwRzAyKu7tE5-Ti1Hm2Q

0

2023-07-24

39

r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jun 14, 2023

695

2023-06-24

These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts. Some helpful links: Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks Bloomberg market news StreetInsider news: Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dips Reuters aggregated - Global news If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

10

Leadership changes at Embracer as group restructures Company News

15

2023-06-24

Embracer has made some key changes to its executive management team as it begins an extensive restructuring of the group. The company announced this morning that it was making significant changes to its operations in order to reduce its debts, and shift it from being focused on heavy investments to being a "highly cash-flow generative business." As part of this, Saber Interactive CEO Matthew Karch (pictured above left) is stepping down from his position and as a board member for Embracer Group to become interim chief operating officer. Saber Interactive COO Andrey Iones will take over from Karch. Meanwhile, Phil Rogers (pictured above right) will has been appointed interim chief strategy officer. He will retain his position as CEO of Crystal Dynamics - Eidos. Following these changes, the group executive management is comprised of six people: Lars Wingefors, CEO Johan Ekström, CFO and Deputy CEO Ian Gulam, Chief of Staff, Legal & Governance Careen Yapp, Chief Strategic Partnerships Officer Matthew Karch, interim Chief Operating Officer Phil Rogers, interim Chief Strategy Officer Embracer Group has confirmed the restructuring process will involve closing studios and cancelling projects, although no further details have been given. https://www.gamesindustry.biz/leadership-changes-at-embracer-as-group-restructures

2023-07-24

0

733 shares of tsla cost basis $180 Rule 3: Low Effort

28

2023-06-24

Should I hold or sell? I figure it could be worth a lot in 10-15 years right? I’m 28 years old. Started buying in 2020 and just been averaging in since. It’s all money that I’ve earned on my own so I definitely don’t take it lightly.

2023-07-24

1

FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield: does it use the past or the projected dividends?

10 comments

2023-06-24

I would like to better understand the criteria for inclusion of companies in the FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield (and thus in the VGWE).Is the criteria based on the past performance or on the projected performance?

2023-07-24

1

IBKR clients earn up to USD 4.58% on their instantly available cash balances. Your capital is at risk.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=1YKeirGVENEsiLY6C9NmPEC_FBJLGYxCx_7hoeQThygYwbDiUTvRvgzro2n71mRteE4jupA_XRvLm-Gt386k7--Cfn_eJUIAPFQmwRSneKDNo_peekrwJR7akvL8kFBSjmnw7UY72fDef6Q1PH79r5cOuaW2CXS8KAhF4dA0qmORst_8DoOpCJPNrBsVH3PRoD7M4JA6qLXnDaxiHXOfhKmI9RHtbOosJxRpY7_caFU0hQxKolLm34HQrOTaMz3riP6afxPcsatXv_bpCg31AnfGvimcaJKtRJx14jOU07hujWiBR0-0ojX1KUUPyahsj6nWtNhhDSCCHuJEB3BwpmNhf4eS9m_boDmNNxwdjXCwm5O4bWVyz2xrp_LkP4rfNLPJkzHF&zp=dnuDPHpjURYYyVFyqrPu-VapIpz-qEgN-pU97L2T5BfzQzCZClqSYJH6i6KrLXcscbl2aRKKirGvdffNu5kP760NxqN2O3NXjktvINSILsAmiIbdsYStNiMZmpReDVK5BPZqZMwI_B_EewbKCOjfEYMkPYcUEEWQ9m7ivGiCT6h3W-2modVaGR5hAzhiv6hsW9_rahY9mKTyFXuJF2JZMfEUKXJ1e6zI_pg4kiMZewvrqWfHo9Z2DAmSnG0i5hlvW7yWw7YI-NmZ_QbfJ8v7wgra81BfkVM6yQ

0 comments

2023-07-24

1

NKE vs. NKEL

6 comments

2023-06-24

I've invested in a leveraged Nike 2x bull product - NKEL. Trading has been in synch for the past few months. But, today NKE is up 7% and NKEL is down a tick. there is volume. Any thoughts why? Is there an investment play here?

2023-07-24

0

(Your opinion, and my thoughts) Netflix, hold or sell?

