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7,800
AR6_WGIII
894
7
This showed a removal of –12.5 ± 3.2 GtCO 2 yr–1
medium
1
train
7,801
AR6_WGIII
902
40
Following changes in land conditions, CO 2, CH 4 and N 2O fluxes are quickly mixed into the atmosphere and dispersed, resulting in the biogeochemical effects being dominated by the biophysical effects at local scales
high
2
train
7,802
AR6_WGIII
911
12
If implemented at appropriate scales and in a sustainable manner, land-based mitigation practices have the capacity to reduce emissions and sequester billions of tonnes of carbon from the atmosphere over coming decades, while also preserving or enhancing biodiversity, water quality and supply, air quality, soil fertility, food and wood security, livelihoods, resilience to droughts, floods and other natural disasters, and positively contributing to ecosystem health and human well-being
high
2
train
7,803
AR6_WGIII
911
25
The SRCCL assessed the full range of technical, economic and sustainability mitigation potentials in AFOLU for the period 2030–2050 and identified reduced deforestation and forest degradation to have greatest potential for reducing supply-side emissions (0.4 to 5.8 GtCO 2-eq yr–1) (high confidence) followed by combined agriculture measures, 0.3 to 3.4 GtCO 2-eq yr–1
medium
1
train
7,804
AR6_WGIII
911
27
For the demand-side estimates, shifting towards healthy, sustainable diets (0.7 to 8.0 GtCO 2-eq yr–1) (high confidence) had the highest potential, followed by reduced food loss and waste (0.8 to 4.5 GtCO 2-eq yr–1)
high
2
train
7,805
AR6_WGIII
911
28
Measures with greatest potential for CDR were afforestation/reforestation (0.5 to 10.1 GtCO 2-eq yr–1) (medium confidence), soil carbon sequestration in croplands and grasslands (0.4 to 8.6 GtCO 2-eq yr–1) (medium confidence) and BECCS (0.4 to 11.3 GtCO 2-eq yr–1)
medium
1
train
7,806
AR6_WGIII
913
30
The feasibility of implementing AFOLU mitigation measures, including those with multiple co-benefits, depends on varying economic, technological, institutional, socio- cultural, environmental and geophysical barriers
high
2
train
7,807
AR6_WGIII
916
1
Reducing deforestation and forest degradation represents one of the most effective options for climate change mitigation, with technical potential estimated at 0.4–5.8 GtCO 2 yr–1 by 2050
high
2
train
7,808
AR6_WGIII
916
28
Based on studies since AR5, the technical mitigation potential for reducing deforestation and degradation is significant, providing 4.5 (2.3–7) GtCO 2 yr–1 globally by 2050, of which 3.4 (2.3–6.4) GtCO 2 yr–1 is available at below USD100 tCO 2–1
medium
1
train
7,809
AR6_WGIII
916
59
The SRCCL remained with a reported wide range of mitigation potential for A/R of 0.5–10.1 GtCO 2 yr–1 by 2050
medium
1
train
7,810
AR6_WGIII
917
74
In the SRCCL, forest management activities have the potential to mitigate 0.4–2.1 GtCO 2-eq yr–1 by 2050
medium
1
train
7,811
AR6_WGIII
919
10
In the SRCCL, fire management is among the nine options that can deliver medium-to-large benefits across multiple land challenges (climate change mitigation, adaptation, desertification, land degradation, and food security)
high
2
train
7,812
AR6_WGIII
921
19
In the SRCCL (Chapters 2 and 6), it was estimated that avoided peat impacts could deliver 0.45–1.22 GtCO 2-eq yr–1 technical potential by 2030–2050
medium
1
train
7,813
AR6_WGIII
922
22
According the SRCCL, peatland restoration could deliver technical mitigation potentials of 0.15 – 0.81GtCO 2-eq yr–1 by 2030–2050
low
0
train
7,814
AR6_WGIII
922
27
Peatlands are highly sensitive to climate change
high
2
train
7,815
AR6_WGIII
934
16
Like AE, it is likely that RA can contribute to mitigation, the extent to which is currently unclear and by its case-specific design, will vary
medium
1
train
7,816
AR6_WGIII
934
32
There is evidence that CA can contribute to mitigation, but its contribution is depended on multiple factors including climate and residue returns
high
2
train
7,817
AR6_WGIII
936
43
The SRCCL reported a technical CDR potential for BECCS at 0.4–11.3 GtCO 2 yr–1
medium
1
train
7,818
AR6_WGIII
938
16
Based on studies to date, the technical net CDR potential of BECCS (including LUC and other supply chain emissions, but excluding energy carrier substitution) by 2050 is 5.9 (0.5–11.3) GtCO 2 yr–1 globally, of which 1.6 (0.5–3.5) GtCO 2 yr–1 is available at below USD100 tCO 2–1
medium
1
train
7,819
AR6_WGIII
939
40
