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Is a Better World Possible Without American Power? A Debate With Daniel Bessner

img altis a better world possible without american power a debate with daniel bessner srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205hegemonyjpgpppshadi has been curious about whether he has diverged from the left since bernie sanders campaign so he invited the socialist thinker a hrefhttpdanielbessnercomdaniel bessnera onto the podcast this week for a spirited discussion of first principles bessner is one of the most influential and important leftist intellectuals writing on foreign policy today he is the joff hanauer honors professor in western civilization at the university of washington and the author of ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdemocracyexilespeierdefenseintellectualdp0801453038ieutf8qid1509725358sr81keywordsdemocracyinexilelinkcodell1tagshtwitter20linkid7a9418eb3f6714966fcfe5d177f1b61flanguageen_usref_as_li_ss_tldemocracy in exileaem ppwhat followed was perhaps the most contentious episode in emwisdom of crowds emhistory of course here at the podcast we see deep difference as a feature and not a bug so we hope youll see this as an example of what spirited but civil disagreement might look like in practice the fundamental question we wanted to ask was whether american hegemony has on balance been quotgoodquot or quotbadquot for the world ppthis is a question about a world that seems to have been lost the unipolar moment is quickly coming to an endthat is if it isnt already gone daniel argues that the decline in american power is both an inescapable reality and a net positive for the world shadi and damir both disagree but for quite different reasons paudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdsbessner_freemp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdsbessner_freemp3herea is a link to the filep audiopin strongpart 2strong of our conversation a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivethedanielbessnerdebatepart2available herea for subscribers the guys dive even deeper into their disagreements over americas role in the world if the status quo is anything but ideal what exactly are the alternativesand are those alternatives plausible ppdamir looking to press daniel suggests that the socialist vision for how the world will improve with an inwardfacing socialist america leaves too many questions unanswered shadi bristled at the suggestion of decreasing americas military footprint at the exact time when russia and china are becoming increasingly aggressive all the while daniel rejects the premise that its in our interest to militarily aid ukraine and would prefer that the us take care of its own people and address its own moral disasters instead of pushing its pretend values on the worldpdiv dataplaceholdersubscribedivhrpemrequired readingempullidaniel bessners podcast quota hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastamericanprestigeid1574741668american prestigeaquotlilidaniels recent appearance on a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvntegadzpfyglenn lourys podcastaliliemdemocracy in exile hans speier and the rise of the defense intellectual emby daniel bessner ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdemocracyexilespeierdefenseintellectualdp0801453038amazonaemliliquotthe american empire and existential enemiesquot by daniel bessner ema hrefhttpsfxsubstackcomptheamericanempireandexistentialsrforeign exchangesaemliliquotthere are many things worse than american powerquot by shadi hamid ema hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202203putinkremlinimperialismukraineamericanpower624180atlanticaemliliquotare we the good guys a debate with glenn greenwaldquot ema hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivearewethegoodguyswisdom of crowdsaemliliemthe communist manifestoem by karl marx and frederick engels a hrefhttpsamznto3ncufqkamazonaliul

img altis better world possible american power debate daniel bessner srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205hegemonyjpgpppshadi curious diverged left bernie sanders campaign invited socialist thinker hrefhttpdanielbessnercomdaniel bessnera podcast week spirited discussion principles bessner influential important leftist intellectuals writing foreign policy today joff hanauer honors professor western civilization university washington author ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdemocracyexilespeierdefenseintellectualdp0801453038ieutf8qid1509725358sr81keywordsdemocracyinexilelinkcodell1tagshtwitter20linkid7a9418eb3f6714966fcfe5d177f1b61flanguageen_usref_as_li_ss_tldemocracy exileaem ppwhat followed contentious episode emwisdom crowds emhistory course podcast deep difference feature bug hope youll example spirited civil disagreement look like practice fundamental question wanted ask american hegemony balance quotgoodquot quotbadquot world ppthis question world lost unipolar moment quickly coming endthat isnt gone daniel argues decline american power inescapable reality net positive world shadi damir disagree different reasons paudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdsbessner_freemp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdsbessner_freemp3herea link filep audiopin strongpart 2strong conversation hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivethedanielbessnerdebatepart2available herea subscribers guys dive deeper disagreements americas role world status quo ideal exactly alternativesand alternatives plausible ppdamir looking press daniel suggests socialist vision world improve inwardfacing socialist america leaves questions unanswered shadi bristled suggestion decreasing americas military footprint exact time russia china increasingly aggressive daniel rejects premise interest militarily aid ukraine prefer care people address moral disasters instead pushing pretend values worldpdiv dataplaceholdersubscribedivhrpemrequired readingempullidaniel bessners podcast quota hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastamericanprestigeid1574741668american prestigeaquotlilidaniels recent appearance hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvntegadzpfyglenn lourys podcastaliliemdemocracy exile hans speier rise defense intellectual emby daniel bessner ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdemocracyexilespeierdefenseintellectualdp0801453038amazonaemliliquotthe american empire existential enemiesquot daniel bessner ema hrefhttpsfxsubstackcomptheamericanempireandexistentialsrforeign exchangesaemliliquotthere things worse american powerquot shadi hamid ema hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202203putinkremlinimperialismukraineamericanpower624180atlanticaemliliquotare good guys debate glenn greenwaldquot ema hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivearewethegoodguyswisdom crowdsaemliliemthe communist manifestoem karl marx frederick engels hrefhttpsamznto3ncufqkamazonaliul

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The Daniel Bessner Debate: Part II

img altthe daniel bessner debate part ii srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205greedjpgpwhat does it mean to apply socialist ideals to us foreign policy in strongpart 2strong of our conversation with daniel bessner the guys dive even deeper into their disagreements over americas place in the world if the status quo is anything but ideal what exactly are the alternatives and are such alternatives worth imagining even if theyre not quotrealisticquot ppdamir looking to press daniel suggests that the socialist vision for how the world will improve with an inwardfacing socialist america leaves too many questions unanswered shadi bristled at the suggestion of decreasing americas military footprint at the exact time when russia and china are becoming increasingly aggressive all the while daniel rejects the premise that its in our interest to militarily aid ukraine and would prefer that the us take care of its own people and address its own moral disasters instead of pushing its pretend values on the worldppin case you missed it strongpart 1strong of our conversation is a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveisabetterworldpossiblewithoutamericanpoweravailable hereap

img altthe daniel bessner debate ii srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205greedjpgpwhat mean apply socialist ideals foreign policy strongpart 2strong conversation daniel bessner guys dive deeper disagreements americas place world status quo ideal exactly alternatives alternatives worth imagining theyre quotrealisticquot ppdamir looking press daniel suggests socialist vision world improve inwardfacing socialist america leaves questions unanswered shadi bristled suggestion decreasing americas military footprint exact time russia china increasingly aggressive daniel rejects premise interest militarily aid ukraine prefer care people address moral disasters instead pushing pretend values worldppin case missed strongpart 1strong conversation hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveisabetterworldpossiblewithoutamericanpoweravailable hereap

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How much should you criticize other people?

pi mean in private conversation not in public discourse and this is emnotem to their faces but rather behind their back  and with at least a modest amount of meanness i am not talking about criticizing their ideas  here are some reasons not to criticize other peoplep p1 complain less is one of the very best pieces of wisdom  that is positively correlated with criticizing other people less though it is not identical eitherp p2 if you criticize x to y y wonders whether you criticize him to others as well  this problem can increase to the extent your criticism is biting and on the markp p3 criticizing others is a form of devalue and dismiss and that tends to make the criticizing people stupider  if i consider the columnists who pour a lot of energy into criticizing others even if they are sometimes correct it isnt so pretty a picture where they end upp p4 if x criticizes y it may get back to y and y will resent x and perhaps retaliatep p5 under some moral theories x is harming y if x criticizes y y doesnt find out and y faces no practical penalties from that criticism for an analogy maybe a wife is harming her husband if she has a secret affair and he never finds out about itp phere are some reasons emtoem criticize othersp p4 others may deserve the criticism and surely there is some intrinsic value in speaking the truth and perhaps some instrumental value as wellp p5 criticizing others is a way of building trust  in a threeway friendship with x y and z if x establishes that he and y can together criticize z that may boost trust between y and x and also increase xs relative power in the group  criticizing charles manson doesnt do this youve got to take some chances with your targetsp p6 criticizing others may induce people to fear you in a useful way  they may think if they displease you you will criticize them as wellp p7 perhaps something or somebody is going to be criticized no matter what  if you take the lead with the criticism that is a signal of your leadership potentialp pwhat else  is there anything useful written on this topicp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205howmuchshouldyoucriticizeotherpeoplehtmlhow much should you criticize other peoplea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi mean private conversation public discourse emnotem faces modest meanness talking criticizing ideas reasons criticize peoplep p1 complain best pieces wisdom positively correlated criticizing people identical eitherp p2 criticize x y y wonders criticize problem increase extent criticism biting markp p3 criticizing form devalue dismiss tends criticizing people stupider consider columnists pour lot energy criticizing correct isnt pretty picture end upp p4 x criticizes y y y resent x retaliatep p5 moral theories x harming y x criticizes y y doesnt find y faces practical penalties criticism analogy maybe wife harming husband secret affair finds itp phere reasons emtoem criticize othersp p4 deserve criticism surely intrinsic value speaking truth instrumental value wellp p5 criticizing way building trust threeway friendship x y z x establishes y criticize z boost trust y x increase xs relative power group criticizing charles manson doesnt youve got chances targetsp p6 criticizing induce people fear useful way think displease criticize wellp p7 somebody going criticized matter lead criticism signal leadership potentialp pwhat useful written topicp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205howmuchshouldyoucriticizeotherpeoplehtmlhow criticize peoplea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The second coming of Nato

pin november 2019 from the emsalon dor emof the lyse palace where charles de gaulle once held court emmanuel macron warned his fellow europeans that nato the transatlantic alliance that had secured europe since 1949 was on the point of brain death president donald trumps administration to the horror of americas own soldiers had just unilaterally withdrawn support from the kurdish forces in northern syria sacrificing them to bashar alassad and recep tayyip erdoan within a year the us would impose sanctions on turkey a member of nato since 1952 for its purchase of russian antiaircraft missiles disunity reignedp pin 2017 angela merkel had returned from a chaotic meeting with trump to declare that europe could clearly no longer count on america as an ally and must look to its own resources for its security macrons concern over two years later was that little had happened to make good on that realisationp pthe antics of leaders such as trump and erdoan would be hard to contain in any formal alliance but natos problems went deeper than populism what was still a compact antisoviet alliance in the 1980s had thanks to expansion in the 1990s and 2000s grown into a sprawling and aimless organisation as west european defence spending dwindled the alliance relied ever more on americas huge military budgets and eager new east european recruits the failures of nato intervention in afghanistan from 2001 and libya in 2011 were demoralising something that in 2021 would be underlined by another unilateral american withdrawal this time from afghanistan on the orders of joe bidenp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202204doesukraineneedamarshallplan target_blankdoes ukraine need a marshall plana]emstrongp pfor macron natos old rationale of keeping the soviets out and the germans down no longer seemed relevant despite vladimir putins moves against ukraine in 2014 berlin was buying more russian gas and macron wanted to reopen diplomatic channels to moscow reviving one of de gaulles great hopes of europe as a balancer between washington and moscow meanwhile from the american point of view insofar as there has been a clean line of strategy in the last decade it has largely bypassed the europeans and been directed against china and the battle for influence in the socalled indopacific a geopolitical construct that gained widespread currency after 2010p pnow in the spring of 2022 and thanks to putins illjudged assault on ukraine the picture is transformed all eyes are on europe and nato sweden and finland are applying for membership for the first time in its history the nato response force has been deployed as part of a collectivedefence mission even germanys government has agreed to increase its military spending from berlin the us secretary of state antony blinken has publicly affirmed the deep cooperation and coordination that is at the heart of the alliancep pit is hardly surprising that the russian invasion of ukraine has helped to revive nato but is this a sign of true mental reactivation does nato have a new vision or is the reaction to the war in ukraine more in the manner of a kneejerk an involuntary spasm induced by putins hammer blowp pthe atlanticist jubilation is so loud that people seem to have forgotten that if natos aim was to deter russian aggression and keep the peace in europe it has failed whether or not the talk of ukraine joining the alliance can really be said to have triggered putins invasion it certainly encouraged nationalist opinion in kyiv to take a hard line against moscow and also fuelled russian propaganda and for all the assistance and training that ukrainian forces had received up to that point from the us uk and canada moscow clearly assumed that it had military superiority western threats of economic sanctions were brushed asidep pif things had gone as most western intelligence agencies appear to have expected russia would have rolled over ukraine that would have terrified its neighbours to the west and given existing nato members every reason to reinforce their defences but whether sweden and finland would then have rushed to join nato is far from obvious would they have risked provoking moscow if the russian army was rampant moldova for one has no intention of applying even now it would be far too riskyp pwhat has created natos moment it cannot be emphasised too often is what was least expected ukraines effective and sustained armed resistance despite nato forces long interaction with ukraines military ukraine deployed troops to both iraq and afghanistan that resistance has been a total surprise which is hardly a testament to the closeness of those operations in terms of military intelligence about ukraine macrons assessment of nato brain death seems not too inaccurate ahead of the war we had no real understanding of the true military balance between russia and ukrainep p p figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 779px 100vw 779px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode779x1024jpg width779 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode779x1024jpg 779w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode228x300jpg 228w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode768x1010jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode1168x1536jpg 1168w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode1558x2048jpg 1558w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode397x522jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode137x180jpg 137w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcodescaledjpg 1947w classwpimage290652 height1024figure p p pit is the fact that russias offensive has been both blatant and thanks to ukraines heroics unsuccessful that makes nato membership for sweden and finland so obvious whether their applications will be straightforward is unclear the issue of kurdistan which in 2019 first prompted macrons provocative diagnosis has resurfaced ankara has raised objections over swedens alleged sponsorship of the kurdish independence movementp ponce war began and ukraine endured nato members rallied but talk of a nato response to putins war is the kind of smokeandmirrors operation that is the organisations forte in fact while nato has issued declarations in support of ukraine the aid is being supplied by the individual member states and that aid follows an all too familiar patternp pproportionally the baltic states are providing huge amounts around 08 per cent of gdp from estonia and latvia poland is contributing almost 05 per cent but above all it is the us that is arming ukraine and doing so on a gigantic scale well over 4bn in defence since the war started with tens of billions more in the pipeline if anything the crisis has confirmed the imbalances that have increasingly discredited nato nor is washington embarrassed to advertise that reality from the american side the rhetoric is redolent not of the collective commitments of the cold war but the hubandspokes model of lendlease under which between 1941 and 1945 the us supplied allied nations with food fuel and materiel and cemented its role as the arsenal of democracy but if the us is leading the way does washington have a real planp pon strategy washington has not one but several brains biden himself sounds bullish his rhetoric towards putin smacks of regime change the defence secretary lloyd austin speaks openly of exhausting russia the cia is more cautious warning of the risks of further escalation using ukraine to humiliate russia is one thing that americas warring parties in congress seem to be able to agree on the ukraine lendlease act which gives biden the powers to accelerate further deliveries passed easily through both chambers agreeing the additional aid packages proposed by the democrats an extra 40bn in additional military humanitarian and economic support will require horsetrading assuming they do pass the question remains is the us developing a new grand strategy for europe and nato or is grinding down russia an end in itself a project that plays well with the american electorate while freeing the pentagon to focus on chinap pbeyond the immediate need to back ukraine what is americas vision of a workable security order in europe does it even need one barring a nuclear escalation russia is far away and irrelevant to americas economy the same cannot be said of its relation to europep pit suits governments in eastern europe the nordic countries and the uk to talk tough on russia if anyone is truly invested in the idea of a nato revival they are better equipped with steady american leadership larger european contingents squarely focused on the east but everything has to work out just right to imagine that this is going to be the outcome of our current situation entails hoping for the best on three frontsp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202203howeuropeisenteringadarknewageofdivision target_blankthe new iron curtaina]emstrongp pthe first and most important is the war in ukraine itself if ukraine prevails and manages not only to stop but to roll back russias offensives do we really believe that moscow can tolerate that outcome if not shouldnt we expect russia to escalate asymmetrically the us director of national intelligence avril haines has recently warned of the risk that putin may be moving along an unpredictable and potentially escalatory trajectory if putin reaches for his nuclear arsenal then what we have experienced so far is merely a prelude a phoney war the real test for nato lies aheadp pif the war drags on with america providing substantial aid but russia proving able to stop ukraines counteroffensives does europe want the equivalent of another afghanistan on its doorstep a decadeslong conflict with a devastating humanitarian fallout that might suit washington but can europe live with it the dialogues between olaf scholz macron and moscow in recent weeks suggest that paris and berlin are still looking to offer putin a way out if the ukraine crisis extends into the distant future what will be the impact on the frontline states above all poland if afghanistan is the analogy we should be concerned that eastern europe does not suffer the fate of pakistan where americas antisoviet campaign helped to strengthen the deep state and stoke popular radicalisationp pthen there is the us itself if nato was facing an existential crisis in 2019 it was largely due to trumps erratic attacks on americas european partners the competent leadership from the biden team during the ukraine crisis unlike over afghanistan has been reassuring but here too we may be experiencing the calm before the storm by november 2022 the republican party will most likely be back in control of congress the presidential race in 2024 will probably be closer than the midterms but on their present showing the democrats will be lucky to hold on to the white house the return to power of trump or one of his ideological protgs would be a disaster for transatlantic relations but we should not be under any illusions about the republicans even without trump the politicalcultural gap between the norms of european politics and those of the gop is wide and growing already in 201415 the late senator john mccain and hawkish voices in washington dc made life very difficult for european diplomacy over ukraine americas eager new allies would be welladvised to bear that in mindp pfinally there is the larger question of what lies beyond the ukraine crisis if america succeeds in its more or less open strategy of bleeding russia dry why should that betoken a reorientation towards european security rather than the opposite if the us is willing to take risks to weaken russia as a strategic competitor that is presumably to be better able to focus on china and that poses the greater strategic question on china are europes interests aligned with those of the us and what has nato got to do with itp pso long as the current crisis keeps the focus on values and principles democracy vs dictatorship one can construct a master narrative of the free world vs the authoritarianism of xi jinping and putin but in other respects it takes a pretty fervid imagination to see frances sprinkling of colonial possessions in the indopacific as equivalent to americas stake in the glacis that consists of japan south korea and taiwan germany for its part continues to maintain close economic relations with china as herbert diess the ceo of volkswagen has frankly remarked if we would constrain our business to only established democracies which account for about 7 to 9 per cent of world population and this is shrinking then clearly there would not be any viable business model for an auto manufacturer if you are not in china you have a problem if you are in china you have a chancep pfor berlin a pivot from an energy war with russia to a trade war with china would be an economic worst casep pit would be vain to imagine that the western powers will dictate the course of future relations with china we ought to have learned the limits of our agency in ukraine in december 2020 brussels paris and berlin to the horror of the biden team offered an economic olive branch with the comprehensive agreement on investments which beijing spurned that made it easier for europe and the us to align on china during bidens first year in office than many expected in the summer of 2021 nato for the first time issued a statement on the security challenge posed by china but then in january 2022 came the storm over lithuania upgrading taiwans diplomatic recognition faced with beijings threats the baltics lined up with the us presumably with a view to anchoring american support against russia meanwhile berlin and much of the rest of the eu distanced themselves refusing to get drawn into a clash with beijing for all the talk of partnership it is far from clear how europe and the us align on china in the long termp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202204russiacannotaffordtolosesoweneedakindofavictorysergeykaraganovonwhatputinwants target_blankrussia cannot afford to lose so we need a kind of a victory sergey karaganov on what putin wantsa]emstrongp pthat a russian invasion of ukraine should revive the energies of nato is hardly surprising but does this refute or rather confirm macrons diagnosis in 2019 with hindsight macrons advocacy for a rapprochement with putin was wildly overoptimistic but that optimism did at least have the effect of freeing him to call for europe to face new strategic challenges those challenges might include china conflicts with turkey and in north africa migration climate or americas own democratic crisis by contrast the new mobilisation against russia has elicited a compulsive return to old antagonisms and cold war ideological tropes we are reheating images of the west both in the lan of ukraines national selfassertion and in the more technocratic coldeyed excitement over natos emvorsprung durch technikem lead by technology exemplified in javelin top attack antitank missiles or imagined scenarios of finnish snipers hunting down hapless russian invadersp pas incongruous as it may seem in the 1950s and 1960s this cocktail of existential ideas of individual freedom liberal constitutionalism and advanced military technology was the stock in trade of natopolitan ideology through the 1980s freedom initiative and intelligent training combined with the right hardware was touted as the formula that would enable nato to prevail despite being outnumbered against the invading hordes of the warsaw pactp pit is no doubt comforting to have that formula revived in the 21st century and it seems to be working on the battlefield in ukraine but it should not be confused with an adequate answer to europes security problems what macron was asking for in 2019 was greater european strategic sovereignty and greater imagination given the three great imponderables hanging over europe future relations with an even more resentful nucleararmed russia the state of us politics and the confrontation between the us and china that call is more pressing than everp pwhat europes strategy should consist of remains undefined macron was asking for fresh thinking not patented answers as the german philosopher a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202205afterthezeitenwendejurgenhabermasandgermanysnewidentitycrisis target_blankjrgen habermas has suggested recentlya europe must surely recognise its historical and politicocultural distance from the patriotic enthusiasm so spectacularly on display in ukraine europe must own its own postheroic state it should also however stand at a distance from americas technologyobsessed militarised strategic culture which has a track record in recent decades that no one would wish to emulate if europes bitter history of violence helps to inoculate against any great enthusiasm for militarism that should be regarded as an asset not a liabilityp pbut europe should not on the other hand fall into the selfdeceiving vanity of imagining that its valuesbased politics places it beyond the hard choices and dirtyhands problems of power the eu as it stands is far from harmless and the development of a real conversation about strategic autonomy will begin when it recognises that realityp pnot only do certain member states continue to have live military capacity with plenty of contemporary experience most notably france but we should also remember that the first people to wear eu uniforms are the officers of the frontex border guard who among other things are involved in pushing back migrants in the mediterranean a debate about strategic autonomy should start there is this what strategic autonomy looks like faced with the demographic and economic trends of africa and west asia a primitive fortress europe if not what is the alternativep por take the energy transition how much are europeans willing to pay to avoid dependence on putins gas that is a strategic question and so too is the question of the commercial and ethical tradeoffs in importing chinese solar panels it is not at all obvious what that has to do with the longrange anxieties about taiwan which preoccupy america slave labour in xinjiang and european industrial policy on the other hand are immediately relevantp pthough air power has played a subordinated role in ukraine it may be relevant to debate how many hundreds of billions of euros should be devoted to developing an independent european future combat air system to rival americas gargantuan f35 project but if europe is to have that discussion it should not be as a shamefaced return to proper strategic debate with a ringfenced budget allocation but alongside and in light of other commitments that will also be vital to europes security the green deal for instance or digital investment programmesp pall of this may involve cooperation with the us and others inside and outside nato faced with putins assault nato is an essential first line of defence but as far as the future is concerned it is at most a partial solution quite possibly a distraction and at worst a historic dead endp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancominternationalcontent202205europesnewironladyestonianprimeministerkajakallas target_blankeuropes new iron lady estonian prime minister kaja kallasa]emstrongp

pin november 2019 emsalon dor emof lyse palace charles de gaulle held court emmanuel macron warned fellow europeans nato transatlantic alliance secured europe 1949 point brain death president donald trumps administration horror americas soldiers unilaterally withdrawn support kurdish forces northern syria sacrificing bashar alassad recep tayyip erdoan year impose sanctions turkey member nato 1952 purchase russian antiaircraft missiles disunity reignedp pin 2017 angela merkel returned chaotic meeting trump declare europe clearly longer count america ally look resources security macrons concern years later little happened good realisationp pthe antics leaders trump erdoan hard contain formal alliance natos problems went deeper populism compact antisoviet alliance 1980s thanks expansion 1990s 2000s grown sprawling aimless organisation west european defence spending dwindled alliance relied americas huge military budgets eager new east european recruits failures nato intervention afghanistan 2001 libya 2011 demoralising 2021 underlined unilateral american withdrawal time afghanistan orders joe bidenp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202204doesukraineneedamarshallplan target_blankdoes ukraine need marshall plana]emstrongp pfor macron natos old rationale keeping soviets germans longer relevant despite vladimir putins moves ukraine 2014 berlin buying russian gas macron wanted reopen diplomatic channels moscow reviving de gaulles great hopes europe balancer washington moscow american point view insofar clean line strategy decade largely bypassed europeans directed china battle influence socalled indopacific geopolitical construct gained widespread currency 2010p pnow spring 2022 thanks putins illjudged assault ukraine picture transformed eyes europe nato sweden finland applying membership time history nato response force deployed collectivedefence mission germanys government agreed increase military spending berlin secretary state antony blinken publicly affirmed deep cooperation coordination heart alliancep pit hardly surprising russian invasion ukraine helped revive nato sign true mental reactivation nato new vision reaction war ukraine manner kneejerk involuntary spasm induced putins hammer blowp pthe atlanticist jubilation loud people forgotten natos aim deter russian aggression peace europe failed talk ukraine joining alliance said triggered putins invasion certainly encouraged nationalist opinion kyiv hard line moscow fuelled russian propaganda assistance training ukrainian forces received point uk canada moscow clearly assumed military superiority western threats economic sanctions brushed asidep pif things gone western intelligence agencies appear expected russia rolled ukraine terrified neighbours west given existing nato members reason reinforce defences sweden finland rushed join nato far obvious risked provoking moscow russian army rampant moldova intention applying far riskyp pwhat created natos moment emphasised expected ukraines effective sustained armed resistance despite nato forces long interaction ukraines military ukraine deployed troops iraq afghanistan resistance total surprise hardly testament closeness operations terms military intelligence ukraine macrons assessment nato brain death inaccurate ahead war real understanding true military balance russia ukrainep p p figure classwpblockimageimg sizesmaxwidth 779px 100vw 779px srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode779x1024jpg width779 alt srcsethttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode779x1024jpg 779w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode228x300jpg 228w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode768x1010jpg 768w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode1168x1536jpg 1168w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode1558x2048jpg 1558w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode397x522jpg 397w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcode137x180jpg 137w httpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202205202221_putinvsnato_nobarcodescaledjpg 1947w classwpimage290652 height1024figure p p pit fact russias offensive blatant thanks ukraines heroics unsuccessful makes nato membership sweden finland obvious applications straightforward unclear issue kurdistan 2019 prompted macrons provocative diagnosis resurfaced ankara raised objections swedens alleged sponsorship kurdish independence movementp ponce war began ukraine endured nato members rallied talk nato response putins war kind smokeandmirrors operation organisations forte fact nato issued declarations support ukraine aid supplied individual member states aid follows familiar patternp pproportionally baltic states providing huge amounts 08 cent gdp estonia latvia poland contributing 05 cent arming ukraine gigantic scale 4bn defence war started tens billions pipeline crisis confirmed imbalances increasingly discredited nato washington embarrassed advertise reality american rhetoric redolent collective commitments cold war hubandspokes model lendlease 1941 1945 supplied allied nations food fuel materiel cemented role arsenal democracy leading way washington real planp pon strategy washington brains biden sounds bullish rhetoric putin smacks regime change defence secretary lloyd austin speaks openly exhausting russia cia cautious warning risks escalation ukraine humiliate russia thing americas warring parties congress able agree ukraine lendlease act gives biden powers accelerate deliveries passed easily chambers agreeing additional aid packages proposed democrats extra 40bn additional military humanitarian economic support require horsetrading assuming pass question remains developing new grand strategy europe nato grinding russia end project plays american electorate freeing pentagon focus chinap pbeyond immediate need ukraine americas vision workable security order europe need barring nuclear escalation russia far away irrelevant americas economy said relation europep pit suits governments eastern europe nordic countries uk talk tough russia truly invested idea nato revival better equipped steady american leadership larger european contingents squarely focused east work right imagine going outcome current situation entails hoping best frontsp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202203howeuropeisenteringadarknewageofdivision target_blankthe new iron curtaina]emstrongp pthe important war ukraine ukraine prevails manages stop roll russias offensives believe moscow tolerate outcome shouldnt expect russia escalate asymmetrically director national intelligence avril haines recently warned risk putin moving unpredictable potentially escalatory trajectory putin reaches nuclear arsenal experienced far merely prelude phoney war real test nato lies aheadp pif war drags america providing substantial aid russia proving able stop ukraines counteroffensives europe want equivalent afghanistan doorstep decadeslong conflict devastating humanitarian fallout suit washington europe live dialogues olaf scholz macron moscow recent weeks suggest paris berlin looking offer putin way ukraine crisis extends distant future impact frontline states poland afghanistan analogy concerned eastern europe suffer fate pakistan americas antisoviet campaign helped strengthen deep state stoke popular radicalisationp pthen nato facing existential crisis 2019 largely trumps erratic attacks americas european partners competent leadership biden team ukraine crisis unlike afghanistan reassuring experiencing calm storm november 2022 republican party likely control congress presidential race 2024 probably closer midterms present showing democrats lucky hold white house return power trump ideological protgs disaster transatlantic relations illusions republicans trump politicalcultural gap norms european politics gop wide growing 201415 late senator john mccain hawkish voices washington dc life difficult european diplomacy ukraine americas eager new allies welladvised bear mindp pfinally larger question lies ukraine crisis america succeeds open strategy bleeding russia dry betoken reorientation european security opposite willing risks weaken russia strategic competitor presumably better able focus china poses greater strategic question china europes interests aligned nato got itp pso long current crisis keeps focus values principles democracy vs dictatorship construct master narrative free world vs authoritarianism xi jinping putin respects takes pretty fervid imagination frances sprinkling colonial possessions indopacific equivalent americas stake glacis consists japan south korea taiwan germany continues maintain close economic relations china herbert diess ceo volkswagen frankly remarked constrain business established democracies account 7 9 cent world population shrinking clearly viable business model auto manufacturer china problem china chancep pfor berlin pivot energy war russia trade war china economic worst casep pit vain imagine western powers dictate course future relations china ought learned limits agency ukraine december 2020 brussels paris berlin horror biden team offered economic olive branch comprehensive agreement investments beijing spurned easier europe align china bidens year office expected summer 2021 nato time issued statement security challenge posed china january 2022 came storm lithuania upgrading taiwans diplomatic recognition faced beijings threats baltics lined presumably view anchoring american support russia berlin rest eu distanced refusing drawn clash beijing talk partnership far clear europe align china long termp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202204russiacannotaffordtolosesoweneedakindofavictorysergeykaraganovonwhatputinwants target_blankrussia afford lose need kind victory sergey karaganov putin wantsa]emstrongp pthat russian invasion ukraine revive energies nato hardly surprising refute confirm macrons diagnosis 2019 hindsight macrons advocacy rapprochement putin wildly overoptimistic optimism effect freeing europe face new strategic challenges challenges include china conflicts turkey north africa migration climate americas democratic crisis contrast new mobilisation russia elicited compulsive return old antagonisms cold war ideological tropes reheating images west lan ukraines national selfassertion technocratic coldeyed excitement natos emvorsprung durch technikem lead technology exemplified javelin attack antitank missiles imagined scenarios finnish snipers hunting hapless russian invadersp pas incongruous 1950s 1960s cocktail existential ideas individual freedom liberal constitutionalism advanced military technology stock trade natopolitan ideology 1980s freedom initiative intelligent training combined right hardware touted formula enable nato prevail despite outnumbered invading hordes warsaw pactp pit doubt comforting formula revived 21st century working battlefield ukraine confused adequate answer europes security problems macron asking 2019 greater european strategic sovereignty greater imagination given great imponderables hanging europe future relations resentful nucleararmed russia state politics confrontation china pressing everp pwhat europes strategy consist remains undefined macron asking fresh thinking patented answers german philosopher relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202205afterthezeitenwendejurgenhabermasandgermanysnewidentitycrisis target_blankjrgen habermas suggested recentlya europe surely recognise historical politicocultural distance patriotic enthusiasm spectacularly display ukraine europe postheroic state stand distance americas technologyobsessed militarised strategic culture track record recent decades wish emulate europes bitter history violence helps inoculate great enthusiasm militarism regarded asset liabilityp pbut europe hand fall selfdeceiving vanity imagining valuesbased politics places hard choices dirtyhands problems power eu stands far harmless development real conversation strategic autonomy begin recognises realityp pnot certain member states continue live military capacity plenty contemporary experience notably france remember people wear eu uniforms officers frontex border guard things involved pushing migrants mediterranean debate strategic autonomy start strategic autonomy looks like faced demographic economic trends africa west asia primitive fortress europe alternativep por energy transition europeans willing pay avoid dependence putins gas strategic question question commercial ethical tradeoffs importing chinese solar panels obvious longrange anxieties taiwan preoccupy america slave labour xinjiang european industrial policy hand immediately relevantp pthough air power played subordinated role ukraine relevant debate hundreds billions euros devoted developing independent european future combat air system rival americas gargantuan f35 project europe discussion shamefaced return proper strategic debate ringfenced budget allocation alongside light commitments vital europes security green deal instance digital investment programmesp pall involve cooperation inside outside nato faced putins assault nato essential line defence far future concerned partial solution possibly distraction worst historic dead endp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancominternationalcontent202205europesnewironladyestonianprimeministerkajakallas target_blankeuropes new iron lady estonian prime minister kaja kallasa]emstrongp

6286c795570b644c68e3bec0

My Conversation with the excellent Daniel Gross

pthis is daniel gross a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205someblurbsfortalentwithdanielgrosshtml target_blankmy coauthor on emtalentema and the venture capitalist to be clear  and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesdanielgross target_blankthe audio and transcripta  of course we focus on talent and alsop blockquotepthey also explore the question of why so many high achievers love diet coke why you should ask candidates if they have any good conspiracy theories how to spot effective dark horses early the hiring strategy that set spacex apart what to look for in a talent identifier what you can learn from discussing drama the underrated genius of game designers why tyler has begun to value parents more and iq less conscientiousness as a mixed blessing the importance of value hierarchies how to become more charismatic the allure of endurance sports for highly successful people what they disagree on most and morepblockquote pexcerptp blockquote pstronggross strongwell take a step back why are we even here and why would i even have a shred of an interesting opinion on talent to the extent that i do i think its because in the venture business  much more so than i think almost any other business  you live in constant paranoia of missing out on great talent you might say well thats true in every company and its true at the met when youre looking for someone to play in the orchestra too but in the venture business unlike others great talent always looks very weird to whatever convention isp pbefore mark zuckerberg came along that phenotype of the hoodie sweatshirt and slightly aspie kid was not the common phenotype now of course there was a phase  2013 2014 2015  where everyone started looking for that but then it hit you again with a very weirdlooking person where a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesvitalikbuterin target_blank datahrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesvitalikbuterinvitalik [buterin]a is of a completely different ilk than zuck one very much is julius caesar and i think another one  i dont exactly know how youd bucket vitalik  maybe like an early popep pstrongcowen stronglike a russian holy saintp pstronggross strongexactly by the way not just the person is weirder than whatever the conventional norm is but the idea is weird toop blockquote pinteresting throughoutp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205myconversationwiththeexcellentdanielgrosshtmlmy conversation with the excellent daniel grossa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthis daniel gross relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205someblurbsfortalentwithdanielgrosshtml target_blankmy coauthor emtalentema venture capitalist clear relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesdanielgross target_blankthe audio transcripta course focus talent alsop blockquotepthey explore question high achievers love diet coke ask candidates good conspiracy theories spot effective dark horses early hiring strategy set spacex apart look talent identifier learn discussing drama underrated genius game designers tyler begun value parents iq conscientiousness mixed blessing importance value hierarchies charismatic allure endurance sports highly successful people disagree morepblockquote pexcerptp blockquote pstronggrossstrongwell step shred interesting opinion talent extent think venture businessmuch think businessyou live constant paranoia missing great talent thats true company true met youre looking play orchestra venture business unlike great talent looks weird convention isp pbefore mark zuckerberg came phenotype hoodie sweatshirt slightly aspie kid common phenotype course phase2013 2014 2015where started looking hit weirdlooking person wherea relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesvitalikbuterin target_blank datahrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesvitalikbuterinvitalik [buterin]ais completely different ilk zuck julius caesar think onei dont exactly know youd bucket vitalikmaybe like early popep pstrongcowenstronglike russian holy saintp pstronggrossstrongexactly way person weirder conventional norm idea weird toop blockquote pinteresting throughoutp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202205myconversationwiththeexcellentdanielgrosshtmlmy conversation excellent daniel grossa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62900275215bd6cd9d104cb7

How America went berserk

pmy sister is a teacher in america which means she has had to teach her fourthgrade students about how to defend themselves against people who might walk into her public school with guns once during a false alarm her class followed the safety protocol they had learned what did these children do to protect themselves from the shooter they thought was in the building one boy wielded a peanut butter jar another a bottle of hand sanitiser a student with a broken leg held up his crutch my sister crouched behind her desk and told them they were doing greatp pi wonder if the elementary school students in uvalde texas had similar drills i wonder if the teachers there like my sister worried about what they would do if they had to barricade the door i wonder if the fourth graders in texas had time to pick up their staplers and notebooks and lunch boxes to defend themselves from an 18yearold armed to the teeth before he slaughtered them in their classroomp pthe elementary school shooting in texas is the 212th mass shooting this year it is the 27th school shooting it is also the deadliest mass shooting in the us so far in 2022 which says something because it happened just ten days after ten people were killed in a supermarket in buffalo new york so far at least 19 children and two adults are dead in uvalde others are injuredp divdiv pi read these headlines and i think about how people grow accustomed to horrific things how not so long ago people watched other people get hanged drawn and quartered in the public square they watched beheadings they participated in honour killings i think about things that in other times in other places perhaps seemed perfectly normal to the people who witnessed them and that still remain normal in parts of the world todayp pwe look at such practices from our civilised perch and wonder how human beings ever did this to one another how did they witness such barbarism and still have the appetite for dinner how do wep phow have we normalised the fact that innocent people in america can step onto a subway car or go to a grocery store or a synagogue or a church or a concert or a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews202104212017baseballfieldshootingfbiconculsion483993 target_blankbaseball gamea or a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwpxicomnewslocalalleghenycountypittsburghpolicechiefconfirmsar15styleweaponusedairbnbmassshootingdirdzsrusjgjvbdqvvfssrdxky target_blanka partya or a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwjhgcom20220323manarrestedarkansascarshowmassshooting target_blankcar showa or to a relnoopener hrefhttpsnypostcom20220120shawnlavalsmithbitpoliceofficerayearbeforeslayingofbriannakupfer target_blankworka and maybe they will just be gunned down how have we become accustomed to lets call it what it is child sacrificep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202205gettyimages1397456908copy300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarh5buffalo and the myth of racist americah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthere is a deep sickness in this country it goes beyond our addiction to guns its an antisocial antihuman disease that has gripped our society and our politics a big part of that disease is how numb we have become to violence the country has been experiencing the largest crime surge in decades armed robberies are up shoplifting is up road deaths are up car breakins are so common in some cities that people leave notes on their windows to the thieves that nothing is insidep pbut the most devastating rise has been in murders since the fbi started tracking the data 2020 marked the highest singleyear increase in homicides in 2021 a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewshomicides2021increasecounciloncriminaljustice target_blankit went up againa as of 2020 thea relnoopener hrefhttpstimecom6170864causeofdeathchildrenguns target_blank leading cause of deatha among children in america is guns not cars not drugs guns it was also the year that we had the highest rate of gun sales in american historyp pthe profiles of americas mass shooters dont fit into a straightforward political box the 18yearold who massacred elderly black new yorkers at the grocery store in buffalo earlier this month was driven by white supremacy and evil conspiracies such as the great replacement the shooter the next day who targeted a taiwanese church in laguna woods california was chinese the recent shooting in dallas at a korean spa was carried out by a young black man the mass murderer in uvalde another 18yearold is hispanicp pand the victims of the new crime wave fit no single profile they include a young eagle scout in philadelphia a 24yearold ucla graduate student stabbed to death while working at a furniture store an afghan refugee who had worked as an interpreter for the us army who was shot to death while resting in his car between uber shifts its the 70yearold nurse murdered at the bus stop on the way to work the 19yearold burger king cashier robbed at gunpoint and then killed after handing over the money its the eightyearold boy shot outside of chicago a pregnant woman who was shot to death just after a relnoopener hrefhttpsabcnewsgocomuspregnantwomanshotdeadunloadinggiftsbabyshower target_blankarriving homea from her baby showerp psixteen cities including philadelphia austin jackson columbus baton rouge new haven and portland saw record high homicide rates in 2021 in the nations capital more people under the age of 50 were gunned down than died from covidp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202203gettyimages1218413526copy300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarh5the fall of seattleh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarspanbyspan ta frankapdivadiv pyou dont need to be told what you already know that mentally ill people getting their hands on guns to commit mass murder this easily is deranged and wrong accepting this as normal has nothing to do with respecting the second amendment you dont need another writer pointing out that this doesnt really happen in other places and maybe the fact that america has more guns than any other nation on earth has something to do with it theres nothing wellregulated about salvador ramos though it appears a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomrobbelementaryschoolgunmansalvadorramosboughttworiflesonhis18thbirthdaytexasofficialssay target_blankhe boughta those assault rifles legally on his 18th birthday theres simply no world in which our founders would look at innercity gun violence and these sick teenagers in suburban schools and say this was their intentionp pgun rights activists will argue that other countries have guns and that murderers dont need guns to kill and that some of the cities and states with the strictest gun laws in the country have the highest rates of violent crime and that people kill people guns dont kill people and that anyway good guys with guns kill bad guys with guns uvalde police officers and a school resource officer reportedly fired at the shooter they couldnt stop himp pheres where i think they are right if inadvertently the social rot thats come over america the nihilism and hatred of each other is part of the cause here the dissolution of our social ties and with them the accountability and responsibility that an actual community demands has allowed insanity to fester unnoticed lockdowns accelerated the isolation the purposelessness the lack of meaning that was already overcoming usp pif we insist on viewing this shooting as part of some isolated issue or species of violence then we miss the point the point is the country is being consumed by what philip roth called the indigenous american berserk it stretches back many decades or longer and for ages it was possible to ignore or compartmentalise now the brokenness is everywhere we look and it is impossible to unsee itp pema version of this article first appeared on barisa relnoopener hrefhttpsbariweisssubstackcompamericanmadnesstokeneyj1c2vyx2lkijoyodu2mdyznswicg9zdf9pzci6nty0ntawmjysil8ioijyshoxbyisimlhdci6mty1mzq5mjc4ocwizxhwijoxnjuzndk2mzg4lcjpc3mioijwdwitmjywmzq3iiwic3viijoicg9zdc1yzwfjdglvbij9fa7hjqfjjnqtwvnep30msrybpdzlpyq1o55p4yez20wsr target_blank substackaemp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202205howamericawentberserkappcommentsview 22 commentsa

pmy sister teacher america means teach fourthgrade students defend people walk public school guns false alarm class followed safety protocol learned children protect shooter thought building boy wielded peanut butter jar bottle hand sanitiser student broken leg held crutch sister crouched desk told greatp pi wonder elementary school students uvalde texas similar drills wonder teachers like sister worried barricade door wonder fourth graders texas time pick staplers notebooks lunch boxes defend 18yearold armed teeth slaughtered classroomp pthe elementary school shooting texas 212th mass shooting year 27th school shooting deadliest mass shooting far 2022 says happened days people killed supermarket buffalo new york far 19 children adults dead uvalde injuredp divdiv pi read headlines think people grow accustomed horrific things long ago people watched people hanged drawn quartered public square watched beheadings participated honour killings think things times places perfectly normal people witnessed remain normal parts world todayp pwe look practices civilised perch wonder human beings witness barbarism appetite dinnerhow wep phow normalised fact innocent people america step subway car grocery store synagogue church concert aa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews202104212017baseballfieldshootingfbiconculsion483993 target_blankbaseball gameaora relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwpxicomnewslocalalleghenycountypittsburghpolicechiefconfirmsar15styleweaponusedairbnbmassshootingdirdzsrusjgjvbdqvvfssrdxky target_blanka partyaor aa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwjhgcom20220323manarrestedarkansascarshowmassshooting target_blankcar showaor toa relnoopener hrefhttpsnypostcom20220120shawnlavalsmithbitpoliceofficerayearbeforeslayingofbriannakupfer target_blankworkaand maybe gunned accustomed lets child sacrificep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202205gettyimages1397456908copy300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarh5buffalo myth racist americah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202205buffaloandthemythofracistamericarefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthere deep sickness country goes addiction guns antisocial antihuman disease gripped society politicsa big disease numb violence country experiencing largest crime surge decades armed robberies shoplifting road deaths car breakins common cities people leave notes windows thieves insidep pbut devastating rise murders fbi started tracking data 2020 marked highest singleyear increase homicides 2021a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewshomicides2021increasecounciloncriminaljustice target_blankit went againaas 2020 thea relnoopener hrefhttpstimecom6170864causeofdeathchildrenguns target_blankleading cause deathaamong children america guns cars drugs guns year highest rate gun sales american historyp pthe profiles americas mass shooters dont fit straightforward political box 18yearold massacred elderly black new yorkers grocery store buffalo earlier month driven white supremacy evil conspiracies great replacement shooter day targeted taiwanese church laguna woods california chinese recent shooting dallas korean spa carried young black man mass murderer uvalde 18yearold hispanicp pand victims new crime wave fit single profile include young eagle scout philadelphia 24yearold ucla graduate student stabbed death working furniture store afghan refugee worked interpreter army shot death resting car uber shifts 70yearold nurse murdered bus stop way work 19yearold burger king cashier robbed gunpoint killed handing money eightyearold boy shot outside chicago pregnant woman shot death aftera relnoopener hrefhttpsabcnewsgocomuspregnantwomanshotdeadunloadinggiftsbabyshower target_blankarriving homeafrom baby showerp psixteen cities including philadelphia austin jackson columbus baton rouge new haven portland saw record high homicide rates 2021 nations capital people age 50 gunned died covidp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202203gettyimages1218413526copy300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarh5the fall seattleh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202203thefallofseattlerefinnarspanbyspan ta frankapdivadiv pyou dont need told know mentally ill people getting hands guns commit mass murder easily deranged wrong accepting normal respecting second amendment dont need writer pointing doesnt happen places maybe fact america guns nation earth theres wellregulated salvador ramos appearsa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcomrobbelementaryschoolgunmansalvadorramosboughttworiflesonhis18thbirthdaytexasofficialssay target_blankhe boughtathose assault rifles legally 18th birthday theres simply world founders look innercity gun violence sick teenagers suburban schools intentionp pgun rights activists argue countries guns murderers dont need guns kill cities states strictest gun laws country highest rates violent crime people kill people guns dont kill people good guys guns kill bad guys guns uvalde police officers school resource officer reportedly fired shooter couldnt stop himp pheres think right inadvertently social rot thats come america nihilism hatred cause dissolution social ties accountability responsibility actual community demands allowed insanity fester unnoticed lockdowns accelerated isolation purposelessness lack meaning overcoming usp pif insist viewing shooting isolated issue species violence miss point point country consumed philip roth called indigenous american berserk stretches decades longer ages possible ignore compartmentalise brokenness look impossible unsee itp pema version article appeared barisa relnoopener hrefhttpsbariweisssubstackcompamericanmadnesstokeneyj1c2vyx2lkijoyodu2mdyznswicg9zdf9pzci6nty0ntawmjysil8ioijyshoxbyisimlhdci6mty1mzq5mjc4ocwizxhwijoxnjuzndk2mzg4lcjpc3mioijwdwitmjywmzq3iiwic3viijoicg9zdc1yzwfjdglvbij9fa7hjqfjjnqtwvnep30msrybpdzlpyq1o55p4yez20wsr target_blanksubstackaemp hrefhttpsunherdcom202205howamericawentberserkappcommentsview 22 commentsa

6297ee026647eb0ba9c60ac2

Your Twitter Activism Is Numbing You

hrimg altyour twitter activism is numbing you srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205twitterjpgpive drifted away from twitter id like to tell you that it was a principled decisionthat the format of the site did it that its the vitriol the shallowness but its not that at all id also like to tell you how i feel a lot better now that i spend less time on the site but i cant do that either if anything i feel more out of step with the world now that im not getting less of my news through the twitter firehoseppno whats caused me to drift away from twitter is a sense of the emfutilityem of the placeppshadi and i talked about it a little on the a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveafteruvaldeareckoningmost recent episodea of the podcast but id like to drill down into it some more as i said on the episode logging onto twitter after the uvalde massacre was offputting not because the tone of the discussion was hostile and partisan its that the experience of reading the discussion on twitter in the tragedys aftermath crystallized for me the way in which the dominant mode of discussion on the sitea kind of affirmationseeking pietyis a waste of timeppmatt yglesias tweeted what arguably was an illtimed sentiment just as news of the tragedy was spreadingpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrfor all its very real problems one shouldnt lose sight of the fact that the contemporary united states of america is one of the best places to live in all of human history and theres a reason tons of people of all kinds from all around the world clamor to move herep matthew yglesias mattyglesias a hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1529234787579355136ref_srctwsrc5etfwmay 24 2022ablockquote figurepmatt got a hrefhttpswwwmerriamwebstercomwordsatplaywordswerewatchingratioratioedratioingratioeda quite quickly and while one can make the argument that the censure matt received was welldeserved on empolitenessem grounds i suspect the reason matt initially doubled down before a hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1529432913384718337apologizinga and indeed the reason he has not taken down the initial tweet is that a lot of the blowback was grounded on emsensitivityem grounds its a subtle distinction but i think its an important one its the difference between being emrudeem and being emunsentimentalem the sentimental approach to politics that twitter has helped sew into our national discourse is i think whats started to push me away from the platformppmy distaste for sentimentality especially when wrestling with weighty issues is a personal preference and when one is unsparing about things as i sometimes tend to be i fully expect to get pushback and criticism if youre getting a beatdown on twitter dont whine if youre wrong learn from your mistake engage with your earnest detractors if youre not wrong either fight back or let the storm passwhatever your pleasure in other words im not complaining about how unsentimental perspectives unfairly get shut down on social media if youre unsentimental in your analysis dont be overly sensitive about the pushback when it comesppas i said im drifting away from twitter im not fleeing it and the reason for my drifting away is that participation in an ostensibly political space increasingly shaped by sentimentality feels largely futile not simply because sentimentality doesnt easily yield to argument rather its that sentimentality leads to a feckless symbolic politicsa politics of signaling but not a politics of actionppi remember first being struck by a version of this phenomenon in 2009 when overnight almost all of the avatars on twitter turned green in support of irans a hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiiranian_green_movementgreen revolutiona very few of the people i follow on twitter are iranian or iran experts or even middle east hands and yet everyone was moved to show solidarity with a movement in a faraway land that they understood to feature the forces of decency fighting against the forces of barbarism a similar phenomenon can be observed today with an overwhelming number of people sticking ukrainian flags in their profilesppi dont know enough about iran to have anything smart to say about the virtues and shortcomings of the green revolution but i stand on the side of ukraine in most of the arguments were dealing with today and while i have no yellow and blue in my profile im not against people finding ways to show solidarity with things occurring in the world that happen to move themppbut theres something different about how solidarity is done on the internet as opposed to the real world you might say that changing your avatar or putting a national flag into your handle is no different from how americans started tying yellow ribbons onto trees outside their houses both in solidarity with troops deployed in iraq and as a general antiwar sentiment but the sense of degree and the sense of personal investment matters tying a ribbon to a tree was certainly a political statement but everyone understood it to be quite low on the scale of investment in a cause it was a passive demonstration of sentiment not a real sign of commitment on the internet such demonstrations of solidarity take on a different valence instead of tying a ribbon to a tree one is all of a sudden wearing the colors everywhere one goes what may have started as a desire to show solidarity quickly becomes a tribal marker and becomes invested in a sense of deeper belonging often becoming a kind of virtue signaling that extends beyond whatever virtue the initial cause itself may have entailedppand the problem is not that virtue signaling is inherently bad but rather that it paradoxically cheapens politics signaling a personal commitment to a cause is easier than ever on the internet but doing so is no more or less effective than the passive act of tying a ribbon to a tree both are merely symbolic sentimental acts but on the internet it often feels like the symbolic sentimental act is more meaningful than it actually is as a result all too often people feel more politically engaged than they actually areppon the uvalde massacre shadi a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveafteruvaldeareckoningrightly pointed outa that the outpourings of grief and rage on the internet could be used to motivate meaningful political action to ultimately effect change on the gun question maybe lets see but color me skeptical the challenges to reforming gun legislation are formidable and success may well be out of reach to even a wellorganized political movement but my prediction is that no such political movement will materialize in no small part due to the anesthetizing tendencies of social media activism on twitter youre free to be political and speak your mind having done so you can go about your day satisfied that youve done your part untroubled by the fact that what you have done has very little significance or impactppthats why im drifting away because the stakes are so damned lowp

hrimg altyour twitter activism numbing srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202205twitterjpgpive drifted away twitter id like tell principled decisionthat format site vitriol shallowness id like tell feel lot better spend time site cant feel step world im getting news twitter firehoseppno whats caused drift away twitter sense emfutilityem placeppshadi talked little hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveafteruvaldeareckoningmost recent episodea podcast id like drill said episode logging twitter uvalde massacre offputting tone discussion hostile partisan experience reading discussion twitter tragedys aftermath crystallized way dominant mode discussion sitea kind affirmationseeking pietyis waste timeppmatt yglesias tweeted arguably illtimed sentiment news tragedy spreadingpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrfor real problems shouldnt lose sight fact contemporary united states america best places live human history theres reason tons people kinds world clamor herep matthew yglesias mattyglesias hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1529234787579355136ref_srctwsrc5etfwmay 24 2022ablockquote figurepmatt got hrefhttpswwwmerriamwebstercomwordsatplaywordswerewatchingratioratioedratioingratioeda quickly argument censure matt received welldeserved empolitenessem grounds suspect reason matt initially doubled hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1529432913384718337apologizinga reason taken initial tweet lot blowback grounded emsensitivityem grounds subtle distinction think important difference emrudeem emunsentimentalem sentimental approach politics twitter helped sew national discourse think whats started push away platformppmy distaste sentimentality especially wrestling weighty issues personal preference unsparing things tend fully expect pushback criticism youre getting beatdown twitter dont whine youre wrong learn mistake engage earnest detractors youre wrong fight let storm passwhatever pleasure words im complaining unsentimental perspectives unfairly shut social media youre unsentimental analysis dont overly sensitive pushback comesppas said im drifting away twitter im fleeing reason drifting away participation ostensibly political space increasingly shaped sentimentality feels largely futile simply sentimentality doesnt easily yield argument sentimentality leads feckless symbolic politicsa politics signaling politics actionppi remember struck version phenomenon 2009 overnight avatars twitter turned green support irans hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiiranian_green_movementgreen revolutiona people follow twitter iranian iran experts middle east hands moved solidarity movement faraway land understood feature forces decency fighting forces barbarism similar phenomenon observed today overwhelming number people sticking ukrainian flags profilesppi dont know iran smart virtues shortcomings green revolution stand ukraine arguments dealing today yellow blue profile im people finding ways solidarity things occurring world happen themppbut theres different solidarity internet opposed real world changing avatar putting national flag handle different americans started tying yellow ribbons trees outside houses solidarity troops deployed iraq general antiwar sentiment sense degree sense personal investment matters tying ribbon tree certainly political statement understood low scale investment cause passive demonstration sentiment real sign commitment internet demonstrations solidarity different valence instead tying ribbon tree sudden wearing colors goes started desire solidarity quickly tribal marker invested sense deeper belonging kind virtue signaling extends virtue initial cause entailedppand problem virtue signaling inherently bad paradoxically cheapens politics signaling personal commitment cause easier internet effective passive act tying ribbon tree merely symbolic sentimental acts internet feels like symbolic sentimental act meaningful actually result people feel politically engaged actually areppon uvalde massacre shadi hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveafteruvaldeareckoningrightly pointed outa outpourings grief rage internet motivate meaningful political action ultimately effect change gun question maybe lets color skeptical challenges reforming gun legislation formidable success reach wellorganized political movement prediction political movement materialize small anesthetizing tendencies social media activism twitter youre free political speak mind having day satisfied youve untroubled fact little significance impactppthats im drifting away stakes damned lowp

62993a7f9406c79346f82246

Georgetown Ends Investigation of Ilya Shapiro for Bad Tweet, Will Not Fire Him

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804402400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804401200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804402400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804401200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altcandid of ilya shapiro on stage srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpeg height675 picture div pgeorgetown university has concluded its investigation into libertarian legal scholar ilya shapiro who was hired to run the universitys center for the constitution but placed on leave shortly before beginning the job at issue was shapiros a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220128georgetownshouldnotfireilyashapiroforabadtweetpoorlyworded tweeta about president joe bidens choice of ketanji brown jackson to replace justice stephen breyer on the supreme courtp pthe administration has decided that since the tweet was sent before shapiro formally joined the university he was quotnot properly subject to disciplinequot for it as such shapiro can return to work and begin his jobp pquotat the same timequot law dean william treanor wrote in a statement quotmr shapiros tweets had a significant negative impact on the georgetown law community including current and prospective students alumni staff and faculty and they recommended that i put in place actions to address the negative impact that the tweets had on the law school communityquotp pthe tweet in question was thisp div div dataqadropcapletter blockquote p dataeltextobjectively best pick for biden is sri srinivasan who is solid prog amp v smart even has identify politics benefit of being first asian indian american but alas doesnt fit into the latest intersectionality hierarchy so well get lesser black woman thank heaven for small favorsp p dataeltextbecause biden said hes only consider[ing] black women for scotus his nominee will always have an asterisk attached fitting that the court takes up affirmative action next termp blockquote div div div p dataqaarticlebodyadas i explained in the wake of his suspension shapiros wording was indeed illconsidered as he himself freely admitted butp blockquote p dataqaarticlebodyadits not right to say he had asserted that black women as a category would make poor supreme court justices rather he indicated that he thought the absolute best choicefrom a progressive standpointwas a specific judge sri srinivasan an indian american and member of the hindu faith which would also be a first for the court in his tweet shapiro was lamenting that bidens commitment to choosing a justice who fits a specific demographics profile would preclude him from making this selectionp blockquote p dataqaarticlebodyadand in any case georgetowns commitment to free speech certainly protects such speech as the foundation for individual rights in education a hrefhttpswwwthefireorgfirestatementongeorgetownssuspensionandinvestigationofilyashapironoteda in its defense of shapiro the investigation itself was quotantithetical to the tenets of liberal education and cannot be squared with [the universitys] promise to provide all members of its community the broadest possible latitude to speak write listen challenge and learn even if others find it offensive unwise immoral or ill conceivedquotp p dataqaarticlebodyadin a statement shapiro said that he was relieved to finally get to workp p dataqaarticlebodyadquoti look forward to teaching and engaging in a host of activities relating to constitutional educationquot he a hrefhttpstwittercomishapirostatus1532428559826006016s20tv1oseosq5xflsdbm_fhgzwsaida quotas befitting a center for the constitution all students and participants in my programs can expect to be accorded the freedom to think and speak freely and to be treated equally a diversity of ideas will be most welcomequotp p dataqaarticlebodyadgeorgetown purports to welcome a vigorous exchange of diverse ideas the best way to honor that commitment would be to refrain from conducting such investigations in the futurep div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220602ilyashapirogeorgetowntweetinvestigationgeorgetown ends investigation of ilya shapiro for bad tweet will not fire hima appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804402400x1350jpegwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804401200x675jpegwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpegwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440600x338jpegwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440331x186jpegwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804402400x1350jpeg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_252798804401200x675jpeg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpeg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440600x338jpeg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440331x186jpeg 331w img width1200 altcandid ilya shapiro stage srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206ilya_shapiro_25279880440800x450jpeg height675 picture div pgeorgetown university concluded investigation libertarian legal scholar ilya shapiro hired run universitys center constitution placed leave shortly beginning job issue shapiros hrefhttpsreasoncom20220128georgetownshouldnotfireilyashapiroforabadtweetpoorlyworded tweeta president joe bidens choice ketanji brown jackson replace justice stephen breyer supreme courtp pthe administration decided tweet sent shapiro formally joined university quotnot properly subject disciplinequot shapiro return work begin jobp pquotat timequot law dean william treanor wrote statement quotmr shapiros tweets significant negative impact georgetown law community including current prospective students alumni staff faculty recommended place actions address negative impact tweets law school communityquotp pthe tweet question thisp div div dataqadropcapletter blockquote p dataeltextobjectively best pick biden sri srinivasan solid prog amp v smart identify politics benefit asian indian american alas doesnt fit latest intersectionality hierarchy lesser black woman thank heaven small favorsp p dataeltextbecause biden said hes consider[ing] black women scotus nominee asterisk attached fitting court takes affirmative action termp blockquote div div div p dataqaarticlebodyadas explained wake suspension shapiros wording illconsidered freely admitted butp blockquote p dataqaarticlebodyadits right asserted black women category poor supreme court justices indicated thought absolute best choicefrom progressive standpointwas specific judge sri srinivasan indian american member hindu faith court tweet shapiro lamenting bidens commitment choosing justice fits specific demographics profile preclude making selectionp blockquote p dataqaarticlebodyadand case georgetowns commitment free speech certainly protects speech foundation individual rights education hrefhttpswwwthefireorgfirestatementongeorgetownssuspensionandinvestigationofilyashapironoteda defense shapiro investigation quotantithetical tenets liberal education squared [the universitys] promise provide members community broadest possible latitude speak write listen challenge learn find offensive unwise immoral ill conceivedquotp p dataqaarticlebodyadin statement shapiro said relieved finally workp p dataqaarticlebodyadquoti look forward teaching engaging host activities relating constitutional educationquot hrefhttpstwittercomishapirostatus1532428559826006016s20tv1oseosq5xflsdbm_fhgzwsaida quotas befitting center constitution students participants programs expect accorded freedom think speak freely treated equally diversity ideas welcomequotp p dataqaarticlebodyadgeorgetown purports welcome vigorous exchange diverse ideas best way honor commitment refrain conducting investigations futurep div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220602ilyashapirogeorgetowntweetinvestigationgeorgetown ends investigation ilya shapiro bad tweet fire hima appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62993ab39406c79346f82252

Rubin and Koyama on the Industrial Revolution

pfrom dylan matthewsp blockquote pthe big question is what drove this transformation historians economists and anthropologists have proposed a long list of explanations for why human life suddenly changed starting in 18thcentury england from a datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb06x1ct33rascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb06x1ct33rascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]dgeographic effectsa to a datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb007hliun4refdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026btkr1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotbtkrquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb007hliun4refdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8btkr1forms of governmenta to a datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb0036s49wsrefdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026btkr1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotbtkrquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb0036s49wsrefdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8btkr1intellectual property rulesa to a datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomindustrialrevolutionperspectiveapproacheseconomicdp0521687853ascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026sanoredirect1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotsanoredirectquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomindustrialrevolutionperspectiveapproacheseconomicdp0521687853ascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]dsanoredirect1fluctuations in average wagesap pfor a long time there was no one book that could explain compare and evaluate these theories for nonexperts thats changed a datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricalebookdpb09vnrjz31dpb09vnrjz31refmt_otherascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026meu0026qidquotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotmequotquotquotquotqidquotquotquotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricalebookdpb09vnrjz31dpb09vnrjz31refmt_otherascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8meqidemhow the world became richema by chapman universitys jared rubin and george mason universitys mark koyama provides a comprehensive look at what exactly changed when sustained economic growth began what factors help explain its beginning and which theories do the best job of making sense of the new stage of life that humans have been experiencing for a couple brief centuriesp blockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvoxcomfutureperfect20226123138463howtheworldbecamerichindustrialrevolutionkoyamarubin target_blankthe full coverage with interviewa  and you can order a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricaldp1509540237refsr_1_1cridrekmwu2yl5fckeywordsmarkkoyamaqid1654093904sprefixmarkkoyama2caps2c262sr81 target_blankthe book here from amazona  i havent read it yet but this is surely selfrecommendingp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206rubinandkoyamaontheindustrialrevolutionhtmlrubin and koyama on the industrial revolutiona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pfrom dylan matthewsp blockquote pthe big question drove transformation historians economists anthropologists proposed long list explanations human life suddenly changed starting 18thcentury england froma datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb06x1ct33rascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb06x1ct33rascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]dgeographic effectsatoa datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb007hliun4refdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026btkr1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotbtkrquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb007hliun4refdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8btkr1forms governmentatoa datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomdpb0036s49wsrefdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026btkr1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotbtkrquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomdpb0036s49wsrefdpkindleredirectascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8btkr1intellectual property rulesatoa datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomindustrialrevolutionperspectiveapproacheseconomicdp0521687853ascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026sanoredirect1quotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquotsanoredirectquotquot1quotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomindustrialrevolutionperspectiveapproacheseconomicdp0521687853ascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]dsanoredirect1fluctuations average wagesap pfor long time book explain compare evaluate theories nonexperts thats changeda datacdataquotrewritten_urlquotquothttpssmileamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricalebookdpb09vnrjz31dpb09vnrjz31refmt_otherascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderu0026_encodingutf8u0026meu0026qidquotquotsubtag_max_lengthquot99quotsubtag_delim_lengthquot2quotsubtag_keyquotquotascsubtagquotquotsubtag_dataquotquotascsubtagquotquot[]vx[p]22902504[m]mplaceholder[s]splaceholder[t]w[c]cplaceholder[r]rplaceholder[d]dplaceholderquotquot_encodingquotquotutf8quotquotmequotquotquotquotqidquotquotquotquotencode_subtagquotfalse hrefhttpssmileamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricalebookdpb09vnrjz31dpb09vnrjz31refmt_otherascsubtag[]vx[p]22902504[t]w[r]tco[d]d_encodingutf8meqidemhow world richema chapman universitys jared rubin george mason universitys mark koyama provides comprehensive look exactly changed sustained economic growth began factors help explain beginning theories best job making sense new stage life humans experiencing couple brief centuriesp blockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvoxcomfutureperfect20226123138463howtheworldbecamerichindustrialrevolutionkoyamarubin target_blankthe coverage interviewa order relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricaldp1509540237refsr_1_1cridrekmwu2yl5fckeywordsmarkkoyamaqid1654093904sprefixmarkkoyama2caps2c262sr81 target_blankthe book amazona havent read surely selfrecommendingp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206rubinandkoyamaontheindustrialrevolutionhtmlrubin koyama industrial revolutiona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62993ac19406c79346f82254

Chomsky: We Must Insist That Nuclear Warfare Is an Unthinkable Policy

pthe war in ukraine is now in its fourth month but there is no sign of a ceasefire or resolution anywhere in sight ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy has ruled out a ceasefire or concessions yet he maintains that only diplomacy can end the war in the meantime russian forces are trying to capture eastern ukraine while the policy of the united states is to provide military support to zelenskyys government for as long as it might take to weaken russia in hope that regime change will come to moscowp pthese developments do not bode well either for ukraine or for the world at large argues noam chomsky a public intellectual regarded by millions of people as a national and international treasure in this new and exclusive interview for emtruthout emchomsky urges the forces capable of ending the war to devote their energy to finding constructive ways to put a halt to the unfolding tragedies in addition he analyzes the new and highly dangerous global order that is taking shape perhaps to the surprise of many especially considering the ongoing war in ukraine he does not describe the usrussia confrontation as the central element of the new global order in the making chomsky is institute professor and professor of linguistics at mit and currently laureate professor at the university of arizona and has published some 150 books in linguistics political and social thought political economy media studies us foreign policy and international affairsp pstrongcj polychroniou after months of fighting there is still very little hope of peace in ukraine russia is now refocusing its efforts on taking control of the east and south of the country with the likely intent of incorporating them into the russian federation while the west has signaled that it will step up military support for ukraine in the light of these developments ukrainian officials have ruled out a ceasefire or concessions to moscow although president volodymyr zelenskyy also went on record saying that only diplomacy can end the war dont these two positions cancel each other out doesnt a mutually acceptable agreement for a war to end always contain concessions indeed back in march the ukrainian government had signaled its intention that it was willing to make big concessions for the war to end so whats going on could it be that neither side is fully invested in peacestrongp pstrongnoam chomsky strongill come back to the questions but we should carefully consider the stakes they are very high they go far beyond ukraine desperate and tragic as the situation is there anyone with a moral bone in their body will want to think through the issues carefully without heroic posturingp plets consider what is at stakep pfirst of course is putins invasion of ukraine a crime to repeat once again that can be compared to the us invasion of iraq or the hitlerstalin invasion of poland the kind of crimes against peace for which nazi war criminals were hanged though only the defeated are subject to punishment in what we call civilization in ukraine itself there will be a terrible toll as long as the war persistsp pthere are broader consequences which are truly colossal thats no exaggerationp pone is that tens of millions of people in asia africa and the middle east are literally facing starvation as the war proceeds cutting off desperately needed agricultural supplies from the black sea region the primary supplier for many countries including some already facing utter disaster like yemen will return to how that is being handledp pa second is the growing threat of terminal nuclear war it is all too easy to construct plausible scenarios that lead to a rapid climb up the escalation ladder to take one right now the us is sending advanced antiship missiles to ukraine the flagship of the russian fleet has already been sunk suppose more of the fleet is attacked how does russia then react and what followsp pto mention another scenario so far russia has refrained from attacking the supply lines used to ship heavy armaments to ukraine suppose it does so placing it in direct confrontation with nato meaning the us we can leave the rest to the imaginationp pother proposals are circulating that would very likely lead to nuclear war which means the end for all of us facts that do not seem to be properly understood one is the widely voiced call for a nofly zone which means attacking antiaircraft installations inside russia the extreme danger of such proposals is understood by some notably the pentagon which so far has been able to veto the most dangerous proposals for how long in the prevailing moodp pthese are horrendous prospects prospects what emmightem happen when we look at what actually emisem happening it gets worse the ukraine invasion has reversed the muchtoolimited efforts to address global warming which will soon become global frying prior to the invasion some steps were being taken to avert catastrophe now that has all been thrown into reverse if that continues were donep pone day the ipcc issues another severe warning that if we are to survive we must start right now to reduce use of fossil fuels right now no delay the next day president biden announces vast new expansion of fossil fuel productionp asidetens of millions of people in asia africa and the middle east are literally facing starvation as the war proceeds cutting off desperately needed agricultural supplies from the black sea regionaside pbidens call to increase fossil fuel production is sheer political theater it has nothing to do with todays fuel prices and inflation as claimed it will be years before the poisons reach the market years that could be spent on moving the world rapidly to renewable energy thats perfectly feasible but barely discussed in the mainstream theres no need to comment here the topic has recently been a hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesbidenisbreakinghisclimatepromiseswhataretheconsequencesexpertly analyzed by economist robert pollina in another of his essential contributions to understanding this critical issue of survival and acting on that understandingp pit is crystal clear that settling the ukraine crisis is of extraordinary significance not just for ukraine itself but because of the calamitous consequences beyond if the war persistsp pwhat then can we do to facilitate ending the tragedy lets begin with virtual truism the war can end in one of two ways either there will be a diplomatic settlement or one side will capitulate the horror will go on unless it ends with a diplomatic settlement or capitulationp pthat at least should be beyond discussionp pa diplomatic settlement differs from capitulation in one crucial respect each side accepts it as tolerable thats true by definition so it is beyond discussionp pproceeding a diplomatic settlement must offer putin some kind of escape hatch what is now disdainfully called an offramp or appeasement by those who prefer to prolong the warp pthat much is understood even by the most dedicated russiahaters at least those who can entertain some thought in their minds beyond punishing the reviled enemy one prominent example is the distinguished foreign policy scholar graham allison of harvard universitys kennedy school of government who also has long direct experience in military affairs five years ago he instructed us that it was then clear that russia as a whole is a demonic society and deserves to be strangled today he adds that few can doubt that putin is a a hrefhttpswwwspiegeldeinternationalworldinterviewdealingwithhorribleleadersispartofthehistoryofinternationalrelationsa31a0aabb35eb4107a65f39ae5f79c9e7demona radically unlike any us leader who at worst only make mistakes in his viewp pyet even allison argues that we must contain our righteous anger and bring the war to a quick end by diplomatic means the reason is that if the mad demon is forced to choose between losing and escalating the level of violence and destruction then if hes a rational actor hes going to choose the latter and we may all be dead not just ukrainiansp pputin is a rational actor allison argues and if he is not all discussion is useless because he can destroy ukraine and maybe even blow up the world at any moment an eventuality we cannot prevent by any means that wont destroy us allp pproceeding with truism to oppose or even act to delay a diplomatic settlement is to call for prolonging the war with its grim consequences for ukraine and beyond this stand constitutes a ghastly experiment lets see whether putin will slink away quietly in total defeat or whether he will prolong the war with all its horrors or even use the weapons that he indisputably has to devastate ukraine and to set the stage for terminal warp pall of this seems obvious enough or it should but not in the current climate of hysteria where such near truisms elicit a great flood of utterly irrational reactions emthe monster putin wont agree its appeasement what about munich we have to establish our own red lines and keep to them whatever the monster says etc emp pthere is no need to dignify such outpourings with a response they all amount to saying lets not try and instead undertake the ghastly experimentp pthe ghastly experiment is operative us policy and is supported by a wide range of opinion always with noble rhetoric about how we must stand up for principle and not permit crime to go unpunished when we a hrefhttpswwwanneapplebaumcom20100830itstoosoontotellhowtheiraqwarwenthear this from strong supporters of us crimesa as we commonly do we can dismiss it as sheer cynicism the western counterpart to the most vulgar apparatchiks of the soviet years eager to eloquently denounce western crimes fully supportive of their own we also hear it from opponents of us crimes from people who surely do not want to carry out the ghastly experiment that they are advocating here other issues arise the rising tide of irrationality that is undermining any hope for serious discourse a necessity if ukraine is to be spared indescribable tragedy and even if the human experiment is to persist much longerp pif we can escape cynicism and irrationality the humane choice for the us and the west is straightforward seek to facilitate a diplomatic settlement or at least dont undermine the optionp asideit is crystal clear that settling the ukraine crisis is of extraordinary significance not just for ukraine itself but because of the calamitous consequences beyond if the war persistsaside pon this matter official western opinion is split france germany and italy have been a hrefhttpsnewsantiwarcom20220516theleadersoffrancegermanyanditalyfavornegotiationstoendukrainewarcalling for negotiationsa to establish a ceasefire and move toward a diplomatic settlement the us and britain the wests two warrior states object their position is that a hrefhttpsnewsantiwarcom20220520usanduksplitwithfranceandclaimthereisnoexitrampforputinthe war must proceeda the ghastly experimentp pthe longstanding us policy of undermining diplomacy which we have reviewed in detail in earlier discussions was presented in sharper form a few weeks ago at a meeting of nato powers and others organized by washington at the us airbase in ramstein germany the us issued the marching orders the war must be continued so as to harm russia that is the widely advocated afghan model that we have discussed in the words of the definitive scholarly study of the topic it is the policy of fighting russia to the last afghan while seeking to delay russian withdrawal and to undermine the un diplomatic efforts that finally brought the tragedy to an endp pexplaining usnato goals at ramstein defense secretary lloyd austin a hrefhttpswwwbnnbloombergcausaimstoweakenrussiainukraineaustinsaysinkyivvisit11756393saida that we want to see russia weakened to the degree that it cant do the kinds of things that it has done in invading ukrainep plets think about it how do we ensure that russia can never again invade another country we put aside here the unthinkable question of whether reshaping us policy might contribute to this end for example examining washingtons openly declared refusal to consider any russian security concerns and many other actions that we have discussedp pto achieve the announced goal it seems that we must at least reenact something like the versailles treaty which sought to ensure that germany would not be able to go to war againp pbut versailles did not go far enough as was soon made clear it follows that the new version being planned must strangle the demon in ways that go beyond the versailles effort to control the huns perhaps something like the a hrefhttpsalphahistorycomcoldwarmorgenthauplanpostwargermany1944morgenthau planap pthat is the logic of the pronouncements even if we dont take the words seriously and give them a limited interpretation the policy entails prolonging the war whatever the consequences are for ukrainians and the collateral damage beyond mass starvation possible terminal war continued destruction of the environment that sustains lifep pnarrower questions of a similar sort arise with regard to the blockade with its lethal effects in the global south right now ukrainian ports are blockaded by the russian navy preventing desperately needed exports what can be done about itp pas always there are two directions to explore military or diplomatic warwar or jawjaw in the phrase attributed to churchill who assigned priority to the latterp pwarwar is official us policy send advanced antiship missiles to force russia to stop blockade of ports beyond the russian flagship more can be sunk will the russians observe quietly maybe how would the us react in similar circumstances we can put that asidep panother possibilitya hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesbreakingvladimirputinsfoodblockadeukraineportsblackseaships11653430227modtrending_now_opn_4 proposed by the emwall street journal emeditorsa is to use warships to escort merchant ships out of the black sea the editors assure us that it would conform to international law and that russians will stop at nothing so if they react we can proclaim proudly that we upheld international law as all goes up in flamesp pthe editors observe that there are precedents the us has marshalled allies for such a mission twice in recent decades in the late 1980s the us reflagged and protected kuwaiti oil tankers as they sailed out of the persian gulf during the iraniraq tanker warp pthat is correct though there is a small oversight the us did indeed intervene directly to provide crucial support for reagans good friend saddam hussein in his invasion of iran that was after supporting saddams chemical warfare that killed hundreds of thousands of iranians and even charging iran for saddams massacre of kurds with chemical warfare iran was the demon of the day a fine precedentp pthose are options for ending the blockade keeping to convention by restricting attention to force rather than possible peaceful stepsp pare there any one cannot know without thinking about them looking at what is transpiring and trying it may be of relevance that russia did propose something of the sort though in our increasingly totalitarian culture it can be reported only at the extreme margins quoting from a a hrefhttpslibertarianinstituteorgnewsrounduprussiasetsconditionstoeaseblackseablockadelibertarian websiteap blockquote prussian deputy foreign minister andrey rudenko [argued] his country is not solely responsible for the burgeoning food emergency while pointing to western sanctions blocking the export of grain and fertilizersp pyou have to not only appeal to the russian federation but also look deeply at the whole complex of reasons that caused the current food crisis [sanctions] interfere with normal free trade encompassing food products including wheat fertilizers and others russian deputy foreign minister a hrefhttpslibertarianinstituteorgnewsrounduprussiasetsconditionstoeaseblackseablockadeandrey rudenko saidap blockquote pis it worth considering not in our culture which automatically reaches for the revolverp pthe reflexive preference for violence and its grim consequences have not been overlooked abroad thats common in the global south which has ample experience with western practice but even among allies the editor of the australian international affairs journal emarenaem a hrefhttpsarenaorgaucontrollingtheukrainenarrativedeplores the rigid censorship and intolerance of even mild dissent in us mediaa concluding that this means it is almost impossible within mainstream opinion to simultaneously acknowledge putins insupportable actions emandem forge a path out of the war that does not involve escalation and the further destruction of ukrainep pquite correct and unless we can escape this selfimposed trap we are likely to march on to annihilation it is all reminiscent of the early days of world war i when the great powers enthusiastically undertook a selfdestructive war but this time with incomparably more severe consequences lurking not far in the distancep pive said nothing about what ukrainians should do for the simple and sufficient reason that its not our business if they opt for the ghastly experiment thats their right its also their right to request weapons to defend themselves from murderous aggressionp phere we return to what is our business ourselves how should we respond to these requests ill repeat in a moment my personal belief but here too a little honesty wouldnt hurt there are many ringing declarations upholding the sacred principle that victims of criminal assault must be supported in their just demand for weapons to defend themselves it is easy to show that those who issue them dont believe a word of what they are saying and in fact almost always strongly support providing weapons and crucial diplomatic support to the aggressor to take just the most obvious case where are the calls to provide palestinians with weapons to defend themselves from half a century of brutal criminal occupation in violation of security council orders and international law or even to withdraw the decisive us support for these crimesp pone can of course read the reports of usbacked settleridf atrocities in the israeli press in the daily columns of the great journalist gideon levy and we can read the a hrefhttpswwwhaaretzcomisraelnews20220529tyarticlepremiumstudyisraeliattackingazalastyearreleasedhazardoussubstances000001810fc6dcf3a3953fe6c7b60000utm_sourcemailchimputm_mediumcontentutm_campaignhaaretznewsutm_content12346676d1withering reportsa by another honorable israeli journalist amira hass reviewing the bitter condemnations of the ecological damage caused by the demonic russians in ukraine which somehow miss the israeli attack on gaza last may when israeli shells ignited hundreds of tons of pesticides seeds fertilizers other chemicals nylon and plastic sheeting and plastic piping in a warehouse in the northern gaza town of beit lahia the shelling ignited 50 tons of hazardous substances with lethal effects on the shattered population which is living in conditions of bare survival international agencies report after decades of usbacked israeli sadism it is chemical warfare by indirect means the highly reputable palestinian legal research and activism agency alhaq reports after extensive investigationp pnone of this and vastly more inspires any word in the mainstream about ending huge us support for the murderous occupier or of course for any means of defensep asidemy own view is that the ukrainian request for weapons should be honored with caution to bar shipments that will escalate the criminal assault punishing ukrainians even more with potential cataclysmic effects beyondaside pbut enough of such outrageous whataboutism otherwise known as elementary honesty and a common theme outside of our tightly controlled doctrinal system how should the principle apply in the unique case of ukraine where the us for once opposes aggression my own view to repeat is that the ukrainian request for weapons should be honored with caution to bar shipments that will escalate the criminal assault punishing ukrainians even more with potential cataclysmic effects beyondp pstrongif the war in ukraine can be ended through diplomacy a peace deal could take many forms the diplomatic solution advanced by many experts is the one based on a ukrainian treaty of neutrality while russia drops its objections to ukraines membership in the eu although the road to membership will inevitably be very long however there is one scenario which is rarely discussed yet this is where things could be headed this is graham allisons korean scenario where ukraine is divided into two parts without a formal treaty do you regard this as a likely or possible scenariostrongp pit is one of a number of possible very ugly outcomes speculation seems to me rather idle better i think to devote our energy to thinking of constructive ways to overcome the developing tragedies which again go far beyond ukrainep pwe might even envision a broader framework something like the common european home with no military alliances proposed by mikhail gorbachev as an appropriate framework of world order after the collapse of the soviet union or we might pick up some of the early wording of the partnership for peace initiated by washington in the same years as when president clinton in 1994 assured boris yeltsin that the broader higher goal [is] european security unity and integration a goal i know you sharep pthese promising prospects for peaceful integration were soon undercut however by a hrefhttpsnsarchivegwuedubriefingbookrussiaprograms20180316natoexpansionwhatyeltsinheardclintons plans for nato expansiona over strong russian objections long preceding putinp psuch hopes can be revived to the great benefit of europe russia and world peace generally they might have been revived by putin had he pursued macrons tentative initiatives towards accommodation instead of foolishly choosing criminal aggression but they are not necessarily deadp pits useful to recall some history for centuries europe was the most vicious place on earth for french and germans the highest goal in life was to slaughter one another as recently as my childhood it seemed unimaginable that it could ever end a few years later it did end and they have since been close allies pursuing common goals in a radical reversal of a long history of brutal conflict diplomatic successes need not be impossible to achievep pstrong strongstrongit is now a commonplace that the world has entered a new cold war in fact even the onceunthinkable scenario of using nuclear weapons in warfare is no longer taboo talk have we entered an era of confrontation between russia and the west a geostrategic and political rivalry reminiscent of the cold war strongp pnuclear warfare had better become taboo talk and unthinkable policy we should be working hard to restore the arms control regime that was virtually dismantled by bush ii and trump who didnt have quite enough time to complete the job but came close biden was able to rescue the last major relic new start just days before its expirationp pthe arms control regime should then be extended looking forward to the day when the nuclear powers will join the un treaty on prohibition of nuclear weapons now in forcep pother measures can be taken to alleviate the threat among them implementing nuclear weaponsfree zones nwfz they exist in much the world but are blocked by us insistence on maintaining nuclear weapons facilities within them the most important would be a nwfz in the middle east that would end the alleged iranian nuclear threat and eliminate any thin pretext for the criminal usisraeli bombings assassinations and sabotage in iran that crucial advance in world peace is however blocked by the us alonep pthe reason is not obscure it would interfere with washingtons protection of israels huge nuclear arsenal that has to be kept in the dark if exposed us law would come into play threatening washingtons extraordinary support for israels illegal occupation and constant crimes another topic that is unmentionable in polite societyp pall steps should be taken to remove the scourge of nuclear weapons from the earth before they destroy all of usp pin the world system that is taking shape the confrontation with russia is something of a sideshow putin has handed washington a marvelous gift by turning europe into a virtual us vassal cutting off the prospects that europe might become an independent third force in international affairs a consequence is that the fading russian kleptocracy with its huge stock of natural resources is being incorporated into the chinesedominated zone this growing system of development and loans stretches over central asia and reaches to the middle east through the uae and maritime silk road with tentacles stretching to africa and even to washingtons little region over here as fdrs secretary of war henry stimson described latin america while calling for dismantling of all regional associations except for our ownp pit is the china threat that is the centerpiece of us strategy the threat is enhanced if resourcerich russia is incorporated as a junior partnerp pthe us is now vigorously reacting to what it calls chinese aggression such as devoting state resources to developing advanced technology and internal repression the reaction initiated by trump has been carried forward by bidens policy of encirclement based on a ring of sentinel states off the coast of china these are armed with advanced weapons recently upgraded to highprecision weapons aimed at china the defense is backed by a fleet of invulnerable nuclear submarines that can destroy not just china but the world many times over since that is not good enough they are now being replaced as part of the enormous trumpbiden military expansionp pthe stern us reaction is understandable china unlike russia is the only country powerful enough to challenge us dominance on the world stage secretary of state antony blinken a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalsecurity20220526russiachinaunitedstatesblinkenannounceda in describing this intolerable threat to world order aka us dominancep pwhile we talk of isolating russia if not strangling this demonic society most of the world is keeping its ties open to russia and to the chinadominated global system it is also watching bemused as the us destroys itself from withinp pmeanwhile the us is developing new alliances which will presumably strengthen in november if the gop takes over congress and manages to gain longterm control of the political system through its quite open efforts to undermine political democracyp pone such alliance is being firmed up right now with the racist selfdeclared illiberal democracy of hungary which has crushed free speech and independent cultural and political institutions and is worshipped by leading figures of the gop from trump to media star tucker carlson steps toward that goal were taken a few days ago at the conference of far right elements in europe that met in budapest where the star attraction was the conservative political action conference a core element of the republican partyp pthe alliance between the us and the european extreme right has a natural ally in the abraham alliance forged by trump and jared kushner this widely hailed alliance formalized the tacit relations between israel and the most reactionary states of the mena middle eastnorth africa region israel and hungary already have close relations based on shared racist values and a sense of grievance for being shunned by more liberal elements in europe another natural partner is todays india where prime minister modi is shattering indian secular democracy and establishing a hindu ethnocracy bitterly repressing the muslim population and extending indias domains with his brutal occupation of kashmirp pthe us is already virtually alone in recognizing the two existing illegal mena occupations in violation of security council orders israels annexation of the syrian golan heights and of vastly expanded greater jerusalem and moroccos annexation of western sahara to extend its near monopoly of irreplaceable phosphate reserves with the gop in power the us might complete the picture by recognizing hindu indias violent takeover of kashmirp pa new global order is taking shape but the usrussia confrontation is not its central elementp pstrongspeaking of a new cold war i must say i am in utter disbelief by the delirious reaction on the part of so many in the us to analyses seeking to provide background to russias invasion of ukraine and the same is true in connection with voices calling for diplomacy to end the war they conflate explanation and justification and willfully ignore historical facts such as the decision of the us to expand nato eastward without consideration to russias security concerns and it isnt as if this decision was greeted at the time with approval by leading diplomats and foreign affairs experts former us envoy to the soviet union jack f matlock jr and former secretary of state henry kissinger warned against nato expansion and ukraines inclusion george kennans reaction to the senates 1998 ratification of nato eastward expansion up to the borders of russia was even more blunt i think it is the beginning of a new cold war i think the russians will gradually react quite adversely i think it is a tragic mistake there was no reason for this whatsoever of course there is going to be a bad reaction from russia and then [the nato expanders] will say that we always told you that is how the russians are but this is just wrong strongp pstrongwere these top us diplomats russian pawns as is often said today of anyone offering background information why russia has invaded ukraine i like to have your thoughts on this matterstrongp pyou can add others who delivered stern warnings to washington that it was reckless and needlessly provocative to ignore russias announced security concerns including current cia director william burns and his predecessor stansfield turner even hawks like paul nitze in fact almost the whole of the diplomatic corps who had any deep knowledge of russia those warnings were particularly strong with regard to russias concerns well before putin and including every russian leader over incorporation into nato of georgia and ukraine these are russias geostrategic heartland as is evident by a look at a topographic map and recent history operation barbarossap pare they all russian pawns i suppose that can be claimed in todays climate of frenzied irrationality a danger to ourselves and the worldp pits useful to have a look at chapters of history that are far enough back so that we can consider them with some degree of detachment an obvious choice as mentioned earlier is the first world war it is now recognized that it was a terrible war of futility and stupidity in which none of the agents had a tenable standp pthats now not at the time as the great powers of the day stumbled into war the educated classes in each proclaimed the nobility of the cause of their own state a famous manifesto of prominent german intellectuals appealed to the west to support the land of kant goethe beethoven and other leading figures of civilization their counterparts in france and britain did the same as did the most distinguished american intellectuals when woodrow wilson joined the war shortly after having won the 1916 election on a platform of peace without victoryp pnot everyone took part in the celebration of the grandeur of their own state in england bertrand russell dared to question the party line in germany he was joined by rosa luxemburg and karl liebknecht in the us by eugene debs all were imprisoned some like randolph bourne in the us escaped that fate bourne was only barred from all liberal journalsp pthis pattern is not a departure from the historical norm it pretty much is the norm regrettablyp pthe world war i experience did provide important lessons that was recognized very quickly two highly influential examples are walter lippmann and edward bernays lippmann went on to become a most prominent us 20th century public intellectual bernays became one of the founders and intellectual leaders of the huge public relations industry the worlds major propaganda agency devoted to undermining markets by creating uninformed consumers who will make irrational choices and to fostering the unbridled consumerism that ranks alongside the fossil fuel industries as a threat to survivalp plippmann and bernays were wilsonrooseveltkennedy liberals they were also members of the propaganda agency established by president wilson to convert a pacifist population to raging antigerman fanatics the creel committee on public information a properly orwellian title both were highly impressed by its success in manufacture of consent lippmann engineering of consent bernays they recognized this to be a new art in the practice of democracy a means to ensure that the bewildered herd the general population can be put in their place as mere spectators and will not intrude into domains where they do not belong policy decisions these must be reserved for the intelligent minority the technocratic and policyoriented intellectuals in the camelot versionp pthat is pretty much reigning liberal democratic theory which lippmann and bernays helped forge the conceptions are by no means new they trace back to the early democratic revolutions of the 17th and 18th centuries in england and then its us colony they were invigorated by the world war i experiencep pbut while the masses may be controlled with necessary illusions and emotionally potent oversimplifications in the words of reinhold niebuhr venerated as the theologian of the liberal establishment there is another problem the valueoriented intellectuals who dare to raise questions about us policy that go beyond tactical decisions they can no longer be jailed as during world war i so those in power now seek to expel them from the public domain in other waysp

pthe war ukraine fourth month sign ceasefire resolution sight ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy ruled ceasefire concessions maintains diplomacy end war meantime russian forces trying capture eastern ukraine policy united states provide military support zelenskyys government long weaken russia hope regime change come moscowp pthese developments bode ukraine world large argues noam chomsky public intellectual regarded millions people national international treasure new exclusive interview emtruthout emchomsky urges forces capable ending war devote energy finding constructive ways halt unfolding tragedies addition analyzes new highly dangerous global order taking shape surprise especially considering ongoing war ukraine describe usrussia confrontation central element new global order making chomsky institute professor professor linguistics mit currently laureate professor university arizona published 150 books linguistics political social thought political economy media studies foreign policy international affairsp pstrongcj polychroniou months fighting little hope peace ukraine russia refocusing efforts taking control east south country likely intent incorporating russian federation west signaled step military support ukraine light developments ukrainian officials ruled ceasefire concessions moscow president volodymyr zelenskyy went record saying diplomacy end war dont positions cancel doesnt mutually acceptable agreement war end contain concessions march ukrainian government signaled intention willing big concessions war end whats going fully invested peacestrongp pstrongnoam chomsky strongill come questions carefully consider stakes high far ukraine desperate tragic situation moral bone body want think issues carefully heroic posturingp plets consider stakep pfirst course putins invasion ukraine crime repeat compared invasion iraq hitlerstalin invasion poland kind crimes peace nazi war criminals hanged defeated subject punishment civilization ukraine terrible toll long war persistsp pthere broader consequences truly colossal thats exaggerationp pone tens millions people asia africa middle east literally facing starvation war proceeds cutting desperately needed agricultural supplies black sea region primary supplier countries including facing utter disaster like yemen return handledp pa second growing threat terminal nuclear war easy construct plausible scenarios lead rapid climb escalation ladder right sending advanced antiship missiles ukraine flagship russian fleet sunk suppose fleet attacked russia react followsp pto mention scenario far russia refrained attacking supply lines ship heavy armaments ukraine suppose placing direct confrontation nato meaning leave rest imaginationp pother proposals circulating likely lead nuclear war means end facts properly understood widely voiced nofly zone means attacking antiaircraft installations inside russia extreme danger proposals understood notably pentagon far able veto dangerous proposals long prevailing moodp pthese horrendous prospects prospects emmightem happen look actually emisem happening gets worse ukraine invasion reversed muchtoolimited efforts address global warming soon global frying prior invasion steps taken avert catastrophe thrown reverse continues donep pone day ipcc issues severe warning survive start right reduce use fossil fuels right delay day president biden announces vast new expansion fossil fuel productionp asidetens millions people asia africa middle east literally facing starvation war proceeds cutting desperately needed agricultural supplies black sea regionaside pbidens increase fossil fuel production sheer political theater todays fuel prices inflation claimed years poisons reach market years spent moving world rapidly renewable energy thats perfectly feasible barely discussed mainstream theres need comment topic recently hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesbidenisbreakinghisclimatepromiseswhataretheconsequencesexpertly analyzed economist robert pollina essential contributions understanding critical issue survival acting understandingp pit crystal clear settling ukraine crisis extraordinary significance ukraine calamitous consequences war persistsp pwhat facilitate ending tragedy lets begin virtual truism war end ways diplomatic settlement capitulate horror ends diplomatic settlement capitulationp pthat discussionp pa diplomatic settlement differs capitulation crucial respect accepts tolerable thats true definition discussionp pproceeding diplomatic settlement offer putin kind escape hatch disdainfully called offramp appeasement prefer prolong warp pthat understood dedicated russiahaters entertain thought minds punishing reviled enemy prominent example distinguished foreign policy scholar graham allison harvard universitys kennedy school government long direct experience military affairs years ago instructed clear russia demonic society deserves strangled today adds doubt putin hrefhttpswwwspiegeldeinternationalworldinterviewdealingwithhorribleleadersispartofthehistoryofinternationalrelationsa31a0aabb35eb4107a65f39ae5f79c9e7demona radically unlike leader worst mistakes viewp pyet allison argues contain righteous anger bring war quick end diplomatic means reason mad demon forced choose losing escalating level violence destruction hes rational actor hes going choose dead ukrainiansp pputin rational actor allison argues discussion useless destroy ukraine maybe blow world moment eventuality prevent means wont destroy allp pproceeding truism oppose act delay diplomatic settlement prolonging war grim consequences ukraine stand constitutes ghastly experiment lets putin slink away quietly total defeat prolong war horrors use weapons indisputably devastate ukraine set stage terminal warp pall obvious current climate hysteria near truisms elicit great flood utterly irrational reactions emthe monster putin wont agree appeasement munich establish red lines monster says etc emp pthere need dignify outpourings response saying lets try instead undertake ghastly experimentp pthe ghastly experiment operative policy supported wide range opinion noble rhetoric stand principle permit crime unpunished hrefhttpswwwanneapplebaumcom20100830itstoosoontotellhowtheiraqwarwenthear strong supporters crimesa commonly dismiss sheer cynicism western counterpart vulgar apparatchiks soviet years eager eloquently denounce western crimes fully supportive hear opponents crimes people surely want carry ghastly experiment advocating issues arise rising tide irrationality undermining hope discourse necessity ukraine spared indescribable tragedy human experiment persist longerp pif escape cynicism irrationality humane choice west straightforward seek facilitate diplomatic settlement dont undermine optionp asideit crystal clear settling ukraine crisis extraordinary significance ukraine calamitous consequences war persistsaside pon matter official western opinion split france germany italy hrefhttpsnewsantiwarcom20220516theleadersoffrancegermanyanditalyfavornegotiationstoendukrainewarcalling negotiationsa establish ceasefire diplomatic settlement britain wests warrior states object position hrefhttpsnewsantiwarcom20220520usanduksplitwithfranceandclaimthereisnoexitrampforputinthe war proceeda ghastly experimentp pthe longstanding policy undermining diplomacy reviewed detail earlier discussions presented sharper form weeks ago meeting nato powers organized washington airbase ramstein germany issued marching orders war continued harm russia widely advocated afghan model discussed words definitive scholarly study topic policy fighting russia afghan seeking delay russian withdrawal undermine un diplomatic efforts finally brought tragedy endp pexplaining usnato goals ramstein defense secretary lloyd austin hrefhttpswwwbnnbloombergcausaimstoweakenrussiainukraineaustinsaysinkyivvisit11756393saida want russia weakened degree cant kinds things invading ukrainep plets think ensure russia invade country aside unthinkable question reshaping policy contribute end example examining washingtons openly declared refusal consider russian security concerns actions discussedp pto achieve announced goal reenact like versailles treaty sought ensure germany able war againp pbut versailles far soon clear follows new version planned strangle demon ways versailles effort control huns like hrefhttpsalphahistorycomcoldwarmorgenthauplanpostwargermany1944morgenthau planap pthat logic pronouncements dont words seriously limited interpretation policy entails prolonging war consequences ukrainians collateral damage mass starvation possible terminal war continued destruction environment sustains lifep pnarrower questions similar sort arise regard blockade lethal effects global south right ukrainian ports blockaded russian navy preventing desperately needed exports itp pas directions explore military diplomatic warwar jawjaw phrase attributed churchill assigned priority latterp pwarwar official policy send advanced antiship missiles force russia stop blockade ports russian flagship sunk russians observe quietly maybe react similar circumstances asidep panother possibilitya hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesbreakingvladimirputinsfoodblockadeukraineportsblackseaships11653430227modtrending_now_opn_4 proposed emwall street journal emeditorsa use warships escort merchant ships black sea editors assure conform international law russians stop react proclaim proudly upheld international law goes flamesp pthe editors observe precedents marshalled allies mission twice recent decades late 1980s reflagged protected kuwaiti oil tankers sailed persian gulf iraniraq tanker warp pthat correct small oversight intervene directly provide crucial support reagans good friend saddam hussein invasion iran supporting saddams chemical warfare killed hundreds thousands iranians charging iran saddams massacre kurds chemical warfare iran demon day fine precedentp pthose options ending blockade keeping convention restricting attention force possible peaceful stepsp pare know thinking looking transpiring trying relevance russia propose sort increasingly totalitarian culture reported extreme margins quoting hrefhttpslibertarianinstituteorgnewsrounduprussiasetsconditionstoeaseblackseablockadelibertarian websiteap blockquote prussian deputy foreign minister andrey rudenko [argued] country solely responsible burgeoning food emergency pointing western sanctions blocking export grain fertilizersp pyou appeal russian federation look deeply complex reasons caused current food crisis [sanctions] interfere normal free trade encompassing food products including wheat fertilizers russian deputy foreign minister hrefhttpslibertarianinstituteorgnewsrounduprussiasetsconditionstoeaseblackseablockadeandrey rudenko saidap blockquote pis worth considering culture automatically reaches revolverp pthe reflexive preference violence grim consequences overlooked abroad thats common global south ample experience western practice allies editor australian international affairs journal emarenaem hrefhttpsarenaorgaucontrollingtheukrainenarrativedeplores rigid censorship intolerance mild dissent mediaa concluding means impossible mainstream opinion simultaneously acknowledge putins insupportable actions emandem forge path war involve escalation destruction ukrainep pquite correct escape selfimposed trap likely march annihilation reminiscent early days world war great powers enthusiastically undertook selfdestructive war time incomparably severe consequences lurking far distancep pive said ukrainians simple sufficient reason business opt ghastly experiment thats right right request weapons defend murderous aggressionp phere return business respond requests ill repeat moment personal belief little honesty wouldnt hurt ringing declarations upholding sacred principle victims criminal assault supported demand weapons defend easy issue dont believe word saying fact strongly support providing weapons crucial diplomatic support aggressor obvious case calls provide palestinians weapons defend half century brutal criminal occupation violation security council orders international law withdraw decisive support crimesp pone course read reports usbacked settleridf atrocities israeli press daily columns great journalist gideon levy read hrefhttpswwwhaaretzcomisraelnews20220529tyarticlepremiumstudyisraeliattackingazalastyearreleasedhazardoussubstances000001810fc6dcf3a3953fe6c7b60000utm_sourcemailchimputm_mediumcontentutm_campaignhaaretznewsutm_content12346676d1withering reportsa honorable israeli journalist amira hass reviewing bitter condemnations ecological damage caused demonic russians ukraine miss israeli attack gaza israeli shells ignited hundreds tons pesticides seeds fertilizers chemicals nylon plastic sheeting plastic piping warehouse northern gaza town beit lahia shelling ignited 50 tons hazardous substances lethal effects shattered population living conditions bare survival international agencies report decades usbacked israeli sadism chemical warfare indirect means highly reputable palestinian legal research activism agency alhaq reports extensive investigationp pnone vastly inspires word mainstream ending huge support murderous occupier course means defensep asidemy view ukrainian request weapons honored caution bar shipments escalate criminal assault punishing ukrainians potential cataclysmic effects beyondaside pbut outrageous whataboutism known elementary honesty common theme outside tightly controlled doctrinal system principle apply unique case ukraine opposes aggression view repeat ukrainian request weapons honored caution bar shipments escalate criminal assault punishing ukrainians potential cataclysmic effects beyondp pstrongif war ukraine ended diplomacy peace deal forms diplomatic solution advanced experts based ukrainian treaty neutrality russia drops objections ukraines membership eu road membership inevitably long scenario rarely discussed things headed graham allisons korean scenario ukraine divided parts formal treaty regard likely possible scenariostrongp pit number possible ugly outcomes speculation idle better think devote energy thinking constructive ways overcome developing tragedies far ukrainep pwe envision broader framework like common european home military alliances proposed mikhail gorbachev appropriate framework world order collapse soviet union pick early wording partnership peace initiated washington years president clinton 1994 assured boris yeltsin broader higher goal [is] european security unity integration goal know sharep pthese promising prospects peaceful integration soon undercut hrefhttpsnsarchivegwuedubriefingbookrussiaprograms20180316natoexpansionwhatyeltsinheardclintons plans nato expansiona strong russian objections long preceding putinp psuch hopes revived great benefit europe russia world peace generally revived putin pursued macrons tentative initiatives accommodation instead foolishly choosing criminal aggression necessarily deadp pits useful recall history centuries europe vicious place earth french germans highest goal life slaughter recently childhood unimaginable end years later end close allies pursuing common goals radical reversal long history brutal conflict diplomatic successes need impossible achievep pstrong strongstrongit commonplace world entered new cold war fact onceunthinkable scenario nuclear weapons warfare longer taboo talk entered era confrontation russia west geostrategic political rivalry reminiscent cold war strongp pnuclear warfare better taboo talk unthinkable policy working hard restore arms control regime virtually dismantled bush ii trump didnt time complete job came close biden able rescue major relic new start days expirationp pthe arms control regime extended looking forward day nuclear powers join un treaty prohibition nuclear weapons forcep pother measures taken alleviate threat implementing nuclear weaponsfree zones nwfz exist world blocked insistence maintaining nuclear weapons facilities important nwfz middle east end alleged iranian nuclear threat eliminate thin pretext criminal usisraeli bombings assassinations sabotage iran crucial advance world peace blocked alonep pthe reason obscure interfere washingtons protection israels huge nuclear arsenal kept dark exposed law come play threatening washingtons extraordinary support israels illegal occupation constant crimes topic unmentionable polite societyp pall steps taken remove scourge nuclear weapons earth destroy usp pin world system taking shape confrontation russia sideshow putin handed washington marvelous gift turning europe virtual vassal cutting prospects europe independent force international affairs consequence fading russian kleptocracy huge stock natural resources incorporated chinesedominated zone growing system development loans stretches central asia reaches middle east uae maritime silk road tentacles stretching africa washingtons little region fdrs secretary war henry stimson described latin america calling dismantling regional associations ownp pit china threat centerpiece strategy threat enhanced resourcerich russia incorporated junior partnerp pthe vigorously reacting calls chinese aggression devoting state resources developing advanced technology internal repression reaction initiated trump carried forward bidens policy encirclement based ring sentinel states coast china armed advanced weapons recently upgraded highprecision weapons aimed china defense backed fleet invulnerable nuclear submarines destroy china world times good replaced enormous trumpbiden military expansionp pthe stern reaction understandable china unlike russia country powerful challenge dominance world stage secretary state antony blinken hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalsecurity20220526russiachinaunitedstatesblinkenannounceda describing intolerable threat world order aka dominancep pwhile talk isolating russia strangling demonic society world keeping ties open russia chinadominated global system watching bemused destroys withinp pmeanwhile developing new alliances presumably strengthen november gop takes congress manages gain longterm control political system open efforts undermine political democracyp pone alliance firmed right racist selfdeclared illiberal democracy hungary crushed free speech independent cultural political institutions worshipped leading figures gop trump media star tucker carlson steps goal taken days ago conference far right elements europe met budapest star attraction conservative political action conference core element republican partyp pthe alliance european extreme right natural ally abraham alliance forged trump jared kushner widely hailed alliance formalized tacit relations israel reactionary states mena middle eastnorth africa region israel hungary close relations based shared racist values sense grievance shunned liberal elements europe natural partner todays india prime minister modi shattering indian secular democracy establishing hindu ethnocracy bitterly repressing muslim population extending indias domains brutal occupation kashmirp pthe virtually recognizing existing illegal mena occupations violation security council orders israels annexation syrian golan heights vastly expanded greater jerusalem moroccos annexation western sahara extend near monopoly irreplaceable phosphate reserves gop power complete picture recognizing hindu indias violent takeover kashmirp pa new global order taking shape usrussia confrontation central elementp pstrongspeaking new cold war utter disbelief delirious reaction analyses seeking provide background russias invasion ukraine true connection voices calling diplomacy end war conflate explanation justification willfully ignore historical facts decision expand nato eastward consideration russias security concerns isnt decision greeted time approval leading diplomats foreign affairs experts envoy soviet union jack f matlock jr secretary state henry kissinger warned nato expansion ukraines inclusion george kennans reaction senates 1998 ratification nato eastward expansion borders russia blunt think beginning new cold war think russians gradually react adversely think tragic mistake reason whatsoever course going bad reaction russia [the nato expanders] told russians wrong strongp pstrongwere diplomats russian pawns said today offering background information russia invaded ukraine like thoughts matterstrongp pyou add delivered stern warnings washington reckless needlessly provocative ignore russias announced security concerns including current cia director william burns predecessor stansfield turner hawks like paul nitze fact diplomatic corps deep knowledge russia warnings particularly strong regard russias concerns putin including russian leader incorporation nato georgia ukraine russias geostrategic heartland evident look topographic map recent history operation barbarossap pare russian pawns suppose claimed todays climate frenzied irrationality danger worldp pits useful look chapters history far consider degree detachment obvious choice mentioned earlier world war recognized terrible war futility stupidity agents tenable standp pthats time great powers day stumbled war educated classes proclaimed nobility cause state famous manifesto prominent german intellectuals appealed west support land kant goethe beethoven leading figures civilization counterparts france britain distinguished american intellectuals woodrow wilson joined war shortly having won 1916 election platform peace victoryp pnot took celebration grandeur state england bertrand russell dared question party line germany joined rosa luxemburg karl liebknecht eugene debs imprisoned like randolph bourne escaped fate bourne barred liberal journalsp pthis pattern departure historical norm pretty norm regrettablyp pthe world war experience provide important lessons recognized quickly highly influential examples walter lippmann edward bernays lippmann went prominent 20th century public intellectual bernays founders intellectual leaders huge public relations industry worlds major propaganda agency devoted undermining markets creating uninformed consumers irrational choices fostering unbridled consumerism ranks alongside fossil fuel industries threat survivalp plippmann bernays wilsonrooseveltkennedy liberals members propaganda agency established president wilson convert pacifist population raging antigerman fanatics creel committee public information properly orwellian title highly impressed success manufacture consent lippmann engineering consent bernays recognized new art practice democracy means ensure bewildered herd general population place mere spectators intrude domains belong policy decisions reserved intelligent minority technocratic policyoriented intellectuals camelot versionp pthat pretty reigning liberal democratic theory lippmann bernays helped forge conceptions means new trace early democratic revolutions 17th 18th centuries england colony invigorated world war experiencep pbut masses controlled necessary illusions emotionally potent oversimplifications words reinhold niebuhr venerated theologian liberal establishment problem valueoriented intellectuals dare raise questions policy tactical decisions longer jailed world war power seek expel public domain waysp