17 comments

2023-06-24

As we can see, Netflix stock has increased in value substantially (around 80% in the last year, and 30% in the past few weeks). I think there is a strong correlation between stock buyer investment and Netflix's crackdown on password sharing. Despite what people say, I think most folks are going to bite the bullet and start paying for their own accounts once they get booted off of their cousin's girlfriend's account. Investors saw that and bought in. However, there's always a chance that the memers are right, and that the streaming service is going to lose viewers due to the policy. I don't think they'll initially lose paying customers, but there's always the chance that folks cancel their accounts in solidarity (though I doubt it). For those riding Netflix stock, sell and run with your profit, or hold in hopes that it reaches the value it once had circa 2020?

2023-07-24

1

Is AMSWA good choice?

2 comments

2023-06-24

I’m just wondering, why companies like this is so unattractive. From their last earnings call they just fell down despite the good results. Is that because the company very unpopular or it’s just very unknown? I’m not an American, so I can’t imagine why it’s on so low levels.

2023-07-24

1

$DAC - Analysis and DD - A 2023 Deep Value Play

3 comments

2023-06-24

INTRODUCTIONThe Danaos Corporation ($DAC) is a freight charter company. It is heavily undervalued by numerous metrics - trading at a EV/EBITDA of 1.89, 0.52 P/B, a 3.52x P/E, and a 0.18x Debt/Equity multiple. As a freight charter company which owns the majority of its vessels, it is not directly subject to changing freight rates, although it is exposed to changing supply and demand as well as high capital dependance. Companies in the shipping industry are often viewed as a risky investment due to low ROCs and heavy competition - however, this company is currently at a massive discount, and its exposure to risk is limited as 2/3 of the current revenue is contracted until 2025 at the (high) COVID-19 spot rates. Furthermore, these contracts are with liners that are in great financial health, due to the previous few years of high cash flows in the shipping industry. As of June 13, 2023, the average contract for their fleet is at 20 months. $100 million in share buybacks were announced in 2022, of which $40 million have already been purchased. Currently, there is a 4.73% annual dividend yield with a payout ratio of approximately 11.9%.GENERAL RISKSThe firm is at its highest ever point in free cash flow - contracted EBITDA locked in contracts over the next 3 years are more than its current Enterprise Value. With the high amount of earnings that are already locked in contracts, the only valid risk at this time are the spot rates their vessels will be subject to in the future in the case of a recession. However, this risk only applies to the 1/3 of revenue that is not locked in future contracts. Going into the future, newly imposed environmental regulations may cause reduced revenue when considering the fact that new vessels will be introduced to the market 2023 onwards, and environmental checks required for older ships may increase future costs. I do anticipate that this risk is currently overblown for Danaos because of it's sizable young portion of its fleet. Given that it is a charter company and not a liner, it faces less exposure to volatility. The return on Capital averages at 7-11%, which is not a high amount. The 0.52x NAV multiple does provide significant downside protection, however.MANAGEMENTDr. John Coustas is the current CEO and President of the company. He assumed management of the company from his father (who founded the company in 1982) in 1987. He holds degrees in Marine Engineering, Computer Science, and Computer Controls. With a 44% stake, CEO John Coustas is the largest shareholder. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 2.4% and 2.3% of the stock. His stake likely means he is largely in charge of decisions made at the company. Given he has over 30 years in shipping experience with the firm, he may place his main incentive on steady growth instead of attempting to maximize shareholder returns, although this might be balanced by other incentives due to his large stake in the company. The average age of a vessel on the Danaos fleet is 11 years - for reference, depreciation of these vessels starts at ages ranging from 25-30 years. It is possible that current older vessels may be used for additional periods due to the obscenely high recent spot rates (this may be reduced after the intiation of environmental regulation) Around $530 