Shifting to sustainable healthy diets has large potential to achieve global GHG mitigation targets as well as public health and environmental benefits
high
2
train
7,820
AR6_WGIII
939
43
A shift to more sustainable and healthy diets is generally feasible in many regions
medium
1
train
7,821
AR6_WGIII
940
9
In line with these SDG targets, it is estimated that reducing FLW can free up several million km2 of land
high
2
train
7,822
AR6_WGIII
940
44
Regionally, FLW reduction is feasible anywhere but its potential needs to be understood in a wider and changing socio-cultural context that determines nutrition
high
2
train
7,823
AR6_WGIII
941
16
The SRCCL (Chapters 2 and 6) finds that some studies indicate significant mitigation potentials for material substitution, but concludes that the global, technical mitigation potential for material substitution for construction applications ranges from 0.25–1 GtCO 2-eq yr–1
medium
1
train
7,824
AR6_WGIII
949
12
The total amounts to 0.66 GtCO 2 yr–1 for the period 2010–2019, which is 1.2% of total global, and 5.5% of AFOLU emissions reported in Table 7.1, over the same time period
high
2
train
7,825
AR6_WGIII
951
3
In total, reported funding for AFOLU projects and programmes has been USD4.4 billion over the past decade, or about USD569 million yr–1
low
0
train
7,826
AR6_WGIII
951
8
Despite widespread effort, AFOLU measures have thus far failed to achieve the large potential for climate mitigation described in earlier IPCC WG III reports
high
2
train
7,827
AR6_WGIII
951
9
The limited gains from AFOLU to date appear largely to result from lack of investment and other institutional and social barriers, rather than methodological concerns
high
2
train
7,828
AR6_WGIII
951
49
A large literature has investigated whether PES programmes have successfully protected habitats. Despite concerns, the many lessons learned from PES programme implementation provide critical information that will help policymakers refine future PES programmes to increase their effectiveness
medium
1
test
7,829
AR6_WGIII
952
28
When combined with increased non-CO 2 gas emissions, the emission intensity of US agriculture increased from 1.5 to 1.7 tCO 2 ha–1 between 2005 and 2018
high
2
train
7,830
AR6_WGIII
952
46
The extent to which the combined influence of these regulations has enhanced carbon storage in ecosystems is not quantified although they are likely to explain some of the persistent carbon sink that has emerged in temperate forests of OECD countries
high
2
train
7,831
AR6_WGIII
953
12
Because protected areas limit not just land- use change, but also logging or harvesting non-timber forest products, they may be relatively costly approaches for forest conservation
medium
1
train
7,832
AR6_WGIII
954
8
Efforts to expand property rights, especially community forest management, have reduced carbon emissions from deforestation in tropical forests in the last two decades
high
2
train
7,833
AR6_WGIII
954
28
Supply chain management in the food sector encourages more widespread use of conservation measures in agriculture
high
2
train
7,834
AR6_WGIII
956
18
While these analyses establish that many projects to reduce deforestation have overcome hurdles related to additionality
high
2
train
7,835
AR6_WGIII
957
46
The protocols to quantify emission reductions in the agricultural sector are available and have been tested, and the main limitation appears to be the lack of available financing or the unwillingness to re-direct current subsidies
medium
1
train
7,836
AR6_WGIII
958
15
The presence of significant subsidy programmes intended to improve farmer welfare and rural livelihoods makes it more difficult to implement regulatory programmes aimed at reducing net emissions in agriculture, however, it may increase the potential to implement new subsidy programmes that encourage practices aimed at reducing net emissions
medium
1
train
7,837
AR6_WGIII
959
7
It is argued that a carbon tax on only fossil fuel derived emissions, may lead to massive deployment of bioenergy, although the effects of such a policy can be mitigated when combined with policies that encourage sustainable forest management and protection of forest carbon stocks as well as forest management certification
high
2
train
7,838
AR6_WGIII
959
17
However, if private markets emerge for biomass and BECCS on the scale suggested in the SR1.5, policy efforts must ramp up to substantially value, encourage, and protect terrestrial carbon stocks and ecosystems to avoid outcomes inconsistent with many SDGs
high
2
train
7,839
AR6_WGIII
960
1