62993c609406c79346f82286

My Conversation with Jamal Greene

phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesjamalgreene target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is part of the summaryp blockquotepjamal and tyler discuss what hed change about americas legal education system the utility of having nonjudges or even nonlawyers on the supreme court how americas racial history influences our conception of rights the potential unintended consequences of implementing his vision of rights for america how the law should view economic liberty the ideal moral framework for adjudicating conflicts whether social media companies should consider interdependencies when moderating content on their platforms how growing up in different parts of new york city shaped his views on pluralism the qualities that make some law students stand out and morepblockquote phere is one excerptp blockquote pstrongcowen strongthere is a crude view in popular american society  even possibly correct  that simply american society is too legalistic theres that book a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomthreefeloniesdaytargetinnocentdp1594035229 target_blank datahrefhttpswwwamazoncomthreefeloniesdaytargetinnocentdp1594035229emthree felonies a dayema if you have expired prescription medicine in your cabinet youre committing a felony people who are very smart will just tell me never talk to a cop never talk to an fbi agent im an upperclass white guy whos literally never smoked marijuana once and theyre telling emmeem dont ever speak with the lawp pisnt something wrong there is the common intuition that were too legalistic correctp pstronggreene strongi think that we are too apt to submit political disputes to legal resolution i think emthatem for sure what your friends are telling you about police officers is slightly different insofar as one can have a deeply nonlegalistic culture in which the correct advice is to not talk to police officers if those people are corrupt if those people are abusivep pwhen i hear that advice  and i might be differently situated than you  thats what people are saying is someone might be out to trick you and that might be a mistrust of state power as you mentioned before maybe its a rational mistrust of state power but i dont know that thats about legalism which again is a separate potential problemp pwe tend to formulate our problems in legal terms as if the right way to solve them is to decide how they are to be resolved by a court or how they are to be resolved by some adjudicative official as opposed to thinking about our problems in terms of just inherent in again pluralism which has to be solved through politics has to be solved through conversationp pstrongcowen strongbut we still have whatever is upstream of the american law the steep historical and cultural background so anything we do is going to be flavored by that were not ever going to get to a system where the policemen are like the policemen in germany for instance or that the courts are like the courts in germanyp pgiven that cultural upstream again isnt the intuition basically correct just be suspicious of the law we should have fewer laws rely less on the legal process in essence deregulate as many different things as we can why isnt that the correct conclusion rather than building in more rightsp blockquote pinteresting throughoutp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206myconversationwithjamalgreenehtmlmy conversation with jamal greenea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesjamalgreene target_blankthe audio video transcripta summaryp blockquotepjamal tyler discuss hed change americas legal education system utility having nonjudges nonlawyers supreme court americas racial history influences conception rights potential unintended consequences implementing vision rights america law view economic liberty ideal moral framework adjudicating conflicts social media companies consider interdependencies moderating content platforms growing different parts new york city shaped views pluralism qualities law students stand morepblockquote phere excerptp blockquote pstrongcowenstrongthere crude view popular american societyeven possibly correctthat simply american society legalistic theres booka relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomthreefeloniesdaytargetinnocentdp1594035229 target_blank datahrefhttpswwwamazoncomthreefeloniesdaytargetinnocentdp1594035229emthree felonies dayema expired prescription medicine cabinet youre committing felony people smart tell talk cop talk fbi agent im upperclass white guy whos literally smoked marijuana theyre tellingemmeem dont speak lawp pisnt wrong common intuition legalistic correctp pstronggreenestrongi think apt submit political disputes legal resolution thinkemthatemfor sure friends telling police officers slightly different insofar deeply nonlegalistic culture correct advice talk police officers people corrupt people abusivep pwhen hear adviceand differently situated youthats people saying trick mistrust state power mentioned maybe rational mistrust state power dont know thats legalism separate potential problemp pwe tend formulate problems legal terms right way solve decide resolved court resolved adjudicative official opposed thinking problems terms inherent pluralism solved politics solved conversationp pstrongcowenstrongbut upstream american law steep historical cultural background going flavored going system policemen like policemen germany instance courts like courts germanyp pgiven cultural upstream isnt intuition basically correct suspicious law fewer laws rely legal process essence deregulate different things isnt correct conclusion building rightsp blockquote pinteresting throughoutp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206myconversationwithjamalgreenehtmlmy conversation jamal greenea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

629bdd9c2ce1609f57db8f8d

Today Marks 80 Years Since Congress Last Bothered To Declare a War

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386652400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386651200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386652400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386651200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altamericans soldiers fight in world war ii in italy srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpg height675 picture div pspancongress a hrefhttpswwwsenategovaboutpowersproceduresdeclarationsofwarhtmissueda its last official declaration of war 80 years ago today marking the last time the president deferred to the warmaking process outlined by article i section 8 of the constitution before entering a conflict spanspansince 1942 when it authorized the use of military force against hungary bulgaria and rumania in world war ii spanspancongress has abdicated its proper role in american war making blankcheck authorizations now shield the president from domestic accountability for his use of military forcespanp pspanthe constitution gives congress the a hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfsole authoritya to declare war since the presidency of george washington its spana hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfspaninvokedspanaspan that power 11 times to fight nations in five distinct conflictsthe war of 1812 the mexicanamerican war the spanishamerican war world war i and world war ii in each case the president had to first request congressional authorization either in writing or in person he would explain his justification for why the us should enter the conflict at hand congress would then put it to a votemajority support was required but most declarations were a hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfpasseda unanimously or nearunanimouslyand pass a declaration of war in the form of a bill or joint resolutionspanp pspanthe founding fathers were rightly skeptical of an executive with an unbridled capacity to wage war quotnations in general will make war whenever they have a prospect of getting anything by itquot john jay spana hrefhttpsavalonlawyaleedu18th_centuryfed04aspspanwrotespanaspan inem emspanispanfederalist spanispanno 4spanspan quotabsolute monarchs will often make war when their nations are to get nothing by it but for purposes and objects merely personal such as thirst for military glory revenge for personal affronts ambition or private compacts to aggrandize or support their particular families or partisansquot such factors could motivate the executive quotto engage in wars not sanctified by justice or the voice and interests of his peoplequotspanp pspanpresidents once treated congressional approval as a necessary conditiona legal requirementfor the us to enter hostilities but this constitutionally ordained process has given way to more recent executives relying on a hodgepodge mix of authorizations and external validation to justify the use of military force without consulting congressspanp pspansome presidents have claimed justification through international organizations in order to enter conflicts president bill clinton spana hrefhttpswwwpogoorganalysis201808unconstitutionalpresidentialwarsspanlookedspanaspan to the united nations security council for approval to use military force in haiti and didnt seek the support of congress president barack obama spana hrefhttpswwwpogoorganalysis201808unconstitutionalpresidentialwarsspandidnt securespanaspan authorization from congress before us forces began to enforce a nofly zone over libya which involved the use of military force over the course of seven months spanspanaccording to the national constitution center modern conflicts that lacked congressional approval spana hrefhttpsconstitutioncenterorginteractiveconstitutioninterpretationarticleiclauses753spanincludespanaspan president harry trumans entry into korea president ronald reagans military operations in libya grenada and lebanon and president george hw bushs invasion of panamaspanp pspanbut far from being unjustly overridden congress has helped weaken its own role in war making its passed several authorizations for the use of military force aumfs designed to give the president broad discretion in specific conflicts or against clearly defined threats however these authorizations have permitted the president to use us military force in dubious ways the 2001 aumf may have been drafted to let the president quotuse all necessary and appropriate forcequot against the parties behind the september 11 attacks but presidents have spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20210616repealingthe2002aumfwontbeenoughtoendforeverwarsspancapitalizedspanaspan on the authorizations overly broad phrasing to justify 41 operations in 19 countries while the president once had to convince members of congress to support american entry into conflicts lawmakers themselves have diluted their say by signing away so much powerspanp pspandebate spana hrefhttpsconstitutioncenterorginteractiveconstitutioninterpretationarticleiclauses753spanaboundsspanaspan over presidential discretion in many realms of conflict scholars and commentators question what falls under the presidents purview and what is only permissible after a congressional declaration of war defensive strikes actions against nonstate actors engagement in lowlevel hostilities deployment of peacekeepers enforcement of nofly zones and on and on regardless of the nuances its undeniable that the mechanisms behind american war making have changed enormously in the past centuryspanp pspanwith that its worth remembering that the presidents current war powers come not just at the expense of congress but the american people as well bringing lawmakers into the fold of war authorization ensures that their constituents approval or disapproval of a conflict is voiced at least in theory its now effectively optional for a president to make his case for force and face the political costs that follow modern american engagement in hostilities is not representative of a popular mandate but rather presidential lawyering and decision making carried out beyond public viewspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220604todaymarks80yearssincecongresslastbotheredtodeclareawartoday marks 80 years since congress last bothered to declare a wara appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386652400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386651200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386652400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede16542895386651200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altamericans soldiers fight world war ii italy srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206akgimages219843scalede1654289538665800x450jpg height675 picture div pspancongress hrefhttpswwwsenategovaboutpowersproceduresdeclarationsofwarhtmissueda official declaration war 80 years ago today marking time president deferred warmaking process outlined article section 8 constitution entering conflict spanspansince 1942 authorized use military force hungary bulgaria rumania world war ii spanspancongress abdicated proper role american war making blankcheck authorizations shield president domestic accountability use military forcespanp pspanthe constitution gives congress hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfsole authoritya declare war presidency george washington spana hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfspaninvokedspanaspan power 11 times fight nations distinct conflictsthe war 1812 mexicanamerican war spanishamerican war world war world war ii case president request congressional authorization writing person explain justification enter conflict hand congress votemajority support required declarations hrefhttpssgpfasorgcrsnatsecrl31133pdfpasseda unanimously nearunanimouslyand pass declaration war form bill joint resolutionspanp pspanthe founding fathers rightly skeptical executive unbridled capacity wage war quotnations general war prospect getting itquot john jay spana hrefhttpsavalonlawyaleedu18th_centuryfed04aspspanwrotespanaspan inememspanispanfederalist spanispanno 4spanspan quotabsolute monarchs war nations purposes objects merely personal thirst military glory revenge personal affronts ambition private compacts aggrandize support particular families partisansquot factors motivate executive quotto engage wars sanctified justice voice interests peoplequotspanp pspanpresidents treated congressional approval necessary conditiona legal requirementfor enter hostilities constitutionally ordained process given way recent executives relying hodgepodge mix authorizations external validation justify use military force consulting congressspanp pspansome presidents claimed justification international organizations order enter conflicts president bill clinton spana hrefhttpswwwpogoorganalysis201808unconstitutionalpresidentialwarsspanlookedspanaspan united nations security council approval use military force haiti didnt seek support congress president barack obama spana hrefhttpswwwpogoorganalysis201808unconstitutionalpresidentialwarsspandidnt securespanaspan authorization congress forces began enforce nofly zone libya involved use military force course seven months spanspanaccording national constitution center modern conflicts lacked congressional approval spana hrefhttpsconstitutioncenterorginteractiveconstitutioninterpretationarticleiclauses753spanincludespanaspan president harry trumans entry korea president ronald reagans military operations libya grenada lebanon president george hw bushs invasion panamaspanp pspanbut far unjustly overridden congress helped weaken role war making passed authorizations use military force aumfs designed president broad discretion specific conflicts clearly defined threats authorizations permitted president use military force dubious ways 2001 aumf drafted let president quotuse necessary appropriate forcequot parties september 11 attacks presidents spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20210616repealingthe2002aumfwontbeenoughtoendforeverwarsspancapitalizedspanaspan authorizations overly broad phrasing justify 41 operations 19 countries president convince members congress support american entry conflicts lawmakers diluted signing away powerspanp pspandebate spana hrefhttpsconstitutioncenterorginteractiveconstitutioninterpretationarticleiclauses753spanaboundsspanaspan presidential discretion realms conflict scholars commentators question falls presidents purview permissible congressional declaration war defensive strikes actions nonstate actors engagement lowlevel hostilities deployment peacekeepers enforcement nofly zones regardless nuances undeniable mechanisms american war making changed enormously past centuryspanp pspanwith worth remembering presidents current war powers come expense congress american people bringing lawmakers fold war authorization ensures constituents approval disapproval conflict voiced theory effectively optional president case force face political costs follow modern american engagement hostilities representative popular mandate presidential lawyering decision making carried public viewspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220604todaymarks80yearssincecongresslastbotheredtodeclareawartoday marks 80 years congress bothered declare wara appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

629bde122ce1609f57db8fa0

Only a monarch can control the elites

pits a littleknown fact that shakespeare hated americans at least when in emtwelfth nightem sir andrew aguecheek said i had as lief be a brownist as a politician he meant a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikibrownist target_blankthe same impertinent little culta that would later set out on the mayflowerp pso it seems especially impertinent hence especially appropriate for an american to criticise your monarchy especially an american monarchist like me i am not even a costumeem emmonarchist i am not in it for the castles weddings and funny hats i actually think of monarchy as a legitimate form of government and by monarchy i mean actual monarchy absolute monarchyp piframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedpdttxmitva0featureoembed width640 titlecurtis yarvin why america should become a monarchy height360iframep pthere are only three forms of government monarchy rule of one oligarchy rule of few and democracy rule of many monarchy is good because it is better than oligarchy democracy is neither good nor bad it is just impossible with todays voters at least it is not just that voters are not wise enough to control the government its worse the voters are not powerful enough to control the government they or at least the politicians they elect have not had significant power for decadesp pmonarchy is both the most common form of publicsector governance in history and the universal form of privatesector governance all corporations have ceos any privatesector firm could operate as a republic or other oligarchical form none do there are no senates assemblies or supreme courts in the private sector let alone anything like the administrative state monarchy ideally accountable monarchy with a board of directors or some other safety mechanism just works betterp pso either the whole public sector today is mad or the rest of human history was mad and so is the entire private sector as an american monarchist i choose the former but in britain how should you feel about it you already have a monarchy not monarchy as a form of government  but as a theatre of government its a sort of official soap opera one that has been onair a long time about a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigeorge_i_of_great_britain target_blank300 yearsa by some countsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202103gettyimages4551934881e1615549733658300x157jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarh5the royal family always winsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarspanbyspan will lloydapdivadiv pas even its defenders would surely admit the british monarchy is not a functional organ of governance it is a living monument of history the german for monument is evocative emdenkmalem meaning an occasion to think to ask questions perhaps simple questions dangerous questionsp pyet in this year of elizabeth iis platinum jubilee few englishmen will stop to ask the simplest most dangerous form of question that history can ask to ask the past for a judgment of the present one insanely dangerous way for you to ask is what would elizabeth i think of elizabeth iip pleopold von ranke not a nazi panzer commander but actually the a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikileopold_von_ranke target_blankinventor of modern historya wrote every age stands equal before god rankes law does not deny any era the right to judge any other but it must allow itself to be judged in returnp pat the birth of elizabeth i england was a minor power at the death of elizabeth ii the uk will be a minor power in between britons ruled the world for a century and a half in elizabeth is time england was a rising power in elizabeth iis time england is a fading powerp phow would elizabeth tudor feel about all this petrified blimpish if she had to characterise elizabeth windsors perspective of monarchy and government what adjectives would she use the term a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiroi_fainc3a9ant target_blankemroi fainantema a donothing monarch is a millennium older than the tudors  invented for the hopeless a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimerovingian_dynastytextthe20merovingian20dynasty202fcb8cmgaulish20romans20under20their20rule target_blankmerovingiansap divdiv phow would the tudors not find the comparison of the windsors to the merovingians obvious especially when they heard that the windsors unlike the merovingians in france in the 5th century had reigned over a palpable national decline at least the merovingians had the good grace to give way to the frankly much more badass carolingians the windsors have given way not even to parliament but to a bunch of bureaucrats to a gang of foundations quangos media conglomerates and university administrators at least the emearlyem merovingians won and held their crowns by the sword perhaps once a costume dynasty always a costume dynastyp pit is easy for elizabeth ii to judge elizabeth i for example diversity and inclusion are among elizabeth windsors core principles whereas a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalarchivesgovukpathwaysblackhistoryearly_timestranscriptsdeportation_van_sendenhtm target_blankelizabeth tudor was a racista but we need not accept elizabeth is prehistoric racial theories to find her political insights relevant the past without being perfect can usefully criticise the presentp pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiwalter_bagehot target_blankit was bagehota the 19thcentury theorist of the english constitution who best described the difference between elizabeth i and ii bagehot divided sovereigns into the effective actually in control of the state and the dignified a crowned kardashian a longhaired merovingian mandoll a more modern version of these labels might be operating and ceremonial elizabeth i was the operating elizabeth elizabeth ii is the ceremonial elizabeth a costume queenp pit is true that the binary is not absolute in bagehots day parliament was effective and victoria was ceremonial but victoria certainly mattered much more than elizabeth ii if much less than elizabeth i in our day we might say that both parliament and queen are dignified the operating power lies in whitehall if it is in england at allp pmoreover a really critical tudor historian might question whether the decline of working absolutism in the english monarchy did not precede elizabeth ii the stuarts alien in nation and suspect in religion were never secure on the throne james i ranted about divine right and absolute power because he knew he doesnt have it charles i seriously tried to be a limited monarch resulting in the judicial murder of strafford charles ii was restored only as a limited monarch dont even start me on the glorious revolution but surely elizabeth i was peak englandp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062tqueenlaurajacobssummerissue2016e1654083140733300x143jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarh5only a monarch can control the elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan helen thompsonapdivadiv pbut was elizabethan england emreallyem elizabeths to what extent was this woman actually the ceo of the government was she in charge or was it leicesters commonwealth was it really the cecils who invented the deep state and walsingham the intelligence communityp pwe do get a sense of the increasing importance of an early deep state as the tudor dynasty boots up henry viii was a kingly king but his attention did seem to wander and his policies did often seem driven by his advisers i know of no indication that his father henry vii meant anything but business as anyone would expect of a chad rebel who seized the throne on horseback with his sword for there were true kings on earth in those days but let us treat the tudors as a homogeneous monolith and history as binary tudors both reign and rule windsors only reign but do not rule cromwell also a monarch ruled but did not reignp pone way to identify a ceremonial or dignified institution is to detect a situation in which a seeming organ of power is vestigial an organ or organisation in a larger regime is vestigial if the regime could continue operating as usual without it when elizabeth i kicked it that was the end of elizabethan england what followed was still very cool but it was not elizabethan englandp pan objective political change can change the lives of everyone in the country think of everyone who used to be an east german and always somehow disrupts or replaces the governing elite if elizabeth ii passes away tomorrow the trash in london will still be picked up if the monarchy did not exist whitehall would function as usual if parliament the cabinet and the voters did not exist whitehall would function as usualp pwhat this elizabeth test teaches us is that it is obvious to even the dogs in the street that democracy has gone the way of monarchy becoming ceremonial or dignified the 20thcentury removal of politics and politicians and hence voters and elections from actual authority over the government was the centurys great changing of the guardp pthe trump administration did not disrupt the elite disruption can be measured by number of jobs destroyed how many elite jobs did trump destroy he annoyed and energised the elite he was the best thing that ever happened to the emnew york timesem thousands of publicspirited ivy graduates must owe trump their jobs to this dayp pbrexit did not disrupt the elite if anything brexit gave power back to some purely british institution such as whitehall for yanks the british deep state but whitehall would much rather implement directives from brussels freeing the native mandarins from responsibility the bane of all bureaucrats the only possible recipients of power in brexit did not even want it the voters they voted for brexit accepted a few weird bureaucratic complications and went back to their fish and chipsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022042gettyimages1239876777scalede1650561337507300x182jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarh5the death of the conservative eliteh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarspanbyspan park macdougaldapdivadiv pas bagehot explains putting a fake power in front of the real power has tremendous benefits it is even better to have two layers of fake both monarchy and democracy this double panel acts as a perfect bulletabsorber for the civilservice oligarchy which though young was already a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinorthcotee28093trevelyan_report target_blankbuilding its strengtha in bagehots timep pthe working queen elizabeth i must feel that her fancydress successor was in some way tricked out of her rightful power elizabeth i will judge elizabeth ii for investing in this trick rather than exposing it rising up and restoring the monarchy for the people too were tricked out of their right to a real monarchp phow did monarchies even become ceremonial usually not in one step rather their first step was to become constitutional it turns out that as soon as a monarchy loses any power it very soon loses all power and often its head as wellp pultimately the purpose of a ceremonial monarchy is to prevent the existence of a functional monarchy where a puppet reigns no one else can reign so no one reigns at all so a murky distributed oligarchy can rule unchallenged by the clear clean sunlight of irresistible central powerp pthe whig oligarchs of the early 18th century installed the hanoverians a dynasty with no inherent support base in england in place of the dangerous stuarts any stuart revolt and there were two would have to go through the hanoverians first but it is a long time since the early 18th centuryp pwe can look at the uk today and ask what would elizabeth tudor do when we imagine elizabeth tudor waking up in the rejuvenated body of elizabeth windsor it makes little difference that their actual roles in government have changed nothing at all has changed about the english constitution the queen reserves all her a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiroyal_prerogative_in_the_united_kingdom target_blankroyal prerogativeap pit is customary for the british monarch to use prerogative power only under her ministers advice except in an emergency while monarchy is nothing without a deep respect for custom unfortunately it emisem an emergency and has been elizabeth tudor will tell you for at least the last halfcenturyp pthe new old elizabeth declares martial law and puts the police under her direct orders she never considers the possibility that she has anything less than absolute power bobbies everywhere are shutting down the oligarchy padlocking the buildings imaging the servers freezing the accounts all state media quango and university employees are retired even primary schools are closed for the reset only essential productive workers still work for now everyone else can chill and still get paid as we learned under covid the paycheck is the essence of the bullshit jobp pof course this day is only the start of the renewal of britain the revolution was first in the mind of the king the truth about the revolution is that in nations with a surviving monarchy even a purely ceremonial monarchy like britains today the revolution emremainsem in the mind of the monarchp pa modern monarch who chose to be not a costumeking in the school of the windsors but a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcambridgeorgcorebooksabsbolingbrokepoliticalwritingsideaofapatriotking1738ef0647a87d25d35d8ab06bf0073a845f target_blankat the very least a patriot kinga in the school of a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikihenry_st_john_1st_viscount_bolingbroke target_blankbolingbrokea would not have to work hard at all to regain monarchical control of the state at least regaining full control is much easier than regaining a tiny bit of controlp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062tqueenlaurajacobssummerissue2016e1654083140733300x143jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarh5only a monarch can control the elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan dominic sandbrookapdivadiv pthe essence of the modern emcoup detatem is the use of popular enthusiasm to gain stable unified direct control over the security forces everything about this transition must feel completely natural inevitable and irreversible in retrospect this is exactly how it could feel it wont of course when charles iii finally takes the thronep pall agencies other than the army and police can be retired this cannot be done with the security forces no one wants anarchy in the uk but also no one actually needs the ministry of defence what is it defending just bring everyone home already at least temporarilyp punder direct royal command military and police leadership must undergo a rapid purge and reshuffle staff who can show their prior commitment to the new regime are rapidly advanced those known to be sympathetic to the old are sidelined it may not be fair what is what ever wasp pand power is a shark it has to keep moving power for powers sake is a dead fish what does charles iii want to make of his britain what does he have the power to change after executing this manoeuvre anything the patriot king is the nations gardener his goal is to make its lovely human flora burgeon and blossom obviously his first job is building a new government but the problem goes far beyond this he has to build a new society and a new economy everything is a ruinp pif there is any set of people who need to be challenged the most it is the highest elites an aspect of the elizabethan court which is almost impossible to explain to the modern world is that it is the centre of excellence in emeverythingem in the early elizabethan era at least the best plays and poems in england were by courtiers in the modern era a royal court in the elizabethan style would be surrounded by the countrys best scientists filmmakers mountain climbers not only would royal sponsorship select and fund the best people it would even lead them stylistically the style of the king would become the fashion of the countryp pas opposed to where does style come from nowadays centres of excellence are hidden to those not in the know they are widely spread across fields sometimes they are taken over by bad people and become centres of badness but elites benefit from concentration concentrating the elite of an elite around one centre is the way to create the most awesome elite such is the job of a royal courtp pof course it all depends on the right king in the history of kings which is most of human history there are awesome kings and notsoawesome kings but if we accept elizabeth iis responsibility for the a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicondition_of_england_question target_blankcondition of englanda and try to hypothesise elizabeth is reaction to that same condition not so awesome doesnt cover it imagine her inspecting some of what you chaps call council housingp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022042gettyimages115223348scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarh5is elizabeth ii a bad motherh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarspanbyspan tanya goldapdivadiv pyet as an american i must face the fact that london is the last city outside america which still has the right to call itself the capital of the world though much is taken much abides it will probably keep falling it could rise againp pa proud renewed and independent royal britain a embasedem britain could easily create elite institutions and cohorts that challenged and surpassed the aging titans of the american world because of londons legacy of world domination antiamerican nationalists everywhere would naturally become anglophilesp pand even we americans could easily throw off the vast carcass of our 20thcentury regime by appealing to a higher power to restore order were there any such power one day we may elect a president with a mandate to peacefully cede sovereignty to our rightful king charles iiip pthe king is right there on the inauguration podium the president hands him the bible and the nuclear football he takes command and the president calls an uber from the river a deep roar a corps of royal marines on enormous transatlantic hovercraft is cruising in formation up the potomacp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesappcommentsview 40 commentsa

pits littleknown fact shakespeare hated americans inemtwelfth nightemsir andrew aguecheek said lief brownist politician meant relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikibrownist target_blankthe impertinent littlecultathat later set mayflowerp pso seemsespeciallyimpertinent especially appropriate anamericanto criticise monarchy especially americanmonarchist like acostumeememmonarchist castles weddings funny hats actually think monarchy alegitimate form government bymonarchyi meanactualmonarchy absolutemonarchyp piframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedpdttxmitva0featureoembed width640 titlecurtis yarvin america monarchy height360iframep pthere forms governmentmonarchyrule oneoligarchyrule anddemocracyrule monarchy good better oligarchy democracy good bad justimpossible todays voters voters wise control government worse voters notpowerfulenough control government politicians elect significant power decadesp pmonarchy common form publicsector governance history universal form privatesector governance corporations ceos privatesector firm operate republic oligarchical form senates assemblies supreme courts private sector let like administrative state monarchy ideallyaccountablemonarchy board directors safety mechanism works betterp pso public sector today mad rest human history mad entire private sector american monarchist choose inbritain shouldyoufeel monarchy monarchy aformof government atheatreof government sort officialsoap opera onair long time abouta relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigeorge_i_of_great_britain target_blank300 yearsa countsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202103gettyimages4551934881e1615549733658300x157jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarh5the royal family winsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202103theroyalfamilyalwayswinsrefinnarspanbyspan lloydapdivadiv pas defenders surely admit british monarchy functional organ governance living monument history german monument evocative emdenkmalem meaning occasion think ask questions simple questionsdangerousquestionsp pyet year elizabeth iis platinum jubilee englishmen stop ask simplest dangerous form question history ask ask past judgment present insanely dangerous way ask elizabeth think elizabeth iip pleopold von ranke nazi panzer commander actually thea relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikileopold_von_ranke target_blankinventor modern historya wrote age stands equal god rankes law deny era right judge allow judged returnp pat birth elizabeth england minor power death elizabeth ii uk minor power britons ruled world century half elizabeth time england rising power elizabeth iis time england fading powerp phow elizabeth tudor feel petrified blimpish ifshehad characterise elizabeth windsors perspective monarchy government adjectives wouldsheuse terma relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiroi_fainc3a9ant target_blankemroi fainantemaa donothing monarch millennium older tudors invented hopeless relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimerovingian_dynastytextthe20merovingian20dynasty202fcb8cmgaulish20romans20under20their20rule target_blankmerovingiansap divdiv phow tudors find comparison windsors merovingians obvious especially heard windsors unlike merovingians france 5th century reigned palpable national decline merovingians good grace way frankly badass carolingians windsors given way parliament bunch bureaucrats gang foundations quangos media conglomerates university administrators theemearlyemmerovingians won held crowns sword costume dynasty costume dynastyp pit easy elizabeth ii judge elizabeth example diversity inclusion elizabeth windsors core principles relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalarchivesgovukpathwaysblackhistoryearly_timestranscriptsdeportation_van_sendenhtm target_blankelizabeth tudor racista need accept elizabeth prehistoric racial theories find political insights relevant past perfect usefully criticise presentp pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiwalter_bagehot target_blankit wasbagehota 19thcentury theorist english constitution best described difference elizabeth ii bagehot divided sovereigns theeffective actually control state thedignified crowned kardashian longhaired merovingian mandoll modern version labels beoperatingandceremonial elizabeth theoperatingelizabeth elizabeth ii theceremonialelizabeth costume queenp pit true binary absolute bagehots day parliament waseffectiveand victoria wasceremonial victoria certainly mattered elizabeth ii elizabeth day parliament queen aredignified theoperatingpower lies whitehall england allp pmoreover critical tudor historian question decline working absolutism english monarchy precedeelizabeth ii stuarts alien nation suspect religion secure throne james ranted divine right absolute power knew doesnt charles seriously tried limited monarch resulting judicial murder strafford charles ii restored limited monarch dont start glorious revolution surely elizabeth peak englandp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062tqueenlaurajacobssummerissue2016e1654083140733300x143jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarh5only monarch control elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan helen thompsonapdivadiv pbut elizabethan englandemreallyemelizabeths extent woman actually ceo government charge leicesters commonwealth cecils invented deep state walsingham intelligence communityp pwe sense increasing importance early deep state tudor dynasty boots henry viii kingly king attention wander policies driven advisers know indication father henry viimeant business expect chad rebel seized throne horseback sword true kings earth days let treat tudors homogeneous monolith history binary tudors reign rule windsors reign rule cromwell monarch ruled reignp pone way identify ceremonial ordignifiedinstitution detect situation organ power isvestigial organ organisation larger regime vestigial regime continue operating usual elizabeth kicked end elizabethan england followed cool elizabethan englandp pan objective political change change lives country think east german disrupts replaces governing elite elizabeth ii passes away tomorrow trash london picked monarchy exist whitehall function usual parliament cabinet voters exist whitehall function usualp pwhat elizabeth test teaches obvious dogs street democracy gone way monarchy ceremonial ordignified 20thcentury removal politics politicians voters elections actual authority government centurys great changing guardp pthe trump administration disrupt elite disruption measured number jobs destroyed elite jobs trump destroy annoyed energised elite best thing happened emnew york timesem thousands publicspirited ivy graduates owe trump jobs dayp pbrexit disrupt elite brexit gave power purely british institution whitehall yanks british deep state whitehall implement directives brussels freeing native mandarins responsibility bane bureaucrats possible recipients power brexit want voters voted brexit accepted weird bureaucratic complications went fish chipsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022042gettyimages1239876777scalede1650561337507300x182jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarh5the death conservative eliteh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204thedeathoftheconservativeeliterefinnarspanbyspan park macdougaldapdivadiv pas bagehot explains putting fake power real power tremendous benefits better havetwolayers fake monarchyanddemocracy double panel acts perfect bulletabsorber civilservice oligarchy young alreadya relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinorthcotee28093trevelyan_report target_blankbuilding strengthain bagehots timep pthe working queen elizabeth feel fancydress successor waytrickedout rightful power elizabeth judge elizabeth ii forinvestingin trick thanexposingit rising restoring monarchy thepeopletoo tricked right real monarchp phow monarchies evenbecomeceremonial usually step step becomeconstitutional turns soon monarchy losesanypower soon losesallpower head wellp pultimately purpose ceremonial monarchy prevent existence functional monarchy puppet reigns reign reigns murky distributed oligarchy rule unchallenged clear clean sunlight irresistible central powerp pthe whig oligarchs early 18th century installed hanoverians dynasty inherent support base england place dangerous stuarts stuart revolt hanoverians long time early 18th centuryp pwe look uk today askwhat elizabeth tudor imagine elizabeth tudor waking rejuvenated body elizabeth windsor makes little difference actual roles government changed changed english constitution queen reserves hera relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiroyal_prerogative_in_the_united_kingdom target_blankroyal prerogativeap pit customary british monarch use prerogative power ministers advice emergency monarchy deep respect custom unfortunately itemiseman emergency elizabeth tudor tell halfcenturyp pthenewold elizabeth declares martial law puts police direct orders neverconsidersthe possibility absolute power bobbies shutting oligarchy padlocking buildings imaging servers freezing accounts state media quango university employees retired primary schools closed reset essential productive workers work chill paid learned covid paycheck essence bullshit jobp pof course day start renewal britain revolution mind king truth revolution nations surviving monarchy purely ceremonial monarchy like britains today revolutionemremainsemin mind monarchp pa modern monarch chose costumeking school windsors relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcambridgeorgcorebooksabsbolingbrokepoliticalwritingsideaofapatriotking1738ef0647a87d25d35d8ab06bf0073a845f target_blankat apatriot kingain school ofa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikihenry_st_john_1st_viscount_bolingbroke target_blankbolingbrokea work hard regain monarchical control state regaining control easier regaining tiny bit controlp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062tqueenlaurajacobssummerissue2016e1654083140733300x143jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarh5only monarch control elitesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesrefinnarspanbyspan dominic sandbrookapdivadiv pthe essence modern emcoup detatem use popular enthusiasm gain stable unified direct control security forces transition feel completely natural inevitable irreversible retrospect exactly itcouldfeel wont course charles iii finally takes thronep pallagencies army police retired security forces wants anarchy uk actually needs ministry defence defending bring home temporarilyp punder direct royal command military police leadership undergo rapid purge reshuffle staff prior commitment new regime rapidly advanced known sympathetic old sidelined fair wasp pand power shark moving power powers sake dead fish charles iii want britain power change executing manoeuvre patriot king nations gardener goal lovely human flora burgeon blossom obviously job building new government problem goes far build new society new economy ruinp pif set people need challenged highest elites aspect elizabethan court impossible explain modern world centre excellence inemeverythingem early elizabethan era best plays poems england courtiers modern era royal court elizabethan style surrounded countrys best scientists filmmakers mountain climbers royal sponsorship select fund best people lead stylistically style king fashion countryp pas opposed style come nowadays centres excellence hidden know widely spread fields taken bad people centres badness elites benefit concentration concentrating elite elite centre way create awesome elite job royal courtp pof course depends right king history kings human history awesome kings notsoawesome kings accept elizabeth iis responsibility thea relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicondition_of_england_question target_blankcondition englanda try hypothesise elizabeth reaction condition awesome doesnt cover imagine inspecting chaps council housingp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022042gettyimages115223348scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarh5is elizabeth ii bad motherh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202204iselizabethiiabadmotherrefinnarspanbyspan tanya goldapdivadiv pyet american face fact london city outside america right capital world taken abides probably falling rise againp pa proud renewed independent royal britain embasedem britain easily create elite institutions cohorts challenged surpassed aging titans american world londons legacy world domination antiamerican nationalists naturally anglophilesp pand americans easily throw vast carcass 20thcentury regime appealing higher power restore order power day elect president mandate peacefully cede sovereignty rightful king charles iiip pthe king right inauguration podium president hands bible nuclear football takes command president calls uber river deep roar corps royal marines enormous transatlantic hovercraft cruising formation potomacp hrefhttpsunherdcom202206onlyamonarchcancontroltheelitesappcommentsview 40 commentsa

629d2ebc45a01228f8b00581

One Hundred Years of American Conservatism

img altone hundred years of american conservatism srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206theright1jpgpideas have consequences from the early 2000s matt continetti the author of the fascinating new book ema hrefhttpsamznto3xbr5g2the righta emhas worked at some of the leading institutions of american conservatism he has seen firsthand how many of them fallen or lost their way but where conservatisms critics see a movement that has become unrecognizable and even dangerous continetti sees instead a rich vibrant and messy war of ideas institutions and personalities ppthis week continettithe cofounder of the emwashington free beaconem and a senior fellow at the american enterprise instituteememoffered us a panoramic look at the past and future of the american right and its sometimes odd intellectual evolution how much do ideas really matter how might the republican party have been different had 911 not happened and would the conservative movement have even been possible without the pervasive threat of communismpaudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdscontinetti__freemp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdscontinetti__freemp3herea is a link to the filep audiopin strongpart 2strong a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveistherepublicanpartystilldemocraticavailable herea for subscribers the conversation zeroes in on the extent to which conservatism and the right have diverged conservatism is meant to conserve where the new right is defined by populism and radicalism shadi pushes matt by asking a question that is top of mind for many on the left to what extent is the republican party still democratic what is it drawing young men to such a revolutionary view of american politics is there a limit to antiamerican ideas in american politics phrpemrequired readingempulliemthe right the hundredyear war for american conservatism emby matthew continetti a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrighthundredyearwaramericanconservatismebookdpb09bn44v68amazonaliliemdemocratic realism an american foreign policy for a unipolar world irving kristol lecture emby charles krauthammerliliquotthe unipolar momentquot by charles krauthammer ema hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomarticles19900101unipolarmomentforeign affairsaemlilitrumps american carnage innaugural address a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvamfhjapvsmcspanaliul

img altone years american conservatism srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206theright1jpgpideas consequences early 2000s matt continetti author fascinating new book ema hrefhttpsamznto3xbr5g2the righta emhas worked leading institutions american conservatism seen firsthand fallen lost way conservatisms critics movement unrecognizable dangerous continetti sees instead rich vibrant messy war ideas institutions personalities ppthis week continettithe cofounder emwashington free beaconem senior fellow american enterprise instituteememoffered panoramic look past future american right odd intellectual evolution ideas matter republican party different 911 happened conservative movement possible pervasive threat communismpaudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdscontinetti__freemp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdscontinetti__freemp3herea link filep audiopin strongpart 2strong hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveistherepublicanpartystilldemocraticavailable herea subscribers conversation zeroes extent conservatism right diverged conservatism meant conserve new right defined populism radicalism shadi pushes matt asking question mind left extent republican party democratic drawing young men revolutionary view american politics limit antiamerican ideas american politics phrpemrequired readingempulliemthe right hundredyear war american conservatism emby matthew continetti hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrighthundredyearwaramericanconservatismebookdpb09bn44v68amazonaliliemdemocratic realism american foreign policy unipolar world irving kristol lecture emby charles krauthammerliliquotthe unipolar momentquot charles krauthammer ema hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomarticles19900101unipolarmomentforeign affairsaemlilitrumps american carnage innaugural address hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvamfhjapvsmcspanaliul

629d2f5245a01228f8b00599

One Cheer for Liberal Democracy?

pimg width736 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202205fukuyama_736x514jpg height514ppfrancis fukuyama calls his brief new book a defense of classical liberalism which he defines as quotthe limitation of the powers of governments through law and ultimately constitutionsquot had emliberalism and its discontentsem been written by anyone else it could have been called emfukuyama for dummiesem jumping as it does between the various themes that have preoccupied the stanford political scientist over four decadesp pfukuyama introduced himself to the reading public with a 1989 journal article called quotthe end of historyquot in which he suggested that with the withering of the soviet union americanstyle liberal democracy constituted a final answer to 200 years of ideological questioning liberal democracy has been his subject frontally or obliquely ever since in emtrustem 1995 he focused on the culturalpsychological underpinnings of political order in emthe great disruptionem 1999 he was probably the first to examine how the transition from an industrial to an information economy was changing not just our politics but the emconditionsem of our politics in matters ranging from family formation to crime he wrote a twovolume history of political order he became a prominent advocate of spreading american liberal democracy by force calling for the overthrow of saddam hussein in a 1998 letter but repented in 2004 a year into the usled war in iraqp plately he has been especially active in public debate he considers donald trump a menace to the countrys political institutions even some of the former presidents supporters will probably share fukuyamas verdict that quotof donald trumps many assaults on american institutions the most serious by far was his unwillingness to concede his loss of the 2020 presidential election and to peacefully transfer power to his successorquot but fukuyama has come to believe that republicans more generally aim at quotrestricting voter accessquot and quotare toying with the idea of overtly authoritarian governmentquot in recent weeks ukraines resistance to russia has reconciled him with the project of armed democracypromotion he even hopes the war will bring to our exhausted liberal democracies what lincoln called quota new birth of freedomquotp pit might sound like a boring thing to have been since 1989 senior ideologue of the global hegemon explicatorinchief for those who rule the world but there has always been a disruptive quotedgequot to fukuyama utopian marxists and fellow travelers who had thought their own ideology would bring an end to history got the trolling of their lives from him more neutral readers were struck by a peculiarity most intellectuals sounding off about quotliberal democracyquot treated liberalism and democracy as if they were two names for the same thing not fukuyama and it was not hard to tell which of the two goods he cared about more quotthere is an inherent tension between democracy and what we now call good governancequot he wrote in empolitical order and political decayem 2014 fukuyama did not despise democracy but he considered it a means liberalism was the endp pfukuyamas familiar strengths and weaknesses are on display here the strengths include a keen eye for the emparadoxesem of liberal freedom late20thcentury freemarket sloganeering is a favorite target of fukuyama quotideas about the centrality of property rights consumer welfare and spontaneous orderquot he writes quotare far more ambiguous in their economic political and moral consequences than neoliberal doctrine would suggestquot for instance he notes that governments handover of the internet to the private sector set in motion the process whereby its retail users would lose control over itp pfukuyamas weaknesses include a prose style that often fogs up as abstractions do abstract things to other abstractions quotfollowing the french revolution liberals were shunted aside by other doctrines on the right and on the leftquot he writes as if doctrines shunt it is hard to pin fukuyama down he has a style of argument useful literarily but slippery philosophically of ventriloquizing arguments quotintersectionality is an acknowledgment of the fact that different forms of marginalization exist and that their intersection creates new forms of prejudice and injusticequot does he buy that or is he just laying it out he covers a great deal but in a hurry and so superficially that one wonders whether to trust him he calls richard nixons victory in 1968 in which he nosed hubert humphrey by 07 percent a quotlandslidequot he thinks the 16th amendment which enabled progressives to introduce the income tax in the 20th century was one of the postcivil war amendmentsp pthe books punchiest chapters concern how quotcertain sound liberal ideas have been interpreted and pushed to extremesquot on the one hand republicans pushed too much of one kind of liberalism capitalism on the other hand democrats pushed too much of another identity politics that is a reasonable construction as far as it goes but lately events have shifted out from under fukuyama in ways that his book struggles to take into account at the close of the 20th century both parties were in their different ways liberaldemocratic nowadays democrats are overwhelmingly the party of the liberal emordnungem that fukuyama prizesof emstare decisisem of human rights of the quotrulesbased international orderquot republicans are the party of the democratic sentiment that fukuyama mistrustsof the credentialdistrusting common man of the guncarrying yeomanry of daniel oconnellstyle quotmonster meetingsquotp pas a result certain of fukuyamas observations that might have challenged preconceptions during the clinton administration now come off as complacent quotcommunist societies pretended that they had solved problems related to race and genderquot he writes quotbut in western liberal democracies the social transformation was driven by grassroots mobilization rather than topdown decree and hence proved more thoroughgoingquot sorry but that is not where raceandgender matters stand now where is the quotgrassroots mobilizationquot behind critical race theory behind swimmer lia thomass testosteronefueled long march through womens college swimming recordsp pfukuyama criticizes for its treatment of civil rights this reviewers most recent book emthe age of entitlementem a history of the united states since the kennedy assassination since fukuyama neither lists the book in his bibliography nor manages to accurately reproduce any of its arguments it would be unseemly selfflattery on my part to assume he had read itp pall the same it is worth addressing fukuyamas treatment of civil rights which he uses occasionally as a synonym for liberalism his embrace of quotdiversityquot is more categorical than it was just a few years ago comparing asian countries late 20thcentury success to various postcolonial failures on other continents he noted in empolitical order and political decayem that china japan and korea quotconstituted some of the most ethnically homogeneous societies in the worldquot and that their quotstate building efforts were enhanced by great ethnic homogeneityquot that is the quotedgequot to fukuyama mentioned above he was once more willing than other political scientists to admit that under certain circumstances diversity is not a strength but a weaknessp ptoday he is more categorical he opens the book by noting that the circle of rightsbearers quotwas initially limited in the united states and other liberal regimes to white men who owned property and only later was broadened to other social groupsquotp pbut this has nothing to do with quotwhitenessquot which has never had standing as any kind of category within liberalism liberalism was a civilizational invention an advance if you like all such advances initially benefit people in the place where they happen and sometimes they are defended against outsiders for a long time only quotyellow men who owned propertyquot benefited from confucianism as only quotblack men who owned propertyquot benefited from benin ivories no matter where liberalism was invented it would not have extended to women that american liberalism has for most of its history borne the imprint of a particular culture does not make premulticultural liberalism a pretense or a shamp pin fact we are discovering today that liberalismor the ideology that bears that nameis just as susceptible as other ideologies to turn illiberal in theory liberalism is a set of neutral rational scientific principles for making sense of a society the raw human material of which may well be nonneutral irrational and unscientific liberals have generally reformed institutions by judging them against standards of utility and fairness but what happens in what we might call quotlatestagequot liberalism when all such institutions have been reformed according to liberalisms wishes liberalisms defenders turn the argument around demanding on behalf of institutions that the empublicem demonstrate its utility and fairnessthat it make itself quotlegiblequot to government to use the anthropologist james scotts termp pfukuyama has always believed and repeats here that quotliberal societies cannot survive if they are unable to establish a hierarchy of factual truthsquot he does not call for censorship but would like to see speech governed by norms quotthere are wellestablished techniques for determining factual informationquot fukuyama writes quottechniques that have been used for years in court proceedings professional journalism and in the scientific communityquotp pis that realistic the verb quotestablishquot makes it sounds as if liberalism is merely defending truth against error and indeed this is what most liberals believe they are doing just as often of late liberalism has meant defending official truth against free inquiry defending racebased college admissions against aptitude testing defending abortion against ultrasound technology defending transgenderism against medical studies that is leaving aside the related problem of how in a society where all institutions are liberal and valuefree it becomes profitable to suppress scientific truths like quotopioids are dangerousquot or social ones like quotbetting is dangerousquot so profitable in fact that interested parties can raise immense sums of money to turn an untruth into a public watchword quotdisinformationquot is not always a problem of populist epistemology that liberalism must hold accountable it is sometimes a problem of liberal political power that populism must hold accountablep pthis book hangs in front of fukuyamas collected works like a rainbow flag in front of a church reassuring readers that the old faith that used to be preached inside is no threat to theirs youre good the way you are pay no attention to that cross on the roof returning early in this book to the origins of liberalism in the aftermath of the english civil war he calls it quotan institutional solution to the problem of governing over diversity or to put it in slightly different terms of peacefully managing diversity in pluralistic societiesquot as if the electrifying 17th and 18thcentury vision of liberalism had anything to do with todays corporateconsulting phrase quotmanaging diversityquot as if the freedoms at the core of that early liberalismspeech association religionwere not the ones that quotdiversityquot as we understand it today is least inclined to honorp pemliberalism and its discontentsembr by francis fukuyamabr farrar straus amp giroux 192 pp 26p pemchristopher caldwell is a contributing editor at the emclaremont review of booksem and the author of emthe age of entitlement america since the sixtiesememp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsonecheerforliberaldemocracyone cheer for liberal democracya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width736 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202205fukuyama_736x514jpg height514ppfrancis fukuyama calls brief new book defense classical liberalism defines quotthe limitation powers governments law ultimately constitutionsquot emliberalism discontentsem written called emfukuyama dummiesem jumping themes preoccupied stanford political scientist decadesp pfukuyama introduced reading public 1989 journal article called quotthe end historyquot suggested withering soviet union americanstyle liberal democracy constituted final answer 200 years ideological questioning liberal democracy subject frontally obliquely emtrustem 1995 focused culturalpsychological underpinnings political order emthe great disruptionem 1999 probably examine transition industrial information economy changing politics emconditionsem politics matters ranging family formation crime wrote twovolume history political order prominent advocate spreading american liberal democracy force calling overthrow saddam hussein 1998 letter repented 2004 year usled war iraqp plately especially active public debate considers donald trump menace countrys political institutions presidents supporters probably share fukuyamas verdict quotof donald trumps assaults american institutions far unwillingness concede loss 2020 presidential election peacefully transfer power successorquot fukuyama come believe republicans generally aim quotrestricting voter accessquot quotare toying idea overtly authoritarian governmentquot recent weeks ukraines resistance russia reconciled project armed democracypromotion hopes war bring exhausted liberal democracies lincoln called quota new birth freedomquotp pit sound like boring thing 1989 senior ideologue global hegemon explicatorinchief rule world disruptive quotedgequot fukuyama utopian marxists fellow travelers thought ideology bring end history got trolling lives neutral readers struck peculiarity intellectuals sounding quotliberal democracyquot treated liberalism democracy names thing fukuyama hard tell goods cared quotthere inherent tension democracy good governancequot wrote empolitical order political decayem 2014 fukuyama despise democracy considered means liberalism endp pfukuyamas familiar strengths weaknesses display strengths include keen eye emparadoxesem liberal freedom late20thcentury freemarket sloganeering favorite target fukuyama quotideas centrality property rights consumer welfare spontaneous orderquot writes quotare far ambiguous economic political moral consequences neoliberal doctrine suggestquot instance notes governments handover internet private sector set motion process retail users lose control itp pfukuyamas weaknesses include prose style fogs abstractions abstract things abstractions quotfollowing french revolution liberals shunted aside doctrines right leftquot writes doctrines shunt hard pin fukuyama style argument useful literarily slippery philosophically ventriloquizing arguments quotintersectionality acknowledgment fact different forms marginalization exist intersection creates new forms prejudice injusticequot buy laying covers great deal hurry superficially wonders trust calls richard nixons victory 1968 nosed hubert humphrey 07 percent quotlandslidequot thinks 16th amendment enabled progressives introduce income tax 20th century postcivil war amendmentsp pthe books punchiest chapters concern quotcertain sound liberal ideas interpreted pushed extremesquot hand republicans pushed kind liberalism capitalism hand democrats pushed identity politics reasonable construction far goes lately events shifted fukuyama ways book struggles account close 20th century parties different ways liberaldemocratic nowadays democrats overwhelmingly party liberal emordnungem fukuyama prizesof emstare decisisem human rights quotrulesbased international orderquot republicans party democratic sentiment fukuyama mistrustsof credentialdistrusting common man guncarrying yeomanry daniel oconnellstyle quotmonster meetingsquotp pas result certain fukuyamas observations challenged preconceptions clinton administration come complacent quotcommunist societies pretended solved problems related race genderquot writes quotbut western liberal democracies social transformation driven grassroots mobilization topdown decree proved thoroughgoingquot sorry raceandgender matters stand quotgrassroots mobilizationquot critical race theory swimmer lia thomass testosteronefueled long march womens college swimming recordsp pfukuyama criticizes treatment civil rights reviewers recent book emthe age entitlementem history united states kennedy assassination fukuyama lists book bibliography manages accurately reproduce arguments unseemly selfflattery assume read itp pall worth addressing fukuyamas treatment civil rights uses occasionally synonym liberalism embrace quotdiversityquot categorical years ago comparing asian countries late 20thcentury success postcolonial failures continents noted empolitical order political decayem china japan korea quotconstituted ethnically homogeneous societies worldquot quotstate building efforts enhanced great ethnic homogeneityquot quotedgequot fukuyama mentioned willing political scientists admit certain circumstances diversity strength weaknessp ptoday categorical opens book noting circle rightsbearers quotwas initially limited united states liberal regimes white men owned property later broadened social groupsquotp pbut quotwhitenessquot standing kind category liberalism liberalism civilizational invention advance like advances initially benefit people place happen defended outsiders long time quotyellow men owned propertyquot benefited confucianism quotblack men owned propertyquot benefited benin ivories matter liberalism invented extended women american liberalism history borne imprint particular culture premulticultural liberalism pretense shamp pin fact discovering today liberalismor ideology bears nameis susceptible ideologies turn illiberal theory liberalism set neutral rational scientific principles making sense society raw human material nonneutral irrational unscientific liberals generally reformed institutions judging standards utility fairness happens quotlatestagequot liberalism institutions reformed according liberalisms wishes liberalisms defenders turn argument demanding behalf institutions empublicemdemonstrate utility fairnessthat quotlegiblequot government use anthropologist james scotts termp pfukuyama believed repeats quotliberal societies survive unable establish hierarchy factual truthsquot censorship like speech governed norms quotthere wellestablished techniques determining factual informationquot fukuyama writes quottechniques years court proceedings professional journalism scientific communityquotp pis realistic verb quotestablishquot makes sounds liberalism merely defending truth error liberals believe late liberalism meant defending official truth free inquiry defending racebased college admissions aptitude testing defending abortion ultrasound technology defending transgenderism medical studies leaving aside related problem society institutions liberal valuefree profitable suppress scientific truths like quotopioids dangerousquot social ones like quotbetting dangerousquot profitable fact interested parties raise immense sums money turn untruth public watchword quotdisinformationquot problem populist epistemology liberalism hold accountable problem liberal political power populism hold accountablep pthis book hangs fukuyamas collected works like rainbow flag church reassuring readers old faith preached inside threat theirs youre good way pay attention cross roof returning early book origins liberalism aftermath english civil war calls quotan institutional solution problem governing diversity slightly different terms peacefully managing diversity pluralistic societiesquot electrifying 17th 18thcentury vision liberalism todays corporateconsulting phrase quotmanaging diversityquot freedoms core early liberalismspeech association religionwere ones quotdiversityquot understand today inclined honorp pemliberalism discontentsembr francis fukuyamabr farrar straus amp giroux 192 pp 26p pemchristopher caldwell contributing editor emclaremont review booksem author emthe age entitlement america sixtiesememp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsonecheerforliberaldemocracyone cheer liberal democracya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

629d2f6c45a01228f8b0059c

When should rhetoric be racially salient?

blockquoteputilizing a correlational design emnem  498 we found that those who perceived covid19 racial disparities to be greater reported reduced fear of covid19 which predicted reduced support for covid19 safety precautions in study 2 we manipulated exposure to information about covid19 racial disparities emnem  1505 reading about the persistent a hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomtopicssocialsciencesinequality titlelearn more about inequalities from sciencedirects aigenerated topic pagesinequalitiesa that produced covid19 racial disparities reduced fear of covid19 empathy for those vulnerable to covid19 and support for safety precautions these findings suggest that publicizing racial health disparities has the potential to create a vicious cycle wherein raising awareness reduces support for the very policies that could protect public health and reduce disparitiespblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis027795362200257x target_blankmore from skinnerdorkenoo etala  via d  there may be broader lessons as wellp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206whenshouldrhetoricberaciallysalienthtmlwhen should rhetoric be racially salienta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquoteputilizing correlational design emnem498 found perceived covid19 racial disparities greater reported reduced fear covid19 predicted reduced support covid19 safety precautions study 2 manipulated exposure information covid19 racial disparities emnem1505 reading persistenta hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomtopicssocialsciencesinequality titlelearn inequalities sciencedirects aigenerated topic pagesinequalitiesathat produced covid19 racial disparities reduced fear covid19 empathy vulnerable covid19 support safety precautions findings suggest publicizing racial health disparities potential create vicious cycle raising awareness reduces support policies protect public health reduce disparitiespblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis027795362200257x target_blankmore skinnerdorkenoo etala d broader lessons wellp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206whenshouldrhetoricberaciallysalienthtmlwhen rhetoric racially salienta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

629d2f8045a01228f8b005a0

Crypto’s volatility premium

pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220602howshouldwevaluecryptobyhowvolatilecryptoassetsaresrefhtohjx5y target_blankthis weeks bloomberg columna 2x the usual length building on earlier work by tyrone see also a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20220130maybevolatilitycryptocurrenciesisfeaturenotbug target_blankthis megan mcardle columna  as for me here is a key excerptp blockquote pmuch of the primary value of crypto assets is from their price volatility which is part of their appeal i raised this possibility some while ago a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202111tyroneoncryptoassetshtml target_blanktongue in cheeka but upon further reflection it seems to me an actually useful albeit counterintuitive way of thinking about crypto assets the general idea of price volatility as a value dates at least as far back as fischer black one of the founders of options price theoryp pin standard economic theory investors are riskaverse meaning they prefer more stable consumption patterns to less stable ones that is usually true but it does not mean investors always prefer more stable investment emprices em a crucial distinctionp pconsider this hypothetical you are given an envelope containing one dollar you are then offered the opportunity to exchange it for an envelope which contains either twice the money that is 2 or half the money 50 cents each with 50 probability in essence you are accepting some exchangerate volatilityp pmost people will find this bet a pretty good one the new expected value of your envelope is 05 x 2 05 x 05 or 125 that is a higher expected value than your original dollarp pif you are perched at the margin of subsistence this bet might seem too risky but for most investors who have some level of wealth it is an improvement in prospects though with some additional riskp pbitcoin and other crypto assets are essentially offering you a form of this bet to be sure this 5050 bet does not exactly describe the price dynamics of crypto assets but it is one way of illustrating that crypto prices relative to the dollar will either go up a lot or down a lot the bet helps show that some investors might welcome price volatility or if you wish call it exchangerate volatility and with even wilder swings in value there is more extreme price volatility which can be even more appealingp pso when bitcoin and other crypto assets come along they are a new source of expected gain  emprecisely due to their price volatilityem it is like being invited into a casino where the odds favor you rather than the house you wont always win but a lot of people will want to keep playingp blockquote pive been pondering that argument a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201712canbitcoingoodstorevaluepricevolatilehtml target_blanksince 2013a maybe now is the time to simply accept it fischer black and jensens inequalityp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206cryptosvolatilitypremiumhtmlcryptos volatility premiuma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat topic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220602howshouldwevaluecryptobyhowvolatilecryptoassetsaresrefhtohjx5y target_blankthis weeks bloomberg columna 2x usual length building earlier work tyrone relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20220130maybevolatilitycryptocurrenciesisfeaturenotbug target_blankthis megan mcardle columna key excerptp blockquote pmuch primary value crypto assets price volatility appeal raised possibility agoa relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202111tyroneoncryptoassetshtml target_blanktongue cheeka reflection actually useful albeit counterintuitive way thinking crypto assets general idea price volatility value dates far fischer black founders options price theoryp pin standard economic theory investors riskaverse meaning prefer stable consumption patterns stable ones usually true mean investors prefer stable investmentempricesem crucial distinctionp pconsider hypothetical given envelope containing dollar offered opportunity exchange envelope contains twice money 2 half money 50 cents 50 probability essence accepting exchangerate volatilityp pmost people find bet pretty good new expected value envelope 05 x 2 05 x 05 125 higher expected value original dollarp pif perched margin subsistence bet risky investors level wealth improvement prospects additional riskp pbitcoin crypto assets essentially offering form bet sure 5050 bet exactly describe price dynamics crypto assets way illustrating crypto prices relative dollar lot lot bet helps investors welcome price volatility wish exchangerate volatility wilder swings value extreme price volatility appealingp pso bitcoin crypto assets come new source expected gain emprecisely price volatilityem like invited casino odds favor house wont win lot people want playingp blockquote pive pondering argument relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201712canbitcoingoodstorevaluepricevolatilehtml target_blanksince 2013a maybe time simply accept fischer black jensens inequalityp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206cryptosvolatilitypremiumhtmlcryptos volatility premiuma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

629e803866129ac6b4cabed1

The Red-Pilling of Liberal America

img altthe redpilling of liberal america srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206redpilledjpegpa few friends and i were having dinner in downtown washington dc last night while we were walking out i saw a manhe appeared to be mentally ill or perhaps under the influencecome out of nowhere and aggressively lunge toward my friend making contact it was over in a second and i couldnt really make out what happened fortunately it didnt get worse than it was but it was unsettling shaken my friend who is white told us that the man had made a racist comment while lunging at himppwhen we thought about what to do next my friend wondered if he should call the police the man appeared to be trailing us from a block or two away and was shouting at people on the street it wasnt about getting the man in trouble my friend reasoned but rather about making sure he couldnt potentially assault anyone elseppon the other hand we more or less assumed that the police couldnt do anythingor perhaps more precisely that they emwouldntem it wasnt so much that the police were incompetent or that they were participating in some sort of a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220605uschesaboudinrecallsanfranciscohtmldeliberate work slowdowna as has been the case in other american cities it stemmed rather from a more general sense of lawlessness and that vaguely unsettling feeling one experiences in certain parts of the city at certain times of nightppbefore 2019 i dont really remember local crime being a regular topic of discussion among friends in dc it is now most of my friends can relay a recent experience with petty crime and the sense of fatalism that comes from realizing that authorities and institutions probably wont do much for whatever reason anecdata of course is not the same as data in cities such as philadelphia and san francisco progressive district attorneys repeatedly insist that their critics have gotten the facts wrong as the emnew york times ema hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220605uschesaboudinrecallsanfranciscohtmlrecently reporteda san francisco district attorney a hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1527410528968007680chesa boudina routinely quotconfront[s] voters with data that shows overall crime has not increased meaningfully while he has been in office even as some categories have risen during the pandemicquot perhaps more irritating larry krasner philadelphias cantankerous district attorney has developed a a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomphillydaseason1dpb09bmbkqfchabit of browbeating criticsa in town hall meetings with appeals to quotthe sciencequot and how his inhouse criminologist can give people the real numbers if they really want them ordinary residents are being told that what they perceive to be true is not in fact true they are in effect being gaslitpdiv dataplaceholdersubscribedivpthe problem here is that we understand and interact with the world around us based on perception and feeling politics is about policy but it is also about human nature and realizing that human nature however one wishes to characterize it is a constant to contend with you can try to transcend it by appealing to peoples better angels or through education and enlightenmentbut only up to a point information facts and education a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivehowtheleftlostmedont necessarily servea the purpose liberals assume it will very few of us will read a detailed academic journal article about trends in crime reporting before deciding how to feel about crimeppit also depends on which facts one actually pays attention to any selfrespecting political scientist will be well aware of how the data can be manipulated to confirm ones priors a criminologistconsidering how politicized debates over crime arewill presumably have ideological biases that inform his or her research are you looking at quotoverall crimequot or certain subcategoriesand whos to say which subcategories a hrefhttpswwwmanhattaninstituteorgwhycantwetalkaboutthemurderwavematter more than othersa no one in the end is a disinterested observerppbut the debate over facts and misinformation obscures a more fundamental objection the data miners and the otherwise wellintentioned people who believe as one might believe in a religion that the facts will save you seem unable to grasp that crime isnt just crime is anything ever really only what it seems to be crime is also a proxy for a deeper malaise that inchoate sense of almostbutnotquite social collapse thats in the air we breathe impossible to measure with precision but unmistakably there all the same part of it draws on our own confusion driven by the intuition that things shouldnt be the way they are when we see the tent encampments that have spread throughout washington dc in the past two years it suggests that something has gone wrong this is the most powerful city in the world and yet people are living in makeshift tents in the richest parts of the city a stones throw from the white house and the us congress and no one seems to know what to do about it or they do know what to do about it but cant be bothered to act either that or theyve found a way to quickly resign themselves to a new realitythe socalled quotnew normalquotppthings arent worse they just emseem emworse makes for an odd battle cry and i for one dont find it particularly reassuring thiswhatever emthisem isis obviously not the end of the world but thats only reassuring insofar as most things arent the end of the worldp

img altthe redpilling liberal america srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206redpilledjpegpa friends having dinner downtown washington dc night walking saw manhe appeared mentally ill influencecome aggressively lunge friend making contact second couldnt happened fortunately didnt worse unsettling shaken friend white told man racist comment lunging himppwhen thought friend wondered police man appeared trailing block away shouting people street wasnt getting man trouble friend reasoned making sure couldnt potentially assault elseppon hand assumed police couldnt anythingor precisely emwouldntem wasnt police incompetent participating sort hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220605uschesaboudinrecallsanfranciscohtmldeliberate work slowdowna case american cities stemmed general sense lawlessness vaguely unsettling feeling experiences certain parts city certain times nightppbefore 2019 dont remember local crime regular topic discussion friends dc friends relay recent experience petty crime sense fatalism comes realizing authorities institutions probably wont reason anecdata course data cities philadelphia san francisco progressive district attorneys repeatedly insist critics gotten facts wrong emnew york times ema hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220605uschesaboudinrecallsanfranciscohtmlrecently reporteda san francisco district attorney hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1527410528968007680chesa boudina routinely quotconfront[s] voters data shows overall crime increased meaningfully office categories risen pandemicquot irritating larry krasner philadelphias cantankerous district attorney developed hrefhttpswwwamazoncomphillydaseason1dpb09bmbkqfchabit browbeating criticsa town hall meetings appeals quotthe sciencequot inhouse criminologist people real numbers want ordinary residents told perceive true fact true effect gaslitpdiv dataplaceholdersubscribedivpthe problem understand interact world based perception feeling politics policy human nature realizing human nature wishes characterize constant contend try transcend appealing peoples better angels education enlightenmentbut point information facts education hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivehowtheleftlostmedont necessarily servea purpose liberals assume read detailed academic journal article trends crime reporting deciding feel crimeppit depends facts actually pays attention selfrespecting political scientist aware data manipulated confirm ones priors criminologistconsidering politicized debates crime arewill presumably ideological biases inform research looking quotoverall crimequot certain subcategoriesand whos subcategories hrefhttpswwwmanhattaninstituteorgwhycantwetalkaboutthemurderwavematter othersa end disinterested observerppbut debate facts misinformation obscures fundamental objection data miners wellintentioned people believe believe religion facts save unable grasp crime isnt crime crime proxy deeper malaise inchoate sense almostbutnotquite social collapse thats air breathe impossible measure precision unmistakably draws confusion driven intuition things shouldnt way tent encampments spread washington dc past years suggests gone wrong powerful city world people living makeshift tents richest parts city stones throw white house congress know know cant bothered act theyve found way quickly resign new realitythe socalled quotnew normalquotppthings arent worse emseem emworse makes odd battle cry dont find particularly reassuring thiswhatever emthisem isis obviously end world thats reassuring insofar things arent end worldp

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Boris Johnson saved by his hollow party

pboris johnson has survived the attempt by some in britains conservative party to remove him as prime minister the margin not quite close but by being so publicly called into question both the prime minister and his party have been weakened dogged by real and performative public disapproval johnson will have difficulty remaining in power for the rest of the parliamentary term and more performing to do in the next election to remain in office after itp pin the fabled axioms of british politics two things are meant to be clear one is that the conservative party is the natural party of government the country is slightly rightofcenter the logic goes and it is a rare labour challenge which can defeat this innate advantage a second axiom is that the conservative party wins because it is ruthless and efficient willing and eager to remove a leader if the aura of defeat starts to hang about themp padherents of this theory point to the vicious deposition of margaret thatcher in 1990 in which the prime minister a threetime landslide election winner actually won her leadership challenge but did so insufficiently one by one her trusted ministers slunk into meetings in downing street to tell her the game was up she was soon gone in tearsp pbut the belief that this is the norm is wrong the premiership of theresa may was an unparalleled disaster a long and drawnout embarrassment she stumbled through speeches and announcements failing to win over foreign powers and the house of commons over brexit none of this endeared her to the public but rather than intuiting this fact the conservatives let her fight an election and lose their majority in 2017p pthe tories failed to oust the shambling wreck of john major in 1995 after which he led them into one of their worst defeats two years later they allowed edward heath to fight and lose three elections between 1965 and 1975 winning only one of the four he contested before selecting thatcher in his placep pjohnson has been chronically unpopular for six months and was barely trusted for much of the last two years britains entirely uncharismatic opposition seems likely to defeat him in the next election if his party were an efficient butcher johnson would have been long gone by nowp pi labor this point because in british politics and especially now the character of the party leader is inescapable they give flavor and direction to the government when in favor they run their cabinets like dictators if they are weak or passionless their governments desiccate before our eyes they look vainly for something to do and anemically pursue vague policies of little importp pthat is the situation we have faced since 2019 boris johnsons government was derailed by covid as the world was but now the worst of the pandemic is behind us and as we approach the midpoint of the parliamentary term the tabulations are beginning what has the government achieved of its manifesto has it built any of its proposed programs does it have any vision at all are you better or worse off than you were in december 2019p pideological confederates of the conservatives are increasingly saying publicly what they have long whispered that johnson and his government are entirely empty and without substance that they have a hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlewhataretheconservativepartyforaccomplished nothingap pjohnson has always been ideologically loose his colleagues have often accused him not without reason of believing in nothing at all much of his party appears similar they were elected to a hefty majority in 2019 on such platitudes as leveling up the country a term still without a definition when asked now why johnson should stay conservatives loyal to him largely resile themselves to saying that of all his parliamentary colleagues only johnson could win another election and win big it is a depressing indictment out of their own mouths condemnedp punlike distant ages past the house of commons is full of mediocrities mps are not typically bright or interesting they generally had unremarkable careers in business media or the law many were activists from obsessive childhood few of them have achieved anything in life besides being elected even when putting their heads together they have few decent ideas the age of 24hour tv news and campaigning via twitter has made them seem even more robotic or conversely deranged the only time aside from if they say something impolitic online that any individual mp is likely to make news is if they are a hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsukenglandessex61026210murdereda or a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2021nov19exmpcharlieelphickejailedforsexualassaultnowclaiminguniversalcreditconvicteda of a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomuknews2022may23imranahmadkhansentencedto18monthsoversexualassaultofboy15sexual crimesap pbritains conservatives are run by someone many consider a character a real personality and they are already weak and ineffectual can you imagine the party must think how little chance they might have with someone elsep pone of the most iconoclastic figures in british public life is dominic cummings he was johnsons svengali before political differences and cummings becoming the story tore them apart cummings has many faults instinctual contrarianism a tendency towards hysteria a badly concealed sense of his own innate superiority an inability to work with others but his analysis of the british administrative state is sound as he diagnoses it is run both bureaucratically and politically by hollow men people who have nothing to give yet insist on ruling the nation because britains legislature and executive are fused they head every government departmentp pthe tories are a hrefhttpsdominiccummingscom20141030thehollowmeniisomereflectionsonwestminsterandwhitehalldysfunctionhollow mena internally they have few alternatives to johnson so few of them have any skills let alone any deep knowledge accumulated over a lifetime the party is exhausted it has vivisected itself over twelve years of largely pointless officeholding with what little talent it took government with a decade ago largely gonep pwith his shaky survival tonight johnsons party has shown itself still dependent on the continuing popularity of one deeply flawed man a man with little acumen and nothing to do besides dig his nails into doorframes and attempt to cling longer to powerp pall men and all politicians fail johnson himself will do so soon it is careless for any natural party of government as the conservatives believe themselves to be to leave itself with so little road left before collapsep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicborisjohnsonsavedbyhishollowedoutpartyboris johnson saved by his hollow partya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

pboris johnson survived attempt britains conservative party remove prime minister margin close publicly called question prime minister party weakened dogged real performative public disapproval johnson difficulty remaining power rest parliamentary term performing election remain office itp pin fabled axioms british politics things meant clear conservative party natural party government country slightly rightofcenter logic goes rare labour challenge defeat innate advantage second axiom conservative party wins ruthless efficient willing eager remove leader aura defeat starts hang themp padherents theory point vicious deposition margaret thatcher 1990 prime minister threetime landslide election winner actually won leadership challenge insufficiently trusted ministers slunk meetings downing street tell game soon gone tearsp pbut belief norm wrong premiership theresa unparalleled disaster long drawnout embarrassment stumbled speeches announcements failing win foreign powers house commons brexit endeared public intuiting fact conservatives let fight election lose majority 2017p pthe tories failed oust shambling wreck john major 1995 led worst defeats years later allowed edward heath fight lose elections 1965 1975 winning contested selecting thatcher placep pjohnson chronically unpopular months barely trusted years britains entirely uncharismatic opposition likely defeat election party efficient butcher johnson long gone nowp pi labor point british politics especially character party leader inescapable flavor direction government favor run cabinets like dictators weak passionless governments desiccate eyes look vainly anemically pursue vague policies little importp pthat situation faced 2019 boris johnsons government derailed covid world worst pandemic approach midpoint parliamentary term tabulations beginning government achieved manifesto built proposed programs vision better worse december 2019p pideological confederates conservatives increasingly saying publicly long whispered johnson government entirely substance havea hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlewhataretheconservativepartyforaccomplished nothingap pjohnson ideologically loose colleagues accused reason believing party appears similar elected hefty majority 2019 platitudes leveling country term definition asked johnson stay conservatives loyal largely resile saying parliamentary colleagues johnson win election win big depressing indictment mouths condemnedp punlike distant ages past house commons mediocrities mps typically bright interesting generally unremarkable careers business media law activists obsessive childhood achieved life elected putting heads decent ideas age 24hour tv news campaigning twitter robotic conversely deranged time aside impolitic online individual mp likely news hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsukenglandessex61026210murdereda hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2021nov19exmpcharlieelphickejailedforsexualassaultnowclaiminguniversalcreditconvicteda hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomuknews2022may23imranahmadkhansentencedto18monthsoversexualassaultofboy15sexual crimesap pbritains conservatives run consider character real personality weak ineffectual imagine party think little chance elsep pone iconoclastic figures british public life dominic cummings johnsons svengali political differences cummings story tore apart cummings faults instinctual contrarianism tendency hysteria badly concealed sense innate superiority inability work analysis british administrative state sound diagnoses run bureaucratically politically hollow men people insist ruling nation britains legislature executive fused head government departmentp pthe tories hrefhttpsdominiccummingscom20141030thehollowmeniisomereflectionsonwestminsterandwhitehalldysfunctionhollow mena internally alternatives johnson skills let deep knowledge accumulated lifetime party exhausted ithas vivisected years largely pointless officeholding little talent took government decade ago largely gonep pwith shaky survival tonight johnsons party shown dependent continuing popularity deeply flawed man man little acumen dig nails doorframes attempt cling longer powerp pall men politicians fail johnson soon careless natural party government conservatives believe leave little road left collapsep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopicborisjohnsonsavedbyhishollowedoutpartyboris johnson saved hollow partya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

629e80d566129ac6b4cabeed

The Origin of Queer Theory: Gayle Rubin’s “Thinking Sex”

h4spanthe new discourses podcast with james lindsay episode 79br thinking sex series part 1 of 3spanh4 ppeople have very rapidly realized whether in groomer schools marketing or so many other corners of society that weve been suckered into supporting queer theory under the banner of a gay and lesbian civil rights movement weve also figured out very quickly that queer theory is a branch of identity marxism queer marxism which takes normalcy as its special form of bourgeois property to abolish through queer class struggle where though did queer theory come from it is relatively widely accepted that the first real queer theory paper is gayle rubins 1984 essay a relnoopener hrefhttpssitesmiddleburyedusexandsocietyfiles201501rubinthinkingsexpdf datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpssitesmiddleburyedusexandsocietyfiles201501rubinthinkingsexpdfampsourcegmailampust1654602487069000ampusgaovvaw0akzhltugdsk0nqzw5h2v target_blankthinking sexa which calls for a new radical politics of sexuality to help people understand what queer theory is and always has been about james lindsay proudly hosts a threepart new discourses podcast series reading through thinking sex in full and offering his commentary on it in this first part we learn that queer theory from its very beginnings is profoundly interested in both child pornography and pedophilia its almost shocking to hear join james to understand queer theory from its very originsp hr pemsubscribe to the new discourses podcast on spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blanka spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan or by spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes of the new discourses podcast are available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202206theoriginofqueertheorygaylerubinsthinkingsexthe origin of queer theory gayle rubins thinking sexa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

h4spanthe new discourses podcast james lindsay episode 79br thinking sex series 1 3spanh4 ppeople rapidly realized groomer schools marketing corners society weve suckered supporting queer theory banner gay lesbian civil rights movement weve figured quickly queer theory branch identity marxism queer marxism takes normalcy special form bourgeois property abolish queer class struggle queer theory come relatively widely accepted real queer theory paper gayle rubins 1984 essay relnoopener hrefhttpssitesmiddleburyedusexandsocietyfiles201501rubinthinkingsexpdf datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpssitesmiddleburyedusexandsocietyfiles201501rubinthinkingsexpdfampsourcegmailampust1654602487069000ampusgaovvaw0akzhltugdsk0nqzw5h2v target_blankthinking sexa calls new radical politics sexuality help people understand queer theory james lindsay proudly hosts threepart new discourses podcast series reading thinking sex offering commentary learn queer theory beginnings profoundly interested child pornography pedophilia shocking hear join james understand queer theory originsp hr pemsubscribe new discourses podcast spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankaspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan byspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes new discourses podcast available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202206theoriginofqueertheorygaylerubinsthinkingsexthe origin queer theory gayle rubins thinking sexa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

629e80e066129ac6b4cabef1

Mixed Signals on Ukraine

img altmixed signals on ukraine srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202206slide11jpegpit is easy and not entirely incorrect to dismiss french president emmanuel macrons a hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticleemmanuelmacronproposeseuropeanpoliticalcommunityasalternativetoeumembershipideaa of a broader european political community as a cynical ploy to deny ukraine full eu membership simultaneously the vague proposal gives europeans an opportunity to grapple seriously with their continents diversity there is after all a real tension between efforts to extend eu membership to a growing number of countries and the imperative of the unions further deepening which appears to be an important motivating force for macron and his ilkppfirst however let there be no mistake about the cynicism behind frances reticence while some east european leaderspolands andrzej duda comes to mindhave made several trips to kyiv since the beginning of the war both macron and german chancellor olaf scholz appear more eager to call vladimir putin regularly than to pay a visit to president volodymyr zelenskyy neither of the two european powers have covered themselves in glory with their lowkey military assistance to ukraine either for all the talk of a zeitenwende germanys military aid including the delivery of gepard air defense tanks is subject to a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldeuropeberlindeliverfirst15gepardtanksukrainejulydefmin20220520constant delaysaas if the german government were carefully hedging its betsppsimilarly the francogerman tandem is dragging its feet over ukraines eventual membership in the eu while the european parliament is sanguine about ukraines accession the eu summit in versailles offered carefully calibrated noncommittal language about strengthen[ing] our bonds and deepen[ing] our partnership to support ukraine in pursuing its european path with no mention of actionable steps or deadlines that approach reminiscent of the lukewarm compromise adopted at natos bucharest summit in 2008 sets up both the ukrainian citizenry and political elites for a sharp disappointment once the war is over as damir marusic a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveliesdamnedliesandsentimentalhypocrisywarnsa over at emwisdom of crowdsemppthe notion that this reluctance a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleswhyeuropehedgesitssupportforukrainerussiacrudeoillnggasimportsexportskyivwareumembershipzelenskyputingermanyfrancepoland11653247453reflinkdesktopwebshare_twitteris driven by feara of a looming axis between kyiv and warsaw that will displace or will compete with the francogerman tandem for power in the eu is farfetched the leverage of the latter two is related to their economic size and their role as the largest contributors to the eu budgetboth of which are unlikely to be matched by a putative polishlithuanian commonwealth 20ppperhaps most charitably the resistance toward enlargement can be explained by the real tradeoff between a widening and a deepening of the eu for a large segment of west european elites including macron the latter unambiguously trumps the former to this add the casual condescension in berlin and paris which both see eastern europe as a hopelessly backward place a source of sand in the eus decisionmaking gearboxstrong strongand as a drain on the blocs financespphow should eastern europeansand americans brits and nordicsrespond one option is to hope that the germans and the french eventually change their minds under pressure from the currently unfolding events and in the face of reasoned arguments from their east european partnersppyet if the basic parameters of strategic thinking in berlin and paris have not been fundamentally altered by the ongoing war in ukraine we should not be organizing our lives on the assumption of a justaroundthecorner fundamentally transformed germany or france rhetoric aside much of the evidence suggests that no deep change has taken place to date the eus two central powers are likely to push ukraine to a minsklike compromise sacrificing its sovereignty in order to block the eus future enlargements to the east and to seek eventual normalization of relations with russiaphrpby doing so however both governments are unwittingly putting to rest any prospects of europes strategic autonomy to be sure we will likely see more defense spending across the bloc with the eus structures such as pesco and the european defence fund playing a helpful role at the margins yet given that eastern europeans are more likely to see eyetoeye on the issue of russia with the united states or the united kingdom than with their eu partners they are unlikely to enthusiastically embrace a common eu defense and security policy the terms of which would be shaped primarily by germany and franceppgiven the asymmetry between extraordinarily generous military assistance to ukraine by east european countriesamounting to a third of estonias defense budget for examplenot to mention that coming from the united states and the far more muted west european response the argument for pooling defense resources and subjecting them to collective decisionmaking at eu27 does not pass the laugh testpdiv span datapullquoteberlin and paris both see eastern europe as a source of sand in the eus decisionmaking gearboxspan divpresurgence of the russian threat after all has not led sweden and finland both eu members in good standing to bring up questions of the eus common security policy instead it has prompted both to seek membership in nato for all the concerns about americas reliability especially if isolationist forces continue to gain strength in its domestic political life there is no alternative to us security guaranteesppit is worth dwelling on the reasons why other than the might of the united states the eus main problem is not simply the extremism of outlier countries such as hungary which could theoretically be overridden as some imagine by a move to qualified majority voting the problem is rather the persistence of broader fissures on which the eus east and north roughly speaking clash with its west and southppsuch fissures cannot be wished away or eliminated by one side prevailing over the other countries that stand with ukraine and want to see russia unambiguously defeated have no choice but to work emaroundem germany and france joining forces with the united states and other nonmembers such as norway and the united kingdom doing so will necessarily deemphasize the role of the euppbecause eu enlargements require unanimity ukraine or moldova or georgia will not be joining the eu unless the german and french governments expressly want itwhich may well mean no membership ever that would be a sad outcome one that should put on notice those who want ukraine to succeed international institutions are neither godgiven nor made of stone they are just like commercial contracts words on paper that can be renegotiated or superseded by other contractsppjust as the united states can and should unilaterally extend treatybased security guarantees to ukraine that would be just as good as nato membership nordics and eastern europeans do not have to await brussels pleasure they can open their labor markets to ukrainians they can introduce mutual recognition arrangements facilitating crossborder economic exchange they can bring ukraine into already existent energy infrastructure projects under the three seas initiative simultaneously they should push brussels to extend to ukraine membership in the single market and the schengen area much like switzerland or norway either through a bilateral superdeal or membership in the european economic areappwith enough political imagination and leadership the ultimate outcome may not be disastrous for one ukraines needs today are very different from those of the postcommunist countries of the 1990s while the country will have to fight corruption and strengthen its democratic institutions it is far from obvious that the only way to do so is by sheepishly embracing the emacquis communautaireem if anything the russian threat has concentrated minds in kyiv on building a viable strong and prosperous state in a way that european integration in the 1990s was never able to do given the benign international conditions of the timeppmoreover for far too long the eu has operated under the assumption that european integration is a statebuilding exercise a oneway street toward a future european federation such efforts however have led european elites to make risky bets that too often have clashed against the reality of europes diversity disagreements and the continents rambling unruly nature if macron and his ilk want to continue in those efforts within say the eurozone they can yet coalitions of other european countries both inside and outside of the eu should be equally free to pursue or not partial integration in projects that fit their own preferences including by forging deeper ties with ukraine if one wants to call the bundle of those project the european political community so be it given macrons love of ricoeurian contradiction and synthesis creating a simultaneously tighter and looser union in europe would be a fittingand ultimately beneficialinstitutional legacy of his presidencyppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorsdaliborrohacemstrongdalibor rohstrongemaem is a senior fellow at the american enterprise institute and a contributing editor of emamerican purposeem he is author of emgoverning the eu in an age of divisionem due out this fall emtwitter daliborrohacememp

img altmixed signals ukraine srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202206slide11jpegpit easy entirely incorrect dismiss french president emmanuel macrons hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticleemmanuelmacronproposeseuropeanpoliticalcommunityasalternativetoeumembershipideaa broader european political community cynical ploy deny ukraine eu membership simultaneously vague proposal gives europeans opportunity grapple seriously continents diversity real tension efforts extend eu membership growing number countries imperative unions deepening appears important motivating force macron ilkppfirst let mistake cynicism frances reticence east european leaderspolands andrzej duda comes mindhave trips kyiv beginning war macron german chancellor olaf scholz appear eager vladimir putin regularly pay visit president volodymyr zelenskyy european powers covered glory lowkey military assistance ukraine talk zeitenwende germanys military aid including delivery gepard air defense tanks subject hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldeuropeberlindeliverfirst15gepardtanksukrainejulydefmin20220520constant delaysaas german government carefully hedging betsppsimilarly francogerman tandem dragging feet ukraines eventual membership eu european parliament sanguine ukraines accession eu summit versailles offered carefully calibrated noncommittal language strengthen[ing] bonds deepen[ing] partnership support ukraine pursuing european path mention actionable steps deadlines approach reminiscent lukewarm compromise adopted natos bucharest summit 2008 sets ukrainian citizenry political elites sharp disappointment war damir marusic hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdsliveliesdamnedliesandsentimentalhypocrisywarnsa emwisdom crowdsemppthe notion reluctance hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleswhyeuropehedgesitssupportforukrainerussiacrudeoillnggasimportsexportskyivwareumembershipzelenskyputingermanyfrancepoland11653247453reflinkdesktopwebshare_twitteris driven feara looming axis kyiv warsaw displace compete francogerman tandem power eu farfetched leverage related economic size role largest contributors eu budgetboth unlikely matched putative polishlithuanian commonwealth 20ppperhaps charitably resistance enlargement explained real tradeoff widening deepening eu large segment west european elites including macron unambiguously trumps add casual condescension berlin paris eastern europe hopelessly backward place source sand eus decisionmaking gearboxstrong strongand drain blocs financespphow eastern europeansand americans brits nordicsrespond option hope germans french eventually change minds pressure currently unfolding events face reasoned arguments east european partnersppyet basic parameters strategic thinking berlin paris fundamentally altered ongoing war ukraine organizing lives assumption justaroundthecorner fundamentally transformed germany france rhetoric aside evidence suggests deep change taken place date eus central powers likely push ukraine minsklike compromise sacrificing sovereignty order block eus future enlargements east seek eventual normalization relations russiaphrpby governments unwittingly putting rest prospects europes strategic autonomy sure likely defense spending bloc eus structures pesco european defence fund playing helpful role margins given eastern europeans likely eyetoeye issue russia united states united kingdom eu partners unlikely enthusiastically embrace common eu defense security policy terms shaped primarily germany franceppgiven asymmetry extraordinarily generous military assistance ukraine east european countriesamounting estonias defense budget examplenot mention coming united states far muted west european response argument pooling defense resources subjecting collective decisionmaking eu27 pass laugh testpdiv span datapullquoteberlin paris eastern europe source sand eus decisionmaking gearboxspan divpresurgence russian threat led sweden finland eu members good standing bring questions eus common security policy instead prompted seek membership nato concerns americas reliability especially isolationist forces continue gain strength domestic political life alternative security guaranteesppit worth dwelling reasons united states eus main problem simply extremism outlier countries hungary theoretically overridden imagine qualified majority voting problem persistence broader fissures eus east north roughly speaking clash west southppsuch fissures wished away eliminated prevailing countries stand ukraine want russia unambiguously defeated choice work emaroundem germany france joining forces united states nonmembers norway united kingdom necessarily deemphasize role euppbecause eu enlargements require unanimity ukraine moldova georgia joining eu german french governments expressly want itwhich mean membership sad outcome notice want ukraine succeed international institutions godgiven stone like commercial contracts words paper renegotiated superseded contractsppjust united states unilaterally extend treatybased security guarantees ukraine good nato membership nordics eastern europeans await brussels pleasure open labor markets ukrainians introduce mutual recognition arrangements facilitating crossborder economic exchange bring ukraine existent energy infrastructure projects seas initiative simultaneously push brussels extend ukraine membership single market schengen area like switzerland norway bilateral superdeal membership european economic areappwith political imagination leadership ultimate outcome disastrous ukraines needs today different postcommunist countries 1990s country fight corruption strengthen democratic institutions far obvious way sheepishly embracing emacquis communautaireem russian threat concentrated minds kyiv building viable strong prosperous state way european integration 1990s able given benign international conditions timeppmoreover far long eu operated assumption european integration statebuilding exercise oneway street future european federation efforts led european elites risky bets clashed reality europes diversity disagreements continents rambling unruly nature macron ilk want continue efforts eurozone coalitions european countries inside outside eu equally free pursue partial integration projects fit preferences including forging deeper ties ukraine wants bundle project european political community given macrons love ricoeurian contradiction synthesis creating simultaneously tighter looser union europe fittingand ultimately beneficialinstitutional legacy presidencyppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorsdaliborrohacemstrongdalibor rohstrongemaem senior fellow american enterprise institute contributing editor emamerican purposeem author emgoverning eu age divisionem fall emtwitter daliborrohacememp

62b13e866d6bca8d769157e1

This Political Dissident Faces Death Threats if He Goes Back to Nicaragua. Why Was His Asylum Claim Denied?