million was committed in 2021 to building 6 new vessels, which will be delivered in 2024. Prior to this, another 6 second hand vessels were purchased for $270 million in 2021- these second hand vessels have currently yielded around 8% in adjusted earnings. The company was under extensive strain after the GCF until COVID due to a high level of debt and low charter rates - this prior history may impact the actions which the management of the company undertake with their current cash.RELIABILITY OF LONG TERM CONTRACT CUSTOMER BASEDue to the recent increase in cash flows which shipping companies experienced during COVID, large numbers of shipping companies are in extremely (historically) healthy financial positions. Furthermore, the majority of Danaos' contracts are Industry Standard Charter Contracts - this means that they are not cancellable and are not subject to renegotiation or change unless in the case of a restructuring or bankruptcy. In past years (during which the shipping industry was under far greater strain than it is now), Danaos received full compensation from ZIM when it restructured in 2014 in addition to when HMM restructured in 2016 in the form of equity. However, in the case of Hanjin's bankruptcy, no vessel owners received compensation which contributed to Danaos recording a net loss of $366 million in 2016, down from a net profit of $117 Million in 2015 (it is worth noting that the period was also of a general industry turndown). CMA GM (22%), M SC (15%), and HMM (15%) were the 3 biggest charter contract companies for Danaos in 2022.In the Q3 earning call for GSL (a Danaos competitor with a customer base which partly overlaps with the firm), Ian Webber (CEO) said - “Further, we have industry standard charter contracts, they're noncancelable. We only deal with the really good names. We've never had a bad debt in GSL. It kind of doesn't happen in our industry by and large, anyway. Liner companies are desperate for these ships. They need the charter fleet to run their scheduled services. Without the ships, they don't have services. So it's in their own interest to behave properly. And as George said, they're in the best financial shape they've probably ever been in..” - this summarizes my conviction on the matter.EFFECT OF CONTAINERSHIP AVAILABILITY ON FUTURE CHARTER RATES AND REVENUEThe magnitude of TEU vessels scrapped decreased from highs in 2016 to ~1% in 2020, to ~0% in 2022. The recent increase in charter rates has caused numerous charter firms to run older ships for additional time in spite of higher operational costs. This increase in vessel deployment and utilization is further evidenced by the fact that the idle fleet ratio has fallen to 1.6% in recent years. Vessel orders have been placed with anticipated deliveries between 2023-2025, and the increase in Danaos' net shipping capacity is ~12.8%. Supply of these ships face a diminishing threat due to environmental regulations which will soon require corrective anti-pollution modifications to a portion of ~80% of the current world fleet which can be classified as aged. Danaos is at a smaller exposure to this risk because of a large number of young vessels it owns. Additionally, the influx in supply of eco-friendly ships to the market in future years may have a damage on Danaos' revenue, but the large number of non-cancelable contracts provides protection against this. The market share is currently concentrated amongst a smaller number of larger liner companies due to many smaller firms having faced bankruptcy in recent years - this increase in supply side power could allow the maintenance of higher freight and therefore charter rates, which could have an adverse effect on the aforementioned supply shifters, benefiting Danaos. To combat the constrictors of supply, significant orders will be met from 2023-2025, and a sizable portion of these orders will be at a capacity over 10000 TEU, while Danaos may have a smaller risk of loss due to its orders which are under 10000 TEU.CATALYSTI think sheer value can act as a catalyst for the stock as it shows consistent earnings due to the contracted future cash flows. More media coverage as the stock increases and shows consistent earnings could also have a similar effect. I think sheer value can act as a catalyst for the stock as it shows consistent earnings due to the contracted future cash flows. More media coverage as the stock increases and shows consistent earnings could also have a similar effect. In recent times, the media coverage has been low due to the fact that the firm was unestablished and not immensely profitable until after COVID.