The lack of resources thus far committed to implementing AFOLU mitigation, income and access to alternative sources of income in rural households that rely on agriculture or forests for their livelihoods remains a considerable barrier to adoption of AFOLU
high
2
train
7,840
AR6_WGIII
960
4
Without quickly ramping up spending, the lack of funding to implement projects remains a substantial barrier
high
2
train
7,841
AR6_WGIII
961
3
Barriers to adoption of AFOLU mitigation will be strongest where historical practices represent long-standing traditions
high
2
train
7,842
AR6_WGIII
961
5
AR6 presents new estimates of the mitigation potential for shifts in diets and reductions in food waste, but given long-standing dietary traditions within most cultures, some of the strongest barriers exist for efforts to change diets
medium
1
train
7,843
AR6_WGIII
961
50
Implementation of nature-based solution may have local or regionally important consequences for other ecosystem services, some of which may be negative
high
2
train
7,844
AR6_WGIII
962
9
Climate is expected to reduce crop yields, increase crop and livestock prices, and increase pressure on undisturbed forest land for food production creating new barriers and increasing costs for implementation of many nature-based mitigation techniques
medium
1
train
7,845
AR6_WGIII
962
27
Factors that reduce permanence or slow forest growth will drive up costs of forest mitigation measures, suggesting that climate change presents a formidable challenge to implementation of nature-based solutions beyond 2030
high
2
train
7,846
AR6_WGIII
962
38
Forest management strategies based on biodiversity and ecosystems functioning interactions can augment the effectiveness of forests in reducing climate change impacts on ecosystem functioning
high
2
train
7,847
AR6_WGIII
964
22
There are synergies, trade-offs and co- benefits between ecosystem services and mitigation options with impacts on ecosystem services differing by scale and contexts
high
2
train
7,848
AR6_WGIII
965
6
Conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services is critical to sustaining the well-being and livelihoods of poor and marginalised people, and indigenous communities who depend on natural resources
high
2
train
7,849
AR6_WGIII
966
7
Nature-based solutions (NBS) with safeguards has immense potential for cost-effective adaptation to climate change; but their impacts will vary by scale and contexts
high
2
train
7,850
AR6_WGIII
999
22
There is a large range in the forecasts of urban land expansion across scenarios and models, which highlights an opportunity to shape future urban development towards low- or net-zero GHG emissions and minimise the loss of carbon stocks and sequestration in the agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) sector due to urban land conversion
medium
1
train
7,851
AR6_WGIII
1,000
17
New and emerging cities will have significant infrastructure development needs to achieve high quality of life, which can be met through energy- efficient infrastructures and services, and people-centred urban design
high
2
train
7,852
AR6_WGIII
1,013
6
Urbanisation: A megatrend driving global climate risk and potential for low-carbon and resilient futures Severe weather events, exacerbated by anthropogenic emissions, are already having devastating impacts on people who live in urban areas, on the infrastructure that supports these communities, as well as people living in distant places
high
2
train
7,853
AR6_WGIII
1,013
26
Urban settlements contribute to climate change, generating about 70% of global CO 2-eq emissions
high
2
train
7,854
AR6_WGIII
1,014
1
As urbanisation unfolds, its legacy continues to be the locking-in of emissions and vulnerabilities
high
2
train
7,855
AR6_WGIII
1,015
8
Enabling action Innovative governance and finance solutions are required to manage complex and interconnected risks across essential key infrastructures, networks, and services, as well as to meet basic human needs in urban areas
medium
1
train
7,856
AR6_WGIII
1,015
16
Increasing the pace of investments will put pressure on governance capability, transparency, and accountability of decision-making
medium
1
train
7,857
AR6_WGIII
1,021
14
Third, the urban share of regional GHG emissions increased between 2000 and 2015, with much inter-region variation in the magnitude of the increase
high
2
train
7,858
AR6_WGIII
1,021
18
Fourth, the global average per capita urban GHG emissions increased between 2000 and 2015, with cities in the Developed Countries region producing nearly seven times more per capita than the lowest emitting region