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206thumbnail42400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206thumbnail41200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206thumbnail4600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206thumbnail4331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206thumbnail42400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206thumbnail41200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206thumbnail4600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206thumbnail4331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altsilhouette of man against map of nicaragua srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanmario rajib flores molina put a great deal on the line to protest government corruption and the spana hrefhttpsfreedomhouseorgarticlenicaraguaortegaregimeshouldholdfreeandfairelectionsandreopencivicspaceallspanilliberalspanaspan regime in his native nicaragua facing vandalism beatings and death threats he eventually tried to reach safety in the united states only for a federal immigration board to say his mistreatment didnt quotrise to the level of past persecutionquot since the death threats werent quotespecially menacingquot it ordered his removal to nicaragua but last week the united states court of appeals for the 9th circuit a hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfsaida the board was wrong to deny him asylumspanp pspanin 2018 an opposition movement mobilized to protest president daniel ortegas regime and spana hrefhttpsfreedomhouseorgarticlenicaraguaortegaregimeshouldholdfreeandfairelectionsandreopencivicspaceallspanpension reformsspanaspan that saw taxes go up and benefits go down the nicaraguan parliament passed a law in response that allowed the government to prosecute protestors as terrorists in the crackdown that followed state officials spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspankilledspanaspan hundredsspanp pspanflores molina took to the streets of estel nicaragua to join the demonstrations where the police and paramilitary officers regularly shot and killed protesters his repeated participation eventually put him in the crosshairs of government officials they singled him out on social media and threatened him with imprisonment in a spana hrefhttpsenglishelpaiscomusa20220114elchipotethedungeonfornicaraguaspoliticalprisonershtmlspanfacilityspanaspan known for brutal torture of political dissidentsspanp pspanhe fled twice to what he thought were safer locations within nicaragua but government loyalists found him both times during the second encounter six members of the proortega sandinista youth beat him warning quotthis is what happens to the ones that want to be part of the coup and at the next encounter were going to kill youquot he knew he had to leave nicaragua for good flores molina journeyed to the usmexico border presented himself at a port of entry and requested asylumspanp pspanthose eligible for spana hrefhttpswwwuscisgovhumanitarianrefugeesandasylumasylumspanasylumspanaspan in the us may qualify if quotthey have suffered persecution or fear that they will suffer persecution due toquot political opinion as flores molina did an immigration judge spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanfoundspanaspan his testimony quotconsistent with the declaration he submitted in support of his application for reliefquot but held that he hadnt demonstrated past persecution or a wellfounded fear of future persecution this wasnt to say that flores molina hadnt been threatened or abusedsimply that those experiences didnt qualify as persecution quotfor the purposes of asylum and withholding of removalquotspanp pspanhe appealed and in november 2019 the board of immigration appeals bia dealt his asylum case another blow saying the threats he faced were quotnot the sort of extreme or especially menacing threats necessary to establish past persecutionquot it also pointed to the relatively small number of detained political activists in nicaragua and the fact that quothe was physically assaulted only oncequot to strike down flores molinas persecution claimsspanp pspanafter reviewing the bias decision the 9th circuit concluded last week that flores molinas past experiences did in fact constitute persecution he was forced to flee home three times after being targeted for his political views had credible experiences of death threats and violent confrontations with governmentaffiliated individuals and was threatened in an escalating fashion quotagainst the welldocumented backdrop of the ortega regimes violent crackdown on members of the political oppositionquot the 9th circuit spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanwrotespanaspanspanp pspanquotany reasonable adjudicator would be compelled to hold that the repeated and specific death threats that flores molina experienced amid the violence and menacing confrontations to which he was subjected amount to persecutionquot the opinion spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanreadsspanaspan the bias denials of asylum and withholding of removal are now remanded for further consideration and flores molina may ask the bia to remand his case to an immigration judge in order to apply for legal status in the united statesspanp pspanthe 9th circuit opinion pointed out several failures and oversights on the part of the bia quotthe board cited the record selectively relying on two news reports of the ortega regimes release of 100 prisoners and its intention to release more to support its assertion that flores molinas fear of future persecution was speculativequot it spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanexplainsspanaspan it also ignored documentation of poor detention conditions and abuse of political dissidents quotmoreover the board failed to discuss whether the repeated death threats and threats of violence flores molina faced were sufficient to inspire a wellfounded fear of future persecutionquotspanp pflores molinas initial hearing and appeal took place during the trump administration former president donald trump a hrefhttpswwwjustsecurityorg73337theurgentneedtorestoreindependencetoamericaspoliticizedimmigrationcourtsexpandeda the bia from 17 to 23 seats with his administration selecting judges aligned with his immigration priorities quotdata from 2019 reveal that six immigration judges whom attorney general william barr elevated to serve as board members had abysmal asylum grant ratesquot averaging just 24 percent a hrefhttpswwwjustsecurityorg73337theurgentneedtorestoreindependencetoamericaspoliticizedimmigrationcourtsaccordinga to gregory chen senior director of government relations for the american immigration lawyers associationp pbiden administration officials are now working to undo some of the harmful legal policies put in place by trumpera attorneys generalless visible than controversial measures like the border wall and family separation but nonetheless damaging to due process and punitive toward the people who seek asylum on american soil last june attorney general merrick garland a hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscompoliticsimmigrationgarlandoverturnstwotrumperarulesmadeithardimmigrantsn1271078scrappeda rules that made it difficult for victims of domestic violence or gang violence as well as family members of threatened individuals to qualify for asylump pspanflores molinas pursuit of asylum is receiving new life after a yearslong legal debate about the persecution he faced in nicaragua despite that win last weeks opinion is a reminder that immigration courts are deeply shaped by the broader political climate and the discretion of the individuals who staff themspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220620thispoliticaldissidentfacesdeaththreatsifhegoesbacktonicaraguawhywashisasylumclaimdeniedthis political dissident faces death threats if he goes back to nicaragua why was his asylum claim denieda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206thumbnail42400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206thumbnail41200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206thumbnail4600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206thumbnail4331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206thumbnail42400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206thumbnail41200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206thumbnail4600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206thumbnail4331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altsilhouette man map nicaragua srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206thumbnail4800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanmario rajib flores molina great deal line protest government corruption spana hrefhttpsfreedomhouseorgarticlenicaraguaortegaregimeshouldholdfreeandfairelectionsandreopencivicspaceallspanilliberalspanaspan regime native nicaragua facing vandalism beatings death threats eventually tried reach safety united states federal immigration board mistreatment didnt quotrise level past persecutionquot death threats werent quotespecially menacingquot ordered removal nicaragua week united states court appeals 9th circuit hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfsaida board wrong deny asylumspanp pspanin 2018 opposition movement mobilized protest president daniel ortegas regime spana hrefhttpsfreedomhouseorgarticlenicaraguaortegaregimeshouldholdfreeandfairelectionsandreopencivicspaceallspanpension reformsspanaspan saw taxes benefits nicaraguan parliament passed law response allowed government prosecute protestors terrorists crackdown followed state officials spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspankilledspanaspan hundredsspanp pspanflores molina took streets estel nicaragua join demonstrations police paramilitary officers regularly shot killed protesters repeated participation eventually crosshairs government officials singled social media threatened imprisonment spana hrefhttpsenglishelpaiscomusa20220114elchipotethedungeonfornicaraguaspoliticalprisonershtmlspanfacilityspanaspan known brutal torture political dissidentsspanp pspanhe fled twice thought safer locations nicaragua government loyalists found times second encounter members proortega sandinista youth beat warning quotthis happens ones want coup encounter going kill youquot knew leave nicaragua good flores molina journeyed usmexico border presented port entry requested asylumspanp pspanthose eligible spana hrefhttpswwwuscisgovhumanitarianrefugeesandasylumasylumspanasylumspanaspan qualify quotthey suffered persecution fear suffer persecution toquot political opinion flores molina immigration judge spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanfoundspanaspan testimony quotconsistent declaration submitted support application reliefquot held hadnt demonstrated past persecution wellfounded fear future persecution wasnt flores molina hadnt threatened abusedsimply experiences didnt qualify persecution quotfor purposes asylum withholding removalquotspanp pspanhe appealed november 2019 board immigration appeals bia dealt asylum case blow saying threats faced quotnot sort extreme especially menacing threats necessary establish past persecutionquot pointed relatively small number detained political activists nicaragua fact quothe physically assaulted oncequot strike flores molinas persecution claimsspanp pspanafter reviewing bias decision 9th circuit concluded week flores molinas past experiences fact constitute persecution forced flee home times targeted political views credible experiences death threats violent confrontations governmentaffiliated individuals threatened escalating fashion quotagainst welldocumented backdrop ortega regimes violent crackdown members political oppositionquot 9th circuit spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanwrotespanaspanspanp pspanquotany reasonable adjudicator compelled hold repeated specific death threats flores molina experienced amid violence menacing confrontations subjected persecutionquot opinion spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanreadsspanaspan bias denials asylum withholding removal remanded consideration flores molina ask bia remand case immigration judge order apply legal status united statesspanp pspanthe 9th circuit opinion pointed failures oversights bia quotthe board cited record selectively relying news reports ortega regimes release 100 prisoners intention release support assertion flores molinas fear future persecution speculativequot spana hrefhttpscdnca9uscourtsgovdatastoreopinions202206131973028pdfspanexplainsspanaspan ignored documentation poor detention conditions abuse political dissidents quotmoreover board failed discuss repeated death threats threats violence flores molina faced sufficient inspire wellfounded fear future persecutionquotspanp pflores molinas initial hearing appeal took place trump administration president donald trump hrefhttpswwwjustsecurityorg73337theurgentneedtorestoreindependencetoamericaspoliticizedimmigrationcourtsexpandeda bia 17 23 seats administration selecting judges aligned immigration priorities quotdata 2019 reveal immigration judges attorney general william barr elevated serve board members abysmal asylum grant ratesquot averaging 24 percent hrefhttpswwwjustsecurityorg73337theurgentneedtorestoreindependencetoamericaspoliticizedimmigrationcourtsaccordinga gregory chen senior director government relations american immigration lawyers associationp pbiden administration officials working undo harmful legal policies place trumpera attorneys generalless visible controversial measures like border wall family separation nonetheless damaging process punitive people seek asylum american soil june attorney general merrick garland hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscompoliticsimmigrationgarlandoverturnstwotrumperarulesmadeithardimmigrantsn1271078scrappeda rules difficult victims domestic violence gang violence family members threatened individuals qualify asylump pspanflores molinas pursuit asylum receiving new life yearslong legal debate persecution faced nicaragua despite win weeks opinion reminder immigration courts deeply shaped broader political climate discretion individuals staff themspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220620thispoliticaldissidentfacesdeaththreatsifhegoesbacktonicaraguawhywashisasylumclaimdeniedthis political dissident faces death threats goes nicaragua asylum claim denieda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62b13f026d6bca8d769157f1

Grade non-disclosure agreements

pi had never heard of those but it turns out they are common at top business schools  egads  here are some resultsp blockquotepwe study the effects of grade nondisclosure gnd policies implemented within mba programs at highly ranked business schools gnd precludes students from revealing their grades and grade point averages gpas to employers in the labor market we find that gnd weakens the positive relation between gpa and employer desirability during the mba program we find that gnd reduces students academic effort within courses by approximately 49 relative to comparable students not subject to the policy consistent with our model in which abilities are potentially correlated and students can substitute effort towards other activities in order to signal gparelated ability students participate in more extracurricular activities and enroll in more difficult courses under gnd finally we show that students tenure with their first employers after graduation decreases following gndpblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id4097763 target_blanka new papera by eric floyd sorabh tomar and daniel lee via the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupraisethemright target_blankkevin lewisap pwhat is exactly the right way to model this practice  if you believe in the signaling model of mba education is this an attempt to game the signal and avoid zerosum comparisons  can that boost the overall aggregate value of the signalp por maybe you believe the mba is a mix of learningnetworking and signaling  you want to encourage more learning at the margin without the person having to incur a signaling penalty through some lower gradesp por does this simply show that top prospective mba students hold the bargaining power and these arrangements help recruiting by making life easier for those studentsp pwhat else  here are a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqgradenondisclosurepoliciessourcehpei80qwyqi9oonrgabqwwiflsigajik0e8aaaaayrbza1nqu4y_l2zbdwi1m2uaxty5xh9ved0ahukewjogssd6lv4ahwjncakheo9awaq4dudcacuact5oqgradenondisclosurepoliciesgs_lcpcgdnd3mtd2l6eamycagaeb4qdxawogsiabcabbcxaxcdatorcc4qgaqqsqmqgweqxweq0qm6cwgueledeimbenqcoggiabcxaxcdatoocc4qgaqqsqmqxweq0qm6dggueledeimbemcbenedoggilhcxaxcdatoicaaqgaqqsqm6cagueiaeeledogsilhcabbcxaxcdatofcc4qgaq6dggueiaeeledemcbekmcoheilhcabbcxaxcdardharcvatolcc4qgaqqxweqrwe6bqgaeiaeogqiabakogyiabaeeby6bagaea1qafj8kgdmkmgacab4ayabjagiay8nkgeemjcumpgbakabaqsclientgwswiz target_blankother readings on the practicea  where adopted a relnoopener hrefhttpsscholarshiplawupenneducgiviewcontentcgirefererhttpsredir1article1283contextjbl target_blankthe policies seem quite popular with studentsa  and the policies do not restrict showing the grades emto other schoolsem though perhaps for mbas that is not so relevantp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206gradenondisclosureagreementshtmlgrade nondisclosure agreementsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi heard turns common business schools egads resultsp blockquotepwe study effects grade nondisclosure gnd policies implemented mba programs highly ranked business schools gnd precludes students revealing grades grade point averages gpas employers labor market find gnd weakens positive relation gpa employer desirability mba program find gnd reduces students academic effort courses approximately 49 relative comparable students subject policy consistent model abilities potentially correlated students substitute effort activities order signal gparelated ability students participate extracurricular activities enroll difficult courses gnd finally students tenure employers graduation decreases following gndpblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id4097763 target_blanka new papera eric floyd sorabh tomar daniel lee excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupraisethemright target_blankkevin lewisap pwhat exactly right way model practice believe signaling model mba education attempt game signal avoid zerosum comparisons boost overall aggregate value signalp por maybe believe mba mix learningnetworking signaling want encourage learning margin person having incur signaling penalty lower gradesp por simply prospective mba students hold bargaining power arrangements help recruiting making life easier studentsp pwhat relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqgradenondisclosurepoliciessourcehpei80qwyqi9oonrgabqwwiflsigajik0e8aaaaayrbza1nqu4y_l2zbdwi1m2uaxty5xh9ved0ahukewjogssd6lv4ahwjncakheo9awaq4dudcacuact5oqgradenondisclosurepoliciesgs_lcpcgdnd3mtd2l6eamycagaeb4qdxawogsiabcabbcxaxcdatorcc4qgaqqsqmqgweqxweq0qm6cwgueledeimbenqcoggiabcxaxcdatoocc4qgaqqsqmqxweq0qm6dggueledeimbemcbenedoggilhcxaxcdatoicaaqgaqqsqm6cagueiaeeledogsilhcabbcxaxcdatofcc4qgaq6dggueiaeeledemcbekmcoheilhcabbcxaxcdardharcvatolcc4qgaqqxweqrwe6bqgaeiaeogqiabakogyiabaeeby6bagaea1qafj8kgdmkmgacab4ayabjagiay8nkgeemjcumpgbakabaqsclientgwswiz target_blankother readings practicea adopted relnoopener hrefhttpsscholarshiplawupenneducgiviewcontentcgirefererhttpsredir1article1283contextjbl target_blankthe policies popular studentsa policies restrict showing grades emto schoolsem mbas relevantp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206gradenondisclosureagreementshtmlgrade nondisclosure agreementsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62b13f266d6bca8d769157f6

The Defense Production Act Has Become a License for Central Planning

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206comp1000000022400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206comp1000000021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206comp100000002600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206comp100000002331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206comp1000000022400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206comp1000000021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206comp100000002600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206comp100000002331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altjoe biden defense production act solar panels covid19 masks vaccines srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpg height675 picture div ppresident donald trump was never one with high regard for the limits of his executive authority yet when people first floated the idea of using the 1950 defense production act dpa to force private sector businesses to prioritize orders from the federal government for masks ventilators and other gear the idea gave trump a moments pausep pquotwere a country not based on nationalizing our businessquot trump a hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewswhatisthedealwiththedefenseproductionactsaida at a march 2020 press conference quotcall a person over in venezuela ask them how did nationalization of their businesses work out not too wellquotp pit didnt last and trump did eventually sign a declaration invoking the dpa but if you think it was a stretch to respond to a pandemic with a law designed to ensure the military can access supplies during wartime wait til you find out the ways trumps successor has been using itp pthe production of vaccines a hrefhttpswwwhhsgovaboutnews20210302bidenadministrationannounceshistoricmanufacturingcollaborationbetweenmerckjohnsonjohnsonexpandproductioncovid19vaccineshtmlcheckap prare minerals needed for electric car batteries a hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220331bidentoinvokedefenseproductionactforevbatterymaterialshtmlcheckap pbaby formula a hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20220522presidentbidenannouncesfirsttwoinfantformuladefenseproductionactauthorizationscheckadespite the role that his own government played in a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220519bidensbabyformulaairliftstuntshouldneverhavebeennecessarycreating that shortage in the first placeap psolar panels heat pumps andhome insulation a hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20220606factsheetpresidentbidentakesboldexecutiveactiontospurdomesticcleanenergymanufacturingchecka a hrefhttpswwwgovexeccomtechnology202206whybidenjustdeclaredheatpumpsandsolarpanelsessentialnationaldefense368025checka and a hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroompresidentialactions20220606memorandumonpresidentialdeterminationpursuanttosection303ofthedefenseproductionactof1950asamendedoninsulationcheckap phow exactly is insulation related emat allem to national security according to the white house its because quotinsulation is an industrial resource material or critical technology item essential to the national defensequot by that standard what product emisnt emessential to national defensep pthe defense production act has become president joe bidens goto quotsolutionquot to any market that isnt operating quite how hed like its the back door to central planning just declare any product to be of a vital national security interest whos going to stop you certainly not congress and so far not the courts eitherp pthe justifications for invoking the dpa are quotjust getting thinner and thinner the more it gets usedquot argues philip rossetti a senior fellow at the r street institute rossetti tells emreason emthat the dpa isnt being used to increase production overall but rather to a hrefhttpswwwrstreetorg20220607youcantgrowtheeconomybyabusinggovernmentauthoritydefenseproductionacteditionreorganize the marketa under the white houses directionp pquotand thats going to come at a cost to wherever youre taking those resources fromquot he says because quotgovernment doesnt produce government simply takes from one area and puts it towards anotherquotp ptrump was not the first president to call up on the dpa for something other than a wartime emergency president bill clinton a hrefhttpswwwgovinfogovcontentpkgchrg107shrg76811htmlchrg107shrg76811htminvoked the lawa in 2000 to force providers to keep selling natural gas to californias largest electricity provider despite the utilitys bankruptcy in 2011 president barack obama used the law to compel telecommunications companies to disclose foreignmade components within their networksan early battle in an a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210109asiliconcurtaindescendsongoing conflicta between the us government and huawei the major chinese manufacturer of highend telecom gearp plike other examples of executive excess the defense production act has evolved over time as presidents from both parties stretch the boundaries of their authority while trump was reluctant to use the dpa he eagerly a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200430thecommercedepartmentstariffexemptionprocessisacronycapitalistsdreamstretched the definitiona of quotnational securityquot in order to unilaterally impose tariffs under a different cold warera law and now just as obama built on president george w bushs war powers when he bombed libya biden has inherited both trumps use of the dpa and his willingness to make every economic issue a national security oneand hes put the two togetherp pwhile the dpa was passed in 1950 its roots go back to world war i when president woodrow wilson created the national war labor board and war industries board to oversee the production of wartime supplies when the us entered world war ii congress passed the war powers act of 1941 to codify many of those same economic powers but in both cases the powers expired when the wars endedp pnot so with the dpa which was passed in the early days of the korean war at the request of president harry truman to this day the law allows the federal government to prioritize contracts of goods deemed to be vital to national security to expand productive capacity with loans and grants and to make special financing agreements with the private sectorp pit could be worse four other parts of the law have gone extinct because congress has not seen fit to reauthorize them including a hrefhttpssomyaleedublogusageofthedefenseproductionactthroughouthistoryandtocombatcovid19provisionsa that allowed presidents to seize private property set wages and prices forcibly settle labor disputes and exercise control over consumer credit access imagine a president invoking the dpa to set the price of gasoline or to impose the labor order he prefers on amazon warehousesp peven without those elements the expansive use of the dpa during bidens term raise questions about the laws economic efficacy and legal limits quotclarity about what the law does and does not allow is yet another thing in short supplyquot emthe economist ema hrefhttpswwweconomistcomunitedstates20220616alawmeanttoboostamericassecuritybecomesindustrialpolicynotesap pa few politicians have complained about the way the law is being used as when sen pat toomey rpa a hrefhttpstwittercomsentoomeystatus1537864532621656073tweeteda that quotafter gas solar panels and baby food congress should rename the defense production act the domestic politics actquotp pbut the overwhelming bulk of the pressure is coming from the other direction a hrefhttpsandylevinhousegovmediapressreleases57housemembersurgepresidentinvokedefenseproductionactauthoritydozens of members of congressa and a hrefhttpslegacyusmayorsorgdocumentsuscm20letter20to20white20house20on20dpa20033020pdfhundreds of mayorsa urged trump to invoke the dpa in response to covid19 when the president waivered publications like emvoxem a hrefhttpswwwvoxcom202032321191003coronavirustrumpdefenseproductionactvenezuelawaved away trumps concernsa after years of objecting to trumps many other expansive uses of executive power the clamor for biden to declare the production of heat pumps and solar panels matters of national security hasnt been as strong but its clear that industry lobbies have added the dpa to their bag of cronyist tricksp pthe underappreciated risk is a potential moral hazard says rossetti the dpa makes political connections more valuable than success in the marketplace making the economy less stable economy and thus paving the way for more calls for emergency actionsp pquotthe way you grow the economy is by productivity improvements and letting the market identify what consumers actually view as valuable activitiesquot rossetti saysem quotemthis is exactly an opposite approach of that philosophy its a centralplanning mindsetquotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220620thedefenseproductionacthasbecomealicenseforcentralplanningthe defense production act has become a license for central planninga appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206comp1000000022400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206comp1000000021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206comp100000002600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206comp100000002331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206comp1000000022400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206comp1000000021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206comp100000002600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206comp100000002331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altjoe biden defense production act solar panels covid19 masks vaccines srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206comp100000002800x450jpg height675 picture div ppresident donald trump high regard limits executive authority people floated idea 1950 defense production act dpa force private sector businesses prioritize orders federal government masks ventilators gear idea gave trump moments pausep pquotwere country based nationalizing businessquot trump hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewswhatisthedealwiththedefenseproductionactsaida march 2020 press conference quotcall person venezuela ask nationalization businesses work wellquotp pit didnt trump eventually sign declaration invoking dpa think stretch respond pandemic law designed ensure military access supplies wartime wait til find ways trumps successor itp pthe production vaccines hrefhttpswwwhhsgovaboutnews20210302bidenadministrationannounceshistoricmanufacturingcollaborationbetweenmerckjohnsonjohnsonexpandproductioncovid19vaccineshtmlcheckap prare minerals needed electric car batteries hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220331bidentoinvokedefenseproductionactforevbatterymaterialshtmlcheckap pbaby formula hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20220522presidentbidenannouncesfirsttwoinfantformuladefenseproductionactauthorizationscheckadespite role government played hrefhttpsreasoncom20220519bidensbabyformulaairliftstuntshouldneverhavebeennecessarycreating shortage placeap psolar panels heat pumps andhome insulation hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20220606factsheetpresidentbidentakesboldexecutiveactiontospurdomesticcleanenergymanufacturingchecka hrefhttpswwwgovexeccomtechnology202206whybidenjustdeclaredheatpumpsandsolarpanelsessentialnationaldefense368025checka hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroompresidentialactions20220606memorandumonpresidentialdeterminationpursuanttosection303ofthedefenseproductionactof1950asamendedoninsulationcheckap phow exactly insulation related emat allem national security according white house quotinsulation industrial resource material critical technology item essential national defensequot standard product emisntemessential national defensep pthe defense production act president joe bidens goto quotsolutionquot market isnt operating hed like door central planning declare product vital national security interest whos going stop certainly congress far courts eitherp pthe justifications invoking dpa quotjust getting thinner thinner gets usedquot argues philip rossetti senior fellow r street institute rossetti tells emreasonemthat dpa isnt increase production overall hrefhttpswwwrstreetorg20220607youcantgrowtheeconomybyabusinggovernmentauthoritydefenseproductionacteditionreorganize marketa white houses directionp pquotand thats going come cost youre taking resources fromquot says quotgovernment doesnt produce government simply takes area puts anotherquotp ptrump president dpa wartime emergency president bill clinton hrefhttpswwwgovinfogovcontentpkgchrg107shrg76811htmlchrg107shrg76811htminvoked lawain 2000 force providers selling natural gas californias largest electricity provider despite utilitys bankruptcy 2011 president barack obama law compel telecommunications companies disclose foreignmade components networksan early battle hrefhttpsreasoncom20210109asiliconcurtaindescendsongoing conflicta government huawei major chinese manufacturer highend telecom gearp plike examples executive excess defense production act evolved time presidents parties stretch boundaries authority trump reluctant use dpa eagerly hrefhttpsreasoncom20200430thecommercedepartmentstariffexemptionprocessisacronycapitalistsdreamstretched definitiona quotnational securityquot order unilaterally impose tariffs different cold warera lawand obama built president george w bushs war powers bombed libya biden inherited trumps use dpa willingness economic issue national security oneand hes togetherp pwhile dpa passed 1950 roots world war president woodrow wilson created national war labor board war industries board oversee production wartime supplies entered world war ii congress passed war powers act 1941 codify economic powers cases powers expired wars endedp pnot dpa passed early days korean war request president harry truman day law allows federal government prioritize contracts goods deemed vital national security expand productive capacity loans grants special financing agreements private sectorp pit worse parts law gone extinct congress seen fit reauthorize including hrefhttpssomyaleedublogusageofthedefenseproductionactthroughouthistoryandtocombatcovid19provisionsa allowed presidents seize private property set wages prices forcibly settle labor disputes exercise control consumer credit access imagine president invoking dpa set price gasoline impose labor order prefers amazon warehousesp peven elements expansive use dpa bidens term raise questions laws economic efficacy legal limits quotclarity law allow thing short supplyquot emthe economist ema hrefhttpswwweconomistcomunitedstates20220616alawmeanttoboostamericassecuritybecomesindustrialpolicynotesap pa politicians complained way law sen pat toomey rpa hrefhttpstwittercomsentoomeystatus1537864532621656073tweeteda quotafter gas solar panels baby food congress rename defense production act domestic politics actquotp pbut overwhelming bulk pressure coming direction hrefhttpsandylevinhousegovmediapressreleases57housemembersurgepresidentinvokedefenseproductionactauthoritydozens members congressa hrefhttpslegacyusmayorsorgdocumentsuscm20letter20to20white20house20on20dpa20033020pdfhundreds mayorsa urged trump invoke dpa response covid19 president waivered publications like emvoxem hrefhttpswwwvoxcom202032321191003coronavirustrumpdefenseproductionactvenezuelawaved away trumps concernsa years objecting trumps expansive uses executive power clamor biden declare production heat pumps solar panels matters national security hasnt strong clear industry lobbies added dpa bag cronyist tricksp pthe underappreciated risk potential moral hazard says rossetti dpa makes political connections valuable success marketplace making economy stable economy paving way calls emergency actionsp pquotthe way grow economy productivity improvements letting market identify consumers actually view valuable activitiesquot rossetti saysem quotemthis exactly opposite approach philosophy centralplanning mindsetquotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220620thedefenseproductionacthasbecomealicenseforcentralplanningthe defense production act license central planninga appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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A Life Worthwhile

img alta life worthwhile srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202206javadesmaeilirtywrpwnzcyunsplashjpgpppon the question of economic justice political debate tends to swing between two poles the left wants to reduce economic differences based on the notion of distributive justice while the right emphasizes social mobility based on equality of opportunity a plumber today might not be just an ordinary employee but actually with the right career moves the boss of a plumbing company does the plumber howeveror for that matter the builder elderly care worker or shelfstackerneed to move into a higher social class for their job to be seen as worthwhile theirs is work that needs to be done and that is valuable to us allppwe should move our focus from todays onesided emphasis on redistributive justice versus social mobility instead we should talk about emcontributive justiceemthat is the individuals right to contribute to the common good based on their skills and abilities for this to happen our perception of what constitutes a contribution must change any salaried job that adheres to national workplace norms should be regarded as valuable and worthwhileppto grasp the reasoning behind this statement a shift is required let me illustrate what i mean by taking a closer look at the challenges facing my own native country swedenppin the spring of 2022 a hrefhttpswwwekonomifaktasefaktaarbetsmarknadarbetsloshetarbetsloshet82 percenta of the labor force were unemployed in sweden among foreignborn people from the middle east and africa unemployment is about a hrefhttpswwwekonomifaktasefaktaarbetsmarknadintegrationarbetsloshetutrikesfodda30 percenta after 13 years in sweden only half of those born abroad achieve a very modest level of economic selfsufficiency for foreignborn people from africa and the middle east the proportion is under 40 percent this is demonstrated in a hrefhttpsentreprenorskapsforumsewpcontentuploads202111rapport_sjalvforsorjning_rev2021_webpdfa 2020 reporta by the swedish entrepreneurship forum where the most recent data are from 2016 since then net immigration to sweden has been close to half a million and most of those who came here during those years are from countries whose citizens are proving particularly difficult to integrateppdespite high unemployment and rapid population growth among people of working age in many localities it is hard to find suitable labor in many sectors the main solution proposed for this problem is always the same education this is often made with reference to the lack of programmers doctors systems analysts and other highly educated professionals which has long created political pressure to expand the higher education sector in the autumn of 2021 273000 peopletwo full cohortswere admitted to universities and colleges in sweden in total 450000 people or four fulltime cohorts are currently enrolled in universitylevel educationppstrongeducation and statusstrongppof course continued prosperity demands highquality tertiary education but this is not what our education looks like today bloated university admissions for which a large proportion of the courses are of low quality are hardly the solution in addition most jobs do not require extensive education or training the 20 most common occupations among women cover a hrefhttpswwwscbsehittastatistikstatistikefteramnearbetsmarknadsysselsattningforvarvsarbeteocharbetstideryrkesregistretmedyrkesstatistikpongtabellochdiagram20vanligasteyrkenaforkvinnoralmost halfa of all female employees in less than oneinfive of these jobs is higher education required for the equivalent occupations among men only a hrefhttpswwwscbsehittastatistikstatistikefteramnearbetsmarknadsysselsattningforvarvsarbeteocharbetstideryrkesregistretmedyrkesstatistikpongtabellochdiagram20vanligasteyrkenaformanoneinfoura requires tertiary studyppnor is it obvious that things will be different in the future tasks that must be performed on site such as social care healthcare and maintaining the physical environment are difficult to automate and cannot be moved to lowcost countries the integration of it into more and more jobs and a general knowledge of itwhich virtually all swedish young people have alreadymeans that many future jobs will not require extensive education often you will be able to learn these jobs quickly so long as you have the right character traits such as selfdiscipline social skills motivation a good work ethic perseverance reliability and emotional stabilityppthe challenges and contradictions that arise from extensive social exclusion and the demands for change that follow from rapid technological development are politically very difficult to handleppswedens former prime minister stefan lfven october 2014november 2021 often justified political decisions by referring to the equal value of all people indirectly he was referring to the biblical idea of man created in the image of god who thereby becomes the ultimate guarantor of each persons unique and inviolable value at the same time human beings are reputationseeking or statusoriented and our societies are hierarchically organized our complex society needs to function this inevitably creates differences in income and living conditions and these differences are growing in many countries and industries this is mainly because globalization leads to outsourcing and downward pressure on wages in sweden extensive immigration from poorer countries is the most important factor behind growing income differentialspphow then should politicians deal with the tension between sweeping declarations about the equal value of all human beings and the growing differences in income status wealth and standards of livingppit is common for politicians on the left to point to differences in outcomes and label them as unfairsomething that needs to be fixed this has an undesirable sideeffect an emphasis on economic outcomes as the basis for equality actually undermines the notion that everyone has equal value politicians on the right on the other hand emphasize the importance of mobility between the classeseven if you start out further down the status hierarchy you should be able to raise your status through hard work and selfimprovement swedens moderates for example talk about creating a society where people are on the moveppwhile the public debate goes on reality creeps in in the form of growing social exclusion most jobs do not require credentials in the form of demanding university diplomas but there is still a shortage of laborppsocial change also takes place when higher education is raised in debate as an ideal and a necessity the status of jobs that do not require extensive education falls even further this can be seen not least in the fact that young people would rather incur large debts to get a university degree and then work as a bank clerk or in customer support for sek 27000 a month than train as an electrician or plumber with a salary of as much as sek 45000 this illustrates that a jobs reputation weighs very heavily and that significant wage premiums are required in a welfare state such as sweden to persuade young people to choose occupations with a low status even when the educational requirements are lowppduring the past quartercentury the rich countries of western europe have managed this equation by becoming heavily dependent on people from the former eastern europe and guest workers from east asia for jobs in maintenance forestry agriculture and home food deliveries it is hard to see how this can go on indefinitely on one hand there is popular opposition and on the other developments at home are making it less attractive to become a guest worker in one of todays richer eu countriesppboth left and rightwing governments naturally use their powers to impose their own solutions to social exclusion and outcome differences for leftwing governments it is common to use taxes and subsidies to force a more equal distribution of disposable income and housing this inevitably leads to weakened incentives for gainful employment and selfimprovement which in turn albeit with some delay leads to increased exclusionpprightwing governments tend to apologize for the fact that there are jobs with lower status but they hold out the prospect of class mobility and promise to increase these opportunities but the truth is that most people are not mobile between the classes they have a job further down the status ladder throughout their working lives when there is no class mobility and you describe jobs further down the status hierarchy as something to move away from it creates dissatisfaction among those who do not move on sympathy with those who have remained further down also falls they have not moved on they have not made the required effort they have chosen to stay there and they deserve their fate they had the opportunity but they did not take it the rhetoric weakens the sense of unity and cohesion between the bottom and the topppboth the left and rightwing strategies are affected by the fact that status weighs heavier than money which means that increasingly higher wage premiums are required for lowreputation jobs or that more and more guest workers are required to perform them at a reasonable cost both strategies involve focusing on the citizens emrelativeem position but for someone to improve their relative position it must deteriorate for someone else research has shown that the negative experience of having ones position deteriorate is much stronger than the positive experience of it improving the net outcome therefore does not necessarily lead to increased political support something that the conservative government in britain has become aware of since the brexit voteppstrongwhat is justicestrongppthe simplest measure of justice is emdistributive justiceem that is outcomes should be as equal as possible regardless of how they are achieved here however the problem is that resources obtained through redistribution do not confer the same status and selfrespect as those earned through work and as we have already noted status and selfesteem outweigh financial reward especially in a wealthy societyppthis finding brings us to the concept of emcontributive justiceem introduced by the american philosopher michael j sandel in his book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtyrannymeritfindcommongooddp1250800064the tyranny of meritaem this entails all people having the opportunity to contribute to society through productive work which in turn confers social recognition and respect by producing what other people need and valueppronald reagan understood the value of contributive justice in his inaugural speech in january 1981 he highlighted everyday heroes pblockquoteour concern must be for a special interest group that has been too long neglected it knows no sectional boundaries or ethnic and racial divisions and it crosses political party lines it is made up of men and women who raise our food patrol our streets man our mines and factories teach our children keep our homes and heal us when we are sickprofessionals industrialists shopkeepers clerks cabbies and truck drivers they are in short we the people this breed called americans blockquoteprobert kennedy understood it too in a speech a few months before he was murdered he put it this way we need jobs dignified employment at decent pay the kind of employment that lets a man say to his community to his family to his country and most important to himselfi helped to build this country i am a participant in its greatest public venture i am a human beingpppeoples pursuit of dignity status and selfrespect means that the main task of politics is to ensure that all citizens can contribute to managing and developing their society this means not least that any job with terms of employment and a working environment that comply with swedish norms is a good job that provides a route to dignity and out of social exclusion instead many important jobs are labelled low status and carried out by economic migrants workers who already live in sweden must be trained and supervised to do these jobs if for example it is not possible to persuade those with citizenship or permanent residency to deliver readymade food for a salary then it means simply that there is no market for such servicesppstrongdignity and selfrespectstrongppa key issue for the centreright governments of 200614 was the socalled emwork lineem emarbetslinjenem the a hrefhttpsdatariksdagensefil08fb12c20b7349289ab7be779f98a475objective of these measuresa was that it should pay to work and more people should be given the opportunity to support themselves through their own work through the proposals that the government has included in this budget it will become more beneficial for people to work it will be more beneficial than today to go from handouts to work and selfsufficiency the weakness of the work line was that it was essentially justified by economic arguments everyone must work pay taxes and contribute to welfare but perhaps the most important aspect of the work line was the moral onethat it brings about contributive justice all people should have the right to contribute to building society to become an agent of society and thereby gain status and respect but then it is necessary that the perception of what constitutes a worthwhile and valuable contribution must also changeppthe political discussion is often about how differences in outcomes are said to be caused by differences in environmental factors that must be corrected it is of course important to create the best possible conditions for everyone but the public sector is failing in this respect more and more often the discussion is less often about how we should deal with differences that cannot be corrected through political measures precisely because people have different talents and preferencesppthis emphasis contributes to undermining the notion of the equal value of all the implicit message is that those with higher intellectual abilities are more valuable and that it is the task of the political elite to eradicate the environmental factors that give rise to differences so that everyone again becomes equally valuedppperhaps the problem lies partly in how article 1 of the 1948 un universal declaration of human rights was translated into swedish the english originalall human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rightshas become in swedish all people are born free and equal in emworthem and rights the swedish translation becomes problematic because worth is something relative that allows comparison while dignity is absolute incomparable unconditional inviolable and belongs to everyone all human beings thus have human dignity and in this respect we are all equal it is therefore a moral duty to respect human dignity as the organizational researcher ingemund hgg has shown sweden seems to be unique in talking about worth instead of dignityppthe swedish translation of the rest of article 1 on the other hand is unproblematic it reads they are endowed with reason and conscience and should act towards one another in a spirit of community i understand this to mean that people should work together for the public good rather than prioritize their narrow selfinterest if this can be achieved the foundation has been laid for a hightrust society that enables effective cooperation at low cost to solve complex tasks within the framework of wellfunctioning companies authorities and civil society organizationsppeffective cooperation requires structure power and authority must be distributed in some way and the benefit will be greatest if they are distributed meritocraticallythat is to those who have the greatest ability to contribute to the groups successppin a a hrefhttpsquillettecom20211002indefenseofgoodpower2021 essaya for emquilletteem i argued that people have an inherent ability naturally and voluntarily to bestow influence and authority on the person or people who have the greatest ability to contribute to the groups success those who receive power and authority from the group concerned also receive a large part of their compensation in the form of status ie in nonpecuniary form which reduces the income gap as adrian wooldridge points out in his 2021 book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomaristocracytalentmeritocracymodernworlddp1510768610the aristocracy of talentaem maintaining such a system requires a wise meritocracy that those entrusted with positions of power must remain humble and feel responsible for the common good it is important to avoid meritocracy developing into an entrenched aristocracy that lives a life far removed from those they rule overthe very system that michael sandel critiquesppnor can such a wise meritocracy survive unless those without the ability or motivation to advance to higher levels in the hierarchy are offered paths to dignity and selfrealization this is about upgrading our view of vocational education and practical skills while at the same time toning down the current focus on academic studies as the path to success status and selfrespect moreover most people have a completely different path to dignity and what they perceive as a worthwhile life forming and taking good care of a family spending time with friends and being able to say that you support yourself and those you are responsible for by holding down a respectable and socially valuable job that is precisely the value of workp

img alta life worthwhile srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202206javadesmaeilirtywrpwnzcyunsplashjpgpppon question economic justice political debate tends swing poles left wants reduce economic differences based notion distributive justice right emphasizes social mobility based equality opportunity plumber today ordinary employee actually right career moves boss plumbing company plumber howeveror matter builder elderly care worker shelfstackerneed higher social class job seen worthwhile theirs work needs valuable allppwe focus todays onesided emphasis redistributive justice versus social mobility instead talk emcontributive justiceemthat individuals right contribute common good based skills abilities happen perception constitutes contribution change salaried job adheres national workplace norms regarded valuable worthwhileppto grasp reasoning statement shift required let illustrate mean taking closer look challenges facing native country swedenppin spring 2022 hrefhttpswwwekonomifaktasefaktaarbetsmarknadarbetsloshetarbetsloshet82 percenta labor force unemployed sweden foreignborn people middle east africa unemployment hrefhttpswwwekonomifaktasefaktaarbetsmarknadintegrationarbetsloshetutrikesfodda30 percenta 13 years sweden half born abroad achieve modest level economic selfsufficiency foreignborn people africa middle east proportion 40 percent demonstrated hrefhttpsentreprenorskapsforumsewpcontentuploads202111rapport_sjalvforsorjning_rev2021_webpdfa 2020 reporta swedish entrepreneurship forum recent data 2016 net immigration sweden close half million came years countries citizens proving particularly difficult integrateppdespite high unemployment rapid population growth people working age localities hard find suitable labor sectors main solution proposed problem education reference lack programmers doctors systems analysts highly educated professionals long created political pressure expand higher education sector autumn 2021 273000 peopletwo cohortswere admitted universities colleges sweden total 450000 people fulltime cohorts currently enrolled universitylevel educationppstrongeducation statusstrongppof course continued prosperity demands highquality tertiary education education looks like today bloated university admissions large proportion courses low quality hardly solution addition jobs require extensive education training 20 common occupations women cover hrefhttpswwwscbsehittastatistikstatistikefteramnearbetsmarknadsysselsattningforvarvsarbeteocharbetstideryrkesregistretmedyrkesstatistikpongtabellochdiagram20vanligasteyrkenaforkvinnoralmost halfa female employees oneinfive jobs higher education required equivalent occupations men hrefhttpswwwscbsehittastatistikstatistikefteramnearbetsmarknadsysselsattningforvarvsarbeteocharbetstideryrkesregistretmedyrkesstatistikpongtabellochdiagram20vanligasteyrkenaformanoneinfoura requires tertiary studyppnor obvious things different future tasks performed site social care healthcare maintaining physical environment difficult automate moved lowcost countries integration jobs general knowledge itwhich virtually swedish young people alreadymeans future jobs require extensive education able learn jobs quickly long right character traits selfdiscipline social skills motivation good work ethic perseverance reliability emotional stabilityppthe challenges contradictions arise extensive social exclusion demands change follow rapid technological development politically difficult handleppswedens prime minister stefan lfven october 2014november 2021 justified political decisions referring equal value people indirectly referring biblical idea man created image god ultimate guarantor persons unique inviolable value time human beings reputationseeking statusoriented societies hierarchically organized complex society needs function inevitably creates differences income living conditions differences growing countries industries mainly globalization leads outsourcing downward pressure wages sweden extensive immigration poorer countries important factor growing income differentialspphow politicians deal tension sweeping declarations equal value human beings growing differences income status wealth standards livingppit common politicians left point differences outcomes label unfairsomething needs fixed undesirable sideeffect emphasis economic outcomes basis equality actually undermines notion equal value politicians right hand emphasize importance mobility classeseven start status hierarchy able raise status hard work selfimprovement swedens moderates example talk creating society people moveppwhile public debate goes reality creeps form growing social exclusion jobs require credentials form demanding university diplomas shortage laborppsocial change takes place higher education raised debate ideal necessity status jobs require extensive education falls seen fact young people incur large debts university degree work bank clerk customer support sek 27000 month train electrician plumber salary sek 45000 illustrates jobs reputation weighs heavily significant wage premiums required welfare state sweden persuade young people choose occupations low status educational requirements lowppduring past quartercentury rich countries western europe managed equation heavily dependent people eastern europe guest workers east asia jobs maintenance forestry agriculture home food deliveries hard indefinitely hand popular opposition developments home making attractive guest worker todays richer eu countriesppboth left rightwing governments naturally use powers impose solutions social exclusion outcome differences leftwing governments common use taxes subsidies force equal distribution disposable income housing inevitably leads weakened incentives gainful employment selfimprovement turn albeit delay leads increased exclusionpprightwing governments tend apologize fact jobs lower status hold prospect class mobility promise increase opportunities truth people mobile classes job status ladder working lives class mobility describe jobs status hierarchy away creates dissatisfaction sympathy remained falls moved required effort chosen stay deserve fate opportunity rhetoric weakens sense unity cohesion topppboth left rightwing strategies affected fact status weighs heavier money means increasingly higher wage premiums required lowreputation jobs guest workers required perform reasonable cost strategies involve focusing citizens emrelativeem position improve relative position deteriorate research shown negative experience having ones position deteriorate stronger positive experience improving net outcome necessarily lead increased political support conservative government britain aware brexit voteppstrongwhat justicestrongppthe simplest measure justice emdistributive justiceem outcomes equal possible regardless achieved problem resources obtained redistribution confer status selfrespect earned work noted status selfesteem outweigh financial reward especially wealthy societyppthis finding brings concept emcontributive justiceem introduced american philosopher michael j sandel book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtyrannymeritfindcommongooddp1250800064the tyranny meritaem entails people having opportunity contribute society productive work turn confers social recognition respect producing people need valueppronald reagan understood value contributive justice inaugural speech january 1981 highlighted everyday heroes pblockquoteour concern special interest group long neglected knows sectional boundaries ethnic racial divisions crosses political party lines men women raise food patrol streets man mines factories teach children homes heal sickprofessionals industrialists shopkeepers clerks cabbies truck drivers short people breed called americans blockquoteprobert kennedy understood speech months murdered way need jobs dignified employment decent pay kind employment lets man community family country important himselfi helped build country participant greatest public venture human beingpppeoples pursuit dignity status selfrespect means main task politics ensure citizens contribute managing developing society means job terms employment working environment comply swedish norms good job provides route dignity social exclusion instead important jobs labelled low status carried economic migrants workers live sweden trained supervised jobs example possible persuade citizenship permanent residency deliver readymade food salary means simply market servicesppstrongdignity selfrespectstrongppa key issue centreright governments 200614 socalled emwork lineem emarbetslinjenem hrefhttpsdatariksdagensefil08fb12c20b7349289ab7be779f98a475objective measuresa pay work people given opportunity support work proposals government included budget beneficial people work beneficial today handouts work selfsufficiency weakness work line essentially justified economic arguments work pay taxes contribute welfare important aspect work line moral onethat brings contributive justice people right contribute building society agent society gain status respect necessary perception constitutes worthwhile valuable contribution changeppthe political discussion differences outcomes said caused differences environmental factors corrected course important create best possible conditions public sector failing respect discussion deal differences corrected political measures precisely people different talents preferencesppthis emphasis contributes undermining notion equal value implicit message higher intellectual abilities valuable task political elite eradicate environmental factors rise differences equally valuedppperhaps problem lies partly article 1 1948 un universal declaration human rights translated swedish english originalall human beings born free equal dignity rightshas swedish people born free equal emworthem rights swedish translation problematic worth relative allows comparison dignity absolute incomparable unconditional inviolable belongs human beings human dignity respect equal moral duty respect human dignity organizational researcher ingemund hgg shown sweden unique talking worth instead dignityppthe swedish translation rest article 1 hand unproblematic reads endowed reason conscience act spirit community understand mean people work public good prioritize narrow selfinterest achieved foundation laid hightrust society enables effective cooperation low cost solve complex tasks framework wellfunctioning companies authorities civil society organizationsppeffective cooperation requires structure power authority distributed way benefit greatest distributed meritocraticallythat greatest ability contribute groups successppin hrefhttpsquillettecom20211002indefenseofgoodpower2021 essaya emquilletteem argued people inherent ability naturally voluntarily bestow influence authority person people greatest ability contribute groups success receive power authority group concerned receive large compensation form status ie nonpecuniary form reduces income gap adrian wooldridge points 2021 book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomaristocracytalentmeritocracymodernworlddp1510768610the aristocracy talentaem maintaining system requires wise meritocracy entrusted positions power remain humble feel responsible common good important avoid meritocracy developing entrenched aristocracy lives life far removed rule overthe system michael sandel critiquesppnor wise meritocracy survive ability motivation advance higher levels hierarchy offered paths dignity selfrealization upgrading view vocational education practical skills time toning current focus academic studies path success status selfrespect people completely different path dignity perceive worthwhile life forming taking good care family spending time friends able support responsible holding respectable socially valuable job precisely value workp

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Why Biden Is Trying to Keep Naftali Bennett Afloat

the rightwing israeli leaders fragile coalition is vastly preferable to a return of netanyahu

rightwing israeli leaders fragile coalition vastly preferable return netanyahu

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Is recession inevitable? Economist says plenty of tools remain

pwith gas prices averaging near 5 a gallon and inflation holding steady at 8 percent the federal reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 075 percent last week in an aggressive bid to reduce consumer demand and bring inflation back down to 2 percent the central bank said it anticipated more rate hikes in the coming months would be needed to achieve that goal economist a hrefhttpsfordschoolumichedufacultybetseystevensonbetsey stevensona am 99 phd 01 is a professor of economics and public policy at the gerald r ford school of public policy at the university of michigan she served on the council of economic advisers during the obama administration from 2013 to 2015 and was chief economist at the us department of labor from 2010 to 2011 stevenson discusses the effects the new rate increase could have on consumers and the economy and whether a recession is inevitable as some economists now warnp h2qampah2 h3betsey stevensonh3 pspangazettespan will the federal reserves latest interest rate hike have a meaningful effect on slowing inflationp pspanstevensonspan interest rates are still below where they were in 2018 and 2019 and yet the economy has recovered so quickly from the pandemic recession i think what we need is a pretty quick move toward normalization bringing us back to what you might think of as neutral monetary policy the kind of monetary policy we had prior to the pandemic and then an assessment as to how much further the fed will need to tighten the problem is that it can be very jarring to raise rates all at once and so the fed is trying to move quickly enough to bring inflation down but slow enough to not accidentally push the economy so hard that it goes into recession or people lose jobs or businesses unnecessarily sufferp pand i think this task is made extra hard right now because supply what businesses produce is not responding to prices in quite the same way that it has in previous periods supply has been less responsive to the surge in demand which also means that it might be less responsive to the increasing interest rates the feds tools only influence demand they want to keep demand and supply in balance but supply has been harder for them to predict over the last yearp pwe saw a very rapid rate rise 75 basis points which they hadnt done in a very long time at the same time its not a big difference in their policy stance what theyve been saying all along is theyre trying to move toward neutral monetary policy over the next three to six months to a year and that they are committed to bringing longrun inflation back down to their target of 2 percent they have also said clearly that they are monitoring and reacting to data as it becomes available what happened was they moved a bit faster in response to recent data but where they are in six months might not be any different than if they had done a 50basis point rate risep div figure div div img sizesminwidth 1384px 808px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px 66 minwidth 768px calc100vw 120px 75 minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001024x683jpg width1024 altbetsey stevenson srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001024x683jpg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500300x200jpg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500768x512jpg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001536x1024jpg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25002048x1366jpg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001350x900jpg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001200x800jpg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500900x600jpg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500400x267jpg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001500x1000jpg 1500w height683 div div figcaption pwhat the fed needs to do is make sure that people continue to believe that we can get inflation back to 2 percent that high inflation is not here for good says university of michigan economist betsey stevensonp pcourtesy of university of michiganp figcaption figure div div div div pspangazettespan how high could rates go and over what timeframe before we see inflation significantly slow downp pspanstevensonspan the fed is projecting something between 3 and 4 percent [in its benchmark rate] and that range is where most economists think they are headed now thats a lot higher than what people were expecting even three months ago and certainly more than we thought a year ago so we do expect rates to get up toward 3 or 4 percent [about twice what they are now] and probably to stay there into 2023 but if inflation doesnt begin to slow down as predicted then rates could go higherp pif you look at the projections coming out of the federal open market committee meeting you see a wider range of projections for 2024 than 2022 that wider range of projections reflects the fact that some people are worried it is going to take longer to get inflation under controlp pi have no reason to be outside the range of projections that the fomc has already put out there but i do think it is reasonable to ask whether the range of projections should be even wider given the massive amount of uncertainty that were facing in the global economy right now the reason i didnt expect inflation to get as high as it did is that i didnt expect putin to invade ukraine and for global energy prices to soar and i also expected that supply chain issues like the chip shortage would resolve a lot faster because i was expecting a faster resolution to our supply chain problems i expected that wed see more of the kind of glut of goods were starting to see retailers telling us that theyre having  i expected that kind of buildup of excess inventories could be more widespread and in that situation there would downward pressure on prices i think its still possible that we see some unclogging of supply chains happen quite rapidly putting downward pressure on prices in that case inflation will resolve faster however its also possible that we continue to see lockdowns such as what we have recently seen in china over the next year or two and we could continue to see war in oil producing countries these global challenges limit supply and make it harder to bring prices under controlp pspangazettespan in explaining this latest rate hike fed chairman jerome powell said the fed understands the hardship that inflation is causing but rising interest rates also cause hardships for consumers in the form of higher interest rates for credit cards auto and student loans and indirectly mortgages which are close to 6 percent now double where they were last year does the effort to slow inflation have the potential to cause more harm than goodp pspanstevensonspan i had a lot more patience for higher inflation in 2021 and even in early 2022 precisely because the effort to slow inflation higher interest rates and slower economic growth hurts people too the price rises we were seeing early on were mostly driven by durable goods the fed raising interest rates wasnt going to be able to directly impact the challenges with the supply of durable goods and so we just needed to be patient the supply chain problems would resolve themselves and inflation would start to get under controlp pwhat has happened is a series of shocks have allowed inflation to not only continue but to spill across the economy into the service sector really into every sector i think the most worrying thing for the fed is people are starting to expect inflation will stay high for some time and as you form expectations around higher inflation it becomes a selffulfilling prophecy because if youre expecting higher inflation you behave as if theres going to be higher inflation and that means trying to negotiate wage increases that reflect rising prices if youre a manager just expecting that youre going to be raising prices every quarter or every year but youre going to expect big price increases on a regular basis and you start to plan for that and build it in and that becomes very hard to undop pwhat the fed needs to do is make sure that people continue to believe that we can get inflation back to 2 percent that high inflation is not here for good and that we dont set up a wageprice spiral meaning that people look at the rising price of goods and then go into negotiations with their boss and say if i dont get at least an 83 percent raise im not even keeping up with the price of the things i buy so they negotiate very high raises that reflect inflation but in order to pay all workers that higher amount employers end up needing to raise their pricesp pif you are someone whos trying to borrow those higher rates can be very very costly and in fact what the fed wants you to do is think twice before you borrow youre tightening your belt youre buying fewer things thats exactly how we bring demand and supply back into alignment but the only way it works is if somebody feels the pinch and then they reduce their demand as a result whats frustrating is everybody wants to see prices come down but nobody wants to be the one that feels the pinchp pspangazettespan many people now believe a recession is more probable than not over the next 1218 months is a recession inevitablep pspanstevensonspan i am by nature an optimist but im not a fool so i do understand the risks of a recession but its not inevitable the question is how difficult will it be to achieve we need to slow growth in demand so were bringing demand down toward what we can sustainably produce and were increasing supply and then eventually policy helps them to meet in a nice happy place with stable prices and full employment we dont need to bring demand crashing down to meet supply exactly where it is today and thats the recession fearp pcan the fed navigate that maybe the challenge is its not all about them whats going to happen to oil prices if we can bring oil prices down thats going to help them out a lot in achieving this goldilocks soft landing where theres no recession if we can figure out how to expand labor supply in a way that employers dont feel like they are competing so hard over workers that theyre pushing wages way up if there can be enough concern on the employer side that they can hold firm when their workers come in and say im going to quit if you dont give me this 10 percent raise right now then we can slow down the inflationary pressures on the labor market side one of the fastest ways to do that would be if we were able to bring back some of the flow of immigrants that really dried up over the last four to five years i think there are things we can do there are a lot of tools leftp pmy optimistic outtake is many businesses are still in pretty good financial shape these rate increases are not going to wallop them we saw the savings rate come down recently but household and business balance sheets are still pretty flush weve got really low unemployment lots of people are working so theyve got cash coming in so as these rate increases are coming in theyre not coming in to weakened households in to weakened businesses theyre coming into pretty strong households and pretty strong businesses thats where i think the opportunity for success liespdivdivdiv

pwith gas prices averaging near 5 gallon inflation holding steady 8 percent federal reserve raised benchmark interest rate 075 percent week aggressive bid reduce consumer demand bring inflation 2 percent central bank said anticipated rate hikes coming months needed achieve goal economist hrefhttpsfordschoolumichedufacultybetseystevensonbetsey stevensona 99 phd 01 professor economics public policy gerald r ford school public policy university michigan served council economic advisers obama administration 2013 2015 chief economist department labor 2010 2011 stevenson discusses effects new rate increase consumers economy recession inevitable economists warnp h2qampah2 h3betsey stevensonh3 pspangazettespanwill federal reserves latest interest rate hike meaningful effect slowing inflationp pspanstevensonspaninterest rates 2018 2019 economy recovered quickly pandemic recession think need pretty quick normalization bringing think neutral monetary policy kind monetary policy prior pandemic assessment fed need tighten problem jarring raise rates fed trying quickly bring inflation slow accidentally push economy hard goes recession people lose jobs businesses unnecessarily sufferp pand think task extra hard right supply businesses produce responding prices way previous periods supply responsive surge demand means responsive increasing interest rates feds tools influence demand want demand supply balance supply harder predict yearp pwe saw rapid rate rise 75 basis points hadnt long time time big difference policy stance theyve saying theyre trying neutral monetary policy months year committed bringing longrun inflation target 2 percent said clearly monitoring reacting data available happened moved bit faster response recent data months different 50basis point rate risep div figure div div img sizesminwidth 1384px 808px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px 66 minwidth 768px calc100vw 120px 75 minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001024x683jpg width1024 altbetsey stevenson srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001024x683jpg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500300x200jpg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500768x512jpg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001536x1024jpg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25002048x1366jpg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001350x900jpg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001200x800jpg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500900x600jpg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile2500400x267jpg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202206stevensonbetseyprofile25001500x1000jpg 1500w height683 div div figcaption pwhat fed needs sure people continue believe inflation 2 percent high inflation good says university michigan economist betsey stevensonp pcourtesy university michiganp figcaption figure div div div div pspangazettespanhow high rates timeframe inflation significantly slow downp pspanstevensonspanthe fed projecting 3 4 percent [in benchmark rate] range economists think headed thats lot higher people expecting months ago certainly thought year ago expect rates 3 4 percent [about twice now] probably stay 2023 inflation doesnt begin slow predicted rates higherp pif look projections coming federal open market committee meeting wider range projections 2024 2022 wider range projections reflects fact people worried going longer inflation controlp pi reason outside range projections fomc think reasonable ask range projections wider given massive uncertainty facing global economy right reason didnt expect inflation high didnt expect putin invade ukraine global energy prices soar expected supply chain issues like chip shortage resolve lot faster expecting faster resolution supply chain problems expected wed kind glut goods starting retailers telling theyre having expected kind buildup excess inventories widespread situation downward pressure prices think possible unclogging supply chains happen rapidly putting downward pressure prices case inflation resolve faster possible continue lockdowns recently seen china year continue war oil producing countries global challenges limit supply harder bring prices controlp pspangazettespanin explaining latest rate hike fed chairman jerome powell said fed understands hardship inflation causing rising interest rates cause hardships consumers form higher interest rates credit cards auto student loans indirectly mortgages close 6 percent double year effort slow inflation potential cause harm goodp pspanstevensonspani lot patience higher inflation 2021 early 2022 precisely effort slow inflation higher interest rates slower economic growth hurts people price rises seeing early driven durable goods fed raising interest rates wasnt going able directly impact challenges supply durable goods needed patient supply chain problems resolve inflation start controlp pwhat happened series shocks allowed inflation continue spill economy service sector sector think worrying thing fed people starting expect inflation stay high time form expectations higher inflation selffulfilling prophecy youre expecting higher inflation behave theres going higher inflation means trying negotiate wage increases reflect rising prices youre manager expecting youre going raising prices quarter year youre going expect big price increases regular basis start plan build hard undop pwhat fed needs sure people continue believe inflation 2 percent high inflation good dont set wageprice spiral meaning people look rising price goods negotiations boss dont 83 percent raise im keeping price things buy negotiate high raises reflect inflation order pay workers higher employers end needing raise pricesp pif whos trying borrow higher rates costly fact fed wants think twice borrow youre tightening belt youre buying fewer things thats exactly bring demand supply alignment way works somebody feels pinch reduce demand result whats frustrating everybody wants prices come wants feels pinchp pspangazettespanmany people believe recession probable 1218 months recession inevitablep pspanstevensonspani nature optimist im fool understand risks recession inevitable question difficult achieve need slow growth demand bringing demand sustainably produce increasing supply eventually policy helps meet nice happy place stable prices employment dont need bring demand crashing meet supply exactly today thats recession fearp pcan fed navigate maybe challenge whats going happen oil prices bring oil prices thats going help lot achieving goldilocks soft landing theres recession figure expand labor supply way employers dont feel like competing hard workers theyre pushing wages way concern employer hold firm workers come im going quit dont 10 percent raise right slow inflationary pressures labor market fastest ways able bring flow immigrants dried years think things lot tools leftp pmy optimistic outtake businesses pretty good financial shape rate increases going wallop saw savings rate come recently household business balance sheets pretty flush weve got low unemployment lots people working theyve got cash coming rate increases coming theyre coming weakened households weakened businesses theyre coming pretty strong households pretty strong businesses thats think opportunity success liespdivdivdiv

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Federal COVID Aid to States and Localities Cost $855,000 Per Job Saved

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206modified22400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206modified21200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206modified2600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206modified2331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206modified22400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206modified21200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206modified2600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206modified2331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alttipped over cup of us dollars on an offwhite background srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpg height675 picture div pa massive federal bailout of state and local governments during the pandemic had a negligible effect on overall employment levels despite costing taxpayers an estimated 855000 per job savedp pthats the bottom line of a new national bureau of economic research a hrefhttpswwwnberorgsystemfilesworking_papersw30168w30168pdfworking papera published this week in the paper a trio of researchers attempted to determine the effectiveness of nearly 1 trillion in pandemicera aid distributed to state and local governmentsthe majority of which was delivered as part of the 19 trillion american rescue plan passed in march 2021p pdespite the eyewatering price tag however the stimulus spending had only quota modest impact on government employment and has not translated into detectable gains for private businesses or for states overall economic recoveriesquot conclude university of california san diego economists jeffrey clemens and philip hoxie and american enterprise institute senior fellow stan veuger the papers three authorsp pthe aid to states and local governments did not meaningfully affect the broader economy either the paper argues in part because of other government responses to the pandemic quotboth voluntary and mandated limits on economic activity inhibit standard transmission mechanisms that can make fiscal stimulus effective under other circumstancesquot clemens a hrefhttpstwittercomjeffreypclemensstatus1538889490164461570wrotea on twitterp pthe case for bailing out state and local governments was always paperthin despite fears of massive budget shortfalls due to a combination of governmentimposed lockdowns and changing consumer behavior during the pandemic those deficits mostly did not materialize before the american rescue plan passed there was a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescovid19shittostateandlocalrevenuesissmallerthanmanyfeared11612706030 target_blankwidespreada a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsslatecombusiness202102statebudgetsreliefbillcongresscovidhtml target_blankskepticisma a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinionswithstatesdoingbetterthanexpectedtimetorethinkbidens350billionrescue2021020967dd98c26afd11ebba56d7e2c8defa31_storyhtml target_blankabouta a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfinancialserviceshousegovuploadedfileshhrg117ba00wstatestrainm20210204pdf target_blankthe proposed bailouta in part because three other pandemicera spending bills had a hrefhttpswwwcrfborgblogsstateandlocalgovernmentsdonotneedhalftrillioncovidreliefalready sent about 360 billiona in aid to states and localitiesp pbut instead of stimulating the economy or filling budget holes that a hrefhttpseconofactorgtheresilienceofstateandlocalgovernmentbudgetsinthepandemicmostly didnt exista the aid to states and local governments just left them a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210518stateswithpostpandemicsurplusesarestillgettinghugefederalbailoutsflush with casha as emreasonem has reported some of that money was spent on unrelated things like a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220603theamericanrescueplanbailedoutunprofitablegovernmentownedgolfcoursesmoneylosing governmentowned golf coursesap pand while saving jobs or preventing layoffs was not the sole purpose of the american rescue plans spending on state and local governments that was and remains a centrally stated goal of the bailout quotthese funds ensure that governments across the country have the flexibility they need to vaccinate their communities keep schools open support small businesses prevent layoffs and ensure a longterm recoveryquot deputy treasury secretary wally adeyemo a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecoronaviruspandemicjoebidenbusinesshealthd159b73865f3346db8570008c6985112said in january of this yeara as the biden administration loosened some of the restrictions on how those funds could be usedp peven within the context of other federal emergency spending plans the state and local bailout looks massively wasteful clemens hoxie and veuger point out that the 855000 perjob figure dwarfs estimates of other emergency government bailoutsp pestimates suggest that the 770 billion paycheck protection program for example ended up costing a hrefhttpswwwaeaweborgarticlesid101257jep36255between 169000 and 258000 per job savedathough other researchers have claimed the cost was only about 50000 per job the obamaera american recovery and reinvestment act arra ended up spending between 50000 and 112000 per job created or savedp pthe federal bailout of state and local governments during the covid19 pandemic has already gone down as one of the most unnecessary responses to that crisis now it might also be remembered as the most wastefulp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220621federalcovidaidtostatesandlocalitiescost855000perjobsavedfederal covid aid to states and localities cost 855000 per job saveda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206modified22400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206modified21200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206modified2600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206modified2331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206modified22400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206modified21200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206modified2600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206modified2331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alttipped cup dollars offwhite background srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206modified2800x450jpg height675 picture div pa massive federal bailout state local governments pandemic negligible effect overall employment levels despite costing taxpayers estimated 855000 job savedp pthats line new national bureau economic research hrefhttpswwwnberorgsystemfilesworking_papersw30168w30168pdfworking papera published week paper trio researchers attempted determine effectiveness nearly 1 trillion pandemicera aid distributed state local governmentsthe majority delivered 19 trillion american rescue plan passed march 2021p pdespite eyewatering price tag stimulus spending quota modest impact government employment translated detectable gains private businesses states overall economic recoveriesquot conclude university california san diego economists jeffrey clemens philip hoxie american enterprise institute senior fellow stan veuger papers authorsp pthe aid states local governments meaningfully affect broader economy paper argues government responses pandemic quotboth voluntary mandated limits economic activity inhibit standard transmission mechanisms fiscal stimulus effective circumstancesquot clemens hrefhttpstwittercomjeffreypclemensstatus1538889490164461570wrotea twitterp pthe case bailing state local governments paperthin despite fears massive budget shortfalls combination governmentimposed lockdowns changing consumer behavior pandemic deficits materialize american rescue plan passed relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescovid19shittostateandlocalrevenuesissmallerthanmanyfeared11612706030 target_blankwidespreada relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsslatecombusiness202102statebudgetsreliefbillcongresscovidhtml target_blankskepticisma relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinionswithstatesdoingbetterthanexpectedtimetorethinkbidens350billionrescue2021020967dd98c26afd11ebba56d7e2c8defa31_storyhtml target_blankabouta relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfinancialserviceshousegovuploadedfileshhrg117ba00wstatestrainm20210204pdf target_blankthe proposed bailouta pandemicera spending bills hrefhttpswwwcrfborgblogsstateandlocalgovernmentsdonotneedhalftrillioncovidreliefalready sent 360 billiona aid states localitiesp pbut instead stimulating economy filling budget holes hrefhttpseconofactorgtheresilienceofstateandlocalgovernmentbudgetsinthepandemicmostly didnt exista aid states local governments left hrefhttpsreasoncom20210518stateswithpostpandemicsurplusesarestillgettinghugefederalbailoutsflush casha asemreasonem reported money spent unrelated things like hrefhttpsreasoncom20220603theamericanrescueplanbailedoutunprofitablegovernmentownedgolfcoursesmoneylosing governmentowned golf coursesap pand saving jobs preventing layoffs sole purpose american rescue plans spending state local governments remains centrally stated goal bailoutquotthese funds ensure governments country flexibility need vaccinate communities schools open support small businesses prevent layoffs ensure longterm recoveryquot deputy treasury secretary wally adeyemo hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecoronaviruspandemicjoebidenbusinesshealthd159b73865f3346db8570008c6985112said january yeara biden administration loosened restrictions funds usedp peven context federal emergency spending plans state local bailout looks massively wasteful clemens hoxie veuger point 855000 perjob figure dwarfs estimates emergency government bailoutsp pestimates suggest 770 billion paycheck protection program example ended costing hrefhttpswwwaeaweborgarticlesid101257jep36255between 169000 258000 job savedathough researchers claimed cost 50000 job obamaera american recovery reinvestment act arra ended spending 50000 112000 job created savedp pthe federal bailout state local governments covid19 pandemic gone unnecessary responses crisis remembered wastefulp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220621federalcovidaidtostatesandlocalitiescost855000perjobsavedfederal covid aid states localities cost 855000 job saveda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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Healthcare Triage Series: Drug Approval in the United States

pwith support from the national institute for health care management weve created a threeepisode series focused on how drugs get approved in the united states in the first episode we discuss the drug approval process from the discovery phase all the way to what happens after its approval in the second episode we discuss the exceptions along that pathway and in the third and final episode we discuss recent related controversiesp p p piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedftav1rdhufu width500 height281iframep piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedlo8ppanqbdm width500 height281iframep piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedhocfqo1l0am width500 height281iframepthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresshealthcaretriageseriesdrugapprovalintheunitedstateshealthcare triage series drug approval in the united statesa first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

pwith support national institute health care management weve created threeepisode series focused drugs approved united states episode discuss drug approval process discovery phase way happens approval second episode discuss exceptions pathway final episode discuss recent related controversiesp pp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedftav1rdhufu width500 height281iframep piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedlo8ppanqbdm width500 height281iframep piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedhocfqo1l0am width500 height281iframepthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresshealthcaretriageseriesdrugapprovalintheunitedstateshealthcare triage series drug approval united statesa appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

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Paralysis in Moscow: why Putin persists with his strategy

pemi will do such things what they are yet i know not but they shall bebrthe terrors of the earthem king lear act 2 scene 4p pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvladimirputin target_blankvladimir putina seeks to convey an indomitable will here is a man who has set his course and will stick to it whatever the obstacles in his way and the costs of overcoming them it is an image that serves him well it is now widely assumed in the west that he will not back down in the war with ukraine and if things go badly he will lash out such a man must not be provoked yet the image is starting to fray at the edges behind all the braggadocio his power is slowly eroding the symptoms of this are to be found not in a readiness to compromise on the war which remains absent but instead in a policy paralysis he is pressing on with his established strategy because he can think of nothing better to do   p h4putins st petersburg speechh4 pa good place to start is with the speech he delivered last week coming in at over 70 minutes at the annual st petersburg international economic forum this is intended as an alternative to the world economic forum in davos putins audience was not as substantial as in previous years with representatives of the taliban helping to make up the numbers the theme of his address was that despite facing an americanled economic blitzkrieg russia would emerge even stronger as the rest of the world suffers from inflation and recession he described in great detail the measures being taken to protect the economy against this onslaught which would ensure selfsufficiency we are strong people he insisted and can cope with any challenge like our ancestors we will solve any problem the entire thousandyear history of our country speaks of this he presented the current conflict as being essentially about russia standing up to american arrogance they think of themselves as exceptional and if they think theyre exceptional that means everyone else is secondclass this is a theme which provides common ground with china president xi jinping sent his own video message along similar linesp pputins assertions of invincible russian strength were undermined by his speech being delayed for an hour by a cyberattack demonstrating that this supposedly favoured russian instrument of modern conflict can be used against it in an embarrassing way although he boasted about how well the russian economy will weather the storm even official forecasts predict a contraction this year by some 8 per cent and unofficial estimates go as high as 15 per cent one reason why russias economic position is not worse is the boost to revenues resulting from the huge rise in oil and gas prices yet putin is currently seeking to add to the pressure on the west by cutting gas supplies to eu countries he will fight the economic war by demonstrating to europeans that siding with the us will mean that they are committing economic suicide at the moment if there is a punitive option available he is anxious to take itp pwith regards to the huge issue of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202205blackseablockadecrimea target_blankthe effects on world food supplies of the blockade of the black seaa and the real prospect of famine in many countries putin again deflected the blame to us and eu sanctions against russian fertiliser and grain exports and the obstacles put in the way of russian efforts to send exports to those in direst need another perspective was provided in one of the more telling interventions in the forum margarita simonyan editorinchief of the statecontrolled rt media organisation who specialises in bloodcurdling threats and in making russians feel cheerful about their prospects by warning how bad it is going to be for everybody else presented famine as a russian weapon in the economic war the famine will start now and they will lift the sanctions and be friends with us because they will realise that its impossible not to be friends with usp pon the war itself putin promised that russia would fully meet its goal of consolidating the territory of prorussian separatists in eastern ukraine freedom for the donbas as if ignorant of the cruel realities of the war and the devastation being inflicted on ukrainian towns and cities he urged we must not turn those cities and towns that we liberate into a semblance of stalingrad this is a natural thing that our military thinks about when organising hostilities those who urge a peace deal got little comfort from putin the kremlin line is now firmly that ukraine will have to live with new borders those areas under russian occupation are being prepared for annexationp pthe only possible concession came when putin stated that he had no objection to ukraine joining the eu because the eu isnt a military organisation this admission is one of those moments equivalent to an alternative ending to hamlet when the old king returns from an overseas trip to reveal that the tragedy that has just unfolded was based on an unfortunate misunderstanding this whole sorry business a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206ukraineeumembershipwarfuture target_blankbegan in the summer of 2013a when putin put the russophile president of ukraine viktor yanukovych under intense economic pressure including cuts in energy supplies to prevent him signing an association agreement with the eu this pressure succeeded and the agreement was not signed but the effect was to trigger the euromaidan movement which eventually led to yanukovych fleeing the country putin annexing crimea and encouraging the separatist movement in the donbasp pthe admission shows that putin realises that he must pick his fights carefully he cant do much for now about the eu opening negotiations with ukraine so best not to try for a similar reason the kremlin dismissed the moves by finland and sweden to join nato as being irrelevant despite previous lurid warnings of the terrible fate awaiting those countries should they take such a step and the assumption by some western geopoliticians that nato enlargement is all putin really cares about this is another development he cant do much about and so is inclined to let passp pwhich may be just as well because the challenges keep on coming one of the most intriguing moments at the forum came when kazakhstans president kassymjomart tokayev the only head of state to join putin on stage made it clear that his country would not recognise the quasigovernments in the donbas as well as those in south ossetia or abkhazia in georgia or for that matter taiwan if the right to selfdetermination is to be realised everywhere on the planet then instead of 193 governments on earth there will be 500 or 600 of course it will be chaos this was not what the audience or putin expected to hearp pthis led to the normal warnings that because kazakhstan has a large russianspeaking population russia was bound to take an interest and if it started to be unfriendly russia could get very interested indeed simonyans husband and fellow propagandist tigran keosayan had even before the forum complained about kazakhstans ingratitude after it cancelled a victory day parade on 9 may and suggested that tokayev look carefully at what is happening in ukraine the reference to ingratitude was to the brief russianled intervention last january to help put down civil unrest elsewhere in the former soviet union moldova and georgia are exploring their own links with the eu with georgias population apparently more enthusiastic than its government while belarus which is now stuck in an unequal alliance with russia has avoided committing forces to the warp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206lawrencefreedmanhistoryslongshadowrussiaukraine target_blankhistorys long shadow falls over russia and ukrainea]emstrongp pas tom mctague a relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcominternationalarchive202206putinrussianhistorynationalismkyrgyzstan661214 target_blanknoted in an essay reflecting on his recent travels in kyrgyzstana it is only in russia that there is any nostalgia for the old soviet union and putin has not found a way to develop a positive appeal the question for russia he asked is right now what does it have to attract its former colonies beyond history it is not rich enough advanced enough or ideologically compelling enough nor does it show the kind of love that suggests it would preside over a happy family who looks at belarus or crimea let alone the donbas and thinks there is something there to emulate hence the kremlins dependence upon coercion and control putin only knows the way of the bully when an individual or a state or any other entity starts on a path that he doesnt like all he can do is threaten if his threats lack credibility then he has to let it passp h4lithuania and kaliningradh4 pthis can be seen with the latest flashpoint in russias conflict with the west the russian enclave of kaliningrad home to 430000 people is sandwiched between lithuania and poland this was formerly the german city of knigsberg captured by soviet forces right at the end of the second world war and valued by moscow for its baltic port because it is home to russias baltic fleet it is territory of strategic importance its position became exposed when poland and lithuania joined nato this vulnerability has now been underlined as the lithuanian government has blocked deliveries of coal metals construction materials and advanced technology through its territory by means of both rail and road this move is in line with and does not go beyond eu sanctions does not stop the movement of passengers and unsanctioned goods and does not preclude russia supplying kaliningrad by seap pdmitry peskov the kremlin spokesman who has spent a lot of his recent career warning other states about one thing or another has reported that russia is preparing retaliatory measures putins close buddy and security council secretary nikolai patrushev has vowed that these measures yet to be determined will have a serious negative impact on the lithuanian population its not clear what options are available not a lot of lithuanian goods travel through russia these days while the option to cut off gas supplies is negated by the fact that lithuania stopped taking russian gas in april having had the foresight after 2015 when nearly all of its gas supplies were imported from russia to have built an offshore liquefied natural gas import terminal in the port city of klaipeda so moscow is short of available economic forms of coercion the move has been described on russian tv as tantamount to a declaration of war but retaliatory military action against a nato country would be a bold and dangerous step to take simply because of the implementation of sanctions which moscow insists in general are really no big dealp h4paralysis in moscowh4 pall this fits in with the gradual erosion of putins authority in russia along the lines a relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpscarnegieendowmentorgeurasiainsight87341 target_blankrecently outlined by tatiana stanovayaa analyst at the carnegie endowment for international peace russian elites are struggling to come to terms with a war that putin began without consultation and which he does not know how to end on favourable terms he is unwilling to take the even greater risks required to secure a military victory assuming that these could succeed yet unable to accept anything that would look like a defeat because no one among the elite has a clue how to escape this conundrum or even if they did has the political courage and opportunity to move against putin the odds of him being overthrown in a coup are low instead there is paralysis as internal divisions grow along with the consequential problems caused by the war putin stanovaya notes has created a situation for which he was not prepared and which he doesnt know how to deal with while the russian power system that he himself built is constructed in such a way as to prevent effective decisions from being made collectively and in a balanced wayp pthis paralysis is reflected in the conduct of the war russian tactics and strategy remain inflexible and predictable having identified severodonetsk as a vital objective just as mariupol was before failure cannot be contemplated and so all available firepower and manpower has been hurled at it to break the ukrainian resistance and then prevent the defenders retreating this has come at a heavy cost for ukraine and questions have been asked in kyiv about the wisdom of committing so much of its own military capability to the defence of a city that has acquired strategic relevance only because it seems to matter so much to moscow yet the ukrainian military insists the effort has been worthwhile russian forces have suffered the greater attrition this defence has delayed advances elsewhere as ukraine waits for and now starts to receive muchneeded western weaponry and it has diverted russian capabilities from places where ukraine is now able to start moving on to the offensive evidence of this offensive is seen in ukrainian advances in the kherson areap pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206isvladimirputindead target_blankis vladimir putin deada]emstrongp h4a test of enduranceh4 pfrom the start of this crisis russia has acted to demonstrate its strength and show why it deserves to be treated at all times like a great power but its power is limited and it is now facing the possibility that it really has bitten off more than it can chew none of this means an early end to the war nor does it mean that things will get easier for ukraine putins default strategy is always to inflict pain even if he can achieve little else the risk of more reckless action cannot be precluded nonetheless we should not assume that russia is inexhaustible or just because we cannot pick a winner in the battle at the moment that the war is destined for a prolonged stalematep pthe political paralysis affects russias military strategy putin is unwilling to accept defeat and see what he can extract by way of concessions for an offer to withdraw nor does he want to mobilise all of russian society for the war effort so the limits on troop numbers will remain and will affect operations more as those that are lost cannot be replaced and russian advantages in firepower begin to be eroded he can propose a ceasefire to allow him to hold the territory already taken but he knows that will be rejected by the ukrainian president a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvolodymyrzelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelenskya unless it is accompanied by a promise of withdrawalp pputins best hope in pressing on with his current strategy is that at some point preferably quite soon ukraines western supporters will tire of the war and its economic costs and urge kyiv to accept some territorial compromise here his problem is that there is also paralysis of a different sort on the western side the economic costs are high but they have already been incurred the commitment to ukraine and to ensuring that russia does not win its war of conquest has been made so long as ukraine continues to fight and suffer the costs then even leaders who think a compromise might at some point be necessary are holding their tongues the west is settling in for the long haul looking for ways to keep ukraine supplied with the weapons and ammunition it needs while adjusting foreign policies to be able to concentrate on the war the fight can be presented as a conflict between democracy and autocracy but at its core it is also now about the future of the european security order and if that means improving relations with autocracies whether in urging the saudis to pump more oil or keeping relations with china calm then so be itp pwhich means that the most salient test of endurance is still on the field of battle when russia began to suffer setbacks after the initial offensive in february the ministry of defence moved smartly to recast the operation as being solely about the donbas the problems the russian military has faced over the last couple of months have not so much resulted from ukrainian counteroffensives as the meagre territorial gains it has achieved for such an enormous effort if it is the case that the ukrainian armed forces are beginning to increase the tempo of their offensive operations then russian commanders will face a new set of challenges it may be that their troops will be as tenacious in defence as their ukrainian counterparts even as they take heavy blows but it is as likely that they will not do so with the same conviction problems of morale and disaffection may begin to tell from the start of this war its most important feature has been the asymmetry of motivation in the end the ukrainians are fighting because they have no other choice russians have the option of going homep pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206natomustkeepfaithwithukrainenato must keep faith with ukraine]aemstrongp

pemi things know shall bebrthe terrors earthem king lear act 2 scene 4p pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvladimirputin target_blankvladimir putina seeks convey indomitable man set course stick obstacles way costs overcoming image serves widely assumed west war ukraine things badly lash man provoked image starting fray edges braggadocio power slowly eroding symptoms found readiness compromise war remains absent instead policy paralysis pressing established strategy think better p h4putins st petersburg speechh4 pa good place start speech delivered week coming 70 minutes annual st petersburg international economic forum intended alternative world economic forum davos putins audience substantial previous years representatives taliban helping numbers theme address despite facing americanled economic blitzkrieg russia emerge stronger rest world suffers inflation recession described great detail measures taken protect economy onslaught ensure selfsufficiency strong people insisted cope challenge like ancestors solve problem entire thousandyear history country speaks presented current conflict essentially russia standing american arrogance think exceptional think theyre exceptional means secondclass theme provides common ground china president xi jinping sent video message similar linesp pputins assertions invincible russian strength undermined speech delayed hour cyberattack demonstrating supposedly favoured russian instrument modern conflict embarrassing way boasted russian economy weather storm official forecasts predict contraction year 8 cent unofficial estimates high 15 cent reason russias economic position worse boost revenues resulting huge rise oil gas prices putin currently seeking add pressure west cutting gas supplies eu countries fight economic war demonstrating europeans siding mean committing economic suicide moment punitive option available anxious itp pwith regards huge issue relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202205blackseablockadecrimea target_blankthe effects world food supplies blockade black seaa real prospect famine countries putin deflected blame eu sanctions russian fertiliser grain exports obstacles way russian efforts send exports direst need perspective provided telling interventions forum margarita simonyan editorinchief statecontrolled rt media organisation specialises bloodcurdling threats making russians feel cheerful prospects warning bad going everybody presented famine russian weapon economic war famine start lift sanctions friends realise impossible friends usp pon war putin promised russia fully meet goal consolidating territory prorussian separatists eastern ukraine freedom donbas ignorant cruel realities war devastation inflicted ukrainian towns cities urged turn cities towns liberate semblance stalingrad natural thing military thinks organising hostilities urge peace deal got little comfort putin kremlin line firmly ukraine live new borders areas russian occupation prepared annexationp pthe possible concession came putin stated objection ukraine joining eu eu isnt military organisation admission moments equivalent alternative ending hamlet old king returns overseas trip reveal tragedy unfolded based unfortunate misunderstanding sorry business relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206ukraineeumembershipwarfuture target_blankbegan summer 2013a putin russophile president ukraine viktor yanukovych intense economic pressure including cuts energy supplies prevent signing association agreement eu pressure succeeded agreement signed effect trigger euromaidan movement eventually led yanukovych fleeing country putin annexing crimea encouraging separatist movement donbasp pthe admission shows putin realises pick fights carefully cant eu opening negotiations ukraine best try similar reason kremlin dismissed moves finland sweden join nato irrelevant despite previous lurid warnings terrible fate awaiting countries step assumption western geopoliticians nato enlargement putin cares development cant inclined let passp pwhich challenges coming intriguing moments forum came kazakhstans president kassymjomart tokayev head state join putin stage clear country recognise quasigovernments donbas south ossetia abkhazia georgia matter taiwan right selfdetermination realised planet instead 193 governments earth 500 600 course chaos audience putin expected hearp pthis led normal warnings kazakhstan large russianspeaking population russia bound interest started unfriendly russia interested simonyans husband fellow propagandist tigran keosayan forum complained kazakhstans ingratitude cancelled victory day parade 9 suggested tokayev look carefully happening ukraine reference ingratitude brief russianled intervention january help civil unrest soviet union moldova georgia exploring links eu georgias population apparently enthusiastic government belarus stuck unequal alliance russia avoided committing forces warp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206lawrencefreedmanhistoryslongshadowrussiaukraine target_blankhistorys long shadow falls russia ukrainea]emstrongp pas tom mctague relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcominternationalarchive202206putinrussianhistorynationalismkyrgyzstan661214 target_blanknoted essay reflecting recent travels kyrgyzstana russia nostalgia old soviet union putin found way develop positive appeal question russiahe asked right attract colonies history rich advanced ideologically compelling kind love suggests preside happy family looks belarus crimea let donbas thinks emulate kremlins dependence coercion control putin knows way bully individual state entity starts path doesnt like threaten threats lack credibility let passp h4lithuania kaliningradh4 pthis seen latest flashpoint russias conflict west russian enclave kaliningrad home 430000 people sandwiched lithuania poland german city knigsberg captured soviet forces right end second world war valued moscow baltic port home russias baltic fleet territory strategic importance position exposed poland lithuania joined nato vulnerability underlined lithuanian government blocked deliveriesof coal metals construction materials advanced technology territory means rail road line eu sanctions stop movement passengers unsanctioned goods preclude russia supplying kaliningrad seap pdmitry peskov kremlin spokesman spent lot recent career warning states thing reported russia preparing retaliatory measures putins close buddy security council secretary nikolai patrushev vowed measures determined negative impact lithuanian population clear options available lot lithuanian goods travel russia days option cut gas supplies negated fact lithuania stopped taking russian gas april having foresight 2015 nearly gas supplies imported russia built offshore liquefied natural gas import terminal port city klaipeda moscow short available economic forms coercion described russian tv tantamount declaration war retaliatory military action nato country bold dangerous step simply implementation sanctions moscow insists general big dealp h4paralysis moscowh4 pall fits gradual erosion putins authority russia lines relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpscarnegieendowmentorgeurasiainsight87341 target_blankrecently outlined tatiana stanovayaa analyst carnegie endowment international peace russian elites struggling come terms war putin began consultation know end favourable terms unwilling greater risks required secure military victory assuming succeed unable accept look like defeat elite clue escape conundrum political courage opportunity putin odds overthrown coup low instead paralysis internal divisions grow consequential problems caused war putin stanovaya notes created situation prepared doesnt know deal russian power system built constructed way prevent effective decisions collectively balanced wayp pthis paralysis reflected conduct war russian tactics strategy remain inflexible predictable having identified severodonetsk vital objective mariupol failure contemplated available firepower manpower hurled break ukrainian resistance prevent defenders retreating come heavy cost ukraine questions asked kyiv wisdom committing military capability defence city acquired strategic relevance matter moscow ukrainian military insists effort worthwhile russian forces suffered greater attrition defence delayed advances ukraine waits starts receive muchneeded western weaponry diverted russian capabilities places ukraine able start moving offensive evidence offensive seen ukrainian advances kherson areap pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206isvladimirputindead target_blankis vladimir putin deada]emstrongp h4a test enduranceh4 pfrom start crisis russia acted demonstrate strength deserves treated times like great power power limited facing possibility bitten chew means early end war mean things easier ukraine putins default strategy inflict pain achieve little risk reckless action precluded nonetheless assume russia inexhaustible pick winner battle moment war destined prolonged stalematep pthe political paralysis affects russias military strategy putin unwilling accept defeat extract way concessions offer withdraw want mobilise russian society war effort limits troop numbers remain affect operations lost replaced russian advantages firepower begin eroded propose ceasefire allow hold territory taken knows rejected ukrainian president relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvolodymyrzelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelenskya accompanied promise withdrawalp pputins best hope pressing current strategy point preferably soon ukraines western supporters tire war economic costs urge kyiv accept territorial compromise problem paralysis different sort western economic costs high incurred commitment ukraine ensuring russia win war conquest long ukraine continues fight suffer costs leaders think compromise point necessary holding tongues west settling long haul looking ways ukraine supplied weapons ammunition needs adjusting foreign policies able concentrate war fight presented conflict democracy autocracy core future european security order means improving relations autocracies urging saudis pump oil keeping relations china calm itp pwhich means salient test endurance field battle russia began suffer setbacks initial offensive february ministry defence moved smartly recast operation solely donbas problems russian military faced couple months resulted ukrainian counteroffensives meagre territorial gains achieved enormous effort case ukrainian armed forces beginning increase tempo offensive operations russian commanders face new set challenges troops tenacious defence ukrainian counterparts heavy blows likely conviction problems morale disaffection begin tell start war important feature asymmetry motivation end ukrainians fighting choice russians option going homep pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202206natomustkeepfaithwithukrainenato faith ukraine]aemstrongp