2023-07-24

0

Do you have CEF’s as part of your retirement portfolio?

4 comments

2023-06-24

I’m trying to wrap my head around closed end funds. MAIN gives a 6.98% payout and ARCC gives a 10% payout. What are the drawbacks on this. I rarely hear CEF’s mentioned anywhere. I’m 45 y.o. and am considering making these part of my IRA portfolioThere are 2 drawbacks I can think of1- Missed opportunities on growth in the market2- From what I understand holding them in a taxable acct triggers short term capital gains taxThat being said, a consistent 9% yield in a tax advantaged account year after year seems like a win right? What am I missing?

2023-07-24

7

r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jun 13, 2023

1 comment

2023-06-24

This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against TA here and not in the current post.Some helpful day to day links, including news:Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocksBloomberg market newsStreetInsider news:Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dipsReuters aggregated - Global newsTechnical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions.The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticksIf you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:Indicator - Trade Signals - Lagging Indicator - Leading Indicator - Oversold - Overbought - Divergence - Whipsaw - Resistance - Support - Breakout/Breakdown - Alerts - Trend line - Market Participants - Moving average - RSI - VWAP - MACD - ATR - Bollinger Bands - Ichimoku clouds - Methods - Trend Following - Fading - Channels - Patterns - PivotsSee our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

1.0k

Netflix subscriptions rise as password-sharing crackdown takes effect

456 comments

2023-06-24

2023-07-24

23

Das mit Spannung erwartete Einzelspieler-Weltraum-Action-RPG EVERSPACE 2 erscheint am 15. August 2023 für PlayStation 5 und Xbox Series X|S! 🚀🚀🚀 Jetzt mit 20% Rabatt auf PlayStation vorbestellen oder an Tag 1 über Xbox Game Pass spielen und beim Kauf 20% sparen!

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=qGXbFDQGyBPXvaa_nUknRUA0XSRJjSlr8yBcaHPLsmp0rdOPJmH4XBR_Xkkr0JTr0s3ag_tgThjHZFcFLVee3yePzzmAepDeVAWcbJXSrBoUYUlXI4X7oq5SKNoRmPzLAXQB1SVImynkRKSDB_CMDpRfhttu_6b-Lq4C2ruhVnXN9raCCwZFCNH42GotECmvSukVT5ZSu3LraMAXzOZFZVwvgaxoDlE8K5sE8Fkds5CpylXqWFv8U1IFGVEyjeDClFhqqapniP57O5YEDCWU9V513gqt3-B72BpU-3FI-qt-PS73xGEGaINHTFsG-5wm7_2ETYnpobSVI2PqxYZpx0_D4J7thLUFmYwFrWq47H3NOoSGBvovvzSs4PBjHw&zp=1lDXikuV6nrDWP1dcjvPfS6Pa68kV9DlKbbi4MUodudbyy3v5GhWaG57MsWlVra_DtFxJEAdGEKHfKgAv_NPT7lnmqttB6XUdl5P8TVGid3auW6xznIWal0DvHLRUvJVT1hsQYF7cJuzBoNbH3USSX74iHOkJdjsSarUNUimWYEQ4d0U6kqBcAVYsHQ

0 comments

2023-07-24

150

r/stocks - going dark 48 hours - protest 3rd party API fees - Apollo/RIF shutting down

125 comments

2023-06-24

As most of you are aware, Reddit is going dark for 48 hours due to 3rd party apps shutting down June 30th due to API fees increasing. While the mods of r/stocks agreed to a 3 day blackout based on this poll, it will be 48 hours total, from 10am eastern June 12th to 10am eastern June 14th.Why join the protest at 10am? Because the stock market opens up at 9:30am eastern and we want users who are accustomed to visiting r/stocks sometime to know what's happening with the stock market & the protest as some apps (mobile web too) don't properly show the private message we have prepared.While r/stocks is private: You won't be able to access old posts or wiki pages!Resources:The investing discord that we'll be using during the blackoutWatch the subreddits going dark in realtimeA news article on what's happening.Economic calendar:Jun 13th 8:30am eastern - CPI report: Expected 5.6%Jun 14th 2pm - FED interest rate decision: Expected no changeJun 14th 2:30pm - FOMC press conferencePS When we come back Jun 14th at 10am Eastern, we're not ruling out another poll to see if the community wants to extend the blackout further if Reddit hasn't reduced their API fees to prevent Apollo/RIF from shutting down.

2023-07-24

27

What are your thoughts on Unity Software?

22 comments

2023-06-24

I've been closely following the stock of Unity Software (U) recently, and it seems to be significantly beaten down. However, there's exciting news about their recent partnership with Apple, which has the potential to provide a boost in the near future.Considering this partnership and the long-term prospects of Unity Software, I'm curious to hear your thoughts. Do you believe that this recent development with Apple could positively impact the stock's performance in the long run?

2023-07-24

33

would like an opinion on selling AAPL/MSFT shares

72 comments

2023-06-24

My stock portfolio is about 50% VOO/25% VGT and a bunch of individual stocks from different sectors. VOO and especially VGT are super heavy on AAPL & MSFT as it is. The indiviaul Apple and Microsoft stocks I own make up about 15% of that remaining 25% of my portfolio. I bought them when they were really cheap in October 2022 and have held them since for some great returns. Now I am wondering if I should sell them and allocate into that ~15% into VIG or SCHD or other individual companies for more diversity.Advice appreciated - ty!