medium
1
train
7,859
AR6_WGIII
1,026
3
Future urban expansion will amplify the background warming caused by GHG emissions, with extreme warming most pronounced during night-time
very high
3
test
7,860
AR6_WGIII
1,038
20
Over 30 years, wood-based construction can accumulate between 0.25 and 20 GtCO 2 and reduce cumulative emissions from 4 GtCO 2 (range of 7–20 GtCO 2) to 2 GtCO 2 (range of 0.3–10 GtCO 2)
high
2
train
7,861
AR6_WGIII
1,042
5
This might suggest that in other geographies, similar adjacent non-urban forest types may store similar carbon stocks per unit area
medium
1
train
7,862
AR6_WGIII
1,048
3
The involvement of governance at multiple levels is necessary to enable cities to plan and implement emissions reductions targets
high
2
train
7,863
AR6_WGIII
1,048
5
Further, regional, national, and international climate goals are most impactful when local governments are involved alongside higher levels, rendering urban areas key foci of climate governance more broadly
high
2
train
7,864
AR6_WGIII
1,051
28
To meet the multi-trillion-dollar annual investment needs in urban areas, cities in partnership with international institutions, national governments, and local stakeholders increasingly play a pivotal role in mobilising global climate finance resources for a range of low-carbon infrastructure projects and related urban land use and spatial planning programmes across key sectors
high
2
train
7,865
AR6_WGIII
1,052
36
Moreover, the potential application of blockchain for land-based funding instruments is possibly associated with urban form attributes, such as density, compactness, and land-use mixture, to disincentivise urban expansion and emissions growth around city-fringe locations
medium
1
train
7,866
AR6_WGIII
1,257
4
Transport- related emissions in developing regions of the world have increased more rapidly than in Europe or North America, a trend that is likely to continue in coming decades
high
2
test
7,867
AR6_WGIII
1,257
12
Appropriate infrastructure, including protected pedestrian and bike pathways, can also support much greater localised active travel.1 Transport demand management incentives are expected to be necessary to support these systemic changes
high
2
train
7,868
AR6_WGIII
1,257
22
The continued growth of electromobility for land transport would require investments in electric charging and related grid infrastructure
high
2
train
7,869
AR6_WGIII
1,257
23
Electromobility powered by low-carbon electricity has the potential to rapidly reduce transport GHG and can be applied with multiple co-benefits in the developing world’s growing cities
high
2
train
7,870
AR6_WGIII
1,257
25
These same technologies and expanded use of available electric rail systems can support rail decarbonisation
medium
1
train
7,871
AR6_WGIII
1,257
26
Initial deployments of battery electric, hydrogen- and bio-based haulage are underway, and commercial operations of some of these technologies are considered feasible by 2030
medium
1
train
7,872
AR6_WGIII
1,257
29
Increased capacity for low-carbon hydrogen production would also be essential for hydrogen-based fuels to serve as an emissions reduction strategy
high
2
train
7,873
AR6_WGIII
1,257
31
Increased efficiency has been insufficient to limit the emissions from shipping and aviation, and natural gas-based fuels are likely inadequate to meet stringent decarbonisation goals for these segments
high
2
train
7,874
AR6_WGIII
1,257
33
Advanced biofuels could provide low-carbon jet fuel
medium
1
train
7,875
AR6_WGIII
1,257
34
The production of synthetic fuels using low-carbon hydrogen with CO2 captured through direct air capture (DAC) or bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) could provide jet and marine fuels but these options still require demonstration at scale
low
0
test
7,876
AR6_WGIII
1,257
35
Ammonia produced with low-carbon hydrogen could also serve as a marine fuel
medium
1
train
7,877
AR6_WGIII
1,258
1
The scenarios literature projects continued growth in demand for freight and passenger services, particularly in developing countries in Africa and Asia
high
2
train
7,878
AR6_WGIII
1,258
4
While many global scenarios place greater reliance on emissions reduction in sectors other than transport, a quarter of the 1.5°C degree scenarios describe transport-related CO2 emissions reductions in excess of 68% (relative to modelled 2020 levels)
medium
1
train
7,879
AR6_WGIII