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Breeders of Violence

div a hrefhttpsamznto3omv7ms target_blankemspreading hate the global rise of white supremacist terrorismemabr by daniel byman oxford university press 288 pp 2593 divimg altbreeders of violence srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202206murrahbuildingdemolitionmay1995jpgpsome of the violence we are witnessing as of late such as the gunman who killed nineteen children in an elementary school in uvalde texas is inexplicable evil and some of the violence we are witnessing such as the gunman who killed ten people in a supermarket in a black neighborhood in buffalo new york is all too explicable the consequence of white supremacist hatred captured alive the eighteenyearold buffalo shooter had placed a lengthy manifesto on the internet championing the great replacement theory the white nationalist conspiracy theory according to which powerseeking elites are plotting to replace the white majority population with hispanics jews muslims and blacks thereby destroying the american way of lifeppformerly confined to the fringes the great replacement theory has lately broken into the mainstream it is pushed on fox news television by tucker carlsonthe father coughlin of our dayspreading xenophobia and scarcely veiled racism to a massive audience donald trumps incendiary rhetoric about immigration from mexicotheyre bringing drugs theyre bringing crime theyre rapists and some i assume are good peopleis also echoed in the buffalo shooters manifesto which blasts immigration as an invasion on a level never seen before in history the tragedy that has befallen buffalo must be understood in the context of ideas already put widely into circulation even if only a minuscule percentage of the population is a hairtrigger away from committing violent acts to spread such hatred on highly visible public platforms when deadly weapons are so readily available is to incite bloodshedppunfortunately as daniel byman makes plain in his new book ema hrefhttpsamznto3xqkb4dspreading hate the global rise of white supremacist terrorisma em2022 the problem has been with us for some time over the past decades the united states and the world have witnessed a series of spectacularly bloody attacks perpetrated under the banner of racial hatredpptimothy mcveigh steeped in the viciously racist tract emthe turner diariesem was a pioneer his 1995 attack on the federal building in oklahoma city took 168 lives including nineteen children a spate of imitators have followed in 2011 anders behring breivik killed seventyseven people in norway to rid europe as he proclaimed in his manifesto of the scourge of islam in 2015 dylann roof killed nine worshipers at the emanuel african methodist episcopal church in charleston south carolina in 2018 robert bowers agitated about caravans of immigrants heading to our borders killed eleven worshipers at the tree of life synagogue in pittsburgh in 2019 brenton tarrant killed fiftyone worshipers at the al noor mosque in christchurch new zealand that same year patrick crusius killed twentythree mexican invaders at an el paso texas walmartppas these outrages continue to pile up white supremacist terrorism warrants an urgent look the appearance of bymans exceedingly well researched emspreading hateem is alas nothing but timely a senior fellow at the brookings institution and a professor at georgetown byman is a specialist in counterterrorism proceeding both historically and analytically in this volume he ranges widely over his subject with chapters devoted to the interplay between political ideas and terrorism the impact of social media on the dissemination of white supremacist ideas and even to more abstruse aspects of the phenomenon like white power rock and roll all told bymans is a comprehensive account with attention paid to europe and particularly to the united statesppbyman begins his account with the ku klux klan the most significant white terrorist organization in our history it has gone through three major phases first in the reconstruction era the klan killed thousands of freed black slaves in a campaign of untrammeled terror across the south with the end of reconstruction and the return of home rule with southern whites again in the seat of power the dramatic social changes propelling the hatred disappeared and the klan shrunkppin 1915 the klan had a spectacular renaissance thanks largely to the film embirth of a nationem by the early 1920s its membership was swelling into the millions with chapters in every state and being more popular as byman notes outside the south than within it its targets in this era were not only blacks but also jews catholics immigrants and elites supposedly undermining americas protestant national character byman notes the klans extraordinary success in the political arena among its members at its peak were sixteen senators eleven governors and approximately seventyfive house members but by the late 1920s and alongside of the passage of draconian immigration restrictions the klan once again evanesced as byman explains the klans decline was a sign of the victory of its ideas you do not need an organization to defend white power when it is so entrenched in the system itselfppin the postworld war ii era the klan experienced yet another rebirth stemming from the battle against integration in the wake of the supreme court decision in embrown v board of educationem though the klan did not regain its former strength this did not stop its violence which was in bymans formulation endemic for much of the civil rights era with attacks on churches synagogues the homes of civil rights leaders as well as beatings and floggings between 1954 and 1969 white supremacists murdered fortyone civil rights activistsppbut once again its fortunes changed byman emphasizes the impact of television on the shift images of violence engaged the whole nation and made klan violence a political issue outside the south the pressure on washington to act increased ultimately forcing president johnson to launch a crackdown on the organization though fbi director j edgar hoover famously loathed the civil rights movement he hated the kkk as well calling it sadistic vicious white trashphrpwe remember cointelpro counterintelligence program as the illicit fbi covert action campaign employed by the fbi against civil rights and leftwing organizations but it was also as byman reminds us directed against the kkk and other hate groups before long these organizations were penetrated by fbi informants who sought to steer the groups away from violence using dirty tricks to discredit klan leaders including planting fake information about corruption and tales of sexual depravity along the way the fbi helped state and local police departments weed out klan members from within their ranks an important development given how intertwined the klan had grown with law enforcement in many locales under pressure from the fbi the irs with federal criminal cases against leading klansmen and civil lawsuits launched by the naacp and the southern poverty law center the klan went into a serious decline from which it has not recoveredppbut that is not the end of the story as byman recountspblockquote[t]he white supremacist world would adapt though the adaptations left it weaker than it was before the civil rights era organizations decentralized and smaller covert movements came to dominate the white supremacist cause the smaller groups less connected to mainstream society and with less to lose were often more radical and more violent than their larger and more conservative predecessorsblockquotepa plethora of new organizations cropped up christian identity the national alliance aryan nations white aryan resistance the order the order was crushed by the fbi after it assassinated jewish radio host alan berg in 1984 but white supremacist activists persisted and increasingly blended in with the antigovernment militia movement in the 1990spdiv span datapullquotewhite supremacist terrorism warrants an urgent lookspan divpthis trend of decentralization and diminution in size of white supremacist groups has culminated in the lone wolf phenomenon which is our principal problem today in the realm of white supremacist violence together with smaller cells of extremists engaged in leaderless resistance byman notes that lone wolves may be adept at killing but are singular failures at accomplishing their farfetched objectives some murder with the goal of accomplishing regime change others to terrify minorities into leaving the country yet others to establish white only enclaves further others have an idea of eventual victory that is hazy they kill with no real logic whatever their motivation and goals for obvious reasons hatefilled individuals acting on their own pose a much more difficult challenge for counterterrorism than broader movements like the klan as for small groups with crazy ideas byman notes their intrinsic weaknesspblockquotewhite supremacists must recruit raise money procure weapons train their people and otherwise be able to sustain and grow their organizations they must do so while carrying out attacks and trying to avoid being caught and jailed most fail others survive but do not prosper spending most of their time treading water unable to carry out their plansblockquotepwith this weakness in mind byman offers a thoughtful review of counterterrorism measures enacted past and present and provides a number of suggestions for further actions the only real surprise herea serious deficitis that he says nothing about curtailing the easy availability of weaponsppone measure byman proposes is to focus prevention efforts on prison populations where there are collections of violent young men who are attractive potential recruits for white supremacist groupings he applauds the deplatforming of extremists from social media as facebook and twitter began to do aggressively after charlottesville and then again after the january 6 insurrection at the capitol more centrally he favors increased use of intelligence gathering techniques including the use of confidential informants and wiretaps along with monitoring of social media posts which are often a significant source of intelligence he recommends stepped up law enforcement measures in particular using the charge of conspiracy which can be employed even if a crime is merely intended but does not occurppof course there are limits to these tools  a lone gunman with no criminal past as in uvalde and as in buffalo is going to be exceedingly difficult to stop  what could be stopped is the demonization of immigrants and the dissemination of racist material via mainstream channelsthe kind of propaganda that propels extremists into action  for engaging in such demonization and dissemination donald trump tucker carlson and chairman of fox corporation rupert murdoch have lives to answer forppa hrefaboutblankemstronggabriel schoenfeldstrongemaem a contributing editor of emamerican purposeememstrong strongemis a senior fellow at the niskanen centeremppppp

div hrefhttpsamznto3omv7ms target_blankemspreading hate global rise white supremacist terrorismemabr daniel byman oxford university press 288 pp 2593 divimg altbreeders violence srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202206murrahbuildingdemolitionmay1995jpgpsome violence witnessing late gunman killed nineteen children elementary school uvalde texas inexplicable evil violence witnessing gunman killed people supermarket black neighborhood buffalo new york explicable consequence white supremacist hatred captured alive eighteenyearold buffalo shooter placed lengthy manifesto internet championing great replacement theory white nationalist conspiracy theory according powerseeking elites plotting replace white majority population hispanics jews muslims blacks destroying american way lifeppformerly confined fringes great replacement theory lately broken mainstream pushed fox news television tucker carlsonthe father coughlin dayspreading xenophobia scarcely veiled racism massive audience donald trumps incendiary rhetoric immigration mexicotheyre bringing drugs theyre bringing crime theyre rapists assume good peopleis echoed buffalo shooters manifesto blasts immigration invasion level seen history tragedy befallen buffalo understood context ideas widely circulation minuscule percentage population hairtrigger away committing violent acts spread hatred highly visible public platforms deadly weapons readily available incite bloodshedppunfortunately daniel byman makes plain new book ema hrefhttpsamznto3xqkb4dspreading hate global rise white supremacist terrorisma em2022 problem time past decades united states world witnessed series spectacularly bloody attacks perpetrated banner racial hatredpptimothy mcveigh steeped viciously racist tract emthe turner diariesem pioneer 1995 attack federal building oklahoma city took 168 lives including nineteen children spate imitators followed 2011 anders behring breivik killed seventyseven people norway rid europe proclaimed manifesto scourge islam 2015 dylann roof killed worshipers emanuel african methodist episcopal church charleston south carolina 2018 robert bowers agitated caravans immigrants heading borders killed worshipers tree life synagogue pittsburgh 2019 brenton tarrant killed fiftyone worshipers al noor mosque christchurch new zealand year patrick crusius killed twentythree mexican invaders el paso texas walmartppas outrages continue pile white supremacist terrorism warrants urgent look appearance bymans exceedingly researched emspreading hateem alas timely senior fellow brookings institution professor georgetown byman specialist counterterrorism proceeding historically analytically volume ranges widely subject chapters devoted interplay political ideas terrorism impact social media dissemination white supremacist ideas abstruse aspects phenomenon like white power rock roll told bymans comprehensive account attention paid europe particularly united statesppbyman begins account ku klux klan significant white terrorist organization history gone major phases reconstruction era klan killed thousands freed black slaves campaign untrammeled terror south end reconstruction return home rule southern whites seat power dramatic social changes propelling hatred disappeared klan shrunkppin 1915 klan spectacular renaissance thanks largely film embirth nationem early 1920s membership swelling millions chapters state popular byman notes outside south targets era blacks jews catholics immigrants elites supposedly undermining americas protestant national character byman notes klans extraordinary success political arena members peak sixteen senators governors approximately seventyfive house members late 1920s alongside passage draconian immigration restrictions klan evanesced byman explains klans decline sign victory ideas need organization defend white power entrenched system itselfppin postworld war ii era klan experienced rebirth stemming battle integration wake supreme court decision embrown v board educationem klan regain strength stop violence bymans formulation endemic civil rights era attacks churches synagogues homes civil rights leaders beatings floggings 1954 1969 white supremacists murdered fortyone civil rights activistsppbut fortunes changed byman emphasizes impact television shift images violence engaged nation klan violence political issue outside south pressure washington act increased ultimately forcing president johnson launch crackdown organization fbi director j edgar hoover famously loathed civil rights movement hated kkk calling sadistic vicious white trashphrpwe remember cointelpro counterintelligence program illicit fbi covert action campaign employed fbi civil rights leftwing organizations byman reminds directed kkk hate groups long organizations penetrated fbi informants sought steer groups away violence dirty tricks discredit klan leaders including planting fake information corruption tales sexual depravity way fbi helped state local police departments weed klan members ranks important development given intertwined klan grown law enforcement locales pressure fbi irs federal criminal cases leading klansmen civil lawsuits launched naacp southern poverty law center klan went decline recoveredppbut end story byman recountspblockquote[t]he white supremacist world adapt adaptations left weaker civil rights era organizations decentralized smaller covert movements came dominate white supremacist cause smaller groups connected mainstream society lose radical violent larger conservative predecessorsblockquotepa plethora new organizations cropped christian identity national alliance aryan nations white aryan resistance order order crushed fbi assassinated jewish radio host alan berg 1984 white supremacist activists persisted increasingly blended antigovernment militia movement 1990spdiv span datapullquotewhite supremacist terrorism warrants urgent lookspan divpthis trend decentralization diminution size white supremacist groups culminated lone wolf phenomenon principal problem today realm white supremacist violence smaller cells extremists engaged leaderless resistance byman notes lone wolves adept killing singular failures accomplishing farfetched objectives murder goal accomplishing regime change terrify minorities leaving country establish white enclaves idea eventual victory hazy kill real logic motivation goals obvious reasons hatefilled individuals acting pose difficult challenge counterterrorism broader movements like klan small groups crazy ideas byman notes intrinsic weaknesspblockquotewhite supremacists recruit raise money procure weapons train people able sustain grow organizations carrying attacks trying avoid caught jailed fail survive prosper spending time treading water unable carry plansblockquotepwith weakness mind byman offers thoughtful review counterterrorism measures enacted past present provides number suggestions actions real surprise herea deficitis says curtailing easy availability weaponsppone measure byman proposes focus prevention efforts prison populations collections violent young men attractive potential recruits white supremacist groupings applauds deplatforming extremists social media facebook twitter began aggressively charlottesville january 6 insurrection capitol centrally favors increased use intelligence gathering techniques including use confidential informants wiretaps monitoring social media posts significant source intelligence recommends stepped law enforcement measures particular charge conspiracy employed crime merely intended occurppof course limits tools lone gunman criminal past uvalde buffalo going exceedingly difficult stop stopped demonization immigrants dissemination racist material mainstream channelsthe kind propaganda propels extremists action engaging demonization dissemination donald trump tucker carlson chairman fox corporation rupert murdoch lives answer forppa hrefaboutblankemstronggabriel schoenfeldstrongemaem contributing editor emamerican purposeememstrong strongemis senior fellow niskanen centeremppppp

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The Secrets and Sorrows of Gay Washington

img altthe secrets and sorrows of gay washington srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206kirchick1jpgpjamie kirchick joins us to discuss the triumph and sorrow of the gay experience in the nations capitol this is the story of ema hrefhttpsamznto3tzc5ujthe secret citya emkirchicks genredefining and panoramic history of the gay men and women who served in the halls of power all the while in constant fear that they would lose their jobs and perhaps even their lives ppit got worse before it got better we discuss how the national security stateborn after world war iiboth brought down immense suffering upon countless individuals including in a string of shocking suicides and helped shape the consciousness of the country as a whole there was the red scare but there was also the quotpink scarequot with fears of political perversion driving fears of sexual perversion and viceversa but was there progress in the end ppthe reagan administration despite its homophobia and failures to act on aids could also claim perhaps the largest number of gay political appointees up until that point in us history and then the closet began to open so much so that it is difficult to imagine just how horrific it was mere decades ago for gays serving in government but is this really quotprogressquotand does it mean we should be optimistic about americas future despite everything paudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomwisdomofcrowdswockirchick_mainmp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomwisdomofcrowdswockirchick_mainmp3herea is a link to the filep audiopin strongpart 2strong a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesecretsandsorrowsgaywashingtonwisdomofcrowdsliveareweallgaynowavailable herea for subscribers we dig deeper into just how lasting the triumphs of the gay rights movement will be on one hand homosexuality has become so normalized that no one except radical gender activists even thinks twice about pete buttigieg running for national office on the other the culture war over trans rights is taking a nasty turn with room for dissent rapidly closing we debate whether the lgbtq community can stay united in victory and whether queer ideology is actually homophobicppemrequired readingempulliema hrefhttpsamznto3tzc5ujsecret city the hidden history of gay washingtonaem by jamie kirchickliliquota hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202205thelongsordidhistoryofthegayconspiracytheoryhtmlthe long sordid history of the gay conspiracyaquot by jamie kirchick emnew york magazineemliliquota hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive201906battlegayrightsover592645the struggle for gay rights is overaquot by jamie kirchick emthe atlanticemliliema hrefhttpsamznto3ohmkg3notes on campa emby susan sontagliliema hrefhttpsamznto3nhz4wwvirtually normal an argument about homosexualitya emby andrew sullivanlilia hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomculturethenewyorkerinterviewjudithbutlerwantsustoreshapeourragemasha gessen on judith butlera emnew yorkeremliul

img altthe secrets sorrows gay washington srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206kirchick1jpgpjamie kirchick joins discuss triumph sorrow gay experience nations capitol story ema hrefhttpsamznto3tzc5ujthe secret citya emkirchicks genredefining panoramic history gay men women served halls power constant fear lose jobs lives ppit got worse got better discuss national security stateborn world war iiboth brought immense suffering countless individuals including string shocking suicides helped shape consciousness country red scare quotpink scarequot fears political perversion driving fears sexual perversion viceversa progress end ppthe reagan administration despite homophobia failures act aids claim largest number gay political appointees point history closet began open difficult imagine horrific mere decades ago gays serving government quotprogressquotand mean optimistic americas future despite paudio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomwisdomofcrowdswockirchick_mainmp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomwisdomofcrowdswockirchick_mainmp3herea link filep audiopin strongpart 2strong hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesecretsandsorrowsgaywashingtonwisdomofcrowdsliveareweallgaynowavailable herea subscribers dig deeper lasting triumphs gay rights movement hand homosexuality normalized radical gender activists thinks twice pete buttigieg running national office culture war trans rights taking nasty turn room dissent rapidly closing debate lgbtq community stay united victory queer ideology actually homophobicppemrequired readingempulliema hrefhttpsamznto3tzc5ujsecret city hidden history gay washingtonaem jamie kirchickliliquota hrefhttpsnymagcomintelligencer202205thelongsordidhistoryofthegayconspiracytheoryhtmlthe long sordid history gay conspiracyaquot jamie kirchick emnew york magazineemliliquota hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive201906battlegayrightsover592645the struggle gay rights overaquot jamie kirchick emthe atlanticemliliema hrefhttpsamznto3ohmkg3notes campa emby susan sontagliliema hrefhttpsamznto3nhz4wwvirtually normal argument homosexualitya emby andrew sullivanlilia hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomculturethenewyorkerinterviewjudithbutlerwantsustoreshapeourragemasha gessen judith butlera emnew yorkeremliul

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Are We All Gay Now?

img altare we all gay now srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206kirchick2jpgpin strongpart 2strong we dig deeper into just how lasting the triumphs of the gay rights movement will be on one hand homosexuality has become so normalized that no one except radical gender activists even thinks twice about pete buttigieg running for national office on the other the culture war over trans rights is taking a nasty turn with room for dissent rapidly closing we debate whether the lgbtq community can stay united in victory and whether queer ideology is actually homophobicppin case you missed it strongpart 1strong of our discussion is a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesecretsandsorrowsgaywashingtonavailable hereap

img altare gay srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202206kirchick2jpgpin strongpart 2strong dig deeper lasting triumphs gay rights movement hand homosexuality normalized radical gender activists thinks twice pete buttigieg running national office culture war trans rights taking nasty turn room dissent rapidly closing debate lgbtq community stay united victory queer ideology actually homophobicppin case missed strongpart 1strong discussion hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivesecretsandsorrowsgaywashingtonavailable hereap

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If you wish to debate SCOTUS on Roe v. Wade…

pcomments are openp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206ifyouwishtodebatescotusonroevwadehtmlif you wish to debate scotus on roe v wadea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pcomments openp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206ifyouwishtodebatescotusonroevwadehtmlif wish debate scotus roe v wadea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Putin’s War Driven by Domestic Politics – Boris Kagarlitsky

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsputinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky titleputins war driven by domestic politics boris kagarlitskyimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitskyjpg 1280w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apnato expansion and the defense of donbas are not the primary motivations for russias invasion of ukraine says kagarlitsky stoking nationalism to shore up support for putins government is two corrupt oligarchies fight a war that only the arms manufacturers can win putins war driven by domestic politics boris kagarlitsky daniel ellsberg on nuclear war and ukraine sovereignty and warp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsputinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitskysourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsputinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky titleputins war driven domestic politics boris kagarlitskyimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitsky768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202206putinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitskyjpg 1280w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apnato expansion defense donbas primary motivations russias invasion ukraine says kagarlitsky stoking nationalism shore support putins government corrupt oligarchies fight war arms manufacturers win putins war driven domestic politics boris kagarlitsky daniel ellsberg nuclear war ukraine sovereignty warp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsputinswardrivenbydomesticpoliticsboriskagarlitskysourceap

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*How the World Became Rich*

pby mark koyama my colleague and jared rubin with the subtitle emthe historical origins of economic growthem  i am now home and am united with my copy  it is the single best treatment on what the title promises  you can buy it a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricaldp1509540237refsr_1_1crid3taw2s7hygy7hkeywordshowtheworldbecamerichthehistoricaloriginsofeconomicgrowthqid1656097680sprefixhowtheworldbecamerich2caps2c297sr81 target_blankhereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206howtheworldbecamerichhtmlhow the world became richa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pby mark koyama colleague jared rubin subtitle emthe historical origins economic growthem home united copy single best treatment title promises buy relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowworldbecamerichhistoricaldp1509540237refsr_1_1crid3taw2s7hygy7hkeywordshowtheworldbecamerichthehistoricaloriginsofeconomicgrowthqid1656097680sprefixhowtheworldbecamerich2caps2c297sr81 target_blankhereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206howtheworldbecamerichhtmlhow world richa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62be26c159e8782c59a3e914

My Conversation with Barkha Dutt

phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesbarkhadutt target_blankthe linka and here is part of the cwt summaryp blockquotepbarkha joined tyler to discuss how westerners can gain a more complete picture of india the misogyny still embedded in indian society why family law should be agnostic of religious belief the causes of declining fertility in india why relations between hindus and muslims seem to be worsening how caste has persisted so strongly in india the success of indias subsidized institutes of higher education the best city for indian food the power of amar chitra kathas comics the influence of her english liberal arts education the future of angloamerican liberalism in india the best ways to use twitter and morepblockquote pand from the conversationp blockquote pstrongcowen strongmany outsiders have the impression that relations between hindus and muslims and the aggregate in india have become worse over the last 10 to 15 years if you put aside particular actions of particular political personalities and you try to think of a structural reason why that might be true  because normally the intuition is people grow richer theyre more tolerant theres more commercial interaction theres more intermingling  what would be your structural account of why in some ways that problem has become worsep pstrongdutt strongyou just spoke of intermingling tyler i think that one of the biggest reasons for the worsening relations or the othering as it were of communities that are not your own is the ghettoization of how people live for example if there were neighborhoods where people live cheek by jowl  that still happens of course in many cities but it also happens less than it used to and that is true we are seeing a muslim quarter to give an example or a christian quarter in a way that we wouldnt have before our cities were so ghettoizedp pi think that kind of intermingling of living in the same housing societies or neighborhoods participating in each others festivals as opposed to just tolerating them  those are the structural changes or shifts that we are witnessing its also true that it is tougher for a person from a religious minority  in particular an indian muslim  to get a house as easily as a nonmuslim i think i would be lying if i did not acknowledge that also the last point is interfaith marriages or interfaith love this is a deeply politicized issue as wellp pwhile im talking to you in the last 24 hours in the southern city of hyderabad one of our big technology hubs weve had reports of a muslim family that attacked a hindu man for marrying a muslim woman in reverse we see muslim women also targeted all the time if they choose to marry hindus this is not helped by the fact that youve had several states now talking about what they call a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110101041105988indiamuslimhinduinterfaithweddingconversion target_blank datahrefhttpswwwnprorg202110101041105988indiamuslimhinduinterfaithweddingconversionlove jihada thats the phrase they use for marriages that are across religious communities in particular between hindus and muslimsp pthe percentage of indians marrying not just outside their religion but also outside their caste  which in hinduism is a hierarchical system of traditional occupation that youre born into  is woefully low i dont know if i remember my data correctly but i think less than a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthehinducomdatajust5percentofindianmarriagesareintercastearticle6591502ece target_blank datahrefhttpswwwthehinducomdatajust5percentofindianmarriagesareintercastearticle6591502ece5 percent of indians actually marry outside of their own communitiesa i would need to go back to that number and check it but thats what i remember off the top of my headp pthose are the structural reasons the fact that people dont love or have relationships outside of their community dont live enough with people of diverse faiths and dont participate in each others livesp pwe used to have this politically correct phrase called tolerance which i actually just hate and i keep nudging people towards the indian military the indian military actually has a system of the commanding officer taking on the faith of his troops during religious prayers the military has multireligious places of worship it even has something called an mmg which is not just a medium machine gun but a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwindiasentinelscomopinionreligiousbonhomieandcommunalharmonyinindianarmedforces5217 target_blank datahrefhttpswwwindiasentinelscomopinionreligiousbonhomieandcommunalharmonyinindianarmedforces5217emmandir masjid gurdwaraema which is all the different faiths praying together at the same place we dont see a lot of that kind of thing happening outside of the militaryp panother a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgreligion20210629religioninindiatoleranceandsegregation target_blank datahrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgreligion20210629religioninindiatoleranceandsegregationsurvey done by pewa reinforced this when it spoke of indians today being more like a thali than khichri let me just explain that a thali is a silver tray where you get little balls of different food items pew found that hindus and muslims  when surveyed both spoke of the need for religious diversity as being a cornerstone of india they like the idea of india as a thali where there were different little food items but emseparateem food items the khichri is rice and lentils all mixed up and eaten with pickle the khichri is that intermingling the untidy overlappingp pwe are just seeing less and less of that overlapping in my opinion that is tragic where there is social interdependence where there is economic interdependence where there is personal interdependence is when relationships thrive and flourish and get better but when they remain ghettos separations just tolerating each other  that i think remains in the realm of otheringp blockquote precommended interesting throughoutp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206myconversationwithbarkhadutthtmlmy conversation with barkha dutta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesbarkhadutt target_blankthe linka cwt summaryp blockquotepbarkha joined tyler discuss westerners gain complete picture india misogyny embedded indian society family law agnostic religious belief causes declining fertility india relations hindus muslims worsening caste persisted strongly india success indias subsidized institutes higher education best city indian food power amar chitra kathas comics influence english liberal arts education future angloamerican liberalism india best ways use twitter morepblockquote pand conversationp blockquote pstrongcowen strongmany outsiders impression relations hindus muslims aggregate india worse 10 15 years aside particular actions particular political personalities try think structural reason truebecause normally intuition people grow richer theyre tolerant theres commercial interaction theres interminglingwhat structural account ways problem worsep pstrongdutt strongyou spoke intermingling tyler think biggest reasons worsening relations othering communities ghettoization people live example neighborhoods people live cheek jowlthat happens course cities happens true seeing muslim quarter example christian quarter way wouldnt cities ghettoizedp pi think kind intermingling living housing societies neighborhoods participating festivals opposed tolerating themthose structural changes shifts witnessing true tougher person religious minorityin particular indian muslimto house easily nonmuslim think lying acknowledge point interfaith marriages interfaith love deeply politicized issue wellp pwhile im talking 24 hours southern city hyderabad big technology hubs weve reports muslim family attacked hindu man marrying muslim woman reverse muslim women targeted time choose marry hindus helped fact youve states talking relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110101041105988indiamuslimhinduinterfaithweddingconversion target_blank datahrefhttpswwwnprorg202110101041105988indiamuslimhinduinterfaithweddingconversionlove jihada thats phrase use marriages religious communities particular hindus muslimsp pthe percentage indians marrying outside religion outside castewhich hinduism hierarchical system traditional occupation youre born intois woefully low dont know remember data correctly think relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthehinducomdatajust5percentofindianmarriagesareintercastearticle6591502ece target_blank datahrefhttpswwwthehinducomdatajust5percentofindianmarriagesareintercastearticle6591502ece5 percent indians actually marry outside communitiesa need number check thats remember headp pthose structural reasons fact people dont love relationships outside community dont live people diverse faiths dont participate livesp pwe politically correct phrase called tolerance actually hate nudging people indian military indian military actually system commanding officer taking faith troops religious prayers military multireligious places worship called mmg medium machine gun relnoopener hrefhttpswwwindiasentinelscomopinionreligiousbonhomieandcommunalharmonyinindianarmedforces5217 target_blank datahrefhttpswwwindiasentinelscomopinionreligiousbonhomieandcommunalharmonyinindianarmedforces5217emmandir masjid gurdwaraema different faiths praying place dont lot kind thing happening outside militaryp panother relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgreligion20210629religioninindiatoleranceandsegregation target_blank datahrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgreligion20210629religioninindiatoleranceandsegregationsurvey pewa reinforced spoke indians today like thali khichri let explain thali silver tray little balls different food items pew found hindus muslimswhen surveyed spoke need religious diversity cornerstone india like idea india thali different little food items emseparateem food items khichri rice lentils mixed eaten pickle khichri intermingling untidy overlappingp pwe seeing overlapping opinion tragic social interdependence economic interdependence personal interdependence relationships thrive flourish better remain ghettos separations tolerating otherthat think remains realm otheringp blockquote precommended interesting throughoutp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202206myconversationwithbarkhadutthtmlmy conversation barkha dutta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62c4bbe89c822302df34133c

Bernie Sanders Wants To Force Airlines To Refund Passengers for Flights Delayed Over 1 Hour

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361522400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361521200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361522400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361521200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altbernie sanders speaking in a committee hearing srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpg height675 picture div plast week sen bernie sanders ivt sent a letter to transportation secretary pete buttigieg a hrefhttpswwwnprorg202206291108687699senberniesanderscallsdotfiningairlinesdisruptedflightsemci5b5bcbe54bf9ec11b47a281878b83d8aemdi999a9bae52f9ec11b47a281878b83d8aceid285202proposing thata the federal government take quotimmediate actionquot to reduce flight cancellations and delays that have been inconveniencing american travelers this summerp paccording to sanders the us government ought to fine airlines 55000 per passenger for each flight the airline must cancel due to staffing shortages airlines also ought to be fined by the government 27500 per passenger for each domestic flight delayed over two hours where passengers must sit on the tarmac and 15000 per passenger for each domestic flight delayed by more than two hours if tarmac loitering is not a factor neither fine would be doled out if weather forces a delay for flights delayed by merely one hour sanders wants the federal government to force airlines to give passengers refundsp pthough none of this is likely to become law sanders frequent cries for heavyhanded federal government intervention should be opposed whenever they crop up this one is no exceptionp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrsenate budget committee chair a hrefhttpstwittercomberniesandersref_srctwsrc5etfwberniesandersa writes a letter asking transportation a hrefhttpstwittercomsecretarypeteref_srctwsrc5etfwsecretarypetea to take action against the airline industry over flight cancellations proposing passenger refunds and fines a hrefhttpstcopoysoodmk8pictwittercompoysoodmk8ap p sahil kapur sahilkapur a hrefhttpstwittercomsahilkapurstatus1542181808548315140ref_srctwsrc5etfwjune 29 2022apblockquote pp psanders ever a man of the people is reacting to the fact that summer air travel has been a hot mess prices have surged reflecting pentup demand that has rebounded from peak covid era while some airlines like a hrefhttpsthepointsguycomnewsjetbluemassivesummerroutecutsjetbluea have cut routes and most have struggled with staffing shortages in atlanta a hrefhttpswwwajccomnewsatlantaairportblogdeltapilotspicketathartsfieldjackson6yvphuvw4zgtvkpvw47fnz6dmi400 delta pilotsa spent this past holiday weekend picketing protesting what they say are a hrefhttpskutvcomnewsnationworlddeltaairlinespilotsprotestjune30saltlakeinternationalairportdelayedrescheduledcanceledflightsairlinepilotsassociationpicketlinelaxatlantainternationaldetroitmetropolitanwaynecountyminneapolissaintpauljfkseattletacpasubpar working conditionsa per a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtransportation20220702july4flightdelayscancellationsdata collecteda saturday afternoon 20 percent of southwest flights within the us had been delayed for the start of fourth of july weekend american airlines logged similar numbers while delta came in a little better at 13 percentp pquotnine of the ten busiest days for air travel passenger volume since march 2020 have come in the last monthquot a hrefhttpsthepointsguycomnewstsapandemicrecordjulyfourthwrotea sean cudahy last week for emthe points guy quotemand the majority of those days fell in the last week or twoquot transportation security administration passthrough numbers for this holiday weekend a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticletravelleisuretransportationbee6fab05daf916683727e3879668cb2surpasseda last years with more than 9 million total travelers hitting us airports between thursday and sunday the emlos angeles timesem a hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220704flightcancellationseaseslightlyasjuly4weekendendsreportsa that quota relnoopener hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlepetebuttigieggovernmentandpoliticsairlinestransportationc3ebc7fbe4bcfb6402e67e0d626365a0 target_blankthe rate of cancellationsa over the last two weeks is up 59 from the same period in 2019 before the pandemicquotp pthe reasons for this dysfunction are complex though and sanders proposed fixeswhich read more like punishmentswould not solve domestic flyers problemsp pmostly the summer of flight delays and cancellations is a demand issue travel demand is extraordinarily high which is a positive indicator that most americans are going back to the normal patterns of life following pandemic interruptions overly cautious guidelines from the centers for disease control and prevention and 40yearhigh inflation be damned when you order people to stay at home for many months and tell them to skip a bunch of holidays and life events at a certain point they decide to get back in the game of existing as social creatures were seeing that happen nowp pbut its also an understaffing problem over the course of the pandemic many airline employees were unable to do their jobs as theyd traditionally been done due to depressed travel a a hrefhttpswwwjoshbarrocompwhyisflyingsuchanightmarerightdetailschunk of thema participated in the muchballyhooed quotgreat resignationquot switching industries or retiring a bit early a hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomcoronavirushavocforcesairlinestoretireiconicplanessooner20203some airlinesa a hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220211industrialstrengthaircraftretirementpartyhasbeenpostponedkziq7ouhtook advantagea of service interruptions to retire some of their aircraft which resulted in pilots needing to be retrained to fly different plane models some airlines also a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210507travelpilotsretraininghtmlretrained pilotsa who had been furloughed or laid off during that period of recordlow travel demand airlines like delta faced with financial trouble during the pandemic adopted controversial quota hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomdeltajunioritybenefitsavingairlineloadsofcash20226juniority benefitsaquot aka buyouts for the most senior and highlypaid employees as a costcutting measure airlines did what they could to hunker down cut costs and make the best of a dismal time for the industryp pmeanwhile air traffic controlrun by the federal aviation administration faaalso deserves a hrefhttpsskiftcom20220627whatsbehindtheairlinesoperationalmessthissummersome of the blamea faa representatives a hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorytravelairlinenews20220705faastaffshortageairlinedelays7812112001denya that theres a staffing shortage while simultaneously admitting that air traffic controller training has been reduced due to covidwhich sure looks like a staffing shortagep psanders is right to bemoan the fact that airlines received a hrefhttpsskiftcom20210729federalaidsavedusairlinesfromtheworstofthepandemicbutwasitasuccess74 billiona in pandemicrelated aid from the federal government which was ostensibly doled out to ensure airlines would be able to be resilient during lowtravel times and get back to regularly planned service once conditions stabilized though it didnt quite work out that way its almost like infusions of federal cash change airlines incentives and dont even fully prevent bad outcomesp pits hard to see how the federal government intervention proposed by sanders would create the endgame he desires at a time when airlines are struggling to adapt to quickly changing conditions and still face many unknownslike whether business travel will ever fully reboundthat are tough to plan forp pmany sectors of the economy are experiencing strain right now theres a palpable sense among american consumers that everything is getting simultaneously worse and more expensive but this will not always be the case since markets have a way of sorting these things out over time and readjusting to consumers everchanging needs eventually supply chains will restabilize ports will no longer cyclically close down or be shortstaffed due to covid lockdowns the real estate market will cool down a bit with homes no longer going for 20 percent above asking inflation will someday be below todays staggering a hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleasecpinr0htm86 percenta and yes airlines will once again compete for the mantle of best and most reliable taking discerning flyers with them and letting those who dont care as much about service interruptions gravitate toward more affordable airlinesp pbut its not sanders who will pull all this offits market forces quietly at work that should be trusted not messed withp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220705berniesanderswantsairlinestorefundpassengersflightsdelayedbernie sanders wants to force airlines to refund passengers for flights delayed over 1 houra appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361522400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361521200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361522400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207spnphotosten7361521200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altbernie sanders speaking committee hearing srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207spnphotosten736152800x450jpg height675 picture div plast week sen bernie sanders ivt sent letter transportation secretary pete buttigieg hrefhttpswwwnprorg202206291108687699senberniesanderscallsdotfiningairlinesdisruptedflightsemci5b5bcbe54bf9ec11b47a281878b83d8aemdi999a9bae52f9ec11b47a281878b83d8aceid285202proposing thata federal government quotimmediate actionquot reduce flight cancellations delays inconveniencing american travelers summerp paccording sanders government ought fine airlines 55000 passenger flight airline cancel staffing shortages airlines ought fined government 27500 passenger domestic flight delayed hours passengers sit tarmac 15000 passenger domestic flight delayed hours tarmac loitering factor fine doled weather forces delay flights delayed merely hour sanders wants federal government force airlines passengers refundsp pthough likely law sanders frequent cries heavyhanded federal government intervention opposed crop exceptionp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrsenate budget committee chair hrefhttpstwittercomberniesandersref_srctwsrc5etfwberniesandersa writes letter asking transportation hrefhttpstwittercomsecretarypeteref_srctwsrc5etfwsecretarypetea action airline industry flight cancellations proposing passenger refunds fines hrefhttpstcopoysoodmk8pictwittercompoysoodmk8ap p sahil kapur sahilkapur hrefhttpstwittercomsahilkapurstatus1542181808548315140ref_srctwsrc5etfwjune 29 2022apblockquote pp psanders man people reacting fact summer air travel hot mess prices surged reflecting pentup demand rebounded peak covid era airlines like hrefhttpsthepointsguycomnewsjetbluemassivesummerroutecutsjetbluea cut routes struggled staffing shortages atlanta hrefhttpswwwajccomnewsatlantaairportblogdeltapilotspicketathartsfieldjackson6yvphuvw4zgtvkpvw47fnz6dmi400 delta pilotsa spent past holiday weekend picketing protesting hrefhttpskutvcomnewsnationworlddeltaairlinespilotsprotestjune30saltlakeinternationalairportdelayedrescheduledcanceledflightsairlinepilotsassociationpicketlinelaxatlantainternationaldetroitmetropolitanwaynecountyminneapolissaintpauljfkseattletacpasubpar working conditionsa hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtransportation20220702july4flightdelayscancellationsdata collecteda saturday afternoon 20 percent southwest flights delayed start fourth july weekend american airlines logged similar numbers delta came little better 13 percentp pquotnine busiest days air travel passenger volume march 2020 come monthquot hrefhttpsthepointsguycomnewstsapandemicrecordjulyfourthwrotea sean cudahy week emthe points guy quotemand majority days fell week twoquot transportation security administration passthrough numbers holiday weekend hrefhttpsapnewscomarticletravelleisuretransportationbee6fab05daf916683727e3879668cb2surpasseda years 9 million total travelers hitting airports thursday sunday emlos angeles timesem hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220704flightcancellationseaseslightlyasjuly4weekendendsreportsa quota relnoopener hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlepetebuttigieggovernmentandpoliticsairlinestransportationc3ebc7fbe4bcfb6402e67e0d626365a0 target_blankthe rate cancellationsa weeks 59 period 2019 pandemicquotp pthe reasons dysfunction complex sanders proposed fixeswhich read like punishmentswould solve domestic flyers problemsp pmostly summer flight delays cancellations demand issue travel demand extraordinarily high positive indicator americans going normal patterns life following pandemic interruptions overly cautious guidelines centers disease control prevention 40yearhigh inflation damned order people stay home months tell skip bunch holidays life events certain point decide game existing social creatures seeing happen nowp pbut understaffing problem course pandemic airline employees unable jobs theyd traditionally depressed travel hrefhttpswwwjoshbarrocompwhyisflyingsuchanightmarerightdetailschunk thema participated muchballyhooed quotgreat resignationquot switching industries retiring bit early hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomcoronavirushavocforcesairlinestoretireiconicplanessooner20203some airlinesa hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220211industrialstrengthaircraftretirementpartyhasbeenpostponedkziq7ouhtook advantagea service interruptions retire aircraft resulted pilots needing retrained fly different plane models airlines hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210507travelpilotsretraininghtmlretrained pilotsa furloughed laid period recordlow travel demand airlines like delta faced financial trouble pandemic adopted controversial quota hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomdeltajunioritybenefitsavingairlineloadsofcash20226juniority benefitsaquot aka buyouts senior highlypaid employees costcutting measure airlines hunker cut costs best dismal time industryp pmeanwhile air traffic controlrun federal aviation administration faaalso deserves hrefhttpsskiftcom20220627whatsbehindtheairlinesoperationalmessthissummersome blamea faa representatives hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorytravelairlinenews20220705faastaffshortageairlinedelays7812112001denya theres staffing shortage simultaneously admitting air traffic controller training reduced covidwhich sure looks like staffing shortagep psanders right bemoan fact airlines received hrefhttpsskiftcom20210729federalaidsavedusairlinesfromtheworstofthepandemicbutwasitasuccess74 billiona pandemicrelated aid federal government ostensibly doled ensure airlines able resilient lowtravel times regularly planned service conditions stabilized didnt work way like infusions federal cash change airlines incentives dont fully prevent bad outcomesp pits hard federal government intervention proposed sanders create endgame desires time airlines struggling adapt quickly changing conditions face unknownslike business travel fully reboundthat tough plan forp pmany sectors economy experiencing strain right theres palpable sense american consumers getting simultaneously worse expensive case markets way sorting things time readjusting consumers everchanging needs eventually supply chains restabilize ports longer cyclically close shortstaffed covid lockdowns real estate market cool bit homes longer going 20 percent asking inflation someday todays staggering hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleasecpinr0htm86 percenta yes airlines compete mantle best reliable taking discerning flyers letting dont care service interruptions gravitate affordable airlinesp pbut sanders pull offits market forces quietly work trusted messed withp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220705berniesanderswantsairlinestorefundpassengersflightsdelayedbernie sanders wants force airlines refund passengers flights delayed 1 houra appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62c60d96b79bc621e7af7b2c

The End of Moore’s Law and the Future of Computers: My Long-Read Q&A with Neil Thompson

pstrongby james pethokoukis and neil thompsonstrongp pmoores law which states that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles every two years has fueled rapid computing gains since the mid20th century but will this law last forever todays guest neil thompson thinks its end is near ive invited neil on the podcast to explain why moores law may be coming to an end and what that means for productivity growth and continued innovationp pneil is an innovation scholar in mits computer science and artificial intelligence laboratory a research scientist at the mit initiative on the digital economy and an associate member of the broad institutep diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisodebf25a36ec7ac4200addaafd8d32bdae5iframediv pwhat follows is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation including brief portions that were cut from the original podcast you can download the episode a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastneilthompsonismooreslawcomingtoanend target_blankherea and dont forget to subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell your friends leave a reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong stronglets start with a basic question and then maybe a somewhat harder question what is moores law and what does the world look like today if it didnt existstrongp pthompson so moores law is an incredibly important trend which is sort of used to talk about broadly all of the improvement in computing weve had in the last five or six decades the actual origins of it though come from basically the miniaturization of computer chips and the elements that are on computer chips and it was kind of a neat moment where a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikirichard_feynman target_blankrichard feynmana the nobel prizewinning physicist gave this a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikithere27s_plenty_of_room_at_the_bottom target_blankspeecha back in 1959 by the way this was an afterdinner speech if you believe it this was like youre at a conference and someone was just saying hey by the way why dont you say a few remarksp pstrongthats greatstrongp pand in this talk he says okay let me tell you about nanotechnology because were doing all these things in this sort of regular world and i think we could just keep miniaturizing stuff all the way down to the point where its just a few atoms and he said that about computers rightp phe said we can make them and these parts will be really small like 10 or a 100 atoms big and this was a pretty remarkable thing that he said its a little hard i think to get the sense of how big the difference is between our everyday lives and that many atoms but its roughly proportional to if you were building things the size of the earth and youre like you know what i think we could build that the size of a tennis ball and that really laid out a roadmap for us as we improved our technology to say we could keep miniaturizing and it turned out as we did that we were able to put more transistors on our chip which meant we could do more and we could run our chips fasterp pand a huge amount of the revolution weve had in it all really comes from this if we were still using the computers back in those early days we really could not be doing almost anything that were doing today so it has had an enormous effect on society and yeah it has really been very transformationalp spanspan pstrongim old enough that im pretty sure i may have watched some sort of film strip or something in school about computers and they were still pretty big so this is probably like the 70s it may have been in black and white so maybe it wasnt state of the art but it was classic giant monolithic computers with punch cards and things like that so maybe wed still be in that world i dont knowstrongp pi remember those moments too my mother used to do some of her research with a computer and shed come back with extra punch cards when they were getting rid of the computer and we had these things as our notepadsp pstrongthats great if i did a news search on moores law and i searched with a phrase like coming to an end i would find many stories over many years about the end of moores law have all those reports of its death been greatly exaggerated or are we finally therestrongp pyes youre absolutely right you can go back decades and find people saying well this is going to be a problem or this is going to be a problem and actually its a real credit to the technologists and engineers that they were able to push through that and get past it but since 2004 what is clear is weve lost many of the benefits of moores lawp plet me make the distinction here because when a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigordon_moore target_blankgordon moorea actually made up this law it was really about the number of transistors you could fit on a chip which is a very specific technical thing about what you can do but what it translated to generally was this incredible speed up in the capacity of our chips and how fast we could run them and so we sort have taken to calling all of those things moores law but in practice actually in 20042005 we lost i think one of the most important parts of that which is the speed up on our chipsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadmoorejpgx91208 classwpimage1008653350figcaptionus president george w bush presents gordon moore with the presidential medal of freedom at the white house july 9 2002 reutershyungwon kang hkfigcaptionfigure pso chips at that point were about 3 gigahertz the chips in your computer today are about 3 gigahertz and so weve really plateaued whereas before that we were improving it exponentially so we really have lost a lot of it already its also very clear that we are pretty close to the end even being able to get more transistors on and thats not just me saying that the people who designed the roadmaps to figure out what are the technologies that we need to put together in order to make the next generation of moores law happenthose folks have already said whoa whoa whoa that cant be the path anymore so its no longer just lone voices in the cold saying its going to end now its a lot of the communityp pstrongspeed and the number of transistors on a chip i think those are two different things how are they differentstrongp pi think a useful way to think about this is to think about that miniaturization that feynman had proposed every time you shrink those transistors you can fit more on a chip and thats just geometry right we know that if weve sort of taken up less space you can fit more on so thats really good and that allows you to have things like more memory for example on your chip and so if you think about cachethat may be something people see when theyre buying their computersthe size of cache has been going up a lot over time so thats really goodp pbut the speed of your computer is also based on how many operations you can do in one second so you do one thing and then you do the next thing and you do the next thing and one of the things that modern computers are really good at is doing things way way faster than we can so if you think about our clock being one second they can do three billion things in that one second three billions sets of operations its enormously fast but it turns out that also came from the miniaturization that was happening with moores lawp pthe limit to running chips faster is always that as you run them faster they produce more heat and the problem is if you produce a lot of heat youll eventually melt the chip so theres a limit to how fast you can sort of toggle it up to be able to run it faster and you hit that limit and then you stop and the nice thing is as we miniaturized it turns out we were able to run them faster right they produced less heat because they were smaller and so you could turn up the speed a little bit and you just kept being able to do that over and over again until we hit this limit in 2004 and 2005p pstrongi write a lot about the down shift in productivity growth in the united states and in other countries starting in the 70s and then we had this kind of blip up in the late 90s and early 2000s i think this down shiftand people can debate if productivity is being properly measuredhappened at the same time as this amazing improvement in chip performance and the capabilities of computers so first do we know to what extent moores law contributed to productivity growth over the past half century do you happen to know if theres a rough estimate im kind of asking you to do this off the top of your head so i apologizestrongp pi think that there are sort of two ways to answer that question theres the sort of overall itwhat macroeconomists say the effect that it is having on productivityand by one estimate since the 1970s about a third of all labor productivity improvements have come from improvements in it that sort of gives you sort of one version of thisp pstrongrightstrongp pbut its very hard in a lot of ways to measure it because moores law has been a pretty stable thing over time and that tends to be a hard thing for economists to measure but in some of the work that i did as part of my dissertation work i can actually show for example that in this 20042005 era where we lose the speed up it turns out a whole bunch of firms are hurt by that their productivities do not rise as fast as a result of this and so we definitely can see these effects coming in and myself and my group the stuff that we work on a lot of this is trying to get a much better estimate of this because we think this is actually a pretty crucial question because we may have actually been systematically underestimating the effect that it has had and moores law has had on the economyp pstronggiven the fact that we may have underestimated it how concerned should i be going forward if weve had this struggle of measured productivity growth at least as currently measured emwithem moores law how concerned should i be about productivity growthwhich is pretty important for raising living standards going forwardwith moores law at an endstrongp pi am worried about this i am absolutely worried about this and the way i think of this is if you look across society and you think of general productivity improvements youre talking 1 or 2 percent per year kind of as how we make things better over time and at its peak the improvement that we were making in our chips was 52 percent per year so it was vastly faster and that really had sort of spillover effects on everybody else everyone else could say let me use computers to do this additional thing and make my part of the economy more productive as well and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsscholarharvardedujorgensonhome target_blankdale jorgensona at harvard has done some nice work splitting that out and seeing how important it isp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadquantumjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653360figcaptionquantum computer startup quera computings 256qubit machine is pictured in boston massachusetts us on february 18 2021 alexei bylinskii querahandout via reutersfigcaptionfigure pand then as we get to the end the question is where do we go from here if this engine has been slowing down and of course there are some candidates people talk about artificial intelligence are we going to be able to use that quantum computing are we going to be able to use that and some of these other things and the question is do these things have the legs in the same way that moores law has had and i think its not at all clear that any of them will be able to sort of take up that mantle in the way that moores law has done particularly over so many decadesp pstrongcomputers start out at the very beginning as a very specific technology developed for use in warim sure you know a lot more about this than i didwhether its calculating artillery range or something then it became what economists call a a hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigeneralpurpose_technologygeneralpurpose technologya youve written that its now transitioning back into a more specific technology where computers and chips become more special purpose do i have that rightstrongp pyeah thats right thats right so maybe a way to think about this is a swiss army knife versus having a whole toolkit full of hammers and screwdrivers and all those kind of things so you could say im trying to make this decision should i invest in a swiss army knife or should i buy a screwdriver and all those kind of thingsp pi think in my toolbox and im sure in yours we have the full set of things right we dont just have this swiss army knife and the reason thats true is because obviously if you specialize your tool for one particular thing does that thing better but the remarkable thing about what we got with these sort of generalpurpose chips which is the cpus over time was they got better so fast that the choice was more well do i want to buy a screwdriver today or do i want to buy a new swiss army knife four years from now thats going to be vastly vastly better and so we sort of kept on that pathp pbut it only works that tradeoff is only worth doing as long as the swiss army knife is getting better fast enough as long as the cpu is getting better fast enough and what weve seen is a real breakdown in that that is as this slows down weve gone from that 52 percent that i had told you before as the rate of growth by one measure were now down to 35 percent per year improvement and so at that level youre much better off saying i want to get the screwdriver myself and we already see lots and lots of firms doing this so google is building their own chips amazon is building their own chips tesla is building their own chips lots of people are going down this road to build a specialized chip that is right for exactly what they want to do not the one that were all on the same platform forp pstrongyou mentioned ai earlier when you talk about ai what are we talking about machine learning deep learning and is this world of more specialized chips just fine if your specialty is deep learning you have a deep learning chip im probably wildly oversimplifying this so does that have a negative impact what do you mean by ai and then what is the impact of a more specialized chipstrongp pi think youre so right to point us out lets talk about what we mean by ai because people mean everything from artificial general intelligencewhich obviously has a whole bunch of particular implicationsto i would say sort of a catchall phrase where almost everything from data science these days gets wrapped in this blanket of artificial intelligence certainly within the last 10 years the thing that has really changed remarkably is deep learning in particularp pand for those in your audience who havent seen this this used to be called neural networks this has existed back since the 50s and it was just that when we didnt have much computing power they were kind of small and they didnt have very many layers which is sort of one of the ways that people think about them and as we got more computing power they got deeper which is why we call them deep neural networks now so thats sort of how we get there thats really where the revolution has been in the last 10 years and at the cutting edge all of the models that are beating records and stuff are almost all deep learning modelsp pstrongand does the slowing of moores law and the moving to more specialized chips have any impact on the progress of deep learning aistrongp pyeah so i mean what you can see is that when you have something like deep learning where its clear that theres potential here people have invested in building these specialized chips and so people may have heard of gpus graphics processing units but people have built even more specialized [chips] so google has their own tensor processing unit tpup pso these sort of evermorespecialized things are sort of taking us down this road of becoming more and more efficient at that particular thing and so the good news about that is that indeed you get a big performance gain so one of the results that nvidia pointed out not too long ago was that they could get about a 100x improvement from the specialization that they were doing so thats on one hand pretty greatp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadnvidiapngx91208 classwpimage1008653357figcaption nvidia computer graphic cards are shown for sale at a retail store in san marcos california us august 14 2018 reutersmike blakefigcaptionfigure pon the other hand thats not at all big compared to the sweep of moores law right and so you were asking should i not be worried and i think the answer is you should be worried because specialization gives you that onetime gainand maybe incremental maybe you can build a screwdriver ever a little bit better but you run out of steam pretty quickly whereas moores law had much much more legs and many more decades of improvement that it could offerp pstrongdo people think theres a lot more progress to be made in deep learning or do they think its being exhausted already and theyre trying to think of the next thing where are we in that revolutionstrongp pi think there are people in both camps on that i think that there are lots of folks that are still excited by all the progress were making here and i think they have some real things they can point to the one that im particularly excited about recently is alphafold which is this ability to model protein folding with deep learning and thats a remarkable achievement right its a problem that we struggled with for a long time and it has a lot of benefits for how we do medicine in the future so i think theres a real promise there and so they can say thats great lots to be done therep pat the same time we do see us starting to run into limits on how we implement these things we can run into times where the inherent inefficiency of deep learningwhich we can talk about if youre interestedthat inherent inefficiency that comes with using deep learning comes with a very high computational price and so you see people starting to say well do i really want to pay that price so one example that we saw very closely we did an mba case on this where a supermarket had said im really interested in using deep learning to predict the demand for my products and of course that matters a lot for a supermarket because theyd want to know how much to stock on the shelves and the likep pand it turns out that they did it they got a real improvement in performance but for many of the products that they put on their shelves it was not economically worth it to run that model the computational cost of just running it overshadowed that i think were seeing both of them and were seeing the second group of folks saying well maybe ill use deep learning in some places but in other places i wont or maybe in some places ill try to adapt it so that it can become more efficientp pstrongif were at the end of moores law as weve thought about it and now were moving to specialized chips is there a new sort of chip technology that would return us to these massive gains and return us to a generalpurpose technologystrongp pnone that we know yet there are candidatesp pstrongim sorry to hear thatstrongp pyeah me too me too there are candidates right people have proposed architectural changes in the way we do our switches that might make things more efficient i think theres some possibility there although again probably not the decades and decades of moores law people have talked about things like optical computing so right now we have wires and electrons doing our calculations maybe we could use light and photons to do it that seems like that might be interesting particularly for some kinds of calculations then there are other things like quantum computing which i think many people have the sense of quantum computing is just the next generation of computingp pi actually dont think thats right i think its more like a different kind of specializer so its like were going to have our main computers and were still going to have them in the future but then on the side well say well for a certain subset of problems quantum computers can do really well so we use the quantum computers for those so i think thats what the landscape looks like right now but as i say i dont think there are any of these that really look like theyre going to be the next generalpurpose technology for the momentp pstrongi cant remember a time when computer chips have been in the news and as much on the national news pages there are concerns that not enough chips are made in the united states or not the best kind theyre made in taiwan but what if china invades taiwan how hard is it to say oh now we want to make these things in the united statesstrongp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadchinajpgx91208 classwpimage1008653353figcaptionworkers manufacture led chips at the plant of tsinghua tongfang in nantong city east chinas jiangsu province 26 december 2011 china is propping up its local chip manufacturing industry with new policies and financial support intended to turn the country into a semiconductormaking powerhouse by 2030 via reutersfigcaptionfigure pstrongi think some people think you take apart a factory in one place you move it to the united states would that be a very significant change if companies tried to make more of their chips here and does that take a number of years it sounds like it would be hard harder than i think many politicians thinkstrongp pit really depends on how cutting edge you want your chips to be so i was talking before about that miniaturization thats going on and so the smaller you get the harder it gets the closer youre getting to moving around individual atoms and things like that and so if you want to be away from the cutting edge actually there are lots of places that can build that and so that is more broadly available technologyp pstrongneil i want america to be on the cutting edge i want us to be on the cutting edgestrongp pwell yes i dont blame youp pstrongi dont want a chip that runs a toy i want the beststrongp pthe problem with that is building one of those factories these days costs 20 billion or 22 billion so its a big deal its really hard you need very cuttingedge equipment to do it the challenge there is that we probably did not worry about this as much in the past because there used to be 25 different companies all of whom were on the frontier of building chips and as these factories have become more and more expensive over time what were down to is now basically three different companies that produce these cuttingedge chips so it is very hard there are not very many folks that do it at the cutting edge but it certainly is important that we have good production facilities and that we know that they can be secure absolutelyp pstrongneil thanks for coming on the podcaststrongp pmy pleasure thanks for having mep pemjames pethokoukis is the dewitt wallace fellow at the american enterprise institute where he writes and edits the aeideas blog and hosts a weekly podcast a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy with james pethokoukisa neil thompson is an innovation scholar in mits computer science and artificial intelligence laboratory a research scientist at the mit initiative on the digital economy and an associate member of the broad instituteemp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsmetasciencerdandfederalresearchspendingmylongreadqawithtonymillsmetascience rampd and federal research spending my longread qampa with tony millsa a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicshowtoidentifyandallocatetalentmylongreadqawithtylercowenhow to identify and allocate talent my longread qampa with tyler cowena a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsengineeringeconomicgrowthmylongreadqawithwalkerhanlonengineering economic growth my longread qampa with walker hanlonapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstheendofmooreslawandthefutureofcomputersmylongreadqawithneilthompsonthe end of moores law and the future of computers my longread qampa with neil thompsona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis neil thompsonstrongp pmoores law states number transistors microchip doubles years fueled rapid computing gains mid20th century law forever todays guest neil thompson thinks end near ive invited neil podcast explain moores law coming end means productivity growth continued innovationp pneil innovation scholar mits computer science artificial intelligence laboratory research scientist mit initiative digital economy associate member broad institutep diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisodebf25a36ec7ac4200addaafd8d32bdae5iframediv pwhat follows lightly edited transcript conversation including brief portions cut original podcast download episode relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastneilthompsonismooreslawcomingtoanend target_blankherea dont forget subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell friends leave reviewp pstrongpethokoukisstrong stronglets start basic question maybe somewhat harder question moores law world look like today didnt existstrongp pthompson moores law incredibly important trend sort talk broadly improvement computing weve decades actual origins come basically miniaturization computer chips elements computer chips kind neat moment relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikirichard_feynman target_blankrichard feynmana nobel prizewinning physicist gave relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikithere27s_plenty_of_room_at_the_bottom target_blankspeecha 1959 way afterdinner speech believe like youre conference saying hey way dont remarksp pstrongthats greatstrongp pand talk says okay let tell nanotechnology things sort regular world think miniaturizing stuff way point atoms said computers rightp phe said parts small like 10 100 atoms big pretty remarkable thing said little hard think sense big difference everyday lives atoms roughly proportional building things size earth youre like know think build size tennis ball laid roadmap improved technology miniaturizing turned able transistors chip meant run chips fasterp pand huge revolution weve comes computers early days today enormous effect society yeah transformationalp spanspan pstrongim old im pretty sure watched sort film strip school computers pretty big probably like 70s black white maybe wasnt state art classic giant monolithic computers punch cards things like maybe wed world dont knowstrongp pi remember moments mother research computer shed come extra punch cards getting rid computer things notepadsp pstrongthats great news search moores law searched phrase like coming end find stories years end moores law reports death greatly exaggerated finally therestrongp pyes youre absolutely right decades find people saying going problem going problem actually real credit technologists engineers able push past 2004 clear weve lost benefits moores lawp plet distinction relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigordon_moore target_blankgordon moorea actually law number transistors fit chip specific technical thing translated generally incredible speed capacity chips fast run sort taken calling things moores law practice actually 20042005 lost think important parts speed chipsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadmoorejpgx91208 classwpimage1008653350figcaptionus president george w bush presents gordon moore presidential medal freedom white house july 9 2002 reutershyungwon kang hkfigcaptionfigure pso chips point 3 gigahertz chips computer today 3 gigahertz weve plateaued improving exponentially lost lot clear pretty close end able transistors thats saying people designed roadmaps figure technologies need order generation moores law happenthose folks said whoa whoa whoa cant path anymore longer lone voices cold saying going end lot communityp pstrongspeed number transistors chip think different things differentstrongp pi think useful way think think miniaturization feynman proposed time shrink transistors fit chip thats geometry right know weve sort taken space fit thats good allows things like memory example chip think cachethat people theyre buying computersthe size cache going lot time thats goodp pbut speed computer based operations second thing thing thing things modern computers good things way way faster think clock second billion things second billions sets operations enormously fast turns came miniaturization happening moores lawp pthe limit running chips faster run faster produce heat problem produce lot heat youll eventually melt chip theres limit fast sort toggle able run faster hit limit stop nice thing miniaturized turns able run faster right produced heat smaller turn speed little bit kept able hit limit 2004 2005p pstrongi write lot shift productivity growth united states countries starting 70s kind blip late 90s early 2000s think shiftand people debate productivity properly measuredhappened time amazing improvement chip performance capabilities computers know extent moores law contributed productivity growth past half century happen know theres rough estimate im kind asking head apologizestrongp pi think sort ways answer question theres sort overall itwhat macroeconomists effect having productivityand estimate 1970s labor productivity improvements come improvements sort gives sort version thisp pstrongrightstrongp pbut hard lot ways measure moores law pretty stable thing time tends hard thing economists measure work dissertation work actually example 20042005 era lose speed turns bunch firms hurt productivities rise fast result definitely effects coming group stuff work lot trying better estimate think actually pretty crucial question actually systematically underestimating effect moores law economyp pstronggiven fact underestimated concerned going forward weve struggle measured productivity growth currently measured emwithem moores law concerned productivity growthwhich pretty important raising living standards going forwardwith moores law endstrongp pi worried absolutely worried way think look society think general productivity improvements youre talking 1 2 percent year kind things better time peak improvement making chips 52 percent year vastly faster sort spillover effects everybody let use computers additional thing economy productive relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsscholarharvardedujorgensonhome target_blankdale jorgensona harvard nice work splitting seeing important isp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadquantumjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653360figcaptionquantum computer startup quera computings 256qubit machine pictured boston massachusetts february 18 2021 alexei bylinskii querahandout reutersfigcaptionfigure pand end question engine slowing course candidates people talk artificial intelligence going able use quantum computing going able use things question things legs way moores law think clear able sort mantle way moores law particularly decadesp pstrongcomputers start beginning specific technology developed use warim sure know lot didwhether calculating artillery range economists hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigeneralpurpose_technologygeneralpurpose technologya youve written transitioning specific technology computers chips special purpose rightstrongp pyeah thats right thats right maybe way think swiss army knife versus having toolkit hammers screwdrivers kind things im trying decision invest swiss army knife buy screwdriver kind thingsp pi think toolbox im sure set things right dont swiss army knife reason thats true obviously specialize tool particular thing thing better remarkable thing got sort generalpurpose chips cpus time got better fast choice want buy screwdriver today want buy new swiss army knife years thats going vastly vastly better sort kept pathp pbut works tradeoff worth long swiss army knife getting better fast long cpu getting better fast weve seen real breakdown slows weve gone 52 percent told rate growth measure 35 percent year improvement level youre better saying want screwdriver lots lots firms google building chips amazon building chips tesla building chips lots people going road build specialized chip right exactly want platform forp pstrongyou mentioned ai earlier talk ai talking machine learning deep learning world specialized chips fine specialty deep learning deep learning chip im probably wildly oversimplifying negative impact mean ai impact specialized chipstrongp pi think youre right point lets talk mean ai people mean artificial general intelligencewhich obviously bunch particular implicationsto sort catchall phrase data science days gets wrapped blanket artificial intelligence certainly 10 years thing changed remarkably deep learning particularp pand audience havent seen called neural networks existed 50s didnt computing power kind small didnt layers sort ways people think got computing power got deeper deep neural networks thats sort thats revolution 10 years cutting edge models beating records stuff deep learning modelsp pstrongand slowing moores law moving specialized chips impact progress deep learning aistrongp pyeah mean like deep learning clear theres potential people invested building specialized chips people heard gpus graphics processing units people built specialized [chips] google tensor processing unit tpup pso sort evermorespecialized things sort taking road efficient particular thing good news big performance gain results nvidia pointed long ago 100x improvement specialization thats hand pretty greatp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadnvidiapngx91208 classwpimage1008653357figcaption nvidiacomputer graphic cards shown sale retail store san marcos california august 14 2018 reutersmike blakefigcaptionfigure pon hand thats big compared sweep moores law right asking worried think answer worried specialization gives onetime gainand maybe incremental maybe build screwdriver little bit better run steam pretty quickly moores law legs decades improvement offerp pstrongdo people think theres lot progress deep learningor think exhaustedalready andtheyre trying think thing revolutionstrongp pi think people camps think lots folks excited progress making think real things point im particularly excited recently alphafold ability model protein folding deep learning thats remarkable achievement right problem struggled long time lot benefits medicine future think theres real promise thats great lots therep pat time starting run limits implement things run times inherent inefficiency deep learningwhich talk youre interestedthat inherent inefficiency comes deep learning comes high computational price people starting want pay price example saw closely mba case supermarket said im interested deep learning predict demand products course matters lot supermarket theyd want know stock shelves likep pand turns got real improvement performance products shelves economically worth run model computational cost running overshadowed think seeing seeing second group folks saying maybe ill use deep learning places places wont maybe places ill try adapt efficientp pstrongif end moores law weve thought moving specialized chips new sort chip technology return massive gains return generalpurpose technologystrongp pnone know candidatesp pstrongim sorry hear thatstrongp pyeah candidates right people proposed architectural changes way switches things efficient think theres possibility probably decades decades moores law people talked things like optical computing right wires electrons calculations maybe use light photons like interesting particularly kinds calculations things like quantum computing think people sense quantum computing generation computingp pi actually dont think thats right think like different kind specializer like going main computers going future certain subset problems quantum computers use quantum computers think thats landscape looks like right dont think look like theyre going generalpurpose technology momentp pstrongi cant remember time computer chips news national news pages concerns chips united states best kind theyre taiwan china invades taiwan hard oh want things united statesstrongp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompsonlongreadchinajpgx91208 classwpimage1008653353figcaptionworkers manufacture led chips plant tsinghua tongfang nantong city east chinas jiangsu province 26 december 2011 china propping local chip manufacturing industry new policies financial support intended turn country semiconductormaking powerhouse 2030 reutersfigcaptionfigure pstrongi think people think apart factory place united states significant change companies tried chips number years sounds like hard harder think politicians thinkstrongp pit depends cutting edge want chips talking miniaturization thats going smaller harder gets closer youre getting moving individual atoms things like want away cutting edge actually lots places build broadly available technologyp pstrongneil want america cutting edge want cutting edgestrongp pwell yes dont blame youp pstrongi dont want chip runs toy want beststrongp pthe problem building factories days costs 20 billion 22 billion big deal hard need cuttingedge equipment challenge probably worry past 25 different companies frontier building chips factories expensive time basically different companies produce cuttingedge chips hard folks cutting edge certainly important good production facilities know secure absolutelyp pstrongneil thanks coming podcaststrongp pmy pleasure thanks having mep pemjames pethokoukis dewitt wallace fellow american enterprise institute writes edits aeideas blog hosts weekly podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy james pethokoukisaneil thompson innovation scholar mits computer science artificial intelligence laboratory research scientist mit initiative digital economy associate member broad instituteemp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsmetasciencerdandfederalresearchspendingmylongreadqawithtonymillsmetascience rampd federal research spending longread qampa tony millsa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicshowtoidentifyandallocatetalentmylongreadqawithtylercowenhow identify allocate talent longread qampa tyler cowena hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsengineeringeconomicgrowthmylongreadqawithwalkerhanlonengineering economic growth longread qampa walker hanlonapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstheendofmooreslawandthefutureofcomputersmylongreadqawithneilthompsonthe end moores law future computers longread qampa neil thompsona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

62c8b05cc139ed5133eaff06

5 Questions for Neil Thompson on the Death of Moore’s Law

pstrongby james pethokoukis and neil thompsonstrongp pin living memory computers filled entire rooms and delivered only a fraction of the processing power of todays pocketsized devices but over the decades computers began to shrink while becoming more powerful thanks to moores law those computing improvements have been central to productivity growth but moores law seems to be slowing so what does this mean for the future of computers and more importantly for the future of productivity and economic growth to answer those questions neil thompson joined a recent episode of empolitical economyemp pneil is an innovation scholar in mits computer science and artificial intelligence laboratory a research scientist at the mit initiative on the digital economy and an associate member of the broad institutep pbelow is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation you can read our full discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstheendofmooreslawandthefutureofcomputersmylongreadqawithneilthompson target_blankherea you can also subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera or download the podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongwhat is moores law and what does the world look like today if it didnt existstrongp pthompson so moores law is an incredibly important trend which is sort of used to talk about broadly all of the improvement in computing weve had in the last five or six decades the actual origins of it though come from basically the miniaturization of computer chips and the elements that are on computer chips a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikirichard_feynman target_blankrichard feynmana the nobel prizewinning physicist gave this a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikithere27s_plenty_of_room_at_the_bottom target_blankspeecha back in 1959 and in this talk he says i think we could just keep miniaturizing stuff all the way down to the point where its just a few atoms and he said that about computers right he said we can make them and these parts will be really small like 10 or a 100 atoms big and this was a pretty remarkable thing that he saidp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompson5qscomputerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653581figcaptionview of an electronic data processing system ibm 7070 at the chemical factory hls in marl in 1962 via reutersfigcaptionfigure pand it turned out as we did that we were able to put more transistors on our chip which meant we could do more and we could run our chips faster and a huge amount of the revolution weve had in it all really comes from this if we were still using the computers back in those early days we really could not be doing almost anything that were doing today so it has had an enormous effect on society and yeah it has really been very transformationalp pstrongthere have been many stories over the years about the end of moores law have all those reports of its death been greatly exaggerated or are we finally therestrongp pyes youre absolutely right you can go back decades and find people saying well this is going to be a problem and actually its a real credit to the technologists and engineers that they were able to push through that and get past it but since 2004 what is clear is weve lost many of the benefits of moores law when a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigordon_moore target_blankgordon moorea actually made up this law it was really about the number of transistors you could fit on a chip but what it translated to generally was this incredible speed up in the capacity of our chips and how fast we could run them and so we sort have taken to calling all of those things moores law but in practice actually in 20042005 we lost i think one of the most important parts of that which is the speed up on our chipsp pso chips at that point were about 3 gigahertz the chips in your computer today are about 3 gigahertz and so weve really plateaued whereas before that we were improving it exponentially so its no longer just lone voices in the cold saying its going to end now its a lot of the communityp pstronghow concerned should i be about productivity growth with moores law at an endstrongp pi am worried about this if you look across society and you think of general productivity improvements youre talking 1 or 2 percent per year kind of as how we make things better over time and at its peak the improvement that we were making in our chips was 52 percent per year so it was vastly faster and that really had sort of spillover effects on everybody else and then as we get to the end the question is where do we go from here if this engine has been slowing down and of course there are some candidates people talk about artificial intelligence are we going to be able to use that quantum computing are we going to be able to use that and i think its not at all clear that any of them will be able to sort of take up that mantle in the way that moores law has done particularly over so many decadesp pstrongif were at the end of moores law is there a new technology that would return us to these massive gainsstrongp pnone that we know yet there are candidates people have proposed architectural changes in the way we do our switches that might make things more efficient i think theres some possibility there although again probably not the decades and decades of moores law people have talked about things like optical computing that seems like that might be interesting particularly for some kinds of calculations then there are other things like quantum computing which i think many people have the sense of quantum computing is just the next generation of computing i actually dont think thats right i think its more like a different kind of specializer so i think thats what the landscape looks like right now but as i say i dont think there are any of these that really look like theyre going to be the next generalpurpose technology for the momentp pstronghow difficult would it be to start manufacturing these chips in the us instead of overseasstrongp pit really depends on how cutting edge you want your chips to be the smaller you get the harder it gets the closer youre getting to moving around individual atoms and things like that and so if you want to be away from the cutting edge actually there are lots of places that can build that and so that is more broadly available technologyp pthe problem with [cuttingedge chips] that is building one of those factories these days costs 20 billion or 22 billion so its a big deal its really hard you need very cuttingedge equipment to do it the challenge there is that we probably did not worry about this as much in the past because there used to be 25 different companies all of whom were on the frontier of building chips and as these factories have become more and more expensive over time what were down to is now basically three different companies that produce these cuttingedge chips so it is very hard there are not very many folks that do it at the cutting edge but it certainly is important that we have good production facilities and that we know that they can be securep pemjames pethokoukis is the dewitt wallace fellow at the american enterprise institute where he writes and edits the aeideas blog and hosts a weekly podcast ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankempolitical economy with james pethokoukisemaem neil thompson is ememan innovation scholar in mits computer science and artificial intelligence laboratory a research scientist at the mit initiative on the digital economy and an associate member of the broad instituteemp pdivpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformarkjamisononthemetaverse5 questions for mark jamison on the metaversea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformelaniemitchellonthechallengesofartificialintelligence5 questions for melanie mitchell on the challenges of artificial intelligencea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformarkmillsonthecloudrevolution5 questions for mark mills on the cloud revolutionapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionswithneilthompson5 questions for neil thompson on the death of moores lawa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis neil thompsonstrongp pin living memory computers filled entire rooms delivered fraction processing power todays pocketsized devices decades computers began shrink powerful thanks moores law computing improvements central productivity growth moores law slowing mean future computers importantly future productivity economic growth answer questions neil thompson joined recent episode empolitical economyemp pneil innovation scholar mits computer science artificial intelligence laboratory research scientist mit initiative digital economy associate member broad institutep pbelow abbreviated transcript conversation read discussiona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstheendofmooreslawandthefutureofcomputersmylongreadqawithneilthompson target_blankherea subscribe podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsaora relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera download podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukisstrong strongwhat moores law world look like today didnt existstrongp pthompson moores law incredibly important trend sort talk broadly improvement computing weve decades actual origins come basically miniaturization computer chips elements computer chips relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikirichard_feynman target_blankrichard feynmana nobel prizewinning physicist gave relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikithere27s_plenty_of_room_at_the_bottom target_blankspeecha 1959 talk says think miniaturizing stuff way point atoms said computers right said parts small like 10 100 atoms big pretty remarkable thing saidp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207thompson5qscomputerjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653581figcaptionview electronic data processing system ibm 7070 chemical factory hls marl 1962 reutersfigcaptionfigure pand turned able transistors chip meant run chips faster huge revolution weve comes computers early days today enormous effect society yeah transformationalp pstrongthere stories years end moores law reports death greatly exaggerated finally therestrongp pyes youre absolutely right decades find people saying going problem actually real credit technologists engineers able push past 2004 clear weve lost benefits moores law relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigordon_moore target_blankgordon moorea actually law number transistors fit chip translated generally incredible speed capacity chips fast run sort taken calling things moores law practice actually 20042005 lost think important parts speed chipsp pso chips point 3 gigahertz chips computer today 3 gigahertz weve plateaued improving exponentially longer lone voices cold saying going end lot communityp pstronghow concerned productivity growth moores law endstrongp pi worried look society think general productivity improvements youre talking 1 2 percent year kind things better time peak improvement making chips 52 percent year vastly faster sort spillover effects everybody end question engine slowing course candidates people talk artificial intelligence going able use quantum computing going able use think clear able sort mantle way moores law particularly decadesp pstrongif end moores law new technology return massive gainsstrongp pnone know candidates people proposed architectural changes way switches things efficient think theres possibility probably decades decades moores law people talked things like optical computing like interesting particularly kinds calculations things like quantum computing think people sense quantum computing generation computing actually dont think thats right think like different kind specializer think thats landscape looks like right dont think look like theyre going generalpurpose technology momentp pstronghow difficult start manufacturing chips instead overseasstrongp pit depends cutting edge want chips smaller harder gets closer youre getting moving individual atoms things like want away cutting edge actually lots places build broadly available technologyp pthe problem [cuttingedge chips] building factories days costs 20 billion 22 billion big deal hard need cuttingedge equipment challenge probably worry past 25 different companies frontier building chips factories expensive time basically different companies produce cuttingedge chips hard folks cutting edge certainly important good production facilities know securep pemjames pethokoukis dewitt wallace fellow american enterprise institute writes edits aeideas blog hosts weekly podcast ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankempolitical economy james pethokoukisemaemneil thompson ememan innovation scholar mits computer science artificial intelligence laboratory research scientist mit initiative digital economy associate member broad instituteemp pdivpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformarkjamisononthemetaverse5 questions mark jamison metaversea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformelaniemitchellonthechallengesofartificialintelligence5 questions melanie mitchell challenges artificial intelligencea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformarkmillsonthecloudrevolution5 questions mark mills cloud revolutionapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionswithneilthompson5 questions neil thompson death moores lawa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

62cca4d77b6066c266b60673

California's Energy War on the Poor

img altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207powergridpngpbrbra few years ago author and demographer joel kotkin declared that california is a great state in which to be richppof course its good to be rich anywhere but californiathe province that for decades has led the united states in cultural issues like fashion gay rights and entertainmenthas devolved into a state where the american dream is being strangled by a phalanx of energy and climate regulations that are imposing huge regressive taxes on the poor and middle class and worse yet the states vast bureaucracy is imposing yet more regulations that will further tighten the financial noose on californians ppbefore going further its essential to put california into context while the state is known for posh spots like beverly hills marin county and silicon valley the golden state a hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomcaliforniahashighestpovertylevelintheuscensusbureau20219has the highest poverty ratea in america indeed the poverty figures in the state can only be described as shocking a hrefhttpswwwppicorgpublicationpovertyincaliforniaa 2021 report by the public policy institute of californiaa found that more than a third of californians are living in or near poverty nearly one in six 164 percent californians were not in poverty but lived fairly close to the poverty line all told more than a third 340 percent of state residents were poor or nearpoor in 2019 los angeles the states biggest city and a magnet for generations of immigrants has a hrefhttpswwwkpccorg20160915censuslosangelesstillhasmorepeopleinpovertone of the highest poverty rates among americas biggest citiesappcalifornia also has the largest latino population in america about 15 million latinos live in the golden state and they account for about a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorghispanicstatesstateca40 percent of its populationa but the ppic report also found that more than latinos account for nearly 52 percent of poor californians but only 397 percent of the state populationppdespite these numbers california policymakers continue to implement policies on energy housing and transportation that are driving up the cost of living and deepening the states poverty problem ppin april the states air resources board a hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220413californiareleasesproposaltobannewgasfueledcarsby2035htmlreleased a plan that will ban the sale of automobiles with internal combustion engines by 2035a the plan was cheered by a lawyer at the center for biological diversity who said it was essential to free our streets from tailpipe pollution as fast as possible pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207sierraclub1png altcalifornias energy war on the poor width1385 height785figcaptionsierra club demonstration in california 2004 alamyfigcaptionfigurepin may the los angeles city council banned the use of natural gas appliances and heaters in new homes and businesses by doing so according to the sierra club the city became the 57th municipality in the state to ban the fuel the vote said council member nithya raman puts the city a hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220527getreadyforelectricstoveslosangelesbansnatualgasinmostnewhomestextciting20the20climate20crisis2c20thedryers2c20water20heaters20and20furnacesin line with climate leaders across the countrya that climate leadership comes at a high cost to consumers why on an energyequivalent basis electricity costs four times as much as natural gas pfigurea hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220527getreadyforelectricstoveslosangelesbansnatualgasinmostnewhomesdivdivla is banning most gas appliances in new homes get ready for electric stovesdivdivclimate change spurred fridays unanimous vote by the los angeles city councildivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpswwwlatimescomappletouchiconpngspanlos angeles timesspanspansammy rothspandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpscatimesbrightspotcdncomdims4default4c4bbce2147483647striptruecrop5110x26830316resize1200x630quality90urlhttps3a2f2fcaliforniatimesbrightspots3amazonawscom2fdf2fbe2f5909a802478e89f5edafdf2dfef72flaphotosfreelancecontract875737nausofcalifelectriccooktoppaloalto04jejpgdivafigurepon july 1st motorists in the state began paying a hrefhttpscalmattersorgnewsletterswhatmatters202206californiagastaxincreasean additional threecentpergallon tax on gasolinea a move that will make californias motor fuel even more expensive in late june motorists in the state were paying an a hrefhttpsgaspricesaaacomstatecaaverage of 630 per gallon for gasolinea which is roughly 29 percent more than motorists in the rest of the us ppperhaps the most obvious casualty of californias climate policies is the states tattered electric grid blackouts in the state have become so common particularly in the bay area that media outlets have largely quit reporting on them nearly every day a hrefhttpspgealertsalertspgecomoutagesmapmaps of pacific gas amp electrics service territorya show outages across wide swaths of central california the states increased blackouts are coinciding with skyrocketing electricity prices and those skyrocketing electricity prices are coinciding with the implementation of some of americas mostaggressive renewableenergy mandates ppin 2008 a hrefhttpwwwschwarzeneggercomissuesmilestoneprotectingtheenvironmentandpromotingcleanenergygovernor arnold schwarzenegger signed an executive ordera that required the states utilities to obtain a third of the electricity they sell from renewables by 2020 in 2015 a hrefhttpswwwsfchroniclecombusinessarticlecaliforniamayreach50renewablepowergoalby12354313phpgovernor jerry brown signed a law that boosted the mandate to 5o percenta by 2030 in 2018 california lawmakers imposed yet another mandate that requires the states electric utilities to procure at least 60 percent of their electricity from renewables by 2030 and to be a hrefhttpswwwnprorg20180910646373423californiasetsgoalof100percentrenewableelectricpowerby2045producing 100 percent zerocarbon electricity by 2045apfigurea hrefhttpswwwnprorg20180910646373423californiasetsgoalof100percentrenewableelectricpowerby2045divdivcalifornia sets goal of 100 percent clean electric power by 2045divdivgov jerry brown signed a bill mandating that ambitious goal on monday he also issued an executive order calling for statewide carbon neutrality by the same yeardivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpsstaticassetsnprorgstaticimagesfaviconfavicon180x180pngspannprspanspancamila domonoskespandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpsmedianprorgassetsimg20180910gettyimages1027371114_wideffdb33d06c286c356f628e07fbfd450e13800566jpgs1400divafigurepwhat has happened since the terminator signed that executive order between 2008 and 2021 the allsector price of electricity in california emincreased five times faster than rates in the rest of the continental united statesem last year alone the allsector price of electricity in california jumped by 98 percent to 198 cents per kilowatthour residential prices increased even more jumping by 117 percent to an average of 228 cents per kilowatthour california residential users are now paying about 66 percent more for electricity than homeowners in the rest of the us pfigureimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpslh4googleusercontentcominvx3pfgny6ezrhioilb5losvezy7akvvov0ndekdiaaj0ysgvbjolpakd5bbmpeblagxprszuwxoz3junei11pwx7rz8dcygifl2s48yifnwdnmxudx1vgj2fhohzovxewc9gk78zswogfigurepthe state also faces a chronic shortage of affordable housing despite the shortage home prices are being driven up by a myriad of mandates including the requirement that new homes have solar panels on their roofs since 2020 singlefamily homes and multifamily buildings up to three stories high in california a hrefhttpselectrekco20210812californiaenergycommissionmandatessolarfornewbuildingsfrom2023must be topped with solar panelsa in january 2023 that mandate will expand to include commercial buildings including hotels offices retail and grocery stores restaurants and schools it will also require panels to be put atop civic buildings including theaters auditoriums and convention facilitiespfigurea hrefhttpselectrekco20210812californiaenergycommissionmandatessolarfornewbuildingsfrom2023divdivcalifornia energy commission mandates solar for new buildings from 2023divdivthe california energy commission yesterday voted to require solar panels and battery storage in new commercial and multifamily buildingsdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpselectrekcowpcontentthemes9to52015imagesfaviconselectrekicon192x192pngspanelectrekspanspannordvpn because i dont want to wait for the best of british tvspandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war on the poor srchttpsi0wpcomelectrekcowpcontentuploadssites3202108covinacaliforniawalmartsolarjpgresize12002c628quality82stripallssl1divafigurepall of these mandates amount to what landuse and civilrights lawyer jennifer hernandez calls green jim crow a hrefhttpsthebreakthroughorgjournalno14summer2021greenjimcrowin an essay published last year by the breakthrough institutea hernandez wrote that her home state pblockquoteleads the world in renewable energy and electric vehicle ownership but its industrial and manufacturing sectors have been decimated emem its climate accomplishments are illusory a product of deindustrialization high energy costs and more recently and improbably depopulation inequality has hit record levels and housing segregation has returned to a degree not seen since the early 1960sblockquotephernandez is the lead lawyer for the two hundred a group of latino leaders who a hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesrobertbryce20201101latinoleadersarefightingcaliforniasunbelievablyregressiveclimatepoliciessh62220b564a42have sued the state of california over its climate housing and transportation policiesa in 2019 she and the two hundred filed a a hrefhttpblogs2lawcolumbiaeduclimatechangelitigationwpcontentuploadssites16casedocuments201920191219_docketcivds1938432_petitionforwritofmandatepdf250page civil rights lawsuita that claims entrenched special interest groups including environmentalists block meaningful housing policy reforms and that the states housing crisis is deepening an already severe civil rights crisis hernandez also points out that many of the regulations the two hundred is fighting were never directly authorized by the state legislature ppthere is no shortage of irony here california is one of the most liberal states in america in the 2020 presidential race a hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki2020_united_states_presidential_election_in_californiajoe biden thrashed donald trump in californiaa by a margin of nearly two to one taking 63 percent of the vote although trump lost california to biden the state is key for presidential hopefuls that helps explain why governor gavin newsom a democrat has a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220623newsombidenwhitehouse202400041704already begun positioning himself for a white house bid in 2024a ppthe california senate a hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicalifornia_state_legislaturehas been controlled by the democratic party since 1970a the lower house the assembly has also been controlled by democrats since the 1970s except for two years in the mid1990s the democratic party has long considered itself the party of the working class and minorities a hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscompoliticselectionspollhispanicsarentflockinggopdemocratsstillproblemsrcna20794nearly half of latinos consider themselves democratsa while only about 23 percent identify as republicans but latinos in california are not prospering under democratic control quite the opposite according to the report issued by the ppic last year pblockquotemore than one in five 214 latinos lived in poverty compared to 174 of african americans 145 of asian americanspacific islanders and 121 of whites though the latino poverty rate has fallen from 309 in 2011 latinos remain disproportionately poorcomprising 516 of poor californians but only 397 of the state population blockquotepthere are also big disparities in homeownership in 2018 the homeownership rate among california latinos was about 44 percent among whites that rate a hrefhttpswwwunitedlatinosvoteorgfactsis about 63 percenta brbrrobert apodaca the executive director for the two hundred and a longtime activist told me that a myriad of pending regulations will exacerbate the states affordability crisis he pointed to the states decarbonization efforts which include a a hrefhttpswwwgovcagov20200923governornewsomannouncescaliforniawillphaseoutgasolinepoweredcarsdrasticallyreducedemandforfossilfuelincaliforniasfightagainstclimatechangeban on the sale of cars powered by internal combustion engines that begins in 2035a the push for the electrification of transportation will require the installation of about a hrefhttpswwwenergycagovnews202106reportshowscalifornianeeds12millionelectricvehiclechargers203012 million new ev charging stations by 2030a according to the california energy commission the cost of those stations will of course be borne by ratepayers furthermore running all cars and trucks in the state on electricity a hrefhttpswwwgovcagov20200923governornewsomannouncescaliforniawillphaseoutgasolinepoweredcarsdrasticallyreducedemandforfossilfuelincaliforniasfightagainstclimatechangewill increase electricity demand bya 25 percent in a state that is already experiencing regular blackouts ppapodaca said the a hrefhttpswwwsmithsonianmagcomsmartnewscaliforniacommits100percentcleanenergy2045180970262100 percent zerocarbon electricitya mandate and an a hrefhttpswwwcagovarchivegov39wpcontentuploads20180991018executiveorderpdfeconomywide goal of carbon neutrality by 2045a will also increase costs in february the california public utilities commission unanimously approved a scheme that aims to add more than 25 gigawatts of renewables and 15 gigawatts of batteries to the states electric grid by 2032 a hrefhttpswwwenergystoragenewscaliforniapublicutilitiescommissionapprovesus49billioncleanenergyplanat an estimated cost of 493 billiona also in february the california independent system operator released a draft plan to a hrefhttpswwwutilitydivecomnewscaliforniaisosketches305bdrafttransmissionplantomeetstatesclea618230upgrade the states transmission grid at a cost of some 305 billionappthe combined cost of those two schemes is about 80 billion dividing that sum among 39 million residents works out to about 2050 for every californian but the final price will almost certainly be far higher than 80 billion big public works projects routinely exceed initial estimates californias beleaguered highspeed rail project was expected to cost a hrefhttpsthehillcomchangingamericasustainabilityinfrastructure593755pricerisesagainforcaliforniahighspeed42 billion when it was launched in 2008a the latest cost estimate is 105 billion any effort to overhaul the states electric grid will require huge amounts of complex machinery including generators solar panels transformers and switch gear it will also require vast amounts of land steel concrete and tanker loads of industrial commodities at the same time that prices for everything from a hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommodityzinczinca and a hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommoditylithiumlithiuma to a hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommoditynickelnickela and a hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommodityaluminumaluminuma are soaringppthe renewableelectricity push will force prices upward at a time when california is in the midst of an energyaffordability crisis in january electricity rates for customers of pacific gas amp electric the biggest utility in the state went up by eight percent in march a hrefhttpsabc7newscompgeratehikeenergycostincreasehigherbillscpuc11659353pgampe customers were hit by another nine percent rate hikea consumers served by san diego gas amp electric are also seeing big increases with electricity a hrefhttpswwwnbcsandiegocomnewsinvestigationsnbc7respondssdgerateshavegoneupalotandhereswhy2843224price increases of nearly eight percenta this year furthermore pgampe is seeking rate a hrefhttpsabc7newscompgeratehikeenergycostincreasehigherbillscpuc11659353big rate increases from 2023 to 2026a to pay for a variety of programs including a hrefhttpswwwturnorginthenewspgemovespowerundergroundinplantobury10000milesburying thousands of miles of power linesa ppelectricity prices are soaring at a time when many consumers simply cant afford to pay in march a hrefhttpswww10newscomnewslocalnewsmorethan350klateontheirsdgebillsmore than a quarter of residential customers in san diego countya were behind on their utility paymentsppthese soaring costs shouldnt be surprising like what has occurred in australia and germany the imposition of renewableenergy mandates in california has corresponded with dramatic increases in electricity prices of course thats not what we are told by climate activists like a hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsannalsofawarmingplanetrenewableenergyissuddenlystartlinglycheapbill mckibben who never tire of claiming that wind and solar are cheaper than traditional forms of electricity productiona but a 2019 study done by academics at the university of chicago found that renewableenergy mandates cause prices to go up not down pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207california1png altcalifornias energy war on the poor width1385 height785figcaptionphoto by a hrefhttpsunsplashcomventiviewsutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextventi viewsa on a hrefhttpsunsplashcomsphotoscaliforniawindturbinesutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextunsplashafigcaptionfigurepthe report by michael greenstone and ishan nath said renewables raise electricity prices more than previously thought due to hidden costs that have typically been ignored they also found that the mandates come at a high cost to consumers and are inefficient in reducing carbon emissions greenstone and nath said the intermittent nature of renewables means that backup capacity must be added and that by mandating an increase in renewable power baseload generation is prematurely displaced and some of the cost is passed to consumers it continued saying that renewableenergy mandates lead to lead to a hrefhttpsepicuchicagoeduwpcontentuploads201907dorenewableportfoliostandardsdeliverpdfsubstantial increases in electricity pricesa that mirror the programs increasing stringency over timeppof course none of this fits the convenient narrative that california is leading the way on climate change nevertheless the hard reality is that californias climate policies and renewableenergy mandates are immiserating vast segments of the states population ppin a july 1st telephone interview apodaca said the states climate policies are hard to fight because california is being governed by the administrative state the regulators he continued saying the legislature hasnt mandated most of these climate rules there is no legislative mandate for the majority of the regulations that the air resources board and other agencies are creating the agencies have gone too far but they arent held accountableppwhat has happened in california is a warning for the rest of the united states and the rest of the world kotkin who i quoted at the top of this piece has become one of the loudest and mostfrequent critics of californias decline in april citing a hrefhttpsjoelkotkincomwpcontentuploads202201restoring_the_california_dreampdfa report he cowrote with marshall toplansky and three others for chapman universitya kotkin declared that california is in the midst of an existential crisis losing both its middleaged and middle class while its poor population faces dimming prospects despite the states myriad advantages research shows it [is] plagued by economic immobility and inequality crushing housing and energy costs and a failing education system worse than just a case of progressive policies creating regressive outcomes it appears a hrefhttpswwwrealclearinvestigationscomarticles20220413californias_vanished_dream_by_the_numbers_826300htmlcalifornia is descending into something resembling modernday feudalisma with the poor and weak trapped by policies subsidized by taxes paid by the rich and powerfulppgiven the states many problems residents are reacting with what has been dubbed a hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220611californiansworkingfromhomearemovingtomexicoamidinflationhtmlthe california exodusa last year for the first time in its 171year history a hrefhttpscalmattersorgpolitics202104californiacongresscensuscalifornia lost a seat in the us house of representativesa meanwhile texas gained two seats and florida gained one a few months ago uhaul the company that rents moving trucks issued a press release that said its a hrefhttpswww10newscomnewsfactorfictionfactorfictioncaliforniaranoutofuhaulsin2021california locations experienced the biggest loss of oneway truck rentals in 2021a the top destination for those soontobeex californians a hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcomcorneruhaulliterallyranoutoftrucksleavingcaliforniatexasa i can verify this as it seems everyone from california is moving to austin furthermore since 2018 about 300 companies have moved their headquarters out of california among the more notable corporate departures a hrefhttpswwwglobestcom20220307exodusofcorporatehqfromcaliforniakeepsgrowingslreturn20220604180714tesla and oracle both of which moved their headquarters to austina ppthe punchline here is obvious for decades regulators and politicians in californiaa state that is a pillar of the democratic party as well as the home of us vice president kamala harris and the home of americas biggest climateactivist group the sierra clubhave been implementing a skein of policies nearly all of them tied to energy and climate that are blatantly antipoor and antiworking class yes california is a fine place to be rich but californians who arent rich have seen enough and now they are voting with their feet and with whatever uhaul truck they can find   brbrbrp

img altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207powergridpngpbrbra years ago author demographer joel kotkin declared california great state richppof course good rich californiathe province decades led united states cultural issues like fashion gay rights entertainmenthas devolved state american dream strangled phalanx energy climate regulations imposing huge regressive taxes poor middle class worse states vast bureaucracy imposing regulations tighten financial noose californians ppbefore going essential california context state known posh spots like beverly hills marin county silicon valley golden state hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomcaliforniahashighestpovertylevelintheuscensusbureau20219has highest poverty ratea america poverty figures state described shocking hrefhttpswwwppicorgpublicationpovertyincaliforniaa 2021 report public policy institute californiaa found californians living near poverty nearly 164 percent californians poverty lived fairly close poverty line told 340 percent state residents poor nearpoor 2019 los angeles states biggest city magnet generations immigrants hrefhttpswwwkpccorg20160915censuslosangelesstillhasmorepeopleinpovertone highest poverty rates americas biggest citiesappcalifornia largest latino population america 15 million latinos live golden state account hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorghispanicstatesstateca40 percent populationa ppic report found latinos account nearly 52 percent poor californians 397 percent state populationppdespite numbers california policymakers continue implement policies energy housing transportation driving cost living deepening states poverty problem ppin april states air resources board hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220413californiareleasesproposaltobannewgasfueledcarsby2035htmlreleased plan ban sale automobiles internal combustion engines 2035a plan cheered lawyer center biological diversity said essential free streets tailpipe pollution fast possible pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207sierraclub1png altcalifornias energy war poor width1385 height785figcaptionsierra club demonstration california 2004 alamyfigcaptionfigurepin los angeles city council banned use natural gas appliances heaters new homes businesses according sierra club city 57th municipality state ban fuel vote said council member nithya raman puts city hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220527getreadyforelectricstoveslosangelesbansnatualgasinmostnewhomestextciting20the20climate20crisis2c20thedryers2c20water20heaters20and20furnacesin line climate leaders countrya climate leadership comes high cost consumers energyequivalent basis electricity costs times natural gas pfigurea hrefhttpswwwlatimescombusinessstory20220527getreadyforelectricstoveslosangelesbansnatualgasinmostnewhomesdivdivla banning gas appliances new homes ready electric stovesdivdivclimate change spurred fridays unanimous vote los angeles city councildivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpswwwlatimescomappletouchiconpngspanlos angeles timesspanspansammy rothspandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpscatimesbrightspotcdncomdims4default4c4bbce2147483647striptruecrop5110x26830316resize1200x630quality90urlhttps3a2f2fcaliforniatimesbrightspots3amazonawscom2fdf2fbe2f5909a802478e89f5edafdf2dfef72flaphotosfreelancecontract875737nausofcalifelectriccooktoppaloalto04jejpgdivafigurepon july 1st motorists state began paying hrefhttpscalmattersorgnewsletterswhatmatters202206californiagastaxincreasean additional threecentpergallon tax gasolinea californias motor fuel expensive late june motorists state paying hrefhttpsgaspricesaaacomstatecaaverage 630 gallon gasolinea roughly 29 percent motorists rest ppperhaps obvious casualty californias climate policies states tattered electric grid blackouts state common particularly bay area media outlets largely quit reporting nearly day hrefhttpspgealertsalertspgecomoutagesmapmaps pacific gas amp electrics service territorya outages wide swaths central california states increased blackouts coinciding skyrocketing electricity prices skyrocketing electricity prices coinciding implementation americas mostaggressive renewableenergy mandates ppin 2008 hrefhttpwwwschwarzeneggercomissuesmilestoneprotectingtheenvironmentandpromotingcleanenergygovernor arnold schwarzenegger signed executive ordera required states utilities obtain electricity sell renewables 2020 2015 hrefhttpswwwsfchroniclecombusinessarticlecaliforniamayreach50renewablepowergoalby12354313phpgovernor jerry brown signed law boosted mandate 5o percenta 2030 2018 california lawmakers imposed mandate requires states electric utilities procure 60 percent electricity renewables 2030 hrefhttpswwwnprorg20180910646373423californiasetsgoalof100percentrenewableelectricpowerby2045producing 100 percent zerocarbon electricity 2045apfigurea hrefhttpswwwnprorg20180910646373423californiasetsgoalof100percentrenewableelectricpowerby2045divdivcalifornia sets goal 100 percent clean electric power 2045divdivgov jerry brown signed bill mandating ambitious goal monday issued executive order calling statewide carbon neutrality yeardivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpsstaticassetsnprorgstaticimagesfaviconfavicon180x180pngspannprspanspancamila domonoskespandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpsmedianprorgassetsimg20180910gettyimages1027371114_wideffdb33d06c286c356f628e07fbfd450e13800566jpgs1400divafigurepwhat happened terminator signed executive order 2008 2021 allsector price electricity california emincreased times faster rates rest continental united statesem year allsector price electricity california jumped 98 percent 198 cents kilowatthour residential prices increased jumping 117 percent average 228 cents kilowatthour california residential users paying 66 percent electricity homeowners rest pfigureimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpslh4googleusercontentcominvx3pfgny6ezrhioilb5losvezy7akvvov0ndekdiaaj0ysgvbjolpakd5bbmpeblagxprszuwxoz3junei11pwx7rz8dcygifl2s48yifnwdnmxudx1vgj2fhohzovxewc9gk78zswogfigurepthe state faces chronic shortage affordable housing despite shortage home prices driven myriad mandates including requirement new homes solar panels roofs 2020 singlefamily homes multifamily buildings stories high california hrefhttpselectrekco20210812californiaenergycommissionmandatessolarfornewbuildingsfrom2023must topped solar panelsa january 2023 mandate expand include commercial buildings including hotels offices retail grocery stores restaurants schools require panels atop civic buildings including theaters auditoriums convention facilitiespfigurea hrefhttpselectrekco20210812californiaenergycommissionmandatessolarfornewbuildingsfrom2023divdivcalifornia energy commission mandates solar new buildings 2023divdivthe california energy commission yesterday voted require solar panels battery storage new commercial multifamily buildingsdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpselectrekcowpcontentthemes9to52015imagesfaviconselectrekicon192x192pngspanelectrekspanspannordvpn dont want wait best british tvspandivdivdivimg altcalifornias energy war poor srchttpsi0wpcomelectrekcowpcontentuploadssites3202108covinacaliforniawalmartsolarjpgresize12002c628quality82stripallssl1divafigurepall mandates landuse civilrights lawyer jennifer hernandez calls green jim crow hrefhttpsthebreakthroughorgjournalno14summer2021greenjimcrowin essay published year breakthrough institutea hernandez wrote home state pblockquoteleads world renewable energy electric vehicle ownership industrial manufacturing sectors decimated emem climate accomplishments illusory product deindustrialization high energy costs recently improbably depopulation inequality hit record levels housing segregation returned degree seen early 1960sblockquotephernandez lead lawyer group latino leaders hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesrobertbryce20201101latinoleadersarefightingcaliforniasunbelievablyregressiveclimatepoliciessh62220b564a42have sued state california climate housing transportation policiesa 2019 filed hrefhttpblogs2lawcolumbiaeduclimatechangelitigationwpcontentuploadssites16casedocuments201920191219_docketcivds1938432_petitionforwritofmandatepdf250page civil rights lawsuita claims entrenched special interest groups including environmentalists block meaningful housing policy reforms states housing crisis deepening severe civil rights crisis hernandez points regulations fighting directly authorized state legislature ppthere shortage irony california liberal states america 2020 presidential race hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki2020_united_states_presidential_election_in_californiajoe biden thrashed donald trump californiaa margin nearly taking 63 percent vote trump lost california biden state key presidential hopefuls helps explain governor gavin newsom democrat hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220623newsombidenwhitehouse202400041704already begun positioning white house bid 2024a ppthe california senate hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicalifornia_state_legislaturehas controlled democratic party 1970a lower house assembly controlled democrats 1970s years mid1990s democratic party long considered party working class minorities hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscompoliticselectionspollhispanicsarentflockinggopdemocratsstillproblemsrcna20794nearly half latinos consider democratsa 23 percent identify republicans latinos california prospering democratic control opposite according report issued ppic year pblockquotemore 214 latinos lived poverty compared 174 african americans 145 asian americanspacific islanders 121 whites latino poverty rate fallen 309 2011 latinos remain disproportionately poorcomprising 516 poor californians 397 state population blockquotepthere big disparities homeownership 2018 homeownership rate california latinos 44 percent whites rate hrefhttpswwwunitedlatinosvoteorgfactsis 63 percenta brbrrobert apodaca executive director longtime activist told myriad pending regulations exacerbate states affordability crisis pointed states decarbonization efforts include hrefhttpswwwgovcagov20200923governornewsomannouncescaliforniawillphaseoutgasolinepoweredcarsdrasticallyreducedemandforfossilfuelincaliforniasfightagainstclimatechangeban sale cars powered internal combustion engines begins 2035a push electrification transportation require installation hrefhttpswwwenergycagovnews202106reportshowscalifornianeeds12millionelectricvehiclechargers203012 million new ev charging stations 2030a according california energy commission cost stations course borne ratepayers furthermore running cars trucks state electricity hrefhttpswwwgovcagov20200923governornewsomannouncescaliforniawillphaseoutgasolinepoweredcarsdrasticallyreducedemandforfossilfuelincaliforniasfightagainstclimatechangewill increase electricity demand bya 25 percent state experiencing regular blackouts ppapodaca said hrefhttpswwwsmithsonianmagcomsmartnewscaliforniacommits100percentcleanenergy2045180970262100 percent zerocarbon electricitya mandate hrefhttpswwwcagovarchivegov39wpcontentuploads20180991018executiveorderpdfeconomywide goal carbon neutrality 2045a increase costs february california public utilities commission unanimously approved scheme aims add 25 gigawatts renewables 15 gigawatts batteries states electric grid 2032 hrefhttpswwwenergystoragenewscaliforniapublicutilitiescommissionapprovesus49billioncleanenergyplanat estimated cost 493 billiona february california independent system operator released draft plan hrefhttpswwwutilitydivecomnewscaliforniaisosketches305bdrafttransmissionplantomeetstatesclea618230upgrade states transmission grid cost 305 billionappthe combined cost schemes 80 billion dividing sum 39 million residents works 2050 californian final price certainly far higher 80 billion big public works projects routinely exceed initial estimates californias beleaguered highspeed rail project expected cost hrefhttpsthehillcomchangingamericasustainabilityinfrastructure593755pricerisesagainforcaliforniahighspeed42 billion launched 2008a latest cost estimate 105 billion effort overhaul states electric grid require huge amounts complex machinery including generators solar panels transformers switch gear require vast amounts land steel concrete tanker loads industrial commodities time prices hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommodityzinczinca hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommoditylithiumlithiuma hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommoditynickelnickela hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomcommodityaluminumaluminuma soaringppthe renewableelectricity push force prices upward time california midst energyaffordability crisis january electricity rates customers pacific gas amp electric biggest utility state went percent march hrefhttpsabc7newscompgeratehikeenergycostincreasehigherbillscpuc11659353pgampe customers hit percent rate hikea consumers served san diego gas amp electric seeing big increases electricity hrefhttpswwwnbcsandiegocomnewsinvestigationsnbc7respondssdgerateshavegoneupalotandhereswhy2843224price increases nearly percenta year furthermore pgampe seeking rate hrefhttpsabc7newscompgeratehikeenergycostincreasehigherbillscpuc11659353big rate increases 2023 2026a pay variety programs including hrefhttpswwwturnorginthenewspgemovespowerundergroundinplantobury10000milesburying thousands miles power linesa ppelectricity prices soaring time consumers simply cant afford pay march hrefhttpswww10newscomnewslocalnewsmorethan350klateontheirsdgebillsmore quarter residential customers san diego countya utility paymentsppthese soaring costs shouldnt surprising like occurred australia germany imposition renewableenergy mandates california corresponded dramatic increases electricity prices course thats told climate activists like hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsannalsofawarmingplanetrenewableenergyissuddenlystartlinglycheapbill mckibben tire claiming wind solar cheaper traditional forms electricity productiona 2019 study academics university chicago found renewableenergy mandates cause prices pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207california1png altcalifornias energy war poor width1385 height785figcaptionphoto hrefhttpsunsplashcomventiviewsutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextventi viewsa hrefhttpsunsplashcomsphotoscaliforniawindturbinesutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextunsplashafigcaptionfigurepthe report michael greenstone ishan nath said renewables raise electricity prices previously thought hidden costs typically ignored found mandates come high cost consumers inefficient reducing carbon emissions greenstone nath said intermittent nature renewables means backup capacity added mandating increase renewable power baseload generation prematurely displaced cost passed consumers continued saying renewableenergy mandates lead lead hrefhttpsepicuchicagoeduwpcontentuploads201907dorenewableportfoliostandardsdeliverpdfsubstantial increases electricity pricesa mirror programs increasing stringency timeppof course fits convenient narrative california leading way climate change hard reality californias climate policies renewableenergy mandates immiserating vast segments states population ppin july 1st telephone interview apodaca said states climate policies hard fight california governed administrative state regulators continued saying legislature hasnt mandated climate rules legislative mandate majority regulations air resources board agencies creating agencies gone far arent held accountableppwhat happened california warning rest united states rest world kotkin quoted piece loudest mostfrequent critics californias decline april citing hrefhttpsjoelkotkincomwpcontentuploads202201restoring_the_california_dreampdfa report cowrote marshall toplansky chapman universitya kotkin declared california midst existential crisis losing middleaged middle class poor population faces dimming prospects despite states myriad advantages research shows [is] plagued economic immobility inequality crushing housing energy costs failing education system worse case progressive policies creating regressive outcomes appears hrefhttpswwwrealclearinvestigationscomarticles20220413californias_vanished_dream_by_the_numbers_826300htmlcalifornia descending resembling modernday feudalisma poor weak trapped policies subsidized taxes paid rich powerfulppgiven states problems residents reacting dubbed hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220611californiansworkingfromhomearemovingtomexicoamidinflationhtmlthe california exodusa year time 171year history hrefhttpscalmattersorgpolitics202104californiacongresscensuscalifornia lost seat house representativesa texas gained seats florida gained months ago uhaul company rents moving trucks issued press release said hrefhttpswww10newscomnewsfactorfictionfactorfictioncaliforniaranoutofuhaulsin2021california locations experienced biggest loss oneway truck rentals 2021a destination soontobeex californians hrefhttpswwwnationalreviewcomcorneruhaulliterallyranoutoftrucksleavingcaliforniatexasa verify california moving austin furthermore 2018 300 companies moved headquarters california notable corporate departures hrefhttpswwwglobestcom20220307exodusofcorporatehqfromcaliforniakeepsgrowingslreturn20220604180714tesla oracle moved headquarters austina ppthe punchline obvious decades regulators politicians californiaa state pillar democratic party home vice president kamala harris home americas biggest climateactivist group sierra clubhave implementing skein policies nearly tied energy climate blatantly antipoor antiworking class yes california fine place rich californians arent rich seen voting feet uhaul truck find brbrbrp