2023-07-24

55

Is anyone else looking at Eli Lilly (LLY)?

115 comments

2023-06-24

I’m not an experienced investor, but I’ve dabbled here and there, and I’m curious what others think about LLY over the next 3-5 years.Specifically, their diabetes medication, Mounjaro, is in extremely high demand right now as a weight loss drug because it apparently works somewhat differently from Ozempic and other similarly situated products. It doesn’t have FDA approval for weight loss, but the demand is through the roof.More than that, there seems to be anecdotal support for the idea of using Mounjaro to help treat addiction in a wide variety of patients.Obviously, LLY is a reliable company and arguably not very risky at the worst of times, but I’m curious if anyone else has opened a position or is thinking about it based on the performance and potential of Mounjaro.

2023-07-24

12

TDA Account Questions, How to see how much i've invested

10 comments

2023-06-24

Hey everyone, I have a TDA investment account and I want to see how much total cash i've put into it but when I go to the transactions page and look at deposits it only goes back a certain amount of time (1 year or something like that). I've had my account for a while so I would like to know if there's a way to see how much TOTAL youve put into the account since you've created the account?

2023-07-24

182

Renewable Energy Stocks

283 comments

2023-06-24

I am 19 years old and I think that at some point in my life fossil resources will not have as many uses as they have today, and some energy stocks that are valuable today will not be valuable. I am looking for stocks focused on long-term renewable energy sources for my portfolio.

2023-07-24

4

What’s your view on Nu Bank?

7 comments

2023-06-24

I’ve been buying Nu Bank stocks since last year and now seeing some serious gain here. The company seems to be growing fast and gaining much clients in South America. Would this company likely to become bug as Bank of America?

2023-07-24

156

Ready to ditch the fax machine and embrace the future of faxing? With eFax, you can send and receive faxes right from your computer, or smartphone.

https://alb.reddit.com/cr?za=lCC7lUOjouocN82XTtdka2O1e-LzN9UTOV6aaGKMMqLZIZxA5gNNDqrMTCGrvXVFVD3SmJzr2I6MWUHl9m5IpF4VytykNf9p7EWn1wehCn7WfNSgqJU86Js0m_U-JB6H-5rDkN32KNOWQ4ealG3X7_sM5ye8GUGXWAiHGreJ7oCgDeWtzJWEL9Xr-hFDE7PwhQeXbwcEjfarh1jO5TZ4TGaNDRRsqepual3NjdYDqD2liHksTS0gm1M--0sRkT7fp6WG8S3inu_vcGERax28YJjv5kZJPvR1kZ5Zhid0K66f0392OsPBYHt3l11Tmmxlpu18DwdFRCttgK0GPjmL0aanyOH-SltmGns3Frel2hZlRMktTQJJjBUm8N-6CqKrrihlqOt3&zp=FVm_THRpSURFt0HY9JXZ4X_0ZUAnIwO2YWQ988xHVglGl8UOQziVZ6mfl1LzOQ-B9457EhT4aBauY1lQaSj0AkAoJiZuW07IKXgj7dPztGIW6xh5GhnnlyrJWeVpxUnlbTkx_CuUNUSku345DBtiJUyFV5Vn5WMphZ_roKSMugtSGWAcjSPIkPTuA6z9lI_B2KD_37SYGSoqyr0LoWtm866Rxz0MlJcgMKoZwzcN7WXxXbarzoDtByg

0 comments

2023-07-24

1

r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Jun 12, 2023

6 comments

2023-06-24

These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.Some helpful links:Finviz for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocksBloomberg market newsStreetInsider news:Market Check - Possibly why the market is doing what it's doing including sudden spikes/dipsReuters aggregated - Global newsIf you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

2023-07-24

4

Cognizant CTSH

12 comments

2023-06-24

Does anyone know why Cognizant is trading so much cheaper than Accenture, their publicly traded IT Consulting peer?Cognizant is trading at its lowest PE multiple in many years, the company has been consistently growing cash flow, buying back shares, and they pay a 1.9% dividend that they increase most years. I also think they will benefit from the rapid adoption of AI.CTSH - Cognizant - 13.85 Trailing PE ACCN - Accenture - 28.77 Trailing PEI would appreciate your thoughts!

2023-07-24