1,258
8
In general terms, electrification tends to play the key role in land- based transport, but biofuels and hydrogen (and derivatives) could play a role in decarbonisation of freight in some contexts
high
2
train
7,880
AR6_WGIII
1,258
9
Biofuels and hydrogen (and derivatives) are likely more prominent in shipping and aviation
high
2
train
7,881
AR6_WGIII
1,258
10
The shifts towards these alternative fuels must occur alongside shifts towards clean technologies in other sectors
high
2
train
7,882
AR6_WGIII
1,258
22
Given the high degree of potential recyclability of LIBs, a nearly closed-loop system in the future could mitigate concerns about critical mineral issues
medium
1
train
7,883
AR6_WGIII
1,369
5
Producer, user, and regulator education, as well as innovation and commercialisation policy are needed
medium
1
train
7,884
AR6_WGIII
1,369
18
Pulp mills have access to biomass residues and by-products and in paper mills the use of process heat at low to medium temperatures allows for electrification
high
2
train
7,885
AR6_WGIII
1,453
1
Key to maximising benefits and managing trade-offs are sectoral integration, transparent governance, and stakeholder involvement
high
2
train
7,886
AR6_WGIII
1,453
2
A sustainable bioeconomy relying on biomass resources will need to be supported by technology innovation and international cooperation and governance of global trade to disincentivise environmental and social externalities
medium
1
train
7,887
AR6_WGIII
1,465
19
This is about, or below half, the most recent (2019) emissions value of 59 ± 6.6 GtCO 2-eq
high
2
train
7,888
AR6_WGIII
1,471
13
Compared to other CDR methods, the primary barrier to upscaling DAC is its high cost and large energy requirement
high
2
train
7,889
AR6_WGIII
1,471
27
Costs: As the process captures dilute CO 2 (~0.04%) from the ambient air, it is less efficient and more costly than conventional carbon capture applied to power plants and industrial installations (with a CO 2 concentration of ~10%)
high
2
train
7,890
AR6_WGIII
1,471
53
Risks and impacts: DACCS requires a considerable amount of energy
high
2
train
7,891
AR6_WGIII
1,502
19
The SRCCL concluded that conversion of land for A/R and bioenergy crops at the scale commonly found in pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C is associated with multiple feasibility and sustainability constraints, including land carbon losses
high
2
train
7,892
AR6_WGIII
1,512
1
Increased technology innovation, stakeholder integration and transparent governance structures and procedures at local to global scales are key to successful bioeconomy deployment maximising benefits and managing trade-offs
high
2
train
7,893
AR6_WGIII
1,512
2
Limited global land and biomass resources accompanied by growing demands for food, feed, fibre, and fuels, together with prospects for a paradigm shift towards phasing out fossil fuels, set the frame for potentially fierce competition for land3 and biomass to meet burgeoning demands, even as climate change increasingly limits natural resource potentials
high
2
train
7,894
AR6_WGIII
1,516
18
In summary, there is significant scope for optimising use of land resources to produce more biomass while reducing adverse effects
high
2
train
7,895
AR6_WGIII
1,516
19
Context-specific prioritisation, technology innovation in bio-based production, integrative policies, coordinated institutions and improved governance mechanisms to enhance synergies and minimise trade-offs can mitigate the pressure on managed as well as natural and semi-natural ecosystems
medium
1
train
7,896
AR6_WGIII
1,516
20
Yet, energy conservation and efficiency measures, and deployment of technologies and systems that do not rely on carbon-based energy and materials, are essential for mitigating biomass demand growth as countries pursue ambitious climate goals
high
2
train
7,897
AR6_WGIII
1,672
2
It also built national capacity for greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting, catalysed the creation of GHG markets, and increased investments in low-carbon technologies
medium
1
train
7,898
AR6_WGIII
1,672
3
Other international agreements and institutions have led to avoided carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions from land use practices, as well as avoided emissions of some non- CO2 greenhouse gases
medium
1
train
7,899
AR6_WGIII
1,672
5
Both new and pre-existing forms of cooperation are vital for achieving climate mitigation goals in the context of sustainable development
high
2
train