62cca5587b6066c266b60686

Defending the New West

img altdefending the new west srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202207zelenskyhospitalpngpwhen i first visited kyiv in march of 2014 a few weeks after the revolution of dignity there was a certain dreariness in the air the maidan with its encampments and smell of burnt tires felt febrile the downtown looked overwhelmingly grey and dilapidated after decades of communism and 20 years of missed opportunities following the collapse of the soviet unionppon my most recent trip in june this year together with american purpose editorinchief jeff gedmin and our friend and fellowcontributor iulia joja kyiv looked like a different city some of it was just midsummer pleasantness while the city remained halfempty and fortified because of the war the restaurants and cafs housed by the stalinist architecture would not look out of place in islington or brooklyn and notwithstanding the hardship and tragedy of recent months ukrainians came across as serene without any of the gloom associated in western popular imagination with postsoviet eastern europe ignore the cyrillic and you can easily imagine yourself in warsaw or prague not bucharest though iulia noted that kyiv is much cleaner war or no warppmy read is simple ukraine has become a part of the westppis that a surprise in the winter of 2014 ukrainians spent weeks in the freezing cold to ensure that their government would follow through on their association agreement with the european union for years ukrainians bled in the trenches to keep russian expansion in the donbas at bay this year against the odds they have in important respects defeated what some consider the second largest military in the worldppafter a decade in which more often than not countries have been peeling off western alliances including in pursuit of deeper relations with china ukraines embrace of the west should be treated as a gift from heaven turkey and hungary while formally in nato have become fifth columns rather than constructive stakeholders a plethora of other countries from brazil to indonesia are hedging their bets in global confrontations between the west and our adversariespdiv span datapullquoteukraines embrace of the west should be treated as a gift from heavenspan divpdespite its successive enlargements the relative weight of the european union in the global economy has fallen from its peak of around 25 percent of the worlds real economic output in the early 1990s to less than 15 percent now the us share of real global output has followed a downward path from its peak in the late 1990s by 2050 some forecasts a hrefhttpswwwpwccomgxenresearchinsightseconomytheworldin2050htmlkeyprojectionssuggesta china will command roughly the same share of world output as the eu and the us combinedppinsert a nation of 40 million in a critically important region of europe which has been doing almost everything rightwhile also fighting off and practically crippling the military of one of our key adversaries why is ukraines accession to the eu and its place in western alliances treated as a matter for further discussion and not as the clearcut uncontroversial blessing that it isppthe argument is not simply that ukraine can under the right conditions materially strengthen our alliancesmilitarily politically economically perhaps more important ukrainians are more unapologetically western in their embrace of westernstyle economic and political institutions than we arephrpmost westerners pay lip service to localism federalism and the devolution of power for ukrainians these ideas are alive several interlocutors explained to our group in kyiv that the kind of bottomup resistance to russian occupation in places like kherson is linked to reforms devolving powers to mayors and municipalities unthinkable in the russian context ukrainian mayors actually run cities and control economic resourceswhile being democratically accountableand ukrainians love it the idea that their local mayor would be removed and replaced by a russiansponsored satrap was simply outrageous to ordinary ukrainians who took to the streets at great personal riskppnot only would it be hard to imagine similar levels of enthusiasm about say muriel bowser not to speak of bill de blasio but the united states and to a lesser extent some european countries have embarked on a vicious cycle of delegitimizing their political institutionsppto some on the left such institutions are tainted by the painful legacies of slavery racism colonialism or misogyny with liberal democratic norms only masking the ruthless relationships of power that keep women minorities and other vulnerable groups down on the right the mantra seems to be one of the failure of liberalism regurgitated by figures from patrick deneen to yoram hazony meanwhile that oncevenerable institution of american conservatism the philadelphia society a hrefhttpsphillysocorgtps_meetingsfall2022will holda a session later this year on the fate of conservatism in an age of illegitimacy featuring speakers including michael anton of flight 93 fameppon both of the extremes that currently muddy the waters of public life in the western world there is little appreciation of the counterfactuals true liberal democracy religious and social toleration and market relations are in many ways unsatisfying in some cases they may be overdue for reform our fundamental moral intuition rarely resonates with the messiness and unwieldy nature of a pluralistic society based on incompletely shared rulesppyet liberal democracys arrangements are greatly superior to any alternative that has been tried as for the ideas of social order that have not been tried at least not in recent past as the postliberals like to insist not many rise above the level of the puerile the united states is a nation with a small and not terribly energized catholic minority yet catholic integralists somehow expect that giving the state the power to reorder society toward the highest good to use their favorite turn of phrase will place themand not the woke or the atheists or the rinosin the drivers seatppukraine for one has seen the alternatives to liberal democracy from soviet communism through the kleptocracy of the yanukovych years to the brutality of putins regime and of the mafiarun peoples republics in ukraines east none of them looks particularly appealingppand therein lies the main promise of ukraines accession to the eu and western geopolitical structures a forceful reminder of the value of the institutions and informal norms that we take for granted and even dismiss as trivial ukrainians understand well that freedom national selfdetermination and democratic constitutional government are worth fighting and even dying for quite a few americans and europeans are in dire need of being reminded of that lessonppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorsdaliborrohacemstrongdalibor rohstrongemaem is a senior fellow at the american enterprise institute and a contributing editor of emamerican purposeem twitter daliborrohacemppemphoto office of the president of ukraine a hrefhttpswwwpresidentgovuaenphotosvidvidannyaprezidentomukrayinidityachoyilikarniohmatdit4589sourceaemp

img altdefending new west srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202207zelenskyhospitalpngpwhen visited kyiv march 2014 weeks revolution dignity certain dreariness air maidan encampments smell burnt tires felt febrile downtown looked overwhelmingly grey dilapidated decades communism 20 years missed opportunities following collapse soviet unionppon recent trip june year american purpose editorinchief jeff gedmin friend fellowcontributor iulia joja kyiv looked like different city midsummer pleasantness city remained halfempty fortified war restaurants cafs housed stalinist architecture look place islington brooklyn notwithstanding hardship tragedy recent months ukrainians came serene gloom associated western popular imagination postsoviet eastern europe ignore cyrillic easily imagine warsaw prague bucharest iulia noted kyiv cleaner war warppmy read simple ukraine westppis surprise winter 2014 ukrainians spent weeks freezing cold ensure government follow association agreement european union years ukrainians bled trenches russian expansion donbas bay year odds important respects defeated consider second largest military worldppafter decade countries peeling western alliances including pursuit deeper relations china ukraines embrace west treated gift heaven turkey hungary formally nato fifth columns constructive stakeholders plethora countries brazil indonesia hedging bets global confrontations west adversariespdiv span datapullquoteukraines embrace west treated gift heavenspan divpdespite successive enlargements relative weight european union global economy fallen peak 25 percent worlds real economic output early 1990s 15 percent share real global output followed downward path peak late 1990s 2050 forecasts hrefhttpswwwpwccomgxenresearchinsightseconomytheworldin2050htmlkeyprojectionssuggesta china command roughly share world output eu combinedppinsert nation 40 million critically important region europe rightwhile fighting practically crippling military key adversaries ukraines accession eu place western alliances treated matter discussion clearcut uncontroversial blessing isppthe argument simply ukraine right conditions materially strengthen alliancesmilitarily politically economically important ukrainians unapologetically western embrace westernstyle economic political institutions arephrpmost westerners pay lip service localism federalism devolution power ukrainians ideas alive interlocutors explained group kyiv kind bottomup resistance russian occupation places like kherson linked reforms devolving powers mayors municipalities unthinkable russian context ukrainian mayors actually run cities control economic resourceswhile democratically accountableand ukrainians love idea local mayor removed replaced russiansponsored satrap simply outrageous ordinary ukrainians took streets great personal riskppnot hard imagine similar levels enthusiasm muriel bowser speak bill de blasio united states lesser extent european countries embarked vicious cycle delegitimizing political institutionsppto left institutions tainted painful legacies slavery racism colonialism misogyny liberal democratic norms masking ruthless relationships power women minorities vulnerable groups right mantra failure liberalism regurgitated figures patrick deneen yoram hazony oncevenerable institution american conservatism philadelphia society hrefhttpsphillysocorgtps_meetingsfall2022will holda session later year fate conservatism age illegitimacy featuring speakers including michael anton flight 93 fameppon extremes currently muddy waters public life western world little appreciation counterfactuals true liberal democracy religious social toleration market relations ways unsatisfying cases overdue reform fundamental moral intuition rarely resonates messiness unwieldy nature pluralistic society based incompletely shared rulesppyet liberal democracys arrangements greatly superior alternative tried ideas social order tried recent past postliberals like insist rise level puerile united states nation small terribly energized catholic minority catholic integralists expect giving state power reorder society highest good use favorite turn phrase place themand woke atheists rinosin drivers seatppukraine seen alternatives liberal democracy soviet communism kleptocracy yanukovych years brutality putins regime mafiarun peoples republics ukraines east looks particularly appealingppand lies main promise ukraines accession eu western geopolitical structures forceful reminder value institutions informal norms granted dismiss trivial ukrainians understand freedom national selfdetermination democratic constitutional government worth fighting dying americans europeans dire need reminded lessonppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorsdaliborrohacemstrongdalibor rohstrongemaem senior fellow american enterprise institute contributing editor emamerican purposeem twitter daliborrohacemppemphoto office president ukraine hrefhttpswwwpresidentgovuaenphotosvidvidannyaprezidentomukrayinidityachoyilikarniohmatdit4589sourceaemp

62cdf6a2ce8e96c87d0d6bff

5 Questions for Michael Strain on Inflation, Recession, and the Labor Market

pstrongby james pethokoukis and michael strainstrongp pfor the past two years the covid19 pandemic has dominated discussions of the us economy but now with inflation and the possibility of a recession on everyones minds are we in the postpandemic economy to get a sense of the current economic moment as well as whats next for the us economy im joined by michael strain whose macroeconomic forecasting during the pandemic has been on pointp pmike is the director of economic policy studies and the arthur f burns scholar in political economy at the american enterprise institute hes also the author of the 2020 book ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomamericandreamnotdeadpopulismebookdpb0846qhk7k target_blankthe american dream is not dead but populism could kill itaemp pbelow is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation you can read our full discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsareweinthepostpandemiceconomymylongreadqawithmichaelstrain target_blankherea you can also subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera or download the podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukis inflation is really high how did we get herestrongp pstrain on the supply side we had supply chain bottlenecks that restricted the ability of businesses to produce goods and services we had a situation where it was hard for businesses to find workers where the workforce participation rate wasnt recovering from the pandemic as rapidly as people had thought it was due in part to pandemicera programs that expanded the generosity of unemployment benefits or that just expanded household savings generallyp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207strain5qsgroceryjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653823figcaptionshopping in a supermarket in new york on friday july 1 2022 prices for goods rose 63 in may from the previous year photo by richard b levine via reutersfigcaptionfigure pthose supplyside restrictions collided with a huge burst of demand for goods and services on the part of consumers this extremely strong demand was similarly fueled by several factors the pandemic was coming to an end vaccines were more widely available people could go back out and lead more normal lives business activity restrictions were lifted or relaxed this led to a recovery of consumer demand the fed kept interest rates very low which helped consumers to spend money the fed was attempting to juice the housing sector by purchasing mortgagebacked securities that not only led to strong demand for houses but it also had spillover effects in other sectors of the economy and congress through the 900 billion stimulus that was passed in december of 2020 and through the nearly 2 trillion american rescue plan that was passed in march of 2021 also strongly juiced consumer demand and so you had this big burst of demandp pstrongare the things causing high inflation right now the same as they were six months agostrongp pno theyre not some of them are similar but a lot of the inflation were experiencing now is coming from higher energy prices due to the war in ukraine coming from higher food prices due to the war in ukraine if you look at measures of inflation that try to remove outliers or if you look at measures of inflation that try to remove food prices and energy prices you see that inflation looks different inflation is still very very high but its not accelerating for example when you look at the consumer price index but you kick out food and you kick out energy you see really fast inflation you see the price level for those goods and services increasing much faster than it normally does but over the past six or seven months the problem is not getting worse its not getting better either youre not seeing the consumer price index minus food minus energy inflation fall but youre not seeing it rise you are seeing the headline cpi risep pstrongare we heading into a recessionstrongp pi think it is unlikely that the fed will be able to engineer a soft landing i think the odds of a recession at some point in the next 18 months are twothirds maybe higher i think the severity of that recession is tbd the arguments in favor of a mild recession are that there is no real underlying structural problem in the economy right now we dont have a situation for example where people own more houses than they shouldp phousing prices have gone up housing prices are primarily driven by market fundamentals equity prices had also gone up quite a bit equity prices are now down 20 percent which is probably the more reasonable valuation household debt service ratios are low household balance sheets are strong businesses are profitable so we are in a situation where we can have a kind of textbook recession the fed raises interest rates that reduces demand demand goes down economic output goes down were in a recession unemployment rises prices moderatep pstrongwhat would the recovery from such a recession look likestrongp pmy expectation would be that employment would recover more slowly than it has from other fedinduced recessions in the past i think that we wont be in a situation with the kinds of systematic economic problems that take years to unwind i think we would have a recession where demand would drop because of the fed and then when the fed put its foot on the gas pedal demand would come back and the recession under that scenario would be much more mildp pthe concern that i have that is growing is that the fed is so far behind the curve right now and the war in ukraine doesnt seem to be ending if high oil prices are spooking households and businesses into thinking that were going to have inflation for a long time and are affecting the decisions that businesses are making today about prices as a consequence of those expectations then the fed may have to slam on the brakes a lot harder than it otherwise wouldp pstrongif we have a recession what happens to the great resignation narrativestrongp pi think the great resignation is largely a myth instead of a great resignation what i see is a big increase in upward mobility if you look at wage growth for workers who change jobs its much higher than wage growth for workers who stay in jobs and so people are quitting their jobs theyre getting new jobs and those new jobs pay higher wages this is a story of upward mobilityp pi think we are in a period right now where even though employment has nearly fully recovered even though workforce participation is finally getting close to recovering or closer than it has been there is a real change in the labor market in terms of the kind of relative bargaining power of workers workers are in the drivers seat right now in a way thats unusual i think if we have a recession and when we come out the other end we will see workers in a relatively weaker bargaining position than they currently are inp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforglennhubbardonadamsmithsanswertoeconomicpopulism5 questions for glenn hubbard on adam smiths answer to economic populisma a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforryanstreeteronthebenefitsofdynamism5 questions for ryan streeter on the benefits of dynamisma a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformichaelstrainonthelabormarket5 questions for michael strain on the labor marketapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformichaelstrainoninflationrecessionandthelabormarket5 questions for michael strain on inflation recession and the labor marketa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis michael strainstrongp pfor past years covid19 pandemic dominated discussions economy withinflation possibility arecession everyones minds postpandemic economy sense current economic moment whats economy im joined michael strain macroeconomic forecasting pandemic pointp pmikeis director economic policy studies arthur f burns scholar political economy american enterprise institute hes author 2020 bookema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomamericandreamnotdeadpopulismebookdpb0846qhk7k target_blankthe american dream dead populism kill itaemp pbelow abbreviated transcript conversation read discussiona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsareweinthepostpandemiceconomymylongreadqawithmichaelstrain target_blankherea subscribe podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsaora relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera download podcast ona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukis inflation high herestrongp pstrain supply supply chain bottlenecks restricted ability businesses produce goods services situation hard businesses find workers workforce participation rate wasnt recovering pandemic rapidly people thought pandemicera programs expanded generosity unemployment benefits expanded household savings generallyp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202207strain5qsgroceryjpgx91208 classwpimage1008653823figcaptionshopping supermarket new york friday july 1 2022 prices goods rose 63 previous year photo richard b levine reutersfigcaptionfigure pthose supplyside restrictions collided huge burst demand goods services consumers extremely strong demand similarly fueled factors pandemic coming end vaccines widely available people lead normal lives business activity restrictions lifted relaxed led recovery consumer demand fed kept interest rates low helped consumers spend money fed attempting juice housing sector purchasing mortgagebacked securities led strong demand houses spillover effects sectors economy congress 900 billion stimulus passed december 2020 nearly 2 trillion american rescue plan passed march 2021 strongly juiced consumer demand big burst demandp pstrongare things causing high inflation right months agostrongp pno theyre similar lot inflation experiencing coming higher energy prices war ukraine coming higher food prices war ukraine look measures inflation try remove outliers look measures inflation try remove food prices energy prices inflation looks different inflation high accelerating example look consumer price index kick food kick energy fast inflation price level goods services increasing faster normally past seven months problem getting worse getting better youre seeing consumer price index minus food minus energy inflation fall youre seeing rise seeing headline cpi risep pstrongare heading recessionstrongp pi think unlikely fed able engineer soft landing think odds recession point 18 months twothirds maybe higher think severity recession tbd arguments favor mild recession real underlying structural problem economy right dont situation example people houses shouldp phousing prices gone housing prices primarily driven market fundamentals equity prices gone bit equity prices 20 percent probably reasonable valuation household debt service ratios low household balance sheets strong businesses profitable situation kind textbook recession fed raises interest rates reduces demand demand goes economic output goes recession unemployment rises prices moderatep pstrongwhat recovery recession look likestrongp pmy expectation employment recover slowly fedinduced recessions past think wont situation kinds systematic economic problems years unwind think recession demand drop fed fed foot gas pedal demand come recession scenario mildp pthe concern growing fed far curve right war ukraine doesnt ending high oil prices spooking households businesses thinking going inflation long time affecting decisions businesses making today prices consequence expectations fed slam brakes lot harder wouldp pstrongif recession happens great resignation narrativestrongp pi think great resignation largely myth instead great resignation big increase upward mobility look wage growth workers change jobs higher wage growth workers stay jobs people quitting jobs theyre getting new jobs new jobs pay higher wages story upward mobilityp pi think period right employment nearly fully recovered workforce participation finally getting close recovering closer real change labor market terms kind relative bargaining power workers workers drivers seat right way thats unusual think recession come end workers relatively weaker bargaining position currently inp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforglennhubbardonadamsmithsanswertoeconomicpopulism5 questions glenn hubbard adam smiths answer economic populisma hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforryanstreeteronthebenefitsofdynamism5 questions ryan streeter benefits dynamisma hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformichaelstrainonthelabormarket5 questions michael strain labor marketapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsformichaelstrainoninflationrecessionandthelabormarket5 questions michael strain inflation recession labor marketa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

62cdf6eece8e96c87d0d6c09

Are some VC investments predictably bad?

blockquotepdo institutional investors invest efficiently to study this question i combine a novel dataset of over 16000 startups representing over 9 billion in investments with machine learning methods to evaluate the decisions of earlystage investors by comparing investor choices to an algorithms predictions i show that approximately half of the investments were predictably badbased on information known at the time of investment the predicted return of the investment was less than readily available outside options the cost of these poor investments is 1000 basis points totalling over 900 million in my data i provide suggestive evidence that overreliance on the founders background is one mechanism underlying these choices together the results suggest that high stakes and firm sophistication are not sufficient for efficient use of information in capital allocation decisionspblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id4135861 target_blanka new paper by diag davenporta via atta tarkip pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207aresomevcinvestmentspredictablybadhtmlare some vc investments predictably bada appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepdo institutional investors invest efficiently study question combine novel dataset 16000 startups representing 9 billion investments machine learning methods evaluate decisions earlystage investors comparing investor choices algorithms predictions approximately half investments predictably badbased information known time investment predicted return investment readily available outside options cost poor investments 1000 basis points totalling 900 million data provide suggestive evidence overreliance founders background mechanism underlying choices results suggest high stakes firm sophistication sufficient efficient use information capital allocation decisionspblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id4135861 target_blanka new paper diag davenporta atta tarkip pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207aresomevcinvestmentspredictablybadhtmlare vc investments predictably bada appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62cdf72dce8e96c87d0d6c13

Biden's Policies Have Increased, Not Reduced, Future Budget Deficits

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads2022078191874jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads20220781918741200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads2022078191874600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads2022078191874331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads2022078191874jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads20220781918741200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads2022078191874600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads2022078191874331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alt srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpg height675 picture div pduring his state of the union address in march president joe biden a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvmvixlqrc9ret3406sclaimeda that quotspanby the end of this year the deficit will be down to less than half what it was before i took officethe only president ever to cut the deficit by more than 1 trillion in a single yearspanp psince then hes a hrefhttpswwwcnncom20220509politicsfactcheckbidendeficitreductionindexhtmlclaimeda responsibility for quotthe largest reductionquot in the federal deficit in historyp pthat claim in short is bullshitp pin fact in the roughly 18 months since he took office bidens policies have only emadded emto americas longterm budget deficit which is a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionliesgetting worse and worsea as a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210508theeraofsmallgovernmentisovergovernment spending outpaces tax revenueap pwhat biden is trying to do is take credit for expiring emergency spending measures because of the covid19 pandemic the federal government ran an unprecedented 31 trillion deficit in 2020 which fell to a stillstratospheric 27 trillion deficit in 2021p pthis year with covid spending largely off the books the deficit is expected to fall to about 14 trillionthough we wont have a final figure until after the fiscal year ends on september 30p pa relattachment wpatt8193889 hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220706bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsdeficitscovidbiden2img datacreditsource committee for a responsible federal budget sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden1024x738jpg alt width1024 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden1024x738jpg 1024w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden300x216jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden768x554jpg 768w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbidenjpg 1068w classwpimage8193889 height738aif you eliminate outlier years like 1943 when the us was embroiled in a global war this years budget deficit is likely to end up as one of the largest in american history even after adjusting for inflationp pso biden doesnt really have anything to be bragging aboutp pas expiring covid spending made our fiscal situation look better on the surface biden was busy emadding ema hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionlies24 trillion to the longterm deficita according to the congressional budget offices most recent estimatesp pthats due to bidens american rescue planspan the spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20211106congressfinallypassedbidensinefficientdeficithikinginfrastructurebillspanbipartisan infrastructure packagespanaspan and the 15 trillion spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220311earmarksarebackandtheyrejustassleazyandsecretiveaseverspanfederal budgetspanaspan that was spana hrefhttpsreasonorgcommentarythebrokenfederalbudgetprocessgetsevenworsewith15trillionomnibusspendingbillspanpassed in marchspanaspan if the presidents multitrilliondollar build back better plan had become law spanspana hrefhttpswwwheritageorgbudgetandspendingcommentarynewchartsrevealharmsbidensbudgetbustingbingewed been in even worse shapea spanp pon the chart below the grey columns represent the projected deficits for the next 10 years when biden took office the red columns are the projected deficits a year and a half into his presidency biden can talk about reducing the deficit all he wants but the truth is that hes added to itp pa relattachment wpatt8193892 hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220706bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsbidentrumpdeficits2img datacreditsource cbo data heritage foundation httpswwwheritageorgbudgetandspendingcommentarynewchartsrevealharmsbidensbudgetbustingbinge sizesmaxwidth 893px 100vw 893px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficitsjpg alt width893 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficitsjpg 893w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficits300x234jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficits768x599jpg 768w classwpimage8193892 height697ap pspanquotthe federal governments budget is on the road to hellquot a hrefhttpswwwbarronscomarticleshowsocialsecurityandmedicareareruiningus1491017117warneda former congressional budget office director douglas holtzeakin back in 2011 that was before presidents barack obama donald trump and now joe biden each went on a spending binge that has made our fiscal future even spanless stablep pbiden wants you to focus on just a small part of the overall picture but the deficits for the past two years and this year are a a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220613whybidensclaimofcuttingthedeficitisfalseinasinglechartmisleading indicatora of americas overall fiscal healthp pand to claim that he has reduced the deficit is worse than misleading its an outright liep pemphoto credits cnp polarisnewscom mykhaylo palinchak sopa imagesnewscom mega newscom abaca pressgripas yuriabacasipa usanewscom ron sachscnp splashnewsnewscom bob daemmrichzumapressnewscomemp pemmusic credits quotthreat good remix instrumental versionquot by wearethegood via artlist emp pemgraphics by adani samat and isaac reese edited by regan taylor written by eric boehmemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220712bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsbidens policies have increased not reduced future budget deficitsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads2022078191874jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads20220781918741200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads2022078191874600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads2022078191874331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads2022078191874jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads20220781918741200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads2022078191874600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads2022078191874331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alt srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads2022078191874800x450jpg height675 picture div pduring state union address march president joe biden hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvmvixlqrc9ret3406sclaimeda quotspanby end year deficit half took officethe president cut deficit 1 trillion single yearspanp psince hes hrefhttpswwwcnncom20220509politicsfactcheckbidendeficitreductionindexhtmlclaimeda responsibility quotthe largest reductionquot federal deficit historyp pthat claim short bullshitp pin fact roughly 18 months took office bidens policies onlyemaddedemto americas longterm budget deficit hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionliesgetting worse worsea hrefhttpsreasoncom20210508theeraofsmallgovernmentisovergovernment spending outpaces tax revenueap pwhat biden trying credit expiring emergency spending measures covid19 pandemic federal government ran unprecedented 31 trillion deficit 2020 fell stillstratospheric 27 trillion deficit 2021p pthis year covid spending largely books deficit expected fall 14 trillionthough wont final figure fiscal year ends september 30p pa relattachment wpatt8193889 hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220706bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsdeficitscovidbiden2img datacreditsource committee responsible federal budget sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden1024x738jpg alt width1024 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden1024x738jpg 1024w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden300x216jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbiden768x554jpg 768w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207deficitscovidbidenjpg 1068w classwpimage8193889 height738aif eliminate outlier years like 1943 embroiled global war years budget deficit likely end largest american history adjusting inflationp pso biden doesnt bragging aboutp pas expiring covid spending fiscal situation look better surface biden busyemaddingema hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionlies24 trillion longterm deficita according congressional budget offices recent estimatesp pthats bidens american rescue planspan spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20211106congressfinallypassedbidensinefficientdeficithikinginfrastructurebillspanbipartisan infrastructure packagespanaspan 15 trillion spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220311earmarksarebackandtheyrejustassleazyandsecretiveaseverspanfederal budgetspanaspan spana hrefhttpsreasonorgcommentarythebrokenfederalbudgetprocessgetsevenworsewith15trillionomnibusspendingbillspanpassed marchspanaspan presidents multitrilliondollar build better plan law spanspana hrefhttpswwwheritageorgbudgetandspendingcommentarynewchartsrevealharmsbidensbudgetbustingbingewed worse shapeaspanp pon chart grey columns represent projected deficits 10 years biden took office red columns projected deficits year half presidency biden talk reducing deficit wants truth hes added itp pa relattachment wpatt8193892 hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220706bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsbidentrumpdeficits2img datacreditsource cbo data heritage foundation httpswwwheritageorgbudgetandspendingcommentarynewchartsrevealharmsbidensbudgetbustingbinge sizesmaxwidth 893px 100vw 893px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficitsjpg alt width893 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficitsjpg 893w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficits300x234jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202207bidentrumpdeficits768x599jpg 768w classwpimage8193892 height697ap pspanquotthe federal governments budget road hellquot hrefhttpswwwbarronscomarticleshowsocialsecurityandmedicareareruiningus1491017117warneda congressional budget office director douglas holtzeakin 2011 presidents barack obama donald trump joe biden went spending binge fiscal future spanless stablep pbiden wants focus small overall picture deficits past years year hrefhttpsreasoncom20220613whybidensclaimofcuttingthedeficitisfalseinasinglechartmisleading indicatora americas overall fiscal healthp pand claim reduced deficit worse misleading outright liep pemphoto credits cnp polarisnewscom mykhaylo palinchak sopa imagesnewscom mega newscom abaca pressgripas yuriabacasipa usanewscom ron sachscnp splashnewsnewscom bob daemmrichzumapressnewscomemp pemmusic credits quotthreat good remix instrumental versionquot wearethegood artlist emp pemgraphics adani samat isaac reese edited regan taylor written eric boehmemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220712bidenspolicieshaveincreasednotreducedfuturebudgetdeficitsbidens policies increased reduced future budget deficitsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62d48e927bd05c883760d777

A Radical Proposal for Funding Science

pthe process of competing for science funding is so onerous that much of the value is dissipated in seeking funding risk aversion by committee means that breakthrough science is often funded surreptiously on the margin of funded science these problems are serious and make alternative funding procedures worth thinking about even if radicalp blockquotepto avoid rent dissipation and risk aversion our state funding of science should be simplified and decentralized into researcher guided funding researcher guided funding would take the 120 billion spent by the federal government on science each year and distribute it equally to the a rel hrefhttpsncesedgovsurveysnsopf250000 fulltime research and teaching faculty in stem fields at high research activity universitiesa a rel hrefhttpscarnegieclassificationsiuedudownloads2000_edition_data_printablepdfwho already get 90 of this moneya this amounts to about 500000 for each researcher every year you could increase the amount allocated to some researchers while still avoiding dissipating resources on applications by allocating larger grants in a lottery that only some of them win each year 60 of this money can be spent pursuing any project they want with no requirements for peer consensus or approval with no strings attached katalin karik and charles townes could use these funds to pursue their worldchanging ideas despite doubt and disapproval from their colleagues the other 40 would have to be spent funding projects of their peers this allows important projects to gain a lot of extra funding if a group of researchers are excited about it with over a rel hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesnature2015175675000 authors on the paper chroniclinga the discovery of the higgs boson particle in the hadron supercollider this group of physicists could muster 25 billion dollars a year in funding without consulting any outside sources this system would avoid the negative effects of long and expensive review processes because the state hands out the money with very few strings and risk aversion among funders because the researchers individually get to decide what to fund and pursuepblockquote pthere are issues to be sure seea hrefhttpswwwcspicentercompmomoneymoproblems the papera but experimentation in science funding is called forp blockquotepgovernment funding of science is a logical and wellintentioned attempt to increase the production of a positive externality however the institutional forms in which we have chosen to distribute these funds have created parasitic drag on the progress of science there are many exciting proposals for new ways to fund science but picking any one of these without rigorous experimentation would be foolish and ironic the best proposal for science funding reform is to apply science to the problem rapid and largescale experimentation is needed to continuously update and improve our science funding methodspblockquote pthat is from a hrefhttpswwwcspicentercompmomoneymoproblemsa prizewinning essaya from the a hrefhttpswwwcspicentercomcspia by a hrefhttpsmaximumprogresssubstackcommaxwell tabarrokap psee also tylers important post a hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207scienceasasourceofsocialalphahtmlscience as a source of social alphaap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207aradicalproposalforfundingsciencehtmla radical proposal for funding sciencea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthe process competing science funding onerous value dissipated seeking funding risk aversion committee means breakthrough science funded surreptiously margin funded science problems alternative funding procedures worth thinking radicalp blockquotepto avoid rent dissipation risk aversion state funding science simplified decentralized researcher guided funding researcher guided funding 120 billion spent federal government science year distribute equally thea rel hrefhttpsncesedgovsurveysnsopf250000 fulltime research teaching faculty stem fields high research activity universitiesaa rel hrefhttpscarnegieclassificationsiuedudownloads2000_edition_data_printablepdfwho 90 moneya amounts 500000 researcher year increase allocated researchers avoiding dissipating resources applications allocating larger grants lottery win year 60 money spent pursuing project want requirements peer consensus approval strings attached katalin karik charles townes use funds pursue worldchanging ideas despite doubt disapproval colleagues 40 spent funding projects peers allows important projects gain lot extra funding group researchers excited overa rel hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticlesnature2015175675000 authors paper chroniclingathe discovery higgs boson particle hadron supercollider group physicists muster 25 billion dollars year funding consulting outside sources system avoid negative effects long expensive review processes state hands money strings risk aversion funders researchers individually decide fund pursuepblockquote pthere issues sure seea hrefhttpswwwcspicentercompmomoneymoproblems papera experimentation science funding called forp blockquotepgovernment funding science logical wellintentioned attempt increase production positive externality institutional forms chosen distribute funds created parasitic drag progress science exciting proposals new ways fund science picking rigorous experimentation foolish ironic best proposal science funding reform apply science problem rapid largescale experimentation needed continuously update improve science funding methodspblockquote pthat hrefhttpswwwcspicentercompmomoneymoproblemsa prizewinning essaya hrefhttpswwwcspicentercomcspia hrefhttpsmaximumprogresssubstackcommaxwell tabarrokap psee tylers important post hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207scienceasasourceofsocialalphahtmlscience source social alphaap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207aradicalproposalforfundingsciencehtmla radical proposal funding sciencea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62d5df645bde993e840812bf

A California Bill Wants To Punish Social Media Companies for 'Addicting' Children

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgirl laying in bed starting at a black smartphone srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpg height675 picture div pspana a hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbilltextclientxhtmlbill_id202120220ab2408billa working its way through the california senate would prohibit large social media platforms from using quota design feature or affordance that the platform knew or which by the exercise of reasonable care should have known causes child users to become addicted to the platformquot the spanspansocial media platform duty to children act has cleared the california assembly been amended in the senate and referred to the appropriations committeespanp pspanwhile the bill seems to address many of the concerns raised about teenagers and social media use the bill erases the role of parents in determining what their kids can see and do online spanp pspanthe bill also establishes unclear rules and definitions seemingly meant to turn social media platforms into cash cows for prosecutors spanspanif found to be violating the law social media companies can face a civil penalty of up to spana hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbilltextclientxhtmlbill_id202120220ab2408span250000spanaspan for each violation of a ban on quotaddictingquot features companies can be prosecuted directly by the quotattorney general or by a district attorney county counsel or city attorneyquotspanp pspanit is now conventional wisdom that spending too much time on social media can be bad for kids social psychologist jonathan haidt spana hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202111facebooksdangerousexperimentteengirls620767spanarguedspanaspan in a 2021 spanispanatlantic spanispanarticle that social media use is to blame for the increase in depression among adolescent girls haidt wrote that quotfrom 2010 to 2014 rates of hospital admission for selfharm did not increase at all for women in their early 20s or for boys or young men but they spana hrefhttpsjamanetworkcomjournalsjamafullarticle2664031spandoubled for girls ages 10 to 14spanaspanquot spanp pspanhowever whether social media is a symptom or a root cause of mood disorders for some teenagers is not settled science spana hrefhttpsreasonorgcommentarycaliforniasmisguidedbilltoletparentssueforsocialmediaaddictionspanwritesspanaspan grayce burns a technology policy analyst with the reason foundation the nonprofit that publishes this website in june she observed that conflicting studies about whether social media addiction is an actual addiction suggest that our collective anxiety about social media echoes past social panics about new technology spanp pspanquotspanspanwhen the printing press made reading accessible to the public some individuals the most prominent being famous british writer vicesimus knox began to identify and condemn reading mania in the late 1700squot burns wrote quotlike social media addiction today telephone addiction also had a formal definition and criteria that included being unable to be away from a phone for more than three hours without suffering anxiety tremorsquotspanp pspancalifornias law has problems that extend from its shaky premise it prohibits companies from including socalled addicting features but fails to list specific features and to state whether they must be addicting in isolation or in combination with other features or specific kinds of content rather than do the hard if not impossible work of writing specific regulations for what legislators claim is a real and specific problem they want to hold social media platforms liable for any feature these companies quotknew or which by the exercise of reasonable care should have knownquot would cause child addictionspanp pspanwhat would happen if prosecutors decide that mere use of a social media platform leads to addiction in some percentage of children or if the content and not app features are the addicting draw the way the bill is written currently the answers to these questions are unclear spanp pspanquotit doesnt make sense to identify the feature when its the content underlying it that may cause the problemquot dylan hoffman a a hrefhttpswwwtechnetorgourstorytechneta executivespan a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticletechnologylawsuitscaliforniad416426c8127a7accf63f0acc9a8a5d5spantoldspanaspan the associated pressspan spanhe added that there quotis a lot of innovation in this space to make sure that parents and kids are able to better control their social media usagequot spanp pspanwith this bill california is treating a parenting problem with a government regulation solutionspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220718acaliforniabillwantstopunishsocialmediacompaniesforaddictingchildrena california bill wants to punish social media companies for addicting childrena appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads201904socialmediaaddictionjpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgirl laying bed starting black smartphone srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads201904socialmediaaddiction800x450jpg height675 picture div pspana hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbilltextclientxhtmlbill_id202120220ab2408billa working way california senate prohibit large social media platforms quota design feature affordance platform knew exercise reasonable care known causes child users addicted platformquot spanspansocial media platform duty children act cleared california assembly amended senate referred appropriations committeespanp pspanwhile bill address concerns raised teenagers social media use bill erases role parents determining kids onlinespanp pspanthe bill establishes unclear rules definitions seemingly meant turn social media platforms cash cows prosecutors spanspanif found violating law social media companies face civil penalty spana hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbilltextclientxhtmlbill_id202120220ab2408span250000spanaspan violation ban quotaddictingquot features companies prosecuted directly quotattorney general district attorney county counsel city attorneyquotspanp pspanit conventional wisdom spending time social media bad kids social psychologist jonathan haidt spana hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202111facebooksdangerousexperimentteengirls620767spanarguedspanaspan 2021 spanispanatlantic spanispanarticle social media use blame increase depression adolescent girls haidt wrote quotfrom 2010 2014 rates hospital admission selfharm increase women early 20s boys young men spana hrefhttpsjamanetworkcomjournalsjamafullarticle2664031spandoubled girls ages 10 14spanaspanquotspanp pspanhowever social media symptom root cause mood disorders teenagers settled science spana hrefhttpsreasonorgcommentarycaliforniasmisguidedbilltoletparentssueforsocialmediaaddictionspanwritesspanaspan grayce burns technology policy analyst reason foundation nonprofit publishes website june observed conflicting studies social media addiction actual addiction suggest collective anxiety social media echoes past social panics new technologyspanp pspanquotspanspanwhen printing press reading accessible public individuals prominent famous british writer vicesimus knox began identify condemn reading mania late 1700squot burns wrote quotlike social media addiction today telephone addiction formal definition criteria included unable away phone hours suffering anxiety tremorsquotspanp pspancalifornias law problems extend shaky premise prohibits companies including socalled addicting features fails list specific features state addicting isolation combination features specific kinds content hard impossible work writing specific regulations legislators claim real specific problem want hold social media platforms liable feature companies quotknew exercise reasonable care knownquot cause child addictionspanp pspanwhat happen prosecutors decide mere useof social media platform leads addiction percentage children content app features addicting draw way bill written currently answers questions unclearspanp pspanquotit doesnt sense identify feature content underlying cause problemquot dylan hoffman hrefhttpswwwtechnetorgourstorytechneta executivespan hrefhttpsapnewscomarticletechnologylawsuitscaliforniad416426c8127a7accf63f0acc9a8a5d5spantoldspanaspan associated pressspan spanhe added quotis lot innovation space sure parents kids able better control social media usagequotspanp pspanwith bill california treating parenting problem government regulation solutionspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220718acaliforniabillwantstopunishsocialmediacompaniesforaddictingchildrena california bill wants punish social media companies addicting childrena appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62d5df815bde993e840812c5

Russia Started War, Capitalists on All Sides Fuel the Fire – Boris Kagarlitsky pt 2

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrussiastartedwarcapitalistsonallsidesfuelthefireboriskagarlitskypt2 titlerussia started war capitalists on all sides fuel the fire boris kagarlitsky pt 2img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenterjpg 1280w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apkagarlitsky responds to criticism he underestimates nato provocations he also analyzes the changing politics of ukraine and growing antiwar feelings in russia russia started war capitalists on all sides fuel the fire boris kagarlitsky pt 2 putins war driven by domestic politics boris kagarlitsky daniel ellsberg on nuclear war and ukraine sovereignty and war yuliya yurchenko ukraine andp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrussiastartedwarcapitalistsonallsidesfuelthefireboriskagarlitskypt2sourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrussiastartedwarcapitalistsonallsidesfuelthefireboriskagarlitskypt2 titlerussia started war capitalists sides fuel fire boris kagarlitsky pt 2img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenter768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202207boriskagarlitskyredwholebackgroundcenterjpg 1280w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apkagarlitsky responds criticism underestimates nato provocations analyzes changing politics ukraine growing antiwar feelings russia russia started war capitalists sides fuel fire boris kagarlitsky pt 2 putins war driven domestic politics boris kagarlitsky daniel ellsberg nuclear war ukraine sovereignty war yuliya yurchenko ukraine andp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsrussiastartedwarcapitalistsonallsidesfuelthefireboriskagarlitskypt2sourceap

62d5dfa45bde993e840812c9

Can Things Ever Change?

img altcan things ever change srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202207510231ldsdl1jpgplast friday i spoke to a group of visiting students from various arab countries the topic was us policy toward the middle east i told them an abridged version of my own story starting from september 11the day that changed my lifes trajectory but also a day that none of them had any recollection of they ended up being quite curious about think tanks what they did and why i had chosen to work in one these were good questions   ppit was only after i spent time living abroad that i realized that the concept of think tanks was somewhat odd in the middle east the idea itself was more or less selfnegating if the goal of a think tank is to influence government policy as well as the broader public debate then this would seem to require emsome emlevel of democratic openness for those who live under dictatorships governments arent something you influence rather they are omnipresent sources of worrythe very entities against which you hope to escape unscathed ppas it happened i would have been skeptical of think tanks too i came of age not just after 911 but also during the iraq war i saw myself as opposing the system because apparently the system had given us this absurd war the patriot act and any number of other post911 abuses to the extent that people today reflect on the bush years with nostalgia it is a nostalgia that is largely unwarranted ppi remember how the iraq war forced me to rethink my assumptions about the nature of change it was almost as if something clicked suddenly after the first phase of the war ended with bushs infamous declaration of mission accomplished anyone who was involved in the antiwar movement would have believed in people power the organizing principleat least among those who wanted to do more than merely virtue signalwas that each and every one of us had a duty to do what we could to stop the war like anything that actually happens recorded in history with permanence it now seems as if it couldnt been otherwise but the war didnt seem inevitable at the time across the globe millions were mobilizing and protesting in dozens of countries something that their own leaders couldnt quite ignore ppbut of course we couldnt stop the war instead a group of ideologically committed individualsa hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtheyknewwererightneoconsdp140007620xmany of whoma had known each other for decades including as early as graduate schoolwere able to influence government from within with much smaller numbers and so they managed to do something that is generally not so easy to do they made the absurd seem real and the indefensible defensible after everything i was disillusioned we had given our hearts and our time and our energy to organizing sitins tentins diein and god knows what else but it was an exercise in futility i didnt want to feel what i felt which was resignation but also a sense that these were systems that were so much more powerful than us and that we in turn were powerless when confronted with the reality of the world as it was ppeven if this had been an accurate description this was no way to think live or act it was better to act under the impression of individual agency and a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivewillvladimirputineverfaceultimatejusticefree willa regardless of whether or not it was true this is part of what i hoped to convey to the students as we discussed whether those outside of government or even inside would ever emreallyem change us policy toward the middle east of course we can tinker around the margins and make things less bad or slightly better on specific policies or initiatives but that wasnt what they were asking they were asking about the entire edifice of us policy and strategy in the region as it has been for the better part of a hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1547902883403681795seven decadesaone that is built around a distinctly authoritarian structure supported funded and sustained by successive american administrations if there was any doubt about the longevity and durability of this structure it was helpfully put to rest by president bidens a hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1549032690225188865cringeinducing visita to saudi arabia last week ppwhat could i tell them when a policy becomes entrenched over decades it is extremely difficult to undo there were moments when it seemed like it could change during the shortlived first arab spring of 20045 when george w bush was advancing his freedom agenda and it seemed like it was changing during the second arab spring of 20112013 that these moments invited us to imagine a genuine alternative to the old ways of relying on dictators makes what actually happened all the more tragic was all of this inevitable did it actually have to be this way as opposed to all the others of course nothing is inevitable until after it has already happened systems may be stubborn and seem immovable but they do not have a will of their own they are the accumulated result of individual actions and individuals make choices those choices at least in theory can change ppthat doesnt mean they will only that they can but my message to the students was in a way simpler than that we as mere mortals are only responsible for what emweem do that is our range of freedom and maneuver to be individuals endowed with free will is to believe at some level that this is enoughbrp

img altcan things change srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202207510231ldsdl1jpgplast friday spoke group visiting students arab countries topic policy middle east told abridged version story starting september 11the day changed lifes trajectory day recollection ended curious think tanks chosen work good questions ppit spent time living abroad realized concept think tanks somewhat odd middle east idea selfnegating goal think tank influence government policy broader public debate require emsome emlevel democratic openness live dictatorships governments arent influence omnipresent sources worrythe entities hope escape unscathed ppas happened skeptical think tanks came age 911 iraq war saw opposing system apparently system given absurd war patriot act number post911 abuses extent people today reflect bush years nostalgia nostalgia largely unwarranted ppi remember iraq war forced rethink assumptions nature change clicked suddenly phase war ended bushs infamous declaration mission accomplished involved antiwar movement believed people power organizing principleat wanted merely virtue signalwas duty stop war like actually happens recorded history permanence couldnt war didnt inevitable time globe millions mobilizing protesting dozens countries leaders couldnt ignore ppbut course couldnt stop war instead group ideologically committed individualsa hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtheyknewwererightneoconsdp140007620xmany whoma known decades including early graduate schoolwere able influence government smaller numbers managed generally easy absurd real indefensible defensible disillusioned given hearts time energy organizing sitins tentins diein god knows exercise futility didnt want feel felt resignation sense systems powerful turn powerless confronted reality world ppeven accurate description way think live act better act impression individual agency hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivewillvladimirputineverfaceultimatejusticefree willa regardless true hoped convey students discussed outside government inside emreallyem change policy middle east course tinker margins things bad slightly better specific policies initiatives wasnt asking asking entire edifice policy strategy region better hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1547902883403681795seven decadesaone built distinctly authoritarian structure supported funded sustained successive american administrations doubt longevity durability structure helpfully rest president bidens hrefhttpstwittercomshadihamidstatus1549032690225188865cringeinducing visita saudi arabia week ppwhat tell policy entrenched decades extremely difficult undo moments like change shortlived arab spring 20045 george w bush advancing freedom agenda like changing second arab spring 20112013 moments invited imagine genuine alternative old ways relying dictators makes actually happened tragic inevitable actually way opposed course inevitable happened systems stubborn immovable accumulated result individual actions individuals choices choices theory change ppthat doesnt mean message students way simpler mere mortals responsible emweem range freedom maneuver individuals endowed free believe level enoughbrp

62d5dfc45bde993e840812d1

How Tariffs Are Making Summer Fun More Expensive, Less Safe

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001022400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001022400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altswimming pool beer can summer fun sporting equipment tariffs free trade biden trump srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpg height675 picture div ptariffs arent merely making summer fun more expensivethey are also making it potentially more dangerous toop pquotlife saver is not a misnomerquot writes neil mooney an attorney representing life saver pool fence systems inc in testimony submitted earlier this month to the us international trade commission usitc which later this week will hold a hearing on the economic impact of the multitude of tariffs imposed by the trump administration in 2018p pfor a company like life saver which manufactures fencing meant to keep children away from unsupervised pools where they might accidentally drown the tariffs have hiked the cost of raw materials imported from china in his written testimony mooney estimates that the company has paid about 12 million in tariffs over the past four yearsand has twice had to raise prices quotspecifically because of the tariffsquotp pquotthe imposition of the section 301 tariffs has forced life saver to raise its prices which inevitably has led to lower sales volume and therefore fewer protected poolsquot writes mooney quotthe economic impact of the section 301 tariffs is not only felt by life saver and other similar businesses and their employees but also by the end consumersamerican familiesquotp pare higher taxes on chinesemade imports worth leaving american children marginally less safep papparently so at least for the past two presidential administrations former president donald trump used section 301 of the trade expansion act of 1974 to impose tariffs on a wide range of goods imported from china in several phases during 2018 and 2019 as a result the average tariff rate applied to goods from china effectively doubled cumulatively americans have paid about 136 billion in higher costs as a result of those import taxesthats about 1000 per household according to a hrefhttpswwwntuorgpublicationsdetailbidenadministrationshouldnotextendcostlyandineffectivesection301tariffsresearcha by the national taxpayers union a nonprofit that opposes the tariffsp ptariffs are adding to inflation too a study by the peterson institute for international economics a tradefocused think tank found that repealing tariffs could a hrefhttpswwwpiiecomblogsrealtimeeconomicissueswatchfightinflationcuttingtariffschinaonlystartreduce overall inflation by about 1 percentage pointa despite that the biden administration has so far been unwilling to do more than a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220606tariffsareaddingtoinflationbidenscommercesecretarysaysrepealingsomemaymakesensetalk about repealinga the tariffs imposed by trumpp pperhaps this weeks a hrefhttpswwwmsciorgreminderusitctoholdhearingonsection232tariffimpactinjulyhearinga in front of the usitc will make the case for a new trade strategy on thursday business owners and industry lobbyists will have a chance to spell out how the tariffs have resulted in slower growth and higher consumer prices later this year the commission is expected to publish a report that could help guide american trade policy in the future though its worth noting that a hrefhttpsreasoncom20180517trumptariffplanhugeoppositiontradea similar series of hearingsa in 2018 did nothing to stop the onslaught of tariffs despite dozens of business owners testifying against themp ppool fencing is of course just one example of a niche product thats been affected by four years of an ineffective trade war among other businesses and trade associations set to testify on thursday are makers of a hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088596outdoorindustryoutdoor equipmenta a hrefhttpswwwwhitecasecompublicationsalertustrbeginsfouryearreviewsection301tariffsproductsofchinasporting goodsa and a hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088595beerbrewersap pfred ferguson a vice president at vista outdoor a minnesotabased company that manufactures a line of bicycling accessories including a hrefhttpswwwbicycleretailercomindustrynews20190814helmetsandlightsremainlistreceivenew10tariffsept1ytvtmnbmi2whelmetsa will tell the commission that the us should quotrescind tariffs altogether on protective headwear utilized for safety purposes cyclists and other action sports participantsquot according to a hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088598vistaoutdoora written statementa submitted earlier this monthp ptariffs on pool fencing and bike helmets make about as much sense as a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200317trumpstariffsweakenedamericashospitalsthencoronavirushitthe tariffs on personal protective equipmenta that left american hospitals less prepared in winter 2020 to combat the covid19 pandemic theyre also a useful illustration of how both trump and biden trade policies could actively harm americans in ways that go beyond higher pricesp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220718howtariffsaremakingsummerfunmoreexpensivelesssafehow tariffs are making summer fun more expensive less safea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001022400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001021200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001022400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede16580765001021200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altswimming pool beer summer fun sporting equipment tariffs free trade biden trump srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_xl_732025scalede1658076500102800x450jpg height675 picture div ptariffs arent merely making summer fun expensivethey making potentially dangerous toop pquotlife saver misnomerquot writes neil mooney attorney representing life saver pool fence systems inc testimony submitted earlier month international trade commission usitc later week hold hearing economic impact multitude tariffs imposed trump administration 2018p pfor company like life saver manufactures fencing meant children away unsupervised pools accidentally drown tariffs hiked cost raw materials imported china written testimony mooney estimates company paid 12 million tariffs past yearsand twice raise prices quotspecifically tariffsquotp pquotthe imposition section 301 tariffs forced life saver raise prices inevitably led lower sales volume fewer protected poolsquot writes mooney quotthe economic impact section 301 tariffs felt life saver similar businesses employees end consumersamerican familiesquotp pare higher taxes chinesemade imports worth leaving american children marginally safep papparently past presidential administrations president donald trump section 301 trade expansion act 1974 impose tariffs wide range goods imported china phases 2018 2019 result average tariff rate applied goods china effectively doubled cumulatively americans paid 136 billion higher costs result import taxesthats 1000 household according hrefhttpswwwntuorgpublicationsdetailbidenadministrationshouldnotextendcostlyandineffectivesection301tariffsresearcha national taxpayers union nonprofit opposes tariffsp ptariffs adding inflation study peterson institute international economics tradefocused think tank found repealing tariffs hrefhttpswwwpiiecomblogsrealtimeeconomicissueswatchfightinflationcuttingtariffschinaonlystartreduce overall inflation 1 percentage pointa despite biden administration far unwilling hrefhttpsreasoncom20220606tariffsareaddingtoinflationbidenscommercesecretarysaysrepealingsomemaymakesensetalk repealinga tariffs imposed trumpp pperhaps weeks hrefhttpswwwmsciorgreminderusitctoholdhearingonsection232tariffimpactinjulyhearinga usitc case new trade strategy thursday business owners industry lobbyists chance spell tariffs resulted slower growth higher consumer prices later year commission expected publish report help guide american trade policy future worth noting hrefhttpsreasoncom20180517trumptariffplanhugeoppositiontradea similar series hearingsa 2018 stop onslaught tariffs despite dozens business owners testifying themp ppool fencing course example niche product thats affected years ineffective trade war businesses trade associations set testify thursday makers hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088596outdoorindustryoutdoor equipmenta hrefhttpswwwwhitecasecompublicationsalertustrbeginsfouryearreviewsection301tariffsproductsofchinasporting goodsa hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088595beerbrewersap pfred ferguson vice president vista outdoor minnesotabased company manufactures line bicycling accessories including hrefhttpswwwbicycleretailercomindustrynews20190814helmetsandlightsremainlistreceivenew10tariffsept1ytvtmnbmi2whelmetsa tell commission quotrescind tariffs altogether protective headwear utilized safety purposes cyclists action sports participantsquot according hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22088598vistaoutdoora written statementa submitted earlier monthp ptariffs pool fencing bike helmets sense hrefhttpsreasoncom20200317trumpstariffsweakenedamericashospitalsthencoronavirushitthe tariffs personal protective equipmenta left american hospitals prepared winter 2020 combat covid19 pandemic theyre useful illustration trump biden trade policies actively harm americans ways higher pricesp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220718howtariffsaremakingsummerfunmoreexpensivelesssafehow tariffs making summer fun expensive safea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62d5e00a5bde993e840812e0

The Social-Emotional Learning Bait-and-Switch

h4spanthe new discourses podcast with james lindsay episode 85br critical education theory series part 17spanh4 div psocialemotional learning sel is a key battleground topic in education today parents across the country are rightly very upset that what sounds like and could be a very useful program for kids who struggle in certain ways at school has far less wholesome purposes on the one hand theyre noticing that sel tends to be misapplied in classrooms and through other subjects not in controlled therapeutic settings with kids who have been identified to need it on the other hand theyve noticed far more nefarious uses like data mining of children and a diversion of educational resources into overtly grooming and marxist programs they dont support or want for their kids in this episode of the new discourses podcast host james lindsay goes through a paper on socialemotional learning in the context of the pandemic to reveal that theres an intentional baitandswitch being sold to school districts unless they realize what theyre doing which is unconscionable what sounds good in sel is being sold to promote transformative sel casel model or in this paper socialemotional learning for socialemotional justice selsej which is just a different description of essentially the same thing whats obvious here is how flimsy sel programs of this type are and also how overwhelmingly marxist in the paulo freirean mold lindsay is exposing in tremendous depth here on the new discourses podcast join him to learn about how sel is definitely not what it might seem to bep div hr pemsubscribe to the new discourses podcast on spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blanka spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan or by spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes of the new discourses podcast are available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207socialemotionallearningbaitswitchthe socialemotional learning baitandswitcha appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

h4spanthe new discourses podcast james lindsay episode 85br critical education theory series 17spanh4 div psocialemotional learning sel key battleground topic education today parents country rightly upset sounds like useful program kids struggle certain ways school far wholesome purposes hand theyre noticing sel tendsto misapplied classrooms subjects controlled therapeutic settings kids identified need otherhand theyve noticed far nefarious uses like data mining children diversion educational resources overtly grooming marxist programs dont support want kids episode new discourses podcast host james lindsay goes paper socialemotional learning context pandemic reveal theres intentional baitandswitch sold school districts realize theyre unconscionable sounds good sel sold promote transformative sel casel model paper socialemotional learning socialemotional justice selsej different description essentially thing whats obvious flimsy sel programs type overwhelmingly marxist paulo freireanmold lindsay exposing tremendous depth new discourses podcast join learn sel definitely bep div hr pemsubscribe new discourses podcast spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankaspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan byspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes new discourses podcast available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207socialemotionallearningbaitswitchthe socialemotional learning baitandswitcha appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

62d9d3f3e73849f1f96c9957

Our regulatory state is failing us, NIH edition

blockquotepthe lawmakers pressed nih leadership for answers about the mysterious disappearance of the scientific management review board a committee that congress empaneled in 2006 to ensure the agency was operating efficientlyp pthere wasnt any notification that we werent going to meet again it was just that the meetings stopped getting called nancy andrews a onetime board member and the former dean of the duke university school of medicine told stat in mayp pshe added i had the sense that we were asking questions in areas that they didnt really want to get into and i suppose francis [collins] in particular didnt really want us working onpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstatnewscom20220721afterstatreportgoplawmakersseekanswersaboutdefunctnihoversightcommittee target_blankthe full statnews pieceap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207ourregulatorystateisfailingusniheditionhtmlour regulatory state is failing us nih editiona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthe lawmakers pressed nih leadership answers mysterious disappearance scientific management review board committee congress empaneled 2006 ensure agency operating efficientlyp pthere wasnt notification werent going meet meetings stopped getting called nancy andrews onetime board member dean duke university school medicine told stat mayp pshe added sense asking questions areas didnt want suppose francis [collins] particular didnt want working onpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstatnewscom20220721afterstatreportgoplawmakersseekanswersaboutdefunctnihoversightcommittee target_blankthe statnews pieceap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207ourregulatorystateisfailingusniheditionhtmlour regulatory state failing nih editiona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62d9d3fee73849f1f96c995d

Why Do Travelers to the U.S. Have To Wait an Average of 247 Days for Their Visa Interviews?

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_634332592400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_634332591200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_634332592400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_634332591200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altsign for the us state department in washington dc srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207dreamstime_l_63433259800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanduring the covid19 pandemic the federal governments network of consulates around the world shut their doors they were extraordinarily slow to reopen with spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogusstopsreopeningconsulates60stillpartiallyclosedspan60 percentspanaspan of consulates still fully or partially closed as of last octoberspanp pspanthe scheduling of interviews for nonimmigrant visasused by business travelers tourists and foreigners traveling to the us for other shortterm reasonsground to a halt now that consulates are reopening theyre dealing with massive backlogs and forcing foreigners to endure egregious wait times before they can sit for visa interviewsspanp pspantourists and business travelers are now spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanwaitingspanaspan an average of 247 days for their visa interviews up from the prepandemic wait of 17 days thats according to data compiled by cato institute immigration researcher david j bier who spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspannotesspanaspan that the quotastounding 8month waitquot applies to foreigners who want quotto visit the united states for a period of at most just 90 days and usually much less than thatquot spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanaccordingspanaspan to bier quot52 percent of consulates were scheduling tourist and business traveler interviews 6 months or more outquot while 27 percent were scheduling a year out or longerspanp pspanthese delays have led to inefficiencies in issuing visas though the rate spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanvariesspanaspan by consulate nonimmigrant visa issuance has dropped significantly at many sites compared to prepandemic levels the issuance rate fell by roughly spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspan50 percentspanaspan between 2018 and 2022 in kuala lumpur panama city bucharest ho chi minh city and many other citiesspanp pspancurrently the state departments spana hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisastourismvisitvisawaiverprogramhtmlspanvisa waiver programspanaspan quotenables most citizens or nationals of participating countriesquot to come to the us for tourism or business stays of up to 90 days no visa necessary but the program spana hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisastourismvisitvisawaiverprogramhtmlspanappliesspanaspan to just 40 countries leaving countless wouldbe travelers in need of a hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisashtmlvisasaspanp pspansouth africans who want to visit the us are traveling to namibia botswana and even more distant countries in the hopes of applying for visas at consulates with shorter wait times spana hrefhttpswwwdailymaverickcozaarticle20220623desperatesouthafricanswaitingmonthsforusvisasduetomassivebacklogsspanaccordingspanaspan to the spanispandaily maverickspanispan hundreds of athletes and officials attending the 2022 track and field world championships in oregon this month ran into spana hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorysportsolympics202207142022trackandfieldworldchampionshipsvisatroubleathletes10057519002spanvisa snafusspanaspan and processing delays two athletes spana hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorysportsolympics202207142022trackandfieldworldchampionshipsvisatroubleathletes10057519002spanappliedspanaspan for visas with the us embassy in paris on june 8 but were scheduled for interviews on november 9 202316 months after the championshipsspanp pspannew spana hrefhttpswwwhospitalitynetorgnews4111586htmlspandataspanaspan from the world travel amp tourism council wttc and forwardkeys show that while international travel to the us is recovering its lagging behind other major destinations and likely wont reach prepandemic levels until 2025 quotthe spike in inbound bookings validates the us governments decision to ease travel restrictions by scrapping testing for visitors and returning us citizenssomething other economies did long agoquot spana hrefhttpswwwhospitalitynetorgnews4111586htmlspansaidspanaspan wttc president and ceo julia simpson still inbound bookings might not translate into much if international travelers arent able to secure the necessary visasspanp pspangovernment barriers are keeping travelers out of the country and preventing their money from reaching the american economy the uncertainty brought by long wait times for visa interviews will simply drive tourists and business travelers elsewhere some covidera restrictions on inbound international travel may have been spana hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220610bidenadministrationtodropcovidtestingrequirementsforinternationalairtravelhtmlspanscrappedspanaspan but the government is still keeping travel out of reach for manyspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220721whydotravelerstotheushavetowaitanaverageof247daysfortheirvisainterviewswhy do travelers to the us have to wait an average of 247 days for their visa interviewsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanwaitingspanaspan average 247 days visa interviews prepandemic wait 17 days thats according data compiled cato institute immigration researcher david j bier spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspannotesspanaspan quotastounding 8month waitquot applies foreigners want quotto visit united states period 90 days usually thatquot spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanaccordingspanaspan bier quot52 percent consulates scheduling tourist business traveler interviews 6 months outquot 27 percent scheduling year longerspanp pspanthese delays led inefficiencies issuing visas rate spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspanvariesspanaspan consulate nonimmigrant visa issuance dropped significantly sites compared prepandemic levels issuance rate fell roughly spana hrefhttpswwwcatoorgblogvisainterviewwaittimesreachnewhighs247daysvisitorsbusinesstravelersspan50 percentspanaspan 2018 2022 kuala lumpur panama city bucharest ho chi minh city citiesspanp pspancurrently state departments spana hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisastourismvisitvisawaiverprogramhtmlspanvisa waiver programspanaspan quotenables citizens nationals participating countriesquot come tourism business stays 90 days visa necessary program spana hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisastourismvisitvisawaiverprogramhtmlspanappliesspanaspan 40 countries leaving countless wouldbe travelers need hrefhttpstravelstategovcontenttravelenusvisashtmlvisasaspanp pspansouth africans want visit traveling namibia botswana distant countries hopes applying visas consulates shorter wait times spana hrefhttpswwwdailymaverickcozaarticle20220623desperatesouthafricanswaitingmonthsforusvisasduetomassivebacklogsspanaccordingspanaspan spanispandaily maverickspanispan hundreds athletes officials attending 2022 track field world championships oregon month ran spana hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorysportsolympics202207142022trackandfieldworldchampionshipsvisatroubleathletes10057519002spanvisa snafusspanaspan processing delays athletes spana hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorysportsolympics202207142022trackandfieldworldchampionshipsvisatroubleathletes10057519002spanappliedspanaspan visas embassy paris june 8 scheduled interviews november 9 202316 months championshipsspanp pspannew spana hrefhttpswwwhospitalitynetorgnews4111586htmlspandataspanaspan world travel amp tourism council wttc forwardkeys international travel recovering lagging major destinations likely wont reach prepandemic levels 2025 quotthe spike inbound bookings validates governments decision ease travel restrictions scrapping testing visitors returning citizenssomething economies long agoquot spana hrefhttpswwwhospitalitynetorgnews4111586htmlspansaidspanaspan wttc president ceo julia simpson inbound bookings translate international travelers arent able secure necessary visasspanp pspangovernment barriers keeping travelers country preventing money reaching american economy uncertainty brought long wait times visa interviews simply drive tourists business travelers covidera restrictions inbound international travel spana hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20220610bidenadministrationtodropcovidtestingrequirementsforinternationalairtravelhtmlspanscrappedspanaspan government keeping travel reach manyspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220721whydotravelerstotheushavetowaitanaverageof247daysfortheirvisainterviewswhy travelers wait average 247 days visa interviewsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62ddca99cd785b6f4faba6e3

A Media-Fueled Social Panic Over Unmarked Graves

img alta mediafueled social panic over unmarked graves srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207red_deer_industrial_school_circa_1914jpgpthe discovery of unmarked graves at a former residential school in [the province of british columbia] and the countrywide awakening it set off have been chosen as canadas news story of the year by editors in newsrooms across the country a hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadabritishcolumbiacanadianpressstoryoftheyearunmarkedgravediscovery16288978reporteda the cbc last december it was an apt choicethough not necessarily for the reasons described by the author  ppcanadas unmarkedgraves story broke on may 27th 2021 when the tkemlps te secwpemc first nation a hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadabritishcolumbiatkemlc3bapstesecwc3a9pemc215childrenformerkamloopsindianresidentialschool16043778reporteda the existence of groundpenetrating radar gpr data that indicated regularly spaced subterranean soil disturbances on the grounds of a former indigenous residential school that had operated in kamloops bc between 1893 and 1978 in addition the first nations leaders asserted their belief that these soil disturbances corresponded to unmarked graves of indigenous children whod died while attending the schoolppthe story became an immediate sensation in the canadian media and remained so for months even after the gpr expert on whom the first nation relied sarah beaulieu carefully noted that the radar survey results didnt necessarily indicate the presence of graveslet alone graves that had been unmarked graves of indigenous people or graves of children contrary to what many canadians came to believe during that heady period a hrefhttpswwwojpgovpdffiles1nijgrants238275pdfgpr survey dataa doesnt yield xraystyle images that show bodies or coffins what it typically shows are disruptions in soil and sediment investigators then need to dig up the ground to determine what actually lies underneathpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at30911pm1png alta mediafueled social panic over unmarked graves width900 height570figcaptionan explanatory image posted by a hrefhttpswwwgeoscancablogperformingunmarkedburialsurveysgprgeophysicaltechniquesgeoscana a canadian groundpenetratingradar service provider showing how mapped gpr data can indicate the possible presence of gravesfigcaptionfigurepbut those details were swept aside during what in retrospect appears to have been a true nationwide social panic as other indigenous groups announced that theyd be conducting their own gpr surveys media figures confidently asserted that the original canadian residentialschool student deathtoll estimate of a hrefhttpswwwaptnnewscanationalnewsnumberindianresidentialschoolstudentdeathsmayneverknowntrc3201a would soon double or even triple one oped writer went so far as to a hrefhttpswwwtimescolonistcomopinioncommentisthiscanadasholocaustmoment4690014declarea that the discovery of the graves of the children in kamloops may be canadas holocaust moment dramatic teardrenched acts of public atonement unfolded everywhere with many july 1st canada day celebrations being either cancelled or transformed into opportunities for morose selflacerationppi was one of many canadians who initially got swept up with all of thisin large part because it seemed as if everyone in the media was speaking with one voice including journalists id known and respected for many years looking back on the coverage i note that headline writers mostly skipped over the technical bits about soil dislocations and such and went straight to bodies and graves and the stories often were interspersed with a hrefhttpswwwthesudburystarcomnewslocalnewskamloopsdiscoveryadevastatingreminderofresidentialschooltragedysudburysmayorsayscredulousa recitations of dubious tales featuring live babies being thrown into furnaces or buried aliveppthe whole mission of canadas churchrun residential school system was to assimilate indigenous people into white canadian society usually against their will while forcing children to leave their families and communities for months or even years at a time no one disputes that many students were subject to cruel and sometimes even predatory treatment and substandard medical care certainly the death rate for indigenous children attending these schools was much higher than that for children in the general population no i never bought into the idea that there was any kind of massmurder plot going on at these schools but it hardly seemed farfetched that some victims of mistreatment and neglect had been buried in unmarked gravesoff the books so to speakby malevolent white teachers school administrators and priests seeking to evade responsibility for their actionsppthe other important aspect to mention is thatlike most other canadians im guessingi believed we were only a few days or weeks from seeing real physical evidence plucked from the earth so it didnt much matter to me that early commentators were temporarily playing fast and loose with the distinction between gpr data and actual corpses  ppcanadians were being told that the old orchard in kamloops where the gpr data had been collected was a emcrime sceneema site of mass murder and the final resting place of 215 child homicide victims as ive reasoned a hrefhttpsquillettecom20220413franceswiddowsononthequestionscanadiansarentsupposedtoaskaboutunmarkedgraveselsewherea if you told canadians that say 215 murdered white children were buried somewhere in toronto or ottawa or vancouver thered be investigators and police crawling all over the place looking for remains that could be tested and identified and so i naturally assumed the same thing soon would be happening in kamloops  ppmany of the abuses identified at the kamloops residential school and others like it date to the early decades of the cold war this means that some of the perpetrators of these claimed child homicidesthat is the staff who worked at these schoolscould still be alive perhaps their crimes might even be studied and solved by inspecting the bones of children buried alongside one another surely no effort would be spared to pull evidence from the ground immediately so that criminal cases could be prosecuted before the passage of time allowed the killers to escape accountability for their racist bloodbathppbut then the weeks and months passed in 2021 spring turned to summer then summer to fall and fall to winter and nothing happened its now been 14 months since the original announcement was made about presumed graves in kamloops and no physical evidence has been unearthed no graves no corpses no human remains in fact as far as i can tell there doesnt even seem to be any systematic effort by police or first nations leaders to commence such investigations eventually it began to strike the general public that this was a very odd way to treat a mass murder scene even as pundits and politicians refused to change their early apocalyptic tone  ppwhich brings us back to that cbc announcement in december which informed us that the discovery of unmarked graves had been canadas biggest news story of 2021 that very statement encoded the polite lie which most canadian journalists have been encouraged to repeat in one form or another that some known number of unmarked graves had well and truly been discovered the truth was and remains that the number of confirmed graves remains at zero no one to my knowledge has found any human remainsie a hrefhttpsdictionarycambridgeorgdictionaryenglishremainsbody parts or tissue from decaying corpsesaeither at kamloops or any of the other former residential schools through the use of gprppso yes the story did arguably qualify as canadas news story of the yearbut not insofar as it was a story about graves rather it turned out to be a story about the herd behaviour of canadas intellectual class thousands of politicians writers broadcasters and activists spent months crowdsourcing the creation of a completely unsupported national narrative and then failed to correct the record once their rush to judgment had run headlong into reality ppive been in journalism for a quarter century and have witnessed plenty of bizarre controversies within my trade but ive never witnessed anything similar to this phenomenon its like one of those casestudies in mass hysteria and popular delusion that you read about in history books ppsome dissenting voices did begin popping up in 2022 however in february frances widdowson then a liberal arts professor at mount royal university in calgary wrote an a hrefhttpswwwtheamericanconservativecombillyremembersarticlea for a conservative us publication explaining how farfetched rumours and urban legends dating to the 1980s seem to have informed the most lurid claims concerning the kamloops residential school a small publication called theem dorchester reviewem published a a hrefhttpswwwdorchesterreviewcablogsnewsinkamloopsnotonebodyhasbeenfoundscathinga article by quebec academic jacques rouillard entitled in kamloops not one body has been found and in may most significantly a large newspaper called emnational postem published a a hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopiniontheyearofthegraveshowtheworldsmediagotitwrongonresidentialschoolgravesblockbuster exposa by a wellknown columnist terry glavin going blow by blow through the scandalously botched media treatment thats fuelled the unmarkedgraves story since it first broke in the spring of 2021 as glavin took pains to emphasize the main reason the story was bungled was that journalists got it wrong not that indigenous leaders lied about what they believed ppglavins piece was a watershed as it represented the first explicit acknowledgement from a mainstream canadian news outlet that the original narrative wed all been asked to parrot in 2021 was unsustainable and predictably glavin paid a price for speaking up when it was announced that hed be interviewed about his story for a wellknown torontobased podcast the chair of canadas national arts funding agency jesse wente publicly intervened in an apparent bid to a hrefhttpstwittercomjessebrownstatus1531354563386777604s20tk4a4ymiap59af1fyatzuxapreventa the interview from going forward the host a hrefhttpstwittercomjessebrownstatus1531382856865484807s20tr6jxlbblgencnrv7i4lgpqrespondeda to this extraordinary development by sheepishly assuring wente that hed assign the segment to another interviewer pfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri wish youd reconsider brbrim not sure youre equipped to have this discussion not am i convinced your guest can have a good faith conversation on the matter brbri wish youd consider what harm reduction might look like in these situations from a media perspective is it thisp jesse wente jessewente a hrefhttpstwittercomjessewentestatus1531377464089399297ref_srctwsrc5etfwmay 30 2022ablockquote figurepas for widdowson her university a hrefhttpsquillettecom20220413franceswiddowsononthequestionscanadiansarentsupposedtoaskaboutunmarkedgravesfired hera after she spoke out about unmarkedgraves misinformation circulating in canadian university circles and prof rouillards article in the emdorchester review emattracted condemnation from no less an official than the federal minister of crownindigenous relations marc miller who denounced any expressed skepticism of the preset graves narrative as ghoulish and a hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770306777858053retraumatizing for survivorsa shockingly miller also a hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770305414615048calleda the article part of a pattern of denialismas if the author were on moral par with a holocaust denier miller didnt refer to the article by name but the target of his rhetoric was abundantly clear given all this it should not be surprising that at least one expert in this kind of site inspection whose identity is a hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopinionterryglavinimpatiencegrowsamongtkemlupspeopleforanswersongravesknown to glavina though not to me has chosen to publish his comprehensive critique a hrefhttpsgravesintheorchardwordpresscomanonymouslya pfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrthese articles are part of a pattern of denialism and distortion that has coloured the discourse on residential schools in canada they are harmful because they attempt to deny survivors and their families the truth and they distort canadians understanding of our historyp marc miller marcmillervm a hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770305414615048ref_srctwsrc5etfwjanuary 27 2022ablockquote figurepit bears emphasizing that no respectable academic or journalist is denying the fact that thousands of children died while attending canadas residential schools the last of which closed in the 1990s the critiques summarized in the paragraphs above rather are limited to the specific claim that the final resting places of hundreds or even thousands of dead indigenous children have been identified over the last 14 months using gpr ppeven the most reputable media outlets sometimes get stories wrong of course emquilletteem included and for the most part they will publish corrections and clarifications if a factchecking critic presents evidence of a journalistic error in particularly egregious cases they might even retract an article entirely but the unmarkedgraves story is unusualperhaps even uniquebecause the faulty coverage has been a systematic feature across the entire canadian journalistic landscape since the day the story broke it isnt limited to one publication or even to one type of publication ppthis herddriven aspect of the social panic has yielded a perverse incentive structure among journalists whereby no single media outlet had any interest in walking back its previously published misinformation because each could evade criticism simply by pointing to the equally erroneous work of everyone else why take the gratuitous reputational hit that goes along with admitting ones own mistakes when all your competitors are staying mum ppthat incentive structure explains why the treatment of dissidents such as glavin has been so harsh if even a few columnists break ranks it makes it harder for everyone else including politicians such as justin trudeau who went all in on the unmarkedgraves story from the get go to evade criticism and accountability this i believe is why institutional players such as miller and wente have attempted to smear rouillard and glavin moves that seem aimed at intimidating other journalists into silence after all money could be at stake its worth noting that wente leads a federal funding body that annually doles out a hrefhttpscanadacouncilcaspotlight202202thereisnoartwithoutartists500 milliona to canadas creative class for his part miller serves a government that a hrefhttpswwwcanadalandcommediaintrudeaus10milliontopupfundsubsidizesa canadian journalists to the tune of about 700 million every year being branded as a denier by a government official might put your share of that money at risk  ppall of what im discussing here i realize will seem very much tied up with canadas parochial media scene which is known to operate in an amateurish herdlike manner even in the best of times but when it comes to the unmarkedgraves story the most influential and i would argue irresponsible media player hasnt been a canadian outlet at all but rather theem new york timesem the newspapers articles on this subject have been riddled with completely obvious errors since the day after the story first broke none of these errors have been corrected despite the passage of over a year since their original publicationppand to be clear i am not talking here about errors of tone emphasis shades of meaning or omission i am speaking of flatout trumpwonthe2020electionstyle false informationwhat some call fake news ppmost spectacularly on may 28th 2021 it was the emtimesem that told the world that the discovery of a a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlmass gravea had been reported in canada its a claim that existsagain to this dayin the headline sitting above an article written by veteran correspondent ian austen in which the reporter relates that an indigenous community in british columbia says it has found evidence of a mass grave the truth is that no indigenous community said any such thing in fact the leader of the first nations community that austen was referencing rosanne casimir of tkemlps te secwpemc explicitly told the media that there was no mass grave and a hrefhttpswwwsquamishchiefcombcnewscasimirsaystkemlupsfindisseriesofunmarkedgravesnotamassburial3848382disavoweda usage of the term pfigurea hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at40900pmpng alta mediafueled social panic over unmarked graves width600 height407afigurepthe small handful of other outlets that printed some version of the emtimesems incorrect massgraves news included the a hrefhttpswwwthestarcomnewscanada20210531massimpactfromdiscoveryofmassgravehtmlemtoronto starema which to its credit quickly a hrefhttpswwwthestarcomnewscanada20210531massimpactfromdiscoveryofmassgravehtmlcorrecteda the mistake and the emwashington postem which not only corrected the mistake but included an editors note at the top of the article fully detailing the newspapers original lapse meanwhile the emtimesem still parades the original massgraves error in its a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlheadlineappthis emtimesem purported bombshelland the horrifying image it elicited of corpses piled like timber as in some horrific scene out of bosnia or rwandapredictably made international news giving the worlds dictators a chance to excoriate canada while a hrefhttpsmediumcomdfrlabchinaweaponizesdiscoveryofgravesatcanadianresidentialschoolstoavoidxinjiangcriticism6bf618a6e954deflectinga from their own humanrights atrocities this was emthe new york timesem after all not some local rag shortly after the emtimesem set the tone in this manner trudeau ordered canadas flags to half mast where they would remain incredibly for more than five months and dramatically went down on one knee to place a teddy bear on the site of a former residential school in saskatchewan as cameras clickedpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrprime minister justin trudeau has apologized to tkemlps te secwpemc kukpi7 rosanne casimir after travelling to tofino rather than attending public events during canadas first national day for truth and reconciliationa hrefhttpstcohlbv2kzymbhttpstcohlbv2kzymbap andrea woo andreawoo a hrefhttpstwittercomandreawoostatus1444711923577069576ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 3 2021ablockquote figurepjournalism is historys first draft produced on deadline and one might easily understand how errors got into that first emtimesem article especially given that initial reports of the kamloops gpr findings were being published alongside claims that the data accorded with the lore of unidentified indigenous a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescanadiangravesofindigenouschildrenfoundwithhelpfromoralhistories11626384990knowledge keepersa it would have been a brave journalist who amid such furious national garmentrending pointed out that locally circulated memories about unmarked child graves do not amount to evidence on par with actual human bones and tissue unearthed from the ground no matter the ethnicity of the knowledgekeeping communityppbut the may 28th article wasnt an isolated mistake ten days later the same emtimesem reporter penned a followup a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210607worldcanadamassgravesresidentialschoolshtmlreporta that to this day bears a subheadline referring to the discovery of the remains of hundreds of children like austens first story this one is flat out wrong no remains have been discoveredpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at41553pmpng alta mediafueled social panic over unmarked graves width2038 height1048figurepthe article text indicates that the remains of more than 1000 people mostly children have been discovered on the grounds of three former residential schools in two canadian provinces since may a statement that is also absolutely untrue and that the remains of 200 people mostly children were found in unmarked graves on the grounds of [a] former boarding school in british columbia which again is totally false at one point we are informed by austen that in july the penelakut tribe in british columbia said it had uncovered about 160 undocumented and unmarked graves as glavin a hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopiniontheyearofthegraveshowtheworldsmediagotitwrongonresidentialschoolgravesreportsa thats not what the penelakut tribe saidpptwo weeks after that austen and a second canadiansituated emtimesem reporter dan bilefsky cowrote a third a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210624worldcanadaindigenouschildrengravessaskatchewancanadahtmlarticlea this one published under the again absolutely false headline hundreds more unmarked graves found at former residential school in canada pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at41822pmpng alta mediafueled social panic over unmarked graves width2370 height1166figurepthat article informs us that the recent unearthing of remains in canada has reverberated globally a whopper that juxtaposes the entirely false claim that thered been any kind of unearthing of human remains alongside the completely accurate observation that the story has garnered international attentionlargely thanks to the emtimesems own erroneous reporting with the tkemlps community itself now agitating for a hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopinionterryglavinimpatiencegrowsamongtkemlupspeopleforanswersongravesclaritya on what actually lies below the grounds surface it will be interesting to see how austen and bilefsky proceed with further articlesas the two journalists are now tasked with lecturing their tkemlps interviewees about all those remains of deceased relatives that according to these same reporters were unearthed at least a year ago and are presumably now sitting in some mysteriously undisclosed locationppthe subheadline on that emtimesem a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210624worldcanadaindigenouschildrengravessaskatchewancanadahtmlarticlea informs us that an indigenous group said the remains of as many as 751 people mainly children had been found in unmarked graves on the site of a former boarding school in saskatchewan unlike the other examples ive listed this one at least has the emtimesem journalists attributing their information to a third party but even on this score the article neglects to note that canadas a hrefhttpsnctrcanational centre for truth and reconciliationa identifies only nine children from the institution in questionmarieval indian residential schoolwho died during its entire centurylong period of operation its a fact that casts rather a lot of doubt on the claim offered in the sensationalistic emtimesem headline ppand yes i realize that reporters typically dont write their own headlines but these emtimesem mistakes cant be blamed on any editor because the errors go well beyond the display copy the text of the coauthored june 24th article for instance falsely informs us that the remains of 215 children were found in unmarked graves on the grounds of [a] former churchrun school for indigenous students in british columbia its a sentence that contains both the unambiguously false statement that the remains of 215 children have been found alongside the piggyback fiction that these remains were found in unmarked gravesppthe nature of the mistakes vary from one emtimes emstory to the next but all of the stories are alike to such extent that they grossly misrepresent the nature of the information that was announced in may 2021 and thereafter as noted above the novel findings presented by indigenous groups didnt identify graves bodies or human remains but rather soil dislocations that may or may not be associated with a human burial and as gpr a hrefhttpswwwojpgovpdffiles1nijgrants238275pdfexpertsa have been cautioning since the technology first began being used by police officers and archaeologists many years ago such dislocations can be traced to everything from old irrigation ditches to backhoe trenches the area where the kamloops gpr data was recorded has been put to multiple agricultural uses over the decades which means that anyone looking for graves in the area is at risk of encountering all manner of false positives ppand even if any of these dislocations do turn out to indicate the presence of graves classifying them as unmarked may not be straightforward as has been widely noted an old grave that bears no markings in 2022 wasnt necessarily unmarked at the time it was used for burial since rapidly degrading wooden crosses were commonly employed as markers until well into the 20th century ppa further complication is that many of the cemeteries located on or near residential school properties were used by religiously observant indigenous and nonindigenous communities alike cadmus delorme chief of the cowessess first nation in saskatchewan where trudeau staged his maudlin teddybear photoop for instance a hrefhttpswwwcbccanewsindigenousmarievalcemeterygraves16106563tolda the media flatly this is a roman catholic grave site its not a residential school grave sitephrpits entirely possible that unmarked previously unknown graves may one day be definitively identified at kamloops and other former residential school campuses and that such graves will then be found to contain the remains of residentialschool students but neither austen nor bilefsky nor anyone else has yet produced information to support the claim that this evidence has already been collected and when i asked the emtimesem to explain how their reporters had arrived at such plainly speculative conclusions all i got by way of answer was a statement from a corporate staffer that read we are confident in the accuracy of our reporting all of our articles have made it clear that the gravesite findings are based on the analysis of ground penetrating radar and these findings are supported by expert corroborationppian austen isnt a stranger to me ive met him and weve occasionally conversed over social media and email about stories of mutual interest hes a skilled and dedicated journalist whose work ive read appreciatively for many years thats one reason im singling him out when there are so many other journalistic offenders i could name it says a lot about the depth of the social panic surrounding the unmarkedgraves story that even a reporter of austens high stature was impelled to abandon the high standards he brings to his other workppi refuse to believe that anyone at the emtimesem set out to tell lies it seems more likely that they instinctively believed on some gut level that the gpr data signalled the existence of child murder victims they treated it as a revealed moral truth and so imagined themselves duty bound to use their emtimes emplatform to spread the story globally advocate for indigenous rights and educate canadians about a dark historical legacy numerous other journalists did exactly the same thing and in so doing got swept up by the collective fervour but now that the story hasnt gone the way their guts told them it would they very understandably are embarrassed at the prospect of admitting their mistakes  ppin truth it probably doesnt matter much if the emtimes emever gets around to correcting its mistakes because its not as if canadians havent noticed the glaring absence of physical evidence to back up the breathless claims they first heard in mid2021 many feel duped by the unmarkedgraves story especially given the way it was held up both inside and outside canada as a pretext to trash their country over the last 14 months it hasnt just been the emtimesem but the journalistic trade as a whole thats squandered a good deal of the trust and affection held by readers and viewers pphowever it may prove to be indigenous people themselves who lose the most from this whole sad episode given how much terrible treatment was meted out to first nations inuit and mtis communities over the course of canadian history there is surely no shortage of emreal emevidence of past atrocities waiting to be found by researchers it seems inevitable that some day in the future actual bodies will be brought to the surfacegenuine uncontestable evidence of a real historical atrocity that formerly had been unknown or obscure if in that authentic moment of discovery journalists and politicians suddenly find that its become impossible to arouse the interest and sympathies of a jaded untrusting canadian public lets not pretend that we wont know the reason whyp

img alta mediafueled social panic unmarked graves srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207red_deer_industrial_school_circa_1914jpgpthe discovery unmarked graves residential school [the province british columbia] countrywide awakening set chosen canadas news story year editors newsrooms country hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadabritishcolumbiacanadianpressstoryoftheyearunmarkedgravediscovery16288978reporteda cbc december apt choicethough necessarily reasons described author ppcanadas unmarkedgraves story broke 27th 2021 tkemlps te secwpemc nation hrefhttpswwwcbccanewscanadabritishcolumbiatkemlc3bapstesecwc3a9pemc215childrenformerkamloopsindianresidentialschool16043778reporteda existence groundpenetrating radar gpr data indicated regularly spaced subterranean soil disturbances grounds indigenous residential school operated kamloops bc 1893 1978 addition nations leaders asserted belief soil disturbances corresponded unmarked graves indigenous children whod died attending schoolppthe story immediate sensation canadian media remained months gpr expert nation relied sarah beaulieu carefully noted radar survey results didnt necessarily indicate presence graveslet graves unmarked graves indigenous people graves children contrary canadians came believe heady period hrefhttpswwwojpgovpdffiles1nijgrants238275pdfgpr survey dataa doesnt yield xraystyle images bodies coffins typically shows disruptions soil sediment investigators need dig ground determine actually lies underneathpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at30911pm1png alta mediafueled social panic unmarked graves width900 height570figcaptionan explanatory image posted hrefhttpswwwgeoscancablogperformingunmarkedburialsurveysgprgeophysicaltechniquesgeoscana canadian groundpenetratingradar service provider showing mapped gpr data indicate possible presence gravesfigcaptionfigurepbut details swept aside retrospect appears true nationwide social panic indigenous groups announced theyd conducting gpr surveys media figures confidently asserted original canadian residentialschool student deathtoll estimate hrefhttpswwwaptnnewscanationalnewsnumberindianresidentialschoolstudentdeathsmayneverknowntrc3201a soon double triple oped writer went far hrefhttpswwwtimescolonistcomopinioncommentisthiscanadasholocaustmoment4690014declarea discovery graves children kamloops canadas holocaust moment dramatic teardrenched acts public atonement unfolded july 1st canada day celebrations cancelled transformed opportunities morose selflacerationppi canadians initially got swept thisin large media speaking voice including journalists id known respected years looking coverage note headline writers skipped technical bits soil dislocations went straight bodies graves stories interspersed hrefhttpswwwthesudburystarcomnewslocalnewskamloopsdiscoveryadevastatingreminderofresidentialschooltragedysudburysmayorsayscredulousa recitations dubious tales featuring live babies thrown furnaces buried aliveppthe mission canadas churchrun residential school system assimilate indigenous people white canadian society usually forcing children leave families communities months years time disputes students subject cruel predatory treatment substandard medical care certainly death rate indigenous children attending schools higher children general population bought idea kind massmurder plot going schools hardly farfetched victims mistreatment neglect buried unmarked gravesoff books speakby malevolent white teachers school administrators priests seeking evade responsibility actionsppthe important aspect mention thatlike canadians im guessingi believed days weeks seeing real physical evidence plucked earth didnt matter early commentators temporarily playing fast loose distinction gpr data actual corpses ppcanadians told old orchard kamloops gpr data collected emcrime sceneema site mass murder final resting place 215 child homicide victims ive reasoned hrefhttpsquillettecom20220413franceswiddowsononthequestionscanadiansarentsupposedtoaskaboutunmarkedgraveselsewherea told canadians 215 murdered white children buried toronto ottawa vancouver thered investigators police crawling place looking remains tested identified naturally assumed thing soon happening kamloops ppmany abuses identified kamloops residential school like date early decades cold war means perpetrators claimed child homicidesthat staff worked schoolscould alive crimes studied solved inspecting bones children buried alongside surely effort spared pull evidence ground immediately criminal cases prosecuted passage time allowed killers escape accountability racist bloodbathppbut weeks months passed 2021 spring turned summer summer fall fall winter happened 14 months original announcement presumed graves kamloops physical evidence unearthed graves corpses human remains fact far tell doesnt systematic effort police nations leaders commence investigations eventually began strike general public odd way treat mass murder scene pundits politicians refused change early apocalyptic tone ppwhich brings cbc announcement december informed discovery unmarked graves canadas biggest news story 2021 statement encoded polite lie canadian journalists encouraged repeat form known number unmarked graves truly discovered truth remains number confirmed graves remains zero knowledge found human remainsie hrefhttpsdictionarycambridgeorgdictionaryenglishremainsbody parts tissue decaying corpsesaeither kamloops residential schools use gprppso yes story arguably qualify canadas news story yearbut insofar story graves turned story herd behaviour canadas intellectual class thousands politicians writers broadcasters activists spent months crowdsourcing creation completely unsupported national narrative failed correct record rush judgment run headlong reality ppive journalism quarter century witnessed plenty bizarre controversies trade ive witnessed similar phenomenon like casestudies mass hysteria popular delusion read history books ppsome dissenting voices begin popping 2022 february frances widdowson liberal arts professor mount royal university calgary wrote hrefhttpswwwtheamericanconservativecombillyremembersarticlea conservative publication explaining farfetched rumours urban legends dating 1980s informed lurid claims concerning kamloops residential school small publication called theem dorchester reviewem published hrefhttpswwwdorchesterreviewcablogsnewsinkamloopsnotonebodyhasbeenfoundscathinga article quebec academic jacques rouillard entitled kamloops body found significantly large newspaper called emnational postem published hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopiniontheyearofthegraveshowtheworldsmediagotitwrongonresidentialschoolgravesblockbuster exposa wellknown columnist terry glavin going blow blow scandalously botched media treatment thats fuelled unmarkedgraves story broke spring 2021 glavin took pains emphasize main reason story bungled journalists got wrong indigenous leaders lied believed ppglavins piece watershed represented explicit acknowledgement mainstream canadian news outlet original narrative wed asked parrot 2021 unsustainable predictably glavin paid price speaking announced hed interviewed story wellknown torontobased podcast chair canadas national arts funding agency jesse wente publicly intervened apparent bid hrefhttpstwittercomjessebrownstatus1531354563386777604s20tk4a4ymiap59af1fyatzuxapreventa interview going forward host hrefhttpstwittercomjessebrownstatus1531382856865484807s20tr6jxlbblgencnrv7i4lgpqrespondeda extraordinary development sheepishly assuring wente hed assign segment interviewer pfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltri wish youd reconsider brbrim sure youre equipped discussion convinced guest good faith conversation matter brbri wish youd consider harm reduction look like situations media perspective thisp jesse wente jessewente hrefhttpstwittercomjessewentestatus1531377464089399297ref_srctwsrc5etfwmay 30 2022ablockquote figurepas widdowson university hrefhttpsquillettecom20220413franceswiddowsononthequestionscanadiansarentsupposedtoaskaboutunmarkedgravesfired hera spoke unmarkedgraves misinformation circulating canadian university circles prof rouillards article emdorchester review emattracted condemnation official federal minister crownindigenous relations marc miller denounced expressed skepticism preset graves narrative ghoulish hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770306777858053retraumatizing survivorsa shockingly miller hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770305414615048calleda article pattern denialismas author moral par holocaust denier miller didnt refer article target rhetoric abundantly clear given surprising expert kind site inspection identity hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopinionterryglavinimpatiencegrowsamongtkemlupspeopleforanswersongravesknown glavina chosen publish comprehensive critique hrefhttpsgravesintheorchardwordpresscomanonymouslya pfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrthese articles pattern denialism distortion coloured discourse residential schools canada harmful attempt deny survivors families truth distort canadians understanding historyp marc miller marcmillervm hrefhttpstwittercommarcmillervmstatus1486770305414615048ref_srctwsrc5etfwjanuary 27 2022ablockquote figurepit bears emphasizing respectable academic journalist denying fact thousands children died attending canadas residential schools closed 1990s critiques summarized paragraphs limited specific claim final resting places hundreds thousands dead indigenous children identified 14 months gpr ppeven reputable media outlets stories wrong course emquilletteem included publish corrections clarifications factchecking critic presents evidence journalistic error particularly egregious cases retract article entirely unmarkedgraves story unusualperhaps uniquebecause faulty coverage systematic feature entire canadian journalistic landscape day story broke isnt limited publication type publication ppthis herddriven aspect social panic yielded perverse incentive structure journalists single media outlet interest walking previously published misinformation evade criticism simply pointing equally erroneous work gratuitous reputational hit goes admitting ones mistakes competitors staying mum ppthat incentive structure explains treatment dissidents glavin harsh columnists break ranks makes harder including politicians justin trudeau went unmarkedgraves story evade criticism accountability believe institutional players miller wente attempted smear rouillard glavin moves aimed intimidating journalists silence money stake worth noting wente leads federal funding body annually doles hrefhttpscanadacouncilcaspotlight202202thereisnoartwithoutartists500 milliona canadas creative class miller serves government hrefhttpswwwcanadalandcommediaintrudeaus10milliontopupfundsubsidizesa canadian journalists tune 700 million year branded denier government official share money risk ppall im discussing realize tied canadas parochial media scene known operate amateurish herdlike manner best times comes unmarkedgraves story influential argue irresponsible media player hasnt canadian outlet theem new york timesem newspapers articles subject riddled completely obvious errors day story broke errors corrected despite passage year original publicationppand clear talking errors tone emphasis shades meaning omission speaking flatout trumpwonthe2020electionstyle false informationwhat fake news ppmost spectacularly 28th 2021 emtimesem told world discovery hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlmass gravea reported canada claim existsagain dayin headline sitting article written veteran correspondent ian austen reporter relates indigenous community british columbia says found evidence mass grave truth indigenous community said thing fact leader nations community austen referencing rosanne casimir tkemlps te secwpemc explicitly told media mass grave hrefhttpswwwsquamishchiefcombcnewscasimirsaystkemlupsfindisseriesofunmarkedgravesnotamassburial3848382disavoweda usage term pfigurea hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at40900pmpng alta mediafueled social panic unmarked graves width600 height407afigurepthe small handful outlets printed version emtimesems incorrect massgraves news included hrefhttpswwwthestarcomnewscanada20210531massimpactfromdiscoveryofmassgravehtmlemtoronto starema credit quickly hrefhttpswwwthestarcomnewscanada20210531massimpactfromdiscoveryofmassgravehtmlcorrecteda mistake emwashington postem corrected mistake included editors note article fully detailing newspapers original lapse emtimesem parades original massgraves error hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210528worldcanadakamloopsmassgraveresidentialschoolshtmlheadlineappthis emtimesem purported bombshelland horrifying image elicited corpses piled like timber horrific scene bosnia rwandapredictably international news giving worlds dictators chance excoriate canada hrefhttpsmediumcomdfrlabchinaweaponizesdiscoveryofgravesatcanadianresidentialschoolstoavoidxinjiangcriticism6bf618a6e954deflectinga humanrights atrocities emthe new york timesem local rag shortly emtimesem set tone manner trudeau ordered canadas flags half mast remain incredibly months dramatically went knee place teddy bear site residential school saskatchewan cameras clickedpfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrprime minister justin trudeau apologized tkemlps te secwpemc kukpi7 rosanne casimir travelling tofino attending public events canadas national day truth reconciliationa hrefhttpstcohlbv2kzymbhttpstcohlbv2kzymbap andrea woo andreawoo hrefhttpstwittercomandreawoostatus1444711923577069576ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 3 2021ablockquote figurepjournalism historys draft produced deadline easily understand errors got emtimesem article especially given initial reports kamloops gpr findings published alongside claims data accorded lore unidentified indigenous hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescanadiangravesofindigenouschildrenfoundwithhelpfromoralhistories11626384990knowledge keepersa brave journalist amid furious national garmentrending pointed locally circulated memories unmarked child graves evidence par actual human bones tissue unearthed ground matter ethnicity knowledgekeeping communityppbut 28th article wasnt isolated mistake days later emtimesem reporter penned followup hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210607worldcanadamassgravesresidentialschoolshtmlreporta day bears subheadline referring discovery remains hundreds children like austens story flat wrong remains discoveredpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at41553pmpng alta mediafueled social panic unmarked graves width2038 height1048figurepthe article text indicates remains 1000 people children discovered grounds residential schools canadian provinces statement absolutely untrue remains 200 people children found unmarked graves grounds [a] boarding school british columbia totally false point informed austen july penelakut tribe british columbia said uncovered 160 undocumented unmarked graves glavin hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopiniontheyearofthegraveshowtheworldsmediagotitwrongonresidentialschoolgravesreportsa thats penelakut tribe saidpptwo weeks austen second canadiansituated emtimesem reporter dan bilefsky cowrote hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210624worldcanadaindigenouschildrengravessaskatchewancanadahtmlarticlea published absolutely false headline hundreds unmarked graves found residential school canada pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207screenshot20220721at41822pmpng alta mediafueled social panic unmarked graves width2370 height1166figurepthat article informs recent unearthing remains canada reverberated globally whopper juxtaposes entirely false claim thered kind unearthing human remains alongside completely accurate observation story garnered international attentionlargely thanks emtimesems erroneous reporting tkemlps community agitating hrefhttpsnationalpostcomopinionterryglavinimpatiencegrowsamongtkemlupspeopleforanswersongravesclaritya actually lies grounds surface interesting austen bilefsky proceed articlesas journalists tasked lecturing tkemlps interviewees remains deceased relatives according reporters unearthed year ago presumably sitting mysteriously undisclosed locationppthe subheadline emtimesem hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210624worldcanadaindigenouschildrengravessaskatchewancanadahtmlarticlea informs indigenous group said remains 751 people mainly children found unmarked graves site boarding school saskatchewan unlike examples ive listed emtimesem journalists attributing information party score article neglects note canadas hrefhttpsnctrcanational centre truth reconciliationa identifies children institution questionmarieval indian residential schoolwho died entire centurylong period operation fact casts lot doubt claim offered sensationalistic emtimesem headline ppand yes realize reporters typically dont write headlines emtimesem mistakes cant blamed editor errors display copy text coauthored june 24th article instance falsely informs remains 215 children found unmarked graves grounds [a] churchrun school indigenous students british columbia sentence contains unambiguously false statement remains 215 children found alongside piggyback fiction remains found unmarked gravesppthe nature mistakes vary emtimes emstory stories alike extent grossly misrepresent nature information announced 2021 noted novel findings presented indigenous groups didnt identify graves bodies human remains soil dislocations associated human burial gpr hrefhttpswwwojpgovpdffiles1nijgrants238275pdfexpertsa cautioning technology began police officers archaeologists years ago dislocations traced old irrigation ditches backhoe trenches area kamloops gpr data recorded multiple agricultural uses decades means looking graves area risk encountering manner false positives ppand dislocations turn indicate presence graves classifying unmarked straightforward widely noted old grave bears markings 2022 wasnt necessarily unmarked time burial rapidly degrading wooden crosses commonly employed markers 20th century ppa complication cemeteries located near residential school properties religiously observant indigenous nonindigenous communities alike cadmus delorme chief cowessess nation saskatchewan trudeau staged maudlin teddybear photoop instance hrefhttpswwwcbccanewsindigenousmarievalcemeterygraves16106563tolda media flatly roman catholic grave site residential school grave sitephrpits entirely possible unmarked previously unknown graves day definitively identified kamloops residential school campuses graves found contain remains residentialschool students austen bilefsky produced information support claim evidence collected asked emtimesem explain reporters arrived plainly speculative conclusions got way answer statement corporate staffer read confident accuracy reporting articles clear gravesite findings based analysis ground penetrating radar findings supported expert corroborationppian austen isnt stranger ive met weve occasionally conversed social media email stories mutual interest hes skilled dedicated journalist work ive read appreciatively years thats reason im singling journalistic offenders says lot depth social panic surrounding unmarkedgraves story reporter austens high stature impelled abandon high standards brings workppi refuse believe emtimesem set tell lies likely instinctively believed gut level gpr data signalled existence child murder victims treated revealed moral truth imagined duty bound use emtimes emplatform spread story globally advocate indigenous rights educate canadians dark historical legacy numerous journalists exactly thing got swept collective fervour story hasnt gone way guts told understandably embarrassed prospect admitting mistakes ppin truth probably doesnt matter emtimes emever gets correcting mistakes canadians havent noticed glaring absence physical evidence breathless claims heard mid2021 feel duped unmarkedgraves story especially given way held inside outside canada pretext trash country 14 months hasnt emtimesem journalistic trade thats squandered good deal trust affection held readers viewers pphowever prove indigenous people lose sad episode given terrible treatment meted nations inuit mtis communities course canadian history surely shortage emreal emevidence past atrocities waiting found researchers inevitable day future actual bodies brought surfacegenuine uncontestable evidence real historical atrocity unknown obscure authentic moment discovery journalists politicians suddenly find impossible arouse interest sympathies jaded untrusting canadian public lets pretend wont know reason whyp

62df19d886db9a9d08cde0df

Anthony Fauci Says If We Could Do It Again, COVID-19 Restrictions Would Be 'Much, Much More Stringent'

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altanthony fauci interviewed on rising srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhen asked what he would do differently if he could go back in time to the beginning of the pandemic white house coronavirus advisor anthony fauci said that he would recommend quotmuch much more stringent restrictionsquot from the getgop pquotif i knew in 2020 what i know now we would do a lot differentlyquot said fauci in an interview on monday quotthe insidious nature of spread in the community would have been much more of an alarm and there would have been much much more stringent restrictions in the sense of very very heavy encouragement of people to wear masks physical distancing what have youquotp piframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedwxrwtkejdtqfeatureoembed width500 titledr fauci gives exclusive interview with rising robby soave amp batya ungarsargon height281iframep pfauci made these remarks during an interview on a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvwxrwtkejdtqemrisingema the news show i cohost for emthe hill emwhen asked about a hrefhttpsreasoncomcategoryhealthpublichealthmasksmaskmandatesthe return of mask mandatesa in various parts of the country fauci conceded that the cloth masks that most people were required to wear indoors throughout the pandemic do not substantially prevent the transmission of covid19p pquotright now we are very very clear that masks do work in prevention of acquisition and transmissionquot said fauci quotbut youve got to get a wellfitted mask that is of a high quality and the two we know are high quality are n95 and kn95quotp pfauci also disputed the term quotgain of functionquot in a conversation about whether it is necessary for the us government to a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210604lableakmisinformationmediafaucicovid19fund the kind of researcha that many experts worry might have producedor might one day producea pandemic on the level of covid19 watch the full interview a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvwxrwtkejdtqhereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220725anthonyfauciinterviewcovidrestrictionsmasksanthony fauci says if we could do it again covid19 restrictions would be much much more stringenta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altanthony fauci interviewed rising srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202207anthonyfaucimaskscovid800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhen asked differently time beginning pandemic white house coronavirus advisor anthony fauci said recommend quotmuch stringent restrictionsquot getgop pquotif knew 2020 know lot differentlyquot said fauci interview monday quotthe insidious nature spread community alarm stringent restrictions sense heavy encouragement people wear masks physical distancing youquotp piframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedwxrwtkejdtqfeatureoembed width500 titledr fauci gives exclusive interview rising robby soave amp batya ungarsargon height281iframep pfauci remarks interview ona hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvwxrwtkejdtqemrisingema news cohost foremthe hill emwhen asked hrefhttpsreasoncomcategoryhealthpublichealthmasksmaskmandatesthe return mask mandatesa parts country fauci conceded cloth masks people required wear indoors pandemic substantially prevent transmission covid19p pquotright clear masks work prevention acquisition transmissionquot said fauci quotbut youve got wellfitted mask high quality know high quality n95 kn95quotp pfauci disputed term quotgain functionquot conversation necessary government hrefhttpsreasoncom20210604lableakmisinformationmediafaucicovid19fund kind researcha experts worry producedor day producea pandemic level covid19 watch interview hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvwxrwtkejdtqhereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220725anthonyfauciinterviewcovidrestrictionsmasksanthony fauci says covid19 restrictions stringenta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62df1ab286db9a9d08cde0fd

Where does Labour really stand on rail nationalisation?

pkeir starmer is the goldilocks of radicalism hes tried throughout his leadership to get it just right to distance himself from the corbyn era while a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowsfromjeremycorbynblankslate target_blankmaintaining some of the policy commitments of that timeap pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagrachelreeves target_blankrachel reevesa the shadow chancellor stumbled on the problem with that strategy in an interview with the bbc this morning in answer to a question about nationalising rail energy and water companies she said that spending billions of pounds on nationalising things just doesnt stack up against our fiscal rules however louise haigh the shadow transport secretary had told the journal of the train drivers union aslef four months ago that labour was totally committed to public ownership of the railways as it was in 2019 and 2017p pa labour spokesperson said later that reeves was saying labour would be pragmatic about rail ownership no one seems to have told haigh she soon restated labours commitment to nationalisation on twitter when asked about the issue this morning after a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowedtoriesmagicmoneytreeattackline target_blankspeech setting out his economic visiona starmer sided with reeves saying he wanted to be pragmatic about [nationalisation] rather than ideological p pwhere does this leave the party a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagkeirstarmer target_blankstarmeras comment will cement the perception among the left of the party that he has abandoned the pledges he made during his leadership bid no surprise there but its interesting why many want public ownership in the next labour manifesto part of the reason is because its so popular according to a recent a relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpsyougovcouktopicspoliticstrackersshouldtrainoperatingcompanisebebroughtbackintopublicownership target_blankyougov polla 60 per cent of people are in favour of the public ownership of railwaysp pso why wont labour promise it in the face of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagcostoflivingcrisis target_blankthe costofliving crisisa and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtaginflation target_blankrising inflationa starmer wants to fight the next election on creating a sustainably growing economy growth growth growth was the mantra of his speech this morning a debate with the government about nationalisation does not fit easily into that strategy nor will it help shed what starmer sees as the baggage of the 2019 general election defeat p pbut if labour isnt going to brandish this popular policy then it will need something else that polls equally well among voters starmer wanted today to be about his vision for the economy but because of poor communication and disunity the focus is yet again on whether the labour leader has just the right amount of radicalismp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowedtoriesmagicmoneytreeattacklinewhy keir starmer has borrowed the tories magic money tree attack linea]emstrongp

pkeir starmer goldilocks radicalism hes tried leadership right distance corbyn era relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowsfromjeremycorbynblankslate target_blankmaintaining policy commitments timeap pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagrachelreeves target_blankrachel reevesa shadow chancellor stumbled problem strategy interview bbc morning answer question nationalising rail energy water companies said spending billions pounds nationalising things doesnt stack fiscal rules louise haigh shadow transport secretary told journal train drivers union aslef months ago labour totally committed public ownership railways 2019 2017p pa labour spokesperson said later reeves saying labour pragmatic rail ownership told haigh soon restated labours commitment nationalisation twitter asked issue morning relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowedtoriesmagicmoneytreeattackline target_blankspeech setting economic visiona starmer sided reeves saying wanted pragmatic [nationalisation] ideologicalp pwhere leave partya relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagkeirstarmer target_blankstarmeras comment cement perception left party abandoned pledges leadership bid surprise interesting want public ownership labour manifesto reason popular according recent relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpsyougovcouktopicspoliticstrackersshouldtrainoperatingcompanisebebroughtbackintopublicownership target_blankyougov polla 60 cent people favour public ownership railwaysp pso wont labour promise face relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagcostoflivingcrisis target_blankthe costofliving crisisa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtaginflation target_blankrising inflationa starmer wants fight election creating sustainably growing economy growth growth growth mantra speech morning debate government nationalisation fit easily strategy help shed starmer sees baggage 2019 general election defeat p pbut labour isnt going brandish popular policy need polls equally voters starmer wanted today vision economy poor communication disunity focus labour leader right radicalismp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202207keirstarmerborrowedtoriesmagicmoneytreeattacklinewhy keir starmer borrowed tories magic money tree attack linea]emstrongp

62df1ab986db9a9d08cde0ff

The human capital deficit in leadership these days

pit is very real just look around the world  even mario draghi is on the way out  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220725kissingerknowswhythegloballeadershipdeficitisgettingworsesrefhtohjx5y target_blankone take from adrian wooldridge at bloombergap blockquote pleadership is most vital during a period of transition from one order to another we are certainly in such a period now not only from the neoliberal order to something much darker but also to a new era of smart machines yet so far leadership is lacking we call for leaders who are equal to the times but nobody answersp pkissinger offers two explanations for this troubling silence the first lies in the evolution of meritocracy full disclosure he mentions a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomaristocracytalentmeritocracymodernworlddp1510768610 target_blankbooka i have written on this subject the six leaders were all born outside the pale of the aristocratic elite that had hitherto dominated politics and particularly foreign policy adenauer and sadat were the sons of clerks thatcher and nixon were the children of storekeepers lees parents were downwardly mobile but theirs was a meritocracy with an aristocratic flavor they went to elite schools and universities that provided an education in human excellence rather than just passing tests in rubbing shoulders with members of the old elite they absorbed some of its ethic of noblesse oblige for unto whomsoever much is given of him shall be much required as well as its distaste for populism hence lees recurring references to junzi confucian gentlemen and de gaulles striving to become a man of character they believed in history tradition and in most cases godp pthe world has become much more meritocratic since kissingers six made their careers not least when it comes to women and ethnic minorities but the dilution of the aristocratic element in the mix may also have removed some of the grit that produced the pearl of leadership schools have given up providing an education in human excellence the very idea would be triggering and ambitious young people speak less of obligation than of selfexpression or personal advancement the bonds of character and duty that once bound leaders to their people are dissolvingp blockquote pthere are further arguments much more in fact at the link  and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecomngramsgraphcontentleadershipyear_start1800year_end2019corpus26smoothing3direct_urlt13b2cleadership3b2cc0 target_blankan ngram on leadershipap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207thehumancapitaldeficitinleadershipthesedayshtmlthe human capital deficit in leadership these daysa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pit real look world mario draghi way relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220725kissingerknowswhythegloballeadershipdeficitisgettingworsesrefhtohjx5y target_blankone adrian wooldridge bloombergap blockquote pleadership vital period transition order certainly period neoliberal order darker new era smart machines far leadership lacking leaders equal times answersp pkissinger offers explanations troubling silence lies evolution meritocracy disclosure mentions aa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomaristocracytalentmeritocracymodernworlddp1510768610 target_blankbookai written subject leaders born outside pale aristocratic elite hitherto dominated politics particularly foreign policy adenauer sadat sons clerks thatcher nixon children storekeepers lees parents downwardly mobile theirs meritocracy aristocratic flavor went elite schools universities provided education human excellence passing tests rubbing shoulders members old elite absorbed ethic noblesse oblige unto whomsoever given shall required distaste populism lees recurring references junzi confucian gentlemen de gaulles striving man character believed history tradition cases godp pthe world meritocratic kissingers careers comes women ethnic minorities dilution aristocratic element mix removed grit produced pearl leadership schools given providing education human excellence idea triggering ambitious young people speak obligation selfexpression personal advancement bonds character duty bound leaders people dissolvingp blockquote pthere arguments fact link relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecomngramsgraphcontentleadershipyear_start1800year_end2019corpus26smoothing3direct_urlt13b2cleadership3b2cc0 target_blankan ngram leadershipap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202207thehumancapitaldeficitinleadershipthesedayshtmlthe human capital deficit leadership daysa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Slavery and Steam

img altslavery and steam srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207steamlocomotivepngpppin march britains a hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20220315steamtrainslatestvictimcancelculturenationalmuseumwalesemdaily telegraphema and a hrefhttpswwwgbnewsuknewssteamtrainscancellednationalmuseumofwalessaysinventionrootedincolonialismandracism248661gb news channela both reported that the national museum of wales would be relabelling a replica of the first steampowered locomotive unveiled by its cornish inventor richard trevithick in 1804 trevithick had no links to slavery but the amendment has apparently been included anyway as part of the museums commitment to decolonizing its collection in a statement defending a hrefhttpsnationcymrunewsgbnewsattacksnationalmuseumofwalesoncemoreforcancellingfirststeamtrainwhat it describeda as the addition of historical context the museum said although there might not be direct links between the trevithick locomotive and the slave trade we acknowledge the reality that links to slavery are woven into the warp and weft of welsh society the statement continuedpblockquotetrade and colonial exploitation were embedded in wales economy and society and were fundamental to wales development as an industrialised nation as we continue to audit the collection we will explore how the slave trade linked and fed into the development of the steam and railway infrastructure in walesblockquotepin a similar vein back in 2014 msnbc broadcaster chris hayes a hrefhttpswwwthenationcomarticlearchivenewabolitionismwrote an articlea for the emnationem in which he drew a rather tenuous connection between human slaveryspecifically the kind practiced in the us prior to 1865and the use of fossil fuels hayes argued that the reluctance of energy companies and their investors to forfeit the financial value of their fossilfuel assets is analogous to the reluctance of precivilwar southern slaveholders to surrender the financial value of their human property he went on to assert that environmentalists attacking the use of fossil fuels are in a moral and tactical position similar to that of the prewar abolitionistsppthis whole line of thinking reminds me of a few thingspp1 shortly after obtaining his freedom former slave frederick douglass visited a shipyard in new bedford where he observed the cargo being unloaded in his memoir ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncommybondagefreedomfrederickdouglassdp030019059xmy bondage and my freedomaem a hrefhttpsetcusfedulit2go45mybondageandmyfreedom1500chapter22libertyattaineddouglass wroteapblockquotein a southern port twenty or thirty hands would have been employed to do what five or six did here with the aid of a single ox attached to the end of a fall main strength unassisted by skill is slaverys method of labor an old ox worth eighty dollars was doing in new bedford what would have required fifteen thousand dollars worth of human bones and muscles to have performed in a southern portblockquotep2 sometime around 1900 a young pr man recently hired by general electric in schenectady realized he had a problem he had obtained his job with glowing promises of all the great press coverage he would generate for the company but now his boss wanted him to place a terrific frontpage story about a 60000kilowatt turbine generator that the company had just sold to commonwealth edison the pr man knew that such a story would only merit a paragraph on the financial pages so he went to see ges legendary research genius charles steinmetz for advice headlines he explained need drama and theres nothing dramatic about a generator ppfollowing a quick calculation steinmetz determined that this particular machine could perform the physical work of 54 million men the slave population in the us on the eve of the civil war had been 47 million i suggest a hrefhttpwwwelectrichistorycomzero352steinmetzhtmsteinmetz tolda the young pr man you send out a story that says we are building a single machine that through the miracle of electricity will each day do more work than the combined slave population of the nation at the time of the civil warpp3  owen young was a farm boy who grew up to become the chairman of general electric youngs biographer ida tarbell a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomowendyoungindustrialleaderdp0518190692offers this descriptiona of what life had been like for a farm wife on wash day back thenpblockquote[young] drew from his memory a vivid picture of its miseries the milk coming into the house from the barn the skimming to be done the pans and buckets to be washed the churn waiting attention the wash boiler on the stove while the wash tub and its backbreaking device the washboard stood by the kitchen full of steam hungry men at the door anxious to get at the days work and one pale tired and discouraged woman in the midst of this confusionblockquotephayes does not seem to understandor at least he was reluctant to recognizethat the benefits of an energy source accrue not only to the companies and individuals who develop and own that energy source but also to the people of the society at large the benefits of the coal and oil and later natural gas burned to power the turbines made by owen youngs company did not go only to the resource owners and to ge and the utility companies but also to the farm housewives with whom he had grown uppp4 fanny kemble 18091893 was a famous british actress who was also an avid diarist and a brilliant social observer in 1830 she became one of the first people to ride on the newly constructed londontomanchester railway line her escort on the trip was none other than george stephenson the selftaught engineer who had been the driving force behind the lines construction she noted that the british government had rejected stephensons railroad plans on grounds of unfeasibility but added pblockquotethe liverpool merchants whose farsighted selfinterest prompted them to wise liberality had accepted the risk of george stephensons magnificent experiment which the committee of inquiry of the house of commons had rejected for the government these men of less intellectual culture than the parliament members had the adventurous imagination proper to great speculators which is the poetry of the countinghouse and wharf and were better able to receive the enthusiastic infection of the great projectors sanguine hope than the westminster committeeblockquotepshe contrasted the character of men such as stephenson with that of the aristocracy as represented by lord alvanley in particular i would rather pass a day with stephenson than with lord alvanley though the one is a coaldigger by birth who occasionally murders the kings english and the other is the keenest wit and one of the finest gentlemen about townppkemble had a bit of a crush on stephenson to whom she referred as the master of all these marvels with whom i am most horribly in love nevertheless industrializationtrevithicks locomotive stephensons railway and the steam engine itself which boris johnson a hrefhttpswwwlatestlycomsociallyindianewsitwashereinglasgow250yearsagothatjameswattcameupwithamachinethatwaslatesttweetbyani23012432htmlonce calleda a doomsday machineenabled selfmade men like stephenson to gain influence they never could have had in a preindustrial society and that this reduced the relative power of the lord alvanleys aristocrats and wouldbe aristocrats have tended to disapprove of technologies which enable physical and social mobility the railroads lord wellington fretted would encourage the common people to move about needlessly pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207gettyimages979764311jpg altslavery and steam width3926 height764figcaptionsequence of illustrations showing slaves pulling stone trevithicks locomotive stephensons rocket getty imagesfigcaptionfigurepif i had to guess id say the people who run institutions like the national museum of wales are generally more like the alvanelys of the world than the stephensons although perhaps without the wit for which alvanley was renowned in any event the historical timeline suggests that the sailing ship the cannon and the instruments and mathematics of celestial navigation were more obviously enablers of the slavery and colonial expansion than trevithicks locomotive but such a link fails to combine the antiracist lesson with an environmentalist one in fact the human use of the horse likely did more to aid colonial conquest since it enabled the use of chariots and mounted cavalry not to mention all forms of metalworking from bronze to steelppwhen a society compulsively disrespects its historical accomplishmentswhen it obsessively seeks to turn every good thing into a bad thingthe outlook for that society is bleak it destroys social cohesion and sends the wrong kind of message to actual and potential opponents the matter of the steam locomotive display in wales may seem minor and certainly trivial when compared with the appalling events in ukraine or the threat of iranian nuclear weapons but it is not ppthe behavior of the museum administrators in wales is of a piece with other contemporary symptoms such as the eagerness within influential circles in the us to embrace the conclusions of the emnew york timesems revisionist 1619 project it is part of the politicization of everything science technology and art cannotindeed emmustem notbe appreciated simply on the grounds of beauty utility or truth everything must be reduced to race gender and other academically and mediaapproved categories of analysispptrends such as these have realworld implications including the growth and decline of nations and their relative power writing in 1940 cs lewis a hrefhttpsmerecslewisblogspotcom201105dangersofnationalrepentancehtmlwarned abouta the dangers of what he called the national repentance movement which focused on the need to apologize for britains sins thought to include the treaty of versailles and to forgive britains enemies ppcertainly the british state had done many bad things during its long and eventful historyas well as many good things but the excessive focus on its sins was part of a phenomenon manifested in a 1933 motion debated at the oxford union this house will under emnoem circumstances fight for king and country to the nazis and the imperial japanese attitudes like these indicated that aggression would not meet much resistance they also informed a policy of appeasement ppliberals and progressives as they call themselves claim to be greatly concerned with physical sustainability of resources and ecosystems but they are too eager to undercut the social sustainability of their own societies and the physical infrastructures on which those societies depend however fond they may be of repeating the word infrastructure p

img altslavery steam srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207steamlocomotivepngpppin march britains hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20220315steamtrainslatestvictimcancelculturenationalmuseumwalesemdaily telegraphema hrefhttpswwwgbnewsuknewssteamtrainscancellednationalmuseumofwalessaysinventionrootedincolonialismandracism248661gb news channela reported national museum wales relabelling replica steampowered locomotive unveiled cornish inventor richard trevithick 1804 trevithick links slavery amendment apparently included museums commitment decolonizing collection statement defending hrefhttpsnationcymrunewsgbnewsattacksnationalmuseumofwalesoncemoreforcancellingfirststeamtrainwhat describeda addition historical context museum said direct links trevithick locomotive slave trade acknowledge reality links slavery woven warp weft welsh society statement continuedpblockquotetrade colonial exploitation embedded wales economy society fundamental wales development industrialised nation continue audit collection explore slave trade linked fed development steam railway infrastructure walesblockquotepin similar vein 2014 msnbc broadcaster chris hayes hrefhttpswwwthenationcomarticlearchivenewabolitionismwrote articlea emnationem drew tenuous connection human slaveryspecifically kind practiced prior 1865and use fossil fuels hayes argued reluctance energy companies investors forfeit financial value fossilfuel assets analogous reluctance precivilwar southern slaveholders surrender financial value human property went assert environmentalists attacking use fossil fuels moral tactical position similar prewar abolitionistsppthis line thinking reminds thingspp1 shortly obtaining freedom slave frederick douglass visited shipyard new bedford observed cargo unloaded memoir ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncommybondagefreedomfrederickdouglassdp030019059xmy bondage freedomaem hrefhttpsetcusfedulit2go45mybondageandmyfreedom1500chapter22libertyattaineddouglass wroteapblockquotein southern port thirty hands employed aid single ox attached end fall main strength unassisted skill slaverys method labor old ox worth eighty dollars new bedford required thousand dollars worth human bones muscles performed southern portblockquotep2 1900 young pr man recently hired general electric schenectady realized problem obtained job glowing promises great press coverage generate company boss wanted place terrific frontpage story 60000kilowatt turbine generator company sold commonwealth edison pr man knew story merit paragraph financial pages went ges legendary research genius charles steinmetz advice headlines explained need drama theres dramatic generator ppfollowing quick calculation steinmetz determined particular machine perform physical work 54 million men slave population eve civil war 47 million suggest hrefhttpwwwelectrichistorycomzero352steinmetzhtmsteinmetz tolda young pr man send story says building single machine miracle electricity day work combined slave population nation time civil warpp3 owen young farm boy grew chairman general electric youngs biographer ida tarbell hrefhttpswwwamazoncomowendyoungindustrialleaderdp0518190692offers descriptiona life like farm wife wash day thenpblockquote[young] drew memory vivid picture miseries milk coming house barn skimming pans buckets washed churn waiting attention wash boiler stove wash tub backbreaking device washboard stood kitchen steam hungry men door anxious days work pale tired discouraged woman midst confusionblockquotephayes understandor reluctant recognizethat benefits energy source accrue companies individuals develop energy source people society large benefits coal oil later natural gas burned power turbines owen youngs company resource owners ge utility companies farm housewives grown uppp4 fanny kemble 18091893 famous british actress avid diarist brilliant social observer 1830 people ride newly constructed londontomanchester railway line escort trip george stephenson selftaught engineer driving force lines construction noted british government rejected stephensons railroad plans grounds unfeasibility added pblockquotethe liverpool merchants farsighted selfinterest prompted wise liberality accepted risk george stephensons magnificent experiment committee inquiry house commons rejected government men intellectual culture parliament members adventurous imagination proper great speculators poetry countinghouse wharf better able receive enthusiastic infection great projectors sanguine hope westminster committeeblockquotepshe contrasted character men stephenson aristocracy represented lord alvanley particular pass day stephenson lord alvanley coaldigger birth occasionally murders kings english keenest wit finest gentlemen townppkemble bit crush stephenson referred master marvels horribly love industrializationtrevithicks locomotive stephensons railway steam engine boris johnson hrefhttpswwwlatestlycomsociallyindianewsitwashereinglasgow250yearsagothatjameswattcameupwithamachinethatwaslatesttweetbyani23012432htmlonce calleda doomsday machineenabled selfmade men like stephenson gain influence preindustrial society reduced relative power lord alvanleys aristocrats wouldbe aristocrats tended disapprove technologies enable physical social mobility railroads lord wellington fretted encourage common people needlessly pfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202207gettyimages979764311jpg altslavery steam width3926 height764figcaptionsequence illustrations showing slaves pulling stone trevithicks locomotive stephensons rocket getty imagesfigcaptionfigurepif guess id people run institutions like national museum wales generally like alvanelys world stephensons wit alvanley renowned event historical timeline suggests sailing ship cannon instruments mathematics celestial navigation obviously enablers slavery colonial expansion trevithicks locomotive link fails combine antiracist lesson environmentalist fact human use horse likely aid colonial conquest enabled use chariots mounted cavalry mention forms metalworking bronze steelppwhen society compulsively disrespects historical accomplishmentswhen obsessively seeks turn good thing bad thingthe outlook society bleak destroys social cohesion sends wrong kind message actual potential opponents matter steam locomotive display wales minor certainly trivial compared appalling events ukraine threat iranian nuclear weapons ppthe behavior museum administrators wales piece contemporary symptoms eagerness influential circles embrace conclusions emnew york timesems revisionist 1619 project politicization science technology art cannotindeed emmustem notbe appreciated simply grounds beauty utility truth reduced race gender academically mediaapproved categories analysispptrends realworld implications including growth decline nations relative power writing 1940 cs lewis hrefhttpsmerecslewisblogspotcom201105dangersofnationalrepentancehtmlwarned abouta dangers called national repentance movement focused need apologize britains sins thought include treaty versailles forgive britains enemies ppcertainly british state bad things long eventful historyas good things excessive focus sins phenomenon manifested 1933 motion debated oxford union house emnoem circumstances fight king country nazis imperial japanese attitudes like indicated aggression meet resistance informed policy appeasement ppliberals progressives claim greatly concerned physical sustainability resources ecosystems eager undercut social sustainability societies physical infrastructures societies depend fond repeating word infrastructure p

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Gottlieb predicts monkeypox will become public health failure

pformer food and drug administration fda commissioner scott gottlieb penned an oped in the new york times published on saturday arguing that the united states lacks a federal infrastructure capable of dealing with public health emergencies like monkeypox and covid19p pour countrys response to monkeypox has been plagued by the same shortcomings we had with covid19 a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220730opinionmonkeypoxpublichealthfailurehtmlgottlieb wrote in the opeda p pnow if monkeypox gains a permanent foothold in the united states and becomes an endemic virus that joins our circulating repertoire of pathogens it will be one of the worst public health failures in modern times not only because of the pain and peril of the disease but also because it was so avoidable he said our lapses extend beyond political decision making to the agencies tasked with protecting us from these threatsp pgottlieb said the country did not test enough people for monkeypox in the early days of the outbreak noting that the centers for disease control and prevention cdc did not expand testing to large commercial labs until late junep pits cultural instinct is to take a deliberative approach debating each decision he said of cdc with covid the virus gained ground quickly with monkeypox which spreads more slowly typically through very close contact the shortcomings of cdcs cultural approach havent been as acute yet but the shortfalls are the samep pa hrefhttpswwwcdcgovpoxvirusmonkeypoxresponse2022usmaphtmlcdc has reported nearly 5200 cases as of sundaya and the outbreak has reached all but three states montana vermont and wyomingp pmonkeypox spreads through close contact with an infected animal or person generally through lesions body fluids contaminated materials and respiratory droplets those droplets can only travel up to a few feet and usually require prolonged contact for transmissionbrbrthe virus has largely been detected in men who have sex with men leading some jurisdictions to prioritize those groups to receive the currently limited number of available monkeypox vaccine dosesp pgottlieb called for cdc to continue leading the nations pandemic response but he argued that it should transfer some of its disease prevention work to other agenciesp phe called for the fda to manage smoking and the national institutes of health nih to handle cancer and heart diseasep pfocus the cdc more on its core mission of outbreak response gottlieb wrote and imbue the agency with the national security mindset that it had at its origins if the cdc mission were more tightly focused on the elements required for handling contagion congress might be more willing to invest it with the robust authority to do that targeted mission wellp pbut gottlieb cast doubt on the feasibility of reform to equip cdc and other public health agencies with new tools and authority citing his conversations with lawmakers and their staffs that showed what he called a scant appetite for such a movep pafter covid theres a view among some that public health agencies used flawed analysis and miscalculated their advice gottlieb wrote securing a political consensus that the cdc needs to be further empowered to complete its mission for example invested with the authority to compel reporting from states is politically unobtainablep

pformer food drug administration fda commissioner scott gottlieb penned oped new york times published saturday arguing united states lacks federal infrastructure capable dealing public health emergencies like monkeypox covid19p pour countrys response monkeypox plagued shortcomings covid19 hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220730opinionmonkeypoxpublichealthfailurehtmlgottlieb wrote opedap pnow monkeypox gains permanent foothold united states endemic virus joins circulating repertoire pathogens worst public health failures modern times pain peril disease avoidable said lapses extend political decision making agencies tasked protecting threatsp pgottlieb said country test people monkeypox early days outbreak noting centers disease control prevention cdc expand testing large commercial labs late junep pits cultural instinct deliberative approach debating decision said cdc covid virus gained ground quickly monkeypox spreads slowly typically close contact shortcomings cdcs cultural approach havent acute shortfalls samep pa hrefhttpswwwcdcgovpoxvirusmonkeypoxresponse2022usmaphtmlcdc reported nearly 5200 cases sundaya outbreak reached states montana vermont wyomingp pmonkeypox spreads close contact infected animal person generally lesions body fluids contaminated materials respiratory droplets droplets travel feet usually require prolonged contact transmissionbrbrthe virus largely detected men sex men leading jurisdictions prioritize groups receive currently limited number available monkeypox vaccine dosesp pgottlieb called cdc continue leading nations pandemic response argued transfer disease prevention work agenciesp phe called fda manage smoking national institutes health nih handle cancer heart diseasep pfocus cdc core mission outbreak response gottlieb wrote imbue agency national security mindset origins cdc mission tightly focused elements required handling contagion congress willing invest robust authority targeted mission wellp pbut gottlieb cast doubt feasibility reform equip cdc public health agencies new tools authority citing conversations lawmakers staffs showed called scant appetite movep pafter covid theres view public health agencies flawed analysis miscalculated advice gottlieb wrote securing political consensus cdc needs empowered complete mission example invested authority compel reporting states politically unobtainablep

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OnlySubs: Race Marxism Goes to Congress

pemonlysubs episode 102 race marxism goes to congressspan datatagposttitle spanemis now available exclusively for new discourses contributors on the following platformsbr a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost2521810racemarxismgoestocongressonlysubswithjameslindsayep102 target_blanklocalsabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompostsracemarxismto70023738 target_blankpatreonabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts665322 target_blanksubscribestarabr a relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubehqe2pszf96i target_blankyoutube membersabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursesracemarxismgoestocongressonlysubswithjameslindsayep102xqudzb1event target_blankthinkspotap div div datatagpostcontent pwe now know and are rapidly spreading the news that critical race theory is in fact a relnoopener hrefhttpsamznto3oo86oa datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsamznto3oo86oaampsourcegmailampust1659636135986000ampusgaovvaw1t3avnwp0ydfqgwpq4h_dk target_blankrace marxisma well now that knowledge has made its way to the united states congress specifically the house of representatives at the end of july of this year representative dan bishop rnc9 with several cosponsors issued a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcongressgovbill117thcongresshouseresolution1303textr1s1 datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpswwwcongressgovbill117thcongresshouseresolution1303textr3d126s3d1ampsourcegmailampust1659636135986000ampusgaovvaw1_hshplyead1bstoykf0hc target_blankhouse resolution 1303a establishing the marxist roots of critical race theory and detail[ing] the threat this divisive ideology poses to the american republic in this episode of james lindsay onlysubs my subscribersonly podcast i read through the text of this resolution in full and give verification and discussion on its various claims most importantly among its claims besides identifying critical race theory accurately as a marxist ideology that poses a significant threat to the united states republic its citizens and the free people of the world rising to the degree of a clear and present danger to the republic its citizens and the states its allies and the good and happiness of mankind it also identifies that crt violates the equal protection clause of the 14th amendment and very likely the establishment clause of the 1st amendment to the united states constitution when implemented by any government apparatus which would include public schools and the military join me as i read through the text of this new important resolution which deserves all your support and robust debate and ps the next step as always is for the many states to copy this resolution and declare this recognition throughout our nation on every levelp div div padditional episodes of the emonlysubs podcastem can be found a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208onlysubsracemarxismgoestocongressonlysubs race marxism goes to congressa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

pemonlysubs episode 102 race marxism goes congressspan datatagposttitlespanemis available exclusively new discourses contributors following platformsbr relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost2521810racemarxismgoestocongressonlysubswithjameslindsayep102 target_blanklocalsabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompostsracemarxismto70023738 target_blankpatreonabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts665322 target_blanksubscribestarabr relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubehqe2pszf96i target_blankyoutube membersabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursesracemarxismgoestocongressonlysubswithjameslindsayep102xqudzb1event target_blankthinkspotap div div datatagpostcontent pwe know rapidly spreading news critical race theory facta relnoopener hrefhttpsamznto3oo86oa datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsamznto3oo86oaampsourcegmailampust1659636135986000ampusgaovvaw1t3avnwp0ydfqgwpq4h_dk target_blankrace marxisma knowledge way united states congress specifically house representatives end july year representative dan bishop rnc9 cosponsors issueda relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcongressgovbill117thcongresshouseresolution1303textr1s1 datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpswwwcongressgovbill117thcongresshouseresolution1303textr3d126s3d1ampsourcegmailampust1659636135986000ampusgaovvaw1_hshplyead1bstoykf0hc target_blankhouse resolution 1303aestablishing marxist roots critical race theory detail[ing] threat divisive ideology poses american republic episode james lindsay onlysubs subscribersonly podcast read text resolution verification discussion claims importantly claims identifying critical race theory accurately marxist ideology poses significant threat united states republic citizens free people world rising degree clear present danger republic citizens states allies good happiness mankind identifies crt violates equal protection clause 14th amendment likely establishment clause 1st amendment united states constitution implemented government apparatus include public schools military join read text new important resolution deserves support robust debate ps step states copy resolution declare recognition nation levelp div div padditional episodes emonlysubs podcastem found hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208onlysubsracemarxismgoestocongressonlysubs race marxism goes congressa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

62eaf87e2da29ef8ef25e1bf

The Democratic Establishment Teamed Up With Trump To Oust Peter Meijer

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389922400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389921200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389922400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389921200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpeter meijer srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpg height675 picture div pshortly after voting to impeach former president donald trump for his role in instigating the january 6 2021 riot at the us capitol rep peter meijer rmich issued one of the more reflective statements youre likely to find in a congressional press releasep pquotthis vote is not a victory it isnt a victory for my party and it isnt the victory the democrats might think it is im not sure it is a victory for our countryquot meijer who was one of just 10 republicans to vote for impeachment and the only firstterm gop member to do so a hrefhttpsmeijerhousegovmediainthenewsrepublicancongressmanexplainshisvoteimpeachmenttheremustbeaccountabilitysaida quotbut it is a call to action for us to reflect on these events and seek ways to correct themquotp plater he a hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcommagazinearchive202201petermeijerfreshmanrepublicanimpeach620844tolda emthe atlanticems tim alberta that the republican party needed an intervention over its addiction to trumphe wanted to provide quothope for some who wanted to [see] the republican party get past the darkness and the violence and that sense of foreboding and doomquot even if it cost him a long career in politicsp pon tuesday night it didp pmeijer narrowly lost a primary contest in michigans 3rd district to a trumpbacked challenger john gibbs who has a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomnewstrumpnomineerejectscriticismovertweetsechoeda trumps conspiracy theories about the 2020 presidential election in a narrow sense the result is yet another illustration of the current state of the gop where the former presidents grievances continue to carry serious weight particularly with the types of voters who turn out for primariesp pin that group of 10 republicans who voted to impeach trump meijer is now the second to lose a primary this year following rep tom rice rsc four others a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220803meijerdefeatedgibbsprimarytrumpimpeachment00049529retired rather than choosing to run againa and three are facing primary challenges later this year rep david valadao rcalif is the only member of the group to a hrefhttpswwwlatimescompoliticsstory20220626californiarepvaladaosurvivesprimarysurvive a primarya so farp pbut while republican primary voters are ultimately responsible for the choices they make the democratic partys cynical campaign strategies helped bring about last nights resultp pas emreasonems robby soave a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220801petermeijerjohngibbsprimarymichigantrumpelectionpelosidcccnoted earlier this weeka the democratic congressional campaign committee dccc spent 435000 on an ad claiming that gibbs was quottoo conservativequot for western michiganeffectively boosting the electiondenying trumpendorsed candidate the spending was not trivial it was 100 times more than what trump had actually donated to gibbs campaignp pquotpolitics is a dirty game and both parties routinely engage in this sort of brinkmanship doing whatever it takes to win more seatsquot soave wrote quotbut democrats boosting gibbs are squandering considerable moral high ground they might have otherwise possessed on the issue of the socalled existential threat to democracyquotp pgiven how close the race turned out to begibbs won by a hrefhttpswwwnytimescominteractive20220802uselectionsresultsmichiganhtmlfewer than 4000 votesa out of more than 104000 votes castits certainly possible that the dccc ad a hrefhttpstwittercomdamonlinkerstatus1554831349873197063made a differenceap pdemocrats have turned to this same playbook elsewhere in the republican gubernatorial primary in pennsylvania for example an ad funded by the presumptive democratic nominee a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220518pennsylvaniademocratssaydougmastrianoisadangertodemocracywhydidtheyhelphimwinhelped elevatea state sen doug mastriano rfayetteville above a crowded field of gop contenders mastriano participated in the january 6 protest in dc his a hrefhttpswwwpennlivecomnews202203leadingcandidateforpagovernoramplifiesfalseunprovenstolenelectionnarrativehtmlrefusal to accepta the results of the 2020 election in pennsylvania has stoked worries that a hrefhttpstwittercommotherjonesstatus1526745598686281728he would refuse to certify a prospective democratic wina in 2024 if he wins this years election in pennsylvania elections are overseen by the secretary of state a position appointed by the governorp pin a hrefhttpswwwcommonsensenewspwhythedemocratsarefundingmyrcfomsrutm_campaignpostutm_mediumemaila posta for emcommon sense emmeijer wrote that democrats are making similar efforts to boost trumpy candidates in colorado maryland and illinoisp pthe january 6 riot should have been a warning to both parties about the potentially dangerous mixture of rage and conspiratorial thinking that increasingly dominates rightwing politics instead it has become just another opportunity for playing politics as democrats have cynically elevated the rightwing fringe they condemn as a threat to the future of american democracyp pbut there is an added irony to what happened last night in michigan for now meijer represents the same district that was previously the domain of a hrefhttpsreasoncomtagjustinamashjustin amasha the a hrefhttpsreasoncom20200429justinamashbecomesthefirstlibertarianmemberofcongressrepublicanturnedlibertariana congressman who was ejected from the gop for a hrefhttpsreasoncom2019052211othertimesjustinamashcrossedswordswithpresidenttrumpfrequently criticizing trumpa and ultimately for supporting trumps first impeachment michigans 3rd district has produced two consecutive independentthinking freedomoriented republican lawmakers tuesdays results ensure that there wont be a third thanks to both halves of the twoparty systemp plike meijer observed about the impeachment vote tuesdays election result isnt the victory democrats might think it isp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220803thedemocraticestablishmentteamedupwithtrumptooustpetermeijerthe democratic establishment teamed up with trump to oust peter meijera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389922400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389921200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389922400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208rollcallpix1389921200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpeter meijer srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208rollcallpix138992800x450jpg height675 picture div pshortly voting impeach president donald trump role instigating january 6 2021 riot capitol rep peter meijer rmich issued reflective statements youre likely find congressional press releasep pquotthis vote victory isnt victory party isnt victory democrats think im sure victory countryquot meijer 10 republicans vote impeachment firstterm gop member hrefhttpsmeijerhousegovmediainthenewsrepublicancongressmanexplainshisvoteimpeachmenttheremustbeaccountabilitysaida quotbut action reflect events seek ways correct themquotp plater hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcommagazinearchive202201petermeijerfreshmanrepublicanimpeach620844tolda emthe atlanticems tim alberta republican party needed intervention addiction trumphe wanted provide quothope wanted [see] republican party past darkness violence sense foreboding doomquot cost long career politicsp pon tuesday night didp pmeijer narrowly lost primary contest michigans 3rd district trumpbacked challenger john gibbs hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomnewstrumpnomineerejectscriticismovertweetsechoeda trumps conspiracy theories 2020 presidential election narrow sense result illustration current state gop presidents grievances continue carry weight particularly types voters turn primariesp pin group 10 republicans voted impeach trump meijer second lose primary year following rep tom rice rsc hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220803meijerdefeatedgibbsprimarytrumpimpeachment00049529retired choosing run againa facing primary challenges later year rep david valadao rcalif member group hrefhttpswwwlatimescompoliticsstory20220626californiarepvaladaosurvivesprimarysurvive primarya farp pbut republican primary voters ultimately responsible choices democratic partys cynical campaign strategies helped bring nights resultp pas emreasonems robby soave hrefhttpsreasoncom20220801petermeijerjohngibbsprimarymichigantrumpelectionpelosidcccnoted earlier weeka democratic congressional campaign committee dccc spent 435000 ad claiming gibbs quottoo conservativequot western michiganeffectively boosting electiondenying trumpendorsed candidate spending trivial 100 times trump actually donated gibbs campaignp pquotpolitics dirty game parties routinely engage sort brinkmanship takes win seatsquot soave wrote quotbut democrats boosting gibbs squandering considerable moral high ground possessed issue socalled existential threat democracyquotp pgiven close race turned begibbs won hrefhttpswwwnytimescominteractive20220802uselectionsresultsmichiganhtmlfewer 4000 votesa 104000 votes castits certainly possible dccc ad hrefhttpstwittercomdamonlinkerstatus1554831349873197063made differenceap pdemocrats turned playbook republican gubernatorial primary pennsylvania example ad funded presumptive democratic nominee hrefhttpsreasoncom20220518pennsylvaniademocratssaydougmastrianoisadangertodemocracywhydidtheyhelphimwinhelped elevatea state sen doug mastriano rfayetteville crowded field gop contenders mastriano participated january 6 protest dc hrefhttpswwwpennlivecomnews202203leadingcandidateforpagovernoramplifiesfalseunprovenstolenelectionnarrativehtmlrefusal acceptathe results 2020 election pennsylvania stoked worries thata hrefhttpstwittercommotherjonesstatus1526745598686281728he refuse certify prospective democratic winain 2024 wins years election pennsylvania elections overseen secretary state position appointed governorp pin hrefhttpswwwcommonsensenewspwhythedemocratsarefundingmyrcfomsrutm_campaignpostutm_mediumemaila posta emcommon senseemmeijer wrote democrats making similar efforts boost trumpy candidates colorado maryland illinoisp pthe january 6 riot warning parties potentially dangerous mixture rage conspiratorial thinking increasingly dominates rightwing politics instead opportunity playing politics democrats cynically elevated rightwing fringe condemn threat future american democracyp pbut added irony happened night michigan meijer represents district previously domain hrefhttpsreasoncomtagjustinamashjustin amasha hrefhttpsreasoncom20200429justinamashbecomesthefirstlibertarianmemberofcongressrepublicanturnedlibertariana congressman ejected gop hrefhttpsreasoncom2019052211othertimesjustinamashcrossedswordswithpresidenttrumpfrequently criticizing trumpa ultimately supporting trumps impeachment michigans 3rd district produced consecutive independentthinking freedomoriented republican lawmakers tuesdays results ensure wont thanks halves twoparty systemp plike meijer observed impeachment vote tuesdays election result isnt victory democrats think isp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220803thedemocraticestablishmentteamedupwithtrumptooustpetermeijerthe democratic establishment teamed trump oust peter meijera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62ed9b3a4482d83e4c925fcf

Empire Burlesque

pdaniel bessner author and professor of american foreign policy at the university of washington sits down with web editor violet lucca to discuss his emharpersem emmagazineem a relnoopener hrefhttpsharpersorgarchive202207whatcomesaftertheamericancentury target_blankcover storya about the future of the united states and its place in the world during an era of shrinking economic and material might bessner suggests a path forward that aims to be practical at the cost of optimism at a moment when the individual seems to lack any semblance of political agency adopting the language of marx he posits that we might be in the era of mutual ruin and that a shift toward military and political restraintrather than misguided liberal interventionismmust begin with a brutally honest diagnosis of the state of the world before any solutions can take shapep diviframe srchttpswsoundcloudcomplayervisualtrueurlhttps3a2f2fapisoundcloudcom2ftracks2f1318569943show_artworktruemaxheight750maxwidth500 width500 titleempire burlesque by harpers magazine height400iframediv h3subscribe to our podcast through a hrefhttpsitunesapplecomuspodcasttheharperspodcastid1405872370mt2itunesa a hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0chm6ly9mzwvkcy5zb3vuzgnsb3vklmnvbs91c2vycy9zb3vuzgnsb3vkonvzzxjzojq5ote5mtm1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3mgoogle podcastsa a hrefhttpssoundcloudcomharpersmagazinesoundclouda a hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastharpersmagazinetheharperspodcaststitchera a hrefhttpswwwdeezercomusshow3364832deezera or a hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow4h9sictdppd1ijv9n5jxfcsizzwugj8vqfadjlzdaxmnwgspotifyah3the post a hrefhttpsharpersorg202208empireburlesqueempire burlesquea first appeared on a hrefhttpsharpersorgharpers magazinea

pdaniel bessner author professor american foreign policy university washington sits web editor violet lucca discuss emharpersem emmagazineem relnoopener hrefhttpsharpersorgarchive202207whatcomesaftertheamericancentury target_blankcover storya future united states place world era shrinking economic material bessner suggests path forward aims practical cost optimism moment individual lack semblance political agency adopting language marx posits era mutual ruin shift military political restraintrather misguided liberal interventionismmust begin brutally honest diagnosis state world solutions shapep diviframe srchttpswsoundcloudcomplayervisualtrueurlhttps3a2f2fapisoundcloudcom2ftracks2f1318569943show_artworktruemaxheight750maxwidth500 width500 titleempire burlesque harpers magazine height400iframediv h3subscribe podcast througha hrefhttpsitunesapplecomuspodcasttheharperspodcastid1405872370mt2itunesaa hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0chm6ly9mzwvkcy5zb3vuzgnsb3vklmnvbs91c2vycy9zb3vuzgnsb3vkonvzzxjzojq5ote5mtm1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3mgoogle podcastsaa hrefhttpssoundcloudcomharpersmagazinesoundcloudaa hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastharpersmagazinetheharperspodcaststitcheraa hrefhttpswwwdeezercomusshow3364832deezera ora hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow4h9sictdppd1ijv9n5jxfcsizzwugj8vqfadjlzdaxmnwgspotifyah3the post hrefhttpsharpersorg202208empireburlesqueempire burlesquea appeared hrefhttpsharpersorgharpers magazinea

62f1a58b0507a1e3c854119d

China is Prepared for War. Are We?

img altchina is prepared for war are we srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220852667jpsdl1jpgpnancy pelosis trip to taiwan last week ended up providing an unexpected jolt to me it was different however than the jolt it seemed to give to the broader commentariat though i remain displeased that the trip provided an excuse for chinese escalation im finding myself increasingly resigned to a profoundly dangerous future and if anything the reactions to the trip underline for me just how unready we are for what is clearly comingbrpplast week tom friedman wrote a a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220801opinionnancypelositaiwanchinahtmlgood columna representative of the conventional wisdom he argued that pelosis trip was reckless not least because it threatened to upset the delicate balance the biden administration had managed to arrange with china after russias invasion of ukraine the article made the implicit argument that by provoking the chinese over taiwan we were not only hastening war with a dangerous peer competitor but we were also inviting beijing to consider backing moscow at a moment where its military assault may be stallingbrppits a sound argument as far as it goes and from various indications in the article it is reflective of a faction in the white house it also echoes various concerns im hearing brppthe biden team appears to be torn between a feeling of somewhat deserved accomplishment in having managed the ukraine crisis competently and a bevy of worries about how it could all go badly wrong they see the west reasonably united in the face of russian aggression even as they fret about the coming winter and the likelihood of political turmoil in europe ruining everything read a hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomeuropecanrussiadivideeuropeutm_mediumsocialthis articlea by the brilliant nathalie tocci on how that could all go pearshaped they see the ukrainians successfully grinding down the most recent russian assault with western weapons to the broad satisfaction of american voters but are losing sleep over what to do should russian president vladimir putin choose to escalate unpredictably worst of all with nuclear weapons brppin asia the goal seems to be to execute a longterm reorientation towards a standoff with china that they believe will play out largely in the economic sphere where they not unreasonably expect americas longterm advantages will prove decisive the recentlypassed a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220728invictoryfordemocratscongresssendschipsubsidybilltobiden00048539chips acta is an attempt to secure economic resilience should that standoff become acute they emareem fretting about americas ability to credibly deter an attack on taiwan with military power but the strategy remains resolutely a empeacetimeem strategy the default for a status quo power in that context pelosis trip to taiwan is seen as a move that unnecessarily upsets a delicate balancebrppas a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinionjoebidensworldi noteda a few months before bidens victory in 2020 his team is focused on fixing the damage that they believe trump did to the socalled liberal world order understanding how most american policymakers conceptualize this world order is important to put it simply they believe that the american experience is globally relevant and that without malevolent peer competitors the world would evolve to reflect it the unnatural ideology of global communism was preventing the world from progressing naturally and automatically towards a system guided by liberal principles anchored in an open capitalist economy brppin his new book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomarccovenantunitedstatesisraelebookdpb01eq2s3rythe arc of a covenantaem walter russell mead argues that the great miscalculation was assuming this automaticity echoing george f kennan at the end of the cold war mead points out that any attempt to meaningfully change a fallen and imperfect world would require exertions on the part of the united states that could well exceed its capacities american optimism about human nature above all led it to stumble badly and repeatedly since 911 in large part by taking on ambitious projects it never bothered to budget for both economically and perhaps more importantly in terms of resolve the postcold war era was seen as a project of gentle shepherding rather than active exhausting managementmanagement that requires not just reserves of hard power but the willingness to use itbrppthe idea that america is a passive midwife to the inevitable birth of a better world continues to haunt american responses to the unraveling of the postcold war in asia the liberal world order bias nudges us towards a kind of dangerous mirroring in an otherwise sober column gideon rachman a hrefhttpsonftcom3vmedb2gives voicea to the kind of disbelief that is still dominant in western capitals brppa chinese resort to force would be a tragedy not just for taiwan but for mainland china itself it would lead to mass casualties on all sides permanent alienation between taiwanese and mainlanders and a rupture in the global economy that would endanger decades of chinese growthbrppin that frame the provocative trip by pelosi is bad because it empowers irrationalism among the chinese pushing them to act in such a way that is obviously bad for everyonebrppbut as the emftem reported a few days earlier it appears as if the chinese seized on pelosis announcement to prepare military exercises they felt like they needed to do anyway in order to execute a successful takeover of the island nation ever since the trip was first announced in april taipei was receiving explicit threats from beijingbrppthis gave them an opportunity to do things they consider necessary in their military training that might otherwise have been politically impossible says a senior taiwanese government official shooting a ballistic missile over taipei could have triggered a global outcry or even sanctions if seen as unprovoked he says comparing the move to north koreas launch of a missile that flew over japanese territory in 2017 now they are getting away with itbrppobviously we shouldnt give the chinese an easy way to do things they feel that they have to do in any case but the deeper point is that the chinese seem hellbent on achieving these goals costs be damned they may be more calculating and careful than putins russia but they are determined and probably undeterrable through threats of economic privationbrppdespite the heightened tensions after russias first invasion of ukraine in 2014 we still couldnt properly conceive of a reality where putin would invade again and indeed aim for a complete takeover of his neighboruntil he did as a result we have responded in a completely reactive prophylactic way we still cant really admit that we are in a hot proxy war with russia the fact that the costs to us are measured in financial abstractions instead of the fresh body bags of our countrymen lets us comfortably describe it as an effort to shore up the existing order the fact that the figures are astronomical makes them even more of an abstraction our military industrial complex remains resolutely on peacetime footing even as the hardfighting ukrainians burn through our military consumables president biden has never even hinted that the stakes might require that the country steel itself for a very different worldbrpparguably if russia were the only challenge such talk might not be necessary the ukraine war is far from won but one can imagine how we might muddle through without disrupting americans everyday lives but the reality that china wont easily be contained in asiaand thats what pelosis trip underscored for memeans that this kind of pose is irresponsible time to start planning for a world that takes an invasion of taiwan as a given brppsince the end of the cold war we have had it easy we have been coasting on glib assumptions about the world its time to get seriousp

img altchina prepared war srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220852667jpsdl1jpgpnancy pelosis trip taiwan week ended providing unexpected jolt different jolt broader commentariat remain displeased trip provided excuse chinese escalation im finding increasingly resigned profoundly dangerous future reactions trip underline unready clearly comingbrpplast week tom friedman wrote hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220801opinionnancypelositaiwanchinahtmlgood columna representative conventional wisdom argued pelosis trip reckless threatened upset delicate balance biden administration managed arrange china russias invasion ukraine article implicit argument provoking chinese taiwan hastening war dangerous peer competitor inviting beijing consider backing moscow moment military assault stallingbrppits sound argument far goes indications article reflective faction white house echoes concerns im hearing brppthe biden team appears torn feeling somewhat deserved accomplishment having managed ukraine crisis competently bevy worries badly wrong west reasonably united face russian aggression fret coming winter likelihood political turmoil europe ruining read hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomeuropecanrussiadivideeuropeutm_mediumsocialthis articlea brilliant nathalie tocci pearshaped ukrainians successfully grinding recent russian assault western weapons broad satisfaction american voters losing sleep russian president vladimir putin choose escalate unpredictably worst nuclear weapons brppin asia goal execute longterm reorientation standoff china believe play largely economic sphere unreasonably expect americas longterm advantages prove decisive recentlypassed hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnews20220728invictoryfordemocratscongresssendschipsubsidybilltobiden00048539chips acta attempt secure economic resilience standoff acute emareem fretting americas ability credibly deter attack taiwan military power strategy remains resolutely empeacetimeem strategy default status quo power context pelosis trip taiwan seen unnecessarily upsets delicate balancebrppas hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinionjoebidensworldi noteda months bidens victory 2020 team focused fixing damage believe trump socalled liberal world order understanding american policymakers conceptualize world order important simply believe american experience globally relevant malevolent peer competitors world evolve reflect unnatural ideology global communism preventing world progressing naturally automatically system guided liberal principles anchored open capitalist economy brppin new book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomarccovenantunitedstatesisraelebookdpb01eq2s3rythe arc covenantaem walter russell mead argues great miscalculation assuming automaticity echoing george f kennan end cold war mead points attempt meaningfully change fallen imperfect world require exertions united states exceed capacities american optimism human nature led stumble badly repeatedly 911 large taking ambitious projects bothered budget economically importantly terms resolve postcold war era seen project gentle shepherding active exhausting managementmanagement requires reserves hard power willingness use itbrppthe idea america passive midwife inevitable birth better world continues haunt american responses unraveling postcold war asia liberal world order bias nudges kind dangerous mirroring sober column gideon rachman hrefhttpsonftcom3vmedb2gives voicea kind disbelief dominant western capitals brppa chinese resort force tragedy taiwan mainland china lead mass casualties sides permanent alienation taiwanese mainlanders rupture global economy endanger decades chinese growthbrppin frame provocative trip pelosi bad empowers irrationalism chinese pushing act way obviously bad everyonebrppbut emftem reported days earlier appears chinese seized pelosis announcement prepare military exercises felt like needed order execute successful takeover island nation trip announced april taipei receiving explicit threats beijingbrppthis gave opportunity things consider necessary military training politically impossible says senior taiwanese government official shooting ballistic missile taipei triggered global outcry sanctions seen unprovoked says comparing north koreas launch missile flew japanese territory 2017 getting away itbrppobviously shouldnt chinese easy way things feel case deeper point chinese hellbent achieving goals costs damned calculating careful putins russia determined probably undeterrable threats economic privationbrppdespite heightened tensions russias invasion ukraine 2014 couldnt properly conceive reality putin invade aim complete takeover neighboruntil result responded completely reactive prophylactic way cant admit hot proxy war russia fact costs measured financial abstractions instead fresh body bags countrymen lets comfortably describe effort shore existing order fact figures astronomical makes abstraction military industrial complex remains resolutely peacetime footing hardfighting ukrainians burn military consumables president biden hinted stakes require country steel different worldbrpparguably russia challenge talk necessary ukraine war far won imagine muddle disrupting americans everyday lives reality china wont easily contained asiaand thats pelosis trip underscored memeans kind pose irresponsible time start planning world takes invasion taiwan given brppsince end cold war easy coasting glib assumptions world time seriousp

62f1a5930507a1e3c854119f

The Inflation Reduction Act Won't Meaningfully Address the Budget Deficit

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693502400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693501200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693502400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693501200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altback of a 50 bill srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpg height675 picture div pif the house of representatives follows the senates lead and passes the inflation reduction act it would become the first major piece of legislation to have even a small positive impact on the federal budget deficit since president barack obama was in officep pbut dont go popping those champagne corks just yet deficit hawksp pthe inflation reduction actwhich notably a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220801theinflationreductionactwontactuallyreduceinflationwont reduce inflationa but thats another storya hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsinflationreductionactsenatepassclimatehealthcaretaxbillcleared the senatea on sunday with a 5150 vote vice president kamala harris a hrefhttpsrollcallcom20220807sweepingbudgetpackagepassessenatehouseondeckfridayprovided the tiebreakera the bill includes an a hrefhttpstaxfoundationorginflationreductionactestimated 650 billion corporate tax hikea and directs about 300 billion of that new revenue toward deficit reduction over the next decade a key priority for sen joe manchin dwva who negotiated the package with senate majority leader chuck schumer dnyp pwithin the context of the federal governments wildly outofwhack budget however the promised savings from the inflation reduction act are tiny at bestand thats only if those savings actually materialize which they might notp pstart by comparing the bills promised deficitreduction efforts with how other recent efforts by congress and the biden administration have inflated the budget deficitp pwhen looking at the impact of legislation on the federal deficit projections always take into account the next 10 years of federal spending and expected revenuein other words that 300 billion reduction created by the bill is the expected total amount over the next decade that sounds like a lot of moneyand it isbut it looks a lot smaller when you stack it up against other bills congress has passed in recent years according to the congressional budget office cbo the 10year deficit has a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionliesincreased by about 24 trilliona since president joe biden took office thanks to items like the american rescue plan the bipartisan infrastructure package and this years budget omnibus billp pso rather than looking at the inflation reduction act as a 300 billion reduction of future budget deficits its probably more accurate to describe it as a plan to emactually pay forem about 300 billion of the estimated 24 trillion that congress has agreed to borrow in the past 18 monthsp pin short wed still need seven more bills like the inflation reduction act just to cover the rest of bidens spending bingeand thats before we start trying to pay for the rest of the 6 trillion in borrowing that congress did during the covid19 pandemicp pthe actual math is likely to be even bleaker since a good bit of that 300 billion in deficit reduction is tenuous at best much of it wont arrive for several years according to a hrefhttpswwwcrfborgblogsirasavesalmost2trillionovertwodecadesan analysisa by the committee for a responsible federal budget by then its likely that future runofthemill spending increases or new initiatives like a student loan forgiveness program will have swamped whatever small relief results from this bill if congress decides to permanently extend the expanded obamacare subsidies created during the pandemic for example it will end up costing about half of the supposed savings created by the inflation reduction actp pif you want to see the emreally embig picture stack up the bills supposed savings against the a hrefhttpsmedia4manhattaninstituteorgsitesdefaultfilesbudgetchartbook2021finalpdfreal drivers of the federal budget deficita in the next few decades americas creaky entitlement programs social security is set to run a hrefhttpswwwcrfborgpapersanalysis2021socialsecuritytrusteesreporttextsocial20security20faces20large20andgross20domestic20product20gdpa 24 trillion deficita over the next decade years medicare a hrefhttpswwwcrfborgpapersanalysis2021medicaretrusteesreportwill be 578 billion in the reda over the same periodp pyes 300 billion is a lot of money but in the context of americas fiscal problems its actually not very much money at allp pquotwith or without this bill deficits are going to be a trillion [dollars] per yearquot a hrefhttparjvideodkcomarj_boehmmp3points outa chris edwards an economist at the libertarian cato institute quoteven under the best circumstances this would reduce the deficit by 50 billion per year starting five years from now but wed still be running trilliondollar deficits from all the regular stuff the government doesquotp pthe bills narrow senate passage almost certainly doesnt foreshadow an oncoming rush of fiscal sanity in washington instead its probably better understood as an indication of how a yearplus of runaway inflation has spooked lawmakers and slightly changed the political calculus around budgeting in congressp pquotwe may soon look back on the 20092021 period as the era of freelunch economics when hubristic politicians and economists declared that traditional fiscal and monetary tradeoffs no longer existed in any meaningful formquot a hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgtheeraoffreeluncheconomicsisoverwrotea brian riedl a senior fellow at the conservative manhattan institute and a former senate budget committee staffer in emcity journalem two months ago with annual budget deficits well over 1 trillion for the foreseeable future and inflation spiking as a result of government stimulus riedl writes quotspantspanhe freelunch experiment has collapsedquotp pin that sense the passage of the inflation reduction act probably matters more as a political signal than a fiscal one democrats read the polls realized that americans now say inflation is their top political concern and rebranded their latest major piece of legislation as a response to that problem it doesnt mean the incentives for higher spending and more borrowing are gone but the political barriers to quotfreelunchquot fiscal policy have been raised ever so slightlyp pon one hand the inflation reduction act signals a significant break with the recent bipartisan trend of higher spending funded by more borrowing and higher deficitsp pbut in the context of americas 30 trillion national debt and the expectation of swelling budget deficits in the next few years it is barely even a single step on the road to fiscal responsibilityand theres a long way to gop pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220808theinflationreductionactwontmeaningfullyaddressthebudgetdeficitthe inflation reduction act wont meaningfully address the budget deficita appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693502400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693501200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693502400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_1947693501200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altback 50 bill srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xl_194769350800x450jpg height675 picture div pif house representatives follows senates lead passes inflation reduction act major piece legislation small positive impact federal budget deficit president barack obama officep pbut dont popping champagne corks deficit hawksp pthe inflation reduction actwhich notably hrefhttpsreasoncom20220801theinflationreductionactwontactuallyreduceinflationwont reduce inflationa thats storya hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsinflationreductionactsenatepassclimatehealthcaretaxbillcleared senatea sunday 5150 vote vice president kamala harris hrefhttpsrollcallcom20220807sweepingbudgetpackagepassessenatehouseondeckfridayprovided tiebreakera bill includes hrefhttpstaxfoundationorginflationreductionactestimated 650 billion corporate tax hikea directs 300 billion new revenue deficit reduction decade key priority sen joe manchin dwva negotiated package senate majority leader chuck schumer dnyp pwithin context federal governments wildly outofwhack budget promised savings inflation reduction act tiny bestand thats savings actually materialize notp pstart comparing bills promised deficitreduction efforts recent efforts congress biden administration inflated budget deficitp pwhen looking impact legislation federal deficit projections account 10 years federal spending expected revenuein words 300 billion reduction created bill expected total decade sounds like lot moneyand isbut looks lot smaller stack bills congress passed recent years according congressional budget office cbo 10year deficit hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionliesincreased 24 trilliona president joe biden took office thanks items like american rescue plan bipartisan infrastructure package years budget omnibus billp pso looking inflation reduction act 300 billion reduction future budget deficits probably accurate describe plan emactually pay forem 300 billion estimated 24 trillion congress agreed borrow past 18 monthsp pin short wed need seven bills like inflation reduction act cover rest bidens spending bingeand thats start trying pay rest 6 trillion borrowing congress covid19 pandemicp pthe actual math likely bleaker good bit 300 billion deficit reduction tenuous best wont arrive years according hrefhttpswwwcrfborgblogsirasavesalmost2trillionovertwodecadesan analysisa committee responsible federal budget likely future runofthemill spending increases new initiatives like student loan forgiveness program swamped small relief results bill congress decides permanently extend expanded obamacare subsidies created pandemic example end costing half supposed savings created inflation reduction actp pif want theemreallyembig picture stack bills supposed savings hrefhttpsmedia4manhattaninstituteorgsitesdefaultfilesbudgetchartbook2021finalpdfreal drivers federal budget deficita decades americas creaky entitlement programs social security set run hrefhttpswwwcrfborgpapersanalysis2021socialsecuritytrusteesreporttextsocial20security20faces20large20andgross20domestic20product20gdpa 24 trillion deficita decade years medicare hrefhttpswwwcrfborgpapersanalysis2021medicaretrusteesreportwill 578 billion reda periodp pyes 300 billion lot money context americas fiscal problems actually money allp pquotwith bill deficits going trillion [dollars] yearquot hrefhttparjvideodkcomarj_boehmmp3points outa chris edwards economist libertarian cato institute quoteven best circumstances reduce deficit 50 billion year starting years wed running trilliondollar deficits regular stuff government doesquotp pthe bills narrow senate passage certainly doesnt foreshadow oncoming rush fiscal sanity washington instead probably better understood indication yearplus runaway inflation spooked lawmakers slightly changed political calculus budgeting congressp pquotwe soon look 20092021 period era freelunch economics hubristic politicians economists declared traditional fiscal monetary tradeoffs longer existed meaningful formquot hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgtheeraoffreeluncheconomicsisoverwrotea brian riedl senior fellow conservative manhattan institute senate budget committee staffer emcity journalem months ago annual budget deficits 1 trillion foreseeable future inflation spiking result government stimulus riedl writes quotspantspanhe freelunch experiment collapsedquotp pin sense passage inflation reduction act probably matters political signal fiscal democrats read polls realized americans inflation political concern rebranded latest major piece legislation response problem doesnt mean incentives higher spending borrowing gone political barriers quotfreelunchquot fiscal policy raised slightlyp pon hand inflation reduction act signals significant break recent bipartisan trend higher spending funded borrowing higher deficitsp pbut context americas 30 trillion national debt expectation swelling budget deficits years barely single step road fiscal responsibilityand theres long way gop pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220808theinflationreductionactwontmeaningfullyaddressthebudgetdeficitthe inflation reduction act wont meaningfully address budget deficita appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62f1a68b0507a1e3c85411ac

Well-being average is over? - Marginal REVOLUTION

blockquotepjon clifton the head of gallup which has been tracking wellbeing around the world for many years notes a polarisation in peoples lifeevaluations compared with 15 years ago before the financial crisis smartphones and covid19 twice as many people now say they have the best possible life they could imagine 10 out of 10 however four times as many people now say they are living the worst life they can conceive 0 out of 10 about 75 per cent of people are now in psychological heaven and about the same proportion are in psychological hellpblockquote pthat is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent598c905ec1ab4dbd9d043980b556fec2 target_blankfrom tim harford at the fta  there will be more in a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomblindspotglobalunhappinessleadersdp1595622454refsr_1_1crid2ogbc55udc1xxkeywordsjoncliftonblindspotqid1659921256sprefixjoncliftonblindspot2caps2c997sr81 target_blankcliftons forthcoming book blind spotap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208wellbeingaverageisoverhtmlwellbeing average is overa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepjon clifton head gallup tracking wellbeing world years notes polarisation peoples lifeevaluations compared 15 years ago financial crisis smartphones covid19 twice people best possible life imagine 10 10 times people living worst life conceive 0 10 75 cent people psychological heaven proportion psychological hellpblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent598c905ec1ab4dbd9d043980b556fec2 target_blankfrom tim harford fta relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomblindspotglobalunhappinessleadersdp1595622454refsr_1_1crid2ogbc55udc1xxkeywordsjoncliftonblindspotqid1659921256sprefixjoncliftonblindspot2caps2c997sr81 target_blankcliftons forthcoming book blind spotap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208wellbeingaverageisoverhtmlwellbeing average overa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62f1a6cf0507a1e3c85411b0

James Lindsay on His Lifetime Twitter Ban

h4spanthe new discourses podcast with james lindsay episode 89spanh4 ptwitter finally dropped the hammer and banned james lindsay in this episode of the new discourses podcast james spends half an hour telling the story behind the ban and walking through his initial thoughts and reactions to it join him to begin the process of questioning the very logic of social media and the tyranny it enablesp hr pemfollow james lindsay spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpslinktreeconceptualjames target_blankhttpslinktreeconceptualjamesaspanspanemp pemsubscribe to the new discourses podcast on spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blanka spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan or by spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes of the new discourses podcast are available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208jameslindsayonhislifetimetwitterbanjames lindsay on his lifetime twitter bana appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

h4spanthe new discourses podcast james lindsay episode 89spanh4 ptwitter finally dropped hammer banned james lindsay episode new discourses podcast james spends half hour telling story ban walking initial thoughts reactions join begin process questioning logic social media tyranny enablesp hr pemfollow james lindsay spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpslinktreeconceptualjames target_blankhttpslinktreeconceptualjamesaspanspanemp pemsubscribe new discourses podcast spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankaspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan byspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes new discourses podcast available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208jameslindsayonhislifetimetwitterbanjames lindsay lifetime twitter bana appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

62f2e0956482b82ca46c2e55

Biden’s Bill has Significant Funding for Climate but 10% of What’s Needed – Bob Pollin

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsbidensbillhassignificantfundingforclimatebut10ofwhatsneededbobpollin titlebidens bill has significant funding for climate but 10 of whats needed bob pollinimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneededjpg 1281w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apthe socalled inflation reduction act will have a positive affect on the climate crisis but it does not phase out fossil fuel and is far from whats needed big industrial states like new york and california can and must go much further bob pollin on theanalysisnews with paul jay bidens bill has significant funding for climate but 10 of whats needed bob pollin why give a damn aboutp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsbidensbillhassignificantfundingforclimatebut10ofwhatsneededbobpollinsourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsbidensbillhassignificantfundingforclimatebut10ofwhatsneededbobpollin titlebidens bill significant funding climate 10 whats needed bob pollinimg sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded1024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded1024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneeded768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208bidensbilltenpercentofwhatisneededjpg 1281w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576apthe socalled inflation reduction act positive affect climate crisis phase fossil fuel far whats needed big industrial states like new york california bob pollin theanalysisnews paul jay bidens bill significant funding climate 10 whats needed bob pollin damn aboutp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsbidensbillhassignificantfundingforclimatebut10ofwhatsneededbobpollinsourceap

62f2e0e16482b82ca46c2e65

A better way to think about wage pressures than the Phillips curve

blockquotepmost economists maintain that the labor market in the united states is tight because unemployment rates are low they infer from this that there is potential for wagepush inflation however real wages are falling rapidly at present and prior to that real wages had been stagnant for some time we show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage formation in the usa and hasnt been since the great recession instead we show rates of underemployment the percentage of workers with parttime hours who would prefer more hours and the rate of nonemployment which includes both the unemployed and those out of the labor force who are not working significantly reduce wage pressures in the united states this finding holds in panel data with state and year fixed effects and is supportive of a wage curve which fits the data much better than a phillips curve we find no role for vacancies the vu ratio is negatively not positively associated with wage growth since 2020 the implication is that the reserve army of labor which acts as a brake on wage growth extends beyond the unemployed and operates from within and outside the firmpblockquote pemweem are the reserve army of the unemployed  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw30322fromrss target_blankthe full papera from david g blanchflower alex bryson and jackson spurling  the results also suggest that getting inflation under control will be easy than some alternative accounts might indicate and in that sense this is mild cause for macroeconomic optimism relatively speaking that isp pthese ten veteran exlakers from the 20212022 season however a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwespninnbastory_id34328407the10veteranexlakers202122lookingworkoffseason target_blankare still unemployeda espnp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208abetterwaytothinkaboutwagepressuresthanthephillipscurvehtmla better way to think about wage pressures than the phillips curvea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepmost economists maintain labor market united states tight unemployment rates low infer potential wagepush inflation real wages falling rapidly present prior real wages stagnant time unemployment key understanding wage formation usa hasnt great recession instead rates underemployment percentage workers parttime hours prefer hours rate nonemployment includes unemployed labor force working significantly reduce wage pressures united states finding holds panel data state year fixed effects supportive wage curve fits data better phillips curve find role vacancies vu ratio negatively positively associated wage growth 2020 implication reserve army labor acts brake wage growth extends unemployed operates outside firmpblockquote pemweem reserve army unemployed relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw30322fromrss target_blankthe papera david g blanchflower alex bryson jackson spurling results suggest getting inflation control easy alternative accounts indicate sense mild cause macroeconomic optimism relatively speaking isp pthese veteran exlakers 20212022 season relnoopener hrefhttpswwwespninnbastory_id34328407the10veteranexlakers202122lookingworkoffseason target_blankare unemployeda espnp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208abetterwaytothinkaboutwagepressuresthanthephillipscurvehtmla better way think wage pressures phillips curvea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62f4323818c6feb8d6d75f58

Could the Gender Pay Gap Actually Be A Sign That Women Prioritize Socially Valuable Careers?

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp10000000jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp100000001200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp10000000600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp10000000331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp10000000jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp100000001200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp10000000600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp10000000331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altsilhouette of a woman next to images of dollar bills srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanon monday spanispanthe wall street journalspanispan published aspan a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesgenderpaygapcollege11659968901spanreportspanaspan analyzing data from 17 million college graduates examining how the gender pay gap manifests itself in the first few years of college graduates careers they found that even for graduates with the same major women often earned strikingly less than their male counterparts for example among georgetown accounting majors male graduates earned 55 percent more than female graduates just three years after graduationspanp pspanthe data is quotevidence that pay gaps between men and women often form earlier than is widely perceivedquotspan a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesgenderpaygapcollege11659968901spansaysspanaspan the emjournalem adding that quoteconomists who have long examined pay gaps between men and women cite the socalled motherhood penaltyreferring to the perception that mothers are less committed to their jobsand say this affects hiring promotions and salaries determining why those gaps appear earlier isnt simplequotspanp pspanhowever is this picture as dire as it seems among several explanations the emjournalem gives including internalized sexism and outright discrimination is worker preference spanp pspantake for example the university of michigan school of law where the median male graduate outearns the median female graduate by 45000 spanspanquotspanspanthe school said that in the classes of 2015 and 2016 237 men took jobs at law firms while 158 women did fourteen men headed into publicinterest jobs whereas three times as many women did the classes those years had slightly more men than womenquot women appear more likely to prefer notoriously lowpaying publicinterest law over a grueling job at a law firm as one woman law grad now a public defender told the emjournalem quotwith corporate law i could make all the money in the world but id rather get some kind of fulfillment from my jobquotspanp pspanwhile sexist discrimination is difficult to disprove there is evidence that women earn less because they prefer personally fulfilling work over highlypaid work rather than viewing womens reticence to take on higher paying jobs that provide relatively low value to society as a symptom of rampant sexism we should celebrate womens freedom to choose what career path they want if women prefer work that contributes to society or gives ample worklife balance then a quotpay gapquot should be little cause for alarmspanp pspanquotoften this whole discussion starts from kind of a sexist premise that we should focus on something where men seem to be outperforming women so we focus on something that has high value among malesquot hadley heath manning the vice president for policy at the independent womens forum tells spanispanreasonspanispan quotmen seem to prioritize wages above almost anything in their job search or in their career preparation and so we focus on that factor and we compare women to men and we say you dont measure upquotspanp pspanthere may be a quotpay gapquot but one could easily argue there is also a quotsocial value gapquot with women being more likely to gravitate towards nonprofit and public service workspanp pspanquotwe should encourage workplace flexibility we should encourage employers to offer telework and so forth but they wont do that if the goal is to make men and women workers into widgets who all do exactly the same job for exactly the same number of hoursquot says heath manningspanp pspanit is fair to examine spanispanwhy spanispanmany of the jobs women prefer are paid less than the jobs men prefer though much of this difference is selfexplanatory working 40 hours a week at a nonprofit will not and cannot pay as much as working 80 hours at a consulting firm however other phenomena such as thespan a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20160320upshotaswomentakeoveramaledominatedfieldthepaydropshtmlspandeclinespanaspan in salaries as a field becomes femaledominated are worth critically examining howeverspanspan treating any pay gap as evidence of discrimination ignores the desirability of tradeoffs and choice assuming all types of jobs are available to all types of equally qualified workers it is good that the workers can choose between various combinations of labor hours monetary compensation flexibility and personal enrichment spanp pspanquotwe have to be careful the message that were sending to women particularly young women about the expectations they should have in the workplacequot says heath manning quotmy fear when we dont carefully handle the wage gap discussion and put it in the right context is that women will perceive that this is normal that discrimination is normal and that being treated less than is something they should just acceptquotspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220810couldthegenderpaygapactuallybeasignthatwomenprioritizesociallyvaluablecareerscould the gender pay gap actually be a sign that women prioritize socially valuable careersa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp10000000jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp100000001200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp10000000600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp10000000331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp10000000jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp100000001200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp10000000600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp10000000331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altsilhouette woman images dollar bills srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp10000000800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanon monday spanispanthe wall street journalspanispan published aspana hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesgenderpaygapcollege11659968901spanreportspanaspan analyzing data 17 million college graduates examining gender pay gap manifests years college graduates careers found graduates major women earned strikingly male counterparts example georgetown accounting majors male graduates earned 55 percent female graduates years graduationspanp pspanthe data quotevidence pay gaps men women form earlier widely perceivedquotspan hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesgenderpaygapcollege11659968901spansaysspanaspan emjournalem adding quoteconomists long examined pay gaps men women cite socalled motherhood penaltyreferring perception mothers committed jobsand affects hiring promotions salaries determining gaps appear earlier isnt simplequotspanp pspanhowever picture dire explanations emjournalem gives including internalized sexism outright discrimination worker preference spanp pspantake example university michigan school law median male graduate outearns median female graduate 45000 spanspanquotspanspanthe school said classes 2015 2016 237 men took jobs law firms 158 women fourteen men headed publicinterest jobs times women classes years slightly men womenquot women appear likely prefer notoriously lowpaying publicinterest law grueling job law firm woman law grad public defender told emjournalem quotwith corporate law money world id kind fulfillment jobquotspanp pspanwhile sexist discrimination difficult disprove evidence women earn prefer personally fulfilling work highlypaid work viewing womens reticence higher paying jobs provide relatively low value society symptom rampant sexism celebrate womens freedom choose career path want women prefer work contributes society gives ample worklife balance quotpay gapquot little cause alarmspanp pspanquotoften discussion starts kind sexist premise focus men outperforming women focus high value malesquot hadley heath manning vice president policy independent womens forum tells spanispanreasonspanispan quotmen prioritize wages job search career preparation focus factor compare women men dont measure upquotspanp pspanthere quotpay gapquot easily argue quotsocial value gapquot women likely gravitate nonprofit public service workspanp pspanquotwe encourage workplace flexibility encourage employers offer telework forth wont goal men women workers widgets exactly job exactly number hoursquot says heath manningspanp pspanit fair examine spanispanwhy spanispanmany jobs women prefer paid jobs men prefer difference selfexplanatory working 40 hours week nonprofit pay working 80 hours consulting firm phenomena thespan hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20160320upshotaswomentakeoveramaledominatedfieldthepaydropshtmlspandeclinespanaspan salaries field femaledominated worth critically examining howeverspanspan treating pay gap evidence discrimination ignores desirability tradeoffs choice assuming types jobs available types equally qualified workers good workers choose combinations labor hours monetary compensation flexibility personal enrichmentspanp pspanquotwe careful message sending women particularly young women expectations workplacequot says heath manning quotmy fear dont carefully handle wage gap discussion right context women perceive normal discrimination normal treated acceptquotspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220810couldthegenderpaygapactuallybeasignthatwomenprioritizesociallyvaluablecareerscould gender pay gap actually sign women prioritize socially valuable careersa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62f4325f18c6feb8d6d75f60

Will travelers bifurcate into “challenge” and “comfort”?

pthat is the theme of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220809thefutureoftravelpeoplewanttogotofamiliarplacesutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittercmpid3dsocialflowtwitterviewutm_contentviewsrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one excerptp blockquote pwhen people are forced to adjust as happened during peak pandemic times they learn new things what many americans and westerners have learned is that they enjoy comfort travel as much if not more than challenge travel a lot of the new habits are going to stick especially with group travel the preferences of comfort travelers will tend to win out in choosing a destinationp pone slightly sorry truth is that many people do not very much enjoy challenge travel which can be stressful and almost like work when the social and group pressures to do it are removed or lessened challenge travel is likely to decline although the hardcore challenge travelers will remain and perhaps even expand their ambitionsp pthe future for challenge travel then may be that it becomes both less popular and more intense in this sense it may harken back to an earlier era of travel where risk and difficulty were ever present and surprises were frequentp blockquote pi am posting this from ahmedabad and headed next to udaipurp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208willtravelersbifurcateintochallengeandcomforthtmlwill travelers bifurcate into challenge and comforta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat theme relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20220809thefutureoftravelpeoplewanttogotofamiliarplacesutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittercmpid3dsocialflowtwitterviewutm_contentviewsrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna excerptp blockquote pwhen people forced adjust happened peak pandemic times learn new things americans westerners learned enjoy comfort travel challenge travel lot new habits going stick especially group travel preferences comfort travelers tend win choosing destinationp pone slightly sorry truth people enjoy challenge travel stressful like work social group pressures removed lessened challenge travel likely decline hardcore challenge travelers remain expand ambitionsp pthe future challenge travel popular intense sense harken earlier era travel risk difficulty present surprises frequentp blockquote pi posting ahmedabad headed udaipurp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208willtravelersbifurcateintochallengeandcomforthtmlwill travelers bifurcate challenge comforta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62f4329018c6feb8d6d75f66

Michigan GOP Attorney General Candidate Under Investigation by His Opponent for 2020 Voting Machine Scheme

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955722400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955721200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955722400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955721200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altmichigan ag dana nessel at a press conference she is wearing a brown jacket srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanthe presumptive republican nominee for michigan attorney general matthew deperno is under investigation for meddling with voting equipment after the 2020 election in search of evidence of election fraud according to a spana hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22128224michiganpetitionforappointmentofspecialprosecutorspanpetitionspanaspan for a special prosecutor filed on august 5 by current michigan attorney general dana nessel deperno and two other people including state rep daire rendon rlake cityspanbbspan allegedly quotorchestrated a coordinated plan to gain access to voting tabulatorsquot in several michigan counties once they obtained the machines the trio performed quottestsquot on them including running fake ballots through the machinesspanp pspandeperno claims that there was antitrump voter fraud in michigan during the 2020 election he filed a lawsuit on behalf of a michigan resident alleging sweeping voter fraud in the presidential election in april a michigan appeals courtspan a hrefhttpswwwfreepcomstorynewspolitics20220421antrimcountyelectionconspiracymatthewdepernomichiganappealscourt7397005001spandismissedspanaspan depernos lawsuit deperno has spana hrefhttpswwwdepernoformicomissuesspansaidspana spanthat quotwhen i am elected i will keep my word to prosecute the people who corrupted the 2020 election and allowed fraud to permeate the entire election systemquot spanp pspanaccording to nesselsspan a hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22128224michiganpetitionforappointmentofspecialprosecutorspanpetitionspana spanto the pspanspanrosecuting attorneys coordinating councilspanspan seeking the appointment of a special prosecutor for the case deperno and others took the machines they acquired to hotel rooms and airbnb locations where several people quotbroke into the tabulators and performed tests on the equipmentquot nessels office claims that deperno was present for at least one of these quottestingquot sessionsspanp pspannessel has requested a special prosecutor in the case because she and deperno will face each other in novembers general election nessel insistsspanspan that the investigation which has been conducted by her office and the michigan state police is not politically motivated quotwhen this investigation began there was not a conflict of interestquot wrote nessels office in the petition quothowever during the course of the investigation facts were developed that deperno was one of the prime instigators of the conspiracyquotspanp pspanin response to the petition depernos campaignspan a hrefhttpstwittercomdeperno4mistatus1556472100843667456s20tjpt2u5zowwv4ez5vymq42aspantweetedspanaspan a statement on august 7 claiming that quotthe petition itself is entirely an incoherent liberal fever dream of liesquot spanp pspanmany republican spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20210203marjorietaylorgreenepresentsrepublicanswithasadlyfamiliarchoicebetweenblindloyaltytotrumpandabasicrespectforrealityspanpoliticiansspanaspan seem committed to a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210713afederaljudgeconsideringsanctionsagainstprotrumplawyerssaystheymadefantasticalelectionfraudclaimswithoutevenminimalvettingadvancinga thespanspan conspiracy theory that president joe biden won the 2020 general election only because of voter fraud whether deeply or opportunistically held this idea allegedly led deperno to engage in illegal activity despite the fact that american elections a hrefhttpswwwbrennancenterorgourworkresearchreportsitsofficialelectionwassecureare very securea spanp p p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220810michigangopattorneygeneralcandidateunderinvestigationbyhisopponentfor2020votingmachineschememichigan gop attorney general candidate under investigation by his opponent for 2020 voting machine schemea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955722400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955721200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955722400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208krtphotoslive8955721200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altmichigan ag dana nessel press conference wearing brown jacket srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208krtphotoslive895572800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanthe presumptive republican nominee michigan attorney general matthew deperno investigation meddling voting equipment 2020 election search evidence election fraud according spana hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22128224michiganpetitionforappointmentofspecialprosecutorspanpetitionspanaspan special prosecutor filed august 5 current michigan attorney general dana nessel deperno people including state rep daire rendon rlake cityspanbbspan allegedly quotorchestrated coordinated plan gain access voting tabulatorsquot michigan counties obtained machines trio performed quottestsquot including running fake ballots machinesspanp pspandeperno claims antitrump voter fraud michigan 2020 election filed lawsuit behalf michigan resident alleging sweeping voter fraud presidential election april michigan appeals courtspan hrefhttpswwwfreepcomstorynewspolitics20220421antrimcountyelectionconspiracymatthewdepernomichiganappealscourt7397005001spandismissedspanaspan depernos lawsuit deperno spana hrefhttpswwwdepernoformicomissuesspansaidspana spanthat quotwhen elected word prosecute people corrupted 2020 election allowed fraud permeate entire election systemquotspanp pspanaccording nesselsspana hrefhttpswwwdocumentcloudorgdocuments22128224michiganpetitionforappointmentofspecialprosecutorspanpetitionspana spanto pspanspanrosecuting attorneys coordinating councilspanspan seeking appointment special prosecutor case deperno took machines acquired hotel rooms airbnb locations people quotbroke tabulators performed tests equipmentquot nessels office claims deperno present quottestingquot sessionsspanp pspannessel requested special prosecutor case deperno face novembers general election nessel insistsspanspan investigation conducted office michigan state police politically motivated quotwhen investigation began conflict interestquot wrote nessels office petition quothowever course investigation facts developed deperno prime instigators conspiracyquotspanp pspanin response petition depernos campaignspan hrefhttpstwittercomdeperno4mistatus1556472100843667456s20tjpt2u5zowwv4ez5vymq42aspantweetedspanaspan statement august 7 claiming quotthe petition entirely incoherent liberal fever dream liesquotspanp pspanmany republican spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20210203marjorietaylorgreenepresentsrepublicanswithasadlyfamiliarchoicebetweenblindloyaltytotrumpandabasicrespectforrealityspanpoliticiansspanaspan committed hrefhttpsreasoncom20210713afederaljudgeconsideringsanctionsagainstprotrumplawyerssaystheymadefantasticalelectionfraudclaimswithoutevenminimalvettingadvancinga thespanspan conspiracy theory president joe biden won 2020 general election voter fraud deeply opportunistically held idea allegedly led deperno engage illegal activity despite fact american elections hrefhttpswwwbrennancenterorgourworkresearchreportsitsofficialelectionwassecureare secureaspanp pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220810michigangopattorneygeneralcandidateunderinvestigationbyhisopponentfor2020votingmachineschememichigan gop attorney general candidate investigation opponent 2020 voting machine schemea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62f5835bc3c23a001e1df7c1

CDC No Longer Recommends Social Distancing, Masks in Schools Unless Spread Is High

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altcdc no longer recommends social distancing srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpg height675 picture div pin a major acknowledgment that most people have some form of protection from severe covid19 diseaseeither from vaccines or prior infectionthe centers for disease control and prevention cdc no longer recommend social distancing as a general strategy to slow the spread of the virusp pa hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmmwrvolumes71wrmm7133e1htms_cidmm7133e1_wutm_contentutm_mediumemailutm_nameutm_sourcegovdeliveryutm_termnew guidelinesa from the cdc also state that masks are only warranted in schools if the level of community spread is quothighquot when the spread is at a quotmediumquot level highrisk individuals should wear masks when the spread is at a quotlowquot level masks are not recommendedp pquotat all covid19 community levels low medium and high recommendations emphasize staying up to date with vaccination improving ventilation testing persons who are symptomatic and those who have been exposed and isolating infected personsquot according to the cdcp pthe new guidelines also remove the need for individuals merely emexposed emto covid19 to isolate until they can produce a negative test individuals who test positive for covid19 should continue to isolate for five days howeverp pif anyone was still waiting for official permission from the nations top health officials to resume life as normal it is here by signaling that the universal maskingandsocialdistancing phase of the pandemic is now over the cdc has conceded that the us covid19 prevention strategy should now revolve around protecting those who are at heightened riskp pand perhaps most importantly schools in areas of the country where community spread is low or medium do not need to require general mask wearingp pquotthis latest guidance from the cdc should give our students parents and educators the confidence they need to head back to school this year with a sense of joy and optimismquot said education secretary miguel cardona in a statementp pwashington dc school officials take note the level of community spread in the nations capital is currently a hrefhttpscoronavirusdcgovkeymetricsemlowemap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220811cdcguidancecovidsocialdistancingmasksguidelinesschoolscdc no longer recommends social distancing masks in schools unless spread is higha appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altcdc longer recommends social distancing srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208cdcguidelinescovidnew800x450jpg height675 picture div pin major acknowledgment people form protection severe covid19 diseaseeither vaccines prior infectionthe centers disease control prevention cdc longer recommend social distancing general strategy slow spread virusp pa hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmmwrvolumes71wrmm7133e1htms_cidmm7133e1_wutm_contentutm_mediumemailutm_nameutm_sourcegovdeliveryutm_termnew guidelinesa cdc state masks warranted schools level community spread quothighquot spread quotmediumquot level highrisk individuals wear masks spread quotlowquot level masks recommendedp pquotat covid19 community levels low medium high recommendations emphasize staying date vaccination improving ventilation testing persons symptomatic exposed isolating infected personsquot according cdcp pthe new guidelines remove need individuals merelyemexposedemto covid19 isolate produce negative test individuals test positive covid19 continue isolate days howeverp pif waiting official permission nations health officials resume life normal signaling universal maskingandsocialdistancing phase pandemic cdc conceded covid19 prevention strategy revolve protecting heightened riskp pand importantly schools areas country community spread low medium need require general mask wearingp pquotthis latest guidance cdc students parents educators confidence need head school year sense joy optimismquot said education secretary miguel cardona statementp pwashington dc school officials note level community spread nations capital currently hrefhttpscoronavirusdcgovkeymetricsemlowemap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220811cdcguidancecovidsocialdistancingmasksguidelinesschoolscdc longer recommends social distancing masks schools spread higha appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62f584a1c3c23a001e1df7f3

Can Amazon remake health care?

pat a time when health care providers have gone all in on telemedicine amazon the worlds biggest online retailer surprised wall street in late july when it a hrefhttpspressaboutamazoncomnewsreleasesnewsreleasedetailsamazonandonemedicalsignagreementamazonacquireonemedicalannounceda it would acquire 1life healthcare inc which runs the subscriptionbased one medical primarycare service for 39 billion investors and market watchers noted amazons lessthanstellar forays into health care while privacy advocates raised concerns about amazons access to patient medical data still others have voiced hopes amazon will bring muchneeded efficiencies and improved customer experience to health care as it has to retail shoppingp pa hrefhttpswwwhbsedufacultypagesprofileaspxfacid868461amitabh chandraa is the henry and allison mccance professor of business administration and faculty chair of the msmba program in life sciences at a hrefhttpswwwhbsedupagesdefaultaspxharvard business schoola he is also ethel zimmerman wiener professor of public policy and director of health policy research at a hrefhttpswwwhksharvardeduharvard kennedy schoola chandra spoke to the gazette about amazons latest gamble and what it may mean for consumersp h2qampah2 h3amitabh chandrah3 pspangazette  spangiven the size of its investment what could amazons recent acquisition of one medical mean for the health care industryp pspanchandraspan amazon is an enormous company i think were all excited because its amazon but the reality is that its a 4 billion expense for a company that has 160 billion dollars of current assets on its balance sheet that they can deploy to buy another company so this is actually a very small acquisition for amazon very very smallp pthis aside the idea behind the business model of one medical is twofold to make health care easier to access and through prevention and better primary care management to avert downstream spending these are laudable goals but one medical certainly has not figured out how to save money theyve been hemorrhaging money and they have extremely low margins in part because most of health care spending is on sick patients and cant be easily reduced amazon has bought into one medicals aspiration which again is wonderful if they succeed but from the perspective of an amazon shareholder or the hardnosed evidence to date it is probably going to cause that shareholder to lose the money that one medical shareholders were losingp aside divshopping for health care is nothing like shopping for the other items that amazon might be selling div divdiv aside pspangazette spanwhy do you think amazon decided to plunge further into health care an area they havent had a lot of success inp pspanchandraspan when amazon looks at health care they probably see two opportunities where they could add a lot of value first the supply chain in health care is a mess there are so many intermediaries selling to other people and amazon has done extremely well by streamlining the supply chain so they must be thinking that the current insurers and other payers cant improve the supply chain relative to what they canp pthe second area where amazon may think it can help is on price transparency prices are often opaque in health care nobody really knows the price of anything but its a leap to think that by making the prices more transparent we can save money in health care there have been countless experiments around price transparency in health care where patients have been given information on prices and theres no evidence they use that information at the time they need their health care shopping for health care is nothing like shopping for the other items that amazon might be selling and these kinds of ideas involving more consumerism in health care have not worked and its not like other companies have not triedp pmore generally amazon has been interested in health care for over 20 years but their performance is somewhere between a c and c theyve been trying to run amazon care just before the pandemic to offer health care to its employees the take up of that has been poor before the pandemic they bought pillpack for something like 800 million its not clear that pillpack has been able to displace any of the large pharmacies they had a disaster in 2018 when they launched haven along with jpmorgan chase and berkshire hathaway which was a naive effort to reform health care haven folded in 2021 and in the late 1990s they tried to buy drugstorecom so theyve been interested in health care for a very long time but unsuccessful health care is hard and general lessons from outside health care dont always apply to health carep pspangazette spanwhat does amazons entry into primary care mean potentially for consumer access to health care amazon is a trusted wellknown brand so the company could easily attract more customers but it also has a reputation for crowding out competitors once they get a foothold in a marketplace which could potentially lead to limited choice and less access for consumersp pspanchandraspan im not that worried about them crowding out competitors just yet maybe theyll do that if theyre incredibly successful but my point is theyre not going to be incredibly successful but if they are then thats a conversation that the regulators need to be aware ofp pin the short run my great worry is patient privacy theyre going to get something like 10 or 15 years of patient data from one medical what are they going to use that for how are they going to use it what safeguards will patients in this new amazonone medical health care have on how their data will be used i would like regulators to think about and wrestle with that issuep pthe other worry for regulators is that amazon may bungle one medical because it doesnt know how to run a health care business which is not only a logistics business there isnt much that one can do about this but it would be sad if one medical would have been more successful if owned by say united or cvs or walgreens or humana than if owned by amazonp aside divamazon is good at selling other peoples products but i dont see it as a pharmaceutical company that might cure diseasediv divdiv aside pspangazette spanamazon is highly customerdriven and known for finding ways to streamline its operations to provide greater efficiencies and save the company money that can result in faster more convenient service for customers getting medical care is anything but convenient or efficient how might amazon make the customer experience more important in the business of delivering servicesp pspanchandraspan i like the fact that amazon might be able to improve the customer experience in health care because people are clearly frustrated by that but despite the general frustration improving the patient experience is not going to save money on health care improving the experience makes it easier to access health care and that increases spending second most of the spending in health care happens at the end of life or on very sick patients so improving the efficiency of primary care scheduling or vaccine appointments or something like that thats not going to be a very big market other companies like teladoc health have captured much more of the patient experience market than one medical has theres already a bunch of other wellestablished public companies that have figured out that what you dont want is a brickandmortar facility what you want is more of a virtual relationship with your doctor and so if thats really the future then buying a bunch of brickandmortar facilities at a 77 percent premium was exactly the wrong answerp pspangazette spanhas the publics newfound acceptance of telehealth shifted the way providers view delivery of servicep pspanchandraspan wed already started to see a move toward telehealth before the pandemic two and a half years of covid accelerated that movement and its here to stay but to be clear these telehealth visits improve the patient experience they dont save money in general first its easier for patients to schedule a visit so more visits get scheduled and second almost all of the spending in health care is on very sick patients thats not where the one medical model acts and thats not where the telehealth model is so telehealth doesnt become a way to bend the cost curve as much as a way to make health care easier to accessp ptheres this aspiration in health care that if we only got people more primary care and took care of things earlier we would be spending less on most of their conditions thats certainly possible but weve never figured out how to deliver this aspiration in a systematic manner the aspiration might even be possible like putting a human on mars but thats quite different than thinking that we know how to land a human on mars the sobering reality of health care is that terrible things alzheimers or cancer or an accident can happen to anyone including very healthy people and thats the bulk of health care spending the reason that health insurance is expensive is not the lack of primary care its all the other expensive stuff that we need when were really sick and amazon is no expert in managing any of thatp pspangazette spanit seems that amazon has a shot at improving the business of health care but is that the same as really fundamentally changing the fieldp pspanchandraspan if you ask me what the biggest challenges in american health care are today i would say that us health care is really expensive and that we desperately need more meaningful innovation for a whole host of diseases diabetes cardiovascular disease parkinsons alzheimers and als we want cures not chronic disease managementp phow does amazons foray into health care help with either simply because amazon might be able to introduce supplychain disruptions that increase its profit margin does not mean that patients will benefit from amazons greater profitability amazon might continue to charge the high prices but pocket the savingsp pits also not clear how amazon will lower deductibles copayments and coinsurance but we need to do these [things] because we know patients respond to these financial barriers by cutting back on valuable care amazons not going to fix that problemp pamazon is good at selling other peoples products but i dont see it as a pharmaceutical company that might cure diseasep palso amazon also paid 77 percent more than the market value of one medical cvs looked at one medical and passed on acquiring it cvs is a lot more knowledgeable about health care including the supply chain than amazon is so what does amazon see in one medical that cvs does notp

pat time health care providers gone telemedicine amazon worlds biggest online retailer surprised wall street late july ita hrefhttpspressaboutamazoncomnewsreleasesnewsreleasedetailsamazonandonemedicalsignagreementamazonacquireonemedicalannouncedait acquire 1life healthcare inc runs subscriptionbased medical primarycare service 39 billion investors market watchers noted amazons lessthanstellar forays health care privacy advocates raised concerns amazons access patient medical data voiced hopes amazon bring muchneeded efficiencies improved customer experience health care retail shoppingp pa hrefhttpswwwhbsedufacultypagesprofileaspxfacid868461amitabh chandraais henry allison mccance professor business administration faculty chair msmba program life sciences ata hrefhttpswwwhbsedupagesdefaultaspxharvard business schoola ethel zimmerman wiener professor public policy director health policy research ata hrefhttpswwwhksharvardeduharvard kennedy schoola chandra spoke gazette amazons latest gamble mean consumersp h2qampah2 h3amitabh chandrah3 pspangazette spangiven size investment amazons recent acquisition medical mean health care industryp pspanchandraspanamazon enormous company think excited amazon reality 4 billion expense company 160 billion dollars current assets balance sheet deploy buy company actually small acquisition amazon smallp pthis aside idea business model medical twofold health care easier access prevention better primary care management avert downstream spending laudable goals medical certainly figured save money theyve hemorrhaging money extremely low margins health care spending sick patients cant easily reduced amazon bought medicals aspiration wonderful succeed perspective amazon shareholder hardnosed evidence date probably going cause shareholder lose money medical shareholders losingp aside divshopping health care like shopping items amazon selling div divdiv aside pspangazettespanwhy think amazon decided plunge health care area havent lot success inp pspanchandraspanwhen amazon looks health care probably opportunities add lot value supply chain health care mess intermediaries selling people amazon extremely streamlining supply chain thinking current insurers payers cant improve supply chain relative canp pthe second area amazon think help price transparency prices opaque health care knows price leap think making prices transparent save money health care countless experiments price transparency health care patients given information prices theres evidence use information time need health care shopping health care like shopping items amazon sellingand kinds ideas involving consumerism health care worked like companies triedp pmore generally amazon interested health care 20 years performance c c theyve trying run amazon care pandemic offer health care employees poor pandemic bought pillpack like 800 million clear pillpack able displace large pharmacies disaster 2018 launched haven jpmorgan chase berkshire hathaway naive effort reform health care haven folded 2021 late 1990s tried buy drugstorecom theyve interested health care long time unsuccessful health care hard general lessons outside health care dont apply health carep pspangazettespanwhat amazons entry primary care mean potentially consumer access health care amazon trusted wellknown brand company easily attract customers reputation crowding competitors foothold marketplace potentially lead limited choice access consumersp pspanchandraspanim worried crowding competitors maybe theyll theyre incredibly successful point theyre going incredibly successful thats conversation regulators need aware ofp pin short run great worry patient privacy theyre going like 10 15 years patient data medicalwhat going use going use safeguards patients new amazonone medical health care data like regulators think wrestle issuep pthe worry regulators amazon bungle medical doesnt know run health care business logistics business isnt sad medical successful owned united cvs walgreens humana owned amazonp aside divamazon good selling peoples products dont pharmaceutical company cure diseasediv divdiv aside pspangazettespanamazon highly customerdriven known finding ways streamline operations provide greater efficiencies save company money result faster convenient service customers getting medical care convenient efficient amazon customer experience important business delivering servicesp pspanchandraspani like fact amazon able improve customer experience health care people clearly frustrated despite general frustration improving patient experience going save money health care improving experience makes easier access health care increases spending second spending health care happens end life sick patients improving efficiency primary care scheduling vaccine appointments like thats going big market companies like teladoc health captured patient experience market medical theres bunch wellestablished public companies figured dont want brickandmortar facility want virtual relationship doctor thats future buying bunch brickandmortar facilities 77 percent premium exactly wrong answerp pspangazettespanhas publics newfound acceptance telehealth shifted way providers view delivery servicep pspanchandraspanwed started telehealth pandemic half years covid accelerated movement stay clear telehealth visits improve patient experience dont save money general easier patients schedule visit visits scheduled second spending health care sick patients thats medical model acts thats telehealth model telehealth doesnt way bend cost curve way health care easier accessp ptheres aspiration health care got people primary care took care things earlier spending conditions thats certainly possible weve figured deliver aspiration systematic manner aspiration possible like putting human mars thats different thinking know land human mars sobering reality health care terrible things alzheimers cancer accident happen including healthy people thats bulk health care spending reason health insurance expensive lack primary care expensive stuff need sick amazon expert managing thatp pspangazettespanit amazon shot improving business health care fundamentally changing fieldp pspanchandraspanif ask biggest challenges american health care today health care expensive desperately need meaningful innovation host diseases diabetes cardiovascular disease parkinsons alzheimers als want cures chronic disease managementp phow amazons foray health care help simply amazon able introduce supplychain disruptions increase profit margin mean patients benefit amazons greater profitability amazon continue charge high prices pocket savingsp pits clear amazon lower deductibles copayments coinsurance need [things] know patients respond financial barriers cutting valuable care amazons going fix problemp pamazon good selling peoples products dont pharmaceutical company cure diseasep palso amazon paid 77 percent market value medical cvs looked medical passed acquiring cvs lot knowledgeable health care including supply chain amazon amazon medical cvs notp

62f978394f58700688ea421b

Rushdie’s Moral Heroism

img altrushdies moral heroism srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202208rushdie1pngpthirtythree years ago irans supreme leader ayatollah ruhollah khomeini issued a religious decree suborning the murder of author salman rushdie for writing ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsatanicversessalmanrushdiedp0963270702the satanic versesaem a work of magical realism partly inspired by the life of the prophet muhammad a multimillion dollar a hrefhttpswwwrferlorgairanfoundationbountyrushdiefatwa24710022htmlbountya was offered by the 15 khordad foundation a revolutionary organization supervised by the supreme leader to whoever carried out the sentence of death ppwhen attempts to appease the regime with an apology were spurned rushdie retreated into hiding and was forced to spend the second half of his adult life under threat of assassination as part of an attempt to restore diplomatic relations with britain in 1998 the iranian government of mohammad khatami indicated that it would no longer support rushdies murder three years later khatami a hrefhttpswwwirishtimescomnewsiranskhatamisaysrushdiecaseisclosed1385911declared the mattera closed ppirans religious leaders however are a good deal less interested in the requirements of international diplomacy and have been remarkably forthright in saying so to anyone who cared to listen khomeinis successor ayatollah ali khamenei has repeatedly stated that the fatwa will notindeed emcannotembe lifted even if rushdie a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom19901227booksnoiranianforgivenessforsalmanrushdiehtmlrepents and becomes the most pious muslim on eartha just three years ago the supreme leaders twitter account was briefly locked after it posted the following tweetpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202208fzrqavwiaewsnejpg altrushdies moral heroism width1200 height710figurepalthough important details are yet to emerge pronouncements of this type almost certainly help explain why a 24yearold man named hadi matar attacked rushdie at a literary festival in chautauqua ny on friday august 12th matar rushed the stage upon which rushdie was seated and stabbed the writer repeatedly in the neck and abdomen until the attacker was physically restrained by attendees a grim irony rushdie was reportedly waiting to deliver a lecture in which he would describe the united states as a safe haven for exiled writers and artists pprushdies attacker has been taken into custody and charged with a hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworlduscanada62536592attempted murdera but his victim sustained serious injuries during the frenzied assault later that same evening rushdies agent andrew wylie delivered the a hrefhttpswwwnytimescomlive20220812nyregionsalmanrushdiestabbednewyorksalmanrushdieattackeddistressing newsa that salman will likely lose one eye the nerves in his arm were severed and his liver was stabbed and damaged ppemthe satanic verses emwas published in 1988 the following year it was banned in india and copies were burned during street protests in bradford uk an american cultural centre in islamabad was attacked after the books publication in the united states khomeinis fatwa a hrefhttpnewsbbccoukonthisdayhidatesstoriesfebruary14newsid_25410002541149stmwas broadcasta on iranian radio on february 14th 1989pblockquotewe are from allah and to allah we shall return i am informing all brave muslims of the world that the author of emthe satanic versesem a text written edited and published against islam the prophet of islam and the quran along with all the editors and publishers aware of its contents are condemned to death i call on all valiant muslims wherever they may be in the world to kill them without delay so that no one will dare insult the sacred beliefs of muslims henceforth and whoever is killed in this cause will be a martyr allah willing meanwhile if someone has access to the author of the book but is incapable of carrying out the execution he should inform the people so that [rushdie] is punished for his actionsblockquotepa wave of bloodshed ensued rushdies japanese translator was murdered his italian translator was stabbed and 37 people perished in a fire targeting the books turkish translator while the violence and threat level appeared to abate with the passage of time allowing rushdie to emerge from hiding and reengage with public life his growing sense of security proved to be illusory indeed the intervening years taught the most alarming lesson of allthat noone marked for death can ever afford to lower their guard or return to what rushdie called a normal lifepprushdie is not the only person iran has sought to terrorize and the murderous fanaticism of its leaders remains in evidence even as it seeks to renegotiate an agreement with the west regarding its nuclear program american law enforcement officials have recently uncovered assassination plots by operatives associated with the iranian regime against donald trumps former national security advisor a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220810uspoliticsiranianjohnboltonassassinationchargeshtmljohn boltona a hrefhttpsnypostcom20220731nypdarrestmanwithak47outsideofiranianjournalistmasihalinejadsnychomedissident iranian journalist masih alinejada and iranianamerican poet and a hrefhttpsquillettecom20200711whyisignedtheharpersletteremquilletteem contributora roya hakakian writing in a hrefhttpswwwnybookscomdaily20210822iranskillersinourmidstemthe new york review of booksemaem ema year ago hakakian relayed the story of her 13yearold child opening the door to fbi agents who then informed hakakian that iranian operatives were concocting a plan to kill herppin a hrefhttpsquillettecom20220527royahakakianandhowtospeakaboutwhatnoonewantstoheara timely essaya for emquillette empublishedem emin mayem empaul berman observedpblockquoteroya hakakian and masih alinejad happen to be friends as hakakian noted in the emnew york reviewem and the combined threats against them suggest a broader policy of violence and intimidation on the part of the islamic republic and its operatives in the united statesbrbrthis is a policy aimed not just at a couple of inconveniently articulate emigrs but at the larger circles of the iranian emigration in america and everywhere else whose members are bound to pause an additional thoughtful moment before piping up in public about life and oppression back home in faraway iran the policy is a display of power it terrorizes it succeeds at doing this even if any given plot is foiled or is suspended or is merely intimatedblockquotefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20220527royahakakianandhowtospeakaboutwhatnoonewantstoheardivdivroya hakakian and how to speak about what no one wants to heardivdivi roya hakakian is an american writer from iran who commands a distinctive ability to speak about large and horrific events in a chipper tone that appears to underplay the horrific quality and by apparently underplaying ends up subtly underlining it is an artful tone it is cagey charming disadivdivimg altrushdies moral heroism srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanpaul bermanspandivdivdivimg altrushdies moral heroism srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202204royapngdivafigurepwe do not yet know the nature of the relationshipif anybetween the iranian government and rushdies attacker a hrefhttpsnypostcom20220812njmanmatarhadiwithsympathiestowardiranarrestedinstabbingofsalmanrushdieearly news reportsa indicate that matar has made socialmedia posts in support of iran and its revolutionary guard and in support of shia [islamist] extremism more broadly which could point to iranian inspiration rather than direction either way the attempt on rushdies life illustrates the dedication with which fanatics pursue the objects of their hatred even those who produce merely emimaginaryem works pprushdie understands as well as anyone that this threat is by no means unique to the islamic republic of iran it characterizes adherents of all kinds of radical islamic movements in 2005 during the controversy that followed the danish newspaper emjyllandspostenememsem publication of a hrefhttpsberkleycentergeorgetowneduessaysemjyllandspostenemmuhammadcartoonscontroversy12 editorial cartoonsa depicting the prophet muhammad rushdie was one of 12 signatories to a defiant manifesto titled together against a new totalitarianism the full text of which appears belowpblockquotehaving overcome fascism nazism and stalinism the world now faces a new global totalitarian threat islamism we writers journalists and intellectuals call for resistance to religious totalitarianism and for the promotion of freedom equal opportunity and secular values for all recent events prompted by the publication of drawings of muhammad in european newspapers have revealed the necessity of the struggle for these universal valuesbrbrthis struggle will not be won by arms but in the ideological arena it is not a clash of civilizations or an antagonism between west and east that we are witnessing but a global struggle between democrats and theocrats like all totalitarian ideologies islamism is nurtured by fear and frustration preachers of hatred play on these feelings to build the forces with which they can impose a world where liberty is crushed and inequality reignsbrbrbut we say this loud and clear nothing not even despair justifies choosing obscurantism totalitarianism and hatred islamism is a reactionary ideology that kills equality freedom and secularism wherever it is present its victory can only lead to a world of injustice and domination men over women fundamentalists over others to counter this we must ensure access to universal rights for the oppressed or those discriminated againstbrbrwe reject the cultural relativism which implies an acceptance that men and women of muslim culture are deprived of the right to equality freedom and secularism in the name of respect for certain cultures and traditions we refuse to renounce our critical spirit out of fear of being accused of islamophobia a wretched concept that confuses criticism of islam as a religion and stigmatization of those who believe in itbrbrwe defend the universality of freedom of expression so that a critical spirit can be exercised in every continent with regard to each and every abuse and dogma we appeal to democrats and independent spirits in every country that our century may be one of enlightenment and not obscurantismbrbrstrongsigned by strongayaan hirsi ali chahla chafiq caroline fourest bernardhenri lvy irshad manji mehdi mozaffari maryam namazie taslima nasreen salman rushdie antoine sfeir philippe val ibn warraqblockquotepsalman rushdie has risked everything for his art like emjyllandspostenem editor flemming rose the slain cartoonists and satirists at ema hrefhttpswwwfrance24comen20200901francescharliehebdotorepublishmohammedcartoonsatstartofterrortrialcharlie hebdoaem and numerous other courageous writers thinkers artists and intellectuals hunted across the globe for violating ancient taboos against blasphemy he has stood up for free thought and expression even as others have disgraced themselves by offering excuses on behalf of those who perpetrate lethal violence in the name of religionpfigureiframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedq9cyuqonbxsfeatureoembed width200 titlerushdie defends charlie hebdo free speech height113iframefigureprushdies steady courage and reliable willingness to defend individual liberty have ensured his status as one of the great moral heroes of our time a poets work remarks one of his characters in emthe satanic verses emis to name the unnameable to point at frauds to take sides start arguments shape the world and stop it from going to sleep rushdie has done all those things and it is a tragedy that his dedication to these noble pursuits has cost him so muchp

img altrushdies moral heroism srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202208rushdie1pngpthirtythree years ago irans supreme leader ayatollah ruhollah khomeini issued religious decree suborning murder author salman rushdie writing ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsatanicversessalmanrushdiedp0963270702the satanic versesaem work magical realism partly inspired life prophet muhammad multimillion dollar hrefhttpswwwrferlorgairanfoundationbountyrushdiefatwa24710022htmlbountya offered 15 khordad foundation revolutionary organization supervised supreme leader carried sentence death ppwhen attempts appease regime apology spurned rushdie retreated hiding forced spend second half adult life threat assassination attempt restore diplomatic relations britain 1998 iranian government mohammad khatami indicated longer support rushdies murder years later khatami hrefhttpswwwirishtimescomnewsiranskhatamisaysrushdiecaseisclosed1385911declared mattera closed ppirans religious leaders good deal interested requirements international diplomacy remarkably forthright saying cared listen khomeinis successor ayatollah ali khamenei repeatedly stated fatwa notindeed emcannotembe lifted rushdie hrefhttpswwwnytimescom19901227booksnoiranianforgivenessforsalmanrushdiehtmlrepents pious muslim eartha years ago supreme leaders twitter account briefly locked posted following tweetpfigureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202208fzrqavwiaewsnejpg altrushdies moral heroism width1200 height710figurepalthough important details emerge pronouncements type certainly help explain 24yearold man named hadi matar attacked rushdie literary festival chautauqua ny friday august 12th matar rushed stage rushdie seated stabbed writer repeatedly neck abdomen attacker physically restrained attendees grim irony rushdie reportedly waiting deliver lecture describe united states safe haven exiled writers artists pprushdies attacker taken custody charged hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworlduscanada62536592attempted murdera victim sustained injuries frenzied assault later evening rushdies agent andrew wylie delivered hrefhttpswwwnytimescomlive20220812nyregionsalmanrushdiestabbednewyorksalmanrushdieattackeddistressing newsa salman likely lose eye nerves arm severed liver stabbed damaged ppemthe satanic verses emwas published 1988 following year banned india copies burned street protests bradford uk american cultural centre islamabad attacked books publication united states khomeinis fatwa hrefhttpnewsbbccoukonthisdayhidatesstoriesfebruary14newsid_25410002541149stmwas broadcasta iranian radio february 14th 1989pblockquotewe allah allah shall return informing brave muslims world author emthe satanic versesem text written edited published islam prophet islam quran editors publishers aware contents condemned death valiant muslims world kill delay dare insult sacred beliefs muslims henceforth killed cause martyr allah willing access author book incapable carrying execution inform people [rushdie] punished actionsblockquotepa wave bloodshed ensued rushdies japanese translator murdered italian translator stabbed 37 people perished fire targeting books turkish translator violence threat level appeared abate passage time allowing rushdie emerge hiding reengage public life growing sense security proved illusory intervening years taught alarming lesson allthat marked death afford lower guard return rushdie called normal lifepprushdie person iran sought terrorize murderous fanaticism leaders remains evidence seeks renegotiate agreement west nuclear program american law enforcement officials recently uncovered assassination plots operatives associated iranian regime donald trumps national security advisor hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220810uspoliticsiranianjohnboltonassassinationchargeshtmljohn boltona hrefhttpsnypostcom20220731nypdarrestmanwithak47outsideofiranianjournalistmasihalinejadsnychomedissident iranian journalist masih alinejada iranianamerican poet hrefhttpsquillettecom20200711whyisignedtheharpersletteremquilletteem contributora roya hakakian writing hrefhttpswwwnybookscomdaily20210822iranskillersinourmidstemthe new york review booksemaem ema year ago hakakian relayed story 13yearold child opening door fbi agents informed hakakian iranian operatives concocting plan kill herppin hrefhttpsquillettecom20220527royahakakianandhowtospeakaboutwhatnoonewantstoheara timely essaya emquillette empublishedem emin mayem empaul berman observedpblockquoteroya hakakian masih alinejad happen friends hakakian noted emnew york reviewem combined threats suggest broader policy violence intimidation islamic republic operatives united statesbrbrthis policy aimed couple inconveniently articulate emigrs larger circles iranian emigration america members bound pause additional thoughtful moment piping public life oppression home faraway iran policy display power terrorizes succeeds given plot foiled suspended merely intimatedblockquotefigurea hrefhttpsquillettecom20220527royahakakianandhowtospeakaboutwhatnoonewantstoheardivdivroya hakakian speak wants heardivdivi roya hakakian american writer iran commands distinctive ability speak large horrific events chipper tone appears underplay horrific quality apparently underplaying ends subtly underlining artful tone cagey charming disadivdivimg altrushdies moral heroism srchttpsquillettecomfaviconpngspanquillettespanspanpaul bermanspandivdivdivimg altrushdies moral heroism srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202204royapngdivafigurepwe know nature relationshipif anybetween iranian government rushdies attacker hrefhttpsnypostcom20220812njmanmatarhadiwithsympathiestowardiranarrestedinstabbingofsalmanrushdieearly news reportsa indicate matar socialmedia posts support iran revolutionary guard support shia [islamist] extremism broadly point iranian inspiration direction way attempt rushdies life illustrates dedication fanatics pursue objects hatred produce merely emimaginaryem works pprushdie understands threat means unique islamic republic iran characterizes adherents kinds radical islamic movements 2005 controversy followed danish newspaper emjyllandspostenememsem publication hrefhttpsberkleycentergeorgetowneduessaysemjyllandspostenemmuhammadcartoonscontroversy12 editorial cartoonsa depicting prophet muhammad rushdie 12 signatories defiant manifesto titled new totalitarianism text appears belowpblockquotehaving overcome fascism nazism stalinism world faces new global totalitarian threat islamism writers journalists intellectuals resistance religious totalitarianism promotion freedom equal opportunity secular values recent events prompted publication drawings muhammad european newspapers revealed necessity struggle universal valuesbrbrthis struggle won arms ideological arena clash civilizations antagonism west east witnessing global struggle democrats theocrats like totalitarian ideologies islamism nurtured fear frustration preachers hatred play feelings build forces impose world liberty crushed inequality reignsbrbrbut loud clear despair justifies choosing obscurantism totalitarianism hatred islamism reactionary ideology kills equality freedom secularism present victory lead world injustice domination men women fundamentalists counter ensure access universal rights oppressed discriminated againstbrbrwe reject cultural relativism implies acceptance men women muslim culture deprived right equality freedom secularism respect certain cultures traditions refuse renounce critical spirit fear accused islamophobia wretched concept confuses criticism islam religion stigmatization believe itbrbrwe defend universality freedom expression critical spirit exercised continent regard abuse dogma appeal democrats independent spirits country century enlightenment obscurantismbrbrstrongsigned strongayaan hirsi ali chahla chafiq caroline fourest bernardhenri lvy irshad manji mehdi mozaffari maryam namazie taslima nasreen salman rushdie antoine sfeir philippe val ibn warraqblockquotepsalman rushdie risked art like emjyllandspostenem editor flemming rose slain cartoonists satirists ema hrefhttpswwwfrance24comen20200901francescharliehebdotorepublishmohammedcartoonsatstartofterrortrialcharlie hebdoaem numerous courageous writers thinkers artists intellectuals hunted globe violating ancient taboos blasphemy stood free thought expression disgraced offering excuses behalf perpetrate lethal violence religionpfigureiframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedq9cyuqonbxsfeatureoembed width200 titlerushdie defends charlie hebdo free speech height113iframefigureprushdies steady courage reliable willingness defend individual liberty ensured status great moral heroes time poets work remarks characters emthe satanic verses emis unnameable point frauds sides start arguments shape world stop going sleep rushdie things tragedy dedication noble pursuits cost muchp

62f9786d4f58700688ea422b

In Search of Statesmen

pimg width768 alt srchttpss2freebeaconcomup202103kissinger768x512jpg height512ppquotstatesmen are not called upon only to settle easy questionsquot wrote winston churchill in emthe gathering stormem quotit is where the balance quivers and the proportions are veiled in mist that the opportunity for worldsaving decisions presents itselfquotp pever since he was a graduate student at harvard henry kissinger has been profoundly interested in the quivering balances and mistveiled proportions that call for great leaders his first book ema world restoredem originally his doctoral dissertation ends with an essay on the difference between quotthe statesmanquot on the one hand and two kinds of revolutionary on the other quotthe conquerorquot and quotthe prophetquotp pkissinger preferred the statesman quot[t]he claims of the prophetquot he wrote quotare a counsel of perfection and perfection implies uniformity [but] utopias are not achieved except by a process of leveling and dislocation [while] to rely entirely on the moral purity of an individual is to abandon the possibility of restraintquotp pthe statesman by contrast quotmust remain forever suspicious of these efforts not because he enjoys the pettiness of manipulation but because he must be prepared for the worst contingencyquot the statesmans tragedy the young kissinger argued is that he will always be in the minority for quotit is not balance which inspires men but universality not security but immortalityquot people yearn for transcendence that is what makes them susceptible to prophetsp pema world restoredem was published in 1957 now 65 years later kissinger returns to the subject of leadership at 99 he is one of the last remaining representatives of a generation of leaders whose statesmanship was forged in the furnace of world war ii a furnace ignited by historys most dreadful conquerorprophet it is not hard to see what made the young kissingera refugee from hitler who returned to a devastated germany as a giso wary of both prophets and transcendence yet experience has taught him that the most successful leaders need to combine elements of both the statesman and the prophetp pin emleadershipem kissinger presents us with six beautifully crafted miniatures of leaders he came to know and admire who in their different ways exemplified great leadership his sextetkonrad adenauer charles de gaulle richard nixon anwar sdt lee kuan yew and margaret thatchermight seem a motley group not least because nixons career ended in disgrace and sdts in assassination yet kissinger convinces the reader that they were quotakin in their commitment to securing a new purpose for their respective societies and in each case seeking to relate that purpose to a meaningful traditionquotp pthe gnarled rhinelander the aloof frenchman the devious californian the heroic egyptian the visionary chinese and the indomitable englishwomanall six kissinger points out came from modest backgrounds they had a faith in the values of their inherited culture but also an idea of where their people could be led and the courage to try to get them there less obviously they were tellers of hard truths at times they were divisive at times isolatedp pas europe is once again battered by the storm of war it is good to be reminded of what adenauer and de gaulle contributed to the reconstruction of the continent after 1945 neither would be surprised i suspect by russias reemergence as a threat to european peace adenauer would probably blame his successors for pursuing emostpolitikemthe policy of building closer economic and political ties between germany and russiato the point of dependence and impotence de gaulle would doubtless see the war in ukraine as partly the result of angloamerican duplicity or navet or bothp pit is also good to recall thatchers extraordinary conviction and courage qualities her admirer and probable successor as prime minister liz truss is going to need especially in time of war when the argentine junta invaded the falklands thatcher was magnificent the same could not be said of her cabinet as kissinger discovered when he visited london during the warp pquotover tea at 10 downing streetquot he recalls quoti asked thatcher which of the new approaches [toward the argentines] she favored i will have no compromise she thundered how can you my old friend how can you say these things she was so irate i did not have the heart to explain that the idea was not mine but her chief diplomatsquotthe foreign secretary francis pym as kissinger points out there was in fact a moment when thatcher was willing to contemplate a compromise brokered by the united states and the un fortunately for her the other side foolishly rejected itp pkissingers portrait of de gaulle is the most striking of the chapters in this illuminating book quotde gaulle defined his goals in the visionary mode of the prophetquot he writes quotbut his execution was in the mode of the statesman steely and calculatingquot that steeliness was the result of years of selfdiscipline kissinger quotes de gaulles diary from his time as a german prisoner of war in world war i quotdominating oneself ought to become a sort of habit a moral reflex acquired by a constant gymnastic of the will especially in the tiniest things dress conversation the way one thinksquotp phere is de gaulle again in 1932 quotaloofness character and the personification of greatness these qualities surround those who are prepared to carry a burden which is too heavy for lesser mortals the price they have to pay for leadership is unceasing selfdiscipline the constant taking of risks and a perpetual inner struggle the degree of suffering involved varies according to the temperament of the individual but it is bound to be no less tormenting than the hair shirt of the penitentquot it is hard to imagine any of todays leaders writing such words we know now that de gaulle had a warm and tender heart his devotion to his daughter anne who had down syndrome testifies to that but he trained himself like some medieval penitent to conceal his private self altogether because he believed that only a man of iron could restore francep pwhat place then does richard nixon have in such a volume few people spent more time with nixon during his presidency than kissinger not for the first time he makes the case that nixons foreign policy achieved great things ending war in vietnam limiting the arms race with the soviet union opening to china laying the foundations of peace between egypt and israel not for the first time kissinger portrays watergate not as the high crime for which nixon would have been impeached had he not resigned but as a succession of lapses and blundersechoing bryce harlows explanation for the debacle quotsome damn fool got into the oval office and did what he was toldquotp pthe scale of the challenge that nixon faced when he entered the white house in january 1969 was certainly immense and while he could not salvage much if anything from the morass in vietnam bequeathed to him by his predecessors nixon did a remarkable amount to lay the foundations of the world order we know today he was also almost as big a selfdisciplinarian as de gaulle working tirelessly with his yellow pads and telephones to try to stay ahead in what he liked to call quotthe gamequot yet it all ended in ignominy quotall political careers end in failurequot the british conservative enoch powell famously observed but few end in such abject failure as nixonsp pat kissingers last meeting with adenauer in bonn in 1967 the ancient german chancellor asked quotare any leaders still able to conduct a genuine longrange policy is true leadership still possible todayquot it is strange to find that question being asked nearly 60 years ago as we constantly ask it today kissinger concludes this volume with some speculative answers to the question of where all the adenauers have gone is it that our societies have become less meritocratic can it be connected to the decline of deep literacy and the rise of the internet in contemporary politics kissinger notes quotanger has replaced dialogue as a way to carry out disputes and disagreement has become a clash of culturesquotp pperhaps in such an environment there is little serious chance for someone who combines the tactical skill of the statesman with the strategic vision of the prophet if that is so then we are in trouble as churchill rightly said it is quotwhere the balance quivers and the proportions are veiled in mistquot that we need inspired and inspiring leadership having seen such leadership more than once at close quarters kissinger can at least tell uswith a crystal clarity that belies his yearswhat we should be looking forp pemleadership six studies in world strategyemp pby henry kissingerp ppenguin 528 pp 36p pemniall ferguson is the milbank family senior fellow at the hoover institution stanford and author ofem kissinger 19231968 the idealist penguinp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcultureinsearchofstatesmenin search of statesmena appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss2freebeaconcomup202103kissinger768x512jpg height512ppquotstatesmen called settle easy questionsquot wrote winston churchill emthe gathering stormem quotit balance quivers proportions veiled mist opportunity worldsaving decisions presents itselfquotp pever graduate student harvard henry kissinger profoundly interested quivering balances mistveiled proportions great leaders book ema world restoredem originally doctoral dissertation ends essay difference quotthe statesmanquot hand kinds revolutionary quotthe conquerorquot quotthe prophetquotp pkissinger preferred statesman quot[t]he claims prophetquot wrote quotare counsel perfection perfection implies uniformity [but] utopias achieved process leveling dislocation [while] rely entirely moral purity individual abandon possibility restraintquotp pthe statesman contrast quotmust remain forever suspicious efforts enjoys pettiness manipulation prepared worst contingencyquot statesmans tragedy young kissinger argued minority quotit balance inspires men universality security immortalityquot people yearn transcendence makes susceptible prophetsp pema world restoredem published 1957 65 years later kissinger returns subject leadership 99 remaining representatives generation leaders statesmanship forged furnace world war ii furnace ignited historys dreadful conquerorprophet hard young kissingera refugee hitler returned devastated germany giso wary prophets transcendence experience taught successful leaders need combine elements statesman prophetp pin emleadershipem kissinger presents beautifully crafted miniatures leaders came know admire different ways exemplified great leadership sextetkonrad adenauer charles de gaulle richard nixon anwar sdt lee kuan yew margaret thatchermight motley group nixons career ended disgrace sdts assassination kissinger convinces reader quotakin commitment securing new purpose respective societies case seeking relate purpose meaningful traditionquotp pthe gnarled rhinelander aloof frenchman devious californian heroic egyptian visionary chinese indomitable englishwomanall kissinger points came modest backgrounds faith values inherited culture idea people led courage try obviously tellers hard truths times divisive times isolatedp pas europe battered storm war good reminded adenauer de gaulle contributed reconstruction continent 1945 surprised suspect russias reemergence threat european peace adenauer probably blame successors pursuing emostpolitikemthe policy building closer economic political ties germany russiato point dependence impotence de gaulle doubtless war ukraine partly result angloamerican duplicity navet bothp pit good recall thatchers extraordinary conviction courage qualities admirer probable successor prime minister liz truss going need especially time war argentine junta invaded falklands thatcher magnificent said cabinet kissinger discovered visited london warp pquotover tea 10 downing streetquot recalls quoti asked thatcher new approaches [toward argentines] favored compromise thundered old friend things irate heart explain idea chief diplomatsquotthe foreign secretary francis pym kissinger points fact moment thatcher willing contemplate compromise brokered united states un fortunately foolishly rejected itp pkissingers portrait de gaulle striking chapters illuminating book quotde gaulle defined goals visionary mode prophetquot writes quotbut execution mode statesman steely calculatingquot steeliness result years selfdiscipline kissinger quotes de gaulles diary time german prisoner war world war quotdominating oneself ought sort habit moral reflex acquired constant gymnastic especially tiniest things dress conversation way thinksquotp phere de gaulle 1932 quotaloofness character personification greatness qualities surround prepared carry burden heavy lesser mortals price pay leadership unceasing selfdiscipline constant taking risks perpetual inner struggle degree suffering involved varies according temperament individual bound tormenting hair shirt penitentquot hard imagine todays leaders writing words know de gaulle warm tender heart devotion daughter anne syndrome testifies trained like medieval penitent conceal private self altogether believed man iron restore francep pwhat place richard nixon volume people spent time nixon presidency kissinger time makes case nixons foreign policy achieved great things ending war vietnam limiting arms race soviet union opening china laying foundations peace egypt israel time kissinger portrays watergate high crime nixon impeached resigned succession lapses blundersechoing bryce harlows explanation debacle quotsome damn fool got oval office toldquotp pthe scale challenge nixon faced entered white house january 1969 certainly immense salvage morass vietnam bequeathed predecessors nixon remarkable lay foundations world order know today big selfdisciplinarian de gaulle working tirelessly yellow pads telephones try stay ahead liked quotthe gamequot ended ignominy quotall political careers end failurequot british conservative enoch powell famously observed end abject failure nixonsp pat kissingers meeting adenauer bonn 1967 ancient german chancellor asked quotare leaders able conduct genuine longrange policy true leadership possible todayquot strange find question asked nearly 60 years ago constantly ask today kissinger concludes volume speculative answers question adenauers gone societies meritocratic connected decline deep literacy rise internet contemporary politics kissinger notes quotanger replaced dialogue way carry disputes disagreement clash culturesquotp pperhaps environment little chance combines tactical skill statesman strategic vision prophet trouble churchill rightly said quotwhere balance quivers proportions veiled mistquot need inspired inspiring leadership having seen leadership close quarters kissinger tell uswith crystal clarity belies yearswhat looking forp pemleadership studies world strategyemp pby henry kissingerp ppenguin 528 pp 36p pemniall ferguson milbank family senior fellow hoover institution stanford author ofem kissinger 19231968 idealist penguinp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcultureinsearchofstatesmenin search statesmena appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

62f9788e4f58700688ea4231

Germany has succumbed to trans mania

pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20220814germanyhassuccumbedtotransmaniagermany has succumbed to trans maniaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

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62faca0de9155309da490c30

Paulo Freire’s Marxist Easter for Educators

h4spanthe new discourses podcast with james lindsay episode 90br critical education theory series part 20spanh4 pthis episode of the new discourses podcast continues a long miniseries exploring paulo freires landmark 1985 book a relnoopener hrefhttpsamznto3ij4zot target_blankithe politics of education culture power and liberationia and it is embedded in the broader a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagcriticaleducationtheory target_blankcritical education theory seriesa here in the previous part james lindsay presented the ideas in the ninth chapter of that book where freire outlines that the purpose of education is to humanize man and the world exactly as indicated by karl marx the previous parts of this series covering the earlier chapters of the book can be found a relnofollow noopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204paulofreirespoliticsofeducation target_blankherea a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204paulofreireeducatingtoproclaimtheworldherea a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204socialworkeducationherea a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202205paulofreirebirthofgroomerschoolsherea a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207paulofreiresperpetualculturalrevolutionhereaa hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207paulofreireandlearningtoremakeman herea and a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208paulofreireandthecriticaltheftofeducationhereap pin this episode the last in the formal educational series covering this book james takes up the first part of the very weird tenth chapter of ithe politics of educationi wherein freire discusses liberation theology and the role of the church as a parallel educational institution in this first part of this shocking chapter before turning to the role he envisions for churches freire explains the religious conversion educators must go through in order to be true educators he describes it as a process of spiritual death and rebirth literally an easter educators and religious leaders must go through to be resurrected on the side of the oppressed this is the religious heart of the socalled pedagogy of the oppressed at the center of freires entire project and legacy join james to understand how freire enabled the theft of education so that it could be transformed into religious education for the a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202201theologymarxism datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsnewdiscoursescom202201theologymarxismampsourcegmailampust1660665069033000ampusgaovvaw2wmj0egd5deltv5byo9l_ target_blanktheology of marxismap hr pemfollow james lindsay spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpslinktreeconceptualjames target_blankhttpslinktreeconceptualjamesaspanspanemp pemsubscribe to the new discourses podcast on spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspan spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blanka spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan or by spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes of the new discourses podcast are available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208paulofreiresmarxisteasterforeducatorspaulo freires marxist easter for educatorsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

h4spanthe new discourses podcast james lindsay episode 90br critical education theory series 20spanh4 pthis episode new discourses podcast continues long miniseries exploring paulo freires landmark 1985 booka relnoopener hrefhttpsamznto3ij4zot target_blankithe politics education culture power liberationia embedded broadera relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagcriticaleducationtheory target_blankcritical education theory seriesa previous james lindsay presented ideas ninth chapter book freire outlines purpose education humanize man worldexactly indicated karl marx previous parts series covering earlier chapters book found relnofollow noopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204paulofreirespoliticsofeducation target_blankherea hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204paulofreireeducatingtoproclaimtheworldherea hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202204socialworkeducationherea hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202205paulofreirebirthofgroomerschoolsherea hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207paulofreiresperpetualculturalrevolutionhereaa hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202207paulofreireandlearningtoremakeman herea hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208paulofreireandthecriticaltheftofeducationhereap pin episode formal educational series covering book james takes weird tenth chapter ofithe politics educationi freire discusses liberation theology role church parallel educational institution shocking chapter turning role envisions churches freire explains religious conversion educators order true educators describes process spiritual death rebirthliterally easter educators religious leaders resurrected oppressed religiousheart socalled pedagogy oppressed center freires entireproject legacy join james understand freire enabled theft education transformed religious education thea relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202201theologymarxism datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsnewdiscoursescom202201theologymarxismampsourcegmailampust1660665069033000ampusgaovvaw2wmj0egd5deltv5byo9l_ target_blanktheology marxismap hr pemfollow james lindsay spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpslinktreeconceptualjames target_blankhttpslinktreeconceptualjamesaspanspanemp pemsubscribe new discourses podcast spanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpssoundcloudcomnewdiscourses target_blanksoundcloudaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastnewdiscoursesid1499880546 target_blankapple podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0cdovl2zlzwrzlnnvdw5ky2xvdwquy29tl3vzzxjzl3nvdw5ky2xvdwq6dxnlcnm6nzgxmte2mzi1l3nvdw5kcy5yc3m target_blankgoogle podcastsaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsopenspotifycomshow0hfzdaxi5l4lnjqstfwgzpsikd5rtswgt1epiuyrixmlgw target_blankspotifyaspanspanspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankstitcheraspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastnewdiscourses target_blankaspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomplaylistlistpl2hruftaprxcqcbydcaullid2d9exyny target_blankyoutubeaspanspan byspanspana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsfeedssoundcloudcomuserssoundcloudusers781116325soundsrss target_blankrssaspanspanemp pemadditional episodes new discourses podcast available spanspana relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagndpodcast target_blankhereaspanspanemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202208paulofreiresmarxisteasterforeducatorspaulo freires marxist easter educatorsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

62faca1ce9155309da490c32

Are Democrats Really Going To Win In Ohio And Wisconsin?

pin recent weeks democrats odds of keeping control of the senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent according to our a tabindex1 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcom2022electionforecastsenatecidrrpromo dataremovetabindextrue datastringifylinkhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcom2022electionforecastsenatecidrrpromo target_blank datasktooltip_parentdeluxe forecast modela in this installment of model talk nate silver and galen druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change they also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing democrats performing well in parts of the midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated republicansp

pin recent weeks democrats odds keeping control senate 2022 midterms ticked percent according tabindex1 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcom2022electionforecastsenatecidrrpromo dataremovetabindextrue datastringifylinkhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcom2022electionforecastsenatecidrrpromo target_blank datasktooltip_parentdeluxe forecast modela installment model talk nate silver galen druke discuss news events polling contributed change ask skeptical polls showing democrats performing parts midwest polls repeatedly underestimated republicansp

62fc1ba7d55418aa0117b63e

A Year After the U.S. Withdrawal, Getting Out of Afghanistan Was Still the Right Call

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971652400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971651200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971652400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971651200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpresident joe biden speaks at the white house about the afghanistan withdrawal in august 2021 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanthis month marks the oneyear anniversary of the us troop withdrawal from afghanistan which put an end to americas longest warspanp pspanthough a hrefhttpswwwthechicagocouncilorgcommentaryandanalysisblogsuspublicsupportswithdrawalafghanistan70 percenta of americans polled last year by the chicago council on global affairs supported president joe bidens decision to withdraw us troops theyre now roughly split on the issue when spana hrefhttpsdocscdnyougovcomagfvwowafeecontabreportpdfpage116spanaskedspanaspan by yougov and spanispanthe economistspanispan this month whether the us made a mistake by withdrawing troops from afghanistan last year 40 percent of poll respondents said yes while 39 percent said no and 21 percent said they werent sure broken down by party 61 percent of democrats felt the withdrawal wasnt a mistake while 68 percent of republicans felt it wasspanp pspanamericas campaign in afghanistan failed but not for lack of trying to date the us has spent over spana hrefhttpswatsonbrowneducostsofwarfigures2021humanandbudgetarycostsdateuswarafghanistan20012022span23 trillionspanaspan on the warnot including downtheroad interest payments on money borrowed or the lifetime care that veterans will require its spana hrefhttpswatsonbrowneducostsofwarfigures2021humanandbudgetarycostsdateuswarafghanistan20012022spanestimatedspanaspan that over 46300 afghan civilians 69000 afghan military and police officers and 6200 us contractors and soldiers died during the conflict according to brown universitys costs of war projectspanp pspana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220815wehavenohopeforthefuturetheafghanhelpersamericaleftbehindmanya a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210911leavingafghanistanaspectsa of the withdrawal couldve been handled better since last august critics have a hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomasktheexperts20210622washingtonrightleaveafghanistanargueda that leaving a residual troop presence would have ensured stability in afghanistan at little cost to american lives and finances but government a hrefhttpswwwsigarmilallreportsreportsa released over the past year cast doubt on that approach and on the idea of a sustainable nationbuilding presence in afghanistanspanp pspanlast august the special inspector general for afghanistan reconstruction sigar released a report that spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannamedspanaspan several key factors that doomed americas nationbuilding efforts among other failures the us government struggled to develop and carry out quota coherent strategyquot and worked on unrealistic timelines that in turn encouraged quick spending and corruption american personnel were often quotunqualified and poorly trainedquot the government couldnt adequately tailor its work to the country it sought to transformspanp pspanamericas strategy initially spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanfocusedspanaspan on al qaeda but eventually became a much more nebulous reconstruction and anticorruption mission officials felt that preserving stability would require building institutions and infrastructure though the plans to do those things changed often douglas lute who coordinated afghanistan strategy at the national security council for six years spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspansaidspanaspan officials quotdidnt have the foggiest notionquot of what they were undertaking quotwith an everincreasing list of enemies and priorities it was tempting for us officials to believe the solution was more troops and more aidquot spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannotesspanaspan sigar according to a senior us agency for international development official quotthe strategy was money expended equals successquotspanp pspanofficials spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanmisjudgedspanaspan how long reconstruction would take and often injected their own political preferences into what it should look like the us spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspangovernmentspanaspan quotprioritized tangible projects on which money could be spent and success claimed more quicklyquot over less visible objectives that may have had more lasting effects the department of defenses military organization that was tasked with training the afghan national defense and security forces didnt hold the body a hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfaccountablea quotsimply performing tasks for them and providing funding regardless of actual progressquot money was often spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanappropriatedspanaspan in washington more quickly than it could be spent in afghanistanspanp pspanamerican officials regularly failed to find enough qualified personnel for their ambitious projects in 2009 the military spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanreassignedspanaspan chemical warfare response units to civil affairs projects only giving them fourweeklong powerpoint crash courses to prepare quotwith such a training deficiencyquot in policing spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannotesspanaspan sigar quotsome police advisors turned in desperation to television shows like cops and ncis to become more familiar with policingquot turnover was so bad that quotevery agency experienced annual lobotomiesquot with new staff spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspandoomedspanaspan to make the same mistakes as their predecessorsspanp pspanon a very basic level us officials didnt understand afghanistan that spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanledspana tospan material issues like usdesigned schools requiring the usage of cranes which was impossible in much of the mountainous country planners spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanselectedspanaspan obviously unusable construction sites for projects like steep slopes and riverbeds but more fundamentally nationbuilding efforts neglected existing afghan institutions and customs that spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanenabledspanaspan certain quotlocal alliesquot to exploit us agencies quotfor financial gain and share a portion of the proceeds with insurgentsquot officials spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanattemptedspanaspan to instill american values and preferences into many afghan systems without determining whether that was actually possiblespanp pspanfrom the initial invasion to the withdrawal the us lacked the strategy and clarity needed to succeed in afghanistan indeed the definition of spanispansuccessspanispan changed dramatically between those two points as the mission became much more complicated than just fighting terroristsspanp pspancountless sigar reports over the years have exposed spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfspancontract fraudspanaspan and spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfspantheftspanaspan deeprooted spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfauditssigar2147arpdfspancorruptionspanaspan in the afghan government and policies that spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfevaluationssigar2222ippdfspanencouragedspanaspan afghan forces to overrely on the american presence given the gravity of the failures outlined by sigar theres little reason to believe they wouldve been magically resolved if only american troops had stayed a bit longerspanp pspanunfortunately american military engagement since the afghanistan withdrawal proves that the us government mayalbeit on smaller scalesbe doomed to repeat many of the mistakes it made in afghanistan america spent spana hrefhttpswwwforbescomsiteshanktucker20210816thewarinafghanistancostamerica300millionperdayfor20yearswithbigbillsyettocomesh450dca8f7f8dspan300 millionspanaspan per day in afghanistan with inadequate oversight as of midjune it was spending spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220616theusisspending130millionadayonmilitaryaidforukrainewithoutmeaningfulcongressionaloversightspan130 millionspanaspan per day in ukraine with similarly shoddy monitoring us officials kept the american public spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomgraphics2019investigationsafghanistanpapersafghanistanwarconfidentialdocumentsspanin the darkspanaspan on how poorly the war in afghanistan was going in july spanispanthe new york timesspani a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220701americasinvolvementinukraineincreasinglylookslikewarspanexposedspanaspan the quotstealthy network of commandos and spiesquot involving cia personnel who had covertly entered hostilities in ukraine lessons learned are only as valuable as the us governments ability to put them to good usespanp pspanthree presidents kept the us entangled in afghanistan in spite of the factors that spelled failure for the american campaign after two decades of shifting goal posts exorbitant spending and futile reconstruction efforts biden was right to withdraw us troops and put an end to the unwinnable warspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220816ayearaftertheuswithdrawalgettingoutofafghanistanwasstilltherightcalla year after the us withdrawal getting out of afghanistan was still the right calla appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971652400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971651200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971652400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208sfphotosfive0971651200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altpresident joe biden speaks white house afghanistan withdrawal august 2021 srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208sfphotosfive097165800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanthis month marks oneyear anniversary troop withdrawal afghanistan end americas longest warspanp pspanthough hrefhttpswwwthechicagocouncilorgcommentaryandanalysisblogsuspublicsupportswithdrawalafghanistan70 percenta americans polled year chicago council global affairs supported president joe bidens decision withdraw troops theyre roughly split issue spana hrefhttpsdocscdnyougovcomagfvwowafeecontabreportpdfpage116spanaskedspanaspan yougov spanispanthe economistspanispan month mistake withdrawing troops afghanistan year 40 percent poll respondents said yes 39 percent said 21 percent said werent sure broken party 61 percent democrats felt withdrawal wasnt mistake 68 percent republicans felt wasspanp pspanamericas campaign afghanistan failed lack trying date spent spana hrefhttpswatsonbrowneducostsofwarfigures2021humanandbudgetarycostsdateuswarafghanistan20012022span23 trillionspanaspan warnot including downtheroad interest payments money borrowed lifetime care veterans require spana hrefhttpswatsonbrowneducostsofwarfigures2021humanandbudgetarycostsdateuswarafghanistan20012022spanestimatedspanaspan 46300 afghan civilians 69000 afghan military police officers 6200 contractors soldiers died conflict according brown universitys costs war projectspanp pspana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220815wehavenohopeforthefuturetheafghanhelpersamericaleftbehindmanya hrefhttpsreasoncom20210911leavingafghanistanaspectsa withdrawal couldve handled better august critics hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomasktheexperts20210622washingtonrightleaveafghanistanargueda leaving residual troop presence ensured stability afghanistan little cost american lives financesbut government hrefhttpswwwsigarmilallreportsreportsa released past year cast doubt approach idea sustainable nationbuilding presence afghanistanspanp pspanlast august special inspector general afghanistan reconstruction sigar released report spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannamedspanaspan key factors doomed americas nationbuilding efforts failures government struggled develop carry quota coherent strategyquot worked unrealistic timelines turn encouraged quick spending corruption american personnel quotunqualified poorly trainedquot government couldnt adequately tailor work country sought transformspanp pspanamericas strategy initially spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanfocusedspanaspan al qaeda eventually nebulous reconstruction anticorruption mission officials felt preserving stability require building institutions infrastructure plans things changed douglas lute coordinated afghanistan strategy national security council years spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspansaidspanaspanofficials quotdidnt foggiest notionquot undertaking quotwith everincreasing list enemies priorities tempting officials believe solution troops aidquot spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannotesspanaspan sigar according senior agency international development official quotthe strategy money expended equals successquotspanp pspanofficials spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanmisjudgedspanaspan long reconstruction injected political preferences look like spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspangovernmentspanaspan quotprioritized tangible projects money spent success claimed quicklyquot visible objectives lasting effects department defenses military organization tasked training afghan national defense security forces didnt hold body hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfaccountablea quotsimply performing tasks providing funding regardless actual progressquot money spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanappropriatedspanaspan washington quickly spent afghanistanspanp pspanamerican officials regularly failed find qualified personnel ambitious projects 2009 military spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanreassignedspanaspan chemical warfare response units civil affairs projects giving fourweeklong powerpoint crash courses prepare quotwith training deficiencyquot policing spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspannotesspanaspan sigar quotsome police advisors turned desperation television shows like cops ncis familiar policingquot turnover bad quotevery agency experienced annual lobotomiesquot new staff spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspandoomedspanaspan mistakes predecessorsspanp pspanon basic level officials didnt understand afghanistan spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanledspana tospan material issues like usdesigned schools requiring usage cranes impossible mountainous country planners spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanselectedspanaspan obviously unusable construction sites projects like steep slopes riverbeds fundamentally nationbuilding efforts neglected existing afghan institutions customs spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanenabledspanaspan certain quotlocal alliesquot exploit agencies quotfor financial gain share portion proceeds insurgentsquot officials spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdflessonslearnedsigar2146llpdfspanattemptedspanaspan instill american values preferences afghan systems determining actually possiblespanp pspanfrom initial invasion withdrawal lacked strategy clarity needed succeed afghanistan definition spanispansuccessspanispan changed dramatically points mission complicated fighting terroristsspanp pspancountless sigar reports years exposed spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfspancontract fraudspanaspan spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfquarterlyreports20211030qrpdfspantheftspanaspan deeprooted spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfauditssigar2147arpdfspancorruptionspanaspan afghan government policies spana hrefhttpswwwsigarmilpdfevaluationssigar2222ippdfspanencouragedspanaspan afghan forces overrely american presence given gravity failures outlined sigar theres little reason believe wouldve magically resolved american troops stayed bit longerspanp pspanunfortunately american military engagement afghanistan withdrawal proves government mayalbeit smaller scalesbe doomed repeat mistakes afghanistan america spent spana hrefhttpswwwforbescomsiteshanktucker20210816thewarinafghanistancostamerica300millionperdayfor20yearswithbigbillsyettocomesh450dca8f7f8dspan300 millionspanaspan day afghanistan inadequate oversight midjune spending spana hrefhttpsreasoncom20220616theusisspending130millionadayonmilitaryaidforukrainewithoutmeaningfulcongressionaloversightspan130 millionspanaspan day ukraine similarly shoddy monitoring officials kept american public spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomgraphics2019investigationsafghanistanpapersafghanistanwarconfidentialdocumentsspanin darkspanaspan poorly war afghanistan going july spanispanthe new york timesspani hrefhttpsreasoncom20220701americasinvolvementinukraineincreasinglylookslikewarspanexposedspanaspan quotstealthy network commandos spiesquot involving cia personnel covertly entered hostilities ukraine lessons learned valuable governments ability good usespanp pspanthree presidents kept entangled afghanistan spite factors spelled failure american campaign decades shifting goal posts exorbitant spending futile reconstruction efforts biden right withdraw troops end unwinnable warspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220816ayearaftertheuswithdrawalgettingoutofafghanistanwasstilltherightcalla year withdrawal getting afghanistan right calla appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62fc1ba9d55418aa0117b640

COVID-19 Gutted College Attendance. Now, a Solid Labor Market Is Convincing More High School Grads To Skip It.

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp20000003jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp200000031200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp20000003600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp20000003331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp20000003jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp200000031200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp20000003600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp20000003331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgraduation cap against a blue background srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanaccording tospan a hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscomnewsusnewsamericansareincreasinglydubiousgoingcollegercna40935spannbc newsspana there are 4 million fewer students enrolled in college than there were 10 years ago and there has been a 7 percent drop in college attendance from 2016 to 2020p pspanquotwith the exception of wartime the united states has never been through a period of declining educational attainment like thisquot michael hicks director of the center for business and economic research at ball state universitys business school toldspan a hrefhttpshechingerreportorghowhighereducationlostitsshineispanthe hechinger reportspaniaspan an education nonprofitspanp pspanwhat caused this unprecedented drop the covid19 pandemic played a clear role and so does the robust labor market which offers enticing jobs for recent high school graduates while the dramatic national drop in enrollment began after the covid19 pandemic several states have seen steady declines in enrollment prior to 2020 inspan a hrefhttpsparcalabamaorgalabamascollegegoingratedownagainforclassof2020spanalabamaspanaspan the collegegoing rate had declined 7 percent from 2014 to 2019 and inspan a hrefhttpswwwwvhepceduresourcesdataandpublicationcentercgrspanwest virginiaspanaspan the 2019 collegegoing rate was 5 percent lower than in 2010spanp phowever while collegegoing rates were falling before 2020 college attendance numbers decelerated dramatically since the onset of the pandemic in 2015 65 percent of a hrefhttpswwwingovchecollegereadinessreportsindianaa high school seniors went on to college in 2019 the rate had declined by 6 percent in 2020 the rate fell by another 6 percentage points bringing the total of collegeattending seniors to 53 percent a hrefhttpswwwtngovcontentdamtnthecbureauresearchcollegegoingreportscgrhsso20report20draft_finalpdftennesseesa collegegoing rate decreased by almost 10 percent over a period of only three years from 618 percent in 2019 to 528 percent in 2021p pspanwhile covid19 certainly played an outsized role in the drop in college attendance with high school seniors wary of online school or unable to pay high tuition after their parents faced financial hardship the pandemic doesnt tell the whole story despite a spana hrefhttpsncesedgovprogramscoeindicatorcpaspansharp dropoffspanaspan in 2020 national college attendance didnt increase in 2021 which would have implied that students taking a covid gap year had finally enrolled in fact attendance in 2021 dropped at nearly the same rate as the year beforespanp pspanthe covid19 pandemic coupled with a a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220805newjobsreportshowsunemploymentbacktoprepandemiclevelsbustling labor marketa seems to be the main thrust behind why more and more students are skipping out on college quotthe change from inperson to online [college instruction] caused a reconsideration for some people of what it is that [theyre] paying for when it comes to college and then at the same time or shortly thereafter we had the really rapid recovery in the labor marketquot beth akers a senior fellow at the american enterprise institute tells spanireason iquotmy hope is that colleges are going to have to reconsider what it is that theyre selling and try to be more sensitive to their students needs and wantsquotp paccording to akers with many companies offering solid salaries and not requiring college degrees many high school graduates are choosing to work rather than amass student debt for a degree they now seem to doubt will help them earn a better wagep pspanthis dramatic decline in college enrollment could be the incentive needed for colleges to reduce their prices spanspanstudents are no longer buying the promises made in glossy brochures or by college counselors schools will either need to lower their prices or provide a product that is worth the hefty investment made by students and their familiesspanp pspanquotim really hoping this fall in demand will wake colleges up to this fact and drive them to make some changes in what it is theyre doingquot says akers who added that this change quotwill be both good for individual students and good for our economy creating a better pipeline for workers to fill the real jobs we have in placequotspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220816covid19guttedcollegeattendancenowasolidlabormarketisconvincingmorehighschoolgradstoskipitcovid19 gutted college attendance now a solid labor market is convincing more high school grads to skip ita appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp20000003jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp200000031200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp20000003600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp20000003331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208comp20000003jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208comp200000031200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208comp20000003600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208comp20000003331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgraduation cap blue background srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208comp20000003800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanaccording tospan hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscomnewsusnewsamericansareincreasinglydubiousgoingcollegercna40935spannbc newsspana 4 million fewer students enrolled college 10 years ago 7 percent drop college attendance 2016 2020p pspanquotwith exception wartime united states period declining educational attainment like thisquot michael hicks director center business economic research ball state universitys business school toldspan hrefhttpshechingerreportorghowhighereducationlostitsshineispanthe hechinger reportspaniaspan education nonprofitspanp pspanwhat caused unprecedented drop covid19 pandemic played clear role robust labor market offers enticing jobs recent high school graduates dramatic national drop enrollment began covid19 pandemic states seen steady declines enrollment prior 2020 inspan hrefhttpsparcalabamaorgalabamascollegegoingratedownagainforclassof2020spanalabamaspanaspan collegegoing rate declined 7 percent 2014 2019 inspan hrefhttpswwwwvhepceduresourcesdataandpublicationcentercgrspanwest virginiaspanaspan 2019 collegegoing rate 5 percent lower 2010spanp phowever collegegoing rates falling 2020 college attendance numbers decelerated dramatically onset pandemicin 2015 65 percent hrefhttpswwwingovchecollegereadinessreportsindianaa high school seniors went college 2019 rate declined 6 percent 2020 rate fell 6 percentage points bringing total collegeattending seniors 53 percent hrefhttpswwwtngovcontentdamtnthecbureauresearchcollegegoingreportscgrhsso20report20draft_finalpdftennesseesacollegegoing rate decreased 10 percent period years 618 percent 2019 528 percent 2021p pspanwhile covid19 certainly played outsized role drop college attendance high school seniors wary online school unable pay high tuition parents faced financial hardship pandemic doesnt tell story despite aspana hrefhttpsncesedgovprogramscoeindicatorcpaspansharp dropoffspanaspan 2020 national college attendance didnt increase 2021 implied students taking covid gap year finally enrolled fact attendance 2021 dropped nearly rate year beforespanp pspanthe covid19 pandemic coupled hrefhttpsreasoncom20220805newjobsreportshowsunemploymentbacktoprepandemiclevelsbustling labor marketa main thrust students skipping college quotthe change inperson online [college instruction] caused reconsideration people [theyre] paying comes college time shortly rapid recovery labor marketquot beth akers senior fellow american enterprise institute tells spanireason iquotmy hope colleges going reconsider theyre selling try sensitive students needs wantsquotp paccording akers companies offering solid salaries requiring college degrees high school graduates choosing work amass student debt degree doubt help earn better wagep pspanthis dramatic decline college enrollment incentive needed colleges reduce prices spanspanstudents longer buying promises glossy brochures college counselors schools need lower prices provide product worth hefty investment students familiesspanp pspanquotim hoping fall demand wake colleges fact drive changes theyre doingquot says akers added change quotwill good individual students good economy creating better pipeline workers fill real jobs placequotspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220816covid19guttedcollegeattendancenowasolidlabormarketisconvincingmorehighschoolgradstoskipitcovid19 gutted college attendance solid labor market convincing high school grads skip ita appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

62fc1bb2d55418aa0117b642

Let’s make this a priority

blockquotepthe european commission wants to boost output of its own raw materials needed for green energy its plans which are still in their infancy would lower regulatory barriers to mining and production of critical materials such as lithium cobalt and graphite needed for wind farms solar panels and electric vehiclesp pby 2030 eu demand for rare earth materials for wind turbines will increase fivefold according to the commission but global supply is only projected to double demand for lithium is likely to be almost 60 times as high as current consumption by 2050 according to the eus joint research centre the need for cobalt and graphite could be nearly 15 times higherpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent363c164375ae4539897dab16adfc1416 target_blankmore from the ftap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208letsmakethisapriorityhtmllets make this a prioritya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthe european commission wants boost output raw materials needed green energy plans infancy lower regulatory barriers mining production critical materials lithium cobalt graphite needed wind farms solar panels electric vehiclesp pby 2030 eu demand rare earth materials wind turbines increase fivefold according commission global supply projected double demand lithium likely 60 times high current consumption 2050 according eus joint research centre need cobalt graphite nearly 15 times higherpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent363c164375ae4539897dab16adfc1416 target_blankmore ftap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208letsmakethisapriorityhtmllets prioritya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

62fc1bbbd55418aa0117b644

The infidels will not be silenced

pthirtythree years ago when i was a teenager in nairobi i was a book burner the year was 1989 the year of the emfatwaem against salman rushdie and i was seduced by the rising tide of islamism i greeted the emfatwaem with gleep pi rarely burnt actual books we were too poor to afford a copy ofema hrefhttpswwwpenguinrandomhousecombooks323746thesatanicversesbysalmanrushdie the satanic versesaem instead we wrote the title of the offending novel and the name of its author on cardboard and paper and set them alight it was comical and pathetic but we were deadly serious we thought ayatollah khomeini was standing up for islam against the infidels bringing down the righteous fury of allah upon a vile apostate had rushdie been attacked then i would have celebratedp pin the decades since i have been a refugee an atheist and a convert to the highest ideals and values of the west free speech freedom of conscience the emancipation of women and a free press when i fled from a forced marriage and made a life in europe i was bewitched by the culture of freedom but i still remember with a shudder my time as a pious believer on the verge of fanaticism i know all too well how righteousness in the name of islam motivates those who inflict violence on supposed infidelsp divdiv pi have always viewed the emfatwaem against salman rushdie as a strange conflict between two very different figures on the one hand a novelist raised in what was once secular bombay and living in the england of emmonty pythons life of brianem a man in love with literature and language who spent many years on a quest to become a published writer salman is an intellectual a lover of stories and a teller of tales when he wrote emthe satanic versesem he was more interested in the theme of migration than in satirising islam he was certainly not apolitical but he resided in the world of books and the imagination engaging with the real world through fantasy he did not set out to offend muslims but simply assumed that supposedly holy events and texts were fair game for artists to play with just as western writers engaged freely both positively and negatively with christianityp pand then there was the ayatollah a fundamentalist figure who had spent long years of exile in the west before returning to iran to overthrow the despotic regime of the shah in 1979 whenever i read about khomeini i get the impression that he fancied himself a successor to the prophet he was both deeply arrogant and fanatically fundamentalist a very dangerous combination he was also a writer though his subject matter was the quran and islamic law not for him the freely roaming imagination his interest in literature was constrained by islamp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202208d300x199jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarh5how we gave up on salman rushdieh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarspanbyspan will lloydapdivadiv pwhile salman sought to capture the entire world in his novels khomeini couldnt escape religion almost prophetically salman included a khomeinilike figure in emthe satanic versesem a character called only the imam he is also an exile seeking to return to his homeland to overthrow a despot and install his own tyranny like khomeini the imam wants to turn back timep blockquotephistory the intoxicant the creation and possession of the devil of the great shaitan the greatest of the lies progress science rights against which the imam has set his face history is a deviation from the path knowledge is a delusion because the sum of knowledge was complete on the day allah finished his revelation to mahound [the muhammad figure in the novel]pblockquote pand like khomeini the imam succeeds in his quest and devours the very people who saw him as a messiah against the despot in this salman understood so deeply the nature of the iranian regime when so many then and now fail to grasp its fanatical unbending nature the western response to the emfatwaem as to irans nuclear ambitions was to negotiate then as now this is a fundamental misunderstanding of the regime the world of the west and the world of islamism are totally irreconcilable the sooner we realise that nothing will appease the fanatics of tehran the better able we will be to oppose themp pjust look ata hrefhttpsirandataportalsyredufatwaagainstsalmanrushdie the wording of the emfatwaem itselfa i call on all valiant muslims wherever they may be in the world to kill them without delay so that no one will dare insult the sacred beliefs of muslims henceforth whoever is killed in this cause will be a martyr this is the language of honour and of sensitivity salman has blasphemed he has insulted the honour of our precious beliefs and so he and many others must diep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062gettyimages2860767300x197jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarh5the new war on islamismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthe emfatwaem is timeless it wont die with khomeini it is eternal this is why when it comes to fighting islamism the western tools of diplomacy and reason are useless we are faced with an enemy that never gives up who thinks in terms of centuries rather than months or years and who will wait patiently for an opportunity to strike only by understanding these different conceptions of civilisation can we begin to undo the damage wrought by the iranian regime and other islamists across the worldp pit is unfashionable these days to defenda hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiclash_of_civilizations samuel huntingtons clash of civilisations thesisa but the attack on salman shows the truth in it yes there really are different ideas of civilisation and yes they are in conflict with each other the sooner we realise this the sooner we can recover our belief in western civilisation and stand up for it unflinchingly against its enemies both foreign and domesticp psalman would not i imagine phrase it in such a way nor would he place such an emphasis on the westernness of these values but he is nevertheless an exemplar of them a champion of free speech bravely standing up for western ideals when so many shy away from the fight if only more people could follow his example instead of taking the path of appeasement in the name of cultural sensitivity the long years of murder and mayhem wrought by the islamists on the west might come to an endp pi have lived those long years i know all too well the threat islamism poses after i came out as an apostate i was forced into a bubble of protection that still surrounds me to this day i have 24hour security i still receive death threats my friend the sweet vulgar brilliant theo van gogh was murdered simply for making a film with me his attacker used a knife to stab a letter into theos chest it said that i would be nextp pwhen i heard the news about salman last week i couldnt speak i was horrified but i was also emscaredem if they could get him on american soil would i be next although i choose to live with security and salman didnt the attack showed how patient and ruthless the enemy is i am writing this four days after the attack and have slept for as many hours will i ever be free will i ever feel safe will my emchildrenem ever feel safep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202208gettyimages1242015319copyscalede1660315729384300x195jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarh5there is no quotbiden doctrinequoth5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pbut this isnt my story it is the story of salman rushdie and everyone he stands for of all the people in the muslim world and the west who dare to challenge sacred dogmas and find themselves threatened and even murdered for doing so for them for emusem giving into fear is never an option as salman a hrefhttpswwwpenguinrandomhousecombooks158940stepacrossthislinebysalmanrushdiewrotea after 911 how to defeat terrorism dont be terrorised dont let fear rule your life even if you are scaredp pand yet last friday i was scared i felt terrorised i was urged to go into hiding and stay silent for my own safety for a few hours i let fear rule my life but still i knew deep down that freedom is a choice and that i would keep choosing to be free to speak and write as i please in this way in writing this very piece i defy the islamists and all others who would silence mep plike salman i will continue to speak like salman i choose freedomp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202208theinfidelswillnotbesilencedappcommentsview 2 commentsa

pthirtythree years ago teenager nairobi book burner year 1989 year emfatwaem salman rushdie seduced rising tide islamism greeted emfatwaem gleep pi rarely burnt actual books poor afford copy ofema hrefhttpswwwpenguinrandomhousecombooks323746thesatanicversesbysalmanrushdie satanic versesaem instead wrote title offending novel author cardboard paper set alight comical pathetic deadly thought ayatollah khomeini standing islam infidels bringing righteous fury allah vile apostate rushdie attacked celebratedp pin decades refugee atheist convert highest ideals values west free speech freedom conscience emancipation women free press fled forced marriage life europe bewitched culture freedom remember shudder time pious believer verge fanaticism know righteousness islam motivates inflict violence supposed infidelsp divdiv pi viewed emfatwaem salman rushdie strange conflict different figures hand novelist raised secular bombay living england emmonty pythons life brianem man love literature language spent years quest published writer salman intellectual lover stories teller tales wrote emthe satanic versesem interested theme migration satirising islam certainly apolitical resided world books imagination engaging real world fantasy set offend muslims simply assumed supposedly holy events texts fair game artists play western writers engaged freely positively negatively christianityp pand ayatollah fundamentalist figure spent long years exile west returning iran overthrow despotic regime shah 1979 read khomeini impression fancied successor prophet deeply arrogant fanatically fundamentalist dangerous combination writer subject matter quran islamic law freely roaming imagination interest literature constrained islamp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202208d300x199jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarh5how gave salman rushdieh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208howwegaveupsalmanrushdierefinnarspanbyspan lloydapdivadiv pwhile salman sought capture entire world novels khomeini couldnt escape religion prophetically salman included khomeinilike figure emthe satanic versesem character called imam exile seeking return homeland overthrow despot install tyranny like khomeini imam wants turn timep blockquotephistory intoxicant creation possession devil great shaitan greatest lies progress science rights imam set face history deviation path knowledge delusion sum knowledge complete day allah finished revelation mahound [the muhammad figure novel]pblockquote pand like khomeini imam succeeds quest devours people saw messiah despot salman understood deeply nature iranian regime fail grasp fanatical unbending nature western response emfatwaem irans nuclear ambitions negotiate fundamental misunderstanding regime world west world islamism totally irreconcilable sooner realise appease fanatics tehran better able oppose themp pjust look ata hrefhttpsirandataportalsyredufatwaagainstsalmanrushdie wording emfatwaem itselfa valiant muslims world kill delay dare insult sacred beliefs muslims henceforth killed cause martyr language honour sensitivity salman blasphemed insulted honour precious beliefs diep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2022062gettyimages2860767300x197jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarh5the new war islamismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202206thenewwaronislamismrefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthe emfatwaem timeless wont die khomeini eternal comes fighting islamism western tools diplomacy reason useless faced enemy gives thinks terms centuries months years wait patiently opportunity strike understanding different conceptions civilisation begin undo damage wrought iranian regime islamists worldp pit unfashionable days defenda hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiclash_of_civilizations samuel huntingtons clash civilisations thesisa attack salman shows truth yes different ideas civilisation yes conflict sooner realise sooner recover belief western civilisation stand unflinchingly enemies foreign domesticp psalman imagine phrase way place emphasis westernness values exemplar champion free speech bravely standing western ideals shy away fight people follow example instead taking path appeasement cultural sensitivity long years murder mayhem wrought islamists west come endp pi lived long years know threat islamism poses came apostate forced bubble protection surrounds day 24hour security receive death threats friend sweet vulgar brilliant theo van gogh murdered simply making film attacker knife stab letter theos chest said nextp pwhen heard news salman week couldnt speak horrified emscaredem american soil choose live security salman didnt attack showed patient ruthless enemy writing days attack slept hours free feel safe emchildrenem feel safep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202208gettyimages1242015319copyscalede1660315729384300x195jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarh5there quotbiden doctrinequoth5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202208thereisnobidendoctrinerefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pbut isnt story story salman rushdie stands people muslim world west dare challenge sacred dogmas find threatened murdered emusem giving fear option salman hrefhttpswwwpenguinrandomhousecombooks158940stepacrossthislinebysalmanrushdiewrotea 911 defeat terrorism dont terrorised dont let fear rule life scaredp pand friday scared felt terrorised urged hiding stay silent safety hours let fear rule life knew deep freedom choice choosing free speak write way writing piece defy islamists silence mep plike salman continue speak like salman choose freedomp hrefhttpsunherdcom202208theinfidelswillnotbesilencedappcommentsview 2 commentsa

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Russia is still underestimating Ukraine

pfrom its very beginning the course of the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine target_blankwar in ukrainea has been charted in two ways the first is by maps progress has been measured by territory acquired prospects identified by territory in contention challenges described in terms of territory still to be taken we will know the war has ended when either russia has made sufficient gains to satisfy a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvladimirputin target_blankvladimir putina or else ukraine has taken back what russia took the second is by losses claims have been made about how many people have been killed and wounded and how much equipment has been destroyed damaged and abandoned we will know the war has ended when either russia or ukraine has exhausted its capabilities and can no longer continue to fight these two measures are related the consequences of exhaustion are it is assumed to be most likely felt in the battle for territory for now neither measure appears to point to a clear victor to see where this war is tending therefore it is necessary to look beyond both the maps and the lists of lossesp pbut let us start with the maps from the past four months of fighting what is most striking is how little territory has changed hands the russians completed the capture of mariupol and moved forward with an enormous effort in luhansk while ukraine has been nibbling away at their positions in the kharkiv and kherson oblasts and pushed the russians off snake island in the black sea other than that not much so far in this war defence has been dominant this could be seen when russia failed to take kyiv and then withdrew from northern ukrainep pbut if defence remains dominant then how can the war end the russians remain frustrated that they have not even achieved their minimal objective taking the whole of donbas while the ukrainians still have some 20 per cent of their country under an increasingly brutal occupation even the muchvaunted ukrainian offensive to retake kherson appears to have been thwarted for the moment because the russians have moved thousands of troops to boost the citys defence in the process making it less likely that their own anticipated offensive in donetsk will make much headwayp pthe impression therefore is of stalemate in the gloomiest commentary the two sides are presented as punchdrunk boxers trading jabs and uppercuts yet unable to land a knockout blow unlike boxing however there is no referee to bring the fight to an end and let the judges call a winner the two sides seem doomed to keep on punching until one drops from sheer exhaustion such commentaries often lead to proposals for the us to impose a conclusion washington might be sitting in ukraines corner but seeing the pain being inflicted it could be urged to intervene and throw in the towel otherwise they are doomed to slug it out until one can fight no more or else as the logic of the situation is recognised an uneasy truce is agreed perhaps a ceasefire that settles nothing but allows the two armies an opportunity to refresh and recuperate before picking up where they left offp pwith defences dominant and not much territory changing hands this is a war of attrition attrition is normally described as an alternative to a war of manoeuvre which offers the more enticing prospect of a decisive battlefield victory the only prospect of victory in an attritional war is through a series of encounters that have the cumulative effect of leaving the enemy depleted and exhausted generals prefer to think about winning through manoeuvre rather than attrition through bold offensives rather than stubborn defences manoeuvre should be both quicker and less costly concluding with a clear military victory that creates conditions for a clear political victory successful offensives lead to territory being seized and an outcome imposed successful attrition requires the enemy to give upp pfor understandable reasons therefore attrition is disparaged as an inferior and undesirable form of warfare requiring patience and an ability to absorb pain without necessarily offering a plausible route to victory it is often the result as in this case of the aggressor failing to achieve an early victory through manoeuvre it is chosen largely because it is the only alternative to acknowledging defeatp pbut while wars of attrition may lack the dash and drama of manoeuvre ones they can still lead to victory this may be because they create the conditions for a return to manoeuvre warfare or it may be because the losing side recognises that its position can only get worse and needs to find a way out moreover there are different ways of fighting an attritional war and some strategies can be more effective than othersp pthe word attrition derives from a latin word meaning to rub away then it came to refer to repressing a vice and an imperfect form of contrition this led to its original theological english meaning as a lesser form of repentance that had a worldly instead of a spiritual motive lacking the sincerity of true contrition from the start it connoted inferiority and it came to refer to anything from body parts to social conventions that might be worn down over time by the late 19th century attrition was used in a military context though it only became prominent during the first world war after the initial german offensive failed in 1914 the trenches were dug and thereafter combatants took heavy casualties whenever either side tried to mount offensives after that war military thinking was concentrated on how to prevent similar deadlocks in the future through armoured warfare air power or a combination of the twop pattrition was therefore established as a form of warfare to avoid as inferior to beating the opposition in a decisive battle exhausting an enemy through constant sniping skirmishing and harassment took time and increasingly made victory dependent less on the conduct of military operations and more on the underlying economic and social resilience of the belligerent into a contest of endurancep pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202208russianstouristvisabanestoniazelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelensky is wrong to ask the west to ban russian touristsa]emstrongp pthis view of attrition as a lesser strategy has been a prominent feature of contemporary military thought part of the us armys critique of its own performance in vietnam revolved around its reliance on killing as many enemy soldiers as possible in an attempt to make the campaign unsustainable to the communists this led to a preoccupation with body counts as a measure of success and the assumption that every vietnamese killed was an enemy combatant leading to the false observation that the communists had been eliminated many times overp pthose looking for a more intelligent way to fight wars soon identified manoeuvre as the superior form the aim was to rely on speed surprise and mobility to catch out disorient and thus defeat the enemy generals were encouraged to relearn the art of operations liberating themselves from dependence on firepower the model was the german blitzkrieg of 1940 although the eventual outcome of the second world war also offers clues about the problem of military breakthroughs with incomplete victories that do not end the fightingp pin practice the manoeuvreattrition dichotomy can be too sharp it may well be that commanders have to resort to more attritional methods after failing to secure an early victory but that does not preclude a later return to a more dynamic approach indeed inflicting an attritional approach on your opponent can be a sensible precursor to battle instead of rushing an attack exploiting surprise it might make more sense to opt for a more methodical approach taking out enemy capabilities and undermining morale before embarking on an offensive what the americans call preparing the battlefieldp pthere is thus a difference between attrition as a way of wearing down an enemy before embarking on an offensive which might have the additional benefit of persuading the enemy that it is in a hopeless position and attrition that reflects a situation of stalemate in which both sides can resist offensives in these circumstances wider economic and social resilience will matter as both sides try to produce more equipment and ammunition and find more personnel to make up for losses once one side falters in this effort then they might lose as a result of unrest at home or a progressive inability to fight effectively the first world war ended because german forces were weakened by the allied economic blockade as well as the constant fighting in 1918 the germans mounted an offensive that they could not sustain and then failed to cope with the counter from the alliesp palthough the war in ukraine is going through an attritional stage this does not mean there is a stalemate both sides face the problem of defence dominance it is hard to dislodge troops who are well dug in and prepared to fight largescale counteroffensives risk exposing concentrated formations in the open to enemy fire russias recent offensives involved little manoeuvre attempts to encircle ukrainian forces largely failed except for mariupol instead intensive artillery barrages were used to force ukrainian defenders to back away these made possible some small gains at high cost for both sides this stage of the war is coming to an end russia is now struggling to make any significant territorial progress although it hasnt stopped trying meanwhile ukraine is aiming to seize the initiative so that the fighting occurs more on its terms how well it can do so depends on whether it can develop a strategy to fight an attritional warp pattritional warfare relies on assessments of its progress in terms of comparative losses to both equipment and personnel with both sides these assessments are often no more than guesses especially when it comes to casualties in practice much of what we can glean about the extent of their losses comes from the efforts to replace what has been lost attrition is not just a question of which side is suffering most but also who is best able to regenerate their combat capabilities in this respect we can note some of the fundamental asymmetries that continue to shape this wars conductp p1 ukraine is fighting for its sovereignty and territorial integrity and russia is not russia has presented the war as a place to take a stand against both local and distant enemies including nato but it has offered multiple versions of a desirable endstate for this warp p2 russia is a far larger country that has been building up its armed forces it is clear from current efforts at recruitment that it has suffered extensive losses it is unlikely to run out of manpower but there are issues of quality motivation and leadership because of its early mobilisation ukraine has the troops and motivation is high but because many of its best units have been badly hit it needs to train morep p3 russia has vast stocks of weaponry but it is now having to dig deep into these stocks having used up its more modern equipment ukraine lacks the numbers but is now fighting with more modern and effective equipment in terms of crude firepower artillery aircraft and missiles russia has the advantage though it isnt as substantial as the one it started with but its ability to wage manoeuvre warfare is now hindered by limitations with its armour and infantry ukraines capabilities may be improving but they appear to have some way to go thus both sides are stuck with attritional strategies for the momentp p4 the war is being fought almost entirely over ukrainian territory with a few exceptions close to the border ukraine has not attacked targets inside russia and has actively been discouraged by washington from doing sop p5 russia can therefore target vital infrastructure as well as civilian homes inside ukraine on a regular basis this has had devastating effects on the ukrainian economy and everyday life ukraine is unable to respond in kindp p6 to cope with this core asymmetry favouring russia ukraine depends on external assistance western support is vital both to keeping its economy afloat and also hurting russias economy through sanctionsp p7 while ukraine can produce some of its own war materiel it has also become increasingly dependent on external suppliers for its most effective systems russia has few external sources it is acquiring some drones from iran yet its defence production is suffering as a result of sanctions this is why it is increasingly having to make do with vintage equipment but ukraine has been denied systems that can strike russian territory notably modern aircraft as well as longrange rocketsp ptwo conclusions emerge from these asymmetries firstly russia has identified ukraines dependence on external support as its greatest vulnerability and has been looking for ways to undermine this support largely by aggravating the economic crises facing the west the debates in the west on whether support for ukraine will drain away as the economic pain intensifies and war fatigue steps in have acquired a routine quality but all one can say is that so far this has not happened the same is true of direct russian attacks on the ukrainian population the effect has been to reinforce kyivs conviction that it has little choice but to carry on and challenge those who might argue for a more conciliatory approach with moscow to explain why this sort of barbarity should be rewardedp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancominternationalpolitics202208europesleadershipcrisesscholzmacrondraghi target_blankin the grip of overlapping crises europe faces a leadership vacuuma]emstrongp pthe second conclusion is that conditions on the ground should increasingly favour ukraine because of the quality of the systems now entering service and the effectiveness with which it is using them the russians are finding new recruits to send to their front including pressganging individuals in the occupied territories but they can no longer be fussy when it comes to age education background or training life at the front for illprepared troops is becoming more desperatep pthe most striking feature of the fighting since late june has been the vulnerability of ammunition dumps command posts air defence units and now airfields the strike against the saki air base in crimea last week was a big blow not only to russian capabilities with at least nine and possibly as many as 27 aircraft and helicopters destroyed along with airport facilities and ammunition but also to russian selfconfidence the ukrainians are being coy about how they mounted the attacks preferring to leave the russians guessing and the guesswork continues on social media they have said it was not a foreignsupplied system was this a oneoff operation or a new longrange capability if the latter then it warns of many ways in which crimea vladimir putins great gain from 2014 might now be in play it also serves as a reminder of the curious ineptitude of russian tactics they are still underestimating their opponent the ukrainians dispersed their aircraft from the start so that they were not caught at their basesp pwhat we have not seen is ukraine mounting comparable attacks to those mounted by the russians in donbas in may and june in this respect defence remains dominant ukraine is having to follow a strategy that works around its weaknesses while exploiting those of russia this was dubbed back in may as corrosion by the retired australian general mick ryan now a fellow at the center for strategic and international studies ukraine he noted has sought to hollow out the russian physical moral and intellectual capacity to fight and win in ukraine both on the battlefield and in the global information environment this is essentially a form of attrition broadly framed this strategy has recently been sharpened as ukraine makes the position of the russian defenders more parlous threatening to cut them off completely from their supplies as well as their means of escape leaving them more exposed to accurate artillery and air strikes this is the potential risk russian commanders have accepted by sending extra troops into kherson the a relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpswwwpbsorgnewshourworldrussianoccupiedareasfacegrowingukrainianresistance target_blankincreased partisan activity from within the occupied territoriesa is tying down russian troops and adding to their anxiety moreover the spectacular nature of recent ukrainian strikes has eased the need to impress external suppliers that their equipment is being used to good effectp pthere are still opportunities for ukraine to take land until territory changes hands and the maps are amended it is hard to convince doubters that the tide of war has turned in its favour but while the secession referendums supposedly being prepared in russianoccupied territories lack credibility and legitimacy there are strong humanitarian reasons for seeking to liberate them as soon as possiblep pthe official ukrainian line is that the counteroffensive is still underway nonetheless the importance of the damage being inflicted on russian forces is also being emphasised in an address on 10 august the ukrainian president a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvolodymyrzelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelenskya used the classic language of attrition arguing that it was russian losses that would bring the war to an endp pthis is a question that worries absolutely everyone when will the war end someone says months someone a year someone even more but the question of time actually directly depends on the question of the losses that russia will suffer the more losses the occupiers suffer the sooner we will be able to liberate our land and guarantee ukraines security this is what everyone who defends our state and helps ukraine should think about how to inflict the greatest possible losses on the occupiers so that the time of the war gets shorterp pthe problem with attrition is that it doesnt force the enemy to make decisions it works by persuading enemy forces and their political leadership that their position is untenable and likely to get worse so long as they believe theyre only facing temporary difficulties and can turn the situation around or at least show that they have put up a decent fight before folding then the war will continue it is easy to understand why ukraine feels that it has no choice but to carry on fighting and why it is confident that its slowly taking the initiativep pmoscow appears to wish to incorporate seized territory into russia for which it is preparing some dubious procedures that will impress nobody but itself for moscow the war may now be all about denying nato the satisfaction of a ukrainian victory and saving putins blushes there is nonetheless something increasingly desperate about russian rhetoric and behaviour the russian military position is deteriorating and the wests backing for ukraine has yet to slacken the trends favour ukraine at some point putin and his cronies will have to work out how long they can continue to pretend that they have a credible path to victoryp pemlawrence freedman is a regular contributor to the new statesman this piece originally ran on his substack a relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpssamfsubstackcom target_blankcomment is freedaemp pstrongem[see also a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202208alexeinavalnychiefofstaffinterviewleonidvolkov target_blankalexei navalnys chief of staff putinism will now come to an end much soonera]emstrongp

pfrom beginning course relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine target_blankwar ukrainea charted ways maps progress measured territory acquired prospects identified territory contention challenges described terms territory taken know war ended russia sufficient gains satisfy relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvladimirputin target_blankvladimir putina ukraine taken russia took second losses claims people killed wounded equipment destroyed damaged abandoned know war ended russia ukraine exhausted capabilities longer continue fight measures related consequences exhaustion assumed likely felt battle territory measure appears point clear victor war tending necessary look maps lists lossesp pbut let start maps past months fighting striking little territory changed hands russians completed capture mariupol moved forward enormous effort luhansk ukraine nibbling away positions kharkiv kherson oblasts pushed russians snake island black sea far war defence dominant seen russia failed kyiv withdrew northern ukrainep pbut defence remains dominant war end russians remain frustrated achieved minimal objective taking donbas ukrainians 20 cent country increasingly brutal occupation muchvaunted ukrainian offensive retake kherson appears thwarted moment russians moved thousands troops boost citys defence process making likely anticipated offensive donetsk headwayp pthe impression stalemate gloomiest commentary sides presented punchdrunk boxers trading jabs uppercuts unable land knockout blow unlike boxing referee bring fight end let judges winner sides doomed punching drops sheer exhaustion commentaries lead proposals impose conclusion washington sitting ukraines corner seeing pain inflicted urged intervene throw towel doomed slug fight logic situation recognised uneasy truce agreed ceasefire settles allows armies opportunity refresh recuperate picking left offp pwith defences dominant territory changing hands war attrition attrition normally described alternative war manoeuvre offers enticing prospect decisive battlefield victory prospect victory attritional war series encounters cumulative effect leaving enemy depleted exhausted generals prefer think winning manoeuvre attrition bold offensives stubborn defences manoeuvre quicker costly concluding clear military victory creates conditions clear political victory successful offensives lead territory seized outcome imposed successful attrition requires enemy upp pfor understandable reasons attrition disparaged inferior undesirable form warfare requiring patience ability absorb pain necessarily offering plausible route victory result case aggressor failing achieve early victory manoeuvre chosen largely alternative acknowledging defeatp pbut wars attrition lack dash drama manoeuvre ones lead victory create conditions return manoeuvre warfare losing recognises position worse needs find way different ways fighting attritional war strategies effective othersp pthe word attrition derives latin word meaning rub away came refer repressing vice imperfect form contrition led original theological english meaning lesser form repentance worldly instead spiritual motive lacking sincerity true contrition start connoted inferiority came refer body parts social conventions worn time late 19th century attrition military context prominent world war initial german offensive failed 1914 trenches dug combatants took heavy casualties tried mount offensives war military thinking concentrated prevent similar deadlocks future armoured warfare air power combination twop pattrition established form warfare avoid inferior beating opposition decisive battle exhausting enemy constant sniping skirmishing harassment took time increasingly victory dependent conduct military operations underlying economic social resilience belligerent contest endurancep pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202208russianstouristvisabanestoniazelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelensky wrong ask west ban russian touristsa]emstrongp pthis view attrition lesser strategy prominent feature contemporary military thought armys critique performance vietnam revolved reliance killing enemy soldiers possible attempt campaign unsustainable communists led preoccupation body counts measure success assumption vietnamese killed enemy combatant leading false observation communists eliminated times overp pthose looking intelligent way fight wars soon identified manoeuvre superior form aim rely speed surprise mobility catch disorient defeat enemy generals encouraged relearn art operations liberating dependence firepower model german blitzkrieg 1940 eventual outcome second world war offers clues problem military breakthroughs incomplete victories end fightingp pin practice manoeuvreattrition dichotomy sharp commanders resort attritional methods failing secure early victory preclude later return dynamic approach inflicting attritional approach opponent sensible precursor battle instead rushing attack exploiting surprise sense opt methodical approach taking enemy capabilities undermining morale embarking offensive americans preparing battlefieldp pthere difference attrition way wearing enemy embarking offensive additional benefit persuading enemy hopeless position attrition reflects situation stalemate sides resist offensives circumstances wider economic social resilience matter sides try produce equipment ammunition find personnel losses falters effort lose result unrest home progressive inability fight effectively world war ended german forces weakened allied economic blockade constant fighting 1918 germans mounted offensive sustain failed cope counter alliesp palthough war ukraine going attritional stage mean stalemate sides face problem defence dominance hard dislodge troops dug prepared fight largescale counteroffensives risk exposing concentrated formations open enemy fire russias recent offensives involved little manoeuvre attempts encircle ukrainian forces largely failed mariupol instead intensive artillery barrages force ukrainian defenders away possible small gains high cost sides stage war coming end russia struggling significant territorial progress hasnt stopped trying ukraine aiming seize initiative fighting occurs terms depends develop strategy fight attritional warp pattritional warfare relies assessments progress terms comparative losses equipment personnel sides assessments guesses especially comes casualties practice glean extent losses comes efforts replace lost attrition question suffering best able regenerate combat capabilities respect note fundamental asymmetries continue shape wars conductp p1 ukraine fighting sovereignty territorial integrity russia russia presented war place stand local distant enemies including nato offered multiple versions desirable endstate warp p2 russia far larger country building armed forces clear current efforts recruitment suffered extensive losses unlikely run manpower issues quality motivation leadership early mobilisation ukraine troops motivation high best units badly hit needs train morep p3 russia vast stocks weaponry having dig deep stocks having modern equipment ukraine lacks numbers fighting modern effective equipment terms crude firepower artillery aircraft missiles russia advantage isnt substantial started ability wage manoeuvre warfare hindered limitations armour infantry ukraines capabilities improving appear way sides stuck attritional strategies momentp p4 war fought entirely ukrainian territory exceptions close border ukraine attacked targets inside russia actively discouraged washington sop p5 russia target vital infrastructure civilian homes inside ukraine regular basis devastating effects ukrainian economy everyday life ukraine unable respond kindp p6 cope core asymmetry favouring russia ukraine depends external assistance western support vital keeping economy afloat hurting russias economy sanctionsp p7 ukraine produce war materiel increasingly dependent external suppliers effective systems russia external sources acquiring drones iran defence production suffering result sanctions increasingly having vintage equipment ukraine denied systems strike russian territory notably modern aircraft longrange rocketsp ptwo conclusions emerge asymmetries firstly russia identified ukraines dependence external support greatest vulnerability looking ways undermine support largely aggravating economic crises facing west debates west support ukraine drain away economic pain intensifies war fatigue steps acquired routine quality far happened true direct russian attacks ukrainian population effect reinforce kyivs conviction little choice carry challenge argue conciliatory approach moscow explain sort barbarity rewardedp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancominternationalpolitics202208europesleadershipcrisesscholzmacrondraghi target_blankin grip overlapping crises europe faces leadership vacuuma]emstrongp pthe second conclusion conditions ground increasingly favour ukraine quality systems entering service effectiveness russians finding new recruits send including pressganging individuals occupied territories longer fussy comes age education background training life illprepared troops desperatep pthe striking feature fighting late june vulnerability ammunition dumps command posts air defence units airfields strike saki air base crimea week big blow russian capabilities possibly 27 aircraft helicopters destroyed airport facilities ammunition russian selfconfidence ukrainians coy mounted attacks preferring leave russians guessing guesswork continues social media said foreignsupplied system oneoff operation new longrange capability warns ways crimea vladimir putins great gain 2014 play serves reminder curious ineptitude russian tactics underestimating opponent ukrainians dispersed aircraft start caught basesp pwhat seen ukraine mounting comparable attacks mounted russians donbas june respect defence remains dominant ukraine having follow strategy works weaknesses exploiting russia dubbed corrosion retired australian general mick ryan fellow center strategic international studies ukraine noted sought hollow russian physical moral intellectual capacity fight win ukraine battlefield global information environment essentially form attrition broadly framed strategy recently sharpened ukraine makes position russian defenders parlous threatening cut completely supplies means escape leaving exposed accurate artillery air strikes potential risk russian commanders accepted sending extra troops kherson relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpswwwpbsorgnewshourworldrussianoccupiedareasfacegrowingukrainianresistance target_blankincreased partisan activity occupied territoriesa tying russian troops adding anxiety spectacular nature recent ukrainian strikes eased need impress external suppliers equipment good effectp pthere opportunities ukraine land territory changes hands maps amended hard convince doubters tide war turned favour secession referendums supposedly prepared russianoccupied territories lack credibility legitimacy strong humanitarian reasons seeking liberate soon possiblep pthe official ukrainian line counteroffensive underway nonetheless importance damage inflicted russian forces emphasised address 10 august ukrainian president relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtagvolodymyrzelensky target_blankvolodymyr zelenskya classic language attrition arguing russian losses bring war endp pthis question worries absolutely war end says months year question time actually directly depends question losses russia suffer losses occupiers suffer sooner able liberate land guarantee ukraines security defends state helps ukraine think inflict greatest possible losses occupiers time war gets shorterp pthe problem attrition doesnt force enemy decisions works persuading enemy forces political leadership position untenable likely worse long believe theyre facing temporary difficulties turn situation decent fight folding war continue easy understand ukraine feels choice carry fighting confident slowly taking initiativep pmoscow appears wish incorporate seized territory russia preparing dubious procedures impress moscow war denying nato satisfaction ukrainian victory saving putins blushes nonetheless increasingly desperate russian rhetoric behaviour russian military position deteriorating wests backing ukraine slacken trends favour ukraine point putin cronies work long continue pretend credible path victoryp pemlawrence freedman regular contributor new statesman piece originally ran substack relnoreferrer noopener nofollow hrefhttpssamfsubstackcom target_blankcomment freedaemp pstrongem[see relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeuropeukraine202208alexeinavalnychiefofstaffinterviewleonidvolkov target_blankalexei navalnys chief staff putinism come end soonera]emstrongp

62febddeb1dc98b4a57980fc

The Inflation Reduction Act Barely Puts a Dent in the Deficit

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208inflationjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208inflation1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208inflation600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208inflation331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208inflationjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208inflation1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208inflation600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208inflation331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altinflation srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhen president joe biden took office the congressional budget office cbo estimated that the federal government was on pace to run a 121 trillion deficit over the following 10 yearsp pbut thanks to a boatload of new spending passed by congress and signed by biden during his first 16 months in the white house that figure a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionlieshas climbeda to a hrefhttpswwwcbogovpublication58147about 145 trilliona in short biden has a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220613whybidensclaimofcuttingthedeficitisfalseinasinglechartoverseen a 24 trillion increasea in americas longterm budget deficitp pspanone way or another that shortfall has to be accounted for by cutting spending raising taxes or printing money spanso what does the newspan a hrefhttpsreasoncompodcast20220808theresnothinglegacydefiningabouttheinflationreductionactinflation reduction acta do spanto address the problemp pit doesnt cut unnecessary spending or wasteful government programs instead it a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220812congressjustpassedtheinflationreductionactitwillhiketaxesonsomemiddleclasshouseholdsraises taxesa and those tax increases will only reduce the deficit by about 300 billion thats just 2 percent of what the government is forecasted to borrow over the decade after biden took officep pspanin other words even if you assume congress wont further hike spending wed still need aboutspanspan em50 more billsemspanspan just like the inflation reduction act to avoid adding more debt in the next decade and that doesnt even address the 30 trillion in debt the country has already accumulated spanp peven that small deficit reduction requires a massive spancorporate tax increase that will hurt the economy theres also a plan to squeeze more money out of taxpayers by a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220811irscontroversiallyclaimshiring87000newagentswontmeanhigherauditrateforthemiddleclasshiring 87000 new irs agentsa and a hrefhttpsreasoncompodcast20220812mattwelchdemswanttospendyourmoneytotakemoreofyourmoneybeefing up the agencys audit powersaspanp pspanthis bill is indeed the first major piece of legislation to move through congress that would have even a slightly positive impact on future federal deficits since at least the middle of the obama years but its not a serious attempt to grapple with our coming fiscal nightmarespanp pspanthe actual drivers of future deficits are entitlement programs president biden and congress are doing nothing to reformspan a hrefhttpsmedia4manhattaninstituteorgsitesdefaultfilesbudgetchartbook2021finalpdfspanthe programs that account for about half of the longterm budget deficit medicare medicaid and social security thirtysix trillion of the 72 trillion dollars the federal government is expected to spend over the next 10 years goes to pay for these programsspanaspanspanspan social security and medicare in particular are expected to ring up massive budget deficits over the next decade because theyre structured like a ponzi scheme in which current workers are paying the benefits of todays beneficiaries a massive wave of older americans are retiring and beginning to receive benefits and there arent enough workingage americans to cover what theyre owed the system is starting to collapsespanp pyes 300 billion might sound like a lot of money but in the context of government spending under bush obama trump and bidenas well as the exploding costs of eldercare entitlementsits not very much at allp pmusic credits quoteverytimequot by ben fox via artlistp pphoto credits neon tommy cc bysa 20 via wikimedia commons bill clarkcq roll callnewscom ron sachs cnppolarisnewscom michael brochsteinsipa usanewscom n giovannucci cc bysa 40 via wikimedia commons tulane public relations cc by 20 via wikimedia commons craig michaud at english wikipedia cc by 30 via wikimedia commons cnpadmediasipanewscomp pwritten and narrated by eric boehm edited by regan taylorp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220818theinflationreductionactbarelyputsadentinthedeficitthe inflation reduction act barely puts a dent in the deficita appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208inflationjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208inflation1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208inflation600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208inflation331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208inflationjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208inflation1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208inflation600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208inflation331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altinflation srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208inflation800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhen president joe biden took office congressional budget office cbo estimated federal government pace run 121 trillion deficit following 10 yearsp pbut thanks boatload new spending passed congress signed biden 16 months white house figure hrefhttpsreasoncom20220527newcboreportexposesbidensdeficitreductionlieshas climbeda hrefhttpswwwcbogovpublication58147about 145 trilliona short biden hrefhttpsreasoncom20220613whybidensclaimofcuttingthedeficitisfalseinasinglechartoverseen 24 trillion increasea americas longterm budget deficitp pspanone way shortfall accounted cutting spending raising taxes printing money spanso newspana hrefhttpsreasoncompodcast20220808theresnothinglegacydefiningabouttheinflationreductionactinflation reduction acta spanto address problemp pit doesnt cut unnecessary spending wasteful government programs instead hrefhttpsreasoncom20220812congressjustpassedtheinflationreductionactitwillhiketaxesonsomemiddleclasshouseholdsraises taxesa tax increases reduce deficit 300 billion thats 2 percent government forecasted borrow decade biden took officep pspanin words assume congress wont hike spending wed need aboutspanspanem50 billsemspanspan like inflation reduction act avoid adding debt decade doesnt address 30 trillion debt country accumulatedspanp peven small deficit reduction requires massive spancorporate tax increase hurt economy theres plan squeeze money taxpayers hrefhttpsreasoncom20220811irscontroversiallyclaimshiring87000newagentswontmeanhigherauditrateforthemiddleclasshiring 87000 new irs agentsa hrefhttpsreasoncompodcast20220812mattwelchdemswanttospendyourmoneytotakemoreofyourmoneybeefing agencys audit powersaspanp pspanthis bill major piece legislation congress slightly positive impact future federal deficits middle obama years attempt grapple coming fiscal nightmarespanp pspanthe actual drivers future deficits entitlement programs president biden congress reformspan hrefhttpsmedia4manhattaninstituteorgsitesdefaultfilesbudgetchartbook2021finalpdfspanthe programs account half longterm budget deficit medicare medicaid social security thirtysix trillion 72 trillion dollars federal government expected spend 10 years goes pay programsspanaspanspanspan social security medicare particular expected ring massive budget deficits decade theyre structured like ponzi scheme current workers paying benefits todays beneficiaries massive wave older americans retiring beginning receive benefits arent workingage americans cover theyre owed system starting collapsespanp pyes 300 billion sound like lot money context government spending bush obama trump bidenas exploding costs eldercare entitlementsits allp pmusic credits quoteverytimequot ben fox artlistp pphoto credits neon tommy cc bysa 20 wikimedia commons bill clarkcq roll callnewscom ron sachs cnppolarisnewscom michael brochsteinsipa usanewscom n giovannucci cc bysa 40 wikimedia commons tulane public relations cc 20 wikimedia commons craig michaud english wikipedia cc 30 wikimedia commons cnpadmediasipanewscomp pwritten narrated eric boehm edited regan taylorp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220818theinflationreductionactbarelyputsadentinthedeficitthe inflation reduction act barely puts dent deficita appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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Judges Who Sent Kids to Detention Centers for Financial Kickbacks Ordered To Pay Over $200 Million

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247812400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247811200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247812400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247811200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altteenage boy in handcuffs srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanfor almostspan a hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20121019024006httpwwwjusticegovusaopamcorruptionciavarella_conahanconahan20and20ciavarella20informationpdfspanseven yearsspanaspan two pennsylvania judges sent hundreds of childrensome of them as young as 8 years oldto privately run juvenile detention centers in exchange for financial kickbacks on tuesday judge christopher connerspan a hrefhttpswwwpamduscourtsgovsitespamdfilesopinions09v286pdfspanorderedspanaspan former judges mark a ciavarella and michael t conahan to pay over 200 million in compensatory and punitive damages to their victims spanp pspanstarting in 2000 the pair sent children into juvenile detention for offenses as innocuous as jaywalking petty theft or truancy in what became known as the quotkids for cashquot scandal the children were sent to two privately run detention centers whose builder and coowner paid the men 28 million according to the associated press over the course of the schemespanp pspanaccording to testimony from plaintiffs during the classaction suit many of thespan a hrefhttpswwwpamduscourtsgovsitespamdfilesopinions09v286pdfspansentencesspanaspan the children received were staggering one plaintiff who was 16 at the time was sentenced to 11 months for driving the wrong way down a oneway street without a license another girl then only 10 was sent to detention for a schoolyard fight with no serious injuries one child was sent to detention for stealing a hershey bar another for writing on a school window with a marker several plaintiffs testified that their sentences were based on entirely arbitrary means such as the number of birds in a tree outside the courtroom or the number of buttons on a girls blouse one plaintiff was sentenced to an additional eight months in detention after ciavarella instructed him to pick a sports team and he picked the wrong one  spanp pspanquotthe luzerne county court system failed usquot said one unnamed plaintiff quotthey [ciavarella and conahan] had abused their power and in my opinion should never see the daylight again the scars of this scandal will continue to live with all of us as a survivor i can assure you the impact of this mans greed [will never] be over or forgottenquotspanp pspanaccording tospan a hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewskidsforcashjudgesmarkciavarellamichaelconahan200milliondamagesspancbs newsspanaspan following the plots discovery the pennsylvania supreme court has thrown out 4000 juvenile convictions between 2003 and 2008 however many of the plaintiffs still suffer from mental health problems several children sent to detention by ciavarella and conahan have died by suicide or drug overdose in the years after their detentionspanp pspanquotchildren and adolescents suffered unspeakable physical and emotional trauma at the hands of two judicial officers who swore by solemn oath to uphold the lawquot judge conner wrote in a memorandum on the ruling quotciavarella and conahan abandoned their oath and breached the public trust their cruel and despicable actions victimized a vulnerable population of young people many of whom were suffering from emotional issues and mental health concernsquotspanp pspanunfortunately it is unlikely that any of the plaintiffs will receive financial compensation for their unjust detentions as according tospan a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecrimetrendingnewsgovernmentandpolitics6f30f575dc739415af1e5b47b1be50f0spanthe apspanaspan ciavarella and conahan are now serving lengthy prison sentences ciavarella was sentenced to 28 years in prison and conahan was sentenced to 17 years though he was released to home confinement in 2020 citing covid19related concernsspanp pspanregardless the ruling is considered quota huge victoryquot for the victims marsha levick a lawyer for the victimsspan a hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecrimetrendingnewsgovernmentandpolitics6f30f575dc739415af1e5b47b1be50f0spantold the apspanaspan that the ruling quotrecognizes the gravity of what the judges did to these children in the midst of some of the most critical years of their childhood and developmentquotspanp pspanthe plaintiffs in this case quotare the tragic human casualties of a scandal of epic proportions the law is powerless to restore to plaintiffs the weeks months and years lost because of the actions of the defendantsquot wrote conner quotbut we hope that by listening to their experiences and acknowledging the depth of the damage done to their lives we can provide them with a measure of closure andensure that their stories are never forgottenquotspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220818judgeswhosentkidstodetentioncentersforfinancialkickbacksorderedtopayover200millionjudges who sent kids to detention centers for financial kickbacks ordered to pay over 200 milliona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247812400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247811200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247812400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_215247811200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altteenage boy handcuffs srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208dreamstime_xxl_21524781800x450jpg height675 picture div pspanfor almostspan hrefhttpswebarchiveorgweb20121019024006httpwwwjusticegovusaopamcorruptionciavarella_conahanconahan20and20ciavarella20informationpdfspanseven yearsspanaspan pennsylvania judges sent hundreds childrensome young 8 years oldto privately run juvenile detention centers exchange financial kickbacks tuesday judge christopher connerspan hrefhttpswwwpamduscourtsgovsitespamdfilesopinions09v286pdfspanorderedspanaspan judges mark ciavarella michael t conahan pay 200 million compensatory punitive damages victims spanp pspanstarting 2000 pair sent children juvenile detention offenses innocuous jaywalking petty theft truancy known quotkids cashquot scandal children sent privately run detention centers builder coowner paid men 28 million according associated press course schemespanp pspanaccording testimony plaintiffs classaction suit thespan hrefhttpswwwpamduscourtsgovsitespamdfilesopinions09v286pdfspansentencesspanaspan children received staggering plaintiff 16 time sentenced 11 months driving wrong way oneway street license girl 10 sent detention schoolyard fight injuries child sent detention stealing hershey bar writing school window marker plaintiffs testified sentences based entirely arbitrary means number birds tree outside courtroom number buttons girls blouse plaintiff sentenced additional months detention ciavarella instructed pick sports team picked wrong onespanp pspanquotthe luzerne county court system failed usquot said unnamed plaintiff quotthey [ciavarella conahan] abused power opinion daylight scars scandal continue live survivor assure impact mans greed [will never] forgottenquotspanp pspanaccording tospan hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewskidsforcashjudgesmarkciavarellamichaelconahan200milliondamagesspancbs newsspanaspan following plots discovery pennsylvania supreme court thrown 4000 juvenile convictions 2003 2008 plaintiffs suffer mental health problems children sent detention ciavarella conahan died suicide drug overdose years detentionspanp pspanquotchildren adolescents suffered unspeakable physical emotional trauma hands judicial officers swore solemn oath uphold lawquot judge conner wrote memorandum ruling quotciavarella conahan abandoned oath breached public trust cruel despicable actions victimized vulnerable population young people suffering emotional issues mental health concernsquotspanp pspanunfortunately unlikely plaintiffs receive financial compensation unjust detentions according tospan hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecrimetrendingnewsgovernmentandpolitics6f30f575dc739415af1e5b47b1be50f0spanthe apspanaspan ciavarella conahan serving lengthy prison sentences ciavarella sentenced 28 years prison conahan sentenced 17 years released home confinement 2020 citing covid19related concernsspanp pspanregardless ruling considered quota huge victoryquot victims marsha levick lawyer victimsspan hrefhttpsapnewscomarticlecrimetrendingnewsgovernmentandpolitics6f30f575dc739415af1e5b47b1be50f0spantold apspanaspan ruling quotrecognizes gravity judges children midst critical years childhood developmentquotspanp pspanthe plaintiffs case quotare tragic human casualties scandal epic proportions law powerless restore plaintiffs weeks months years lost actions defendantsquot wrote conner quotbut hope listening experiences acknowledging depth damage lives provide measure closure andensure stories forgottenquotspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220818judgeswhosentkidstodetentioncentersforfinancialkickbacksorderedtopayover200millionjudges sent kids detention centers financial kickbacks ordered pay 200 milliona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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Answering Criticism of our Ukraine Coverage with Paul Jay (pt 2/3)

a relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsansweringcriticismofourukrainecoveragewithpauljaypt23 titleanswering criticism of our ukraine coverage with paul jay pt 23img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine21024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine21024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2jpg 1281w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576appaul comments on the events of 2014 the role of zelenskyy the deception of humanitarian intervention and dying and killing for a nationalism that serves the oligarchs paul jay is interviewed by colin bruce anthes on theanalysisnews answering criticism of our ukraine coverage with paul jay pt 23 answering criticism of our ukraine coverage with paul jay pt 13 russia climate crisisp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsansweringcriticismofourukrainecoveragewithpauljaypt23sourceap

relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsansweringcriticismofourukrainecoveragewithpauljaypt23 titleanswering criticism ukraine coverage paul jay pt 23img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine21024x576jpg width1024 alt srcsethttpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine21024x576jpg 1024w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2300x169jpg 300w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2768x432jpg 768w httpstheanalysisnewswpcontentuploads202208colinbriceukraine2jpg 1281w classwebfeedsfeaturedvisual wppostimage height576appaul comments events 2014 role zelenskyy deception humanitarian intervention dying killing nationalism serves oligarchs paul jay interviewed colin bruce anthes theanalysisnews answering criticism ukraine coverage paul jay pt 23 answering criticism ukraine coverage paul jay pt 13 russia climate crisisp pa relnofollow hrefhttpstheanalysisnewsansweringcriticismofourukrainecoveragewithpauljaypt23sourceap

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Healthcare Triage Podcast: Addressing Health Disparities

pin this episode dr jasmine gonzalvo talks with dr aaron carroll about her teams efforts to address health disparities through purdue universitys center for health equity and innovation cheqi they discuss ways cheqis work has expanded during the covid19 pandemic and how theyre training the next generation of pharmacists to support underrepresented communitiesp p p piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpshtml5playerlibsyncomembedepisodeid24084249height90themecustomthumbnailyesdirectionforwardrenderplaylistnocustomcolor000000 width100 height90iframep pthis healthcare triage podcast episode is cosponsored by indiana university school of medicine whose mission is to advance health in the state of indiana and beyond by promoting innovation and excellence in education research and patient care and the indiana clinical and translational sciences institute a three way partnership among indiana university purdue university and the university of notre dame striving to make indiana a healthier state by empowering research through pilot funding research education and training more information on the indiana ctsi can be found by visiting indianactsiorgpthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresshealthcaretriagepodcastaddressinghealthdisparitieshealthcare triage podcast addressing health disparitiesa first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

pin episode dr jasmine gonzalvo talks dr aaron carroll teams efforts address health disparities purdue universitys center health equity innovation cheqi discuss ways cheqis work expanded covid19 pandemic theyre training generation pharmacists support underrepresented communitiesp pp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpshtml5playerlibsyncomembedepisodeid24084249height90themecustomthumbnailyesdirectionforwardrenderplaylistnocustomcolor000000 width100 height90iframep pthis healthcare triage podcast episode cosponsored indiana university school medicine mission advance health state indiana promoting innovation excellence education research patient care indiana clinical translational sciences institute way partnership indiana university purdue university university notre dame striving indiana healthier state empowering research pilot funding research education training information indiana ctsi found visiting indianactsiorgpthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresshealthcaretriagepodcastaddressinghealthdisparitieshealthcare triage podcast addressing health disparitiesa appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

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Why is female labor force participation declining in India?

pone of the big problems in the indian economy and in gender relations is that economic growth has not translated into more women working in fact the contrary  this paper is a little bit old 2014 but so far the most systematic analysis i have foundp blockquotepwe analyse four prominent hypotheses of the root causes of declining female participation the findings in this paper indicate that a number of factors were responsible for the recent sharp decline in estimated labour force participation rates among workingage women some factors such as increased attendance in education and higher household income levels are no doubt a positive reflection of rapid economic development additionally we find evidence that changes in measurement methodology across survey rounds is likely to have contributed to the estimated decline in female participation due to the difficulty of differentiating between domestic duties and contributing family work however the key longrun issue is the lack of employment opportunities for indias women owing to factors such as occupational segregationpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwiloorgwcmsp5groupspublicdgreportsinstdocumentspublicationwcms_250977pdf target_blankthe full papera by steven kapsos evangelia bourmpoula and andrea silberman  a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs1010801354570120211986226 target_blankdhanaraj and mahambaria suggest that women who work are more likely to be the targets of domestic violence another factor holding back labor force participation  what else do you know on this topicp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208whyisfemalelaborforceparticipationdeclininginindiahtmlwhy is female labor force participation declining in indiaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pone big problems indian economy gender relations economic growth translated women working fact contrary paper little bit old 2014 far systematic analysis foundp blockquotepwe analyse prominent hypotheses root causes declining female participation findings paper indicate number factors responsible recent sharp decline estimated labour force participation rates workingage women factors increased attendance education higher household income levels doubt positive reflection rapid economic development additionally find evidence changes measurement methodology survey rounds likely contributed estimated decline female participation difficulty differentiating domestic duties contributing family work key longrun issue lack employment opportunities indias women owing factors occupational segregationpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwiloorgwcmsp5groupspublicdgreportsinstdocumentspublicationwcms_250977pdf target_blankthe papera steven kapsos evangelia bourmpoula andrea silberman relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs1010801354570120211986226 target_blankdhanaraj mahambaria suggest women work likely targets domestic violence factor holding labor force participation know topicp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208whyisfemalelaborforceparticipationdeclininginindiahtmlwhy female labor force participation declining indiaa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Biden moves to show off wins in the shadow of inflation, Trump probe

ppresident biden is finally set to take his show on the roadp pbiden and administration officials are set to tour the country to promote the sweeping climate tax and health care bill that the president and democrats hope will bolster their standing ahead of novembers crucial midterm elections p pbut the tour comes in the shadow of stubbornly low approval ratings and questions swirling among democrats over whether he should run for reelection in 2024 despite some indicators that inflation and prices at the pump are slowly coming downp pthen theres donald trump a relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcompolicynationalsecurity3593418fbiraidstrumpsmaralago hrefhttpsthehillcompolicynationalsecurity3593418fbiraidstrumpsmaralago datatypeurl target_blankan investigationa into the former president has republicans alleging biden is using his own fbi and justice department to target a political enemy a notion the white house has vehemently tried to tamp downp phes had some tremendous wins and it seems like he cant win lately he cant catch a break said one democratic donor who likened the moment to the 2020 campaign when biden was losing in the polls and being drowned out in the media by his rival  p pbiden allies have quietly voiced frustration in recent days that his string of domestic victories has been eclipsed by a relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcomregulationcourtbattles3602748herearetrumpsshiftingdefensesfortakingclassifieddocumentstomaralago hrefhttpsthehillcomregulationcourtbattles3602748herearetrumpsshiftingdefensesfortakingclassifieddocumentstomaralago datatypeurl target_blankthe headlines on maralagoa each day more news comes out about the fbi investigation into trump and its showing no signs of slowing down after a judge indicated on thursday that he may unseal parts of an affidavit accompanying the search warrant the justice department usedp pthe reality is that theres so much news every single day and [bidens] accomplishments can sometimes get lost if youre not out there talking about that every single day said xochitl hinojosa a former communications director at the democratic national committee dnc if youre looking at the totality of what hes accomplished and especially the inflation reduction act you have to continue to really talk to voters and spend money to not only persuade voters but to turn them out around our successes ahead of the midterm electionsp pthe president is set to rally voters at a dnc event in maryland next thursday and host an event at the white house early next month for a victory lap of the inflation reduction act ira then the white house has said he will travel across the country to tout the irap pcabinet members have already started heading out to states for a roadshow on the ira and have 35 trips to 23 states planned through the end of augustp pthe president is set to rally voters at a dnc event in maryland next thursday and host an event at the white house early next month for a victory lap of the inflation reduction act irap pcabinet members started heading out to states for a roadshow to tout the ira on wednesday and have 35 trips to 23 states planned through the end of augustp pfor biden hell have to carefully pick his spots said one democratic strategist who acknowledged that the coming months would prove to be challenging particularly with woes about inflation lingering in the backdrop  p pits a juggle for biden the strategist said i think certainly the president has got the agenda accomplishments that he can point to but in many ways hes a bystander and its the bystander presidencyp phe wasnt the primary driver on the ira he wasnt the primary driver on chips or gun legislation they added of bidens recent legislative achievements but he has a lot he can run onp pand in some ways the trump headlines play in bidens favor political observers say p phe can do both at once said julian zelizer a professor of history and public affairs at princeton university promote his accomplishments remind voters of the danger of republican powerquotp pthe best hope for democrats is to hit hard on both themes without letting one dominate the other zelizer said making gains in a midterm year is tough to do but the goal is marginal improvement with swing votersp pbut others argue that swing voters are too focused on the economy and high inflation and not necessarily trump to be swayed by hearing about democrats big legislative achievementp pwhile the ira is a major policy win for the administration politically it seems more likely to rally the dem base than win over swing voters concerned by stressful macroeconomic trends said bruce mehlman former assistant secretary at the commerce department under president george w bushp pjeff jones senior editor at gallup expressed doubt that biden could see a significant boost mainly because domestic policy achievements typically dont move the needle too muchp pa lot of it is determined by the approval rating and his approval rating is low even if he did get some kind of bump from the recent news he saidp pbidens approval rating ticked up 3 percentage points this past week in a new poll in the wake of a relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcomhomenewsadministration3604363bidensignsexpansivehealthclimatebillintolaw hrefhttpsthehillcomhomenewsadministration3604363bidensignsexpansivehealthclimatebillintolaw datatypeurl target_blankhis signing the iraa with 42 percent of registered voters saying they approve of the job he is doing as president the same survey released last week showed his approval rating was at 39 percentp pthe president plagued by lingering poor scores has been unable in multiple polls to break 40 percent approval in recent monthsp pmost presidents either have an anchor effect or a buoy effect and right now it seems like this president is having a neutral effect said democratic strategist joel payne who added that that is in part by design p pthe president has gotten out of the way in some places but its also because republicans have not figured out how to tie up the loose ends from the trump era the story right now is still the 45th president the one that biden beat p pother news from trump world like the tax fraud guilty plea of former trump organization chief financial officer allen weisselberg this week is taking up oxygen while the white house has worked to turn the narrative to their winsp pdespite all the noise democratic communications strategist katie grant drew said the ira along with the chips and science act and gun control legislation gives democrats plenty to talk to voters about in the next three months until the midtermsp pthis gives democrats a real positive record to run on as opposed to making the much tougher argument of what democrats would do if only they had larger majorities said drew a principal at monument advocacy p pdemocrats will need to keep the message direct and simple this law is going to lower health care costs seniors will pay less for their prescription drugs and its the most significant step taken to tackle the climate crisis she added it shows that democrats can get big things donep pemmorgan chalfant contributed to this reportemp

ppresident biden finally set roadp pbiden administration officials set tour country promote sweeping climate tax health care bill president democrats hope bolster standing ahead novembers crucial midterm electionsp pbut tour comes shadow stubbornly low approval ratings questions swirling democrats run reelection 2024 despite indicators inflation prices pump slowly coming downp pthen theres donald trump relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcompolicynationalsecurity3593418fbiraidstrumpsmaralago hrefhttpsthehillcompolicynationalsecurity3593418fbiraidstrumpsmaralago datatypeurl target_blankan investigationa president republicans alleging biden fbi justice department target political enemy notion white house vehemently tried tamp downp phes tremendous wins like cant win lately cant catch break said democratic donor likened moment 2020 campaign biden losing polls drowned media rivalp pbiden allies quietly voiced frustration recent days string domestic victories eclipsed relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcomregulationcourtbattles3602748herearetrumpsshiftingdefensesfortakingclassifieddocumentstomaralago hrefhttpsthehillcomregulationcourtbattles3602748herearetrumpsshiftingdefensesfortakingclassifieddocumentstomaralago datatypeurl target_blankthe headlines maralagoa day news comes fbi investigation trump showing signs slowing judge indicated thursday unseal parts affidavit accompanying search warrant justice department usedp pthe reality theres news single day [bidens] accomplishments lost youre talking single day said xochitl hinojosa communications director democratic national committee dnc youre looking totality hes accomplished especially inflation reduction act continue talk voters spend money persuade voters turn successes ahead midterm electionsp pthe president set rally voters dnc event maryland thursday host event white house early month victory lap inflation reduction act irathen white house said travel country tout irap pcabinet members havealreadystarted heading states roadshowonthe ira 35 trips 23 states planned end augustp pthe president set rally voters dnc event maryland thursday host event white house early month victory lap inflation reduction act irap pcabinet members started heading states roadshow tout ira wednesday 35 trips 23 states planned end augustp pfor biden hell carefully pick spots said democratic strategist acknowledged coming months prove challenging particularly woes inflation lingering backdropp pits juggle biden strategist said think certainly president got agenda accomplishments point ways hes bystander bystander presidencyp phe wasnt primary driver ira wasnt primary driver chips gun legislation added bidens recent legislative achievements lot run onp pand ways trump headlines play bidens favor political observers sayp phe said julian zelizer professor history public affairs princeton university promote accomplishments remind voters danger republican powerquotp pthe best hope democrats hit hard themes letting dominate zelizer said making gains midterm year tough goal marginal improvement swing votersp pbut argue swing voters focused economy high inflation necessarily trump swayed hearing democrats big legislative achievementp pwhile ira major policy win administration politically likely rally dem base win swing voters concerned stressful macroeconomic trends said bruce mehlman assistant secretary commerce department president george w bushp pjeff jones senior editor gallup expressed doubt biden significant boost mainly domestic policy achievements typically dont needle muchp pa lot determined approval rating approval rating low kind bump recent news saidp pbidens approval rating ticked 3 percentage points past week new poll wake relnoreferrer noopener dataidhttpsthehillcomhomenewsadministration3604363bidensignsexpansivehealthclimatebillintolaw hrefhttpsthehillcomhomenewsadministration3604363bidensignsexpansivehealthclimatebillintolaw datatypeurl target_blankhis signing iraa 42 percent registered voters saying approve job president survey released week showed approval rating 39 percentp pthe president plagued lingering poor scores unable multiple polls break 40 percent approval recent monthsp pmost presidents anchor effect buoy effect right like president having neutral effect said democratic strategist joel payne added designp pthe president gotten way places republicans figured tie loose ends trump era story right 45th president biden beatp pother news trump world like tax fraud guilty plea trump organization chief financial officer allen weisselberg week taking oxygen white house worked turn narrative winsp pdespite noise democratic communications strategist katie grant drew said ira chips science act gun control legislation gives democrats plenty talk voters months midtermsp pthis gives democrats real positive record run opposed making tougher argument democrats larger majorities said drew principal monument advocacyp pdemocrats need message direct simple law going lower health care costs seniors pay prescription drugs significant step taken tackle climate crisis added shows democrats big things donep pemmorgan chalfant contributed reportemp

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Trump and Fascism: A Conversation with Jason Stanley

img alttrump and fascism a conversation with jason stanley srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220815738posdl4jpgpthis weeks episode features one of twitters more controversial figures jason stanley a professor of philosophy at yale and author of ema hrefhttpsamznto3afifilhow fascism works the politics of us and themaem in true wisdom of crowds fashion we wanted a more measured and wideranging exchange of views than twitter could provide so we invited stanley onto the podcast to discuss his work on modern liberal democracy and its struggles against a resurgent international fascist movement ppour desire for more open and honest dialogue was richly rewarded stanley believes that the modern alliance of rightwing and reactionary factions against democracy takes an american form in donald trump and the gop does this mean that federal prosecutors should do all in their power to quotlock him upquot as a threat to the republic even if that imperils the legitimacy of our democracy what to do about the party that supports trumppaudio controls source srchttpstrafficlibsyncomforcednwisdomofcrowdswocstanley_mainmp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpstrafficlibsyncomforcednwisdomofcrowdswocstanley_mainmp3herea is a link to the filep audiopin strongpart 2strong a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivetrumpandfascismaconversationwithjasonstanleyphilosophyandlegacyavailable herea for subscribers we asked whether stanleys definition of fascism included things that many would merely consider illiberal how does diagnosing fascism work outside of the american context in europe where almost every countrys notion of citizenship is at least partly based in ethnicity are modern notions of citizenship compatible with a nonfascist political philosophyppwe also asked stanley some more personal questions to finish out the episode does he see his combative twitter activity as separate from his academic work and his writing what is the role of philosophers in the public sphere and what kind of legacy does he wish to leave ppemrequired readingempulliemememhow fascism works the politics of us and themem ememby jason stanleyemem a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowfascismworkspoliticsthemdp0525511830amazonaememliliemememhow propaganda worksememem by jason stanleyemem a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowpropagandaworksjasonstanleydp0691173427refpd_bxgy_img_sccl_114478474819868115pd_rd_wpuneucontentidamzn1sym7757a8b5874e4a679d8554ed32f01737pf_rd_p7757a8b5874e4a679d8554ed32f01737pf_rd_r161j3a4j1qk0tfr95chapd_rd_wgsshqlpd_rd_r59e9cd18bacb43258c32c497ab4a3f90pd_rd_i0691173427psc1amazonaememlilijasons 2015 article democracy and the demagogue where he describes the sources of trumps appeal a hrefhttpsarchivenytimescomopinionatorblogsnytimescom20151012democracyandthedemagogueemthe new york timesemaliliamerican fascism by jason stanley a hrefhttpsenglishelpaiscomspanish_news20200801americanfascismhtmlemel paisemaliliamerica is now in fascisms legal phase by jason stanley a hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021dec22americafascismlegalphaseemthe guardianemalilithe emnewsweek emstory about sam harris controversial a hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvddqtfs_pvcsinterviewa ema hrefhttpswwwnewsweekcomwhosamharriswriterhunterbidenlaptop1734981newsweekaem liliememile on educationem by jeanjacques rosseau ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomemileeducationjeanjacquesrousseaudp1718625928refsr_1_5crid3s8yt64ssm1sykeywordsemilerousseauqid1661090436sprefixemiler2caps2c59sr85amazonaemliul

img alttrump fascism conversation jason stanley srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220815738posdl4jpgpthis weeks episode features twitters controversial figures jason stanley professor philosophy yale author ema hrefhttpsamznto3afifilhow fascism works politics themaem true wisdom crowds fashion wanted measured wideranging exchange views twitter provide invited stanley podcast discuss work modern liberal democracy struggles resurgent international fascist movement ppour desire open honest dialogue richly rewarded stanley believes modern alliance rightwing reactionary factions democracy takes american form donald trump gop mean federal prosecutors power quotlock upquot threat republic imperils legitimacy democracy party supports trumppaudio controls source srchttpstrafficlibsyncomforcednwisdomofcrowdswocstanley_mainmp3 pyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpstrafficlibsyncomforcednwisdomofcrowdswocstanley_mainmp3herea link filep audiopin strongpart 2strong hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivetrumpandfascismaconversationwithjasonstanleyphilosophyandlegacyavailable herea subscribers asked stanleys definition fascism included things merely consider illiberal diagnosing fascism work outside american context europe countrys notion citizenship partly based ethnicity modern notions citizenship compatible nonfascist political philosophyppwe asked stanley personal questions finish episode combative twitter activity separate academic work writing role philosophers public sphere kind legacy wish leave ppemrequired readingempulliemememhow fascism works politics themem ememby jason stanleyemem hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowfascismworkspoliticsthemdp0525511830amazonaememliliemememhow propaganda worksememem jason stanleyemem hrefhttpswwwamazoncomhowpropagandaworksjasonstanleydp0691173427refpd_bxgy_img_sccl_114478474819868115pd_rd_wpuneucontentidamzn1sym7757a8b5874e4a679d8554ed32f01737pf_rd_p7757a8b5874e4a679d8554ed32f01737pf_rd_r161j3a4j1qk0tfr95chapd_rd_wgsshqlpd_rd_r59e9cd18bacb43258c32c497ab4a3f90pd_rd_i0691173427psc1amazonaememlilijasons 2015 article democracy demagogue describes sources trumps appeal hrefhttpsarchivenytimescomopinionatorblogsnytimescom20151012democracyandthedemagogueemthe new york timesemaliliamerican fascism jason stanley hrefhttpsenglishelpaiscomspanish_news20200801americanfascismhtmlemel paisemaliliamerica fascisms legal phase jason stanley hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021dec22americafascismlegalphaseemthe guardianemalilithe emnewsweek emstory sam harris controversial hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvddqtfs_pvcsinterviewa ema hrefhttpswwwnewsweekcomwhosamharriswriterhunterbidenlaptop1734981newsweekaem liliememile educationem jeanjacques rosseau ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomemileeducationjeanjacquesrousseaudp1718625928refsr_1_5crid3s8yt64ssm1sykeywordsemilerousseauqid1661090436sprefixemiler2caps2c59sr85amazonaemliul

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Philosophers and the Perils of Twitter

img altphilosophers and the perils of twitter srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220836073drsdljpgpin strongpart 2strong of our conversation with jason stanley we asked whether stanleys definition of fascism included things that many would merely consider illiberal how does diagnosing fascism work in europe where almost every countrys notion of belonging is at least partly tied to ethnic origin are modern notions of citizenship compatible with a nonfascist political philosophyppwe also asked stanley some more personal questions to close out the episode does he see his combative twitter activity as separate from his academic work and his writing what is the role of philosophers in the public sphere and how would he like to be remembered in 200 years or 50 ppif you missed strongpart 1strong its available a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivephilosophyandlegacyjasonstanleyonfascismandontwitterhereap

img altphilosophers perils twitter srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages20220836073drsdljpgpin strongpart 2strong conversation jason stanley asked stanleys definition fascism included things merely consider illiberal diagnosing fascism work europe countrys notion belonging partly tied ethnic origin modern notions citizenship compatible nonfascist political philosophyppwe asked stanley personal questions close episode combative twitter activity separate academic work writing role philosophers public sphere like remembered 200 years 50 ppif missed strongpart 1strong available hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivephilosophyandlegacyjasonstanleyonfascismandontwitterhereap

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The trouble with Tavistock

pin july britains national health service announced a major revamp of its gender identity services for young people the famed tavistock clinic officially named the gender identity development service operated by the tavistock and portman trust and a flashpoint for the countrys debate about gender trans issues and hormone treatments would be shuttered as the emnew york timesem a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220728healthtransgenderyouthuktavistockhtmlreporteda it would be replaced by a more distributed and comprehensive network of medical care for adolescents seeking hormones and other gender treatmentsp pthis outcome was strongly hinted at in the interim report of the cass review an ongoing investigation into gender identity services for children headed by the accomplished pediatrics expert hilary cass it has become increasingly clear that a single specialist provider model is not a safe or viable longterm option in view of concerns about lack of peer review and the ability to respond to the increasing demand she wrote in februaryp pcass was tasked with evaluating tavistock in the wake of years of complaints from internal whistleblowers and outside observers as well as a lawsuit brought by keira bell a woman who says her teenage decision to transition to male was not sufficiently challenged by medical professionals and who subsequently detransitioned critics allege that clinicians were pressured to fasttrack kids with complex mentalhealth comorbidities toward physical transition and that activists had undue influence on the operations of the clinicp ptavistocks critics have been vindicated by casss work so far her interim report notes straightforwardly that this is exactly what was happening primary and secondary care staff have told us that they feel under pressure to adopt an unquestioning affirmative approach and that this is at odds with the standard process of clinical assessment and diagnosis that they have been trained to undertake in all other clinical encounters in addition theres the problem of diagnostic overshadowing many of the children and young people presenting have complex needs but once they are identified as having genderrelated distress other important healthcare issues that would normally be managed by local services can sometimes be overlookedp pone of the many disturbing things about this controversy has been how little data tavistock apparently bothers collecting during the bell hearing the clinic was initially unable to produce very basic courtrequested information about its operations when the data was finally produced it appeared to show contrary to many clinicians and activists claims that kids who went on blockers there experienced no mentalhealth benefits it also showed that nearly all kids who went on blockers at tavistock proceed to hormone treatmentp palong the same lines casss work reveals that the clinic has apparently never had any sort of unifying set of standard practices let alone a shared philosophy about clinical work with gender nonconforming youth at primary secondary and specialist level there is a lack of agreement and in many instances a lack of open discussion about the extent to which gender incongruence in childhood and adolescence can be an inherent and immutable phenomenon for which transition is the best option for the individual or a more fluid and temporal response to a range of developmental social and psychological factors wrote cass as a result of this lack of professional agreement children and young people can experience a clinician lottery and failure to have an open discussion about this issue is impeding the development of clear guidelines about their carep pgiven that tavistock has been administering blockers and hormones to young people since 2011 this is completely unacceptable some critics of youth gender medicine refer to the administration of blockers and hormones as an ongoing experiment a term trans activists often take issue with but in a certain sense this is worse an experiment at least has agreedupon rules beforehand plans for collecting and publishing data and so on tavistock barely had any of this its just been an absolute mess from the beginning and the institutions fundamental disorganization and dysfunction left a vacuum into which could step pressure groups that didnt prioritize careful clinical practicesp peven a failed experiment properly conducted advances science a few steps and offers steppingstones for the next generation thats not really the case here while the ruins of tavistock certainly will offer lessons to future clinicians they will be almost entirely hownottop pone of the most frustrating things about this episode has been the abuse heaped on anyone who has questioned the trend toward carelessness in youth gender medicine exemplified by tavistock as the gendercritical philosopher kathleen stock who left the university of sussex after facing a wave of harassment there put it just here wondering whether any of the academics who have spent four years mocking ridiculing defaming and mischaracterizing my views feel any regret now a scandal about puberty blockers and child transition is emerging in the mainstreamp p[banner[p phaving encountered a version of this in my own world of journalism albeit not a fraction of what stock went through i can answer that confidently no there will be few apologies if any and even less introspection already online many are distorting the news of tavistocks closingp pnext up i think is the united states our healthcare system is an order of magnitude bigger less organized and less carefully regulated than the nhs what possible reason would any thinking person have to believe that the same issues that plagued tavistock arent going to pop up again and again in our own nationwide patchwork of youth gender clinicsp pemthis article was originally published in ema hrefhttpspectatorussubscribethe spectatoraems september 2022 world edition emp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopictroublewithtavistockclinictransthe trouble with tavistocka appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

pin july britains national health service announced major revamp gender identity services young people thefamed tavistock clinic officially named gender identity development service operated tavistock portman trust flashpoint countrys debate gender trans issues hormone treatments shuttered emnew york timesem hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20220728healthtransgenderyouthuktavistockhtmlreporteda replaced distributed comprehensive network medical care adolescents seeking hormones gender treatmentsp pthis outcome strongly hinted interim report cass review ongoing investigation gender identity services children headed accomplished pediatrics expert hilary cass increasingly clear single specialist provider model safe viable longterm option view concerns lack peer review ability respond increasing demand wrote februaryp pcass tasked evaluating tavistock wake years complaints internal whistleblowers outside observers lawsuit brought keira bell woman says teenage decision transition male sufficiently challenged medical professionals subsequently detransitioned critics allege clinicians pressured fasttrack kids complex mentalhealth comorbidities physical transition activists undue influence operations clinicp ptavistocks critics vindicated casss work far interim report notes straightforwardly exactly happening primary secondary care staff told feel pressure adopt unquestioning affirmative approach odds standard process clinical assessment diagnosis trained undertake clinical encountersin addition theres problem diagnostic overshadowing children young people presenting complex needs identified having genderrelated distress important healthcare issues normally managed local services overlookedp pone disturbing things controversy little data tavistock apparently bothers collecting bell hearing clinic initially unable produce basic courtrequested information operations data finally produced appeared contrary clinicians activists claims kids went blockers experienced mentalhealth benefits showed nearly kids went blockers tavistock proceed hormone treatmentp palong lines casss work reveals clinic apparently sort unifying set standard practices let shared philosophy clinical work gender nonconforming youth primary secondary specialist level lack agreement instances lack open discussion extent gender incongruence childhood adolescence inherent immutable phenomenon transition best option individual fluid temporal response range developmental social psychological factors wrote cass result lack professional agreement children young people experience clinician lottery failure open discussion issue impeding development clear guidelines carep pgiven tavistock administering blockers hormones young people 2011 completely unacceptable critics youth gender medicine refer administration blockers hormones ongoing experiment termtrans activists issue certain sense worse experiment agreedupon rules plans collecting publishing data tavistock barely absolute mess beginning institutions fundamental disorganization dysfunction left vacuum step pressure groups didnt prioritize careful clinical practicesp peven failed experiment properly conducted advances science steps offers steppingstones generation thats case ruins tavistock certainly offer lessons future clinicians entirely hownottop pone frustrating things episode abuse heaped questioned trend carelessness youth gender medicine exemplified tavistock gendercritical philosopher kathleen stock left university sussex facing wave harassment wondering academics spent years mocking ridiculing defaming mischaracterizing views feel regret scandal puberty blockers child transition emerging mainstreamp p[banner[p phaving encountered version world journalism albeit fraction stock went answer confidently apologies introspection online distorting news tavistocks closingp pnext think united states healthcare system order magnitude bigger organized carefully regulated nhs possible reason thinking person believe issues plagued tavistock arent going pop nationwide patchwork youth gender clinicsp pemthis article originally published inema hrefhttpspectatorussubscribethe spectatoraems september 2022 world editionemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomtopictroublewithtavistockclinictransthe trouble tavistocka appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsspectatorworldcomthe spectator worldap

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How Slaughterhouse-Five Became a Repeated Target of Book Burners

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altkurt vonnegut slaughterhousefive banned book srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpg height675 picture div plike billy pilgrim the unstuckintime protagonist of kurt vonneguts emslaughterhousefive ememor the childrens crusadeemem emit can sometimes feel like were all witnessing the same censorship fights again and againp psince it was published in 1969 emslaughterhousefive emhas been a repeated target for book burnerssometimes quite literally in 1973 32 copies of the book were thrown into the furnace at a high school in drake north dakota on orders from the local school board after parents complained about the books sex and profanity sensibilities about those things have come a long way in the past few decades but vonneguts novel is still a target in 2011 a school board in missouri barred the book from the curriculum and ordered it confined to a special section of the schools libraryp pthe american library association says emslaughterhousefive emwas one of the most frequently challenged books of the 20th centuryp pit is also one of the most important books of that century for its unflinching portrayal of the brutality of war its unconventional and deliberately meta structure and its fatalist perspective that nonetheless eschews nihilism inspired by vonneguts experience as a prisoner of war during the allied firebombing of dresden emslaughterhousefive emexplores the absurdity of massscale murder it asks but leaves mostly unanswered the questions about free will and responsibility that recur throughout many of vonneguts other worksp pin short its about a lot more than sex and profanityp pof course it has those things too in ample doses as the wouldbe censors point out but just as emslaughterhousefiveem catapulted vonnegut to fame the attempts to ban the book boosted his standing as a critic of all forms of censorship vonnegut died in 2007so it goesbut that crusade lives on through the kurt vonnegut museum and library in the authors hometown of indianapolis the museum includes a library of quotbanned booksquot and the foundation behind the operation funds first amendment advocacy effortsp pthe right to express violent and crude thoughts in art is essential but vonnegut cynical and ornery as he could be always strove to make a deeper point with his vulgarity quotif you were to bother to read my books to behave as educated persons would you would learn that they are not sexy and do not argue in favor of wildness of any kindquot he wrote to the drake school board in 1973 quotthey beg that people be kinder and more responsible than they often arequotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220821slaughterhousefivehow ltemslaughterhousefiveltem became a repeated target of book burnersa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefivejpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altkurt vonnegut slaughterhousefive banned book srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202206vignetteslaughterhousefive800x450jpg height675 picture div plike billy pilgrim unstuckintime protagonist kurt vonnegutsemslaughterhousefiveememor childrens crusadeemememit feel like witnessing censorship fights againp psince published 1969 emslaughterhousefiveemhas repeated target book burnerssometimes literally 1973 32 copies book thrown furnace high school drake north dakota orders local school board parents complained books sex profanity sensibilities things come long way past decades vonneguts novel target 2011 school board missouri barred book curriculum ordered confined special section schools libraryp pthe american library association saysemslaughterhousefiveemwas frequently challenged books 20th centuryp pit important books century unflinching portrayal brutality war unconventional deliberately meta structure fatalist perspective nonetheless eschews nihilism inspired vonneguts experience prisoner war allied firebombing dresdenemslaughterhousefiveemexplores absurdity massscale murder asks leaves unanswered questions free responsibility recur vonneguts worksp pin short lot sex profanityp pof course things ample doses wouldbe censors point asemslaughterhousefiveemcatapulted vonnegut fame attempts ban book boosted standing critic forms censorship vonnegut died 2007so goesbut crusade lives kurt vonnegut museum library authors hometown indianapolis museum includes library quotbanned booksquot foundation operation funds amendment advocacy effortsp pthe right express violent crude thoughts art essential vonnegut cynical ornery strove deeper point vulgarity quotif bother read books behave educated persons learn sexy argue favor wildness kindquot wrote drake school board 1973 quotthey beg people kinder responsible arequotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220821slaughterhousefivehow ltemslaughterhousefiveltem repeated target book burnersa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

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Post-Covid excess deaths in Britain

blockquotepfor 14 of the past 15 weeks england and wales have averaged around 1000 extra deaths each week a datav9y1 dataylkslknone of which are due to covid datarapid_p7 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20220705excessdeathsrisenotcovid target_blanknone of which are due to covidap pif the current trajectory continues the number of noncovid excess deaths will soon a datav9y1 dataylkslkoutstrip deaths from the virus datarapid_p8 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknewscovidukcasesdeathsboostervaccineworldmaplive target_blankoutstrip deaths from the virusa this year and be even more deadly than the omicron wavep pso what is going on experts believe decisions taken by the government in the earliest stages of the pandemic may now be coming back to bitep ppolicies that kept people indoors a datav9y1 dataylkslkscared them away from hospitals datarapid_p9 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20210224governmentscampaignterrifypeoplecompliancecovidrulesshameless target_blankscared them away from hospitalsa and deprived them of treatment and primary care are finally taking their tollpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsuknewsyahoocomsilentcrisissoaringexcessdeaths203000290htmlguccounter1 target_blankthe full storya via bp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208postcovidexcessdeathsinbritainhtmlpostcovid excess deaths in britaina appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepfor 14 past 15 weeks england wales averaged 1000 extra deaths weeka datav9y1 dataylkslknone covid datarapid_p7 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20220705excessdeathsrisenotcovid target_blanknone covidap pif current trajectory continues number noncovid excess deaths soona datav9y1 dataylkslkoutstrip deaths virus datarapid_p8 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknewscovidukcasesdeathsboostervaccineworldmaplive target_blankoutstrip deaths virusa year deadly omicron wavep pso going experts believe decisions taken government earliest stages pandemic coming bitep ppolicies kept people indoorsa datav9y1 dataylkslkscared away hospitals datarapid_p9 relnofollow noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20210224governmentscampaignterrifypeoplecompliancecovidrulesshameless target_blankscared away hospitalsaand deprived treatment primary care finally taking tollpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpsuknewsyahoocomsilentcrisissoaringexcessdeaths203000290htmlguccounter1 target_blankthe storya bp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208postcovidexcessdeathsinbritainhtmlpostcovid excess deaths britaina appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Anthony Fauci Will Still Get $350,000 a Year From the Government After He Retires

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altanthony fauci is retiring in december srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhite house coronavirus adviser anthony faucithe government health bureaucrat at the center of the federal response to covid19 for the last almost three yearsannounced monday that he is retiringp pfauci will step down from his position as director of the national institute of allergy and infectious diseases niaid in december though he plans to remain an active and engaged public spokesperson he will quotdevote himself to traveling writing and encouraging young people to enter government servicequot a hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnewslettersplaybookpm20220822faucisretirementplan00053122according to empoliticoemap peven after he exits federal employment fauci will still earn a large salary courtesy of us taxpayers he is currently the a hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscompoliticsfauciscollectlargestfederalretirementushistoryreporthighestpaid federal officiala making more money than the president military generals and even cabinet officials his salary in 2020 was 434000 thought he likely made more in 2021 and 2022 according to a hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesadamandrzejewski20211228dranthonyfaucisretirementpaywillexceed350000peryearthelargestinusfederalgovernmenthistorysh6296394d609copen the booksa an oversight and transparency organization fauci will be entitled to a pension that yields roughly 80 percent of his salary so at least 350000 per yearp pof course fauci will be able to make much more money than that he will surely write books and give speeches indeed the doctor is wellpositioned to capitalize on his newfound fame as a hero to team blue no public official not even president joe biden himself personifies the us governments pandemic approach quite like fauci who quite deliberately positioned himself as the avatar of correct covid19 behavior fauci even said that critics who undermined him were a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210609anthonyfaucisciencecriticscovid19chucktoddattacking science itselfap pthese critics have grown more numerous over the course of the pandemic as faucis miscalculations became more evident he a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210604lableakmisinformationmediafaucicovid19has confessed to telling nobles liesato giving the public information he thought was wrong in order to serve some other goal he downplayed the effectiveness of masks purportedly out of concern that there wouldnt be enough of them for hospitals he also told the public that the herd immunity threshold was lower than a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinioneditorialsfaucisnobleliescatchuptohimhis actual mental estimationa in the end neither figure was accurate since covid19 is able to evade both infectionacquired and immunityacquired protectionp pfauci became a passionate advocate of maskwearing also pressing the public to engage in all kinds of social distancing measures when criticized for supporting lockdowns mask mandates and other covid19 mitigation efforts he has claimed that he only offered guidance and did not empersonallyem authorize the relevant government orders many municipalities never felt like they had any choice to disregard missives from federal health officials local authorities that did chart alternative courses were derided as sciencedeniers and a hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomhealtharchive202004whygeorgiareopeningcoronaviruspandemic610882fbclidiwar38bw0_4yfbxkyjefwacxiz0jjlnhioyvvpsjsvs6vszazfi34_uj_pf0practitioners of human sacrificea by fauci sycophants in the mediap pwhen i a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220725anthonyfauciinterviewcovidrestrictionsmasksintervieweda fauci in july he admitted to making just one mistake he said that if he could repeat the covid19 pandemic he would recommend lockdowns mask mandates and social distancing measures that were quotmuch much more stringentquot some people might take note of the a hrefhttpsreasoncom20211217studymasksinschoolsjunksciencecdcwalenskydwindling evidencea that government mandates led to vastly preferable pandemic outcomes and wonder whether investing a massive bureaucracy with the power to bully millions of people into social isolation a hrefhttpsfinanceyahoocomnewsanothergendergapemergesmen123855957htmlunemploymenta and a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomrestoringamericafairnessjusticecovidschoolclosuresrisejuvenilecrimejuvenile delinquencya was worth it not fauci though if he could do it all again the bullying would only increasep pfauci is also notable for being the foremost public advocate of gainoffunction research and has steadfastly defended the us governments decision to fund scientific projects that seek to make viruses more deadly and more contagious within laboratory settings while a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220804randpaulanthonyfaucigainoffunctionresearchcovidcriticsa of such research are worried that unsafe lab conditions could result in a scenario where manipulated viruses escape into the worlda hrefhttpsabcnewsgocomusnaturebasedmanmadeunravelingdebateoriginscovidstoryid78268577some people suspecta this is exactly what happened with covid19fauci has mostly responded by a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompolitics20211029repeatedclaimthatfauciliedcongressaboutgainoffunctionresearchequivocatinga on the literal definition of gainoffunctionp pquotpeople use that terminology gainoffunction in a way that is not applicable in so many ways to whats being donequot said fauci in his interview with me quotwe put guard rails up and there have been very clear guard rails on what can and cannot be donequotp pone politician who is not satisfied with faucis comments on gainoffunction research is sen rand paul rky who has clashed with fauci during congressional hearings throughout the pandemic paul a hrefhttpstwittercomrandpaulstatus1561751391332438020saida monday that faucis retirement quotwill not prevent a fullthroated investigation into the origins of the pandemicquotp pquothe will be asked to testify under oath regarding any discussions he participated in concerning the lab leakquot said paulp pwhile fauci was long associated with the view that public health policy should be left to the experts he has increasingly begun to weigh in on a hrefhttpsthehillcompolicyhealthcare3489293faucisayshewouldnotserveundertrumpagainall sorts of political issuesa once he is longer constrained by his role inside the us health apparatus its likely that fauci will become even more vocal dont expect him to stick to the sciencep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220822anthonyfauciretirementpensioncoronaviruspandemicgovernmentanthony fauci will still get 350000 a year from the government after he retiresa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension2400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension2400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altanthony fauci retiring december srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208anthonyfauciretirementpension800x450jpg height675 picture div pwhite house coronavirus adviser anthony faucithe government health bureaucrat center federal response covid19 yearsannounced monday retiringp pfauci step position director national institute allergy infectious diseases niaid december plans remain active engaged public spokesperson quotdevote traveling writing encouraging young people enter government servicequot hrefhttpswwwpoliticocomnewslettersplaybookpm20220822faucisretirementplan00053122according empoliticoemap peven exits federal employment fauci earn large salary courtesy taxpayers currently hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscompoliticsfauciscollectlargestfederalretirementushistoryreporthighestpaid federal officiala making money president military generals cabinet officials salary 2020 434000 thought likely 2021 2022 according hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesadamandrzejewski20211228dranthonyfaucisretirementpaywillexceed350000peryearthelargestinusfederalgovernmenthistorysh6296394d609copen booksa oversight transparency organization fauci entitled pension yields roughly 80 percent salary 350000 yearp pof course fauci able money surely write books speeches doctor wellpositioned capitalize newfound fame hero team blue public official president joe biden personifies governments pandemic approach like fauci deliberately positioned avatar correct covid19 behavior fauci said critics undermined hrefhttpsreasoncom20210609anthonyfaucisciencecriticscovid19chucktoddattacking science itselfap pthese critics grown numerous course pandemic faucis miscalculations evident hrefhttpsreasoncom20210604lableakmisinformationmediafaucicovid19has confessed telling nobles liesato giving public information thought wrong order serve goal downplayed effectiveness masks purportedly concern wouldnt hospitals told public herd immunity threshold lower hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomopinioneditorialsfaucisnobleliescatchuptohimhis actual mental estimationa end figure accurate covid19 able evade infectionacquired immunityacquired protectionp pfauci passionate advocate maskwearing pressing public engage kinds social distancing measures criticized supporting lockdowns mask mandates covid19 mitigation efforts claimed offered guidance empersonallyem authorize relevant government orders municipalities felt like choice disregard missives federal health officials local authorities chart alternative courses derided sciencedeniers hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomhealtharchive202004whygeorgiareopeningcoronaviruspandemic610882fbclidiwar38bw0_4yfbxkyjefwacxiz0jjlnhioyvvpsjsvs6vszazfi34_uj_pf0practitioners human sacrificea fauci sycophants mediap pwhen hrefhttpsreasoncom20220725anthonyfauciinterviewcovidrestrictionsmasksintervieweda fauci july admitted making mistake said repeat covid19 pandemic recommend lockdowns mask mandates social distancing measures quotmuch stringentquot people note hrefhttpsreasoncom20211217studymasksinschoolsjunksciencecdcwalenskydwindling evidencea government mandates led vastly preferable pandemic outcomes wonder investing massive bureaucracy power bully millions people social isolation hrefhttpsfinanceyahoocomnewsanothergendergapemergesmen123855957htmlunemploymenta hrefhttpswwwwashingtonexaminercomrestoringamericafairnessjusticecovidschoolclosuresrisejuvenilecrimejuvenile delinquencya worth fauci bullying increasep pfauci notable foremost public advocate gainoffunction research steadfastly defended governments decision fund scientific projects seek viruses deadly contagious laboratory settings hrefhttpsreasoncom20220804randpaulanthonyfaucigainoffunctionresearchcovidcriticsa research worried unsafe lab conditions result scenario manipulated viruses escape worlda hrefhttpsabcnewsgocomusnaturebasedmanmadeunravelingdebateoriginscovidstoryid78268577some people suspecta exactly happened covid19fauci responded hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcompolitics20211029repeatedclaimthatfauciliedcongressaboutgainoffunctionresearchequivocatinga literal definition gainoffunctionp pquotpeople use terminology gainoffunction way applicable ways whats donequot said fauci interview quotwe guard rails clear guard rails donequotp pone politician satisfied faucis comments gainoffunction research sen rand paul rky clashed fauci congressional hearings pandemic paul hrefhttpstwittercomrandpaulstatus1561751391332438020saida monday faucis retirement quotwill prevent fullthroated investigation origins pandemicquotp pquothe asked testify oath discussions participated concerning lab leakquot said paulp pwhile fauci long associated view public health policy left experts increasingly begun weigh hrefhttpsthehillcompolicyhealthcare3489293faucisayshewouldnotserveundertrumpagainall sorts political issuesa longer constrained role inside health apparatus likely fauci vocal dont expect stick sciencep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220822anthonyfauciretirementpensioncoronaviruspandemicgovernmentanthony fauci 350000 year government retiresa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

630403e75556e8a0dbe2c69d

Closing Borders to Russians Only Helps Putin

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208russiapassportjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208russiapassport1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208russiapassport600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208russiapassport331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208russiapassportjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208russiapassport1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208russiapassport600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208russiapassport331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alta hand holds a stamp over two russian passports and a map of russia srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpg height675 picture div pspannearly six months into the russian invasion of ukraine ukrainian forces are still holding their own against russia foreign nations have a hrefhttpswwwifwkieldetopicswaragainstukraineukrainesupporttrackerfunneleda huge amounts of military and humanitarian aid to ukraine while a hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworldeurope60125659imposinga sanctions that affect kremlin elites and ordinary russians alikespanp pspanbut some want those measures to go further in an interview with spanispanthe washington postspanispan earlier this month ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelersspansaidspanaspan that russians should quotlive in their own world until they change their philosophyquot in practical terms he spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelersspansuggestedspanaspan that countries should quotclose the bordersquot to russian citizens quotwhichever kind of russianquot he a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelerssaida quotmake them go to russiaquotspanp pspana number of nations have taken steps to prevent russians from entering so far the czech republic lithuania estonia latvia and poland have decided to spana hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlescholzdismissecallrussiatouristvisabanspanstop issuingspanaspan certain visas to russian citizens finland will be spana hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlefinlanddrasticallycutrussiavisapekkahaavistospanslashingspanaspan its current level of russian tourist visas by 90 percent quotits not right that at the same time as russia is waging an aggressive brutal war of aggression in europequot spana hrefhttpsresponsiblestatecraftorg20220812bansonrussiantravelandcultureplayintoputinshandsspansaidspanaspan finnish prime minister sanna marin quotrussians can live a normal life travel in europe be touristsquotspanp pspanbut these measures wont just affect tourists according to leta a latvian news agency the latvian ministry of the interior has spana hrefhttpsbnnnewscomimmigrationlawamendmentspreparedforessestostopissuingresidencepermitstocitizensofrussiaandbelarus237321spanpreparedspanaspan amendments to the countrys immigration law in order to quotstop issuingtemporary residence permits tuas to citizens of russia and belarusquot which quotwill affect employers opportunities to continue employment with migrant workers from both neighboring countriesquotspanp pspaneuropean union foreign ministers are spana hrefhttpseuobservercomukraine155737spanexpectedspanaspan to discuss the issue of russian visas on august 31 ahead of that meeting many major figuresincluding people within the zelenskyy administrationhave argued against a blanket ban on visas for russians they recognize the ethical and practical spana hrefhttpsresponsiblestatecraftorg20220812bansonrussiantravelandcultureplayintoputinshandsspanissuesspanaspan that come with punishing civilians for the actions of an authoritarian government they cant feasibly controlspanp pspanoleksiy arestovych a military adviser to zelenskyy spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspantoldspana ispanthe washington postspanispan that hes quotnot a supporter of collective responsibility [but of] individualquot while it might be reasonable to sanction those who overtly support russian president vladimir putin he spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspansaidspanaspan he favored a quotmore selectivequot approach to visa denials for russiansspanp pspangerman chancellor olaf scholz likewise has rejected the idea of an euwide ban on russian tourists arguing that such a measure quotwould undermine the purpose and effect of targeted sanctions that have been applied to those supporting the warquot explains empoliticoem quotthis is not the war of the russian people but it is putins warquot scholz a hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlescholzdismissecallrussiatouristvisabansaida at a press conference last week quotit is important to us to understand that there are a lot of people fleeing from russia because they are disagreeing with the russian regimequotspanp pspanenforcing visa restrictions on russians may prove to be logistically difficult especially if only certain visa categories are targeted european officials arent united on the issue of a visa ban let alone who it should include while ukrainian foreign minister dmytro kuleba has spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspanstressedspanaspan that quotthose few russians who may need an asylum or humanitarian entryquot shouldnt be banned zelenskyy has previously spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspanarguedspanaspan that russians studying abroad in europe should be sent home limiting entry just to russians who dont support putin meanwhile would require visaissuing authorities to make any number of subjective judgments a complication that arestovych spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspansuggestsspanaspan may have pushed zelenskyy to favor a blanket banspanp pspanzelenskyy argues that limiting the movement of russian travelers should be done quotuntil they change their philosophyquot but keeping russians in russia isnt the right approach to encourage them to change their views for one the kremlin has censored all manner of information about the war back in march it spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtechnology20220304russiafacebookinternetblockspanblockedspanaspan access to facebook its cracked down on journalists and foreign websites spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtechnology20220304russiafacebookinternetblockspancensoringspanaspan sites like bbc radio free europeradio liberty and spanispandeutsche wellespanispan and in march putin spana hrefhttpswwwrferlorga31737627htmlspansignedspanaspan a law that would dole out prison sentences of up to 15 years for those who circulate quotfalse newsquot about the invasion russia spana hrefhttpswwwnprorg202203071084967986russiaarrestsmoreprotestersspanarrestedspanaspan over 13000 antiwar protesters in just the first two weeks after the war beganspanp pspanisolating russians will be counterproductive allowing them to travel will surely bring them some measure of joy but it will also give them access to views and insights on the invasion of ukraine that theyd be hardpressed to find at home fencing russians off from freer nations will ensure that theyre kept in a hostile information environment deprived of experiences that may make them more amenable to freedom and more hostile to their current regime whats more it could keep certain vulnerable groupslike lgbt people or political dissidentsfrom leaving for safer placesspanp pspana sweeping visa ban would harm the russian citizens that could very well benefit either from an escape route or exposure to ideas outside russias borders keeping them isolated will only trap them in a country rife with censorship and risk alienating them from the west playing directly into putins handsspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220822closingborderstorussiansonlyhelpsputinclosing borders to russians only helps putina appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208russiapassportjpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208russiapassport1200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208russiapassport600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208russiapassport331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208russiapassportjpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208russiapassport1200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208russiapassport600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208russiapassport331x186jpg 331w img width1200 alta hand holds stamp russian passports map russia srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208russiapassport800x450jpg height675 picture div pspannearly months russian invasion ukraine ukrainian forces holding russia foreign nations hrefhttpswwwifwkieldetopicswaragainstukraineukrainesupporttrackerfunneleda huge amounts military humanitarian aid ukraine hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsworldeurope60125659imposinga sanctions affect kremlin elites ordinary russians alikespanp pspanbut want measures interview spanispanthe washington postspanispan earlier month ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelersspansaidspanaspan russians quotlive world change philosophyquot practical terms spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelersspansuggestedspanaspan countries quotclose bordersquot russian citizens quotwhichever kind russianquot hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220808ukrainezelenskyinterviewbanrussiantravelerssaida quotmake russiaquotspanp pspana number nations taken steps prevent russians entering far czech republic lithuania estonia latvia poland decided spana hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlescholzdismissecallrussiatouristvisabanspanstop issuingspanaspan certain visas russian citizens finland spana hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlefinlanddrasticallycutrussiavisapekkahaavistospanslashingspanaspan current level russian tourist visas 90 percent quotits right time russia waging aggressive brutal war aggression europequot spana hrefhttpsresponsiblestatecraftorg20220812bansonrussiantravelandcultureplayintoputinshandsspansaidspanaspan finnish prime minister sanna marin quotrussians live normal life travel europe touristsquotspanp pspanbut measures wont affect tourists according leta latvian news agency latvian ministry interior spana hrefhttpsbnnnewscomimmigrationlawamendmentspreparedforessestostopissuingresidencepermitstocitizensofrussiaandbelarus237321spanpreparedspanaspan amendments countrys immigration law order quotstop issuingtemporary residence permits tuas citizens russia belarusquot quotwill affect employers opportunities continue employment migrant workers neighboring countriesquotspanp pspaneuropean union foreign ministers spana hrefhttpseuobservercomukraine155737spanexpectedspanaspan discuss issue russian visas august 31 ahead meeting major figuresincluding people zelenskyy administrationhave argued blanket ban visas russians recognize ethical practical spana hrefhttpsresponsiblestatecraftorg20220812bansonrussiantravelandcultureplayintoputinshandsspanissuesspanaspan come punishing civilians actions authoritarian government cant feasibly controlspanp pspanoleksiy arestovych military adviser zelenskyy spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspantoldspana ispanthe washington postspanispan hes quotnot supporter collective responsibility [but of] individualquot reasonable sanction overtly support russian president vladimir putin spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspansaidspanaspan favored quotmore selectivequot approach visa denials russiansspanp pspangerman chancellor olaf scholz likewise rejected idea euwide ban russian tourists arguing measure quotwould undermine purpose effect targeted sanctions applied supporting warquot explains empoliticoem quotthis war russian people putins warquot scholz hrefhttpswwwpoliticoeuarticlescholzdismissecallrussiatouristvisabansaida press conference week quotit important understand lot people fleeing russia disagreeing russian regimequotspanp pspanenforcing visa restrictions russians prove logistically difficult especially certain visa categories targeted european officials arent united issue visa ban let include ukrainian foreign minister dmytro kuleba spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspanstressedspanaspan quotthose russians need asylum humanitarian entryquot shouldnt banned zelenskyy previously spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspanarguedspanaspan russians studying abroad europe sent home limiting entry russians dont support putin require visaissuing authorities number subjective judgments complication arestovych spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomworld20220818ukrainerussiavisabanzelenskyarestovychspansuggestsspanaspan pushed zelenskyy favor blanket banspanp pspanzelenskyy argues limiting movement russian travelers quotuntil change philosophyquot keeping russians russia isnt right approach encourage change views kremlin censored manner information war march spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtechnology20220304russiafacebookinternetblockspanblockedspanaspan access facebook cracked journalists foreign websites spana hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomtechnology20220304russiafacebookinternetblockspancensoringspanaspan sites like bbc radio free europeradio liberty spanispandeutsche wellespanispan march putin spana hrefhttpswwwrferlorga31737627htmlspansignedspanaspan law dole prison sentences 15 years circulate quotfalse newsquot invasion russia spana hrefhttpswwwnprorg202203071084967986russiaarrestsmoreprotestersspanarrestedspanaspan 13000 antiwar protesters weeks war beganspanp pspanisolating russians counterproductive allowing travel surely bring measure joy access views insights invasion ukraine theyd hardpressed find home fencing russians freer nations ensure theyre kept hostile information environment deprived experiences amenable freedom hostile current regime whats certain vulnerable groupslike lgbt people political dissidentsfrom leaving safer placesspanp pspana sweeping visa ban harm russian citizens benefit escape route exposure ideas outside russias borders keeping isolated trap country rife censorship risk alienating west playing directly putins handsspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220822closingborderstorussiansonlyhelpsputinclosing borders russians helps putina appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

630405405556e8a0dbe2c6c7

A new reason to shut down the internet - Marginal REVOLUTION

blockquotepas candidates are set to appear for a major recruitment exam in assam to fill 27000 government posts in various departments the state government has suspended mobile internet services around examination centres during the hours of the exam to prevent candidates from cheatingp pthe exam is part of the largest recruitment drive in the state for which around 14 lakh students will appearp pinternet services wont be available in all districts where the exam is being conducted the government saidpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwndtvcomindianewsassamrecuitmentexam4hourinternetshutdowninassamreasontopreventcheatinginanexam3272595 target_blankthe full storya via siddharth mp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208anewreasontoshutdowntheinternethtmla new reason to shut down the interneta appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepas candidates set appear major recruitment exam assam fill 27000 government posts departments state government suspended mobile internet services examination centres hours exam prevent candidates cheatingp pthe exam largest recruitment drive state 14 lakh students appearp pinternet services wont available districts exam conducted government saidpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwndtvcomindianewsassamrecuitmentexam4hourinternetshutdowninassamreasontopreventcheatinginanexam3272595 target_blankthe storya siddharth mp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208anewreasontoshutdowntheinternethtmla new reason shut interneta appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

63055589d6b8b54d06b370f2

Gavin Newsom Vetoes Bill Legalizing 'Safe Consumption Sites' in 3 California Cities

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617282400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617281200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617282400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617281200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgov gavin newsom speaking wearing a navy blue quarterzip sweater srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpg height675 picture div pon monday democratic california gov gavin newsom vetoed a a hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbillnavclientxhtmlbill_id202120220sb57billa legalizing quotsafe consumption sitesquot in los angeles san francisco and oakland safe consumption sites also known as quotsafe injection sitesquot are locations where individuals can use illegal drugs in a sanitary area with access to clean needles and staff who can administer drugs like naloxone which can quickly treat an overdose proponents of the legislation argue that the sites are an important harm reduction tool helping to prevent overdose deaths or the spread of certain diseases like hiv that can be spread through intravenous drug usep pquotsafe injection sites arent intended to be some sort of magic solution to a chronic drug addiction crisis they are intended to reduce the likelihood of users dyingquot emreasonsem scott shackford a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220804californialawmakersapprovedruginjectionsitesforlosangelesoaklandsanfranciscowrotea after the bills passage in the state legislature earlier this monthp pwhere safe consumption sites are legal they have proved tremendously effective as of 2019 one a hrefhttpwwwvchcapublichealthharmreductionsupervisedconsumptionsitesinsiteuserstatisticssafe consumption sitea in vancouver canada has overseen more than 36 million instances of drug injection since its opening in 2003 at the site staff a hrefhttpwwwvchcapublichealthharmreductionsupervisedconsumptionsitesinsiteuserstatisticsrespondeda to 6440 overdoses with no deaths a study examining the sites operations from 2004 to 2008 predicted that during that period the site a hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0003351preventeda up to 51 deaths according to a hrefhttpswwwnprorgsectionshealthshots20180907645609248whatstheevidencethatsuperviseddruginjectionsitessavelivesnpra researchers also found no increase in drug usage in the surrounding areap pquotsafe consumption sites have been in operation around the world for approximately 30 years with great success and literally zero overdose deathsquot state sen scott wiener dsan francisco who originally introduced the bill told a hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomsanfrancisconewssafeinjectionsitessb57vetogovgavinnewsomcbs bay areaa quotthese sites are a proven strategy to reduce overdose deaths pressure on emergency rooms and public drug use while expanding access to drug treatmentquotp phowever newsom seems unconvinced that safe consumption sites will help the states drug users quoti have long supported the cutting edge of harm reduction strategiesquot newsom wrote in a a hrefhttpstwittercomlouismirantestatus1561843544641261569statementa explaining his veto of the bill quothowever i am acutely concerned about the operations of safe injection sites without strong engaged local leadership and welldocumented vetted and thoughtful operational and suitability plansquot newsom further expressed concerns that the bill could lead to quota world of unintended consequences worsening drug consumption challenges in [los angeles san francisco and oakland] is not a risk we can takequotp pquotits tremendously frustrating that safe injection sites have met continued resistance at the federal and state levels including in supposedly liberal states like californiaquot geoffroy lawrence the managing director of drug policy at reason foundation the nonprofit that publishes this website tells emreason emquotwhile safe injection sites may sound counterintuitive to some people as an effective means to combat addiction theres no arguing with the data results from other countries have shown that safe injection sites lead to a reduction in overdose deaths and transmission rates of infectious disease and an increase in the number of individuals seeking addiction recoveryquotp pit is possible that newsoms veto of the bill has little to do with the efficacy of safe injection sites and instead is the result of his preparation for a possible presidential run in 2024 on july 4 he placed a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220729gavinnewsomthinkscaliforniaismorefreethanfloridathatscrazypolitical adsa on several florida television stations criticizing republican florida gov ron desantis also a possible presidential contender with cities like san francisco and los angeles gaining attention in a hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202206howsanfranciscobecamefailedcity661199national mediaa for their homelessness crisis which is associated with drug use newsom could be eager to present a more antidrug even quottough on crimequot imagep pnewsoms presidential ambitions or simply his desire to appear less soft on crime might be getting in the way of a safe and effective public health strategy for preventing drug overdosesp pquotthe american approach to the drug war has historically been about restricting supply when changing demand was always the better approachquot said lawrence quotthats what socalled harm reduction policies including safe injection sites are all aboutquotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220823gavinnewsomvetoesbilllegalizingsafeconsumptionsitesin3californiacitiesgavin newsom vetoes bill legalizing safe consumption sites in 3 california citiesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617282400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617281200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617282400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208admphotostwo7617281200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altgov gavin newsom speaking wearing navy blue quarterzip sweater srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208admphotostwo761728800x450jpg height675 picture div pon monday democratic california gov gavin newsom vetoed hrefhttpsleginfolegislaturecagovfacesbillnavclientxhtmlbill_id202120220sb57billa legalizing quotsafe consumption sitesquot los angeles san francisco oakland safe consumption sites known quotsafe injection sitesquot locations individuals use illegal drugs sanitary area access clean needles staff administer drugs like naloxone quickly treat overdose proponents legislation argue sites important harm reduction tool helping prevent overdose deaths spread certain diseases like hiv spread intravenous drug usep pquotsafe injection sites arent intended sort magic solution chronic drug addiction crisis intended reduce likelihood users dyingquotemreasonsem scott shackford hrefhttpsreasoncom20220804californialawmakersapprovedruginjectionsitesforlosangelesoaklandsanfranciscowrotea bills passage state legislature earlier monthp pwhere safe consumption sites legal proved tremendously effective 2019 hrefhttpwwwvchcapublichealthharmreductionsupervisedconsumptionsitesinsiteuserstatisticssafe consumption sitea vancouver canada overseen 36 million instances drug injection opening 2003 site staff hrefhttpwwwvchcapublichealthharmreductionsupervisedconsumptionsitesinsiteuserstatisticsrespondeda 6440 overdoses deaths study examining sites operations 2004 2008 predicted period site hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosonearticleid101371journalpone0003351preventeda 51 deaths according hrefhttpswwwnprorgsectionshealthshots20180907645609248whatstheevidencethatsuperviseddruginjectionsitessavelivesnpra researchers found increase drug usage surrounding areap pquotsafe consumption sites operation world approximately 30 years great success literally zero overdose deathsquot state sen scott wiener dsan francisco originally introduced bill told hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomsanfrancisconewssafeinjectionsitessb57vetogovgavinnewsomcbs bay areaa quotthese sites proven strategy reduce overdose deaths pressure emergency rooms public drug use expanding access drug treatmentquotp phowever newsom unconvinced safe consumption sites help states drug users quoti long supported cutting edge harm reduction strategiesquot newsom wrote hrefhttpstwittercomlouismirantestatus1561843544641261569statementa explaining veto bill quothowever acutely concerned operations safe injection sites strong engaged local leadership welldocumented vetted thoughtful operational suitability plansquot newsom expressed concerns bill lead quota world unintended consequences worsening drug consumption challenges [los angeles san francisco oakland] risk takequotp pquotits tremendously frustrating safe injection sites met continued resistance federal state levels including supposedly liberal states like californiaquot geoffroy lawrence managing director drug policy reason foundation nonprofit publishes website tells emreason emquotwhile safe injection sites sound counterintuitive people effective means combat addiction theres arguing data results countries shown safe injection sites lead reduction overdose deaths transmission rates infectious disease increase number individuals seeking addiction recoveryquotp pit possible newsoms veto bill little efficacy safe injection sites instead result preparation possible presidential run 2024 july 4 placed hrefhttpsreasoncom20220729gavinnewsomthinkscaliforniaismorefreethanfloridathatscrazypolitical adsa florida television stations criticizing republican florida gov ron desantis possible presidential contender cities like san francisco los angeles gaining attention hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomideasarchive202206howsanfranciscobecamefailedcity661199national mediaa homelessness crisis associated drug use newsom eager present antidrug quottough crimequot imagep pnewsoms presidential ambitions simply desire appear soft crime getting way safe effective public health strategy preventing drug overdosesp pquotthe american approach drug war historically restricting supply changing demand better approachquot said lawrence quotthats socalled harm reduction policies including safe injection sites aboutquotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220823gavinnewsomvetoesbilllegalizingsafeconsumptionsitesin3californiacitiesgavin newsom vetoes bill legalizing safe consumption sites 3 california citiesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

6305558dd6b8b54d06b370f4

Model this newsroom estimator

blockquote pthe new york timess performance review system has for years given significantly lower ratings to employees of color an analysisspan by times journalists in the newsguild showsspanp pspanthe analysis which relied on data provided by the company on performance ratings for all guildrepresented employees found that in 2021 being hispanic reduced the odds of receiving a high score by about 60 percent and being black cut the chances of high scores by nearly 50 percent asians were also less likely than white employees to get high scoresspanp pin 2020 zero black employees received the highest rating while white employees accounted for more than 90 percent of the roughly 50 people who received the top scorep pthe disparities have been statistically significant in every year for which the company provided data according to the journalists study which was reviewed by several leading academic economists and statisticians as well as performance evaluation expertsspanspanp pmanagement has denied the discrepancies in the performance ratings for nearly two yearspblockquote pand from the economistsp blockquote pmultiple outside experts consulted by the reporters consistently said the methodology used in the guilds most recent analysis was reasonable and appropriate and that the approach used by the company appeared either flawed or incomplete somespan went further suggesting the companys approach seemed tailormade to avoid detecting any evidence of biasspanp prachael meager an economist at the london school of economics was blunt lmao thats so dumb she wrote when guild journalists described the companys methodology to her thats what you would do if you want to obliterate signal she added using a word that in economics refers to meaningful informationspan pthis is so stupid as to border on negligence added dr meager who has published papers on evaluating statistical evidence in leading economics journalspspan ppeter hull a brown university economist who has spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29820 title target_blankstudied statistical techniquesaspanspan for detecting racial bias also questioned the companys approach and recommended a way to test it running simulations in which bias was intentionally added the companys method repeatedly failed to detect racial disparities in those testsspanp blockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnyguildorg2022nytperformanceevaluationsreport target_blankthe full articlea prepared by the nyt guild equity committee including ben casselman  of course we now live in a world where very few people will be surprised by this  where exactly does the moral authority lie herep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208modelthisnewsroomestimatorhtmlmodel this newsroom estimatora appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote pthe new york timess performance review system years given significantly lower ratings toemployeesof color ananalysisspanby times journalists newsguild showsspanp pspanthe analysis relied data provided company performance ratings guildrepresented employees found 2021 hispanic reduced odds receiving high score 60 percent black cut chances high scores nearly 50 percent asians likely white employees high scoresspanp pin 2020 zero black employees received highestrating white employees accounted 90 percent roughly 50 people received scorep pthe disparities statistically significant year company provided data according journalists study reviewed byseveralleadingacademic economists statisticians performance evaluationexpertsspanspanp pmanagement denied discrepancies performance ratings nearly yearspblockquote pand economistsp blockquote pmultiple outside expertsconsulted reporters consistently saidthe methodologyused guilds recent analysis reasonable appropriate approach company appeared flawed incompletesomespanwent suggesting companys approach tailormade avoid detecting evidence biasspanp prachael meager economist london school economics blunt lmao thats dumb wrote guild journalists described companys methodology thats want toobliteratesignal added word economics refers meaningful informationspan pthis stupid border negligence added dr meager published papers evaluating statistical evidence leading economics journalspspan ppeter hull brown university economist hasspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29820 title target_blankstudied statistical techniquesaspanspanfor detecting racial bias questioned companys approach recommended way test running simulations bias intentionally added companys method repeatedly failed detect racial disparities testsspanp blockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnyguildorg2022nytperformanceevaluationsreport target_blankthe articlea prepared nyt guild equity committee including ben casselman course live world people surprised exactly moral authority lie herep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202208modelthisnewsroomestimatorhtmlmodel newsroom estimatora appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

630555c2d6b8b54d06b370fc

Biden Reportedly Set To Forgive $10K Student Debt for Americans Earning Over Six Figures

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354802400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354801200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354802400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354801200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altstudent debt protest signs srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpg height675 picture div pamericans earning well over sixfigure incomes would be eligible for a student debt forgiveness plan that president joe biden is reportedly set to unveil later this weekp pperhaps unsurprisingly that means most of the benefits of the roughly 300 billion proposal would flow to wealthier american households according to a new analysis of the proposalp pbiden and top white house officials have been a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220708thebidenadministrationsproposedpolicytoreducestudentdebtisonlygoingtomaketheproblemworsepromising action on student debta for months and cnn a hrefhttpswwwcnncom20220822politicsstudentloanwhitehouseindexhtmlreporteda monday that an announcement is likely coming on wednesday reportedly the white house will announce plans to forgive up to 10000 in student debt for americans earning up to 125000 this yearthough important specifics about the plan like whether it would be a onetime event or an ongoing entitlement remain unclearp pbecause the poorest americans generally dont have college degrees or the student debt that often accompanies them the benefits of just about any student loan forgiveness program are likely to flow primarily to middle and upperincome households placing incomebased limits on who benefits is one way to prevent a student debt forgiveness effort from being a massive giveaway to the wealthiest americansp pnevertheless according to a hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansa newly published analysisa from the penn wharton budget model a fiscal policy think tank based at the university of pennsylvania quotabout 70 percent of debt relief accrues to borrowers in the top 60 percent of the income distributionquot even after limiting the benefits to individuals earning less than 125000 this yearp pas you can see from penn whartons a hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansanalysisa drawing different lines regarding eligibility or setting different amounts to be forgiven doesnt change the fact that wealthierthanaverage households stand to benefit the most from student loan forgiveness plansp figure classwpcaptionimg datacreditsource penn wharton budget model sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm21024x629jpg alt width1024 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm21024x629jpg 1024w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2300x184jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2768x472jpg 768w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2jpg 1415w classwpimage8200776 height629figcaption classwpcaptiontextchanging eligibility thresholds and debt forgiveness totals does little to change the fact that wealthierthanaverage households accrue most of the benefits biden is reportedly considering granting up to 10000 in loan forgiveness to americans earning less than 125000 this yearfigcaptionfigure pif bidens student loan forgiveness plan is a onetime arrangement the penn wharton analysis pegs the cost at 297 billion in other words it would consume just about all of the supposed quotdeficit reductionquot measures included in the recently passed inflation reduction act which is supposed to reduce the federal budget deficit a hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220818theinflationreductionactbarelyputsadentinthedeficitby about 300 billiona over the next decade so much for thatp pif the student loan forgiveness program becomes an ongoing part of the federal budget it would cost an additional 3 billion to 4 billion annually costs will grow if the incomeeligibility level rises or if larger amounts of debt are forgivenp pwith america already on pace to run a hrefhttpswwwcbogovpublication58147a 15 trillion deficit over the next 10 yearsa its hard to justify a massive handout to middle and upperincome households as a matter of fiscal policyp pand there are plenty of other reasons why student loan forgiveness makes little sense as emreasonems emma camp has detailed student loan forgiveness programs manage to be a hrefhttpsreasoncom20220708thebidenadministrationsproposedpolicytoreducestudentdebtisonlygoingtomaketheproblemworseunfair to graduatesa who paid back what they borrowed while also a hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220729dontcancelstudentdebtmaking it harder to solve the actual underlying problema of providing easy loans to students who are unprepared for college and therefore unlikely to be able to pay off the burden they accrue at a young agep pin fact it might cause the exact opposite to happenp pquotif student loan debt forgiveness is ongoing students might eventually reorganize their financing toward additional borrowingquot the penn wharton budget model analysis a hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansconcludesa quotmoreover more students might choose to attend qualifying education providers including students who might otherwise have a harder time with repayment the inclusion of these two effects could to some extent make the program a bit more progressive while increasing budgetary costsquotp pand there could be one additional foreseeable consequence quotsome of the benefit from debt forgiveness might be captured by colleges themselves in the form of higher prices both tuition and netquotp pthe biden administration has already taken steps to forgive huge amounts of student debt from some borrowers as emreasonems mike riggs a hrefhttpsreasoncom20210924massstudentloanforgivenessisalreadyhappeningreported last yeara the department of education has erased about 95 billion owed by about 563000 borrowers who attended forprofit schools or are disabledp pthats historic but its not good enough for the progressive activists who are demanding more from the white house on this front indeed some of those activists are already claiming that bidens plan to forgive emonly em10000 in debt per borrower is not enoughp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrcanceling 10000 in student debt when the average white borrower is 12000 in debt while black women hold on average over 52000 isnt just unacceptable its structural racismp p nina turner ninaturner a hrefhttpstwittercomninaturnerstatus1561882928413642752ref_srctwsrc5etfwaugust 23 2022apblockquote pp pthe idea that taxpayersincluding college grads who paid back what they borrowedshould have to finance a 10000 giveaway to americans earning more than six figures is absurd on its face wellpaid professionals do not need welfare and it makes little sense to blow another 300 billion hole in the federal budget to provide it to themp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220823bidenreportedlysettoforgive10kstudentdebtforamericansearningoversixfiguresbiden reportedly set to forgive 10k student debt for americans earning over six figuresa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap

div picture source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagewebp srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354802400x1350jpgwebp 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354801200x675jpgwebp 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpgwebp 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480600x338jpgwebp 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480331x186jpgwebp 331w source sizesminwidth 600px 331px 100vw typeimagejpeg srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc2400x1350w2400q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354802400x1350jpg 2400w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc1200x675w1200q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour1354801200x675jpg 1200w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpg 800w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc600x338w600q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480600x338jpg 600w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc331x186w331q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480331x186jpg 331w img width1200 altstudent debt protest signs srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgc800x450w800q60uploads202208zumaamericasthirtyfour135480800x450jpg height675 picture div pamericans earning sixfigure incomes eligible student debt forgiveness plan president joe biden reportedly set unveil later weekp pperhaps unsurprisingly means benefits roughly 300 billion proposal flow wealthier american households according new analysis proposalp pbiden white house officials hrefhttpsreasoncom20220708thebidenadministrationsproposedpolicytoreducestudentdebtisonlygoingtomaketheproblemworsepromising action student debta months cnn hrefhttpswwwcnncom20220822politicsstudentloanwhitehouseindexhtmlreporteda monday announcement likely coming wednesday reportedly white house announce plans forgive 10000 student debt americans earning 125000 yearthough important specifics plan like onetime event ongoing entitlement remain unclearp pbecause poorest americans generally dont college degrees student debt accompanies benefits student loan forgiveness program likely flow primarily middle upperincome households placing incomebased limits benefits way prevent student debt forgiveness effort massive giveaway wealthiest americansp pnevertheless according hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansa newly published analysisa penn wharton budget model fiscal policy think tank based university pennsylvania quotabout 70 percent debt relief accrues borrowers 60 percent income distributionquot limiting benefits individuals earning 125000 yearp pas penn whartons hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansanalysisa drawing different lines eligibility setting different amounts forgiven doesnt change fact wealthierthanaverage households stand benefit student loan forgiveness plansp figure classwpcaptionimg datacreditsource penn wharton budget model sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm21024x629jpg alt width1024 srcsethttpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm21024x629jpg 1024w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2300x184jpg 300w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2768x472jpg 768w httpsd2eehagpk5cl65cloudfrontnetimgq60uploads202208studentloancostspwbm2jpg 1415w classwpimage8200776 height629figcaption classwpcaptiontextchanging eligibility thresholds debt forgiveness totals little change fact wealthierthanaverage households accrue benefits biden reportedly considering granting 10000 loan forgiveness americans earning 125000 yearfigcaptionfigure pif bidens student loan forgiveness plan onetime arrangement penn wharton analysis pegs cost 297 billion words consume supposed quotdeficit reductionquot measures included recently passed inflation reduction act supposed reduce federal budget deficit hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220818theinflationreductionactbarelyputsadentinthedeficitby 300 billiona decade thatp pif student loan forgiveness program ongoing federal budget cost additional 3 billion 4 billion annually costs grow incomeeligibility level rises larger amounts debt forgivenp pwith america pace run hrefhttpswwwcbogovpublication58147a 15 trillion deficit 10 yearsa hard justify massive handout middle upperincome households matter fiscal policyp pand plenty reasons student loan forgiveness makes little sense asemreasonems emma camp detailed student loan forgiveness programs manage hrefhttpsreasoncom20220708thebidenadministrationsproposedpolicytoreducestudentdebtisonlygoingtomaketheproblemworseunfair graduatesa paid borrowed hrefhttpsreasoncomvideo20220729dontcancelstudentdebtmaking harder solve actual underlying problema providing easy loans students unprepared college unlikely able pay burden accrue young agep pin fact cause exact opposite happenp pquotif student loan debt forgiveness ongoing students eventually reorganize financing additional borrowingquot penn wharton budget model analysis hrefhttpsbudgetmodelwhartonupenneduissues2022823forgivingstudentloansconcludesa quotmoreover students choose attend qualifying education providers including students harder time repayment inclusion effects extent program bit progressive increasing budgetary costsquotp pand additional foreseeable consequence quotsome benefit debt forgiveness captured colleges form higher prices tuition netquotp pthe biden administration taken steps forgive huge amounts student debt borrowers asemreasonems mike riggs hrefhttpsreasoncom20210924massstudentloanforgivenessisalreadyhappeningreported yeara department education erased 95 billion owed 563000 borrowers attended forprofit schools disabledp pthats historic good progressive activists demanding white house activists claiming bidens plan forgive emonlyem10000 debt borrower enoughp blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrcanceling 10000 student debt average white borrower 12000 debt black women hold average 52000 isnt unacceptable structural racismp p nina turner ninaturner hrefhttpstwittercomninaturnerstatus1561882928413642752ref_srctwsrc5etfwaugust 23 2022apblockquote pp pthe idea taxpayersincluding college grads paid borrowedshould finance 10000 giveaway americans earning figures absurd face wellpaid professionals need welfare makes little sense blow 300 billion hole federal budget provide themp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncom20220823bidenreportedlysettoforgive10kstudentdebtforamericansearningoversixfiguresbiden reportedly set forgive 10k student debt americans earning figuresa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsreasoncomreasoncomap